@article {1280, title = {The contribution of a 9p21.3 variant, a KIF6 variant, and C-reactive protein to predicting risk of myocardial infarction in a prospective study.}, journal = {BMC Cardiovasc Disord}, volume = {11}, year = {2011}, month = {2011 Mar 15}, pages = {10}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Genetic risk factors might improve prediction of coronary events. Several variants at chromosome 9p21.3 have been widely reported to be associated with coronary heart disease (CHD) in prospective and case-control studies. A variant of KIF6 (719Arg) has also been reported to be associated with increased risk of CHD in large prospective studies, but not in case-control studies. We asked whether the addition of genetic information (the 9p21.3 or KIF6 variants) or a well-established non-genetic risk factor (C-reactive protein [CRP]) can improve risk prediction by the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS)--a prospective observational study of risk factors for cardiovascular disease among > 5,000 participants aged 65 or older.

METHODS: Improvement of risk prediction was assessed by change in the area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUC) and by net reclassification improvement (NRI).

RESULTS: Among white participants the FRS was improved by addition of KIF6 719Arg carrier status among men as assessed by the AUC (from 0.581 to 0.596, P = 0.03) but not by NRI (NRI = 0.027, P = 0.32). Adding both CRP and 719Arg carrier status to the FRS improved risk prediction by the AUC (0.608, P = 0.02) and NRI (0.093, P = 0.008) in men, but not women (P >= 0.24).

CONCLUSIONS: While none of these risk markers individually or in combination improved risk prediction among women, a combination of KIF6 719Arg carrier status and CRP levels modestly improved risk prediction among white men; although this improvement is not significant after multiple-testing correction. These observations should be investigated in other prospective studies.

}, keywords = {African Continental Ancestry Group, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, C-Reactive Protein, Case-Control Studies, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Genetic Variation, Humans, Kinesin, Male, Myocardial Infarction, Predictive Value of Tests, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors}, issn = {1471-2261}, doi = {10.1186/1471-2261-11-10}, author = {Shiffman, Dov and O{\textquoteright}Meara, Ellen S and Rowland, Charles M and Louie, Judy Z and Cushman, Mary and Tracy, Russell P and Devlin, James J and Psaty, Bruce M} }