@article {1374, title = {Decline in circulating insulin-like growth factors and mortality in older adults: cardiovascular health study all-stars study.}, journal = {J Clin Endocrinol Metab}, volume = {97}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 Jun}, pages = {1970-6}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: The association between changes in IGF-I and IGF binding protein (IGFBP) levels and mortality in older adults is unknown.

STUDY DESIGN: Participants were 997 persons 77 to 100 yr old enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study All Stars Study. Plasma levels of IGF-I, IGFBP-1, and IGFBP-3 were assessed at two study examinations (1996-1997 and 2005-2006). Mortality was assessed between 2006 and 2010.

RESULTS: Cumulative mortality (CM) was similar among individuals who had at least 10\% decreases over time in IGF-I levels (CM = 29.6\%), individuals who had at least 10\% increases over time in IGF-I levels (CM = 24.7\%), and individuals who had IGF-I levels remaining within {\textpm}10\% over time (CM = 23.5\%). Adjusted for age, sex, race, diabetes, body mass index, creatinine, albumin, and C-reactive protein, decreasing IGF-I level had no significant association with overall cancer mortality or noncancer mortality. Levels of IGFBP-1 increased markedly over time by 38\% (median). Individuals with the largest increases in IGFBP-1 level over time had significantly increased risk of mortality. The adjusted hazard ratio per sd of IGFBP-1 change was 1.40 for overall cancer mortality (95\% confidence interval = 1.10, 1.77; P = 0.01) and 1.14 for noncancer mortality (95\% confidence interval = 1.02, 1.27; P = 0.02). Changes in IGFBP-3 levels were not significantly associated with mortality.

CONCLUSION: Among older adults, decreasing IGF-I level over time does not predict subsequent all-cause mortality, whereas increasing IGFBP-1 predicts increased risk of mortality.

}, keywords = {African Continental Ancestry Group, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cardiovascular Diseases, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 1, Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 3, Insulin-Like Growth Factor I, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Mortality, Predictive Value of Tests, Risk Factors}, issn = {1945-7197}, doi = {10.1210/jc.2011-2967}, author = {Kaplan, Robert C and B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Cappola, Anne R and Strickler, Howard D and McGinn, Aileen P and Mercer, Laina D and Arnold, Alice M and Pollak, Michael N and Newman, Anne B} }