@article {6702, title = {Serial measures of cardiac troponin T levels by a highly sensitive assay and incident atrial fibrillation in a prospective cohort of ambulatory older adults.}, journal = {Heart Rhythm}, volume = {12}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 May}, pages = {879-85}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Various mechanisms in cardiac remodeling related to atrial fibrillation (AF) lead to elevated circulating cardiac troponin levels, but little is known about such elevations upstream to AF onset.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to study the association between circulating troponin levels as assessed by a highly sensitive cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) assay and incident atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS: In a large prospective cohort of ambulatory older adults [the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS)], hs-cTnT levels were measured in sera that were collected at enrollment from 4262 participants without AF (2871 with follow-up measurements). Incident AF was identified by electrocardiograms during CHS visits, hospital discharge diagnoses, and Medicare files, including outpatient and physician claims diagnoses.

RESULTS: Over median follow-up of 11.2 years (interquartile range 6.1-16.5), 1363 participants (32.0\%) developed AF. Higher baseline levels of hs-cTnT were associated with incident AF in covariate-adjusted analyses accounting for demographics, traditional risk factors, and incident heart failure in time-dependent analyzes (hazard ratio for 3rd tertile vs undetectable 1.75, 95\% confidence interval 1.48-2.08). This association was statistically significant in analyses that additionally adjusted for biomarkers of inflammation and hemodynamic strain (hazard ratio for 3rd tertile vs undetectable 1.38, 95\% confidence interval 1.16-1.65). Significant associations were also found when hs-cTnT levels were treated as a continuous variable and when examining change from baseline of hs-cTnT levels and incident AF.

CONCLUSION: The findings show a significant association of circulating troponin levels in ambulatory older adults with incident AF beyond that of traditional risk factors, incident heart failure, and biomarkers of inflammation and hemodynamic strain.

}, keywords = {Aged, Atrial Fibrillation, Biomarkers, Electrocardiography, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Outpatients, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Statistics as Topic, Troponin T, United States}, issn = {1556-3871}, doi = {10.1016/j.hrthm.2015.01.020}, author = {Hussein, Ayman A and Bartz, Traci M and Gottdiener, John S and Sotoodehnia, Nona and Heckbert, Susan R and Lloyd-Jones, Donald and Kizer, Jorge R and Christenson, Robert and Wazni, Oussama and DeFilippi, Christopher} }