@article {827, title = {Cystatin C concentration as a risk factor for heart failure in older adults.}, journal = {Ann Intern Med}, volume = {142}, year = {2005}, month = {2005 Apr 05}, pages = {497-505}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Previous studies that evaluated the association of kidney function with incident heart failure may be limited by the insensitivity of serum creatinine concentration for detecting abnormal kidney function.

OBJECTIVE: To compare serum concentrations of cystatin C (a novel marker of kidney function) and creatinine as predictors of incident heart failure.

DESIGN: Observational study based on measurement of serum cystatin C from frozen sera obtained at the 1992-1993 visit of the Cardiovascular Health Study. Follow-up occurred every 6 months.

SETTING: Adults 65 years of age or older from 4 communities in the United States.

PARTICIPANTS: 4384 persons without previous heart failure who had measurements of serum cystatin C and serum creatinine.

MEASUREMENTS: Incident heart failure.

RESULTS: The mean (+/-SD) serum concentrations of cystatin C and creatinine were 82 +/- 25 nmol/L (1.10 +/- 0.33 mg/L) and 89 +/- 34 micromol/L (1.01 +/- 0.39 mg/dL), respectively. During a median follow-up of 8.3 years (maximum, 9.1 years), 763 (17\%) participants developed heart failure. After adjustment for demographic factors, traditional and novel cardiovascular risk factors, cardiovascular disease status, and medication use, sequential quintiles of cystatin C concentration were associated with a stepwise increased risk for heart failure in Cox proportional hazards models (hazard ratios, 1.0 [reference], 1.30 [95\% CI, 0.96 to 1.75], 1.44 [CI, 1.07 to 1.94], 1.58 [CI, 1.18 to 2.12], and 2.16 [CI, 1.61 to 2.91]). In contrast, quintiles of serum creatinine concentration were not associated with risk for heart failure in adjusted analysis (hazard ratios, 1.0 [reference], 0.77 [CI, 0.59 to 1.01], 0.85 [CI, 0.64 to 1.13], 0.97 [CI, 0.72 to 1.29], and 1.14 [CI, 0.87 to 1.49]).

LIMITATIONS: The mechanism by which cystatin C concentration predicts risk for heart failure remains unclear.

CONCLUSIONS: The cystatin C concentration is an independent risk factor for heart failure in older adults and appears to provide a better measure of risk assessment than the serum creatinine concentration. *For a full list of participating Cardiovascular Health Study investigators and institutions, see http://www.chs-nhlbi.org.

}, keywords = {Aged, Biomarkers, Creatinine, Cystatin C, Cystatins, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Kidney, Kidney Function Tests, Male, Risk Factors, United States}, issn = {1539-3704}, doi = {10.7326/0003-4819-142-7-200504050-00008}, author = {Sarnak, Mark J and Katz, Ronit and Stehman-Breen, Catherine O and Fried, Linda F and Jenny, Nancy Swords and Psaty, Bruce M and Newman, Anne B and Siscovick, David and Shlipak, Michael G} }