@article {878, title = {10-year follow-up of subclinical cardiovascular disease and risk of coronary heart disease in the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Arch Intern Med}, volume = {166}, year = {2006}, month = {2006 Jan 09}, pages = {71-8}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: The incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD) is very high among individuals 65 years or older.

METHODS: We evaluated the relationships between measurements of subclinical disease at baseline (1989-1990) and at the third-year follow-up examination (1992-1993) and subsequent incidence of cardiovascular disease and total mortality as of June 2001. Approximately 61\% of the participants without clinical cardiovascular disease at baseline had subclinical disease based on our previously described criteria from the Cardiovascular Health Study.

RESULTS: The incidence of CHD was substantially increased for participants with subclinical disease compared with those who had no subclinical disease: 30.5 per 1000 person-years with and 16.3 per 1000 person-years without for white individuals, and 31.2 per 1000 person-years with and 12.5 per 1000 person-years without for black individuals. The risk persisted over the entire follow-up period. Incidence rates were higher for men than for women with or without subclinical disease, but there was little difference in rates for black individuals and white individuals.

CONCLUSIONS: In multivariable models, subclinical disease at baseline remained a significant predictor of CHD in both men and women; the hazard ratios (95\% confidence intervals) of their relative risks were 1.64 (1.30-2.06) and 1.49 (1.21-1.84), respectively. The presence of subclinical disease substantially increased the risk of subsequent CHD for participants with hypertension, diabetes mellitus, or elevated C-reactive protein. In summary, subclinical disease is very prevalent among older individuals, is independently associated with risk of CHD even over a 10-year follow-up period, and substantially increases the risk of CHD among participants with hypertension or diabetes mellitus.

}, keywords = {African Continental Ancestry Group, Aged, Blood Chemical Analysis, Cardiovascular Diseases, Comorbidity, Coronary Disease, Echocardiography, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Incidence, Male, Multivariate Analysis, Prevalence, Proportional Hazards Models, Regression Analysis, Risk Factors, Sex Distribution, United States}, issn = {0003-9926}, doi = {10.1001/archinte.166.1.71}, author = {Kuller, Lewis H and Arnold, Alice M and Psaty, Bruce M and Robbins, John A and O{\textquoteright}Leary, Daniel H and Tracy, Russell P and Burke, Gregory L and Manolio, Teri A and Chaves, Paolo H M} }