@article {914, title = {New-onset diabetes and risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Diabetes Care}, volume = {29}, year = {2006}, month = {2006 Sep}, pages = {2012-7}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: Cardiovascular risk associated with new-onset diabetes is not well characterized. We hypothesized that risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality would be similar among participants with and without new-onset diabetes in the first years of follow-up and rise over time for new-onset diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) is a longitudinal study of cardiovascular risk factors in adults aged > or =65 years. We used CHS participants to define a cohort (n = 282) with new-onset diabetes during 11 years of follow-up. New-onset diabetes was defined by initiation of antidiabetes medication or by fasting plasma glucose >125 mg/dl among CHS participants without diabetes at study entry. Three CHS participants without diabetes were matched for age, sex, and race to each participant with new-onset diabetes at the time of diabetes identification (n = 837). Survival analysis provided adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

RESULTS: During a median of 5.9 years of follow-up, there were 352 deaths, of which 41\% were cardiovascular. In adjusted analyses, new-onset diabetes was associated with an HR of 1.9 (95\% CI 1.4-2.5) for all-cause and 2.2 (1.4-3.4) for cardiovascular mortality compared with no diabetes. Mortality risks were elevated within 2 years of onset, especially cardiovascular risk (4.3 [95\% CI 1.7-10.8]), and did not increase over time.

CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that there may be a mortality differential soon after diabetes onset in older adults and suggest that long-term macrovascular damage from atherosclerosis may not be primarily responsible for increased risk.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Atherosclerosis, Blood Glucose, Cardiovascular Diseases, Diabetes Complications, Diabetes Mellitus, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Risk Factors, Survival Rate, Time Factors}, issn = {0149-5992}, doi = {10.2337/dc06-0574}, author = {Smith, Nicholas L and Barzilay, Joshua I and Kronmal, Richard and Lumley, Thomas and Enquobahrie, Daniel and Psaty, Bruce M} }