@article {1359, title = {Association between chromosome 9p21 variants and the ankle-brachial index identified by a meta-analysis of 21 genome-wide association studies.}, journal = {Circ Cardiovasc Genet}, volume = {5}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 Feb 01}, pages = {100-12}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Genetic determinants of peripheral arterial disease (PAD) remain largely unknown. To identify genetic variants associated with the ankle-brachial index (ABI), a noninvasive measure of PAD, we conducted a meta-analysis of genome-wide association study data from 21 population-based cohorts.

METHODS AND RESULTS: Continuous ABI and PAD (ABI <=0.9) phenotypes adjusted for age and sex were examined. Each study conducted genotyping and imputed data to the ≈2.5 million single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in HapMap. Linear and logistic regression models were used to test each SNP for association with ABI and PAD using additive genetic models. Study-specific data were combined using fixed effects inverse variance weighted meta-analyses. There were a total of 41 692 participants of European ancestry (≈60\% women, mean ABI 1.02 to 1.19), including 3409 participants with PAD and with genome-wide association study data available. In the discovery meta-analysis, rs10757269 on chromosome 9 near CDKN2B had the strongest association with ABI (β=-0.006, P=2.46{\texttimes}10(-8)). We sought replication of the 6 strongest SNP associations in 5 population-based studies and 3 clinical samples (n=16 717). The association for rs10757269 strengthened in the combined discovery and replication analysis (P=2.65{\texttimes}10(-9)). No other SNP associations for ABI or PAD achieved genome-wide significance. However, 2 previously reported candidate genes for PAD and 1 SNP associated with coronary artery disease were associated with ABI: DAB21P (rs13290547, P=3.6{\texttimes}10(-5)), CYBA (rs3794624, P=6.3{\texttimes}10(-5)), and rs1122608 (LDLR, P=0.0026).

CONCLUSIONS: Genome-wide association studies in more than 40 000 individuals identified 1 genome wide significant association on chromosome 9p21 with ABI. Two candidate genes for PAD and 1 SNP for coronary artery disease are associated with ABI.

}, keywords = {Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Alleles, Ankle Brachial Index, Chromosomes, Human, Pair 9, Cohort Studies, Cyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibitor p15, Female, Genome-Wide Association Study, Genotype, HapMap Project, Humans, Logistic Models, Male, Middle Aged, Peripheral Vascular Diseases, Phenotype, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Risk Factors, Sex Factors}, issn = {1942-3268}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCGENETICS.111.961292}, author = {Murabito, Joanne M and White, Charles C and Kavousi, Maryam and Sun, Yan V and Feitosa, Mary F and Nambi, Vijay and Lamina, Claudia and Schillert, Arne and Coassin, Stefan and Bis, Joshua C and Broer, Linda and Crawford, Dana C and Franceschini, Nora and Frikke-Schmidt, Ruth and Haun, Margot and Holewijn, Suzanne and Huffman, Jennifer E and Hwang, Shih-Jen and Kiechl, Stefan and Kollerits, Barbara and Montasser, May E and Nolte, Ilja M and Rudock, Megan E and Senft, Andrea and Teumer, Alexander and van der Harst, Pim and Vitart, Veronique and Waite, Lindsay L and Wood, Andrew R and Wassel, Christina L and Absher, Devin M and Allison, Matthew A and Amin, Najaf and Arnold, Alice and Asselbergs, Folkert W and Aulchenko, Yurii and Bandinelli, Stefania and Barbalic, Maja and Boban, Mladen and Brown-Gentry, Kristin and Couper, David J and Criqui, Michael H and Dehghan, Abbas and den Heijer, Martin and Dieplinger, Benjamin and Ding, Jingzhong and D{\"o}rr, Marcus and Espinola-Klein, Christine and Felix, Stephan B and Ferrucci, Luigi and Folsom, Aaron R and Fraedrich, Gustav and Gibson, Quince and Goodloe, Robert and Gunjaca, Grgo and Haltmayer, Meinhard and Heiss, Gerardo and Hofman, Albert and Kieback, Arne and Kiemeney, Lambertus A and Kolcic, Ivana and Kullo, Iftikhar J and Kritchevsky, Stephen B and Lackner, Karl J and Li, Xiaohui and Lieb, Wolfgang and Lohman, Kurt and Meisinger, Christa and Melzer, David and Mohler, Emile R and Mudnic, Ivana and Mueller, Thomas and Navis, Gerjan and Oberhollenzer, Friedrich and Olin, Jeffrey W and O{\textquoteright}Connell, Jeff and O{\textquoteright}Donnell, Christopher J and Palmas, Walter and Penninx, Brenda W and Petersmann, Astrid and Polasek, Ozren and Psaty, Bruce M and Rantner, Barbara and Rice, Ken and Rivadeneira, Fernando and Rotter, Jerome I and Seldenrijk, Adrie and Stadler, Marietta and Summerer, Monika and Tanaka, Toshiko and Tybjaerg-Hansen, Anne and Uitterlinden, Andr{\'e} G and van Gilst, Wiek H and Vermeulen, Sita H and Wild, Sarah H and Wild, Philipp S and Willeit, Johann and Zeller, Tanja and Zemunik, Tatijana and Zgaga, Lina and Assimes, Themistocles L and Blankenberg, Stefan and Boerwinkle, Eric and Campbell, Harry and Cooke, John P and de Graaf, Jacqueline and Herrington, David and Kardia, Sharon L R and Mitchell, Braxton D and Murray, Anna and M{\"u}nzel, Thomas and Newman, Anne B and Oostra, Ben A and Rudan, Igor and Shuldiner, Alan R and Snieder, Harold and van Duijn, Cornelia M and V{\"o}lker, Uwe and Wright, Alan F and Wichmann, H-Erich and Wilson, James F and Witteman, Jacqueline C M and Liu, Yongmei and Hayward, Caroline and Borecki, Ingrid B and Ziegler, Andreas and North, Kari E and Cupples, L Adrienne and Kronenberg, Florian} } @article {5864, title = {Genetic determinants of the ankle-brachial index: a meta-analysis of a cardiovascular candidate gene 50K SNP panel in the candidate gene association resource (CARe) consortium.}, journal = {Atherosclerosis}, volume = {222}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 May}, pages = {138-47}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Candidate gene association studies for peripheral artery disease (PAD), including subclinical disease assessed with the ankle-brachial index (ABI), have been limited by the modest number of genes examined. We conducted a two stage meta-analysis of \~{}50,000 SNPs across \~{}2100 candidate genes to identify genetic variants for ABI.

METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied subjects of European ancestry from 8 studies (n=21,547, 55\% women, mean age 44-73 years) and African American ancestry from 5 studies (n=7267, 60\% women, mean age 41-73 years) involved in the candidate gene association resource (CARe) consortium. In each ethnic group, additive genetic models were used (with each additional copy of the minor allele corresponding to the given beta) to test each SNP for association with continuous ABI (excluding ABI>1.40) and PAD (defined as ABI<0.90) using linear or logistic regression with adjustment for known PAD risk factors and population stratification. We then conducted a fixed-effects inverse-variance weighted meta-analyses considering a p<2{\texttimes}10(-6) to denote statistical significance.

RESULTS: In the European ancestry discovery meta-analyses, rs2171209 in SYTL3 (β=-0.007, p=6.02{\texttimes}10(-7)) and rs290481 in TCF7L2 (β=-0.008, p=7.01{\texttimes}10(-7)) were significantly associated with ABI. None of the SNP associations for PAD were significant, though a SNP in CYP2B6 (p=4.99{\texttimes}10(-5)) was among the strongest associations. These 3 genes are linked to key PAD risk factors (lipoprotein(a), type 2 diabetes, and smoking behavior, respectively). We sought replication in 6 population-based and 3 clinical samples (n=15,440) for rs290481 and rs2171209. However, in the replication stage (rs2171209, p=0.75; rs290481, p=0.19) and in the combined discovery and replication analysis the SNP-ABI associations were no longer significant (rs2171209, p=1.14{\texttimes}10(-3); rs290481, p=8.88{\texttimes}10(-5)). In African Americans, none of the SNP associations for ABI or PAD achieved an experiment-wide level of significance.

CONCLUSIONS: Genetic determinants of ABI and PAD remain elusive. Follow-up of these preliminary findings may uncover important biology given the known gene-risk factor associations. New and more powerful approaches to PAD gene discovery are warranted.

}, keywords = {Adult, African Americans, Aged, Ankle Brachial Index, Aryl Hydrocarbon Hydroxylases, Cytochrome P-450 CYP2B6, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Oxidoreductases, N-Demethylating, Peripheral Arterial Disease, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Risk Factors, Transcription Factor 7-Like 2 Protein}, issn = {1879-1484}, doi = {10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2012.01.039}, author = {Wassel, Christina L and Lamina, Claudia and Nambi, Vijay and Coassin, Stefan and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Ganesh, Santhi K and Jacobs, David R and Franceschini, Nora and Papanicolaou, George J and Gibson, Quince and Yanek, Lisa R and van der Harst, Pim and Ferguson, Jane F and Crawford, Dana C and Waite, Lindsay L and Allison, Matthew A and Criqui, Michael H and McDermott, Mary M and Mehra, Reena and Cupples, L Adrienne and Hwang, Shih-Jen and Redline, Susan and Kaplan, Robert C and Heiss, Gerardo and Rotter, Jerome I and Boerwinkle, Eric and Taylor, Herman A and Eraso, Luis H and Haun, Margot and Li, Mingyao and Meisinger, Christa and O{\textquoteright}Connell, Jeffrey R and Shuldiner, Alan R and Tybj{\ae}rg-Hansen, Anne and Frikke-Schmidt, Ruth and Kollerits, Barbara and Rantner, Barbara and Dieplinger, Benjamin and Stadler, Marietta and Mueller, Thomas and Haltmayer, Meinhard and Klein-Weigel, Peter and Summerer, Monika and Wichmann, H-Erich and Asselbergs, Folkert W and Navis, Gerjan and Mateo Leach, Irene and Brown-Gentry, Kristin and Goodloe, Robert and Assimes, Themistocles L and Becker, Diane M and Cooke, John P and Absher, Devin M and Olin, Jeffrey W and Mitchell, Braxton D and Reilly, Muredach P and Mohler, Emile R and North, Kari E and Reiner, Alexander P and Kronenberg, Florian and Murabito, Joanne M} } @article {5857, title = {Association of genome-wide variation with highly sensitive cardiac troponin-T levels in European Americans and Blacks: a meta-analysis from atherosclerosis risk in communities and cardiovascular health studies.}, journal = {Circ Cardiovasc Genet}, volume = {6}, year = {2013}, month = {2013 Feb}, pages = {82-8}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: High levels of cardiac troponin T, measured by a highly sensitive assay (hs-cTnT), are strongly associated with incident coronary heart disease and heart failure. To date, no large-scale genome-wide association study of hs-cTnT has been reported. We sought to identify novel genetic variants that are associated with hs-cTnT levels.

METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a genome-wide association in 9491 European Americans and 2053 blacks free of coronary heart disease and heart failure from 2 prospective cohorts: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study and the Cardiovascular Health Study. Genome-wide association studies were conducted in each study and race stratum. Fixed-effect meta-analyses combined the results of linear regression from 2 cohorts within each race stratum and then across race strata to produce overall estimates and probability values. The meta-analysis identified a significant association at chromosome 8q13 (rs10091374; P=9.06{\texttimes}10(-9)) near the nuclear receptor coactivator 2 (NCOA2) gene. Overexpression of NCOA2 can be detected in myoblasts. An additional analysis using logistic regression and the clinically motivated 99th percentile cut point detected a significant association at 1q32 (rs12564445; P=4.73{\texttimes}10(-8)) in the gene TNNT2, which encodes the cardiac troponin T protein itself. The hs-cTnT-associated single-nucleotide polymorphisms were not associated with coronary heart disease in a large case-control study, but rs12564445 was significantly associated with incident heart failure in Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study European Americans (hazard ratio=1.16; P=0.004).

CONCLUSIONS: We identified 2 loci, near NCOA2 and in the TNNT2 gene, at which variation was significantly associated with hs-cTnT levels. Further use of the new assay should enable replication of these results.

}, keywords = {African Continental Ancestry Group, Atherosclerosis, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Genome-Wide Association Study, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Nuclear Receptor Coactivator 2, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Prospective Studies, Residence Characteristics, Risk Factors, Troponin T}, issn = {1942-3268}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCGENETICS.112.963058}, author = {Yu, Bing and Barbalic, Maja and Brautbar, Ariel and Nambi, Vijay and Hoogeveen, Ron C and Tang, Weihong and Mosley, Thomas H and Rotter, Jerome I and deFilippi, Christopher R and O{\textquoteright}Donnell, Christopher J and Kathiresan, Sekar and Rice, Ken and Heckbert, Susan R and Ballantyne, Christie M and Psaty, Bruce M and Boerwinkle, Eric} } @article {6238, title = {Age- and sex-dependent upper reference limits for the high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T assay.}, journal = {J Am Coll Cardiol}, volume = {63}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Apr 15}, pages = {1441-8}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: The study sought to determine the 99th percentile upper reference limit for the high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T assay (hs-cTnT) in 3 large independent cohorts.

BACKGROUND: The presently recommended 14 ng/l cut point for the diagnosis of myocardial infarction using the hs-cTnT assay was derived from small studies of presumably healthy individuals, with relatively little phenotypic characterization.

METHODS: Data were included from 3 well-characterized population-based studies: the Dallas Heart Study (DHS), the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study, and the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). Within each cohort, reference subcohorts were defined excluding individuals with recent hospitalization, overt cardiovascular disease, and kidney disease (subcohort 1), and further excluding those with subclinical structural heart disease (subcohort 2). Data were analyzed stratified by age, sex, and race.

RESULTS: The 99th percentile values for the hs-cTnT assay in DHS, ARIC, and CHS were 18, 22, and 36 ng/l (subcohort 1) and 14, 21, and 28 ng/l (subcohort 2), respectively. These differences in 99th percentile values paralleled age differences across cohorts. Analyses within sex/age strata yielded similar results between cohorts. Within each cohort, 99th percentile values increased with age and were higher in men. More than 10\% of men 65 to 74 years of age with no cardiovascular disease in our study had cardiac troponin T values above the current myocardial infarction threshold.

CONCLUSIONS: Use of a uniform 14 ng/l cutoff for the hs-cTnT assay may lead to over-diagnosis of myocardial infarction, particularly in men and the elderly. Clinical validation is needed of new age- and sex-specific cutoff values for this assay.

}, keywords = {Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Biological Assay, Biomarkers, Blood Chemical Analysis, Cohort Studies, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Myocardial Infarction, Reference Values, Risk Assessment, Sensitivity and Specificity, Severity of Illness Index, Sex Factors, Troponin T}, issn = {1558-3597}, doi = {10.1016/j.jacc.2013.12.032}, author = {Gore, M Odette and Seliger, Stephen L and deFilippi, Christopher R and Nambi, Vijay and Christenson, Robert H and Hashim, Ibrahim A and Hoogeveen, Ron C and Ayers, Colby R and Sun, Wensheng and McGuire, Darren K and Ballantyne, Christie M and de Lemos, James A} } @article {6235, title = {Troponin T, NT-proBNP, and venous thromboembolism: the Longitudinal Investigation of Thromboembolism Etiology (LITE).}, journal = {Vasc Med}, volume = {19}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Feb}, pages = {33-41}, abstract = {

Increased levels of plasma troponins and natriuretic peptides are markers of cardiac dysfunction associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease. Little information exists on cardiac dysfunction and occurrence of venous thromboembolism (VTE). In two prospective epidemiological cohorts, we tested the hypothesis that high-sensitivity troponin T (TnT) and N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) are associated positively with VTE occurrence. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) measured plasma TnT and NT-proBNP in 13,719 men or women with no history of venous thrombosis, coronary heart disease, or heart failure and followed them for approximately 10 years for VTE occurrence (n = 348 VTEs). In both ARIC and CHS, TnT was associated positively with incidence of total VTE and provoked VTE, but not with unprovoked VTE: age, race, and sex-adjusted hazard ratios for total VTE in the pooled analysis were 1.00, 0.85, 1.36, 1.51, and 1.98 (p-trend <0.0001) across five categories of TnT. In contrast, the association of NT-proBNP with VTE was positive in ARIC (hazard ratios approximately 2.5-fold for the highest versus lowest NT-proBNP quintiles), but non-existent in CHS.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Atherosclerosis, Biomarkers, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Middle Aged, Natriuretic Peptide, Brain, Peptide Fragments, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Troponin T, Venous Thromboembolism}, issn = {1477-0377}, doi = {10.1177/1358863X14520869}, author = {Folsom, Aaron R and Lutsey, Pamela L and Nambi, Vijay and deFilippi, Christopher R and Heckbert, Susan R and Cushman, Mary and Ballantyne, Christie M} } @article {6878, title = {Prognostic Significance of High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin T Concentrations between the Limit of Blank and Limit of Detection in Community-Dwelling Adults: A Metaanalysis.}, journal = {Clin Chem}, volume = {61}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Dec}, pages = {1524-31}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: There is controversy regarding whether to report concentrations of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) to the limit of blank (LOB) (3 ng/L) or the limit of detection (LOD) (5 ng/L) of the assay in community-based cohorts. We hypothesized that hs-cTnT concentrations between the LOB and LOD would be associated with poorer cardiovascular outcomes compared to concentrations below the LOB.

METHODS: hs-cTnT was analyzed in a total of 10 723 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, and Dallas Heart Study (DHS). Participants were divided into 2 groups, those with hs-cTnT concentrations below the limit of blank (LOB) (<3 ng/L) and those with hs-cTnT between the LOB and limit of detection (LOD) (3-4.99 ng/L). Cross-sectional associations with traditional cardiovascular risk factors and cardiac structural measurements, and longitudinal associations with long-term cardiovascular outcomes of incident heart failure and cardiovascular death, were determined.

RESULTS: Participants with hs-cTnT between the LOB and LOD for all 3 cohorts were older, more likely to be male, and have a higher burden of cardiovascular risk factors and structural pathology. A metaanalysis of the 3 cohorts showed participants with hs-cTnT between the LOB and LOD were at increased risk of new-onset heart failure (hazard ratio, 1.18; 95\% CI, 1.02-1.38) and cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio, 1.29; 95\% CI, 1.06-1.57).

CONCLUSIONS: hs-cTnT concentrations between the LOB and LOD (3-4.99 ng/L) are associated with a higher prevalence of traditional risk factors, more cardiac pathology, and worse outcomes than concentrations below the LOB (<3 ng/L).

}, keywords = {Aged, Atherosclerosis, Biomarkers, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Independent Living, Limit of Detection, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Middle Aged, Myocardial Infarction, Prognosis, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, Troponin T}, issn = {1530-8561}, doi = {10.1373/clinchem.2015.244160}, author = {Parikh, Ravi H and Seliger, Stephen L and de Lemos, James and Nambi, Vijay and Christenson, Robert and Ayers, Colby and Sun, Wensheng and Gottdiener, John S and Kuller, Lewis H and Ballantyne, Christie and deFilippi, Christopher R} } @article {8567, title = {Natriuretic peptides and integrated risk assessment for cardiovascular disease: an individual-participant-data meta-analysis.}, journal = {Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol}, volume = {4}, year = {2016}, month = {2016 10}, pages = {840-9}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Guidelines for primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases focus on prediction of coronary heart disease and stroke. We assessed whether or not measurement of N-terminal-pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) concentration could enable a more integrated approach than at present by predicting heart failure and enhancing coronary heart disease and stroke risk assessment.

METHODS: In this individual-participant-data meta-analysis, we generated and harmonised individual-participant data from relevant prospective studies via both de-novo NT-proBNP concentration measurement of stored samples and collection of data from studies identified through a systematic search of the literature (PubMed, Scientific Citation Index Expanded, and Embase) for articles published up to Sept 4, 2014, using search terms related to natriuretic peptide family members and the primary outcomes, with no language restrictions. We calculated risk ratios and measures of risk discrimination and reclassification across predicted 10 year risk categories (ie, <5\%, 5\% to <7{\textperiodcentered}5\%, and >=7{\textperiodcentered}5\%), adding assessment of NT-proBNP concentration to that of conventional risk factors (ie, age, sex, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, history of diabetes, and total and HDL cholesterol concentrations). Primary outcomes were the combination of coronary heart disease and stroke, and the combination of coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure.

FINDINGS: We recorded 5500 coronary heart disease, 4002 stroke, and 2212 heart failure outcomes among 95 617 participants without a history of cardiovascular disease in 40 prospective studies. Risk ratios (for a comparison of the top third vs bottom third of NT-proBNP concentrations, adjusted for conventional risk factors) were 1{\textperiodcentered}76 (95\% CI 1{\textperiodcentered}56-1{\textperiodcentered}98) for the combination of coronary heart disease and stroke and 2{\textperiodcentered}00 (1{\textperiodcentered}77-2{\textperiodcentered}26) for the combination of coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure. Addition of information about NT-proBNP concentration to a model containing conventional risk factors was associated with a C-index increase of 0{\textperiodcentered}012 (0{\textperiodcentered}010-0{\textperiodcentered}014) and a net reclassification improvement of 0{\textperiodcentered}027 (0{\textperiodcentered}019-0{\textperiodcentered}036) for the combination of coronary heart disease and stroke and a C-index increase of 0{\textperiodcentered}019 (0{\textperiodcentered}016-0{\textperiodcentered}022) and a net reclassification improvement of 0{\textperiodcentered}028 (0{\textperiodcentered}019-0{\textperiodcentered}038) for the combination of coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure.

INTERPRETATION: In people without baseline cardiovascular disease, NT-proBNP concentration assessment strongly predicted first-onset heart failure and augmented coronary heart disease and stroke prediction, suggesting that NT-proBNP concentration assessment could be used to integrate heart failure into cardiovascular disease primary prevention.

FUNDING: British Heart Foundation, Austrian Science Fund, UK Medical Research Council, National Institute for Health Research, European Research Council, and European Commission Framework Programme 7.

}, keywords = {Aged, Biomarkers, Cardiovascular Diseases, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Natriuretic Peptide, Brain, Peptide Fragments, Prospective Studies, Risk Assessment}, issn = {2213-8595}, doi = {10.1016/S2213-8587(16)30196-6}, author = {Willeit, Peter and Kaptoge, Stephen and Welsh, Paul and Butterworth, Adam and Chowdhury, Rajiv and Spackman, Sarah and Pennells, Lisa and Gao, Pei and Burgess, Stephen and Freitag, Daniel and Sweeting, Michael and Wood, Angela and Cook, Nancy and Judd, Suzanne and Trompet, Stella and Nambi, Vijay and Olsen, Michael and Everett, Brendan and Kee, Frank and Arnl{\"o}v, Johan and Salomaa, Veikko and Levy, Daniel and Kauhanen, Jussi and Laukkanen, Jari and Kavousi, Maryam and Ninomiya, Toshiharu and Casas, Juan-Pablo and Daniels, Lori and Lind, Lars and Kistorp, Caroline and Rosenberg, Jens and Mueller, Thomas and Rubattu, Speranza and Panagiotakos, Demosthenes and Franco, Oscar and de Lemos, James and Luchner, Andreas and Kizer, Jorge and Kiechl, Stefan and Salonen, Jukka and Goya Wannamethee, S and de Boer, Rudolf and Nordestgaard, B{\o}rge and Andersson, Jonas and J{\o}rgensen, Torben and Melander, Olle and Ballantyne, Christie and DeFilippi, Christopher and Ridker, Paul and Cushman, Mary and Rosamond, Wayne and Thompson, Simon and Gudnason, Vilmundur and Sattar, Naveed and Danesh, John and Di Angelantonio, Emanuele} } @article {8626, title = {Performance of the Pooled Cohort Equations to Estimate Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk by Body Mass Index.}, journal = {JAMA Netw Open}, volume = {3}, year = {2020}, month = {2020 10 01}, pages = {e2023242}, abstract = {

Importance: Obesity is a global health challenge and a risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASVCD). Performance of the pooled cohort equations (PCE) for ASCVD risk by body mass index (BMI; calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared) is unknown.

Objective: To assess performance of the PCE across clinical BMI categories.

Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used pooled individual-level data from 8 community-based, prospective, longitudinal cohort studies with 10-year ASCVD event follow-up from 1996 to 2016. We included all adults ages 40 to 79 years without baseline ASCVD or statin use, resulting in a sample size of 37 311 participants. Data were analyzed from August 2017 to July 2020.

Exposures: Participant BMI category: underweight (<18.5), normal weight (18.5 to <25), overweight (25 to <30), mild obesity (30 to <35), and moderate to severe obesity (>=35).

Main Outcomes and Measures: Discrimination (Harrell C statistic) and calibration (Nam-D{\textquoteright}Agostino χ2 goodness-of-fit test) of the PCE across BMI categories. Improvement in discrimination and net reclassification with addition of BMI, waist circumference, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) to the PCE.

Results: Among 37 311 participants (mean [SD] age, 58.6 [11.8] years; 21 897 [58.7\%] women), 380 604 person-years of follow-up were conducted. Mean (SD) baseline BMI was 29.0 (6.2), and 360 individuals (1.0\%) were in the underweight category, 9937 individuals (26.6\%) were in the normal weight category, 13 601 individuals (36.4\%) were in the overweight category, 7783 individuals (20.9\%) were in the mild obesity category, and 5630 individuals (15.1\%) were in the moderate to severe obesity category. Median (interquartile range [IQR]) 10-year estimated ASCVD risk was 7.1\% (2.5\%-15.4\%), and 3709 individuals (9.9\%) developed ASCVD over a median (IQR) 10.8 [8.5-12.6] years. The PCE overestimated ASCVD risk in the overall cohort (estimated/observed [E/O] risk ratio, 1.22; 95\% CI, 1.18-1.26) and across all BMI categories except the underweight category. Calibration was better near the clinical decision threshold in all BMI groups but worse among individuals with moderate or severe obesity (E/O risk ratio, 1.36; 95\% CI, 1.25-1.47) and among those with the highest estimated ASCVD risk >=20\%. The PCE C statistic overall was 0.760 (95\% CI, 0.753-0.767), with lower discrimination in the moderate or severe obesity group (C statistic, 0.742; 95\% CI, 0.721-0.763) compared with the normal-range BMI group (C statistic, 0.785; 95\% CI, 0.772-0.798). Waist circumference (hazard ratio, 1.07 per 1-SD increase; 95\% CI, 1.03-1.11) and hsCRP (hazard ratio, 1.07 per 1-SD increase; 95\% CI, 1.05-1.09), but not BMI, were associated with increased ASCVD risk when added to the PCE. However, these factors did not improve model performance (C statistic, 0.760; 95\% CI, 0.753-0.767) with or without added metrics.

Conclusions and Relevance: These findings suggest that the PCE had acceptable model discrimination and were well calibrated at clinical decision thresholds but overestimated risk of ASCVD for individuals in overweight and obese categories, particularly individuals with high estimated risk. Incorporation of the usual clinical measures of obesity did not improve risk estimation of the PCE. Future research is needed to determine whether incorporation of alternative high-risk obesity markers (eg, weight trajectory or measures of visceral or ectopic fat) into the PCE may improve risk prediction.

}, keywords = {Adult, Aged, Body Mass Index, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Correlation of Data, Female, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Middle Aged, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors}, issn = {2574-3805}, doi = {10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.23242}, author = {Khera, Rohan and Pandey, Ambarish and Ayers, Colby R and Carnethon, Mercedes R and Greenland, Philip and Ndumele, Chiadi E and Nambi, Vijay and Seliger, Stephen L and Chaves, Paulo H M and Safford, Monika M and Cushman, Mary and Xanthakis, Vanessa and Vasan, Ramachandran S and Mentz, Robert J and Correa, Adolfo and Lloyd-Jones, Donald M and Berry, Jarett D and de Lemos, James A and Neeland, Ian J} }