@article {1210, title = {Association between adiposity in midlife and older age and risk of diabetes in older adults.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {303}, year = {2010}, month = {2010 Jun 23}, pages = {2504-12}, abstract = {

CONTEXT: Adiposity is a well-recognized risk factor for type 2 diabetes among young and middle-aged adults, but the relationship between body composition and type 2 diabetes is not well described among older adults.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationship between adiposity, changes in adiposity, and risk of incident type 2 diabetes in adults 65 years of age and older.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective cohort study (1989-2007) of 4193 men and women 65 years of age and older in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Measures of adiposity were derived from anthropometry and bioelectrical impedance data at baseline and anthropometry repeated 3 years later.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incident diabetes was ascertained based on use of antidiabetic medication or a fasting glucose level of 126 mg/dL or greater.

RESULTS: Over median follow-up of 12.4 years (range, 0.9-17.8 years), 339 cases of incident diabetes were ascertained (7.1/1000 person-years). The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) (95\% confidence interval [CI]) of type 2 diabetes for participants in the highest quintile of baseline measures compared with those in the lowest was 4.3 (95\% CI, 2.9-6.5) for body mass index (BMI [calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared]), 3.0 (95\% CI, 2.0-4.3) for BMI at 50 years of age, 4.2 (95\% CI, 2.8-6.4) for weight, 4.0 (95\% CI, 2.6-6.0) for fat mass, 4.2 (95\% CI, 2.8-6.2) for waist circumference, 2.4 (95\% CI, 1.6-3.5) for waist-hip ratio, and 3.8 (95\% CI, 2.6-5.5) for waist-height ratio. However, when stratified by age, participants 75 years of age and older had HRs approximately half as large as those 65 to 74 years of age. Compared with weight-stable participants (+/-2 kg), those who gained the most weight from 50 years of age to baseline (> or = 9 kg), and from baseline to the third follow-up visit (> or = 6 kg), had HRs for type 2 diabetes of 2.8 (95\% CI, 1.9-4.3) and 2.0 (95\% CI, 1.1-3.7), respectively. Participants with a greater than 10-cm increase in waist size from baseline to the third follow-up visit had an HR of type 2 diabetes of 1.7 (95\% CI, 1.1-2.8) compared with those who gained or lost 2 cm or less.

CONCLUSION: Among older adults, overall and central adiposity, and weight gain during middle age and after the age of 65 years are associated with risk of diabetes.

}, keywords = {Adiposity, Age Factors, Aged, Body Mass Index, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Female, Humans, Incidence, Male, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, United States, Weight Gain}, issn = {1538-3598}, doi = {10.1001/jama.2010.843}, author = {Biggs, Mary L and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Luchsinger, Jos{\'e} A and Ix, Joachim H and Carnethon, Mercedes R and Newman, Anne B and de Boer, Ian H and Strotmeyer, Elsa S and Mozaffarian, Dariush and Siscovick, David S} } @article {1339, title = {Fasting and post-glucose load measures of insulin resistance and risk of ischemic stroke in older adults.}, journal = {Stroke}, volume = {42}, year = {2011}, month = {2011 Dec}, pages = {3347-51}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Few studies have assessed post-glucose load measures of insulin resistance and ischemic stroke risk, and data are sparse for older adults. We investigated whether fasting and post-glucose load measures of insulin resistance were related to incident ischemic stroke in nondiabetic, older adults.

METHODS: Participants were men and women in the Cardiovascular Health Study, age 65+ years and without prevalent diabetes or stroke at baseline, followed for 17 years for incident ischemic stroke. The Gutt insulin sensitivity index was calculated from baseline body weight and from fasting and 2-hour postload insulin and glucose; a lower Gutt index indicates higher insulin resistance.

RESULTS: Analyses included 3442 participants (42\% men) with a mean age of 73 years. Incidence of ischemic stroke was 9.8 strokes per 1000 person-years. The relative risk (RR) for lowest quartile versus highest quartile of Gutt index was 1.64 (95\% CI, 1.24-2.16), adjusted for demographics and prevalent cardiovascular and kidney disease. Similarly, the adjusted RR for highest quartile versus lowest quartile of 2-hour glucose was 1.84 (95\% CI, 1.39-2.42). In contrast, the adjusted RR for highest quartile versus lowest quartile of fasting insulin was 1.10 (95\% CI, 0.84-1.46).

CONCLUSIONS: In nondiabetic, older adults, insulin resistance measured by Gutt index or 2-hour glucose, but not by fasting insulin, was associated with risk of incident ischemic stroke.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Blood Glucose, Body Mass Index, Brain Ischemia, Fasting, Female, Humans, Incidence, Insulin Resistance, Male, Risk, Stroke}, issn = {1524-4628}, doi = {10.1161/STROKEAHA.111.620773}, author = {Thacker, Evan L and Psaty, Bruce M and McKnight, Barbara and Heckbert, Susan R and Longstreth, W T and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Meigs, James B and de Boer, Ian H and Boyko, Edward J and Carnethon, Mercedes R and Kizer, Jorge R and Tracy, Russell P and Smith, Nicholas L and Siscovick, David S} } @article {6210, title = {The influence of sex on cardiovascular outcomes associated with diabetes among older black and white adults.}, journal = {J Diabetes Complications}, volume = {28}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 May-Jun}, pages = {316-22}, abstract = {

AIMS: It is unknown whether sex differences in the association of diabetes with cardiovascular outcomes vary by race. We examined sex differences in the associations of diabetes with incident congestive heart failure (CHF) and coronary heart disease (CHD) between older black and white adults.

METHODS: We analyzed data from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a prospective cohort study of community-dwelling individuals aged >=65 from four US counties. We included 4817 participants (476 black women, 279 black men, 2447 white women and 1625 white men). We estimated event rates and multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios for incident CHF, CHD, and all-cause mortality by Cox regression and competing risk analyses.

RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 12.5years, diabetes was more strongly associated with CHF among black women (HR, 2.42 [95\% CI, 1.70-3.40]) than black men (1.39 [0.83-2.34]); this finding did not reach statistical significance (P for interaction=0.08). Female sex conferred a higher risk for a composite outcome of CHF and CHD among black participants (2.44 [1.82-3.26]) vs. (1.44 [0.97-2.12]), P for interaction=0.03). There were no significant sex differences in the HRs associated with diabetes for CHF among whites, or for CHD or all-cause mortality among blacks or whites. The three-way interaction between sex, race, and diabetes on risk of cardiovascular outcomes was not significant (P=0.07).

CONCLUSIONS: Overall, sex did not modify the cardiovascular risk associated with diabetes among older black or white adults. However, our results suggest that a possible sex interaction among older blacks merits further study.

}, keywords = {African Continental Ancestry Group, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cohort Studies, Coronary Disease, Diabetes Complications, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Prospective Studies, Regression Analysis, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, Survival Rate}, issn = {1873-460X}, doi = {10.1016/j.jdiacomp.2013.12.004}, author = {Vimalananda, Varsha G and Biggs, Mary L and Rosenzweig, James L and Carnethon, Mercedes R and Meigs, James B and Thacker, Evan L and Siscovick, David S and Mukamal, Kenneth J} } @article {6561, title = {Variation in resting heart rate over 4 years and the risks of myocardial infarction and death among older adults.}, journal = {Heart}, volume = {101}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Jan}, pages = {132-8}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: Resting heart rate (RHR) is an established predictor of myocardial infarction (MI) and mortality, but the relationship between variation in RHR over a period of several years and health outcomes is unclear. We evaluated the relationship between long-term variation in RHR and the risks of incident MI and mortality among older adults.

METHODS: 1991 subjects without cardiovascular disease from the Cardiovascular Health Study were included. RHR was taken from resting ECGs at the first five annual study visits. RHR mean, trend and variation were estimated with linear regression. Subjects were followed for incident MI and death until December 2010. HRs for RHR mean, trend and variation are reported for differences of 10 bpm, 2 bpm/year and 2 bpm, respectively.

RESULTS: 262 subjects had an incident MI event (13\%) and 1326 died (67\%) during 12 years of median follow-up. In primary analyses adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors, RHR mean (HR 1.12; 95\% CI 1.05 to 1.20) and variation (HR 1.08; 95\% CI 1.03 to 1.13) were associated with the risk of death while trend was not. None of the RHR variables were significantly associated with the risk of incident MI events; however, CIs were wide and the MI associations with RHR variables were not significantly different from the mortality associations. Adjusting for additional variables did not affect estimates, and there were no significant interactions with sex.

CONCLUSIONS: Variation in RHR over a period of several years represents a potential predictor of long-term mortality among older persons free of cardiovascular disease.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cause of Death, Electrocardiography, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Heart Rate, Humans, Incidence, Linear Models, Male, Myocardial Infarction, Outcome Assessment (Health Care), Prognosis, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Rest, Risk Factors, Time, Washington}, issn = {1468-201X}, doi = {10.1136/heartjnl-2014-306046}, author = {Floyd, James S and Sitlani, Colleen M and Wiggins, Kerri L and Wallace, Erin and Suchy-Dicey, Astrid and Abbasi, Siddique A and Carnethon, Mercedes R and Siscovick, David S and Sotoodehnia, Nona and Heckbert, Susan R and McKnight, Barbara and Rice, Kenneth M and Psaty, Bruce M} }