@article {831, title = {Cardiovascular mortality risk in chronic kidney disease: comparison of traditional and novel risk factors.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {293}, year = {2005}, month = {2005 Apr 13}, pages = {1737-45}, abstract = {

CONTEXT: Elderly persons with chronic kidney disease have substantial risk for cardiovascular mortality, but the relative importance of traditional and novel risk factors is unknown.

OBJECTIVE: To compare traditional and novel risk factors as predictors of cardiovascular mortality.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PATIENTS: A total of 5808 community-dwelling persons aged 65 years or older living in 4 communities in the United States participated in the Cardiovascular Health Study cohort. Participants were initially recruited from 1989 to June 1990; an additional 687 black participants were recruited in 1992-1993. The average length of follow-up in this longitudinal study was 8.6 years.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Cardiovascular mortality among those with and without chronic kidney disease. Chronic kidney disease was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate of less than 60 mL/min per 1.73 m2.

RESULTS: Among the participants, 1249 (22\%) had chronic kidney disease at baseline. The cardiovascular mortality risk rate was 32 deaths/1000 person-years among those with chronic kidney disease vs 16/1000 person-years among those without it. In multivariate analyses, diabetes, systolic hypertension, smoking, low physical activity, nonuse of alcohol, and left ventricular hypertrophy were predictors of cardiovascular mortality in persons with chronic kidney disease (all P values <.05). Among the novel risk factors, only log C-reactive protein (P = .05) and log interleukin 6 (P<.001) were associated with the outcome as linear predictors. Traditional risk factors were associated with the largest absolute increases in risks for cardiovascular deaths among persons with chronic kidney disease: for left ventricular hypertrophy, there were 25 deaths per 1000 person-years; current smoking, 20 per 1000 person-years; physical inactivity, 15 per 1000 person-years; systolic hypertension, 14 per 1000 person-years; diabetes, 14 per 1000 person-years; and nonuse of alcohol, 11 per 1000 person-years vs 5 deaths per 1000 person-years for those with increased C-reactive protein and 5 per 1000 person-years for those with increased interleukin 6 levels. A receiver operating characteristic analysis found that traditional risk factors had an area under the curve of 0.73 (95\% confidence interval, 0.70-0.77) among those with chronic kidney disease. Adding novel risk factors only increased the area under the curve to 0.74 (95\% confidence interval, 0.71-0.78; P for difference = .15).

CONCLUSIONS: Traditional cardiovascular risk factors had larger associations with cardiovascular mortality than novel risk factors in elderly persons with chronic kidney disease. Future research should investigate whether aggressive lifestyle intervention in patients with chronic kidney disease can reduce their substantial cardiovascular risk.

}, keywords = {Aged, Cardiovascular Diseases, Chronic Disease, Humans, Kidney Diseases, Longitudinal Studies, Risk Factors}, issn = {1538-3598}, doi = {10.1001/jama.293.14.1737}, author = {Shlipak, Michael G and Fried, Linda F and Cushman, Mary and Manolio, Teri A and Peterson, Do and Stehman-Breen, Catherine and Bleyer, Anthony and Newman, Anne and Siscovick, David and Psaty, Bruce} } @article {876, title = {Cystatin-C and inflammatory markers in the ambulatory elderly.}, journal = {Am J Med}, volume = {118}, year = {2005}, month = {2005 Dec}, pages = {1416}, abstract = {

PURPOSE: Inflammatory factors are elevated in persons with severe renal dysfunction, but their association across all levels of renal function is unclear. We compared cystatin-C, a novel marker of renal function, with creatinine and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) as predictors of C-reactive protein and fibrinogen levels.

METHODS: This study is a cross-sectional analysis to evaluate cystatin-C, creatinine, and eGFR as predictors of the inflammatory markers C-reactive protein and fibrinogen. Participants included 4637 ambulatory elderly patients from the Cardiovascular Health Study. Multivariate linear regression was used to determine the independent associations of each renal function measurement with the inflammatory marker outcomes.

RESULTS: After adjustment for confounding factors, cystatin-C was correlated with both C-reactive protein (coefficient = 0.13; 95\% confidence interval: 0.10-1.16, P <.0001) and fibrinogen levels (0.15; 0.13-0.18, P <.0001). Associations were larger than those for creatinine and C-reactive protein (0.05; 0.02-0.07, P = .003) or fibrinogen (0.07; 0.04-0.10, P <.0001). Adjusted levels of C-reactive protein increased incrementally across quintiles of cystatin-C, from a median of 2.2 mg/L in quintile 1 to 3.7 mg/L in quintile 5. In contrast, both C-reactive protein and fibrinogen had U-shaped associations with quintiles of creatinine and eGFR, because the inflammatory markers were equivalently elevated in quintiles 1 and 5.

CONCLUSIONS: The finding of a significant linear association of cystatin-C and inflammation markers suggests that even small reductions in renal function may be associated with adverse pathophysiologic consequences.

}, keywords = {Age Factors, Aged, Biomarkers, C-Reactive Protein, Cross-Sectional Studies, Cystatin C, Cystatins, Female, Fibrinogen, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Kidney Diseases, Male, Predictive Value of Tests, Sensitivity and Specificity}, issn = {1555-7162}, doi = {10.1016/j.amjmed.2005.07.060}, author = {Shlipak, Michael G and Katz, Ronit and Cushman, Mary and Sarnak, Mark J and Stehman-Breen, Catherine and Psaty, Bruce M and Siscovick, David and Tracy, Russell P and Newman, Anne and Fried, Linda} } @article {1349, title = {Kidney function decline in the elderly: impact of lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A(2).}, journal = {Am J Nephrol}, volume = {34}, year = {2011}, month = {2011}, pages = {512-8}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Whether lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A(2) (Lp-PLA(2)) levels are associated with kidney function decline has not been well studied.

METHODS: We investigated associations of Lp-PLA(2) antigen and activity with kidney function decline and rapid decline over 5.7 years in the Cardiovascular Health Study (n = 4,359). We estimated kidney function by cystatin C (eGFRcys) in repeated measures, and defined rapid decline as >=3 ml/min/1.73 m(2) per year. We stratified by baseline preserved GFR (>=60 ml/min/1.73 m(2)).

RESULTS: Mean age was 72 {\textpm} 5 years. Average eGFRcys decline was -1.79 ml/min/1.73 m(2) (SD = 2.60) per year. Among persons with preserved GFR, compared to the lowest quartile of Lp-PLA(2) antigen, eGFRcys decline was faster among persons in the second, β -0.31 (95\% CI -0.52, -0.10), third -0.19 (-0.41, 0.02) and fourth quartiles -0.26 (-0.48, -0.04) after full adjustment. Persons in the highest quartile of Lp-PLA(2) antigen had increased odds of rapid decline 1.34 (1.03, 1.75), compared to the lowest. There was no significant association between levels of Lp-PLA(2) activity and eGFRcys decline or rapid decline. Associations were not statistically significant among persons with low eGFR (<60 ml/min/1.73 m(2)) at baseline.

CONCLUSION: Higher levels of Lp-PLA(2) antigen but not activity were significantly associated with faster rates of kidney function decline. These findings may suggest a novel vascular pathway for kidney disease progression.

}, keywords = {Aged, Cardiovascular Diseases, Creatinine, Cystatin C, Disease Progression, Female, Geriatrics, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Kidney, Kidney Diseases, Male, Middle Aged, Phospholipases A2, Risk Factors, Treatment Outcome}, issn = {1421-9670}, doi = {10.1159/000333045}, author = {Peralta, Carmen A and Katz, Ronit and Shlipak, Michael and Dubin, Ruth and DeBoer, Ian and Jenny, Nancy and Fitzpatrick, Annette and Koro, Carol and Kestenbaum, Bryan and Ix, Joachim and Sarnak, Mark and Cushman, Mary} } @article {1409, title = {Hemoglobin decline, function, and mortality in the elderly: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Am J Hematol}, volume = {88}, year = {2013}, month = {2013 Jan}, pages = {5-9}, abstract = {

While anemia is associated with poor functional and mortality outcomes in the elderly, the impact of hemoglobin decline is less studied. We evaluated the determinants and consequences of hemoglobin decline in 3,758 non-anemic participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study, a prospective cohort of community-dwelling elderly >=65 years old at baseline and followed for up to 16 years. Hemoglobin was measured at baseline and 3 years later and anemia defined by World Health Organization (WHO) criteria. We modeled hemoglobin decline in two ways: (1) per each 1 g/dL decrease in hemoglobin and (2) development of anemia by the WHO criteria. Among participants without baseline anemia, hemoglobin decreased by 0.4 g/dL and 9\% developed anemia over 3 years. Baseline increasing age, female sex, diabetes, and kidney disease predicted hemoglobin decline over 3 years. Baseline increasing age, being African-American, and kidney disease predicted anemia development over 3 years. Hemoglobin decline was associated with subsequent worse cognitive function in men and anemia development with subsequent worse cognitive function in women. Both anemia development (HR 1.39, 95\% CI 1.15, 1.69) and hemoglobin decline (HR 1.11, 95\% CI 1.04, 1.18 per 1 g/dL decrease) predicted subsequent mortality in men and women. Hemoglobin decreases identified a large group of elderly individuals at risk for subsequent adverse outcomes who would not be identified using the WHO anemia criteria. These data may allow clinicians to identify at-risk elderly individuals for early intervention to improve the quality and quantity of life.

}, keywords = {African Americans, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Anemia, Diabetes Complications, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Hemoglobins, Humans, Kidney Diseases, Male, Prospective Studies, Quality of Life, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, Survival Rate, Time Factors, World Health Organization}, issn = {1096-8652}, doi = {10.1002/ajh.23336}, author = {Zakai, Neil A and French, Benjamin and Arnold, Alice M and Newman, Anne B and Fried, Linda F and Robbins, John and Chaves, Paulo and Cushman, Mary} } @article {6588, title = {Risk factors for cardiovascular disease across the spectrum of older age: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Atherosclerosis}, volume = {237}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Nov}, pages = {336-42}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: The associations of some risk factors with cardiovascular disease (CVD) are attenuated in older age; whereas others appear robust. The present study aimed to compare CVD risk factors across older age.

METHODS: Participants (n~=~4883) in the Cardiovascular Health Study free of prevalent CVD, were stratified into three age groups: 65-74, 75-84, 85+ years. Traditional risk factors included systolic blood pressure (BP), LDL-cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, obesity, and diabetes. Novel risk factors included kidney function, C-reactive protein (CRP), and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT pro-BNP).

RESULTS: There were 1498 composite CVD events (stroke, myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death) over 5 years. The associations of high systolic BP and diabetes appeared strongest, though both were attenuated with age (p-values for interaction~=~0.01 and 0.002, respectively). The demographic-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for elevated systolic BP were 1.79 (95\% confidence interval: 1.49, 2.15), 1.59 (1.37, 1.85) and 1.10 (0.86, 1.41) in participants aged 65-74, 75-84, 85+, and for diabetes, 2.36 (1.89, 2.95), 1.55 (1.27, 1.89), 1.51 (1.10, 2.09). The novel risk factors had consistent associations with the outcome across the age spectrum; low kidney function: 1.69 (1.31, 2.19), 1.61 (1.36, 1.90), and 1.57 (1.16, 2.14) for 65-74, 75-84, and 85+ years, respectively; elevated CRP: 1.54 (1.28, 1.87), 1.33 (1.13, 1.55), and 1.51 (1.15, 1.97); elevated NT pro-BNP: 2.67 (1.96, 3.64), 2.71 (2.25, 3.27), and 2.18 (1.43, 3.45).

CONCLUSIONS: The associations of most traditional risk factors with CVD were minimal in the oldest old, whereas diabetes, eGFR, CRP, and NT pro-BNP were associated with CVD across older age.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Blood Pressure, C-Reactive Protein, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cholesterol, HDL, Cholesterol, LDL, Diabetes Complications, Diabetes Mellitus, Female, Humans, Inflammation, Kidney, Kidney Diseases, Lipids, Male, Natriuretic Peptide, Brain, Obesity, Peptide Fragments, Risk Factors}, issn = {1879-1484}, doi = {10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2014.09.012}, author = {Odden, Michelle C and Shlipak, Michael G and Whitson, Heather E and Katz, Ronit and Kearney, Patricia M and deFilippi, Chris and Shastri, Shani and Sarnak, Mark J and Siscovick, David S and Cushman, Mary and Psaty, Bruce M and Newman, Anne B} }