@article {591, title = {Antidiabetic treatment trends in a cohort of elderly people with diabetes. The cardiovascular health study, 1989-1997.}, journal = {Diabetes Care}, volume = {22}, year = {1999}, month = {1999 May}, pages = {736-42}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: This study characterizes the pharmaceutical treatment of type 2 diabetes from 1989-1990 to 1996-1997 in an elderly cohort.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A total of 5,888 adults aged > or = 65 years were recruited and attended a baseline clinic visit in 1989-1990 (n = 5,201, original cohort) or 1992-1993 (n = 687. African-American [new] cohort) as participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study. Fasting serum glucose (FSG) was measured at baseline. Medication use was ascertained by drug inventory at all annual clinic visits. Diabetes was defined at baseline as insulin or oral hypoglycemic agent (OHA) use or as having an FSG > or = 7.0 mmol/l (126 mg/dl), the current consensus definition of diabetes.

RESULTS: A total of 387 (7\%) original (FSG = 9.8 mmol/l [177 mg/dl]) and 115 (17\%) new (FSG = 10.6 mmol/l [191 mg/dl]) cohort members had pharmacologically treated diabetes at baseline. Among those in the original and in the new cohorts who survived follow-up, respectively, OHA use decreased from 80 to 48\% (P < 0.001) and from 67 to 50\% (P < 0.003) and insulin use increased from 20 to 33\% (P = 0.001) and from 33 to 37\% (P = 0.603). There were 396 (8\%) original (FSG = 8.8 mmol/l [159 mg/dl]) and 45 (7\%) new (FSG = 10.0 mmol/l [181 mg/dl]) cohort members with diabetes untreated at baseline. Among them, respectively, OHA use reached 38 and 30\% and insulin use reached 6 and 16\% in 1996-1997.

CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes was common in this elderly cohort, and > 80\% of treated patients with diabetes at baseline were not achieving fasting glucose goals of < or = 6.7 mmol/l (120 mg/dl). Many untreated at baseline remained untreated after 7 years of follow-up.

}, keywords = {Aged, Blood Glucose, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Diabetes Mellitus, Drug Therapy, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Hypoglycemic Agents, Insulin, Male, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Time Factors, United States}, issn = {0149-5992}, doi = {10.2337/diacare.22.5.736}, author = {Smith, N L and Heckbert, S R and Bittner, V A and Savage, P J and Barzilay, J I and Dobs, A S and Psaty, B M} } @article {600, title = {Cardiovascular disease in older adults with glucose disorders: comparison of American Diabetes Association criteria for diabetes mellitus with WHO criteria.}, journal = {Lancet}, volume = {354}, year = {1999}, month = {1999 Aug 21}, pages = {622-5}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: The new fasting American Diabetes Association (ADA) criteria for the diagnosis of diabetes mellitus rely mainly on fasting blood glucose concentrations and use a lower cut-off value for diagnosis than the WHO criteria. We aimed to assess the sensitivity of these criteria for the detection of cardiovascular disease, the main complication of diabetes mellitus in the elderly.

METHODS: We did a cross-sectional and prospective analysis of 4515 participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study, an 8 year longitudinal study designed to identify factors related to the onset and course of cardiovascular disease in adults aged at least 65 years. We calculated the prevalence and incidence of cardiovascular disease for the ADA and WHO criteria.

FINDINGS: There was a higher prevalence of cardiovascular disease among individuals with impaired glucose or newly diagnosed diabetes by both criteria than among those with normal glucose concentrations. However, because fewer individuals had abnormal glucose states by the fasting ADA criteria (22.3\%) than by the WHO criteria (46.8\%), the number of cases of cardiovascular disease attributable to abnormal glucose states was a third of that attributable by the WHO criteria (53 vs 159 cases per 10,000). For the two sets of criteria, the relative risk for incident cardiovascular disease (mean follow-up 5.9 years) was higher in individuals with impaired glucose and newly diagnosed diabetes than in those with normal glucose. Individuals classified as normal by the fasting ADA criteria had a higher absolute number of incident events (455 of 581 events) than those classified as normal by the WHO criteria (269 of 581 events). Fasting ADA criteria were therefore less sensitive than the WHO criteria for predicting cardiovascular disease among individuals with abnormal glucose (sensitivity, 28\% vs 54\%).

INTERPRETATION: The new fasting ADA criteria seem to be less predictive than the WHO criteria for the burden of cardiovascular disease associated with abnormal glucose in the elderly.

}, keywords = {Age Factors, Aged, Blood Glucose, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cross-Sectional Studies, Diabetes Complications, Diabetes Mellitus, Fasting, Female, Glucose Intolerance, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Sensitivity and Specificity, Societies, Medical, United States, World Health Organization}, issn = {0140-6736}, doi = {10.1016/s0140-6736(98)12030-5}, author = {Barzilay, J I and Spiekerman, C F and Wahl, P W and Kuller, L H and Cushman, M and Furberg, C D and Dobs, A and Polak, J F and Savage, P J} } @article {652, title = {Prevalence of clinical and isolated subclinical cardiovascular disease in older adults with glucose disorders: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Diabetes Care}, volume = {24}, year = {2001}, month = {2001 Jul}, pages = {1233-9}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: Clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) is highly prevalent among people with diabetes. However, there is little information regarding the prevalence of subclinical CVD and its relation to clinical CVD in diabetes and in the glucose disorders that precede diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study, aged > or = 65 years (n = 5,888), underwent vascular and metabolic testing. Individuals with known disease in the coronary, cerebral, or peripheral circulations were considered to have clinical disease. Those without any clinical disease in whom CVD was detected by ultrasonography, electrocardiography, or ankle arm index in any of the three vascular beds were considered to have isolated subclinical disease.

RESULTS: Approximately 30\% of the cohort had clinical disease, and approximately 60\% of the remainder had isolated subclinical disease. In those with normal glucose status, isolated subclinical disease made up most of the total CVD. With increasing glucose severity, the proportion of total CVD that was clinical disease increased; 75\% of men and 66\% of women with normal fasting glucose status had either clinical or subclinical CVD. Among those with known diabetes, the prevalence was approximately 88\% (odds ratio [OR] 2.46 for men and 4.22 for women, P < 0.0001). There were intermediate prevalences and ORs for those with impaired fasting glucose status and newly diagnosed diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS: Isolated subclinical CVD is common among older adults. Glucose disorders are associated with an increased prevalence of total CVD and an increased proportion of clinical disease relative to subclinical disease.

}, keywords = {Aged, Angina Pectoris, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cerebrovascular Disorders, Cohort Studies, Diabetes Mellitus, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Electrocardiography, Female, Glucose Intolerance, Heart Diseases, Humans, Male, Peripheral Vascular Diseases, Prevalence, United States}, issn = {0149-5992}, doi = {10.2337/diacare.24.7.1233}, author = {Barzilay, J I and Spiekerman, C F and Kuller, L H and Burke, G L and Bittner, V and Gottdiener, J S and Brancati, F L and Orchard, T J and O{\textquoteright}Leary, D H and Savage, P J} } @article {661, title = {The relation of markers of inflammation to the development of glucose disorders in the elderly: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Diabetes}, volume = {50}, year = {2001}, month = {2001 Oct}, pages = {2384-9}, abstract = {

Several studies suggest that inflammation plays a role in the pathogenesis of some glucose disorders in adults. We tested this hypothesis in a longitudinal cohort study of older individuals who had normal fasting glucose (FG) values at baseline. We compared the baseline levels of six inflammatory markers in participants who had developed glucose disorders at follow-up with those of participants whose FG remained normal at follow-up. Participants were members of the Cardiovascular Health Study, a prospective study of risk factors for cardiovascular disease in adults > or =65 years. All 5,888 participants had baseline testing, including FG and markers of inflammation: white blood cell and platelet counts and albumin, fibrinogen, C-reactive protein (CRP), and factor VIIIc levels. At 3-4 years of follow-up, 4,481 (84.5\%) of those who were alive had FG levels retested. Participants who developed diabetes (n = 45) had higher median levels of CRP at baseline than those who remained normoglycemic. On multivariate analysis, those with elevated CRP levels (75th percentile [2.86 mg/l] vs. 25th percentile [0.82 mg/l]) were 2.03 times (95\% confidence intervals, 1.44-2.86) more likely to have diabetes on follow-up. Adjustment for confounders and other inflammatory markers did not appreciably change this finding. There was no relationship between the development of diabetes and other markers of inflammation. Inflammation, as measured by CRP levels, is associated with the development of diabetes in the elderly. Understanding the role of inflammation in the pathogenesis of glucose disorders in this age-group may lead to better classification and treatment of glucose disorders among them.

}, keywords = {Aged, Biomarkers, Blood Glucose, C-Reactive Protein, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Diabetes Mellitus, Female, Humans, Hypoglycemia, Inflammation, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Reference Values, Risk Factors}, issn = {0012-1797}, doi = {10.2337/diabetes.50.10.2384}, author = {Barzilay, J I and Abraham, L and Heckbert, S R and Cushman, M and Kuller, L H and Resnick, H E and Tracy, R P} } @article {892, title = {The association of markers of inflammation with weight change in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Int J Obes (Lond)}, volume = {30}, year = {2006}, month = {2006 Sep}, pages = {1362-7}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: Elevated levels of inflammation factors often precede weight loss and may be causally related to it. Newer studies suggest that elevated levels of inflammation factors also precede weight gain. In this study, we examined whether inflammation factors are elevated in individuals, age >or=65 years, who lost or gained >5\% weight over a 3 year follow-up period compared to those with stable weight.

SUBJECTS: In total, 3254 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study whose weight was stable; 661 who gained >5\% weight; and 842 who lost >5\% weight.

MEASUREMENTS: C-reactive protein (CRP), fibrinogen, factor VIIIc, white blood cell (WBC) and platelet counts, and interleukin-6 (IL-6) levels.

RESULTS: As compared to participants whose weight was stable, those who lost >5\% weight had higher baseline CRP concentration (1.05 (95\% CI, 1.02, 1.08) per interquartile increase) and WBC count (1.10 (1.01, 1.19) per interquartile increase) on adjusted analyses. Those who gained >5\% weight had higher baseline CRP (1.05 (1.01, 1.08)), fibrinogen (1.13 (1.01, 1.27)), and factor VIIIc (1.15 (1.03, 1.30)).

CONCLUSIONS: Inflammation factors are associated with weight gain and weight loss in older individuals. These findings suggest that subclinical inflammation, or unknown factors associated with subclinical inflammation, contribute to weight change.

}, keywords = {Aged, Biomarkers, C-Reactive Protein, Cardiovascular Diseases, Factor VIII, Female, Fibrinogen, Humans, Inflammation, Interleukin-6, Leukocyte Count, Male, Platelet Count, Weight Gain, Weight Loss}, issn = {0307-0565}, doi = {10.1038/sj.ijo.0803306}, author = {Barzilay, J I and Forsberg, C and Heckbert, S R and Cushman, M and Newman, A B} } @article {952, title = {The relationship of heart rate and heart rate variability to non-diabetic fasting glucose levels and the metabolic syndrome: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Diabet Med}, volume = {24}, year = {2007}, month = {2007 Aug}, pages = {855-63}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Increased heart rate (HR) and diminished heart rate variability (HRV) are signs of early cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy. We tested the hypotheses that increased HR and diminished HRV are present in people: (i) with increased fasting glucose (FG) levels not in the range of diabetes mellitus (DM), and (ii) in people with the metabolic syndrome (MetS) independent of elevated FG levels.

METHODS: HR and HRV were determined in 1267 adults (mean age 72 years) who had Holter monitoring and FG measures: 536 had normal FG levels (NORM, FG 4.5-5.5 mmol/l), 363 had mildly impaired FG (IFG-1, FG 5.6-6.0 mmol/l), 182 had significantly impaired FG (IFG-2, FG 6.1-6.9 mmol/l) and 178 had DM (FG > 6.9 mmol/l or use of glucose-lowering agents/insulin). HR and HRV in NORM/IFG-1 was further compared by the number of components of the MetS and compared by the presence or absence of MetS in IFG-2/DM.

RESULTS: HRV indices were more impaired in IFG-2 and DM than in NORM or IFG-1. There were few differences in HRV indices between NORM and IFG-1 or between IFG-2 and DM. In NORM/IFG-1 participants, having > or = 2 components of the MetS was associated with a greater decrease in HRV compared with having no or one components. In IFG-2/DM participants, MetS was associated with decreased HRV compared with no MetS.

CONCLUSIONS: Increased HR and diminished HRV occur in the non-diabetic FG range. Diminished HRV is associated with the MetS, independent of FG levels. Both these results suggest that factors associated with increasing non-diabetic FG levels and the MetS play a role in the onset of cardiac autonomic impairment.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Arrhythmias, Cardiac, Blood Glucose, Fasting, Female, Glucose Intolerance, Heart Rate, Humans, Male, Metabolic Syndrome, Risk Factors}, issn = {0742-3071}, doi = {10.1111/j.1464-5491.2007.02163.x}, author = {Stein, P K and Barzilay, J I and Domitrovich, P P and Chaves, P M and Gottdiener, J S and Heckbert, S R and Kronmal, R A} } @article {6059, title = {Albuminuria is associated with hip fracture risk in older adults: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Osteoporos Int}, volume = {24}, year = {2013}, month = {2013 Dec}, pages = {2993-3000}, abstract = {

UNLABELLED: The microcirculation plays an important role in bone health. Here, we examine whether albuminuria, a marker of renal microvascular disease, is associated with the risk of hip fracture in older adults (age, 78~years). We find a small independent association in women but not in men.

INTRODUCTION: The microvascular circulation plays an important role in bone physiology. Two studies of middle-aged adults have found that albuminuria (>30~mg albumin/g creatinine), a disorder of the renal microvasculature, is associated with fracture risk. Here, we examine whether albuminuria is related to hip fracture risk and reduced hip bone mineral density (BMD) in older adults with a mean age of 78~years.

METHODS: From the Cardiovascular Health Study (41~\% male), 3,110 adults with albuminuria testing were followed up for incident hip fracture for up to 9.5~years. BMD was performed in a subset of 1,208 participants.

RESULTS: There were 313 hip fractures during follow-up (7.7~\% of men; 11.7~\% of women). The incidence rate for men, with and without albuminuria, was 1.43 and 0.93/100 person-years of follow-up (p = 0.02); for women, 1.84 and 1.33 (p = 0.04). After adjustment for osteoporosis-related factors, frailty and falling, a doubling of albuminuria was significantly associated with hip fracture risk in women (hazard ratio, 1.12, 95~\% CI, 1.001-1.25), but not in men. In the subcohort with BMD measurement, increased urine albumin levels were significantly associated with decreased total hip BMD in men (-0.009~g calcium/cm(2) (-0.017, -0.001); p = 0.04), but not in women.

CONCLUSIONS: In older women, albuminuria is associated with a small, but statistically significant, increased risk of hip fracture independent of other explanatory factors. No such risk appears to be present in men, although their total hip BMD is lower in association with albuminuria.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Albuminuria, Bone Density, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Hip Fractures, Hip Joint, Humans, Incidence, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Male, Osteoporotic Fractures, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, United States}, issn = {1433-2965}, doi = {10.1007/s00198-013-2389-3}, author = {Barzilay, J I and B{\r u}{\v z}kov{\'a}, P and Chen, Z and de Boer, I H and Carbone, L and Rassouli, N N and Fink, H A and Robbins, J A} } @article {6806, title = {Fibrosis markers, hip fracture risk, and bone density in older adults.}, journal = {Osteoporos Int}, volume = {27}, year = {2016}, month = {2016 Feb}, pages = {815-20}, abstract = {

UNLABELLED: We examined whether blood levels of two markers of fibrosis (transforming growth factor beta one (TGF-β1) and procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP)) are related to hip fracture risk and to bone mineral density (BMD). TGF-β1 levels were associated with lower hip fracture risk in women and with lower BMD in men. PIIINP levels were not associated with either outcome.

INTRODUCTION: TGF-β1 serves several roles in bone formation and resorption. A consequence of TGF-β1 activation is the production of PIIINP, a marker of collagen III deposition. Here, we explore whether these two biomarkers are related to incident hip fracture and bone mineral density (BMD) and whether their associations are modified by systemic inflammation, as measured by C-reactive protein (CRP) levels.

METHODS: Participants were from the Cardiovascular Health Study (mean age 78~years; mean follow-up 8.3~years). We included 1681 persons with measured levels of TGF-β1 (149 hip fractures) and 3226 persons with measured levels of PIIINP (310 hip fractures).

RESULTS: Among women, higher TGF-β1 levels were associated with lower hip fracture risk (HR, per doubling, 0.78 [95~\% CI 0.61, 0.91]). Among men, TGF-β1 levels were associated with hip fracture risk in a non-linear manner, but among those with elevated CRP levels, doubling was associated with increased risk of fracture (HR 2.22 [1.20, 4.08]) (p = 0.02, interaction between low and high CRP and TGF-β1 on fracture risk). TGF-β1 levels had no significant association with total hip or total body BMD in women but were significantly associated with lower BMD in men. There were no associations of PIIINP levels with hip fracture risk or BMD in men or women.

CONCLUSIONS: TGF-β1 levels appear to be associated with bone-related phenotypes in a sex-specific manner. The reasons for these differences between men and women regarding TGF-β1 levels and hip fracture risk and bone density require further investigation.

}, issn = {1433-2965}, doi = {10.1007/s00198-015-3269-9}, author = {Barzilay, J I and B{\r u}{\v z}kov{\'a}, P and Kizer, J R and Djouss{\'e}, L and Ix, J H and Fink, H A and Siscovick, D S and Cauley, J A and Mukamal, K J} } @article {6926, title = {Soluble CD14 and fracture risk.}, journal = {Osteoporos Int}, volume = {27}, year = {2016}, month = {2016 May}, pages = {1755-63}, abstract = {

UNLABELLED: Soluble CD14 (sCD14) is an inflammatory marker associated with osteoclasts. Using Cox proportional hazards models, we found a positive association between plasma levels of sCD14 and risk of incident fracture among participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study. sCD14 may be useful in identifying those at risk for fracture.

INTRODUCTION: Soluble CD14, a proinflammatory cytokine, is primarily derived from macrophages/monocytes that can differentiate into osteoclasts. The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between sCD14 levels and osteoporotic fractures.

METHODS: In the Cardiovascular Health Study, 5462 men and women had sCD14 levels measured at baseline. Incident hip fractures (median follow-up time 12.5~years) and incident composite fractures (defined as the first hip, pelvis, humerus, or distal radius fracture, median follow-up 8.6~years) were identified from hospital discharge summaries and/or Medicare claims data. Cox proportional hazards models were used to model the association between sCD14 levels and time to incident hip or composite fracture, overall and as a function of race and gender.

RESULTS: In unadjusted models, there was a positive association between sCD14 levels (per 1 standard deviation increase, i.e., 361.6~ng/mL) and incident hip (HR, 1.26; 95~\% CI, 1.17, 1.36) and composite (HR, 1.20; 95~\% CI, 1.12, 1.28) fractures. When models were fully adjusted for demographics, lifestyle factors, and medication use, these associations were no longer significant. However, in whites, the association of sCD14 levels with hip fractures remained significant in fully adjusted models (HR, 1.11; 95~\% CI, 1.01-1.23). Associations of sCD14 levels with hip and composite fracture did not differ between men and women.

CONCLUSIONS: In this large cohort of community-dwelling older adults, higher sCD14 levels were associated with an increased risk of incident hip fractures in whites.

}, issn = {1433-2965}, doi = {10.1007/s00198-015-3439-9}, author = {Bethel, M and B{\r u}{\v z}kov{\'a}, P and Fink, H A and Robbins, J A and Cauley, J A and Lee, J and Barzilay, J I and Jalal, D I and Carbone, L D} } @article {7119, title = {Systemic markers of microvascular disease and bone mineral density in older adults : The cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Osteoporos Int}, volume = {27}, year = {2016}, month = {2016 Nov}, pages = {3217-3225}, abstract = {

Here we report that abnormal brain white matter and, to a lesser extent, albuminuria are associated with reduced bone mineral density in the hip, spine, and total body in men and women. These findings may explain the increased hip fracture risk reported in some studies in association with microvascular disorders.

INTRODUCTION: Markers of microvascular disease have been individually associated with increased risk of osteoporotic fractures in some studies. Here, we examine whether these markers are associated with reduced bone mineral density (BMD) individually and together.

METHODS: BMD testing using dual x-ray absorptiometry of the hip, lumbar spine, and total body was performed in 1473 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study (mean age~~~78~years): 1215 were assessed for urinary albumin-creatinine ratio, 944 for abnormal white matter disease (AWMD) by brain MRI, and 541 for retinal vascular disease with fundus photographs. Linear regression models were used to evaluate the cross-sectional association of each marker with BMD accounting for potentially confounding factors.

RESULTS: AWMD was associated with lower hip, spine, and total body BMD in women (β -3.08 to -4.53; p~<~0.01 for all) and lower hip and total body BMD in men (β -2.90 to -4.24; p~=~0.01-0.03). Albuminuria was associated with lower hip (β -3.37; p~=~.05) and total body (β -3.21; p~=~.02) BMD in men, but not in women. The associations of AWMD and albuminuria with BMD persisted with mutual adjustment and appeared to be additive to each other. Retinal vascular disease was not associated with BMD in men or women.

CONCLUSION: AWMD and, to a lesser extent, albuminuria were independently associated with lower BMD, suggesting that microvascular disease may play a role in the pathogenesis of reduced BMD. These findings need to be confirmed by longitudinal studies.

}, issn = {1433-2965}, doi = {10.1007/s00198-016-3649-9}, author = {Barzilay, J I and B{\r u}{\v z}kov{\'a}, P and Fink, H A and Cauley, J A and Robbins, J A and Garimella, P S and Jalal, D I and Mukamal, K J} } @article {8098, title = {Assessing risk factors of non-fatal outcomes amid a competing risk of mortality: the example of hip fracture.}, journal = {Osteoporos Int}, year = {2019}, month = {2019 Jun 29}, abstract = {

The Fine-Gray method is often used instead of Cox regression to account for competing risks of death in time-to-event analyses for non-fatal outcomes. A series of examples using well-known risk factors of hip fracture in an older cohort with substantial competing mortality demonstrates that the Fine-Gray approach can yield estimates that implausibly contradict long-established associations, while Cox regression preserves them. Cox regression is generally preferred for risk factor-outcome associations even in the presence of competing risk of death.

INTRODUCTION: Factors like age, sex, and race are associated not only with risk of hip fracture but also with mortality. Substantial misunderstanding remains regarding the appropriate statistical approach to account for the competing risk of mortality.

METHODS: In the Cardiovascular Health Study, an ongoing cohort study of 5888 older adults, we followed participants for incident hip fracture from their 1992-1993 visit through June 2014. We contrasted the conventional cause-specific Cox analysis, which censors individuals at the time of death, with the Fine-Gray (FG) approach, which extends participant follow-up even after death, to estimate the association of well-established demographic and clinical factors with incident hip fracture.

RESULTS: For age, current smoking and sex, Cox and FG methods yielded directionally concordant but quantitatively different strengths of association. For example, the Cox hazard ratio (HR) for a 5-year increment in age was 1.74 (95\% CI, 1.61-1.87), while the corresponding FG HR was 1.16 (1.09-1.24). In contrast, the FG approach estimated a stronger association of hip fracture with sex. The two approaches yielded nearly identical results for race. For diabetes and kidney function, the estimates were discordant in direction, and the FG HRs suggested effects that were in the opposite direction of well-understood and widely accepted associations.

CONCLUSIONS: Cause-specific Cox models provide appropriate estimates of hazard for non-fatal outcomes like hip fracture even in the presence of competing risk of mortality. The Cox approach estimates hazard in the population of individuals who have not yet had an incident hip fracture and remain alive, which is typically the group of clinical interest. The Fine-Gray method estimates hazard in a hypothetical population that can yield misleading inferences about risk factors in populations of clinical interest.

}, issn = {1433-2965}, doi = {10.1007/s00198-019-05048-w}, author = {B{\r u}{\v z}kov{\'a}, P and Barzilay, J I and Mukamal, K J} } @article {8702, title = {Serum non-esterified fatty acid levels and hip fracture risk: The Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Osteoporos Int}, year = {2021}, month = {2021 Mar 02}, abstract = {

Among elderly participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study, we found that non-esterified trans fatty acid levels had a significant prospective association with hip fracture risk. Other non-esterified fatty acid classes were not associated with hip fracture risk.

INTRODUCTION: Serum non-esterified fatty acids (NEFAs) are bioactive metabolic intermediates that can be taken up by bone tissue. Their associations with hip fracture risk have not been previously examined.

METHODS: Thirty-five individual NEFAs in five classes (saturated [SFA], mono-un-saturated [MUFA], poly-unsaturated n-6 and n-3 [PUFA], and trans-FA) were measured in Cardiovascular Health Study participants (n = 2139, mean age 77.8 years) without known diabetes. The multivariable associations of NEFA levels with hip fracture risk were evaluated in Cox hazards models.

RESULTS: We documented 303 incident hip fractures during 11.1 years of follow-up. Among the five NEFA classes, total trans FA levels were positively associated with higher hip fracture risk (HR 1.17 [95\% CI, 1.04, 1.31; p = 0.01] per one standard deviation higher level). The SFA lignoceric acid (24:0) was positively associated with higher risk (HR 1.09 [1.04, 1.1]; p < 0.001), while behenic (22:0) and docosatetraenoic (22:4 n6) acids were associated with lower risk (HR 0.76 [0.61, 0.94]; p = 0.01; 0.84 [0.70, 1.00]; p = 0.05, respectively).

CONCLUSION: Total plasma trans NEFA levels are related to hip fracture risk, suggesting an unrecognized benefit of their systematic removal from food. Novel associations of individual NEFAs with hip fracture risk require confirmation in other cohort studies.

}, issn = {1433-2965}, doi = {10.1007/s00198-021-05897-4}, author = {Barzilay, J I and B{\r u}{\v z}kov{\'a}, P and Djouss{\'e}, L and Ix, J and Kizer, J and Cauley, J and Matthan, N and Lichtenstein, A H and Mukamal, K J} }