@article {748, title = {Isolated systolic hypertension and subclinical cardiovascular disease in the elderly. Initial findings from the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {268}, year = {1992}, month = {1992 Sep 09}, pages = {1287-91}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between isolated systolic hypertension (ISH) and subclinical disease in adults aged 65 years and above.

DESIGN: Medicare eligibility lists were used to obtain a representative sample of 5201 community-dwelling elderly persons for the Cardiovascular Health Study, a National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute--sponsored cohort study of risk factors for coronary heart disease and stroke. In this cross-sectional analysis of baseline data, we excluded 3012 participants who were receiving antihypertensive medications, had clinical cardiovascular disease, or had a diastolic blood pressure of at least 90 mm Hg.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: For electrocardiogram: myocardial infarction, left ventricular hypertrophy, and left ventricular mass as measures of myocardial damage and strain; for echocardiography: left ventricular mass, fractional shortening, and Doppler flow velocities as measures of cardiac systolic and diastolic function; and for carotid sonography: carotid arterial intima-media thickness as a measure of atherosclerosis.

RESULTS: Among the 2189 men and women in this analysis, 195 (9\%) had ISH (systolic blood pressure, greater than or equal to 160 mm Hg) and 596 (23\%) had borderline ISH (systolic blood pressure, 140 to 159 mm Hg). Systolic blood pressure was associated with myocardial infarction by electrocardiogram (P = .02). Borderline and definite ISH were strongly associated with left ventricular mass (P less than .001). While there was little association with cardiac systolic function, borderline and definite ISH were associated with cardiac diastolic function (P less than .001). Isolated systolic hypertension was also strongly associated with increased intima-media thickness of the carotid artery (P less than .001).

CONCLUSIONS: While cohort analyses of future repeated measures will provide a better assessment of risk, both borderline and definite ISH were strongly related to a variety of measures of subclinical disease in elderly men and women.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cardiomegaly, Cardiovascular Diseases, Carotid Artery Diseases, Cerebrovascular Disorders, Coronary Disease, Cross-Sectional Studies, Echocardiography, Electrocardiography, Female, Humans, Hypertension, Male, Myocardial Infarction, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Systole}, issn = {0098-7484}, author = {Psaty, B M and Furberg, C D and Kuller, L H and Borhani, N O and Rautaharju, P M and O{\textquoteright}Leary, D H and Bild, D E and Robbins, J and Fried, L P and Reid, C} } @article {835, title = {Major electrocardiographic abnormalities in persons aged 65 years and older (the Cardiovascular Health Study). Cardiovascular Health Study Collaborative Research Group.}, journal = {Am J Cardiol}, volume = {69}, year = {1992}, month = {1992 May 15}, pages = {1329-35}, abstract = {

Electrocardiographic abnormalities are often found in older patients, but their prevalence in free-living elderly populations is not well-defined. In addition, the clinical significance of many of these abnormalities is uncertain. The prevalence of major electrocardiographic abnormalities was determined in 5,150 adults aged greater than or equal to 65 years from the Cardiovascular Health Study--a study of risk factors for stroke and coronary heart disease in the elderly. Ventricular conduction defects, major Q/QS waves, left ventricular hypertrophy, isolated major ST-T-wave abnormalities, atrial fibrillation and first-degree atrioventricular block were collectively categorized as major electrocardiographic abnormalities. Prevalence of any major electrocardiographic abnormality was 29\% in the entire cohort, 19\% among 2,413 participants who reported no history of coronary artery disease or systemic hypertension, and 37\% among 2,737 participants with a history of coronary artery disease or hypertension. Prevalence of major electrocardiographic abnormalities was higher in men than in women regardless of history, and tended to increase with age. Major Q/QS waves were found in 5.2\%, and more than half were in those who did not report a previous myocardial infarction. Major electrocardiographic abnormalities are common in elderly men and women irrespective of the history of heart disease.

}, keywords = {Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Arrhythmias, Cardiac, Chi-Square Distribution, Electrocardiography, Female, Heart Diseases, Humans, Logistic Models, Male, Prevalence, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, United States}, issn = {0002-9149}, doi = {10.1016/0002-9149(92)91231-r}, author = {Furberg, C D and Manolio, T A and Psaty, B M and Bild, D E and Borhani, N O and Newman, A and Tabatznik, B and Rautaharju, P M} } @article {841, title = {Orthostatic hypotension in older adults. The Cardiovascular Health Study. CHS Collaborative Research Group.}, journal = {Hypertension}, volume = {19}, year = {1992}, month = {1992 Jun}, pages = {508-19}, abstract = {

The purpose of the present study was to assess the prevalence of orthostatic hypotension and its associations with demographic characteristics, cardiovascular risk factors and symptomatology, prevalent cardiovascular disease, and selected clinical measurements in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a multicenter, observational, longitudinal study enrolling 5,201 men and women aged 65 years and older at initial examination. Blood pressure measurements were obtained with the subjects in a supine position and after they had been standing for 3 minutes. The prevalence of asymptomatic orthostatic hypotension, defined as 20 mm Hg or greater decrease in systolic or 10 mm Hg or greater decrease in diastolic blood pressure, was 16.2\%. This prevalence increased to 18.2\% when the definition also included those in whom the procedure was aborted due to dizziness upon standing. The prevalence was higher at successive ages. Orthostatic hypotension was associated significantly with difficulty walking (odds ratio, 1.23; 95\% confidence interval, 1.02, 1.46), frequent falls (odds ratio, 1.52; confidence interval, 1.04, 2.22), and histories of myocardial infarction (odds ratio, 1.24; confidence interval, 1.02, 1.50) and transient ischemic attacks (odds ratio, 1.68; confidence interval, 1.12, 2.51). History of stroke, angina pectoris, and diabetes mellitus were not associated significantly with orthostatic hypotension. In addition, orthostatic hypotension was associated with isolated systolic hypertension (odds ratio, 1.35; confidence interval, 1.09, 1.68), major electrocardiographic abnormalities (odds ratio, 1.21; confidence interval, 1.03, 1.42), and the presence of carotid artery stenosis based on ultrasonography (odds ratio, 1.67; confidence interval, 1.23, 2.26). Orthostatic hypotension was negatively associated with weight. We conclude that orthostatic hypotension is common in the elderly and increases with advancing age. It is associated with cardiovascular disease, particularly those manifestations measured objectively, such as carotid stenosis. It is associated also with general neurological symptoms, but this link may not be causal. Differences in prevalence of and associations with orthostatic hypotension in the present study compared with others are largely attributed to differences in population characteristics and methodology.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aging, Dementia, Demography, Female, Health Status, Humans, Hypotension, Orthostatic, Male, Multivariate Analysis, Nervous System Diseases, Prevalence, Risk Factors}, issn = {0194-911X}, doi = {10.1161/01.hyp.19.6.508}, author = {Rutan, G H and Hermanson, B and Bild, D E and Kittner, S J and LaBaw, F and Tell, G S} } @article {1442, title = {Age-related trends in cardiovascular morbidity and physical functioning in the elderly: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {41}, year = {1993}, month = {1993 Oct}, pages = {1047-56}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: To describe relationships between age and sub-clinical cardiovascular disease, manifest chronic disease, and physical functioning and limitations among persons aged 65 years and older, with emphasis on the "oldest old," those 85 years and older.

DESIGN: Observational population-based study.

SETTING: Four U.S. communities: Forsyth County, North Carolina; Sacramento County, California; Washington County, Maryland; and Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

PARTICIPANTS: 5,201 men and women aged 65 years and older.

MEASUREMENTS: Demographic data; histories of cardiovascular disease (CVD), chronic lung disease, arthritis, diabetes, and hypertension; measures of subclinical disease including arm and ankle blood pressures, internal carotid wall thickness and stenosis, ejection fraction, left ventricular mass, fractional shortening, and diastolic function, electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy and cardiac injury score, forced expiratory flow and volume; functional status including self-reported physical functioning, hearing and sight limitations and health status, and performance-based measures of function. These variables were examined among men and women in three age groups: 65-74 years, 75-84 years, and 85 + years. Subgroups of participants with and without manifest CVD were also examined.

MAIN RESULTS: In women, the prevalence of CVD and other chronic conditions increased with age, and the highest rates occurred among those 85 years and older. In men, prevalence rates increased between the two younger groups, but the oldest group had lower than expected rates for coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, hypertension, and chronic lung disease. In contrast, there were strong age-related linear trends in most of the subclinical measures of blood pressure, atherosclerosis and pulmonary function and in virtually all measures of functional status in both gender groups across the age range. There was a particularly marked decline in functional status between the two older age groups. While subclinical disease was greater and functional status was poorer among those with manifest CVD, with few exceptions, age-related trends were not significantly different between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS: Lower than expected prevalence rates of CVD among those aged 85 years and older, particularly among men, in this study of community-dwelling elderly may represent selection bias or a real plateauing in disease prevalence with age. However, subclinical disease appears to increase and functional status to decline across the age range in both men and women regardless of the presence of CVD. The apparent increase in subclinical disease with age indicates potential for CVD prevention after age 65.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Age Distribution, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cardiovascular Diseases, Female, Humans, Male, Prevalence, Sex Distribution, Socioeconomic Factors}, issn = {0002-8614}, author = {Bild, D E and Fitzpatrick, A and Fried, L P and Wong, N D and Haan, M N and Lyles, M and Bovill, E and Polak, J F and Schulz, R} } @article {1437, title = {Correlates of blood pressure in community-dwelling older adults. The Cardiovascular Health Study. Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) Collaborative Research Group.}, journal = {Hypertension}, volume = {23}, year = {1994}, month = {1994 Jan}, pages = {59-67}, abstract = {

Although elevated blood pressure is an important predictor of cardiovascular disease and stroke in the elderly, little information exists on the distribution and risk factor correlates of blood pressure in this group. As part of the Cardiovascular Health Study, a population-based cohort study of 5201 men and women aged 65 to 101 years, we investigated correlates of systolic and diastolic blood pressure. Multiple regression analyses were conducted for all participants and a subgroup of 2482 without coronary heart disease and not on antihypertensive therapy (the "healthier" subgroup). In the total group, independent predictors of diastolic blood pressure included heart rate, aortic root dimension, creatinine, hematocrit, alcohol use, and black race (positive associations) and internal carotid artery wall thickness, mitral early/late peak flow velocity, white blood cell count, cigarette smoking, and age (negative associations). Positive predictors of systolic blood pressure included mitral late peak flow velocity, left ventricular mass, common carotid artery wall thickness, serum albumin, factor VII, diabetes, alcohol use, and age; negative predictors were coronary heart disease, uric acid, height, and smoking. In the healthier subgroup, positive predictors of diastolic blood pressure included heart rate, hematocrit, serum albumin, creatinine, and body weight, whereas mitral early/late peak flow velocity, serum potassium, smoking, and age inversely related to diastolic pressure. For the same group, common carotid artery wall thickness, left ventricular mass, serum albumin, factor VII, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and age were directly related to systolic blood pressure, whereas serum potassium was inversely related. Both systolic and diastolic pressures varied considerably by geographic site.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Blood Pressure, Cohort Studies, Coronary Disease, Female, Health Surveys, Humans, Hypertrophy, Left Ventricular, Male, Regression Analysis, United States}, issn = {0194-911X}, author = {Tell, G S and Rutan, G H and Kronmal, R A and Bild, D E and Polak, J F and Wong, N D and Borhani, N O} } @article {1450, title = {Surveillance and ascertainment of cardiovascular events. The Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Ann Epidemiol}, volume = {5}, year = {1995}, month = {1995 Jul}, pages = {278-85}, abstract = {

While previous prospective multicenter studies have conducted cardiovascular disease surveillance, few have detailed the techniques relating to the ascertainment of and data collection for events. The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) is a population-based study of coronary heart disease and stroke in older adults. This article summarizes the CHS events protocol and describes the methods of surveillance and ascertainment of hospitalized and nonhospitalized events, the use of medical records and other support documents, organizational issues at the field center level, and the classification of events through an adjudication process. We present data on incidence and mortality, the classification of adjudicated events, and the agreement between classification by the Events Subcommittee and the medical records diagnostic codes. The CHS techniques are a successful model for complete ascertainment, investigation, and documentation of events in an older cohort.

}, keywords = {Aged, Cerebrovascular Disorders, Coronary Disease, Epidemiologic Methods, Female, Hospitalization, Humans, Incidence, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Population Surveillance, Quality Control, United States}, issn = {1047-2797}, author = {Ives, D G and Fitzpatrick, A L and Bild, D E and Psaty, B M and Kuller, L H and Crowley, P M and Cruise, R G and Theroux, S} } @article {1456, title = {White blood cell counts in persons aged 65 years or more from the Cardiovascular Health Study. Correlations with baseline clinical and demographic characteristics.}, journal = {Am J Epidemiol}, volume = {143}, year = {1996}, month = {1996 Jun 01}, pages = {1107-15}, abstract = {

A higher white blood cell (WBC) count has been shown to be a risk factor for myocardial infarction and stroke in middle-aged populations. This study evaluated the relation between baseline WBC count and other risk factors, as well as subclinical and prevalent disease, in the Cardiovascular Health Study, an epidemiologic study of coronary heart disease and stroke in 5,201 persons aged 65 years or older. Baseline data were collected over a 12-month period in 1989-1990. WBC counts were statistically significantly higher in people with prevalent and subclinical atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease than in those who were free of disease. WBC counts correlated (p < 0.01) positively with coagulation factors, measures of glucose metabolism, creatinine, smoking, and triglycerides. In contrast, WBC counts correlated negatively with high density lipoprotein cholesterol, forced expiratory volume, forced vital capacity, and height. The correlations between WBC counts and risk factors were similar in both the entire cohort and the subgroup of persons who had never smoked. The authors conclude that WBC counts in the elderly are associated with prevalent and subclinical atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, as well as its risk factors.

}, keywords = {Age Distribution, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cerebrovascular Disorders, Female, Humans, Leukocyte Count, Leukocytosis, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Myocardial Infarction, Prevalence, Reference Values, Risk Factors, United States}, issn = {0002-9262}, author = {Bovill, E G and Bild, D E and Heiss, G and Kuller, L H and Lee, M H and Rock, R and Wahl, P W} } @article {1502, title = {Body mass index and mortality in nonsmoking older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Am J Public Health}, volume = {88}, year = {1998}, month = {1998 Apr}, pages = {623-9}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: This study assesses the relationship of body mass index to 5-year mortality in a cohort of 4317 nonsmoking men and women aged 65 to 100 years.

METHODS: Logistic regression analyses were conducted to predict mortality as a function of baseline body mass index, adjusting for demographic, clinical, and laboratory covariates.

RESULTS: There was an inverse relationship between body mass index and mortality; death rates were higher for those who weighed the least. Inclusion of covariates had trivial effects on these results. People who had lost 10\% or more of their body weight since age 50 had a relatively high death rate. When that group was excluded, there was no remaining relationship between body mass index and mortality.

CONCLUSIONS: The association between higher body mass index and mortality often found in middle-aged populations was not observed in this large cohort of older adults. Over-weight does not seem to be a risk factor for 5-year mortality in this age group. Rather, the risks associated with significant weight loss should be the primary concern.

}, keywords = {Age Distribution, Aged, Body Mass Index, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cause of Death, Cohort Studies, Female, Humans, Logistic Models, Male, Mortality, Predictive Value of Tests, Risk Factors, Sex Distribution, Smoking, Survival Analysis, United States, Weight Loss}, issn = {0090-0036}, author = {Diehr, P and Bild, D E and Harris, T B and Duxbury, A and Siscovick, D and Rossi, M} } @article {1510, title = {Left ventricular diastolic filling in the elderly: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Am J Cardiol}, volume = {82}, year = {1998}, month = {1998 Aug 01}, pages = {345-51}, abstract = {

Changes in left ventricular (LV) diastolic function (e.g., as measured by transmitral flow velocity) are known to occur with aging. In addition, impaired LV diastolic function plays an important role in such cardiovascular disorders common in the elderly as hypertension, ischemic heart disease, and congestive heart failure (CHF). Participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a multicenter study of community-dwelling men (n=2,239) and women (n=2,962) > or = 65 years of age, underwent an extensive baseline evaluation, including echocardiography. Early diastolic LV Doppler (transmitral) peak filling velocity decreased, and peak late diastolic (atrial) velocity increased with age in multivariate analyses (all p <0.001). Early and late diastolic peak filling velocities were both significantly higher in women than in men, even after adjustment for body surface area (or height and weight). In multivariate models in the entire cohort and a healthy subgroup (n=703), gender, age, heart rate, and blood pressure (BP) were most strongly related to early and late diastolic transmitral peak velocities. Early and late diastolic peak velocities both increased with increases in systolic BP and decreased with increases in diastolic BP (p <0.001). Doppler transmitral velocities were compared among health status subgroups. In multiple regression models adjusted for other covariates, and in analysis of variance models examining differences across subgroups adjusted only for age, the subgroup with CHF had the highest early diastolic peak velocities. All clinical disease subgroups had higher late diastolic peak velocities than the healthy subgroup, with the subgroups with either CHF or hypertension having the highest age-adjusted means. The subgroup with hypertension had the lowest ratio of early-to-late diastolic peak velocity, and men with CHF had the highest ratio. These findings are consistent with previous reports that hypertensive subjects exhibit an abnormal relaxation pattern, whereas patients with CHF develop a pattern suggestive of an increased early diastolic left atrial-LV pressure gradient.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Analysis of Variance, Blood Flow Velocity, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Diastole, Echocardiography, Doppler, Electrocardiography, Female, Health Status, Heart Ventricles, Humans, Male, Ventricular Function, Left}, issn = {0002-9149}, author = {Gardin, J M and Arnold, A M and Bild, D E and Smith, V E and Lima, J A and Klopfenstein, H S and Kitzman, D W} } @article {1500, title = {Predicting future years of healthy life for older adults.}, journal = {J Clin Epidemiol}, volume = {51}, year = {1998}, month = {1998 Apr}, pages = {343-53}, abstract = {

Cost-effectiveness studies often need to compare the cost of a program to the lifetime benefits of the program, but estimates of lifetime benefits are not routinely available, especially for older adults. We used data from two large longitudinal studies of older adults (ages 65-100) to estimate transition probabilities from one health state to another, and used those probabilities to estimate the mean additional years of healthy life that an older adult of specified age, sex, and health status would experience. We found, for example, that 65-year-old women in excellent health can expect 16.8 years of healthy life in the future, compared to only 8.5 years for women in poor health. We also provide estimates of discounted years of healthy life and future life expectancy. These estimates may be used to extend the effective length of the study period in cost-effectiveness studies, to examine the impact of chronic diseases or risk factors on years of healthy life, or to investigate the relationship of years of life to years of healthy life. Several applications are described.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Female, Forecasting, Health Promotion, Health Status, Humans, Life Expectancy, Life Tables, Male, Probability, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Sex Factors}, issn = {0895-4356}, author = {Diehr, P and Patrick, D L and Bild, D E and Burke, G L and Williamson, J D} } @article {1498, title = {Risk factors for 5-year mortality in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {279}, year = {1998}, month = {1998 Feb 25}, pages = {585-92}, abstract = {

CONTEXT: Multiple factors contribute to mortality in older adults, but the extent to which subclinical disease and other factors contribute independently to mortality risk is not known.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the disease, functional, and personal characteristics that jointly predict mortality in community-dwelling men and women aged 65 years or older.

DESIGN: Prospective population-based cohort study with 5 years of follow-up and a validation cohort of African Americans with 4.25-year follow-up.

SETTING: Four US communities.

PARTICIPANTS: A total of 5201 and 685 men and women aged 65 years or older in the original and African American cohorts, respectively.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Five-year mortality.

RESULTS: In the main cohort, 646 deaths (12\%) occurred within 5 years. Using Cox proportional hazards models, 20 characteristics (of 78 assessed) were each significantly (P<.05) and independently associated with mortality: increasing age, male sex, income less than $50000 per year, low weight, lack of moderate or vigorous exercise, smoking for more than 50 pack-years, high brachial (>169 mm Hg) and low tibial (< or = 127 mm Hg) systolic blood pressure, diuretic use by those without hypertension or congestive heart failure, elevated fasting glucose level (>7.2 mmol/L [130 mg/dL]), low albumin level (< or = 37 g/L), elevated creatinine level (> or = 106 micromol/L [1.2 mg/dL]), low forced vital capacity (< or = 2.06 mL), aortic stenosis (moderate or severe) and abnormal left ventricular ejection fraction (by echocardiography), major electrocardiographic abnormality, stenosis of internal carotid artery (by ultrasound), congestive heart failure, difficulty in any instrumental activity of daily living, and low cognitive function by Digit Symbol Substitution test score. Neither high-density lipoprotein cholesterol nor low-density lipoprotein cholesterol was associated with mortality. After adjustment for other factors, the association between age and mortality diminished, but the reduction in mortality with female sex persisted. Finally, the risk of mortality was validated in the second cohort; quintiles of risk ranged from 2\% to 39\% and 0\% to 26\% for the 2 cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS: Objective measures of subclinical disease and disease severity were independent and joint predictors of 5-year mortality in older adults, along with male sex, relative poverty, physical activity, smoking, indicators of frailty, and disability. Except for history of congestive heart failure, objective, quantitative measures of disease were better predictors of mortality than was clinical history of disease.

}, keywords = {African Americans, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Health Surveys, Humans, Male, Mortality, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, United States}, issn = {0098-7484}, author = {Fried, L P and Kronmal, R A and Newman, A B and Bild, D E and Mittelmark, M B and Polak, J F and Robbins, J A and Gardin, J M} } @article {593, title = {Traditional risk factors and subclinical disease measures as predictors of first myocardial infarction in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Arch Intern Med}, volume = {159}, year = {1999}, month = {1999 Jun 28}, pages = {1339-47}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Risk factors for myocardial infarction (MI) have not been well characterized in older adults, and in estimating risk, we sought to assess the individual and joint contributions made by both traditional risk factors and measures of subclinical disease.

METHODS: In the Cardiovascular Health Study, we recruited 5888 adults aged 65 years and older from 4 US centers. At baseline in 1989-1990, participants underwent an extensive examination that included traditional risk factors such as blood pressure and fasting glucose level and measures of subclinical disease as assessed by electrocardiography, carotid ultrasonography, echocardiography, pulmonary function, and ankle-arm index. Participants were followed up with semiannual contacts, and all cardiovascular events were classified by the Morbidity and Mortality Committee. The main analytic technique was the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS: At baseline, 1967 men and 2979 women had no history of an MI. After follow-up for an average of 4.8 years, there were 302 coronary events, which included 263 patients with MI and 39 with definite fatal coronary disease. The incidence was higher in men (20.7 per 1000 person-years) than women (7.9 per 1000 person-years). In all subjects, the incidence was strongly associated with age, increasing from 7.8 per 1000 person-years in subjects aged 65 to 69 years to 25.6 per 1000 person-years in subjects aged 85 years and older. Glucose level and systolic blood pressure were associated with the incidence of MI, but smoking and lipid measures were not. After adjustment for age and sex, the significant subclinical disease predictors of MI were borderline or abnormal ejection fraction by echocardiography, high levels of intimal-medial thickness of the internal carotid artery, and a low ankle-arm index. Forced vital capacity and electrocardiographic left ventricular mass did not enter the stepwise model. Excluding subjects with clinical cardiovascular diseases such as prior angina or congestive heart failure at baseline had little effect on these results. Risk factors were generally similar in men and women.

CONCLUSIONS: After follow-up of 4.8 years, systolic blood pressure, fasting glucose level, and selected subclinical disease measures were important predictors of the incidence of MI in older adults. Uncontrolled high blood pressure may explain about one quarter of the coronary events in this population.

}, keywords = {Age Distribution, Aged, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Incidence, Male, Multivariate Analysis, Myocardial Infarction, Predictive Value of Tests, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk, Risk Factors, Sex Distribution}, issn = {0003-9926}, doi = {10.1001/archinte.159.12.1339}, author = {Psaty, B M and Furberg, C D and Kuller, L H and Bild, D E and Rautaharju, P M and Polak, J F and Bovill, E and Gottdiener, J S} } @article {646, title = {Factors associated with healthy aging: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {49}, year = {2001}, month = {2001 Mar}, pages = {254-62}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To identify factors associated with remaining healthy in older adults.

DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study.

SETTING: Data were collected at the four Cardiovascular Health Study field centers.

PARTICIPANTS: 5,888 participants age 65 years and older in the Cardiovascular Health Study.

MEASUREMENTS: Presence of chronic disease was assessed at baseline and over a maximum 7-year follow-up period. Participants who were free of chronic disease (no cardiovascular disease (CVD), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or self-reported cancer, except nonmelanoma skin cancer) at the baseline examination were then monitored for the onset of incident cancer, cardiovascular disease, and fatal outcomes.

RESULTS: A high proportion of these older adults was healthy at the initial examination and remained healthy over the follow-up period. Numerous behavioral factors were associated with continued health, including physical activity, refraining from cigarette smoking, wine consumption (women), higher educational status, and lower waist circumference. A number of CVD risk factors and subclinical disease measures were associated with continued health, including higher high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, lack of diabetes, thinner common carotid intimal nmedial thickness, lower blood pressure, lower C-reactive protein, and higher ankle-arm blood pressure ratio. Among the behavioral factors, exercise, not smoking, and not taking aspirin remained significant predictors of health even after controlling for CVD risk factors and subclinical disease in older adults.

CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that a number of modifiable behavioral factors (physical activity, smoking, and obesity) and cardiovascular risk factors (diabetes, HDL cholesterol, and blood pressure) are associated with maintenance of good health in older adults.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Diet, Exercise, Female, Health Status, Humans, Incidence, Life Style, Longitudinal Studies, Lung Diseases, Obstructive, Male, Neoplasms, Probability, Reference Values, Risk Factors, Sex Distribution, Socioeconomic Factors, Survival Rate, United States}, issn = {0002-8614}, doi = {10.1046/j.1532-5415.2001.4930254.x}, author = {Burke, G L and Arnold, A M and Bild, D E and Cushman, M and Fried, L P and Newman, A and Nunn, C and Robbins, J} } @article {634, title = {Patterns of self-rated health in older adults before and after sentinel health events.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {49}, year = {2001}, month = {2001 Jan}, pages = {36-44}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To describe and compare patterns of change in self-rated health for older adults before death and before and after stroke, myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, cardiac procedure, hospital admission for cancer, and hip fracture.

DESIGN: "Event cohort," measuring time in months before and after the event.

SETTING: Four U.S. communities.

PARTICIPANTS: 5888 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), sampled from Medicare rolls and followed up to 8 years. Mean age at baseline was 73.

MEASUREMENTS: Self-rated health, including a category for death, assessed at 6-month intervals, and ascertainment of events.

METHODS: We examined the percentage that was healthy each month in the 5 years before death and in the 2 years before and after the other events, and compared the patterns to a "no event" group and to one another, using graphs and linear regression.

RESULTS: For people who died, health status declined slowly until about 9 months before death, when it dropped steeply. Comparing persons equally far from death, health was unrelated to age, but men and whites were healthier than women and blacks. Health for other events declined before the event, dropped steeply at the event, showed some recovery, and then declined further after the event. About 65\% to 80\% of the subjects were healthy 2 years before their event, but only 35\% to 65\% were healthy two years afterwards. Patterns were similar although less extreme for the "no event" group.

CONCLUSION: Visualizing trajectories of health helps us understand how serious health events changes health. Conclusions about change must be drawn with care because of a variety of possible biases. We have described the trajectories in detail. Work is now needed to explain, predict, and possibly prevent such changes in health.

}, keywords = {Aged, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Death, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Health Status, Health Status Indicators, Hip Fractures, Hospitalization, Humans, Linear Models, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Random Allocation, Time Factors}, issn = {0002-8614}, doi = {10.1046/j.1532-5415.2001.49007.x}, author = {Diehr, P and Williamson, J and Patrick, D L and Bild, D E and Burke, G L} }