@article {1449, title = {Methods of assessing prevalent cardiovascular disease in the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Ann Epidemiol}, volume = {5}, year = {1995}, month = {1995 Jul}, pages = {270-7}, abstract = {

The objective of this article is to describe the methods of assessing cardiovascular conditions among older adults recruited to the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a cohort study of risk factors for coronary disease and stroke. Medicare eligibility lists from four US communities were used to obtain a representative sample of 5201 community-dwelling elderly, who answered standardized questionnaires and underwent an extensive clinic examination at baseline. For each cardiovascular condition, self-reports were confirmed by components of the baseline examination or, if necessary, by a validation protocol that included either the review of medical records or surveys of treating physicians. Potential underreporting of a condition was detected either by the review of medical records at baseline for other self-reported conditions or, during prospective follow-up, by the investigation of potential incident events. For myocardial infarction, 75.5\% of the self-reports in men and 60.6\% in women were confirmed. Self-reported congestive heart failure was confirmed in 73.3\% of men and 76.6\% of women; stroke, in 59.6\% of men and 53.8\% of women; and transient ischemic attack, in 41.5\% of men and 37.0\% of women. Underreporting was also common. During prospective follow-up of an average of about 3 years per person, approximately 50\% of men and 38\% of women were hospitalized or investigated for at least one potential incident event; for each cardiovascular condition, about 1 to 4\% of those investigated during prospective follow-up were found to have had the cardiovascular condition prior to entry into the cohort.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

}, keywords = {Aged, Cerebrovascular Disorders, Cohort Studies, Coronary Disease, Electrocardiography, Epidemiologic Methods, False Negative Reactions, Female, Humans, Male, Population Surveillance, Prevalence, Prospective Studies, Reproducibility of Results, Risk Factors, Self Disclosure, United States}, issn = {1047-2797}, author = {Psaty, B M and Kuller, L H and Bild, D and Burke, G L and Kittner, S J and Mittelmark, M and Price, T R and Rautaharju, P M and Robbins, J} } @article {1488, title = {Incidence of and risk factors for atrial fibrillation in older adults.}, journal = {Circulation}, volume = {96}, year = {1997}, month = {1997 Oct 07}, pages = {2455-61}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to describe the incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) among older adults during 3 years of follow-up.

METHODS AND RESULTS: In this cohort study, 5201 adults > or = 65 years old were examined annually on four occasions between June 1989 and May 1993. At baseline, participants answered questionnaires and underwent a detailed examination that included carotid ultrasound, pulmonary function tests, ECG, and echocardiography. Subjects with a pacemaker or AF at baseline (n=357) were excluded. New cases of AF were identified from three sources: (1) annual self-reports, (2) annual ECGs, and (3) hospital discharge diagnoses. Cox proportional-hazards models were used to assess baseline risk factors as predictors of incident AF. Among 4844 participants, 304 developed a first episode of AF during an average follow-up of 3.28 years, for an incidence of 19.2 per 1000 person-years. The onset was strongly associated with age, male sex, and the presence of clinical cardiovascular disease. For men 65 to 74 and 75 to 84 years old, the incidences were 17.6 and 42.7, respectively, and for women, 10.1 and 21.6 events per 1000 person-years. In stepwise models, the use of diuretics, a history of valvular heart disease, coronary disease, advancing age, higher levels of systolic blood pressure, height, glucose, and left atrial size were all associated with an increased risk of AF. The use of beta-blockers and high levels of alcohol use, cholesterol, and forced expiratory volume in 1 second were associated with a reduced risk of AF.

CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of AF in older adults may be higher than estimated by previous population studies. Left atrial size appears to be an important risk factor, and the control of blood pressure and glucose may be important in preventing the development of AF.

}, keywords = {Adult, Aged, Atrial Fibrillation, Blood Glucose, Blood Pressure, Cerebrovascular Disorders, Cohort Studies, Coronary Disease, Electrocardiography, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Hospital Records, Humans, Incidence, Male, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, United States}, issn = {0009-7322}, author = {Psaty, B M and Manolio, T A and Kuller, L H and Kronmal, R A and Cushman, M and Fried, L P and White, R and Furberg, C D and Rautaharju, P M} } @article {655, title = {Usefulness of T-axis deviation as an independent risk indicator for incident cardiac events in older men and women free from coronary heart disease (the Cardiovascular Health Study).}, journal = {Am J Cardiol}, volume = {88}, year = {2001}, month = {2001 Jul 15}, pages = {118-23}, abstract = {

T-axis shift has been reported to be an indicator of increased mortality risk. We evaluated the association of spatial T-axis deviation with incident coronary heart disease (CHD) events in older men and women free from clinically overt CHD. Spatial T-axis deviation was measured from the standard 12-lead electrocardiogram of a subgroup of 4,173 subjects considered free of CHD at baseline in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a prospective cohort study of risk factors for CHD and stroke in older men and women. Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate the association of altered repolarization with the risk of incident CHD events. The prevalence of marked T-axis deviation (> or =45 degrees ) was 12\%. During the median follow-up of 7.4 years, there were 161 CHD deaths, 743 deaths from all causes, and 679 incident CHD events. Adjusting for demographic and clinical risk factors, including other electrocardiographic abnormalities, there was a nearly twofold excess risk of CHD death, and approximately a 50\% excess risk of incident CHD and all-cause mortality for those with marked T-axis deviation. From other electrocardiographic abnormalities, only QT prolongation was associated with excess risk for incident CHD comparable to that for abnormal T-axis deviation. These results suggest that T-axis deviation is an easily quantified marker for subclinical disease and an independent indicator for the risk of incident CHD events in older men and women free of CHD.

}, keywords = {Aged, Algorithms, Cohort Studies, Coronary Disease, Electrocardiography, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Male, Prevalence, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Stroke, Survival Analysis}, issn = {0002-9149}, doi = {10.1016/s0002-9149(01)01604-6}, author = {Rautaharju, P M and Nelson, J C and Kronmal, R A and Zhang, Z M and Robbins, J and Gottdiener, J S and Furberg, C D and Manolio, T and Fried, L} }