@article {1488, title = {Incidence of and risk factors for atrial fibrillation in older adults.}, journal = {Circulation}, volume = {96}, year = {1997}, month = {1997 Oct 07}, pages = {2455-61}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to describe the incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) among older adults during 3 years of follow-up.

METHODS AND RESULTS: In this cohort study, 5201 adults > or = 65 years old were examined annually on four occasions between June 1989 and May 1993. At baseline, participants answered questionnaires and underwent a detailed examination that included carotid ultrasound, pulmonary function tests, ECG, and echocardiography. Subjects with a pacemaker or AF at baseline (n=357) were excluded. New cases of AF were identified from three sources: (1) annual self-reports, (2) annual ECGs, and (3) hospital discharge diagnoses. Cox proportional-hazards models were used to assess baseline risk factors as predictors of incident AF. Among 4844 participants, 304 developed a first episode of AF during an average follow-up of 3.28 years, for an incidence of 19.2 per 1000 person-years. The onset was strongly associated with age, male sex, and the presence of clinical cardiovascular disease. For men 65 to 74 and 75 to 84 years old, the incidences were 17.6 and 42.7, respectively, and for women, 10.1 and 21.6 events per 1000 person-years. In stepwise models, the use of diuretics, a history of valvular heart disease, coronary disease, advancing age, higher levels of systolic blood pressure, height, glucose, and left atrial size were all associated with an increased risk of AF. The use of beta-blockers and high levels of alcohol use, cholesterol, and forced expiratory volume in 1 second were associated with a reduced risk of AF.

CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of AF in older adults may be higher than estimated by previous population studies. Left atrial size appears to be an important risk factor, and the control of blood pressure and glucose may be important in preventing the development of AF.

}, keywords = {Adult, Aged, Atrial Fibrillation, Blood Glucose, Blood Pressure, Cerebrovascular Disorders, Cohort Studies, Coronary Disease, Electrocardiography, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Hospital Records, Humans, Incidence, Male, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, United States}, issn = {0009-7322}, author = {Psaty, B M and Manolio, T A and Kuller, L H and Kronmal, R A and Cushman, M and Fried, L P and White, R and Furberg, C D and Rautaharju, P M} } @article {599, title = {Temporal trends in the use of anticoagulants among older adults with atrial fibrillation.}, journal = {Arch Intern Med}, volume = {159}, year = {1999}, month = {1999 Jul 26}, pages = {1574-8}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Several recent randomized clinical trials have demonstrated that warfarin sodium treatment, and to a lesser extent aspirin, reduces risk of stroke and death compared with placebo in persons with atrial fibrillation. Insufficient documentation exists on the extent to which the use of these therapies following trial publications has continued to increase in the elderly with atrial fibrillation.

METHODS: We used data from the Cardiovascular Health Study, a study of 5888 community-dwelling adults aged 65 years or older, to determine the prevalence of warfarin and aspirin use in persons with electrocardiogram-identified atrial fibrillation. Electrocardiogram examinations were conducted at baseline from 1989 through 1990, and at 6 subsequent annual examinations through 1995-1996. Medication data were collected by inventory methods at each examination. Temporal change in use of anticoagulants was analyzed by comparing percentage use in 1990 to use in each year through 1996.

RESULTS: The use of warfarin increased 4-fold from 13\% in 1990 to 50\% in 1996 among participants with prevalent atrial fibrillation (P<.001). Daily use of aspirin did not increase over time. Participants younger than 80 years were 4 times more likely to use warfarin in 1996 (P<.001) than those 80 years and older. Use of aspirin did not vary significantly with age.

CONCLUSIONS: Warfarin use in community-dwelling elderly persons with electrocardiogram-documented atrial fibrillation increased steadily following the first publication of its treatment benefit, reaching 50\% by 1996. In contrast, use of aspirin was unchanged during this same period. Continued efforts to promote appropriate anticoagulation therapy to physicians and their patients may still be needed.

}, keywords = {Aged, Anticoagulants, Aspirin, Atrial Fibrillation, Cerebrovascular Disorders, Drug Therapy, Electrocardiography, Female, Humans, Incidence, Male, Prevalence, Treatment Outcome, Warfarin}, issn = {0003-9926}, doi = {10.1001/archinte.159.14.1574}, author = {Smith, N L and Psaty, B M and Furberg, C D and White, R and Lima, J A and Newman, A B and Manolio, T A} }