@article {831, title = {Cardiovascular mortality risk in chronic kidney disease: comparison of traditional and novel risk factors.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {293}, year = {2005}, month = {2005 Apr 13}, pages = {1737-45}, abstract = {

CONTEXT: Elderly persons with chronic kidney disease have substantial risk for cardiovascular mortality, but the relative importance of traditional and novel risk factors is unknown.

OBJECTIVE: To compare traditional and novel risk factors as predictors of cardiovascular mortality.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PATIENTS: A total of 5808 community-dwelling persons aged 65 years or older living in 4 communities in the United States participated in the Cardiovascular Health Study cohort. Participants were initially recruited from 1989 to June 1990; an additional 687 black participants were recruited in 1992-1993. The average length of follow-up in this longitudinal study was 8.6 years.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Cardiovascular mortality among those with and without chronic kidney disease. Chronic kidney disease was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate of less than 60 mL/min per 1.73 m2.

RESULTS: Among the participants, 1249 (22\%) had chronic kidney disease at baseline. The cardiovascular mortality risk rate was 32 deaths/1000 person-years among those with chronic kidney disease vs 16/1000 person-years among those without it. In multivariate analyses, diabetes, systolic hypertension, smoking, low physical activity, nonuse of alcohol, and left ventricular hypertrophy were predictors of cardiovascular mortality in persons with chronic kidney disease (all P values <.05). Among the novel risk factors, only log C-reactive protein (P = .05) and log interleukin 6 (P<.001) were associated with the outcome as linear predictors. Traditional risk factors were associated with the largest absolute increases in risks for cardiovascular deaths among persons with chronic kidney disease: for left ventricular hypertrophy, there were 25 deaths per 1000 person-years; current smoking, 20 per 1000 person-years; physical inactivity, 15 per 1000 person-years; systolic hypertension, 14 per 1000 person-years; diabetes, 14 per 1000 person-years; and nonuse of alcohol, 11 per 1000 person-years vs 5 deaths per 1000 person-years for those with increased C-reactive protein and 5 per 1000 person-years for those with increased interleukin 6 levels. A receiver operating characteristic analysis found that traditional risk factors had an area under the curve of 0.73 (95\% confidence interval, 0.70-0.77) among those with chronic kidney disease. Adding novel risk factors only increased the area under the curve to 0.74 (95\% confidence interval, 0.71-0.78; P for difference = .15).

CONCLUSIONS: Traditional cardiovascular risk factors had larger associations with cardiovascular mortality than novel risk factors in elderly persons with chronic kidney disease. Future research should investigate whether aggressive lifestyle intervention in patients with chronic kidney disease can reduce their substantial cardiovascular risk.

}, keywords = {Aged, Cardiovascular Diseases, Chronic Disease, Humans, Kidney Diseases, Longitudinal Studies, Risk Factors}, issn = {1538-3598}, doi = {10.1001/jama.293.14.1737}, author = {Shlipak, Michael G and Fried, Linda F and Cushman, Mary and Manolio, Teri A and Peterson, Do and Stehman-Breen, Catherine and Bleyer, Anthony and Newman, Anne and Siscovick, David and Psaty, Bruce} } @article {876, title = {Cystatin-C and inflammatory markers in the ambulatory elderly.}, journal = {Am J Med}, volume = {118}, year = {2005}, month = {2005 Dec}, pages = {1416}, abstract = {

PURPOSE: Inflammatory factors are elevated in persons with severe renal dysfunction, but their association across all levels of renal function is unclear. We compared cystatin-C, a novel marker of renal function, with creatinine and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) as predictors of C-reactive protein and fibrinogen levels.

METHODS: This study is a cross-sectional analysis to evaluate cystatin-C, creatinine, and eGFR as predictors of the inflammatory markers C-reactive protein and fibrinogen. Participants included 4637 ambulatory elderly patients from the Cardiovascular Health Study. Multivariate linear regression was used to determine the independent associations of each renal function measurement with the inflammatory marker outcomes.

RESULTS: After adjustment for confounding factors, cystatin-C was correlated with both C-reactive protein (coefficient = 0.13; 95\% confidence interval: 0.10-1.16, P <.0001) and fibrinogen levels (0.15; 0.13-0.18, P <.0001). Associations were larger than those for creatinine and C-reactive protein (0.05; 0.02-0.07, P = .003) or fibrinogen (0.07; 0.04-0.10, P <.0001). Adjusted levels of C-reactive protein increased incrementally across quintiles of cystatin-C, from a median of 2.2 mg/L in quintile 1 to 3.7 mg/L in quintile 5. In contrast, both C-reactive protein and fibrinogen had U-shaped associations with quintiles of creatinine and eGFR, because the inflammatory markers were equivalently elevated in quintiles 1 and 5.

CONCLUSIONS: The finding of a significant linear association of cystatin-C and inflammation markers suggests that even small reductions in renal function may be associated with adverse pathophysiologic consequences.

}, keywords = {Age Factors, Aged, Biomarkers, C-Reactive Protein, Cross-Sectional Studies, Cystatin C, Cystatins, Female, Fibrinogen, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Kidney Diseases, Male, Predictive Value of Tests, Sensitivity and Specificity}, issn = {1555-7162}, doi = {10.1016/j.amjmed.2005.07.060}, author = {Shlipak, Michael G and Katz, Ronit and Cushman, Mary and Sarnak, Mark J and Stehman-Breen, Catherine and Psaty, Bruce M and Siscovick, David and Tracy, Russell P and Newman, Anne and Fried, Linda} }