@article {827, title = {Cystatin C concentration as a risk factor for heart failure in older adults.}, journal = {Ann Intern Med}, volume = {142}, year = {2005}, month = {2005 Apr 05}, pages = {497-505}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Previous studies that evaluated the association of kidney function with incident heart failure may be limited by the insensitivity of serum creatinine concentration for detecting abnormal kidney function.

OBJECTIVE: To compare serum concentrations of cystatin C (a novel marker of kidney function) and creatinine as predictors of incident heart failure.

DESIGN: Observational study based on measurement of serum cystatin C from frozen sera obtained at the 1992-1993 visit of the Cardiovascular Health Study. Follow-up occurred every 6 months.

SETTING: Adults 65 years of age or older from 4 communities in the United States.

PARTICIPANTS: 4384 persons without previous heart failure who had measurements of serum cystatin C and serum creatinine.

MEASUREMENTS: Incident heart failure.

RESULTS: The mean (+/-SD) serum concentrations of cystatin C and creatinine were 82 +/- 25 nmol/L (1.10 +/- 0.33 mg/L) and 89 +/- 34 micromol/L (1.01 +/- 0.39 mg/dL), respectively. During a median follow-up of 8.3 years (maximum, 9.1 years), 763 (17\%) participants developed heart failure. After adjustment for demographic factors, traditional and novel cardiovascular risk factors, cardiovascular disease status, and medication use, sequential quintiles of cystatin C concentration were associated with a stepwise increased risk for heart failure in Cox proportional hazards models (hazard ratios, 1.0 [reference], 1.30 [95\% CI, 0.96 to 1.75], 1.44 [CI, 1.07 to 1.94], 1.58 [CI, 1.18 to 2.12], and 2.16 [CI, 1.61 to 2.91]). In contrast, quintiles of serum creatinine concentration were not associated with risk for heart failure in adjusted analysis (hazard ratios, 1.0 [reference], 0.77 [CI, 0.59 to 1.01], 0.85 [CI, 0.64 to 1.13], 0.97 [CI, 0.72 to 1.29], and 1.14 [CI, 0.87 to 1.49]).

LIMITATIONS: The mechanism by which cystatin C concentration predicts risk for heart failure remains unclear.

CONCLUSIONS: The cystatin C concentration is an independent risk factor for heart failure in older adults and appears to provide a better measure of risk assessment than the serum creatinine concentration. *For a full list of participating Cardiovascular Health Study investigators and institutions, see http://www.chs-nhlbi.org.

}, keywords = {Aged, Biomarkers, Creatinine, Cystatin C, Cystatins, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Kidney, Kidney Function Tests, Male, Risk Factors, United States}, issn = {1539-3704}, doi = {10.7326/0003-4819-142-7-200504050-00008}, author = {Sarnak, Mark J and Katz, Ronit and Stehman-Breen, Catherine O and Fried, Linda F and Jenny, Nancy Swords and Psaty, Bruce M and Newman, Anne B and Siscovick, David and Shlipak, Michael G} } @article {816, title = {Cystatin-C and mortality in elderly persons with heart failure.}, journal = {J Am Coll Cardiol}, volume = {45}, year = {2005}, month = {2005 Jan 18}, pages = {268-71}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: We sought to evaluate cystatin-C, a novel measure of renal function, as a predictor of mortality in elderly persons with heart failure (HF) and to compare it with creatinine.

BACKGROUND: Renal function is an important prognostic factor in patients with HF, but creatinine levels, which partly reflect muscle mass, may be insensitive for detecting renal insufficiency.

METHODS: A total of 279 Cardiovascular Health Study participants with prevalent HF and measures of serum cystatin-C and creatinine were followed for mortality outcomes over a median of 6.5 years.

RESULTS: Median creatinine and cystatin-C levels were 1.05 mg/dl and 1.26 mg/l. Each standard deviation increase in cystatin-C (0.35 mg/l) was associated with a 31\% greater adjusted mortality risk (95\% confidence interval [CI] 20\% to 43\%, p < 0.001), whereas each standard deviation increase in creatinine (0.39 mg/dl) was associated with a 17\% greater adjusted mortality risk (95\% CI 1\% to 36\%, p = 0.04). When both measures were combined in a single adjusted model, cystatin-C remained associated with elevated mortality risk (hazard ratio 1.60, 95\% CI 1.32 to 1.94), whereas creatinine levels appeared associated with lower risk (hazard ratio 0.73, 95\% CI 0.57 to 0.95).

CONCLUSIONS: Cystatin-C is a stronger predictor of mortality than creatinine in elderly persons with HF. If confirmed in future studies, this new marker of renal function could improve risk stratification in patients with HF.

}, keywords = {Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Creatinine, Cystatin C, Cystatins, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Heart Failure, Humans, Male, Pilot Projects, Predictive Value of Tests, Risk Assessment, Survival Analysis}, issn = {0735-1097}, doi = {10.1016/j.jacc.2004.09.061}, author = {Shlipak, Michael G and Katz, Ronit and Fried, Linda F and Jenny, Nancy Swords and Stehman-Breen, Catherine O and Newman, Anne B and Siscovick, David and Psaty, Bruce M and Sarnak, Mark J} } @article {865, title = {Kidney function as a predictor of noncardiovascular mortality.}, journal = {J Am Soc Nephrol}, volume = {16}, year = {2005}, month = {2005 Dec}, pages = {3728-35}, abstract = {

Chronic kidney disease is associated with a higher risk for cardiovascular mortality, as well as all-cause mortality. Whether chronic kidney disease is a predictor of noncardiovascular mortality is less clear. To further explore the latter, the association of kidney function with total noncardiovascular mortality and cause-specific mortality was assessed in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a community-based cohort of older individuals. Kidney disease was assessed using cystatin C and estimated GFR in 4637 participants in 1992 to 1993. Participants were followed until June 30, 2001. Deaths were adjudicated as cardiovascular or noncardiovascular disease by committee, and an underlying cause of death was assigned. The associations of kidney function with total noncardiovascular mortality and cause-specific mortality were analyzed by proportional hazards regression. Noncardiovascular mortality rates increased with higher cystatin C quartiles (16.8, 17.1, 21.6, and 50.0 per 1000 person-years). The association of cystatin C with noncardiovascular mortality persisted after adjustment for demographic factors; the presence of diabetes, C-reactive protein, hemoglobin, and prevalent cardiovascular disease; and measures of atherosclerosis (hazard ratio 1.69; 95\% confidence interval 1.33 to 2.15, for the fourth quartile versus the first quartile). Results for estimated GFR were similar. The risk for noncardiac deaths attributed to pulmonary disease, infection, cancer, and other causes was similarly associated with cystatin C levels. Kidney function predicts noncardiovascular mortality from multiple causes in the elderly. Further research is needed to understand the mechanisms and evaluate interventions to reduce the high mortality rate in chronic kidney disease.

}, keywords = {Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cause of Death, Cohort Studies, Confidence Intervals, Creatinine, Cystatin C, Cystatins, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Kidney Failure, Chronic, Kidney Function Tests, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Probability, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Assessment, Severity of Illness Index, Survival Analysis, United States}, issn = {1046-6673}, doi = {10.1681/ASN.2005040384}, author = {Fried, Linda F and Katz, Ronit and Sarnak, Mark J and Shlipak, Michael G and Chaves, Paulo H M and Jenny, Nancy Swords and Stehman-Breen, Catherine and Gillen, Dan and Bleyer, Anthony J and Hirsch, Calvin and Siscovick, David and Newman, Anne B} } @article {849, title = {The sensitivity and specificity of markers for event times.}, journal = {Biostatistics}, volume = {7}, year = {2006}, month = {2006 Apr}, pages = {182-97}, abstract = {

The statistical literature on assessing the accuracy of risk factors or disease markers as diagnostic tests deals almost exclusively with settings where the test, Y, is measured concurrently with disease status D. In practice, however, disease status may vary over time and there is often a time lag between when the marker is measured and the occurrence of disease. One example concerns the Framingham risk score (FR-score) as a marker for the future risk of cardiovascular events, events that occur after the score is ascertained. To evaluate such a marker, one needs to take the time lag into account since the predictive accuracy may be higher when the marker is measured closer to the time of disease occurrence. We therefore consider inference for sensitivity and specificity functions that are defined as functions of time. Semiparametric regression models are proposed. Data from a cohort study are used to estimate model parameters. One issue that arises in practice is that event times may be censored. In this research, we extend in several respects the work by Leisenring et al. (1997) that dealt only with parametric models for binary tests and uncensored data. We propose semiparametric models that accommodate continuous tests and censoring. Asymptotic distribution theory for parameter estimates is developed and procedures for making statistical inference are evaluated with simulation studies. We illustrate our methods with data from the Cardiovascular Health Study, relating the FR-score measured at enrollment to subsequent risk of cardiovascular events.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Biomarkers, Biometry, Cardiovascular Diseases, Female, Humans, Male, Models, Statistical, Risk Factors, ROC Curve, Sensitivity and Specificity, Time Factors}, issn = {1465-4644}, doi = {10.1093/biostatistics/kxi047}, author = {Cai, Tianxi and Pepe, Margaret Sullivan and Zheng, Yingye and Lumley, Thomas and Jenny, Nancy Swords} } @article {936, title = {Inflammation biomarkers and near-term death in older men.}, journal = {Am J Epidemiol}, volume = {165}, year = {2007}, month = {2007 Mar 15}, pages = {684-95}, abstract = {

Associations of C-reactive protein (CRP) and fibrinogen with death may weaken over time. Combining both markers may improve prediction of death in older adults. In 5,828 Cardiovascular Health Study participants (United States, 1989-2000), 383 deaths (183 cardiovascular disease (CVD)) in years 1-3 (early) and 914 deaths (396 CVD) in years 4-8 (late) occurred. For men, when comparing highest to lowest quartiles, hazard ratios for early death were 4.1 (95\% confidence interval (CI): 2.7, 6.3) for CRP and 4.1 (95\% CI: 2.7, 6.4) for fibrinogen in models adjusted for CVD risk. For early CVD death, hazard ratios were 4.3 (95\% CI: 2.2, 8.4) and 3.4 (95\% CI: 1.8, 6.3), respectively. When comparing men in the highest quartiles of both biomarkers with those in the lowest, hazard ratios were 9.6 (95\% CI: 4.3, 21.1) for early death and 13.5 (95\% CI: 3.2, 56.5) for early CVD death. Associations were weaker for late deaths. For women, CRP (hazard ratio = 2.3, 95\% CI: 1.4, 3.9), but not fibrinogen (hazard ratio = 1.3, 95\% CI: 0.8, 2.2), was associated with early death. Results were similar for CVD death. Neither was associated with late deaths. CRP and fibrinogen were more strongly associated with death in older men than women and more strongly associated with early than late death. Combining both markers may identify older men at greatest risk of near-term death.

}, keywords = {Age Distribution, Aged, Biomarkers, C-Reactive Protein, Cardiovascular Diseases, Diabetes Complications, Epidemiologic Studies, Female, Fibrinogen, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Hypercholesterolemia, Hypertension, Inflammation, Male, Middle Aged, Obesity, Population Surveillance, Predictive Value of Tests, Prognosis, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Factors, Sex Distribution, Smoking, Time Factors, United States}, issn = {0002-9262}, doi = {10.1093/aje/kwk057}, author = {Jenny, Nancy Swords and Yanez, N David and Psaty, Bruce M and Kuller, Lewis H and Hirsch, Calvin H and Tracy, Russell P} } @article {930, title = {Serum amyloid P and cardiovascular disease in older men and women: results from the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol}, volume = {27}, year = {2007}, month = {2007 Feb}, pages = {352-8}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: Serum amyloid P (SAP), a pentraxin like C-reactive protein (CRP), functions in innate immunity. However, associations of SAP with cardiovascular disease (CVD) are unknown.

METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined these associations in the Cardiovascular Health Study using a case-cohort design. Nonexclusive case groups were incident angina (n=523), myocardial infarction (MI; n=308), stroke (n=323), and CVD death (n=288). 786 participants had no events. SAP was correlated with CRP, CVD risk factors (obesity, blood pressure, lipids), common and internal carotid wall thickness, and ankle-brachial index (all P<0.02). In Cox regression models adjusted for age, sex, and ethnicity, a standard deviation increase in SAP (9.8 mg/L) was associated with angina (hazard ratio; 95\% confidence interval 1.3; 1.2 to 1.5) and MI (1.3; 1.1 to 1.5), but not stroke (1.1; 0.9 to 1.3) or CVD death (1.1; 0.9 to 1.3). Adding CRP to the models had no significant effect on associations. Adjusting for CVD risk factors slightly attenuated SAP associations with CVD events; however, associations with angina and MI remained significant.

CONCLUSIONS: Although both are pentraxins, SAP and CRP may represent different facets of inflammation. The association of SAP with CVD in these older adults further supports the role of innate immunity in atherosclerosis.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Angina, Unstable, Atherosclerosis, C-Reactive Protein, Cardiovascular Diseases, Case-Control Studies, Female, Humans, Hypertension, Immunity, Innate, Male, Myocardial Infarction, Obesity, Prevalence, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Factors, Serum Amyloid P-Component}, issn = {1524-4636}, doi = {10.1161/01.ATV.0000254150.97741.fe}, author = {Jenny, Nancy Swords and Arnold, Alice M and Kuller, Lewis H and Tracy, Russell P and Psaty, Bruce M} } @article {1022, title = {Distribution and correlates of lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 in an elderly cohort: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {56}, year = {2008}, month = {2008 May}, pages = {792-9}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether high levels of lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A(2) (Lp-PLA(2)) are associated with prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD) and to evaluate factors most influencing Lp-PLA(2) levels in a community-based cohort of older adults.

DESIGN: Cross-sectional.

SETTING: The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a population-based cohort study of men and women aged 65 and older.

PARTICIPANTS: Five thousand five hundred thirty-one CHS participants.

MEASUREMENTS: Levels of Lp-PLA(2) activity were determined using stored blood samples from the baseline examination.

RESULTS: Mean Lp-PLA(2) was higher in participants with electrocardiographically determined ventricular conduction defect and major Q-wave abnormality and was positively correlated with left ventricular (LV) mass. It was high in those with echocardiographically determined abnormal LV ejection fraction, which persisted after adjustment. Mean Lp-PLA(2) was also higher in participants with mild renal insufficiency and kidney disease. After multivariable adjustment, there was a modest but significant 27\% greater risk of prevalent CHF per standard deviation increment of Lp-PLA(2) and a modest but significant 12\% greater risk of prevalent myocardial infarction. Lp-PLA(2) was weakly but mainly most strongly correlated with cholesterol and lipoproteins, but those correlations were not especially strong. Lp-PLA(2) was weakly positively correlated with soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1 but not interleukin-6. In total, all factors considered could explain only 29\% of Lp-PLA(2) activity.

CONCLUSION: Novel findings in the study are the associations, in those aged 65 and older, between Lp-PLA(2) activity and LV dysfunction, CHF, and renal disease. CVD risk factors only minimally explain levels of Lp-PLA(2).

}, keywords = {1-Alkyl-2-acetylglycerophosphocholine Esterase, Aged, Atherosclerosis, Body Mass Index, Cardiac Output, Low, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cholesterol, HDL, Cholesterol, LDL, Cohort Studies, Cross-Sectional Studies, Electrocardiography, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Hypertrophy, Left Ventricular, Long QT Syndrome, Male, Reference Values, Renal Insufficiency, Risk Factors, Statistics as Topic, Triglycerides}, issn = {1532-5415}, doi = {10.1111/j.1532-5415.2008.01667.x}, author = {Furberg, Curt D and Nelson, Jeanenne J and Solomon, Cam and Cushman, Mary and Jenny, Nancy Swords and Psaty, Bruce M} } @article {1024, title = {Incident physical disability in people with lower extremity peripheral arterial disease: the role of cardiovascular disease.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {56}, year = {2008}, month = {2008 Jun}, pages = {1037-44}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the risk of incident physical disability and the decline in gait speed over a 6-year follow-up associated with a low ankle-arm index (AAI) in older adults.

DESIGN: Observational cohort study.

SETTING: Forsyth County, North Carolina; Sacramento County, California; Washington County, Maryland; and Allegheny County, Pennsylvania.

PARTICIPANTS: Four thousand seven hundred five older adults, 58\% women and 17.6\% black, participating in the Cardiovascular Health Study.

MEASUREMENTS: AAI was measured in 1992/93 (baseline). Self-reported mobility, activity of daily living (ADL), and instrumental activity of daily living (IADL) disability and gait speed were recorded at baseline and at 1-year intervals over 6 years of follow-up. Mobility disability was defined as any difficulty walking half a mile and ADL and IADL disability was defined as any difficulty with 11 specific ADL and IADL tasks. Individuals with mobility, ADL, or IADL disability at baseline were excluded from the respective incident disability analyses.

RESULTS: Lower baseline AAI values were associated with increased risk of mobility disability and ADL/IADL disability. Clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes mellitus, and interim CVD events partially explained these associations for mobility disability and clinical CVD and diabetes mellitus partially explained these associations for ADL and IADL disability. Individuals with an AAI less than 0.9 had on average a mean decrease in gait speed of 0.02 m/s per year, or a decline of 0.12 m/s over the 6-year follow-up. Prevalent CVD partly explained this decrease but interim CVD events did not further attenuate it.

CONCLUSION: Low AAI serves as marker of future disability risk. Reduction of disability risk in patients with a low AAI should consider cardiovascular comorbidity and the prevention of additional disabling CVD events.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Aged, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Comorbidity, Disability Evaluation, Female, Gait, Geriatric Assessment, Humans, Lower Extremity, Male, Mobility Limitation, Peripheral Vascular Diseases, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, United States}, issn = {1532-5415}, doi = {10.1111/j.1532-5415.2008.01719.x}, author = {Brach, Jennifer S and Solomon, Cam and Naydeck, Barbara L and Sutton-Tyrrell, Kim and Enright, Paul L and Jenny, Nancy Swords and Chaves, Paulo M and Newman, Anne B} } @article {1072, title = {Associations of pentraxin 3 with cardiovascular disease and all-cause death: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol}, volume = {29}, year = {2009}, month = {2009 Apr}, pages = {594-9}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: We examined associations of pentraxin 3 (PTX3), a vascular inflammation marker, with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause death.

METHODS AND RESULTS: 1583 Cardiovascular Health Study participants free of prevalent CVD were included. Nonexclusive case groups were angina (n=476), myocardial infarction (MI; n=237), stroke (n=310), CVD death (n=282), and all-cause death (n=772). 535 participants had no events. PTX3 levels were higher in those with subclinical CVD (1.90+/-1.89 ng/mL) than those without (1.71+/-1.88 ng/mL; P=0.001). Using Cox regression adjusted for age, sex, and ethnicity, a standard deviation increase in PTX3 (1.89 ng/mL) was associated with CVD death (hazard ratio 1.11; 95\% confidence interval 1.02 to 1.21) and all-cause death (1.08; 1.02 to 1.15). PTX3 was not associated with angina (1.09; 0.98 to 1.20), MI (0.96; 0.81 to 1.12), or stroke (1.06; 0.95 to 1.18). Adding C-reactive protein (CRP) or CVD risk factors to the models had no significant effects on associations.

CONCLUSIONS: In these older adults, PTX3 was associated with CVD and all-cause death independent of CRP and CVD risk factors. PTX3 likely reflects different aspects of inflammation than CRP and may provide insight into vascular health in aging and chronic diseases of aging that lead to death.

}, keywords = {Aged, Biomarkers, C-Reactive Protein, Cardiovascular Diseases, Case-Control Studies, Female, Health Surveys, Humans, Inflammation Mediators, Linear Models, Male, Predictive Value of Tests, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Serum Amyloid P-Component, Time Factors, United States, Up-Regulation}, issn = {1524-4636}, doi = {10.1161/ATVBAHA.108.178947}, author = {Jenny, Nancy Swords and Arnold, Alice M and Kuller, Lewis H and Tracy, Russell P and Psaty, Bruce M} } @article {1135, title = {Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A(2) and risk of congestive heart failure in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Circ Heart Fail}, volume = {2}, year = {2009}, month = {2009 Sep}, pages = {429-36}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Inflammation may be a causative factor in congestive heart failure (CHF). Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A(2) (Lp-PLA(2)) is an inflammation marker associated with vascular risk. One previous study showed an association of Lp-PLA(2) activity with CHF risk, but there were only 94 CHF cases and Lp-PLA(2) antigen, which is available clinically in the United States, was not measured.

METHODS AND RESULTS: We measured baseline Lp-PLA(2) antigen and activity in 3991 men and women without baseline CHF or cardiovascular disease who were participating in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a prospective observational study of adults 65 years or older. Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex, clinic site, race, low-density and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, body mass index, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, hypertension, smoking status, pack-years, and diabetes were used to calculate hazard ratios and 95\% CIs for incident CHF. Further models adjusted for coronary disease events during follow-up and C-reactive protein. Eight hundred twenty-nine participants developed CHF during 12.1 years. Adjusted hazard ratios for CHF with Lp-PLA(2) in the fourth compared with the first quartile were 1.44 (95\% CI, 1.16 to 1.79) for Lp-PLA(2) antigen and 1.06 (95\% CI, 0.84 to 1.32) for activity. Adjustment for incident coronary disease attenuated the hazard ratio for Lp-PLA(2) antigen to 1.26 (95\% CI, 1.02 to 1.57), adjustment for C-reactive protein had minimal impact.

CONCLUSIONS: Lp-PLA(2) antigen was associated with risk of future CHF in older people, independent of CHF and coronary risk factors, and partly mediated by coronary disease events. Further clinical and basic research is needed to better understand the role of Lp-PLA(2) in CHF.

}, keywords = {1-Alkyl-2-acetylglycerophosphocholine Esterase, Aged, Biomarkers, C-Reactive Protein, Female, Fibrinogen, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Inflammation Mediators, Interleukin-6, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Male, Population Surveillance, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Time Factors, United States}, issn = {1941-3297}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCHEARTFAILURE.108.839613}, author = {Suzuki, Takeki and Solomon, Cam and Jenny, Nancy Swords and Tracy, Russell and Nelson, Jeanenne J and Psaty, Bruce M and Furberg, Curt and Cushman, Mary} } @article {1190, title = {Association between baseline kidney function and change in CRP: an analysis of the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Nephron Clin Pract}, volume = {115}, year = {2010}, month = {2010}, pages = {c114-21}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: In cross-sectional analyses, C-reactive protein (CRP) levels are inversely related to levels of kidney function. The relationship between kidney function and subsequent changes in CRP is unknown.

METHODS: We studied 4,364 individuals from the Cardiovascular Health Study, a longitudinal cohort of community-dwelling older adults. Baseline eGFRcys was estimated using cystatin C. CRP was measured at baseline and after 3 and 7 years of follow-up; slopes of change in CRP were calculated.

RESULTS: The mean (SD) age of the cohort was 72 (5.2) years; mean (SD) eGFRcys was 78.9 (18.4) ml/min/1.73 m(2). The median (interquartile range IQR) baseline CRP was 2.39 (1.22, 4.33) mg/l; the median (IQR) yearly change in CRP was -0.0051 (-0.020 to 0.27) mg/l/year. After adjustment for demographic characteristics and the initial level of CRP, each standard deviation lower baseline eGFR was associated with a small and non-significant yearly increase in CRP (0.032 mg/l/year; 95\% CI: -0.005 to 0.070, p = 0.094).

CONCLUSIONS: We did not find a relationship between eGFR and subsequent changes in CRP. The association between kidney function and CRP in cross-sectional analyses may reflect unmeasured confounding by atherosclerosis; alternatively, the burden of comorbidity and interval mortality in this population may have masked a stronger longitudinal association between kidney function and change in CRP. Further study in younger populations may clarify whether impaired kidney function leads to change in inflammation over time.

}, keywords = {Aged, Biomarkers, C-Reactive Protein, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Kidney Function Tests, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Residence Characteristics}, issn = {1660-2110}, doi = {10.1159/000312874}, author = {Rifkin, Dena E and Katz, Ronit and Fried, Linda F and Kestenbaum, Bryan and Jenny, Nancy Swords and Newman, Anne B and Siscovick, David S and Shlipak, Michael G and Sarnak, Mark J} } @article {1240, title = {Differential white blood cell count and type 2 diabetes: systematic review and meta-analysis of cross-sectional and prospective studies.}, journal = {PLoS One}, volume = {5}, year = {2010}, month = {2010 Oct 18}, pages = {e13405}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: Biological evidence suggests that inflammation might induce type 2 diabetes (T2D), and epidemiological studies have shown an association between higher white blood cell count (WBC) and T2D. However, the association has not been systematically investigated.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Studies were identified through computer-based and manual searches. Previously unreported studies were sought through correspondence. 20 studies were identified (8,647 T2D cases and 85,040 non-cases). Estimates of the association of WBC with T2D were combined using random effects meta-analysis; sources of heterogeneity as well as presence of publication bias were explored.

RESULTS: The combined relative risk (RR) comparing the top to bottom tertile of the WBC count was 1.61 (95\% CI: 1.45; 1.79, p = 1.5*10(-18)). Substantial heterogeneity was present (I(2) = 83\%). For granulocytes the RR was 1.38 (95\% CI: 1.17; 1.64, p = 1.5*10(-4)), for lymphocytes 1.26 (95\% CI: 1.02; 1.56, p = 0.029), and for monocytes 0.93 (95\% CI: 0.68; 1.28, p = 0.67) comparing top to bottom tertile. In cross-sectional studies, RR was 1.74 (95\% CI: 1.49; 2.02, p = 7.7*10(-13)), while in cohort studies it was 1.48 (95\% CI: 1.22; 1.79, p = 7.7*10(-5)). We assessed the impact of confounding in EPIC-Norfolk study and found that the age and sex adjusted HR of 2.19 (95\% CI: 1.74; 2.75) was attenuated to 1.82 (95\% CI: 1.45; 2.29) after further accounting for smoking, T2D family history, physical activity, education, BMI and waist circumference.

CONCLUSIONS: A raised WBC is associated with higher risk of T2D. The presence of publication bias and failure to control for all potential confounders in all studies means the observed association is likely an overestimate.

}, keywords = {Adult, Aged, Cross-Sectional Studies, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Female, Humans, Leukocyte Count, Male, Middle Aged, Prospective Studies}, issn = {1932-6203}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0013405}, author = {Gkrania-Klotsas, Effrossyni and Ye, Zheng and Cooper, Andrew J and Sharp, Stephen J and Luben, Robert and Biggs, Mary L and Chen, Liang-Kung and Gokulakrishnan, Kuppan and Hanefeld, Markolf and Ingelsson, Erik and Lai, Wen-An and Lin, Shih-Yi and Lind, Lars and Lohsoonthorn, Vitool and Mohan, Viswanathan and Muscari, Antonio and Nilsson, Goran and Ohrvik, John and Chao Qiang, Jiang and Jenny, Nancy Swords and Tamakoshi, Koji and Temelkova-Kurktschiev, Theodora and Wang, Ya-Yu and Yajnik, Chittaranjan Sakerlal and Zoli, Marco and Khaw, Kay-Tee and Forouhi, Nita G and Wareham, Nicholas J and Langenberg, Claudia} } @article {1133, title = {Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A(2) (Lp-PLA(2)) and risk of cardiovascular disease in older adults: results from the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Atherosclerosis}, volume = {209}, year = {2010}, month = {2010 Apr}, pages = {528-32}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: To examine associations between lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A(2) (Lp-PLA(2)) antigen level (mass) and enzymatic activity (activity) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in older adults.

METHODS: We examined associations of Lp-PLA(2) mass and activity with incident myocardial infarction (MI; n=508), stroke (n=565) and CVD death (n=665) using Cox regressions adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity and CVD risk factors in 3949 older adults, aged > or =65 years at baseline, from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS).

RESULTS: Lp-PLA(2) was associated with incident CVD events in these older adults. Hazard ratios (95\% confidence intervals) for highest versus lowest tertiles of Lp-PLA(2) mass were 1.49 (1.19-1.85) for MI, 1.21 (0.98-1.49) for stroke and 1.11 (0.92-1.33) for CVD death. The highest tertile of Lp-PLA(2) activity was associated with MI (1.36; 1.09-1.70) and CVD death (1.23; 1.02-1.50). Combined Lp-PLA(2) tertile 3 and CRP>3mg/l, compared to Lp-PLA(2) tertile 1 and CRP<1mg/l, was associated with MI (2.29; 1.49-3.52) for Lp-PLA(2) mass and MI (1.66; 1.10-2.51) and CVD death (1.57; 1.08-2.26) for activity. For MI, both mass and activity added excess risk to elevated CRP alone ( approximately 20\% excess risk) and activity added excess risk for CVD death ( approximately 12\%).

CONCLUSION: Lp-PLA(2) mass and activity were associated with incident CVD events in older adults in CHS. Lp-PLA(2) and CRP were independent and additive in prediction of events. While associations were modest, these results support further exploration of Lp-PLA(2) to identify older individuals at risk for CVD.

}, keywords = {1-Alkyl-2-acetylglycerophosphocholine Esterase, Aged, C-Reactive Protein, Cardiovascular Diseases, Female, Humans, Myocardial Infarction, Population Surveillance, Prospective Studies, Risk, Stroke}, issn = {1879-1484}, doi = {10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2009.09.021}, author = {Jenny, Nancy Swords and Solomon, Cam and Cushman, Mary and Tracy, Russell P and Nelson, Jeanenne J and Psaty, Bruce M and Furberg, Curt D} } @article {6743, title = {Physical Activity, Physical Fitness, and Leukocyte Telomere Length: The Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Med Sci Sports Exerc}, volume = {47}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Dec}, pages = {2525-34}, abstract = {

INTRODUCTION: The influence of physical activity (PA) and physical fitness (PF) at older ages on changes in telomere length (TL)--repetitive DNA sequences that may mark biologic aging--is not well-established. Few prior studies (mainly cross-sectional) have been conducted in older adults, and few studies have evaluated PF.

METHODS: We investigated cross-sectional and prospective associations of PA and PF with leukocyte TL among 582 older adults (mean {\textpm} SD age, 73 {\textpm} 5 yr at baseline) in the Cardiovascular Health Study, with serial TL measures and PA and PF assessed multiple times. Cross-sectional associations were assessed using multivariable repeated-measures regression, in which cumulatively averaged PA and PF measures were related to TL. Longitudinal analyses assessed cumulatively averaged PA and PF against later changes in TL, and changes in cumulatively averaged PA and PF against changes in TL.

RESULTS: Cross-sectionally, greater walking distance and chair test performance, but not other PA and PF measures, were each associated with longer TL (P trend = 0.007 and 0.04, respectively). In longitudinal analyses, no significant associations of baseline PA and PF with change in TL were observed. In contrast, changes in leisure-time activity and chair test performance were each inversely associated with changes in TL.

CONCLUSIONS: Cross-sectional analyses suggest that greater PA and PF are associated with longer TL. Prospective analyses show that changes in PA and PF are associated with differences in changes in TL. Even later in life, changes in certain PA and PF measures are associated with changes in TL, suggesting that leisure-time activity and fitness could reduce leukocyte telomere attrition among older adults.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aging, Cross-Sectional Studies, Exercise Test, Female, Hand Strength, Humans, Leukocytes, Male, Motor Activity, Physical Fitness, Prospective Studies, Telomere Homeostasis, Walking}, issn = {1530-0315}, doi = {10.1249/MSS.0000000000000720}, author = {Soares-Miranda, Luisa and Imamura, Fumiaki and Siscovick, David and Jenny, Nancy Swords and Fitzpatrick, Annette L and Mozaffarian, Dariush} } @article {6809, title = {Plasma Levels of Soluble Interleukin-2 Receptor α: Associations With Clinical Cardiovascular Events and Genome-Wide Association Scan.}, journal = {Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol}, volume = {35}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Oct}, pages = {2246-53}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: Interleukin (IL) -2 receptor subunit α regulates lymphocyte activation, which plays an important role in atherosclerosis. Associations between soluble IL-2Rα (sIL-2Rα) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) have not been widely studied and little is known about the genetic determinants of sIL-2Rα levels.

APPROACH AND RESULTS: We measured baseline levels of sIL-2Rα in 4408 European American (EA) and 766 African American (AA) adults from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) and examined associations with baseline CVD risk factors, subclinical CVD, and incident CVD events. We also performed a genome-wide association study for sIL-2Rα in CHS (2964 EAs and 683 AAs) and further combined CHS EA results with those from two other EA cohorts in a meta-analysis (n=4464 EAs). In age, sex- and race- adjusted models, sIL-2Rα was positively associated with current smoking, type 2 diabetes mellitus, hypertension, insulin, waist circumference, C-reactive protein, IL-6, fibrinogen, internal carotid wall thickness, all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, and incident CVD, stroke, and heart failure. When adjusted for baseline CVD risk factors and subclinical CVD, associations with all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, and heart failure remained significant in both EAs and AAs. In the EA genome-wide association study analysis, we observed 52 single-nucleotide polymorphisms in the chromosome 10p15-14 region, which contains IL2RA, IL15RA, and RMB17, that reached genome-wide significance (P<5{\texttimes}10(-8)). The most significant single-nucleotide polymorphism was rs7911500 (P=1.31{\texttimes}10(-75)). The EA meta-analysis results were highly consistent with CHS-only results. No single-nucleotide polymorphisms reached statistical significance in the AAs.

CONCLUSIONS: These results support a role for sIL-2Rα in atherosclerosis and provide evidence for multiple-associated single-nucleotide polymorphisms at chromosome 10p15-14.

}, keywords = {Adult, African Americans, Age Distribution, Aged, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Coronary Artery Disease, Female, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Genome-Wide Association Study, Humans, Incidence, Interleukin-2 Receptor alpha Subunit, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Male, Middle Aged, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Sex Distribution, Survival Analysis}, issn = {1524-4636}, doi = {10.1161/ATVBAHA.115.305289}, author = {Durda, Peter and Sabourin, Jeremy and Lange, Ethan M and Nalls, Mike A and Mychaleckyj, Josyf C and Jenny, Nancy Swords and Li, Jin and Walston, Jeremy and Harris, Tamara B and Psaty, Bruce M and Valdar, William and Liu, Yongmei and Cushman, Mary and Reiner, Alex P and Tracy, Russell P and Lange, Leslie A} } @article {9245, title = {Circulating Soluble CD163, Associations With Cardiovascular Outcomes and Mortality, and Identification of Genetic Variants in Older Individuals: The Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Am Heart Assoc}, volume = {11}, year = {2022}, month = {2022 Nov}, pages = {e024374}, abstract = {

Background Monocytes/macrophages participate in cardiovascular disease. CD163 (cluster of differentiation 163) is a monocyte/macrophage receptor, and the shed sCD163 (soluble CD163) reflects monocyte/macrophage activation. We examined the association of sCD163 with incident cardiovascular disease events and performed a genome-wide association study to identify sCD163-associated variants. Methods and Results We measured plasma sCD163 in 5214 adults (aged >=65 years, 58.7\% women, 16.2\% Black) of the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study). We used Cox regression models (associations of sCD163 with incident events and mortality); median follow-up was 26 years. Genome-wide association study analyses were stratified on race. Adjusted for age, sex, and race and ethnicity, sCD163 levels were associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.08 [95\% CI, 1.04-1.12] per SD increase), cardiovascular disease mortality (HR, 1.15 [95\% CI, 1.09-1.21]), incident coronary heart disease (HR, 1.10 [95\% CI, 1.04-1.16]), and incident heart failure (HR, 1.18 [95\% CI, 1.12-1.25]). When further adjusted (eg, cardiovascular disease risk factors), only incident coronary heart disease lost significance. In European American individuals, genome-wide association studies identified 38 variants on chromosome 2 near (top result rs62165726, =3.3{\texttimes}10),19 variants near chromosome 17 gene (rs55714927, =1.5{\texttimes}10), and 18 variants near chromosome 11 gene . These regions replicated in the European ancestry ADDITION-PRO cohort, a longitudinal cohort study nested in the Danish arm of the Anglo-Danish-Dutch~study~of~Intensive~Treatment~Intensive Treatment In peOple with screeNdetcted Diabetes in Primary Care. In Black individuals, we identified 9 variants on chromosome 6 (rs3129781 =7.1{\texttimes}10) in the region, and 3 variants (rs115391969 =4.3{\texttimes}10) near the chromosome 16 gene Conclusions Monocyte function, as measured by sCD163, may be predictive of overall and cardiovascular-specific mortality and incident heart failure.

}, keywords = {Aged, Antigens, CD, Antigens, Differentiation, Myelomonocytic, Asialoglycoprotein Receptor, Biomarkers, Cardiovascular Diseases, Female, Genome-Wide Association Study, Heart Failure, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male}, issn = {2047-9980}, doi = {10.1161/JAHA.121.024374}, author = {Durda, Peter and Raffield, Laura M and Lange, Ethan M and Olson, Nels C and Jenny, Nancy Swords and Cushman, Mary and Deichgraeber, Pia and Grarup, Niels and Jonsson, Anna and Hansen, Torben and Mychaleckyj, Josyf C and Psaty, Bruce M and Reiner, Alex P and Tracy, Russell P and Lange, Leslie A} }