@article {9161,
	title = {Non-linear machine learning models incorporating SNPs and PRS improve polygenic prediction in diverse human populations.},
	journal = {Commun Biol},
	volume = {5},
	year = {2022},
	month = {2022 08 22},
	pages = {856},
	abstract = {<p>Polygenic risk scores (PRS) are commonly used to quantify the inherited susceptibility for a trait, yet they fail to account for non-linear and interaction effects between single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). We address this via a machine learning approach, validated in nine complex phenotypes in a multi-ancestry population. We use an ensemble method of SNP selection followed by gradient boosted trees (XGBoost) to allow for non-linearities and interaction effects. We compare our results to the standard, linear PRS model developed using PRSice, LDpred2, and lassosum2. Combining a PRS as a feature in an XGBoost model results in a relative increase in the percentage variance explained compared to the standard linear PRS model by 22\% for height, 27\% for HDL cholesterol, 43\% for body mass index, 50\% for sleep duration, 58\% for systolic blood pressure, 64\% for total cholesterol, 66\% for triglycerides, 77\% for LDL cholesterol, and 100\% for diastolic blood pressure. Multi-ancestry trained models perform similarly to specific racial/ethnic group trained models and are consistently superior to the standard linear PRS models. This work demonstrates an effective method to account for non-linearities and interaction effects in genetics-based prediction models.</p>},
	keywords = {Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Genome-Wide Association Study, Humans, Machine Learning, Multifactorial Inheritance, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide},
	issn = {2399-3642},
	doi = {10.1038/s42003-022-03812-z},
	author = {Elgart, Michael and Lyons, Genevieve and Romero-Brufau, Santiago and Kurniansyah, Nuzulul and Brody, Jennifer A and Guo, Xiuqing and Lin, Henry J and Raffield, Laura and Gao, Yan and Chen, Han and de Vries, Paul and Lloyd-Jones, Donald M and Lange, Leslie A and Peloso, Gina M and Fornage, Myriam and Rotter, Jerome I and Rich, Stephen S and Morrison, Alanna C and Psaty, Bruce M and Levy, Daniel and Redline, Susan and Sofer, Tamar}
}
