@article {983, title = {Cardiovascular and mortality risk prediction and stratification using urinary albumin excretion in older adults ages 68-102: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Atherosclerosis}, volume = {197}, year = {2008}, month = {2008 Apr}, pages = {806-13}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Elevated urinary albumin excretion (UAE) is associated with the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality. We tested the hypothesis that elevated UAE improves cardiovascular risk stratification in an elderly cohort aged 68-102 years.

METHODS: We evaluated UAE in 3112 participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study who attended the 1996-1997 examination and had median follow up of 5.4 years. Elevated UAE was defined as urinary albumin to creatinine ratio > or =30 microg/mg. Microalbuminuria and macroalbuminuria were defined as urinary albumin to creatinine ratio 30-300 microg/mg and >300 microg/mg, respectively. Outcomes included CVD (myocardial infarction, stroke, cardiovascular death) and all-cause mortality. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the risk of outcomes associated with elevated UAE.

RESULTS: The prevalence of elevated UAE was 14.3\%, 17.1\% and 26.9\% in those aged 68-74, 75-84 and 85-102 years, respectively. CVD incidence and all-cause mortality were doubled (7.2\% and 8.1\% per year) in those with microalbuminuria and tripled (11.1\% and 12.3\% per year) in those with macroalbuminuria compared to those with normal UAE (3.3\% and 3.8\% per year). The increased CVD and mortality risks were observed in all age groups after adjustment for conventional risk factors. The adjusted population attributable risk percent of CVD and all-cause mortality for elevated UAE was 11\% and 12\%, respectively. When participants were cross-classified by UAE and Framingham Risk Score categories, the 5-year cumulative incidence of coronary heart disease among participants with elevated UAE and a 5-year predicted risk of 5-10\% was 20\%, substantially higher than 6.3\% in those with UAE <30m microg/mg.

CONCLUSION: Elevated UAE was associated with an increased risk of CVD and all-cause mortality in all age groups from 68 to 102 years. Combining elevated UAE with the Framingham risk scores may improve risk stratification for CVD in the elderly.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Albuminuria, Biomarkers, Cohort Studies, Coronary Disease, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Health Surveys, Humans, Male, Predictive Value of Tests, Risk}, issn = {1879-1484}, doi = {10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2007.07.029}, author = {Cao, Jie J and Biggs, Mary L and Barzilay, Joshua and Konen, Joseph and Psaty, Bruce M and Kuller, Lewis and Bleyer, Anthony J and Olson, Jean and Wexler, Jason and Summerson, John and Cushman, Mary} }