@article {1138, title = {N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide is a major predictor of the development of atrial fibrillation: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Circulation}, volume = {120}, year = {2009}, month = {2009 Nov 03}, pages = {1768-74}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common cardiac rhythm abnormality, is associated with significant morbidity, mortality, and healthcare expenditures. Elevated B-type natriuretic peptide levels have been associated with the risk of heart failure, AF, and mortality.

METHODS AND RESULTS: The relation between N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and AF was studied in 5445 Cardiovascular Health Study participants with the use of relative risk regression for predicting prevalent AF and Cox proportional hazards for predicting incident AF. NT-proBNP levels were strongly associated with prevalent AF, with an unadjusted prevalence ratio of 128 for the highest quintile (95\% confidence interval, 17.9 to 913.3; P<0.001) and adjusted prevalence ratio of 147 for the highest quintile (95\% confidence interval, 20.4 to 1064.3; P<0.001) compared with the lowest. After a median follow-up of 10 years (maximum of 16 years), there were 1126 cases of incident AF (a rate of 2.2 per 100 person-years). NT-proBNP was highly predictive of incident AF, with an unadjusted hazard ratio of 5.2 (95\% confidence interval, 4.3 to 6.4; P<0.001) for the development of AF for the highest quintile compared with the lowest; for the same contrast, NT-proBNP remained the strongest predictor of incident AF after adjustment for an extensive number of covariates, including age, sex, medication use, blood pressure, echocardiographic parameters, diabetes mellitus, and heart failure, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 4.0 (95\% confidence interval, 3.2 to 5.0; P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS: In a community-based population of older adults, NT-proBNP was a remarkable predictor of incident AF, independent of any other previously described risk factor.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Atrial Fibrillation, Female, Humans, Immunoassay, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Natriuretic Peptide, Brain, Peptide Fragments, Predictive Value of Tests, Prevalence, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Factors}, issn = {1524-4539}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.109.873265}, author = {Patton, Kristen K and Ellinor, Patrick T and Heckbert, Susan R and Christenson, Robert H and DeFilippi, Christopher and Gottdiener, John S and Kronmal, Richard A} } @article {1242, title = {N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide is associated with sudden cardiac death risk: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Heart Rhythm}, volume = {8}, year = {2011}, month = {2011 Feb}, pages = {228-33}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Sudden cardiac death (SCD), the cause of 250,000-450,000 deaths per year, is a major public health problem. The majority of those affected do not have a prior cardiovascular diagnosis. Elevated B-type natriuretic peptide levels have been associated with the risk of heart failure and mortality as well as with sudden death in women.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and SCD in the Cardiovascular Health Study population.

METHODS: The risk of SCD associated with baseline NT-proBNP was examined in 5,447 participants. Covariate-adjusted Cox model regressions were used to estimate the hazard ratios of developing SCD as a function of baseline NT-proBNP.

RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 12.5 years (maximum 16), there were 289 cases of SCD. Higher NT-proBNP levels were strongly associated with SCD, with an unadjusted hazard ratio of 4.2 (95\% confidence interval [2.9, 6.1]; P <.001) in the highest quintile compared with in the lowest. NT-proBNP remained associated with SCD even after adjustment for numerous clinical characteristics and risk factors (age, sex, race, and other associated conditions), with an adjusted hazard ratio for the fifth versus the first quintile of 2.5 (95\% confidence interval [1.6, 3.8]; P <.001).

CONCLUSION: NT-proBNP provides information regarding the risk of SCD in a community-based population of older adults, beyond other traditional risk factors. This biomarker may ultimately prove useful in targeting the population at risk with aggressive medical management of comorbid conditions.

}, keywords = {Age Distribution, Aged, Biomarkers, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Confidence Intervals, Death, Sudden, Cardiac, Female, Humans, Incidence, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Male, Middle Aged, Natriuretic Peptide, Brain, Peptide Fragments, Predictive Value of Tests, Proportional Hazards Models, Retrospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Sex Distribution, Time Factors, United States}, issn = {1556-3871}, doi = {10.1016/j.hrthm.2010.10.038}, author = {Patton, Kristen K and Sotoodehnia, Nona and DeFilippi, Christopher and Siscovick, David S and Gottdiener, John S and Kronmal, Richard A} } @article {6083, title = {Fine-mapping and initial characterization of QT interval loci in African Americans.}, journal = {PLoS Genet}, volume = {8}, year = {2012}, month = {2012}, pages = {e1002870}, abstract = {

The QT interval (QT) is heritable and its prolongation is a risk factor for ventricular tachyarrhythmias and sudden death. Most genetic studies of QT have examined European ancestral populations; however, the increased genetic diversity in African Americans provides opportunities to narrow association signals and identify population-specific variants. We therefore evaluated 6,670 SNPs spanning eleven previously identified QT loci in 8,644 African American participants from two Population Architecture using Genomics and Epidemiology (PAGE) studies: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study and Women{\textquoteright}s Health Initiative Clinical Trial. Of the fifteen known independent QT variants at the eleven previously identified loci, six were significantly associated with QT in African American populations (P<=1.20{\texttimes}10(-4)): ATP1B1, PLN1, KCNQ1, NDRG4, and two NOS1AP independent signals. We also identified three population-specific signals significantly associated with QT in African Americans (P<=1.37{\texttimes}10(-5)): one at NOS1AP and two at ATP1B1. Linkage disequilibrium (LD) patterns in African Americans assisted in narrowing the region likely to contain the functional variants for several loci. For example, African American LD patterns showed that 0 SNPs were in LD with NOS1AP signal rs12143842, compared with European LD patterns that indicated 87 SNPs, which spanned 114.2 Kb, were in LD with rs12143842. Finally, bioinformatic-based characterization of the nine African American signals pointed to functional candidates located exclusively within non-coding regions, including predicted binding sites for transcription factors such as TBX5, which has been implicated in cardiac structure and conductance. In this detailed evaluation of QT loci, we identified several African Americans SNPs that better define the association with QT and successfully narrowed intervals surrounding established loci. These results demonstrate that the same loci influence variation in QT across multiple populations, that novel signals exist in African Americans, and that the SNPs identified as strong candidates for functional evaluation implicate gene regulatory dysfunction in QT prolongation.

}, keywords = {African Americans, Aged, Computational Biology, Electrocardiography, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Genome-Wide Association Study, Humans, Linkage Disequilibrium, Male, Metagenomics, Middle Aged, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Quantitative Trait Loci, Quantitative Trait, Heritable, Risk Factors, Tachycardia, United States}, issn = {1553-7404}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pgen.1002870}, author = {Avery, Christy L and Sethupathy, Praveen and Buyske, Steven and He, Qianchuan and Lin, Dan-Yu and Arking, Dan E and Carty, Cara L and Duggan, David and Fesinmeyer, Megan D and Hindorff, Lucia A and Jeff, Janina M and Klein, Liviu and Patton, Kristen K and Peters, Ulrike and Shohet, Ralph V and Sotoodehnia, Nona and Young, Alicia M and Kooperberg, Charles and Haiman, Christopher A and Mohlke, Karen L and Whitsel, Eric A and North, Kari E} } @article {1407, title = {The impact of height on the risk of atrial fibrillation: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Eur Heart J}, volume = {33}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 Nov}, pages = {2709-17}, abstract = {

AIMS: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia. Increased body size has been associated with AF, but the relationship is not well understood. In this study, we examined the effect of increased height on the risk of AF and explore potential mediators and implications for clinical practice.

METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined data from 5860 individuals taking part in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a cohort study of older US adults followed for a median of 13.6 (women) and 10.3 years (men). Multivariate linear models and age-stratified Cox proportional hazards and risk models were used, with focus on the effect of height on both prevalent and incident AF. Among 684 (22.6\%) and 568 (27.1\%) incident cases in women and men, respectively, greater height was significantly associated with AF risk [hazard ratio (HR)(women) per 10 cm 1.32, confidence interval (CI) 1.16-1.50, P < 0.0001; HR(men) per 10 cm 1.26, CI 1.11-1.44, P < 0.0001]. The association was such that the incremental risk from sex was completely attenuated by the inclusion of height (for men, HR 1.48, CI 1.32-1.65, without height, and HR 0.94, CI 0.85-1.20, with height included). Inclusion of height in the Framingham model for incident AF improved discrimination. In sequential models, however, we found minimal attenuation of the risk estimates for AF with adjustment for left ventricular (LV) mass and left atrial (LA) dimension. The associations of LA and LV size measurements with AF risk were weakened when indexed to height.

CONCLUSION: Independent from sex, increased height is significantly associated with the risk of AF.

}, keywords = {Aged, Atrial Fibrillation, Body Height, Epidemiologic Methods, Female, Humans, Male, Sex Factors, United States}, issn = {1522-9645}, doi = {10.1093/eurheartj/ehs301}, author = {Rosenberg, Michael A and Patton, Kristen K and Sotoodehnia, Nona and Karas, Maria G and Kizer, Jorge R and Zimetbaum, Peter J and Chang, James D and Siscovick, David and Gottdiener, John S and Kronmal, Richard A and Heckbert, Susan R and Mukamal, Kenneth J} } @article {6399, title = {Fibroblast growth factor-23 and incident atrial fibrillation: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) and the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS).}, journal = {Circulation}, volume = {130}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Jul 22}, pages = {298-307}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF-23) is a hormone that promotes urinary phosphate excretion and regulates vitamin D metabolism. Circulating FGF-23 concentrations increase markedly in chronic kidney disease and are associated with increased risk of clinical cardiovascular events. FGF-23 may promote atrial fibrillation (AF) by inducing left ventricular hypertrophy and diastolic and left atrial dysfunction.

METHODS AND RESULTS: We tested the associations of circulating FGF-23 concentration with incident AF among 6398 participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) and 1350 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), all free of clinical cardiovascular disease at baseline. Over a median of 7.7 and 8.0 years of follow-up, we observed 291 and 229 incident AF events in MESA and CHS, respectively. In multivariable Cox proportional hazards models, each 2-fold-higher FGF-23 concentration was associated with a 41\% higher risk of incident AF in MESA (hazard ratio, 1.41; 95\% confidence interval, 1.13-1.76; P=0.003) and a 30\% higher risk of incident AF in CHS (hazard ratio, 1.30; 95\% confidence interval, 1.05-1.61; P=0.016) after adjustment for potential confounding characteristics, including kidney disease. Serum phosphate concentration was significantly associated with incident AF in MESA (hazard ratio, 1.15 per 0.5 mg/dL; 95\% confidence interval, 1.02-1.31; P=0.023) but not CHS. In MESA, an association of low estimated glomerular filtration rate with incident AF was partially attenuated by adjustment for FGF-23.

CONCLUSION: Higher circulating FGF-23 concentration is associated with incident AF and may, in part, explain the link between chronic kidney disease and AF.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Atrial Fibrillation, Comorbidity, Ethnic Groups, Female, Fibroblast Growth Factor 3, Follow-Up Studies, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Heart Failure, Humans, Hypertrophy, Left Ventricular, Male, Middle Aged, Phosphates, Proportional Hazards Models, Renal Insufficiency, Chronic, Risk Factors, United States, Ventricular Dysfunction, Left, Ventricular Remodeling, Vitamin D}, issn = {1524-4539}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.113.005499}, author = {Mathew, Jehu S and Sachs, Michael C and Katz, Ronit and Patton, Kristen K and Heckbert, Susan R and Hoofnagle, Andrew N and Alonso, Alvaro and Chonchol, Michel and Deo, Rajat and Ix, Joachim H and Siscovick, David S and Kestenbaum, Bryan and de Boer, Ian H} } @article {6668, title = {Association between left atrial abnormality on ECG and vascular brain injury on MRI in the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Stroke}, volume = {46}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Mar}, pages = {711-6}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Emerging evidence suggests that atrial disease is associated with vascular brain injury in the absence of atrial fibrillation.

METHODS: The Cardiovascular Health Study prospectively enrolled community-dwelling adults aged >=65 years. Among participants who underwent MRI, we examined associations of ECG left atrial abnormality with brain infarcts and leukoaraiosis. P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was the primary measure of left atrial abnormality; P-wave area and duration were secondary predictors. We excluded participants with atrial fibrillation before or on their index ECG. Primary outcomes were incident infarcts and worsening leukoaraiosis from initial to follow-up scan ≈5 years later. Secondary outcomes were prevalent infarcts and degree of leukoaraiosis on initial MRI. Relative risk (RR) and linear regression models were adjusted for vascular risk factors.

RESULTS: Among 3129 participants with >=1 scan, each SD increase in P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was associated with a 0.05-point (95\% confidence interval [CI], 0.0003-0.10) higher baseline white matter grade on a 10-point scale. P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was associated with prevalent infarcts of any type (RR per SD, 1.09; 95\% CI, 1.04-1.16) and more so with prevalent nonlacunar infarcts (RR per SD, 1.22; 95\% CI, 1.08-1.38). Among 1839 participants with 2 scans, P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was associated with worsening leukoaraiosis (RR per SD, 1.09; 95\% CI, 1.01-1.18), but not with incident infarcts (RR per SD, 1.06; 95\% CI, 0.93-1.20). Sensitivity analyses adjusting for incident atrial fibrillation found similar results. P-wave area and duration were not associated with outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS: ECG left atrial abnormality is associated with vascular brain injury in the absence of documented atrial fibrillation.

}, keywords = {Aged, Atrial Fibrillation, Brain, Brain Infarction, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cerebrovascular Trauma, Electrocardiography, Female, Heart Atria, Heart Diseases, Humans, Linear Models, Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Male, Middle Aged, Predictive Value of Tests, Prospective Studies, Regression Analysis, Risk Factors, Treatment Outcome}, issn = {1524-4628}, doi = {10.1161/STROKEAHA.114.007762}, author = {Kamel, Hooman and Bartz, Traci M and Longstreth, W T and Okin, Peter M and Thacker, Evan L and Patton, Kristen K and Stein, Phyllis K and Gottesman, Rebecca F and Heckbert, Susan R and Kronmal, Richard A and Elkind, Mitchell S V and Soliman, Elsayed Z} }