@article {6424, title = {Association of kidney disease measures with ischemic versus hemorrhagic strokes: pooled analyses of 4 prospective community-based cohorts.}, journal = {Stroke}, volume = {45}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Jul}, pages = {1925-31}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Although low glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and albuminuria are associated with increased risk of stroke, few studies compared their contribution to risk of ischemic versus hemorrhagic stroke separately. We contrasted the association of these kidney measures with ischemic versus hemorrhagic stroke.

METHODS: We pooled individual participant data from 4 community-based cohorts: 3 from the United States and 1 from The Netherlands. GFR was estimated using both creatinine and cystatin C, and albuminuria was quantified by urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR). Associations of estimated GFR and ACR were compared for each stroke type (ischemic versus intraparenchymal hemorrhagic) using study-stratified Cox regression.

RESULTS: Among 29,595 participants (mean age, 61 [SD 12.5] years; 46\% men; 17\% black), 1261 developed stroke (12\% hemorrhagic) during 280,549 person-years. Low estimated GFR was significantly associated with increased risk of ischemic stroke, but not hemorrhagic stroke, whereas high ACR was associated with both stroke types. Adjusted hazard ratios for ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke at estimated GFR of 45 (versus 95) mL/min per 1.73 m2 were 1.30 (95\% confidence interval, 1.01-1.68) and 0.92 (0.47-1.81), respectively. In contrast, the corresponding hazard ratios for ACR of 300 (versus 5) mg/g were 1.62 (1.27-2.07) for ischemic and 2.57 (1.37-4.83) for hemorrhagic stroke, with significantly stronger association with hemorrhagic stroke (P=0.04). For hemorrhagic stroke, the association of elevated ACR was of similar magnitude as that of elevated systolic blood pressure.

CONCLUSIONS: Whereas albuminuria showed significant association with both stroke types, the association of decreased estimated GFR was only significant for ischemic stroke. The strong association of albuminuria with both stroke types warrants clinical attention and further investigations.

}, keywords = {Aged, Albuminuria, Brain Ischemia, Comorbidity, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Intracranial Hemorrhages, Kidney Diseases, Male, Middle Aged, Netherlands, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Stroke, United States}, issn = {1524-4628}, doi = {10.1161/STROKEAHA.114.004900}, author = {Mahmoodi, Bakhtawar K and Yatsuya, Hiroshi and Matsushita, Kunihiro and Sang, Yinying and Gottesman, Rebecca F and Astor, Brad C and Woodward, Mark and Longstreth, W T and Psaty, Bruce M and Shlipak, Michael G and Folsom, Aaron R and Gansevoort, Ron T and Coresh, Josef} } @article {6338, title = {Separate prediction of intracerebral hemorrhage and ischemic stroke.}, journal = {Neurology}, volume = {82}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 May 20}, pages = {1804-12}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To develop and validate 10-year cumulative incidence functions of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and ischemic stroke (IS).

METHODS: We used data on 27,493 participants from 3 population-based cohort studies: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, median age 54 years, 45\% male, median follow-up 20.7 years; the Rotterdam Study, median age 68 years, 38\% male, median follow-up 14.3 years; and the Cardiovascular Health Study, median age 71 years, 41\% male, median follow-up 12.8 years. Among these participants, 325 ICH events, 2,559 IS events, and 9,909 nonstroke deaths occurred. We developed 10-year cumulative incidence functions for ICH and IS using stratified Cox regression and competing risks analysis. Basic models including only established nonlaboratory risk factors were extended with diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio, body mass index, waist-to-hip ratio, and glomerular filtration rate. The cumulative incidence functions{\textquoteright} performances were cross-validated in each cohort separately by Harrell C-statistic and calibration plots.

RESULTS: High total cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio decreased the ICH rates but increased IS rates (p for difference across stroke types <0.001). For both the ICH and IS models, C statistics increased more by model extension in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities and Cardiovascular Health Study cohorts. Improvements in C statistics were reproduced by cross-validation. Models were well calibrated in all cohorts. Correlations between 10-year ICH and IS risks were moderate in each cohort.

CONCLUSIONS: We developed and cross-validated cumulative incidence functions for separate prediction of 10-year ICH and IS risk. These functions can be useful to further specify an individual{\textquoteright}s stroke risk.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Atherosclerosis, Body Mass Index, Brain Ischemia, Cholesterol, Female, Humans, Incidence, Intracranial Hemorrhages, Male, Middle Aged, Models, Statistical, Predictive Value of Tests, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Stroke}, issn = {1526-632X}, doi = {10.1212/WNL.0000000000000427}, author = {Ferket, Bart S and van Kempen, Bob J H and Wieberdink, Renske G and Steyerberg, Ewout W and Koudstaal, Peter J and Hofman, Albert and Shahar, Eyal and Gottesman, Rebecca F and Rosamond, Wayne and Kizer, Jorge R and Kronmal, Richard A and Psaty, Bruce M and Longstreth, W T and Mosley, Thomas and Folsom, Aaron R and Hunink, M G Myriam and Ikram, M Arfan} }