@article {1168, title = {Cardiovascular disease is associated with greater incident dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate decline in the oldest old: the cardiovascular health study all stars study.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {58}, year = {2010}, month = {2010 Mar}, pages = {421-6}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To describe cross-sectional and longitudinal associations with dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate (DHEAS) and change in DHEAS with age.

DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study.

SETTING: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

PARTICIPANTS: Cardiovascular Health Study All Stars study participants assessed in 2005/06 (N=989, mean age 85.2, 63.5\% women, 16.5\% African American).

MEASUREMENTS: Health characteristics were assessed in 2005/06 according to DHEAS level, mean DHEAS and DHEAS change across age categories were tested, and linear and logistic regression was used to identify factors present in 1996/97 associated with continuous and categorical DHEAS change.

RESULTS: Mean +/- standard deviation DHEAS was 0.555 +/- 0.414 microg/mL in 1996/97 and 0.482 +/- 0.449 microg/mL in 2005/06 for women and 0.845 +/- 0.520 microg/mL in 1996/97 and 0.658 +/- 0.516 microg/mL in 2005/06 for men. In 2005/06, DHEAS was lower in women and subjects with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and chronic pulmonary disease and higher for African Americans and subjects with hypertension and high cholesterol. Mean DHEAS change was greater in men (-0.200 microg/mL) than in women (-0.078 microg/mL) (P<.001). Each 1-year increase in age attenuated the effect of male sex by 0.01 microg/mL (P=.009), abolishing the sex difference in DHEAS change by age 79. Presence of CVD before the study period was associated with greater absolute DHEAS change (beta=-0.04 microg/mL, P=.04) and with the fourth quartile of DHEAS change versus the first to third quartiles (odds ratio=1.46, 95\% confidence interval=1.03-2.05).

CONCLUSION: DHEAS change continues into very old age, is not homogenous, is affected by sex, and is associated with prevalent CVD. Future studies should investigate factors that might accelerate DHEAS decline.

}, keywords = {Age Distribution, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Biomarkers, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cross-Sectional Studies, Dehydroepiandrosterone Sulfate, Female, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Multivariate Analysis, Regression Analysis, Sex Distribution, United States}, issn = {1532-5415}, doi = {10.1111/j.1532-5415.2010.02724.x}, author = {Sanders, Jason L and Boudreau, Robert M and Cappola, Anne R and Arnold, Alice M and Robbins, John and Cushman, Mary and Newman, Anne B} } @article {1318, title = {Measurement of organ structure and function enhances understanding of the physiological basis of frailty: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {59}, year = {2011}, month = {2011 Sep}, pages = {1581-8}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether disease burden is associated with frailty independent of diagnosed chronic disease and whether physiological measurements provide greater understanding of the etiology of frailty.

DESIGN: Cross-sectional.

SETTING: Community.

PARTICIPANTS: Two thousand four hundred thirty-seven participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study, 1992/93 examination (mean age 74.8 {\textpm} 4.8, 43.4\% male, 95.8\% white).

MEASUREMENTS: Disease burden and frailty were tabulated using 10-point scales (0 = healthy, 10 = unhealthy). Disease burden was the sum of measurements characterizing the vasculature, brain, kidneys, lungs, and glucose metabolism. Frailty was assessed using the frailty index reported by Fried. Multivariate linear models were used to determine the association between disease burden (predictor) and frailty (outcome).

RESULTS: Unadjusted, 1-point-higher disease burden was associated with a 0.28-point-higher frailty score (P < .001). White matter grade, forced vital capacity, and cystatin-C were particularly strongly and significantly associated with frailty. Disease burden attenuated the association between frailty and age by 29\%, and disease burden and age had similar associations with frailty. Disease burden attenuated the association between frailty and fibrinogen, Factor VIII, and C-reactive protein by 32\%, 56\%, and 83\%, respectively. Frailty was associated with diagnosed depression, stroke, cognitive impairment, arthritis, and pulmonary disease but not coronary heart disease, diabetes mellitus, or kidney disease in the presence of a summary of disease burden. In the adjusted model, disease burden remained significantly associated with frailty (β = 0.11, P < .001).

CONCLUSION: Disease burden was independently and significantly associated with frailty. These results emphasize that typically unrecognized physiological changes may contribute significantly to frailty.

}, keywords = {Aged, 80 and over, Cardiovascular Diseases, Chronic Disease, Cost of Illness, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Frail Elderly, Humans, Male}, issn = {1532-5415}, doi = {10.1111/j.1532-5415.2011.03557.x}, author = {Sanders, Jason L and Boudreau, Robert M and Fried, Linda P and Walston, Jeremy D and Harris, Tamara B and Newman, Anne B} } @article {1328, title = {Leukocyte telomere length is associated with noninvasively measured age-related disease: The Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci}, volume = {67}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 Apr}, pages = {409-16}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Most studies of leukocyte telomere length (LTL) focus on diagnosed disease in one system. A more encompassing depiction of health is disease burden, defined here as the sum of noninvasively measured markers of structure or function in different organ systems. We determined if (a) shorter LTL is associated with greater age-related disease burden and (b) shorter LTL is less strongly associated with disease in individual systems or diagnosed chronic conditions (cardiovascular disease, stroke, pulmonary disease, diabetes, kidney disease, arthritis, or depression).

METHODS: LTL was measured by Southern blots of terminal restriction fragment length. Age-related disease was measured noninvasively and included carotid intima-media thickness, lung vital capacity, white matter grade, cystatin-C, and fasting glucose; each graded 0 (best tertile), 1 (middle tertile), or 2 (worst tertile) and summed (0 to 10) to estimate disease burden. Of 419 participants randomly selected for LTL measurement, 236 had disease burden assessed (mean [SD] age 74.2 [4.9] years, 42.4\% male, 86.8\% white, and 13.2\% black).

RESULTS: Mean (SD) LTL was 6,312 (615) bp, and disease score was 4.7 (2.1) points. An SD higher disease score (β [SE] = -132 [47] bp, p < .01), age (β [SE] = -107 [46], p = .02) or carotid thickness (β [SE] = -95 [40] bp, p = .02) was associated with shorter LTL, but diagnosed conditions or number of conditions were not associated with LTL. Disease score attenuated the effect of age on LTL by 35\%.

CONCLUSION: LTL was associated with a characterization of age-related disease burden across multiple physiologic systems, which was comparable to, but independent of, its association with age.

}, keywords = {African Americans, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cardiovascular Diseases, Carotid Intima-Media Thickness, Chronic Disease, Cystatin C, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Humans, Leukocytes, Lung, Male, Middle Aged, Telomere Homeostasis}, issn = {1758-535X}, doi = {10.1093/gerona/glr173}, author = {Sanders, Jason L and Fitzpatrick, Annette L and Boudreau, Robert M and Arnold, Alice M and Aviv, Abraham and Kimura, Masayuki and Fried, Linda F and Harris, Tamara B and Newman, Anne B} } @article {6000, title = {Do changes in circulating biomarkers track with each other and with functional changes in older adults?}, journal = {J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci}, volume = {69}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Feb}, pages = {174-81}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: It is unclear if changes in proposed circulating biomarkers of aging are strongly correlated to each other or functional change. We tested if biomarker changes track with each other and with functional measures over 9 years in older adults.

METHODS: Dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate (DHEAS), adiponectin, insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1), IGF binding proteins 1 (IGFBP-1) and 3 (IGFBP-3), interleukin-6 (IL-6), cholesterol, and function (gait speed, grip strength, Modified Mini Mental Status Exam [3MSE] and Digit Symbol Substitution Test [DSST] scores) were measured in 1996-1997 and 2005-2006 in the Cardiovascular Health Study All Stars study (N = 901, mean [standard deviation, SD] age 85.3 [3.6] years in 2005-2006). Adjusted Pearson correlations illustrated if biomarkers tracked together. Multivariable linear regression demonstrated if biomarker changes tracked with functional changes.

RESULTS: Correlations among biomarker changes were mostly <0.2. In models with each biomarker entered separately, a 1-SD increase biomarker change was associated with change in function as follows: grip strength (DHEAS β = 0.61kg, p = .001; IL-6 β = -0.46kg, p = .012; cholesterol men β = 0.79kg, p = .016); gait speed (DHEAS β = 0.02 meters per second, p = .039; IL-6 β = -0.018 meters per second, p = .049); and DSST score (DHEAS women β = 1.46, p = .004; IL-6 β = -0.83, p = .027). When biomarkers were entered in the same model, significant associations remaining were as follows: grip strength (DHEAS β = 0.54kg, p = .005; IL-6 β = -0.43kg, p = .022); 3MSE score (IGF-1 β = 0.96, p = .04; IGFBP-3 β = -1.07, p = .024); and DSST score (DHEAS women β = 1.27, p = .012; IL-6 β = -0.80, p = .04).

CONCLUSION: Changes in biomarkers were poorly correlated, supporting a model of stochastic, independent change across systems. DHEAS and IL-6 tracked most closely with function, illustrating that changes in inflammation and sex steroids may play dominant roles in changes of these functional outcomes.

}, keywords = {Adiponectin, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Biomarkers, Cholesterol, Cognition, Cohort Studies, Dehydroepiandrosterone Sulfate, Female, Gait, Hand Strength, Humans, Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 1, Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 3, Insulin-Like Growth Factor I, Interleukin-6, Male, Neuropsychological Tests, Psychomotor Performance, Time Factors}, issn = {1758-535X}, doi = {10.1093/gerona/glt088}, author = {Sanders, Jason L and Ding, Victoria and Arnold, Alice M and Kaplan, Robert C and Cappola, Anne R and Kizer, Jorge R and Boudreau, Robert M and Cushman, Mary and Newman, Anne B} } @article {6280, title = {Heritability of and mortality prediction with a longevity phenotype: the healthy aging index.}, journal = {J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci}, volume = {69}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Apr}, pages = {479-85}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Longevity-associated genes may modulate risk for age-related diseases and survival. The Healthy Aging Index (HAI) may be a subphenotype of longevity, which can be constructed in many studies for genetic analysis. We investigated the HAI{\textquoteright}s association with survival in the Cardiovascular Health Study and heritability in the Long Life Family Study.

METHODS: The HAI includes systolic blood pressure, pulmonary vital capacity, creatinine, fasting glucose, and Modified Mini-Mental Status Examination score, each scored 0, 1, or 2 using approximate tertiles and summed from 0 (healthy) to 10 (unhealthy). In Cardiovascular Health Study, the association with mortality and accuracy predicting death were determined with Cox proportional hazards analysis and c-statistics, respectively. In Long Life Family Study, heritability was determined with a variance component-based family analysis using a polygenic model.

RESULTS: Cardiovascular Health Study participants with unhealthier index scores (7-10) had 2.62-fold (95\% confidence interval: 2.22, 3.10) greater mortality than participants with healthier scores (0-2). The HAI alone predicted death moderately well (c-statistic = 0.643, 95\% confidence interval: 0.626, 0.661, p < .0001) and slightly worse than age alone (c-statistic = 0.700, 95\% confidence interval: 0.684, 0.717, p < .0001; p < .0001 for comparison of c-statistics). Prediction increased significantly with adjustment for demographics, health behaviors, and clinical comorbidities (c-statistic = 0.780, 95\% confidence interval: 0.765, 0.794, p < .0001). In Long Life Family Study, the heritability of the HAI was 0.295 (p < .0001) overall, 0.387 (p < .0001) in probands, and 0.238 (p = .0004) in offspring.

CONCLUSION: The HAI should be investigated further as a candidate phenotype for uncovering longevity-associated genes in humans.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aging, Cardiovascular Diseases, Female, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Genotype, Health Behavior, Humans, Longevity, Male, Phenotype, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, Survival Rate, United States}, issn = {1758-535X}, doi = {10.1093/gerona/glt117}, author = {Sanders, Jason L and Minster, Ryan L and Barmada, M Michael and Matteini, Amy M and Boudreau, Robert M and Christensen, Kaare and Mayeux, Richard and Borecki, Ingrid B and Zhang, Qunyuan and Perls, Thomas and Newman, Anne B} } @article {6589, title = {Subclinical vascular disease burden and longer survival.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {62}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Sep}, pages = {1692-8}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To determine the contribution of gradations of subclinical vascular disease (SVD) to the likelihood of longer survival and to determine what allows some individuals with SVD to live longer.

DESIGN: Cohort study.

SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study.

PARTICIPANTS: Individuals born between June 30, 1918, and June 30, 1921 (N~=~2,082; aged 70-75 at baseline (1992-93)).

MEASUREMENTS: A SVD index was scored as 0 for no abnormalities, 1 for mild abnormalities, and 2 for severe abnormalities on ankle-arm index, electrocardiogram, and common carotid intima-media thickness measured at baseline. Survival groups were categorized as 80 and younger, 81 to 84, 85 to 89, and 90 and older.

RESULTS: A 1-point lower SVD score was associated with 1.22 greater odds (95\% confidence interval~=~1.14-1.31) of longer survival, independent of potential confounders. This association was unchanged after adjustment for intermediate incident cardiovascular events. There was suggestion of an interaction between kidney function, smoking, and C-reactive protein and SVD; the association between SVD and longer survival appeared to be modestly greater in persons with poor kidney function, inflammation, or a history of smoking.

CONCLUSION: A lower burden of SVD is associated with longer survival, independent of intermediate cardiovascular events. Abstinence from smoking, better kidney function, and lower inflammation may attenuate the effects of higher SVD and promote longer survival.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, C-Reactive Protein, Carotid Intima-Media Thickness, Cohort Studies, Cystatin C, Depression, Diabetes Mellitus, Electrocardiography, Female, Humans, Inflammation, Kidney Diseases, Male, Smoking, Survival Analysis, United States, Vascular Diseases}, issn = {1532-5415}, doi = {10.1111/jgs.13018}, author = {Odden, Michelle C and Yee, Laura M and Arnold, Alice M and Sanders, Jason L and Hirsch, Calvin and DeFilippi, Christopher and Kizer, Jorge R and Inzitari, Marco and Newman, Anne B} } @article {6703, title = {Genome-Wide Association Study and Linkage Analysis of the Healthy Aging Index.}, journal = {J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci}, volume = {70}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Aug}, pages = {1003-8}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: The Healthy Aging Index (HAI) is a tool for measuring the extent of health and disease across multiple systems.

METHODS: We conducted a genome-wide association study and a genome-wide linkage analysis to map quantitative trait loci associated with the HAI and a modified HAI weighted for mortality risk in 3,140 individuals selected for familial longevity from the Long Life Family Study. The genome-wide association study used the Long Life Family Study as the discovery cohort and individuals from the Cardiovascular Health Study and the Framingham Heart Study as replication cohorts.

RESULTS: There were no genome-wide significant findings from the genome-wide association study; however, several single-nucleotide polymorphisms near ZNF704 on chromosome 8q21.13 were suggestively associated with the HAI in the Long Life Family Study (p < 10(-) (6)) and nominally replicated in the Cardiovascular Health Study and Framingham Heart Study. Linkage results revealed significant evidence (log-odds score = 3.36) for a quantitative trait locus for mortality-optimized HAI in women on chromosome 9p24-p23. However, results of fine-mapping studies did not implicate any specific candidate genes within this region of interest.

CONCLUSIONS: ZNF704 may be a potential candidate gene for studies of the genetic underpinnings of longevity.

}, keywords = {Aging, Apolipoproteins E, Forkhead Transcription Factors, Genetic Linkage, Genome-Wide Association Study, Humans, Longevity, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Quantitative Trait Loci}, issn = {1758-535X}, doi = {10.1093/gerona/glv006}, author = {Minster, Ryan L and Sanders, Jason L and Singh, Jatinder and Kammerer, Candace M and Barmada, M Michael and Matteini, Amy M and Zhang, Qunyuan and Wojczynski, Mary K and Daw, E Warwick and Brody, Jennifer A and Arnold, Alice M and Lunetta, Kathryn L and Murabito, Joanne M and Christensen, Kaare and Perls, Thomas T and Province, Michael A and Newman, Anne B} } @article {6596, title = {Multisystem physiologic impairments and changes in gait speed of older adults.}, journal = {J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci}, volume = {70}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Mar}, pages = {319-24}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Slowed gait is an important health indicator in older adults but a single identifiable cause is often lacking. We assessed whether a summary index measuring impairments across multiple physiologic systems was associated with slowed gait in older individuals.

METHODS: Data from the Cardiovascular Health Study (n = 3,010) were used to assess associations between baseline physiologic index (measuring vasculature, brain, kidneys, lungs, and glucose metabolism; range 0-10 with 0-2 points/system and lower score indicating higher function) and annual gait speed (m/s) over 6 years. Participants with complete data on the physiologic index and at least two gait speed measures were included. Mean gait speed and 95\% confidence intervals (CI) by category of index were calculated using mixed effects models.

RESULTS: Those with scores of three or higher on the index had significantly slower gait speed at baseline compared to those with scores of 0-2 (7-10: mean speed = 0.83 m/s, 95\% CI: 0.80, 0.84; 0-2: mean speed = 1.01 m/s, 95\% CI: 0.99, 1.03). Those with higher indices also had faster decline in gait speed compared to those with lower scores after adjustment for demographic and health characteristics (7-10: change in speed = -0.020 m/s/year, 95\% CI: -0.024, -0.016; 0-2: change in speed= -0.010 m/s/year, 95\% CI: -0.014, -0.006).

CONCLUSIONS: Greater impairment across five organ systems was associated with slower gait speed and greater declines in gait speed over 6 years. Impairments accumulated over multiple physiologic systems may make older adults more vulnerable to slow gait speed.

}, keywords = {Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Brain, Cardiovascular Physiological Phenomena, Cohort Studies, Female, Gait, Geriatric Assessment, Glucose, Health Status Indicators, Humans, Kidney, Lung, Male, Sensitivity and Specificity, Time Factors}, issn = {1758-535X}, doi = {10.1093/gerona/glu176}, author = {Rosso, Andrea L and Sanders, Jason L and Arnold, Alice M and Boudreau, Robert M and Hirsch, Calvin H and Carlson, Michelle C and Rosano, Caterina and Kritchevsky, Stephen B and Newman, Anne B} } @article {8097, title = {Discriminative Accuracy of FEV1:FVC Thresholds for COPD-Related Hospitalization and Mortality.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {321}, year = {2019}, month = {2019 06 25}, pages = {2438-2447}, abstract = {

Importance: According to numerous current guidelines, the diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) requires a ratio of the forced expiratory volume in the first second to the forced vital capacity (FEV1:FVC) of less than 0.70, yet this fixed threshold is based on expert opinion and remains controversial.

Objective: To determine the discriminative accuracy of various FEV1:FVC fixed thresholds for predicting COPD-related hospitalization and mortality.

Design, Setting, and Participants: The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) Pooled Cohorts Study harmonized and pooled data from 4 US general population-based cohorts (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study; Cardiovascular Health Study; Health, Aging, and Body Composition Study; and Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis). Participants aged 45 to 102 years were enrolled from 1987 to 2000 and received follow-up longitudinally through 2016.

Exposures: Presence of airflow obstruction, which was defined by a baseline FEV1:FVC less than a range of fixed thresholds (0.75 to 0.65) or less than the lower limit of normal as defined by Global Lung Initiative reference equations (LLN).

Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was a composite of COPD hospitalization and COPD-related mortality, defined by adjudication or administrative criteria. The optimal fixed FEV1:FVC threshold was defined by the best discrimination for these COPD-related events as indexed using the Harrell C statistic from unadjusted Cox proportional hazards models. Differences in C statistics were compared with respect to less than 0.70 and less than LLN thresholds using a nonparametric approach.

Results: Among 24 207 adults in the pooled cohort (mean [SD] age at enrollment, 63 [10.5] years; 12 990 [54\%] women; 16 794 [69\%] non-Hispanic white; 15 181 [63\%] ever smokers), complete follow-up was available for 11 077 (77\%) at 15 years. During a median follow-up of 15 years, 3925 participants experienced COPD-related events over 340 757 person-years of follow-up (incidence density rate, 11.5 per 1000 person-years), including 3563 COPD-related hospitalizations and 447 COPD-related deaths. With respect to discrimination of COPD-related events, the optimal fixed threshold (0.71; C statistic for optimal fixed threshold, 0.696) was not significantly different from the 0.70 threshold (difference, 0.001 [95\% CI, -0.002 to 0.004]) but was more accurate than the LLN threshold (difference, 0.034 [95\% CI, 0.028 to 0.041]). The 0.70 threshold provided optimal discrimination in the subgroup analysis of ever smokers and in adjusted models.

Conclusions and Relevance: Defining airflow obstruction as FEV1:FVC less than 0.70 provided discrimination of COPD-related hospitalization and mortality that was not significantly different or was more accurate than other fixed thresholds and the LLN. These results support the use of FEV1:FVC less than 0.70 to identify individuals at risk of clinically significant COPD.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cohort Studies, Female, Forced Expiratory Volume, Hospitalization, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Prognosis, Proportional Hazards Models, Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive, Risk Assessment, Vital Capacity}, issn = {1538-3598}, doi = {10.1001/jama.2019.7233}, author = {Bhatt, Surya P and Balte, Pallavi P and Schwartz, Joseph E and Cassano, Patricia A and Couper, David and Jacobs, David R and Kalhan, Ravi and O{\textquoteright}Connor, George T and Yende, Sachin and Sanders, Jason L and Umans, Jason G and Dransfield, Mark T and Chaves, Paulo H and White, Wendy B and Oelsner, Elizabeth C} } @article {9114, title = {Association Between Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry and Clinical Outcomes in US Adults.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {326}, year = {2021}, month = {2021 12 14}, pages = {2287-2298}, abstract = {

Importance: Chronic lung diseases are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality. Unlike chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, clinical outcomes associated with proportional reductions in expiratory lung volumes without obstruction, otherwise known as preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm), are poorly understood.

Objective: To examine the prevalence, correlates, and clinical outcomes associated with PRISm in US adults.

Design, Setting, and Participants: The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) Pooled Cohorts Study was a retrospective study with harmonized pooled data from 9 US general population-based cohorts (enrollment, 65 251 participants aged 18 to 102 years of whom 53 701 participants had valid baseline lung function) conducted from 1971-2011 (final follow-up, December 2018).

Exposures: Participants were categorized into mutually exclusive groups by baseline lung function. PRISm was defined as the ratio of forced expiratory volume in the first second to forced vital capacity (FEV1:FVC) greater than or equal to 0.70 and FEV1 less than 80\% predicted; obstructive spirometry FEV1:FVC ratio of less than 0.70; and normal spirometry FEV1:FVC ratio greater than or equal to 0.7 and FEV1 greater than or equal to 80\% predicted.

Main Outcomes and Measures: Main outcomes were all-cause mortality, respiratory-related mortality, coronary heart disease (CHD)-related mortality, respiratory-related events (hospitalizations and mortality), and CHD-related events (hospitalizations and mortality) classified by adjudication or validated administrative criteria. Absolute risks were adjusted for age and smoking status. Poisson and Cox proportional hazards models comparing PRISm vs normal spirometry were adjusted for age, sex, race and ethnicity, education, body mass index, smoking status, cohort, and comorbidities.

Results: Among all participants (mean [SD] age, 53.2 [15.8] years, 56.4\% women, 48.5\% never-smokers), 4582 (8.5\%) had PRISm. The presence of PRISm relative to normal spirometry was significantly associated with obesity (prevalence, 48.3\% vs 31.4\%; prevalence ratio [PR], 1.68 [95\% CI, 1.55-1.82]), underweight (prevalence, 1.4\% vs 1.0\%; PR, 2.20 [95\% CI, 1.72-2.82]), female sex (prevalence, 60.3\% vs 59.0\%; PR, 1.07 [95\% CI, 1.01-1.13]), and current smoking (prevalence, 25.2\% vs 17.5\%; PR, 1.33 [95\% CI, 1.22-1.45]). PRISm, compared with normal spirometry, was significantly associated with greater all-cause mortality (29.6/1000 person-years vs 18.0/1000 person-years; difference, 11.6/1000 person-years [95\% CI, 10.0-13.1]; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.50 [95\% CI, 1.42-1.59]), respiratory-related mortality (2.1/1000 person-years vs 1.0/1000 person-years; difference, 1.1/1000 person-years [95\% CI, 0.7-1.6]; adjusted HR, 1.95 [95\% CI, 1.54-2.48]), CHD-related mortality (5.4/1000 person-years vs 2.6/1000 person-years; difference, 2.7/1000 person-years [95\% CI, 2.1-3.4]; adjusted HR, 1.55 [95\% CI, 1.36-1.77]), respiratory-related events (12.2/1000 person-years vs 6.0/1000 person-years; difference, 6.2/1000 person-years [95\% CI, 4.9-7.5]; adjusted HR, 1.90 [95\% CI, 1.69-2.14]), and CHD-related events (11.7/1000 person-years vs 7.0/1000 person-years; difference, 4.7/1000 person-years [95\% CI, 3.7-5.8]; adjusted HR, 1.30 [95\% CI, 1.18-1.42]).

Conclusions and Relevance: In a large, population-based sample of US adults, baseline PRISm, compared with normal spirometry, was associated with a small but statistically significant increased risk for mortality and adverse cardiovascular and respiratory outcomes. Further research is needed to explore whether this association is causal.

}, keywords = {Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cardiovascular Diseases, Female, Forced Expiratory Volume, Humans, Lung, Lung Diseases, Male, Middle Aged, Prevalence, Retrospective Studies, Spirometry, United States, Vital Capacity}, issn = {1538-3598}, doi = {10.1001/jama.2021.20939}, author = {Wan, Emily S and Balte, Pallavi and Schwartz, Joseph E and Bhatt, Surya P and Cassano, Patricia A and Couper, David and Daviglus, Martha L and Dransfield, Mark T and Gharib, Sina A and Jacobs, David R and Kalhan, Ravi and London, Stephanie J and Navas-Acien, Ana and O{\textquoteright}Connor, George T and Sanders, Jason L and Smith, Benjamin M and White, Wendy and Yende, Sachin and Oelsner, Elizabeth C} } @article {9255, title = {Plasma proteomic signature of decline in gait speed and grip strength.}, journal = {Aging Cell}, volume = {21}, year = {2022}, month = {2022 Dec}, pages = {e13736}, abstract = {

The biological mechanisms underlying decline in physical function with age remain unclear. We examined the plasma proteomic profile associated with longitudinal changes in physical function measured by gait speed and grip strength in community-dwelling adults. We applied an aptamer-based platform to assay 1154 plasma proteins on 2854 participants (60\% women, aged 76 years) in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) in 1992-1993 and 1130 participants (55\% women, aged 54 years) in the Framingham Offspring Study (FOS) in 1991-1995. Gait speed and grip strength were measured annually for 7 years in CHS and at cycles 7 (1998-2001) and 8 (2005-2008) in FOS. The associations of individual protein levels (log-transformed and standardized) with longitudinal changes in gait speed and grip strength in two populations were examined separately by linear mixed-effects models. Meta-analyses were implemented using random-effects models and corrected for multiple testing. We found that plasma levels of 14 and 18 proteins were associated with changes in gait speed and grip strength, respectively (corrected p~< 0.05). The proteins most strongly associated with gait speed decline were GDF-15 (Meta-analytic p~= 1.58 {\texttimes} 10 ), pleiotrophin (1.23 {\texttimes} 10 ), and TIMP-1 (5.97 {\texttimes} 10 ). For grip strength decline, the strongest associations were for carbonic anhydrase III (1.09 {\texttimes} 10 ), CDON (2.38 {\texttimes} 10 ), and SMOC1 (7.47 {\texttimes} 10 ). Several statistically significant proteins are involved in the inflammatory responses or antagonism of activin by follistatin pathway. These novel proteomic biomarkers and pathways should be further explored as future mechanisms and targets for age-related functional decline.

}, keywords = {Adult, Female, Gait, Hand Strength, Humans, Independent Living, Male, Proteomics, Walking Speed}, issn = {1474-9726}, doi = {10.1111/acel.13736}, author = {Liu, Xiaojuan and Pan, Stephanie and Xanthakis, Vanessa and Vasan, Ramachandran S and Psaty, Bruce M and Austin, Thomas R and Newman, Anne B and Sanders, Jason L and Wu, Chenkai and Tracy, Russell P and Gerszten, Robert E and Odden, Michelle C} } @article {9156, title = {Pooled Cohort Probability Score for Subclinical Airflow Obstruction.}, journal = {Ann Am Thorac Soc}, volume = {19}, year = {2022}, month = {2022 08}, pages = {1294-1304}, abstract = {

Early detection of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a public health priority. Airflow obstruction is the single most important risk factor for adverse COPD outcomes, but spirometry is not routinely recommended for screening. To describe the burden of subclinical airflow obstruction (SAO) and to develop a probability score for SAO to inform potential detection and prevention programs. Lung function and clinical data were harmonized and pooled across nine U.S. general population cohorts. Adults with respiratory symptoms, inhaler use, or prior diagnosis of COPD or asthma were excluded. A probability score for prevalent SAO (forced expiratory volume in 1 second/forced vital capacity < 0.70) was developed via hierarchical group-lasso regularization from clinical variables in strata of sex and smoking status, and its discriminative accuracy for SAO was assessed in the pooled cohort as well as in an external validation cohort (NHANES [National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey] 2011-2012). Incident hospitalizations and deaths due to COPD (respiratory events) were defined by adjudication or administrative criteria in four of nine cohorts. Of 33,546 participants (mean age 52 yr, 54\% female, 44\% non-Hispanic White), 4,424 (13.2\%) had prevalent SAO. The incidence of respiratory events ( = 14,024) was threefold higher in participants with SAO versus those without (152 vs. 39 events/10,000 person-years). The probability score, which was based on six commonly available variables (age, sex, race and/or ethnicity, body mass index, smoking status, and smoking pack-years) was well calibrated and showed excellent discrimination in both the testing sample (C-statistic, 0.81; 95\% confidence interval [CI], 0.80-0.82) and in NHANES (C-statistic, 0.83; 95\% CI, 0.80-0.86). Among participants with predicted probabilities ⩾ 15\%, 3.2 would need to undergo spirometry to detect one case of SAO. Adults with SAO demonstrate excess respiratory hospitalization and mortality. A probability score for SAO using commonly available clinical risk factors may be suitable for targeting screening and primary prevention strategies.

}, keywords = {Adult, Female, Forced Expiratory Volume, Humans, Lung, Male, Middle Aged, Nutrition Surveys, Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive, Risk Factors, Spirometry, Vital Capacity}, issn = {2325-6621}, doi = {10.1513/AnnalsATS.202109-1020OC}, author = {Bhatt, Surya P and Balte, Pallavi P and Schwartz, Joseph E and Jaeger, Byron C and Cassano, Patricia A and Chaves, Paulo H and Couper, David and Jacobs, David R and Kalhan, Ravi and Kaplan, Robert and Lloyd-Jones, Donald and Newman, Anne B and O{\textquoteright}Connor, George and Sanders, Jason L and Smith, Benjamin M and Sun, Yifei and Umans, Jason G and White, Wendy B and Yende, Sachin and Oelsner, Elizabeth C} }