@article {1195, title = {Prevalence of asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis in the general population: an individual participant data meta-analysis.}, journal = {Stroke}, volume = {41}, year = {2010}, month = {2010 Jun}, pages = {1294-7}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: In the discussion on the cost-effectiveness of screening, precise estimates of severe asymptomatic carotid stenosis are vital. Accordingly, we assessed the prevalence of moderate and severe asymptomatic carotid stenosis by age and sex using pooled cohort data.

METHODS: We performed an individual participant data meta-analysis (23 706 participants) of 4 population-based studies (Malm{\"o} Diet and Cancer Study, Troms{\o}, Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression Study, and Cardiovascular Health Study). Outcomes of interest were asymptomatic moderate (> or =50\%) and severe carotid stenosis (> or =70\%).

RESULTS: Prevalence of moderate asymptomatic carotid stenosis ranged from 0.2\% (95\% CI, 0.0\% to 0.4\%) in men aged <50 years to 7.5\% (5.2\% to 10.5\%) in men aged > or =80 years. For women, this prevalence increased from 0\% (0\% to 0.2\%) to 5.0\% (3.1\% to 7.5\%). Prevalence of severe asymptomatic carotid stenosis ranged from 0.1\% (0.0\% to 0.3\%) in men aged <50 years to 3.1\% (1.7\% to 5.3\%) in men aged > or =80. For women, this prevalence increased from 0\% (0.0\% to 0.2\%) to 0.9\% (0.3\% to 2.4\%).

CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of severe asymptomatic carotid stenosis in the general population ranges from 0\% to 3.1\%, which is useful information in the discussion on the cost-effectiveness of screening.

}, keywords = {Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Carotid Stenosis, Female, Humans, Male, Mass Screening, Middle Aged, Prevalence, Severity of Illness Index, Sex Factors}, issn = {1524-4628}, doi = {10.1161/STROKEAHA.110.581058}, author = {de Weerd, Marjolein and Greving, Jacoba P and Hedblad, Bo and Lorenz, Matthias W and Mathiesen, Ellisiv B and O{\textquoteright}Leary, Daniel H and Rosvall, Maria and Sitzer, Matthias and Buskens, Erik and Bots, Michiel L} } @article {1323, title = {Meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies from the CHARGE consortium identifies common variants associated with carotid intima media thickness and plaque.}, journal = {Nat Genet}, volume = {43}, year = {2011}, month = {2011 Sep 11}, pages = {940-7}, abstract = {

Carotid intima media thickness (cIMT) and plaque determined by ultrasonography are established measures of subclinical atherosclerosis that each predicts future cardiovascular disease events. We conducted a meta-analysis of genome-wide association data in 31,211 participants of European ancestry from nine large studies in the setting of the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium. We then sought additional evidence to support our findings among 11,273 individuals using data from seven additional studies. In the combined meta-analysis, we identified three genomic regions associated with common carotid intima media thickness and two different regions associated with the presence of carotid plaque (P < 5 {\texttimes} 10(-8)). The associated SNPs mapped in or near genes related to cellular signaling, lipid metabolism and blood pressure homeostasis, and two of the regions were associated with coronary artery disease (P < 0.006) in the Coronary Artery Disease Genome-Wide Replication and Meta-Analysis (CARDIoGRAM) consortium. Our findings may provide new insight into pathways leading to subclinical atherosclerosis and subsequent cardiovascular events.

}, keywords = {Adult, Aged, Aging, Atherosclerosis, Carotid Intima-Media Thickness, Cohort Studies, Coronary Artery Disease, European Continental Ancestry Group, Genetic Loci, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Genome, Human, Genome-Wide Association Study, Genotype, Heart, Humans, Middle Aged, Phenotype, Plaque, Atherosclerotic, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Risk Factors}, issn = {1546-1718}, doi = {10.1038/ng.920}, author = {Bis, Joshua C and Kavousi, Maryam and Franceschini, Nora and Isaacs, Aaron and Abecasis, Goncalo R and Schminke, Ulf and Post, Wendy S and Smith, Albert V and Cupples, L Adrienne and Markus, Hugh S and Schmidt, Reinhold and Huffman, Jennifer E and Lehtim{\"a}ki, Terho and Baumert, Jens and M{\"u}nzel, Thomas and Heckbert, Susan R and Dehghan, Abbas and North, Kari and Oostra, Ben and Bevan, Steve and Stoegerer, Eva-Maria and Hayward, Caroline and Raitakari, Olli and Meisinger, Christa and Schillert, Arne and Sanna, Serena and V{\"o}lzke, Henry and Cheng, Yu-Ching and Thorsson, Bolli and Fox, Caroline S and Rice, Kenneth and Rivadeneira, Fernando and Nambi, Vijay and Halperin, Eran and Petrovic, Katja E and Peltonen, Leena and Wichmann, H Erich and Schnabel, Renate B and D{\"o}rr, Marcus and Parsa, Afshin and Aspelund, Thor and Demissie, Serkalem and Kathiresan, Sekar and Reilly, Muredach P and Taylor, Kent and Uitterlinden, Andre and Couper, David J and Sitzer, Matthias and K{\"a}h{\"o}nen, Mika and Illig, Thomas and Wild, Philipp S and Orr{\`u}, Marco and L{\"u}demann, Jan and Shuldiner, Alan R and Eiriksdottir, Gudny and White, Charles C and Rotter, Jerome I and Hofman, Albert and Seissler, Jochen and Zeller, Tanja and Usala, Gianluca and Ernst, Florian and Launer, Lenore J and D{\textquoteright}Agostino, Ralph B and O{\textquoteright}Leary, Daniel H and Ballantyne, Christie and Thiery, Joachim and Ziegler, Andreas and Lakatta, Edward G and Chilukoti, Ravi Kumar and Harris, Tamara B and Wolf, Philip A and Psaty, Bruce M and Polak, Joseph F and Li, Xia and Rathmann, Wolfgang and Uda, Manuela and Boerwinkle, Eric and Klopp, Norman and Schmidt, Helena and Wilson, James F and Viikari, Jorma and Koenig, Wolfgang and Blankenberg, Stefan and Newman, Anne B and Witteman, Jacqueline and Heiss, Gerardo and Duijn, Cornelia van and Scuteri, Angelo and Homuth, Georg and Mitchell, Braxton D and Gudnason, Vilmundur and O{\textquoteright}Donnell, Christopher J} } @article {6549, title = {Common carotid intima-media thickness measurements do not improve cardiovascular risk prediction in individuals with elevated blood pressure: the USE-IMT collaboration.}, journal = {Hypertension}, volume = {63}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Jun}, pages = {1173-81}, abstract = {

Carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) is a marker of cardiovascular risk. It is unclear whether measurement of mean common CIMT improves 10-year risk prediction of first-time myocardial infarction or stroke in individuals with elevated blood pressure. We performed an analysis among individuals with elevated blood pressure (i.e., a systolic blood pressure >=140 mm Hg and a diastolic blood pressure >= 90 mm Hg) in USE-IMT, a large ongoing individual participant data meta-analysis. We refitted the risk factors of the Framingham Risk Score on asymptomatic individuals (baseline model) and expanded this model with mean common CIMT (CIMT model) measurements. From both models, 10-year risks to develop a myocardial infarction or stroke were estimated. In individuals with elevated blood pressure, we compared discrimination and calibration of the 2 models and calculated the net reclassification improvement (NRI). We included 17 254 individuals with elevated blood pressure from 16 studies. During a median follow-up of 9.9 years, 2014 first-time myocardial infarctions or strokes occurred. The C-statistics of the baseline and CIMT models were similar (0.73). NRI with the addition of mean common CIMT was small and not significant (1.4\%; 95\% confidence intervals, -1.1 to 3.7). In those at intermediate risk (n=5008, 10-year absolute risk of 10\% to 20\%), the NRI was 5.6\% (95\% confidence intervals, 1.6-10.4). There is no added value of measurement of mean common CIMT in individuals with elevated blood pressure for improving cardiovascular risk prediction. For those at intermediate risk, the addition of mean common CIMT to an existing cardiovascular risk score is small but statistically significant.

}, keywords = {Adult, Aged, Antihypertensive Agents, Blood Pressure, Cardiovascular Diseases, Carotid Artery, Common, Carotid Intima-Media Thickness, Cohort Studies, Female, Humans, Hypertension, Male, Meta-Analysis as Topic, Middle Aged, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors}, issn = {1524-4563}, doi = {10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.113.02683}, author = {Bots, Michiel L and Groenewegen, Karlijn A and Anderson, Todd J and Britton, Annie R and Dekker, Jacqueline M and Engstr{\"o}m, Gunnar and Evans, Greg W and de Graaf, Jacqueline and Grobbee, Diederick E and Hedblad, Bo and Hofman, Albert and Holewijn, Suzanne and Ikeda, Ai and Kavousi, Maryam and Kitagawa, Kazuo and Kitamura, Akihiko and Ikram, M Arfan and Lonn, Eva M and Lorenz, Matthias W and Mathiesen, Ellisiv B and Nijpels, Giel and Okazaki, Shuhei and O{\textquoteright}Leary, Daniel H and Polak, Joseph F and Price, Jacqueline F and Robertson, Christine and Rembold, Christopher M and Rosvall, Maria and Rundek, Tatjana and Salonen, Jukka T and Sitzer, Matthias and Stehouwer, Coen D A and Franco, Oscar H and Peters, Sanne A E and den Ruijter, Hester M} } @article {6557, title = {Prediction of asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis in the general population: identification of high-risk groups.}, journal = {Stroke}, volume = {45}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Aug}, pages = {2366-71}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Because of a low prevalence of severe carotid stenosis in the general population, screening for presence of asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis (ACAS) is not warranted. Possibly, for certain subgroups, screening is worthwhile. The present study aims to develop prediction rules for the presence of ACAS (>50\% and >70\%).

METHODS: Individual participant data from 4 population-based cohort studies (Malm{\"o} Diet and Cancer Study, Troms{\o} Study, Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression Study, and Cardiovascular Health Study; totaling 23 706 participants) were pooled. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to determine which variables predict presence of ACAS (>50\% and >70\%). Calibration and discrimination of the models were assessed, and bootstrapping was used to correct for overfitting.

RESULTS: Age, sex, history of vascular disease, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein ratio, diabetes mellitus, and current smoking were predictors of stenosis (>50\% and >70\%). The calibration of the model was good confirmed by a nonsignificant Hosmer and Lemeshow test for moderate (P=0.59) and severe stenosis (P=0.07). The models discriminated well between participants with and without stenosis, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve corrected for over optimism of 0.82 (95\% confidence interval, 0.80-0.84) for moderate stenosis and of 0.87 (95\% confidence interval, 0.85-0.90) for severe stenosis. The regression coefficients of the predictors were converted into a score chart to facilitate practical application.

CONCLUSIONS: A clinical prediction rule was developed that allows identification of subgroups with high prevalence of moderate (>50\%) and severe (>70\%) ACAS. When confirmed in comparable cohorts, application of the prediction rule may lead to a reduction in the number needed to screen for ACAS.

}, keywords = {Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Blood Pressure, Carotid Stenosis, Female, Humans, Life Style, Male, Mass Screening, Middle Aged, Prevalence, Registries, Risk, Smoking}, issn = {1524-4628}, doi = {10.1161/STROKEAHA.114.005145}, author = {de Weerd, Marjolein and Greving, Jacoba P and Hedblad, Bo and Lorenz, Matthias W and Mathiesen, Ellisiv B and O{\textquoteright}Leary, Daniel H and Rosvall, Maria and Sitzer, Matthias and de Borst, Gert Jan and Buskens, Erik and Bots, Michiel L} } @article {6876, title = {Race/Ethnic Differences in the Associations of the Framingham Risk Factors with Carotid IMT and Cardiovascular Events.}, journal = {PLoS One}, volume = {10}, year = {2015}, month = {2015}, pages = {e0132321}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Clinical manifestations and outcomes of atherosclerotic disease differ between ethnic groups. In addition, the prevalence of risk factors is substantially different. Primary prevention programs are based on data derived from almost exclusively White people. We investigated how race/ethnic differences modify the associations of established risk factors with atherosclerosis and cardiovascular events.

METHODS: We used data from an ongoing individual participant meta-analysis involving 17 population-based cohorts worldwide. We selected 60,211 participants without cardiovascular disease at baseline with available data on ethnicity (White, Black, Asian or Hispanic). We generated a multivariable linear regression model containing risk factors and ethnicity predicting mean common carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) and a multivariable Cox regression model predicting myocardial infarction or stroke. For each risk factor we assessed how the association with the preclinical and clinical measures of cardiovascular atherosclerotic disease was affected by ethnicity.

RESULTS: Ethnicity appeared to significantly modify the associations between risk factors and CIMT and cardiovascular events. The association between age and CIMT was weaker in Blacks and Hispanics. Systolic blood pressure associated more strongly with CIMT in Asians. HDL cholesterol and smoking associated less with CIMT in Blacks. Furthermore, the association of age and total cholesterol levels with the occurrence of cardiovascular events differed between Blacks and Whites.

CONCLUSION: The magnitude of associations between risk factors and the presence of atherosclerotic disease differs between race/ethnic groups. These subtle, yet significant differences provide insight in the etiology of cardiovascular disease among race/ethnic groups. These insights aid the race/ethnic-specific implementation of primary prevention.

}, keywords = {Adult, Age Distribution, Aged, Carotid Artery Diseases, Carotid Intima-Media Thickness, Cholesterol, HDL, Cholesterol, LDL, Comorbidity, Continental Population Groups, Diabetes Mellitus, Dyslipidemias, Ethnic Groups, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Global Health, Humans, Hypertension, Incidence, Linear Models, Male, Middle Aged, Myocardial Infarction, Prevalence, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Factors, Smoking, Stroke}, issn = {1932-6203}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0132321}, author = {Gijsberts, Crystel M and Groenewegen, Karlijn A and Hoefer, Imo E and Eijkemans, Marinus J C and Asselbergs, Folkert W and Anderson, Todd J and Britton, Annie R and Dekker, Jacqueline M and Engstr{\"o}m, Gunnar and Evans, Greg W and de Graaf, Jacqueline and Grobbee, Diederick E and Hedblad, Bo and Holewijn, Suzanne and Ikeda, Ai and Kitagawa, Kazuo and Kitamura, Akihiko and de Kleijn, Dominique P V and Lonn, Eva M and Lorenz, Matthias W and Mathiesen, Ellisiv B and Nijpels, Giel and Okazaki, Shuhei and O{\textquoteright}Leary, Daniel H and Pasterkamp, Gerard and Peters, Sanne A E and Polak, Joseph F and Price, Jacqueline F and Robertson, Christine and Rembold, Christopher M and Rosvall, Maria and Rundek, Tatjana and Salonen, Jukka T and Sitzer, Matthias and Stehouwer, Coen D A and Bots, Michiel L and den Ruijter, Hester M} } @article {6612, title = {Inflammatory markers and extent and progression of early atherosclerosis: Meta-analysis of individual-participant-data from 20 prospective studies of the PROG-IMT collaboration.}, journal = {Eur J Prev Cardiol}, volume = {23}, year = {2016}, month = {2016 Jan}, pages = {194-205}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Large-scale epidemiological evidence on the role of inflammation in early atherosclerosis, assessed by carotid ultrasound, is lacking. We aimed to quantify cross-sectional and longitudinal associations of inflammatory markers with common-carotid-artery intima-media thickness (CCA-IMT) in the general population.

METHODS: Information on high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, fibrinogen, leucocyte count and CCA-IMT was available in 20 prospective cohort studies of the PROG-IMT collaboration involving 49,097 participants free of pre-existing cardiovascular disease. Estimates of associations were calculated within each study and then combined using random-effects meta-analyses.

RESULTS: Mean baseline CCA-IMT amounted to 0.74 mm (SD = 0.18) and mean CCA-IMT progression over a mean of 3.9 years to 0.011 mm/year (SD = 0.039). Cross-sectional analyses showed positive linear associations between inflammatory markers and baseline CCA-IMT. After adjustment for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, mean differences in baseline CCA-IMT per one-SD higher inflammatory marker were: 0.0082 mm for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (p < 0.001); 0.0072 mm for fibrinogen (p < 0.001); and 0.0025 mm for leucocyte count (p = 0.033). {\textquoteright}Inflammatory load{\textquoteright}, defined as the number of elevated inflammatory markers (i.e. in upper two quintiles), showed a positive linear association with baseline CCA-IMT (p < 0.001). Longitudinal associations of baseline inflammatory markers and changes therein with CCA-IMT progression were null or at most weak. Participants with the highest {\textquoteright}inflammatory load{\textquoteright} had a greater CCA-IMT progression (p = 0.015).

CONCLUSION: Inflammation was independently associated with CCA-IMT cross-sectionally. The lack of clear associations with CCA-IMT progression may be explained by imprecision in its assessment within a limited time period. Our findings for {\textquoteright}inflammatory load{\textquoteright} suggest important combined effects of the three inflammatory markers on early atherosclerosis.

}, issn = {2047-4881}, doi = {10.1177/2047487314560664}, author = {Willeit, Peter and Thompson, Simon G and Agewall, Stefan and Bergstr{\"o}m, G{\"o}ran and Bickel, Horst and Catapano, Alberico L and Chien, Kuo-Liong and de Groot, Eric and Empana, Jean-Philippe and Etgen, Thorleif and Franco, Oscar H and Iglseder, Bernhard and Johnsen, Stein H and Kavousi, Maryam and Lind, Lars and Liu, Jing and Mathiesen, Ellisiv B and Norata, Giuseppe D and Olsen, Michael H and Papagianni, Aikaterini and Poppert, Holger and Price, Jackie F and Sacco, Ralph L and Yanez, David N and Zhao, Dong and Schminke, Ulf and B{\"u}lb{\"u}l, Alpaslan and Polak, Joseph F and Sitzer, Matthias and Hofman, Albert and Grigore, Liliana and D{\"o}rr, Marcus and Su, Ta-Chen and Ducimetiere, Pierre and Xie, Wuxiang and Ronkainen, Kimmo and Kiechl, Stefan and Rundek, Tatjana and Robertson, Christine and Fagerberg, Bj{\"o}rn and Bokemark, Lena and Steinmetz, Helmuth and Ikram, M Arfan and V{\"o}lzke, Henry and Lin, Hung-Ju and Plichart, Matthieu and Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka and Desvarieux, Mo{\"\i}se and McLachlan, Stela and Schmidt, Caroline and Kauhanen, Jussi and Willeit, Johann and Lorenz, Matthias W and Sander, Dirk} } @article {7913, title = {GWAS and colocalization analyses implicate carotid intima-media thickness and carotid plaque loci in cardiovascular outcomes.}, journal = {Nat Commun}, volume = {9}, year = {2018}, month = {2018 12 03}, pages = {5141}, abstract = {

Carotid artery intima media thickness (cIMT) and carotid plaque are measures of subclinical atherosclerosis associated with ischemic stroke and coronary heart disease (CHD). Here, we undertake meta-analyses of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in 71,128 individuals for cIMT, and 48,434 individuals for carotid plaque traits. We identify eight novel susceptibility loci for cIMT, one independent association at the previously-identified PINX1 locus, and one novel locus for carotid plaque. Colocalization analysis with nearby vascular expression quantitative loci (cis-eQTLs) derived from arterial wall and metabolic tissues obtained from patients with CHD identifies candidate genes at two potentially additional loci, ADAMTS9 and LOXL4. LD score regression reveals significant genetic correlations between cIMT and plaque traits, and both cIMT and plaque with CHD, any stroke subtype and ischemic stroke. Our study provides insights into genes and tissue-specific regulatory mechanisms linking atherosclerosis both to its functional genomic origins and its clinical consequences in humans.

}, keywords = {ADAMTS9 Protein, Amino Acid Oxidoreductases, Carotid Intima-Media Thickness, Coronary Disease, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Genome-Wide Association Study, Humans, Lod Score, Plaque, Atherosclerotic, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Quantitative Trait Loci, Risk Factors}, issn = {2041-1723}, doi = {10.1038/s41467-018-07340-5}, author = {Franceschini, Nora and Giambartolomei, Claudia and de Vries, Paul S and Finan, Chris and Bis, Joshua C and Huntley, Rachael P and Lovering, Ruth C and Tajuddin, Salman M and Winkler, Thomas W and Graff, Misa and Kavousi, Maryam and Dale, Caroline and Smith, Albert V and Hofer, Edith and van Leeuwen, Elisabeth M and Nolte, Ilja M and Lu, Lingyi and Scholz, Markus and Sargurupremraj, Muralidharan and Pitk{\"a}nen, Niina and Franz{\'e}n, Oscar and Joshi, Peter K and Noordam, Raymond and Marioni, Riccardo E and Hwang, Shih-Jen and Musani, Solomon K and Schminke, Ulf and Palmas, Walter and Isaacs, Aaron and Correa, Adolfo and Zonderman, Alan B and Hofman, Albert and Teumer, Alexander and Cox, Amanda J and Uitterlinden, Andr{\'e} G and Wong, Andrew and Smit, Andries J and Newman, Anne B and Britton, Annie and Ruusalepp, Arno and Sennblad, Bengt and Hedblad, Bo and Pasaniuc, Bogdan and Penninx, Brenda W and Langefeld, Carl D and Wassel, Christina L and Tzourio, Christophe and Fava, Cristiano and Baldassarre, Damiano and O{\textquoteright}Leary, Daniel H and Teupser, Daniel and Kuh, Diana and Tremoli, Elena and Mannarino, Elmo and Grossi, Enzo and Boerwinkle, Eric and Schadt, Eric E and Ingelsson, Erik and Veglia, Fabrizio and Rivadeneira, Fernando and Beutner, Frank and Chauhan, Ganesh and Heiss, Gerardo and Snieder, Harold and Campbell, Harry and V{\"o}lzke, Henry and Markus, Hugh S and Deary, Ian J and Jukema, J Wouter and de Graaf, Jacqueline and Price, Jacqueline and Pott, Janne and Hopewell, Jemma C and Liang, Jingjing and Thiery, Joachim and Engmann, Jorgen and Gertow, Karl and Rice, Kenneth and Taylor, Kent D and Dhana, Klodian and Kiemeney, Lambertus A L M and Lind, Lars and Raffield, Laura M and Launer, Lenore J and Holdt, Lesca M and D{\"o}rr, Marcus and Dichgans, Martin and Traylor, Matthew and Sitzer, Matthias and Kumari, Meena and Kivimaki, Mika and Nalls, Mike A and Melander, Olle and Raitakari, Olli and Franco, Oscar H and Rueda-Ochoa, Oscar L and Roussos, Panos and Whincup, Peter H and Amouyel, Philippe and Giral, Philippe and Anugu, Pramod and Wong, Quenna and Malik, Rainer and Rauramaa, Rainer and Burkhardt, Ralph and Hardy, Rebecca and Schmidt, Reinhold and de Mutsert, Ren{\'e}e and Morris, Richard W and Strawbridge, Rona J and Wannamethee, S Goya and H{\"a}gg, Sara and Shah, Sonia and McLachlan, Stela and Trompet, Stella and Seshadri, Sudha and Kurl, Sudhir and Heckbert, Susan R and Ring, Susan and Harris, Tamara B and Lehtim{\"a}ki, Terho and Galesloot, Tessel E and Shah, Tina and de Faire, Ulf and Plagnol, Vincent and Rosamond, Wayne D and Post, Wendy and Zhu, Xiaofeng and Zhang, Xiaoling and Guo, Xiuqing and Saba, Yasaman and Dehghan, Abbas and Seldenrijk, Adrie and Morrison, Alanna C and Hamsten, Anders and Psaty, Bruce M and van Duijn, Cornelia M and Lawlor, Deborah A and Mook-Kanamori, Dennis O and Bowden, Donald W and Schmidt, Helena and Wilson, James F and Wilson, James G and Rotter, Jerome I and Wardlaw, Joanna M and Deanfield, John and Halcox, Julian and Lyytik{\"a}inen, Leo-Pekka and Loeffler, Markus and Evans, Michele K and Debette, Stephanie and Humphries, Steve E and V{\"o}lker, Uwe and Gudnason, Vilmundur and Hingorani, Aroon D and Bj{\"o}rkegren, Johan L M and Casas, Juan P and O{\textquoteright}Donnell, Christopher J} } @article {7846, title = {Predictive value for cardiovascular events of common carotid intima media thickness and its rate of change in individuals at high cardiovascular risk - Results from the PROG-IMT collaboration.}, journal = {PLoS One}, volume = {13}, year = {2018}, month = {2018}, pages = {e0191172}, abstract = {

AIMS: Carotid intima media thickness (CIMT) predicts cardiovascular (CVD) events, but the predictive value of CIMT change is debated. We assessed the relation between CIMT change and events in individuals at high cardiovascular risk.

METHODS AND RESULTS: From 31 cohorts with two CIMT scans (total n = 89070) on average 3.6 years apart and clinical follow-up, subcohorts were drawn: (A) individuals with at least 3 cardiovascular risk factors without previous CVD events, (B) individuals with carotid plaques without previous CVD events, and (C) individuals with previous CVD events. Cox regression models were fit to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of the combined endpoint (myocardial infarction, stroke or vascular death) per standard deviation (SD) of CIMT change, adjusted for CVD risk factors. These HRs were pooled across studies. In groups A, B and C we observed 3483, 2845 and 1165 endpoint events, respectively. Average common CIMT was 0.79mm (SD 0.16mm), and annual common CIMT change was 0.01mm (SD 0.07mm), both in group A. The pooled HR per SD of annual common CIMT change (0.02 to 0.43mm) was 0.99 (95\% confidence interval: 0.95-1.02) in group A, 0.98 (0.93-1.04) in group B, and 0.95 (0.89-1.04) in group C. The HR per SD of common CIMT (average of the first and the second CIMT scan, 0.09 to 0.75mm) was 1.15 (1.07-1.23) in group A, 1.13 (1.05-1.22) in group B, and 1.12 (1.05-1.20) in group C.

CONCLUSIONS: We confirm that common CIMT is associated with future CVD events in individuals at high risk. CIMT change does not relate to future event risk in high-risk individuals.

}, keywords = {Aged, Cardiovascular Diseases, Carotid Intima-Media Thickness, Female, Humans, Intersectoral Collaboration, Male, Middle Aged, Prognosis, Risk Factors}, issn = {1932-6203}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0191172}, author = {Lorenz, Matthias W and Gao, Lu and Ziegelbauer, Kathrin and Norata, Giuseppe Danilo and Empana, Jean Philippe and Schmidtmann, Irene and Lin, Hung-Ju and McLachlan, Stela and Bokemark, Lena and Ronkainen, Kimmo and Amato, Mauro and Schminke, Ulf and Srinivasan, Sathanur R and Lind, Lars and Okazaki, Shuhei and Stehouwer, Coen D A and Willeit, Peter and Polak, Joseph F and Steinmetz, Helmuth and Sander, Dirk and Poppert, Holger and Desvarieux, Mo{\"\i}se and Ikram, M Arfan and Johnsen, Stein Harald and Staub, Daniel and Sirtori, Cesare R and Iglseder, Bernhard and Beloqui, Oscar and Engstr{\"o}m, Gunnar and Friera, Alfonso and Rozza, Francesco and Xie, Wuxiang and Parraga, Grace and Grigore, Liliana and Plichart, Matthieu and Blankenberg, Stefan and Su, Ta-Chen and Schmidt, Caroline and Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka and Veglia, Fabrizio and V{\"o}lzke, Henry and Nijpels, Giel and Willeit, Johann and Sacco, Ralph L and Franco, Oscar H and Uthoff, Heiko and Hedblad, Bo and Suarez, Carmen and Izzo, Raffaele and Zhao, Dong and Wannarong, Thapat and Catapano, Alberico and Ducimetiere, Pierre and Espinola-Klein, Christine and Chien, Kuo-Liong and Price, Jackie F and Bergstr{\"o}m, G{\"o}ran and Kauhanen, Jussi and Tremoli, Elena and D{\"o}rr, Marcus and Berenson, Gerald and Kitagawa, Kazuo and Dekker, Jacqueline M and Kiechl, Stefan and Sitzer, Matthias and Bickel, Horst and Rundek, Tatjana and Hofman, Albert and Mathiesen, Ellisiv B and Castelnuovo, Samuela and Landecho, Manuel F and Rosvall, Maria and Gabriel, Rafael and de Luca, Nicola and Liu, Jing and Baldassarre, Damiano and Kavousi, Maryam and de Groot, Eric and Bots, Michiel L and Yanez, David N and Thompson, Simon G} }