@article {1256, title = {Cystatin C identifies chronic kidney disease patients at higher risk for complications.}, journal = {J Am Soc Nephrol}, volume = {22}, year = {2011}, month = {2011 Jan}, pages = {147-55}, abstract = {

Although cystatin C is a stronger predictor of clinical outcomes associated with CKD than creatinine, the clinical role for cystatin C is unclear. We included 11,909 participants from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) and the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) and assessed risks for death, cardiovascular events, heart failure, and ESRD among persons categorized into mutually exclusive groups on the basis of the biomarkers that supported a diagnosis of CKD (eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m(2)): creatinine only, cystatin C only, both, or neither. We used CKD-EPI equations to estimate GFR from these biomarkers. In MESA, 9\% had CKD by the creatinine-based equation only, 2\% had CKD by the cystatin C-based equation only, and 4\% had CKD by both equations; in CHS, these percentages were 12, 4, and 13\%, respectively. Compared with those without CKD, the adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for mortality in MESA were: 0.80 (95\% CI 0.50 to 1.26) for CKD by creatinine only; 3.23 (95\% CI 1.84 to 5.67) for CKD by cystatin C only; and 1.93 (95\% CI 1.27 to 2.92) for CKD by both; in CHS, the adjusted HR were 1.09 (95\% CI 0.98 to 1.21), 1.78 (95\% CI 1.53 to 2.08), and 1.74 (95\% CI 1.58 to 1.93), respectively. The pattern was similar for cardiovascular disease (CVD), heart failure, and kidney failure outcomes. In conclusion, among adults diagnosed with CKD using the creatinine-based CKD-EPI equation, the adverse prognosis is limited to the subset who also have CKD according to the cystatin C-based equation. Cystatin C may have a role in identifying persons with CKD who have the highest risk for complications.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Biomarkers, Cardiovascular Diseases, Chronic Disease, Creatinine, Cystatin C, Disease Progression, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Heart Failure, Humans, Kidney Diseases, Kidney Failure, Chronic, Male, Middle Aged, Predictive Value of Tests, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors}, issn = {1533-3450}, doi = {10.1681/ASN.2010050483}, author = {Peralta, Carmen A and Katz, Ronit and Sarnak, Mark J and Ix, Joachim and Fried, Linda F and de Boer, Ian and Palmas, Walter and Siscovick, David and Levey, Andrew S and Shlipak, Michael G} } @article {6301, title = {Lower estimated GFR and higher albuminuria are associated with adverse kidney outcomes. A collaborative meta-analysis of general and high-risk population cohorts.}, journal = {Kidney Int}, volume = {80}, year = {2011}, month = {2011 Jul}, pages = {93-104}, abstract = {

Both a low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria are known risk factors for end-stage renal disease (ESRD). To determine their joint contribution to ESRD and other kidney outcomes, we performed a meta-analysis of nine general population cohorts with 845,125 participants and an additional eight cohorts with 173,892 patients, the latter selected because of their high risk for chronic kidney disease (CKD). In the general population, the risk for ESRD was unrelated to eGFR at values between 75 and 105 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) but increased exponentially at lower levels. Hazard ratios for eGFRs averaging 60, 45, and 15 were 4, 29, and 454, respectively, compared with an eGFR of 95, after adjustment for albuminuria and cardiovascular risk factors. Log albuminuria was linearly associated with log ESRD risk without thresholds. Adjusted hazard ratios at albumin-to-creatinine ratios of 30, 300, and 1000 mg/g were 5, 13, and 28, respectively, compared with an albumin-to-creatinine ratio of 5. Albuminuria and eGFR were associated with ESRD, without evidence for multiplicative interaction. Similar associations were found for acute kidney injury and progressive CKD. In high-risk cohorts, the findings were generally comparable. Thus, lower eGFR and higher albuminuria are risk factors for ESRD, acute kidney injury and progressive CKD in both general and high-risk populations, independent of each other and of cardiovascular risk factors.

}, keywords = {Aged, Albuminuria, Cohort Studies, Creatinine, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Kidney Failure, Chronic, Male, Middle Aged, Prognosis, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Factors}, issn = {1523-1755}, doi = {10.1038/ki.2010.531}, author = {Gansevoort, Ron T and Matsushita, Kunihiro and van der Velde, Marije and Astor, Brad C and Woodward, Mark and Levey, Andrew S and de Jong, Paul E and Coresh, Josef} } @article {1385, title = {Comparison of risk prediction using the CKD-EPI equation and the MDRD study equation for estimated glomerular filtration rate.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {307}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 May 09}, pages = {1941-51}, abstract = {

CONTEXT: The Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation more accurately estimates glomerular filtration rate (GFR) than the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) Study equation using the same variables, especially at higher GFR, but definitive evidence of its risk implications in diverse settings is lacking.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate risk implications of estimated GFR using the CKD-EPI equation compared with the MDRD Study equation in populations with a broad range of demographic and clinical characteristics.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A meta-analysis of data from 1.1 million adults (aged >= 18 years) from 25 general population cohorts, 7 high-risk cohorts (of vascular disease), and 13 CKD cohorts. Data transfer and analyses were conducted between March 2011 and March 2012.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: All-cause mortality (84,482 deaths from 40 cohorts), cardiovascular mortality (22,176 events from 28 cohorts), and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) (7644 events from 21 cohorts) during 9.4 million person-years of follow-up; the median of mean follow-up time across cohorts was 7.4 years (interquartile range, 4.2-10.5 years).

RESULTS: Estimated GFR was classified into 6 categories (>=90, 60-89, 45-59, 30-44, 15-29, and <15 mL/min/1.73 m(2)) by both equations. Compared with the MDRD Study equation, 24.4\% and 0.6\% of participants from general population cohorts were reclassified to a higher and lower estimated GFR category, respectively, by the CKD-EPI equation, and the prevalence of CKD stages 3 to 5 (estimated GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m(2)) was reduced from 8.7\% to 6.3\%. In estimated GFR of 45 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m(2) by the MDRD Study equation, 34.7\% of participants were reclassified to estimated GFR of 60 to 89 mL/min/1.73 m(2) by the CKD-EPI equation and had lower incidence rates (per 1000 person-years) for the outcomes of interest (9.9 vs 34.5 for all-cause mortality, 2.7 vs 13.0 for cardiovascular mortality, and 0.5 vs 0.8 for ESRD) compared with those not reclassified. The corresponding adjusted hazard ratios were 0.80 (95\% CI, 0.74-0.86) for all-cause mortality, 0.73 (95\% CI, 0.65-0.82) for cardiovascular mortality, and 0.49 (95\% CI, 0.27-0.88) for ESRD. Similar findings were observed in other estimated GFR categories by the MDRD Study equation. Net reclassification improvement based on estimated GFR categories was significantly positive for all outcomes (range, 0.06-0.13; all P < .001). Net reclassification improvement was similarly positive in most subgroups defined by age (<65 years and >=65 years), sex, race/ethnicity (white, Asian, and black), and presence or absence of diabetes and hypertension. The results in the high-risk and CKD cohorts were largely consistent with the general population cohorts.

CONCLUSION: The CKD-EPI equation classified fewer individuals as having CKD and more accurately categorized the risk for mortality and ESRD than did the MDRD Study equation across a broad range of populations.

}, keywords = {African Continental Ancestry Group, Aged, Algorithms, Asian Continental Ancestry Group, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Decision Support Techniques, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Kidney Failure, Chronic, Male, Middle Aged, Models, Theoretical, Risk Assessment, Sex Factors}, issn = {1538-3598}, doi = {10.1001/jama.2012.3954}, author = {Matsushita, Kunihiro and Mahmoodi, Bakhtawar K and Woodward, Mark and Emberson, Jonathan R and Jafar, Tazeen H and Jee, Sun Ha and Polkinghorne, Kevan R and Shankar, Anoop and Smith, David H and Tonelli, Marcello and Warnock, David G and Wen, Chi-Pang and Coresh, Josef and Gansevoort, Ron T and Hemmelgarn, Brenda R and Levey, Andrew S} } @article {6554, title = {Decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate and subsequent risk of end-stage renal disease and mortality.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {311}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Jun 25}, pages = {2518-2531}, abstract = {

IMPORTANCE: The established chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression end point of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) or a doubling of serum creatinine concentration (corresponding to a change in estimated glomerular filtration rate [GFR] of -57\% or greater) is a late event.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize the association of decline in estimated GFR with subsequent progression to ESRD with implications for using lesser declines in estimated GFR as potential alternative end points for CKD progression. Because most people with CKD die before reaching ESRD, mortality risk also was investigated.

DATA SOURCES AND STUDY SELECTION: Individual meta-analysis of 1.7 million participants with 12,344 ESRD events and 223,944 deaths from 35 cohorts in the CKD Prognosis Consortium with a repeated measure of serum creatinine concentration over 1 to 3 years and outcome data.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Transfer of individual participant data or standardized analysis of outputs for random-effects meta-analysis conducted between July 2012 and September 2013, with baseline estimated GFR values collected from 1975 through 2012.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: End-stage renal disease (initiation of dialysis or transplantation) or all-cause mortality risk related to percentage change in estimated GFR over 2 years, adjusted for potential confounders and first estimated GFR.

RESULTS: The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of ESRD and mortality were higher with larger estimated GFR decline. Among participants with baseline estimated GFR of less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, the adjusted HRs for ESRD were 32.1 (95\% CI, 22.3-46.3) for changes of -57\% in estimated GFR and 5.4 (95\% CI, 4.5-6.4) for changes of -30\%. However, changes of -30\% or greater (6.9\% [95\% CI, 6.4\%-7.4\%] of the entire consortium) were more common than changes of -57\% (0.79\% [95\% CI, 0.52\%-1.06\%]). This association was strong and consistent across the length of the baseline period (1 to 3 years), baseline estimated GFR, age, diabetes status, or albuminuria. Average adjusted 10-year risk of ESRD (in patients with a baseline estimated GFR of 35 mL/min/1.73 m2) was 99\% (95\% CI, 95\%-100\%) for estimated GFR change of -57\%, was 83\% (95\% CI, 71\%-93\%) for estimated GFR change of -40\%, and was 64\% (95\% CI, 52\%-77\%) for estimated GFR change of -30\% vs 18\% (95\% CI, 15\%-22\%) for estimated GFR change of 0\%. Corresponding mortality risks were 77\% (95\% CI, 71\%-82\%), 60\% (95\% CI, 56\%-63\%), and 50\% (95\% CI, 47\%-52\%) vs 32\% (95\% CI, 31\%-33\%), showing a similar but weaker pattern.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Declines in estimated GFR smaller than a doubling of serum creatinine concentration occurred more commonly and were strongly and consistently associated with the risk of ESRD and mortality, supporting consideration of lesser declines in estimated GFR (such as a 30\% reduction over 2 years) as an alternative end point for CKD progression.

}, keywords = {Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cohort Studies, Creatinine, Disease Progression, Endpoint Determination, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Kidney Failure, Chronic, Male, Middle Aged, Reference Values, Risk}, issn = {1538-3598}, doi = {10.1001/jama.2014.6634}, author = {Coresh, Josef and Turin, Tanvir Chowdhury and Matsushita, Kunihiro and Sang, Yingying and Ballew, Shoshana H and Appel, Lawrence J and Arima, Hisatomi and Chadban, Steven J and Cirillo, Massimo and Djurdjev, Ognjenka and Green, Jamie A and Heine, Gunnar H and Inker, Lesley A and Irie, Fujiko and Ishani, Areef and Ix, Joachim H and Kovesdy, Csaba P and Marks, Angharad and Ohkubo, Takayoshi and Shalev, Varda and Shankar, Anoop and Wen, Chi Pang and de Jong, Paul E and Iseki, Kunitoshi and Stengel, B{\'e}n{\'e}dicte and Gansevoort, Ron T and Levey, Andrew S} } @article {6295, title = {Relative risks of chronic kidney disease for mortality and end-stage renal disease across races are similar.}, journal = {Kidney Int}, volume = {86}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Oct}, pages = {819-27}, abstract = {

Some suggest race-specific cutpoints for kidney measures to define and stage chronic kidney disease (CKD), but evidence for race-specific clinical impact is limited. To address this issue, we compared hazard ratios of estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) and albuminuria across races using meta-regression in 1.1 million adults (75\% Asians, 21\% Whites, and 4\% Blacks) from 45 cohorts. Results came mainly from 25 general population cohorts comprising 0.9 million individuals. The associations of lower eGFR and higher albuminuria with mortality and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) were largely similar across races. For example, in Asians, Whites, and Blacks, the adjusted hazard ratios (95\% confidence interval) for eGFR 45-59 versus 90-104 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) were 1.3 (1.2-1.3), 1.1 (1.0-1.2), and 1.3 (1.1-1.7) for all-cause mortality, 1.6 (1.5-1.7), 1.4 (1.2-1.7), and 1.4 (0.7-2.9) for cardiovascular mortality, and 27.6 (11.1-68.7), 11.2 (6.0-20.9), and 4.1 (2.2-7.5) for ESRD, respectively. The corresponding hazard ratios for urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio 30-299 mg/g or dipstick 1+ versus an albumin-to-creatinine ratio under 10 or dipstick negative were 1.6 (1.4-1.8), 1.7 (1.5-1.9), and 1.8 (1.7-2.1) for all-cause mortality, 1.7 (1.4-2.0), 1.8 (1.5-2.1), and 2.8 (2.2-3.6) for cardiovascular mortality, and 7.4 (2.0-27.6), 4.0 (2.8-5.9), and 5.6 (3.4-9.2) for ESRD, respectively. Thus, the relative mortality or ESRD risks of lower eGFR and higher albuminuria were largely similar among three major races, supporting similar clinical approach to CKD definition and staging, across races.

}, keywords = {Adult, African Continental Ancestry Group, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Albuminuria, Asian Continental Ancestry Group, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Creatinine, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Kidney Failure, Chronic, Male, Middle Aged, Odds Ratio, Renal Insufficiency, Chronic, Risk Factors}, issn = {1523-1755}, doi = {10.1038/ki.2013.553}, author = {Wen, Chi Pang and Matsushita, Kunihiro and Coresh, Josef and Iseki, Kunitoshi and Islam, Muhammad and Katz, Ronit and McClellan, William and Peralta, Carmen A and Wang, Haiyan and de Zeeuw, Dick and Astor, Brad C and Gansevoort, Ron T and Levey, Andrew S and Levin, Adeera} } @article {6796, title = {A Meta-analysis of the Association of Estimated GFR, Albuminuria, Diabetes Mellitus, and Hypertension With Acute Kidney Injury.}, journal = {Am J Kidney Dis}, volume = {66}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Oct}, pages = {602-12}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus and hypertension are risk factors for acute kidney injury (AKI). Whether estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) remain risk factors for AKI in the presence and absence of these conditions is uncertain.

STUDY DESIGN: Meta-analysis of cohort studies.

SETTING \& POPULATION: 8 general-population (1,285,045 participants) and 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD; 79,519 participants) cohorts.

SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES: Cohorts participating in the CKD Prognosis Consortium.

PREDICTORS: Diabetes and hypertension status, eGFR by the 2009 CKD Epidemiology Collaboration creatinine equation, urine ACR, and interactions.

OUTCOME: Hospitalization with AKI, using Cox proportional hazards models to estimate HRs of AKI and random-effects meta-analysis to pool results.

RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 4 years, there were 16,480 episodes of AKI in the general-population and 2,087 episodes in the CKD cohorts. Low eGFRs and high ACRs were associated with higher risks of AKI in individuals with or without diabetes and with or without hypertension. When compared to a common reference of eGFR of 80mL/min/1.73m(2) in nondiabetic patients, HRs for AKI were generally higher in diabetic patients at any level of eGFR. The same was true for diabetic patients at all levels of ACR compared with nondiabetic patients. The risk gradient for AKI with lower eGFRs was greater in those without diabetes than with diabetes, but similar with higher ACRs in those without versus with diabetes. Those with hypertension had a higher risk of AKI at eGFRs>60mL/min/1.73m(2) than those without hypertension. However, risk gradients for AKI with both lower eGFRs and higher ACRs were greater for those without than with hypertension.

LIMITATIONS: AKI identified by diagnostic code.

CONCLUSIONS: Lower eGFRs and higher ACRs are associated with higher risks of AKI among individuals with or without either diabetes or hypertension.

}, keywords = {Acute Kidney Injury, Adult, Aged, Comorbidity, Diabetes Mellitus, Disease Progression, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Hypertension, Incidence, Kidney Failure, Chronic, Male, Middle Aged, Prognosis, Renal Insufficiency, Chronic}, issn = {1523-6838}, doi = {10.1053/j.ajkd.2015.02.338}, author = {James, Matthew T and Grams, Morgan E and Woodward, Mark and Elley, C Raina and Green, Jamie A and Wheeler, David C and de Jong, Paul and Gansevoort, Ron T and Levey, Andrew S and Warnock, David G and Sarnak, Mark J} }