@article {914, title = {New-onset diabetes and risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Diabetes Care}, volume = {29}, year = {2006}, month = {2006 Sep}, pages = {2012-7}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: Cardiovascular risk associated with new-onset diabetes is not well characterized. We hypothesized that risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality would be similar among participants with and without new-onset diabetes in the first years of follow-up and rise over time for new-onset diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) is a longitudinal study of cardiovascular risk factors in adults aged > or =65 years. We used CHS participants to define a cohort (n = 282) with new-onset diabetes during 11 years of follow-up. New-onset diabetes was defined by initiation of antidiabetes medication or by fasting plasma glucose >125 mg/dl among CHS participants without diabetes at study entry. Three CHS participants without diabetes were matched for age, sex, and race to each participant with new-onset diabetes at the time of diabetes identification (n = 837). Survival analysis provided adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

RESULTS: During a median of 5.9 years of follow-up, there were 352 deaths, of which 41\% were cardiovascular. In adjusted analyses, new-onset diabetes was associated with an HR of 1.9 (95\% CI 1.4-2.5) for all-cause and 2.2 (1.4-3.4) for cardiovascular mortality compared with no diabetes. Mortality risks were elevated within 2 years of onset, especially cardiovascular risk (4.3 [95\% CI 1.7-10.8]), and did not increase over time.

CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that there may be a mortality differential soon after diabetes onset in older adults and suggest that long-term macrovascular damage from atherosclerosis may not be primarily responsible for increased risk.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Atherosclerosis, Blood Glucose, Cardiovascular Diseases, Diabetes Complications, Diabetes Mellitus, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Risk Factors, Survival Rate, Time Factors}, issn = {0149-5992}, doi = {10.2337/dc06-0574}, author = {Smith, Nicholas L and Barzilay, Joshua I and Kronmal, Richard and Lumley, Thomas and Enquobahrie, Daniel and Psaty, Bruce M} } @article {6187, title = {Height and risk of sudden cardiac death: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities and Cardiovascular Health studies.}, journal = {Ann Epidemiol}, volume = {24}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Mar}, pages = {174-179.e2}, abstract = {

PURPOSE: Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is an important cause of mortality in the adult population. Height has been associated with cardiac hypertrophy and an increased risk of arrhythmias but also with decreased risk of coronary heart disease, suggesting a complex association with SCD.

METHODS: We examined the association of adult height with the risk of physician-adjudicated SCD in two large population-based cohorts: the Cardiovascular Health Study and the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study.

RESULTS: Over an average follow-up time of 11.7 years in Cardiovascular Health Study, there were 199 (3.6\%) cases of SCD among 5556 participants. In Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, over 12.6 years, there were 227 (1.5\%) cases of SCD among 15,633 participants. In both cohorts, there was a trend toward decreased SCD with taller height. In fixed effects meta-analysis, the pooled hazard ratio per 10 cm of height was 0.84; 95\% confidence interval, 0.73-0.98; P~= .03. The association of increased height with lower risk of SCD was slightly attenuated after inclusion of risk factors associated with height, such as hypertension and left ventricular hypertrophy. The association appeared stronger among men than women in both cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS: In two population-based prospective cohorts of different ages, greater height was associated with lower risk of SCD.

}, keywords = {Adult, Aged, Atherosclerosis, Body Height, Coronary Disease, Death, Sudden, Cardiac, Female, Humans, Hypertension, Incidence, Male, Middle Aged, Population Surveillance, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors}, issn = {1873-2585}, doi = {10.1016/j.annepidem.2013.11.008}, author = {Rosenberg, Michael A and Lopez, Faye L and B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Adabag, Selcuk and Chen, Lin Y and Sotoodehnia, Nona and Kronmal, Richard A and Siscovick, David S and Alonso, Alvaro and Buxton, Alfred and Folsom, Aaron R and Mukamal, Kenneth J} } @article {6338, title = {Separate prediction of intracerebral hemorrhage and ischemic stroke.}, journal = {Neurology}, volume = {82}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 May 20}, pages = {1804-12}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To develop and validate 10-year cumulative incidence functions of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and ischemic stroke (IS).

METHODS: We used data on 27,493 participants from 3 population-based cohort studies: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, median age 54 years, 45\% male, median follow-up 20.7 years; the Rotterdam Study, median age 68 years, 38\% male, median follow-up 14.3 years; and the Cardiovascular Health Study, median age 71 years, 41\% male, median follow-up 12.8 years. Among these participants, 325 ICH events, 2,559 IS events, and 9,909 nonstroke deaths occurred. We developed 10-year cumulative incidence functions for ICH and IS using stratified Cox regression and competing risks analysis. Basic models including only established nonlaboratory risk factors were extended with diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio, body mass index, waist-to-hip ratio, and glomerular filtration rate. The cumulative incidence functions{\textquoteright} performances were cross-validated in each cohort separately by Harrell C-statistic and calibration plots.

RESULTS: High total cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio decreased the ICH rates but increased IS rates (p for difference across stroke types <0.001). For both the ICH and IS models, C statistics increased more by model extension in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities and Cardiovascular Health Study cohorts. Improvements in C statistics were reproduced by cross-validation. Models were well calibrated in all cohorts. Correlations between 10-year ICH and IS risks were moderate in each cohort.

CONCLUSIONS: We developed and cross-validated cumulative incidence functions for separate prediction of 10-year ICH and IS risk. These functions can be useful to further specify an individual{\textquoteright}s stroke risk.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Atherosclerosis, Body Mass Index, Brain Ischemia, Cholesterol, Female, Humans, Incidence, Intracranial Hemorrhages, Male, Middle Aged, Models, Statistical, Predictive Value of Tests, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Stroke}, issn = {1526-632X}, doi = {10.1212/WNL.0000000000000427}, author = {Ferket, Bart S and van Kempen, Bob J H and Wieberdink, Renske G and Steyerberg, Ewout W and Koudstaal, Peter J and Hofman, Albert and Shahar, Eyal and Gottesman, Rebecca F and Rosamond, Wayne and Kizer, Jorge R and Kronmal, Richard A and Psaty, Bruce M and Longstreth, W T and Mosley, Thomas and Folsom, Aaron R and Hunink, M G Myriam and Ikram, M Arfan} } @article {6669, title = {Association between hospitalization for pneumonia and subsequent risk of cardiovascular disease.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {313}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Jan 20}, pages = {264-74}, abstract = {

IMPORTANCE: The risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) after infection is poorly understood.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether hospitalization for pneumonia is associated with an increased short-term and long-term risk of CVD.

DESIGN, SETTINGS, AND PARTICIPANTS: We examined 2 community-based cohorts: the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS, n = 5888; enrollment age, >=65 years; enrollment period, 1989-1994) and the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (ARIC, n = 15,792; enrollment age, 45-64 years; enrollment period, 1987-1989). Participants were followed up through December 31, 2010. We matched each participant hospitalized with pneumonia to 2 controls. Pneumonia cases and controls were followed for occurrence of CVD over 10 years after matching. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for CVD at different time intervals, adjusting for demographics, CVD risk factors, subclinical CVD, comorbidities, and functional status.

EXPOSURES: Hospitalization for pneumonia.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Incident CVD (myocardial infarction, stroke, and fatal coronary heart disease).

RESULTS: Of 591 pneumonia cases in CHS, 206 had CVD events over 10 years after pneumonia hospitalization. CVD risk after pneumonia was highest in the first year. CVD occurred in 54 cases and 6 controls in the first 30 days (HR, 4.07; 95\% CI, 2.86-5.27); 11 cases and 9 controls between 31 and 90 days (HR, 2.94; 95\% CI, 2.18-3.70); and 22 cases and 55 controls between 91 days and 1 year (HR, 2.10; 95\% CI, 1.59-2.60). Additional CVD risk remained elevated into the tenth year, when 4 cases and 12 controls developed CVD (HR, 1.86; 95\% CI, 1.18-2.55). In ARIC, of 680 pneumonia cases, 112 had CVD over 10 years after hospitalization. CVD occurred in 4 cases and 3 controls in the first 30 days (HR, 2.38; 95\% CI, 1.12-3.63); 4 cases and 0 controls between 31 and 90 days (HR, 2.40; 95\% CI, 1.23-3.47); 11 cases and 8 controls between 91 days and 1 year (HR, 2.19; 95\% CI, 1.20-3.19); and 8 cases and 7 controls during the second year (HR, 1.88; 95\% CI, 1.10-2.66). After the second year, the HRs were no longer statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Hospitalization for pneumonia was associated with increased short-term and long-term risk of CVD, suggesting that pneumonia may be a risk factor for CVD.

}, keywords = {Aged, Atherosclerosis, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Comorbidity, Female, Hospitalization, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Pneumonia, Risk Factors}, issn = {1538-3598}, doi = {10.1001/jama.2014.18229}, author = {Corrales-Medina, Vicente F and Alvarez, Karina N and Weissfeld, Lisa A and Angus, Derek C and Chirinos, Julio A and Chang, Chung-Chou H and Newman, Anne and Loehr, Laura and Folsom, Aaron R and Elkind, Mitchell S and Lyles, Mary F and Kronmal, Richard A and Yende, Sachin} }