@article {5850, title = {Atrial fibrillation and the risk of sudden cardiac death: the atherosclerosis risk in communities study and cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {JAMA Intern Med}, volume = {173}, year = {2013}, month = {2013 Jan 14}, pages = {29-35}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: It is unknown whether atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in the general population. This association was examined in 2 population-based cohorts.

METHODS: In the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study, we analyzed data from 15 439 participants (baseline age, 45-64 years; 55.2\% women; and 26.6\% black) from baseline (1987-1989) through December 31, 2001. In the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), we analyzed data from 5479 participants (baseline age, >=65 years; 58.2\% women; and 15.4\% black) from baseline (first cohort, 1989-1990; second cohort, 1992-1993) through December 31, 2006. The main outcome was physician-adjudicated SCD, defined as death from a sudden, pulseless condition presumed to be due to a ventricular tachyarrhythmia. The secondary outcome was non-SCD (NSCD), defined as coronary heart disease death not meeting SCD criteria. We used Cox proportional hazards models to assess the association between AF and SCD/NSCD, adjusting for baseline demographic and cardiovascular risk factors.

RESULTS: In the ARIC Study, 894 AF, 269 SCD, and 233 NSCD events occurred during follow-up (median, 13.1 years). The crude incidence rates of SCD were 2.89 per 1000 person-years (with AF) and 1.30 per 1000 person-years (without AF). The multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) (95\% CIs) of AF for SCD and NSCD were 3.26 (2.17-4.91) and 2.43 (1.60-3.71), respectively. In the CHS, 1458 AF, 292 SCD, and 581 NSCD events occurred during follow-up (median, 13.1 years). The crude incidence rates of SCD were 12.00 per 1000 person-years (with AF) and 3.82 per 1000 person-years (without AF). The multivariable HRs (95\% CIs) of AF for SCD and NSCD were 2.14 (1.60-2.87) and 3.10 (2.58-3.72), respectively. The meta-analyzed HRs (95\% CIs) of AF for SCD and NSCD were 2.47 (1.95-3.13) and 2.98 (2.52-3.53), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: Incident AF is associated with an increased risk of SCD and NSCD in the general population. Additional research to identify predictors of SCD in patients with AF is warranted.

}, keywords = {Aged, Atrial Fibrillation, Cardiovascular Diseases, Death, Sudden, Cardiac, Demography, Ethnic Groups, Female, Humans, Incidence, Male, Middle Aged, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, United States}, issn = {2168-6114}, doi = {10.1001/2013.jamainternmed.744}, author = {Chen, Lin Y and Sotoodehnia, Nona and B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Lopez, Faye L and Yee, Laura M and Heckbert, Susan R and Prineas, Ronald and Soliman, Elsayed Z and Adabag, Selcuk and Konety, Suma and Folsom, Aaron R and Siscovick, David and Alonso, Alvaro} } @article {6581, title = {Brain imaging findings in elderly adults and years of life, healthy life, and able life over the ensuing 16 years: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {62}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Oct}, pages = {1838-43}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether elderly people with different patterns of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings have different long-term outcomes.

DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study.

SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study.

PARTICIPANTS: Individuals aged 65 and older were recruited (N = 5,888); 3,660 of these underwent MRI, and 3,230 without a stroke before MRI were included in these analyses.

MEASUREMENTS: Cluster analysis of brain MRI findings was previously used to define five clusters: normal, atrophy, simple infarct, leukoaraiosis, and complex infarct. Participants were subsequently classified as healthy if they rated their health as excellent, very good, or good and as able if they did not report any limitations in activities of daily living (ADLs). Mean years of life (YoL), years of healthy life (YHL), and years of able life (YAL) were calculated over 16 years after the MRI and compared between clusters using unadjusted and adjusted regression analyses.

RESULTS: Mean age of participants was 75.0. With 16 years of follow-up, mean YoL was 11.3; YHL, 8.0; and YAL, 8.4. Outcomes differed significantly between clusters. With or without adjustments, outcomes were all significantly better in the normal than complex infarct cluster. The three remaining clusters had intermediate results, significantly different from the normal and complex infarct clusters but not usually from one another. Over 16 years of follow-up, participants in the complex infarct cluster (n = 368) spent the largest percentage of their 8.4 years alive being sick (38\%) and not able (38\%).

CONCLUSION: Findings on MRI scans in elderly adults are associated not only with long-term survival, but also with long-term self-rated health and limitation in ADLs. The combination of infarcts and leukoaraiosis carried the worst prognosis, presumably reflecting small vessel disease.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Aged, Atrophy, Brain, Brain Infarction, Cohort Studies, Disability Evaluation, Female, Health Status, Humans, Leukoaraiosis, Longevity, Longitudinal Studies, Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Male, Prognosis, Regression Analysis, United States}, issn = {1532-5415}, doi = {10.1111/jgs.13068}, author = {Longstreth, W T and Diehr, Paula H and Yee, Laura M and Newman, Anne B and Beauchamp, Norman J} } @article {6243, title = {Serum carboxymethyl-lysine, disability, and frailty in older persons: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci}, volume = {69}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Jun}, pages = {710-6}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Advanced glycation endproducts are biologically active compounds that accumulate in disordered metabolism and normal aging. Carboxymethyl-lysine (CML), a ubiquitous human advanced glycation endproduct, has been associated with age-related conditions and mortality. Our objective was to ascertain the relationship between CML and geriatric outcomes (disability and frailty) in a large cohort of older men and women.

METHODS: In 1996-1997, serum CML was measured in 3,373 Cardiovascular Health Study participants (mean age 78.1 {\textpm} 4.8 years). Disability, defined as difficulty in any of six activities of daily living, was assessed every 6-12 months for 14 years. Frailty was defined according to five standard criteria at the 1996-1997 visit. Cox proportional hazard models estimated the relationship between CML and incident disability (N = 2,643). Logistic regression models estimated the relationship between CML and prevalent frailty.

RESULTS: Adjusting for multiple potential confounders, higher CML was associated with incident disability (hazard ratio per standard deviation [225 ng/mL] increase: 1.05, 95\% CI 1.01-1.11). In men, odds of frailty increased with higher CML values (odds ratio = 1.30 per standard deviation, 95\% CI 1.14-1.48), but the relationship was attenuated by adjustment for cognitive status, kidney function, and arthritis. CML was not associated with frailty in women.

CONCLUSIONS: Higher serum CML levels in late life are associated with incident disability and prevalent frailty. Further work is needed to understand CML{\textquoteright}s value as a risk stratifier, biomarker, or target for interventions that promote healthy aging.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Biomarkers, Cardiac Rehabilitation, Cardiovascular Diseases, Disabled Persons, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Frail Elderly, Health Status, Humans, Incidence, Lysine, Male, Prevalence, Prognosis, Retrospective Studies, United States}, issn = {1758-535X}, doi = {10.1093/gerona/glt155}, author = {Whitson, Heather E and Arnold, Alice M and Yee, Laura M and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Kizer, Jorge R and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Ix, Joachim H and Siscovick, David and Tracy, Russell P and Thielke, Stephen M and Hirsch, Calvin and Newman, Anne B and Zieman, Susan} } @article {6589, title = {Subclinical vascular disease burden and longer survival.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {62}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Sep}, pages = {1692-8}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To determine the contribution of gradations of subclinical vascular disease (SVD) to the likelihood of longer survival and to determine what allows some individuals with SVD to live longer.

DESIGN: Cohort study.

SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study.

PARTICIPANTS: Individuals born between June 30, 1918, and June 30, 1921 (N~=~2,082; aged 70-75 at baseline (1992-93)).

MEASUREMENTS: A SVD index was scored as 0 for no abnormalities, 1 for mild abnormalities, and 2 for severe abnormalities on ankle-arm index, electrocardiogram, and common carotid intima-media thickness measured at baseline. Survival groups were categorized as 80 and younger, 81 to 84, 85 to 89, and 90 and older.

RESULTS: A 1-point lower SVD score was associated with 1.22 greater odds (95\% confidence interval~=~1.14-1.31) of longer survival, independent of potential confounders. This association was unchanged after adjustment for intermediate incident cardiovascular events. There was suggestion of an interaction between kidney function, smoking, and C-reactive protein and SVD; the association between SVD and longer survival appeared to be modestly greater in persons with poor kidney function, inflammation, or a history of smoking.

CONCLUSION: A lower burden of SVD is associated with longer survival, independent of intermediate cardiovascular events. Abstinence from smoking, better kidney function, and lower inflammation may attenuate the effects of higher SVD and promote longer survival.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, C-Reactive Protein, Carotid Intima-Media Thickness, Cohort Studies, Cystatin C, Depression, Diabetes Mellitus, Electrocardiography, Female, Humans, Inflammation, Kidney Diseases, Male, Smoking, Survival Analysis, United States, Vascular Diseases}, issn = {1532-5415}, doi = {10.1111/jgs.13018}, author = {Odden, Michelle C and Yee, Laura M and Arnold, Alice M and Sanders, Jason L and Hirsch, Calvin and DeFilippi, Christopher and Kizer, Jorge R and Inzitari, Marco and Newman, Anne B} } @article {7648, title = {Predicting Future Years of Life, Health, and Functional Ability: A Healthy Life Calculator for Older Adults.}, journal = {Gerontol Geriatr Med}, volume = {1}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Jan-Dec}, pages = {2333721415605989}, abstract = {

To create personalized estimates of future health and ability status for older adults.Data came from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a large longitudinal study. Outcomes included years of life, years of healthy life (based on self-rated health), years of able life (based on activities of daily living), and years of healthy and able life. We developed regression estimates using the demographic and health characteristics that best predicted the four outcomes. Internal and external validity were assessed.A prediction equation based on 11 variables accounted for about 40\% of the variability for each outcome. Internal validity was excellent, and external validity was satisfactory. The resulting CHS Healthy Life Calculator (CHSHLC) is available at http://healthylifecalculator.org.CHSHLC provides a well-documented estimate of future years of healthy and able life for older adults, who may use it in planning for the future.

}, issn = {2333-7214}, doi = {10.1177/2333721415605989}, author = {Diehr, Paula and Diehr, Michael and Arnold, Alice and Yee, Laura M and Odden, Michelle C and Hirsch, Calvin H and Thielke, Stephen and Psaty, Bruce M and Johnson, W Craig and Kizer Md, Jorge R and Newman, Anne} } @article {6934, title = {Sex, Race, and Age Differences in Observed Years of Life, Healthy Life, and Able Life among Older Adults in The Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Pers Med}, volume = {5}, year = {2015}, month = {2015}, pages = {440-51}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: Longevity fails to account for health and functional status during aging. We sought to quantify differences in years of total life, years of healthy life, and years of able life among groups defined by age, sex, and race.

DESIGN: Primary analysis of a cohort study.

SETTING: 18 years of annual evaluations in four U.S. communities.

PARTICIPANTS: 5888 men and women aged 65 and older.

MEASUREMENTS: Years of life were calculated as the time from enrollment to death or 18 years. Years of total, healthy, and able life were determined from self-report during annual or semi-annual contacts. Cumulative years were summed across each of the age and sex groups.

RESULTS: White women had the best outcomes for all three measures, followed by white men, non-white women, and non-white men. For example, at the mean age of 73, a white female participant could expect 12.9 years of life, 8.9 of healthy life and 9.5 of able life, while a non-white female could expect 12.6, 7.0, and 8.0 years, respectively. A white male could expect 11.2, 8.1, and 8.9 years of life, healthy life, and able life, and a non-white male 10.3, 6.2, and 7.9 years. Regardless of starting age, individuals of the same race and sex groups spent similar amounts (not proportions) of time in an unhealthy or unable state.

CONCLUSION: Gender had a greater effect on longevity than did race, but race had a greater effect on years spent healthy or able. The mean number of years spent in an unable or sick state was surprisingly independent of the lifespan.

}, issn = {2075-4426}, doi = {10.3390/jpm5040440}, author = {Thielke, Stephen M and Diehr, Paula H and Yee, Laura M and Arnold, Alice M and Qui{\~n}ones, Ana R and Whitson, Heather E and Jacob, Mini E and Newman, Anne B} } @article {6707, title = {Years of able life in older persons--the role of cardiovascular imaging and biomarkers: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Am Heart Assoc}, volume = {4}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Apr}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: As the U.S. population grows older, there is greater need to examine physical independence. Previous studies have assessed risk factors in relation to either disability or mortality, but an outcome that combines both is still needed.

METHODS AND RESULTS: The Cardiovascular Health Study is a population-based, prospective study where participants underwent baseline echocardiogram, measurement of carotid intima-media thickness (IMT), and various biomarkers, then followed for up to 18 years. Years of able life (YAL) constituted the number of years the participant was able to perform all activities of daily living. Linear regression was used to model the relationship between selected measures and outcomes, adjusted for confounding variables. Among 4902 participants, mean age was 72.6 {\textpm} 5.4 years, median YAL for males was 8.8 (interquartile range [IQR], 4.3 to 13.8) and 10.3 (IQR, 5.8 to 15.8) for females. Reductions in YAL in the fully adjusted model for females and males, respectively, were: -1.34 (95\% confidence interval [CI], -2.18, -0.49) and -1.41 (95\% CI, -2.03, -0.8) for abnormal left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction, -0.5 (95\% CI, -0.78, -0.22) and -0.62 (95\% CI, -0.87, -0.36) per SD increase in LV mass, -0.5 (95\% CI, -0.7, -0.29) and -0.79 (95\% CI, -0.99, -0.58) for IMT, -0.5 (95\% CI, -0.64, -0.37) and -0.79 (95\% CI, -0.94, -0.65) for N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, -1.08 (95\% CI, -1.34, -0.83) and -0.73 (95\% CI, -0.97, -0.5) for high-sensitivity troponin-T, and -0.26 (95\% CI, -0.42, -0.09) and -0.23 (95\% CI, -0.41, -0.05) for procollagen-III N-terminal propeptide. Most tested variables remained significant even after adjusting for incident cardiovascular (CV) disease.

CONCLUSIONS: In this population-based cohort, variables obtained by CV imaging and biomarkers of inflammation, coagulation, atherosclerosis, myocardial injury and stress, and cardiac collagen turnover were associated with YAL, an important outcome that integrates physical ability and longevity in older persons.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Aged, Biomarkers, Cardiovascular Diseases, Carotid Intima-Media Thickness, Echocardiography, Female, Humans, Independent Living, Male, Natriuretic Peptide, Brain, Peptide Fragments, Procollagen, Prospective Studies, Stroke Volume, Troponin I}, issn = {2047-9980}, doi = {10.1161/JAHA.114.001745}, author = {Alshawabkeh, Laith I and Yee, Laura M and Gardin, Julius M and Gottdiener, John S and Odden, Michelle C and Bartz, Traci M and Arnold, Alice M and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Wallace, Robert B} } @article {7247, title = {Can a Healthy Lifestyle Compress the Disabled Period in Older Adults?}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {64}, year = {2016}, month = {2016 Oct}, pages = {1952-1961}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether lifestyle factors, measured late in life, could compress the disabled period toward the end of life.

DESIGN: Community-based cohort study of older adults followed from 1989 to 2015.

SETTING: Four U.S. communities.

PARTICIPANTS: Community-living men and women aged 65 and older (N = 5,248, mean age 72.7 {\textpm} 5.5, 57\% female, 15.2\% minority) who were not wheelchair dependent and were able to give informed consent at baseline.

MEASUREMENTS: Multiple lifestyle factors, including smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, diet, body mass index (BMI), social networks, and social support, were measured at baseline. Activities of daily living (ADLs) were assessed at baseline and throughout follow-up. Years of life (YoL) was defined as years until death. Years of able life (YAL) was defined as years without any ADL difficulty. YAL/YoL\%, the proportion of life lived able, was used to indicate the relative compression or expansion of the disabled period.

RESULTS: The average duration of disabled years was 4.5 (out of 15.4 mean YoL) for women and 2.9 (out of 12.4 mean YoL) for men. In a multivariable model, obesity was associated with 7.3 percentage points (95\% confidence interval (CI) = 5.4-9.2) lower YAL/YoL\% than normal weight. Scores in the lowest quintile of the Alternate Healthy Eating Index were associated with a 3.7\% (95\% CI = 1.6-5.9) lower YAL/YoL\% than scores in the highest quintile. Every 25 blocks walked in a week was associated with 0.5 percentage points (95\% CI = 0.3-0.8) higher YAL/YoL\%.

CONCLUSION: The effects of healthy lifestyle factors on the proportion of future life lived free of disability indicate that the disabled period can be compressed, given the right combination of these factors.

}, issn = {1532-5415}, doi = {10.1111/jgs.14314}, author = {Jacob, Mini E and Yee, Laura M and Diehr, Paula H and Arnold, Alice M and Thielke, Stephen M and Chaves, Paulo H M and Gobbo, Liana Del and Hirsch, Calvin and Siscovick, David and Newman, Anne B} } @article {7123, title = {Measures of Body Size and Composition and Risk of Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Older People: The Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Am J Epidemiol}, volume = {183}, year = {2016}, month = {2016 Jun 1}, pages = {998-1007}, abstract = {

Various anthropometric measures, including height, have been associated with atrial fibrillation (AF). This raises questions about the appropriateness of using ratio measures such as body mass index (BMI), which contains height squared in its denominator, in the evaluation of AF risk. Among older adults, the optimal anthropometric approach to risk stratification of AF remains uncertain. Anthropometric and bioelectrical impedance measures were obtained from 4,276 participants (mean age = 72.4 years) free of cardiovascular disease in the Cardiovascular Health Study. During follow-up (1989-2008), 1,050 cases of AF occurred. BMI showed a U-shaped association, whereas height, weight, waist circumference, hip circumference, fat mass, and fat-free mass were linearly related to incident AF. The strongest adjusted association occurred for height (per each 1-standard-deviation increment, hazard ratio = 1.38, 95\% confidence interval: 1.25, 1.51), which exceeded all other measures, including weight (hazard ratio = 1.21, 95\% confidence interval: 1.13, 1.29). Combined assessment of log-transformed weight and height showed regression coefficients that departed from the 1 to -2 ratio inherent in BMI, indicating a loss of predictive information. Risk estimates for AF tended to be stronger for hip circumference than for waist circumference and for fat-free mass than for fat mass, which was explained largely by height. These findings highlight the prominent role of body size and the inadequacy of BMI as determinants of AF in older adults.

}, issn = {1476-6256}, doi = {10.1093/aje/kwv278}, author = {Karas, Maria G and Yee, Laura M and Biggs, Mary L and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Ix, Joachim H and Zieman, Susan J and Siscovick, David S and Gottdiener, John S and Rosenberg, Michael A and Kronmal, Richard A and Heckbert, Susan R and Kizer, Jorge R} }