@article {6001, title = {Blood pressure variability and the risk of all-cause mortality, incident myocardial infarction, and incident stroke in the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Am J Hypertens}, volume = {26}, year = {2013}, month = {2013 Oct}, pages = {1210-7}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Recent reports have linked variability in visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure (SBP) to risk of mortality and stroke, independent of the effect of mean SBP level. This study aimed to evaluate whether variability in SBP is associated with all-cause mortality, incident myocardial infarction (MI), and incident stroke, independent of mean SBP or trends in SBP levels over time.

METHODS: The Cardiovascular Health Study is a longitudinal cohort study of vascular risk factors and disease in the elderly. Participants who attended their first 5 annual clinic visits and experienced no event before the 5th visit were eligible (n = 3,852). Primary analyses were restricted to participants not using antihypertensive medications throughout the first 5 clinic visits (n = 1,642). Intraindividual SBP variables were defined using each participant{\textquoteright}s 5-visit blood pressure measures. Cox proportional hazards models estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) per SD increase in intraindividual SBP variability, adjusted for intraindividual SBP mean and change over time.

RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 9.9 years, there were 844 deaths, 203 MIs, and 195 strokes. Intraindividual SBP variability was significantly associated with increased risk of mortality (HR = 1.13; 95\% confidence interval (CI) = 1.05-1.21) and of incident MI (HR = 1.20; 95\%CI = 1.06-1.36), independent of the effect from adjustment factors. Intraindividual SBP variability was not associated with risk of stroke (HR = 1.03; 95\% CI = 0.89-1.21).

CONCLUSIONS: Long-term visit-to-visit SBP variability was independently associated with a higher risk of subsequent mortality and MI but not stroke. More research is needed to determine the relationship of BP variability with cardiovascular risk and the clinical implications.

}, keywords = {Aged, Blood Pressure, Cohort Studies, Female, Humans, Incidence, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Mortality, Myocardial Infarction, Risk, Stroke, United States}, issn = {1941-7225}, doi = {10.1093/ajh/hpt092}, author = {Suchy-Dicey, Astrid M and Wallace, Erin R and Mitchell, S V Elkind and Aguilar, Maria and Gottesman, Rebecca F and Rice, Kenneth and Kronmal, Richard and Psaty, Bruce M and Longstreth, W T} } @article {6397, title = {Plasma phospholipid saturated fatty acids and incident atrial fibrillation: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Am Heart Assoc}, volume = {3}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Jun 26}, pages = {e000889}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Prior studies suggest that circulating fatty acids may influence the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF), but little is known about the associations of circulating saturated fatty acids with risk of AF.

METHODS AND RESULTS: The study population included 2899 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study, a community-based longitudinal cohort of adults aged 65 years or older in the United States who were free of prevalent coronary heart disease and AF in 1992. Cox regression was used to assess the association of all the long-chain saturated fatty acids-palmitic acid (16:0), stearic acid (18:0), arachidic acid (20:0), behenic acid (22:0), and lignoceric acid (24:0)-with incident AF. During a median of 11.2 years of follow-up, 707 cases of incident AF occurred. After adjustment for other AF risk factors, higher levels of circulating 16:0 were associated with a higher risk of AF (hazard ratio comparing highest and lowest quartiles: 1.48; 95\% CI: 1.18, 1.86). In contrast, higher levels of circulating 18:0, 20:0, 22:0, and 24:0 were each associated with a lower risk of AF. The hazard ratios (95\% CI) for AF in the top and bottom quartiles were 0.76 (95\% CI: 0.61, 0.95) for 18:0; 0.78 (95\% CI: 0.63, 0.97) for 20:0; 0.62 (95\% CI: 0.50, 0.78) for 22:0; and 0.68 (95\% CI: 0.55, 0.85) for 24:0.

CONCLUSIONS: Results from this prospective cohort study of older adults demonstrate divergent associations of circulating 16:0 versus longer-chain saturated fatty acids with incident AF, highlighting the need to investigate both determinants of these levels and potential pathways of the observed differential risk.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Atrial Fibrillation, Eicosanoic Acids, Fatty Acids, Female, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Palmitic Acid, Phospholipids, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Stearic Acids, United States}, issn = {2047-9980}, doi = {10.1161/JAHA.114.000889}, author = {Fretts, Amanda M and Mozaffarian, Dariush and Siscovick, David S and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Heckbert, Susan R and King, Irena B and McKnight, Barbara and Sitlani, Colleen and Sacks, Frank M and Song, Xiaoling and Sotoodehnia, Nona and Spiegelman, Donna and Wallace, Erin R and Lemaitre, Rozenn N} } @article {6795, title = {Subclinical thyroid dysfunction and fracture risk: a meta-analysis.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {313}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 May 26}, pages = {2055-65}, abstract = {

IMPORTANCE: Associations between subclinical thyroid dysfunction and fractures are unclear and clinical trials are lacking.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association of subclinical thyroid dysfunction with hip, nonspine, spine, or any fractures.

DATA SOURCES AND STUDY SELECTION: The databases of MEDLINE and EMBASE (inception to March 26, 2015) were searched without language restrictions for prospective cohort studies with thyroid function data and subsequent fractures.

DATA EXTRACTION: Individual participant data were obtained from 13 prospective cohorts in the United States, Europe, Australia, and Japan. Levels of thyroid function were defined as euthyroidism (thyroid-stimulating hormone [TSH], 0.45-4.49 mIU/L), subclinical hyperthyroidism (TSH <0.45 mIU/L), and subclinical hypothyroidism (TSH >=4.50-19.99 mIU/L) with normal thyroxine concentrations.

MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was hip fracture. Any fractures, nonspine fractures, and clinical spine fractures were secondary outcomes.

RESULTS: Among 70,298 participants, 4092 (5.8\%) had subclinical hypothyroidism and 2219 (3.2\%) had subclinical hyperthyroidism. During 762,401 person-years of follow-up, hip fracture occurred in 2975 participants (4.6\%; 12 studies), any fracture in 2528 participants (9.0\%; 8 studies), nonspine fracture in 2018 participants (8.4\%; 8 studies), and spine fracture in 296 participants (1.3\%; 6 studies). In age- and sex-adjusted analyses, the hazard ratio (HR) for subclinical hyperthyroidism vs euthyroidism was 1.36 for hip fracture (95\% CI, 1.13-1.64; 146 events in 2082 participants vs 2534 in 56,471); for any fracture, HR was 1.28 (95\% CI, 1.06-1.53; 121 events in 888 participants vs 2203 in 25,901); for nonspine fracture, HR was 1.16 (95\% CI, 0.95-1.41; 107 events in 946 participants vs 1745 in 21,722); and for spine fracture, HR was 1.51 (95\% CI, 0.93-2.45; 17 events in 732 participants vs 255 in 20,328). Lower TSH was associated with higher fracture rates: for TSH of less than 0.10 mIU/L, HR was 1.61 for hip fracture (95\% CI, 1.21-2.15; 47 events in 510 participants); for any fracture, HR was 1.98 (95\% CI, 1.41-2.78; 44 events in 212 participants); for nonspine fracture, HR was 1.61 (95\% CI, 0.96-2.71; 32 events in 185 participants); and for spine fracture, HR was 3.57 (95\% CI, 1.88-6.78; 8 events in 162 participants). Risks were similar after adjustment for other fracture risk factors. Endogenous subclinical hyperthyroidism (excluding thyroid medication users) was associated with HRs of 1.52 (95\% CI, 1.19-1.93) for hip fracture, 1.42 (95\% CI, 1.16-1.74) for any fracture, and 1.74 (95\% CI, 1.01-2.99) for spine fracture. No association was found between subclinical hypothyroidism and fracture risk.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Subclinical hyperthyroidism was associated with an increased risk of hip and other fractures, particularly among those with TSH levels of less than 0.10 mIU/L and those with endogenous subclinical hyperthyroidism. Further study is needed to determine whether treating subclinical hyperthyroidism can prevent fractures.

}, keywords = {Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Female, Fractures, Bone, Hip Fractures, Humans, Hyperthyroidism, Hypothyroidism, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Spinal Fractures, Thyrotropin, Young Adult}, issn = {1538-3598}, doi = {10.1001/jama.2015.5161}, author = {Blum, Manuel R and Bauer, Douglas C and Collet, Tinh-Hai and Fink, Howard A and Cappola, Anne R and da Costa, Bruno R and Wirth, Christina D and Peeters, Robin P and Asvold, Bj{\o}rn O and den Elzen, Wendy P J and Luben, Robert N and Imaizumi, Misa and Bremner, Alexandra P and Gogakos, Apostolos and Eastell, Richard and Kearney, Patricia M and Strotmeyer, Elsa S and Wallace, Erin R and Hoff, Mari and Ceresini, Graziano and Rivadeneira, Fernando and Uitterlinden, Andr{\'e} G and Stott, David J and Westendorp, Rudi G J and Khaw, Kay-Tee and Langhammer, Arnuf and Ferrucci, Luigi and Gussekloo, Jacobijn and Williams, Graham R and Walsh, John P and J{\"u}ni, Peter and Aujesky, Drahomir and Rodondi, Nicolas} } @article {7002, title = {Incident Atrial Fibrillation and Disability-Free Survival in the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {64}, year = {2016}, month = {2016 Apr}, pages = {838-43}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To assess the associations between incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and disability-free survival and risk of disability.

DESIGN: Prospective cohort study.

SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study.

PARTICIPANTS: Individuals aged 65 and older and enrolled in fee-for-service Medicare followed between 1991 and 2009 (MN = 4,046). Individuals with prevalent AF, activity of daily living (ADL) disability, or a history of stroke or heart failure at baseline were excluded.

MEASUREMENTS: Incident AF was identified according to annual study electrocardiogram, hospital discharge diagnosis, or Medicare claims. Disability-free survival was defined as survival free of ADL disability (any difficulty or inability in bathing, dressing, eating, using the toilet, walking around the home, or getting out of a bed or chair). ADLs were assessed at annual study visits or in a telephone interview. Association between incident AF and disability-free survival or risk of disability was estimated using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS: Over an average of 7.0 years of follow-up, 660 individuals (16.3\%) developed incident AF, and 3,112 (77\%) became disabled or died. Incident AF was associated with shorter disability-free survival (hazard ratio (HR) for death or ADL disability = 1.71, 95\% confidence interval (CI) = 1.55-1.90) and a higher risk of ADL disability (HR = 1.36, 95\% CI = 1.18-1.58) than in individuals with no history of AF. This association persisted after adjustment for interim stroke and heart failure.

CONCLUSION: These results suggest that AF is a risk factor for shorter functional longevity in older adults, independent of other risk factors and comorbid conditions.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Atrial Fibrillation, Disability Evaluation, Electrocardiography, Female, Geriatric Assessment, Humans, Incidence, Longevity, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Medicare, Prevalence, Prospective Studies, Survival Rate, United States}, issn = {1532-5415}, doi = {10.1111/jgs.14037}, author = {Wallace, Erin R and Siscovick, David S and Sitlani, Colleen M and Dublin, Sascha and Mitchell, Pamela H and Odden, Michelle C and Hirsch, Calvin H and Thielke, Stephen and Heckbert, Susan R} } @article {7677, title = {Hospital and clinical care costs associated with atrial fibrillation for Medicare beneficiaries in the Cardiovascular Health Study and the Framingham Heart Study.}, journal = {SAGE Open Med}, volume = {6}, year = {2018}, month = {2018}, pages = {2050312118759444}, abstract = {

Background: Atrial fibrillation is increasingly prevalent as the US population ages and is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Care for patients with atrial fibrillation can be costly, US health care costs are comparatively high, and there are few cost estimates available that incorporate detailed measurement of comorbidities and their effects on costs.

Methods and Results: In the Cardiovascular Health Study and the Framingham Heart Study, participants aged 65 years or older with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation were matched on age and follow-up time to referents free of atrial fibrillation. The total clinical and hospital medical costs paid by Medicare Parts A and B (drug costs from Medicare Part D costs were not included) in the year prior to diagnosis (or matching) were compared with costs in the following year. Estimates were adjusted for other medical conditions and adjusted to 2009 dollars. In the Cardiovascular Health Study, 513 participants were diagnosed with new-onset atrial fibrillation and survived 30 days post-atrial fibrillation diagnosis, and 513 referents (as a control cohort) were identified, with a mean age of 77 years. In the Framingham Heart Study, we identified 336 participants diagnosed with atrial fibrillation, who survived 30 days post-atrial fibrillation diagnosis and matched these participants to 336 referents. We compared these new-onset atrial fibrillation participants with referents, using a difference in difference design to account for both time trends and differences between the two groups. The adjusted incremental cost for participants with atrial fibrillation, compared with referents, was US$18,060 (95\% confidence interval: US$14,965-US$21,155) in the Cardiovascular Health Study and US$20,012 (95\% confidence interval: US$15,057-US$24,966) in the Framingham Heart Study. The pooled estimate was US$18,601 (95\% confidence interval: US$15,981-US$21,234).

Conclusion: Atrial fibrillation was associated with increased costs in the year after diagnosis in two community-based cohorts, even after careful accounting for age, time period, and systematically measured comorbidities.

}, issn = {2050-3121}, doi = {10.1177/2050312118759444}, author = {Delaney, Joseph Ac and Yin, Xiaoyan and Fontes, Jo{\~a}o Daniel and Wallace, Erin R and Skinner, Asheley and Wang, Na and Hammill, Bradley G and Benjamin, Emelia J and Curtis, Lesley H and Heckbert, Susan R} }