@article {6085, title = {Impact of blood pressure and blood pressure change during middle age on the remaining lifetime risk for cardiovascular disease: the cardiovascular lifetime risk pooling project.}, journal = {Circulation}, volume = {125}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 Jan 03}, pages = {37-44}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Prior estimates of lifetime risk (LTR) for cardiovascular disease (CVD) examined the impact of blood pressure (BP) at the index age and did not account for changes in BP over time. We examined how changes in BP during middle age affect LTR for CVD, coronary heart disease, and stroke.

METHODS AND RESULTS: Data from 7 diverse US cohort studies were pooled. Remaining LTRs for CVD, coronary heart disease, and stroke were estimated for white and black men and women with death free of CVD as a competing event. LTRs for CVD by BP strata and by changes in BP over an average of 14 years were estimated. Starting at 55 years of age, we followed up 61 585 men and women for 700 000 person-years. LTR for CVD was 52.5\% (95\% confidence interval, 51.3-53.7) for men and 39.9\% (95\% confidence interval, 38.7-41.0) for women. LTR for CVD was higher for blacks and increased with increasing BP at index age. Individuals who maintained or decreased their BP to normal levels had the lowest remaining LTR for CVD, 22\% to 41\%, compared with individuals who had or developed hypertension by 55 years of age, 42\% to 69\%, suggesting a dose-response effect for the length of time at high BP levels.

CONCLUSIONS: Individuals who experience increases or decreases in BP in middle age have associated higher and lower remaining LTR for CVD. Prevention efforts should continue to emphasize the importance of lowering BP and avoiding or delaying the incidence of hypertension to reduce the LTR for CVD.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Blood Pressure, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Hypertension, Life Tables, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Factors}, issn = {1524-4539}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.110.002774}, author = {Allen, Norrina and Berry, Jarett D and Ning, Hongyan and Van Horn, Linda and Dyer, Alan and Lloyd-Jones, Donald M} } @article {9382, title = {Effect of 2022 ACC/AHA/HFSA Criteria on Stages of Heart~Failure in a Pooled Community Cohort.}, journal = {J Am Coll Cardiol}, volume = {81}, year = {2023}, month = {2023 Jun 13}, pages = {2231-2242}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: The 2022 American College of Cardiology (ACC)/American Heart Association (AHA)/Heart~Failure Society of America (HFSA) clinical practice guideline proposed an updated definition for heart failure (HF) stages.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to compare prevalence and prognosis of HF stages according to classification/definition originally described in 2013 and 2022 ACC/AHA/HFSA definitions.

METHODS: Study participants from 3 longitudinal cohorts (the MESA [Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis], CHS [Cardiovascular Health Study], and the FHS [Framingham Heart Study]), were categorized into 4 HF stages according to the 2013 and 2022 criteria. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess predictors of progression to symptomatic HF and adverse clinical outcomes associated with each HF stage.

RESULTS: Among 11,618 study participants, according to the 2022 staging, 1,943 (16.7\%) were healthy, 4,348 (37.4\%) were in stage A (at risk), 5,019 (43.2\%) were in stage B (pre-HF), and 308 (2.7\%) were in stage C/D (symptomatic HF). Compared to the classification/definition originally described in 2013, the 2022 ACC/AHA/HFSA approach resulted in a higher proportion of individuals with stage B HF (increase from 15.9\% to 43.2\%); this shift disproportionately involved women as well as Hispanic and Black individuals. Despite the 2022 criteria designating a greater proportion of individuals as stage B, the relative risk of progression to symptomatic HF remained similar (HR: 10.61; 95\%~CI: 9.00-12.51; P~< 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS: New standards for HF staging resulted in a substantial shift of community-based individuals from stage A to stage B. Those with stage B HF in the new system were at high risk for progression to symptomatic HF.

}, keywords = {American Heart Association, Atherosclerosis, Cardiology, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Prognosis, United States}, issn = {1558-3597}, doi = {10.1016/j.jacc.2023.04.007}, author = {Mohebi, Reza and Wang, Dongyu and Lau, Emily S and Parekh, Juhi K and Allen, Norrina and Psaty, Bruce M and Benjamin, Emelia J and Levy, Daniel and Wang, Thomas J and Shah, Sanjiv J and Gottdiener, John S and Januzzi, James L and Ho, Jennifer E} }