@article {6308, title = {Fibroblast growth factor-23 and the long-term risk of hospital-associated AKI among community-dwelling older individuals.}, journal = {Clin J Am Soc Nephrol}, volume = {9}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Feb}, pages = {239-46}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: AKI occurs frequently in older persons. Elevated circulating fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF-23), a known marker of impaired mineral metabolism, may also reflect tubular dysfunction and risk of AKI. This study evaluated FGF-23 as well as traditional markers of kidney disease, namely urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) and creatinine-cystatin C estimated GFR (eGFRCrCyC), as risk factors for AKI in elderly individuals.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, \& MEASUREMENTS: Plasma FGF-23, UACR, and eGFRCrCyC were measured in 3241 community-dwelling elderly individuals in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Hospitalization for AKI was defined by International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes. Associations of each biomarker with AKI were evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, and biomarkers of kidney function.

RESULTS: The mean participant age was 78 years; 60\% of participants were women and 16\% were African American. The median (interquartile range) values of biomarkers were as follows: FGF-23, 70 RU/ml (53, 99); UACR, 8.88 mg/g (4.71, 20.47); and eGFRCrCyC, 71 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) (59, 83). Hospitalized AKI occurred in 119 participants over 10.0 years of median follow-up. In fully adjusted analyses, compared with the lowest quartiles, the highest quartiles of FGF-23 (>=100 RU/ml) and UACR (>=20.9 mg/g) were associated with AKI (FGF-23: hazard ratio [HR], 1.99; 95\% confidence interval [95\% CI], 1.04 to 3.80; and UACR: HR, 3.35; 95\% CI, 1.83 to 6.13). Compared with the highest quartile, the lowest quartile of eGFRCrCyC (<57 ml/min per 1.73 m(2)) was associated with AKI with an HR of 2.15 (95\% CI, 1.21 to 3.82).

CONCLUSIONS: FGF-23 adjusted for albuminuria, cardiovascular disease risk factors, and baseline eGFR is independently associated with a higher risk of AKI hospitalizations in community-dwelling elderly individuals. Further studies to understand the nature of this association are warranted.

}, keywords = {Acute Kidney Injury, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Albuminuria, Biomarkers, Creatinine, Cystatin C, Female, Fibroblast Growth Factors, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Hospitalization, Humans, Independent Living, Kidney, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Prognosis, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Time Factors}, issn = {1555-905X}, doi = {10.2215/CJN.05830513}, author = {Brown, Jeremiah R and Katz, Ronit and Ix, Joachim H and de Boer, Ian H and Siscovick, David S and Grams, Morgan E and Shlipak, Michael and Sarnak, Mark J} } @article {6797, title = {A Meta-analysis of the Association of Estimated GFR, Albuminuria, Age, Race, and Sex With Acute Kidney Injury.}, journal = {Am J Kidney Dis}, volume = {66}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Oct}, pages = {591-601}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a serious global public health problem. We aimed to quantify the risk of AKI associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), albuminuria (albumin-creatinine ratio [ACR]), age, sex, and race (African American and white).

STUDY DESIGN: Collaborative meta-analysis.

SETTING \& POPULATION: 8 general-population cohorts (1,285,049 participants) and 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD) cohorts (79,519 participants).

SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES: Available eGFR, ACR, and 50 or more AKI events.

PREDICTORS: Age, sex, race, eGFR, urine ACR, and interactions.

OUTCOME: Hospitalized with or for AKI, using Cox proportional hazards models to estimate HRs of AKI and random-effects meta-analysis to pool results.

RESULTS: 16,480 (1.3\%) general-population cohort participants had AKI over a mean follow-up of 4 years; 2,087 (2.6\%) CKD participants had AKI over a mean follow-up of 1 year. Lower eGFR and higher ACR were strongly associated with AKI. Compared with eGFR of 80mL/min/1.73m(2), the adjusted HR of AKI at eGFR of 45mL/min/1.73m(2) was 3.35 (95\% CI, 2.75-4.07). Compared with ACR of 5mg/g, the risk of AKI at ACR of 300mg/g was 2.73 (95\% CI, 2.18-3.43). Older age was associated with higher risk of AKI, but this effect was attenuated with lower eGFR or higher ACR. Male sex was associated with higher risk of AKI, with a slight attenuation in lower eGFR but not in higher ACR. African Americans had higher AKI risk at higher levels of eGFR and most levels of ACR.

LIMITATIONS: Only 2 general-population cohorts could contribute to analyses by race; AKI identified by diagnostic code.

CONCLUSIONS: Reduced eGFR and increased ACR are consistent strong risk factors for AKI, whereas associations of AKI with age, sex, and race may be weaker in more advanced stages of CKD.

}, keywords = {Acute Kidney Injury, Adolescent, Adult, African Americans, Age Distribution, Aged, Albuminuria, Continental Population Groups, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Incidence, Male, Middle Aged, Predictive Value of Tests, Prognosis, Severity of Illness Index, Sex Distribution, Young Adult}, issn = {1523-6838}, doi = {10.1053/j.ajkd.2015.02.337}, author = {Grams, Morgan E and Sang, Yingying and Ballew, Shoshana H and Gansevoort, Ron T and Kimm, Heejin and Kovesdy, Csaba P and Naimark, David and Oien, Cecilia and Smith, David H and Coresh, Josef and Sarnak, Mark J and Stengel, B{\'e}n{\'e}dicte and Tonelli, Marcello} } @article {6796, title = {A Meta-analysis of the Association of Estimated GFR, Albuminuria, Diabetes Mellitus, and Hypertension With Acute Kidney Injury.}, journal = {Am J Kidney Dis}, volume = {66}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Oct}, pages = {602-12}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus and hypertension are risk factors for acute kidney injury (AKI). Whether estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) remain risk factors for AKI in the presence and absence of these conditions is uncertain.

STUDY DESIGN: Meta-analysis of cohort studies.

SETTING \& POPULATION: 8 general-population (1,285,045 participants) and 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD; 79,519 participants) cohorts.

SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES: Cohorts participating in the CKD Prognosis Consortium.

PREDICTORS: Diabetes and hypertension status, eGFR by the 2009 CKD Epidemiology Collaboration creatinine equation, urine ACR, and interactions.

OUTCOME: Hospitalization with AKI, using Cox proportional hazards models to estimate HRs of AKI and random-effects meta-analysis to pool results.

RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 4 years, there were 16,480 episodes of AKI in the general-population and 2,087 episodes in the CKD cohorts. Low eGFRs and high ACRs were associated with higher risks of AKI in individuals with or without diabetes and with or without hypertension. When compared to a common reference of eGFR of 80mL/min/1.73m(2) in nondiabetic patients, HRs for AKI were generally higher in diabetic patients at any level of eGFR. The same was true for diabetic patients at all levels of ACR compared with nondiabetic patients. The risk gradient for AKI with lower eGFRs was greater in those without diabetes than with diabetes, but similar with higher ACRs in those without versus with diabetes. Those with hypertension had a higher risk of AKI at eGFRs>60mL/min/1.73m(2) than those without hypertension. However, risk gradients for AKI with both lower eGFRs and higher ACRs were greater for those without than with hypertension.

LIMITATIONS: AKI identified by diagnostic code.

CONCLUSIONS: Lower eGFRs and higher ACRs are associated with higher risks of AKI among individuals with or without either diabetes or hypertension.

}, keywords = {Acute Kidney Injury, Adult, Aged, Comorbidity, Diabetes Mellitus, Disease Progression, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Hypertension, Incidence, Kidney Failure, Chronic, Male, Middle Aged, Prognosis, Renal Insufficiency, Chronic}, issn = {1523-6838}, doi = {10.1053/j.ajkd.2015.02.338}, author = {James, Matthew T and Grams, Morgan E and Woodward, Mark and Elley, C Raina and Green, Jamie A and Wheeler, David C and de Jong, Paul and Gansevoort, Ron T and Levey, Andrew S and Warnock, David G and Sarnak, Mark J} } @article {9637, title = {Development and Validation of the American Heart Association{\textquoteright}s PREVENT Equations.}, journal = {Circulation}, volume = {149}, year = {2024}, month = {2024 Feb 06}, pages = {430-449}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Multivariable equations are recommended by primary prevention guidelines to assess absolute risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, current equations have several limitations. Therefore, we developed and validated the American Heart Association Predicting Risk of CVD EVENTs (PREVENT) equations among US adults 30 to 79 years of age without known CVD.

METHODS: The derivation sample included individual-level participant data from 25 data sets (N=3 281 919) between 1992 and 2017. The primary outcome was CVD (atherosclerotic CVD and heart failure). Predictors included traditional risk factors (smoking status, systolic blood pressure, cholesterol, antihypertensive or statin use, and diabetes) and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Models were sex-specific, race-free, developed on the age scale, and adjusted for competing risk of non-CVD death. Analyses were conducted in each data set and meta-analyzed. Discrimination was assessed using the Harrell C-statistic. Calibration was calculated as the slope of the observed versus predicted risk by decile. Additional equations to predict each CVD subtype (atherosclerotic CVD and heart failure) and include optional predictors (urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio and hemoglobin A1c), and social deprivation index were also developed. External validation was performed in 3 330 085 participants from 21 additional data sets.

RESULTS: Among 6 612 004 adults included, mean{\textpm}SD age was 53{\textpm}12 years, and 56\% were women. Over a mean{\textpm}SD follow-up of 4.8{\textpm}3.1 years, there were 211 515 incident total CVD events. The median C-statistics in external validation for CVD were 0.794 (interquartile interval, 0.763-0.809) in female and 0.757 (0.727-0.778) in male participants. The calibration slopes were 1.03 (interquartile interval, 0.81-1.16) and 0.94 (0.81-1.13) among female and male participants, respectively. Similar estimates for discrimination and calibration were observed for atherosclerotic CVD- and heart failure-specific models. The improvement in discrimination was small but statistically significant when urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio, hemoglobin A1c, and social deprivation index were added together to the base model to total CVD (ΔC-statistic [interquartile interval] 0.004 [0.004-0.005] and 0.005 [0.004-0.007] among female and male participants, respectively). Calibration improved significantly when the urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio was added to the base model among those with marked albuminuria (>300 mg/g; 1.05 [0.84-1.20] versus 1.39 [1.14-1.65]; =0.01).

CONCLUSIONS: PREVENT equations accurately and precisely predicted risk for incident CVD and CVD subtypes in a large, diverse, and contemporary sample of US adults by using routinely available clinical variables.

}, keywords = {Adult, Aged, Albumins, American Heart Association, Atherosclerosis, Cardiovascular Diseases, Creatinine, Female, Glycated Hemoglobin, Heart Failure, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors}, issn = {1524-4539}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.123.067626}, author = {Khan, Sadiya S and Matsushita, Kunihiro and Sang, Yingying and Ballew, Shoshana H and Grams, Morgan E and Surapaneni, Aditya and Blaha, Michael J and Carson, April P and Chang, Alexander R and Ciemins, Elizabeth and Go, Alan S and Gutierrez, Orlando M and Hwang, Shih-Jen and Jassal, Simerjot K and Kovesdy, Csaba P and Lloyd-Jones, Donald M and Shlipak, Michael G and Palaniappan, Latha P and Sperling, Laurence and Virani, Salim S and Tuttle, Katherine and Neeland, Ian J and Chow, Sheryl L and Rangaswami, Janani and Pencina, Michael J and Ndumele, Chiadi E and Coresh, Josef} }