@article {6240, title = {Racial and regional differences in venous thromboembolism in the United States in 3 cohorts.}, journal = {Circulation}, volume = {129}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Apr 08}, pages = {1502-9}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Blacks are thought to have a higher risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) than whites. However, prior studies are limited to administrative databases that lack specific information on VTE risk factors or have limited geographic scope.

METHODS AND RESULTS: We ascertained VTE from 3 prospective studies: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC), the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), and the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke study (REGARDS). We tested the association of race with VTE using Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for VTE risk factors. Over 438 090 person-years, 916 incident VTE events (302 in blacks) occurred in 51 149 individuals (17 318 blacks) who were followed up. In risk factor-adjusted models, blacks had a higher rate of VTE than whites in the CHS (hazard ratio, 1.81; 95\% confidence interval, 1.20-2.73) but not ARIC (hazard ratio, 1.21; 95\% confidence interval, 0.96-1.54). In REGARDS, there was a significant region-by-race interaction (P=0.01): Blacks in the Southeast had a significantly higher rate of VTE than blacks in the rest of the United States (hazard ratio, 1.63; 95\% confidence interval, 1.08-2.48) that was not seen in whites (hazard ratio, 0.83; 95\% confidence interval, 0.61-1.14).

CONCLUSIONS: The association of race with VTE differed in each cohort, which may reflect the different time periods of the studies or different regional rates of VTE. Further studies of environmental and genetic risk factors for VTE are needed to determine which underlie racial and perhaps regional differences in VTE.

}, keywords = {African Continental Ancestry Group, Aged, Cohort Studies, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Middle Aged, Prevalence, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Residence Characteristics, Risk Factors, United States, Venous Thromboembolism}, issn = {1524-4539}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.113.006472}, author = {Zakai, Neil A and McClure, Leslie A and Judd, Suzanne E and Safford, Monika M and Folsom, Aaron R and Lutsey, Pamela L and Cushman, Mary} } @article {7448, title = {PCSK9 Loss-of-Function Variants, Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol, and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease and Stroke: Data From 9 Studies of Blacks and Whites.}, journal = {Circ Cardiovasc Genet}, volume = {10}, year = {2017}, month = {2017 Aug}, pages = {e001632}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: PCSK9 loss-of-function (LOF) variants allow for the examination of the effects of lifetime reduced low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) on cardiovascular events. We examined the association of PCSK9 LOF variants with LDL-C and incident coronary heart disease and stroke through a meta-analysis of data from 8 observational cohorts and 1 randomized trial of statin therapy.

METHODS AND RESULTS: These 9 studies together included 17 459 blacks with 403 (2.3\%) having at least 1 Y142X or C679X variant and 31 306 whites with 955 (3.1\%) having at least 1 R46L variant. Unadjusted odds ratios for associations between PCSK9 LOF variants and incident coronary heart disease (851 events in blacks and 2662 events in whites) and stroke (523 events in blacks and 1660 events in whites) were calculated using pooled Mantel-Haenszel estimates with continuity correction factors. Pooling results across studies using fixed-effects inverse-variance-weighted models, PCSK9 LOF variants were associated with 35 mg/dL (95\% confidence interval [CI], 32-39) lower LDL-C in blacks and 13 mg/dL (95\% CI, 11-16) lower LDL-C in whites. PCSK9 LOF variants were associated with a pooled odds ratio for coronary heart disease of 0.51 (95\% CI, 0.28-0.92) in blacks and 0.82 (95\% CI, 0.63-1.06) in whites. PCSK9 LOF variants were not associated with incident stroke (odds ratio, 0.84; 95\% CI, 0.48-1.47 in blacks and odds ratio, 1.06; 95\% CI, 0.80-1.41 in whites).

CONCLUSIONS: PCSK9 LOF variants were associated with lower LDL-C and coronary heart disease incidence. PCSK9 LOF variants were not associated with stroke risk.

}, issn = {1942-3268}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCGENETICS.116.001632}, author = {Kent, Shia T and Rosenson, Robert S and Avery, Christy L and Chen, Yii-der I and Correa, Adolfo and Cummings, Steven R and Cupples, L Adrienne and Cushman, Mary and Evans, Daniel S and Gudnason, Vilmundur and Harris, Tamara B and Howard, George and Irvin, Marguerite R and Judd, Suzanne E and Jukema, J Wouter and Lange, Leslie and Levitan, Emily B and Li, Xiaohui and Liu, Yongmei and Post, Wendy S and Postmus, Iris and Psaty, Bruce M and Rotter, Jerome I and Safford, Monika M and Sitlani, Colleen M and Smith, Albert V and Stewart, James D and Trompet, Stella and Sun, Fangui and Vasan, Ramachandran S and Woolley, J Michael and Whitsel, Eric A and Wiggins, Kerri L and Wilson, James G and Muntner, Paul} } @article {8626, title = {Performance of the Pooled Cohort Equations to Estimate Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk by Body Mass Index.}, journal = {JAMA Netw Open}, volume = {3}, year = {2020}, month = {2020 10 01}, pages = {e2023242}, abstract = {

Importance: Obesity is a global health challenge and a risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASVCD). Performance of the pooled cohort equations (PCE) for ASCVD risk by body mass index (BMI; calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared) is unknown.

Objective: To assess performance of the PCE across clinical BMI categories.

Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used pooled individual-level data from 8 community-based, prospective, longitudinal cohort studies with 10-year ASCVD event follow-up from 1996 to 2016. We included all adults ages 40 to 79 years without baseline ASCVD or statin use, resulting in a sample size of 37 311 participants. Data were analyzed from August 2017 to July 2020.

Exposures: Participant BMI category: underweight (<18.5), normal weight (18.5 to <25), overweight (25 to <30), mild obesity (30 to <35), and moderate to severe obesity (>=35).

Main Outcomes and Measures: Discrimination (Harrell C statistic) and calibration (Nam-D{\textquoteright}Agostino χ2 goodness-of-fit test) of the PCE across BMI categories. Improvement in discrimination and net reclassification with addition of BMI, waist circumference, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) to the PCE.

Results: Among 37 311 participants (mean [SD] age, 58.6 [11.8] years; 21 897 [58.7\%] women), 380 604 person-years of follow-up were conducted. Mean (SD) baseline BMI was 29.0 (6.2), and 360 individuals (1.0\%) were in the underweight category, 9937 individuals (26.6\%) were in the normal weight category, 13 601 individuals (36.4\%) were in the overweight category, 7783 individuals (20.9\%) were in the mild obesity category, and 5630 individuals (15.1\%) were in the moderate to severe obesity category. Median (interquartile range [IQR]) 10-year estimated ASCVD risk was 7.1\% (2.5\%-15.4\%), and 3709 individuals (9.9\%) developed ASCVD over a median (IQR) 10.8 [8.5-12.6] years. The PCE overestimated ASCVD risk in the overall cohort (estimated/observed [E/O] risk ratio, 1.22; 95\% CI, 1.18-1.26) and across all BMI categories except the underweight category. Calibration was better near the clinical decision threshold in all BMI groups but worse among individuals with moderate or severe obesity (E/O risk ratio, 1.36; 95\% CI, 1.25-1.47) and among those with the highest estimated ASCVD risk >=20\%. The PCE C statistic overall was 0.760 (95\% CI, 0.753-0.767), with lower discrimination in the moderate or severe obesity group (C statistic, 0.742; 95\% CI, 0.721-0.763) compared with the normal-range BMI group (C statistic, 0.785; 95\% CI, 0.772-0.798). Waist circumference (hazard ratio, 1.07 per 1-SD increase; 95\% CI, 1.03-1.11) and hsCRP (hazard ratio, 1.07 per 1-SD increase; 95\% CI, 1.05-1.09), but not BMI, were associated with increased ASCVD risk when added to the PCE. However, these factors did not improve model performance (C statistic, 0.760; 95\% CI, 0.753-0.767) with or without added metrics.

Conclusions and Relevance: These findings suggest that the PCE had acceptable model discrimination and were well calibrated at clinical decision thresholds but overestimated risk of ASCVD for individuals in overweight and obese categories, particularly individuals with high estimated risk. Incorporation of the usual clinical measures of obesity did not improve risk estimation of the PCE. Future research is needed to determine whether incorporation of alternative high-risk obesity markers (eg, weight trajectory or measures of visceral or ectopic fat) into the PCE may improve risk prediction.

}, keywords = {Adult, Aged, Body Mass Index, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Correlation of Data, Female, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Middle Aged, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors}, issn = {2574-3805}, doi = {10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.23242}, author = {Khera, Rohan and Pandey, Ambarish and Ayers, Colby R and Carnethon, Mercedes R and Greenland, Philip and Ndumele, Chiadi E and Nambi, Vijay and Seliger, Stephen L and Chaves, Paulo H M and Safford, Monika M and Cushman, Mary and Xanthakis, Vanessa and Vasan, Ramachandran S and Mentz, Robert J and Correa, Adolfo and Lloyd-Jones, Donald M and Berry, Jarett D and de Lemos, James A and Neeland, Ian J} } @article {8786, title = {Association Between Intracerebral Hemorrhage and Subsequent Arterial Ischemic Events in Participants From 4 Population-Based Cohort Studies.}, journal = {JAMA Neurol}, volume = {78}, year = {2021}, month = {2021 Jul 01}, pages = {809-816}, abstract = {

Importance: Intracerebral hemorrhage and arterial ischemic disease share risk factors, to our knowledge, but the association between the 2 conditions remains unknown.

Objective: To evaluate whether intracerebral hemorrhage was associated with an increased risk of incident ischemic stroke and myocardial infarction.

Design, Setting, and Participants: An analysis was conducted of pooled longitudinal participant-level data from 4 population-based cohort studies in the United States: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), the Northern Manhattan Study (NOMAS), and the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study. Patients were enrolled from 1987 to 2007, and the last available follow-up was December 31, 2018. Data were analyzed from September 1, 2019, to March 31, 2020.

Exposure: Intracerebral hemorrhage, as assessed by an adjudication committee based on predefined clinical and radiologic criteria.

Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was an arterial ischemic event, defined as a composite of ischemic stroke or myocardial infarction, centrally adjudicated within each study. Secondary outcomes were ischemic stroke and myocardial infarction. Participants with prevalent intracerebral hemorrhage, ischemic stroke, or myocardial infarction at their baseline study visit were excluded. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine the association between intracerebral hemorrhage and subsequent arterial ischemic events after adjustment for baseline age, sex, race/ethnicity, vascular comorbidities, and antithrombotic medications.

Results: Of 55 131 participants, 47 866 (27 639 women [57.7\%]; mean [SD] age, 62.2 [10.2] years) were eligible for analysis. During a median follow-up of 12.7 years (interquartile range, 7.7-19.5 years), there were 318 intracerebral hemorrhages and 7648 arterial ischemic events. The incidence of an arterial ischemic event was 3.6 events per 100 person-years (95\% CI, 2.7-5.0 events per 100 person-years) after intracerebral hemorrhage vs 1.1 events per 100 person-years (95\% CI, 1.1-1.2 events per 100 person-years) among those without intracerebral hemorrhage. In adjusted models, intracerebral hemorrhage was associated with arterial ischemic events (hazard ratio [HR], 2.3; 95\% CI, 1.7-3.1), ischemic stroke (HR, 3.1; 95\% CI, 2.1-4.5), and myocardial infarction (HR, 1.9; 95\% CI, 1.2-2.9). In sensitivity analyses, intracerebral hemorrhage was associated with arterial ischemic events when updating covariates in a time-varying manner (HR, 2.2; 95\% CI, 1.6-3.0); when using incidence density matching (odds ratio, 2.3; 95\% CI, 1.3-4.2); when including participants with prevalent intracerebral hemorrhage, ischemic stroke, or myocardial infarction (HR, 2.2; 95\% CI, 1.6-2.9); and when using death as a competing risk (subdistribution HR, 1.6; 95\% CI, 1.1-2.1).

Conclusions and Relevance: This study found that intracerebral hemorrhage was associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke and myocardial infarction. These findings suggest that intracerebral hemorrhage may be a novel risk marker for arterial ischemic events.

}, issn = {2168-6157}, doi = {10.1001/jamaneurol.2021.0925}, author = {Murthy, Santosh B and Zhang, Cenai and Diaz, Ivan and Levitan, Emily B and Koton, Silvia and Bartz, Traci M and DeRosa, Janet T and Strobino, Kevin and Colantonio, Lisandro D and Iadecola, Costantino and Safford, Monika M and Howard, Virginia J and Longstreth, W T and Gottesman, Rebecca F and Sacco, Ralph L and Elkind, Mitchell S V and Howard, George and Kamel, Hooman} } @article {8785, title = {Silent Myocardial Infarction and Subsequent Ischemic Stroke in the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Neurology}, year = {2021}, month = {2021 May 24}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that silent MI is a risk factor for ischemic stroke, we evaluated the association between silent MI and subsequent ischemic stroke in the Cardiovascular Health Study.

METHODS: The Cardiovascular Health Study prospectively enrolled community-dwelling individuals >=65 years of age. We included participants without prevalent stroke or baseline evidence of MI. Our exposures were silent and clinically apparent, overt MI. Silent MI was defined as new evidence of Q-wave MI, without clinical symptoms of MI, on ECGs performed during annual study visits from 1989-1999. The primary outcome was incident ischemic stroke. Secondary outcomes were ischemic stroke subtypes: non-lacunar, lacunar, and other/unknown. Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to model the association between time-varying MI status (silent, overt, or no MI) and stroke after adjustment for baseline demographics and vascular risk factors.

RESULTS: Among 4,224 participants, 362 (8.6\%) had an incident silent MI, 421 (10.0\%) an incident overt MI, and 377 (8.9\%) an incident ischemic stroke during a median follow-up of 9.8 years. After adjustment for demographics and comorbidities, silent MI was independently associated with subsequent ischemic stroke (HR, 1.51; 95\% CI, 1.03-2.21). Overt MI was associated with ischemic stroke both in the short term (HR, 80; 95\% CI, 53-119) and long term (HR, 1.60; 95\% CI, 1.04-2.44). In secondary analyses, the association between silent MI and stroke was limited to non-lacunar ischemic stroke (HR 2.40; 95\% CI, 1.36-4.22).

CONCLUSION: In a community-based sample, we found an association between silent MI and ischemic stroke.

}, issn = {1526-632X}, doi = {10.1212/WNL.0000000000012249}, author = {Merkler, Alexander E and Bartz, Traci M and Kamel, Hooman and Soliman, Elsayed Z and Howard, Virginia and Psaty, Bruce M and Okin, Peter M and Safford, Monika M and Elkind, Mitchell S V and Longstreth, W T} }