@article {791, title = {The association of fasting glucose levels with congestive heart failure in diabetic adults > or =65 years: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Am Coll Cardiol}, volume = {43}, year = {2004}, month = {2004 Jun 16}, pages = {2236-41}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine if fasting glucose levels are an independent risk factor for congestive heart failure (CHF) in elderly individuals with diabetes mellitus (DM) with or without coronary heart disease (CHD).

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus and CHF frequently coexist in the elderly. It is not clear whether fasting glucose levels in the setting of DM are a risk factor for incident CHF in the elderly.

METHODS: A cohort of 829 diabetic participants, age > or =65 years, without prevalent CHF, was followed for five to eight years. The Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to determine the risk of CHF by fasting glucose levels. The cohort was categorized by the presence or absence of prevalent CHD.

RESULTS: For a 1 standard deviation (60.6 mg/dl) increase in fasting glucose, the adjusted hazard ratios for incident CHF among participants without CHD at baseline, with or without an incident myocardial infarction (MI) or CHD event on follow-up, was 1.41 (95\% confidence interval 1.24 to 1.61; p < 0.0001). Among those with prevalent CHD at baseline, with or without another incident MI or CHD event on follow-up, the corresponding adjusted hazard ratio was 1.27 (95\% confidence interval 1.02 to 1.58; p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS: Among older adults with DM, elevated fasting glucose levels are a risk factor for incident CHF. The relationship of fasting glucose to CHF differs somewhat by the presence or absence of prevalent CHD.

}, keywords = {Aged, Biomarkers, Blood Glucose, Blood Pressure, Coronary Disease, Diabetes Mellitus, Diabetic Angiopathies, Fasting, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Male, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Factors, Statistics as Topic, Stroke Volume, Ventricular Function, Left}, issn = {0735-1097}, doi = {10.1016/j.jacc.2003.10.074}, author = {Barzilay, Joshua I and Kronmal, Richard A and Gottdiener, John S and Smith, Nicholas L and Burke, Gregory L and Tracy, Russell and Savage, Peter J and Carlson, Michelle} } @article {771, title = {Congestive heart failure in the elderly: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Am J Geriatr Cardiol}, volume = {13}, year = {2004}, month = {2004 Mar-Apr}, pages = {61-8}, abstract = {

Congestive heart failure in the elderly is recognized as a national public health priority; however, clinical diagnosis can be problematic in elderly persons, many of whom have a history of heart failure in the presence of normal or only minimally decreased ejection fraction. Findings of the Cardiovascular Health Study have underscored the common substrate and predictors underlying heart failure both with decreased ejection fraction and with normal ejection fraction (i.e., diastolic heart failure). Coronary heart disease, systolic blood pressure, and C-reactive protein (a measure of inflammation) are predictive of heart failure independent of ejection fraction. Left atrial size, arguably a marker of the effects of impaired diastolic filling over time, is increased in both systolic and diastolic heart failure of the elderly, as is atrial natriuretic peptide. The outcome of heart failure in elderly persons is poor both for systolic and diastolic heart failure. Moreover, many community-dwelling elderly persons have decreased ejection fraction without heart failure. In these persons the chance of death is similar to that of participants with diastolic heart failure. Since most clinical trials have studied younger patients with predominantly systolic heart failure, the appropriate therapy for heart failure in elderly persons remains to be determined.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Atrial Natriuretic Factor, Blood Pressure, Diagnosis, Differential, Female, Geriatric Assessment, Heart Atria, Heart Failure, Heart Rate, Humans, Incidence, Male, Prevalence, Risk Factors, Stroke Volume, United States, Ventricular Dysfunction, Left}, issn = {1076-7460}, doi = {10.1111/j.1076-7460.2004.02121.x}, author = {Mathew, Sunil T and Gottdiener, John S and Kitzman, Dalane and Aurigemma, Gerard} } @article {879, title = {Costs for heart failure with normal vs reduced ejection fraction.}, journal = {Arch Intern Med}, volume = {166}, year = {2006}, month = {2006 Jan 09}, pages = {112-8}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Among the elderly population, heart failure (HF) with normal ejection fraction (EF) is more common than classic HF with low EF. However, there are few data regarding the costs of HF with normal EF. In a prospective, population-based cohort of elderly participants, we compared the costs and resource use of patients with HF and normal and reduced EF.

METHODS: A total of 4549 participants (84.5\% white; 40.6\% male) in the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Cardiovascular Health Study were linked to Medicare claims from 1992 through 1998. By protocol echo examinations or clinical EF assessments, 881 participants with HF were characterized as having abnormal or normal EF. We applied semiparametric estimators to calculate mean costs per subject for a 5-year period.

RESULTS: There were 495 HF participants with normal EF (186 prevalent at study entry and 309 incident during the study period) and 386 participants with abnormal EF (166 prevalent and 220 incident). Participants with abnormal EF had more cardiology encounters and cardiac procedures. However, compared with abnormal EF participants, the 5-year costs for normal EF participants were similar in both the prevalent ($33,023 with abnormal EF and $32,580 with normal EF; P=.93) and incident ($49,128 with abnormal EF and $45,604 with normal EF; P=.55) groups. In models accounting for comorbid conditions, the costs with normal and abnormal EF remained similar.

CONCLUSIONS: Over a 5-year period, patients with HF and normal EF consume as many health care resources as those with reduced EF. These data highlight the substantial financial burden of HF with normal EF among the elderly population.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Comorbidity, Echocardiography, Health Care Costs, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Medicare, Prevalence, Prospective Studies, Regression Analysis, Statistics, Nonparametric, Stroke Volume, Systole, United States, Ventricular Function, Left}, issn = {0003-9926}, doi = {10.1001/archinte.166.1.112}, author = {Liao, Lawrence and Jollis, James G and Anstrom, Kevin J and Whellan, David J and Kitzman, Dalane W and Aurigemma, Gerard P and Mark, Daniel B and Schulman, Kevin A and Gottdiener, John S} } @article {939, title = {Alcohol consumption and risk and prognosis of atrial fibrillation among older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Am Heart J}, volume = {153}, year = {2007}, month = {2007 Feb}, pages = {260-6}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: The relationship of alcohol consumption with risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) is inconsistent in previous studies, and its relationship with prognosis of AF is undetermined.

METHODS: As part of the Cardiovascular Health Study, a population-based cohort of adults 65 years and older from 4 US communities, 5609 participants reported their use of beer, wine, and spirits yearly. We identified cases of AF with routine study electrocardiograms and validated discharge diagnoses from hospitalizations.

RESULTS: A total of 1232 cases of AF were documented during a mean of 9.1 years of follow-up. Compared with long-term abstainers, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios were 1.25 (95\% CI, 1.02-1.54) among former drinkers, 1.09 (95\% CI, 0.94-1.28) among consumers of less than 1 drink per week, 1.00 (95\% CI, 0.84-1.19) among consumers of 1 to 6 drinks per week, 1.06 (95\% CI, 0.82-1.37) among consumers of 7 to 13 drinks per week, and 1.09 (95\% CI, 0.88-1.37) among consumers of 14 or more drinks per week (P trend = 0.64). In analyses of mortality among participants with AF, the hazard ratios were 1.27 (95\% CI, 1.06-1.52) among former drinkers, 0.94 (95\% CI, 0.76-1.18) among consumers of less than 1 drink per week, 0.98 (95\% CI, 0.78-1.23) among consumers of 1 to 6 drinks per week, 0.73 (95\% CI, 0.51-1.03) among consumers of 7 to 13 drinks per week, and 0.81 (95\% CI, 0.59-1.11) among consumers of 14 or more drinks per week (P trend = 0.12).

CONCLUSIONS: Current moderate alcohol consumption is not associated with risk of AF or with risk of death after diagnosis of AF, but former drinking identifies individuals at higher risk.

}, keywords = {Aged, Alcohol Drinking, Atrial Fibrillation, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Incidence, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Prognosis, Risk Factors}, issn = {1097-6744}, doi = {10.1016/j.ahj.2006.10.039}, author = {Mukamal, Kenneth J and Psaty, Bruce M and Rautaharju, Pentti M and Furberg, Curt D and Kuller, Lewis H and Mittleman, Murray A and Gottdiener, John S and Siscovick, David S} } @article {1090, title = {Race, gender, and mortality in adults > or =65 years of age with incident heart failure (from the Cardiovascular Health Study).}, journal = {Am J Cardiol}, volume = {103}, year = {2009}, month = {2009 Apr 15}, pages = {1120-7}, abstract = {

In patients with heart failure (HF), mortality is lower in women versus men. However, it is unknown whether the survival advantage in women compared with men is present in both whites and African Americans with HF. The inception cohort consisted of adults > or =65 years with incident HF after enrollment in the CHS, a prospective population-based study of cardiovascular disease. Of 5,888 CHS subjects, 1,264 developed new HF and were followed up for 3 years. Subjects were categorized into 4 race-gender groups, and Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to examine whether 3-year total and cardiovascular mortality differed among the 4 groups after adjusting for sociodemographic factors, co-morbidities, and treatment. A gender-race interaction was also tested for each outcome. In subjects with incident HF, African Americans had more hypertension and diabetes than whites, and white men had more coronary heart disease than other gender-race groups. Receipt of cardiovascular treatments among the 4 groups was similar. Mortality rates after HF were lower in women compared with men (for white women, African-American women, African-American men, and white men, total mortality was 35.5, 33.6, 44.4, and 40.5/100 person-years, and cardiovascular mortality was 18.4, 19.5, 20.2, and 22.7/100 person-years, respectively). After adjusting for covariates, women had a 15\% to 20\% lower risk of total and cardiovascular mortality compared with men, but there was no significant difference in outcome by race. The gender-race interaction for either outcome was not significant. In conclusion, in older adults with HF, women had significantly better survival than men irrespective of race, suggesting that gender-based survival differences may be more important than race-based differences.

}, keywords = {African Americans, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cohort Studies, Continental Population Groups, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Male, Proportional Hazards Models, Sex Factors, United States}, issn = {1879-1913}, doi = {10.1016/j.amjcard.2008.12.043}, author = {Parashar, Susmita and Katz, Ronit and Smith, Nicholas L and Arnold, Alice M and Vaccarino, Viola and Wenger, Nanette K and Gottdiener, John S} } @article {1197, title = {Association of genome-wide variation with the risk of incident heart failure in adults of European and African ancestry: a prospective meta-analysis from the cohorts for heart and aging research in genomic epidemiology (CHARGE) consortium.}, journal = {Circ Cardiovasc Genet}, volume = {3}, year = {2010}, month = {2010 Jun}, pages = {256-66}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Although genetic factors contribute to the onset of heart failure (HF), no large-scale genome-wide investigation of HF risk has been published to date. We have investigated the association of 2,478,304 single-nucleotide polymorphisms with incident HF by meta-analyzing data from 4 community-based prospective cohorts: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, the Cardiovascular Health Study, the Framingham Heart Study, and the Rotterdam Study.

METHODS AND RESULTS: Eligible participants for these analyses were of European or African ancestry and free of clinical HF at baseline. Each study independently conducted genome-wide scans and imputed data to the approximately 2.5 million single-nucleotide polymorphisms in HapMap. Within each study, Cox proportional hazards regression models provided age- and sex-adjusted estimates of the association between each variant and time to incident HF. Fixed-effect meta-analyses combined results for each single-nucleotide polymorphism from the 4 cohorts to produce an overall association estimate and P value. A genome-wide significance P value threshold was set a priori at 5.0x10(-7). During a mean follow-up of 11.5 years, 2526 incident HF events (12\%) occurred in 20 926 European-ancestry participants. The meta-analysis identified a genome-wide significant locus at chromosomal position 15q22 (1.4x10(-8)), which was 58.8 kb from USP3. Among 2895 African-ancestry participants, 466 incident HF events (16\%) occurred during a mean follow-up of 13.7 years. One genome-wide significant locus was identified at 12q14 (6.7x10(-8)), which was 6.3 kb from LRIG3.

CONCLUSIONS: We identified 2 loci that were associated with incident HF and exceeded genome-wide significance. The findings merit replication in other community-based settings of incident HF.

}, keywords = {African Americans, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cohort Studies, Endopeptidases, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Genome-Wide Association Study, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Male, Middle Aged, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Risk, Ubiquitin-Specific Proteases}, issn = {1942-3268}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCGENETICS.109.895763}, author = {Smith, Nicholas L and Felix, Janine F and Morrison, Alanna C and Demissie, Serkalem and Glazer, Nicole L and Loehr, Laura R and Cupples, L Adrienne and Dehghan, Abbas and Lumley, Thomas and Rosamond, Wayne D and Lieb, Wolfgang and Rivadeneira, Fernando and Bis, Joshua C and Folsom, Aaron R and Benjamin, Emelia and Aulchenko, Yurii S and Haritunians, Talin and Couper, David and Murabito, Joanne and Wang, Ying A and Stricker, Bruno H and Gottdiener, John S and Chang, Patricia P and Wang, Thomas J and Rice, Kenneth M and Hofman, Albert and Heckbert, Susan R and Fox, Ervin R and O{\textquoteright}Donnell, Christopher J and Uitterlinden, Andr{\'e} G and Rotter, Jerome I and Willerson, James T and Levy, Daniel and van Duijn, Cornelia M and Psaty, Bruce M and Witteman, Jacqueline C M and Boerwinkle, Eric and Vasan, Ramachandran S} } @article {1245, title = {Association of serial measures of cardiac troponin T using a sensitive assay with incident heart failure and cardiovascular mortality in older adults.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {304}, year = {2010}, month = {2010 Dec 08}, pages = {2494-502}, abstract = {

CONTEXT: Older adults comprise the majority of new-onset heart failure (HF) diagnoses, but traditional risk-factor prediction models have limited accuracy in this population to identify those at highest risk for hospitalization or death.

OBJECTIVES: To determine if cardiac troponin T (cTnT) measured by a highly sensitive assay would be detectable in the majority of community-dwelling older adults, and if serial measures were associated with risk of HF hospitalization and cardiovascular death.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A longitudinal nationwide cohort study (Cardiovascular Health Study) of 4221 community-dwelling adults aged 65 years or older without prior HF who had cTnT measured using a highly sensitive assay at baseline (1989-1990) and repeated after 2 to 3 years (n = 2918).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: New-onset HF and cardiovascular death were examined through June 2008 with respect to cTnT concentrations, accounting for clinical risk predictors.

RESULTS: Cardiac troponin T was detectable (>=3.00 pg/mL) in 2794 participants (66.2\%). During a median follow-up of 11.8 years, 1279 participants experienced new-onset HF and 1103 cardiovascular deaths occurred, with a greater risk of both end points associated with higher cTnT concentrations. Among those participants with the highest cTnT concentrations (>12.94 pg/mL), there was an incidence rate per 100 person-years of 6.4 (95\% confidence interval [CI], 5.8-7.2; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.48; 95\% CI, 2.04-3.00) for HF and an incidence rate of 4.8 (95\% CI, 4.3-5.4; aHR, 2.91; 95\% CI, 2.37-3.58) for cardiovascular death compared with participants with undetectable cTnT levels (incidence rate, 1.6; 95\% CI, 1.4-1.8 and 1.1; 95\% CI, 0.9-1.2 for HF and cardiovascular death, respectively). Among individuals with initially detectable cTnT, a subsequent increase of more than 50\% (n = 393, 22\%) was associated with a greater risk for HF (aHR, 1.61; 95\% CI, 1.32-1.97) and cardiovascular death (aHR, 1.65; 95\% CI, 1.35-2.03) and a decrease of more than 50\% (n = 247, 14\%) was associated with a lower risk for HF (aHR, 0.73; 95\% CI, 0.54-0.97) and cardiovascular death (aHR, 0.71; 95\% CI, 0.52-0.97) compared with participants with 50\% or less change. Addition of baseline cTnT measurements to clinical risk factors was associated with only modest improvement in discrimination, with change in C statistic of 0.015 for HF and 0.013 for cardiovascular death.

CONCLUSION: In this cohort of older adults without known HF, baseline cTnT levels and changes in cTnT levels measured with a highly sensitive assay were significantly associated with incident HF and cardiovascular death.

}, keywords = {Aged, Biomarkers, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Male, Predictive Value of Tests, Risk, Sensitivity and Specificity, Troponin T, United States}, issn = {1538-3598}, doi = {10.1001/jama.2010.1708}, author = {deFilippi, Christopher R and de Lemos, James A and Christenson, Robert H and Gottdiener, John S and Kop, Willem J and Zhan, Min and Seliger, Stephen L} } @article {1242, title = {N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide is associated with sudden cardiac death risk: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Heart Rhythm}, volume = {8}, year = {2011}, month = {2011 Feb}, pages = {228-33}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Sudden cardiac death (SCD), the cause of 250,000-450,000 deaths per year, is a major public health problem. The majority of those affected do not have a prior cardiovascular diagnosis. Elevated B-type natriuretic peptide levels have been associated with the risk of heart failure and mortality as well as with sudden death in women.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and SCD in the Cardiovascular Health Study population.

METHODS: The risk of SCD associated with baseline NT-proBNP was examined in 5,447 participants. Covariate-adjusted Cox model regressions were used to estimate the hazard ratios of developing SCD as a function of baseline NT-proBNP.

RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 12.5 years (maximum 16), there were 289 cases of SCD. Higher NT-proBNP levels were strongly associated with SCD, with an unadjusted hazard ratio of 4.2 (95\% confidence interval [2.9, 6.1]; P <.001) in the highest quintile compared with in the lowest. NT-proBNP remained associated with SCD even after adjustment for numerous clinical characteristics and risk factors (age, sex, race, and other associated conditions), with an adjusted hazard ratio for the fifth versus the first quintile of 2.5 (95\% confidence interval [1.6, 3.8]; P <.001).

CONCLUSION: NT-proBNP provides information regarding the risk of SCD in a community-based population of older adults, beyond other traditional risk factors. This biomarker may ultimately prove useful in targeting the population at risk with aggressive medical management of comorbid conditions.

}, keywords = {Age Distribution, Aged, Biomarkers, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Confidence Intervals, Death, Sudden, Cardiac, Female, Humans, Incidence, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Male, Middle Aged, Natriuretic Peptide, Brain, Peptide Fragments, Predictive Value of Tests, Proportional Hazards Models, Retrospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Sex Distribution, Time Factors, United States}, issn = {1556-3871}, doi = {10.1016/j.hrthm.2010.10.038}, author = {Patton, Kristen K and Sotoodehnia, Nona and DeFilippi, Christopher and Siscovick, David S and Gottdiener, John S and Kronmal, Richard A} } @article {1268, title = {Predictive value of depressive symptoms and B-type natriuretic peptide for new-onset heart failure and mortality.}, journal = {Am J Cardiol}, volume = {107}, year = {2011}, month = {2011 Mar 01}, pages = {723-9}, abstract = {

Depression and natriuretic peptides predict heart failure (HF) progression, but the unique contributions of depression and biomarkers associated with HF outcomes are not known. The present study determined the additive predictive value of depression and aminoterminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for new-onset HF in HF-free subjects and mortality in patients with HF. The participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study were assessed for depressive symptoms using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale and NT-proBNP using an electrochemiluminescence immunoassay. The validated cutoff values for depression (Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale >=8) and NT-proBNP (>=190 pg/ml) were used. The risks of incident HF and mortality (cardiovascular disease-related and all-cause) were examined during a median follow-up of 11 years, adjusting for demographics, clinical factors, and health behaviors. In patients with HF (n = 208), depression was associated with an elevated risk of cardiovascular disease mortality (hazard ratios [HR] 2.07, 95\% confidence interval [CI] 1.31 to 3.27) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.49, 95\% CI 1.05 to 2.11), independent of the NT-proBNP level and covariates. The combined presence of depression and elevated NT-proBNP was associated with substantially elevated covariate-adjusted risks of cardiovascular disease mortality (HR 5.42, 95\% CI 2.38 to 12.36) and all-cause mortality (HR 3.72, 95\% CI 2.20 to 6.37). In the 4,114 HF-free subjects, new-onset HF was independently predicted by an elevated NT-proBNP level (HR 2.27, 95\% CI 1.97 to 2.62) but not depression (HR 1.08, 95\% CI 0.92 to 1.26) in covariate-adjusted analysis. In conclusion, depression and NT-proBNP displayed additive predictive value for mortality in patients with HF. These associations can be explained by complementary pathophysiologic mechanisms. The presence of both elevated depression and NT-proBNP levels might improve the identification of patients with HF with a high risk of mortality.

}, keywords = {Aged, Depression, Disease Progression, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Male, Natriuretic Peptide, Brain, Prognosis, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, Survival Rate, United States}, issn = {1879-1913}, doi = {10.1016/j.amjcard.2010.10.055}, author = {van den Broek, Krista C and deFilippi, Christopher R and Christenson, Robert H and Seliger, Stephen L and Gottdiener, John S and Kop, Willem J} } @article {1321, title = {The relationship between serum markers of collagen turnover and cardiovascular outcome in the elderly: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Circ Heart Fail}, volume = {4}, year = {2011}, month = {2011 Nov}, pages = {733-9}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: The deposition of collagen fibrils in the myocardial extracellular matrix increases with age and plays a key role in the pathophysiology of heart failure (HF). We sought to determine the predictive value of serum markers of collagen turnover for incident HF and cardiovascular (CV) morbidity, mortality, and all-cause mortality in elderly individuals.

METHODS AND RESULTS: In 880 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study (mean age, 77{\textpm}6 years; 48\% women), serum levels of carboxyl-terminal peptide of procollagen type I (PIP), carboxyl-terminal telopeptide of collagen type I (CITP), and amino-terminal peptide of procollagen type III (PIIINP) were measured in 4 groups: HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFREF; n=146, EF <55\%); HF with preserved EF (HFPEF; n=175, EF >=55\%), control subjects with CV risk factors but not HF (CVD; n=280), and healthy control subjects free of CV disease (n=279). Relationships between these serum markers and outcome at follow-up of 12{\textpm}4 years (range, 3-17 years) was determined in six models including those adjusted for conventional risk factors, renal function, NT-proBNP and agents which interfere with collagen synthesis. For the entire cohort, in unadjusted and adjusted models, both PIIINP and CITP were associated with myocardial infarction, incident HF, hospitalization for HF, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. In healthy control subjects, CITP and PIIINP were associated with all-cause death. In control subjects with risk factors, CITP was associated with incident HF, and in participants with HFPEF, CITP was associated with hospitalization for HF. No collagen biomarker was associated with outcome in participants with HFREF, and PIP was not associated with outcome in the cohort or its subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS: In both healthy and elderly individuals with CV disease at risk of developing HF, CITP and PIIINP are significantly associated with multiple adverse cardiac outcomes including myocardial infarction, HF, and death. Clinical Trial Registration- URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00005133.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Biomarkers, Cardiovascular Diseases, Case-Control Studies, Cohort Studies, Collagen, Collagen Type I, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Male, Peptide Fragments, Peptides, Predictive Value of Tests, Procollagen, Prospective Studies, Stroke Volume, Survival Rate}, issn = {1941-3297}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCHEARTFAILURE.111.962027}, author = {Barasch, Eddy and Gottdiener, John S and Aurigemma, Gerard and Kitzman, Dalane W and Han, Jing and Kop, Willem J and Tracy, Russell P} } @article {1344, title = {Adiposity and incident heart failure in older adults: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Obesity (Silver Spring)}, volume = {20}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 Sep}, pages = {1936-41}, abstract = {

While several studies have reported a positive association between overall adiposity and heart failure (HF) risk, limited and inconsistent data are available on the relation between central adiposity and incident HF in older adults. We sought to examine the association between waist circumference (WC) and incident HF and assess whether sex modifies the relation between WC and HF. Prospective study using data on 4,861 participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study (1989-2007). HF was adjudicated by a committee using information from medical records and medications. We used Cox proportional hazard models to compute hazard ratio (HR). The mean age was 73.0 years for men and 72.3 years for women; 42.5\% were men and 15.3\% were African Americans. WC was positively associated with an increased risk of HF: each standard deviation of WC was associated with a 14\% increased risk of HF (95\% CI: 3\%-26\%) in a multivariable model. There was not a statistically significant sex-by-WC interaction (P = 0.081). BMI was positively associated with incident HF (HR: 1.22 (95\% CI: 1.15-1.29) per standard deviation increase of BMI); however, this association was attenuated and became nonstatistically significant upon additional adjustment for WC (HR: 1.09 (95\% CI: 0.99-1.21)). In conclusion, a higher WC is associated with an increased risk of HF independent of BMI in community-living older men and women.

}, keywords = {Adiposity, Aged, Aging, Body Fat Distribution, Body Mass Index, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Independent Living, Male, Obesity, Predictive Value of Tests, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, United States, Waist Circumference}, issn = {1930-739X}, doi = {10.1038/oby.2011.320}, author = {Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Bartz, Traci M and Ix, Joachim H and Zieman, Susan J and Delaney, Joseph A and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Gottdiener, John S and Siscovick, David S and Kizer, Jorge R} } @article {6064, title = {Plasma free fatty acids and risk of heart failure: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Circ Heart Fail}, volume = {6}, year = {2013}, month = {2013 Sep 01}, pages = {964-9}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Although plasma free fatty acid (FFA) concentrations have been associated with lipotoxicity, apoptosis, and risk of diabetes mellitus and coronary heart disease, it is unclear whether FFA levels are associated with heart failure (HF).

METHODS AND RESULTS: To test the hypothesis that plasma concentration of FFAs is positively associated with incident HF, we prospectively analyzed data on 4248 men and women free of HF at baseline and >65 years old from the Cardiovascular Health Study. FFA concentration was measured in duplicate by the Wako enzymatic method. Incident HF was validated by a centralized Events Committee. We used Cox proportional hazards to estimate the hazard ratio of HF per SD of FFAs. During a median follow-up of 10.5 years, a total of 1286 new cases of HF occurred. In a multivariable model adjusting for clinic site, comorbidity, demographic, anthropometric, and lifestyle factors, each SD (0.2 mEq/L) higher plasma FFA was associated with 12\% (95\% confidence interval, 6\%-19\%) higher risk of HF. Controlling for time-varying diabetes mellitus and coronary heart disease did not change the results (hazard ratio per SD, 1.16 [95\% confidence interval, 1.09-1.23]).

CONCLUSIONS: A single measure of plasma FFA obtained later in life is associated with a higher risk of HF in older adults. Additional studies are needed to explore biological mechanisms by which FFAs may influence the risk of HF and determine whether FFAs could serve as a novel pharmacological target for HF prevention.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Biomarkers, Comorbidity, Fatty Acids, Nonesterified, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Linear Models, Male, Multivariate Analysis, Prognosis, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Time Factors, United States}, issn = {1941-3297}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCHEARTFAILURE.113.000521}, author = {Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Benkeser, David and Arnold, Alice and Kizer, Jorge R and Zieman, Susan J and Lemaitre, Rozenn N and Tracy, Russell P and Gottdiener, John S and Mozaffarian, Dariush and Siscovick, David S and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Ix, Joachim H} } @article {1559, title = {Relation of vitamin D and parathyroid hormone to cardiac biomarkers and to left ventricular mass (from the Cardiovascular Health Study).}, journal = {Am J Cardiol}, volume = {111}, year = {2013}, month = {2013 Feb 01}, pages = {418-24}, abstract = {

Vitamin D and parathyroid hormone (PTH) may affect cardiovascular health in patients with kidney disease and in the general population. The aim of this study was to investigate associations of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) and PTH concentrations with a comprehensive set of biochemical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic measurements of cardiac structure and function in the Cardiovascular Health Study. A total of 2,312 subjects who were free of cardiovascular disease at baseline were studied. Serum 25(OH)D and intact PTH concentrations were measured using mass spectrometry and a 2-site immunoassay. Outcomes were N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, cardiac troponin T, electrocardiographic measures of conduction, and echocardiographic measures of left ventricular mass and diastolic dysfunction. At baseline, subjects had a mean age of 73.9 {\textpm} 4.9 years, 69.7\% were women, and 21\% had chronic kidney disease (glomerular filtration rate <60 ml/min). Mean 25(OH)D was 25.2 {\textpm} 10.2 ng/ml, and median PTH was 51 pg/ml (range 39 to 65). After adjustment, 25(OH)D was not associated with any of the biochemical, conduction, or echocardiographic outcomes. Serum PTH levels >=65 pg/ml were associated with greater N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, cardiac troponin T, and left ventricular mass in patients with chronic kidney disease. The regression coefficients were: 120 pg/ml (95\% confidence interval 36.1 to 204), 5.2 pg/ml (95\% confidence interval 3.0 to 7.4), and 17 g (95\% confidence interval 6.2 to 27.8) (p <0.001). In subjects with normal kidney function, PTH was not associated with the outcomes. In conclusion, in older adults with chronic kidney disease, PTH excess is associated with higher N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, cardiac troponin T, and left ventricular mass. These findings suggest a role for PTH in cardiovascular health and the prevention of cardiac diseases.

}, keywords = {Adult, Aged, Biomarkers, Cardiovascular Diseases, Echocardiography, Electrocardiography, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Heart Ventricles, Humans, Incidence, Male, Mass Spectrometry, Middle Aged, Parathyroid Hormone, Prospective Studies, United States, Vitamin D}, issn = {1879-1913}, doi = {10.1016/j.amjcard.2012.10.021}, author = {van Ballegooijen, Adriana J and Visser, Marjolein and Kestenbaum, Bryan and Siscovick, David S and de Boer, Ian H and Gottdiener, John S and deFilippi, Christopher R and Brouwer, Ingeborg A} } @article {5878, title = {Simple risk model predicts incidence of atrial fibrillation in a racially and geographically diverse population: the CHARGE-AF consortium.}, journal = {J Am Heart Assoc}, volume = {2}, year = {2013}, month = {2013 Mar 18}, pages = {e000102}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Tools for the prediction of atrial fibrillation (AF) may identify high-risk individuals more likely to benefit from preventive interventions and serve as a benchmark to test novel putative risk factors.

METHODS AND RESULTS: Individual-level data from 3 large cohorts in the United States (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities [ARIC] study, the Cardiovascular Health Study [CHS], and the Framingham Heart Study [FHS]), including 18 556 men and women aged 46 to 94 years (19\% African Americans, 81\% whites) were pooled to derive predictive models for AF using clinical variables. Validation of the derived models was performed in 7672 participants from the Age, Gene and Environment-Reykjavik study (AGES) and the Rotterdam Study (RS). The analysis included 1186 incident AF cases in the derivation cohorts and 585 in the validation cohorts. A simple 5-year predictive model including the variables age, race, height, weight, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, current smoking, use of antihypertensive medication, diabetes, and history of myocardial infarction and heart failure had good discrimination (C-statistic, 0.765; 95\% CI, 0.748 to 0.781). Addition of variables from the electrocardiogram did not improve the overall model discrimination (C-statistic, 0.767; 95\% CI, 0.750 to 0.783; categorical net reclassification improvement, -0.0032; 95\% CI, -0.0178 to 0.0113). In the validation cohorts, discrimination was acceptable (AGES C-statistic, 0.664; 95\% CI, 0.632 to 0.697 and RS C-statistic, 0.705; 95\% CI, 0.664 to 0.747) and calibration was adequate.

CONCLUSION: A risk model including variables readily available in primary care settings adequately predicted AF in diverse populations from the United States and Europe.

}, keywords = {African Americans, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Atrial Fibrillation, Cohort Studies, Diabetes Mellitus, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Hypertension, Iceland, Incidence, Male, Middle Aged, Myocardial Infarction, Netherlands, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Assessment, Smoking, United States}, issn = {2047-9980}, doi = {10.1161/JAHA.112.000102}, author = {Alonso, Alvaro and Krijthe, Bouwe P and Aspelund, Thor and Stepas, Katherine A and Pencina, Michael J and Moser, Carlee B and Sinner, Moritz F and Sotoodehnia, Nona and Fontes, Jo{\~a}o D and Janssens, A Cecile J W and Kronmal, Richard A and Magnani, Jared W and Witteman, Jacqueline C and Chamberlain, Alanna M and Lubitz, Steven A and Schnabel, Renate B and Agarwal, Sunil K and McManus, David D and Ellinor, Patrick T and Larson, Martin G and Burke, Gregory L and Launer, Lenore J and Hofman, Albert and Levy, Daniel and Gottdiener, John S and K{\"a}{\"a}b, Stefan and Couper, David and Harris, Tamara B and Soliman, Elsayed Z and Stricker, Bruno H C and Gudnason, Vilmundur and Heckbert, Susan R and Benjamin, Emelia J} } @article {6601, title = {B-type natriuretic peptide and C-reactive protein in the prediction of atrial fibrillation risk: the CHARGE-AF Consortium of community-based cohort studies.}, journal = {Europace}, volume = {16}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Oct}, pages = {1426-33}, abstract = {

AIMS: B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and C-reactive protein (CRP) predict atrial fibrillation (AF) risk. However, their risk stratification abilities in the broad community remain uncertain. We sought to improve risk stratification for AF using biomarker information.

METHODS AND RESULTS: We ascertained AF incidence in 18 556 Whites and African Americans from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC, n=10 675), Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS, n = 5043), and Framingham Heart Study (FHS, n = 2838), followed for 5 years (prediction horizon). We added BNP (ARIC/CHS: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; FHS: BNP), CRP, or both to a previously reported AF risk score, and assessed model calibration and predictive ability [C-statistic, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification improvement (NRI)]. We replicated models in two independent European cohorts: Age, Gene/Environment Susceptibility Reykjavik Study (AGES), n = 4467; Rotterdam Study (RS), n = 3203. B-type natriuretic peptide and CRP were significantly associated with AF incidence (n = 1186): hazard ratio per 1-SD ln-transformed biomarker 1.66 [95\% confidence interval (CI), 1.56-1.76], P < 0.0001 and 1.18 (95\% CI, 1.11-1.25), P < 0.0001, respectively. Model calibration was sufficient (BNP, χ(2) = 17.0; CRP, χ(2) = 10.5; BNP and CRP, χ(2) = 13.1). B-type natriuretic peptide improved the C-statistic from 0.765 to 0.790, yielded an IDI of 0.027 (95\% CI, 0.022-0.032), a relative IDI of 41.5\%, and a continuous NRI of 0.389 (95\% CI, 0.322-0.455). The predictive ability of CRP was limited (C-statistic increment 0.003). B-type natriuretic peptide consistently improved prediction in AGES and RS.

CONCLUSION: B-type natriuretic peptide, not CRP, substantially improved AF risk prediction beyond clinical factors in an independently replicated, heterogeneous population. B-type natriuretic peptide may serve as a benchmark to evaluate novel putative AF risk biomarkers.

}, keywords = {Aged, Atrial Fibrillation, Biomarkers, C-Reactive Protein, Europe, Female, Humans, Incidence, Male, Natriuretic Peptide, Brain, Peptide Fragments, Predictive Value of Tests, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, United States}, issn = {1532-2092}, doi = {10.1093/europace/euu175}, author = {Sinner, Moritz F and Stepas, Katherine A and Moser, Carlee B and Krijthe, Bouwe P and Aspelund, Thor and Sotoodehnia, Nona and Fontes, Jo{\~a}o D and Janssens, A Cecile J W and Kronmal, Richard A and Magnani, Jared W and Witteman, Jacqueline C and Chamberlain, Alanna M and Lubitz, Steven A and Schnabel, Renate B and Vasan, Ramachandran S and Wang, Thomas J and Agarwal, Sunil K and McManus, David D and Franco, Oscar H and Yin, Xiaoyan and Larson, Martin G and Burke, Gregory L and Launer, Lenore J and Hofman, Albert and Levy, Daniel and Gottdiener, John S and K{\"a}{\"a}b, Stefan and Couper, David and Harris, Tamara B and Astor, Brad C and Ballantyne, Christie M and Hoogeveen, Ron C and Arai, Andrew E and Soliman, Elsayed Z and Ellinor, Patrick T and Stricker, Bruno H C and Gudnason, Vilmundur and Heckbert, Susan R and Pencina, Michael J and Benjamin, Emelia J and Alonso, Alvaro} } @article {6541, title = {Fibrosis-related biomarkers and incident cardiovascular disease in older adults: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Circ Arrhythm Electrophysiol}, volume = {7}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Aug}, pages = {583-9}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Fibrotic changes in the heart and arteries have been implicated in a diverse range of cardiovascular diseases (CVD), but whether circulating biomarkers that reflect fibrosis are associated with CVD is unknown.

METHODS AND RESULTS: We determined the associations of 2 biomarkers of fibrosis, transforming growth factor- β (TGF-β), and procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP), with incident heart failure, myocardial infarction, and stroke among community-living older adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study. We measured circulating TGF-β (n=1371) and PIIINP (n=2568) from plasma samples collected in 1996 and ascertained events through 2010. Given TGF-β{\textquoteright}s pleiotropic effects on inflammation and fibrogenesis, we investigated potential effect modification by C-reactive protein in secondary analyses. After adjustment for sociodemographic, clinical, and biochemical risk factors, PIIINP was associated with total CVD (hazard ratio [HR] per SD=1.07; 95\% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.14) and heart failure (HR per SD=1.08; CI, 1.01-1.16) but not myocardial infarction or stroke. TGF-β was not associated with any CVD outcomes in the full cohort but was associated with total CVD (HR per SD=1.16; CI, 1.02-1.31), heart failure (HR per SD=1.16; CI, 1.01-1.34), and stroke (HR per SD=1.20; CI, 1.01-1.42) among individuals with C-reactive protein above the median, 2.3 mg/L (P interaction <0.05).

CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provide large-scale, prospective evidence that circulating biomarkers of fibrosis, measured in community-living individuals late in life, are associated with CVD. Further research on whether TGF-β has a stronger fibrogenic effect in the setting of inflammation is warranted.

}, keywords = {Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Biomarkers, C-Reactive Protein, Cardiovascular Diseases, Female, Fibrosis, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Male, Myocardial Infarction, Peptide Fragments, Procollagen, Prognosis, Prospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Stroke, Time Factors, Transforming Growth Factor beta, United States}, issn = {1941-3084}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001610}, author = {Agarwal, Isha and Glazer, Nicole L and Barasch, Eddy and Biggs, Mary L and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Fitzpatrick, Annette L and Gottdiener, John S and Ix, Joachim H and Kizer, Jorge R and Rimm, Eric B and Sicovick, David S and Tracy, Russell P and Mukamal, Kenneth J} } @article {6137, title = {Relations of plasma total and high-molecular-weight adiponectin to new-onset heart failure in adults >=65 years of age (from the Cardiovascular Health study).}, journal = {Am J Cardiol}, volume = {113}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Jan 15}, pages = {328-34}, abstract = {

Adiponectin exhibits cardioprotective properties in experimental studies, but elevated levels have been linked to increased mortality in older adults and patients with chronic heart failure (HF). The adipokine{\textquoteright}s association with new-onset HF remains less well defined. The aim of this study was to investigate the associations of total and high-molecular weight (HMW) adiponectin with incident HF (n = 780) and, in a subset, echocardiographic parameters in a community-based cohort of adults aged >=65 years. Total and HMW adiponectin were measured in 3,228 subjects without prevalent HF, atrial fibrillation or CVD. The relations of total and HMW adiponectin with HF were nonlinear, with significant associations observed only for concentrations greater than the median (12.4 and 6.2 mg/L, respectively). After adjustment for potential confounders, the hazard ratios per SD increment in total adiponectin were 0.93 (95\% confidence interval 0.72 to 1.21) for concentrations less than the median and 1.25 (95\% confidence interval 1.14 to 1.38) higher than the median. There was a suggestion of effect modification by body mass index, whereby the association appeared strongest in participants with lower body mass indexes. Consistent with the HF findings, higher adiponectin tended to be associated with left ventricular systolic dysfunction and left atrial enlargement. Results were similar for HMW adiponectin. In conclusion, total and HMW adiponectin showed comparable relations with incident HF in this older cohort, with a threshold effect of increasing risk occurring at their median concentrations. High levels of adiponectin may mark or mediate age-related processes that lead to HF in older adults.

}, keywords = {Adiponectin, Age of Onset, Aged, Biomarkers, Cross-Sectional Studies, Echocardiography, Doppler, Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Male, Prognosis, Prospective Studies, Recurrence, Severity of Illness Index, United States, Ventricular Function, Left}, issn = {1879-1913}, doi = {10.1016/j.amjcard.2013.09.027}, author = {Karas, Maria G and Benkeser, David and Arnold, Alice M and Bartz, Traci M and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Ix, Joachim H and Zieman, Susan J and Siscovick, David S and Tracy, Russell P and Mantzoros, Christos S and Gottdiener, John S and deFilippi, Christopher R and Kizer, Jorge R} } @article {6768, title = {Burden of Comorbidities and Functional and Cognitive Impairments in Elderly Patients at the Initial Diagnosis of Heart Failure and Their Impact on Total Mortality: The Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {JACC Heart Fail}, volume = {3}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Jul}, pages = {542-50}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine the prevalence of clinically relevant comorbidities and measures of physical and cognitive impairment in elderly persons with incident heart failure (HF).

BACKGROUND: Comorbidities and functional and cognitive impairments are common in the elderly and often associated with greater mortality risk.

METHODS: We examined the prevalence of 9 comorbidities and 4 measures of functional and cognitive impairments in 558 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study who developed incident HF between 1990 and 2002. Participants were followed prospectively until mid-2008 to determine their mortality risk.

RESULTS: Mean age of participants was 79.2 {\textpm} 6.3 years with 52\% being men. Sixty percent of participants had >=3 comorbidities, and only 2.5\% had none. Twenty-two percent and 44\% of participants had >=1 activity of daily living (ADL) and >=1 instrumental activity of daily living (IADL) impaired respectively. Seventeen percent of participants had cognitive impairment (modified mini-mental state exam score <80, scores range between 0 and 100). During follow up, 504 participants died, with 1-, 5-, and 10-year mortality rates of 19\%, 56\%, and 83\%, respectively. In a multivariable-adjusted model, the following were significantly associated with greater total mortality risk: diabetes mellitus (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.64; 95\% confidence interval [CI]: 1.33 to 2.03), chronic kidney disease (HR: 1.32; 95\% CI: 1.07 to 1.62 for moderate disease; HR: 3.00; 95\% CI: 1.82 to 4.95 for severe), cerebrovascular disease (HR: 1.53; 95\% CI: 1.22 to 1.92), depression (HR: 1.44; 95\% CI: 1.09 to 1.90), functional impairment (HR: 1.30; 95\% CI: 1.04 to 1.63 for 1 IADL impaired; HR: 1.49; 95\% CI: 1.07 to 2.04 for >=2 IADL impaired), and cognitive impairment (HR: 1.33; 95\% CI: 1.02 to 1.73). Other comorbidities (hypertension, coronary heart disease, peripheral arterial disease, atrial fibrillation, and obstructive airway disease) and measures of functional impairments (ADLs and 15-ft walk time) were not associated with mortality.

CONCLUSIONS: Elderly patients with incident HF have a high burden of comorbidities and functional and cognitive impairments. Some of these conditions are associated with greater mortality risk.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Atrial Fibrillation, Cognition Disorders, Cohort Studies, Comorbidity, Coronary Disease, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Hypertension, Incidence, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Peripheral Arterial Disease, Physical Fitness, Prevalence, Proportional Hazards Models, Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive}, issn = {2213-1787}, doi = {10.1016/j.jchf.2015.03.004}, author = {Murad, Khalil and Goff, David C and Morgan, Timothy M and Burke, Gregory L and Bartz, Traci M and Kizer, Jorge R and Chaudhry, Sarwat I and Gottdiener, John S and Kitzman, Dalane W} } @article {6665, title = {Fibrosis-related biomarkers and large and small vessel disease: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Atherosclerosis}, volume = {239}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Apr}, pages = {539-46}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: Fibrosis has been implicated in a number of pathological, organ-based conditions of the liver, kidney, heart, and lungs. The objective of this study was to determine whether biomarkers of fibrosis are associated with vascular disease in the large and/or small vessels.

METHODS: We evaluated the associations of two circulating biomarkers of fibrosis, transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β) and procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP), with incident peripheral artery disease (PAD) and subclinical macrovascular (carotid intima-media thickness, flow-mediated vasodilation, ankle-brachial index, retinal vein diameter), and microvascular (retinal artery diameter and retinopathy) disease among older adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study. We measured TGF-β and PIIINP from samples collected in 1996 and ascertained clinical PAD through 2011. Measurements of large and small vessels were collected between 1996 and 1998.

RESULTS: After adjustment for sociodemographic, clinical, and biochemical risk factors, TGF-β was associated with incident PAD (hazard ratio [HR]~=~1.36 per doubling of TGF-β, 95\% confidence interval [CI]~=~1.04, 1.78) and retinal venular diameter (1.63~μm per doubling of TGF-β, CI~=~0.23, 3.02). PIIINP was not associated with incident PAD, but was associated with carotid intima-media thickness (0.102~mm per doubling of PIIINP, CI~=~0.029, 0.174) and impaired brachial artery reactivity (-0.20\% change per doubling of PIIINP, CI~=~-0.39,~-0.02). Neither TGF-β nor PIIINP were associated with retinal arteriolar diameter or retinopathy.

CONCLUSIONS: Serum concentrations of fibrosis-related biomarkers were associated with several measures of large vessel disease, including incident PAD, but not with small vessel disease. Fibrosis may contribute to large vessel atherosclerosis in older adults.

}, keywords = {Aged, Ankle Brachial Index, Biomarkers, Brachial Artery, Carotid Artery Diseases, Carotid Intima-Media Thickness, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Fibrosis, Humans, Incidence, Male, Peptide Fragments, Peripheral Arterial Disease, Predictive Value of Tests, Procollagen, Prognosis, Prospective Studies, Retinal Diseases, Risk Factors, Transforming Growth Factor beta, United States, Vasodilation}, issn = {1879-1484}, doi = {10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2015.02.020}, author = {Agarwal, Isha and Arnold, Alice and Glazer, Nicole L and Barasch, Eddy and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Fitzpatrick, Annette L and Gottdiener, John S and Ix, Joachim H and Jensen, Richard A and Kizer, Jorge R and Rimm, Eric B and Siscovick, David S and Tracy, Russell P and Wong, Tien Y and Mukamal, Kenneth J} } @article {6702, title = {Serial measures of cardiac troponin T levels by a highly sensitive assay and incident atrial fibrillation in a prospective cohort of ambulatory older adults.}, journal = {Heart Rhythm}, volume = {12}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 May}, pages = {879-85}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Various mechanisms in cardiac remodeling related to atrial fibrillation (AF) lead to elevated circulating cardiac troponin levels, but little is known about such elevations upstream to AF onset.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to study the association between circulating troponin levels as assessed by a highly sensitive cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) assay and incident atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS: In a large prospective cohort of ambulatory older adults [the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS)], hs-cTnT levels were measured in sera that were collected at enrollment from 4262 participants without AF (2871 with follow-up measurements). Incident AF was identified by electrocardiograms during CHS visits, hospital discharge diagnoses, and Medicare files, including outpatient and physician claims diagnoses.

RESULTS: Over median follow-up of 11.2 years (interquartile range 6.1-16.5), 1363 participants (32.0\%) developed AF. Higher baseline levels of hs-cTnT were associated with incident AF in covariate-adjusted analyses accounting for demographics, traditional risk factors, and incident heart failure in time-dependent analyzes (hazard ratio for 3rd tertile vs undetectable 1.75, 95\% confidence interval 1.48-2.08). This association was statistically significant in analyses that additionally adjusted for biomarkers of inflammation and hemodynamic strain (hazard ratio for 3rd tertile vs undetectable 1.38, 95\% confidence interval 1.16-1.65). Significant associations were also found when hs-cTnT levels were treated as a continuous variable and when examining change from baseline of hs-cTnT levels and incident AF.

CONCLUSION: The findings show a significant association of circulating troponin levels in ambulatory older adults with incident AF beyond that of traditional risk factors, incident heart failure, and biomarkers of inflammation and hemodynamic strain.

}, keywords = {Aged, Atrial Fibrillation, Biomarkers, Electrocardiography, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Outpatients, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Statistics as Topic, Troponin T, United States}, issn = {1556-3871}, doi = {10.1016/j.hrthm.2015.01.020}, author = {Hussein, Ayman A and Bartz, Traci M and Gottdiener, John S and Sotoodehnia, Nona and Heckbert, Susan R and Lloyd-Jones, Donald and Kizer, Jorge R and Christenson, Robert and Wazni, Oussama and DeFilippi, Christopher} }