@article {1210, title = {Association between adiposity in midlife and older age and risk of diabetes in older adults.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {303}, year = {2010}, month = {2010 Jun 23}, pages = {2504-12}, abstract = {

CONTEXT: Adiposity is a well-recognized risk factor for type 2 diabetes among young and middle-aged adults, but the relationship between body composition and type 2 diabetes is not well described among older adults.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationship between adiposity, changes in adiposity, and risk of incident type 2 diabetes in adults 65 years of age and older.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective cohort study (1989-2007) of 4193 men and women 65 years of age and older in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Measures of adiposity were derived from anthropometry and bioelectrical impedance data at baseline and anthropometry repeated 3 years later.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incident diabetes was ascertained based on use of antidiabetic medication or a fasting glucose level of 126 mg/dL or greater.

RESULTS: Over median follow-up of 12.4 years (range, 0.9-17.8 years), 339 cases of incident diabetes were ascertained (7.1/1000 person-years). The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) (95\% confidence interval [CI]) of type 2 diabetes for participants in the highest quintile of baseline measures compared with those in the lowest was 4.3 (95\% CI, 2.9-6.5) for body mass index (BMI [calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared]), 3.0 (95\% CI, 2.0-4.3) for BMI at 50 years of age, 4.2 (95\% CI, 2.8-6.4) for weight, 4.0 (95\% CI, 2.6-6.0) for fat mass, 4.2 (95\% CI, 2.8-6.2) for waist circumference, 2.4 (95\% CI, 1.6-3.5) for waist-hip ratio, and 3.8 (95\% CI, 2.6-5.5) for waist-height ratio. However, when stratified by age, participants 75 years of age and older had HRs approximately half as large as those 65 to 74 years of age. Compared with weight-stable participants (+/-2 kg), those who gained the most weight from 50 years of age to baseline (> or = 9 kg), and from baseline to the third follow-up visit (> or = 6 kg), had HRs for type 2 diabetes of 2.8 (95\% CI, 1.9-4.3) and 2.0 (95\% CI, 1.1-3.7), respectively. Participants with a greater than 10-cm increase in waist size from baseline to the third follow-up visit had an HR of type 2 diabetes of 1.7 (95\% CI, 1.1-2.8) compared with those who gained or lost 2 cm or less.

CONCLUSION: Among older adults, overall and central adiposity, and weight gain during middle age and after the age of 65 years are associated with risk of diabetes.

}, keywords = {Adiposity, Age Factors, Aged, Body Mass Index, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Female, Humans, Incidence, Male, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, United States, Weight Gain}, issn = {1538-3598}, doi = {10.1001/jama.2010.843}, author = {Biggs, Mary L and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Luchsinger, Jos{\'e} A and Ix, Joachim H and Carnethon, Mercedes R and Newman, Anne B and de Boer, Ian H and Strotmeyer, Elsa S and Mozaffarian, Dariush and Siscovick, David S} } @article {1254, title = {Measures of adiposity and future risk of ischemic stroke and coronary heart disease in older men and women.}, journal = {Am J Epidemiol}, volume = {173}, year = {2011}, month = {2011 Jan 01}, pages = {10-25}, abstract = {

The relation between measures of general and central adiposity and individual cardiovascular endpoints remains understudied in older adults. This study investigated the association of measures of body size and composition with incident ischemic stroke or coronary heart disease (1989-2007) in 3,754 community-dwelling US adults aged 65-100 years. Standardized anthropometry and bioelectric impedance measurements were obtained at baseline. Body mass index at age 50 years (BMI50) was calculated on the basis of recalled weight. Although only waist/hip ratio was significantly associated with ischemic stroke in quintile analysis in women, dichotomized body mass index (BMI) (>= 30 kg/m{\texttwosuperior}) was the only significant predictor in men. For coronary heart disease, there were significant positive adjusted associations for all adiposity measures, without interaction by sex. This was true for both quintiles and conventional cutpoints for obesity, although BMI-defined overweight (25-29.9 kg/m{\texttwosuperior} was significant at midlife but not at baseline. Strengths of association for extreme quintiles (quintile 5 vs. quintile 1) were broadly comparable, but the highest effect estimates were for waist/hip ratio (hazard ratio = 1.56, 95\% confidence interval: 1.25, 1.94) and BMI50 (hazard ratio = 1.71, 95\% confidence interval: 1.37, 2.14), both of which remained significant after adjustment for mediators, BMI, or each other. Whether these differences translate to better risk prediction will require meta-analytical approaches, as will determination of prognostic cutpoints.

}, keywords = {Adiposity, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Brain Ischemia, Coronary Disease, Female, Humans, Incidence, Male, Middle Aged, Obesity, Prevalence, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, United States}, issn = {1476-6256}, doi = {10.1093/aje/kwq311}, author = {Kizer, Jorge R and Biggs, Mary L and Ix, Joachim H and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Zieman, Susan J and de Boer, Ian H and Mozaffarian, Dariush and Barzilay, Joshua I and Strotmeyer, Elsa S and Luchsinger, Jos{\'e} A and Elkind, Mitchell S V and Longstreth, W T and Kuller, Lewis H and Siscovick, David S} } @article {1344, title = {Adiposity and incident heart failure in older adults: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Obesity (Silver Spring)}, volume = {20}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 Sep}, pages = {1936-41}, abstract = {

While several studies have reported a positive association between overall adiposity and heart failure (HF) risk, limited and inconsistent data are available on the relation between central adiposity and incident HF in older adults. We sought to examine the association between waist circumference (WC) and incident HF and assess whether sex modifies the relation between WC and HF. Prospective study using data on 4,861 participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study (1989-2007). HF was adjudicated by a committee using information from medical records and medications. We used Cox proportional hazard models to compute hazard ratio (HR). The mean age was 73.0 years for men and 72.3 years for women; 42.5\% were men and 15.3\% were African Americans. WC was positively associated with an increased risk of HF: each standard deviation of WC was associated with a 14\% increased risk of HF (95\% CI: 3\%-26\%) in a multivariable model. There was not a statistically significant sex-by-WC interaction (P = 0.081). BMI was positively associated with incident HF (HR: 1.22 (95\% CI: 1.15-1.29) per standard deviation increase of BMI); however, this association was attenuated and became nonstatistically significant upon additional adjustment for WC (HR: 1.09 (95\% CI: 0.99-1.21)). In conclusion, a higher WC is associated with an increased risk of HF independent of BMI in community-living older men and women.

}, keywords = {Adiposity, Aged, Aging, Body Fat Distribution, Body Mass Index, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Independent Living, Male, Obesity, Predictive Value of Tests, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, United States, Waist Circumference}, issn = {1930-739X}, doi = {10.1038/oby.2011.320}, author = {Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Bartz, Traci M and Ix, Joachim H and Zieman, Susan J and Delaney, Joseph A and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Gottdiener, John S and Siscovick, David S and Kizer, Jorge R} } @article {1380, title = {Association of fetuin-a with incident diabetes mellitus in community-living older adults: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Circulation}, volume = {125}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 May 15}, pages = {2316-22}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: The liver-secreted protein fetuin-A induces peripheral insulin resistance in vitro. In a pilot study, we observed that higher fetuin-A levels were associated with diabetes mellitus in older persons. However, this finding has not been confirmed in large cohorts. We sought to confirm the association of fetuin-A with incident diabetes mellitus in older persons and to determine whether the association differs by age, sex, and race and among persons with cardiovascular disease (CVD).

METHODS AND RESULTS: Among 3710 community-living individuals >= 65 years of age without diabetes mellitus at baseline, fetuin-A was measured in serum collected in 1992 to 1993. Participants were followed up for 10.6 years (median) for incident diabetes mellitus. Cox regression models evaluated the association of fetuin-A with incident diabetes mellitus. Interaction terms evaluated heterogeneity by age, sex, race, and CVD. Mean age was 75 years; 60 were female; 15 were black; and 16 had CVD. Mean fetuin-A concentrations were 0.47 {\textpm} 0.10 g/L. During follow-up, 305 incident diabetes cases occurred. Each 0.10-g/L (SD)-greater fetuin-A was associated with 19 higher risk of diabetes mellitus (hazard ratio, 1.19; 95 confidence interval, 1.06-1.33) after adjustment for demographics, lifestyle factors, albumin, kidney function, and CVD. Further adjustment for potential mediators (body mass index, waist circumference, hypertension, lipids, and C-reactive protein) moderately attenuated the association (hazard ratio, 1.13; 95 confidence interval, 1.00-1.28). Results were similar by sex, race, and CVD status but were stronger in persons <75 years old (P for interaction=0.01).

CONCLUSIONS: Higher fetuin-A is associated with incident diabetes mellitus in older persons regardless of sex, race, or prevalent CVD status. The association may be attenuated in those >= 75 years of age.

}, keywords = {African Continental Ancestry Group, Age Distribution, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, alpha-2-HS-Glycoprotein, Body Mass Index, C-Reactive Protein, Cardiovascular Diseases, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Humans, Incidence, Life Style, Lipids, Male, Pilot Projects, Prevalence, Proportional Hazards Models, Residence Characteristics, Risk Factors, Sex Distribution}, issn = {1524-4539}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.111.072751}, author = {Ix, Joachim H and Biggs, Mary L and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Kizer, Jorge R and Zieman, Susan J and Siscovick, David S and Mozzaffarian, Dariush and Jensen, Majken K and Nelson, Lauren and Ruderman, Neil and Djouss{\'e}, Luc} } @article {1368, title = {Chronic kidney disease, insulin resistance, and incident diabetes in older adults.}, journal = {Clin J Am Soc Nephrol}, volume = {7}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 Apr}, pages = {588-94}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Insulin resistance is a complication of advanced CKD. Insulin resistance is less well characterized in earlier stages of CKD. The response of the pancreatic β cell, effects on glucose tolerance, and risk of diabetes are not clear.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, \& MEASUREMENTS: The Cardiovascular Health Study included 4680 adults without baseline diabetes. The Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration creatinine equation was used to obtain the estimated GFR (eGFR). Insulin resistance was evaluated as fasting insulin concentration. The insulin sensitivity index, β cell function, and glucose tolerance were assessed by oral glucose tolerance testing. Incident diabetes was defined as fasting glucose >=126 mg/dl, nonfasting glucose >=200 mg/dl, or use of glucose-lowering medications.

RESULTS: Mean age was 72.5 years (range, 65-98 years). Mean eGFR was 72.2 (SD 17.1) ml/min per 1.73 m(2). After adjustment, each 10 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) lower eGFR was associated with a 2.2\% higher fasting insulin concentration (95\% confidence interval [CI], 1.4\%, 2.9\%; P<0.001) and a 1.1\% lower insulin sensitivity index (95\% CI, 0.03\%, 2.2\%; P=0.04). Surprisingly, eGFR was associated with an augmented β cell function index (P<0.001), lower 2-hour glucose concentration (P=0.002), and decreased risk of glucose intolerance (P=0.006). Over a median 12 years{\textquoteright} follow-up, 437 participants (9.3\%) developed diabetes. eGFR was not associated with the risk of incident diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS: Among older adults, lower eGFR was associated with insulin resistance. However, with lower eGFR, β cell function was appropriately augmented and risks of impaired glucose tolerance and incident diabetes were not increased.

}, keywords = {Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Biomarkers, Chronic Disease, Creatinine, Diabetes Mellitus, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Glucose Tolerance Test, Health Surveys, Humans, Hypoglycemic Agents, Incidence, Insulin, Insulin Resistance, Insulin-Secreting Cells, Kidney, Kidney Diseases, Linear Models, Male, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, United States}, issn = {1555-905X}, doi = {10.2215/CJN.11861111}, author = {Pham, Hien and Robinson-Cohen, Cassianne and Biggs, Mary L and Ix, Joachim H and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Fried, Linda F and Kestenbaum, Bryan and Siscovick, David S and de Boer, Ian H} } @article {1370, title = {Insulin resistance and incident peripheral artery disease in the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Vasc Med}, volume = {17}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 Apr}, pages = {85-93}, abstract = {

Type 2 diabetes is a risk factor for peripheral artery disease (PAD), and insulin resistance is a key feature of diabetes and pre-diabetes. No longitudinal epidemiological study has examined the relation between insulin resistance and PAD. Our study analyzed the association of quartiles of the homeostatic model of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) and the development of PAD defined by two methods. PAD was first defined as the development of an abnormal ankle-brachial index (ABI) (dichotomous outcome) after 6 years of follow-up. PAD was alternatively defined as the development of clinical PAD (time-to-event analysis). The study samples included adults over the age of 65 years who were enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study, had fasting measurements of insulin and glucose, had ABI measurements, and were not receiving treatment for diabetes. Multivariable models were adjusted for potential confounders, including age, sex, field center and cohort, body mass index (BMI), smoking status, alcohol use, and exercise intensity. Additional models adjusted for potential mediators, including blood pressure, lipids, kidney function, and prevalent vascular disease. In the ABI analysis (n = 2108), multivariable adjusted models demonstrated a positive relation between HOMA-IR and incident PAD (odds ratio = 1.80 comparing the 4th versus 1st quartile of HOMA-IR, 95\% confidence interval [CI] 1.20-2.71). In the clinical PAD analysis (n = 4208), we found a similar relation (hazard ratio = 2.30 comparing the 4th versus 1st quartile of HOMA-IR, 95\% CI 1.15-4.58). As expected, further adjustment for potential mediators led to some attenuation of effect estimates. In conclusion, insulin resistance is associated with a higher risk of PAD in older adults.

}, keywords = {Aged, Ankle Brachial Index, Biomarkers, Blood Glucose, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Diabetic Angiopathies, Fasting, Female, Health Surveys, Humans, Incidence, Insulin, Insulin Resistance, Logistic Models, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Odds Ratio, Peripheral Arterial Disease, Predictive Value of Tests, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Time Factors, United States}, issn = {1477-0377}, doi = {10.1177/1358863X11436195}, author = {Britton, Kathryn A and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Ix, Joachim H and Siscovick, David S and Newman, Anne B and de Boer, Ian H and Thacker, Evan L and Biggs, Mary L and Gaziano, J Michael and Djouss{\'e}, Luc} } @article {1361, title = {Nonesterified fatty acids and risk of sudden cardiac death in older adults.}, journal = {Circ Arrhythm Electrophysiol}, volume = {5}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 Apr}, pages = {273-8}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Although nonesterified fatty acids (NEFA) have been positively associated with coronary heart disease risk factors, limited and inconsistent data are available on the relation between NEFA and sudden cardiac death.

METHODS AND RESULTS: Using a prospective design, we studied 4657 older men and women (mean age, 75 years) from the Cardiovascular Health Study (1992-2006) to evaluate the association between plasma NEFA and the risk of sudden cardiac death in older adults. Plasma concentrations of NEFA were measured using established enzymatic methods, and sudden death was adjudicated using medical records, death certificates, proxy interview, and autopsy reports. We used Cox proportional hazard models to estimate multivariable-adjusted relative risks. During a median follow-up of 10.0 years, 221 new cases of sudden cardiac death occurred. In a multivariable model adjusting for age, sex, race, clinic site, alcohol intake, smoking, prevalent coronary heart disease and heart failure, and self-reported health status, relative risks (95\% confidence interval) for sudden cardiac death were 1.0 (ref), 1.15 (0.81-1.64), 1.06 (0.72-1.55), and 0.91 (0.60-1.38) across consecutive quartiles of NEFA concentration. In secondary analyses restricted to the first 5 years of follow-up, we also did not observe a statistically significant association between plasma NEFA and sudden cardiac death.

CONCLUSIONS: Our data do not provide evidence for an association between plasma NEFA measured late in life and the risk of sudden cardiac death in older adults.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Biomarkers, Death, Sudden, Cardiac, Fatty Acids, Nonesterified, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Incidence, Male, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors}, issn = {1941-3084}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCEP.111.967661}, author = {Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Biggs, Mary L and Ix, Joachim H and Kizer, Jorge R and Lemaitre, Rozenn N and Sotoodehnia, Nona and Zieman, Susan J and Mozaffarian, Dariush and Tracy, Russell P and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Siscovick, David S} } @article {1379, title = {Plasma free fatty acids and risk of atrial fibrillation (from the Cardiovascular Health Study).}, journal = {Am J Cardiol}, volume = {110}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 Jul 15}, pages = {212-6}, abstract = {

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a highly prevalent cardiac arrhythmia in clinical practice, affecting approximately 2.3 million residents of the United States and 4.5 million residents of the European Union. It is unclear whether plasma free fatty acids (FFAs) influence the risk of AF in older adults. The aim of this study was to prospectively examine the association between plasma FFAs and incident AF in a prospective cohort of 4,175 men and women >=65 years old from the Cardiovascular Health Study. Plasma concentrations of FFAs were measured 2 times during the 1992 to 1993 examination. Incident AF was ascertained based on study electrocardiographic and hospitalization records during follow-up. We used Cox regression to estimate relative risks of AF. Average age at baseline was 74.6 {\textpm} 5.1 years. During a mean follow-up of 10.0 years, 1,041 new cases of AF occurred. Crude incidence rates of AF were 23.7, 23.3, 23.9, and 29.7 cases/1,000 person-years across consecutive quartiles of plasma FFAs. There was a positive association between plasma FFAs and risk of AF. Multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (95\% confidence intervals) for incident AF were 1.00 (referent), 1.02 (0.85 to 1.21), 1.05 (0.88 to 1.26), and 1.29 (1.08 to 1.55) from the lowest to highest quartiles of FFAs, respectively. In a secondary analysis restricted to the first 5 years of follow-up, this association persisted. In conclusion, our data show an increased risk of AF with higher plasma FFAs in community-dwelling older adults.

}, keywords = {Aged, Atrial Fibrillation, C-Reactive Protein, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Fatty Acids, Nonesterified, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Hypertension, Incidence, Lipoproteins, HDL, Lipoproteins, LDL, Male, Natriuretic Peptide, Brain, Obesity, Peptide Fragments, Prospective Studies, Sex Factors, Triglycerides, United States}, issn = {1879-1913}, doi = {10.1016/j.amjcard.2012.03.010}, author = {Khawaja, Owais and Bartz, Traci M and Ix, Joachim H and Heckbert, Susan R and Kizer, Jorge R and Zieman, Susan J and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Tracy, Russell P and Siscovick, David S and Djouss{\'e}, Luc} } @article {1552, title = {Fetuin-A, type 2 diabetes, and risk of cardiovascular disease in older adults: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Diabetes Care}, volume = {36}, year = {2013}, month = {2013 May}, pages = {1222-8}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: Fetuin-A, a hepatic secretory protein that simultaneously inhibits arterial calcification and insulin action, is associated with type 2 diabetes, but its association with cardiovascular disease (CVD) is uncertain. Preliminary studies suggest that the association of fetuin-A with CVD might differ among individuals with or without type 2 diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This was a prospective study of 3,810 community-living individuals older than 65 years (511 with type 2 diabetes) and free of CVD in 1992 when fetuin-A levels were measured. Participants were followed-up for incident CVD through June 2008.

RESULTS: Mean age was 75 years, and 61\% were women; 1,456 participants had an incident CVD event (248 among individuals with type 2 diabetes). The association of fetuin-A with CVD was modified by type 2 diabetes (P interaction = 0.02). Higher fetuin-A was associated with lower CVD risk among persons without type 2 diabetes [hazard ratio per SD 0.1 g/L higher fetuin-A, 0.93 (95\% CI, 0.88-0.99)], whereas a trend in the opposite direction was observed among individuals with type 2 diabetes, although it was not statistically significant [1.07 (0.93-1.22)]. Among individuals without type 2 diabetes, similar effect modification was observed by obesity and insulin resistance. Consistently, higher fetuin-A was associated with lower CVD risk only in the subgroups without obesity or with HOMA-IR below the median [0.91 (0.85-0.97) and 0.87 (0.79-0.95), respectively].

CONCLUSIONS: The association of fetuin-A with risk of CVD differs among elderly individuals with and without insulin resistance or type 2 diabetes.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cardiovascular Diseases, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Female, Fetuins, Humans, Incidence, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Risk Factors}, issn = {1935-5548}, doi = {10.2337/dc12-1591}, author = {Jensen, Majken K and Bartz, Traci M and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Kizer, Jorge R and Tracy, Russell P and Zieman, Susan J and Rimm, Eric B and Siscovick, David S and Shlipak, Michael and Ix, Joachim H} } @article {6064, title = {Plasma free fatty acids and risk of heart failure: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Circ Heart Fail}, volume = {6}, year = {2013}, month = {2013 Sep 01}, pages = {964-9}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Although plasma free fatty acid (FFA) concentrations have been associated with lipotoxicity, apoptosis, and risk of diabetes mellitus and coronary heart disease, it is unclear whether FFA levels are associated with heart failure (HF).

METHODS AND RESULTS: To test the hypothesis that plasma concentration of FFAs is positively associated with incident HF, we prospectively analyzed data on 4248 men and women free of HF at baseline and >65 years old from the Cardiovascular Health Study. FFA concentration was measured in duplicate by the Wako enzymatic method. Incident HF was validated by a centralized Events Committee. We used Cox proportional hazards to estimate the hazard ratio of HF per SD of FFAs. During a median follow-up of 10.5 years, a total of 1286 new cases of HF occurred. In a multivariable model adjusting for clinic site, comorbidity, demographic, anthropometric, and lifestyle factors, each SD (0.2 mEq/L) higher plasma FFA was associated with 12\% (95\% confidence interval, 6\%-19\%) higher risk of HF. Controlling for time-varying diabetes mellitus and coronary heart disease did not change the results (hazard ratio per SD, 1.16 [95\% confidence interval, 1.09-1.23]).

CONCLUSIONS: A single measure of plasma FFA obtained later in life is associated with a higher risk of HF in older adults. Additional studies are needed to explore biological mechanisms by which FFAs may influence the risk of HF and determine whether FFAs could serve as a novel pharmacological target for HF prevention.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Biomarkers, Comorbidity, Fatty Acids, Nonesterified, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Linear Models, Male, Multivariate Analysis, Prognosis, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Time Factors, United States}, issn = {1941-3297}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCHEARTFAILURE.113.000521}, author = {Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Benkeser, David and Arnold, Alice and Kizer, Jorge R and Zieman, Susan J and Lemaitre, Rozenn N and Tracy, Russell P and Gottdiener, John S and Mozaffarian, Dariush and Siscovick, David S and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Ix, Joachim H} } @article {5994, title = {Risk factors for type 2 diabetes mellitus preceded by β-cell dysfunction, insulin resistance, or both in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Am J Epidemiol}, volume = {177}, year = {2013}, month = {2013 Jun 15}, pages = {1418-29}, chapter = {1418}, abstract = {

Insulin resistance (IR) and pancreatic β-cell dysfunction lead to type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM). We tested whether risk factors would differ for DM that was preceded predominantly by IR, β-cell dysfunction, or both among 4,384 older adults (mean age, 72.7 (standard deviation, 5.6) years) in the Cardiovascular Health Study, which was conducted in North Carolina, California, Maryland, and Pennsylvania (1989-2007). When evaluating established risk factors, we found older age, greater adiposity, higher systolic blood pressure, a lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level, a higher triglyceride level, and a lower alcohol intake to be independently associated with greater IR but, conversely, with better β-cell function (P < 0.001). The prospective associations between some risk factors and incident DM varied significantly depending on whether DM was preceded predominantly by IR, β-cell dysfunction, or both. For example, obesity and lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels were positively associated with DM preceded predominantly by IR (hazard ratio (HR) = 5.02, 95\% confidence interval (CI): 2.81, 9.00; and HR = 1.97, 95\% CI: 1.32, 2.93, respectively), with a significant association with and an insignificant trend toward a lower risk of DM preceded predominantly by β-cell dysfunction (HR = 0.33, 95\% CI: 0.14, 0.80; and HR = 0.78, 95\% CI: 0.43, 1.39, respectively). In conclusion, among older adults, DM risk factors were differentially associated with DM preceded predominantly by IR or β-cell dysfunction. Biologic and clinical implications of putative subtypes of DM require further investigation.

}, keywords = {Adiposity, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Alcohol Drinking, Blood Pressure, Cross-Sectional Studies, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Female, Humans, Incidence, Insulin Resistance, Insulin-Secreting Cells, Lipids, Male, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Socioeconomic Factors, United States}, issn = {1476-6256}, doi = {10.1093/aje/kws440}, author = {Imamura, Fumiaki and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Meigs, James B and Luchsinger, Jos{\'e} A and Ix, Joachim H and Siscovick, David S and Mozaffarian, Dariush} } @article {6576, title = {Advanced glycation/glycoxidation endproduct carboxymethyl-lysine and incidence of coronary heart disease and stroke in older adults.}, journal = {Atherosclerosis}, volume = {235}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Jul}, pages = {116-21}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Advanced glycation/glycoxidation endproducts (AGEs) accumulate in settings of increased oxidative stress--such as diabetes, chronic kidney disease and aging--where they promote vascular stiffness and atherogenesis, but the prospective association between AGEs and cardiovascular events in elders has not been previously examined.

METHODS: To test the hypothesis that circulating levels of N(ɛ)-carboxymethyl-lysine (CML), a major AGE, increase the risk of incident coronary heart disease and stroke in older adults, we measured serum CML by immunoassay in 2111 individuals free of prevalent cardiovascular disease participating in a population-based study of U.S. adults ages 65 and older.

RESULTS: During median follow-up of 9.1 years, 625 cardiovascular events occurred. CML was positively associated with incident cardiovascular events after adjustment for age, sex, race, systolic blood pressure, anti-hypertensive treatment, diabetes, smoking status, triglycerides, albumin, and self-reported health status (hazard ratio [HR] per SD [0.99 pmol/l] increase=1.11, 95\% confidence interval [CI]=1.03-1.19). This association was not materially attenuated by additional adjustment for C-reactive protein, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and urine albumin/creatinine ratio. Findings were similar for the component endpoints of coronary heart disease and stroke.

CONCLUSIONS: In this large older cohort, CML was associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events independent of a wide array of potential confounders and mediators. Although the moderate association limits CML{\textquoteright}s value for risk prediction, these community-based findings provide support for clinical trials to test AGE-lowering therapies for cardiovascular prevention in this population.

}, keywords = {Aged, Albumins, Antihypertensive Agents, Blood Pressure, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Coronary Disease, Creatinine, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Glycation End Products, Advanced, Humans, Immunoassay, Incidence, Lysine, Male, Oxidative Stress, Proportional Hazards Models, Stroke, Treatment Outcome}, issn = {1879-1484}, doi = {10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2014.04.013}, author = {Kizer, Jorge R and Benkeser, David and Arnold, Alice M and Ix, Joachim H and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Tracy, Russell P and Siscovick, David S and Psaty, Bruce M and Zieman, Susan J} } @article {6337, title = {Circulating fibrosis biomarkers and risk of atrial fibrillation: The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS).}, journal = {Am Heart J}, volume = {167}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 May}, pages = {723-8.e2}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Cardiac fibrosis is thought to play a central role in the pathogenesis of atrial fibrillation (AF). Retrospective studies have suggested that circulating fibrosis biomarkers are associated with AF, but prospective studies are limited.

METHODS: We measured circulating levels of 2 fibrosis biomarkers, procollagen type III, N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP) and transforming growth factor β1 among participants of the CHS, a population-based study of older Americans. We used Cox proportional hazards and competing risks models to examine adjusted risk of incident AF over a median follow-up of 8.8 years.

RESULTS: Levels of PIIINP were assessed in 2,935 participants, of whom 767 developed AF. Compared with the median PIIINP level (4.45 μg/L), adjusted hazard ratios (95\% CIs) were 0.85 (0.72-1.00) at the 10th percentile, 0.93 (0.88-0.99) at the 25th percentile, 1.04 (0.95-1.04) at the 75th percentile, and 1.07 (0.90-1.26) at the 90th. Transforming growth factor β1 levels, assessed in 1,538 participants with 408 cases of incident AF, were not associated with AF risk.

CONCLUSION: In older adults, PIIINP levels were associated with risk of incident AF in a complex manner, with an association that appeared to be positive up to median levels but with little relationship beyond that. Further studies are required to confirm and possibly delineate the mechanism for this relationship.

}, keywords = {Aged, Atrial Fibrillation, Biomarkers, Cardiomyopathies, Electrocardiography, Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay, Female, Fibrosis, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Incidence, Male, Peptide Fragments, Procollagen, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Time Factors, Transforming Growth Factor beta1, United States}, issn = {1097-6744}, doi = {10.1016/j.ahj.2014.01.010}, author = {Rosenberg, Michael A and Maziarz, Marlena and Tan, Alex Y and Glazer, Nicole L and Zieman, Susan J and Kizer, Jorge R and Ix, Joachim H and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Siscovick, David S and Heckbert, Susan R and Mukamal, Kenneth J} } @article {6375, title = {Circulating levels of carboxy-methyl-lysine (CML) are associated with hip fracture risk: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Bone Miner Res}, volume = {29}, year = {2014}, month = {2014}, pages = {1061-6}, abstract = {

Advanced glycation end products (AGE) in bone tissue are associated with impaired biomechanical properties and increased fracture risk. Here we examine whether serum levels of the AGE carboxy-methyl-lysine (CML) are associated with risk of hip fracture.We followed 3373 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study (age 78 years; range, 68{\textendash}102 years; 39.8\% male) for a median of 9.22 years (range, 0.01{\textendash}12.07 years). Rates of incident hip fracture were calculated by quartiles of baseline CML levels, and hazard ratios were adjusted for covariates associated with hip fracture risk. A subcohort of 1315 participants had bone mineral density (BMD)measurement. There were 348 hip fractures during follow-up, with incidence rates of hip fracture by CML quartiles of 0.94, 1.34, 1.18, and 1.69 per 100 participant-years. The unadjusted hazard ratio of hip fracture increased with each 1 SD increase (189 ng/mL) of CML level (hazard ratio, 1.27; 95\% confidence interval [CI], 1.16{\textendash}1.40]; p<0.001). Sequential adjustment for age, gender, race/ethnicity,body mass index (BMI), smoking, alcohol consumption, prevalent coronary heart disease (CHD), energy expenditure, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (based on cystatin C), moderately attenuated the hazard ratio for fracture (1.17; 95\% CI, 1.05{\textendash}1.31; p=0.006).In the cohort with BMD testing, total hip BMD was not significantly associated with CML levels. We conclude that increasing levels of CML are associated with hip fracture risk in older adults, independent of hip BMD. These results implicate AGE in the pathogenesis of hip fractures.

}, keywords = {Age Factors, Aged, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Glycation End Products, Advanced, Hip Fractures, Humans, Incidence, Lysine, Male, Prospective Studies, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors}, issn = {1523-4681}, author = {Barzilay, Joshua I and B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Zieman, Susan J and Kizer, Jorge R and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Ix, Joachim H and Tracy, Russell P and Siscovick, David S and Cauley, Jane A and Mukamal, Kenneth J} } @article {6239, title = {Fibroblast growth factor 23, the ankle-brachial index, and incident peripheral artery disease in the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Atherosclerosis}, volume = {233}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Mar}, pages = {91-6}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) has emerged as a novel risk factor for mortality and cardiovascular events. Its association with the ankle-brachial index (ABI) and clinical peripheral artery disease (PAD) is less known.

METHODS: Using data (N = 3143) from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a cohort of community dwelling adults >65 years of age, we analyzed the cross-sectional association of FGF23 with ABI and its association with incident clinical PAD events during 9.8 years of follow up using multinomial logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models respectively.

RESULTS: The prevalence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and traditional risk factors like diabetes, coronary artery disease, and heart failure increased across higher quartiles of FGF23. Compared to those with ABI of 1.1-1.4, FGF23 per doubling at baseline was associated with prevalent PAD (ABI < 0.9) although this association was attenuated after adjusting for CVD risk factors, and kidney function (OR 0.91, 95\% CI 0.76-1.08). FGF23 was not associated with high ABI (>1.4) (OR 1.06, 95\% CI 0.75-1.51). Higher FGF23 was associated with incidence of PAD events in unadjusted, demographic adjusted, and CVD risk factor adjusted models (HR 2.26, 95\% CI 1.28-3.98; highest versus lowest quartile). The addition of estimated glomerular filtration and urine albumin to creatinine ratio to the model however, attenuated these findings (HR 1.46, 95\% CI, 0.79-2.70).

CONCLUSIONS: In community dwelling older adults, FGF23 was not associated with baseline low or high ABI or incident PAD events after adjusting for confounding variables. These results suggest that FGF23 may primarily be associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes through non atherosclerotic mechanisms.

}, keywords = {Aged, Ankle Brachial Index, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cross-Sectional Studies, Fibroblast Growth Factors, Humans, Incidence, Peripheral Arterial Disease, Risk Factors}, issn = {1879-1484}, doi = {10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2013.12.015}, author = {Garimella, Pranav S and Ix, Joachim H and Katz, Ronit and Chonchol, Michel B and Kestenbaum, Bryan R and de Boer, Ian H and Siscovick, David S and Shastri, Shani and Hiramoto, Jade S and Shlipak, Michael G and Sarnak, Mark J} } @article {6541, title = {Fibrosis-related biomarkers and incident cardiovascular disease in older adults: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Circ Arrhythm Electrophysiol}, volume = {7}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Aug}, pages = {583-9}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Fibrotic changes in the heart and arteries have been implicated in a diverse range of cardiovascular diseases (CVD), but whether circulating biomarkers that reflect fibrosis are associated with CVD is unknown.

METHODS AND RESULTS: We determined the associations of 2 biomarkers of fibrosis, transforming growth factor- β (TGF-β), and procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP), with incident heart failure, myocardial infarction, and stroke among community-living older adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study. We measured circulating TGF-β (n=1371) and PIIINP (n=2568) from plasma samples collected in 1996 and ascertained events through 2010. Given TGF-β{\textquoteright}s pleiotropic effects on inflammation and fibrogenesis, we investigated potential effect modification by C-reactive protein in secondary analyses. After adjustment for sociodemographic, clinical, and biochemical risk factors, PIIINP was associated with total CVD (hazard ratio [HR] per SD=1.07; 95\% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.14) and heart failure (HR per SD=1.08; CI, 1.01-1.16) but not myocardial infarction or stroke. TGF-β was not associated with any CVD outcomes in the full cohort but was associated with total CVD (HR per SD=1.16; CI, 1.02-1.31), heart failure (HR per SD=1.16; CI, 1.01-1.34), and stroke (HR per SD=1.20; CI, 1.01-1.42) among individuals with C-reactive protein above the median, 2.3 mg/L (P interaction <0.05).

CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provide large-scale, prospective evidence that circulating biomarkers of fibrosis, measured in community-living individuals late in life, are associated with CVD. Further research on whether TGF-β has a stronger fibrogenic effect in the setting of inflammation is warranted.

}, keywords = {Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Biomarkers, C-Reactive Protein, Cardiovascular Diseases, Female, Fibrosis, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Male, Myocardial Infarction, Peptide Fragments, Procollagen, Prognosis, Prospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Stroke, Time Factors, Transforming Growth Factor beta, United States}, issn = {1941-3084}, doi = {10.1161/CIRCEP.114.001610}, author = {Agarwal, Isha and Glazer, Nicole L and Barasch, Eddy and Biggs, Mary L and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Fitzpatrick, Annette L and Gottdiener, John S and Ix, Joachim H and Kizer, Jorge R and Rimm, Eric B and Sicovick, David S and Tracy, Russell P and Mukamal, Kenneth J} } @article {6148, title = {Metabolic syndrome and risk of incident peripheral artery disease: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Hypertension}, volume = {63}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Feb}, pages = {413-9}, abstract = {

Prior studies evaluating metabolic syndrome (MetS) and incident peripheral artery disease (PAD) have been limited by use of modified MetS criteria and restriction to clinical PAD end points. We investigated MetS and risk of developing a low ankle-brachial index (ABI) and clinical PAD in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a population-based cohort of adults aged >=65 years. Participants with MetS met at least 3 of 5 Adult Treatment Panel III criteria. Baseline C-reactive protein-MetS or fibrinogen-MetS were defined as presence of 3 of 6 components, with elevated C-reactive protein (>3 mg/L) or fibrinogen (>341 mg/dL) as a sixth component. Incident low ABI, defined as ABI <0.9 and decline of >=0.15, was assessed among a subset of 1899 individuals with 2 ABI measurements 6 years apart. Over a median follow-up of 13.7 years, 4632 individuals were followed up for clinical PAD, defined as revascularization or diagnosed claudication. Adult Treatment Panel III MetS was associated with both incident low ABI (risk ratio, 1.26; 95\% confidence interval [CI], 1.00-1.58) and clinical PAD (hazard ratio, 1.47; 95\% CI, 1.11-1.94). Incorporating C-reactive protein or fibrinogen into Adult Treatment Panel III criteria identified an additional 16\% to 20\% of individuals as having MetS, and both C-reactive protein-MetS and fibrinogen-MetS were associated with incident low ABI (risk ratio, 1.36; 95\% CI, 1.07-1.72 and risk ratio, 1.43; 95\% CI, 1.13-1.81, respectively) and clinical PAD (hazard ratio, 1.56; 95\% CI, 1.17-2.08 and hazard ratio, 1.55; 95\% CI, 1.17-2.07, respectively). Among Adult Treatment Panel III MetS criteria, risk of PAD was most strongly associated with hypertension.

}, keywords = {Aged, Ankle Brachial Index, C-Reactive Protein, Female, Fibrinogen, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Incidence, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Metabolic Syndrome, Peripheral Arterial Disease, Prevalence, Risk Factors, Vasculitis}, issn = {1524-4563}, doi = {10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.113.01925}, author = {Garg, Parveen K and Biggs, Mary L and Carnethon, Mercedes and Ix, Joachim H and Criqui, Michael H and Britton, Kathryn A and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Sutton-Tyrrell, Kim and Newman, Anne B and Cushman, Mary and Mukamal, Kenneth J} } @article {6137, title = {Relations of plasma total and high-molecular-weight adiponectin to new-onset heart failure in adults >=65 years of age (from the Cardiovascular Health study).}, journal = {Am J Cardiol}, volume = {113}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Jan 15}, pages = {328-34}, abstract = {

Adiponectin exhibits cardioprotective properties in experimental studies, but elevated levels have been linked to increased mortality in older adults and patients with chronic heart failure (HF). The adipokine{\textquoteright}s association with new-onset HF remains less well defined. The aim of this study was to investigate the associations of total and high-molecular weight (HMW) adiponectin with incident HF (n = 780) and, in a subset, echocardiographic parameters in a community-based cohort of adults aged >=65 years. Total and HMW adiponectin were measured in 3,228 subjects without prevalent HF, atrial fibrillation or CVD. The relations of total and HMW adiponectin with HF were nonlinear, with significant associations observed only for concentrations greater than the median (12.4 and 6.2 mg/L, respectively). After adjustment for potential confounders, the hazard ratios per SD increment in total adiponectin were 0.93 (95\% confidence interval 0.72 to 1.21) for concentrations less than the median and 1.25 (95\% confidence interval 1.14 to 1.38) higher than the median. There was a suggestion of effect modification by body mass index, whereby the association appeared strongest in participants with lower body mass indexes. Consistent with the HF findings, higher adiponectin tended to be associated with left ventricular systolic dysfunction and left atrial enlargement. Results were similar for HMW adiponectin. In conclusion, total and HMW adiponectin showed comparable relations with incident HF in this older cohort, with a threshold effect of increasing risk occurring at their median concentrations. High levels of adiponectin may mark or mediate age-related processes that lead to HF in older adults.

}, keywords = {Adiponectin, Age of Onset, Aged, Biomarkers, Cross-Sectional Studies, Echocardiography, Doppler, Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Male, Prognosis, Prospective Studies, Recurrence, Severity of Illness Index, United States, Ventricular Function, Left}, issn = {1879-1913}, doi = {10.1016/j.amjcard.2013.09.027}, author = {Karas, Maria G and Benkeser, David and Arnold, Alice M and Bartz, Traci M and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Ix, Joachim H and Zieman, Susan J and Siscovick, David S and Tracy, Russell P and Mantzoros, Christos S and Gottdiener, John S and deFilippi, Christopher R and Kizer, Jorge R} } @article {6243, title = {Serum carboxymethyl-lysine, disability, and frailty in older persons: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci}, volume = {69}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Jun}, pages = {710-6}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Advanced glycation endproducts are biologically active compounds that accumulate in disordered metabolism and normal aging. Carboxymethyl-lysine (CML), a ubiquitous human advanced glycation endproduct, has been associated with age-related conditions and mortality. Our objective was to ascertain the relationship between CML and geriatric outcomes (disability and frailty) in a large cohort of older men and women.

METHODS: In 1996-1997, serum CML was measured in 3,373 Cardiovascular Health Study participants (mean age 78.1 {\textpm} 4.8 years). Disability, defined as difficulty in any of six activities of daily living, was assessed every 6-12 months for 14 years. Frailty was defined according to five standard criteria at the 1996-1997 visit. Cox proportional hazard models estimated the relationship between CML and incident disability (N = 2,643). Logistic regression models estimated the relationship between CML and prevalent frailty.

RESULTS: Adjusting for multiple potential confounders, higher CML was associated with incident disability (hazard ratio per standard deviation [225 ng/mL] increase: 1.05, 95\% CI 1.01-1.11). In men, odds of frailty increased with higher CML values (odds ratio = 1.30 per standard deviation, 95\% CI 1.14-1.48), but the relationship was attenuated by adjustment for cognitive status, kidney function, and arthritis. CML was not associated with frailty in women.

CONCLUSIONS: Higher serum CML levels in late life are associated with incident disability and prevalent frailty. Further work is needed to understand CML{\textquoteright}s value as a risk stratifier, biomarker, or target for interventions that promote healthy aging.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Biomarkers, Cardiac Rehabilitation, Cardiovascular Diseases, Disabled Persons, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Frail Elderly, Health Status, Humans, Incidence, Lysine, Male, Prevalence, Prognosis, Retrospective Studies, United States}, issn = {1758-535X}, doi = {10.1093/gerona/glt155}, author = {Whitson, Heather E and Arnold, Alice M and Yee, Laura M and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Kizer, Jorge R and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Ix, Joachim H and Siscovick, David and Tracy, Russell P and Thielke, Stephen M and Hirsch, Calvin and Newman, Anne B and Zieman, Susan} } @article {6666, title = {Association of Fetuin-A With Incident Fractures in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Bone Miner Res}, volume = {30}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Aug}, pages = {1394-402}, abstract = {

Fetuin-A, a serum protein that regulates calcium mineralization, has been associated with bone mineral density (BMD) in several cross-sectional human studies, suggesting a possible beneficial effect on clinically important measures of bone health. Fetuin-A and incidence of subsequent fracture was assessed in 4714 men and women >=65 years of age. Proportional hazards models were used to estimate risk of incident hip (hospital discharge ICD-9 codes) and composite fracture (hip, pelvis, humerus, or proximal forearm; hospital discharge ICD-9 codes and Medicare claims data). A total of 576 participants had an incident hip fracture (median follow-up 11.2 years) and 768 had an incident composite fracture (median follow-up 6.9 years). In unadjusted analyses, there was no association between fetuin-A (per SD increase) and risk of hip fracture (hazard ratio [HR], 0.96; 95\% CI, 0.88 to 1.05) or composite fracture (HR, 0.99; 95\% CI, 0.92 to 1.06). Results were not significantly changed after adjustment for potential confounding variables. Analyses modeling fetuin-A in quartiles or within a subset with available BMD measures also showed no statistically significant association with risk of hip or composite fracture. Though fetuin-A was positively associated with areal BMD in partially adjusted models (total hip: β, 0.013 g/cm(2) ; 95\% CI, 0.005 to 0.021; femoral neck: β, 0.011 g/cm(2) ; 95\% CI, 0.004 to 0.018; and lumbar spine: β, 0.007 g/cm(2) ; 95\% CI, 0.001 to 0.028), these associations were no longer significant after further adjustment for BMI and in final multivariate models. In this large sample of community-dwelling older adults, a small positive association between fetuin-A and areal BMD appeared attributable to confounding variables and we found no evidence of an association between fetuin-A and risk of clinical fracture.

}, keywords = {Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, alpha-2-HS-Glycoprotein, Bone Density, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Fractures, Bone, Humans, Incidence, Male, Models, Biological}, issn = {1523-4681}, doi = {10.1002/jbmr.2475}, author = {Fink, Howard A and B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Garimella, Pranav S and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Cauley, Jane A and Kizer, Jorge R and Barzilay, Joshua I and Jalal, Diana I and Ix, Joachim H} } @article {6665, title = {Fibrosis-related biomarkers and large and small vessel disease: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Atherosclerosis}, volume = {239}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Apr}, pages = {539-46}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: Fibrosis has been implicated in a number of pathological, organ-based conditions of the liver, kidney, heart, and lungs. The objective of this study was to determine whether biomarkers of fibrosis are associated with vascular disease in the large and/or small vessels.

METHODS: We evaluated the associations of two circulating biomarkers of fibrosis, transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β) and procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP), with incident peripheral artery disease (PAD) and subclinical macrovascular (carotid intima-media thickness, flow-mediated vasodilation, ankle-brachial index, retinal vein diameter), and microvascular (retinal artery diameter and retinopathy) disease among older adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study. We measured TGF-β and PIIINP from samples collected in 1996 and ascertained clinical PAD through 2011. Measurements of large and small vessels were collected between 1996 and 1998.

RESULTS: After adjustment for sociodemographic, clinical, and biochemical risk factors, TGF-β was associated with incident PAD (hazard ratio [HR]~=~1.36 per doubling of TGF-β, 95\% confidence interval [CI]~=~1.04, 1.78) and retinal venular diameter (1.63~μm per doubling of TGF-β, CI~=~0.23, 3.02). PIIINP was not associated with incident PAD, but was associated with carotid intima-media thickness (0.102~mm per doubling of PIIINP, CI~=~0.029, 0.174) and impaired brachial artery reactivity (-0.20\% change per doubling of PIIINP, CI~=~-0.39,~-0.02). Neither TGF-β nor PIIINP were associated with retinal arteriolar diameter or retinopathy.

CONCLUSIONS: Serum concentrations of fibrosis-related biomarkers were associated with several measures of large vessel disease, including incident PAD, but not with small vessel disease. Fibrosis may contribute to large vessel atherosclerosis in older adults.

}, keywords = {Aged, Ankle Brachial Index, Biomarkers, Brachial Artery, Carotid Artery Diseases, Carotid Intima-Media Thickness, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Fibrosis, Humans, Incidence, Male, Peptide Fragments, Peripheral Arterial Disease, Predictive Value of Tests, Procollagen, Prognosis, Prospective Studies, Retinal Diseases, Risk Factors, Transforming Growth Factor beta, United States, Vasodilation}, issn = {1879-1484}, doi = {10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2015.02.020}, author = {Agarwal, Isha and Arnold, Alice and Glazer, Nicole L and Barasch, Eddy and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Fitzpatrick, Annette L and Gottdiener, John S and Ix, Joachim H and Jensen, Richard A and Kizer, Jorge R and Rimm, Eric B and Siscovick, David S and Tracy, Russell P and Wong, Tien Y and Mukamal, Kenneth J} } @article {6801, title = {Higher circulating adiponectin levels are associated with increased risk of atrial fibrillation in older adults.}, journal = {Heart}, volume = {101}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Sep}, pages = {1368-74}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Adiponectin has cardioprotective properties, suggesting that lower levels seen in obesity and diabetes could heighten risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Among older adults, however, higher adiponectin has been linked to greater incidence of adverse outcomes associated with AF, although recent reports have shown this association to be U-shaped. We postulated that higher adiponectin would be linked to increased risk for AF in older adults in a U-shaped manner.

METHODS: We examined the associations of total and high-molecular-weight (HMW) adiponectin with incident AF among individuals free of prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD) participating in a population-based cohort study of older adults (n=3190; age=74{\textpm}5 years).

RESULTS: During median follow-up of 11.4 years, there were 886 incident AF events. Adjusted cubic splines showed a positive and linear association between adiponectin and incident AF. After adjusting for potential confounders, including amino-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide 1-76, the HR (95\% CI) for AF per SD increase in total adiponectin was 1.14 (1.05 to 1.24), while that for HMW adiponectin was 1.17 (1.08 to 1.27). Additional adjustment for putative mediators, including subclinical CVD, diabetes, lipids and inflammation, did not significantly affect these estimates.

CONCLUSIONS: The present findings demonstrate that higher, not lower, levels of adiponectin are independently associated with increased risk of AF in older adults despite its documented cardiometabolic benefits. Additional work is necessary to determine if adiponectin is a marker of failed counter-regulatory pathways or whether this hormone is directly harmful in the setting of or as a result of advanced age.

}, keywords = {Adiponectin, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Atrial Fibrillation, Biomarkers, Female, Humans, Incidence, Linear Models, Male, Multivariate Analysis, Natriuretic Peptide, Brain, Peptide Fragments, Prognosis, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Time Factors, United States, Up-Regulation}, issn = {1468-201X}, doi = {10.1136/heartjnl-2014-307015}, author = {Macheret, Fima and Bartz, Traci M and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Ix, Joachim H and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Zieman, Susan J and Siscovick, David S and Tracy, Russell P and Heckbert, Susan R and Psaty, Bruce M and Kizer, Jorge R} } @article {6770, title = {Urinary uromodulin, kidney function, and cardiovascular disease in elderly adults.}, journal = {Kidney Int}, volume = {88}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Nov}, pages = {1126-34}, abstract = {

Urinary uromodulin (uUMOD) is the most common secreted tubular protein in healthy adults. However, the relationship between uUMOD and clinical outcomes is still unclear. Here we measured uUMOD in 192 participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study with over a 30\% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over 9 years, 54 with incident end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and in a random subcohort of 958 participants. The association of uUMOD with eGFR decline was evaluated using logistic regression and with incident ESRD, cardiovascular disease, heart failure, and mortality using Cox proportional regression. Mean age was 78 years and median uUMOD was 25.8 μg/ml. In a case-control study evaluating eGFR decline (192 cases and 231 controls), each 1-s.d. higher uUMOD was associated with a 23\% lower odds of eGFR decline (odds ratio 0.77 (95\% CI 0.62-0.96)) and a 10\% lower risk of mortality (hazard ratio 0.90 (95\% CI 0.83-0.98)) after adjusting for demographics, eGFR, albumin/creatinine ratio, and other risk factors. There was no risk association of uUMOD with ESRD, cardiovascular disease, or heart failure after multivariable adjustment. Thus, low uUMOD levels may identify persons at risk of progressive kidney disease and mortality above and beyond established markers of kidney disease, namely eGFR and the albumin/creatinine ratio. Future studies need to confirm these results and evaluate whether uUMOD is a marker of tubular health and/or whether it plays a causal role in preserving kidney function.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Albuminuria, Biomarkers, Cardiovascular Diseases, Case-Control Studies, Creatinine, Disease Progression, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Heart Failure, Humans, Incidence, Kidney Failure, Chronic, Male, Proportional Hazards Models, Uromodulin}, issn = {1523-1755}, doi = {10.1038/ki.2015.192}, author = {Garimella, Pranav S and Biggs, Mary L and Katz, Ronit and Ix, Joachim H and Bennett, Michael R and Devarajan, Prasad and Kestenbaum, Bryan R and Siscovick, David S and Jensen, Majken K and Shlipak, Michael G and Chaves, Paulo H M and Sarnak, Mark J} } @article {6931, title = {APOL1 Genotype, Kidney and Cardiovascular Disease, and Death in Older Adults.}, journal = {Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol}, volume = {36}, year = {2016}, month = {2016 Feb}, pages = {398-403}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: We sought to evaluate the cardiovascular impact of coding variants in the apolipoprotein L1 gene APOL1 that protect against trypanosome infection but have been associated with kidney disease among African Americans.

APPROACH AND RESULTS: As part of the Cardiovascular Health Study, a population-based cohort of Americans aged >=65 years, we genotyped APOL1 polymorphisms rs73885319 and rs71785153 and examined kidney function, subclinical atherosclerosis, and incident cardiovascular disease and death over 13 years of follow-up among 91 African Americans with 2 risk alleles, 707 other African Americans, and 4964 white participants. The high-risk genotype with 2 risk alleles was associated with 2-fold higher levels of albuminuria and lower ankle-brachial indices but similar carotid intima-media thickness among African Americans. Median survival among high-risk African Americans was 9.9 years (95\% confidence interval [CI], 8.7-11.9), compared with 13.6 years (95\% CI, 12.5-14.3) among other African Americans and 13.3 years (95\% CI, 13.0-13.6) among whites (P=0.03). The high-risk genotype was also associated with increased risk for incident myocardial infarction (adjusted hazard ratio 1.8; 95\% CI, 1.1-3.0) and mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 1.3; 95\% CI 1.0-1.7). Albuminuria and risk for myocardial infarction and mortality were nearly identical between African Americans with 0 to 1 risk alleles and whites.

CONCLUSIONS: APOL1 genotype is associated with albuminuria, subclinical atherosclerosis, incident myocardial infarction, and mortality in older African Americans. African Americans without 2 risk alleles do not differ significantly in risk of myocardial infarction or mortality from whites. APOL1 trypanolytic variants may account for a substantial proportion of the excess risk of chronic disease in African Americans.

}, keywords = {African Americans, Age Factors, Aged, Albuminuria, Apolipoproteins, Atherosclerosis, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cause of Death, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Gene Frequency, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Health Status Disparities, Heterozygote, Homozygote, Humans, Incidence, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Kidney Diseases, Lipoproteins, HDL, Male, Myocardial Infarction, Phenotype, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Time Factors, United States}, issn = {1524-4636}, doi = {10.1161/ATVBAHA.115.305970}, author = {Mukamal, Kenneth J and Tremaglio, Joseph and Friedman, David J and Ix, Joachim H and Kuller, Lewis H and Tracy, Russell P and Pollak, Martin R} } @article {6850, title = {Relations of Postload and Fasting Glucose With Incident Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality Late in Life: The Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci}, volume = {71}, year = {2016}, month = {2016 Mar}, pages = {370-7}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Older adults have a high prevalence of postload hyperglycemia. Postload glucose has shown more robust associations with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and death than fasting glucose, but data in the oldest old are sparse.

METHODS: Fasting and 2-hour postload glucose were measured in community-dwelling older adults, mean age 78, at the 1996-1997 follow-up visit of the Cardiovascular Health Study. We evaluated their associations with atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD) and mortality using standard Cox regression and competing-risks analyses and assessed improvement in prediction-model discrimination with the c-statistic.

RESULTS: Among 2,394 participants without treated diabetes and available data on glycemic measures, there were 579 ASCVD events and 1,698 deaths during median follow-up of 11.2 years. In fully adjusted models, both fasting and 2-hour glucose were associated with ASCVD (HR per SD, 1.13 [1.03-1.25] and 1.17 [1.07-1.28], respectively) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.12 [1.07-1.18] and 1.14 [1.08-1.20]). After mutual adjustment, however, the associations for fasting glucose with both outcomes were abolished, but those for postload glucose were largely unchanged. Consistent findings were observed for ASCVD in competing-risks models.

CONCLUSION: In adults surviving to advanced old age, postload glucose was associated with ASCVD and mortality independently of fasting glucose, but fasting glucose was not associated with these outcomes independently of postload glucose. These findings affirm the robust association of postload glucose with ASCVD and death late in life.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aging, Blood Glucose, Cardiovascular Diseases, Fasting, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Glucose, Glucose Tolerance Test, Health Surveys, Humans, Incidence, Male, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Survival Rate, United States}, issn = {1758-535X}, doi = {10.1093/gerona/glv106}, author = {Brutsaert, Erika F and Shitole, Sanyog and Biggs, Mary Lou and Mukamal, Kenneth J and deBoer, Ian H and Thacker, Evan L and Barzilay, Joshua I and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Ix, Joachim H and Smith, Nicholas L and Kaplan, Robert C and Siscovick, David S and Psaty, Bruce M and Kizer, Jorge R} } @article {8539, title = {Metabolic Clusters and Outcomes in Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {66}, year = {2018}, month = {2018 02}, pages = {289-296}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Few studies have the requisite phenotypic information to define metabolic patterns that may inform our understanding of the pathophysiology and consequences of diabetes in older adults. We sought to characterize clusters of older adults on the basis of shared metabolic features.

DESIGN: Population-based prospective cohort study.

SETTING: Four U.S. Cardiovascular Health Study field centers.

PARTICIPANTS: Individuals aged 65 and older taking no glucose-lowering agents (N~=~2,231).

MEASUREMENTS: K-means cluster analysis of 11 metabolic parameters (fasting and postload serum glucose and plasma insulin, fasting C-peptide, body mass index, C-reactive protein (CRP), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), albuminuria, carboxymethyl lysine (an advanced glycation end-product), procollagen III N-terminal propeptide (a fibrotic marker)) and their associations with incident cardiovascular disease, diabetes, disability, and mortality over 8 to 14.5~years of follow-up and with measures of subclinical cardiovascular disease.

RESULTS: A 6-cluster solution provided robust differentiation into distinct, identifiable clusters. Cluster A (n~=~739) had the lowest glucose and insulin and highest eGFR and the lowest rates of all outcomes. Cluster B (n~=~419) had high glucose and insulin and intermediate rates of most outcomes. Cluster C (n~=~118) had the highest insulin. Cluster D (n~=~129) had the highest glucose with much lower insulin. Cluster E (n~=~314) had the lowest eGFR and highest albuminuria. Cluster F (n~=~512) had the highest CRP. Rates of CVD, mortality, and subclinical atherosclerosis were highest in clusters C, D, and E and were similar to rates in participants with treated diabetes. Incidence of disability was highest in Cluster C.

CONCLUSION: Clustering according to metabolic parameters identifies distinct phenotypes that are strongly associated with clinical and functional outcomes, even at advanced age.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Blood Glucose, C-Reactive Protein, Cardiovascular Diseases, Diabetes Mellitus, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Incidence, Insulin, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, United States}, issn = {1532-5415}, doi = {10.1111/jgs.15205}, author = {Mukamal, Kenneth J and Siscovick, David S and de Boer, Ian H and Ix, Joachim H and Kizer, Jorge R and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Fitzpatrick, Annette L and Tracy, Russell P and Boyko, Edward J and Kahn, Steven E and Arnold, Alice M} }