@article {634, title = {Patterns of self-rated health in older adults before and after sentinel health events.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {49}, year = {2001}, month = {2001 Jan}, pages = {36-44}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To describe and compare patterns of change in self-rated health for older adults before death and before and after stroke, myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, cardiac procedure, hospital admission for cancer, and hip fracture.

DESIGN: "Event cohort," measuring time in months before and after the event.

SETTING: Four U.S. communities.

PARTICIPANTS: 5888 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), sampled from Medicare rolls and followed up to 8 years. Mean age at baseline was 73.

MEASUREMENTS: Self-rated health, including a category for death, assessed at 6-month intervals, and ascertainment of events.

METHODS: We examined the percentage that was healthy each month in the 5 years before death and in the 2 years before and after the other events, and compared the patterns to a "no event" group and to one another, using graphs and linear regression.

RESULTS: For people who died, health status declined slowly until about 9 months before death, when it dropped steeply. Comparing persons equally far from death, health was unrelated to age, but men and whites were healthier than women and blacks. Health for other events declined before the event, dropped steeply at the event, showed some recovery, and then declined further after the event. About 65\% to 80\% of the subjects were healthy 2 years before their event, but only 35\% to 65\% were healthy two years afterwards. Patterns were similar although less extreme for the "no event" group.

CONCLUSION: Visualizing trajectories of health helps us understand how serious health events changes health. Conclusions about change must be drawn with care because of a variety of possible biases. We have described the trajectories in detail. Work is now needed to explain, predict, and possibly prevent such changes in health.

}, keywords = {Aged, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Death, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Health Status, Health Status Indicators, Hip Fractures, Hospitalization, Humans, Linear Models, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Random Allocation, Time Factors}, issn = {0002-8614}, doi = {10.1046/j.1532-5415.2001.49007.x}, author = {Diehr, P and Williamson, J and Patrick, D L and Bild, D E and Burke, G L} } @article {821, title = {Association between screening for osteoporosis and the incidence of hip fracture.}, journal = {Ann Intern Med}, volume = {142}, year = {2005}, month = {2005 Feb 01}, pages = {173-81}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Because direct evidence for the effectiveness of screening is lacking, guidelines disagree on whether people should be screened for osteoporosis.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether population-based screening for osteoporosis in older adults is associated with fewer incident hip fractures than usual medical care.

DESIGN: Nonconcurrent cohort study.

SETTING: Population-based cohort enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) from 4 states (California, Pennsylvania, Maryland, and North Carolina).

PATIENTS: 3107 adults 65 years of age and older who attended their CHS study visits in 1994-1995.

MEASUREMENTS: 31 participant characteristics (including demographic characteristics, medical histories, medications, and physical examination findings) and incident hip fractures over 6 years of follow-up.

INTERVENTION: Bone density scans (dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry [DEXA] at the hip) for participants in California and Pennsylvania (n = 1422) and usual care for participants in Maryland and North Carolina (n = 1685).

RESULTS: The incidence of hip fractures per 1000 person-years was 4.8 in the screened group and 8.2 in the usual care group. Screening was associated with a statistically significant lower hazard of hip fracture than usual care after adjustment for sex and propensity to be screened (Cox proportional hazard ratio, 0.64 [95\% CI, 0.41 to 0.99]).

LIMITATIONS: The mechanism of the association was unclear. A small unmeasured confounder that decreased the hazard of hip fracture could diminish or erase the observed association.

CONCLUSIONS: Use of hip DEXA scans to screen for osteoporosis in older adults was associated with 36\% fewer incident hip fractures over 6 years compared with usual medical care. Further research is needed to explore the mechanism of this association.

}, keywords = {Absorptiometry, Photon, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cohort Studies, Female, Hip Fractures, Humans, Incidence, Male, Mass Screening, Osteoporosis, Risk Factors, Sensitivity and Specificity}, issn = {1539-3704}, doi = {10.7326/0003-4819-142-3-200502010-00007}, author = {Kern, Lisa M and Powe, Neil R and Levine, Michael A and Fitzpatrick, Annette L and Harris, Tamara B and Robbins, John and Fried, Linda P} } @article {934, title = {Adjusted mortality after hip fracture: From the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {54}, year = {2006}, month = {2006 Dec}, pages = {1885-91}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the risk of death associated with hip fracture (HFx), stratifying by sex and time since fracture.

DESIGN: Prospective cohort study compared participants with and without hip fracture, matched on sex, age, race, recruitment period, and time since enrollment.

SETTING: The Cardiovascular Health Study, a more-than-15-year longitudinal study of 5,888 older individuals from four U.S. sites.

PARTICIPANTS: Three hundred seventy-nine individuals with HFx were compared with 1,134 without HFx.

MEASUREMENTS: Extended Cox models were used to estimate mortality hazard ratios (HRs) for different periods after fracture, adjusting for prefracture health.

RESULTS: Age- and race-adjusted excess mortality was 9\% in women and 24\% in men 1 year after fracture, and 24\% in women and 26\% men 5 years postfracture. Multivariable-adjusted HRs of mortality associated with HFx in women were 7.1 (95\% confidence interval (CI) = 2.3-21.5), 2.1 (95\% CI = 1.0-4.1), 1.4 (95\% CI = 1.1-2.0), and 1.0 (95\% CI = 0.6-1.5) for 0 to 1 months, 2 to 6 months, 7 months to 4 years, and 5 to 8 years, respectively, after index date. In men, respective HRs for the same time periods were 39.9 (95\% CI = 5.2-308.7), 3.8 (95\% CI = 1.4-10.3), 1.1 (95\% CI = 0.7-1.8), and 1.0 (95\% CI = 0.3-2.7). HRs adjusted for age and race were 20\% to 40\% higher.

CONCLUSION: The risk of mortality was highest in the first 6 months after HFx. In men, the risk of death approximated that of men without HFx after 6 months; in women, a moderately greater risk persisted through the fourth year. Although the mortality pattern was different in women and men, excess mortality 5 years postfracture was similar for both sexes.

}, keywords = {Aged, Cohort Studies, Female, Health Status, Health Surveys, Hip Fractures, Humans, Male, Mortality, Multicenter Studies as Topic, Proportional Hazards Models, Sex Distribution, Time Factors, United States}, issn = {0002-8614}, doi = {10.1111/j.1532-5415.2006.00985.x}, author = {Robbins, John A and Biggs, Mary L and Cauley, Jane} } @article {944, title = {Alcohol consumption, bone density, and hip fracture among older adults: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Osteoporos Int}, volume = {18}, year = {2007}, month = {2007 May}, pages = {593-602}, abstract = {

INTRODUCTION: Previous studies have found inconsistent relationships of alcohol consumption with risk of hip fracture, and the importance of bone mineral density and risk of falls in mediating such a relationship has not been determined.

METHODS: As part of the Cardiovascular Health Study, a population-based cohort study of adults aged 65 years and older from four U.S. communities, 5,865 participants reported their use of beer, wine, and liquor yearly. We identified cases of hip fracture unrelated to malignancy or motor vehicle accidents using hospitalization discharge diagnoses. A subgroup of 1,567 participants in two communities underwent dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry scans to assess bone mineral density.

RESULTS: A total of 412 cases of hip fracture occurred during an average of 12 years of follow-up. There was a significant U-shaped relationship between alcohol intake and risk of hip fracture (p quadratic 0.02). Compared with long-term abstainers, the adjusted hazard ratios for hip fracture were 0.78 (95\% confidence interval [CI], 0.61-1.00) among consumers of up to 14 drinks per week and 1.18 (95\% CI, 0.77-1.81) among consumers of 14 or more drinks per week. Alcohol intake was associated with bone mineral density of the total hip and femoral neck in a stepwise manner, with approximately 5\% (95\% CI, 1\%-9\%) higher bone density among consumers of 14 or more drinks per week than among abstainers. These relationships were all similar among men and women.

CONCLUSIONS: Among older adults, moderate alcohol consumption has a U-shaped relationship with risk of hip fracture, but a graded positive relationship with bone mineral density at the hip.

}, keywords = {Absorptiometry, Photon, Aged, Alcohol Drinking, Alcoholic Beverages, Apolipoproteins E, Bone Density, Female, Femur Neck, Genotype, Hip, Hip Fractures, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Sex Distribution, United States}, issn = {0937-941X}, doi = {10.1007/s00198-006-0287-7}, author = {Mukamal, K J and Robbins, J A and Cauley, J A and Kern, L M and Siscovick, D S} } @article {933, title = {Association of kidney function with incident hip fracture in older adults.}, journal = {J Am Soc Nephrol}, volume = {18}, year = {2007}, month = {2007 Jan}, pages = {282-6}, abstract = {

Kidney dysfunction is associated with bone loss, and patients with ESRD have an increased risk for hip fracture. However, the association of mild to moderate kidney disease with hip fracture has not been studied previously. The association of kidney function with incident hip fracture was examined among participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a community-based cohort of older individuals. The primary measure of kidney function was serum cystatin C, a measure that does not depend on lean mass. Hip fractures were identified using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision codes for hospitalizations. A total of 4699 individuals had cystatin C measured in 1992 to 1993 and did not have a hip fracture before cystatin C measurement. The association of kidney function with hip fracture was analyzed with Cox proportional hazards models. Analyses were conducted separately for men and women. After a mean follow-up of 7.1 yr, 195 incident hip fractures occurred in women and 79 occurred in men. Higher cystatin C levels were associated with a higher risk for fracture in women (hazard ratio [HR] 1.26; 95\% confidence interval [CI] 1.14 to 1.38 per SD) and in men (HR 1.27; 95\% CI 1.11 to 1.46). After multivariable adjustment, higher cystatin C levels were significantly associated with hip fracture in women (HR 1.16; 95\% CI 1.01, 1.33) but not in men (HR 1.14; 95\% CI 0.86 to 1.52), although the magnitude of the association was similar. Kidney dysfunction, as assessed by cystatin C, is associated with an increased risk for hip fracture. Further studies are needed to evaluate potential mediators of this relationship and to assess whether interventions can decrease this risk.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cystatin C, Cystatins, Female, Hip Fractures, Humans, Kidney, Kidney Failure, Chronic, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Osteoporosis, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Sex Factors}, issn = {1046-6673}, doi = {10.1681/ASN.2006050546}, author = {Fried, Linda F and Biggs, Mary Louise and Shlipak, Michael G and Seliger, Stephen and Kestenbaum, Bryan and Stehman-Breen, Catherine and Sarnak, Mark and Siscovick, David and Harris, Tamara and Cauley, Jane and Newman, Anne B and Robbins, John} } @article {1211, title = {Fish consumption, bone mineral density, and risk of hip fracture among older adults: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {J Bone Miner Res}, volume = {25}, year = {2010}, month = {2010 Sep}, pages = {1972-9}, abstract = {

Marine n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs) eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) and docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) may be beneficial for bone health, but few studies have investigated the association with fish consumption. Our aim was to study associations of fish and EPA + DHA consumption with bone mineral density (BMD) and hip fracture risk and determine whether high linoleic acid (LA) intake, the major dietary n-6 PUFA, modifies the associations. The study population consisted of 5045 participants aged 65 years and older from the Cardiovascular Health Study. Data on BMD were available for 1305 participants. Food-frequency questionnaire was used to assess dietary intake, and hip fracture incidence was assessed prospectively by review of hospitalization records. After multivariable adjustment, femoral neck BMD was 0.01 g/cm(2) lower in the highest versus lowest tuna/other-fish intake category (p = .05 for trend). EPA + DHA intake (higher versus lower median of 0.32 g/day) was associated with lower femoral neck BMD (0.66 versus 0.71 g/cm(2), p < .001) among those with LA intake greater than the median 12.1 g/day (p = .03 for interaction). No significant associations were found with total-hip BMD. During mean follow-up of 11.1 years, 505 hip fractures occurred. Fish or EPA + DHA consumption was not significantly associated with fracture incidence [hazard ratio (HR) for extreme categories: HR = 1.23, 95\% confidence interval (CI) 0.83-1.84 for tuna/other fish; HR = 1.16, 95\% CI 0.91-1.49 for fried fish; and HR = 0.98, 95\% CI 0.71-1.36 for EPA + DHA]. High LA intake did not modify these associations. In this large prospective cohort of older adults, fish consumption was associated with very small differences in BMD and had no association with hip fracture risk.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Animals, Bone Density, Diet, Female, Fishes, Hip Fractures, Humans, Male, Risk Factors, Surveys and Questionnaires}, issn = {1523-4681}, doi = {10.1002/jbmr.87}, author = {Virtanen, Jyrki K and Mozaffarian, Dariush and Cauley, Jane A and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Robbins, John and Siscovick, David S} } @article {1143, title = {Hip fractures and heart failure: findings from the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Eur Heart J}, volume = {31}, year = {2010}, month = {2010 Jan}, pages = {77-84}, abstract = {

AIMS: The aim of the study was to find the epidemiology of hip fractures in heart failure. The increasing survival rate for patients with heart failure places them at risk for other diseases of ageing, including osteoporosis.

METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 5613 persons from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) with an average of 11.5 year follow-up. We determined incidence rates and hazard ratios (HRs) in persons with heart failure compared with persons without heart failure and mortality hazards following these fractures. Annualized incidence rates for hip fractures were 14 per 1000 person-years in heart failure and 6.8 per 1000 person-years without heart failure. Unadjusted and multivariable adjusted HRs for hip fracture associated with heart failure in men were 1.87 (95\% CI 1.2-2.93) and 1.59 (95\% CI 0.93-2.72), respectively. Respective HRs for women were 1.75 (95\% CI 1.27-2.4) and 1.41 (95\% CI 0.98-2.03). Mortality hazard was approximately 2-fold greater in patients with heart failure and hip fracture compared with those having heart failure alone.

CONCLUSION: Persons with heart failure are at high risk for hip fractures. However, much of the association between hip fractures and heart failure is explained by shared risk factors. Hip fractures are a substantial contributor to mortality in men and women with heart failure.

}, keywords = {Aged, Female, Heart Failure, Hip Fractures, Humans, Incidence, Male, Risk Factors, United States}, issn = {1522-9645}, doi = {10.1093/eurheartj/ehp483}, author = {Carbone, Laura and B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Fink, Howard A and Lee, Jennifer S and Chen, Zhao and Ahmed, Ali and Parashar, Susmita and Robbins, John R} } @article {1246, title = {Subclinical thyroid dysfunction and incident hip fracture in older adults.}, journal = {Arch Intern Med}, volume = {170}, year = {2010}, month = {2010 Nov 22}, pages = {1876-83}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Subclinical thyroid dysfunction is common in older adults and affects bone metabolism, but its effects on fracture risk have not been reported. We sought to determine prospectively whether older men and women with subclinical hyperthyroidism or hypothyroidism have an increased risk of hip fracture.

METHODS: Prospective cohort of 3567 US community-dwelling adults, 65 years or older, with biochemically defined subclinical thyroid dysfunction or euthyroidism was enrolled from June 10, 1989, through May 30, 1990, and followed up through 2004. Main outcome measures included incidence and hazard ratios (HRs), with 95\% confidence intervals (CIs), of confirmed incident hip fractures for groups with subclinical hypothyroidism, subclinical hyperthyroidism, and euthyroidism as defined at baseline.

RESULTS: During 39 952 person-years (median follow-up, 13 years), hip fracture incidence (per 1000 men-years) was 13.65 in men with subclinical hyperthyroidism (n = 29) and 10.27 in men with subclinical hypothyroidism (n = 184), both greater than 5.0 in men with euthyroidism (n = 1159). Men with subclinical hypothyroidism had a multivariable-adjusted HR of 2.31 (95\% CI, 1.25-4.27); those with subclinical hyperthyroidism, 3.27 (0.99-11.30). After excluding those with baseline use of thyroid-altering medications, men with endogenous subclinical hyperthyroidism had a higher HR of 4.91 (95\% CI, 1.13-21.27), as did men with endogenous subclinical hypothyroidism (2.45, 1.27-4.73). Hip fracture incidence (per 1000 women-years) was 8.93 in women with subclinical hypothyroidism (n = 359) and 10.90 in women with subclinical hyperthyroidism (n = 142) compared with 10.18 in women with euthyroidism (n = 1694). No clear association between subclinical dysfunction and fracture was observed in women.

CONCLUSIONS: Older men with subclinical hyperthyroidism or hypothyroidism are at increased risk for hip fracture. Whether treatment of the subclinical syndrome reduces this risk is unknown.

}, keywords = {Aged, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Hip Fractures, Humans, Hyperthyroidism, Hypothyroidism, Incidence, Male, Multivariate Analysis, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Sex Distribution, Thyrotropin, United States}, issn = {1538-3679}, doi = {10.1001/archinternmed.2010.424}, author = {Lee, Jennifer S and B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Fink, Howard A and Vu, Joseph and Carbone, Laura and Chen, Zhao and Cauley, Jane and Bauer, Doug C and Cappola, Anne R and Robbins, John} } @article {1285, title = {Mineral metabolism markers and the long-term risk of hip fracture: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {J Clin Endocrinol Metab}, volume = {96}, year = {2011}, month = {2011 Jul}, pages = {2186-93}, abstract = {

CONTEXT: Disturbances in mineral metabolism are associated with lower bone mineral density and fracture; however, previous human studies have assessed individual mineral metabolism markers in isolation.

OBJECTIVE: We assessed serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25-OHD), PTH, and bone-specific alkaline phosphatase (BAP) concentrations individually, and in combination, in association with the long-term risk of hip fracture among a general population of older adults.

DESIGN AND SETTING: We studied 2294 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study (mean age 74 yr) who were ambulatory and free of hip fracture and known cardiovascular disease at baseline. We used proportional hazards models to evaluate associations of baseline serum 25-OHD, PTH, and BAP concentrations with the time to first hospitalized hip fracture.

RESULTS: During a median of 13 yr of follow-up, 242 participants (10.6\%) developed an incident hip fracture. Serum 25-OHD concentrations less than 15 ng/ml were associated with a 61\% greater adjusted risk of fracture (95\% confidence interval 12-132\% greater). In contrast, neither serum PTH nor BAP concentrations were significantly associated with fracture risk. The association of 25-OHD deficiency with hip fracture was not significantly altered by either PTH or BAP concentrations.

CONCLUSIONS: Serum concentrations of 25-OHD, but not PTH or BAP, are associated with long-term hip fracture risk among ambulatory older adults. These data suggest that 25-OHD is the most relevant mineral metabolism marker of fracture risk among older people.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Alkaline Phosphatase, Biomarkers, Bone Density, Female, Hip Fractures, Humans, Male, Parathyroid Hormone, Risk, Vitamin D}, issn = {1945-7197}, doi = {10.1210/jc.2010-2878}, author = {Robinson-Cohen, Cassianne and Katz, Ronit and Hoofnagle, Andrew N and Cauley, Jane A and Furberg, Curt D and Robbins, John A and Chen, Zhao and Siscovick, David S and de Boer, Ian H and Kestenbaum, Bryan} } @article {1554, title = {Genetic variants and associations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations with major clinical outcomes.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {308}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 Nov 14}, pages = {1898-905}, abstract = {

CONTEXT: Lower serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations are associated with greater risks of many chronic diseases across large, prospective community-based studies. Substrate 25-hydroxyvitamin D must be converted to 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D for full biological activity, and complex metabolic pathways suggest that interindividual variability in vitamin D metabolism may alter the clinical consequences of measured serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether common variation within genes encoding the vitamin D-binding protein, megalin, cubilin, CYP27B1, CYP24A1, and the vitamin D receptor (VDR) modify associations of low 25-hydroxyvitamin D with major clinical outcomes.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Examination of 141 single-nucleotide polymorphisms in a discovery cohort of 1514 white participants (who were recruited from 4 US regions) from the community-based Cardiovascular Health Study. Participants had serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D measurements in 1992-1993 and were followed up for a median of 11 years (through 2006). Replication meta-analyses were conducted across the independent, community-based US Health, Aging, and Body Composition (n = 922; follow-up: 1998-1999 through 2005), Italian Invecchiare in Chianti (n = 835; follow-up: 1998-2000 through 2006), and Swedish Uppsala Longitudinal Study of Adult Men (n = 970; follow-up: 1991-1995 through 2008) cohort studies.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Composite outcome of incident hip facture, myocardial infarction, cancer, and mortality over long-term follow-up.

RESULTS: Interactions between 5 single-nucleotide polymorphisms and low 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration were identified in the discovery phase and 1 involving a variant in the VDR gene replicated in independent meta-analysis. Among Cardiovascular Health Study participants, low 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration was associated with hazard ratios for risk of the composite outcome of 1.40 (95\% CI, 1.12-1.74) for those who had 1 minor allele at rs7968585 and 1.82 (95\% CI, 1.31-2.54) for those with 2 minor alleles at rs7968585. In contrast, there was no evidence of an association (estimated hazard ratio, 0.93 [95\% CI, 0.70-1.24]) among participants who had 0 minor alleles at this single-nucleotide polymorphism.

CONCLUSION: Known associations of low 25-hydroxyvitamin D with major health outcomes may vary according to common genetic differences in the vitamin D receptor.

}, keywords = {25-Hydroxyvitamin D3 1-alpha-Hydroxylase, Aged, Chronic Disease, Cohort Studies, Female, Genetic Variation, Genotype, Hip Fractures, Humans, Low Density Lipoprotein Receptor-Related Protein-2, Male, Meta-Analysis as Topic, Myocardial Infarction, Neoplasms, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Receptors, Calcitriol, Receptors, Cell Surface, Risk, Steroid Hydroxylases, Vitamin D, Vitamin D3 24-Hydroxylase}, issn = {1538-3598}, doi = {10.1001/jama.2012.17304}, author = {Levin, Gregory P and Robinson-Cohen, Cassianne and de Boer, Ian H and Houston, Denise K and Lohman, Kurt and Liu, Yongmei and Kritchevsky, Stephen B and Cauley, Jane A and Tanaka, Toshiko and Ferrucci, Luigi and Bandinelli, Stefania and Patel, Kushang V and Hagstr{\"o}m, Emil and Micha{\"e}lsson, Karl and Melhus, H{\r a}kan and Wang, Thomas and Wolf, Myles and Psaty, Bruce M and Siscovick, David and Kestenbaum, Bryan} } @article {1384, title = {Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration and risk for major clinical disease events in a community-based population of older adults: a cohort study.}, journal = {Ann Intern Med}, volume = {156}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 May 01}, pages = {627-34}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Circulating concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25-(OH)D] are used to define vitamin D deficiency. Current clinical 25-(OH)D targets based on associations with intermediate markers of bone metabolism may not reflect optimal levels for other chronic diseases and do not account for known seasonal variation in 25-(OH)D concentration.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the relationship of 25-(OH)D concentration with the incidence of major clinical disease events that are pathophysiologically relevant to vitamin D.

DESIGN: Cohort study.

SETTING: The Cardiovascular Health Study conducted in 4 U.S. communities. Data from 1992 to 2006 were included in this analysis.

PARTICIPANTS: 1621 white older adults.

MEASUREMENTS: Serum 25-(OH)D concentration (using a high-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry assay that conforms to National Institute of Standards and Technology reference standards) and associations with time to a composite outcome of incident hip fracture, myocardial infarction, cancer, or death.

RESULTS: Over a median 11-year follow-up, the composite outcome occurred in 1018 participants (63\%). Defining events included 137 hip fractures, 186 myocardial infarctions, 335 incidences of cancer, and 360 deaths. The association of low 25-(OH)D concentration with risk for the composite outcome varied by season (P = 0.057). A concentration lower than a season-specific Z score of -0.54 best discriminated risk for the composite outcome and was associated with a 24\% higher risk in adjusted analyses (95\% CI, 9\% to 42\%). Corresponding season-specific 25-(OH)D concentrations were 43, 50, 61, and 55 nmol/L (17, 20, 24, and 22 ng/mL) in winter, spring, summer, and autumn, respectively.

LIMITATION: The observational study was restricted to white participants.

CONCLUSION: Threshold concentrations of 25-(OH)D associated with increased risk for relevant clinical disease events center near 50 nmol/L (20 ng/mL). Season-specific targets for 25-(OH)D concentration may be more appropriate than static targets when evaluating health risk.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health.

}, keywords = {Aged, Cause of Death, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Hip Fractures, Humans, Male, Myocardial Infarction, Neoplasms, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Seasons, United States, Vitamin D, Vitamin D Deficiency}, issn = {1539-3704}, doi = {10.7326/0003-4819-156-9-201205010-00004}, author = {de Boer, Ian H and Levin, Gregory and Robinson-Cohen, Cassianne and Biggs, Mary L and Hoofnagle, Andy N and Siscovick, David S and Kestenbaum, Bryan} } @article {6059, title = {Albuminuria is associated with hip fracture risk in older adults: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Osteoporos Int}, volume = {24}, year = {2013}, month = {2013 Dec}, pages = {2993-3000}, abstract = {

UNLABELLED: The microcirculation plays an important role in bone health. Here, we examine whether albuminuria, a marker of renal microvascular disease, is associated with the risk of hip fracture in older adults (age, 78~years). We find a small independent association in women but not in men.

INTRODUCTION: The microvascular circulation plays an important role in bone physiology. Two studies of middle-aged adults have found that albuminuria (>30~mg albumin/g creatinine), a disorder of the renal microvasculature, is associated with fracture risk. Here, we examine whether albuminuria is related to hip fracture risk and reduced hip bone mineral density (BMD) in older adults with a mean age of 78~years.

METHODS: From the Cardiovascular Health Study (41~\% male), 3,110 adults with albuminuria testing were followed up for incident hip fracture for up to 9.5~years. BMD was performed in a subset of 1,208 participants.

RESULTS: There were 313 hip fractures during follow-up (7.7~\% of men; 11.7~\% of women). The incidence rate for men, with and without albuminuria, was 1.43 and 0.93/100 person-years of follow-up (p = 0.02); for women, 1.84 and 1.33 (p = 0.04). After adjustment for osteoporosis-related factors, frailty and falling, a doubling of albuminuria was significantly associated with hip fracture risk in women (hazard ratio, 1.12, 95~\% CI, 1.001-1.25), but not in men. In the subcohort with BMD measurement, increased urine albumin levels were significantly associated with decreased total hip BMD in men (-0.009~g calcium/cm(2) (-0.017, -0.001); p = 0.04), but not in women.

CONCLUSIONS: In older women, albuminuria is associated with a small, but statistically significant, increased risk of hip fracture independent of other explanatory factors. No such risk appears to be present in men, although their total hip BMD is lower in association with albuminuria.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Albuminuria, Bone Density, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Hip Fractures, Hip Joint, Humans, Incidence, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Male, Osteoporotic Fractures, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, United States}, issn = {1433-2965}, doi = {10.1007/s00198-013-2389-3}, author = {Barzilay, J I and B{\r u}{\v z}kov{\'a}, P and Chen, Z and de Boer, I H and Carbone, L and Rassouli, N N and Fink, H A and Robbins, J A} } @article {5996, title = {Fibroblast growth factor 23, bone mineral density, and risk of hip fracture among older adults: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {J Clin Endocrinol Metab}, volume = {98}, year = {2013}, month = {2013 Aug}, pages = {3323-31}, abstract = {

CONTEXT: Fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) is a phosphaturic hormone that also inhibits calcitriol synthesis.

OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to evaluate the relationships of plasma FGF23 concentrations with bone mineral density (BMD) and hip fracture in community-dwelling older adults.

DESIGN AND SETTING: Linear regression and Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the associations of plasma FGF23 concentrations with BMD and incident hip fracture, respectively. Analyses were also stratified by chronic kidney disease.

PARTICIPANTS: Participants included 2008 women and 1329 men >=65 years from the 1996 to 1997 Cardiovascular Health Study visit.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Dual x-ray absorptiometry measured total hip (TH) and lumbar spine (LS) BMD in 1291 participants. Hip fracture incidence was assessed prospectively through June 30, 2008 by hospitalization records in all participants.

RESULTS: Women had higher plasma FGF23 concentrations than men (75 [56-107] vs 66 [interquartile range = 52-92] relative units/mL; P < .001). After adjustment, higher FGF23 concentrations were associated with greater total hip and lumbar spine BMD in men only (β per doubling of FGF23 = 0.02, with 95\% confidence interval [CI] = 0.001-0.04 g/cm(2), and 0.03 with 95\% CI = 0.01-0.06 g/cm(2)). During 9.6 {\textpm} 5.1-11.0 years of follow-up, 328 hip fractures occurred. Higher FGF23 concentrations were not associated with hip fracture risk in women or men (adjusted hazard ratio = 0.95, with 95\% CI = 0.78-1.15, and 1.09 with 95\% CI = 0.82-1.46 per doubling of FGF23). Results did not differ by chronic kidney disease status (P > .4 for interactions).

CONCLUSIONS: In this large prospective cohort of community-dwelling older adults, higher FGF23 concentrations were weakly associated with greater lumbar spine and total hip BMD but not with hip fracture risk.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Bone Density, Female, Fibroblast Growth Factors, Hip Fractures, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Middle Aged, Prospective Studies, Risk, Spinal Fractures}, issn = {1945-7197}, doi = {10.1210/jc.2013-1152}, author = {Jovanovich, Anna and B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Chonchol, Michel and Robbins, John and Fink, Howard A and de Boer, Ian H and Kestenbaum, Bryan and Katz, Ronit and Carbone, Laura and Lee, Jennifer and Laughlin, Gail A and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Fried, Linda F and Shlipak, Michael G and Ix, Joachim H} } @article {6375, title = {Circulating levels of carboxy-methyl-lysine (CML) are associated with hip fracture risk: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Bone Miner Res}, volume = {29}, year = {2014}, month = {2014}, pages = {1061-6}, abstract = {

Advanced glycation end products (AGE) in bone tissue are associated with impaired biomechanical properties and increased fracture risk. Here we examine whether serum levels of the AGE carboxy-methyl-lysine (CML) are associated with risk of hip fracture.We followed 3373 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study (age 78 years; range, 68{\textendash}102 years; 39.8\% male) for a median of 9.22 years (range, 0.01{\textendash}12.07 years). Rates of incident hip fracture were calculated by quartiles of baseline CML levels, and hazard ratios were adjusted for covariates associated with hip fracture risk. A subcohort of 1315 participants had bone mineral density (BMD)measurement. There were 348 hip fractures during follow-up, with incidence rates of hip fracture by CML quartiles of 0.94, 1.34, 1.18, and 1.69 per 100 participant-years. The unadjusted hazard ratio of hip fracture increased with each 1 SD increase (189 ng/mL) of CML level (hazard ratio, 1.27; 95\% confidence interval [CI], 1.16{\textendash}1.40]; p<0.001). Sequential adjustment for age, gender, race/ethnicity,body mass index (BMI), smoking, alcohol consumption, prevalent coronary heart disease (CHD), energy expenditure, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (based on cystatin C), moderately attenuated the hazard ratio for fracture (1.17; 95\% CI, 1.05{\textendash}1.31; p=0.006).In the cohort with BMD testing, total hip BMD was not significantly associated with CML levels. We conclude that increasing levels of CML are associated with hip fracture risk in older adults, independent of hip BMD. These results implicate AGE in the pathogenesis of hip fractures.

}, keywords = {Age Factors, Aged, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Glycation End Products, Advanced, Hip Fractures, Humans, Incidence, Lysine, Male, Prospective Studies, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors}, issn = {1523-4681}, author = {Barzilay, Joshua I and B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Zieman, Susan J and Kizer, Jorge R and Djouss{\'e}, Luc and Ix, Joachim H and Tracy, Russell P and Siscovick, David S and Cauley, Jane A and Mukamal, Kenneth J} } @article {6625, title = {Ratio of urine albumin to creatinine attenuates the association of dementia with hip fracture risk.}, journal = {J Clin Endocrinol Metab}, volume = {99}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Nov}, pages = {4116-23}, abstract = {

CONTEXT: Microvascular disease is a leading cause of cognitive impairment. Approximately 50\% of people with a hip fracture have cognitive impairment.

OBJECTIVE: We tested the hypothesis that microvascular diseases of the brain (lacunar infarcts and white matter disease [WMD]), kidney (albuminuria [>= 30 mg/g creatinine] and albumin creatinine ratio [ACR]), and eye (retinal vascular disorders) attenuate the association of cognitive impairment with hip fracture risk.

SETTING: The Cardiovascular Health Cognition Study.

PATIENTS: Three thousand, one-hundred six participants (mean age, \~{} 79 y; 8.84 y median follow-up) with cognitive testing. Subsets received ACR testing (n=2389), brain magnetic resonance imaging scans (n = 2094), and retinal photography (n = 1098).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incident hip fracture.

RESULTS: There were 488 participants (16\%) with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and 564 (18\%) with dementia. There were 337 incident hip fractures, of which 19\% occurred in participants with MCI and 26\% in participants with dementia. Adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95\% confidence interval for hip fracture in participants with MCI were 2.45 (1.67-3.61) and for dementia 2.35 (1.57-3.52). With doubling of ACR, the HR for fracture was attenuated in participants with dementia compared with participants with normal cognition [interaction HR 0.70 (0.55-0.91)]. No such effect was found in participants with MCI. Albuminuria, lacunar infarcts, WMD, and retinal vascular disease (RVD) did not modify the association of dementia or MCI with hip fracture risk.

CONCLUSIONS: ACR attenuates part of the risk of hip fracture in people with dementia, suggesting that these disorders share a common pathogenesis.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Albuminuria, Creatinine, Dementia, Female, Hip Fractures, Humans, Incidence, Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Male, Mild Cognitive Impairment, Neuropsychological Tests, Prospective Studies, Risk}, issn = {1945-7197}, doi = {10.1210/jc.2014-2409}, author = {B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Barzilay, Joshua I and Fink, Howard A and Robbins, John A and Cauley, Jane A and Fitzpatrick, Annette L} } @article {6401, title = {Subclinical thyroid dysfunction and hip fracture and bone mineral density in older adults: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {J Clin Endocrinol Metab}, volume = {99}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Aug}, pages = {2657-64}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Subclinical thyroid dysfunction is common in the elderly, yet its relationship with hip fracture and bone mineral density (BMD) is unclear.

OBJECTIVE: We examined the association between endogenous subclinical hyper- and hypothyroidism and hip fracture and BMD in older adults.

METHODS: A total of 4936 US individuals 65 years old or older enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study and not taking thyroid preparations were included. Analyses of incident hip fracture were performed by thyroid status, over a median follow-up of 12 years. A cross-sectional analysis of thyroid status and BMD was performed in a subset of 1317 participants who had dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry scans. Models were adjusted for risk factors and stratified by sex.

RESULTS: No association was found between subclinical hypothyroidism and incident hip fracture compared with euthyroidism, when assessed at a single time point or persisting at two time points, in either women [hazard ratio (HR) 0.91, 95\% confidence interval (CI) 0.69-1.20 for a single and HR 0.79, 95\% CI 0.52-1.21 for two time points] or men (HR 1.27, 95\% CI 0.82-1.95 for a single and HR 1.09, 95\% CI 0.57-2.10 for two time points). Likewise, no association was found between subclinical hyperthyroidism and incident hip fracture in either sex (HR 1.11, 95\% CI 0.55-2.25 in women and HR 1.78, 95\% CI 0.56-5.66 in men). No association was found between subclinical thyroid dysfunction and BMD at the lumbar spine, total hip, or femoral neck sites.

CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest no association between subclinical hypothyroidism or subclinical hyperthyroidism and hip fracture risk or BMD in older men and women. Additional data are needed to improve the precision of estimates for subclinical hyperthyroidism and in men.

}, keywords = {Absorptiometry, Photon, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Asymptomatic Diseases, Bone Density, Cardiovascular System, Cohort Studies, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Hip Fractures, Humans, Male, Osteoporotic Fractures, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, Thyroid Diseases}, issn = {1945-7197}, doi = {10.1210/jc.2014-1051}, author = {Garin, Margaret C and Arnold, Alice M and Lee, Jennifer S and Robbins, John and Cappola, Anne R} } @article {6624, title = {Serum urate levels and the risk of hip fractures: data from the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Metabolism}, volume = {64}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Mar}, pages = {438-46}, abstract = {

PURPOSE: Uric acid inhibits vitamin D activation experimentally and higher serum urate levels are associated with higher parathyroid hormone levels in humans suggesting a link between uric acid and bone health. We hypothesized that hyperuricemia may increase the risk of fractures in older adults.

METHODS: 1963 men and 2729 women >=65 years of age who participated in the Cardiovascular Health Study and had baseline serum urate levels were included in the study. The primary outcome was incident hip fracture, assessed prospectively through June, 2008 by inpatient and outpatient records. The analysis was stratified by sex a priori.

RESULTS: There was a U-shaped relationship between serum urate levels and hip fractures in men. Men in the lowest and the highest urate quartiles (<4.88 and >=6.88 mg/dL respectively) had a significantly higher rate of fractures in unadjusted analysis. However, upon multivariate adjustment, only the HR for hip fracture in highest quartile versus the reference remained significant (HR 1.9; 95\% C.I. 1.1, 3.1; p value 0.02). High serum urate levels were not associated with hip fractures in women.

CONCLUSION: In this large prospective cohort of community-dwelling older adults, increased serum urate levels were associated with an increased risk of hip fractures in men. Further studies are needed to confirm these findings and to understand the mechanisms that underlie them.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Body Mass Index, Cohort Studies, Estrogen Replacement Therapy, Female, Health Surveys, Hip Fractures, Humans, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Male, Prospective Studies, Risk, Sex Factors, United States, Uric Acid}, issn = {1532-8600}, doi = {10.1016/j.metabol.2014.11.006}, author = {Mehta, Tapan and B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Sarnak, Mark J and Chonchol, Michel and Cauley, Jane A and Wallace, Erin and Fink, Howard A and Robbins, John and Jalal, Diana} } @article {6795, title = {Subclinical thyroid dysfunction and fracture risk: a meta-analysis.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {313}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 May 26}, pages = {2055-65}, abstract = {

IMPORTANCE: Associations between subclinical thyroid dysfunction and fractures are unclear and clinical trials are lacking.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association of subclinical thyroid dysfunction with hip, nonspine, spine, or any fractures.

DATA SOURCES AND STUDY SELECTION: The databases of MEDLINE and EMBASE (inception to March 26, 2015) were searched without language restrictions for prospective cohort studies with thyroid function data and subsequent fractures.

DATA EXTRACTION: Individual participant data were obtained from 13 prospective cohorts in the United States, Europe, Australia, and Japan. Levels of thyroid function were defined as euthyroidism (thyroid-stimulating hormone [TSH], 0.45-4.49 mIU/L), subclinical hyperthyroidism (TSH <0.45 mIU/L), and subclinical hypothyroidism (TSH >=4.50-19.99 mIU/L) with normal thyroxine concentrations.

MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was hip fracture. Any fractures, nonspine fractures, and clinical spine fractures were secondary outcomes.

RESULTS: Among 70,298 participants, 4092 (5.8\%) had subclinical hypothyroidism and 2219 (3.2\%) had subclinical hyperthyroidism. During 762,401 person-years of follow-up, hip fracture occurred in 2975 participants (4.6\%; 12 studies), any fracture in 2528 participants (9.0\%; 8 studies), nonspine fracture in 2018 participants (8.4\%; 8 studies), and spine fracture in 296 participants (1.3\%; 6 studies). In age- and sex-adjusted analyses, the hazard ratio (HR) for subclinical hyperthyroidism vs euthyroidism was 1.36 for hip fracture (95\% CI, 1.13-1.64; 146 events in 2082 participants vs 2534 in 56,471); for any fracture, HR was 1.28 (95\% CI, 1.06-1.53; 121 events in 888 participants vs 2203 in 25,901); for nonspine fracture, HR was 1.16 (95\% CI, 0.95-1.41; 107 events in 946 participants vs 1745 in 21,722); and for spine fracture, HR was 1.51 (95\% CI, 0.93-2.45; 17 events in 732 participants vs 255 in 20,328). Lower TSH was associated with higher fracture rates: for TSH of less than 0.10 mIU/L, HR was 1.61 for hip fracture (95\% CI, 1.21-2.15; 47 events in 510 participants); for any fracture, HR was 1.98 (95\% CI, 1.41-2.78; 44 events in 212 participants); for nonspine fracture, HR was 1.61 (95\% CI, 0.96-2.71; 32 events in 185 participants); and for spine fracture, HR was 3.57 (95\% CI, 1.88-6.78; 8 events in 162 participants). Risks were similar after adjustment for other fracture risk factors. Endogenous subclinical hyperthyroidism (excluding thyroid medication users) was associated with HRs of 1.52 (95\% CI, 1.19-1.93) for hip fracture, 1.42 (95\% CI, 1.16-1.74) for any fracture, and 1.74 (95\% CI, 1.01-2.99) for spine fracture. No association was found between subclinical hypothyroidism and fracture risk.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Subclinical hyperthyroidism was associated with an increased risk of hip and other fractures, particularly among those with TSH levels of less than 0.10 mIU/L and those with endogenous subclinical hyperthyroidism. Further study is needed to determine whether treating subclinical hyperthyroidism can prevent fractures.

}, keywords = {Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Female, Fractures, Bone, Hip Fractures, Humans, Hyperthyroidism, Hypothyroidism, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Spinal Fractures, Thyrotropin, Young Adult}, issn = {1538-3598}, doi = {10.1001/jama.2015.5161}, author = {Blum, Manuel R and Bauer, Douglas C and Collet, Tinh-Hai and Fink, Howard A and Cappola, Anne R and da Costa, Bruno R and Wirth, Christina D and Peeters, Robin P and Asvold, Bj{\o}rn O and den Elzen, Wendy P J and Luben, Robert N and Imaizumi, Misa and Bremner, Alexandra P and Gogakos, Apostolos and Eastell, Richard and Kearney, Patricia M and Strotmeyer, Elsa S and Wallace, Erin R and Hoff, Mari and Ceresini, Graziano and Rivadeneira, Fernando and Uitterlinden, Andr{\'e} G and Stott, David J and Westendorp, Rudi G J and Khaw, Kay-Tee and Langhammer, Arnuf and Ferrucci, Luigi and Gussekloo, Jacobijn and Williams, Graham R and Walsh, John P and J{\"u}ni, Peter and Aujesky, Drahomir and Rodondi, Nicolas} } @article {6551, title = {Thyroid function in the euthyroid range and adverse outcomes in older adults.}, journal = {J Clin Endocrinol Metab}, volume = {100}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Mar}, pages = {1088-96}, abstract = {

CONTEXT: The appropriateness of current reference ranges for thyroid function testing in older adults has been questioned.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the relationship between thyroid function tests within the euthyroid range and adverse outcomes in older adults not taking thyroid medication.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: US community-dwelling adults years of older (n = 2843) enrolled onto the Cardiovascular Health Study with TSH, free T4 (FT4), and total T3 concentrations in the euthyroid range.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incidence of atrial fibrillation, coronary heart disease, heart failure, hip fracture, dementia, and all-cause death were measured.

RESULTS: No departures from linearity were detected. Higher TSH was negatively associated (P = .03) and higher FT4 was positively associated (P = .007) with mortality. Higher FT4 was associated with atrial fibrillation (P < .001) and heart failure (P = .004). Compared with the first quartile, individuals with TSH in the fourth quartile had a 9.6 per 1000 person-year lower incidence of dementia (P < .05) and those with FT4 in the fourth quartile had higher incidences of atrial fibrillation, coronary heart disease, heart failure, and mortality (11.0, 8.0, 7.8, and 14.3 per 1000 person-years, respectively, all P < .05). Total T3 was not associated with any outcome.

CONCLUSIONS: Higher TSH and lower FT4 concentrations within the euthyroid range are associated with lower risk of multiple adverse events in older people, including mortality. This suggests tolerance for lower thyroid hormone levels in this age group. Clinical trials are needed to evaluate the risk-benefit profile of new thresholds for initiating treatment and optimal target concentrations for thyroid hormone replacement in older people.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Atrial Fibrillation, Cause of Death, Coronary Disease, Dementia, Female, Heart Failure, Hip Fractures, Humans, Incidence, Male, Prognosis, Reference Values, Survival Analysis, Thyroid Function Tests, Thyroid Gland}, issn = {1945-7197}, doi = {10.1210/jc.2014-3586}, author = {Cappola, Anne R and Arnold, Alice M and Wulczyn, Kendra and Carlson, Michelle and Robbins, John and Psaty, Bruce M} } @article {8258, title = {Comment on Davis et al. Development and Validation of a Simple Hip Fracture Risk Prediction Tool for Type 2 Diabetes: The Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase I. Diabetes Care 2018;42:102-109.}, journal = {Diabetes Care}, volume = {42}, year = {2019}, month = {2019 06}, pages = {e100}, keywords = {Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Hip Fractures, Humans}, issn = {1935-5548}, doi = {10.2337/dc19-0204}, author = {B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Barzilay, Joshua I} } @article {9004, title = {Cardiovascular autonomic nervous system function and hip fracture risk: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Arch Osteoporos}, volume = {16}, year = {2021}, month = {2021 10 31}, pages = {163}, abstract = {

Among 1299 older adults with 24-h Holter monitoring data at baseline, followed for approximately 15~years, 190 incident hip fractures occurred. Increased heart rate variability was independently associated with reduced risk of hip fracture among female participants.

PURPOSE: Autonomic nervous system function modulates bone remodeling in rodent osteoporosis models. We tested whether cardiovascular autonomic function is associated with hip fracture risk in humans.

METHODS: Participants were 1299 subjects from the Cardiovascular Health Study (mean age 72.8~years). Eight heart rate variability (HRV) measures (time and frequency domains, detrended fluctuation analysis variables, and heart rate turbulence) were derived from 24-h Holter monitor scans in sinus rhythm. Median follow-up for incident hip fracture was 14.7~years [IQR 9.1, 20.2]. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (95\% confidence intervals, CI).

RESULTS: There were 144 hip fractures among 714 women (1.31 [1.06, 1.61] per 100-person years) and 46 among 585 men (0.62 [0.43, 0.90] per 100 person-years). From among HRV variables examined, a one standard deviation (SD) higher variation between normal heart beats over 24~h (the SD of NN intervals [SDNN]) was associated with a multivariable-adjusted lower hip fracture risk (HR [Formula: see text] 0.80; 95\% CI 0.65-0.99; p = 0.04) in women. The adjusted association between very low frequency power, and hip fracture was borderline statistically significant in women (HR [Formula: see text] 0.82; 95\% CI, 0.66-1.00; p = 0.06). When the 8 HRV variables were considered conjointly and adjusted for each other{\textquoteright}s association with hip fracture risk, a 1 SD higher SDNN value was significantly associated with reduced hip fracture risk in women (HR 0.74; 95\% CI, 0.50-0.99; p = 0.05). No HRV variables were associated with hip fracture in men.

CONCLUSIONS: In older women, increased heart rate variation is associated with hip fracture risk.

}, keywords = {Aged, Autonomic Nervous System, Female, Heart Rate, Hip Fractures, Humans, Osteoporosis, Proportional Hazards Models}, issn = {1862-3514}, doi = {10.1007/s11657-021-01028-y}, author = {Stein, Phyllis K and B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Fink, Howard A and Robbins, John A and Mukamal, Kenneth J and Cauley, Jane A and Carbone, Laura and Elam, Rachel and McMillan, David W and Valderrabano, Rodrigo and Barzilay, Joshua I} } @article {9089, title = {Trimethylamine N-oxide and hip fracture and bone mineral density in older adults: The cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Bone}, volume = {161}, year = {2022}, month = {2022 08}, pages = {116431}, abstract = {

CONTEXT: Gut microbiota-derived metabolite trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO) may adversely affect bone by inducing oxidative stress. Whether this translates into increased fracture risk in older adults is uncertain.

OBJECTIVE: Determine the associations of plasma TMAO with hip fracture and bone mineral density (BMD) in older adults.

DESIGN AND SETTING: Cox hazard models and linear regression stratified by sex examined the associations of TMAO with hip fracture and BMD in the longitudinal cohort of the Cardiovascular Health Study.

PARTICIPANTS: 5019~U.S. adults aged >=65~years.

EXPOSURE: Plasma TMAO.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incident hip fractures; total hip BMD dual x-ray absorptiometry in a subset (n~=~1400).

RESULTS: Six hundred sixty-six incident hip fractures occurred during up to 26~years of follow-up (67,574 person-years). After multivariable adjustment, TMAO was not significantly associated with hip fracture (women: hazard ratio (HR) [95\% confidence interval (CI)] of 1.00[0.92,1.09] per TMAO doubling; men: 1.12[0.95,1.33]). TMAO was also not associated with total hip BMD (women: BMD difference [95\% CI] of 0.42~g/cm*100 [-0.34,1.17] per TMAO doubling; men: 0.19[-1.04,1.42]). In exploratory analyses, we found an interaction between body mass index (BMI) and the association of TMAO with hip fracture (P~<~0.01). Higher TMAO was significantly associated with risk of hip fracture in adults with overweight or obesity (BMI~>=~25) (HR [95\% CI]:1.17[1.05,1.31]), but not normal or underweight.

CONCLUSIONS: Among older US men and women, TMAO was not significantly associated with risk of hip fracture or BMD overall. Exploratory analyses suggested a significant association between higher TMAO and hip fracture when BMI was elevated, which merits further study.

}, keywords = {Absorptiometry, Photon, Aged, Bone Density, Female, Hip Fractures, Humans, Male, Methylamines, Risk Factors}, issn = {1873-2763}, doi = {10.1016/j.bone.2022.116431}, author = {Elam, Rachel E and B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Barzilay, Joshua I and Wang, Zeneng and Nemet, Ina and Budoff, Matthew J and Cauley, Jane A and Fink, Howard A and Lee, Yujin and Robbins, John A and Wang, Meng and Hazen, Stanley L and Mozaffarian, Dariush and Carbone, Laura D} } @article {9242, title = {Association of covert brain infarcts and white matter hyperintensities with risk of hip fracture in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Osteoporos Int}, volume = {34}, year = {2023}, month = {2023 Jan}, pages = {91-99}, abstract = {

UNLABELLED: Covert brain infarcts and white matter hyperintensities (WMHs), incidental markers of brain microvascular disease commonly seen on brain MRIs in older adults, have been associated with falls and lower bone mineral density. We found covert infarcts and WMHs may also be associated with an increased risk of future hip fracture.

INTRODUCTION: To determine whether covert infarcts and white matter hyperintensities (WMHs) are associated with increased risk of incident hip fracture.

METHODS: A prospective cohort of 3373 community-dwelling adults aged >= 65~years enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study with a brain MRI (1992-1993) was analyzed. Covert infarcts were categorized by number of infarcts and largest infarct size. WMH burden was assessed by radiologists and graded qualitatively from 0 (no WMHs) to 9 (extensive).

RESULTS: Participants had 465 incident hip fractures during a mean follow-up of 12.8~years. The demographic-adjusted hazard of incident hip fracture was 32\% higher among participants with >= 1 covert infarct compared to those without infarcts (hazard ratio (HR) 1.32; 95\% CI, 1.08-1.62). The hazard of incident hip fracture was similar after further adjustment for medications and medical history (HR = 1.34; 95\% CI, 1.08-1.65), but attenuated following additional adjustment for functional status, frailty, and falls (HR = 1.25; 95\% CI, 0.99-1.57). Fully adjusted hazard of incident hip fracture per increase in infarct number was 1.10 (95\% CI, 0.98-1.23); risk in individuals whose largest infarct was >= 20~mm versus 3 to < 20~mm was similar. Compared with WMH grades 0-1, the demographic-adjusted hazard of hip fracture was 1.34 (95\% CI, 1.09-1.66) and 1.83 (95\% CI, 1.37-2.46), respectively, for WMH grades 2-3 and 4-9. The hazard was similar following adjustment for medications and medical history (grades 2-3: HR = 1.32; 95\% CI, 1.05-1.64; grades 4-9: HR = 1.69; 95\% CI, 1.23-2.30), but attenuated following additional adjustment for functional status, frailty, and falls (grades 2-3: HR = 1.24; 95\% CI, 0.98-1.56; grades 4-9: HR = 1.34; 95\% CI, 0.95-1.90).

CONCLUSION: Older, community-dwelling adults with covert infarcts or WMHs may be at increased risk of hip fracture.

}, keywords = {Aged, Brain Infarction, Frailty, Hip Fractures, Humans, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, White Matter}, issn = {1433-2965}, doi = {10.1007/s00198-022-06565-x}, author = {Sheets, Kerry M and B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Chen, Zhao and Carbone, Laura D and Cauley, Jane A and Barzilay, Joshua I and Starks, Jamie L and Miller, Lindsay M and Fink, Howard A} } @article {9316, title = {The associations of markers of endothelial dysfunction with hip fracture risk.}, journal = {Arch Osteoporos}, volume = {18}, year = {2023}, month = {2023 Mar 02}, pages = {39}, abstract = {

UNLABELLED: Endothelial dysfunction underlies the development of atherosclerotic vascular disease, which in turn is associated with osteoporotic fractures. Here, we examined the association of two markers of endothelial dysfunction with incident hip fracture risk in older adults but found no statistically significant associations between them.

PURPOSE/INTRODUCTION: Endothelial dysfunction underlies the development of atherosclerotic vascular disease. Vascular disease, in turn, is associated with the risk of osteoporotic fractures, such as hip fractures. Here, we examine whether two measures of endothelial dysfunction are related to hip fracture risk.

METHODS: Participants for this study were 2792 individuals (mean age 78.6~years) who had flow-mediated dilation (FMD) measured after ischemia in the forearm and 2255 adults (mean age 73.3~years) with measured soluble intercellular adhesion molecule (siCAM) levels, a constitutive endothelial cell membrane protein associated with the initiation of atherosclerosis. Mean follow-up was 9.7 and 11.7~years, respectively. There were 375 and 265 incident hip fractures, respectively, in each group.

RESULTS: In Cox proportional hazards models, there was no significant association between FMD response and incident hip fracture (HR per 1\% higher FMD was 0.98 [0.93, 1.04]; p = 0.44). In exploratory analyses, when data were examined dichotomously, participants in the lowest 80\% of FMD (<= 4.5\%) had an adjusted 1.29 (0.98, 1.68; p = 0.067) higher hazard of hip fracture compared to participants in the upper 20\% of FMD change. There were no significant associations between siCAM and incident hip fracture whether examined as a continuous or dichotomized variable.

CONCLUSIONS: Among older adults, two measures of endothelial dysfunction were not significantly associated with hip fracture risk. There was a trend for higher fracture risk with lower FMD.

}, keywords = {Aged, Forearm, Hip Fractures, Humans, Osteoporotic Fractures, Vascular Diseases}, issn = {1862-3514}, doi = {10.1007/s11657-023-01226-w}, author = {Barzilay, Joshua I and B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Fink, Howard A and Cauley, Jane A and Carbone, Laura and Elam, Rachel and Robbins, John A and Stein, Phyllis and Sheets, Kerry and Jalal, Diana and Mukamal, Kenneth J} } @article {9701, title = {Association of serum levels of phenylalanine and tyrosine with hip fractures and frailty in older adults: The cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Arch Osteoporos}, volume = {19}, year = {2024}, month = {2024 Jun 20}, pages = {51}, abstract = {

UNLABELLED: This study examined if the amino acids phenylalanine or tyrosine contribute to risk of hip fracture or frailty in older adults. We determined that neither phenylalanine nor tyrosine are important predictors of hip fracture or frailty. We suggest advice on protein intake for skeletal health consider specific amino acid composition.

PURPOSE: Protein is essential for skeletal health, but the specific amino acid compositions of protein may have differential associations with fracture risk. The aim of this study was to determine the association of serum levels of the aromatic amino acids phenylalanine and tyrosine with risk for incident hip fractures over twelve years of follow-up and cross sectional associations with frailty.

METHODS: We included 131 older men and women from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) who sustained a hip fracture over twelve years of follow-up and 131 men and women without an incident hip fracture over this same period of time. 42\% of this cohort were men and 95\% were Caucasian. Weighted multivariable Cox hazards molecules were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) and 95\% confidence intervals (CI) of incident hip fracture associated with a one standard deviation (SD) higher serum level of phenylalanine or tyrosine. Relative risk regression was used to determine the cross-sectional association of these amino acids with Freid{\textquoteright}s frailty index.

RESULTS: Neither serum levels of phenylalanine (HR 0.85 (95\% CI 0.62-1.16) or tyrosine (HR 0.82 (95\% CI 0.62-1.1) were significantly associated with incident hip fractures or cross sectionally with frailty (frail compared with prefrail/not frail) (HR 0.92 (95\% CI 0.48-1.76) and HR (0.86 (95\% CI 0.46-1.61) respectively.

CONCLUSION: Phenylalanine and tyrosine are not significant contributors to hip fractures or frailty in older men and women.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Frail Elderly, Frailty, Hip Fractures, Humans, Male, Phenylalanine, Risk Factors, Tyrosine}, issn = {1862-3514}, doi = {10.1007/s11657-024-01408-0}, author = {Carbone, Laura and B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Robbins, John A and Fink, Howard A and Barzilay, Joshua I and Elam, Rachel E and Isales, Carlos} }