@article {1512, title = {High body fatness, but not low fat-free mass, predicts disability in older men and women: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Am J Clin Nutr}, volume = {68}, year = {1998}, month = {1998 Sep}, pages = {584-90}, abstract = {

Using data from the Cardiovascular Health Study, we studied the relation between body composition (fat mass and fat-free mass, assessed by bioelectrical impedance) and self-reported, mobility-related disability (difficulty walking or stair climbing) in 2714 women and 2095 men aged 65-100 y. In a cross-sectional analysis at baseline (1989-1990), disability was reported by 26.5\% of the women and 16.9\% of the men. A positive association was observed between fat mass and disability. The odds ratio for disability in the highest quintile of fat mass was 3.04 (95\% CI: 2.18, 4.25) for women and 2.77 (95\% CI: 1.82, 4.23) for men compared with those in the lowest quintile. Low fat-free mass was not associated with a higher prevalence of disability. In a longitudinal analysis among persons not reporting disability at baseline, 20.3\% of the women and 14.8\% of the men reported disability 3 y later. Fat mass at baseline was predictive of disability 3 y later, with odds ratios of 2.83 (95\% CI: 1.80, 4.46) for women and 1.72 (95\% CI: 1.03, 2.85) for men in the highest quintile of fat. The increased risk was not explained by age, physical activity, chronic disease, or other potential confounders. Low fat-free mass was not predictive of disability. The results showed that high body fatness is an independent predictor of mobility-related disability in older men and women. These findings suggest that high body fatness in old age should be avoided to decrease the risk of disability.

}, keywords = {Adipose Tissue, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Body Composition, Cross-Sectional Studies, Disability Evaluation, Female, Geriatric Assessment, Health Surveys, Humans, Male, Obesity, Predictive Value of Tests, Walking}, issn = {0002-9165}, doi = {10.1093/ajcn/68.3.584}, author = {Visser, M and Langlois, J and Guralnik, J M and Cauley, J A and Kronmal, R A and Robbins, J and Williamson, J D and Harris, T B} } @article {679, title = {Gait variability in community-dwelling older adults.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {49}, year = {2001}, month = {2001 Dec}, pages = {1646-50}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To describe gait variability at usual and fast walking speeds in community-dwelling older adults and to describe the effects of increasing gait speed on gait variability.

DESIGN: Cross-sectional, descriptive study.

SETTING: The Cardiovascular Health Study at the University of Pittsburgh.

PARTICIPANTS: Ninety-five community-living older adults, 54 women and 41 men, age 65 and older (mean age +/- standard deviation 79.4 +/- 3.37).

MEASUREMENTS: Gait measured at participant{\textquoteright}s usual and fast walking speed collected using an instrumented walkway. Step-length and step-width variability were determined using the coefficient of variation.

RESULTS: Step-length variability was greatest in those who walked the slowest (r = -0.66, P < .001); step-width variability was smallest in those who walked the slowest (r -0.37, P < .001). Individuals who could not increase their walking speed (<0.10 m/second) on command had an increase in step-length variability and a decrease in step-width variability, whereas those who could increase their speed (>0.10 m/second) had an increase in step-width variability when walking at a faster speed.

CONCLUSIONS: Step-length and step-width variability have opposite associations with gait speed in older adults. Improvement in step-length and step-width variability with attempted acceleration might be a key factor to examine in future studies of disability risk and therapeutic interventions.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Body Height, Body Weight, Cross-Sectional Studies, Disability Evaluation, Female, Gait, Humans, Male, Residence Characteristics, Risk Factors, Time Factors, Walking}, issn = {0002-8614}, doi = {10.1046/j.1532-5415.2001.t01-1-49274.x}, author = {Brach, J S and Berthold, R and Craik, R and VanSwearingen, J M and Newman, A B} } @article {1049, title = {Association between lower digit symbol substitution test score and slower gait and greater risk of mortality and of developing incident disability in well-functioning older adults.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {56}, year = {2008}, month = {2008 Sep}, pages = {1618-25}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether, in well-functioning older adults, a lower score on the Digit Symbol Substitution Test (DSST) and slower gait are associated with greater risk of mortality and of developing incident disability independent of other risk factors, including brain structural abnormalities (white matter hyperintensities, brain infarcts, ventricular enlargement) and whether the combination of varying levels of DSST score and gait speed are associated with a greater risk of mortality and disability than low DSST or slow gait alone.

DESIGN: Observational cohort study.

SETTING: Community.

PARTICIPANTS: Three thousand one hundred fifty-six (43\% men, 29\% black, mean age 70.4) participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), free from stroke and physical disability and with a modified Mini-Mental State Examination (3MS) score of 80 or higher.

MEASUREMENTS: Total mortality and incident disability (self-report of any difficulty performing one or more of the six activities of daily living) ascertained over a median follow-up time of 8.4 years.

RESULTS: By the end of follow-up, 704 participants had died and 1,096 had incident disability. In Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex, race, education, cardiovascular disease, and brain magnetic resonance imaging abnormalities, lower DSST score and slower gait remained significantly associated with greater risk of mortality and of incident disability. Mortality rates were higher in those who had both low DSST score (<27 points) and slow gait (speed <1.0 m/s) than in those who had only low DSST score, only slow gait, or neither (rates per 1,000 person years (p-y): 61.2, 42.8, 20.8, and 16.3, respectively). A similar risk gradient was observed for incident disability (82.0, 57.9, 47.9, and 36.0/1,000 p-y, respectively).

CONCLUSION: In well-functioning older adults, low DSST score and slow gait, alone or in combination, could be risk factors for mortality and for developing disability, independent of other risk factors, including measures of brain integrity.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Analysis of Variance, Atrophy, Brain, Brain Diseases, Cause of Death, Cohort Studies, Disability Evaluation, Discrimination Learning, Female, Gait, Humans, Male, Memory, Short-Term, Mobility Limitation, Neuropsychological Tests, Pattern Recognition, Visual, Psychometrics, Psychomotor Performance, Risk Factors}, issn = {1532-5415}, doi = {10.1111/j.1532-5415.2008.01856.x}, author = {Rosano, Caterina and Newman, Anne B and Katz, Ronit and Hirsch, Calvin H and Kuller, Lewis H} } @article {1024, title = {Incident physical disability in people with lower extremity peripheral arterial disease: the role of cardiovascular disease.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {56}, year = {2008}, month = {2008 Jun}, pages = {1037-44}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the risk of incident physical disability and the decline in gait speed over a 6-year follow-up associated with a low ankle-arm index (AAI) in older adults.

DESIGN: Observational cohort study.

SETTING: Forsyth County, North Carolina; Sacramento County, California; Washington County, Maryland; and Allegheny County, Pennsylvania.

PARTICIPANTS: Four thousand seven hundred five older adults, 58\% women and 17.6\% black, participating in the Cardiovascular Health Study.

MEASUREMENTS: AAI was measured in 1992/93 (baseline). Self-reported mobility, activity of daily living (ADL), and instrumental activity of daily living (IADL) disability and gait speed were recorded at baseline and at 1-year intervals over 6 years of follow-up. Mobility disability was defined as any difficulty walking half a mile and ADL and IADL disability was defined as any difficulty with 11 specific ADL and IADL tasks. Individuals with mobility, ADL, or IADL disability at baseline were excluded from the respective incident disability analyses.

RESULTS: Lower baseline AAI values were associated with increased risk of mobility disability and ADL/IADL disability. Clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes mellitus, and interim CVD events partially explained these associations for mobility disability and clinical CVD and diabetes mellitus partially explained these associations for ADL and IADL disability. Individuals with an AAI less than 0.9 had on average a mean decrease in gait speed of 0.02 m/s per year, or a decline of 0.12 m/s over the 6-year follow-up. Prevalent CVD partly explained this decrease but interim CVD events did not further attenuate it.

CONCLUSION: Low AAI serves as marker of future disability risk. Reduction of disability risk in patients with a low AAI should consider cardiovascular comorbidity and the prevention of additional disabling CVD events.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Aged, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Comorbidity, Disability Evaluation, Female, Gait, Geriatric Assessment, Humans, Lower Extremity, Male, Mobility Limitation, Peripheral Vascular Diseases, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, United States}, issn = {1532-5415}, doi = {10.1111/j.1532-5415.2008.01719.x}, author = {Brach, Jennifer S and Solomon, Cam and Naydeck, Barbara L and Sutton-Tyrrell, Kim and Enright, Paul L and Jenny, Nancy Swords and Chaves, Paulo M and Newman, Anne B} } @article {1065, title = {The reliability and validity of measures of gait variability in community-dwelling older adults.}, journal = {Arch Phys Med Rehabil}, volume = {89}, year = {2008}, month = {2008 Dec}, pages = {2293-6}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: To examine the test-retest reliability and concurrent validity of variability of gait characteristics.

DESIGN: Cross-sectional study.

SETTING: Research laboratory.

PARTICIPANTS: Older adults (N=558) from the Cardiovascular Health Study.

INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Gait characteristics were measured using a 4-m computerized walkway. SD determined from the steps recorded were used as the measures of variability. Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC) were calculated to examine test-retest reliability of a 4-m walk and two 4-m walks. To establish concurrent validity, the measures of gait variability were compared across levels of health, functional status, and physical activity using independent t tests and analysis of variances.

RESULTS: Gait variability measures from the two 4-m walks demonstrated greater test-retest reliability than those from the single 4-m walk (ICC=.22-.48 and ICC=.40-.63, respectively). Greater step length and stance time variability were associated with poorer health, functional status and physical activity (P<.05).

CONCLUSIONS: Gait variability calculated from a limited number of steps has fair to good test-retest reliability and concurrent validity. Reliability of gait variability calculated from a greater number of steps should be assessed to determine if the consistency can be improved.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Aged, Cross-Sectional Studies, Disability Evaluation, Exercise, Female, Gait, Health Status, Humans, Male, Pennsylvania, Rehabilitation, Reproducibility of Results}, issn = {1532-821X}, doi = {10.1016/j.apmr.2008.06.010}, author = {Brach, Jennifer S and Perera, Subashan and Studenski, Stephanie and Newman, Anne B} } @article {1178, title = {Commentary on "Developing a national strategy to prevent dementia: Leon Thal Symposium 2009." Dementia risk indices: A framework for identifying individuals with a high dementia risk.}, journal = {Alzheimers Dement}, volume = {6}, year = {2010}, month = {2010 Mar}, pages = {138-41}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Alzheimer Disease, Dementia, Diagnosis, Differential, Disability Evaluation, Early Diagnosis, Humans, National Health Programs, Predictive Value of Tests, Prognosis, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, United States}, issn = {1552-5279}, doi = {10.1016/j.jalz.2010.01.005}, author = {Barnes, Deborah E and Covinsky, Kenneth E and Whitmer, Rachel A and Kuller, Lewis H and Lopez, Oscar L and Yaffe, Kristine} } @article {1317, title = {Risk factors for onset of disability among older persons newly diagnosed with heart failure: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Card Fail}, volume = {17}, year = {2011}, month = {2011 Sep}, pages = {764-70}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: As the heart failure population continues to age, disability is becoming an increasingly important issue. Our objective was to identify risk factors for the onset of disability in activities of daily living among older persons with heart failure.

METHODS: The study population included participants with newly diagnosed heart failure from the Cardiovascular Health Study, a longitudinal study of community-living, older persons. Data were collected through annual examinations. Cox regression modeling was used to examine associations between time-dependent predictors and onset of disability.

RESULTS: Of 461 participants newly diagnosed with heart failure (mean age 78.7 [SD 5.89]), 23\% subsequently developed disability. The first year after heart failure diagnosis was the period of greatest risk for onset of disability (chi-square P value <.001). Factors that were independently associated with disability included: impaired gait speed (HR 2.29, 95\% CI 1.34-3.90); impaired cognition (HR 1.87, 95\% CI 1.14-3.05); and depressive symptoms (HR 1.72, 95\% CI 1.04-2.83).

CONCLUSIONS: Onset of disability is a common occurrence among older persons newly diagnosed with heart failure. Risk factors for onset of disability in this population are potentially modifiable, and should be routinely assessed in an effort to reduce disability in this growing population.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Disability Evaluation, Disabled Persons, Female, Health Status, Heart Failure, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Risk Factors}, issn = {1532-8414}, doi = {10.1016/j.cardfail.2011.04.015}, author = {Chaudhry, Sarwat I and McAvay, Gail and Ning, Yuming and Allore, Heather G and Newman, Anne B and Gill, Thomas M} } @article {1357, title = {Predicting late-life disability and death by the rate of decline in physical performance measures.}, journal = {Age Ageing}, volume = {41}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 Mar}, pages = {155-61}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: the rate of performance decline may influence the risk of disability or death.

METHODS: for 4,182 Cardiovascular Health Study participants, we used multinomial Poisson log-linear models to assess the contribution of physical performance in 1998-99, and the rate of performance change between 1992-93 and 1998-99, to the risk of death or disability in 2005-06 in three domains: mobility, upper-extremity function (UEF) and activities of daily living (ADL). We evaluated performance in finger-tapping, grip strength, stride length, gait speed and chair stands separately and together for each outcome, adjusting for age, gender, race and years of disability in that outcome between 1992-93 and 1998-99.

RESULTS: participants{\textquoteright} age averaged 79.4 in 1998-99; 1,901 died over 7 years. Compared with the lowest change quintile in stride length, the highest quintile had a 1.32 relative risk (RR) of ADL disability (95\% CI: 1.16 -1.96) and a 1.27 RR of death (95\% CI: 1.07 -1.51). The highest change quintile for grip strength increased the risk of ADL disability by 35\% (95\% CI: 1.13 -1.61) and death by 31\% (95\% CI: 1.16 -1.49), compared with the lowest quintile. The annual change in stride length and grip strength also predicted disability in mobility and UEF.

CONCLUSION: performance trajectories independently predict death and disability.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Disability Evaluation, Disabled Persons, Female, Geriatric Assessment, Hand Strength, Health Surveys, Humans, Linear Models, Male, Mobility Limitation, Mortality, Motor Skills, Predictive Value of Tests, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Survival Analysis, Time Factors, United States, Upper Extremity, Walking}, issn = {1468-2834}, doi = {10.1093/ageing/afr151}, author = {Hirsch, Calvin Hayes and B{\r u}zkov{\'a}, Petra and Robbins, John A and Patel, Kushang V and Newman, Anne B} } @article {1351, title = {Retinal microvascular signs and disability in the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {Arch Ophthalmol}, volume = {130}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 Mar}, pages = {350-6}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: To study the associations of retinal microvascular changes, which are associated with systemic conditions and cognitive decline, with disability in performing activities of daily living (ADL).

DESIGN: Prospective cohort study of 1487 community-dwelling participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study (mean age, 78 years) who were free of ADL disability and had available data on retinal signs and carotid intima-media thickness at the 1998-1999 visit. Main outcome measures were incident ADL disability, defined as self-reported difficulty in performing any ADL, by the presence of retinal signs and advanced carotid atherosclerosis, defined by carotid intima-media thickness in the 80th percentile or more or 25\% or more stenosis, and potential mediation by cerebral microvascular disease on brain imaging or by executive dysfunction, slow gait, and depressive mood, which are symptoms of frontal subcortical dysfunction.

RESULTS: During the median follow-up of 3.1 years (maximum, 7.8 years), participants with 2 or more retinal signs had a higher rate of disability than those with fewer than 2 retinal signs (10.1\% vs 7.1\%; adjusted hazard ratio, 1.45; 95\% confidence interval, 1.24-1.69; P~<~.001). There was no evidence of interaction by advanced carotid atherosclerosis (P~>~.10). The association seemed to be partially mediated by executive dysfunction, slow gait, and depressive symptoms but not by cerebral microvascular disease on brain imaging.

CONCLUSIONS: These results provide further support for the pathophysiologic and prognostic significance of microvascular disease in age-related disability. However, it remains to be determined how to best use retinal photography in clinical risk prediction.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Aged, Carotid Artery Diseases, Cognition Disorders, Diagnostic Techniques, Ophthalmological, Disability Evaluation, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Hypertension, Incidence, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Microcirculation, Predictive Value of Tests, Prevalence, Prognosis, Prospective Studies, Retinal Diseases, Risk Factors, Smoking}, issn = {1538-3601}, doi = {10.1001/archophthalmol.2011.360}, author = {Kim, Dae Hyun and Chaves, Paulo H M and Newman, Anne B and Klein, Ronald and Sarnak, Mark J and Newton, Elizabeth and Strotmeyer, Elsa S and Burke, Gregory L and Lipsitz, Lewis A} } @article {1363, title = {Use of stance time variability for predicting mobility disability in community-dwelling older persons: a prospective study.}, journal = {J Geriatr Phys Ther}, volume = {35}, year = {2012}, month = {2012 Jul-Sep}, pages = {112-7}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Mobility disability is a serious and frequent adverse health outcome associated with aging. Early identification of individuals at risk for mobility disability is important if interventions to prevent disability are to be instituted. The objectives of this prospective study were to (1) determine the magnitude of stance time variability (STV) that discriminates individuals who currently have mobility disability (prevalent mobility disability) and (2) determine the magnitude of STV that predicts a new onset of mobility disability at 1 year (incident mobility disability).

METHODS: A total of 552 community-dwelling older adults were evaluated as part of the Cardiovascular Health Study, a longitudinal cohort study. Stance time, in milliseconds, was determined from 2 passes on a 4-m computerized walkway at self-selected walking speed, and STV was defined as the standard deviation from approximately 12 individual steps. Mobility disability was defined as self-reported difficulty walking a one-half mile. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to determine an optimal cutoff value for STV for prevalent and incident mobility disability, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was computed.

RESULTS: The optimal cutoff score for STV (maximizing sensitivity and specificity) for prevalent mobility disability was 0.037 seconds (sensitivity = 65\%, specificity = 65\%, AUC = 0.70) and for incident 1-year mobility disability was 0.034 seconds (sensitivity = 61\%, specificity = 60\%, AUC = 0.65). The use of likelihood ratios demonstrated a gradient of risk across values of STV, with mobility risk increasing as values of STV increased.

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: Values of STV may be useful in identifying older adults with mobility disability and at risk for future disability. We recommend the more conservative estimate for identifying risk, STV = 0.034 seconds, which maximizes the sensitivity and minimizes false negatives. The relatively modest values on the validity indices could possibly be improved by increasing the reliability of the measurement of STV. Clinicians should interpret the cutoff values liberally and use STV in conjunction with other measures until further work is completed to validate STV as an indicator of mobility disability.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Disability Evaluation, Female, Gait, Geriatric Assessment, Humans, Independent Living, Male, Mobility Limitation, Physical Therapy Modalities, Postural Balance, Prospective Studies, Reproducibility of Results}, issn = {2152-0895}, doi = {10.1519/JPT.0b013e318243e5f9}, author = {Brach, Jennifer S and Wert, David and VanSwearingen, Jessie M and Newman, Anne B and Studenski, Stephanie A} } @article {6581, title = {Brain imaging findings in elderly adults and years of life, healthy life, and able life over the ensuing 16 years: the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {62}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Oct}, pages = {1838-43}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether elderly people with different patterns of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings have different long-term outcomes.

DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study.

SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study.

PARTICIPANTS: Individuals aged 65 and older were recruited (N = 5,888); 3,660 of these underwent MRI, and 3,230 without a stroke before MRI were included in these analyses.

MEASUREMENTS: Cluster analysis of brain MRI findings was previously used to define five clusters: normal, atrophy, simple infarct, leukoaraiosis, and complex infarct. Participants were subsequently classified as healthy if they rated their health as excellent, very good, or good and as able if they did not report any limitations in activities of daily living (ADLs). Mean years of life (YoL), years of healthy life (YHL), and years of able life (YAL) were calculated over 16 years after the MRI and compared between clusters using unadjusted and adjusted regression analyses.

RESULTS: Mean age of participants was 75.0. With 16 years of follow-up, mean YoL was 11.3; YHL, 8.0; and YAL, 8.4. Outcomes differed significantly between clusters. With or without adjustments, outcomes were all significantly better in the normal than complex infarct cluster. The three remaining clusters had intermediate results, significantly different from the normal and complex infarct clusters but not usually from one another. Over 16 years of follow-up, participants in the complex infarct cluster (n = 368) spent the largest percentage of their 8.4 years alive being sick (38\%) and not able (38\%).

CONCLUSION: Findings on MRI scans in elderly adults are associated not only with long-term survival, but also with long-term self-rated health and limitation in ADLs. The combination of infarcts and leukoaraiosis carried the worst prognosis, presumably reflecting small vessel disease.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Aged, Atrophy, Brain, Brain Infarction, Cohort Studies, Disability Evaluation, Female, Health Status, Humans, Leukoaraiosis, Longevity, Longitudinal Studies, Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Male, Prognosis, Regression Analysis, United States}, issn = {1532-5415}, doi = {10.1111/jgs.13068}, author = {Longstreth, W T and Diehr, Paula H and Yee, Laura M and Newman, Anne B and Beauchamp, Norman J} } @article {6560, title = {Disability and recovery of independent function in obstructive lung disease: the cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {Respiration}, volume = {88}, year = {2014}, month = {2014}, pages = {329-38}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive lung disease frequently leads to disability. Older patients may experience transitions between states of disability and independence over time.

OBJECTIVE: To identify factors associated with transition between states of disability and independent function in obstructive lung disease.

METHODS: We analyzed data on 4,394 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study who completed prebronchodilator spirometry. We calculated the 1-year probability of developing and resolving impairment in >=1 instrumental activity of daily living (IADL) or >=1 activity of daily living (ADL) using transition probability analysis. We identified factors associated with resolving disability using relative risk (RR) regression.

RESULTS: The prevalence of IADL impairment was higher with moderate (23.9\%) and severe (36.9\%) airflow obstruction compared to normal spirometry (22.5\%; p < 0.001). Among participants with severe airflow obstruction, 23.5\% recovered independence in IADLs and 40.5\% recovered independence in ADLs. In the adjusted analyses, airflow obstruction predicted the development of IADL, but not ADL impairment. Participants with severe airflow obstruction were less likely to resolve IADL impairment [RR 0.67 and 95\% confidence interval (CI) 0.49-0.94]. Compared to the most active individuals (i.e. who walked >=28 blocks per week), walking less was associated with a decreased likelihood of resolving IADL impairment (7-27 blocks: RR 0.81 and 95\% CI 0.69-0.86 and <7 blocks: RR 0.73 and 95\% CI 0.61-0.86). Increased strength (RR 1.16 and 95\% CI 1.05-1.29) was associated with resolving IADL impairment.

CONCLUSIONS: Disability is common in older people, especially in those with severe airflow obstruction. Increased physical activity and muscle strength are associated with recovery. Research is needed on interventions to improve these factors among patients with obstructive lung disease and disability.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Aged, Cardiac Rehabilitation, Cardiovascular Diseases, Disability Evaluation, Exercise Test, Female, Humans, Independent Living, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Motor Activity, Muscle Strength, Outcome Assessment (Health Care), Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive, Recovery of Function, Risk Assessment, Severity of Illness Index, Spirometry, United States}, issn = {1423-0356}, doi = {10.1159/000363772}, author = {Fan, Vincent S and Locke, Emily R and Diehr, Paula and Wilsdon, Anthony and Enright, Paul and Yende, Sachin and Avdalovic, Mark and Barr, Graham and Kapur, Vishesh K and Thomas, Rachel and Krishnan, Jerry A and Lovasi, Gina and Thielke, Stephen} } @article {6363, title = {Prognostic implications of microvascular and macrovascular abnormalities in older adults: cardiovascular health study.}, journal = {J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci}, volume = {69}, year = {2014}, month = {2014 Dec}, pages = {1495-502}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Microvascular and macrovascular abnormalities are frequently found on noninvasive tests performed in older adults. Their prognostic implications on disability and life expectancy have not been collectively assessed.

METHODS: This prospective study included 2,452 adults (mean age: 79.5 years) with available measures of microvascular (brain, retina, kidney) and macrovascular abnormalities (brain, carotid, coronary, peripheral artery) in the Cardiovascular Health Study. The burden of microvascular and macrovascular abnormalities was examined in relation to total, activity-of-daily-living disability-free, and severe disability-free life expectancies in the next 10 years (1999-2009).

RESULTS: At 75 years, individuals with low burden of both abnormalities lived, on average, 8.71 years (95\% confidence interval: 8.29, 9.12) of which 7.67 years (7.16, 8.17) were without disability. In comparison, individuals with high burden of both abnormalities had shortest total life expectancy (6.95 years [6.52, 7.37]; p < .001) and disability-free life expectancy (5.60 years [5.10, 6.11]; p < .001). Although total life expectancy was similarly reduced for those with high burden of either type of abnormalities (microvascular: 7.96 years [7.50, 8.42] vs macrovascular: 8.25 years [7.80, 8.70]; p = .10), microvascular abnormalities seemed to have larger impact than macrovascular abnormalities on disability-free life expectancy (6.45 years [5.90, 6.99] vs 6.96 years [6.43, 7.48]; p = .016). These results were consistent for severe disability-free life expectancy and in individuals without clinical cardiovascular disease.

CONCLUSIONS: Considering both microvascular and macrovascular abnormalities from multiple noninvasive tests may provide additional prognostic information on how older adults spend their remaining life. Optimal clinical use of this information remains to be determined.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Ankle Brachial Index, Disability Evaluation, Electrocardiography, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Forecasting, Humans, Life Expectancy, Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Male, Microcirculation, Prognosis, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Vascular Malformations}, issn = {1758-535X}, doi = {10.1093/gerona/glu074}, author = {Kim, Dae Hyun and Grodstein, Francine and Newman, Anne B and Chaves, Paulo H M and Odden, Michelle C and Klein, Ronald and Sarnak, Mark J and Patel, Kushang V and Lipsitz, Lewis A} } @article {7161, title = {Gait Speed Predicts Incident Disability: A Pooled Analysis.}, journal = {J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci}, volume = {71}, year = {2016}, month = {2016 Jan}, pages = {63-71}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Functional independence with aging is an important goal for individuals and society. Simple prognostic indicators can inform health promotion and care planning, but evidence is limited by heterogeneity in measures of function.

METHODS: We performed a pooled analysis of data from seven studies of 27,220 community-dwelling older adults aged 65 or older with baseline gait speed, followed for disability and mortality. Outcomes were incident inability or dependence on another person in bathing or dressing; and difficulty walking {\textonequarter} - {\textonehalf} mile or climbing 10 steps within 3 years.

RESULTS: Participants with faster baseline gait had lower rates of incident disability. In subgroups (defined by 0.2 m/s-wide intervals from <0.4 to >= 1.4 m/s) with increasingly greater gait speed, 3-year rates of bathing or dressing dependence trended from 10\% to 1\% in men, and from 15\% to 1\% in women, while mobility difficulty trended from 47\% to 4\% in men and 40\% to 6\% in women. The age-adjusted relative risk ratio per 0.1 m/s greater speed for bathing or dressing dependence in men was 0.68 (0.57-0.81) and in women: 0.74 (0.66-0.82); for mobility difficulty, men: 0.75 (0.68-0.82), women: 0.73 (0.67-0.80). Results were similar for combined disability and mortality. Effects were largely consistent across subgroups based on age, gender, race, body mass index, prior hospitalization, and selected chronic conditions. In the presence of multiple other risk factors for disability, gait speed significantly increased the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve.

CONCLUSION: In older adults, gait speed predicts 3 year incidence of bathing or dressing dependence, mobility difficulty, and a composite outcome of disability and mortality.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Cohort Studies, Disability Evaluation, Disabled Persons, Female, Gait, Geriatric Assessment, Humans, Independent Living, Male, Mobility Limitation, Predictive Value of Tests, Prognosis, Psychomotor Performance, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, ROC Curve, Survival Analysis, United States}, issn = {1758-535X}, doi = {10.1093/gerona/glv126}, author = {Perera, Subashan and Patel, Kushang V and Rosano, Caterina and Rubin, Susan M and Satterfield, Suzanne and Harris, Tamara and Ensrud, Kristine and Orwoll, Eric and Lee, Christine G and Chandler, Julie M and Newman, Anne B and Cauley, Jane A and Guralnik, Jack M and Ferrucci, Luigi and Studenski, Stephanie A} } @article {7002, title = {Incident Atrial Fibrillation and Disability-Free Survival in the Cardiovascular Health Study.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {64}, year = {2016}, month = {2016 Apr}, pages = {838-43}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To assess the associations between incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and disability-free survival and risk of disability.

DESIGN: Prospective cohort study.

SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study.

PARTICIPANTS: Individuals aged 65 and older and enrolled in fee-for-service Medicare followed between 1991 and 2009 (MN = 4,046). Individuals with prevalent AF, activity of daily living (ADL) disability, or a history of stroke or heart failure at baseline were excluded.

MEASUREMENTS: Incident AF was identified according to annual study electrocardiogram, hospital discharge diagnosis, or Medicare claims. Disability-free survival was defined as survival free of ADL disability (any difficulty or inability in bathing, dressing, eating, using the toilet, walking around the home, or getting out of a bed or chair). ADLs were assessed at annual study visits or in a telephone interview. Association between incident AF and disability-free survival or risk of disability was estimated using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS: Over an average of 7.0 years of follow-up, 660 individuals (16.3\%) developed incident AF, and 3,112 (77\%) became disabled or died. Incident AF was associated with shorter disability-free survival (hazard ratio (HR) for death or ADL disability = 1.71, 95\% confidence interval (CI) = 1.55-1.90) and a higher risk of ADL disability (HR = 1.36, 95\% CI = 1.18-1.58) than in individuals with no history of AF. This association persisted after adjustment for interim stroke and heart failure.

CONCLUSION: These results suggest that AF is a risk factor for shorter functional longevity in older adults, independent of other risk factors and comorbid conditions.

}, keywords = {Activities of Daily Living, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Atrial Fibrillation, Disability Evaluation, Electrocardiography, Female, Geriatric Assessment, Humans, Incidence, Longevity, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Medicare, Prevalence, Prospective Studies, Survival Rate, United States}, issn = {1532-5415}, doi = {10.1111/jgs.14037}, author = {Wallace, Erin R and Siscovick, David S and Sitlani, Colleen M and Dublin, Sascha and Mitchell, Pamela H and Odden, Michelle C and Hirsch, Calvin H and Thielke, Stephen and Heckbert, Susan R} }