@article {853, title = {Hospitalization for pneumonia in the Cardiovascular Health Study: incidence, mortality, and influence on longer-term survival.}, journal = {J Am Geriatr Soc}, volume = {53}, year = {2005}, month = {2005 Jul}, pages = {1108-16}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the rate of hospitalization for pneumonia in community-dwelling older adults and to assess its risk factors and contribution to mortality.

DESIGN: Prospective observational study.

SETTING: The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) in four U.S. communities.

PARTICIPANTS: Five thousand eight hundred eighty-eight men and women aged 65 and older who were followed for a median 10.7 years.

MEASUREMENTS: Participants were interviewed about medical history and demographics; evaluated for lung, physical, and cognitive function; and followed for hospitalizations, cardiovascular disease, and death.

RESULTS: Nearly 10\% of the cohort was hospitalized for pneumonia, for a rate of 11.1 per 1,000 person-years (95\% confidence interval (CI)=10.2-12.0). Risk factors included older age, male sex, current and past smoking, poor physical and lung function, and history of cardiovascular disease and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Ten percent of participants died during their incident pneumonia hospitalization, and death rates were high in those who survived to discharge. Compared with participants who had not been hospitalized for pneumonia, the relative risk of total mortality was 4.9 (95\% CI=4.1-6.0) during the first year after hospitalization and 2.6 (95\% CI=2.2-3.1) thereafter, adjusted for age, sex, and race. The respective relative risks were 3.9 (95\% CI=3.1-4.8) and 2.0 (95\% CI=1.6-2.4) after further adjustment for baseline history of cardiovascular disease; diabetes mellitus; smoking; and measures of lung, physical, and cognitive function.

CONCLUSION: In older people, hospitalization for pneumonia is common and is associated with an elevated risk of death, as shown in this population-based, prospective cohort.

}, keywords = {Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cognition, Comorbidity, Diabetes Complications, Female, Hospitalization, Humans, Male, Mortality, Pneumonia, Prospective Studies, Respiratory Physiological Phenomena, Risk Factors, Smoking}, issn = {0002-8614}, doi = {10.1111/j.1532-5415.2005.53352.x}, author = {O{\textquoteright}Meara, Ellen S and White, Mark and Siscovick, David S and Lyles, Mary F and Kuller, Lewis H} } @article {1147, title = {CRP gene variation and risk of community-acquired pneumonia.}, journal = {Respirology}, volume = {15}, year = {2010}, month = {2010 Jan}, pages = {160-4}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: CRP has several potentially antibacterial effects, and variation in the CRP gene is known to influence CRP levels. Whether this variation influences risk of infection, and hence whether CRP has anti-infective activity in humans, is uncertain.

METHODS: We evaluated a series of haplotype-tagging single nucleotide polymorphisms among 5374 individuals in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a cohort of older adults from four communities, who were followed for community-acquired pneumonia for 12-13 years. Secondarily, we evaluated whether these polymorphisms varied among men in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study who self-reported pneumonia on biennial questionnaires.

RESULTS: There were 581 (507 white and 74 black) Cardiovascular Health Study participants with incident hospitalizations for pneumonia. No single nucleotide polymorphism or haplotypes were associated with risk among white Cardiovascular Health Study participants. Among black participants, the haplotype tagged by A790T was associated with lower risk of incident pneumonia (hazard ratio 0.5; 95\% confidence interval: 0.3-0.9) and with higher CRP levels. In Health Professionals Follow-up Study, a separate haplotype was associated with less frequent self-reported pneumonia but not with circulating CRP levels.

CONCLUSIONS: Some genetic variants in CRP may be associated with risk of pneumonia, but haplotypes associated with risk are variably associated with baseline CRP levels. If CRP is a relevant component of innate immunity in humans, the inducibility or tissue-specificity of expression may be at least as important as chronic circulating levels.

}, keywords = {African Americans, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Body Mass Index, C-Reactive Protein, Cohort Studies, Community-Acquired Infections, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Haplotypes, Humans, Male, Pneumonia, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Smoking}, issn = {1440-1843}, doi = {10.1111/j.1440-1843.2009.01661.x}, author = {Mukamal, Kenneth J and Pai, Jennifer K and O{\textquoteright}Meara, Ellen S and Tracy, Russell P and Psaty, Bruce M and Kuller, Lewis H and Newman, Anne B and Yende, Sachin and Curhan, Gary C and Siscovick, David S and Rimm, Eric B} } @article {6285, title = {Bidirectional relationship between cognitive function and pneumonia.}, journal = {Am J Respir Crit Care Med}, volume = {188}, year = {2013}, month = {2013 Sep 01}, pages = {586-92}, abstract = {

RATIONALE: Relationships between chronic health conditions and acute infections remain poorly understood. Preclinical studies suggest crosstalk between nervous and immune systems.

OBJECTIVES: To determine bidirectional relationships between cognition and pneumonia.

METHODS: We conducted longitudinal analyses of a population-based cohort over 10 years. We determined whether changes in cognition increase risk of pneumonia hospitalization by trajectory analyses and joint modeling. We then determined whether pneumonia hospitalization increased risk of subsequent dementia using a Cox model with pneumonia as a time-varying covariate.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Of the 5,888 participants, 639 (10.9\%) were hospitalized with pneumonia at least once. Most participants had normal cognition before pneumonia. Three cognition trajectories were identified: no, minimal, and severe rapid decline. A greater proportion of participants hospitalized with pneumonia were on trajectories of minimal or severe decline before occurrence of pneumonia compared with those never hospitalized with pneumonia (proportion with no, minimal, and severe decline were 67.1\%, 22.8\%, and 10.0\% vs. 76.0\%, 19.3\%, and 4.6\% for participants with and without pneumonia, respectively; P < 0.001). Small subclinical changes in cognition increased risk of pneumonia, even in those with normal cognition and physical function before pneumonia (β = -0.02; P < 0.001). Participants with pneumonia were subsequently at an increased risk of dementia (hazard ratio, 2.24 [95\% confidence interval, 1.62-3.11]; P = 0.01). Associations were independent of demographics, health behaviors, other chronic conditions, and physical function. Bidirectional relationship did not vary based on severity of disease, and similar associations were noted for those with severe sepsis and other infections.

CONCLUSIONS: A bidirectional relationship exists between pneumonia and cognition and may explain how a single episode of infection in well-appearing older individuals accelerates decline in chronic health conditions and loss of functional independence.

}, keywords = {Aged, Cognition Disorders, Dementia, Female, Hospitalization, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Neuropsychological Tests, Pneumonia, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Factors}, issn = {1535-4970}, doi = {10.1164/rccm.201212-2154OC}, author = {Shah, Faraaz Ali and Pike, Francis and Alvarez, Karina and Angus, Derek and Newman, Anne B and Lopez, Oscar and Tate, Judith and Kapur, Vishesh and Wilsdon, Anthony and Krishnan, Jerry A and Hansel, Nadia and Au, David and Avdalovic, Mark and Fan, Vincent S and Barr, R Graham and Yende, Sachin} } @article {6193, title = {Epidemiology and long-term clinical and biologic risk factors for pneumonia in community-dwelling older Americans: analysis of three cohorts.}, journal = {Chest}, volume = {144}, year = {2013}, month = {2013 Sep}, pages = {1008-1017}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Preventing pneumonia requires better understanding of incidence, mortality, and long-term clinical and biologic risk factors, particularly in younger individuals.

METHODS: This was a cohort study in three population-based cohorts of community-dwelling individuals. A derivation cohort (n = 16,260) was used to determine incidence and survival and develop a risk prediction model. The prediction model was validated in two cohorts (n = 8,495). The primary outcome was 10-year risk of pneumonia hospitalization.

RESULTS: The crude and age-adjusted incidences of pneumonia were 6.71 and 9.43 cases/1,000 person-years (10-year risk was 6.15\%). The 30-day and 1-year mortality were 16.5\% and 31.5\%. Although age was the most important risk factor (range of crude incidence rates, 1.69-39.13 cases/1,000 person-years for each 5-year increment from 45-85 years), 38\% of pneumonia cases occurred in adults \< 65 years of age. The 30-day and 1-year mortality were 12.5\% and 25.7\% in those \< 65 years of age. Although most comorbidities were associated with higher risk of pneumonia, reduced lung function was the most important risk factor (relative risk = 6.61 for severe reduction based on FEV1 by spirometry). A clinical risk prediction model based on age, smoking, and lung function predicted 10-year risk (area under curve [AUC] = 0.77 and Hosmer-Lemeshow [HL] C statistic = 0.12). Model discrimination and calibration were similar in the internal validation cohort (AUC = 0.77; HL C statistic, 0.65) but lower in the external validation cohort (AUC = 0.62; HL C statistic, 0.45). The model also calibrated well in blacks and younger adults. C-reactive protein and IL-6 were associated with higher pneumonia risk but did not improve model performance.

CONCLUSIONS: Pneumonia hospitalization is common and associated with high mortality, even in younger healthy adults. Long-term risk of pneumonia can be predicted in community-dwelling adults with a simple clinical risk prediction model.

}, keywords = {Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Community-Acquired Infections, Comorbidity, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Hospitalization, Humans, Incidence, Male, Middle Aged, Pneumonia, Prognosis, Prospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Survival Rate, Time Factors}, issn = {1931-3543}, doi = {10.1378/chest.12-2818}, author = {Yende, Sachin and Alvarez, Karina and Loehr, Laura and Folsom, Aaron R and Newman, Anne B and Weissfeld, Lisa A and Wunderink, Richard G and Kritchevsky, Stephen B and Mukamal, Kenneth J and London, Stephanie J and Harris, Tamara B and Bauer, Doug C and Angus, Derek C} } @article {6669, title = {Association between hospitalization for pneumonia and subsequent risk of cardiovascular disease.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {313}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Jan 20}, pages = {264-74}, abstract = {

IMPORTANCE: The risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) after infection is poorly understood.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether hospitalization for pneumonia is associated with an increased short-term and long-term risk of CVD.

DESIGN, SETTINGS, AND PARTICIPANTS: We examined 2 community-based cohorts: the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS, n = 5888; enrollment age, >=65 years; enrollment period, 1989-1994) and the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (ARIC, n = 15,792; enrollment age, 45-64 years; enrollment period, 1987-1989). Participants were followed up through December 31, 2010. We matched each participant hospitalized with pneumonia to 2 controls. Pneumonia cases and controls were followed for occurrence of CVD over 10 years after matching. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for CVD at different time intervals, adjusting for demographics, CVD risk factors, subclinical CVD, comorbidities, and functional status.

EXPOSURES: Hospitalization for pneumonia.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Incident CVD (myocardial infarction, stroke, and fatal coronary heart disease).

RESULTS: Of 591 pneumonia cases in CHS, 206 had CVD events over 10 years after pneumonia hospitalization. CVD risk after pneumonia was highest in the first year. CVD occurred in 54 cases and 6 controls in the first 30 days (HR, 4.07; 95\% CI, 2.86-5.27); 11 cases and 9 controls between 31 and 90 days (HR, 2.94; 95\% CI, 2.18-3.70); and 22 cases and 55 controls between 91 days and 1 year (HR, 2.10; 95\% CI, 1.59-2.60). Additional CVD risk remained elevated into the tenth year, when 4 cases and 12 controls developed CVD (HR, 1.86; 95\% CI, 1.18-2.55). In ARIC, of 680 pneumonia cases, 112 had CVD over 10 years after hospitalization. CVD occurred in 4 cases and 3 controls in the first 30 days (HR, 2.38; 95\% CI, 1.12-3.63); 4 cases and 0 controls between 31 and 90 days (HR, 2.40; 95\% CI, 1.23-3.47); 11 cases and 8 controls between 91 days and 1 year (HR, 2.19; 95\% CI, 1.20-3.19); and 8 cases and 7 controls during the second year (HR, 1.88; 95\% CI, 1.10-2.66). After the second year, the HRs were no longer statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Hospitalization for pneumonia was associated with increased short-term and long-term risk of CVD, suggesting that pneumonia may be a risk factor for CVD.

}, keywords = {Aged, Atherosclerosis, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Comorbidity, Female, Hospitalization, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Pneumonia, Risk Factors}, issn = {1538-3598}, doi = {10.1001/jama.2014.18229}, author = {Corrales-Medina, Vicente F and Alvarez, Karina N and Weissfeld, Lisa A and Angus, Derek C and Chirinos, Julio A and Chang, Chung-Chou H and Newman, Anne and Loehr, Laura and Folsom, Aaron R and Elkind, Mitchell S and Lyles, Mary F and Kronmal, Richard A and Yende, Sachin} } @article {6808, title = {Intermediate and long-term risk of new-onset heart failure after hospitalization for pneumonia in elderly adults.}, journal = {Am Heart J}, volume = {170}, year = {2015}, month = {2015 Aug}, pages = {306-12}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: Pneumonia is associated with high risk of heart failure (HF) in the short term (30 days) postinfection. Whether this association persists beyond this period is unknown.

METHODS: We studied 5,613 elderly (>=65 years) adults enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study between 1989 and 1994 at 4 US communities. Participants had no clinical diagnosis of HF at enrollment, and they were followed up through December 2010. Hospitalizations for pneumonia were identified using validated International Classification of Disease Ninth Revision codes. A centralized committee adjudicated new-onset HF events. Using Cox regression, we estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of new-onset HF at different time intervals after hospitalization for pneumonia.

RESULTS: A total of 652 participants hospitalized for pneumonia during follow-up were still alive and free of clinical diagnosis of HF by day 30 posthospitalization. Relative to the time of their hospitalization, new-onset HF occurred in 22 cases between 31 and 90 days (HR 6.9, 95\% CI 4.46-10.63, P < .001), 14 cases between 91 days and 6 months (HR 3.2, 95\% CI 1.88-5.50, P < .001), 20 cases between 6 months and 1 year (HR 2.6, 95\% CI 1.64-4.04, P < .001), 76 cases between 1 and 5 years (HR 1.7, 95\% CI 1.30-2.12, P < .001), and 71 cases after 5 years (HR 2.0, 95\% CI 1.56-2.58, P < .001). Results were robust to sensitivity analyses using stringent definitions of pneumonia and extreme assumptions for potential informative censoring.

CONCLUSION: Hospitalization for pneumonia is associated with increased risk of new-onset HF in the intermediate and long term. Studies should characterize the mechanisms of this association in order to prevent HF in elderly pneumonia survivors.

}, keywords = {Aged, Disease Progression, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Forecasting, Heart Failure, Hospitalization, Humans, Incidence, Inpatients, Male, Patient Readmission, Pneumonia, Proportional Hazards Models, Retrospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Time Factors}, issn = {1097-6744}, doi = {10.1016/j.ahj.2015.04.028}, author = {Corrales-Medina, Vicente F and Taljaard, Monica and Yende, Sachin and Kronmal, Richard and Dwivedi, Girish and Newman, Anne B and Elkind, Mitchell S V and Lyles, Mary F and Chirinos, Julio A} }