@article {1114, title = {Variants in ZFHX3 are associated with atrial fibrillation in individuals of European ancestry.}, journal = {Nat Genet}, volume = {41}, year = {2009}, month = {2009 Aug}, pages = {879-81}, abstract = {

We conducted meta-analyses of genome-wide association studies for atrial fibrillation (AF) in participants from five community-based cohorts. Meta-analyses of 896 prevalent (15,768 referents) and 2,517 incident (21,337 referents) AF cases identified a new locus for AF (ZFHX3, rs2106261, risk ratio RR = 1.19; P = 2.3 x 10(-7)). We replicated this association in an independent cohort from the German AF Network (odds ratio = 1.44; P = 1.6 x 10(-11); combined RR = 1.25; combined P = 1.8 x 10(-15)).

}, keywords = {Atrial Fibrillation, Chromosomes, Human, Pair 16, European Continental Ancestry Group, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Genome-Wide Association Study, Homeodomain Proteins, Humans, Meta-Analysis as Topic, Mutation, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Reproducibility of Results}, issn = {1546-1718}, doi = {10.1038/ng.416}, author = {Benjamin, Emelia J and Rice, Kenneth M and Arking, Dan E and Pfeufer, Arne and van Noord, Charlotte and Smith, Albert V and Schnabel, Renate B and Bis, Joshua C and Boerwinkle, Eric and Sinner, Moritz F and Dehghan, Abbas and Lubitz, Steven A and D{\textquoteright}Agostino, Ralph B and Lumley, Thomas and Ehret, Georg B and Heeringa, Jan and Aspelund, Thor and Newton-Cheh, Christopher and Larson, Martin G and Marciante, Kristin D and Soliman, Elsayed Z and Rivadeneira, Fernando and Wang, Thomas J and Eiriksdottir, Gudny and Levy, Daniel and Psaty, Bruce M and Li, Man and Chamberlain, Alanna M and Hofman, Albert and Vasan, Ramachandran S and Harris, Tamara B and Rotter, Jerome I and Kao, W H Linda and Agarwal, Sunil K and Stricker, Bruno H Ch and Wang, Ke and Launer, Lenore J and Smith, Nicholas L and Chakravarti, Aravinda and Uitterlinden, Andr{\'e} G and Wolf, Philip A and Sotoodehnia, Nona and K{\"o}ttgen, Anna and van Duijn, Cornelia M and Meitinger, Thomas and Mueller, Martina and Perz, Siegfried and Steinbeck, Gerhard and Wichmann, H-Erich and Lunetta, Kathryn L and Heckbert, Susan R and Gudnason, Vilmundur and Alonso, Alvaro and K{\"a}{\"a}b, Stefan and Ellinor, Patrick T and Witteman, Jacqueline C M} } @article {1247, title = {Validation of an atrial fibrillation risk algorithm in whites and African Americans.}, journal = {Arch Intern Med}, volume = {170}, year = {2010}, month = {2010 Nov 22}, pages = {1909-17}, abstract = {

BACKGROUND: We sought to validate a recently published risk algorithm for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) in independent cohorts and other racial groups.

METHODS: We evaluated the performance of a Framingham Heart Study (FHS)-derived risk algorithm modified for 5-year incidence of AF in the FHS (n = 4764 participants) and 2 geographically and racially diverse cohorts in the age range 45 to 95 years: AGES (the Age, Gene/Environment Susceptibility-Reykjavik Study) (n = 4238) and CHS (the Cardiovascular Health Study) (n = 5410, of whom 874 [16.2\%] were African Americans). The risk algorithm included age, sex, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, electrocardiographic PR interval, hypertension treatment, and heart failure.

RESULTS: We found 1359 incident AF events in 100 074 person-years of follow-up. Unadjusted 5-year event rates differed by cohort (AGES, 12.8 cases/1000 person-years; CHS whites, 22.7 cases/1000 person-years; and FHS, 4.5 cases/1000 person-years) and by race (CHS African Americans, 18.4 cases/1000 person-years). The strongest risk factors in all samples were age and heart failure. The relative risks for incident AF associated with risk factors were comparable across cohorts and race groups. After recalibration for baseline incidence and risk factor distribution, the Framingham algorithm, reported in C statistic, performed reasonably well in all samples: AGES, 0.67 (95\% confidence interval [CI], 0.64-0.71); CHS whites, 0.68 (95\% CI, 0.66-0.70); and CHS African Americans, 0.66 (95\% CI, 0.61-0.71). Risk factors combined in the algorithm explained between 47.0\% (AGES) and 63.6\% (FHS) of the population-attributable risk.

CONCLUSIONS: Risk of incident AF in community-dwelling whites and African Americans can be assessed reliably by routinely available and potentially modifiable clinical variables. Seven risk factors accounted for up to 64\% of risk.

}, keywords = {African Continental Ancestry Group, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Algorithms, Atrial Fibrillation, Blood Pressure, Body Mass Index, Cohort Studies, Electrocardiography, Europe, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Heart Failure, Humans, Hypertension, Incidence, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Male, Middle Aged, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, Systole, United States}, issn = {1538-3679}, doi = {10.1001/archinternmed.2010.434}, author = {Schnabel, Renate B and Aspelund, Thor and Li, Guo and Sullivan, Lisa M and Suchy-Dicey, Astrid and Harris, Tamara B and Pencina, Michael J and D{\textquoteright}Agostino, Ralph B and Levy, Daniel and Kannel, William B and Wang, Thomas J and Kronmal, Richard A and Wolf, Philip A and Burke, Gregory L and Launer, Lenore J and Vasan, Ramachandran S and Psaty, Bruce M and Benjamin, Emelia J and Gudnason, Vilmundur and Heckbert, Susan R} }