Prediction of asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis in the general population: identification of high-risk groups. - de Weerd, Marjolein; Greving, Jacoba P; Hedblad, Bo; Lorenz, Matthias W; Mathiesen, Ellisiv B; O'Leary, Daniel H; Rosvall, Maria; Sitzer, Matthias; de Borst, Gert Jan; Buskens, Erik; Bots, Michiel L (Stroke, 2014)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Because of a low prevalence of severe carotid stenosis in the general population, screening for presence of asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis (ACAS) is not warranted. Possibly, for certain subgroups, screening is worthwhile. The present study aims to develop prediction rules for the presence of ACAS (>50% and >70%). METHODS: Individual participant data from 4 population-based cohort studies (Malmö Diet and Cancer Study, Tromsø Study, Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression Study, and Cardiovascular Health Study; totaling 23 706 participants) were pooled. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to determine which variables predict presence of ACAS (>50% and >70%). Calibration and discrimination of the models were assessed, and bootstrapping was used to correct for overfitting. RESULTS: Age, sex, history of vascular disease, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein ratio, diabetes mellitus, and current smoking were predictors of stenosis (>50% and >70%). The calibration of the model was good confirmed by a nonsignificant Hosmer and Lemeshow test for moderate (P=0.59) and severe stenosis (P=0.07). The models discriminated well between participants with and without stenosis, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve corrected for over optimism of 0.82 (95% confidence interval, 0.80-0.84) for moderate stenosis and of 0.87 (95% confidence interval, 0.85-0.90) for severe stenosis. The regression coefficients of the predictors were converted into a score chart to facilitate practical application. CONCLUSIONS: A clinical prediction rule was developed that allows identification of subgroups with high prevalence of moderate (>50%) and severe (>70%) ACAS. When confirmed in comparable cohorts, application of the prediction rule may lead to a reduction in the number needed to screen for ACAS.
Keywords: Adult; Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Blood Pressure; Carotid Stenosis; Female; Humans; Life Style; Male; Mass Screening; Middle Aged; Prevalence; Registries; Risk; Smoking

Prognostic implications of microvascular and macrovascular abnormalities in older adults: cardiovascular health study. - Kim, Dae Hyun; Grodstein, Francine; Newman, Anne B; Chaves, Paulo H M; Odden, Michelle C; Klein, Ronald; Sarnak, Mark J; Patel, Kushang V; Lipsitz, Lewis A (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Microvascular and macrovascular abnormalities are frequently found on noninvasive tests performed in older adults. Their prognostic implications on disability and life expectancy have not been collectively assessed. METHODS: This prospective study included 2,452 adults (mean age: 79.5 years) with available measures of microvascular (brain, retina, kidney) and macrovascular abnormalities (brain, carotid, coronary, peripheral artery) in the Cardiovascular Health Study. The burden of microvascular and macrovascular abnormalities was examined in relation to total, activity-of-daily-living disability-free, and severe disability-free life expectancies in the next 10 years (1999-2009). RESULTS: At 75 years, individuals with low burden of both abnormalities lived, on average, 8.71 years (95% confidence interval: 8.29, 9.12) of which 7.67 years (7.16, 8.17) were without disability. In comparison, individuals with high burden of both abnormalities had shortest total life expectancy (6.95 years [6.52, 7.37]; p < .001) and disability-free life expectancy (5.60 years [5.10, 6.11]; p < .001). Although total life expectancy was similarly reduced for those with high burden of either type of abnormalities (microvascular: 7.96 years [7.50, 8.42] vs macrovascular: 8.25 years [7.80, 8.70]; p = .10), microvascular abnormalities seemed to have larger impact than macrovascular abnormalities on disability-free life expectancy (6.45 years [5.90, 6.99] vs 6.96 years [6.43, 7.48]; p = .016). These results were consistent for severe disability-free life expectancy and in individuals without clinical cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: Considering both microvascular and macrovascular abnormalities from multiple noninvasive tests may provide additional prognostic information on how older adults spend their remaining life. Optimal clinical use of this information remains to be determined.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Ankle Brachial Index; Disability Evaluation; Electrocardiography; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Forecasting; Humans; Life Expectancy; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Microcirculation; Prognosis; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Vascular Malformations

Quantifying rare, deleterious variation in 12 human cytochrome P450 drug-metabolism genes in a large-scale exome dataset. - Gordon, Adam S; Tabor, Holly K; Johnson, Andrew D; Snively, Beverly M; Assimes, Themistocles L; Auer, Paul L; Ioannidis, John P A; Peters, Ulrike; Robinson, Jennifer G; Sucheston, Lara E; Wang, Danxin; Sotoodehnia, Nona; et al. (Hum Mol Genet, 2014)
The study of genetic influences on drug response and efficacy ('pharmacogenetics') has existed for over 50 years. Yet, we still lack a complete picture of how genetic variation, both common and rare, affects each individual's responses to medications. Exome sequencing is a promising alternative method for pharmacogenetic discovery as it provides information on both common and rare variation in large numbers of individuals. Using exome data from 2203 AA and 4300 Caucasian individuals through the NHLBI Exome Sequencing Project, we conducted a survey of coding variation within 12 Cytochrome P450 (CYP) genes that are collectively responsible for catalyzing nearly 75% of all known Phase I drug oxidation reactions. In addition to identifying many polymorphisms with known pharmacogenetic effects, we discovered over 730 novel nonsynonymous alleles across the 12 CYP genes of interest. These alleles include many with diverse functional effects such as premature stop codons, aberrant splicesites and mutations at conserved active site residues. Our analysis considering both novel, predicted functional alleles as well as known, actionable CYP alleles reveals that rare, deleterious variation contributes markedly to the overall burden of pharmacogenetic alleles within the populations considered, and that the contribution of rare variation to this burden is over three times greater in AA individuals as compared with Caucasians. While most of these impactful alleles are individually rare, 7.6-11.7% of individuals interrogated in the study carry at least one newly described potentially deleterious alleles in a major drug-metabolizing CYP.
Keywords: Cytochrome P-450 Enzyme System; Databases, Genetic; European Continental Ancestry Group; Exome; Humans; Pharmaceutical Preparations; Pharmacogenetics; Polymorphism, Genetic

Racial and regional differences in venous thromboembolism in the United States in 3 cohorts. - Zakai, Neil A; McClure, Leslie A; Judd, Suzanne E; Safford, Monika M; Folsom, Aaron R; Lutsey, Pamela L; Cushman, Mary (Circulation, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Blacks are thought to have a higher risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) than whites. However, prior studies are limited to administrative databases that lack specific information on VTE risk factors or have limited geographic scope. METHODS AND RESULTS: We ascertained VTE from 3 prospective studies: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC), the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), and the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke study (REGARDS). We tested the association of race with VTE using Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for VTE risk factors. Over 438 090 person-years, 916 incident VTE events (302 in blacks) occurred in 51 149 individuals (17 318 blacks) who were followed up. In risk factor-adjusted models, blacks had a higher rate of VTE than whites in the CHS (hazard ratio, 1.81; 95% confidence interval, 1.20-2.73) but not ARIC (hazard ratio, 1.21; 95% confidence interval, 0.96-1.54). In REGARDS, there was a significant region-by-race interaction (P=0.01): Blacks in the Southeast had a significantly higher rate of VTE than blacks in the rest of the United States (hazard ratio, 1.63; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-2.48) that was not seen in whites (hazard ratio, 0.83; 95% confidence interval, 0.61-1.14). CONCLUSIONS: The association of race with VTE differed in each cohort, which may reflect the different time periods of the studies or different regional rates of VTE. Further studies of environmental and genetic risk factors for VTE are needed to determine which underlie racial and perhaps regional differences in VTE.
Keywords: African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; Cohort Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Middle Aged; Prevalence; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Residence Characteristics; Risk Factors; United States; Venous Thromboembolism

Ratio of urine albumin to creatinine attenuates the association of dementia with hip fracture risk. - Bůzková, Petra; Barzilay, Joshua I; Fink, Howard A; Robbins, John A; Cauley, Jane A; Fitzpatrick, Annette L (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2014)
CONTEXT: Microvascular disease is a leading cause of cognitive impairment. Approximately 50% of people with a hip fracture have cognitive impairment. OBJECTIVE: We tested the hypothesis that microvascular diseases of the brain (lacunar infarcts and white matter disease [WMD]), kidney (albuminuria [≥ 30 mg/g creatinine] and albumin creatinine ratio [ACR]), and eye (retinal vascular disorders) attenuate the association of cognitive impairment with hip fracture risk. SETTING: The Cardiovascular Health Cognition Study. PATIENTS: Three thousand, one-hundred six participants (mean age, ∼ 79 y; 8.84 y median follow-up) with cognitive testing. Subsets received ACR testing (n=2389), brain magnetic resonance imaging scans (n = 2094), and retinal photography (n = 1098). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incident hip fracture. RESULTS: There were 488 participants (16%) with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and 564 (18%) with dementia. There were 337 incident hip fractures, of which 19% occurred in participants with MCI and 26% in participants with dementia. Adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval for hip fracture in participants with MCI were 2.45 (1.67-3.61) and for dementia 2.35 (1.57-3.52). With doubling of ACR, the HR for fracture was attenuated in participants with dementia compared with participants with normal cognition [interaction HR 0.70 (0.55-0.91)]. No such effect was found in participants with MCI. Albuminuria, lacunar infarcts, WMD, and retinal vascular disease (RVD) did not modify the association of dementia or MCI with hip fracture risk. CONCLUSIONS: ACR attenuates part of the risk of hip fracture in people with dementia, suggesting that these disorders share a common pathogenesis.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Albuminuria; Creatinine; Dementia; Female; Hip Fractures; Humans; Incidence; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Mild Cognitive Impairment; Neuropsychological Tests; Prospective Studies; Risk

Regular fish consumption and age-related brain gray matter loss. - Raji, Cyrus A; Erickson, Kirk I; Lopez, Oscar L; Kuller, Lewis H; Gach, H Michael; Thompson, Paul M; Riverol, Mario; Becker, James T (Am J Prev Med, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Brain health may be affected by modifiable lifestyle factors; consuming fish and antioxidative omega-3 fatty acids may reduce brain structural abnormality risk. PURPOSE: To determine whether dietary fish consumption is related to brain structural integrity among cognitively normal elders. METHODS: Data were analyzed from 260 cognitively normal individuals from the Cardiovascular Health Study with information on fish consumption from the National Cancer Institute Food Frequency Questionnaire and brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). The relationship between fish consumption data collected in 1989-1990 and brain structural MRI obtained in 1998-1999 was assessed using voxel-based morphometry in multiple regression analyses in 2012. Covariates were age, gender, race, education, white matter lesions, MRI-identified infarcts, waist-hip ratio, and physical activity as assessed by the number of city blocks walked in 1 week. Volumetric changes were further modeled with omega-3 fatty acid estimates to better understand the mechanistic link between fish consumption, brain health, and Alzheimer disease. RESULTS: Weekly consumption of baked or broiled fish was positively associated with gray matter volumes in the hippocampus, precuneus, posterior cingulate, and orbital frontal cortex even after adjusting for covariates. These results did not change when including omega-3 fatty acid estimates in the analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Dietary consumption of baked or broiled fish is related to larger gray matter volumes independent of omega-3 fatty acid content. These findings suggest that a confluence of lifestyle factors influence brain health, adding to the growing body of evidence that prevention strategies for late-life brain health need to begin decades earlier.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Animals; Brain; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diet; Fatty Acids, Omega-3; Female; Fishes; Gray Matter; Humans; Life Style; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Regression Analysis; Surveys and Questionnaires

Relations of plasma total and high-molecular-weight adiponectin to new-onset heart failure in adults ≥65 years of age (from the Cardiovascular Health study). - Karas, Maria G; Benkeser, David; Arnold, Alice M; Bartz, Traci M; Djoussé, Luc; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Ix, Joachim H; Zieman, Susan J; Siscovick, David S; Tracy, Russell P; Mantzoros, Christos S; Gottdiener, John S; et al. (Am J Cardiol, 2014)
Adiponectin exhibits cardioprotective properties in experimental studies, but elevated levels have been linked to increased mortality in older adults and patients with chronic heart failure (HF). The adipokine's association with new-onset HF remains less well defined. The aim of this study was to investigate the associations of total and high-molecular weight (HMW) adiponectin with incident HF (n = 780) and, in a subset, echocardiographic parameters in a community-based cohort of adults aged ≥65 years. Total and HMW adiponectin were measured in 3,228 subjects without prevalent HF, atrial fibrillation or CVD. The relations of total and HMW adiponectin with HF were nonlinear, with significant associations observed only for concentrations greater than the median (12.4 and 6.2 mg/L, respectively). After adjustment for potential confounders, the hazard ratios per SD increment in total adiponectin were 0.93 (95% confidence interval 0.72 to 1.21) for concentrations less than the median and 1.25 (95% confidence interval 1.14 to 1.38) higher than the median. There was a suggestion of effect modification by body mass index, whereby the association appeared strongest in participants with lower body mass indexes. Consistent with the HF findings, higher adiponectin tended to be associated with left ventricular systolic dysfunction and left atrial enlargement. Results were similar for HMW adiponectin. In conclusion, total and HMW adiponectin showed comparable relations with incident HF in this older cohort, with a threshold effect of increasing risk occurring at their median concentrations. High levels of adiponectin may mark or mediate age-related processes that lead to HF in older adults.
Keywords: Adiponectin; Age of Onset; Aged; Biomarkers; Cross-Sectional Studies; Echocardiography, Doppler; Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Heart Failure; Humans; Incidence; Male; Prognosis; Prospective Studies; Recurrence; Severity of Illness Index; United States; Ventricular Function, Left

Relative risks of chronic kidney disease for mortality and end-stage renal disease across races are similar. - Wen, Chi Pang; Matsushita, Kunihiro; Coresh, Josef; Iseki, Kunitoshi; Islam, Muhammad; Katz, Ronit; McClellan, William; Peralta, Carmen A; Wang, Haiyan; de Zeeuw, Dick; Astor, Brad C; Gansevoort, Ron T; et al. (Kidney Int, 2014)
Some suggest race-specific cutpoints for kidney measures to define and stage chronic kidney disease (CKD), but evidence for race-specific clinical impact is limited. To address this issue, we compared hazard ratios of estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) and albuminuria across races using meta-regression in 1.1 million adults (75% Asians, 21% Whites, and 4% Blacks) from 45 cohorts. Results came mainly from 25 general population cohorts comprising 0.9 million individuals. The associations of lower eGFR and higher albuminuria with mortality and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) were largely similar across races. For example, in Asians, Whites, and Blacks, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for eGFR 45-59 versus 90-104 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) were 1.3 (1.2-1.3), 1.1 (1.0-1.2), and 1.3 (1.1-1.7) for all-cause mortality, 1.6 (1.5-1.7), 1.4 (1.2-1.7), and 1.4 (0.7-2.9) for cardiovascular mortality, and 27.6 (11.1-68.7), 11.2 (6.0-20.9), and 4.1 (2.2-7.5) for ESRD, respectively. The corresponding hazard ratios for urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio 30-299 mg/g or dipstick 1+ versus an albumin-to-creatinine ratio under 10 or dipstick negative were 1.6 (1.4-1.8), 1.7 (1.5-1.9), and 1.8 (1.7-2.1) for all-cause mortality, 1.7 (1.4-2.0), 1.8 (1.5-2.1), and 2.8 (2.2-3.6) for cardiovascular mortality, and 7.4 (2.0-27.6), 4.0 (2.8-5.9), and 5.6 (3.4-9.2) for ESRD, respectively. Thus, the relative mortality or ESRD risks of lower eGFR and higher albuminuria were largely similar among three major races, supporting similar clinical approach to CKD definition and staging, across races.
Keywords: Adult; African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Albuminuria; Asian Continental Ancestry Group; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Creatinine; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Kidney Failure, Chronic; Male; Middle Aged; Odds Ratio; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic; Risk Factors

Residential relocation by older adults in response to incident cardiovascular health events: a case-crossover analysis. - Lovasi, Gina S; Richardson, John M; Rodriguez, Carlos J; Kop, Willem J; Ahmed, Ali; Brown, Arleen F; Greenlee, Heather; Siscovick, David S (J Environ Public Health, 2014)
OBJECTIVE: We use a case-crossover analysis to explore the association between incident cardiovascular events and residential relocation to a new home address. METHODS: We conducted an ambidirectional case-crossover analysis to explore the association between incident cardiovascular events and residential relocation to a new address using data from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a community-based prospective cohort study of 5,888 older adults from four U.S. sites beginning in 1989. Relocation was assessed twice a year during follow-up. Event occurrences were classified as present or absent for the period preceding the first reported move, as compared with an equal length of time immediately prior to and following this period. RESULTS: Older adults (65+) that experience incident cardiovascular disease had an increased probability of reporting a change of residence during the following year (OR 1.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.2-2.1). Clinical conditions associated with relocation included stroke (OR: 2.0, 95% CI: 1.2-3.3), angina (OR: 1.6, 95% CI: 1.0-2.6), and congestive heart failure (OR: 1.5, 95% CI: 1.0-2.1). CONCLUSIONS: Major incident cardiovascular disease may increase the probability of residential relocation in older adults. Case-crossover analyses represent an opportunity to investigate triggering events, but finer temporal resolution would be crucial for future research on residential relocations.
Keywords: Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cross-Over Studies; Female; Humans; Incidence; Life Change Events; Logistic Models; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Prospective Studies; Residence Characteristics; United States

Risk factors for cardiovascular disease across the spectrum of older age: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Odden, Michelle C; Shlipak, Michael G; Whitson, Heather E; Katz, Ronit; Kearney, Patricia M; deFilippi, Chris; Shastri, Shani; Sarnak, Mark J; Siscovick, David S; Cushman, Mary; Psaty, Bruce M; Newman, Anne B (Atherosclerosis, 2014)
OBJECTIVE: The associations of some risk factors with cardiovascular disease (CVD) are attenuated in older age; whereas others appear robust. The present study aimed to compare CVD risk factors across older age. METHODS: Participants (n = 4883) in the Cardiovascular Health Study free of prevalent CVD, were stratified into three age groups: 65-74, 75-84, 85+ years. Traditional risk factors included systolic blood pressure (BP), LDL-cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, obesity, and diabetes. Novel risk factors included kidney function, C-reactive protein (CRP), and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT pro-BNP). RESULTS: There were 1498 composite CVD events (stroke, myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death) over 5 years. The associations of high systolic BP and diabetes appeared strongest, though both were attenuated with age (p-values for interaction = 0.01 and 0.002, respectively). The demographic-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for elevated systolic BP were 1.79 (95% confidence interval: 1.49, 2.15), 1.59 (1.37, 1.85) and 1.10 (0.86, 1.41) in participants aged 65-74, 75-84, 85+, and for diabetes, 2.36 (1.89, 2.95), 1.55 (1.27, 1.89), 1.51 (1.10, 2.09). The novel risk factors had consistent associations with the outcome across the age spectrum; low kidney function: 1.69 (1.31, 2.19), 1.61 (1.36, 1.90), and 1.57 (1.16, 2.14) for 65-74, 75-84, and 85+ years, respectively; elevated CRP: 1.54 (1.28, 1.87), 1.33 (1.13, 1.55), and 1.51 (1.15, 1.97); elevated NT pro-BNP: 2.67 (1.96, 3.64), 2.71 (2.25, 3.27), and 2.18 (1.43, 3.45). CONCLUSIONS: The associations of most traditional risk factors with CVD were minimal in the oldest old, whereas diabetes, eGFR, CRP, and NT pro-BNP were associated with CVD across older age.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Blood Pressure; C-Reactive Protein; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cholesterol, HDL; Cholesterol, LDL; Diabetes Complications; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Humans; Inflammation; Kidney; Kidney Diseases; Lipids; Male; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain; Obesity; Peptide Fragments; Risk Factors

A robust method for genome-wide association meta-analysis with the application to circulating insulin-like growth factor I concentrations. - Wang, Tao; Zhou, Baiyu; Guo, Tingwei; Bidlingmaier, Martin; Wallaschofski, Henri; Teumer, Alexander; Vasan, Ramachandran S; Kaplan, Robert C (Genet Epidemiol, 2014)
Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) offer an excellent opportunity to identify the genetic variants underlying complex human diseases. Successful utilization of this approach requires a large sample size to identify single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with subtle effects. Meta-analysis is a cost-efficient means to achieve large sample size by combining data from multiple independent GWAS; however, results from studies performed on different populations can be variable due to various reasons, including varied linkage equilibrium structures as well as gene-gene and gene-environment interactions. Nevertheless, one should expect effects of the SNP are more similar between similar populations than those between populations with quite different genetic and environmental backgrounds. Prior information on populations of GWAS is often not considered in current meta-analysis methods, rendering such analyses less optimal for the detecting association. This article describes a test that improves meta-analysis to incorporate variable heterogeneity among populations. The proposed method is remarkably simple in computation and hence can be performed in a rapid fashion in the setting of GWAS. Simulation results demonstrate the validity and higher power of the proposed method over conventional methods in the presence of heterogeneity. As a demonstration, we applied the test to real GWAS data to identify SNPs associated with circulating insulin-like growth factor I concentrations.
Keywords: Computer Simulation; Genetic Linkage; Genome; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Insulin-Like Growth Factor I; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Models, Genetic; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Sample Size

A self-report risk index to predict occurrence of dementia in three independent cohorts of older adults: the ANU-ADRI. - Anstey, Kaarin J; Cherbuin, Nicolas; Herath, Pushpani M; Qiu, Chengxuan; Kuller, Lewis H; Lopez, Oscar L; Wilson, Robert S; Fratiglioni, Laura (PLoS One, 2014)
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The Australian National University AD Risk Index (ANU-ADRI, http://anuadri.anu.edu.au) is a self-report risk index developed using an evidence-based medicine approach to measure risk of Alzheimer's disease (AD). We aimed to evaluate the extent to which the ANU-ADRI can predict the risk of AD in older adults and to compare the ANU-ADRI to the dementia risk index developed from the Cardiovascular Risk Factors, Aging and Dementia (CAIDE) study for middle-aged cohorts. METHODS: This study included three validation cohorts, i.e., the Rush Memory and Aging Study (MAP) (n = 903, age ≥53 years), the Kungsholmen Project (KP) (n = 905, age ≥75 years), and the Cardiovascular Health Cognition Study (CVHS) (n = 2496, age ≥65 years) that were each followed for dementia. Baseline data were collected on exposure to the 15 risk factors included in the ANU-ADRI of which MAP had 10, KP had 8 and CVHS had 9. Risk scores and C-statistics were computed for individual participants for the ANU-ADRI and the CAIDE index. RESULTS: For the ANU-ADRI using available data, the MAP study c-statistic was 0·637 (95% CI 0·596-0·678), for the KP study it was 0·740 (0·712-0·768) and for the CVHS it was 0·733 (0·691-0·776) for predicting AD. When a common set of risk and protective factors were used c-statistics were 0.689 (95% CI 0.650-0.727), 0.666 (0.628-0.704) and 0.734 (0.707-0.761) for MAP, KP and CVHS respectively. Results for CAIDE ranged from c-statistics of 0.488 (0.427-0.554) to 0.595 (0.565-0.625). CONCLUSION: A composite risk score derived from the ANU-ADRI weights including 8-10 risk or protective factors is a valid, self-report tool to identify those at risk of AD and dementia. The accuracy can be further improved in studies including more risk factors and younger cohorts with long-term follow-up.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Dementia; Female; Humans; Incidence; Male; Middle Aged; Risk; ROC Curve; Self Report

Separate prediction of intracerebral hemorrhage and ischemic stroke. - Ferket, Bart S; van Kempen, Bob J H; Wieberdink, Renske G; Steyerberg, Ewout W; Koudstaal, Peter J; Hofman, Albert; Shahar, Eyal; Gottesman, Rebecca F; Rosamond, Wayne; Kizer, Jorge R; Kronmal, Richard A; Psaty, Bruce M; et al. (Neurology, 2014)
OBJECTIVES: To develop and validate 10-year cumulative incidence functions of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and ischemic stroke (IS). METHODS: We used data on 27,493 participants from 3 population-based cohort studies: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, median age 54 years, 45% male, median follow-up 20.7 years; the Rotterdam Study, median age 68 years, 38% male, median follow-up 14.3 years; and the Cardiovascular Health Study, median age 71 years, 41% male, median follow-up 12.8 years. Among these participants, 325 ICH events, 2,559 IS events, and 9,909 nonstroke deaths occurred. We developed 10-year cumulative incidence functions for ICH and IS using stratified Cox regression and competing risks analysis. Basic models including only established nonlaboratory risk factors were extended with diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio, body mass index, waist-to-hip ratio, and glomerular filtration rate. The cumulative incidence functions' performances were cross-validated in each cohort separately by Harrell C-statistic and calibration plots. RESULTS: High total cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio decreased the ICH rates but increased IS rates (p for difference across stroke types <0.001). For both the ICH and IS models, C statistics increased more by model extension in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities and Cardiovascular Health Study cohorts. Improvements in C statistics were reproduced by cross-validation. Models were well calibrated in all cohorts. Correlations between 10-year ICH and IS risks were moderate in each cohort. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and cross-validated cumulative incidence functions for separate prediction of 10-year ICH and IS risk. These functions can be useful to further specify an individual's stroke risk.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Atherosclerosis; Body Mass Index; Brain Ischemia; Cholesterol; Female; Humans; Incidence; Intracranial Hemorrhages; Male; Middle Aged; Models, Statistical; Predictive Value of Tests; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Stroke

Sequence analysis of six blood pressure candidate regions in 4,178 individuals: the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) targeted sequencing study. - Morrison, Alanna C; Bis, Joshua C; Hwang, Shih-Jen; Ehret, Georg B; Lumley, Thomas; Rice, Kenneth; Muzny, Donna; Gibbs, Richard A; Boerwinkle, Eric; Psaty, Bruce M; Chakravarti, Aravinda; Levy, Daniel (PLoS One, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) identified multiple loci for blood pressure (BP) and hypertension. Six genes--ATP2B1, CACNB2, CYP17A1, JAG1, PLEKHA7, and SH2B3--were evaluated for sequence variation with large effects on systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), pulse pressure (PP), and mean arterial pressure (MAP). METHODS AND RESULTS: Targeted genomic sequence was determined in 4,178 European ancestry participants from the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium. Common variants (≥50 minor allele copies) were evaluated individually and rare variants (minor allele frequency, MAF≤1%) were aggregated by locus. 464 common variants were identified across the 6 genes. An upstream CYP17A1 variant, rs11191416 (MAF = 0.09), was the most significant association for SBP (P = 0.0005); however the association was attenuated (P = 0.0469) after conditioning on the GWAS index single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP). A PLEKHA7 intronic variant was the strongest DBP association (rs12806040, MAF = 0.007, P = 0.0006) and was not in LD (r² = 0.01) with the GWAS SNP. A CACNB2 intronic SNP, rs1571787, was the most significant association with PP (MAF = 0.27, P = 0.0003), but was not independent from the GWAS SNP (r² = 0.34). Three variants (rs6163 and rs743572 in the CYP17A1 region and rs112467382 in PLEKHA7) were associated with BP traits (P<0.001). Rare variation, aggregately assessed in the 6 regions, was not significantly associated with BP measures. CONCLUSION: Six targeted gene regions, previously identified by GWAS, did not harbor novel variation with large effects on BP in this sample.
Keywords: Aging; Blood Pressure; Cohort Studies; Heart; Humans; Sequence Analysis

Sequence variation in TMEM18 in association with body mass index: Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium Targeted Sequencing Study. - Liu, Ching-Ti; Young, Kristin L; Brody, Jennifer A; Olden, Matthias; Wojczynski, Mary K; Heard-Costa, Nancy; Li, Guo; Morrison, Alanna C; Muzny, Donna; Gibbs, Richard A; Reid, Jeffrey G; Shao, Yaming; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Genome-wide association studies for body mass index (BMI) previously identified a locus near TMEM18. We conducted targeted sequencing of this region to investigate the role of common, low-frequency, and rare variants influencing BMI. METHODS AND RESULTS: We sequenced TMEM18 and regions downstream of TMEM18 on chromosome 2 in 3976 individuals of European ancestry from 3 community-based cohorts (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities, Cardiovascular Health Study, and Framingham Heart Study), including 200 adults selected for high BMI. We examined the association between BMI and variants identified in the region from nucleotide position 586 432 to 677 539 (hg18). Rare variants (minor allele frequency, <1%) were analyzed using a burden test and the sequence kernel association test. Results from the 3 cohort studies were meta-analyzed. We estimate that mean BMI is 0.43 kg/m(2) higher for each copy of the G allele of single-nucleotide polymorphism rs7596758 (minor allele frequency, 29%; P=3.46×10(-4)) using a Bonferroni threshold of P<4.6×10(-4). Analyses conditional on previous genome-wide association study single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with BMI in the region led to attenuation of this signal and uncovered another independent (r(2)<0.2), statistically significant association, rs186019316 (P=2.11×10(-4)). Both rs186019316 and rs7596758 or proxies are located in transcription factor binding regions. No significant association with rare variants was found in either the exons of TMEM18 or the 3' genome-wide association study region. CONCLUSIONS: Targeted sequencing around TMEM18 identified 2 novel BMI variants with possible regulatory function.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aging; Body Mass Index; Cohort Studies; Female; Genetic Association Studies; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genomics; Heart Diseases; Humans; Male; Membrane Proteins; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Sequence Analysis, DNA; Young Adult

Sequencing of 2 subclinical atherosclerosis candidate regions in 3669 individuals: Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium Targeted Sequencing Study. - Bis, Joshua C; White, Charles C; Franceschini, Nora; Brody, Jennifer; Zhang, Xiaoling; Muzny, Donna; Santibanez, Jireh; Gibbs, Richard; Liu, Xiaoming; Lin, Honghuang; Boerwinkle, Eric; Psaty, Bruce M; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Atherosclerosis, the precursor to coronary heart disease and stroke, is characterized by an accumulation of fatty cells in the arterial intimal-medial layers. Common carotid intima media thickness (cIMT) and plaque are subclinical atherosclerosis measures that predict cardiovascular disease events. Previously, genome-wide association studies demonstrated evidence for association with cIMT (SLC17A4) and plaque (PIK3CG). METHODS AND RESULTS: We sequenced 120 kb around SLC17A4 (6p22.2) and 251 kb around PIK3CG (7q22.3) among 3669 European ancestry participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), and Framingham Heart Study (FHS) in Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium. Primary analyses focused on 438 common variants (minor allele frequency ≥1%), which were independently meta-analyzed. A 3' untranslated region CCDC71L variant (rs2286149), upstream from PIK3CG, was the most significant finding in cIMT (P=0.00033) and plaque (P=0.0004) analyses. A SLC17A4 intronic variant was also associated with cIMT (P=0.008). Both were in low linkage disequilibrium with the genome-wide association study single nucleotide polymorphisms. Gene-based tests including T1 count and sequence kernel association test for rare variants (minor allele frequency <1%) did not yield statistically significant associations. However, we observed nominal associations for rare variants in CCDC71L and SLC17A3 with cIMT and of the entire 7q22 region with plaque (P=0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Common and rare variants in PIK3CG and SLC17A4 regions demonstrated modest association with subclinical atherosclerosis traits. Although not conclusive, these findings may help to understand the genetic architecture of regions previously implicated by genome-wide association studies and identify variants within these regions for further investigation in larger samples.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Atherosclerosis; Class Ib Phosphatidylinositol 3-Kinase; Cohort Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genomics; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Sequence Analysis, DNA; Sodium-Phosphate Cotransporter Proteins, Type I

Sequencing of SCN5A identifies rare and common variants associated with cardiac conduction: Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium. - Magnani, Jared W; Brody, Jennifer A; Prins, Bram P; Arking, Dan E; Lin, Honghuang; Yin, Xiaoyan; Liu, Ching-Ti; Morrison, Alanna C; Zhang, Feng; Spector, Tim D; Alonso, Alvaro; Bis, Joshua C; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2014)
BACKGROUND: The cardiac sodium channel SCN5A regulates atrioventricular and ventricular conduction. Genetic variants in this gene are associated with PR and QRS intervals. We sought to characterize further the contribution of rare and common coding variation in SCN5A to cardiac conduction. METHODS AND RESULTS: In Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium Targeted Sequencing Study, we performed targeted exonic sequencing of SCN5A (n=3699, European ancestry individuals) and identified 4 common (minor allele frequency >1%) and 157 rare variants. Common and rare SCN5A coding variants were examined for association with PR and QRS intervals through meta-analysis of European ancestry participants from CHARGE, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute's Exome Sequencing Project (n=607), and the UK10K (n=1275) and by examining Exome Sequencing Project African ancestry participants (n=972). Rare coding SCN5A variants in aggregate were associated with PR interval in European and African ancestry participants (P=1.3×10(-3)). Three common variants were associated with PR and QRS interval duration among European ancestry participants and one among African ancestry participants. These included 2 well-known missense variants: rs1805124 (H558R) was associated with PR and QRS shortening in European ancestry participants (P=6.25×10(-4) and P=5.2×10(-3), respectively) and rs7626962 (S1102Y) was associated with PR shortening in those of African ancestry (P=2.82×10(-3)). Among European ancestry participants, 2 novel synonymous variants, rs1805126 and rs6599230, were associated with cardiac conduction. Our top signal, rs1805126 was associated with PR and QRS lengthening (P=3.35×10(-7) and P=2.69×10(-4), respectively) and rs6599230 was associated with PR shortening (P=2.67×10(-5)). CONCLUSIONS: By sequencing SCN5A, we identified novel common and rare coding variants associated with cardiac conduction.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Cohort Studies; Female; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genomics; Heart Conduction System; Heart Diseases; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; NAV1.5 Voltage-Gated Sodium Channel; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Sequence Analysis, DNA

Serum carboxymethyl-lysine, disability, and frailty in older persons: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Whitson, Heather E; Arnold, Alice M; Yee, Laura M; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Kizer, Jorge R; Djoussé, Luc; Ix, Joachim H; Siscovick, David; Tracy, Russell P; Thielke, Stephen M; Hirsch, Calvin; Newman, Anne B; et al. (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Advanced glycation endproducts are biologically active compounds that accumulate in disordered metabolism and normal aging. Carboxymethyl-lysine (CML), a ubiquitous human advanced glycation endproduct, has been associated with age-related conditions and mortality. Our objective was to ascertain the relationship between CML and geriatric outcomes (disability and frailty) in a large cohort of older men and women. METHODS: In 1996-1997, serum CML was measured in 3,373 Cardiovascular Health Study participants (mean age 78.1 ± 4.8 years). Disability, defined as difficulty in any of six activities of daily living, was assessed every 6-12 months for 14 years. Frailty was defined according to five standard criteria at the 1996-1997 visit. Cox proportional hazard models estimated the relationship between CML and incident disability (N = 2,643). Logistic regression models estimated the relationship between CML and prevalent frailty. RESULTS: Adjusting for multiple potential confounders, higher CML was associated with incident disability (hazard ratio per standard deviation [225 ng/mL] increase: 1.05, 95% CI 1.01-1.11). In men, odds of frailty increased with higher CML values (odds ratio = 1.30 per standard deviation, 95% CI 1.14-1.48), but the relationship was attenuated by adjustment for cognitive status, kidney function, and arthritis. CML was not associated with frailty in women. CONCLUSIONS: Higher serum CML levels in late life are associated with incident disability and prevalent frailty. Further work is needed to understand CML's value as a risk stratifier, biomarker, or target for interventions that promote healthy aging.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Biomarkers; Cardiac Rehabilitation; Cardiovascular Diseases; Disabled Persons; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Frail Elderly; Health Status; Humans; Incidence; Lysine; Male; Prevalence; Prognosis; Retrospective Studies; United States

Shared genetic susceptibility to ischemic stroke and coronary artery disease: a genome-wide analysis of common variants. - Dichgans, Martin; Malik, Rainer; König, Inke R; Rosand, Jonathan; Clarke, Robert; Gretarsdottir, Solveig; Thorleifsson, Gudmar; Mitchell, Braxton D; Assimes, Themistocles L; Levi, Christopher; O'Donnell, Christopher J; Fornage, Myriam; et al. (Stroke, 2014)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Ischemic stroke (IS) and coronary artery disease (CAD) share several risk factors and each has a substantial heritability. We conducted a genome-wide analysis to evaluate the extent of shared genetic determination of the two diseases. METHODS: Genome-wide association data were obtained from the METASTROKE, Coronary Artery Disease Genome-wide Replication and Meta-analysis (CARDIoGRAM), and Coronary Artery Disease (C4D) Genetics consortia. We first analyzed common variants reaching a nominal threshold of significance (P<0.01) for CAD for their association with IS and vice versa. We then examined specific overlap across phenotypes for variants that reached a high threshold of significance. Finally, we conducted a joint meta-analysis on the combined phenotype of IS or CAD. Corresponding analyses were performed restricted to the 2167 individuals with the ischemic large artery stroke (LAS) subtype. RESULTS: Common variants associated with CAD at P<0.01 were associated with a significant excess risk for IS and for LAS and vice versa. Among the 42 known genome-wide significant loci for CAD, 3 and 5 loci were significantly associated with IS and LAS, respectively. In the joint meta-analyses, 15 loci passed genome-wide significance (P<5×10(-8)) for the combined phenotype of IS or CAD and 17 loci passed genome-wide significance for LAS or CAD. Because these loci had prior evidence for genome-wide significance for CAD, we specifically analyzed the respective signals for IS and LAS and found evidence for association at chr12q24/SH2B3 (PIS=1.62×10(-7)) and ABO (PIS=2.6×10(-4)), as well as at HDAC9 (PLAS=2.32×10(-12)), 9p21 (PLAS=3.70×10(-6)), RAI1-PEMT-RASD1 (PLAS=2.69×10(-5)), EDNRA (PLAS=7.29×10(-4)), and CYP17A1-CNNM2-NT5C2 (PLAS=4.9×10(-4)). CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate substantial overlap in the genetic risk of IS and particularly the LAS subtype with CAD.
Keywords: Brain Ischemia; Coronary Artery Disease; Data Interpretation, Statistical; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Reproducibility of Results; Risk Factors; Stroke

Simple biologically informed inflammatory index of two serum cytokines predicts 10 year all-cause mortality in older adults. - Varadhan, Ravi; Yao, Wenliang; Matteini, Amy; Beamer, Brock A; Xue, Qian-Li; Yang, Huanle; Manwani, Bhavish; Reiner, Alexander; Jenny, Nancy; Parekh, Neel; Fallin, M Daniele; Newman, Anne; et al. (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Individual measurements of inflammation have been utilized to assess adverse outcomes risk in older adults with varying degrees of success. This study was designed to identify biologically informed, aggregate measures of inflammation for optimal risk assessment and to inform further biological study of inflammatory pathways. METHODS: In total, 15 nuclear factor-kappa B-mediated pathway markers of inflammation were first measured in baseline serum samples of 1,155 older participants in the InCHIANTI population. Of these, C-reactive protein, interleukin-1-receptor antagonist, interleukin-6, interleukin-18, and soluble tumor necrosis factor-α receptor-1 were independent predictors of 5-year mortality. These five inflammatory markers were measured in baseline serum samples of 5,600 Cardiovascular Health Study participants. A weighted summary score, the first principal component summary score, and an inflammation index score were developed from these five log-transformed inflammatory markers, and their prediction of 10-year all-cause mortality was evaluated in Cardiovascular Health Study and then validated in InCHIANTI. RESULTS: The inflammation index score that included interleukin-6 and soluble tumor necrosis factor-α receptor-1 was the best predictor of 10-year all-cause mortality in Cardiovascular Health Study, after adjusting for age, sex, education, race, smoking, and body mass index (hazards ratio = 1.62; 95% CI: 1.54, 1.70) compared with all other single and combined measures. The inflammation index score was also the best predictor of mortality in the InCHIANTI validation study (hazards ratio 1.33; 95% CI: 1.17-1.52). Stratification by sex and CVD status further strengthened the association of inflammation index score with mortality. CONCLUSION: A simple additive index of serum interleukin-6 and soluble tumor necrosis factor-α receptor-1 best captures the effect of chronic inflammation on mortality in older adults among the 15 biomarkers measured.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Biomarkers; C-Reactive Protein; Cohort Studies; Female; Humans; Inflammation; Interleukin 1 Receptor Antagonist Protein; Interleukin-18; Interleukin-6; Longevity; Male; Receptors, Tumor Necrosis Factor, Type I; Risk Factors

Sleep duration does not mediate or modify association of common genetic variants with type 2 diabetes. - Tare, Archana; Lane, Jacqueline M; Cade, Brian E; Grant, Struan F A; Chen, Ting-Hsu; Punjabi, Naresh M; Lauderdale, Diane S; Zee, Phyllis C; Gharib, Sina A; Gottlieb, Daniel J; Scheer, Frank A J L; Redline, Susan; et al. (Diabetologia, 2014)
AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Short and long sleep duration are associated with increased risk of type 2 diabetes. We aimed to investigate whether genetic variants for fasting glucose or type 2 diabetes associate with short or long sleep duration and whether sleep duration modifies the association of genetic variants with these traits. METHODS: We examined the cross-sectional relationship between self-reported habitual sleep duration and prevalence of type 2 diabetes in individuals of European descent participating in five studies included in the Candidate Gene Association Resource (CARe), totalling 1,474 cases and 8,323 controls. We tested for association of 16 fasting glucose-associated variants, 27 type 2 diabetes-associated variants and aggregate genetic risk scores with continuous and dichotomised (≤5 h or ≥9 h) sleep duration using regression models adjusted for age, sex and BMI. Finally, we tested whether a gene × behaviour interaction of variants with sleep duration had an impact on fasting glucose or type 2 diabetes risk. RESULTS: Short sleep duration was significantly associated with type 2 diabetes in CARe (OR 1.32; 95% CI 1.08, 1.61; p = 0.008). Variants previously associated with fasting glucose or type 2 diabetes and genetic risk scores were not associated with sleep duration. Furthermore, no study-wide significant interaction was observed between sleep duration and these variants on glycaemic traits. Nominal interactions were observed for sleep duration and PPARG rs1801282, CRY2 rs7943320 and HNF1B rs4430796 in influencing risk of type 2 diabetes (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Our findings suggest that differences in habitual sleep duration do not mediate or modify the relationship between common variants underlying glycaemic traits (including in circadian rhythm genes) and diabetes.
Keywords: Blood Glucose; Body Composition; Body Mass Index; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; European Continental Ancestry Group; Fasting; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genetic Variation; Genotype; Glucose Intolerance; Glycated Hemoglobin A; Humans; Insulin Resistance; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk Factors; Sleep; Surveys and Questionnaires; Time Factors; United States

Strategies to design and analyze targeted sequencing data: cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium Targeted Sequencing Study. - Lin, Honghuang; Wang, Min; Brody, Jennifer A; Bis, Joshua C; Dupuis, Josée; Lumley, Thomas; McKnight, Barbara; Rice, Kenneth M; Sitlani, Colleen M; Reid, Jeffrey G; Bressler, Jan; Liu, Xiaoming; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Genome-wide association studies have identified thousands of genetic variants that influence a variety of diseases and health-related quantitative traits. However, the causal variants underlying the majority of genetic associations remain unknown. Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium Targeted Sequencing Study aims to follow up genome-wide association study signals and identify novel associations of the allelic spectrum of identified variants with cardiovascular-related traits. METHODS AND RESULTS: The study included 4231 participants from 3 CHARGE cohorts: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, the Cardiovascular Health Study, and the Framingham Heart Study. We used a case-cohort design in which we selected both a random sample of participants and participants with extreme phenotypes for each of 14 traits. We sequenced and analyzed 77 genomic loci, which had previously been associated with ≥1 of 14 phenotypes. A total of 52 736 variants were characterized by sequencing and passed our stringent quality control criteria. For common variants (minor allele frequency ≥1%), we performed unweighted regression analyses to obtain P values for associations and weighted regression analyses to obtain effect estimates that accounted for the sampling design. For rare variants, we applied 2 approaches: collapsed aggregate statistics and joint analysis of variants using the sequence kernel association test. CONCLUSIONS: We sequenced 77 genomic loci in participants from 3 cohorts. We established a set of filters to identify high-quality variants and implemented statistical and bioinformatics strategies to analyze the sequence data and identify potentially functional variants within genome-wide association study loci.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Cohort Studies; Female; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genomics; Heart Diseases; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Research Design; Sequence Analysis, DNA

Subclinical hypothyroidism, weight change, and body composition in the elderly: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Garin, Margaret C; Arnold, Alice M; Lee, Jennifer S; Tracy, Russell P; Cappola, Anne R (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Subclinical hypothyroidism is common in the elderly, yet its relationship with weight and body composition is unclear. OBJECTIVE: We examined the relationship between subclinical hypothyroidism and weight change and body composition in older adults. METHODS: A total of 427 subclinically hypothyroid and 2864 euthyroid U.S. individuals ≥65 years old enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study and not taking thyroid preparations were included. Analyses of 6-year weight change were performed, compared by thyroid status. A cross-sectional analysis of thyroid status and body composition was performed in a subset of 1276 participants who had dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry scans. Models were risk factor-adjusted and stratified by sex. RESULTS: Overall, participants lost weight during follow-up (-0.38 kg/y in men, -0.37 kg/y in women). Subclinical hypothyroidism, when assessed at a single time point or persisting over 2 years, was not associated with a difference in weight change compared with euthyroidism. Subclinical hypothyroidism was also not associated with differences in lean mass, fat mass, or percent fat compared with euthyroidism. A TSH level 1 mU/L higher within the euthyroid or subclinical hypothyroid range was associated with a 0.51-kg higher baseline weight in women only (P < .001) but not with weight change in either sex. A 1 ng/dL higher free T4 level was associated with lower baseline weight and 0.32 kg/y greater weight loss in women only (P = .003). Baseline weight and weight change did not differ by T3 levels. CONCLUSIONS: Our data do not support a clinically significant impact of subclinical hypothyroidism on weight status in the elderly.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Asymptomatic Diseases; Body Composition; Body Mass Index; Cohort Studies; Female; Humans; Hypothyroidism; Male; Thyroid Gland; Weight Loss

Subclinical thyroid dysfunction and hip fracture and bone mineral density in older adults: the cardiovascular health study. - Garin, Margaret C; Arnold, Alice M; Lee, Jennifer S; Robbins, John; Cappola, Anne R (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Subclinical thyroid dysfunction is common in the elderly, yet its relationship with hip fracture and bone mineral density (BMD) is unclear. OBJECTIVE: We examined the association between endogenous subclinical hyper- and hypothyroidism and hip fracture and BMD in older adults. METHODS: A total of 4936 US individuals 65 years old or older enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study and not taking thyroid preparations were included. Analyses of incident hip fracture were performed by thyroid status, over a median follow-up of 12 years. A cross-sectional analysis of thyroid status and BMD was performed in a subset of 1317 participants who had dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry scans. Models were adjusted for risk factors and stratified by sex. RESULTS: No association was found between subclinical hypothyroidism and incident hip fracture compared with euthyroidism, when assessed at a single time point or persisting at two time points, in either women [hazard ratio (HR) 0.91, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69-1.20 for a single and HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.52-1.21 for two time points] or men (HR 1.27, 95% CI 0.82-1.95 for a single and HR 1.09, 95% CI 0.57-2.10 for two time points). Likewise, no association was found between subclinical hyperthyroidism and incident hip fracture in either sex (HR 1.11, 95% CI 0.55-2.25 in women and HR 1.78, 95% CI 0.56-5.66 in men). No association was found between subclinical thyroid dysfunction and BMD at the lumbar spine, total hip, or femoral neck sites. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest no association between subclinical hypothyroidism or subclinical hyperthyroidism and hip fracture risk or BMD in older men and women. Additional data are needed to improve the precision of estimates for subclinical hyperthyroidism and in men.
Keywords: Absorptiometry, Photon; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Asymptomatic Diseases; Bone Density; Cardiovascular System; Cohort Studies; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Hip Fractures; Humans; Male; Osteoporotic Fractures; Risk Factors; Sex Factors; Thyroid Diseases

Subclinical vascular disease burden and longer survival. - Odden, Michelle C; Yee, Laura M; Arnold, Alice M; Sanders, Jason L; Hirsch, Calvin; DeFilippi, Christopher; Kizer, Jorge R; Inzitari, Marco; Newman, Anne B (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2014)
OBJECTIVES: To determine the contribution of gradations of subclinical vascular disease (SVD) to the likelihood of longer survival and to determine what allows some individuals with SVD to live longer. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals born between June 30, 1918, and June 30, 1921 (N = 2,082; aged 70-75 at baseline (1992-93)). MEASUREMENTS: A SVD index was scored as 0 for no abnormalities, 1 for mild abnormalities, and 2 for severe abnormalities on ankle-arm index, electrocardiogram, and common carotid intima-media thickness measured at baseline. Survival groups were categorized as 80 and younger, 81 to 84, 85 to 89, and 90 and older. RESULTS: A 1-point lower SVD score was associated with 1.22 greater odds (95% confidence interval = 1.14-1.31) of longer survival, independent of potential confounders. This association was unchanged after adjustment for intermediate incident cardiovascular events. There was suggestion of an interaction between kidney function, smoking, and C-reactive protein and SVD; the association between SVD and longer survival appeared to be modestly greater in persons with poor kidney function, inflammation, or a history of smoking. CONCLUSION: A lower burden of SVD is associated with longer survival, independent of intermediate cardiovascular events. Abstinence from smoking, better kidney function, and lower inflammation may attenuate the effects of higher SVD and promote longer survival.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; C-Reactive Protein; Carotid Intima-Media Thickness; Cohort Studies; Cystatin C; Depression; Diabetes Mellitus; Electrocardiography; Female; Humans; Inflammation; Kidney Diseases; Male; Smoking; Survival Analysis; United States; Vascular Diseases

Systolic and diastolic blood pressure, incident cardiovascular events, and death in elderly persons: the role of functional limitation in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Peralta, Carmen A; Katz, Ronit; Newman, Anne B; Psaty, Bruce M; Odden, Michelle C (Hypertension, 2014)
Whether limitation in the ability to perform activities of daily living (ADL) or gait speed can identify elders in whom the association of systolic and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) with cardiovascular events (CVDs) and death differs is unclear. We evaluated whether limitation in ADL or gait speed modifies the association of systolic blood pressure or DBP with incident CVD (n=2358) and death (n=3547) in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Mean age was 78±5 and 21% reported limitation in ≥1 ADL. There were 778 CVD and 1289 deaths over 9 years. Among persons without and those with ADL limitation, systolic blood pressure was associated with incident CVD: hazard ratio [HR] (per 10-mm Hg increase) 1.08 (95% confidence interval, 1.03, 1.13) and 1.06 (0.97, 1.17), respectively. ADL modified the association of DBP with incident CVD. Among those without ADL limitation, DBP was weakly associated with incident CVD, HR 1.04 (0.79, 1.37) for DBP >80, compared with <65 mm Hg. Among those with ADL limitation, DBP was inversely associated with CVD: HR 0.65 (0.44, 0.96) for DBP 66 to 80 mm Hg and HR 0.49 (0.25, 0.94) for DBP >80, compared with DBP ≤65. Among people with ADL limitation, a DBP of 66 to 80 had the lowest risk of death, HR 0.72 (0.57, 0.91), compared with a DBP of ≤65. Associations did not vary by 15-feet walking speed. ADL can identify elders in whom diastolic hypotension is associated with higher cardiovascular risk and death. Functional status, rather than chronologic age alone, should inform design of hypertension trials in elders.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Blood Pressure; Cardiovascular Diseases; Diastole; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Gait; Heart Rate; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Risk Factors; Survival Rate; Systole

Targeted sequencing in candidate genes for atrial fibrillation: the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Targeted Sequencing Study. - Lin, Honghuang; Sinner, Moritz F; Brody, Jennifer A; Arking, Dan E; Lunetta, Kathryn L; Rienstra, Michiel; Lubitz, Steven A; Magnani, Jared W; Sotoodehnia, Nona; McKnight, Barbara; McManus, David D; Boerwinkle, Eric; et al. (Heart Rhythm, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified common genetic variants that predispose to atrial fibrillation (AF). It is unclear whether rare and low-frequency variants in genes implicated by such GWAS confer additional risk of AF. OBJECTIVE: To study the association of genetic variants with AF at GWAS top loci. METHODS: In the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Targeted Sequencing Study, we selected and sequenced 77 target gene regions from GWAS loci of complex diseases or traits, including 4 genes hypothesized to be related to AF (PRRX1, CAV1, CAV2, and ZFHX3). Sequencing was performed in participants with (n = 948) and without (n = 3330) AF from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, the Cardiovascular Health Study, the Framingham Heart Study, and the Massachusetts General Hospital. RESULTS: One common variant (rs11265611; P = 1.70 × 10(-6)) intronic to IL6R (interleukin-6 receptor gene) was significantly associated with AF after Bonferroni correction (odds ratio 0.70; 95% confidence interval 0.58-0.85). The variant was not genotyped or imputed by prior GWAS, but it is in linkage disequilibrium (r(2) = .69) with the single-nucleotide polymorphism, with the strongest association with AF so far at this locus (rs4845625). In the rare variant joint analysis, damaging variants within the PRRX1 region showed significant association with AF after Bonferroni correction (P = .01). CONCLUSIONS: We identified 1 common single-nucleotide polymorphism and 1 gene region that were significantly associated with AF. Future sequencing efforts with larger sample sizes and more comprehensive genome coverage are anticipated to identify additional AF-related variants.
Keywords: Aged; Atrial Fibrillation; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Homeodomain Proteins; Humans; Linkage Disequilibrium; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Receptors, Interleukin-6

Telomere length and the risk of atrial fibrillation: insights into the role of biological versus chronological aging. - Roberts, Jason D; Dewland, Thomas A; Longoria, James; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Ziv, Elad; Hu, Donglei; Lin, Jue; Glidden, David V; Psaty, Bruce M; Burchard, Esteban G; Blackburn, Elizabeth H; Olgin, Jeffrey E; et al. (Circ Arrhythm Electrophysiol, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Advanced age is the most important risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF); however, the mechanism remains unknown. Telomeres, regions of DNA that shorten with cell division, are considered reliable markers of biological aging. We sought to examine the association between leukocyte telomere length (LTL) and incident AF in a large population-based cohort using direct LTL measurements and genetic data. To further explore our findings, we compared atrial cell telomere length and LTL in cardiac surgery patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: Mean LTL and the TERT rs2736100 single nucleotide polymorphism were assessed as predictors of incident AF in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). Among the surgical patients, within subject comparison of atrial cell telomere length versus LTL was assessed. Among 1639 CHS participants, we observed no relationship between mean LTL and incident AF before and after adjustment for potential confounders (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.09; 95% confidence interval: 0.92-1.29; P=0.299); chronologic age remained strongly associated with AF in the same model. No association was observed between the TERT rs2736100 single nucleotide polymorphism and incident AF (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.95; 95% confidence interval: 0.88-1.04; P=0.265). In 35 cardiac surgery patients (26 with AF), atrial cell telomere length was longer than LTL (1.19 ± 0.20 versus 1.02 ± 0.25 [T/S ratio], P<0.001), a finding that remained consistent within the AF subgroup. CONCLUSIONS: Our study revealed no evidence of an association between LTL and incident AF and no evidence of relative atrial cell telomere shortening in AF. Chronological aging independent of biological markers of aging is the primary risk factor for AF.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Aging; Atrial Fibrillation; California; Cardiac Surgical Procedures; Cellular Senescence; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Humans; Incidence; Leukocytes; Male; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Telomerase; Telomere; Time Factors

Testosterone and dihydrotestosterone and incident ischaemic stroke in men in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Shores, Molly M; Arnold, Alice M; Biggs, Mary L; Longstreth, W T; Smith, Nicholas L; Kizer, Jorge R; Cappola, Anne R; Hirsch, Calvin H; Marck, Brett T; Matsumoto, Alvin M (Clin Endocrinol (Oxf), 2014)
OBJECTIVE: Ischaemic stroke is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in elderly men. Our main objective was to examine whether testosterone (T) or dihydrotestosterone (DHT) was associated with incident ischaemic stroke in elderly men. DESIGN: Cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Elderly men in the Cardiovascular Health Study who had no history of stroke, heart disease or prostate cancer as of 1994 and were followed until December 2010. MEASUREMENTS: Adjudicated ischaemic stroke. RESULTS: Among 1032 men (mean age 76, range 66-97), followed for a median of 10 years, 114 had an incident ischaemic stroke. Total T and free T were not significantly associated with stroke risk, while DHT had a nonlinear association with incident stroke (P = 0·006) in analyses adjusted for stroke risk factors. The lowest risk of stroke was at DHT levels of 50-75 ng/dl, with greater risk of stroke at DHT levels above 75 ng/dl or below 50 ng/dl. Results were unchanged when SHBG was added to the model. Calculated free DHT had an inverse linear association with incident ischaemic stroke with HR 0·77 (95% CI, 0·61, 0·98) per standard deviation in analyses adjusted for stroke risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Dihydrotestosterone had a nonlinear association with stroke risk in which there was an optimal DHT level associated with the lowest stroke risk. Further studies are needed to confirm these results and to clarify whether there is an optimal androgen range associated with the least risk of adverse outcomes in elderly men.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Brain Ischemia; Cardiovascular Physiological Phenomena; Dihydrotestosterone; Health; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Stroke; Testosterone

Testosterone, dihydrotestosterone, and incident cardiovascular disease and mortality in the cardiovascular health study. - Shores, Molly M; Biggs, Mary L; Arnold, Alice M; Smith, Nicholas L; Longstreth, W T; Kizer, Jorge R; Hirsch, Calvin H; Cappola, Anne R; Matsumoto, Alvin M (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2014)
CONTEXT: Low testosterone (T) is associated with prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality. DHT, a more potent androgen, may also be associated with CVD and mortality, but few studies have examined this. OBJECTIVE: The study objective was to examine whether T and DHT are risk factors for incident CVD and mortality. DESIGN: In a longitudinal cohort study, we evaluated whether total T, calculated free T (cFT), DHT, and calculated free DHT were associated with incident CVD and mortality in men in the Cardiovascular Health Study (mean age 76, range 66-97 years) who were free of CVD at the time of blood collection. MAIN OUTCOME: The main outcomes were incident CVD and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Among 1032 men followed for a median of 9 years, 436 incident CVD events and 777 deaths occurred. In models adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors, total T and cFT were not associated with incident CVD or all-cause mortality, whereas DHT and calculated free DHT had curvilinear associations with incident CVD (P < .002 and P = .04, respectively) and all-cause mortality (P < .001 for both). CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of elderly men, DHT and calculated free DHT were associated with incident CVD and all-cause mortality. Further studies are needed to confirm these results and to clarify the underlying physiologic mechanisms.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cause of Death; Dihydrotestosterone; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Mortality; Residence Characteristics; Risk Factors; Testosterone

Thyroid antibody status, subclinical hypothyroidism, and the risk of coronary heart disease: an individual participant data analysis. - Collet, Tinh-Hai; Bauer, Douglas C; Cappola, Anne R; Asvold, Bjørn O; Weiler, Stefan; Vittinghoff, Eric; Gussekloo, Jacobijn; Bremner, Alexandra; den Elzen, Wendy P J; Maciel, Rui M B; Vanderpump, Mark P J; Cornuz, Jacques; et al. (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2014)
CONTEXT: Subclinical hypothyroidism has been associated with increased risk of coronary heart disease (CHD), particularly with thyrotropin levels of 10.0 mIU/L or greater. The measurement of thyroid antibodies helps predict the progression to overt hypothyroidism, but it is unclear whether thyroid autoimmunity independently affects CHD risk. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to compare the CHD risk of subclinical hypothyroidism with and without thyroid peroxidase antibodies (TPOAbs). DATA SOURCES AND STUDY SELECTION: A MEDLINE and EMBASE search from 1950 to 2011 was conducted for prospective cohorts, reporting baseline thyroid function, antibodies, and CHD outcomes. DATA EXTRACTION: Individual data of 38 274 participants from six cohorts for CHD mortality followed up for 460 333 person-years and 33 394 participants from four cohorts for CHD events. DATA SYNTHESIS: Among 38 274 adults (median age 55 y, 63% women), 1691 (4.4%) had subclinical hypothyroidism, of whom 775 (45.8%) had positive TPOAbs. During follow-up, 1436 participants died of CHD and 3285 had CHD events. Compared with euthyroid individuals, age- and gender-adjusted risks of CHD mortality in subclinical hypothyroidism were similar among individuals with and without TPOAbs [hazard ratio (HR) 1.15, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.87-1.53 vs HR 1.26, CI 1.01-1.58, P for interaction = .62], as were risks of CHD events (HR 1.16, CI 0.87-1.56 vs HR 1.26, CI 1.02-1.56, P for interaction = .65). Risks of CHD mortality and events increased with higher thyrotropin, but within each stratum, risks did not differ by TPOAb status. CONCLUSIONS: CHD risk associated with subclinical hypothyroidism did not differ by TPOAb status, suggesting that biomarkers of thyroid autoimmunity do not add independent prognostic information for CHD outcomes.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Autoantibodies; Coronary Disease; Female; Humans; Hypothyroidism; Incidence; Male; Middle Aged; Prevalence; Prognosis; Risk Factors; Seroepidemiologic Studies; Severity of Illness Index; Young Adult

Trans-ethnic meta-analysis of white blood cell phenotypes. - Keller, Margaux F; Reiner, Alexander P; Okada, Yukinori; van Rooij, Frank J A; Johnson, Andrew D; Chen, Ming-Huei; Smith, Albert V; Morris, Andrew P; Tanaka, Toshiko; Ferrucci, Luigi; Zonderman, Alan B; Lettre, Guillaume; et al. (Hum Mol Genet, 2014)
White blood cell (WBC) count is a common clinical measure used as a predictor of certain aspects of human health, including immunity and infection status. WBC count is also a complex trait that varies among individuals and ancestry groups. Differences in linkage disequilibrium structure and heterogeneity in allelic effects are expected to play a role in the associations observed between populations. Prior genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analyses have identified genomic loci associated with WBC and its subtypes, but much of the heritability of these phenotypes remains unexplained. Using GWAS summary statistics for over 50 000 individuals from three diverse populations (Japanese, African-American and European ancestry), a Bayesian model methodology was employed to account for heterogeneity between ancestry groups. This approach was used to perform a trans-ethnic meta-analysis of total WBC, neutrophil and monocyte counts. Ten previously known associations were replicated and six new loci were identified, including several regions harboring genes related to inflammation and immune cell function. Ninety-five percent credible interval regions were calculated to narrow the association signals and fine-map the putatively causal variants within loci. Finally, a conditional analysis was performed on the most significant SNPs identified by the trans-ethnic meta-analysis (MA), and nine secondary signals within loci previously associated with WBC or its subtypes were identified. This work illustrates the potential of trans-ethnic analysis and ascribes a critical role to multi-ethnic cohorts and consortia in exploring complex phenotypes with respect to variants that lie outside the European-biased GWAS pool.
Keywords: African Americans; Asian Continental Ancestry Group; Bayes Theorem; European Continental Ancestry Group; Genome, Human; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Humans; Leukocyte Count; Leukocytes; Linkage Disequilibrium; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Quantitative Trait Loci

Troponin T, NT-proBNP, and venous thromboembolism: the Longitudinal Investigation of Thromboembolism Etiology (LITE). - Folsom, Aaron R; Lutsey, Pamela L; Nambi, Vijay; deFilippi, Christopher R; Heckbert, Susan R; Cushman, Mary; Ballantyne, Christie M (Vasc Med, 2014)
Increased levels of plasma troponins and natriuretic peptides are markers of cardiac dysfunction associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease. Little information exists on cardiac dysfunction and occurrence of venous thromboembolism (VTE). In two prospective epidemiological cohorts, we tested the hypothesis that high-sensitivity troponin T (TnT) and N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) are associated positively with VTE occurrence. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) measured plasma TnT and NT-proBNP in 13,719 men or women with no history of venous thrombosis, coronary heart disease, or heart failure and followed them for approximately 10 years for VTE occurrence (n = 348 VTEs). In both ARIC and CHS, TnT was associated positively with incidence of total VTE and provoked VTE, but not with unprovoked VTE: age, race, and sex-adjusted hazard ratios for total VTE in the pooled analysis were 1.00, 0.85, 1.36, 1.51, and 1.98 (p-trend <0.0001) across five categories of TnT. In contrast, the association of NT-proBNP with VTE was positive in ARIC (hazard ratios approximately 2.5-fold for the highest versus lowest NT-proBNP quintiles), but non-existent in CHS.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Atherosclerosis; Biomarkers; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Middle Aged; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain; Peptide Fragments; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Troponin T; Venous Thromboembolism

A variant of sparse partial least squares for variable selection and data exploration. - Olson Hunt, Megan J; Weissfeld, Lisa; Boudreau, Robert M; Aizenstein, Howard; Newman, Anne B; Simonsick, Eleanor M; Van Domelen, Dane R; Thomas, Fridtjof; Yaffe, Kristine; Rosano, Caterina (Front Neuroinform, 2014)
When data are sparse and/or predictors multicollinear, current implementation of sparse partial least squares (SPLS) does not give estimates for non-selected predictors nor provide a measure of inference. In response, an approach termed "all-possible" SPLS is proposed, which fits a SPLS model for all tuning parameter values across a set grid. Noted is the percentage of time a given predictor is chosen, as well as the average non-zero parameter estimate. Using a "large" number of multicollinear predictors, simulation confirmed variables not associated with the outcome were least likely to be chosen as sparsity increased across the grid of tuning parameters, while the opposite was true for those strongly associated. Lastly, variables with a weak association were chosen more often than those with no association, but less often than those with a strong relationship to the outcome. Similarly, predictors most strongly related to the outcome had the largest average parameter estimate magnitude, followed by those with a weak relationship, followed by those with no relationship. Across two independent studies regarding the relationship between volumetric MRI measures and a cognitive test score, this method confirmed a priori hypotheses about which brain regions would be selected most often and have the largest average parameter estimates. In conclusion, the percentage of time a predictor is chosen is a useful measure for ordering the strength of the relationship between the independent and dependent variables, serving as a form of inference. The average parameter estimates give further insight regarding the direction and strength of association. As a result, all-possible SPLS gives more information than the dichotomous output of traditional SPLS, making it useful when undertaking data exploration and hypothesis generation for a large number of potential predictors.

Vitamin D and the risk of dementia and Alzheimer disease. - Littlejohns, Thomas J; Henley, William E; Lang, Iain A; Annweiler, Cedric; Beauchet, Olivier; Chaves, Paulo H M; Fried, Linda; Kestenbaum, Bryan R; Kuller, Lewis H; Langa, Kenneth M; Lopez, Oscar L; Kos, Katarina; et al. (Neurology, 2014)
OBJECTIVE: To determine whether low vitamin D concentrations are associated with an increased risk of incident all-cause dementia and Alzheimer disease. METHODS: One thousand six hundred fifty-eight elderly ambulatory adults free from dementia, cardiovascular disease, and stroke who participated in the US population-based Cardiovascular Health Study between 1992-1993 and 1999 were included. Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations were determined by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry from blood samples collected in 1992-1993. Incident all-cause dementia and Alzheimer disease status were assessed during follow-up using National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke/Alzheimer's Disease and Related Disorders Association criteria. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 5.6 years, 171 participants developed all-cause dementia, including 102 cases of Alzheimer disease. Using Cox proportional hazards models, the multivariate adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval [CI]) for incident all-cause dementia in participants who were severely 25(OH)D deficient (<25 nmol/L) and deficient (≥25 to <50 nmol/L) were 2.25 (95% CI: 1.23-4.13) and 1.53 (95% CI: 1.06-2.21) compared to participants with sufficient concentrations (≥50 nmol/L). The multivariate adjusted hazard ratios for incident Alzheimer disease in participants who were severely 25(OH)D deficient and deficient compared to participants with sufficient concentrations were 2.22 (95% CI: 1.02-4.83) and 1.69 (95% CI: 1.06-2.69). In multivariate adjusted penalized smoothing spline plots, the risk of all-cause dementia and Alzheimer disease markedly increased below a threshold of 50 nmol/L. CONCLUSION: Our results confirm that vitamin D deficiency is associated with a substantially increased risk of all-cause dementia and Alzheimer disease. This adds to the ongoing debate about the role of vitamin D in nonskeletal conditions.
Keywords: Aged; Alzheimer Disease; Dementia; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Incidence; Male; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors; United States; Vitamin D; Vitamin D Deficiency

What do carotid intima-media thickness and plaque add to the prediction of stroke and cardiovascular disease risk in older adults? The cardiovascular health study. - Gardin, Julius M; Bartz, Traci M; Polak, Joseph F; O'Leary, Daniel H; Wong, Nathan D (J Am Soc Echocardiogr, 2014)
BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate whether the addition of ultrasound carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) measurements and risk categories of plaque help predict incident stroke and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in older adults. METHODS: Carotid ultrasound studies were recorded in the multicenter Cardiovascular Health Study. CVD was defined as coronary heart disease plus heart failure plus stroke. Ten-year risk prediction Cox proportional-hazards models for stroke and CVD were calculated using Cardiovascular Health Study-specific coefficients for Framingham risk score factors. Categories of CIMT and CIMT plus plaque were added to Framingham risk score prediction models, and categorical net reclassification improvement (NRI) and Harrell's c-statistic were calculated. RESULTS: In 4,384 Cardiovascular Health Study participants (61% women, 14% black; mean baseline age, 72 ± 5 years) without CVD at baseline, higher CIMT category and the presence of plaque were both associated with higher incidence rates for stroke and CVD. The addition of CIMT improved the ability of Framingham risk score-type risk models to discriminate cases from noncases of incident stroke and CVD (NRI = 0.062, P = .015, and NRI = 0.027, P < .001, respectively), with no further improvement by adding plaque. For both outcomes, NRI was driven by down-classifying those without incident disease. Although the addition of plaque to CIMT did not result in a significant NRI for either outcome, it was significant among those without incident disease. CONCLUSIONS: In older adults, the addition of CIMT modestly improves 10-year risk prediction for stroke and CVD beyond a traditional risk factor model, mainly by down-classifying risk in those without stroke or CVD; the addition of plaque to CIMT adds no statistical benefit in the overall cohort, although there is evidence of down-classification in those without events.
Keywords: Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Carotid Intima-Media Thickness; Carotid Stenosis; Comorbidity; Female; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Reproducibility of Results; Risk Factors; Sensitivity and Specificity; Stroke; Survival Rate

Whole-exome sequencing identifies rare and low-frequency coding variants associated with LDL cholesterol. - Lange, Leslie A; Hu, Youna; Zhang, He; Xue, Chenyi; Schmidt, Ellen M; Tang, Zheng-Zheng; Bizon, Chris; Lange, Ethan M; Smith, Joshua D; Turner, Emily H; Jun, Goo; Kang, Hyun Min; et al. (Am J Hum Genet, 2014)
Elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is a treatable, heritable risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have identified 157 variants associated with lipid levels but are not well suited to assess the impact of rare and low-frequency variants. To determine whether rare or low-frequency coding variants are associated with LDL-C, we exome sequenced 2,005 individuals, including 554 individuals selected for extreme LDL-C (>98(th) or <2(nd) percentile). Follow-up analyses included sequencing of 1,302 additional individuals and genotype-based analysis of 52,221 individuals. We observed significant evidence of association between LDL-C and the burden of rare or low-frequency variants in PNPLA5, encoding a phospholipase-domain-containing protein, and both known and previously unidentified variants in PCSK9, LDLR and APOB, three known lipid-related genes. The effect sizes for the burden of rare variants for each associated gene were substantially higher than those observed for individual SNPs identified from GWASs. We replicated the PNPLA5 signal in an independent large-scale sequencing study of 2,084 individuals. In conclusion, this large whole-exome-sequencing study for LDL-C identified a gene not known to be implicated in LDL-C and provides unique insight into the design and analysis of similar experiments.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Apolipoproteins E; Cholesterol, LDL; Cohort Studies; Dyslipidemias; Exome; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Gene Frequency; Genetic Code; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Humans; Lipase; Male; Middle Aged; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Proprotein Convertase 9; Proprotein Convertases; Receptors, LDL; Sequence Analysis, DNA; Serine Endopeptidases

Association between hospitalization for pneumonia and subsequent risk of cardiovascular disease. - Corrales-Medina, Vicente F; Alvarez, Karina N; Weissfeld, Lisa A; Angus, Derek C; Chirinos, Julio A; Chang, Chung-Chou H; Newman, Anne; Loehr, Laura; Folsom, Aaron R; Elkind, Mitchell S; Lyles, Mary F; Kronmal, Richard A; et al. (JAMA, 2015)
IMPORTANCE: The risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) after infection is poorly understood. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether hospitalization for pneumonia is associated with an increased short-term and long-term risk of CVD. DESIGN, SETTINGS, AND PARTICIPANTS: We examined 2 community-based cohorts: the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS, n = 5888; enrollment age, ≥65 years; enrollment period, 1989-1994) and the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (ARIC, n = 15,792; enrollment age, 45-64 years; enrollment period, 1987-1989). Participants were followed up through December 31, 2010. We matched each participant hospitalized with pneumonia to 2 controls. Pneumonia cases and controls were followed for occurrence of CVD over 10 years after matching. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for CVD at different time intervals, adjusting for demographics, CVD risk factors, subclinical CVD, comorbidities, and functional status. EXPOSURES: Hospitalization for pneumonia. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Incident CVD (myocardial infarction, stroke, and fatal coronary heart disease). RESULTS: Of 591 pneumonia cases in CHS, 206 had CVD events over 10 years after pneumonia hospitalization. CVD risk after pneumonia was highest in the first year. CVD occurred in 54 cases and 6 controls in the first 30 days (HR, 4.07; 95% CI, 2.86-5.27); 11 cases and 9 controls between 31 and 90 days (HR, 2.94; 95% CI, 2.18-3.70); and 22 cases and 55 controls between 91 days and 1 year (HR, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.59-2.60). Additional CVD risk remained elevated into the tenth year, when 4 cases and 12 controls developed CVD (HR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.18-2.55). In ARIC, of 680 pneumonia cases, 112 had CVD over 10 years after hospitalization. CVD occurred in 4 cases and 3 controls in the first 30 days (HR, 2.38; 95% CI, 1.12-3.63); 4 cases and 0 controls between 31 and 90 days (HR, 2.40; 95% CI, 1.23-3.47); 11 cases and 8 controls between 91 days and 1 year (HR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.20-3.19); and 8 cases and 7 controls during the second year (HR, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.10-2.66). After the second year, the HRs were no longer statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Hospitalization for pneumonia was associated with increased short-term and long-term risk of CVD, suggesting that pneumonia may be a risk factor for CVD.
Keywords: Aged; Atherosclerosis; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Comorbidity; Female; Hospitalization; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Pneumonia; Risk Factors

Association between left atrial abnormality on ECG and vascular brain injury on MRI in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Kamel, Hooman; Bartz, Traci M; Longstreth, W T; Okin, Peter M; Thacker, Evan L; Patton, Kristen K; Stein, Phyllis K; Gottesman, Rebecca F; Heckbert, Susan R; Kronmal, Richard A; Elkind, Mitchell S V; Soliman, Elsayed Z (Stroke, 2015)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Emerging evidence suggests that atrial disease is associated with vascular brain injury in the absence of atrial fibrillation. METHODS: The Cardiovascular Health Study prospectively enrolled community-dwelling adults aged ≥65 years. Among participants who underwent MRI, we examined associations of ECG left atrial abnormality with brain infarcts and leukoaraiosis. P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was the primary measure of left atrial abnormality; P-wave area and duration were secondary predictors. We excluded participants with atrial fibrillation before or on their index ECG. Primary outcomes were incident infarcts and worsening leukoaraiosis from initial to follow-up scan ≈5 years later. Secondary outcomes were prevalent infarcts and degree of leukoaraiosis on initial MRI. Relative risk (RR) and linear regression models were adjusted for vascular risk factors. RESULTS: Among 3129 participants with ≥1 scan, each SD increase in P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was associated with a 0.05-point (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.0003-0.10) higher baseline white matter grade on a 10-point scale. P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was associated with prevalent infarcts of any type (RR per SD, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.04-1.16) and more so with prevalent nonlacunar infarcts (RR per SD, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.08-1.38). Among 1839 participants with 2 scans, P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was associated with worsening leukoaraiosis (RR per SD, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.01-1.18), but not with incident infarcts (RR per SD, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.93-1.20). Sensitivity analyses adjusting for incident atrial fibrillation found similar results. P-wave area and duration were not associated with outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: ECG left atrial abnormality is associated with vascular brain injury in the absence of documented atrial fibrillation.
Keywords: Aged; Atrial Fibrillation; Brain; Brain Infarction; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cerebrovascular Trauma; Electrocardiography; Female; Heart Atria; Heart Diseases; Humans; Linear Models; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Middle Aged; Predictive Value of Tests; Prospective Studies; Regression Analysis; Risk Factors; Treatment Outcome

Association of 25-Hydroxyvitamin D status and genetic variation in the vitamin D metabolic pathway with FEV1 in the Framingham Heart Study. - Hansen, J G; Gao, W; Dupuis, J; O'Connor, G T; Tang, W; Kowgier, M; Sood, A; Gharib, S A; Palmer, L J; Fornage, M; Heckbert, S R; Psaty, B M; et al. (Respir Res, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Vitamin D is associated with lung function in cross-sectional studies, and vitamin D inadequacy is hypothesized to play a role in the pathogenesis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Further data are needed to clarify the relation between vitamin D status, genetic variation in vitamin D metabolic genes, and cross-sectional and longitudinal changes in lung function in healthy adults. METHODS: We estimated the association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] and cross-sectional forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV1) in Framingham Heart Study (FHS) Offspring and Third Generation participants and the association between serum 25(OH)D and longitudinal change in FEV1 in Third Generation participants using linear mixed-effects models. Using a gene-based approach, we investigated the association between 241 SNPs in 6 select vitamin D metabolic genes in relation to longitudinal change in FEV1 in Offspring participants and pursued replication of these findings in a meta-analyzed set of 4 independent cohorts. RESULTS: We found a positive cross-sectional association between 25(OH)D and FEV1 in FHS Offspring and Third Generation participants (P=0.004). There was little or no association between 25(OH)D and longitudinal change in FEV1 in Third Generation participants (P=0.97). In Offspring participants, the CYP2R1 gene, hypothesized to influence usual serum 25(OH)D status, was associated with longitudinal change in FEV1 (gene-based P<0.05). The most significantly associated SNP from CYP2R1 had a consistent direction of association with FEV1 in the meta-analyzed set of replication cohorts, but the association did not reach statistical significance thresholds (P=0.09). CONCLUSIONS: Serum 25(OH)D status was associated with cross-sectional FEV1, but not longitudinal change in FEV1. The inconsistent associations may be driven by differences in the groups studied. CYP2R1 demonstrated a gene-based association with longitudinal change in FEV1 and is a promising candidate gene for further studies.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Cohort Studies; Cross-Sectional Studies; DNA-Binding Proteins; Female; Genetic Variation; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Massachusetts; Metabolic Networks and Pathways; Middle Aged; Nuclear Proteins; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Vitamin D

Association of Alzheimer's disease GWAS loci with MRI markers of brain aging. - Chauhan, Ganesh; Adams, Hieab H H; Bis, Joshua C; Weinstein, Galit; Yu, Lei; Töglhofer, Anna Maria; Smith, Albert Vernon; van der Lee, Sven J; Gottesman, Rebecca F; Thomson, Russell; Wang, Jing; Yang, Qiong; et al. (Neurobiol Aging, 2015)
Whether novel risk variants of Alzheimer's disease (AD) identified through genome-wide association studies also influence magnetic resonance imaging-based intermediate phenotypes of AD in the general population is unclear. We studied association of 24 AD risk loci with intracranial volume, total brain volume, hippocampal volume (HV), white matter hyperintensity burden, and brain infarcts in a meta-analysis of genetic association studies from large population-based samples (N = 8175-11,550). In single-SNP based tests, AD risk allele of APOE (rs2075650) was associated with smaller HV (p = 0.0054) and CD33 (rs3865444) with smaller intracranial volume (p = 0.0058). In gene-based tests, there was associations of HLA-DRB1 with total brain volume (p = 0.0006) and BIN1 with HV (p = 0.00089). A weighted AD genetic risk score was associated with smaller HV (beta ± SE = -0.047 ± 0.013, p = 0.00041), even after excluding the APOE locus (p = 0.029). However, only association of AD genetic risk score with HV, including APOE, was significant after multiple testing correction (including number of independent phenotypes tested). These results suggest that novel AD genetic risk variants may contribute to structural brain aging in nondemented older community persons.
Keywords: Aging; Alleles; Alzheimer Disease; Apolipoproteins E; Brain; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Hippocampus; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Organ Size; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk; Sialic Acid Binding Ig-like Lectin 3

Association of Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity With Mortality. - Di Angelantonio, Emanuele; Kaptoge, Stephen; Wormser, David; Willeit, Peter; Butterworth, Adam S; Bansal, Narinder; O'Keeffe, Linda M; Gao, Pei; Wood, Angela M; Burgess, Stephen; Freitag, Daniel F; Pennells, Lisa; et al. (JAMA, 2015)
IMPORTANCE: The prevalence of cardiometabolic multimorbidity is increasing. OBJECTIVE: To estimate reductions in life expectancy associated with cardiometabolic multimorbidity. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Age- and sex-adjusted mortality rates and hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using individual participant data from the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration (689,300 participants; 91 cohorts; years of baseline surveys: 1960-2007; latest mortality follow-up: April 2013; 128,843 deaths). The HRs from the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration were compared with those from the UK Biobank (499,808 participants; years of baseline surveys: 2006-2010; latest mortality follow-up: November 2013; 7995 deaths). Cumulative survival was estimated by applying calculated age-specific HRs for mortality to contemporary US age-specific death rates. EXPOSURES: A history of 2 or more of the following: diabetes mellitus, stroke, myocardial infarction (MI). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: All-cause mortality and estimated reductions in life expectancy. RESULTS: In participants in the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration without a history of diabetes, stroke, or MI at baseline (reference group), the all-cause mortality rate adjusted to the age of 60 years was 6.8 per 1000 person-years. Mortality rates per 1000 person-years were 15.6 in participants with a history of diabetes, 16.1 in those with stroke, 16.8 in those with MI, 32.0 in those with both diabetes and MI, 32.5 in those with both diabetes and stroke, 32.8 in those with both stroke and MI, and 59.5 in those with diabetes, stroke, and MI. Compared with the reference group, the HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.9 (95% CI, 1.8-2.0) in participants with a history of diabetes, 2.1 (95% CI, 2.0-2.2) in those with stroke, 2.0 (95% CI, 1.9-2.2) in those with MI, 3.7 (95% CI, 3.3-4.1) in those with both diabetes and MI, 3.8 (95% CI, 3.5-4.2) in those with both diabetes and stroke, 3.5 (95% CI, 3.1-4.0) in those with both stroke and MI, and 6.9 (95% CI, 5.7-8.3) in those with diabetes, stroke, and MI. The HRs from the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration were similar to those from the more recently recruited UK Biobank. The HRs were little changed after further adjustment for markers of established intermediate pathways (eg, levels of lipids and blood pressure) and lifestyle factors (eg, smoking, diet). At the age of 60 years, a history of any 2 of these conditions was associated with 12 years of reduced life expectancy and a history of all 3 of these conditions was associated with 15 years of reduced life expectancy. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Mortality associated with a history of diabetes, stroke, or MI was similar for each condition. Because any combination of these conditions was associated with multiplicative mortality risk, life expectancy was substantially lower in people with multimorbidity.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Comorbidity; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Humans; Life Expectancy; Male; Middle Aged; Mortality; Myocardial Infarction; Risk Factors; Stroke

Association of exome sequences with plasma C-reactive protein levels in >9000 participants. - Schick, Ursula M; Auer, Paul L; Bis, Joshua C; Lin, Honghuang; Wei, Peng; Pankratz, Nathan; Lange, Leslie A; Brody, Jennifer; Stitziel, Nathan O; Kim, Daniel S; Carlson, Christopher S; Fornage, Myriam; et al. (Hum Mol Genet, 2015)
C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration is a heritable systemic marker of inflammation that is associated with cardiovascular disease risk. Genome-wide association studies have identified CRP-associated common variants associated in ∼25 genes. Our aims were to apply exome sequencing to (1) assess whether the candidate loci contain rare coding variants associated with CRP levels and (2) perform an exome-wide search for rare variants in novel genes associated with CRP levels. We exome-sequenced 6050 European-Americans (EAs) and 3109 African-Americans (AAs) from the NHLBI-ESP and the CHARGE consortia, and performed association tests of sequence data with measured CRP levels. In single-variant tests across candidate loci, a novel rare (minor allele frequency = 0.16%) CRP-coding variant (rs77832441-A; p.Thr59Met) was associated with 53% lower mean CRP levels (P = 2.9 × 10(-6)). We replicated the association of rs77832441 in an exome array analysis of 11 414 EAs (P = 3.0 × 10(-15)). Despite a strong effect on CRP levels, rs77832441 was not associated with inflammation-related phenotypes including coronary heart disease. We also found evidence for an AA-specific association of APOE-ε2 rs7214 with higher CRP levels. At the exome-wide significance level (P < 5.0 × 10(-8)), we confirmed associations for reported common variants of HNF1A, CRP, IL6R and TOMM40-APOE. In gene-based tests, a burden of rare/lower frequency variation in CRP in EAs (P ≤ 6.8 × 10(-4)) and in retinoic acid receptor-related orphan receptor α (RORA) in AAs (P = 1.7 × 10(-3)) were associated with CRP levels at the candidate gene level (P < 2.0 × 10(-3)). This inquiry did not elucidate novel genes, but instead demonstrated that variants distributed across the allele frequency spectrum within candidate genes contribute to CRP levels.
Keywords: Adult; African Americans; C-Reactive Protein; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Exome; Female; Gene Frequency; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Hepatocyte Nuclear Factor 1-alpha; Humans; Male; Plasma; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Receptors, Interleukin-6; Risk Factors

Association of Fetuin-A With Incident Fractures in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Fink, Howard A; Bůzková, Petra; Garimella, Pranav S; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Cauley, Jane A; Kizer, Jorge R; Barzilay, Joshua I; Jalal, Diana I; Ix, Joachim H (J Bone Miner Res, 2015)
Fetuin-A, a serum protein that regulates calcium mineralization, has been associated with bone mineral density (BMD) in several cross-sectional human studies, suggesting a possible beneficial effect on clinically important measures of bone health. Fetuin-A and incidence of subsequent fracture was assessed in 4714 men and women ≥65 years of age. Proportional hazards models were used to estimate risk of incident hip (hospital discharge ICD-9 codes) and composite fracture (hip, pelvis, humerus, or proximal forearm; hospital discharge ICD-9 codes and Medicare claims data). A total of 576 participants had an incident hip fracture (median follow-up 11.2 years) and 768 had an incident composite fracture (median follow-up 6.9 years). In unadjusted analyses, there was no association between fetuin-A (per SD increase) and risk of hip fracture (hazard ratio [HR], 0.96; 95% CI, 0.88 to 1.05) or composite fracture (HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.92 to 1.06). Results were not significantly changed after adjustment for potential confounding variables. Analyses modeling fetuin-A in quartiles or within a subset with available BMD measures also showed no statistically significant association with risk of hip or composite fracture. Though fetuin-A was positively associated with areal BMD in partially adjusted models (total hip: β, 0.013 g/cm(2) ; 95% CI, 0.005 to 0.021; femoral neck: β, 0.011 g/cm(2) ; 95% CI, 0.004 to 0.018; and lumbar spine: β, 0.007 g/cm(2) ; 95% CI, 0.001 to 0.028), these associations were no longer significant after further adjustment for BMI and in final multivariate models. In this large sample of community-dwelling older adults, a small positive association between fetuin-A and areal BMD appeared attributable to confounding variables and we found no evidence of an association between fetuin-A and risk of clinical fracture.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; alpha-2-HS-Glycoprotein; Bone Density; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Fractures, Bone; Humans; Incidence; Male; Models, Biological

Association of mitochondrial DNA levels with frailty and all-cause mortality. - Ashar, Foram N; Moes, Anna; Moore, Ann Z; Grove, Megan L; Chaves, Paulo H M; Coresh, Josef; Newman, Anne B; Matteini, Amy M; Bandeen-Roche, Karen; Boerwinkle, Eric; Walston, Jeremy D; Arking, Dan E (J Mol Med (Berl), 2015)
Mitochondrial function is altered with age and variants in mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) modulate risk for several age-related disease states. However, the association of mtDNA copy number, a readily available marker which reflects mitochondrial depletion, energy reserves, and oxidative stress, on aging and mortality in the general population has not been addressed. To assess the association between mtDNA copy number and two primary outcomes--prevalent frailty and all-cause mortality--we utilize data from participants who were from two multicenter, multiethnic, community-based, prospective studies--the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) (1989-2006) and the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study (1987-2013). A total of 4892 participants (43.3% men) from CHS and 11,509 participants (44.9% men) from ARIC self-identifying as white or black were included in the analysis. mtDNA copy number, the trait of interest, was measured using a qPCR-based method in CHS and an array-based method in ARIC from DNA isolated from whole blood in participants from both cohorts. In race-stratified meta-analyses, we observe a significant inverse association of mtDNA copy number with age and higher mtDNA copy number in women relative to men. Lower mtDNA copy number was also significantly associated with prevalent frailty in white participants from CHS (OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.85-0.97). Additionally, mtDNA copy number was a strong independent predictor of all-cause mortality in an age- and sex-adjusted, race-stratified analysis of 16,401 participants from both cohorts with a pooled hazard ratio of 1.47 (95% CI 1.33-1.62) for the lowest quintile of mtDNA copy number relative to the highest quintile. Key messages: Mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) copy number is associated with age and sex. Lower mtDNA copy number is also associated with prevalent frailty. mtDNA copy number is a significant predictor of all-cause mortality in a multiethnic population.
Keywords: African Americans; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; DNA, Mitochondrial; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Gene Dosage; Geriatric Assessment; Humans; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Male; Mortality; Odds Ratio; Population Surveillance; Prospective Studies; Surveys and Questionnaires; United States

Association of Rare Loss-Of-Function Alleles in HAL, Serum Histidine: Levels and Incident Coronary Heart Disease. - Yu, Bing; Li, Alexander H; Muzny, Donna; Veeraraghavan, Narayanan; de Vries, Paul S; Bis, Joshua C; Musani, Solomon K; Alexander, Danny; Morrison, Alanna C; Franco, Oscar H; Uitterlinden, Andre; Hofman, Albert; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Histidine is a semiessential amino acid with antioxidant and anti-inflammatory properties. Few data are available on the associations between genetic variants, histidine levels, and incident coronary heart disease (CHD) in a population-based sample. METHODS AND RESULTS: By conducting whole exome sequencing on 1152 African Americans in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and focusing on loss-of-function (LoF) variants, we identified 3 novel rare LoF variants in HAL, a gene that encodes histidine ammonia-lyase in the first step of histidine catabolism. These LoF variants had large effects on blood histidine levels (β=0.26; P=1.2×10(-13)). The positive association with histidine levels was replicated by genotyping an independent sample of 718 ARIC African Americans (minor allele frequency=1%; P=1.2×10(-4)). In addition, high blood histidine levels were associated with reduced risk of developing incident CHD with an average of 21.5 years of follow-up among African Americans (hazard ratio=0.18; P=1.9×10(-4)). This finding was validated in an independent sample of European Americans from the Framingham Heart Study (FHS) Offspring Cohort. However, LoF variants in HAL were not directly significantly associated with incident CHD after meta-analyzing results from the CHARGE Consortium. CONCLUSIONS: Three LoF mutations in HAL were associated with increased histidine levels, which in turn were shown to be inversely related to the risk of CHD among both African Americans and European Americans. Future investigations on the association between HAL gene variation and CHD are warranted.
Keywords: Adult; African Americans; Alleles; Coronary Disease; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Histidine; Histidine Ammonia-Lyase; Humans; Male; Mutation

Associations between metabolic dysregulation and circulating biomarkers of fibrosis: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Agarwal, Isha; Glazer, Nicole L; Barasch, Eddy; Djoussé, Luc; Gottdiener, John S; Ix, Joachim H; Kizer, Jorge R; Rimm, Eric B; Siscovick, David S; King, George L; Mukamal, Ken J (Metabolism, 2015)
AIM: Fibrosis is one postulated pathway by which diabetes produces cardiac and other systemic complications. Our aim was to determine which metabolic parameters are associated with circulating fibrosis-related biomarkers transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β) and procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP). METHODS: We used linear regression to determine the cross-sectional associations of diverse metabolic parameters, including fasting glucose, fasting insulin, body mass index, fatty acid binding protein 4, and non-esterified fatty acids, with circulating levels of TGF-β (n = 1559) and PIIINP (n = 3024) among community-living older adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study. RESULTS: Among the main metabolic parameters we examined, only fasting glucose was associated with TGF-β (P = 0.03). In contrast, multiple metabolic parameters were associated with PIIINP, including fasting insulin, body mass index, and non-esterified fatty acids (P<0.001, P<0.001, P=0.001, respectively). These associations remained statistically significant after mutual adjustment, except the association between BMI and PIIINP. CONCLUSIONS: Isolated hyperglycemia is associated with higher serum concentrations of TGF-β, while a broader phenotype of insulin resistance is associated with higher serum PIIINP. Whether simultaneous pharmacologic targeting of these two metabolic phenotypes can synergistically reduce the risk of cardiac and other manifestations of fibrosis remains to be determined.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Biomarkers; Blood Glucose; Cardiovascular System; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diabetes Complications; Diabetes Mellitus; Fatty Acids, Nonesterified; Female; Fibrosis; Health; Humans; Insulin; Insulin Resistance; Male; Metabolic Diseases; Peptide Fragments; Procollagen; Transforming Growth Factor beta

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in older adults with diabetes mellitus. - Barzilay, Joshua I; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Kizer, Jorge R (Clin Geriatr Med, 2015)
Diabetes mellitus exerts a strong effect on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk into older age (beyond ages 70-74 years). This effect is particularly noticeable with regard to coronary artery disease and cerebral microvascular disease. Thus, diabetes mellitus in older adults deserves the same careful medical attention as it does in middle age.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Coronary Artery Disease; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Female; Humans; Male; Risk Factors; Survival Rate

Burden of Comorbidities and Functional and Cognitive Impairments in Elderly Patients at the Initial Diagnosis of Heart Failure and Their Impact on Total Mortality: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Murad, Khalil; Goff, David C; Morgan, Timothy M; Burke, Gregory L; Bartz, Traci M; Kizer, Jorge R; Chaudhry, Sarwat I; Gottdiener, John S; Kitzman, Dalane W (JACC Heart Fail, 2015)
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine the prevalence of clinically relevant comorbidities and measures of physical and cognitive impairment in elderly persons with incident heart failure (HF). BACKGROUND: Comorbidities and functional and cognitive impairments are common in the elderly and often associated with greater mortality risk. METHODS: We examined the prevalence of 9 comorbidities and 4 measures of functional and cognitive impairments in 558 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study who developed incident HF between 1990 and 2002. Participants were followed prospectively until mid-2008 to determine their mortality risk. RESULTS: Mean age of participants was 79.2 ± 6.3 years with 52% being men. Sixty percent of participants had ≥3 comorbidities, and only 2.5% had none. Twenty-two percent and 44% of participants had ≥1 activity of daily living (ADL) and ≥1 instrumental activity of daily living (IADL) impaired respectively. Seventeen percent of participants had cognitive impairment (modified mini-mental state exam score <80, scores range between 0 and 100). During follow up, 504 participants died, with 1-, 5-, and 10-year mortality rates of 19%, 56%, and 83%, respectively. In a multivariable-adjusted model, the following were significantly associated with greater total mortality risk: diabetes mellitus (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.64; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.33 to 2.03), chronic kidney disease (HR: 1.32; 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.62 for moderate disease; HR: 3.00; 95% CI: 1.82 to 4.95 for severe), cerebrovascular disease (HR: 1.53; 95% CI: 1.22 to 1.92), depression (HR: 1.44; 95% CI: 1.09 to 1.90), functional impairment (HR: 1.30; 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.63 for 1 IADL impaired; HR: 1.49; 95% CI: 1.07 to 2.04 for ≥2 IADL impaired), and cognitive impairment (HR: 1.33; 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.73). Other comorbidities (hypertension, coronary heart disease, peripheral arterial disease, atrial fibrillation, and obstructive airway disease) and measures of functional impairments (ADLs and 15-ft walk time) were not associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Elderly patients with incident HF have a high burden of comorbidities and functional and cognitive impairments. Some of these conditions are associated with greater mortality risk.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Atrial Fibrillation; Cognition Disorders; Cohort Studies; Comorbidity; Coronary Disease; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Hypertension; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Peripheral Arterial Disease; Physical Fitness; Prevalence; Proportional Hazards Models; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive

Cardiovascular and Mortality Outcomes in the Elderly With Impaired Cardiac and Pulmonary Function: The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). - Waheed, Salman; Chaves, Paulo H M; Gardin, Julius M; Cao, Jie Jane (J Am Heart Assoc, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Impaired pulmonary function (IPF) and left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) are prevalent in the elderly and are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. The main objectives of this study were to examine the relative impact and joint association of IPF and LVSD with heart failure, cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality, and their impact on risk classification using a continuous net reclassification index. METHODS AND RESULTS: We followed 2342 adults without prevalent cardiovascular disease (mean age, 76 years) from the Cardiovascular Health Study for a median of 12.6 years. LVSD was defined as LV ejection fraction <55%. IPF was defined as: forced expiratory volume in 1 second:forced vital capacity <70%, and predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second <80%. Outcomes included heart failure hospitalization, cardiovascular mortality, all-cause mortality, and composite outcome. LVSD was detected in 128 subjects (6%), IPF in 441 (19%) and both in 38 (2%). Compared to those without LVSD or IPF, there was a significantly increased cardiovascular risk for groups of LVSD only, IPF only, and LVSD plus IPF, adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) 2.1 (1.5-3.0), 1.7 (1.4-2.1), and 3.2 (2.0-5.1) for HF; 1.8 (1.2-2.6), 1.4 (1.1-1.8), and 2.8 (1.7-4.7) for cardiovascular mortality; 1.3 (1.0-1.8), 1.7 (1.4-1.9), and 2.1 (1.5-3.0) for all-cause mortality, and 1.6 (1.3-2.1), 1.7 (1.5-1.9), and 2.4 (1.7-3.3) for composite outcome, respectively. Risk classification improved significantly for all outcomes when IPF was added to the adjusted model with LVSD or LVSD to IPF. CONCLUSIONS: While risk of cardiovascular outcomes was the highest among elderly with both LVSD and IPF, risk was comparable between subjects with IPF alone and those with LVSD alone. This observation, combined with improved risk classification by adding IPF to LVSD or LVSD to IPF, underscore the importance of comprehensive heart and lung evaluation in cardiovascular outcome assessment.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cardiovascular Diseases; Female; Heart Diseases; Heart Failure; Hospitalization; Humans; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Lung Diseases; Male; Mortality; Prospective Studies; Respiratory Function Tests; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Stroke Volume; United States; Ventricular Dysfunction, Left

Changes in insulin-like growth factor-I and its binding proteins are associated with diabetes mellitus in older adults. - Aneke-Nash, Chino S; Parrinello, Christina M; Rajpathak, Swapnil N; Rohan, Thomas E; Strotmeyer, Elsa S; Kritchevsky, Stephen B; Psaty, Bruce M; Bůzková, Petra; Kizer, Jorge R; Newman, Anne B; Strickler, Howard D; Kaplan, Robert C (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2015)
OBJECTIVES: To determine whether changes in insulin-like growth factor (IGF) protein levels are greater in participants with type 2 diabetes mellitus or worsening glycemia than in normoglycemic individuals over a 9-year follow-up period. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of a cohort study. SETTING: Participants were recruited from North Carolina, California, Maryland, and Pennsylvania. PARTICIPANTS: Cardiovascular Health Study All Stars participants, a cohort study of community-dwelling adults aged 65 and older (N=897). MEASUREMENTS: Plasma IGF-I, IGF binding protein (IGFBP)-1, and IGFBP-3 levels were assessed and American Diabetes Association cut-points for impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), impaired fasting glucose (IFG), and diabetes mellitus were used to classify participants at baseline (1996-97) and follow-up (2005-06). RESULTS: At baseline, mean age was 76.3±3.6, and 18.5% had diabetes mellitus. Participants with IFG alone and IGT plus IFG had higher IGF-I levels and lower IGFBP-1 levels than those with normoglycemia or diabetes mellitus. The greatest percentage change in IGF levels occurred in those who had diabetes mellitus at baseline (9-year changes: -9.3% for IGF-I, 59.7% for IGFBP-1, -13.4% for IGFBP-3), the smallest in individuals who remained normoglycemic at follow-up (9-year changes: -3.7% for IGF-I, 25.6% for IGFBP-1, -6.4% for IGFBP-3), and intermediate in those who were normoglycemic but developed IFG at follow-up. CONCLUSION: Degrees of glycemic impairment are associated with varying degrees of change in IGF protein levels. The changes observed in the diabetes mellitus group have been previously shown to be associated with heart failure, cancer, and noncancer mortality.
Keywords: Aged; Blood Glucose; Cohort Studies; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Female; Humans; Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 1; Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 3; Insulin-Like Growth Factor I; Male; Retrospective Studies

Circulating and dietary trans fatty acids and incident type 2 diabetes in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Wang, Qianyi; Imamura, Fumiaki; Ma, Wenjie; Wang, Molin; Lemaitre, Rozenn N; King, Irena B; Song, Xiaoling; Biggs, Mary L; Delaney, Joseph A; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Djoussé, Luc; Siscovick, David S; et al. (Diabetes Care, 2015)
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effects of trans fatty acids (TFAs) on type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) by specific TFA subtype or method of assessment. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: In the Cardiovascular Health Study, plasma phospholipid trans (t)-16:1n9, t-18:1, and cis (c)/t-, t/c-, and t/t-18:2 were measured in blood drawn from 2,919 adults aged 74 ± 5 years and free of prevalent DM in 1992. Dietary TFA was estimated among 4,207 adults free of prevalent DM when dietary questionnaires were initially administered in 1989 or 1996. Incident DM was defined through 2010 by medication use or blood glucose levels. Risks were assessed by Cox proportional hazards. RESULTS: In biomarker analyses, 287 DM cases occurred during 30,825 person-years. Both t-16:1n9 (extreme quartile hazard ratio 1.59 [95% CI 1.04-2.42], P-trend = 0.04) and t-18:1 (1.91 [1.20-3.03], P-trend = 0.01) levels were associated with higher incident DM after adjustment for de novo lipogenesis fatty acids. In dietary analyses, 407 DM cases occurred during 50,105 person-years. Incident DM was positively associated with consumption of total TFAs (1.38 [1.03-1.86], P-trend = 0.02), t-18:1 (1.32 [1.00-1.76], P-trend = 0.04), and t-18:2 (1.41 [1.05-1.89], P-trend = 0.02). After further adjustment for other dietary habits, however, the associations of estimated dietary TFA with DM were attenuated, and only nonsignificant positive trends remained. CONCLUSIONS: Among older adults, plasma phospholipid t-16:1n9 and t-18:1 levels were positively related to DM after adjustment for de novo lipogenesis fatty acids. Estimated dietary TFA was not significantly associated with DM. These findings highlight the need for further observational, interventional, and experimental studies of the effects TFA on DM.
Keywords: Aged; Biomarkers; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Diabetic Angiopathies; Dietary Fats, Unsaturated; Epidemiologic Methods; Female; Food Habits; Humans; Male; Phospholipids; Trans Fatty Acids

Coagulation factor XII genetic variation, ex vivo thrombin generation, and stroke risk in the elderly: results from the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Olson, N C; Butenas, S; Lange, L A; Lange, E M; Cushman, M; Jenny, N S; Walston, J; Souto, J C; Soria, J M; Chauhan, G; Debette, S; Longstreth, W T; et al. (J Thromb Haemost, 2015)
BACKGROUND: The relationships of thrombin generation (TG) with cardiovascular disease risk are underevaluated in population-based cohorts. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the relationships of TG influenced by the contact and tissue factor coagulation pathways ex vivo with common single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and incident cardiovascular disease and stroke. PATIENTS/METHODS: We measured peak TG (pTG) in baseline plasma samples of Cardiovascular Health Study participants (n = 5411), both with and without inhibitory anti-factor XIa antibody (pTG/FXIa(-) ). We evaluated their associations with ~ 50 000 SNPs by using the IBCv2 genotyping array, and with incident cardiovascular disease and stroke events over a median follow-up of 13.2 years. RESULTS: The minor allele for an SNP in the FXII gene (F12), rs1801020, was associated with lower pTG in European-Americans (β = - 34.2 ± 3.5 nm; P = 3.3 × 10(-22) ; minor allele frequency [MAF] = 0.23) and African-Americans (β = - 31.1 ± 7.9 nm; P = 9.0 × 10(-5) ; MAF = 0.42). Lower FXIa-independent pTG (pTG/FXIa(-) ) was associated with the F12 rs1801020 minor allele, and higher pTG/FXIa(-) was associated with the ABO SNP rs657152 minor allele (β = 16.3 nm; P = 4.3 × 10(-9) ; MAF = 0.37). The risk factor-adjusted ischemic stroke hazard ratios were 1.09 (95% confidence interval CI 1.01-1.17; P = 0.03) for pTG, 1.06 (95% CI 0.98-1.15; P = 0.17) for pTG/FXIa(-) , and 1.11 (95% CI 1.02-1.21; P = 0.02) for FXIa-dependent pTG (pTG/FXIa(+) ), per one standard deviation increment (n = 834 ischemic strokes). In a multicohort candidate gene analysis, rs1801020 was not associated with incident ischemic stroke (β = - 0.02; standard error = 0.08; P = 0.81). CONCLUSIONS: These results support the importance of contact activation pathway-dependent TG as a risk factor for ischemic stroke, and indicate the importance of F12 SNPs for TG ex vivo and in vivo.
Keywords: African Americans; Age Factors; Aged; Blood Coagulation; Brain Ischemia; European Continental Ancestry Group; Factor XII; Female; Gene Frequency; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Humans; Incidence; Male; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Stroke; Thrombin; Time Factors; United States

Common variation in COL4A1/COL4A2 is associated with sporadic cerebral small vessel disease. - Rannikmae, Kristiina; Davies, Gail; Thomson, Pippa A; Bevan, Steve; Devan, William J; Falcone, Guido J; Traylor, Matthew; Anderson, Christopher D; Battey, Thomas W K; Radmanesh, Farid; Deka, Ranjan; Woo, Jessica G; et al. (Neurology, 2015)
OBJECTIVES: We hypothesized that common variants in the collagen genes COL4A1/COL4A2 are associated with sporadic forms of cerebral small vessel disease. METHODS: We conducted meta-analyses of existing genotype data among individuals of European ancestry to determine associations of 1,070 common single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the COL4A1/COL4A2 genomic region with the following: intracerebral hemorrhage and its subtypes (deep, lobar) (1,545 cases, 1,485 controls); ischemic stroke and its subtypes (cardioembolic, large vessel disease, lacunar) (12,389 cases, 62,004 controls); and white matter hyperintensities (2,733 individuals with ischemic stroke and 9,361 from population-based cohorts with brain MRI data). We calculated a statistical significance threshold that accounted for multiple testing and linkage disequilibrium between SNPs (p < 0.000084). RESULTS: Three intronic SNPs in COL4A2 were significantly associated with deep intracerebral hemorrhage (lead SNP odds ratio [OR] 1.29, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.14-1.46, p = 0.00003; r(2) > 0.9 between SNPs). Although SNPs associated with deep intracerebral hemorrhage did not reach our significance threshold for association with lacunar ischemic stroke (lead SNP OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.03-1.18, p = 0.0073), and with white matter hyperintensity volume in symptomatic ischemic stroke patients (lead SNP OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.01-1.13, p = 0.016), the direction of association was the same. There was no convincing evidence of association with white matter hyperintensities in population-based studies or with non-small vessel disease cerebrovascular phenotypes. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate an association between common variation in the COL4A2 gene and symptomatic small vessel disease, particularly deep intracerebral hemorrhage. These findings merit replication studies, including in ethnic groups of non-European ancestry.
Keywords: Cerebral Small Vessel Diseases; Collagen Type IV; Genetic Association Studies; Genetic Variation; Humans; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Consumption of meat is associated with higher fasting glucose and insulin concentrations regardless of glucose and insulin genetic risk scores: a meta-analysis of 50,345 Caucasians. - Fretts, Amanda M; Follis, Jack L; Nettleton, Jennifer A; Lemaitre, Rozenn N; Ngwa, Julius S; Wojczynski, Mary K; Kalafati, Ioanna Panagiota; Varga, Tibor V; Frazier-Wood, Alexis C; Houston, Denise K; Lahti, Jari; Ericson, Ulrika; et al. (Am J Clin Nutr, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Recent studies suggest that meat intake is associated with diabetes-related phenotypes. However, whether the associations of meat intake and glucose and insulin homeostasis are modified by genes related to glucose and insulin is unknown. OBJECTIVE: We investigated the associations of meat intake and the interaction of meat with genotype on fasting glucose and insulin concentrations in Caucasians free of diabetes mellitus. DESIGN: Fourteen studies that are part of the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology consortium participated in the analysis. Data were provided for up to 50,345 participants. Using linear regression within studies and a fixed-effects meta-analysis across studies, we examined 1) the associations of processed meat and unprocessed red meat intake with fasting glucose and insulin concentrations; and 2) the interactions of processed meat and unprocessed red meat with genetic risk score related to fasting glucose or insulin resistance on fasting glucose and insulin concentrations. RESULTS: Processed meat was associated with higher fasting glucose, and unprocessed red meat was associated with both higher fasting glucose and fasting insulin concentrations after adjustment for potential confounders [not including body mass index (BMI)]. For every additional 50-g serving of processed meat per day, fasting glucose was 0.021 mmol/L (95% CI: 0.011, 0.030 mmol/L) higher. Every additional 100-g serving of unprocessed red meat per day was associated with a 0.037-mmol/L (95% CI: 0.023, 0.051-mmol/L) higher fasting glucose concentration and a 0.049-ln-pmol/L (95% CI: 0.035, 0.063-ln-pmol/L) higher fasting insulin concentration. After additional adjustment for BMI, observed associations were attenuated and no longer statistically significant. The association of processed meat and fasting insulin did not reach statistical significance after correction for multiple comparisons. Observed associations were not modified by genetic loci known to influence fasting glucose or insulin resistance. CONCLUSION: The association of higher fasting glucose and insulin concentrations with meat consumption was not modified by an index of glucose- and insulin-related single-nucleotide polymorphisms. Six of the participating studies are registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT0000513 (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities), NCT00149435 (Cardiovascular Health Study), NCT00005136 (Family Heart Study), NCT00005121 (Framingham Heart Study), NCT00083369 (Genetics of Lipid Lowering Drugs and Diet Network), and NCT00005487 (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis).
Keywords: Blood Glucose; Cohort Studies; Genetic Association Studies; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Hyperglycemia; Hyperinsulinism; Insulin; Insulin Resistance; Insulin-Secreting Cells; Meat; Meat Products; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk Factors

Contribution of Major Lifestyle Risk Factors for Incident Heart Failure in Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Del Gobbo, Liana C; Kalantarian, Shadi; Imamura, Fumiaki; Lemaitre, Rozenn; Siscovick, David S; Psaty, Bruce M; Mozaffarian, Dariush (JACC Heart Fail, 2015)
OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to determine the relative contribution of major lifestyle factors on the development of heart failure (HF) in older adults. BACKGROUND: HF incurs high morbidity, mortality, and health care costs among adults ≥65 years of age, which is the most rapidly growing segment of the U.S. METHODS: We prospectively investigated separate and combined associations of lifestyle risk factors with incident HF (1,380 cases) over 21.5 years among 4,490 men and women in the Cardiovascular Health Study, which is a community-based cohort of older adults. Lifestyle factors included 4 dietary patterns (Alternative Healthy Eating Index, Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension, an American Heart Association 2020 dietary goals score, and a Biologic pattern, which was constructed using previous knowledge of cardiovascular disease dietary risk factors), 4 physical activity metrics (exercise intensity, walking pace, energy expended in leisure activity, and walking distance), alcohol intake, smoking, and obesity. RESULTS: No dietary pattern was associated with developing HF (p > 0.05). Walking pace and leisure activity were associated with a 26% and 22% lower risk of HF, respectively (pace >3 mph vs. <2 mph; hazard ratio [HR]: 0.74; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.63 to 0.86; leisure activity ≥845 kcal/week vs. <845 kcal/week; HR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.69 to 0.87). Modest alcohol intake, maintaining a body mass index <30 kg/m(2), and not smoking were also independently associated with a lower risk of HF. Participants with ≥4 healthy lifestyle factors had a 45% (HR: 0.55; 95% CI: 0.42 to 0.74) lower risk of HF. Heterogeneity by age, sex, cardiovascular disease, hypertension medication use, and diabetes was not observed. CONCLUSIONS: Among older U.S. adults, physical activity, modest alcohol intake, avoiding obesity, and not smoking, but not dietary patterns, were associated with a lower risk of HF.
Keywords: Aged; Alcohol Drinking; Cohort Studies; Diet; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Incidence; Male; Motor Activity; Obesity; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Sedentary Lifestyle; Smoking; United States

Convergent genetic and expression data implicate immunity in Alzheimer's disease. (Alzheimers Dement, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Late-onset Alzheimer's disease (AD) is heritable with 20 genes showing genome-wide association in the International Genomics of Alzheimer's Project (IGAP). To identify the biology underlying the disease, we extended these genetic data in a pathway analysis. METHODS: The ALIGATOR and GSEA algorithms were used in the IGAP data to identify associated functional pathways and correlated gene expression networks in human brain. RESULTS: ALIGATOR identified an excess of curated biological pathways showing enrichment of association. Enriched areas of biology included the immune response (P = 3.27 × 10(-12) after multiple testing correction for pathways), regulation of endocytosis (P = 1.31 × 10(-11)), cholesterol transport (P = 2.96 × 10(-9)), and proteasome-ubiquitin activity (P = 1.34 × 10(-6)). Correlated gene expression analysis identified four significant network modules, all related to the immune response (corrected P = .002-.05). CONCLUSIONS: The immune response, regulation of endocytosis, cholesterol transport, and protein ubiquitination represent prime targets for AD therapeutics.
Keywords: Algorithms; Alzheimer Disease; Brain; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

DCAF4, a novel gene associated with leucocyte telomere length. - Mangino, Massimo; Christiansen, Lene; Stone, Rivka; Hunt, Steven C; Horvath, Kent; Eisenberg, Dan T A; Kimura, Masayuki; Petersen, Inge; Kark, Jeremy D; Herbig, Utz; Reiner, Alex P; Benetos, Athanase; et al. (J Med Genet, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Leucocyte telomere length (LTL), which is fashioned by multiple genes, has been linked to a host of human diseases, including sporadic melanoma. A number of genes associated with LTL have already been identified through genome-wide association studies. The main aim of this study was to establish whether DCAF4 (DDB1 and CUL4-associated factor 4) is associated with LTL. In addition, using ingenuity pathway analysis (IPA), we examined whether LTL-associated genes in the general population might partially explain the inherently longer LTL in patients with sporadic melanoma, the risk for which is increased with ultraviolet radiation (UVR). RESULTS: Genome-wide association (GWA) meta-analysis and de novo genotyping of 20 022 individuals revealed a novel association (p=6.4×10(-10)) between LTL and rs2535913, which lies within DCAF4. Notably, eQTL analysis showed that rs2535913 is associated with decline in DCAF4 expressions in both lymphoblastoid cells and sun-exposed skin (p=4.1×10(-3) and 2×10(-3), respectively). Moreover, IPA revealed that LTL-associated genes, derived from GWA meta-analysis (N=9190), are over-represented among genes engaged in melanoma pathways. Meeting increasingly stringent p value thresholds (p<0.05, <0.01, <0.005, <0.001) in the LTL-GWA meta-analysis, these genes were jointly over-represented for melanoma at p values ranging from 1.97×10(-169) to 3.42×10(-24). CONCLUSIONS: We uncovered a new locus associated with LTL in the general population. We also provided preliminary findings that suggest a link of LTL through genetic mechanisms with UVR and melanoma in the general population.
Keywords: Alleles; Carrier Proteins; Gene Expression Regulation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Leukocytes; Melanoma; Risk Factors; Telomere; Telomere Homeostasis

Development and validation of a model to predict 5-year risk of death without ESRD among older adults with CKD. - Bansal, Nisha; Katz, Ronit; de Boer, Ian H; Peralta, Carmen A; Fried, Linda F; Siscovick, David S; Rifkin, Dena E; Hirsch, Calvin; Cummings, Steven R; Harris, Tamara B; Kritchevsky, Stephen B; Sarnak, Mark J; et al. (Clin J Am Soc Nephrol, 2015)
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: CKD is associated with mortality. Accurate prediction tools for mortality may guide clinical decision-making, particularly among elderly persons with CKD. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: A prediction equation was developed for 5-year risk of mortality among participants with CKD in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Sixteen candidate predictor variables were explored, which included demographics, physical examination measures, comorbidity, medication use, and kidney function measures (eGFR calculated from serum creatinine and the CKD Epidemiology Collaboration equation and the urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio). Models were developed using Cox regression and evaluated using c statistics. A final parsimonious model was externally validated in an independent cohort of community-living elders with CKD in the Health, Aging, and Body Composition Study. RESULTS: The development cohort included 828 participants who had a mean age of 80 (±5.6) years and an eGFR of 47 (±11) ml/min per 1.73 m(2), and median albumin-to-creatinine ratio of 13 (interquartile range 6-51) mg/g. The validation cohort included 789 participants who had a mean age of 74 (±2.8) years and an eGFR of 50 (±9) ml/min per 1.73 m(2), and median albumin-to-creatinine ratio of 13 (interquartile range 6-42) mg/g. The final model for 5-year mortality risk included age, sex, race, eGFR, urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio, smoking, diabetes mellitus, and history of heart failure and stroke (c statistic=0.72; 95% confidence interval, 0.68 to 0.74). When a point-based system was assigned for each of nine variables in the equation, the estimated risk of death within 5 years ranged from 3.8% among participants with the lowest scores to 83.6% among participants with nine points. The model performed fair in external validation (c statistic=0.69; 95% confidence interval, 0.64 to 0.74). CONCLUSIONS: A simple prediction tool using nine readily available clinical variables can assist in predicting 5-year mortality risk in elderly patients with CKD, which may be useful in counseling patients and guiding clinical decision making.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Albuminuria; Continental Population Groups; Creatinine; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Heart Failure; Humans; Male; Proportional Hazards Models; Regression Analysis; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic; Risk Factors; Sex Factors; Smoking; Stroke

Dietary fatty acids modulate associations between genetic variants and circulating fatty acids in plasma and erythrocyte membranes: Meta-analysis of nine studies in the CHARGE consortium. - Smith, Caren E; Follis, Jack L; Nettleton, Jennifer A; Foy, Millennia; Wu, Jason H Y; Ma, Yiyi; Tanaka, Toshiko; Manichakul, Ani W; Wu, Hongyu; Chu, Audrey Y; Steffen, Lyn M; Fornage, Myriam; et al. (Mol Nutr Food Res, 2015)
SCOPE: Tissue concentrations of omega-3 fatty acids may reduce cardiovascular disease risk, and genetic variants are associated with circulating fatty acids concentrations. Whether dietary fatty acids interact with genetic variants to modify circulating omega-3 fatty acids is unclear. We evaluated interactions between genetic variants and fatty acid intakes for circulating alpha-linoleic acid, eicosapentaenoic acid, docosahexaenoic acid, and docosapentaenoic acid. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted meta-analyses (N = 11 668) evaluating interactions between dietary fatty acids and genetic variants (rs174538 and rs174548 in FADS1 (fatty acid desaturase 1), rs7435 in AGPAT3 (1-acyl-sn-glycerol-3-phosphate), rs4985167 in PDXDC1 (pyridoxal-dependent decarboxylase domain-containing 1), rs780094 in GCKR (glucokinase regulatory protein), and rs3734398 in ELOVL2 (fatty acid elongase 2)). Stratification by measurement compartment (plasma versus erthyrocyte) revealed compartment-specific interactions between FADS1 rs174538 and rs174548 and dietary alpha-linolenic acid and linoleic acid for docosahexaenoic acid and docosapentaenoic acid. CONCLUSION: Our findings reinforce earlier reports that genetically based differences in circulating fatty acids may be partially due to differences in the conversion of fatty acid precursors. Further, fatty acids measurement compartment may modify gene-diet relationships, and considering compartment may improve the detection of gene-fatty acids interactions for circulating fatty acid outcomes.
Keywords: Acetyltransferases; Acyltransferases; Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing; Carboxy-Lyases; Diet; Docosahexaenoic Acids; Eicosapentaenoic Acid; Erythrocyte Membrane; Fatty Acid Desaturases; Fatty Acids; Fatty Acids, Omega-3; Female; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Drug-Gene Interactions of Antihypertensive Medications and Risk of Incident Cardiovascular Disease: A Pharmacogenomics Study from the CHARGE Consortium. - Bis, Joshua C; Sitlani, Colleen; Irvin, Ryan; Avery, Christy L; Smith, Albert Vernon; Sun, Fangui; Evans, Daniel S; Musani, Solomon K; Li, Xiaohui; Trompet, Stella; Krijthe, Bouwe P; Harris, Tamara B; et al. (PLoS One, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Hypertension is a major risk factor for a spectrum of cardiovascular diseases (CVD), including myocardial infarction, sudden death, and stroke. In the US, over 65 million people have high blood pressure and a large proportion of these individuals are prescribed antihypertensive medications. Although large long-term clinical trials conducted in the last several decades have identified a number of effective antihypertensive treatments that reduce the risk of future clinical complications, responses to therapy and protection from cardiovascular events vary among individuals. METHODS: Using a genome-wide association study among 21,267 participants with pharmaceutically treated hypertension, we explored the hypothesis that genetic variants might influence or modify the effectiveness of common antihypertensive therapies on the risk of major cardiovascular outcomes. The classes of drug treatments included angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, beta-blockers, calcium channel blockers, and diuretics. In the setting of the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) consortium, each study performed array-based genome-wide genotyping, imputed to HapMap Phase II reference panels, and used additive genetic models in proportional hazards or logistic regression models to evaluate drug-gene interactions for each of four therapeutic drug classes. We used meta-analysis to combine study-specific interaction estimates for approximately 2 million single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in a discovery analysis among 15,375 European Ancestry participants (3,527 CVD cases) with targeted follow-up in a case-only study of 1,751 European Ancestry GenHAT participants as well as among 4,141 African-Americans (1,267 CVD cases). RESULTS: Although drug-SNP interactions were biologically plausible, exposures and outcomes were well measured, and power was sufficient to detect modest interactions, we did not identify any statistically significant interactions from the four antihypertensive therapy meta-analyses (Pinteraction > 5.0×10-8). Similarly, findings were null for meta-analyses restricted to 66 SNPs with significant main effects on coronary artery disease or blood pressure from large published genome-wide association studies (Pinteraction ≥ 0.01). Our results suggest that there are no major pharmacogenetic influences of common SNPs on the relationship between blood pressure medications and the risk of incident CVD.
Keywords: African Americans; Aged; Antihypertensive Agents; Cardiovascular Diseases; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Hypertension; Incidence; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Treatment Outcome

Empirically Derived Trajectories to Dementia Over 15 Years of Follow-up Identified by Using Mixed Membership Models. - Lecci, Fabrizio; Junker, Brian; Kuller, Lewis H; Lopez, Oscar L; Becker, James T (Am J Epidemiol, 2015)
Alzheimer disease is the most common form of dementia in the elderly, and the complex relationships among risk factors produce highly variable natural histories from normal cognition through the prodromal stage of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to clinical dementia. We used a novel statistical approach, mixed membership trajectory models, to capture the variety of such pathways in 652 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study Cognition Study over 22 years of follow-up (1992-2014). We identified 3 trajectories: a "healthy" profile with a peak probability of MCI between 95 and 100 years of age and only a 50% probability of dementia by age 100; an "intermediate" profile with a peak probability of MCI between 85 and 90 years of age and progression to dementia between 90 and 95 years; and an "unhealthy" profile with a peak probability of progressing to MCI between ages 75 and 80 years and to dementia between the ages of 80 and 85 years. Hypertension, education, race, and the ϵ4 allele of the apolipoprotein E gene all affected the closeness of an individual to 1 or more of the canonical trajectories. These results provide new insights into the natural history of Alzheimer disease and evidence for a potential difference in the pathophysiology of the development of dementia.
Keywords: Age Distribution; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Apolipoprotein E4; Cardiovascular Diseases; Comorbidity; Dementia; Diabetes Mellitus; Disease Progression; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Mild Cognitive Impairment; Neuroimaging; Prevalence; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors; Sex Distribution

Exome sequencing identifies rare LDLR and APOA5 alleles conferring risk for myocardial infarction. - Do, Ron; Stitziel, Nathan O; Won, Hong-Hee; Jørgensen, Anders Berg; Duga, Stefano; Angelica Merlini, Pier; Kiezun, Adam; Farrall, Martin; Goel, Anuj; Zuk, Or; Guella, Illaria; Asselta, Rosanna; et al. (Nature, 2015)
Myocardial infarction (MI), a leading cause of death around the world, displays a complex pattern of inheritance. When MI occurs early in life, genetic inheritance is a major component to risk. Previously, rare mutations in low-density lipoprotein (LDL) genes have been shown to contribute to MI risk in individual families, whereas common variants at more than 45 loci have been associated with MI risk in the population. Here we evaluate how rare mutations contribute to early-onset MI risk in the population. We sequenced the protein-coding regions of 9,793 genomes from patients with MI at an early age (≤50 years in males and ≤60 years in females) along with MI-free controls. We identified two genes in which rare coding-sequence mutations were more frequent in MI cases versus controls at exome-wide significance. At low-density lipoprotein receptor (LDLR), carriers of rare non-synonymous mutations were at 4.2-fold increased risk for MI; carriers of null alleles at LDLR were at even higher risk (13-fold difference). Approximately 2% of early MI cases harbour a rare, damaging mutation in LDLR; this estimate is similar to one made more than 40 years ago using an analysis of total cholesterol. Among controls, about 1 in 217 carried an LDLR coding-sequence mutation and had plasma LDL cholesterol > 190 mg dl(-1). At apolipoprotein A-V (APOA5), carriers of rare non-synonymous mutations were at 2.2-fold increased risk for MI. When compared with non-carriers, LDLR mutation carriers had higher plasma LDL cholesterol, whereas APOA5 mutation carriers had higher plasma triglycerides. Recent evidence has connected MI risk with coding-sequence mutations at two genes functionally related to APOA5, namely lipoprotein lipase and apolipoprotein C-III (refs 18, 19). Combined, these observations suggest that, as well as LDL cholesterol, disordered metabolism of triglyceride-rich lipoproteins contributes to MI risk.
Keywords: Age Factors; Age of Onset; Alleles; Apolipoproteins A; Case-Control Studies; Cholesterol, LDL; Coronary Artery Disease; Exome; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genetics, Population; Heterozygote; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Mutation; Myocardial Infarction; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (U.S.); Receptors, LDL; Triglycerides; United States

Fetuin-A and risk of coronary heart disease: A Mendelian randomization analysis and a pooled analysis of AHSG genetic variants in 7 prospective studies. - Laugsand, Lars E; Ix, Joachim H; Bartz, Traci M; Djoussé, Luc; Kizer, Jorge R; Tracy, Russell P; Dehghan, Abbas; Rexrode, Kathryn; Lopez, Oscar L; Rimm, Eric B; Siscovick, David S; O'Donnell, Christopher J; et al. (Atherosclerosis, 2015)
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Fetuin-A has a plausible role in the inhibition of arterial calcification, but its association with risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) in the general population is unclear. We used two common genetic variants in the fetuin-A gene (AHSG) that are strongly associated with circulating fetuin-A levels to investigate the associations with risk of CHD and subclinical cardiovascular measures (intima-media thickness, ankle-arm index, and coronary artery calcification). METHODS: Genetic variation and fetuin-A levels were assessed in 3299 community-living individuals (2733 Caucasians and 566 African Americans) 65 years of age or older, free of previous cardiovascular disease, who participated in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) in 1992-1993. RESULTS: Among Caucasians, both rs2248690 and rs4917 were associated with 12% lower fetuin-A concentrations per minor allele (P < 0.0001). The hazard ratios (HRs) per minor allele for incident CHD were 1.12 (95% CI: 1.00-1.26) for rs2248690 and 1.02 (0.91-1.14) for rs4917. Using both genotypes as an instrumental variable for measured fetuin-A, the HRs for one standard deviation increase in genetically determined fetuin-A levels on CHD risk were 0.84 (95% CI: 0.70-1.00) for rs2248690 and 0.97 (95% CI: 0.82-1.14) for rs4917, respectively. However, in CHS neither of the genotypes were associated with subclinical cardiovascular measures and when CHS data were meta-analyzed with data from six other prospective studies (totaling 26,702 Caucasian participants and 3295 CHD cases), the meta-analyzed HRs for incident CHD were 1.12 (0.93-1.34) and 1.06 (0.93-1.20) for rs2248690 and rs4917, respectively (p heterogeneity 0.005 and 0.0048). CONCLUSION: Common variants in the AHSG gene are strongly associated with fetuin-A levels, but their concurrent association with CHD risk in current prospective studies is inconsistent. Further investigation in studies with measured fetuin-A and AHSG variants is needed to clarify the potential causal association of fetuin-A with CHD risk.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; alpha-2-HS-Glycoprotein; Carotid Intima-Media Thickness; Coronary Vessels; Female; Genetic Variation; Genotype; Heart Diseases; Humans; Insulin Resistance; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Mendelian Randomization Analysis; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Vascular Calcification

Fibroblast growth factor 23 and sudden versus non-sudden cardiac death: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Deo, Rajat; Katz, Ronit; de Boer, Ian H; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Kestenbaum, Bryan; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Chonchol, Michel; Sarnak, Mark J; Siscovick, David; Shlipak, Michael G; Ix, Joachim H (Am J Kidney Dis, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Elevated fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF-23) concentrations are associated with greater risk of cardiovascular events and mortality, especially among people with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Because individuals with CKD are at an increased risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD), we sought to understand whether FGF-23 level is a stronger risk factor for SCD versus non-SCD. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 3,244 participants 65 years or older in the community-based Cardiovascular Health Study. PREDICTOR: Plasma FGF-23 concentrations. OUTCOMES: We assessed SCD and non-SCD in these analyses. SCD was adjudicated rigorously and was defined as a sudden pulseless condition of cardiac origin in a previously stable person occurring out of hospital or in the emergency department. MEASUREMENTS: We estimated associations of baseline FGF-23 concentrations with SCD and non-SCD using Cox proportional hazards models after adjustment for demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, comorbid conditions, and kidney function. We also tested whether associations differed by CKD status. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 8.1 years, there were 118 adjudicated SCD and 570 non-SCD events. After multivariable adjustment for demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, comorbid conditions, and parameters of kidney function, higher FGF-23 concentrations were an independent risk factor for non-SCD (HR [per doubling], 1.17; 95% CI, 1.06-1.30). However, elevated FGF-23 concentrations were not associated independently with SCD (HR [per doubling], 1.07; 95% CI, 0.85-1.35). In stratified analysis by CKD status (36.5% of cohort), doubling of FGF-23 concentrations was associated independently with non-SCD (adjusted HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.10-1.45). A similar magnitude of association was observed between FGF-23 level and SCD in the CKD subgroup; however, it was not significant (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.89-1.62). LIMITATIONS: Limited power to detect moderate-sized effects between FGF-23 level and SCD in both the primary and stratified analyses. CONCLUSIONS: In this population-based study, FGF-23 level elevations were associated independently with non-SCD. Among individuals with CKD, the associations between FGF-23 level and SCD and non-SCD were similar.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Biomarkers; Comorbidity; Death, Sudden, Cardiac; Electrocardiography; Female; Fibroblast Growth Factors; Follow-Up Studies; Heart Arrest; Heart Diseases; Humans; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Male; Prospective Studies; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic; Risk Factors; Sympathetic Nervous System; United States

Fibrosis-related biomarkers and large and small vessel disease: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Agarwal, Isha; Arnold, Alice; Glazer, Nicole L; Barasch, Eddy; Djoussé, Luc; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Gottdiener, John S; Ix, Joachim H; Jensen, Richard A; Kizer, Jorge R; Rimm, Eric B; Siscovick, David S; et al. (Atherosclerosis, 2015)
OBJECTIVE: Fibrosis has been implicated in a number of pathological, organ-based conditions of the liver, kidney, heart, and lungs. The objective of this study was to determine whether biomarkers of fibrosis are associated with vascular disease in the large and/or small vessels. METHODS: We evaluated the associations of two circulating biomarkers of fibrosis, transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β) and procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP), with incident peripheral artery disease (PAD) and subclinical macrovascular (carotid intima-media thickness, flow-mediated vasodilation, ankle-brachial index, retinal vein diameter), and microvascular (retinal artery diameter and retinopathy) disease among older adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study. We measured TGF-β and PIIINP from samples collected in 1996 and ascertained clinical PAD through 2011. Measurements of large and small vessels were collected between 1996 and 1998. RESULTS: After adjustment for sociodemographic, clinical, and biochemical risk factors, TGF-β was associated with incident PAD (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.36 per doubling of TGF-β, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.04, 1.78) and retinal venular diameter (1.63 μm per doubling of TGF-β, CI = 0.23, 3.02). PIIINP was not associated with incident PAD, but was associated with carotid intima-media thickness (0.102 mm per doubling of PIIINP, CI = 0.029, 0.174) and impaired brachial artery reactivity (-0.20% change per doubling of PIIINP, CI = -0.39, -0.02). Neither TGF-β nor PIIINP were associated with retinal arteriolar diameter or retinopathy. CONCLUSIONS: Serum concentrations of fibrosis-related biomarkers were associated with several measures of large vessel disease, including incident PAD, but not with small vessel disease. Fibrosis may contribute to large vessel atherosclerosis in older adults.
Keywords: Aged; Ankle Brachial Index; Biomarkers; Brachial Artery; Carotid Artery Diseases; Carotid Intima-Media Thickness; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Fibrosis; Humans; Incidence; Male; Peptide Fragments; Peripheral Arterial Disease; Predictive Value of Tests; Procollagen; Prognosis; Prospective Studies; Retinal Diseases; Risk Factors; Transforming Growth Factor beta; United States; Vasodilation

Gene × dietary pattern interactions in obesity: analysis of up to 68 317 adults of European ancestry. - Nettleton, Jennifer A; Follis, Jack L; Ngwa, Julius S; Smith, Caren E; Ahmad, Shafqat; Tanaka, Toshiko; Wojczynski, Mary K; Voortman, Trudy; Lemaitre, Rozenn N; Kristiansson, Kati; Nuotio, Marja-Liisa; Houston, Denise K; et al. (Hum Mol Genet, 2015)
Obesity is highly heritable. Genetic variants showing robust associations with obesity traits have been identified through genome-wide association studies. We investigated whether a composite score representing healthy diet modifies associations of these variants with obesity traits. Totally, 32 body mass index (BMI)- and 14 waist-hip ratio (WHR)-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms were genotyped, and genetic risk scores (GRS) were calculated in 18 cohorts of European ancestry (n = 68 317). Diet score was calculated based on self-reported intakes of whole grains, fish, fruits, vegetables, nuts/seeds (favorable) and red/processed meats, sweets, sugar-sweetened beverages and fried potatoes (unfavorable). Multivariable adjusted, linear regression within each cohort followed by inverse variance-weighted, fixed-effects meta-analysis was used to characterize: (a) associations of each GRS with BMI and BMI-adjusted WHR and (b) diet score modification of genetic associations with BMI and BMI-adjusted WHR. Nominally significant interactions (P = 0.006-0.04) were observed between the diet score and WHR-GRS (but not BMI-GRS), two WHR loci (GRB14 rs10195252; LYPLAL1 rs4846567) and two BMI loci (LRRN6C rs10968576; MTIF3 rs4771122), for the respective BMI-adjusted WHR or BMI outcomes. Although the magnitudes of these select interactions were small, our data indicated that associations between genetic predisposition and obesity traits were stronger with a healthier diet. Our findings generate interesting hypotheses; however, experimental and functional studies are needed to determine their clinical relevance.
Keywords: Adult; Body Mass Index; Case-Control Studies; Diet, Western; Epistasis, Genetic; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Obesity; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Gene-centric approach identifies new and known loci for FVIII activity and VWF antigen levels in European Americans and African Americans. - Tang, Weihong; Cushman, Mary; Green, David; Rich, Stephen S; Lange, Leslie A; Yang, Qiong; Tracy, Russell P; Tofler, Geoffrey H; Basu, Saonli; Wilson, James G; Keating, Brendan J; Weng, Lu-Chen; et al. (Am J Hematol, 2015)
Coagulation factor VIII and von Willebrand factor (VWF) are key proteins in procoagulant activation. Higher FVIII coagulant activity (FVIII :C) and VWF antigen (VWF :Ag) are risk factors for cardiovascular disease and venous thromboembolism. Beyond associations with ABO blood group, genetic determinants of FVIII and VWF are not well understood, especially in non European-American populations. We performed a genetic association study of FVIII :C and VWF:Ag that assessed 50,000 gene-centric single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 18,556 European Americans (EAs) and 5,047 African Americans (AAs) from five population-based cohorts. Previously unreported associations for FVIII :C were identified in both AAs and EAs with KNG1 (most significantly associated SNP rs710446, Ile581Thr, Ile581Thr, P = 5.10 × 10(-7) in EAs and P = 3.88 × 10(-3) in AAs) and VWF rs7962217 (Gly2705Arg,P = 6.30 × 10(-9) in EAs and P = 2.98 × 10(-2) in AAs. Significant associations for FVIII :C were also observed with F8/TMLHE region SNP rs12557310 in EAs (P = 8.02 × 10(-10) ), with VWF rs1800380 in AAs (P = 5.62 × 10(-11) ), and with MAT1A rs2236568 in AAs (P51.69 × 10(-6) ). We replicated previously reported associations of FVIII :C and VWF :Ag with the ABO blood group, VWF rs1063856(Thr789Ala), rs216321 (Ala852Gln), and VWF rs2229446 (Arg2185Gln). Findings from this study expand our understanding of genetic influences for FVIII :C and VWF :Ag in both EAs and AAs.
Keywords: Adult; African Americans; Aged; European Continental Ancestry Group; Factor VIII; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Methionine Adenosyltransferase; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Venous Thromboembolism; von Willebrand Factor

Gene-Environment Interactions of Circadian-Related Genes for Cardiometabolic Traits. - Dashti, Hassan S; Follis, Jack L; Smith, Caren E; Tanaka, Toshiko; Garaulet, Marta; Gottlieb, Daniel J; Hruby, Adela; Jacques, Paul F; Kiefte-de Jong, Jessica C; Lamon-Fava, Stefania; Scheer, Frank A J L; Bartz, Traci M; et al. (Diabetes Care, 2015)
OBJECTIVE: Common circadian-related gene variants associate with increased risk for metabolic alterations including type 2 diabetes. However, little is known about whether diet and sleep could modify associations between circadian-related variants (CLOCK-rs1801260, CRY2-rs11605924, MTNR1B-rs1387153, MTNR1B-rs10830963, NR1D1-rs2314339) and cardiometabolic traits (fasting glucose [FG], HOMA-insulin resistance, BMI, waist circumference, and HDL-cholesterol) to facilitate personalized recommendations. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We conducted inverse-variance weighted, fixed-effect meta-analyses of results of adjusted associations and interactions between dietary intake/sleep duration and selected variants on cardiometabolic traits from 15 cohort studies including up to 28,190 participants of European descent from the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium. RESULTS: We observed significant associations between relative macronutrient intakes and glycemic traits and short sleep duration (<7 h) and higher FG and replicated known MTNR1B associations with glycemic traits. No interactions were evident after accounting for multiple comparisons. However, we observed nominally significant interactions (all P < 0.01) between carbohydrate intake and MTNR1B-rs1387153 for FG with a 0.003 mmol/L higher FG with each additional 1% carbohydrate intake in the presence of the T allele, between sleep duration and CRY2-rs11605924 for HDL-cholesterol with a 0.010 mmol/L higher HDL-cholesterol with each additional hour of sleep in the presence of the A allele, and between long sleep duration (≥9 h) and MTNR1B-rs1387153 for BMI with a 0.60 kg/m(2) higher BMI with long sleep duration in the presence of the T allele relative to normal sleep duration (≥7 to <9 h). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that lower carbohydrate intake and normal sleep duration may ameliorate cardiometabolic abnormalities conferred by common circadian-related genetic variants. Until further mechanistic examination of the nominally significant interactions is conducted, recommendations applicable to the general population regarding diet—specifically higher carbohydrate and lower fat composition—and normal sleep duration should continue to be emphasized among individuals with the investigated circadian-related gene variants.
Keywords: Adult; Alleles; Blood Glucose; Circadian Rhythm Signaling Peptides and Proteins; Cohort Studies; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Diet, Fat-Restricted; European Continental Ancestry Group; Fasting; Female; Gene-Environment Interaction; Humans; Insulin Resistance; Male; Middle Aged; Multicenter Studies as Topic; Observational Studies as Topic; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Sleep; Waist Circumference

Generalized estimating equations for genome-wide association studies using longitudinal phenotype data. - Sitlani, Colleen M; Rice, Kenneth M; Lumley, Thomas; McKnight, Barbara; Cupples, L Adrienne; Avery, Christy L; Noordam, Raymond; Stricker, Bruno H C; Whitsel, Eric A; Psaty, Bruce M (Stat Med, 2015)
Many longitudinal cohort studies have both genome-wide measures of genetic variation and repeated measures of phenotypes and environmental exposures. Genome-wide association study analyses have typically used only cross-sectional data to evaluate quantitative phenotypes and binary traits. Incorporation of repeated measures may increase power to detect associations, but also requires specialized analysis methods. Here, we discuss one such method-generalized estimating equations (GEE)-in the contexts of analysis of main effects of rare genetic variants and analysis of gene-environment interactions. We illustrate the potential for increased power using GEE analyses instead of cross-sectional analyses. We also address challenges that arise, such as the need for small-sample corrections when the minor allele frequency of a genetic variant and/or the prevalence of an environmental exposure is low. To illustrate methods for detection of gene-drug interactions on a genome-wide scale, using repeated measures data, we conduct single-study analyses and meta-analyses across studies in three large cohort studies participating in the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology consortium-the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, the Cardiovascular Health Study, and the Rotterdam Study.
Keywords: Aged; Aging; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Computer Simulation; Cross-Sectional Studies; Epidemiologic Research Design; Gene-Environment Interaction; Genetic Variation; Genome, Human; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Models, Genetic; Pharmacogenetics; Risk Assessment; United States

Genes from a translational analysis support a multifactorial nature of white matter hyperintensities. - Lopez, Lorna M; Hill, W David; Harris, Sarah E; Valdes Hernandez, Maria; Munoz Maniega, Susana; Bastin, Mark E; Bailey, Emma; Smith, Colin; McBride, Martin; McClure, John; Graham, Delyth; Dominiczak, Anna; et al. (Stroke, 2015)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: White matter hyperintensities (WMH) of presumed vascular origin increase the risk of stroke and dementia. Despite strong WMH heritability, few gene associations have been identified. Relevant experimental models may be informative. METHODS: We tested the associations between genes that were differentially expressed in brains of young spontaneously hypertensive stroke-prone rats and human WMH (using volume and visual score) in 621 subjects from the Lothian Birth Cohort 1936 (LBC1936). We then attempted replication in 9361 subjects from the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE). We also tested the subjects from LBC1936 for previous genome-wide WMH associations found in subjects from CHARGE. RESULTS: Of 126 spontaneously hypertensive stroke-prone rat genes, 10 were nominally associated with WMH volume or score in subjects from LBC1936, of which 5 (AFP, ALB, GNAI1, RBM8a, and MRPL18) were associated with both WMH volume and score (P<0.05); 2 of the 10 (XPNPEP1, P=6.7×10(-5); FARP1, P=0.024) plus another spontaneously hypertensive stroke-prone rat gene (USMG5, P=0.00014), on chromosomes 10, 13, and 10 respectively, were associated with WMH in subjects from CHARGE. Gene set enrichment showed significant associations for downregulated spontaneously hypertensive stroke-prone rat genes with WMH in humans. In subjects from LBC1936, we replicated CHARGE's genome-wide WMH associations on chromosomes 17 (TRIM65 and TRIM47) and, for the first time, 1 (PMF1). CONCLUSIONS: Despite not passing multiple testing thresholds individually, these genes collectively are relevant to known WMH associations, proposed WMH mechanisms, or dementia: associations with Alzheimer's disease, late-life depression, ATP production, osmotic regulation, neurodevelopmental abnormalities, and cognitive impairment. If replicated further, they suggest a multifactorial nature for WMH and argue for more consideration of vascular contributions to dementia.
Keywords: Aged; Alzheimer Disease; Animals; Brain; Causality; Dementia; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Leukoencephalopathies; Male; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Rats; Rats, Inbred SHR; Rats, Wistar; Risk Factors; Translational Medical Research; White Matter

Genetic contributions to variation in general cognitive function: a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies in the CHARGE consortium (N=53949). - Davies, G; Armstrong, N; Bis, J C; Bressler, J; Chouraki, V; Giddaluru, S; Hofer, E; Ibrahim-Verbaas, C A; Kirin, M; Lahti, J; van der Lee, S J; Le Hellard, S; et al. (Mol Psychiatry, 2015)
General cognitive function is substantially heritable across the human life course from adolescence to old age. We investigated the genetic contribution to variation in this important, health- and well-being-related trait in middle-aged and older adults. We conducted a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies of 31 cohorts (N=53,949) in which the participants had undertaken multiple, diverse cognitive tests. A general cognitive function phenotype was tested for, and created in each cohort by principal component analysis. We report 13 genome-wide significant single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) associations in three genomic regions, 6q16.1, 14q12 and 19q13.32 (best SNP and closest gene, respectively: rs10457441, P=3.93 × 10(-9), MIR2113; rs17522122, P=2.55 × 10(-8), AKAP6; rs10119, P=5.67 × 10(-9), APOE/TOMM40). We report one gene-based significant association with the HMGN1 gene located on chromosome 21 (P=1 × 10(-6)). These genes have previously been associated with neuropsychiatric phenotypes. Meta-analysis results are consistent with a polygenic model of inheritance. To estimate SNP-based heritability, the genome-wide complex trait analysis procedure was applied to two large cohorts, the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (N=6617) and the Health and Retirement Study (N=5976). The proportion of phenotypic variation accounted for by all genotyped common SNPs was 29% (s.e.=5%) and 28% (s.e.=7%), respectively. Using polygenic prediction analysis, ~1.2% of the variance in general cognitive function was predicted in the Generation Scotland cohort (N=5487; P=1.5 × 10(-17)). In hypothesis-driven tests, there was significant association between general cognitive function and four genes previously associated with Alzheimer's disease: TOMM40, APOE, ABCG1 and MEF2C.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Atherosclerosis; Cognition; Cognition Disorders; Cohort Studies; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; HMGN1 Protein; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Neuropsychological Tests; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Scotland

Genetic loci associated with circulating levels of very long-chain saturated fatty acids. - Lemaitre, Rozenn N; King, Irena B; Kabagambe, Edmond K; Wu, Jason H Y; McKnight, Barbara; Manichaikul, Ani; Guan, Weihua; Sun, Qi; Chasman, Daniel I; Foy, Millennia; Wang, Lu; Zhu, Jingwen; et al. (J Lipid Res, 2015)
Very long-chain saturated fatty acids (VLSFAs) are saturated fatty acids with 20 or more carbons. In contrast to the more abundant saturated fatty acids, such as palmitic acid, there is growing evidence that circulating VLSFAs may have beneficial biological properties. Whether genetic factors influence circulating levels of VLSFAs is not known. We investigated the association of common genetic variation with plasma phospholipid/erythrocyte levels of three VLSFAs by performing genome-wide association studies in seven population-based cohorts comprising 10,129 subjects of European ancestry. We observed associations of circulating VLSFA concentrations with common variants in two genes, serine palmitoyl-transferase long-chain base subunit 3 (SPTLC3), a gene involved in the rate-limiting step of de novo sphingolipid synthesis, and ceramide synthase 4 (CERS4). The SPTLC3 variant at rs680379 was associated with higher arachidic acid (20:0 , P = 5.81 × 10(-13)). The CERS4 variant at rs2100944 was associated with higher levels of 20:0 (P = 2.65 × 10(-40)) and in analyses that adjusted for 20:0, with lower levels of behenic acid (P = 4.22 × 10(-26)) and lignoceric acid (P = 3.20 × 10(-21)). These novel associations suggest an inter-relationship of circulating VLSFAs and sphingolipid synthesis.
Keywords: Cohort Studies; Fatty Acids; Genetic Loci; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans

Genetic loci associated with circulating phospholipid trans fatty acids: a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies from the CHARGE Consortium. - Mozaffarian, Dariush; Kabagambe, Edmond K; Johnson, Catherine O; Lemaitre, Rozenn N; Manichaikul, Ani; Sun, Qi; Foy, Millennia; Wang, Lu; Wiener, Howard; Irvin, Marguerite R; Rich, Stephen S; Wu, Hongyu; et al. (Am J Clin Nutr, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Circulating trans fatty acids (TFAs), which cannot be synthesized by humans, are linked to adverse health outcomes. Although TFAs are obtained from diet, little is known about subsequent influences (e.g., relating to incorporation, metabolism, or intercompetition with other fatty acids) that could alter circulating concentrations and possibly modulate or mediate impacts on health. OBJECTIVE: The objective was to elucidate novel biologic pathways that may influence circulating TFAs by evaluating associations between common genetic variation and TFA biomarkers. DESIGN: We performed meta-analyses using 7 cohorts of European-ancestry participants (n = 8013) having measured genome-wide variation in single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and circulating TFA biomarkers (erythrocyte or plasma phospholipids), including trans-16:1n-7, total trans-18:1, trans/cis-18:2, cis/trans-18:2, and trans/trans-18:2. We further evaluated SNPs with genome-wide significant associations among African Americans (n = 1082), Chinese Americans (n = 669), and Hispanic Americans (n = 657) from 2 of these cohorts. RESULTS: Among European-ancestry participants, 31 SNPs in or near the fatty acid desaturase (FADS) 1 and 2 cluster were associated with cis/trans-18:2; a top hit was rs174548 (β = 0.0035, P = 4.90 × 10(-15)), an SNP previously associated with circulating n-3 and n-6 polyunsaturated fatty acid concentrations. No significant association was identified for other TFAs. rs174548 in FADS1/2 was also associated with cis/trans-18:2 in Hispanic Americans (β = 0.0053, P = 1.05 × 10(-6)) and Chinese Americans (β = 0.0028, P = 0.002) but not African Americans (β = 0.0009, P = 0.34); however, in African Americans, fine mapping identified a top hit in FADS2 associated with cis/trans-18:2 (rs174579: β = 0.0118, P = 4.05 × 10(-5)). The association between rs174548 and cis/trans-18:2 remained significant after further adjustment for individual circulating n-3 and n-6 fatty acids, except arachidonic acid. After adjustment for arachidonic acid concentrations, the association between rs174548 and cis/trans-18:2 was nearly eliminated in European-ancestry participants (β-coefficient reduced by 86%), with similar reductions in Hispanic Americans and Chinese Americans. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provide novel evidence for genetic regulation of cis/trans-18:2 by the FADS1/2 cluster and suggest that this regulation may be influenced/mediated by concentrations of arachidonic acid, an n-6 polyunsaturated fat.
Keywords: African Americans; Arachidonic Acid; Asian Americans; Biomarkers; European Continental Ancestry Group; Fatty Acids, Omega-6; Gene Frequency; Genetic Association Studies; Genetic Loci; Genotyping Techniques; Humans; Phospholipids; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Trans Fatty Acids

Genetic overlap between diagnostic subtypes of ischemic stroke. - Holliday, Elizabeth G; Traylor, Matthew; Malik, Rainer; Bevan, Steve; Falcone, Guido; Hopewell, Jemma C; Cheng, Yu-Ching; Cotlarciuc, Ioana; Bis, Joshua C; Boerwinkle, Eric; Boncoraglio, Giorgio B; Clarke, Robert; et al. (Stroke, 2015)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Despite moderate heritability, the phenotypic heterogeneity of ischemic stroke has hampered gene discovery, motivating analyses of diagnostic subtypes with reduced sample sizes. We assessed evidence for a shared genetic basis among the 3 major subtypes: large artery atherosclerosis (LAA), cardioembolism, and small vessel disease (SVD), to inform potential cross-subtype analyses. METHODS: Analyses used genome-wide summary data for 12 389 ischemic stroke cases (including 2167 LAA, 2405 cardioembolism, and 1854 SVD) and 62 004 controls from the Metastroke consortium. For 4561 cases and 7094 controls, individual-level genotype data were also available. Genetic correlations between subtypes were estimated using linear mixed models and polygenic profile scores. Meta-analysis of a combined LAA-SVD phenotype (4021 cases and 51 976 controls) was performed to identify shared risk alleles. RESULTS: High genetic correlation was identified between LAA and SVD using linear mixed models (rg=0.96, SE=0.47, P=9×10(-4)) and profile scores (rg=0.72; 95% confidence interval, 0.52-0.93). Between LAA and cardioembolism and SVD and cardioembolism, correlation was moderate using linear mixed models but not significantly different from zero for profile scoring. Joint meta-analysis of LAA and SVD identified strong association (P=1×10(-7)) for single nucleotide polymorphisms near the opioid receptor μ1 (OPRM1) gene. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that LAA and SVD, which have been hitherto treated as genetically distinct, may share a substantial genetic component. Combined analyses of LAA and SVD may increase power to identify small-effect alleles influencing shared pathophysiological processes.
Keywords: Alleles; Atherosclerosis; Cerebral Small Vessel Diseases; Cohort Studies; Data Interpretation, Statistical; Embolism; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Humans; Ischemia; Linear Models; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Stroke

Genome of The Netherlands population-specific imputations identify an ABCA6 variant associated with cholesterol levels. - van Leeuwen, Elisabeth M; Karssen, Lennart C; Deelen, Joris; Isaacs, Aaron; Medina-Gómez, Carolina; Mbarek, Hamdi; Kanterakis, Alexandros; Trompet, Stella; Postmus, Iris; Verweij, Niek; van Enckevort, David J; Huffman, Jennifer E; et al. (Nat Commun, 2015)
Variants associated with blood lipid levels may be population-specific. To identify low-frequency variants associated with this phenotype, population-specific reference panels may be used. Here we impute nine large Dutch biobanks (~35,000 samples) with the population-specific reference panel created by the Genome of The Netherlands Project and perform association testing with blood lipid levels. We report the discovery of five novel associations at four loci (P value <6.61 × 10(-4)), including a rare missense variant in ABCA6 (rs77542162, p.Cys1359Arg, frequency 0.034), which is predicted to be deleterious. The frequency of this ABCA6 variant is 3.65-fold increased in the Dutch and its effect (βLDL-C=0.135, βTC=0.140) is estimated to be very similar to those observed for single variants in well-known lipid genes, such as LDLR.
Keywords: ATP-Binding Cassette Transporters; Cholesterol; Gene Frequency; Genetic Association Studies; Humans; Mutation, Missense; Netherlands

Genome-Wide Association Study and Linkage Analysis of the Healthy Aging Index. - Minster, Ryan L; Sanders, Jason L; Singh, Jatinder; Kammerer, Candace M; Barmada, M Michael; Matteini, Amy M; Zhang, Qunyuan; Wojczynski, Mary K; Daw, E Warwick; Brody, Jennifer A; Arnold, Alice M; Lunetta, Kathryn L; et al. (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2015)
BACKGROUND: The Healthy Aging Index (HAI) is a tool for measuring the extent of health and disease across multiple systems. METHODS: We conducted a genome-wide association study and a genome-wide linkage analysis to map quantitative trait loci associated with the HAI and a modified HAI weighted for mortality risk in 3,140 individuals selected for familial longevity from the Long Life Family Study. The genome-wide association study used the Long Life Family Study as the discovery cohort and individuals from the Cardiovascular Health Study and the Framingham Heart Study as replication cohorts. RESULTS: There were no genome-wide significant findings from the genome-wide association study; however, several single-nucleotide polymorphisms near ZNF704 on chromosome 8q21.13 were suggestively associated with the HAI in the Long Life Family Study (p < 10(-) (6)) and nominally replicated in the Cardiovascular Health Study and Framingham Heart Study. Linkage results revealed significant evidence (log-odds score = 3.36) for a quantitative trait locus for mortality-optimized HAI in women on chromosome 9p24-p23. However, results of fine-mapping studies did not implicate any specific candidate genes within this region of interest. CONCLUSIONS: ZNF704 may be a potential candidate gene for studies of the genetic underpinnings of longevity.
Keywords: Aging; Apolipoproteins E; Forkhead Transcription Factors; Genetic Linkage; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Longevity; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Quantitative Trait Loci

Genome-wide meta-analysis identifies six novel loci associated with habitual coffee consumption. - Cornelis, M C; Byrne, E M; Esko, T; Nalls, M A; Ganna, A; Paynter, N; Monda, K L; Amin, N; Fischer, K; Renstrom, F; Ngwa, J S; Huikari, V; et al. (Mol Psychiatry, 2015)
Coffee, a major dietary source of caffeine, is among the most widely consumed beverages in the world and has received considerable attention regarding health risks and benefits. We conducted a genome-wide (GW) meta-analysis of predominately regular-type coffee consumption (cups per day) among up to 91,462 coffee consumers of European ancestry with top single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) followed-up in ~30 062 and 7964 coffee consumers of European and African-American ancestry, respectively. Studies from both stages were combined in a trans-ethnic meta-analysis. Confirmed loci were examined for putative functional and biological relevance. Eight loci, including six novel loci, met GW significance (log10Bayes factor (BF)>5.64) with per-allele effect sizes of 0.03-0.14 cups per day. Six are located in or near genes potentially involved in pharmacokinetics (ABCG2, AHR, POR and CYP1A2) and pharmacodynamics (BDNF and SLC6A4) of caffeine. Two map to GCKR and MLXIPL genes related to metabolic traits but lacking known roles in coffee consumption. Enhancer and promoter histone marks populate the regions of many confirmed loci and several potential regulatory SNPs are highly correlated with the lead SNP of each. SNP alleles near GCKR, MLXIPL, BDNF and CYP1A2 that were associated with higher coffee consumption have previously been associated with smoking initiation, higher adiposity and fasting insulin and glucose but lower blood pressure and favorable lipid, inflammatory and liver enzyme profiles (P<5 × 10(-8)).Our genetic findings among European and African-American adults reinforce the role of caffeine in mediating habitual coffee consumption and may point to molecular mechanisms underlying inter-individual variability in pharmacological and health effects of coffee.
Keywords: Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing; Basic Helix-Loop-Helix Leucine Zipper Transcription Factors; Brain-Derived Neurotrophic Factor; Coffea; Cytochrome P-450 CYP1A2; Food Habits; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Genome-wide studies of verbal declarative memory in nondemented older people: the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology consortium. - Debette, Stephanie; Ibrahim Verbaas, Carla A; Bressler, Jan; Schuur, Maaike; Smith, Albert; Bis, Joshua C; Davies, Gail; Wolf, Christiane; Gudnason, Vilmundur; Chibnik, Lori B; Yang, Qiong; DeStefano, Anita L; et al. (Biol Psychiatry, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Memory performance in older persons can reflect genetic influences on cognitive function and dementing processes. We aimed to identify genetic contributions to verbal declarative memory in a community setting. METHODS: We conducted genome-wide association studies for paragraph or word list delayed recall in 19 cohorts from the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology consortium, comprising 29,076 dementia- and stroke-free individuals of European descent, aged ≥45 years. Replication of suggestive associations (p < 5 × 10(-6)) was sought in 10,617 participants of European descent, 3811 African-Americans, and 1561 young adults. RESULTS: rs4420638, near APOE, was associated with poorer delayed recall performance in discovery (p = 5.57 × 10(-10)) and replication cohorts (p = 5.65 × 10(-8)). This association was stronger for paragraph than word list delayed recall and in the oldest persons. Two associations with specific tests, in subsets of the total sample, reached genome-wide significance in combined analyses of discovery and replication (rs11074779 [HS3ST4], p = 3.11 × 10(-8), and rs6813517 [SPOCK3], p = 2.58 × 10(-8)) near genes involved in immune response. A genetic score combining 58 independent suggestive memory risk variants was associated with increasing Alzheimer disease pathology in 725 autopsy samples. Association of memory risk loci with gene expression in 138 human hippocampus samples showed cis-associations with WDR48 and CLDN5, both related to ubiquitin metabolism. CONCLUSIONS: This largest study to date exploring the genetics of memory function in ~40,000 older individuals revealed genome-wide associations and suggested an involvement of immune and ubiquitin pathways.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Apolipoproteins E; Claudin-5; Cohort Studies; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Humans; Male; Memory Disorders; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Proteins; Proteoglycans; Regression Analysis; Sulfotransferases; Verbal Learning

GWAS of longevity in CHARGE consortium confirms APOE and FOXO3 candidacy. - Broer, Linda; Buchman, Aron S; Deelen, Joris; Evans, Daniel S; Faul, Jessica D; Lunetta, Kathryn L; Sebastiani, Paola; Smith, Jennifer A; Smith, Albert V; Tanaka, Toshiko; Yu, Lei; Arnold, Alice M; et al. (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2015)
BACKGROUND: The genetic contribution to longevity in humans has been estimated to range from 15% to 25%. Only two genes, APOE and FOXO3, have shown association with longevity in multiple independent studies. METHODS: We conducted a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies including 6,036 longevity cases, age ≥90 years, and 3,757 controls that died between ages 55 and 80 years. We additionally attempted to replicate earlier identified single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) associations with longevity. RESULTS: In our meta-analysis, we found suggestive evidence for the association of SNPs near CADM2 (odds ratio [OR] = 0.81; p value = 9.66 × 10(-7)) and GRIK2 (odds ratio = 1.24; p value = 5.09 × 10(-8)) with longevity. When attempting to replicate findings earlier identified in genome-wide association studies, only the APOE locus consistently replicated. In an additional look-up of the candidate gene FOXO3, we found that an earlier identified variant shows a highly significant association with longevity when including published data with our meta-analysis (odds ratio = 1.17; p value = 1.85×10(-10)). CONCLUSIONS: We did not identify new genome-wide significant associations with longevity and did not replicate earlier findings except for APOE and FOXO3. Our inability to find new associations with survival to ages ≥90 years because longevity represents multiple complex traits with heterogeneous genetic underpinnings, or alternatively, that longevity may be regulated by rare variants that are not captured by standard genome-wide genotyping and imputation of common variants.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Apolipoproteins E; Cell Adhesion Molecules; Cohort Studies; Female; Forkhead Box Protein O3; Forkhead Transcription Factors; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Longevity; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Receptors, Kainic Acid

Habitual sleep duration is associated with BMI and macronutrient intake and may be modified by CLOCK genetic variants. - Dashti, Hassan S; Follis, Jack L; Smith, Caren E; Tanaka, Toshiko; Cade, Brian E; Gottlieb, Daniel J; Hruby, Adela; Jacques, Paul F; Lamon-Fava, Stefania; Richardson, Kris; Saxena, Richa; Scheer, Frank A J L; et al. (Am J Clin Nutr, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Short sleep duration has been associated with greater risks of obesity, hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease. Also, common genetic variants in the human Circadian Locomotor Output Cycles Kaput (CLOCK) show associations with ghrelin and total energy intake. OBJECTIVES: We examined associations between habitual sleep duration, body mass index (BMI), and macronutrient intake and assessed whether CLOCK variants modify these associations. DESIGN: We conducted inverse-variance weighted, fixed-effect meta-analyses of results of adjusted associations of sleep duration and BMI and macronutrient intake as percentages of total energy as well as interactions with CLOCK variants from 9 cohort studies including up to 14,906 participants of European descent from the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology Consortium. RESULTS: We observed a significant association between sleep duration and lower BMI (β ± SE = 0.16 ± 0.04, P < 0.0001) in the overall sample; however, associations between sleep duration and relative macronutrient intake were evident in age- and sex-stratified analyses only. We observed a significant association between sleep duration and lower saturated fatty acid intake in younger (aged 20-64 y) adults (men: 0.11 ± 0.06%, P = 0.03; women: 0.10 ± 0.05%, P = 0.04) and with lower carbohydrate (-0.31 ± 0.12%, P < 0.01), higher total fat (0.18 ± 0.09%, P = 0.05), and higher PUFA (0.05 ± 0.02%, P = 0.02) intakes in older (aged 65-80 y) women. In addition, the following 2 nominally significant interactions were observed: between sleep duration and rs12649507 on PUFA intake and between sleep duration and rs6858749 on protein intake. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that longer habitual sleep duration is associated with lower BMI and age- and sex-specific favorable dietary behaviors. Differences in the relative intake of specific macronutrients associated with short sleep duration could, at least in part, explain previously reported associations between short sleep duration and chronic metabolic abnormalities. In addition, the influence of obesity-associated CLOCK variants on the association between sleep duration and macronutrient intake suggests that longer habitual sleep duration could ameliorate the genetic predisposition to obesity via a favorable dietary profile.
Keywords: Adult; Body Mass Index; CLOCK Proteins; Cohort Studies; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diet; Dietary Proteins; Energy Intake; European Continental Ancestry Group; Fatty Acids, Unsaturated; Female; Gene-Environment Interaction; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Obesity; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Sleep; Young Adult

Higher circulating adiponectin levels are associated with increased risk of atrial fibrillation in older adults. - Macheret, Fima; Bartz, Traci M; Djoussé, Luc; Ix, Joachim H; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Zieman, Susan J; Siscovick, David S; Tracy, Russell P; Heckbert, Susan R; Psaty, Bruce M; Kizer, Jorge R (Heart, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Adiponectin has cardioprotective properties, suggesting that lower levels seen in obesity and diabetes could heighten risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Among older adults, however, higher adiponectin has been linked to greater incidence of adverse outcomes associated with AF, although recent reports have shown this association to be U-shaped. We postulated that higher adiponectin would be linked to increased risk for AF in older adults in a U-shaped manner. METHODS: We examined the associations of total and high-molecular-weight (HMW) adiponectin with incident AF among individuals free of prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD) participating in a population-based cohort study of older adults (n=3190; age=74±5 years). RESULTS: During median follow-up of 11.4 years, there were 886 incident AF events. Adjusted cubic splines showed a positive and linear association between adiponectin and incident AF. After adjusting for potential confounders, including amino-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide 1-76, the HR (95% CI) for AF per SD increase in total adiponectin was 1.14 (1.05 to 1.24), while that for HMW adiponectin was 1.17 (1.08 to 1.27). Additional adjustment for putative mediators, including subclinical CVD, diabetes, lipids and inflammation, did not significantly affect these estimates. CONCLUSIONS: The present findings demonstrate that higher, not lower, levels of adiponectin are independently associated with increased risk of AF in older adults despite its documented cardiometabolic benefits. Additional work is necessary to determine if adiponectin is a marker of failed counter-regulatory pathways or whether this hormone is directly harmful in the setting of or as a result of advanced age.
Keywords: Adiponectin; Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Atrial Fibrillation; Biomarkers; Female; Humans; Incidence; Linear Models; Male; Multivariate Analysis; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain; Peptide Fragments; Prognosis; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Time Factors; United States; Up-Regulation

HMG-coenzyme A reductase inhibition, type 2 diabetes, and bodyweight: evidence from genetic analysis and randomised trials. - Swerdlow, Daniel I; Preiss, David; Kuchenbaecker, Karoline B; Holmes, Michael V; Engmann, Jorgen E L; Shah, Tina; Sofat, Reecha; Stender, Stefan; Johnson, Paul C D; Scott, Robert A; Leusink, Maarten; Verweij, Niek; et al. (Lancet, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Statins increase the risk of new-onset type 2 diabetes mellitus. We aimed to assess whether this increase in risk is a consequence of inhibition of 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl-CoA reductase (HMGCR), the intended drug target. METHODS: We used single nucleotide polymorphisms in the HMGCR gene, rs17238484 (for the main analysis) and rs12916 (for a subsidiary analysis) as proxies for HMGCR inhibition by statins. We examined associations of these variants with plasma lipid, glucose, and insulin concentrations; bodyweight; waist circumference; and prevalent and incident type 2 diabetes. Study-specific effect estimates per copy of each LDL-lowering allele were pooled by meta-analysis. These findings were compared with a meta-analysis of new-onset type 2 diabetes and bodyweight change data from randomised trials of statin drugs. The effects of statins in each randomised trial were assessed using meta-analysis. FINDINGS: Data were available for up to 223 463 individuals from 43 genetic studies. Each additional rs17238484-G allele was associated with a mean 0·06 mmol/L (95% CI 0·05-0·07) lower LDL cholesterol and higher body weight (0·30 kg, 0·18-0·43), waist circumference (0·32 cm, 0·16-0·47), plasma insulin concentration (1·62%, 0·53-2·72), and plasma glucose concentration (0·23%, 0·02-0·44). The rs12916 SNP had similar effects on LDL cholesterol, bodyweight, and waist circumference. The rs17238484-G allele seemed to be associated with higher risk of type 2 diabetes (odds ratio [OR] per allele 1·02, 95% CI 1·00-1·05); the rs12916-T allele association was consistent (1·06, 1·03-1·09). In 129 170 individuals in randomised trials, statins lowered LDL cholesterol by 0·92 mmol/L (95% CI 0·18-1·67) at 1-year of follow-up, increased bodyweight by 0·24 kg (95% CI 0·10-0·38 in all trials; 0·33 kg, 95% CI 0·24-0·42 in placebo or standard care controlled trials and -0·15 kg, 95% CI -0·39 to 0·08 in intensive-dose vs moderate-dose trials) at a mean of 4·2 years (range 1·9-6·7) of follow-up, and increased the odds of new-onset type 2 diabetes (OR 1·12, 95% CI 1·06-1·18 in all trials; 1·11, 95% CI 1·03-1·20 in placebo or standard care controlled trials and 1·12, 95% CI 1·04-1·22 in intensive-dose vs moderate dose trials). INTERPRETATION: The increased risk of type 2 diabetes noted with statins is at least partially explained by HMGCR inhibition. FUNDING: The funding sources are cited at the end of the paper.
Keywords: Aged; Body Mass Index; Body Weight; Cholesterol, HDL; Cholesterol, LDL; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Female; Genetic Testing; Humans; Hydroxymethylglutaryl CoA Reductases; Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic; Risk Factors

Husbands' and Wives' Physical Activity and Depressive Symptoms: Longitudinal Findings from the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Monin, Joan K; Levy, Becca; Chen, Baibing; Fried, Terri; Stahl, Sarah T; Schulz, Richard; Doyle, Margaret; Kershaw, Trace (Ann Behav Med, 2015)
BACKGROUND: When examining older adults' health behaviors and psychological health, it is important to consider the social context. PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to examine in older adult marriages whether each spouse's physical activity predicted changes in their own (actor effects) and their partner's (partner effects) depressive symptoms. Gender differences were also examined. METHOD: Each spouse within 1260 married couples (at baseline) in the Cardiovascular Health Study completed self-report measures at wave 1 (1989-1990), wave 3 (1992-1993), and wave 7 (1996-1997). Dyadic path analyses were performed. RESULTS: Husbands' physical activity significantly predicted own decreased depressive symptoms (actor effect). For both spouses, own physical activity did not significantly predict the spouse's depressive symptoms (partner effects). However, husbands' physical activity and depressive symptoms predicted wives' physical activity and depressive symptoms (partner effects), respectively. Depressive symptoms did not predict physical activity. CONCLUSION: Findings suggest that husbands' physical activity is particularly influential for older married couples' psychological health.
Keywords: Aged; Cardiovascular System; Depression; Female; Health Surveys; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Motor Activity; Sex Characteristics; Spouses

Impact of gait speed and instrumental activities of daily living on all-cause mortality in adults ≥65 years with heart failure. - Lo, Alexander X; Donnelly, John P; McGwin, Gerald; Bittner, Vera; Ahmed, Ali; Brown, Cynthia J (Am J Cardiol, 2015)
Mobility and function are important predictors of survival. However, their combined impact on mortality in adults ≥65 years with heart failure (HF) is not well understood. This study examined the role of gait speed and instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) in all-cause mortality in a cohort of 1,119 community-dwelling Cardiovascular Health Study participants ≥65 years with incident HF. Data on HF and mortality were collected through annual examinations or contact during the 10-year follow-up period. Slower gait speed (<0.8 m/s vs ≥0.8 m/s) and IADL impairment (≥1 vs 0 areas of dependence) were determined from baseline and follow-up assessments. A total of 740 (66%) of the 1,119 participants died during the follow-up period. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models showed that impairments in either gait speed (hazard ratio 1.37, 95% confidence interval 1.10 to 1.70; p = 0.004) or IADL (hazard ratio 1.56, 95% confidence interval 1.29-1.89; p <0.001), measured within 1 year before the diagnosis of incident HF, were independently associated with mortality, adjusting for sociodemographic and clinical characteristics. The combined presence of slower gait speed and IADL impairment was associated with a greater risk of mortality and suggested an additive relation between gait speed and IADL. In conclusion, gait speed and IADL are important risk factors for mortality in adults ≥65 years with HF, but the combined impairments of both gait speed and IADL can have an especially important impact on mortality.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Early Diagnosis; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Gait; Geriatric Assessment; Heart Failure; Humans; Male; Odds Ratio; Predictive Value of Tests; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Sensitivity and Specificity; Survival Analysis; United States; Walking

Integrative pathway genomics of lung function and airflow obstruction. - Gharib, Sina A; Loth, Daan W; Soler Artigas, Maria; Birkland, Timothy P; Wilk, Jemma B; Wain, Louise V; Brody, Jennifer A; Obeidat, Ma'en; Hancock, Dana B; Tang, Wenbo; Rawal, Rajesh; Boezen, H Marike; et al. (Hum Mol Genet, 2015)
Chronic respiratory disorders are important contributors to the global burden of disease. Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of lung function measures have identified several trait-associated loci, but explain only a modest portion of the phenotypic variability. We postulated that integrating pathway-based methods with GWASs of pulmonary function and airflow obstruction would identify a broader repertoire of genes and processes influencing these traits. We performed two independent GWASs of lung function and applied gene set enrichment analysis to one of the studies and validated the results using the second GWAS. We identified 131 significantly enriched gene sets associated with lung function and clustered them into larger biological modules involved in diverse processes including development, immunity, cell signaling, proliferation and arachidonic acid. We found that enrichment of gene sets was not driven by GWAS-significant variants or loci, but instead by those with less stringent association P-values. Next, we applied pathway enrichment analysis to a meta-analyzed GWAS of airflow obstruction. We identified several biologic modules that functionally overlapped with those associated with pulmonary function. However, differences were also noted, including enrichment of extracellular matrix (ECM) processes specifically in the airflow obstruction study. Network analysis of the ECM module implicated a candidate gene, matrix metalloproteinase 10 (MMP10), as a putative disease target. We used a knockout mouse model to functionally validate MMP10's role in influencing lung's susceptibility to cigarette smoke-induced emphysema. By integrating pathway analysis with population-based genomics, we unraveled biologic processes underlying pulmonary function traits and identified a candidate gene for obstructive lung disease.
Keywords: Airway Obstruction; Animals; Cell Proliferation; European Continental Ancestry Group; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genomics; Humans; Immune System; Lung; Male; Metabolic Networks and Pathways; Mice; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Signal Transduction

Intermediate and long-term risk of new-onset heart failure after hospitalization for pneumonia in elderly adults. - Corrales-Medina, Vicente F; Taljaard, Monica; Yende, Sachin; Kronmal, Richard; Dwivedi, Girish; Newman, Anne B; Elkind, Mitchell S V; Lyles, Mary F; Chirinos, Julio A (Am Heart J, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Pneumonia is associated with high risk of heart failure (HF) in the short term (30 days) postinfection. Whether this association persists beyond this period is unknown. METHODS: We studied 5,613 elderly (≥65 years) adults enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study between 1989 and 1994 at 4 US communities. Participants had no clinical diagnosis of HF at enrollment, and they were followed up through December 2010. Hospitalizations for pneumonia were identified using validated International Classification of Disease Ninth Revision codes. A centralized committee adjudicated new-onset HF events. Using Cox regression, we estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of new-onset HF at different time intervals after hospitalization for pneumonia. RESULTS: A total of 652 participants hospitalized for pneumonia during follow-up were still alive and free of clinical diagnosis of HF by day 30 posthospitalization. Relative to the time of their hospitalization, new-onset HF occurred in 22 cases between 31 and 90 days (HR 6.9, 95% CI 4.46-10.63, P < .001), 14 cases between 91 days and 6 months (HR 3.2, 95% CI 1.88-5.50, P < .001), 20 cases between 6 months and 1 year (HR 2.6, 95% CI 1.64-4.04, P < .001), 76 cases between 1 and 5 years (HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.30-2.12, P < .001), and 71 cases after 5 years (HR 2.0, 95% CI 1.56-2.58, P < .001). Results were robust to sensitivity analyses using stringent definitions of pneumonia and extreme assumptions for potential informative censoring. CONCLUSION: Hospitalization for pneumonia is associated with increased risk of new-onset HF in the intermediate and long term. Studies should characterize the mechanisms of this association in order to prevent HF in elderly pneumonia survivors.
Keywords: Aged; Disease Progression; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Forecasting; Heart Failure; Hospitalization; Humans; Incidence; Inpatients; Male; Patient Readmission; Pneumonia; Proportional Hazards Models; Retrospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Time Factors

Lower Extremity Proximal Muscle Function and Dyspnea in Older Persons. - Vaz Fragoso, Carlos A; Araujo, Katy; Leo-Summers, Linda; Van Ness, Peter H (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2015)
OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the association between performance on a single chair stand and moderate to severe exertional dyspnea. DESIGN: Cross-sectional. SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study. PARTICIPANTS: Community-dwelling individuals aged 65 and older (N = 4,413; mean age 72.6; female, n = 2,518 (57.1%); nonwhite, n = 199 (4.5%); obese, n = 788 (17.9%); history of smoking, n = 2,410 (54.6%)). MEASUREMENTS: Performance on single chair stand (poor (unable to rise without arm use) vs normal (able to rise without arm use)), moderate to severe exertional dyspnea (American Thoracic Society grade ≥2), age, sex, ethnicity, obesity, smoking, frailty status (Fried-defined nonfrail, prefrail, frail), high cardiopulmonary risk (composite of cardiopulmonary diseases and diabetes mellitus), spirometric impairment, arthritis, depression, stroke, and kidney disease. RESULTS: Poor performance on the single chair stand was established in 369 (8.4%) and moderate to severe exertional dyspnea in 773 (17.5%). Prefrail status was established in 2,210 (50.1%), frail status in 360 (8.2%), arthritis in 2,241 (51.4%), high cardiopulmonary risk in 2,469 (55.9%), spirometric impairment in 1,076 (24.4%), kidney disease in 111 (2.5%), depression in 107 (2.4%), and stroke in 93 (2.1%). In multivariable regression models, poor performance on the single chair stand was associated with moderate to severe exertional dyspnea (unadjusted odds ratio (OR) = 3.48, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.78-4.36; adjusted OR = 1.85, 95% CI = 1.41-2.41). CONCLUSION: Poor performance on a single chair stand was associated with an adjusted 85% greater likelihood of moderate to severe exertional dyspnea than normal performance. These results suggest that reduced proximal muscle function of the lower extremities is associated with moderate to severe exertional dyspnea, even after adjusting for multiple confounders.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cross-Sectional Studies; Dyspnea; Female; Frail Elderly; Geriatric Assessment; Humans; Lower Extremity; Male; Motor Activity; Muscle Contraction; Prevalence; Retrospective Studies; Spirometry; United States

Low-frequency and rare exome chip variants associate with fasting glucose and type 2 diabetes susceptibility. - Wessel, Jennifer; Chu, Audrey Y; Willems, Sara M; Wang, Shuai; Yaghootkar, Hanieh; Brody, Jennifer A; Dauriz, Marco; Hivert, Marie-France; Raghavan, Sridharan; Lipovich, Leonard; Hidalgo, Bertha; Fox, Keolu; et al. (Nat Commun, 2015)
Fasting glucose and insulin are intermediate traits for type 2 diabetes. Here we explore the role of coding variation on these traits by analysis of variants on the HumanExome BeadChip in 60,564 non-diabetic individuals and in 16,491 T2D cases and 81,877 controls. We identify a novel association of a low-frequency nonsynonymous SNV in GLP1R (A316T; rs10305492; MAF=1.4%) with lower FG (β=-0.09±0.01 mmol l(-1), P=3.4 × 10(-12)), T2D risk (OR[95%CI]=0.86[0.76-0.96], P=0.010), early insulin secretion (β=-0.07±0.035 pmolinsulin mmolglucose(-1), P=0.048), but higher 2-h glucose (β=0.16±0.05 mmol l(-1), P=4.3 × 10(-4)). We identify a gene-based association with FG at G6PC2 (pSKAT=6.8 × 10(-6)) driven by four rare protein-coding SNVs (H177Y, Y207S, R283X and S324P). We identify rs651007 (MAF=20%) in the first intron of ABO at the putative promoter of an antisense lncRNA, associating with higher FG (β=0.02±0.004 mmol l(-1), P=1.3 × 10(-8)). Our approach identifies novel coding variant associations and extends the allelic spectrum of variation underlying diabetes-related quantitative traits and T2D susceptibility.
Keywords: African Continental Ancestry Group; Blood Glucose; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; European Continental Ancestry Group; Exome; Fasting; Genetic Association Studies; Genetic Loci; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genetic Variation; Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor; Glucose-6-Phosphatase; Humans; Insulin; Mutation Rate; Oligonucleotide Array Sequence Analysis; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

LV Mass as a Predictor of CVD Events in Older Adults With and Without Metabolic Syndrome and Diabetes. - Hoang, Khiet; Zhao, Yanglu; Gardin, Julius M; Carnethon, Mercedes; Mukamal, Ken; Yanez, David; Wong, Nathan D (JACC Cardiovasc Imaging, 2015)
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to examine the prognostic significance of left ventricular (LV) mass for cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in older adults with and without metabolic syndrome (MetS) and diabetes mellitus (DM). BACKGROUND: MetS and DM are associated with increased CVD risk, but it is unclear in these groups whether subclinical CVD as shown by increased LV mass improves risk prediction compared to standard risk factors in older individuals. METHODS: We studied 3,724 adults (mean 72.4 ± 5.4 years of age, 61.0% female, 4.4% African-American) from the Cardiovascular Health Study who had MetS but not DM or had DM alone or had neither condition. Cox regression was used to examine the association of LV mass, (alone and indexed by height and body surface area [BSA]) as determined by echocardiography, with CVD events, including coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, heart failure (HF), and CVD death, as well as total mortality. We also assessed the added prediction, discriminative value, and net reclassification improvement (NRI) for clinical utility of LV mass compared to standard risk factors. RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 14.2 ± 6.3 years, 2,180 subjects experienced CVD events, including 986 CVD deaths. After adjustment for age, sex and standard risk factors, LV mass was positively associated with CVD events in those with MetS (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.4, p < 0.001) and without MetS (HR: 1.4, p < 0.001), but not DM (HR: 1.0, p = 0.62), with similar findings for LV mass indexed for height or BSA. Adding LV mass to standard risk factors moderately improved the prediction accuracy in the overall sample and MetS group from changes in C-statistics (p < 0.05). Categorical-free net reclassification improvement increased significantly by 17% to 19% in those with MetS. Findings were comparable for CHD, CVD mortality, and total mortality. CONCLUSIONS: LV mass is associated with increased CVD risk and provides modest added prediction and clinical utility compared to standard risk factors in older persons with and without MetS but not with DM.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cardiovascular Diseases; Comorbidity; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Heart Ventricles; Humans; Hypertrophy, Left Ventricular; Logistic Models; Male; Metabolic Syndrome X; Prognosis; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Time Factors; United States

Mendelian randomization of blood lipids for coronary heart disease. - Holmes, Michael V; Asselbergs, Folkert W; Palmer, Tom M; Drenos, Fotios; Lanktree, Matthew B; Nelson, Christopher P; Dale, Caroline E; Padmanabhan, Sandosh; Finan, Chris; Swerdlow, Daniel I; Tragante, Vinicius; van Iperen, Erik P A; et al. (Eur Heart J, 2015)
AIMS: To investigate the causal role of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and triglycerides in coronary heart disease (CHD) using multiple instrumental variables for Mendelian randomization. METHODS AND RESULTS: We developed weighted allele scores based on single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with established associations with HDL-C, triglycerides, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C). For each trait, we constructed two scores. The first was unrestricted, including all independent SNPs associated with the lipid trait identified from a prior meta-analysis (threshold P < 2 × 10(-6)); and the second a restricted score, filtered to remove any SNPs also associated with either of the other two lipid traits at P ≤ 0.01. Mendelian randomization meta-analyses were conducted in 17 studies including 62,199 participants and 12,099 CHD events. Both the unrestricted and restricted allele scores for LDL-C (42 and 19 SNPs, respectively) associated with CHD. For HDL-C, the unrestricted allele score (48 SNPs) was associated with CHD (OR: 0.53; 95% CI: 0.40, 0.70), per 1 mmol/L higher HDL-C, but neither the restricted allele score (19 SNPs; OR: 0.91; 95% CI: 0.42, 1.98) nor the unrestricted HDL-C allele score adjusted for triglycerides, LDL-C, or statin use (OR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.44, 1.46) showed a robust association. For triglycerides, the unrestricted allele score (67 SNPs) and the restricted allele score (27 SNPs) were both associated with CHD (OR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.24, 2.11 and 1.61; 95% CI: 1.00, 2.59, respectively) per 1-log unit increment. However, the unrestricted triglyceride score adjusted for HDL-C, LDL-C, and statin use gave an OR for CHD of 1.01 (95% CI: 0.59, 1.75). CONCLUSION: The genetic findings support a causal effect of triglycerides on CHD risk, but a causal role for HDL-C, though possible, remains less certain.
Keywords: Case-Control Studies; Cholesterol, HDL; Coronary Artery Disease; Female; Gene Frequency; Genotype; Genotyping Techniques; Humans; Male; Mendelian Randomization Analysis; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk Assessment; Triglycerides

Meta-analysis of 65,734 individuals identifies TSPAN15 and SLC44A2 as two susceptibility loci for venous thromboembolism. - Germain, Marine; Chasman, Daniel I; de Haan, Hugoline; Tang, Weihong; Lindström, Sara; Weng, Lu-Chen; de Andrade, Mariza; de Visser, Marieke C H; Wiggins, Kerri L; Suchon, Pierre; Saut, Noémie; Smadja, David M; et al. (Am J Hum Genet, 2015)
Venous thromboembolism (VTE), the third leading cause of cardiovascular mortality, is a complex thrombotic disorder with environmental and genetic determinants. Although several genetic variants have been found associated with VTE, they explain a minor proportion of VTE risk in cases. We undertook a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies (GWASs) to identify additional VTE susceptibility genes. Twelve GWASs totaling 7,507 VTE case subjects and 52,632 control subjects formed our discovery stage where 6,751,884 SNPs were tested for association with VTE. Nine loci reached the genome-wide significance level of 5 × 10(-8) including six already known to associate with VTE (ABO, F2, F5, F11, FGG, and PROCR) and three unsuspected loci. SNPs mapping to these latter were selected for replication in three independent case-control studies totaling 3,009 VTE-affected individuals and 2,586 control subjects. This strategy led to the identification and replication of two VTE-associated loci, TSPAN15 and SLC44A2, with lead risk alleles associated with odds ratio for disease of 1.31 (p = 1.67 × 10(-16)) and 1.21 (p = 2.75 × 10(-15)), respectively. The lead SNP at the TSPAN15 locus is the intronic rs78707713 and the lead SLC44A2 SNP is the non-synonymous rs2288904 previously shown to associate with transfusion-related acute lung injury. We further showed that these two variants did not associate with known hemostatic plasma markers. TSPAN15 and SLC44A2 do not belong to conventional pathways for thrombosis and have not been associated to other cardiovascular diseases nor related quantitative biomarkers. Our findings uncovered unexpected actors of VTE etiology and pave the way for novel mechanistic concepts of VTE pathophysiology.
Keywords: Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Humans; Membrane Glycoproteins; Membrane Transport Proteins; Odds Ratio; Tetraspanins; Venous Thromboembolism

Meta-Analysis of Genome-Wide Association Studies Identifies Genetic Risk Factors for Stroke in African Americans. - Carty, Cara L; Keene, Keith L; Cheng, Yu-Ching; Meschia, James F; Chen, Wei-Min; Nalls, Mike; Bis, Joshua C; Kittner, Steven J; Rich, Stephen S; Tajuddin, Salman; Zonderman, Alan B; Evans, Michele K; et al. (Stroke, 2015)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The majority of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of stroke have focused on European-ancestry populations; however, none has been conducted in African Americans, despite the disproportionately high burden of stroke in this population. The Consortium of Minority Population Genome-Wide Association Studies of Stroke (COMPASS) was established to identify stroke susceptibility loci in minority populations. METHODS: Using METAL, we conducted meta-analyses of GWAS in 14 746 African Americans (1365 ischemic and 1592 total stroke cases) from COMPASS, and tested genetic variants with P<10(-6) for validation in METASTROKE, a consortium of ischemic stroke genetic studies in European-ancestry populations. We also evaluated stroke loci previously identified in European-ancestry populations. RESULTS: The 15q21.3 locus linked with lipid levels and hypertension was associated with total stroke (rs4471613; P=3.9×10(-8)) in African Americans. Nominal associations (P<10(-6)) for total or ischemic stroke were observed for 18 variants in or near genes implicated in cell cycle/mRNA presplicing (PTPRG, CDC5L), platelet function (HPS4), blood-brain barrier permeability (CLDN17), immune response (ELTD1, WDFY4, and IL1F10-IL1RN), and histone modification (HDAC9). Two of these loci achieved nominal significance in METASTROKE: 5q35.2 (P=0.03), and 1p31.1 (P=0.018). Four of 7 previously reported ischemic stroke loci (PITX2, HDAC9, CDKN2A/CDKN2B, and ZFHX3) were nominally associated (P<0.05) with stroke in COMPASS. CONCLUSIONS: We identified a novel genetic variant associated with total stroke in African Americans and found that ischemic stroke loci identified in European-ancestry populations may also be relevant for African Americans. Our findings support investigation of diverse populations to identify and characterize genetic risk factors, and the importance of shared genetic risk across populations.
Keywords: African Americans; Case-Control Studies; Cohort Studies; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk Factors; Stroke

A Meta-analysis of the Association of Estimated GFR, Albuminuria, Age, Race, and Sex With Acute Kidney Injury. - Grams, Morgan E; Sang, Yingying; Ballew, Shoshana H; Gansevoort, Ron T; Kimm, Heejin; Kovesdy, Csaba P; Naimark, David; Oien, Cecilia; Smith, David H; Coresh, Josef; Sarnak, Mark J; Stengel, Bénédicte; et al. (Am J Kidney Dis, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a serious global public health problem. We aimed to quantify the risk of AKI associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), albuminuria (albumin-creatinine ratio [ACR]), age, sex, and race (African American and white). STUDY DESIGN: Collaborative meta-analysis. SETTING & POPULATION: 8 general-population cohorts (1,285,049 participants) and 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD) cohorts (79,519 participants). SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES: Available eGFR, ACR, and 50 or more AKI events. PREDICTORS: Age, sex, race, eGFR, urine ACR, and interactions. OUTCOME: Hospitalized with or for AKI, using Cox proportional hazards models to estimate HRs of AKI and random-effects meta-analysis to pool results. RESULTS: 16,480 (1.3%) general-population cohort participants had AKI over a mean follow-up of 4 years; 2,087 (2.6%) CKD participants had AKI over a mean follow-up of 1 year. Lower eGFR and higher ACR were strongly associated with AKI. Compared with eGFR of 80mL/min/1.73m(2), the adjusted HR of AKI at eGFR of 45mL/min/1.73m(2) was 3.35 (95% CI, 2.75-4.07). Compared with ACR of 5mg/g, the risk of AKI at ACR of 300mg/g was 2.73 (95% CI, 2.18-3.43). Older age was associated with higher risk of AKI, but this effect was attenuated with lower eGFR or higher ACR. Male sex was associated with higher risk of AKI, with a slight attenuation in lower eGFR but not in higher ACR. African Americans had higher AKI risk at higher levels of eGFR and most levels of ACR. LIMITATIONS: Only 2 general-population cohorts could contribute to analyses by race; AKI identified by diagnostic code. CONCLUSIONS: Reduced eGFR and increased ACR are consistent strong risk factors for AKI, whereas associations of AKI with age, sex, and race may be weaker in more advanced stages of CKD.
Keywords: Acute Kidney Injury; Adolescent; Adult; African Americans; Age Distribution; Aged; Albuminuria; Continental Population Groups; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Incidence; Male; Middle Aged; Predictive Value of Tests; Prognosis; Severity of Illness Index; Sex Distribution; Young Adult

A Meta-analysis of the Association of Estimated GFR, Albuminuria, Diabetes Mellitus, and Hypertension With Acute Kidney Injury. - James, Matthew T; Grams, Morgan E; Woodward, Mark; Elley, C Raina; Green, Jamie A; Wheeler, David C; de Jong, Paul; Gansevoort, Ron T; Levey, Andrew S; Warnock, David G; Sarnak, Mark J (Am J Kidney Dis, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus and hypertension are risk factors for acute kidney injury (AKI). Whether estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) remain risk factors for AKI in the presence and absence of these conditions is uncertain. STUDY DESIGN: Meta-analysis of cohort studies. SETTING & POPULATION: 8 general-population (1,285,045 participants) and 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD; 79,519 participants) cohorts. SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES: Cohorts participating in the CKD Prognosis Consortium. PREDICTORS: Diabetes and hypertension status, eGFR by the 2009 CKD Epidemiology Collaboration creatinine equation, urine ACR, and interactions. OUTCOME: Hospitalization with AKI, using Cox proportional hazards models to estimate HRs of AKI and random-effects meta-analysis to pool results. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 4 years, there were 16,480 episodes of AKI in the general-population and 2,087 episodes in the CKD cohorts. Low eGFRs and high ACRs were associated with higher risks of AKI in individuals with or without diabetes and with or without hypertension. When compared to a common reference of eGFR of 80mL/min/1.73m(2) in nondiabetic patients, HRs for AKI were generally higher in diabetic patients at any level of eGFR. The same was true for diabetic patients at all levels of ACR compared with nondiabetic patients. The risk gradient for AKI with lower eGFRs was greater in those without diabetes than with diabetes, but similar with higher ACRs in those without versus with diabetes. Those with hypertension had a higher risk of AKI at eGFRs>60mL/min/1.73m(2) than those without hypertension. However, risk gradients for AKI with both lower eGFRs and higher ACRs were greater for those without than with hypertension. LIMITATIONS: AKI identified by diagnostic code. CONCLUSIONS: Lower eGFRs and higher ACRs are associated with higher risks of AKI among individuals with or without either diabetes or hypertension.
Keywords: Acute Kidney Injury; Adult; Aged; Comorbidity; Diabetes Mellitus; Disease Progression; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Hypertension; Incidence; Kidney Failure, Chronic; Male; Middle Aged; Prognosis; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic

Microvascular and Macrovascular Abnormalities and Cognitive and Physical Function in Older Adults: Cardiovascular Health Study. - Kim, Dae Hyun; Grodstein, Francine; Newman, Anne B; Chaves, Paulo H M; Odden, Michelle C; Klein, Ronald; Sarnak, Mark J; Lipsitz, Lewis A (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2015)
OBJECTIVES: To evaluate and compare the associations between microvascular and macrovascular abnormalities and cognitive and physical function DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of the Cardiovascular Health Study (1998-1999). SETTING: Community. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals with available data on three or more of five microvascular abnormalities (brain, retina, kidney) and three or more of six macrovascular abnormalities (brain, carotid artery, heart, peripheral artery) (N = 2,452; mean age 79.5). MEASUREMENTS: Standardized composite scores derived from three cognitive tests (Modified Mini-Mental State Examination, Digit-Symbol Substitution Test, Trail-Making Test (TMT)) and three physical tests (gait speed, grip strength, 5-time sit to stand) RESULTS: Participants with high microvascular and macrovascular burden had worse cognitive (mean score difference = -0.30, 95% confidence interval (CI) = -0.37 to -0.24) and physical (mean score difference = -0.32, 95% CI = -0.38 to -0.26) function than those with low microvascular and macrovascular burden. Individuals with high microvascular burden alone had similarly lower scores than those with high macrovascular burden alone (cognitive function: -0.16, 95% CI = -0.24 to -0.08 vs -0.13, 95% CI = -0.20 to -0.06; physical function: -0.15, 95% CI = -0.22 to -0.08 vs -0.12, 95% CI = -0.18 to -0.06). Psychomotor speed and working memory, assessed using the TMT, were only impaired in the presence of high microvascular burden. Of the 11 vascular abnormalities considered, white matter hyperintensity, cystatin C-based glomerular filtration rate, large brain infarct, and ankle-arm index were independently associated with cognitive and physical function. CONCLUSION: Microvascular and macrovascular abnormalities assessed using noninvasive tests of the brain, kidney, and peripheral artery were independently associated with poor cognitive and physical function in older adults. Future research should evaluate the usefulness of these tests in prognostication.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cognition; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Humans; Male; Neuropsychological Tests; Vascular Malformations

Multiethnic genome-wide association study of cerebral white matter hyperintensities on MRI. - Verhaaren, Benjamin F J; Debette, Stephanie; Bis, Joshua C; Smith, Jennifer A; Ikram, M Kamran; Adams, Hieab H; Beecham, Ashley H; Rajan, Kumar B; Lopez, Lorna M; Barral, Sandra; van Buchem, Mark A; van der Grond, Jeroen; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2015)
BACKGROUND: The burden of cerebral white matter hyperintensities (WMH) is associated with an increased risk of stroke, dementia, and death. WMH are highly heritable, but their genetic underpinnings are incompletely characterized. To identify novel genetic variants influencing WMH burden, we conducted a meta-analysis of multiethnic genome-wide association studies. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 21 079 middle-aged to elderly individuals from 29 population-based cohorts, who were free of dementia and stroke and were of European (n=17 936), African (n=1943), Hispanic (n=795), and Asian (n=405) descent. WMH burden was quantified on MRI either by a validated automated segmentation method or a validated visual grading scale. Genotype data in each study were imputed to the 1000 Genomes reference. Within each ethnic group, we investigated the relationship between each single-nucleotide polymorphism and WMH burden using a linear regression model adjusted for age, sex, intracranial volume, and principal components of ancestry. A meta-analysis was conducted for each ethnicity separately and for the combined sample. In the European descent samples, we confirmed a previously known locus on chr17q25 (P=2.7×10(-19)) and identified novel loci on chr10q24 (P=1.6×10(-9)) and chr2p21 (P=4.4×10(-8)). In the multiethnic meta-analysis, we identified 2 additional loci, on chr1q22 (P=2.0×10(-8)) and chr2p16 (P=1.5×10(-8)). The novel loci contained genes that have been implicated in Alzheimer disease (chr2p21 and chr10q24), intracerebral hemorrhage (chr1q22), neuroinflammatory diseases (chr2p21), and glioma (chr10q24 and chr2p16). CONCLUSIONS: We identified 4 novel genetic loci that implicate inflammatory and glial proliferative pathways in the development of WMH in addition to previously proposed ischemic mechanisms.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Chromosomes, Human; Continental Population Groups; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Middle Aged; Models, Genetic; Stroke; White Matter

Multisystem physiologic impairments and changes in gait speed of older adults. - Rosso, Andrea L; Sanders, Jason L; Arnold, Alice M; Boudreau, Robert M; Hirsch, Calvin H; Carlson, Michelle C; Rosano, Caterina; Kritchevsky, Stephen B; Newman, Anne B (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Slowed gait is an important health indicator in older adults but a single identifiable cause is often lacking. We assessed whether a summary index measuring impairments across multiple physiologic systems was associated with slowed gait in older individuals. METHODS: Data from the Cardiovascular Health Study (n = 3,010) were used to assess associations between baseline physiologic index (measuring vasculature, brain, kidneys, lungs, and glucose metabolism; range 0-10 with 0-2 points/system and lower score indicating higher function) and annual gait speed (m/s) over 6 years. Participants with complete data on the physiologic index and at least two gait speed measures were included. Mean gait speed and 95% confidence intervals (CI) by category of index were calculated using mixed effects models. RESULTS: Those with scores of three or higher on the index had significantly slower gait speed at baseline compared to those with scores of 0-2 (7-10: mean speed = 0.83 m/s, 95% CI: 0.80, 0.84; 0-2: mean speed = 1.01 m/s, 95% CI: 0.99, 1.03). Those with higher indices also had faster decline in gait speed compared to those with lower scores after adjustment for demographic and health characteristics (7-10: change in speed = -0.020 m/s/year, 95% CI: -0.024, -0.016; 0-2: change in speed= -0.010 m/s/year, 95% CI: -0.014, -0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Greater impairment across five organ systems was associated with slower gait speed and greater declines in gait speed over 6 years. Impairments accumulated over multiple physiologic systems may make older adults more vulnerable to slow gait speed.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Brain; Cardiovascular Physiological Phenomena; Cohort Studies; Female; Gait; Geriatric Assessment; Glucose; Health Status Indicators; Humans; Kidney; Lung; Male; Sensitivity and Specificity; Time Factors

Novel loci associated with usual sleep duration: the CHARGE Consortium Genome-Wide Association Study. - Gottlieb, D J; Hek, K; Chen, T-H; Watson, N F; Eiriksdottir, G; Byrne, E M; Cornelis, M; Warby, S C; Bandinelli, S; Cherkas, L; Evans, D S; Grabe, H J; et al. (Mol Psychiatry, 2015)
Usual sleep duration is a heritable trait correlated with psychiatric morbidity, cardiometabolic disease and mortality, although little is known about the genetic variants influencing this trait. A genome-wide association study (GWAS) of usual sleep duration was conducted using 18 population-based cohorts totaling 47 180 individuals of European ancestry. Genome-wide significant association was identified at two loci. The strongest is located on chromosome 2, in an intergenic region 35- to 80-kb upstream from the thyroid-specific transcription factor PAX8 (lowest P=1.1 × 10(-9)). This finding was replicated in an African-American sample of 4771 individuals (lowest P=9.3 × 10(-4)). The strongest combined association was at rs1823125 (P=1.5 × 10(-10), minor allele frequency 0.26 in the discovery sample, 0.12 in the replication sample), with each copy of the minor allele associated with a sleep duration 3.1 min longer per night. The alleles associated with longer sleep duration were associated in previous GWAS with a more favorable metabolic profile and a lower risk of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. Understanding the mechanisms underlying these associations may help elucidate biological mechanisms influencing sleep duration and its association with psychiatric, metabolic and cardiovascular disease.
Keywords: Adult; African Americans; Aged; Dyssomnias; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Association Studies; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Self Report; Sleep

NT-proBNP and troponin T and risk of rapid kidney function decline and incident CKD in elderly adults. - Bansal, Nisha; Katz, Ronit; Dalrymple, Lorien; de Boer, Ian; DeFilippi, Christopher; Kestenbaum, Bryan; Park, Meyeon; Sarnak, Mark; Seliger, Stephen; Shlipak, Michael (Clin J Am Soc Nephrol, 2015)
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Elevations in N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T are associated with poor cardiovascular outcomes. Whether elevations in these cardiac biomarkers are associated with decline in kidney function was evaluated. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and troponin T were measured at baseline in 3752 participants free of heart failure in the Cardiovascular Health Study. eGFR was determined from the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation using serum cystatin C. Rapid decline in kidney function was defined as decline in serum cystatin C eGFR≥30%, and incident CKD was defined as the onset of serum cystatin C eGFR<60 among those without CKD at baseline (n=2786). Cox regression models were used to examine the associations of each biomarker with kidney function decline adjusting for demographics, baseline serum cystatin C eGFR, diabetes, and other CKD risk factors. RESULTS: In total, 503 participants had rapid decline in serum cystatin C eGFR over a mean follow-up time of 6.41 (1.81) years, and 685 participants developed incident CKD over a mean follow-up time of 6.41 (1.74) years. Participants in the highest quartile of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (>237 pg/ml) had an 67% higher risk of rapid decline and 38% higher adjusted risk of incident CKD compared with participants in the lowest quartile (adjusted hazard ratio for serum cystatin C eGFR rapid decline, 1.67; 95% confidence interval, 1.25 to 2.23; hazard ratio for incident CKD, 1.38; 95% confidence interval, 1.08 to 1.76). Participants in the highest category of troponin T (>10.58 pg/ml) had 80% greater risk of rapid decline compared with participants in the lowest category (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.80; 95% confidence interval, 1.35 to 2.40). The association of troponin T with incident CKD was not statistically significant (hazard ratio, 1.17; 95% confidence interval, 0.92 to 1.50). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and troponin T are associated with rapid decline of kidney function and incident CKD. Additional studies are needed to evaluate the mechanisms that may explain this association.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Aging; Biomarkers; Cystatin C; Disease Progression; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Incidence; Kidney; Linear Models; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain; Peptide Fragments; Predictive Value of Tests; Prognosis; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic; Risk Factors; Time Factors; Troponin T; United States; Up-Regulation

Older Adults, "Malignant" Left Ventricular Hypertrophy, and Associated Cardiac-Specific Biomarker Phenotypes to Identify the Differential Risk of New-Onset Reduced Versus Preserved Ejection Fraction Heart Failure: CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study). - Seliger, Stephen L; de Lemos, James; Neeland, Ian J; Christenson, Robert; Gottdiener, John; Drazner, Mark H; Berry, Jarett; Sorkin, John; DeFilippi, Christopher (JACC Heart Fail, 2015)
OBJECTIVES: This study hypothesized that biomarkers of subclinical myocardial injury (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T [hs-cTnT]) and hemodynamic stress (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide [NT-proBNP]) would differentiate heart failure (HF) risk among older adults with left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH). BACKGROUND: The natural history of LVH, an important risk factor for HF, is heterogeneous. METHODS: NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT were measured at baseline and after 2 to 3 years in older adults without prior HF or myocardial infarction in the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study). LVH and left ventricular ejection fraction were determined by echocardiography. HF events were adjudicated over a median of 13.1 years and classified as preserved or reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (heart failure with preserved ejection fraction or heart failure with reduced ejection fraction [HFrEF]). Adjusted risk of HF by LVH and biomarker tertiles, and by LVH and longitudinal increase in each biomarker was estimated using Cox regression. RESULTS: Prevalence of LVH was 12.5% among 2,347 participants with complete measures. Adjusted risk of HF (N = 643 events) was approximately 3.8-fold higher among participants with LVH and in the highest biomarker tertile, compared with those with low biomarker levels without LVH (NT-proBNP, hazard ratio [HR]: 3.78; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.78 to 5.15 and hs-cTnT, HR: 3.86; 95% CI: 2.84 to 5.26). The adjusted risk of HFrEF was 7.8 times higher among those with the highest tertile of hs-cTnT and LVH (HR: 7.83; 95% CI: 4.43 to 13.83). Those with LVH and longitudinal increases in hs-cTnT or NT-proBNP were approximately 3-fold more likely to develop HF, primarily HFrEF, compared with those without LVH and with stable biomarkers. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of LVH with greater hs-cTnT or NT-proBNP levels, and their longitudinal increase, identifies older adults at highest risk for symptomatic HF, especially HFrEF. These biomarkers may characterize sub-phenotypes in the transition from LVH to HF and suggest modifiable targets for prevention.
Keywords: Aged; Biomarkers; Echocardiography; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Hypertrophy, Left Ventricular; Male; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain; Peptide Fragments; Phenotype; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Troponin T

Physical activity, body mass index, and brain atrophy in Alzheimer's disease. - Boyle, Christina P; Raji, Cyrus A; Erickson, Kirk I; Lopez, Oscar L; Becker, James T; Gach, H Michael; Longstreth, W T; Teverovskiy, Leonid; Kuller, Lewis H; Carmichael, Owen T; Thompson, Paul M (Neurobiol Aging, 2015)
The purpose of this study was to use a novel imaging biomarker to assess associations between physical activity (PA), body mass index (BMI), and brain structure in normal aging, mild cognitive impairment, and Alzheimer's dementia. We studied 963 participants (mean age: 74.1 ± 4.4 years) from the multisite Cardiovascular Health Study including healthy controls (n = 724), Alzheimer's dementia patients (n = 104), and people with mild cognitive impairment (n = 135). Volumetric brain images were processed using tensor-based morphometry to analyze regional brain volumes. We regressed the local brain tissue volume on reported PA and computed BMI, and performed conjunction analyses using both variables. Covariates included age, sex, and study site. PA was independently associated with greater whole brain and regional brain volumes and reduced ventricular dilation. People with higher BMI had lower whole brain and regional brain volumes. A PA-BMI conjunction analysis showed brain preservation with PA and volume loss with increased BMI in overlapping brain regions. In one of the largest voxel-based cross-sectional studies to date, PA and lower BMI may be beneficial to the brain across the spectrum of aging and neurodegeneration.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Alzheimer Disease; Atrophy; Biomarkers; Body Mass Index; Brain; Cognitive Dysfunction; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diffusion Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Female; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Motor Activity; Neuroimaging

Physical Activity, Physical Fitness, and Leukocyte Telomere Length: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Soares-Miranda, Luisa; Imamura, Fumiaki; Siscovick, David; Jenny, Nancy Swords; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Mozaffarian, Dariush (Med Sci Sports Exerc, 2015)
INTRODUCTION: The influence of physical activity (PA) and physical fitness (PF) at older ages on changes in telomere length (TL)--repetitive DNA sequences that may mark biologic aging--is not well-established. Few prior studies (mainly cross-sectional) have been conducted in older adults, and few studies have evaluated PF. METHODS: We investigated cross-sectional and prospective associations of PA and PF with leukocyte TL among 582 older adults (mean ± SD age, 73 ± 5 yr at baseline) in the Cardiovascular Health Study, with serial TL measures and PA and PF assessed multiple times. Cross-sectional associations were assessed using multivariable repeated-measures regression, in which cumulatively averaged PA and PF measures were related to TL. Longitudinal analyses assessed cumulatively averaged PA and PF against later changes in TL, and changes in cumulatively averaged PA and PF against changes in TL. RESULTS: Cross-sectionally, greater walking distance and chair test performance, but not other PA and PF measures, were each associated with longer TL (P trend = 0.007 and 0.04, respectively). In longitudinal analyses, no significant associations of baseline PA and PF with change in TL were observed. In contrast, changes in leisure-time activity and chair test performance were each inversely associated with changes in TL. CONCLUSIONS: Cross-sectional analyses suggest that greater PA and PF are associated with longer TL. Prospective analyses show that changes in PA and PF are associated with differences in changes in TL. Even later in life, changes in certain PA and PF measures are associated with changes in TL, suggesting that leisure-time activity and fitness could reduce leukocyte telomere attrition among older adults.
Keywords: Aged; Aging; Cross-Sectional Studies; Exercise Test; Female; Hand Strength; Humans; Leukocytes; Male; Motor Activity; Physical Fitness; Prospective Studies; Telomere Homeostasis; Walking

Plasma Levels of Soluble Interleukin-2 Receptor α: Associations With Clinical Cardiovascular Events and Genome-Wide Association Scan. - Durda, Peter; Sabourin, Jeremy; Lange, Ethan M; Nalls, Mike A; Mychaleckyj, Josyf C; Jenny, Nancy Swords; Li, Jin; Walston, Jeremy; Harris, Tamara B; Psaty, Bruce M; Valdar, William; Liu, Yongmei; et al. (Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, 2015)
OBJECTIVE: Interleukin (IL) -2 receptor subunit α regulates lymphocyte activation, which plays an important role in atherosclerosis. Associations between soluble IL-2Rα (sIL-2Rα) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) have not been widely studied and little is known about the genetic determinants of sIL-2Rα levels. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We measured baseline levels of sIL-2Rα in 4408 European American (EA) and 766 African American (AA) adults from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) and examined associations with baseline CVD risk factors, subclinical CVD, and incident CVD events. We also performed a genome-wide association study for sIL-2Rα in CHS (2964 EAs and 683 AAs) and further combined CHS EA results with those from two other EA cohorts in a meta-analysis (n=4464 EAs). In age, sex- and race- adjusted models, sIL-2Rα was positively associated with current smoking, type 2 diabetes mellitus, hypertension, insulin, waist circumference, C-reactive protein, IL-6, fibrinogen, internal carotid wall thickness, all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, and incident CVD, stroke, and heart failure. When adjusted for baseline CVD risk factors and subclinical CVD, associations with all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, and heart failure remained significant in both EAs and AAs. In the EA genome-wide association study analysis, we observed 52 single-nucleotide polymorphisms in the chromosome 10p15-14 region, which contains IL2RA, IL15RA, and RMB17, that reached genome-wide significance (P<5×10(-8)). The most significant single-nucleotide polymorphism was rs7911500 (P=1.31×10(-75)). The EA meta-analysis results were highly consistent with CHS-only results. No single-nucleotide polymorphisms reached statistical significance in the AAs. CONCLUSIONS: These results support a role for sIL-2Rα in atherosclerosis and provide evidence for multiple-associated single-nucleotide polymorphisms at chromosome 10p15-14.
Keywords: Adult; African Americans; Age Distribution; Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Coronary Artery Disease; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Incidence; Interleukin-2 Receptor alpha Subunit; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Sex Distribution; Survival Analysis

Plasma phospholipid very-long-chain saturated fatty acids and incident diabetes in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Lemaitre, Rozenn N; Fretts, Amanda M; Sitlani, Colleen M; Biggs, Mary L; Mukamal, Kenneth; King, Irena B; Song, Xiaoling; Djoussé, Luc; Siscovick, David S; McKnight, Barbara; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Kizer, Jorge R; et al. (Am J Clin Nutr, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Circulating saturated fatty acids (SFAs) are integrated biomarkers of diet and metabolism that may influence the pathogenesis of diabetes. In epidemiologic studies, circulating levels of palmitic acid (16:0) are associated with diabetes; however, very-long-chain SFAs (VLSFAs), with 20 or more carbons, differ from palmitic acid in their biological activities, and little is known of the association of circulating VLSFA with diabetes. OBJECTIVE: By using data from the Cardiovascular Health Study, we examined the associations of plasma phospholipid VLSFA levels measured at baseline with subsequent incident diabetes. DESIGN: A total of 3179 older adults, with a mean age of 75 y at study baseline (1992-1993), were followed through 2011. We used multiple proportional hazards regression to examine the associations of arachidic acid (20:0), behenic acid (22:0), and lignoceric acid (24:0) with diabetes. RESULTS: Baseline levels of each VLSFA were cross-sectionally associated with lower triglyceride levels and lower circulating palmitic acid. We identified 284 incident diabetes cases during follow-up. Compared with the lowest quartile, levels of arachidic acid in the highest quartile of the fatty acid distribution were associated with a 47% lower risk of diabetes (95% CI: 23%, 63%; P-trend: <0.001), after adjustment for demographics, lifestyle factors, and clinical conditions. In analogous comparisons, levels of behenic and lignoceric acid were similarly associated with 33% (95% CI: 6%, 53%; P-trend: 0.02) and 37% (95% CI: 11%, 55%; P-trend: 0.01) lower diabetes risk, respectively. Adjustment for triglycerides and palmitic acid attenuated the associations toward the null, and only the association of arachidic acid remained statistically significant (32% lower risk for fourth vs. first quartile; P-trend: 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that circulating VLSFAs are associated with a lower risk of diabetes, and these associations may be mediated by lower triglycerides and palmitic acid. The study highlights the need to distinguish the effects of different SFAs and to explore determinants of circulating VLSFAs. This trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT00005133.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Biomarkers; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diabetes Mellitus; Diet; Eicosanoic Acids; Fatty Acids; Fatty Acids, Nonesterified; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Incidence; Male; Observational Studies as Topic; Palmitic Acid; Phospholipids; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Triglycerides

Population genomic analysis of 962 whole genome sequences of humans reveals natural selection in non-coding regions. - Yu, Fuli; Lu, Jian; Liu, Xiaoming; Gazave, Elodie; Chang, Diana; Raj, Srilakshmi; Hunter-Zinck, Haley; Blekhman, Ran; Arbiza, Leonardo; Van Hout, Cris; Morrison, Alanna; Johnson, Andrew D; et al. (PLoS One, 2015)
Whole genome analysis in large samples from a single population is needed to provide adequate power to assess relative strengths of natural selection across different functional components of the genome. In this study, we analyzed next-generation sequencing data from 962 European Americans, and found that as expected approximately 60% of the top 1% of positive selection signals lie in intergenic regions, 33% in intronic regions, and slightly over 1% in coding regions. Several detailed functional annotation categories in intergenic regions showed statistically significant enrichment in positively selected loci when compared to the null distribution of the genomic span of ENCODE categories. There was a significant enrichment of purifying selection signals detected in enhancers, transcription factor binding sites, microRNAs and target sites, but not on lincRNA or piRNAs, suggesting different evolutionary constraints for these domains. Loci in "repressed or low activity regions" and loci near or overlapping the transcription start site were the most significantly over-represented annotations among the top 1% of signals for positive selection.
Keywords: DNA, Intergenic; Genetic Loci; Humans; Metagenomics; Open Reading Frames; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Positive association of tomato consumption with serum urate: support for tomato consumption as an anecdotal trigger of gout flares. - Flynn, Tanya J; Cadzow, Murray; Dalbeth, Nicola; Jones, Peter B; Stamp, Lisa K; Hindmarsh, Jennie Harré; Todd, Alwyn S; Walker, Robert J; Topless, Ruth; Merriman, Tony R (BMC Musculoskelet Disord, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Gout is a consequence of an innate immune reaction to monosodium urate crystals deposited in joints. Acute gout attacks can be triggered by dietary factors that are themselves associated with serum urate levels. Tomato consumption is an anecdotal trigger of gout flares. This study aimed to measure the frequency of tomato consumption as a self-reported trigger of gout attacks in a large New Zealand sample set, and to test the hypothesis that tomato consumption is associated with serum urate levels. METHODS: Two thousand fifty one New Zealanders (of Māori, Pacific Island, European or other ancestry) with clinically-ascertained gout were asked about gout trigger foods. European individuals from the Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC; n = 7517) Study, Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS; n = 2151) and Framingham Heart Study (FHS; n = 3052) were used to test, in multivariate-adjusted analyses, for association between serum urate and tomato intake. RESULTS: Seventy one percent of people with gout reported having ≥1 gout trigger food. Of these 20% specifically mentioned tomatoes, the 4(th) most commonly reported trigger food. There was association between tomato intake and serum urate levels in the ARIC, CHS and FHS combined cohort (β = 0.66 μmolL(-1) increase in serum urate per additional serve per week; P = 0.006) - evident in both sexes (men: β = 0.84 μmolL(-1), P = 0.035; women: β = 0.59 μmolL (-1), P = 0.041). CONCLUSIONS: While our descriptive and observational data are unable to support the claim that tomato consumption is a trigger of gout attacks, the positive association between tomato consumption and serum urate levels suggests that the self-reporting of tomatoes as a dietary trigger by people with gout has a biological basis.
Keywords: Adolescent; Adult; Aged; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Gout; Humans; Hyperuricemia; Lycopersicon esculentum; Male; Middle Aged; New Zealand; Oceanic Ancestry Group; Surveys and Questionnaires; Uric Acid; Young Adult

Potassium and glucose measures in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Chatterjee, Ranee; Biggs, Mary L; de Boer, Ian H; Brancati, Frederick L; Svetkey, Laura P; Barzilay, Joshua; Djoussé, Luc; Ix, Joachim H; Kizer, Jorge R; Siscovick, David S; Mozaffarian, Dariush; Edelman, David; et al. (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2015)
BACKGROUND: We sought to determine the impacts of serum and dietary potassium measures on glucose metabolism and diabetes risk in older adults. METHODS: Among participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study, a community-based cohort of older American adults, we examined a) cross-sectional associations between potassium and measures of insulin sensitivity and secretion estimated from oral glucose tolerance tests and b) longitudinal associations of serum and dietary potassium with diabetes risk. RESULTS: Among 4,754 participants aged ≥65 years at baseline, there were 445 cases of incident diabetes during a median follow-up of 12 years. In multivariate models, baseline serum and dietary potassium were both associated with lower insulin sensitivity and greater insulin secretion. Compared with those with a serum potassium ≥4.5 mEq/L, participants with a serum potassium <4.0mEq/L had an adjusted mean difference in Matsuda insulin sensitivity index of -0.18 (-0.39, 0.02). Compared with those in the highest quartile, participants in the lowest quartile of dietary potassium intake had a corresponding adjusted mean difference in Matsuda insulin sensitivity index of -0.61 (-0.94, -0.29). In multivariate models, neither serum nor dietary potassium intake was associated with long-term diabetes risk. CONCLUSIONS: Although we did not identify serum and dietary potassium as risk factors for incident diabetes in older adults, results from cross-sectional analyses suggest that both may be associated with increased insulin resistance. This relationship with insulin resistance needs to be confirmed, and its importance on diabetes risk, cardiovascular risk, and conditions specific to older adults should be determined as well.
Keywords: Aged; Blood Glucose; Cohort Studies; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Humans; Insulin; Insulin Resistance; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Multivariate Analysis; Potassium; Potassium, Dietary; Risk Factors; United States

Predicting Future Years of Life, Health, and Functional Ability: A Healthy Life Calculator for Older Adults. - Diehr, Paula; Diehr, Michael; Arnold, Alice; Yee, Laura M; Odden, Michelle C; Hirsch, Calvin H; Thielke, Stephen; Psaty, Bruce M; Johnson, W Craig; Kizer Md, Jorge R; Newman, Anne (Gerontol Geriatr Med, 2015)
To create personalized estimates of future health and ability status for older adults.Data came from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a large longitudinal study. Outcomes included years of life, years of healthy life (based on self-rated health), years of able life (based on activities of daily living), and years of healthy and able life. We developed regression estimates using the demographic and health characteristics that best predicted the four outcomes. Internal and external validity were assessed.A prediction equation based on 11 variables accounted for about 40% of the variability for each outcome. Internal validity was excellent, and external validity was satisfactory. The resulting CHS Healthy Life Calculator (CHSHLC) is available at http://healthylifecalculator.org.CHSHLC provides a well-documented estimate of future years of healthy and able life for older adults, who may use it in planning for the future.

Prognostic Significance of High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin T Concentrations between the Limit of Blank and Limit of Detection in Community-Dwelling Adults: A Metaanalysis. - Parikh, Ravi H; Seliger, Stephen L; de Lemos, James; Nambi, Vijay; Christenson, Robert; Ayers, Colby; Sun, Wensheng; Gottdiener, John S; Kuller, Lewis H; Ballantyne, Christie; deFilippi, Christopher R (Clin Chem, 2015)
BACKGROUND: There is controversy regarding whether to report concentrations of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) to the limit of blank (LOB) (3 ng/L) or the limit of detection (LOD) (5 ng/L) of the assay in community-based cohorts. We hypothesized that hs-cTnT concentrations between the LOB and LOD would be associated with poorer cardiovascular outcomes compared to concentrations below the LOB. METHODS: hs-cTnT was analyzed in a total of 10 723 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, and Dallas Heart Study (DHS). Participants were divided into 2 groups, those with hs-cTnT concentrations below the limit of blank (LOB) (<3 ng/L) and those with hs-cTnT between the LOB and limit of detection (LOD) (3-4.99 ng/L). Cross-sectional associations with traditional cardiovascular risk factors and cardiac structural measurements, and longitudinal associations with long-term cardiovascular outcomes of incident heart failure and cardiovascular death, were determined. RESULTS: Participants with hs-cTnT between the LOB and LOD for all 3 cohorts were older, more likely to be male, and have a higher burden of cardiovascular risk factors and structural pathology. A metaanalysis of the 3 cohorts showed participants with hs-cTnT between the LOB and LOD were at increased risk of new-onset heart failure (hazard ratio, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.02-1.38) and cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.06-1.57). CONCLUSIONS: hs-cTnT concentrations between the LOB and LOD (3-4.99 ng/L) are associated with a higher prevalence of traditional risk factors, more cardiac pathology, and worse outcomes than concentrations below the LOB (<3 ng/L).
Keywords: Aged; Atherosclerosis; Biomarkers; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Independent Living; Limit of Detection; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Middle Aged; Myocardial Infarction; Prognosis; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Sex Factors; Troponin T

Prospective association of fatty acids in the de novo lipogenesis pathway with risk of type 2 diabetes: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Ma, Wenjie; Wu, Jason H Y; Wang, Qianyi; Lemaitre, Rozenn N; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Djoussé, Luc; King, Irena B; Song, Xiaoling; Biggs, Mary L; Delaney, Joseph A; Kizer, Jorge R; Siscovick, David S; et al. (Am J Clin Nutr, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Experimental evidence suggests that hepatic de novo lipogenesis (DNL) affects insulin homeostasis via synthesis of saturated fatty acids (SFAs) and monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFAs). Few prospective studies have used fatty acid biomarkers to assess associations with type 2 diabetes. OBJECTIVES: We investigated associations of major circulating SFAs [palmitic acid (16:0) and stearic acid (18:0)] and MUFA [oleic acid (18:1n-9)] in the DNL pathway with metabolic risk factors and incident diabetes in community-based older U.S. adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study. We secondarily assessed other DNL fatty acid biomarkers [myristic acid (14:0), palmitoleic acid (16:1n-7), 7-hexadecenoic acid (16:1n-9), and vaccenic acid (18:1n-7)] and estimated dietary SFAs and MUFAs. DESIGN: In 3004 participants free of diabetes, plasma phospholipid fatty acids were measured in 1992, and incident diabetes was identified by medication use and blood glucose. Usual diets were assessed by using repeated food-frequency questionnaires. Multivariable linear and Cox regression were used to assess associations with metabolic risk factors and incident diabetes, respectively. RESULTS: At baseline, circulating palmitic acid and stearic acid were positively associated with adiposity, triglycerides, inflammation biomarkers, and insulin resistance (P-trend < 0.01 each), whereas oleic acid showed generally beneficial associations (P-trend < 0.001 each). During 30,763 person-years, 297 incident diabetes cases occurred. With adjustment for demographics and lifestyle, palmitic acid (extreme-quintile HR: 1.89; 95% CI: 1.27, 2.83; P-trend = 0.001) and stearic acid (HR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.09, 2.41; P-trend = 0.006) were associated with higher diabetes risk, whereas oleic acid was not significantly associated. In secondary analyses, vaccenic acid was inversely associated with diabetes (HR: 0.56; 95% CI: 0.38, 0.83; P-trend = 0.005). Other fatty acid biomarkers and estimated dietary SFAs or MUFAs were not significantly associated with incident diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: In this large prospective cohort, circulating palmitic acid and stearic acid were associated with higher diabetes risk, and vaccenic acid was associated with lower diabetes risk. These results indicate a need for additional investigation of biological mechanisms linking specific fatty acids in the DNL pathway to the pathogenesis of diabetes.
Keywords: Aged; Biomarkers; Cohort Studies; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Incidence; Lipogenesis; Liver; Male; Palmitic Acid; Phospholipids; Prevalence; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors; Stearic Acids; United States; Up-Regulation

Prospective study of circulating factor XI and incident venous thromboembolism: The Longitudinal Investigation of Thromboembolism Etiology (LITE). - Folsom, Aaron R; Tang, Weihong; Roetker, Nicholas S; Heckbert, Susan R; Cushman, Mary; Pankow, James S (Am J Hematol, 2015)
Elevated plasma concentrations of coagulation factor XI may increase risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE), but prospective data are limited. We studied prospectively the associations of plasma factor XI and a key F11 genetic variant with incident VTE in whites and African-Americans. We measured factor XI in 16,299 participants, initially free of VTE, in two prospective population cohorts. We also measured the F11 single nucleotide polymorphism rs4241824, which a genome-wide association study had linked to factor XI concentration. During follow-up, we identified 606 VTEs. The age, race, sex, and study-adjusted hazard ratio of VTE increased across factor XI quintiles (P < 0.001 for trend), and the hazard ratio was 1.51 (95% CI 1.16, 1.97) for the highest versus lowest quintile overall, and was 1.42 (95% CI 1.03, 1.95) in whites and 1.72 (95% CI 1.08, 2.73) in African-Americans. In whites, the F11 variant was associated with both factor XI concentration and VTE incidence (1.15-fold greater incidence of VTE per risk allele). In African-Americans, these associations were absent. In conclusion, this cohort study documented that an elevated plasma factor XI concentration is a risk factor for VTE over extended follow-up, not only in whites but also in African-Americans. In whites, the association of the F11 genetic variant with VTE suggests a causal relation, but we did not observe this genetic relation in African-Americans.
Keywords: African Americans; Aged; Alleles; European Continental Ancestry Group; Factor XI; Female; Gene Expression; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; United States; Venous Thromboembolism

Race/Ethnic Differences in the Associations of the Framingham Risk Factors with Carotid IMT and Cardiovascular Events. - Gijsberts, Crystel M; Groenewegen, Karlijn A; Hoefer, Imo E; Eijkemans, Marinus J C; Asselbergs, Folkert W; Anderson, Todd J; Britton, Annie R; Dekker, Jacqueline M; Engström, Gunnar; Evans, Greg W; de Graaf, Jacqueline; Grobbee, Diederick E; et al. (PLoS One, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Clinical manifestations and outcomes of atherosclerotic disease differ between ethnic groups. In addition, the prevalence of risk factors is substantially different. Primary prevention programs are based on data derived from almost exclusively White people. We investigated how race/ethnic differences modify the associations of established risk factors with atherosclerosis and cardiovascular events. METHODS: We used data from an ongoing individual participant meta-analysis involving 17 population-based cohorts worldwide. We selected 60,211 participants without cardiovascular disease at baseline with available data on ethnicity (White, Black, Asian or Hispanic). We generated a multivariable linear regression model containing risk factors and ethnicity predicting mean common carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) and a multivariable Cox regression model predicting myocardial infarction or stroke. For each risk factor we assessed how the association with the preclinical and clinical measures of cardiovascular atherosclerotic disease was affected by ethnicity. RESULTS: Ethnicity appeared to significantly modify the associations between risk factors and CIMT and cardiovascular events. The association between age and CIMT was weaker in Blacks and Hispanics. Systolic blood pressure associated more strongly with CIMT in Asians. HDL cholesterol and smoking associated less with CIMT in Blacks. Furthermore, the association of age and total cholesterol levels with the occurrence of cardiovascular events differed between Blacks and Whites. CONCLUSION: The magnitude of associations between risk factors and the presence of atherosclerotic disease differs between race/ethnic groups. These subtle, yet significant differences provide insight in the etiology of cardiovascular disease among race/ethnic groups. These insights aid the race/ethnic-specific implementation of primary prevention.
Keywords: Adult; Age Distribution; Aged; Carotid Artery Diseases; Carotid Intima-Media Thickness; Cholesterol, HDL; Cholesterol, LDL; Comorbidity; Continental Population Groups; Diabetes Mellitus; Dyslipidemias; Ethnic Groups; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Global Health; Humans; Hypertension; Incidence; Linear Models; Male; Middle Aged; Myocardial Infarction; Prevalence; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors; Smoking; Stroke

Rare and Coding Region Genetic Variants Associated With Risk of Ischemic Stroke: The NHLBI Exome Sequence Project. - Auer, Paul L; Nalls, Mike; Meschia, James F; Worrall, Bradford B; Longstreth, W T; Seshadri, Sudha; Kooperberg, Charles; Burger, Kathleen M; Carlson, Christopher S; Carty, Cara L; Chen, Wei-Min; Cupples, L Adrienne; et al. (JAMA Neurol, 2015)
IMPORTANCE: Stroke is the second leading cause of death and the third leading cause of years of life lost. Genetic factors contribute to stroke prevalence, and candidate gene and genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified variants associated with ischemic stroke risk. These variants often have small effects without obvious biological significance. Exome sequencing may discover predicted protein-altering variants with a potentially large effect on ischemic stroke risk. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the contribution of rare and common genetic variants to ischemic stroke risk by targeting the protein-coding regions of the human genome. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) Exome Sequencing Project (ESP) analyzed approximately 6000 participants from numerous cohorts of European and African ancestry. For discovery, 365 cases of ischemic stroke (small-vessel and large-vessel subtypes) and 809 European ancestry controls were sequenced; for replication, 47 affected sibpairs concordant for stroke subtype and an African American case-control series were sequenced, with 1672 cases and 4509 European ancestry controls genotyped. The ESP's exome sequencing and genotyping started on January 1, 2010, and continued through June 30, 2012. Analyses were conducted on the full data set between July 12, 2012, and July 13, 2013. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Discovery of new variants or genes contributing to ischemic stroke risk and subtype (primary analysis) and determination of support for protein-coding variants contributing to risk in previously published candidate genes (secondary analysis). RESULTS: We identified 2 novel genes associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke: a protein-coding variant in PDE4DIP (rs1778155; odds ratio, 2.15; P = 2.63 × 10(-8)) with an intracellular signal transduction mechanism and in ACOT4 (rs35724886; odds ratio, 2.04; P = 1.24 × 10(-7)) with a fatty acid metabolism; confirmation of PDE4DIP was observed in affected sibpair families with large-vessel stroke subtype and in African Americans. Replication of protein-coding variants in candidate genes was observed for 2 previously reported GWAS associations: ZFHX3 (cardioembolic stroke) and ABCA1 (large-vessel stroke). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Exome sequencing discovered 2 novel genes and mechanisms, PDE4DIP and ACOT4, associated with increased risk for ischemic stroke. In addition, ZFHX3 and ABCA1 were discovered to have protein-coding variants associated with ischemic stroke. These results suggest that genetic variation in novel pathways contributes to ischemic stroke risk and serves as a target for prediction, prevention, and therapy.
Keywords: Aged; Brain Ischemia; Exome; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Muscle Proteins; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (U.S.); Nuclear Proteins; Open Reading Frames; Palmitoyl-CoA Hydrolase; Stroke; United States

Rare and low-frequency variants and their association with plasma levels of fibrinogen, FVII, FVIII, and vWF. - Huffman, Jennifer E; de Vries, Paul S; Morrison, Alanna C; Sabater-Lleal, Maria; Kacprowski, Tim; Auer, Paul L; Brody, Jennifer A; Chasman, Daniel I; Chen, Ming-Huei; Guo, Xiuqing; Lin, Li-An; Marioni, Riccardo E; et al. (Blood, 2015)
Fibrinogen, coagulation factor VII (FVII), and factor VIII (FVIII) and its carrier von Willebrand factor (vWF) play key roles in hemostasis. Previously identified common variants explain only a small fraction of the trait heritabilities, and additional variations may be explained by associations with rarer variants with larger effects. The aim of this study was to identify low-frequency (minor allele frequency [MAF] ≥0.01 and <0.05) and rare (MAF <0.01) variants that influence plasma concentrations of these 4 hemostatic factors by meta-analyzing exome chip data from up to 76,000 participants of 4 ancestries. We identified 12 novel associations of low-frequency (n = 2) and rare (n = 10) variants across the fibrinogen, FVII, FVIII, and vWF traits that were independent of previously identified associations. Novel loci were found within previously reported genes and had effect sizes much larger than and independent of previously identified common variants. In addition, associations at KCNT1, HID1, and KATNB1 identified new candidate genes related to hemostasis for follow-up replication and functional genomic analysis. Newly identified low-frequency and rare-variant associations accounted for modest amounts of trait variance and therefore are unlikely to increase predicted trait heritability but provide new information for understanding individual variation in hemostasis pathways.
Keywords: Cohort Studies; Factor VII; Factor VIII; Fibrinogen; Gene Frequency; Genetic Association Studies; Genetic Variation; Humans; Nerve Tissue Proteins; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Potassium Channels; von Willebrand Factor

Relationship between Systemic and Cerebral Vascular Disease and Brain Structure Integrity in Normal Elderly Individuals. - Riverol, Mario; Becker, James T; Lopez, Oscar L; Raji, Cyrus A; Thompson, Paul M; Carmichael, Owen T; Gach, H Michael; Longstreth, William T; Fried, Linda; Tracy, Russell P; Kuller, Lewis H (J Alzheimers Dis, 2015)
Cerebral white matter lesions (WMLs) are considered a reflection of cerebral and systemic small vessel disease (SVD), and are associated with reductions in brain volume. Like the brain, the kidney is also sensitive to factors that affect vasculature. Glomerular dysfunction due to renal vascular damage can be measured with different biochemical parameters, such as creatinine or cystatin C, although cystatin C is considered to be more accurate than creatinine in the elderly. The purpose of the study was to determine whether manifestations of SVD in the kidney can predict SVD-based damage to the brain. We examined the relationship between glomerular dysfunction as a measure of SVD on WMLs, gray matter (GM) volume, and cognition in 735 cognitively normal participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study Cognition Study. The multivariate analyses controlled for demographic characteristics, hypertension, heart disease, diabetes, Apolipoprotein 4 allele, C reactive protein, lipids, physical activity, smoking, and body mass index (BMI). Elevated cystatin C levels were associated with lower neuropsychological test scores, the presence of MRI-identified brain infarcts, the severity of WMLs, and GM atrophy five years later. In adjusted models, GM volume was significantly associated with cystatin-C only until BMI and severity of WMLs were added to the model, meaning that the effect of SVD on GM volume is mediated by these two variables. These findings suggest that age-related SVD is a process that leads to altered brain structure, and creates a vulnerability state for cognitive decline.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Analysis of Variance; Brain; Cerebrovascular Disorders; Female; Humans; Image Processing, Computer-Assisted; Logistic Models; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Neuropsychological Tests; Peripheral Vascular Diseases; Predictive Value of Tests; Retrospective Studies; White Matter

Resting heart rate and risk of incident heart failure: three prospective cohort studies and a systematic meta-analysis. - Khan, Hassan; Kunutsor, Setor; Kalogeropoulos, Andreas P; Georgiopoulou, Vasiliki V; Newman, Anne B; Harris, Tamara B; Bibbins-Domingo, Kirsten; Kauhanen, Jussi; Gheorghiade, Mihai; Fonarow, Gregg C; Kritchevsky, Stephen B; Laukkanen, Jari A; et al. (J Am Heart Assoc, 2015)
BACKGROUND: The relationship between resting heart rate (RHR) and incident heart failure (HF) has been questioned. METHODS AND RESULTS: RHR was assessed at baseline in 7073 participants in 3 prospective cohorts (Cardiovascular Health Study, Health ABC study and Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease Study) that recorded 1189 incident HF outcomes during 92 702 person-years of follow-up. Mean age of participants was 67 (9.9) years and mean RHR was 64.6 (11.1) bpm. Baseline RHR correlated (P<0.001) positively with body mass index (r=0.10), fasting glucose (r=0.18), and C-reactive protein (r=0.20); and inversely with serum creatinine (r=-0.05) and albumin (r=-0.05). Baseline RHR was non-linearly associated with HF risk. The age and sex-adjusted hazard ratio for HF comparing the top (>72 bpm) versus the bottom (<57 bpm) quartile of baseline RHR was 1.48 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.26 to 1.74) and was modestly attenuated (1.30, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.53) with further adjustment for body mass index, history of diabetes, hypertension, smoking status, serum creatinine, and left ventricular hypertrophy. These findings remained consistent in analyses accounting for incident coronary heart disease, excluding individuals with prior cardiovascular events, or those taking beta-blockers; and in subgroups defined by several individual participant characteristics. In a pooled random effects meta-analysis of 7 population-based studies (43 051 participants and 3476 HF events), the overall hazard ratio comparing top versus bottom fourth of RHR was 1.40 (95% CI: 1.19 to 1.64). CONCLUSIONS: There is a non-linear association between RHR and incident HF. Further research is needed to understand the physiologic foundations of this association.
Keywords: Age Distribution; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Cohort Studies; Female; Heart Failure; Heart Rate; Humans; Incidence; Japan; Male; Predictive Value of Tests; Prospective Studies; Rest; Risk Assessment; Severity of Illness Index; Sex Distribution; Survival Rate

Serial measures of cardiac troponin T levels by a highly sensitive assay and incident atrial fibrillation in a prospective cohort of ambulatory older adults. - Hussein, Ayman A; Bartz, Traci M; Gottdiener, John S; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Heckbert, Susan R; Lloyd-Jones, Donald; Kizer, Jorge R; Christenson, Robert; Wazni, Oussama; DeFilippi, Christopher (Heart Rhythm, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Various mechanisms in cardiac remodeling related to atrial fibrillation (AF) lead to elevated circulating cardiac troponin levels, but little is known about such elevations upstream to AF onset. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to study the association between circulating troponin levels as assessed by a highly sensitive cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) assay and incident atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: In a large prospective cohort of ambulatory older adults [the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS)], hs-cTnT levels were measured in sera that were collected at enrollment from 4262 participants without AF (2871 with follow-up measurements). Incident AF was identified by electrocardiograms during CHS visits, hospital discharge diagnoses, and Medicare files, including outpatient and physician claims diagnoses. RESULTS: Over median follow-up of 11.2 years (interquartile range 6.1-16.5), 1363 participants (32.0%) developed AF. Higher baseline levels of hs-cTnT were associated with incident AF in covariate-adjusted analyses accounting for demographics, traditional risk factors, and incident heart failure in time-dependent analyzes (hazard ratio for 3rd tertile vs undetectable 1.75, 95% confidence interval 1.48-2.08). This association was statistically significant in analyses that additionally adjusted for biomarkers of inflammation and hemodynamic strain (hazard ratio for 3rd tertile vs undetectable 1.38, 95% confidence interval 1.16-1.65). Significant associations were also found when hs-cTnT levels were treated as a continuous variable and when examining change from baseline of hs-cTnT levels and incident AF. CONCLUSION: The findings show a significant association of circulating troponin levels in ambulatory older adults with incident AF beyond that of traditional risk factors, incident heart failure, and biomarkers of inflammation and hemodynamic strain.
Keywords: Aged; Atrial Fibrillation; Biomarkers; Electrocardiography; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Outpatients; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Statistics as Topic; Troponin T; United States

Serum urate levels and the risk of hip fractures: data from the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Mehta, Tapan; Bůzková, Petra; Sarnak, Mark J; Chonchol, Michel; Cauley, Jane A; Wallace, Erin; Fink, Howard A; Robbins, John; Jalal, Diana (Metabolism, 2015)
PURPOSE: Uric acid inhibits vitamin D activation experimentally and higher serum urate levels are associated with higher parathyroid hormone levels in humans suggesting a link between uric acid and bone health. We hypothesized that hyperuricemia may increase the risk of fractures in older adults. METHODS: 1963 men and 2729 women ≥65 years of age who participated in the Cardiovascular Health Study and had baseline serum urate levels were included in the study. The primary outcome was incident hip fracture, assessed prospectively through June, 2008 by inpatient and outpatient records. The analysis was stratified by sex a priori. RESULTS: There was a U-shaped relationship between serum urate levels and hip fractures in men. Men in the lowest and the highest urate quartiles (<4.88 and ≥6.88 mg/dL respectively) had a significantly higher rate of fractures in unadjusted analysis. However, upon multivariate adjustment, only the HR for hip fracture in highest quartile versus the reference remained significant (HR 1.9; 95% C.I. 1.1, 3.1; p value 0.02). High serum urate levels were not associated with hip fractures in women. CONCLUSION: In this large prospective cohort of community-dwelling older adults, increased serum urate levels were associated with an increased risk of hip fractures in men. Further studies are needed to confirm these findings and to understand the mechanisms that underlie them.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Body Mass Index; Cohort Studies; Estrogen Replacement Therapy; Female; Health Surveys; Hip Fractures; Humans; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Male; Prospective Studies; Risk; Sex Factors; United States; Uric Acid

Sex, Race, and Age Differences in Observed Years of Life, Healthy Life, and Able Life among Older Adults in The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Thielke, Stephen M; Diehr, Paula H; Yee, Laura M; Arnold, Alice M; Quiñones, Ana R; Whitson, Heather E; Jacob, Mini E; Newman, Anne B (J Pers Med, 2015)
OBJECTIVE: Longevity fails to account for health and functional status during aging. We sought to quantify differences in years of total life, years of healthy life, and years of able life among groups defined by age, sex, and race. DESIGN: Primary analysis of a cohort study. SETTING: 18 years of annual evaluations in four U.S. communities. PARTICIPANTS: 5888 men and women aged 65 and older. MEASUREMENTS: Years of life were calculated as the time from enrollment to death or 18 years. Years of total, healthy, and able life were determined from self-report during annual or semi-annual contacts. Cumulative years were summed across each of the age and sex groups. RESULTS: White women had the best outcomes for all three measures, followed by white men, non-white women, and non-white men. For example, at the mean age of 73, a white female participant could expect 12.9 years of life, 8.9 of healthy life and 9.5 of able life, while a non-white female could expect 12.6, 7.0, and 8.0 years, respectively. A white male could expect 11.2, 8.1, and 8.9 years of life, healthy life, and able life, and a non-white male 10.3, 6.2, and 7.9 years. Regardless of starting age, individuals of the same race and sex groups spent similar amounts (not proportions) of time in an unhealthy or unable state. CONCLUSION: Gender had a greater effect on longevity than did race, but race had a greater effect on years spent healthy or able. The mean number of years spent in an unable or sick state was surprisingly independent of the lifespan.

Shared genetic basis for migraine and ischemic stroke: A genome-wide analysis of common variants. - Malik, Rainer; Freilinger, Tobias; Winsvold, Bendik S; Anttila, Verneri; Vander Heiden, Jason; Traylor, Matthew; de Vries, Boukje; Holliday, Elizabeth G; Terwindt, Gisela M; Sturm, Jonathan; Bis, Joshua C; Hopewell, Jemma C; et al. (Neurology, 2015)
OBJECTIVE: To quantify genetic overlap between migraine and ischemic stroke (IS) with respect to common genetic variation. METHODS: We applied 4 different approaches to large-scale meta-analyses of genome-wide data on migraine (23,285 cases and 95,425 controls) and IS (12,389 cases and 62,004 controls). First, we queried known genome-wide significant loci for both disorders, looking for potential overlap of signals. We then analyzed the overall shared genetic load using polygenic scores and estimated the genetic correlation between disease subtypes using data derived from these models. We further interrogated genomic regions of shared risk using analysis of covariance patterns between the 2 phenotypes using cross-phenotype spatial mapping. RESULTS: We found substantial genetic overlap between migraine and IS using all 4 approaches. Migraine without aura (MO) showed much stronger overlap with IS and its subtypes than migraine with aura (MA). The strongest overlap existed between MO and large artery stroke (LAS; p = 6.4 × 10(-28) for the LAS polygenic score in MO) and between MO and cardioembolic stroke (CE; p = 2.7 × 10(-20) for the CE score in MO). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate shared genetic susceptibility to migraine and IS, with a particularly strong overlap between MO and both LAS and CE pointing towards shared mechanisms. Our observations on MA are consistent with a limited role of common genetic variants in this subtype.
Keywords: Brain Ischemia; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Migraine with Aura; Migraine without Aura; Stroke

Sleep Disturbances and Glucose Metabolism in Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Strand, Linn Beate; Carnethon, Mercedes; Biggs, Mary Lou; Djoussé, Luc; Kaplan, Robert C; Siscovick, David S; Robbins, John A; Redline, Susan; Patel, Sanjay R; Janszky, Imre; Mukamal, Kenneth J (Diabetes Care, 2015)
OBJECTIVE: We examined the associations of symptoms of sleep-disordered breathing (SDB), which was defined as loud snoring, stopping breathing for a while during sleep, and daytime sleepiness, and insomnia with glucose metabolism and incident type 2 diabetes in older adults. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Between 1989 and 1993, the Cardiovascular Health Study recruited 5,888 participants ≥65 years of age from four U.S. communities. Participants reported SDB and insomnia symptoms yearly through 1989-1994. In 1989-1990, participants underwent an oral glucose tolerance test, from which insulin secretion and insulin sensitivity were estimated. Fasting glucose levels were measured in 1989-1990 and again in 1992-1993, 1994-1995, 1996-1997, and 1998-1999, and medication use was ascertained yearly. We determined the cross-sectional associations of sleep symptoms with fasting glucose levels, 2-h glucose levels, insulin sensitivity, and insulin secretion using generalized estimated equations and linear regression models. We determined the associations of updated and averaged sleep symptoms with incident diabetes in Cox proportional hazards models. We adjusted for sociodemographics, lifestyle factors, and medical history. RESULTS: Observed apnea, snoring, and daytime sleepiness were associated with higher fasting glucose levels, higher 2-h glucose levels, lower insulin sensitivity, and higher insulin secretion. The risk of the development of type 2 diabetes was positively associated with observed apnea (hazard ratio [HR] 1.84 [95% CI 1.19-2.86]), snoring (HR 1.27 [95% CI 0.95-1.71]), and daytime sleepiness (HR 1.54 [95% CI 1.13-2.12]). In contrast, we did not find consistent associations between insomnia symptoms and glucose metabolism or incident type 2 diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Easily collected symptoms of SDB are strongly associated with insulin resistance and the incidence of type 2 diabetes in older adults. Monitoring glucose metabolism in such patients may prove useful in identifying candidates for lifestyle or pharmacological therapy. Further studies are needed to determine whether insomnia symptoms affect the risk of diabetes in younger adults.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Blood Glucose; Cardiovascular System; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Fasting; Female; Glucose Tolerance Test; Humans; Incidence; Insulin; Insulin Resistance; Male; Middle Aged; Sleep Apnea Syndromes; Sleep Initiation and Maintenance Disorders; Snoring; United States

Social Network Size and Cranial Magnetic Resonance Imaging Findings in Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Flatt, Jason D; Rosso, Andrea L; Aizenstein, Howard J; Schulz, Richard; Longstreth, W T; Newman, Anne B; Fowler, Nicole R; Rosano, Caterina (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2015)
Keywords: Aged; Brain; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Geriatric Assessment; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Neuroimaging; Social Participation; Social Support

Subclinical Hypothyroidism and the Risk of Stroke Events and Fatal Stroke: An Individual Participant Data Analysis. - Chaker, Layal; Baumgartner, Christine; den Elzen, Wendy P J; Ikram, M Arfan; Blum, Manuel R; Collet, Tinh-Hai; Bakker, Stephan J L; Dehghan, Abbas; Drechsler, Christiane; Luben, Robert N; Hofman, Albert; Portegies, Marileen L P; et al. (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2015)
OBJECTIVE: The objective was to determine the risk of stroke associated with subclinical hypothyroidism. DATA SOURCES AND STUDY SELECTION: Published prospective cohort studies were identified through a systematic search through November 2013 without restrictions in several databases. Unpublished studies were identified through the Thyroid Studies Collaboration. We collected individual participant data on thyroid function and stroke outcome. Euthyroidism was defined as TSH levels of 0.45-4.49 mIU/L, and subclinical hypothyroidism was defined as TSH levels of 4.5-19.9 mIU/L with normal T4 levels. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: We collected individual participant data on 47 573 adults (3451 subclinical hypothyroidism) from 17 cohorts and followed up from 1972-2014 (489 192 person-years). Age- and sex-adjusted pooled hazard ratios (HRs) for participants with subclinical hypothyroidism compared to euthyroidism were 1.05 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.91-1.21) for stroke events (combined fatal and nonfatal stroke) and 1.07 (95% CI, 0.80-1.42) for fatal stroke. Stratified by age, the HR for stroke events was 3.32 (95% CI, 1.25-8.80) for individuals aged 18-49 years. There was an increased risk of fatal stroke in the age groups 18-49 and 50-64 years, with a HR of 4.22 (95% CI, 1.08-16.55) and 2.86 (95% CI, 1.31-6.26), respectively (p trend 0.04). We found no increased risk for those 65-79 years old (HR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.86-1.18) or ≥ 80 years old (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.79-2.18). There was a pattern of increased risk of fatal stroke with higher TSH concentrations. CONCLUSIONS: Although no overall effect of subclinical hypothyroidism on stroke could be demonstrated, an increased risk in subjects younger than 65 years and those with higher TSH concentrations was observed.
Keywords: Adult; Asymptomatic Diseases; Female; Humans; Hypothyroidism; Incidence; Male; Risk Factors; Stroke; Thyrotropin

Subclinical thyroid dysfunction and fracture risk: a meta-analysis. - Blum, Manuel R; Bauer, Douglas C; Collet, Tinh-Hai; Fink, Howard A; Cappola, Anne R; da Costa, Bruno R; Wirth, Christina D; Peeters, Robin P; Asvold, Bjørn O; den Elzen, Wendy P J; Luben, Robert N; Imaizumi, Misa; et al. (JAMA, 2015)
IMPORTANCE: Associations between subclinical thyroid dysfunction and fractures are unclear and clinical trials are lacking. OBJECTIVE: To assess the association of subclinical thyroid dysfunction with hip, nonspine, spine, or any fractures. DATA SOURCES AND STUDY SELECTION: The databases of MEDLINE and EMBASE (inception to March 26, 2015) were searched without language restrictions for prospective cohort studies with thyroid function data and subsequent fractures. DATA EXTRACTION: Individual participant data were obtained from 13 prospective cohorts in the United States, Europe, Australia, and Japan. Levels of thyroid function were defined as euthyroidism (thyroid-stimulating hormone [TSH], 0.45-4.49 mIU/L), subclinical hyperthyroidism (TSH <0.45 mIU/L), and subclinical hypothyroidism (TSH ≥4.50-19.99 mIU/L) with normal thyroxine concentrations. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was hip fracture. Any fractures, nonspine fractures, and clinical spine fractures were secondary outcomes. RESULTS: Among 70,298 participants, 4092 (5.8%) had subclinical hypothyroidism and 2219 (3.2%) had subclinical hyperthyroidism. During 762,401 person-years of follow-up, hip fracture occurred in 2975 participants (4.6%; 12 studies), any fracture in 2528 participants (9.0%; 8 studies), nonspine fracture in 2018 participants (8.4%; 8 studies), and spine fracture in 296 participants (1.3%; 6 studies). In age- and sex-adjusted analyses, the hazard ratio (HR) for subclinical hyperthyroidism vs euthyroidism was 1.36 for hip fracture (95% CI, 1.13-1.64; 146 events in 2082 participants vs 2534 in 56,471); for any fracture, HR was 1.28 (95% CI, 1.06-1.53; 121 events in 888 participants vs 2203 in 25,901); for nonspine fracture, HR was 1.16 (95% CI, 0.95-1.41; 107 events in 946 participants vs 1745 in 21,722); and for spine fracture, HR was 1.51 (95% CI, 0.93-2.45; 17 events in 732 participants vs 255 in 20,328). Lower TSH was associated with higher fracture rates: for TSH of less than 0.10 mIU/L, HR was 1.61 for hip fracture (95% CI, 1.21-2.15; 47 events in 510 participants); for any fracture, HR was 1.98 (95% CI, 1.41-2.78; 44 events in 212 participants); for nonspine fracture, HR was 1.61 (95% CI, 0.96-2.71; 32 events in 185 participants); and for spine fracture, HR was 3.57 (95% CI, 1.88-6.78; 8 events in 162 participants). Risks were similar after adjustment for other fracture risk factors. Endogenous subclinical hyperthyroidism (excluding thyroid medication users) was associated with HRs of 1.52 (95% CI, 1.19-1.93) for hip fracture, 1.42 (95% CI, 1.16-1.74) for any fracture, and 1.74 (95% CI, 1.01-2.99) for spine fracture. No association was found between subclinical hypothyroidism and fracture risk. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Subclinical hyperthyroidism was associated with an increased risk of hip and other fractures, particularly among those with TSH levels of less than 0.10 mIU/L and those with endogenous subclinical hyperthyroidism. Further study is needed to determine whether treating subclinical hyperthyroidism can prevent fractures.
Keywords: Adolescent; Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Female; Fractures, Bone; Hip Fractures; Humans; Hyperthyroidism; Hypothyroidism; Male; Middle Aged; Risk Factors; Spinal Fractures; Thyrotropin; Young Adult

Thyroid function in the euthyroid range and adverse outcomes in older adults. - Cappola, Anne R; Arnold, Alice M; Wulczyn, Kendra; Carlson, Michelle; Robbins, John; Psaty, Bruce M (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2015)
CONTEXT: The appropriateness of current reference ranges for thyroid function testing in older adults has been questioned. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the relationship between thyroid function tests within the euthyroid range and adverse outcomes in older adults not taking thyroid medication. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: US community-dwelling adults years of older (n = 2843) enrolled onto the Cardiovascular Health Study with TSH, free T4 (FT4), and total T3 concentrations in the euthyroid range. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incidence of atrial fibrillation, coronary heart disease, heart failure, hip fracture, dementia, and all-cause death were measured. RESULTS: No departures from linearity were detected. Higher TSH was negatively associated (P = .03) and higher FT4 was positively associated (P = .007) with mortality. Higher FT4 was associated with atrial fibrillation (P < .001) and heart failure (P = .004). Compared with the first quartile, individuals with TSH in the fourth quartile had a 9.6 per 1000 person-year lower incidence of dementia (P < .05) and those with FT4 in the fourth quartile had higher incidences of atrial fibrillation, coronary heart disease, heart failure, and mortality (11.0, 8.0, 7.8, and 14.3 per 1000 person-years, respectively, all P < .05). Total T3 was not associated with any outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Higher TSH and lower FT4 concentrations within the euthyroid range are associated with lower risk of multiple adverse events in older people, including mortality. This suggests tolerance for lower thyroid hormone levels in this age group. Clinical trials are needed to evaluate the risk-benefit profile of new thresholds for initiating treatment and optimal target concentrations for thyroid hormone replacement in older people.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Atrial Fibrillation; Cause of Death; Coronary Disease; Dementia; Female; Heart Failure; Hip Fractures; Humans; Incidence; Male; Prognosis; Reference Values; Survival Analysis; Thyroid Function Tests; Thyroid Gland

Thyroid function within the normal range and risk of coronary heart disease: an individual participant data analysis of 14 cohorts. - Asvold, Bjørn O; Vatten, Lars J; Bjøro, Trine; Bauer, Douglas C; Bremner, Alexandra; Cappola, Anne R; Ceresini, Graziano; den Elzen, Wendy P J; Ferrucci, Luigi; Franco, Oscar H; Franklyn, Jayne A; Gussekloo, Jacobijn; et al. (JAMA Intern Med, 2015)
IMPORTANCE: Some experts suggest that serum thyrotropin levels in the upper part of the current reference range should be considered abnormal, an approach that would reclassify many individuals as having mild hypothyroidism. Health hazards associated with such thyrotropin levels are poorly documented, but conflicting evidence suggests that thyrotropin levels in the upper part of the reference range may be associated with an increased risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between differences in thyroid function within the reference range and CHD risk. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Individual participant data analysis of 14 cohorts with baseline examinations between July 1972 and April 2002 and with median follow-up ranging from 3.3 to 20.0 years. Participants included 55,412 individuals with serum thyrotropin levels of 0.45 to 4.49 mIU/L and no previously known thyroid or cardiovascular disease at baseline. EXPOSURES: Thyroid function as expressed by serum thyrotropin levels at baseline. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Hazard ratios (HRs) of CHD mortality and CHD events according to thyrotropin levels after adjustment for age, sex, and smoking status. RESULTS: Among 55,412 individuals, 1813 people (3.3%) died of CHD during 643,183 person-years of follow-up. In 10 cohorts with information on both nonfatal and fatal CHD events, 4666 of 48,875 individuals (9.5%) experienced a first-time CHD event during 533,408 person-years of follow-up. For each 1-mIU/L higher thyrotropin level, the HR was 0.97 (95% CI, 0.90-1.04) for CHD mortality and 1.00 (95% CI, 0.97-1.03) for a first-time CHD event. Similarly, in analyses by categories of thyrotropin, the HRs of CHD mortality (0.94 [95% CI, 0.74-1.20]) and CHD events (0.97 [95% CI, 0.83-1.13]) were similar among participants with the highest (3.50-4.49 mIU/L) compared with the lowest (0.45-1.49 mIU/L) thyrotropin levels. Subgroup analyses by sex and age group yielded similar results. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Thyrotropin levels within the reference range are not associated with risk of CHD events or CHD mortality. This finding suggests that differences in thyroid function within the population reference range do not influence the risk of CHD. Increased CHD risk does not appear to be a reason for lowering the upper thyrotropin reference limit.
Keywords: Cohort Studies; Coronary Disease; Humans; Hypothyroidism; Thyrotropin

Time to diagnosis: accounting for differential follow-up times in cohort studies. - Bůzková, Petra (Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation, 2015)
Cox regression is widely used to analyze discrete survival time data. Differential endpoint follow-up across sub-cohorts where distribution of a covariate varies may cause typical estimators to be biased or inefficient. We demonstrate that with Cardiovascular Health Study data for incident type 2 diabetes. Two cohorts with extremely different race distribution have differential follow-up for fasting glucose levels. We study various scenarios of Cox regression. We suggest an alternative approach, Poisson generalized estimating equations with an offset to accommodate the differential follow-up. We use simulations to contrast the methods.
Keywords: 62N01; Covariate-dependent follow-up; Discrete survival data; Multi-cohort studies; Primary 62N02; Secondary 62H12

Urinary uromodulin, kidney function, and cardiovascular disease in elderly adults. - Garimella, Pranav S; Biggs, Mary L; Katz, Ronit; Ix, Joachim H; Bennett, Michael R; Devarajan, Prasad; Kestenbaum, Bryan R; Siscovick, David S; Jensen, Majken K; Shlipak, Michael G; Chaves, Paulo H M; Sarnak, Mark J (Kidney Int, 2015)
Urinary uromodulin (uUMOD) is the most common secreted tubular protein in healthy adults. However, the relationship between uUMOD and clinical outcomes is still unclear. Here we measured uUMOD in 192 participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study with over a 30% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over 9 years, 54 with incident end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and in a random subcohort of 958 participants. The association of uUMOD with eGFR decline was evaluated using logistic regression and with incident ESRD, cardiovascular disease, heart failure, and mortality using Cox proportional regression. Mean age was 78 years and median uUMOD was 25.8 μg/ml. In a case-control study evaluating eGFR decline (192 cases and 231 controls), each 1-s.d. higher uUMOD was associated with a 23% lower odds of eGFR decline (odds ratio 0.77 (95% CI 0.62-0.96)) and a 10% lower risk of mortality (hazard ratio 0.90 (95% CI 0.83-0.98)) after adjusting for demographics, eGFR, albumin/creatinine ratio, and other risk factors. There was no risk association of uUMOD with ESRD, cardiovascular disease, or heart failure after multivariable adjustment. Thus, low uUMOD levels may identify persons at risk of progressive kidney disease and mortality above and beyond established markers of kidney disease, namely eGFR and the albumin/creatinine ratio. Future studies need to confirm these results and evaluate whether uUMOD is a marker of tubular health and/or whether it plays a causal role in preserving kidney function.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Albuminuria; Biomarkers; Cardiovascular Diseases; Case-Control Studies; Creatinine; Disease Progression; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Heart Failure; Humans; Incidence; Kidney Failure, Chronic; Male; Proportional Hazards Models; Uromodulin

Urine Collagen Fragments and CKD Progression-The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Ix, Joachim H; Biggs, Mary L; Mukamal, Kenneth; Djoussé, Luc; Siscovick, David; Tracy, Russell; Katz, Ronit; Delaney, Joseph A; Chaves, Paulo; Rifkin, Dena E; Hughes-Austin, Jan M; Garimella, Pranav S; et al. (J Am Soc Nephrol, 2015)
Tubulointerstitial fibrosis is common with ageing and strongly prognostic for ESRD but is poorly captured by eGFR or urine albumin to creatinine ratio (ACR). Higher urine levels of procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP) mark the severity of tubulointerstitial fibrosis in biopsy studies, but the association of urine PIIINP with CKD progression is unknown. Among community-living persons aged ≥65 years, we measured PIIINP in spot urine specimens from the 1996 to 1997 Cardiovascular Health Study visit among individuals with CKD progression (30% decline in eGFR over 9 years, n=192) or incident ESRD (n=54) during follow-up, and in 958 randomly selected participants. We evaluated associations of urine PIIINP with CKD progression and incident ESRD. Associations of urine PIIINP with cardiovascular disease, heart failure, and death were evaluated as secondary end points. At baseline, mean age (±SD) was 78±5 years, mean eGFR was 63±18 ml/min per 1.73 m(2), and median urine PIIINP was 2.6 (interquartile range, 1.4-4.2) μg/L. In a case-control study (192 participants, 231 controls), each doubling of urine PIIINP associated with 22% higher odds of CKD progression (adjusted odds ratio, 1.22; 95% confidence interval, 1.00 to 1.49). Higher urine PIIINP level was also associated with incident ESRD, but results were not significant in fully adjusted models. In a prospective study among the 958 randomly selected participants, higher urine PIIINP was significantly associated with death, but not with incident cardiovascular disease or heart failure. These data suggest higher urine PIIINP levels associate with CKD progression independently of eGFR and ACR in older individuals.
Keywords: Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Case-Control Studies; Disease Progression; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Kidney Failure, Chronic; Male; Peptide Fragments; Procollagen; Prospective Studies; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic

Variation in resting heart rate over 4 years and the risks of myocardial infarction and death among older adults. - Floyd, James S; Sitlani, Colleen M; Wiggins, Kerri L; Wallace, Erin; Suchy-Dicey, Astrid; Abbasi, Siddique A; Carnethon, Mercedes R; Siscovick, David S; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Heckbert, Susan R; McKnight, Barbara; Rice, Kenneth M; et al. (Heart, 2015)
OBJECTIVE: Resting heart rate (RHR) is an established predictor of myocardial infarction (MI) and mortality, but the relationship between variation in RHR over a period of several years and health outcomes is unclear. We evaluated the relationship between long-term variation in RHR and the risks of incident MI and mortality among older adults. METHODS: 1991 subjects without cardiovascular disease from the Cardiovascular Health Study were included. RHR was taken from resting ECGs at the first five annual study visits. RHR mean, trend and variation were estimated with linear regression. Subjects were followed for incident MI and death until December 2010. HRs for RHR mean, trend and variation are reported for differences of 10 bpm, 2 bpm/year and 2 bpm, respectively. RESULTS: 262 subjects had an incident MI event (13%) and 1326 died (67%) during 12 years of median follow-up. In primary analyses adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors, RHR mean (HR 1.12; 95% CI 1.05 to 1.20) and variation (HR 1.08; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.13) were associated with the risk of death while trend was not. None of the RHR variables were significantly associated with the risk of incident MI events; however, CIs were wide and the MI associations with RHR variables were not significantly different from the mortality associations. Adjusting for additional variables did not affect estimates, and there were no significant interactions with sex. CONCLUSIONS: Variation in RHR over a period of several years represents a potential predictor of long-term mortality among older persons free of cardiovascular disease.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cause of Death; Electrocardiography; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Heart Rate; Humans; Incidence; Linear Models; Male; Myocardial Infarction; Outcome Assessment (Health Care); Prognosis; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Rest; Risk Factors; Time; Washington

Ventricular Ectopy as a Predictor of Heart Failure and Death. - Dukes, Jonathan W; Dewland, Thomas A; Vittinghoff, Eric; Mandyam, Mala C; Heckbert, Susan R; Siscovick, David S; Stein, Phyllis K; Psaty, Bruce M; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Gottdiener, John S; Marcus, Gregory M (J Am Coll Cardiol, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Studies of patients presenting for catheter ablation suggest that premature ventricular contractions (PVCs) are a modifiable risk factor for congestive heart failure (CHF). The relationship among PVC frequency, incident CHF, and mortality in the general population remains unknown. OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to determine whether PVC frequency ascertained using a 24-h Holter monitor is a predictor of a decrease in the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), incident CHF, and death in a population-based cohort. METHODS: We studied 1,139 Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) participants who were randomly assigned to 24-h ambulatory electrocardiography (Holter) monitoring and who had a normal LVEF and no history of CHF. PVC frequency was quantified using Holter studies, and LVEF was measured from baseline and 5-year echocardiograms. Participants were followed for incident CHF and death. RESULTS: Those in the upper quartile versus the lowest quartile of PVC frequency had a multivariable-adjusted, 3-fold greater odds of a 5-year decrease in LVEF (odds ratio [OR]: 3.10; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.42 to 6.77; p = 0.005), a 48% increased risk of incident CHF (HR: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.08 to 2.04; p = 0.02), and a 31% increased risk of death (HR: 1.31; 95% CI: 1.06 to 1.63; p = 0.01) during a median follow-up of >13 years. Similar statistically significant results were observed for PVCs analyzed as a continuous variable. The specificity for the 15-year risk of CHF exceeded 90% when PVCs included at least 0.7% of ventricular beats. The population-level risk for incident CHF attributed to PVCs was 8.1% (95% CI: 1.2% to 14.9%). CONCLUSIONS: In a population-based sample, a higher frequency of PVCs was associated with a decrease in LVEF, an increase in incident CHF, and increased mortality. Because of the capacity to prevent PVCs through medical or ablation therapy, PVCs may represent a modifiable risk factor for CHF and death.
Keywords: Aged; Catheter Ablation; Echocardiography; Electrocardiography, Ambulatory; Female; Forecasting; Heart Failure; Humans; Male; Risk Factors; Stroke Volume; Ventricular Premature Complexes

Voxel Level Survival Analysis of Grey Matter Volume and Incident Mild Cognitive Impairment or Alzheimer's Disease. - Zeifman, Lubov E; Eddy, William F; Lopez, Oscar L; Kuller, Lewis H; Raji, Cyrus; Thompson, Paul M; Becker, James T (J Alzheimers Dis, 2015)
The purpose of this study was to identify, at the voxel level, brain regions associated with the time to develop mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or Alzheimer's disease (AD) from normal cognition. We analyzed incident MCI (n = 58) or AD (n = 151) in 292 cognitively normal participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study-Cognition Study (mean age = 79.2 ± 3.6 years). We used segmented, modulated grey matter maps from 3D (spoiled gradient echo) MRI scans obtained in 1998/99 (with clinical follow-up through 2012) that were smoothed with a 3-D 4 mm Gaussian filter. We fit approximately 1.92 million voxel-level Cox proportional hazard models to examine the grey matter volume effect on time to event, adjusting for age, sex, and diabetes. We used the significance threshold of p <  0.005 with contiguity threshold of at least 68 voxels (false detection probability <2.5×10 -8). Areas within the mesial temporal lobe (MTL), anterior temporal lobe, hippocampus, and posterior cingulate gyrus were associated with time to MCI or AD. The presence of white matter lesions (a marker of small vessel disease in the brain) was associated with the volumes of the MTL and precuneus; MRI-identified infarcts also predicted MTL volume. These findings are important because we identified critical brain regions that predict a person's increased likelihood of developing MCI or AD over a decade prior to the onset of clinical symptoms; these critical brain regions were themselves affected by the presence of vascular disease.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Chi-Square Distribution; Disease Progression; Female; Gray Matter; Humans; Incidence; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Mild Cognitive Impairment; Neuropsychological Tests; Psychiatric Status Rating Scales; Survival Analysis

White Matter Lesion Progression: Genome-Wide Search for Genetic Influences. - Hofer, Edith; Cavalieri, Margherita; Bis, Joshua C; DeCarli, Charles; Fornage, Myriam; Sigurdsson, Sigurdur; Srikanth, Velandai; Trompet, Stella; Verhaaren, Benjamin F J; Wolf, Christiane; Yang, Qiong; Adams, Hieab H H; et al. (Stroke, 2015)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: White matter lesion (WML) progression on magnetic resonance imaging is related to cognitive decline and stroke, but its determinants besides baseline WML burden are largely unknown. Here, we estimated heritability of WML progression, and sought common genetic variants associated with WML progression in elderly participants from the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) consortium. METHODS: Heritability of WML progression was calculated in the Framingham Heart Study. The genome-wide association study included 7773 elderly participants from 10 cohorts. To assess the relative contribution of genetic factors to progression of WML, we compared in 7 cohorts risk models including demographics, vascular risk factors plus single-nucleotide polymorphisms that have been shown to be associated cross-sectionally with WML in the current and previous association studies. RESULTS: A total of 1085 subjects showed WML progression. The heritability estimate for WML progression was low at 6.5%, and no single-nucleotide polymorphisms achieved genome-wide significance (P<5×10(-8)). Four loci were suggestive (P<1×10(-5)) of an association with WML progression: 10q24.32 (rs10883817, P=1.46×10(-6)); 12q13.13 (rs4761974, P=8.71×10(-7)); 20p12.1 (rs6135309, P=3.69×10(-6)); and 4p15.31 (rs7664442, P=2.26×10(-6)). Variants that have been previously related to WML explained only 0.8% to 11.7% more of the variance in WML progression than age, vascular risk factors, and baseline WML burden. CONCLUSIONS: Common genetic factors contribute little to the progression of age-related WML in middle-aged and older adults. Future research on determinants of WML progression should focus more on environmental, lifestyle, or host-related biological factors.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Cohort Studies; Disease Progression; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Leukoencephalopathies; Male; Middle Aged; Prospective Studies; White Matter

Years of able life in older persons--the role of cardiovascular imaging and biomarkers: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Alshawabkeh, Laith I; Yee, Laura M; Gardin, Julius M; Gottdiener, John S; Odden, Michelle C; Bartz, Traci M; Arnold, Alice M; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Wallace, Robert B (J Am Heart Assoc, 2015)
BACKGROUND: As the U.S. population grows older, there is greater need to examine physical independence. Previous studies have assessed risk factors in relation to either disability or mortality, but an outcome that combines both is still needed. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Cardiovascular Health Study is a population-based, prospective study where participants underwent baseline echocardiogram, measurement of carotid intima-media thickness (IMT), and various biomarkers, then followed for up to 18 years. Years of able life (YAL) constituted the number of years the participant was able to perform all activities of daily living. Linear regression was used to model the relationship between selected measures and outcomes, adjusted for confounding variables. Among 4902 participants, mean age was 72.6 ± 5.4 years, median YAL for males was 8.8 (interquartile range [IQR], 4.3 to 13.8) and 10.3 (IQR, 5.8 to 15.8) for females. Reductions in YAL in the fully adjusted model for females and males, respectively, were: -1.34 (95% confidence interval [CI], -2.18, -0.49) and -1.41 (95% CI, -2.03, -0.8) for abnormal left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction, -0.5 (95% CI, -0.78, -0.22) and -0.62 (95% CI, -0.87, -0.36) per SD increase in LV mass, -0.5 (95% CI, -0.7, -0.29) and -0.79 (95% CI, -0.99, -0.58) for IMT, -0.5 (95% CI, -0.64, -0.37) and -0.79 (95% CI, -0.94, -0.65) for N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, -1.08 (95% CI, -1.34, -0.83) and -0.73 (95% CI, -0.97, -0.5) for high-sensitivity troponin-T, and -0.26 (95% CI, -0.42, -0.09) and -0.23 (95% CI, -0.41, -0.05) for procollagen-III N-terminal propeptide. Most tested variables remained significant even after adjusting for incident cardiovascular (CV) disease. CONCLUSIONS: In this population-based cohort, variables obtained by CV imaging and biomarkers of inflammation, coagulation, atherosclerosis, myocardial injury and stress, and cardiac collagen turnover were associated with YAL, an important outcome that integrates physical ability and longevity in older persons.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Biomarkers; Cardiovascular Diseases; Carotid Intima-Media Thickness; Echocardiography; Female; Humans; Independent Living; Male; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain; Peptide Fragments; Procollagen; Prospective Studies; Stroke Volume; Troponin I

-3 Polyunsaturated Fatty Acid Biomarkers and Coronary Heart Disease: Pooling Project of 19 Cohort Studies - Del Gobbo, L. C.; Imamura, F.; Aslibekyan, S.; Marklund, M.; Virtanen, J. K.; Wennberg, M.; Yakoob, M. Y.; Chiuve, S. E.; Dela Cruz, L.; Frazier-Wood, A. C.; Fretts, A. M.; Guallar, E.; et al. (JAMA Intern Med, 2016)
-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids for primary prevention of coronary heart disease (CHD) remains controversial. Most prior longitudinal studies evaluated self-reported consumption rather than biomarkers.\ -3) for incident CHD.\ A global consortium of 19 studies identified by November 2014.\ -3 biomarkers and ascertained CHD.\ -6 levels, and FADS desaturase genes.\ Incident total CHD, fatal CHD, and nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI).\ -3 biomarkers ALA, DPA, and DHA were associated with a lower risk of fatal CHD, with relative risks (RRs) of 0.91 (95% CI, 0.84-0.98) for ALA, 0.90 (95% CI, 0.85-0.96) for DPA, and 0.90 (95% CI, 0.84-0.96) for DHA. Although DPA was associated with a lower risk of total CHD (RR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.90-0.99), ALA (RR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.95-1.05), EPA (RR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.87-1.02), and DHA (RR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.91-1.00) were not. Significant associations with nonfatal MI were not evident. Associations appeared generally stronger in phospholipids and total plasma. Restricted cubic splines did not identify evidence of nonlinearity in dose responses.\ -3 fatty acids are associated with a modestly lower incidence of fatal CHD.

52 Genetic Loci Influencing Myocardial Mass. - van der Harst, Pim; van Setten, Jessica; Verweij, Niek; Vogler, Georg; Franke, Lude; Maurano, Matthew T; Wang, Xinchen; Mateo Leach, Irene; Eijgelsheim, Mark; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Hayward, Caroline; Sorice, Rossella; et al. (J Am Coll Cardiol, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Myocardial mass is a key determinant of cardiac muscle function and hypertrophy. Myocardial depolarization leading to cardiac muscle contraction is reflected by the amplitude and duration of the QRS complex on the electrocardiogram (ECG). Abnormal QRS amplitude or duration reflect changes in myocardial mass and conduction, and are associated with increased risk of heart failure and death. OBJECTIVES: This meta-analysis sought to gain insights into the genetic determinants of myocardial mass. METHODS: We carried out a genome-wide association meta-analysis of 4 QRS traits in up to 73,518 individuals of European ancestry, followed by extensive biological and functional assessment. RESULTS: We identified 52 genomic loci, of which 32 are novel, that are reliably associated with 1 or more QRS phenotypes at p < 1 × 10(-8). These loci are enriched in regions of open chromatin, histone modifications, and transcription factor binding, suggesting that they represent regions of the genome that are actively transcribed in the human heart. Pathway analyses provided evidence that these loci play a role in cardiac hypertrophy. We further highlighted 67 candidate genes at the identified loci that are preferentially expressed in cardiac tissue and associated with cardiac abnormalities in Drosophila melanogaster and Mus musculus. We validated the regulatory function of a novel variant in the SCN5A/SCN10A locus in vitro and in vivo. CONCLUSIONS: Taken together, our findings provide new insights into genes and biological pathways controlling myocardial mass and may help identify novel therapeutic targets.

Agreement between circulating IGF-I, IGFBP-1 and IGFBP-3 levels measured by current assays versus unavailable assays previously used in epidemiological studies. - Aneke-Nash, Chino S; Dominguez-Islas, Clara; Bůzková, Petra; Qi, Qibin; Xue, XiaoNan; Pollak, Michael; Strickler, Howard D; Kaplan, Robert C (Growth Horm IGF Res, 2016)
OBJECTIVE: Levels of insulin-like growth factor (IGF) proteins are associated with the risk of cancer and mortality. IGF assays produced by Diagnostic Systems Laboratories (DSL) were widely used in epidemiological studies, were not calibrated against recommended standards and are no longer commercially available. DESIGN: In a split sample study among 1471 adults participating in the Cardiovascular Health Study, we compared values obtained using DSL assays with alternative assays for serum IGF-I (Immunodiagnostic Systems, IDS), IGFBP-1 (American Laboratory Products Company, ALPCO) and IGFBP-3 (IDS). RESULTS: Results were compared using kernel density estimation plots, quartile analysis with weighted kappa statistics and linear regression models to assess the concordance of data from the different assays. Participants had a mean age of 77years. Results between alternative assays were strongly correlated (IGF-I, r=0.93 for DSL versus IDS; log-IGFBP-1, r=0.90 for DSL versus ALPCO; IGFBP-3, r=0.92 for DSL versus IDS). Cross tabulations showed that participants were usually in the same quartile categories regardless of the assay used (overall agreement, 74% for IGF-I, 64% for IGFBP-1, 71% for IGFBP-3). Weighted kappa also showed substantial agreement between assays (kw, 0.78 for IGF-I, 0.69 for IGFBP-1, 0.76 for IGFBP-3). Regressions of levels obtained with DSL assays (denoted X) to alternative assays were, IGF-I: 0.52X+15.2ng/ml, log-IGFBP-1: 1.01X-1.73ng/ml IGFBP-3: 0.87X+791.1ng/ml. Serum values of IGF-I, IGFBP-1 and IGFBP-3 measured using alternative assays are moderately correlated. CONCLUSIONS: Care is needed in the interpretation of data sets involving IGF analytes if assay methodologies are not uniform.

APOL1 Genotype, Kidney and Cardiovascular Disease, and Death in Older Adults. - Mukamal, Kenneth J; Tremaglio, Joseph; Friedman, David J; Ix, Joachim H; Kuller, Lewis H; Tracy, Russell P; Pollak, Martin R (Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, 2016)
OBJECTIVE: We sought to evaluate the cardiovascular impact of coding variants in the apolipoprotein L1 gene APOL1 that protect against trypanosome infection but have been associated with kidney disease among African Americans. APPROACH AND RESULTS: As part of the Cardiovascular Health Study, a population-based cohort of Americans aged ≥65 years, we genotyped APOL1 polymorphisms rs73885319 and rs71785153 and examined kidney function, subclinical atherosclerosis, and incident cardiovascular disease and death over 13 years of follow-up among 91 African Americans with 2 risk alleles, 707 other African Americans, and 4964 white participants. The high-risk genotype with 2 risk alleles was associated with 2-fold higher levels of albuminuria and lower ankle-brachial indices but similar carotid intima-media thickness among African Americans. Median survival among high-risk African Americans was 9.9 years (95% confidence interval [CI], 8.7-11.9), compared with 13.6 years (95% CI, 12.5-14.3) among other African Americans and 13.3 years (95% CI, 13.0-13.6) among whites (P=0.03). The high-risk genotype was also associated with increased risk for incident myocardial infarction (adjusted hazard ratio 1.8; 95% CI, 1.1-3.0) and mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 1.3; 95% CI 1.0-1.7). Albuminuria and risk for myocardial infarction and mortality were nearly identical between African Americans with 0 to 1 risk alleles and whites. CONCLUSIONS: APOL1 genotype is associated with albuminuria, subclinical atherosclerosis, incident myocardial infarction, and mortality in older African Americans. African Americans without 2 risk alleles do not differ significantly in risk of myocardial infarction or mortality from whites. APOL1 trypanolytic variants may account for a substantial proportion of the excess risk of chronic disease in African Americans.
Keywords: African Americans; Age Factors; Aged; Albuminuria; Apolipoproteins; Atherosclerosis; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cause of Death; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Gene Frequency; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Health Status Disparities; Heterozygote; Homozygote; Humans; Incidence; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Kidney Diseases; Lipoproteins, HDL; Male; Myocardial Infarction; Phenotype; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Time Factors; United States

Association of inflammatory, lipid and mineral markers with cardiac calcification in older adults. - Bortnick, Anna E; Bartz, Traci M; Ix, Joachim H; Chonchol, Michel; Reiner, Alexander; Cushman, Mary; Owens, David; Barasch, Eddy; Siscovick, David S; Gottdiener, John S; Kizer, Jorge R (Heart, 2016)
OBJECTIVE: Calcification of the aortic valve and adjacent structures involves inflammatory, lipid and mineral metabolism pathways. We hypothesised that circulating biomarkers reflecting these pathways are associated with cardiac calcification in older adults. METHODS: We investigated the associations of various biomarkers with valvular and annular calcification in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Of the 5888 participants, up to 3585 were eligible after exclusions for missing biomarker, covariate or echocardiographic data. We evaluated analytes reflecting lipid (lipoprotein (Lp) (a), Lp-associated phospholipase A2 (LpPLA2) mass and activity), inflammatory (interleukin-6, soluble (s) CD14) and mineral metabolism (fetuin-A, fibroblast growth factor (FGF)-23) pathways that were measured within 5 years of echocardiography. The relationships of plasma biomarkers with aortic valve calcification (AVC), aortic annular calcification (AAC) and mitral annular calcification (MAC) were assessed with relative risk (RR) regression. RESULTS: Calcification was prevalent: AVC 59%, AAC 45% and MAC 41%. After adjustment, Lp(a), LpPLA2 mass and activity and sCD14 were positively associated with AVC. RRs for AVC per SD (95% CI) were as follows: Lp(a), 1.051 (1.022 to 1.081); LpPLA2 mass, 1.036 (1.006 to 1.066) and LpPLA2 activity, 1.037 (1.004 to 1.071); sCD14, 1.039 (1.005 to 1.073). FGF-23 was positively associated with MAC, 1.040 (1.004 to 1.078) and fetuin-A was negatively associated, 0.949 (0.911 to 0.989). No biomarkers were significantly associated with AAC. CONCLUSION: This study shows novel associations of circulating FGF-23 and fetuin-A with MAC, and LpPLA2 and sCD14 with AVC, confirming that previously reported for Lp(a). Further investigation of Lp and inflammatory pathways may provide added insight into the aetiology of AVC, while study of phosphate regulation may illuminate the pathogenesis of MAC.

The association of lean and fat mass with all-cause mortality in older adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Spahillari, A; Mukamal, K J; DeFilippi, C; Kizer, J R; Gottdiener, J S; Djoussé, L; Lyles, M F; Bartz, T M; Murthy, V L; Shah, R V (Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis, 2016)
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Understanding contributions of lean and fat tissue to cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality may help clarify areas of prevention in older adults. We aimed to define distributions of lean and fat tissue in older adults and their contributions to cause-specific mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 1335 participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) who underwent dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DEXA) scans were included. We used principal components analysis (PCA) to define two independent sources of variation in DEXA-derived body composition, corresponding to principal components composed of lean ("lean PC") and fat ("fat PC") tissue. We used Cox proportional hazards regression using these PCs to investigate the relationship between body composition with cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality. Mean age was 76.2 ± 4.8 years (56% women) with mean body mass index 27.1 ± 4.4 kg/m(2). A greater lean PC was associated with lower all-cause (HR = 0.91, 95% CI 0.84-0.98, P = 0.01) and cardiovascular mortality (HR = 0.84, 95% CI 0.74-0.95, P = 0.005). The lowest quartile of the fat PC (least adiposity) was associated with a greater hazard of all-cause mortality (HR = 1.24, 95% CI 1.04-1.48, P = 0.02) relative to fat PCs between the 25th-75th percentile, but the highest quartile did not have a significantly greater hazard (P = 0.70). CONCLUSION: Greater lean tissue mass is associated with improved cardiovascular and overall mortality in the elderly. The lowest levels of fat tissue mass are linked with adverse prognosis, but the highest levels show no significant mortality protection. Prevention efforts in the elderly frail may be best targeted toward improvements in lean muscle mass.

Association of Smoking, Alcohol, and Obesity with Cardiovascular Death and Ischemic Stroke in Atrial Fibrillation: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study and Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). - Kwon, Younghoon; Norby, Faye L; Jensen, Paul N; Agarwal, Sunil K; Soliman, Elsayed Z; Lip, Gregory Y H; Longstreth, W T; Alonso, Alvaro; Heckbert, Susan R; Chen, Lin Y (PLoS One, 2016)
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke and cardiovascular (CV) death. Whether modifiable lifestyle risk factors are associated with these CV outcomes in AF is unknown. Among Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) participants with incident AF, we estimated the risk of composite endpoint of ischemic stroke or CV death associated with candidate modifiable risk factor (smoking, heavy alcohol consumption, or high body mass index [BMI]), and computed the C-statistic, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) of incorporating each factor into the CHA2DS2-VASc. Among 1222 ARIC (mean age: 63.4) and 756 CHS (mean age: 79.1) participants with incident AF, during mean follow-up of 6.9 years and 5.7 years, there were 332 and 335 composite events respectively. Compared with never smokers, current smokers had a higher incidence of the composite endpoint in ARIC [HR: 1.65 (1.21-2.26)] but not in CHS [HR: 1.05 (0.69-1.61)]. In ARIC, the addition of current smoking did not improve risk prediction over and above the CHA2DS2-VASc. No significant associations were observed with alcohol consumption or BMI with CVD outcomes in AF patients from either cohort. Smoking is associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke or CV death in ARIC, which comprised mostly middle-aged to young-old (65-74 years), but not in CHS, which comprised mostly middle-old or oldest-old (≥75 years) adults with AF. However, addition of smoking to the CHA2DS2-VASc score did not improve risk prediction of these outcomes.
Keywords: Aged; Alcohol Drinking; Atrial Fibrillation; Cardiovascular Diseases; Female; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Obesity; Smoking; Stroke

Association of the IGF1 gene with fasting insulin levels. - Willems, Sara M; Cornes, Belinda K; Brody, Jennifer A; Morrison, Alanna C; Lipovich, Leonard; Dauriz, Marco; Chen, Yuning; Liu, Ching-Ti; Rybin, Denis V; Gibbs, Richard A; Muzny, Donna; Pankow, James S; et al. (Eur J Hum Genet, 2016)
Insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-I) has been associated with insulin resistance. Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of fasting insulin (FI) identified single-nucleotide variants (SNVs) near the IGF1 gene, raising two hypotheses: (1) these associations are mediated by IGF-I levels and (2) these noncoding variants either tag other functional variants in the region or are directly functional. In our study, analyses including 5141 individuals from population-based cohorts suggest that FI associations near IGF1 are not mediated by IGF-I. Analyses of targeted sequencing data in 3539 individuals reveal a large number of novel rare variants at the IGF1 locus and show a FI association with a subset of rare nonsynonymous variants (PSKAT=5.7 × 10(-4)). Conditional analyses suggest that this association is partly explained by the GWAS signal and the presence of a residual independent rare variant effect (Pconditional=0.019). Annotation using ENCODE data suggests that the GWAS variants may have a direct functional role in insulin biology. In conclusion, our study provides insight into variation present at the IGF1 locus and into the genetic architecture underlying FI levels, suggesting that FI associations of SNVs near IGF1 are not mediated by IGF-I and suggesting a role for both rare nonsynonymous and common functional variants in insulin biology.

Associations of insulin resistance, inflammation and liver synthetic function with very low-density lipoprotein: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Jiang, Z Gordon; de Boer, Ian H; Mackey, Rachel H; Jensen, Majken K; Lai, Michelle; Robson, Simon C; Tracy, Russell; Kuller, Lewis H; Mukamal, Kenneth J (Metabolism, 2016)
INTRODUCTION: Production of very low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) is increased in states of metabolic syndrome, leading to hypertriglyceridemia. However, metabolic syndrome is often associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, which leads to liver fibrosis and inflammation that may decrease VLDL production. In this study, we aim to determine the interactive impact on VLDL profiles from insulin resistance, impairment in liver synthetic function and inflammation. METHODS: We examined cross-sectional associations of insulin sensitivity, inflammation, and liver synthetic function with VLDL particle (VLDL-P) concentration and size among 1,850 older adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study. RESULTS: Indices for high insulin sensitivity and low liver synthetic function were associated with lower concentrations of VLDL-P. In addition, insulin resistance preferentially increased concentration of large VLDL and was associated with mean VLDL size. Indices for inflammation however demonstrated a nonlinear relationship with both VLDL-P concentration and VLDL size. When mutually adjusted, one standard deviation (SD) increment in Matsuda index and C-reactive protein (CRP) were associated with 4.9 nmol/L (-8.2 to -1.5, p=0.005) and 6.3 nmol/L (-11.0 to -1.6, p=0.009) lower VLDL-P concentration respectively. In contrast, one-SD increment in factor VII, a marker for liver synthetic function, was associated with 16.9 nmol/L (12.6-21.2, p<0.001) higher VLDL-P concentration. Furthermore, a one-SD increment in the Matsuda index was associated with 1.1 nm (-2.0 to -0.3, p=0.006) smaller mean VLDL size, whereas CRP and factor VII were not associated with VLDL size. CONCLUSION: Insulin sensitivity, inflammation and markers for liver synthetic function differentially impact VLDL-P concentration and VLDL size. These results underscore the complex effects of insulin resistance and its complications on VLDL production.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; C-Reactive Protein; Cross-Sectional Studies; Factor VII; Female; Humans; Inflammation; Insulin Resistance; Lipoproteins, VLDL; Liver; Liver Function Tests; Male; Risk Factors; Socioeconomic Factors

Associations of Plasma Phospholipid SFAs with Total and Cause-Specific Mortality in Older Adults Differ According to SFA Chain Length. - Fretts, Amanda M; Mozaffarian, Dariush; Siscovick, David S; King, Irena B; McKnight, Barbara; Psaty, Bruce M; Rimm, Eric B; Sitlani, Colleen; Sacks, Frank M; Song, Xiaoling; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Spiegelman, Donna; et al. (J Nutr, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Not much is known about the relations of circulating saturated fatty acids (SFAs), which are influenced by both metabolic and dietary determinants, with total and cause-specific mortality. OBJECTIVE: We examined the associations of plasma phospholipid SFAs with total and cause-specific mortality among 3941 older adults from the Cardiovascular Health Study, a population-based prospective study of adults aged ≥65 y who were followed from 1992 through 2011. METHODS: The relations of total and cause-specific mortality with plasma phospholipid palmitic acid (16:0), stearic acid (18:0), arachidic acid (20:0), behenic acid (22:0), and lignoceric acid (24:0) were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: During 45,450 person-years of follow-up, 3134 deaths occurred. Higher concentrations of the plasma phospholipid SFAs 18:0, 22:0, and 24:0 were associated with a lower risk of total mortality [multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CIs)] for the top compared with the bottom quintile: 0.85 (0.75, 0.95) for 18:0; 0.85 (0.75, 0.95) for 22:0; and 0.80 (0.71, 0.90) for 24:0. In contrast, plasma 16:0 concentrations in the highest quintile were associated with a higher risk of total mortality compared with concentrations in the lowest quintile [1.25 (1.11, 1.41)]. We also found no association of plasma phospholipid 20:0 with total mortality. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that the associations of plasma phospholipid SFAs with the risk of death differ according to SFA chain length and support future studies to better characterize the determinants of circulating SFAs and to explore the mechanisms underlying these relations.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cause of Death; Diet; Dietary Fats; Eicosanoic Acids; Fatty Acids; Female; Humans; Male; Mortality; Palmitic Acid; Phospholipids; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Stearic Acids

Body size measures, hemostatic and inflammatory markers and risk of venous thrombosis: The Longitudinal Investigation of Thromboembolism Etiology. - Cushman, Mary; O'Meara, Ellen S; Heckbert, Susan R; Zakai, Neil A; Rosamond, Wayne; Folsom, Aaron R (Thromb Res, 2016)
OBJECTIVE: Obesity is an important venous thrombosis (VT) risk factor but the reasons for this are unclear. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In a cohort of 20,914 individuals aged 45 and older without prior VT, we calculated the relative risk (RR) of VT over 12.6years follow-up according to baseline body size measures, and studied whether associations were mediated by biomarkers of hemostasis and inflammation that are related to adiposity. RESULTS: Greater levels of all body size measures (weight, height, waist, hip circumference, calf circumference, body-mass index, waist-hip ratio, fat mass and fat-free mass) were associated with increased risk of VT, with 4th versus 1st quartile RRs of 1.5-3.0. There were no multiplicative interactions of biomarkers with obesity status. Adjustment for biomarkers associated with VT risk and body size (factors VII and VIII, von Willebrand factor, partial thromboplastin time, D-dimer, C-reactive protein and factor XI) only marginally lowered, or did not impact, the RRs associated with body size measures. CONCLUSIONS: Greater body size, by multiple measures, is a risk factor for VT. Associations were not mediated by circulating levels of studied biomarkers suggesting that body size relates to VT because of physical factors associated with blood flow, not the hypercoagulability or inflammation associated with adiposity.

Brain natriuretic peptide and insulin resistance in older adults. - Kim, F; Biggs, M L; Kizer, J R; Brutsaert, E F; de Fillipi, C; Newman, A B; Kronmal, R A; Tracy, R P; Gottdiener, J S; Djoussé, L; de Boer, I H; Psaty, B M; et al. (Diabet Med, 2016)
AIMS: Higher levels of brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) have been associated with a decreased risk of diabetes in adults, but whether BNP is related to insulin resistance in older adults has not been established. METHODS: N-Terminal (NT)-proBNP was measured among Cardiovascular Health Study participants at the 1989-1990, 1992-1993 and 1996-1997 examinations. We calculated measures of insulin resistance [homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), quantitative insulin sensitivity check index (QUICKI), Gutt index, Matsuda index] from fasting and 2-h concentrations of glucose and insulin among 3318 individuals with at least one measure of NT-proBNP and free of heart failure, coronary heart disease and chronic kidney disease, and not taking diabetes medication. We used generalized estimating equations to assess the cross-sectional association of NT-proBNP with measures of insulin resistance. Instrumental variable analysis with an allele score derived from nine genetic variants (single nucleotide polymorphisms) within or near the NPPA and NPPB loci was used to estimate an un-confounded association of NT-proBNP levels on insulin resistance. RESULTS: Lower NT-proBNP levels were associated with higher insulin resistance even after adjustment for BMI, waist circumference and other risk factors (P < 0.001 for all four indices). Although the genetic score was strongly related to measured NT-proBNP levels amongst European Americans (F statistic = 71.08), we observed no association of genetically determined NT-proBNP with insulin resistance (P = 0.38; P = 0.01 for comparison with the association of measured levels of NT-proBNP). CONCLUSIONS: In older adults, lower NT-proBNP is associated with higher insulin resistance, even after adjustment for traditional risk factors. Because related genetic variants were not associated with insulin resistance, the causal nature of this association will require future study. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Can a Healthy Lifestyle Compress the Disabled Period in Older Adults? - Jacob, Mini E; Yee, Laura M; Diehr, Paula H; Arnold, Alice M; Thielke, Stephen M; Chaves, Paulo H M; Gobbo, Liana Del; Hirsch, Calvin; Siscovick, David; Newman, Anne B (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2016)
OBJECTIVES: To determine whether lifestyle factors, measured late in life, could compress the disabled period toward the end of life. DESIGN: Community-based cohort study of older adults followed from 1989 to 2015. SETTING: Four U.S. communities. PARTICIPANTS: Community-living men and women aged 65 and older (N = 5,248, mean age 72.7 ± 5.5, 57% female, 15.2% minority) who were not wheelchair dependent and were able to give informed consent at baseline. MEASUREMENTS: Multiple lifestyle factors, including smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, diet, body mass index (BMI), social networks, and social support, were measured at baseline. Activities of daily living (ADLs) were assessed at baseline and throughout follow-up. Years of life (YoL) was defined as years until death. Years of able life (YAL) was defined as years without any ADL difficulty. YAL/YoL%, the proportion of life lived able, was used to indicate the relative compression or expansion of the disabled period. RESULTS: The average duration of disabled years was 4.5 (out of 15.4 mean YoL) for women and 2.9 (out of 12.4 mean YoL) for men. In a multivariable model, obesity was associated with 7.3 percentage points (95% confidence interval (CI) = 5.4-9.2) lower YAL/YoL% than normal weight. Scores in the lowest quintile of the Alternate Healthy Eating Index were associated with a 3.7% (95% CI = 1.6-5.9) lower YAL/YoL% than scores in the highest quintile. Every 25 blocks walked in a week was associated with 0.5 percentage points (95% CI = 0.3-0.8) higher YAL/YoL%. CONCLUSION: The effects of healthy lifestyle factors on the proportion of future life lived free of disability indicate that the disabled period can be compressed, given the right combination of these factors.

Cardiovascular Disease, Mortality Risk, and Healthcare Costs by Lipoprotein(a) Levels According to Low-density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Levels in Older High-risk Adults. - Zhao, Yanglu; Delaney, Joseph A; Quek, Ruben G W; Gardin, Julius M; Hirsch, Calvin H; Gandra, Shravanthi R; Wong, Nathan D (Clin Cardiol, 2016)
BACKGROUND: The value of lipoprotein(a) (Lp[a]) for predicting cardiovascular disease (CVD) across low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is uncertain. HYPOTHESIS: In older high-risk adults, higher LDL and Lp(a) combined would be associated with higher CVD risk and more healthcare costs. METHODS: We included 3251 high-risk subjects (prior CVD, diabetes, or 10-year Framingham CVD risk >20%) age ≥65 years from the Cardiovascular Health Study and examined the relation of Lp(a) tertiles with incident CVD, coronary heart disease (CHD), and all-cause mortality within LDL-C strata (spanning <70 mg/dL to ≥160 mg/dL). We also examined 1-year all-cause and CVD healthcare costs from Medicare claims. RESULTS: Over a 22.5-year follow-up, higher Lp(a) levels predicted CVD and total mortality (both standardized hazard ratio [HR]: 1.06, P < 0.01), whereas higher LDL-C levels predicted higher CHD (standardized HR: 1.09, P < 0.01) but lower total mortality (standardized HR: 0.94, P < 0.001). Adjusted HRs in the highest (vs lowest) tertile of Lp(a) level were 1.95 (P = 0.06) for CVD events and 2.68 (P = 0.03) for CHD events when LDL-C was <70 mg/dL. One-year all-cause healthcare costs were increased for Lp(a) ($771 per SD of 56 µg/mL [P = 0.03], $1976 for Lp(a) 25-64 µg/mL vs <25 µg/mL [P = 0.02], and $1648 for Lp(a) ≥65 µg/mL vs <25 µg/mL [P = 0.054]) but not LDL-C. CONCLUSIONS: In older high-risk adults, increased Lp(a) levels were associated with higher CVD risk, especially in those with LDL-C <70 mg/dL, and with higher healthcare costs.

Changes in Depressive Symptoms and Subsequent Risk of Stroke in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Gilsanz, Paola; Kubzansky, Laura D; Tchetgen Tchetgen, Eric J; Wang, Qianyi; Kawachi, Ichiro; Patton, Kristen K; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Kop, Willem J; Longstreth, W T; Glymour, M Maria (Stroke, 2016)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Depression is associated with stroke, but the effects of changes in depressive symptoms on stroke risk are not well understood. This study examined whether depressive symptom changes across 2 successive annual assessments were associated with incident stroke the following year. METHODS: We used visit data from 4319 participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study who were stroke free at baseline to examine whether changes in depressive symptoms classified across 2 consecutive annual assessments predicted incident first stroke during the subsequent year. Depressive symptoms were assessed using the 10-item Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale (high versus low at ≥10). Survival models were inverse probability weighted to adjust for demographics, health behaviors, medical conditions, past depressive symptoms, censoring, and survival. RESULTS: During follow-up, 334 strokes occurred. Relative to stable low scores of depressive symptoms, improved depression symptoms were associated with almost no excess risk of stroke (adjusted hazards ratio, 1.02; 95% confidence interval, 0.66-1.58). New-onset symptoms were nonsignificantly associated with elevated stroke risk (adjusted hazards ratio, 1.44; 95% confidence interval, 0.97-2.14), whereas persistently high depressive symptoms were associated with elevated adjusted hazard of all-cause stroke (adjusted hazards ratio, 1.65; 95% confidence interval, 1.06-2.56). No evidence for effect modification by race, age, or sex was found. CONCLUSIONS: Persistently high symptoms of depression predicted elevated hazard of stroke. Participants with improved depressive symptoms had no elevation in stroke risk. Such findings suggest that strategies to reduce depressive symptoms may ameliorate stroke risk.

Common variants in DRD2 are associated with sleep duration: the CARe consortium. - Cade, Brian E; Gottlieb, Daniel J; Lauderdale, Diane S; Bennett, David A; Buchman, Aron S; Buxbaum, Sarah G; De Jager, Philip L; Evans, Daniel S; Fulop, Tibor; Gharib, Sina A; Johnson, W Craig; Kim, Hyun; et al. (Hum Mol Genet, 2016)
Sleep duration is implicated in the etiologies of chronic diseases and premature mortality. However, the genetic basis for sleep duration is poorly defined. We sought to identify novel genetic components influencing sleep duration in a multi-ethnic sample. Meta-analyses were conducted of genetic associations with self-reported, habitual sleep duration from seven Candidate Gene Association Resource (CARe) cohorts of over 25 000 individuals of African, Asian, European and Hispanic American ancestry. All individuals were genotyped for ∼50 000 SNPs from 2000 candidate heart, lung, blood and sleep genes. African-Americans had additional genome-wide genotypes. Four cohorts provided replication. A SNP (rs17601612) in the dopamine D2 receptor gene (DRD2) was significantly associated with sleep duration (P = 9.8 × 10(-7)). Conditional analysis identified a second DRD2 signal with opposite effects on sleep duration. In exploratory analysis, suggestive association was observed for rs17601612 with polysomnographically determined sleep latency (P = 0.002). The lead DRD2 signal was recently identified in a schizophrenia GWAS, and a genetic risk score of 11 additional schizophrenia GWAS loci genotyped on the IBC array was also associated with longer sleep duration (P = 0.03). These findings support a role for DRD2 in influencing sleep duration. Our work motivates future pharmocogenetics research on alerting agents such as caffeine and modafinil that interact with the dopaminergic pathway and further investigation of genetic overlap between sleep and neuro-psychiatric traits.
Keywords: Cohort Studies; Ethnic Groups; Humans; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Polysomnography; Receptors, Dopamine D2; Sleep; Time Factors

Consumption of Caffeinated Products and Cardiac Ectopy. - Dixit, Shalini; Stein, Phyllis K; Dewland, Thomas A; Dukes, Jonathan W; Vittinghoff, Eric; Heckbert, Susan R; Marcus, Gregory M (J Am Heart Assoc, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Premature cardiac contractions are associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Though experts associate premature atrial contractions (PACs) and premature ventricular contractions (PVCs) with caffeine, there are no data to support this relationship in the general population. As certain caffeinated products may have cardiovascular benefits, recommendations against them may be detrimental. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied Cardiovascular Health Study participants with a baseline food frequency assessment, 24-hour ambulatory electrocardiography (Holter) monitoring, and without persistent atrial fibrillation. Frequencies of habitual coffee, tea, and chocolate consumption were assessed using a picture-sort food frequency survey. The main outcomes were PACs/h and PVCs/hour. Among 1388 participants (46% male, mean age 72 years), 840 (61%) consumed ≥1 caffeinated product per day. The median numbers of PACs and PVCs/h and interquartile ranges were 3 (1-12) and 1 (0-7), respectively. There were no differences in the number of PACs or PVCs/h across levels of coffee, tea, and chocolate consumption. After adjustment for potential confounders, more frequent consumption of these products was not associated with ectopy. In examining combined dietary intake of coffee, tea, and chocolate as a continuous measure, no relationships were observed after multivariable adjustment: 0.48% fewer PACs/h (95% CI -4.60 to 3.64) and 2.87% fewer PVCs/h (95% CI -8.18 to 2.43) per 1-serving/week increase in consumption. CONCLUSIONS: In the largest study to evaluate dietary patterns and quantify cardiac ectopy using 24-hour Holter monitoring, we found no relationship between chronic consumption of caffeinated products and ectopy.

Development and Validation of a Sudden Cardiac Death Prediction Model for the General Population. - Deo, Rajat; Norby, Faye L; Katz, Ronit; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Adabag, Selcuk; deFilippi, Christopher R; Kestenbaum, Bryan; Chen, Lin Y; Heckbert, Susan R; Folsom, Aaron R; Kronmal, Richard A; Konety, Suma; et al. (Circulation, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Most sudden cardiac death (SCD) events occur in the general population among persons who do not have any prior history of clinical heart disease. We sought to develop a predictive model of SCD among US adults. METHODS: We evaluated a series of demographic, clinical, laboratory, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic measures in participants in the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) (n=13 677) and the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study) (n=4207) who were free of baseline cardiovascular disease. Our initial objective was to derive a SCD prediction model using the ARIC cohort and validate it in CHS. Independent risk factors for SCD were first identified in the ARIC cohort to derive a 10-year risk model of SCD. We compared the prediction of SCD with non-SCD and all-cause mortality in both the derivation and validation cohorts. Furthermore, we evaluated whether the SCD prediction equation was better at predicting SCD than the 2013 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Cardiovascular Disease Pooled Cohort risk equation. RESULTS: There were a total of 345 adjudicated SCD events in our analyses, and the 12 independent risk factors in the ARIC study included age, male sex, black race, current smoking, systolic blood pressure, use of antihypertensive medication, diabetes mellitus, serum potassium, serum albumin, high-density lipoprotein, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and QTc interval. During a 10-year follow-up period, a model combining these risk factors showed good to excellent discrimination for SCD risk (c-statistic 0.820 in ARIC and 0.745 in CHS). The SCD prediction model was slightly better in predicting SCD than the 2013 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Pooled Cohort risk equations (c-statistic 0.808 in ARIC and 0.743 in CHS). Only the SCD prediction model, however, demonstrated similar and accurate prediction for SCD using both the original, uncalibrated score and the recalibrated equation. Finally, in the echocardiographic subcohort, a left ventricular ejection fraction <50% was present in only 1.1% of participants and did not enhance SCD prediction. CONCLUSIONS: Our study is the first to derive and validate a generalizable risk score that provides well-calibrated, absolute risk estimates across different risk strata in an adult population of white and black participants without a clinical diagnosis of cardiovascular disease.

Diabetes mellitus and venous thromboembolism: A systematic review and meta-analysis. - Bell, Elizabeth J; Folsom, Aaron R; Lutsey, Pamela L; Selvin, Elizabeth; Zakai, Neil A; Cushman, Mary; Alonso, Alvaro (Diabetes Res Clin Pract, 2016)
UNLABELLED: Diabetes mellitus (DM) may be a risk factor for venous thromboembolism (VTE) but results are inconsistent. AIM: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of epidemiologic studies to quantify the association between DM and VTE. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included studies identified in PubMed, Web of Science, and CINAHL through 07/31/2014. We identified 19 studies that met our selection criteria. We pooled RRs using a random-effects model: the pooled RR for the association of DM with VTE was 1.10 (95% CI: 0.94-1.29). Between-study heterogeneity was explored with a forest plot, funnel plot, meta-regression, and a stratified analysis. Between-study heterogeneity was observed and not explained by study design, method of DM assessment, or degree of adjustment for confounding. Sensitivity analyses omitted one study at a time to assess the influence of any single study on the pooled estimate. These analyses indicated that one large study was highly influential; when this study was excluded, the pooled estimate increased and just reached statistical significance: 1.16 (95% CI: 1.01-1.34). CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis suggests either no association or a modest positive one between DM and VTE in the general population. DM is unlikely to play a major role in VTE development.

Diagnostic Yield and Clinical Utility of Sequencing Familial Hypercholesterolemia Genes in Patients With Severe Hypercholesterolemia. - Khera, Amit V; Won, Hong-Hee; Peloso, Gina M; Lawson, Kim S; Bartz, Traci M; Deng, Xuan; van Leeuwen, Elisabeth M; Natarajan, Pradeep; Emdin, Connor A; Bick, Alexander G; Morrison, Alanna C; Brody, Jennifer A; et al. (J Am Coll Cardiol, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Approximately 7% of American adults have severe hypercholesterolemia (untreated low-density lipoprotein [LDL] cholesterol ≥190 mg/dl), which may be due to familial hypercholesterolemia (FH). Lifelong LDL cholesterol elevations in FH mutation carriers may confer coronary artery disease (CAD) risk beyond that captured by a single LDL cholesterol measurement. OBJECTIVES: This study assessed the prevalence of an FH mutation among those with severe hypercholesterolemia and determined whether CAD risk varies according to mutation status beyond the observed LDL cholesterol level. METHODS: Three genes causative for FH (LDLR, APOB, and PCSK9) were sequenced in 26,025 participants from 7 case-control studies (5,540 CAD case subjects, 8,577 CAD-free control subjects) and 5 prospective cohort studies (11,908 participants). FH mutations included loss-of-function variants in LDLR, missense mutations in LDLR predicted to be damaging, and variants linked to FH in ClinVar, a clinical genetics database. RESULTS: Among 20,485 CAD-free control and prospective cohort participants, 1,386 (6.7%) had LDL cholesterol ≥190 mg/dl; of these, only 24 (1.7%) carried an FH mutation. Within any stratum of observed LDL cholesterol, risk of CAD was higher among FH mutation carriers than noncarriers. Compared with a reference group with LDL cholesterol <130 mg/dl and no mutation, participants with LDL cholesterol ≥190 mg/dl and no FH mutation had a 6-fold higher risk for CAD (odds ratio: 6.0; 95% confidence interval: 5.2 to 6.9), whereas those with both LDL cholesterol ≥190 mg/dl and an FH mutation demonstrated a 22-fold increased risk (odds ratio: 22.3; 95% confidence interval: 10.7 to 53.2). In an analysis of participants with serial lipid measurements over many years, FH mutation carriers had higher cumulative exposure to LDL cholesterol than noncarriers. CONCLUSIONS: Among participants with LDL cholesterol ≥190 mg/dl, gene sequencing identified an FH mutation in <2%. However, for any observed LDL cholesterol, FH mutation carriers had substantially increased risk for CAD.

Digit Symbol Substitution test and future clinical and subclinical disorders of cognition, mobility and mood in older adults. - Rosano, Caterina; Perera, Subashan; Inzitari, Marco; Newman, Anne B; Longstreth, William T; Studenski, Stephanie (Age Ageing, 2016)
OBJECTIVE: to examine whether psychomotor speed predicts individual and combined disorders in cognition, mobility and mood and if white matter hyperintensities explain these associations. DESIGN AND SETTING: longitudinal; Cardiovascular Health Study. SUBJECTS: 5,888 participants (57.6% women, 15.7% black, 75.1 (5.5), mean years (SD)). METHODS: psychomotor speed (Digit Symbol Substitution Test (DSST)) and small vessel disease (white matter hyperintensities (WMH)) were measured in 1992-94. Global cognition (Modified Mini-Mental State (3MS) examination), mobility (gait speed (GS)) and mood (Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression (CES-D) scale) were measured annually over 5 years and classified as clinical, subclinical or no disorders based on established values (3MS: 80 and 85 points; GS: 0.6 and 1.0 m/s; CES-D: 10 and 5 points). Analyses were adjusted for demographics, baseline status, education, diabetes, hypertension, ankle-arm index. RESULTS: among those with no disorder in cognition, mobility and mood (N = 619) in 1992-94, being in the lowest DSST quartile compared to the highest was associated with nearly twice the odds of developing 1+ clinical or subclinical disorders (N = 413) during follow-up. Associations were stronger for incident clinical disorders in cognition (OR: 8.44, p < 0.01) or mobility (OR: 9.09, p < 0.05) than for mood (OR: 1.88, p < 0.10). Results were similar after adjustment for WMH. CONCLUSIONS: slower psychomotor speed may serve as a biomarker of risk of clinical disorders of cognition, mobility and mood. While in part attributable to vascular brain disease, other potentially modifiable contributors may be present. Further studying the causes of psychomotor slowing with ageing might provide novel insights into age-related brain disorders.

Discovery of Genetic Variation on Chromosome 5q22 Associated with Mortality in Heart Failure. - Smith, J Gustav; Felix, Janine F; Morrison, Alanna C; Kalogeropoulos, Andreas; Trompet, Stella; Wilk, Jemma B; Gidlöf, Olof; Wang, Xinchen; Morley, Michael; Mendelson, Michael; Joehanes, Roby; Ligthart, Symen; et al. (PLoS Genet, 2016)
Failure of the human heart to maintain sufficient output of blood for the demands of the body, heart failure, is a common condition with high mortality even with modern therapeutic alternatives. To identify molecular determinants of mortality in patients with new-onset heart failure, we performed a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies and follow-up genotyping in independent populations. We identified and replicated an association for a genetic variant on chromosome 5q22 with 36% increased risk of death in subjects with heart failure (rs9885413, P = 2.7x10-9). We provide evidence from reporter gene assays, computational predictions and epigenomic marks that this polymorphism increases activity of an enhancer region active in multiple human tissues. The polymorphism was further reproducibly associated with a DNA methylation signature in whole blood (P = 4.5x10-40) that also associated with allergic sensitization and expression in blood of the cytokine TSLP (P = 1.1x10-4). Knockdown of the transcription factor predicted to bind the enhancer region (NHLH1) in a human cell line (HEK293) expressing NHLH1 resulted in lower TSLP expression. In addition, we observed evidence of recent positive selection acting on the risk allele in populations of African descent. Our findings provide novel genetic leads to factors that influence mortality in patients with heart failure.

A DNA methylation biomarker of alcohol consumption. - Liu, C; Marioni, R E; Hedman, Å K; Pfeiffer, L; Tsai, P-C; Reynolds, L M; Just, A C; Duan, Q; Boer, C G; Tanaka, T; Elks, C E; Aslibekyan, S; et al. (Mol Psychiatry, 2016)
The lack of reliable measures of alcohol intake is a major obstacle to the diagnosis and treatment of alcohol-related diseases. Epigenetic modifications such as DNA methylation may provide novel biomarkers of alcohol use. To examine this possibility, we performed an epigenome-wide association study of methylation of cytosine-phosphate-guanine dinucleotide (CpG) sites in relation to alcohol intake in 13 population-based cohorts (ntotal=13 317; 54% women; mean age across cohorts 42-76 years) using whole blood (9643 European and 2423 African ancestries) or monocyte-derived DNA (588 European, 263 African and 400 Hispanic ancestry) samples. We performed meta-analysis and variable selection in whole-blood samples of people of European ancestry (n=6926) and identified 144 CpGs that provided substantial discrimination (area under the curve=0.90-0.99) for current heavy alcohol intake (⩾42 g per day in men and ⩾28 g per day in women) in four replication cohorts. The ancestry-stratified meta-analysis in whole blood identified 328 (9643 European ancestry samples) and 165 (2423 African ancestry samples) alcohol-related CpGs at Bonferroni-adjusted P<1 × 10(-7). Analysis of the monocyte-derived DNA (n=1251) identified 62 alcohol-related CpGs at P<1 × 10(-7). In whole-blood samples of people of European ancestry, we detected differential methylation in two neurotransmitter receptor genes, the γ-Aminobutyric acid-A receptor delta and γ-aminobutyric acid B receptor subunit 1; their differential methylation was associated with expression levels of a number of genes involved in immune function. In conclusion, we have identified a robust alcohol-related DNA methylation signature and shown the potential utility of DNA methylation as a clinically useful diagnostic test to detect current heavy alcohol consumption.Molecular Psychiatry advance online publication, 15 November 2016; doi:10.1038/mp.2016.192.

DNA methylation signatures of chronic low-grade inflammation are associated with complex diseases. - Ligthart, Symen; Marzi, Carola; Aslibekyan, Stella; Mendelson, Michael M; Conneely, Karen N; Tanaka, Toshiko; Colicino, Elena; Waite, Lindsay L; Joehanes, Roby; Guan, Weihua; Brody, Jennifer A; Elks, Cathy; et al. (Genome Biol, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Chronic low-grade inflammation reflects a subclinical immune response implicated in the pathogenesis of complex diseases. Identifying genetic loci where DNA methylation is associated with chronic low-grade inflammation may reveal novel pathways or therapeutic targets for inflammation. RESULTS: We performed a meta-analysis of epigenome-wide association studies (EWAS) of serum C-reactive protein (CRP), which is a sensitive marker of low-grade inflammation, in a large European population (n = 8863) and trans-ethnic replication in African Americans (n = 4111). We found differential methylation at 218 CpG sites to be associated with CRP (P < 1.15 × 10(-7)) in the discovery panel of European ancestry and replicated (P < 2.29 × 10(-4)) 58 CpG sites (45 unique loci) among African Americans. To further characterize the molecular and clinical relevance of the findings, we examined the association with gene expression, genetic sequence variants, and clinical outcomes. DNA methylation at nine (16%) CpG sites was associated with whole blood gene expression in cis (P < 8.47 × 10(-5)), ten (17%) CpG sites were associated with a nearby genetic variant (P < 2.50 × 10(-3)), and 51 (88%) were also associated with at least one related cardiometabolic entity (P < 9.58 × 10(-5)). An additive weighted score of replicated CpG sites accounted for up to 6% inter-individual variation (R2) of age-adjusted and sex-adjusted CRP, independent of known CRP-related genetic variants. CONCLUSION: We have completed an EWAS of chronic low-grade inflammation and identified many novel genetic loci underlying inflammation that may serve as targets for the development of novel therapeutic interventions for inflammation.

Dyspnea in Community-Dwelling Older Persons: A Multifactorial Geriatric Health Condition. - Miner, Brienne; Tinetti, Mary E; Van Ness, Peter H; Han, Ling; Leo-Summers, Linda; Newman, Anne B; Lee, Patty J; Vaz Fragoso, Carlos A (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2016)
OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the associations between a broad array of cardiorespiratory and noncardiorespiratory impairments and dyspnea in older persons. DESIGN: Cross-sectional. SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study. PARTICIPANTS: Community-dwelling persons (N = 4,413; mean age 72.6, 57.1% female, 4.5% African American, 27.2% <high school education, 54.7% ever-smokers). MEASUREMENTS: Dyspnea severity (moderate to severe defined as American Thoracic Society Grade ≥2) and several impairments, including those established using spirometry (forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1 )), maximal inspiratory pressure (respiratory muscle strength), echocardiography, ankle-brachial index, blood pressure, whole-body muscle mass (bioelectrical impedance), single chair stand (lower extremity function), grip strength, serum hemoglobin and creatinine, Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D), Mini-Mental State Examination, medication use, and body mass index (BMI). RESULTS: In a multivariable logistic regression model, impairments that had strong associations with moderate to severe dyspnea were FEV1 less than the lower limit of normal (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 2.88, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.37-3.49), left ventricular ejection fraction less than 45% (aOR = 2.12, 95% CI = 1.43, 3.16), unable to perform a single chair stand (aOR = 2.10, 95% CI = 1.61-2.73), depressive symptoms (CES-D score ≥16; aOR = 2.02, 95% CI = 1.26-3.23), and obesity (BMI ≥30; aOR = 2.07, 95% CI = 1.67-2.55). Impairments with modest but still statistically significant associations with moderate to severe dyspnea included respiratory muscle weakness, diastolic cardiac dysfunction, grip weakness, anxiety symptoms, and use of cardiovascular and psychoactive medications (aORs = 1.31-1.71). CONCLUSION: In community-dwelling older persons, several cardiorespiratory and noncardiorespiratory impairments were significantly associated with moderate to severe dyspnea, akin to a multifactorial geriatric health condition.

Echocardiographic Predictors of Sudden Cardiac Death: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study and Cardiovascular Health Study. - Konety, Suma H; Koene, Ryan J; Norby, Faye L; Wilsdon, Tony; Alonso, Alvaro; Siscovick, David; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Gottdiener, John; Fox, Ervin R; Chen, Lin Y; Adabag, Selcuk; Folsom, Aaron R (Circ Cardiovasc Imaging, 2016)
BACKGROUND: This study assessed the echocardiographic predictors of sudden cardiac death (SCD) within 2 population-based cohorts. METHODS AND RESULTS: Echocardiograms were obtained on 2383 participants (1993-1995) from the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities; 100% black) and 5366 participants (1987-1989 and 1994-1995) from the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study). The main outcome was physician-adjudicated SCD. We used Cox proportional-hazards models with incident coronary heart disease and heart failure as time-dependent covariates to assess the association between echocardiographic variables and SCD, adjusting for Framingham risk score variables, coronary heart disease, and renal function. Cohort-specific results were meta-analyzed. During a median follow-up of 7.3 and 13.1 years, 44 ARIC study participants and 275 CHS participants had SCD, respectively. In the meta-analyzed results, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for predictors of SCD were 3.07 (2.29-4.11) for reduced left ventricular ejection fraction; 1.85 (1.36-2.52) for mitral annular calcification; 1.64 (1.07-2.51) for mitral E/A >1.5, and 1.52 (1.14-2.02) for mitral E/A <0.7 (versus mitral E/A 0.7-1.5); 1.30 (1.15-1.48) per 1 SD increase in left ventricular mass; and 1.15 (1.02-1.30) per 1 SD increase in left atrial diameter. A receiver-operating characteristic model for prediction of SCD using Framingham risk score variables had a C statistic of 0.61 for ARIC study and 0.67 for CHS; the full multivariable model including all echocardiographic variables had a C statistic of 0.76 for ARIC study and 0.74 for CHS. CONCLUSIONS: In addition to reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, we identified other echocardiographic-derived variables predictive for SCD that provided incremental value compared with clinical risk factors.

Effects of Disease Burden and Functional Adaptation on Morbidity and Mortality on Older Adults. - Sanders, Jason L; Arnold, Alice M; Hirsch, Calvin H; Thielke, Stephen M; Kim, Dae; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Kizer, Jorge R; Ix, Joachim H; Kaplan, Robert C; Kritchevsky, Stephen B; Newman, Anne B (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2016)
OBJECTIVES: To ascertain whether older adults with extensive disease but relative vigor (adapters) shorten the period at the end of life in which they live with morbidity (compress morbidity). DESIGN: Prospective, community-based cohort study in four U.S. cities. SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals aged 65 and older. MEASUREMENTS: Participants were categorized into three groups according to extent of disease (assessed noninvasively), vigor, and frailty (expected agers (n = 3,528, extent of disease similar to vigor and frailty-reference group), adapters (n = 882, higher disease but vigorous), and prematurely frail (n = 855, lower disease but frail)) and compared according to years of able life (YAL), years of self-reported healthy life (YHL), and mortality using multivariable regression and survival analysis. RESULTS: After adjustment, adapters had 0.97 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.60-1.33) more YAL and 0.54 (95% CI = 0.19-0.90) more YHL than expected agers, and those who were prematurely frail had -0.99 (95% CI = -1.36 to -0.62) fewer YAL and -0.53 (95% CI = -0.89 to -0.17) fewer YHL than expected agers. Adapters had 0.9 more and prematurely frail had 1.5 fewer years of total life than expected agers (P < .001). Adapters spent 55% of their remaining life able and healthy, those who were prematurely frail spent 37%, and of expected agers spent 47% (P < .001). CONCLUSION: Despite similar levels of disease burden, older adults who were more vigorous appeared to compress morbidity and live longer. Older adults with higher frailty lengthened morbidity and had greater mortality. Adaptive factors may compress morbidity and decrease mortality.

Electrocardiographic Predictors of Incident Atrial Fibrillation. - Nguyen, Kaylin T; Vittinghoff, Eric; Dewland, Thomas A; Mandyam, Mala C; Stein, Phyllis K; Soliman, Elsayed Z; Heckbert, Susan R; Marcus, Gregory M (Am J Cardiol, 2016)
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is likely secondary to multiple different pathophysiological mechanisms that are increasingly but incompletely understood. Motivated by the hypothesis that 3 previously described electrocardiographic predictors of AF identify distinct AF mechanisms, we sought to determine if these electrocardiographic findings independently predict incident disease. Among Cardiovascular Health Study participants without prevalent AF, we determined whether left anterior fascicular block (LAFB), a prolonged QTC, and atrial premature complexes (APCs) each predicted AF after adjusting for each other. We then calculated the attributable risk in the exposed for each electrocardiographic marker. LAFB and QTC intervals were assessed on baseline 12-lead electrocardiogram (n = 4,696). APC count was determined using 24-hour Holter recordings obtained in a random subsample (n = 1,234). After adjusting for potential confounders and each electrocardiographic marker, LAFB (hazard ratio [HR] 2.1, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1 to 3.9, p = 0.023), a prolonged QTC (HR 2.5, 95% CI 1.4 to 4.3, p = 0.002), and every doubling of APC count (HR 1.2, 95% CI 1.1 to 1.3, p <0.001) each remained independently predictive of incident AF. The attributable risk of AF in the exposed was 35% (95% CI 13% to 52%) for LAFB, 25% (95% CI 0.6% to 44%) for a prolonged QTC, and 34% (95% CI 26% to 42%) for APCs. In conclusion, in a community-based cohort, 3 previously established electrocardiogram-derived AF predictors were each independently associated with incident AF, suggesting that they may represent distinct mechanisms underlying the disease.

An Empirical Comparison of Joint and Stratified Frameworks for Studying G × E Interactions: Systolic Blood Pressure and Smoking in the CHARGE Gene-Lifestyle Interactions Working Group. - Sung, Yun Ju; Winkler, Thomas W; Manning, Alisa K; Aschard, Hugues; Gudnason, Vilmundur; Harris, Tamara B; Smith, Albert V; Boerwinkle, Eric; Brown, Michael R; Morrison, Alanna C; Fornage, Myriam; Lin, Li-An; et al. (Genet Epidemiol, 2016)
Studying gene-environment (G × E) interactions is important, as they extend our knowledge of the genetic architecture of complex traits and may help to identify novel variants not detected via analysis of main effects alone. The main statistical framework for studying G × E interactions uses a single regression model that includes both the genetic main and G × E interaction effects (the "joint" framework). The alternative "stratified" framework combines results from genetic main-effect analyses carried out separately within the exposed and unexposed groups. Although there have been several investigations using theory and simulation, an empirical comparison of the two frameworks is lacking. Here, we compare the two frameworks using results from genome-wide association studies of systolic blood pressure for 3.2 million low frequency and 6.5 million common variants across 20 cohorts of European ancestry, comprising 79,731 individuals. Our cohorts have sample sizes ranging from 456 to 22,983 and include both family-based and population-based samples. In cohort-specific analyses, the two frameworks provided similar inference for population-based cohorts. The agreement was reduced for family-based cohorts. In meta-analyses, agreement between the two frameworks was less than that observed in cohort-specific analyses, despite the increased sample size. In meta-analyses, agreement depended on (1) the minor allele frequency, (2) inclusion of family-based cohorts in meta-analysis, and (3) filtering scheme. The stratified framework appears to approximate the joint framework well only for common variants in population-based cohorts. We conclude that the joint framework is the preferred approach and should be used to control false positives when dealing with low-frequency variants and/or family-based cohorts.

Epigenetic Signatures of Cigarette Smoking. - Joehanes, Roby; Just, Allan C; Marioni, Riccardo E; Pilling, Luke C; Reynolds, Lindsay M; Mandaviya, Pooja R; Guan, Weihua; Xu, Tao; Elks, Cathy E; Aslibekyan, Stella; Moreno-Macias, Hortensia; Smith, Jennifer A; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2016)
BACKGROUND: DNA methylation leaves a long-term signature of smoking exposure and is one potential mechanism by which tobacco exposure predisposes to adverse health outcomes, such as cancers, osteoporosis, lung, and cardiovascular disorders. METHODS AND RESULTS: To comprehensively determine the association between cigarette smoking and DNA methylation, we conducted a meta-analysis of genome-wide DNA methylation assessed using the Illumina BeadChip 450K array on 15 907 blood-derived DNA samples from participants in 16 cohorts (including 2433 current, 6518 former, and 6956 never smokers). Comparing current versus never smokers, 2623 cytosine-phosphate-guanine sites (CpGs), annotated to 1405 genes, were statistically significantly differentially methylated at Bonferroni threshold of P<1×10(-7) (18 760 CpGs at false discovery rate <0.05). Genes annotated to these CpGs were enriched for associations with several smoking-related traits in genome-wide studies including pulmonary function, cancers, inflammatory diseases, and heart disease. Comparing former versus never smokers, 185 of the CpGs that differed between current and never smokers were significant P<1×10(-7) (2623 CpGs at false discovery rate <0.05), indicating a pattern of persistent altered methylation, with attenuation, after smoking cessation. Transcriptomic integration identified effects on gene expression at many differentially methylated CpGs. CONCLUSIONS: Cigarette smoking has a broad impact on genome-wide methylation that, at many loci, persists many years after smoking cessation. Many of the differentially methylated genes were novel genes with respect to biological effects of smoking and might represent therapeutic targets for prevention or treatment of tobacco-related diseases. Methylation at these sites could also serve as sensitive and stable biomarkers of lifetime exposure to tobacco smoke.

Evaluation of a Genetic Risk Score to Improve Risk Prediction for Alzheimer's Disease. - Chouraki, Vincent; Reitz, Christiane; Maury, Fleur; Bis, Joshua C; Bellenguez, Céline; Yu, Lei; Jakobsdottir, Johanna; Mukherjee, Shubhabrata; Adams, Hieab H; Choi, Seung Hoan; Larson, Eric B; Fitzpatrick, Annette; et al. (J Alzheimers Dis, 2016)
Effective prevention of Alzheimer's disease (AD) requires the development of risk prediction tools permitting preclinical intervention. We constructed a genetic risk score (GRS) comprising common genetic variants associated with AD, evaluated its association with incident AD and assessed its capacity to improve risk prediction over traditional models based on age, sex, education, and APOEɛ4. In eight prospective cohorts included in the International Genomics of Alzheimer's Project (IGAP), we derived weighted sum of risk alleles from the 19 top SNPs reported by the IGAP GWAS in participants aged 65 and older without prevalent dementia. Hazard ratios (HR) of incident AD were estimated in Cox models. Improvement in risk prediction was measured by the difference in C-index (Δ-C), the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI>0). Overall, 19,687 participants at risk were included, of whom 2,782 developed AD. The GRS was associated with a 17% increase in AD risk (pooled HR = 1.17; 95% CI =   [1.13-1.21] per standard deviation increase in GRS; p-value =  2.86×10-16). This association was stronger among persons with at least one APOEɛ4 allele (HRGRS = 1.24; 95% CI =   [1.15-1.34]) than in others (HRGRS = 1.13; 95% CI =   [1.08-1.18]; pinteraction = 3.45×10-2). Risk prediction after seven years of follow-up showed a small improvement when adding the GRS to age, sex, APOEɛ4, and education (Δ-Cindex =  0.0043 [0.0019-0.0067]). Similar patterns were observed for IDI and NRI>0. In conclusion, a risk score incorporating common genetic variation outside the APOEɛ4 locus improved AD risk prediction and may facilitate risk stratification for prevention trials.

Exome Genotyping Identifies Pleiotropic Variants Associated with Red Blood Cell Traits. - Chami, Nathalie; Chen, Ming-Huei; Slater, Andrew J; Eicher, John D; Evangelou, Evangelos; Tajuddin, Salman M; Love-Gregory, Latisha; Kacprowski, Tim; Schick, Ursula M; Nomura, Akihiro; Giri, Ayush; Lessard, Samuel; et al. (Am J Hum Genet, 2016)
Red blood cell (RBC) traits are important heritable clinical biomarkers and modifiers of disease severity. To identify coding genetic variants associated with these traits, we conducted meta-analyses of seven RBC phenotypes in 130,273 multi-ethnic individuals from studies genotyped on an exome array. After conditional analyses and replication in 27,480 independent individuals, we identified 16 new RBC variants. We found low-frequency missense variants in MAP1A (rs55707100, minor allele frequency [MAF] = 3.3%, p = 2 × 10(-10) for hemoglobin [HGB]) and HNF4A (rs1800961, MAF = 2.4%, p < 3 × 10(-8) for hematocrit [HCT] and HGB). In African Americans, we identified a nonsense variant in CD36 associated with higher RBC distribution width (rs3211938, MAF = 8.7%, p = 7 × 10(-11)) and showed that it is associated with lower CD36 expression and strong allelic imbalance in ex vivo differentiated human erythroblasts. We also identified a rare missense variant in ALAS2 (rs201062903, MAF = 0.2%) associated with lower mean corpuscular volume and mean corpuscular hemoglobin (p < 8 × 10(-9)). Mendelian mutations in ALAS2 are a cause of sideroblastic anemia and erythropoietic protoporphyria. Gene-based testing highlighted three rare missense variants in PKLR, a gene mutated in Mendelian non-spherocytic hemolytic anemia, associated with HGB and HCT (SKAT p < 8 × 10(-7)). These rare, low-frequency, and common RBC variants showed pleiotropy, being also associated with platelet, white blood cell, and lipid traits. Our association results and functional annotation suggest the involvement of new genes in human erythropoiesis. We also confirm that rare and low-frequency variants play a role in the architecture of complex human traits, although their phenotypic effect is generally smaller than originally anticipated.

Fibroblast Growth Factor-23 and Frailty in Elderly Community-Dwelling Individuals: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Beben, Tomasz; Ix, Joachim H; Shlipak, Michael G; Sarnak, Mark J; Fried, Linda F; Hoofnagle, Andrew N; Chonchol, Michel; Kestenbaum, Bryan R; de Boer, Ian H; Rifkin, Dena E (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2016)
OBJECTIVES: To evaluate whether fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF-23) is related to frailty and to characterize the nature of their joint association with mortality. DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis for frailty and longitudinal cohort analysis for mortality. SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study. PARTICIPANTS: Community-dwelling individuals (N = 2,977; mean age 77.9 ± 4.7, 40% male, 83% white). MEASUREMENTS: The predictor was serum FGF-23 concentration (C-terminal enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay), and the outcomes were frailty status (determined according to frailty phenotype criteria of weight loss, weakness, exhaustion, slowness, and low physical activity) and mortality. Multinomial logistic regression was used to assess the cross-sectional association between FGF-23 and frailty and prefrailty, adjusting for demographic characteristics, cardiovascular disease and risk factors, and kidney markers. Proportional hazards Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess the association between FGF-23, frailty, and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Mean estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 64 ± 17 mL/min per 1.73 m(2) . Median FGF-23 was 70.3 RU/mL (interquartile range 53.4-99.2); 52% were prefrail, and 13% were frail. After multivariate adjustment, each doubling in FGF-23 concentration was associated with 38% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 17-62%) higher odds of frailty than of nonfrailty and 16% (95% CI = 3-30%) higher odds of prefrailty. FGF-23 (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.16, 95% CI = 1.10-1.23) and frailty (HR = 1.82, 95% CI = 1.57-2.12) were independently associated with mortality, but neither association was meaningfully attenuated when adjusted for the other. CONCLUSION: In a large cohort of older adults, higher FGF-23 was independently associated with prevalent frailty and prefrailty. FGF-23 and frailty were independent and additive risk factors for mortality. FGF-23 may be a marker for functional outcomes.
Keywords: Aged; Anthropometry; Biomarkers; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cross-Sectional Studies; Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay; Female; Fibroblast Growth Factors; Frail Elderly; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Independent Living; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Phenotype; Risk Factors; Surveys and Questionnaires

Fibrosis markers, hip fracture risk, and bone density in older adults. - Barzilay, J I; Bůžková, P; Kizer, J R; Djoussé, L; Ix, J H; Fink, H A; Siscovick, D S; Cauley, J A; Mukamal, K J (Osteoporos Int, 2016)
UNLABELLED: We examined whether blood levels of two markers of fibrosis (transforming growth factor beta one (TGF-β1) and procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP)) are related to hip fracture risk and to bone mineral density (BMD). TGF-β1 levels were associated with lower hip fracture risk in women and with lower BMD in men. PIIINP levels were not associated with either outcome. INTRODUCTION: TGF-β1 serves several roles in bone formation and resorption. A consequence of TGF-β1 activation is the production of PIIINP, a marker of collagen III deposition. Here, we explore whether these two biomarkers are related to incident hip fracture and bone mineral density (BMD) and whether their associations are modified by systemic inflammation, as measured by C-reactive protein (CRP) levels. METHODS: Participants were from the Cardiovascular Health Study (mean age 78 years; mean follow-up 8.3 years). We included 1681 persons with measured levels of TGF-β1 (149 hip fractures) and 3226 persons with measured levels of PIIINP (310 hip fractures). RESULTS: Among women, higher TGF-β1 levels were associated with lower hip fracture risk (HR, per doubling, 0.78 [95 % CI 0.61, 0.91]). Among men, TGF-β1 levels were associated with hip fracture risk in a non-linear manner, but among those with elevated CRP levels, doubling was associated with increased risk of fracture (HR 2.22 [1.20, 4.08]) (p = 0.02, interaction between low and high CRP and TGF-β1 on fracture risk). TGF-β1 levels had no significant association with total hip or total body BMD in women but were significantly associated with lower BMD in men. There were no associations of PIIINP levels with hip fracture risk or BMD in men or women. CONCLUSIONS: TGF-β1 levels appear to be associated with bone-related phenotypes in a sex-specific manner. The reasons for these differences between men and women regarding TGF-β1 levels and hip fracture risk and bone density require further investigation.

Fine-mapping, novel loci identification, and SNP association transferability in a genome-wide association study of QRS duration in African Americans. - Evans, Daniel S; Avery, Christy L; Nalls, Mike A; Li, Guo; Barnard, John; Smith, Erin N; Tanaka, Toshiko; Butler, Anne M; Buxbaum, Sarah G; Alonso, Alvaro; Arking, Dan E; Berenson, Gerald S; et al. (Hum Mol Genet, 2016)
The electrocardiographic QRS duration, a measure of ventricular depolarization and conduction, is associated with cardiovascular mortality. While single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with QRS duration have been identified at 22 loci in populations of European descent, the genetic architecture of QRS duration in non-European populations is largely unknown. We therefore performed a genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analysis of QRS duration in 13,031 African Americans from ten cohorts and a transethnic GWAS meta-analysis with additional results from populations of European descent. In the African American GWAS, a single genome-wide significant SNP association was identified (rs3922844, P = 4 × 10(-14)) in intron 16 of SCN5A, a voltage-gated cardiac sodium channel gene. The QRS-prolonging rs3922844 C allele was also associated with decreased SCN5A RNA expression in human atrial tissue (P = 1.1 × 10(-4)). High density genotyping revealed that the SCN5A association region in African Americans was confined to intron 16. Transethnic GWAS meta-analysis identified novel SNP associations on chromosome 18 in MYL12A (rs1662342, P = 4.9 × 10(-8)) and chromosome 1 near CD1E and SPTA1 (rs7547997, P = 7.9 × 10(-9)). The 22 QRS loci previously identified in populations of European descent were enriched for significant SNP associations with QRS duration in African Americans (P = 9.9 × 10(-7)), and index SNP associations in or near SCN5A, SCN10A, CDKN1A, NFIA, HAND1, TBX5 and SETBP1 replicated in African Americans. In summary, rs3922844 was associated with QRS duration and SCN5A expression, two novel QRS loci were identified using transethnic meta-analysis, and a significant proportion of QRS-SNP associations discovered in populations of European descent were transferable to African Americans when adequate power was achieved.

Gait Speed Predicts Incident Disability: A Pooled Analysis. - Perera, Subashan; Patel, Kushang V; Rosano, Caterina; Rubin, Susan M; Satterfield, Suzanne; Harris, Tamara; Ensrud, Kristine; Orwoll, Eric; Lee, Christine G; Chandler, Julie M; Newman, Anne B; Cauley, Jane A; et al. (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Functional independence with aging is an important goal for individuals and society. Simple prognostic indicators can inform health promotion and care planning, but evidence is limited by heterogeneity in measures of function. METHODS: We performed a pooled analysis of data from seven studies of 27,220 community-dwelling older adults aged 65 or older with baseline gait speed, followed for disability and mortality. Outcomes were incident inability or dependence on another person in bathing or dressing; and difficulty walking ¼ - ½ mile or climbing 10 steps within 3 years. RESULTS: Participants with faster baseline gait had lower rates of incident disability. In subgroups (defined by 0.2 m/s-wide intervals from <0.4 to ≥ 1.4 m/s) with increasingly greater gait speed, 3-year rates of bathing or dressing dependence trended from 10% to 1% in men, and from 15% to 1% in women, while mobility difficulty trended from 47% to 4% in men and 40% to 6% in women. The age-adjusted relative risk ratio per 0.1 m/s greater speed for bathing or dressing dependence in men was 0.68 (0.57-0.81) and in women: 0.74 (0.66-0.82); for mobility difficulty, men: 0.75 (0.68-0.82), women: 0.73 (0.67-0.80). Results were similar for combined disability and mortality. Effects were largely consistent across subgroups based on age, gender, race, body mass index, prior hospitalization, and selected chronic conditions. In the presence of multiple other risk factors for disability, gait speed significantly increased the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve. CONCLUSION: In older adults, gait speed predicts 3 year incidence of bathing or dressing dependence, mobility difficulty, and a composite outcome of disability and mortality.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Cohort Studies; Disability Evaluation; Disabled Persons; Female; Gait; Geriatric Assessment; Humans; Independent Living; Male; Mobility Limitation; Predictive Value of Tests; Prognosis; Psychomotor Performance; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; ROC Curve; Survival Analysis; United States

Galectin-3 and Soluble ST2 and Kidney Function Decline in Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). - Bansal, Nisha; Katz, Ronit; Seliger, Stephen; DeFilippi, Christopher; Sarnak, Mark J; Delaney, Joseph A; Christenson, Robert; de Boer, Ian H; Kestenbaum, Bryan; Robinson-Cohen, Cassianne; Ix, Joachim H; Shlipak, Michael G (Am J Kidney Dis, 2016)
Keywords: Aged; Cohort Studies; Creatinine; Cystatin C; Female; Galectin 3; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Interleukin-1 Receptor-Like 1 Protein; Logistic Models; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Prognosis; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic

{Gene-gene Interaction Analyses for Atrial Fibrillation - Lin, H.; Mueller-Nurasyid, M.; Smith, A. V.; Arking, D. E.; Barnard, J.; Bartz, T. M.; Lunetta, K. L.; Lohman, K.; Kleber, M. E.; Lubitz, S. A.; Geelhoed, B.; Trompet, S.; et al. (Sci Rep, 2016)
{Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a heritable disease that affects more than thirty million individuals worldwide. Extensive efforts have been devoted to the study of genetic determinants of AF. The objective of our study is to examine the effect of gene-gene interaction on AF susceptibility. We performed a large-scale association analysis of gene-gene interactions with AF in 8,173 AF cases, and 65,237 AF-free referents collected from 15 studies for discovery. We examined putative interactions between genome-wide SNPs and 17 known AF-related SNPs. The top interactions were then tested for association in an independent cohort for replication, which included more than 2,363 AF cases and 114,746 AF-free referents. One interaction, between rs7164883 at the HCN4 locus and rs4980345 at the SLC28A1 locus, was found to be significantly associated with AF in the discovery cohorts (interaction OR = 1.44, 95% CI: 1.27-1.65

General Framework for Meta-Analysis of Haplotype Association Tests. - Wang, Shuai; Zhao, Jing Hua; An, Ping; Guo, Xiuqing; Jensen, Richard A; Marten, Jonathan; Huffman, Jennifer E; Meidtner, Karina; Boeing, Heiner; Campbell, Archie; Rice, Kenneth M; Scott, Robert A; et al. (Genet Epidemiol, 2016)
For complex traits, most associated single nucleotide variants (SNV) discovered to date have a small effect, and detection of association is only possible with large sample sizes. Because of patient confidentiality concerns, it is often not possible to pool genetic data from multiple cohorts, and meta-analysis has emerged as the method of choice to combine results from multiple studies. Many meta-analysis methods are available for single SNV analyses. As new approaches allow the capture of low frequency and rare genetic variation, it is of interest to jointly consider multiple variants to improve power. However, for the analysis of haplotypes formed by multiple SNVs, meta-analysis remains a challenge, because different haplotypes may be observed across studies. We propose a two-stage meta-analysis approach to combine haplotype analysis results. In the first stage, each cohort estimate haplotype effect sizes in a regression framework, accounting for relatedness among observations if appropriate. For the second stage, we use a multivariate generalized least square meta-analysis approach to combine haplotype effect estimates from multiple cohorts. Haplotype-specific association tests and a global test of independence between haplotypes and traits are obtained within our framework. We demonstrate through simulation studies that we control the type-I error rate, and our approach is more powerful than inverse variance weighted meta-analysis of single SNV analysis when haplotype effects are present. We replicate a published haplotype association between fasting glucose-associated locus (G6PC2) and fasting glucose in seven studies from the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology Consortium and we provide more precise haplotype effect estimates.

{Genetic associations at 53 loci highlight cell types and biological pathways relevant for kidney function - Pattaro, C.; Teumer, A.; Gorski, M.; Chu, A. Y.; Li, M.; Mijatovic, V.; Garnaas, M.; Tin, A.; Sorice, R.; Li, Y.; Taliun, D.; Olden, M.; et al. (Nat Commun, 2016)
Reduced glomerular filtration rate defines chronic kidney disease and is associated with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. We conducted a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), combining data across 133,413 individuals with replication in up to 42,166 individuals. We identify 24 new and confirm 29 previously identified loci. Of these 53 loci, 19 associate with eGFR among individuals with diabetes. Using bioinformatics, we show that identified genes at eGFR loci are enriched for expression in kidney tissues and in pathways relevant for kidney development and transmembrane transporter activity, kidney structure, and regulation of glucose metabolism. Chromatin state mapping and DNase I hypersensitivity analyses across adult tissues demonstrate preferential mapping of associated variants to regulatory regions in kidney but not extra-renal tissues. These findings suggest that genetic determinants of eGFR are mediated largely through direct effects within the kidney and highlight important cell types and biological pathways.

Genetic Investigation Into the Differential Risk of Atrial Fibrillation Among Black and White Individuals. - Roberts, Jason D; Hu, Donglei; Heckbert, Susan R; Alonso, Alvaro; Dewland, Thomas A; Vittinghoff, Eric; Liu, Yongmei; Psaty, Bruce M; Olgin, Jeffrey E; Magnani, Jared W; Huntsman, Scott; Burchard, Esteban G; et al. (JAMA Cardiol, 2016)
IMPORTANCE: White persons have a higher risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) compared with black individuals despite a lower prevalence of risk factors. This difference may be due, at least in part, to genetic factors. OBJECTIVES: To determine whether 9 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with AF account for this paradoxical differential racial risk for AF and to use admixture mapping to search genome-wide for loci that may account for this phenomenon. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Genome-wide admixture analysis and candidate SNP study involving 3 population-based cohort studies that were initiated between 1987 and 1997, including the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) (n = 4173), the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) (n = 12 341) study, and the Health, Aging, and Body Composition (Health ABC) (n = 1015) study. In all 3 studies, race was self-identified. Cox proportional hazards regression models and the proportion of treatment effect method were used to determine the impact of 9 AF-risk SNPs among participants from CHS and the ARIC study. The present study began July 1, 2012, and was completed in 2015. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Incident AF systematically ascertained using clinic visit electrocardiograms, hospital discharge diagnosis codes, death certificates, and Medicare claims data. RESULTS: A single SNP, rs10824026 (chromosome 10: position 73661450), was found to significantly mediate the higher risk for AF in white participants compared with black participants in CHS (11.4%; 95% CI, 2.9%-29.9%) and ARIC (31.7%; 95% CI, 16.0%-53.0%). Admixture mapping was performed in a meta-analysis of black participants within CHS (n = 811), ARIC (n = 3112), and Health ABC (n = 1015). No loci that reached the prespecified statistical threshold for genome-wide significance were identified. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The rs10824026 SNP on chromosome 10q22 mediates a modest proportion of the increased risk of AF among white individuals compared with black individuals, potentially through an effect on gene expression levels of MYOZ1. No additional genetic variants accounting for a significant portion of the differential racial risk of AF were identified with genome-wide admixture mapping, suggesting that additional genetic or environmental influences beyond single SNPs in isolation may account for the paradoxical racial risk of AF among white individuals and black individuals.

Genetic Variants Associated with Circulating Parathyroid Hormone. - Robinson-Cohen, Cassianne; Lutsey, Pamela L; Kleber, Marcus E; Nielson, Carrie M; Mitchell, Braxton D; Bis, Joshua C; Eny, Karen M; Portas, Laura; Eriksson, Joel; Lorentzon, Mattias; Koller, Daniel L; Milaneschi, Yuri; et al. (J Am Soc Nephrol, 2016)
Parathyroid hormone (PTH) is a primary calcium regulatory hormone. Elevated serum PTH concentrations in primary and secondary hyperparathyroidism have been associated with bone disease, hypertension, and in some studies, cardiovascular mortality. Genetic causes of variation in circulating PTH concentrations are incompletely understood. We performed a genome-wide association study of serum PTH concentrations among 29,155 participants of European ancestry from 13 cohort studies (n=22,653 and n=6502 in discovery and replication analyses, respectively). We evaluated the association of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with natural log-transformed PTH concentration adjusted for age, sex, season, study site, and principal components of ancestry. We discovered associations of SNPs from five independent regions with serum PTH concentration, including the strongest association with rs6127099 upstream of CYP24A1 (P=4.2 × 10(-53)), a gene that encodes the primary catabolic enzyme for 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D and 25-dihydroxyvitamin D. Each additional copy of the minor allele at this SNP associated with 7% higher serum PTH concentration. The other SNPs associated with serum PTH concentration included rs4074995 within RGS14 (P=6.6 × 10(-17)), rs219779 adjacent to CLDN14 (P=3.5 × 10(-16)), rs4443100 near RTDR1 (P=8.7 × 10(-9)), and rs73186030 near CASR (P=4.8 × 10(-8)). Of these five SNPs, rs6127099, rs4074995, and rs219779 replicated. Thus, common genetic variants located near genes involved in vitamin D metabolism and calcium and renal phosphate transport associated with differences in circulating PTH concentrations. Future studies could identify the causal variants at these loci, and the clinical and functional relevance of these variants should be pursued.

Genetic variants in RBFOX3 are associated with sleep latency. - Amin, Najaf; Allebrandt, Karla V; van der Spek, Ashley; Müller-Myhsok, Bertram; Hek, Karin; Teder-Laving, Maris; Hayward, Caroline; Esko, Tõnu; van Mill, Josine G; Mbarek, Hamdi; Watson, Nathaniel F; Melville, Scott A; et al. (Eur J Hum Genet, 2016)
Time to fall asleep (sleep latency) is a major determinant of sleep quality. Chronic, long sleep latency is a major characteristic of sleep-onset insomnia and/or delayed sleep phase syndrome. In this study we aimed to discover common polymorphisms that contribute to the genetics of sleep latency. We performed a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) including 2 572 737 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) established in seven European cohorts including 4242 individuals. We found a cluster of three highly correlated variants (rs9900428, rs9907432 and rs7211029) in the RNA-binding protein fox-1 homolog 3 gene (RBFOX3) associated with sleep latency (P-values=5.77 × 10(-08), 6.59 × 10(-)(08) and 9.17 × 10(-)(08)). These SNPs were replicated in up to 12 independent populations including 30 377 individuals (P-values=1.5 × 10(-)(02), 7.0 × 10(-)(03) and 2.5 × 10(-)(03); combined meta-analysis P-values=5.5 × 10(-07), 5.4 × 10(-07) and 1.0 × 10(-07)). A functional prediction of RBFOX3 based on co-expression with other genes shows that this gene is predominantly expressed in brain (P-value=1.4 × 10(-316)) and the central nervous system (P-value=7.5 × 10(-)(321)). The predicted function of RBFOX3 based on co-expression analysis with other genes shows that this gene is significantly involved in the release cycle of neurotransmitters including gamma-aminobutyric acid and various monoamines (P-values<2.9 × 10(-11)) that are crucial in triggering the onset of sleep. To conclude, in this first large-scale GWAS of sleep latency we report a novel association of variants in RBFOX3 gene. Further, a functional prediction of RBFOX3 supports the involvement of RBFOX3 with sleep latency.

{The genetics of blood pressure regulation and its target organs from association studies in 342,415 individuals - Ehret, G. B.; Ferreira, T.; Chasman, D. I.; Jackson, A. U.; Schmidt, E. M.; Johnson, T.; Thorleifsson, G.; Luan, J.; Donnelly, L. A.; Kanoni, S.; Petersen, A. K.; Pihur, V.; et al. (Nat Genet, 2016)
To dissect the genetic architecture of blood pressure and assess effects on target organ damage, we analyzed 128,272 SNPs from targeted and genome-wide arrays in 201,529 individuals of European ancestry, and genotypes from an additional 140,886 individuals were used for validation. We identified 66 blood pressure-associated loci, of which 17 were new; 15 harbored multiple distinct association signals. The 66 index SNPs were enriched for cis-regulatory elements, particularly in vascular endothelial cells, consistent with a primary role in blood pressure control through modulation of vascular tone across multiple tissues. The 66 index SNPs combined in a risk score showed comparable effects in 64,421 individuals of non-European descent. The 66-SNP blood pressure risk score was significantly associated with target organ damage in multiple tissues but with minor effects in the kidney. Our findings expand current knowledge of blood pressure-related pathways and highlight tissues beyond the classical renal system in blood pressure regulation.

Genome-Wide Association Analysis of Young-Onset Stroke Identifies a Locus on Chromosome 10q25 Near HABP2. - Cheng, Yu-Ching; Stanne, Tara M; Giese, Anne-Katrin; Ho, Weang Kee; Traylor, Matthew; Amouyel, Philippe; Holliday, Elizabeth G; Malik, Rainer; Xu, Huichun; Kittner, Steven J; Cole, John W; O'Connell, Jeffrey R; et al. (Stroke, 2016)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Although a genetic contribution to ischemic stroke is well recognized, only a handful of stroke loci have been identified by large-scale genetic association studies to date. Hypothesizing that genetic effects might be stronger for early- versus late-onset stroke, we conducted a 2-stage meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies, focusing on stroke cases with an age of onset <60 years. METHODS: The discovery stage of our genome-wide association studies included 4505 cases and 21 968 controls of European, South-Asian, and African ancestry, drawn from 6 studies. In Stage 2, we selected the lead genetic variants at loci with association P<5×10(-6) and performed in silico association analyses in an independent sample of ≤1003 cases and 7745 controls. RESULTS: One stroke susceptibility locus at 10q25 reached genome-wide significance in the combined analysis of all samples from the discovery and follow-up stages (rs11196288; odds ratio =1.41; P=9.5×10(-9)). The associated locus is in an intergenic region between TCF7L2 and HABP2. In a further analysis in an independent sample, we found that 2 single nucleotide polymorphisms in high linkage disequilibrium with rs11196288 were significantly associated with total plasma factor VII-activating protease levels, a product of HABP2. CONCLUSIONS: HABP2, which encodes an extracellular serine protease involved in coagulation, fibrinolysis, and inflammatory pathways, may be a genetic susceptibility locus for early-onset stroke.
Keywords: Adult; African Continental Ancestry Group; Age of Onset; Aged; Asian Continental Ancestry Group; Brain Ischemia; Chromosomes, Human, Pair 10; Computer Simulation; DNA, Intergenic; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Odds Ratio; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Serine Endopeptidases; Stroke

Genome-Wide Association Study for Incident Myocardial Infarction and Coronary Heart Disease in Prospective Cohort Studies: The CHARGE Consortium. - Dehghan, Abbas; Bis, Joshua C; White, Charles C; Smith, Albert Vernon; Morrison, Alanna C; Cupples, L Adrienne; Trompet, Stella; Chasman, Daniel I; Lumley, Thomas; Völker, Uwe; Buckley, Brendan M; Ding, Jingzhong; et al. (PLoS One, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Data are limited on genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for incident coronary heart disease (CHD). Moreover, it is not known whether genetic variants identified to date also associate with risk of CHD in a prospective setting. METHODS: We performed a two-stage GWAS analysis of incident myocardial infarction (MI) and CHD in a total of 64,297 individuals (including 3898 MI cases, 5465 CHD cases). SNPs that passed an arbitrary threshold of 5×10-6 in Stage I were taken to Stage II for further discovery. Furthermore, in an analysis of prognosis, we studied whether known SNPs from former GWAS were associated with total mortality in individuals who experienced MI during follow-up. RESULTS: In Stage I 15 loci passed the threshold of 5×10-6; 8 loci for MI and 8 loci for CHD, for which one locus overlapped and none were reported in previous GWAS meta-analyses. We took 60 SNPs representing these 15 loci to Stage II of discovery. Four SNPs near QKI showed nominally significant association with MI (p-value<8.8×10-3) and three exceeded the genome-wide significance threshold when Stage I and Stage II results were combined (top SNP rs6941513: p = 6.2×10-9). Despite excellent power, the 9p21 locus SNP (rs1333049) was only modestly associated with MI (HR = 1.09, p-value = 0.02) and marginally with CHD (HR = 1.06, p-value = 0.08). Among an inception cohort of those who experienced MI during follow-up, the risk allele of rs1333049 was associated with a decreased risk of subsequent mortality (HR = 0.90, p-value = 3.2×10-3). CONCLUSIONS: QKI represents a novel locus that may serve as a predictor of incident CHD in prospective studies. The association of the 9p21 locus both with increased risk of first myocardial infarction and longer survival after MI highlights the importance of study design in investigating genetic determinants of complex disorders.
Keywords: Aged; Cohort Studies; Cooperative Behavior; Coronary Artery Disease; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Myocardial Infarction; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Prospective Studies

A genome-wide association study meta-analysis of clinical fracture in 10,012 African American women. - Taylor, Kira C; Evans, Daniel S; Edwards, Digna R Velez; Edwards, Todd L; Sofer, Tamar; Li, Guo; Liu, Youfang; Franceschini, Nora; Jackson, Rebecca D; Giri, Ayush; Donneyong, Macarius; Psaty, Bruce; et al. (Bone Rep, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Osteoporosis is a major public health problem associated with excess disability and mortality. It is estimated that 50-70% of the variation in osteoporotic fracture risk is attributable to genetic factors. The purpose of this hypothesis-generating study was to identify possible genetic determinants of fracture among African American (AA) women in a GWAS meta-analysis. METHODS: Data on clinical fractures (all fractures except fingers, toes, face, skull or sternum) were analyzed among AA female participants in the Women's Health Initiative (WHI) (N = 8155), Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) (N = 504), BioVU (N = 704), Health ABC (N = 651), and the Johnston County Osteoarthritis Project (JoCoOA) (N = 291). Affymetrix (WHI) and Illumina (Health ABC, JoCoOA, BioVU, CHS) GWAS panels were used for genotyping, and a 1:1 ratio of YRI:CEU HapMap haplotypes was used as an imputation reference panel. We used Cox proportional hazard models or logistic regression to evaluate the association of ~ 2.5 million SNPs with fracture risk, adjusting for ancestry, age, and geographic region where applicable. We conducted a fixed-effects, inverse variance-weighted meta-analysis. Genome-wide significance was set at P < 5 × 10- 8. RESULTS: One SNP, rs12775980 in an intron of SVIL on chromosome 10p11.2, reached genome-wide significance (P = 4.0 × 10- 8). Although this SNP has a low minor allele frequency (0.03), there was no evidence for heterogeneity of effects across the studies (I2 = 0). This locus was not reported in any previous osteoporosis-related GWA studies. We also interrogated previously reported GWA-significant loci associated with fracture or bone mineral density in our data. One locus (SMOC1) generalized, but overall there was not substantial evidence of generalization. Possible reasons for the lack of generalization are discussed. CONCLUSION: This GWAS meta-analysis of fractures in African American women identified a potentially novel locus in the supervillin gene, which encodes a platelet-associated factor and was previously associated with platelet thrombus formation in African Americans. If validated in other populations of African descent, these findings suggest potential new mechanisms involved in fracture that may be particularly important among African Americans.

Genome-Wide Association Study of the Modified Stumvoll Insulin Sensitivity Index Identifies BCL2 and FAM19A2 as Novel Insulin Sensitivity Loci. - Walford, Geoffrey A; Gustafsson, Stefan; Rybin, Denis; Stančáková, Alena; Chen, Han; Liu, Ching-Ti; Hong, Jaeyoung; Jensen, Richard A; Rice, Ken; Morris, Andrew P; Mägi, Reedik; Tönjes, Anke; et al. (Diabetes, 2016)
Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have found few common variants that influence fasting measures of insulin sensitivity. We hypothesized that a GWAS of an integrated assessment of fasting and dynamic measures of insulin sensitivity would detect novel common variants. We performed a GWAS of the modified Stumvoll Insulin Sensitivity Index (ISI) within the Meta-Analyses of Glucose and Insulin-Related Traits Consortium. Discovery for genetic association was performed in 16,753 individuals, and replication was attempted for the 23 most significant novel loci in 13,354 independent individuals. Association with ISI was tested in models adjusted for age, sex, and BMI and in a model analyzing the combined influence of the genotype effect adjusted for BMI and the interaction effect between the genotype and BMI on ISI (model 3). In model 3, three variants reached genome-wide significance: rs13422522 (NYAP2; P = 8.87 × 10(-11)), rs12454712 (BCL2; P = 2.7 × 10(-8)), and rs10506418 (FAM19A2; P = 1.9 × 10(-8)). The association at NYAP2 was eliminated by conditioning on the known IRS1 insulin sensitivity locus; the BCL2 and FAM19A2 associations were independent of known cardiometabolic loci. In conclusion, we identified two novel loci and replicated known variants associated with insulin sensitivity. Further studies are needed to clarify the causal variant and function at the BCL2 and FAM19A2 loci.

Genomewide meta-analysis identifies loci associated with IGF-I and IGFBP-3 levels with impact on age-related traits. - Teumer, Alexander; Qi, Qibin; Nethander, Maria; Aschard, Hugues; Bandinelli, Stefania; Beekman, Marian; Berndt, Sonja I; Bidlingmaier, Martin; Broer, Linda; Cappola, Anne; Ceda, Gian Paolo; Chanock, Stephen; et al. (Aging Cell, 2016)
The growth hormone/insulin-like growth factor (IGF) axis can be manipulated in animal models to promote longevity, and IGF-related proteins including IGF-I and IGF-binding protein-3 (IGFBP-3) have also been implicated in risk of human diseases including cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, and cancer. Through genomewide association study of up to 30 884 adults of European ancestry from 21 studies, we confirmed and extended the list of previously identified loci associated with circulating IGF-I and IGFBP-3 concentrations (IGF1, IGFBP3, GCKR, TNS3, GHSR, FOXO3, ASXL2, NUBP2/IGFALS, SORCS2, and CELSR2). Significant sex interactions, which were characterized by different genotype-phenotype associations between men and women, were found only for associations of IGFBP-3 concentrations with SNPs at the loci IGFBP3 and SORCS2. Analyses of SNPs, gene expression, and protein levels suggested that interplay between IGFBP3 and genes within the NUBP2 locus (IGFALS and HAGH) may affect circulating IGF-I and IGFBP-3 concentrations. The IGF-I-decreasing allele of SNP rs934073, which is an eQTL of ASXL2, was associated with lower adiposity and higher likelihood of survival beyond 90 years. The known longevity-associated variant rs2153960 (FOXO3) was observed to be a genomewide significant SNP for IGF-I concentrations. Bioinformatics analysis suggested enrichment of putative regulatory elements among these IGF-I- and IGFBP-3-associated loci, particularly of rs646776 at CELSR2. In conclusion, this study identified several loci associated with circulating IGF-I and IGFBP-3 concentrations and provides clues to the potential role of the IGF axis in mediating effects of known (FOXO3) and novel (ASXL2) longevity-associated loci.

Global Electric Heterogeneity Risk Score for Prediction of Sudden Cardiac Death in the General Population: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) and Cardiovascular Health (CHS) Studies. - Waks, Jonathan W; Sitlani, Colleen M; Soliman, Elsayed Z; Kabir, Muammar; Ghafoori, Elyar; Biggs, Mary L; Henrikson, Charles A; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Biering-Sørensen, Tor; Agarwal, Sunil K; Siscovick, David S; Post, Wendy S; et al. (Circulation, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Asymptomatic individuals account for the majority of sudden cardiac deaths (SCDs). Development of effective, low-cost, and noninvasive SCD risk stratification tools is necessary. METHODS AND RESULTS: Participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study and Cardiovascular Health Study (n=20 177; age, 59.3±10.1 years; age range, 44-100 years; 56% female; 77% white) were followed up for 14.0 years (median). Five ECG markers of global electric heterogeneity (GEH; sum absolute QRST integral, spatial QRST angle, spatial ventricular gradient [SVG] magnitude, SVG elevation, and SVG azimuth) were measured on standard 12-lead ECGs. Cox proportional hazards and competing risks models evaluated associations between GEH electrocardiographic parameters and SCD. An SCD competing risks score was derived from demographics, comorbidities, and GEH parameters. SCD incidence was 1.86 per 1000 person-years. After multivariable adjustment, baseline GEH parameters and large increases in GEH parameters over time were independently associated with SCD. Final SCD risk scores included age, sex, race, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary heart disease, stroke, and GEH parameters as continuous variables. When GEH parameters were added to clinical/demographic factors, the C statistic increased from 0.777 to 0.790 (P=0.008), the risk score classified 10-year SCD risk as high (>5%) in 7.2% of participants, 10% of SCD victims were appropriately reclassified into a high-risk category, and only 1.4% of SCD victims were inappropriately reclassified from high to intermediate risk. The net reclassification index was 18.3%. CONCLUSIONS: Abnormal electrophysiological substrate quantified by GEH parameters is independently associated with SCD in the general population. The addition of GEH parameters to clinical characteristics improves SCD risk prediction.

GWAS analysis of handgrip and lower body strength in older adults in the CHARGE consortium. - Matteini, Amy M; Tanaka, Toshiko; Karasik, David; Atzmon, Gil; Chou, Wen-Chi; Eicher, John D; Johnson, Andrew D; Arnold, Alice M; Callisaya, Michele L; Davies, Gail; Evans, Daniel S; Holtfreter, Birte; et al. (Aging Cell, 2016)
Decline in muscle strength with aging is an important predictor of health trajectory in the elderly. Several factors, including genetics, are proposed contributors to variability in muscle strength. To identify genetic contributors to muscle strength, a meta-analysis of genomewide association studies of handgrip was conducted. Grip strength was measured using a handheld dynamometer in 27 581 individuals of European descent over 65 years of age from 14 cohort studies. Genomewide association analysis was conducted on ~2.7 million imputed and genotyped variants (SNPs). Replication of the most significant findings was conducted using data from 6393 individuals from three cohorts. GWAS of lower body strength was also characterized in a subset of cohorts. Two genomewide significant (P-value< 5 × 10(-8) ) and 39 suggestive (P-value< 5 × 10(-5) ) associations were observed from meta-analysis of the discovery cohorts. After meta-analysis with replication cohorts, genomewide significant association was observed for rs752045 on chromosome 8 (β = 0.47, SE = 0.08, P-value = 5.20 × 10(-10) ). This SNP is mapped to an intergenic region and is located within an accessible chromatin region (DNase hypersensitivity site) in skeletal muscle myotubes differentiated from the human skeletal muscle myoblasts cell line. This locus alters a binding motif of the CCAAT/enhancer-binding protein-β (CEBPB) that is implicated in muscle repair mechanisms. GWAS of lower body strength did not yield significant results. A common genetic variant in a chromosomal region that regulates myotube differentiation and muscle repair may contribute to variability in grip strength in the elderly. Further studies are needed to uncover the mechanisms that link this genetic variant with muscle strength.

GWAS for executive function and processing speed suggests involvement of the CADM2 gene. - Ibrahim-Verbaas, C A; Bressler, J; Debette, S; Schuur, M; Smith, A V; Bis, J C; Davies, G; Trompet, S; Smith, J A; Wolf, C; Chibnik, L B; Liu, Y; et al. (Mol Psychiatry, 2016)
To identify common variants contributing to normal variation in two specific domains of cognitive functioning, we conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of executive functioning and information processing speed in non-demented older adults from the CHARGE (Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology) consortium. Neuropsychological testing was available for 5429-32,070 subjects of European ancestry aged 45 years or older, free of dementia and clinical stroke at the time of cognitive testing from 20 cohorts in the discovery phase. We analyzed performance on the Trail Making Test parts A and B, the Letter Digit Substitution Test (LDST), the Digit Symbol Substitution Task (DSST), semantic and phonemic fluency tests, and the Stroop Color and Word Test. Replication was sought in 1311-21860 subjects from 20 independent cohorts. A significant association was observed in the discovery cohorts for the single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) rs17518584 (discovery P-value=3.12 × 10(-8)) and in the joint discovery and replication meta-analysis (P-value=3.28 × 10(-9) after adjustment for age, gender and education) in an intron of the gene cell adhesion molecule 2 (CADM2) for performance on the LDST/DSST. Rs17518584 is located about 170 kb upstream of the transcription start site of the major transcript for the CADM2 gene, but is within an intron of a variant transcript that includes an alternative first exon. The variant is associated with expression of CADM2 in the cingulate cortex (P-value=4 × 10(-4)). The protein encoded by CADM2 is involved in glutamate signaling (P-value=7.22 × 10(-15)), gamma-aminobutyric acid (GABA) transport (P-value=1.36 × 10(-11)) and neuron cell-cell adhesion (P-value=1.48 × 10(-13)). Our findings suggest that genetic variation in the CADM2 gene is associated with individual differences in information processing speed.

A hybrid computational strategy to address WGS variant analysis in >5000 samples. - Huang, Zhuoyi; Rustagi, Navin; Veeraraghavan, Narayanan; Carroll, Andrew; Gibbs, Richard; Boerwinkle, Eric; Venkata, Manjunath Gorentla; Yu, Fuli (BMC Bioinformatics, 2016)
BACKGROUND: The decreasing costs of sequencing are driving the need for cost effective and real time variant calling of whole genome sequencing data. The scale of these projects are far beyond the capacity of typical computing resources available with most research labs. Other infrastructures like the cloud AWS environment and supercomputers also have limitations due to which large scale joint variant calling becomes infeasible, and infrastructure specific variant calling strategies either fail to scale up to large datasets or abandon joint calling strategies. RESULTS: We present a high throughput framework including multiple variant callers for single nucleotide variant (SNV) calling, which leverages hybrid computing infrastructure consisting of cloud AWS, supercomputers and local high performance computing infrastructures. We present a novel binning approach for large scale joint variant calling and imputation which can scale up to over 10,000 samples while producing SNV callsets with high sensitivity and specificity. As a proof of principle, we present results of analysis on Cohorts for Heart And Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) WGS freeze 3 dataset in which joint calling, imputation and phasing of over 5300 whole genome samples was produced in under 6 weeks using four state-of-the-art callers. The callers used were SNPTools, GATK-HaplotypeCaller, GATK-UnifiedGenotyper and GotCloud. We used Amazon AWS, a 4000-core in-house cluster at Baylor College of Medicine, IBM power PC Blue BioU at Rice and Rhea at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) for the computation. AWS was used for joint calling of 180 TB of BAM files, and ORNL and Rice supercomputers were used for the imputation and phasing step. All other steps were carried out on the local compute cluster. The entire operation used 5.2 million core hours and only transferred a total of 6 TB of data across the platforms. CONCLUSIONS: Even with increasing sizes of whole genome datasets, ensemble joint calling of SNVs for low coverage data can be accomplished in a scalable, cost effective and fast manner by using heterogeneous computing platforms without compromising on the quality of variants.
Keywords: Databases, Genetic; Genome, Human; Genomics; High-Throughput Nucleotide Sequencing; Humans

Impact of genetic variants on the upstream efficacy of renin-angiotensin system inhibitors for the prevention of atrial fibrillation. - Roberts, Jason D; Dewland, Thomas A; Glidden, David V; Hoffmann, Thomas J; Arking, Dan E; Chen, Lin Y; Psaty, Bruce M; Olgin, Jeffrey E; Alonso, Alvaro; Heckbert, Susan R; Marcus, Gregory M (Am Heart J, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Renin-angiotensin system (RAS) inhibition via angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and angiotensin II receptor blockers may reduce the risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF) in certain populations, but the evidence is conflicting. Recent genome-wide association studies have identified several single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with AF, potentially identifying clinically relevant subtypes of the disease. We sought to investigate the impact of carrier status of 9 AF-associated SNPs on the efficacy of RAS inhibition for the primary prevention of AF. METHODS: We performed SNP-RAS inhibitor interaction testing with unadjusted and adjusted Cox proportional hazards models using a discovery (Cardiovascular Health Study) and a replication (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) cohort. Additive genetic models were used for the SNP analyses, and 2-tailed P values <.05 were considered statistically significant. RESULTS: Among 2,796 Cardiovascular Health Study participants, none of the 9 a priori identified candidate SNPs exhibited a significant SNP-drug interaction. Two of the 9 SNPs, rs2106261 (16q22) and rs6666258 (1q21), revealed interaction relationships that neared statistical significance (with point estimates in the same direction for angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor only and angiotensin II receptor blocker only analyses), but neither association could be replicated among 8,604 participants in Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities. CONCLUSIONS: Our study failed to identify AF-associated SNP genetic subtypes of AF that derive increased benefit from upstream RAS inhibition for AF prevention. Future studies should continue to investigate the impact of genotype on the response to AF treatment strategies in an effort to develop personalized approaches to therapy and prevention.

Incident Atrial Fibrillation and Disability-Free Survival in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Wallace, Erin R; Siscovick, David S; Sitlani, Colleen M; Dublin, Sascha; Mitchell, Pamela H; Odden, Michelle C; Hirsch, Calvin H; Thielke, Stephen; Heckbert, Susan R (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2016)
OBJECTIVES: To assess the associations between incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and disability-free survival and risk of disability. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals aged 65 and older and enrolled in fee-for-service Medicare followed between 1991 and 2009 (MN = 4,046). Individuals with prevalent AF, activity of daily living (ADL) disability, or a history of stroke or heart failure at baseline were excluded. MEASUREMENTS: Incident AF was identified according to annual study electrocardiogram, hospital discharge diagnosis, or Medicare claims. Disability-free survival was defined as survival free of ADL disability (any difficulty or inability in bathing, dressing, eating, using the toilet, walking around the home, or getting out of a bed or chair). ADLs were assessed at annual study visits or in a telephone interview. Association between incident AF and disability-free survival or risk of disability was estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Over an average of 7.0 years of follow-up, 660 individuals (16.3%) developed incident AF, and 3,112 (77%) became disabled or died. Incident AF was associated with shorter disability-free survival (hazard ratio (HR) for death or ADL disability = 1.71, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.55-1.90) and a higher risk of ADL disability (HR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.18-1.58) than in individuals with no history of AF. This association persisted after adjustment for interim stroke and heart failure. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that AF is a risk factor for shorter functional longevity in older adults, independent of other risk factors and comorbid conditions.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Atrial Fibrillation; Disability Evaluation; Electrocardiography; Female; Geriatric Assessment; Humans; Incidence; Longevity; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Medicare; Prevalence; Prospective Studies; Survival Rate; United States

Inflammatory markers and extent and progression of early atherosclerosis: Meta-analysis of individual-participant-data from 20 prospective studies of the PROG-IMT collaboration. - Willeit, Peter; Thompson, Simon G; Agewall, Stefan; Bergström, Göran; Bickel, Horst; Catapano, Alberico L; Chien, Kuo-Liong; de Groot, Eric; Empana, Jean-Philippe; Etgen, Thorleif; Franco, Oscar H; Iglseder, Bernhard; et al. (Eur J Prev Cardiol, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Large-scale epidemiological evidence on the role of inflammation in early atherosclerosis, assessed by carotid ultrasound, is lacking. We aimed to quantify cross-sectional and longitudinal associations of inflammatory markers with common-carotid-artery intima-media thickness (CCA-IMT) in the general population. METHODS: Information on high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, fibrinogen, leucocyte count and CCA-IMT was available in 20 prospective cohort studies of the PROG-IMT collaboration involving 49,097 participants free of pre-existing cardiovascular disease. Estimates of associations were calculated within each study and then combined using random-effects meta-analyses. RESULTS: Mean baseline CCA-IMT amounted to 0.74 mm (SD = 0.18) and mean CCA-IMT progression over a mean of 3.9 years to 0.011 mm/year (SD = 0.039). Cross-sectional analyses showed positive linear associations between inflammatory markers and baseline CCA-IMT. After adjustment for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, mean differences in baseline CCA-IMT per one-SD higher inflammatory marker were: 0.0082 mm for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (p < 0.001); 0.0072 mm for fibrinogen (p < 0.001); and 0.0025 mm for leucocyte count (p = 0.033). 'Inflammatory load', defined as the number of elevated inflammatory markers (i.e. in upper two quintiles), showed a positive linear association with baseline CCA-IMT (p < 0.001). Longitudinal associations of baseline inflammatory markers and changes therein with CCA-IMT progression were null or at most weak. Participants with the highest 'inflammatory load' had a greater CCA-IMT progression (p = 0.015). CONCLUSION: Inflammation was independently associated with CCA-IMT cross-sectionally. The lack of clear associations with CCA-IMT progression may be explained by imprecision in its assessment within a limited time period. Our findings for 'inflammatory load' suggest important combined effects of the three inflammatory markers on early atherosclerosis.

Insulinlike growth factor binding protein-1 and ghrelin predict health outcomes among older adults: CHS cohort. - Kaplan, Robert C; Strizich, Garrett; Aneke-Nash, Chino; Dominguez-Islas, Clara; Bůzková, Petra; Strickler, Howard; Rohan, Thomas; Pollak, Michael; Kuller, Lewis; Kizer, Jorge R; Cappola, Anne; Li, Christopher I; et al. (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2016)
CONTEXT: Multiple diseases may explain the association of the growth hormone / insulinlike growth factor-I (GH/IGF-I) axis with longevity. OBJECTIVE: To relate circulating GH/IGF-I system protein levels with major health events. DESIGN: Cohort study Setting: Four US communities Participants: Adults (n=2268) 65 years and older free of diabetes and cardiovascular disease. MEASUREMENTS: We assessed insulinlike growth factor binding protein-1 (IGFBP-1) and ghrelin in fasting and 2-hour oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) blood samples, as well as fasting IGF-I and IGFBP-3. Hazard ratios for mortality and a composite outcome for first incident myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, hip fracture, or death were adjusted for sociodemographic, behavioral, and physiologic covariates. RESULTS: During 13,930 person-years of follow-up, 48.1% individuals sustained one or more components of the composite outcome and 31.8% died. Versus the lowest quartiles, the highest quartiles of fasting and 2-h ghrelin were associated with a 27% higher (95% CI: 6%, 53%) and 39% higher (95% CI: 14%, 71%) risks of the composite outcome, respectively. The highest quartile of 2-h IGFBP-1 was associated with 35% higher (95% CI: 1%, 52%) risk of the composite endpoint. Similarly, higher mortality was significantly associated with higher fasting and 2-h ghrelin level, and with 2-h IGFBP-1 level. When examined together, 2-h post-OGTT levels of IGFBP-1 and ghrelin tended to predict outcomes better than fasting levels. CONCLUSIONS: Circulating IGFBP-1 and ghrelin measured during an OGTT predict major health events and death in older adults, which may explain the influence of the GH-IGF-axis on lifespan and health.

Interaction of methylation-related genetic variants with circulating fatty acids on plasma lipids: a meta-analysis of 7 studies and methylation analysis of 3 studies in the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology consortium. - Ma, Yiyi; Follis, Jack L; Smith, Caren E; Tanaka, Toshiko; Manichaikul, Ani W; Chu, Audrey Y; Samieri, Cecilia; Zhou, Xia; Guan, Weihua; Wang, Lu; Biggs, Mary L; Chen, Yii-der I; et al. (Am J Clin Nutr, 2016)
BACKGROUND: DNA methylation is influenced by diet and single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), and methylation modulates gene expression. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to explore whether the gene-by-diet interactions on blood lipids act through DNA methylation. DESIGN: We selected 7 SNPs on the basis of predicted relations in fatty acids, methylation, and lipids. We conducted a meta-analysis and a methylation and mediation analysis with the use of data from the CHARGE (Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology) consortium and the ENCODE (Encyclopedia of DNA Elements) consortium. RESULTS: On the basis of the meta-analysis of 7 cohorts in the CHARGE consortium, higher plasma HDL cholesterol was associated with fewer C alleles at ATP-binding cassette subfamily A member 1 (ABCA1) rs2246293 (β = -0.6 mg/dL, P = 0.015) and higher circulating eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) (β = 3.87 mg/dL, P = 5.62 × 10(21)). The difference in HDL cholesterol associated with higher circulating EPA was dependent on genotypes at rs2246293, and it was greater for each additional C allele (β = 1.69 mg/dL, P = 0.006). In the GOLDN (Genetics of Lipid Lowering Drugs and Diet Network) study, higher ABCA1 promoter cg14019050 methylation was associated with more C alleles at rs2246293 (β = 8.84%, P = 3.51 × 10(18)) and lower circulating EPA (β = -1.46%, P = 0.009), and the mean difference in methylation of cg14019050 that was associated with higher EPA was smaller with each additional C allele of rs2246293 (β = -2.83%, P = 0.007). Higher ABCA1 cg14019050 methylation was correlated with lower ABCA1 expression (r = -0.61, P = 0.009) in the ENCODE consortium and lower plasma HDL cholesterol in the GOLDN study (r = -0.12, P = 0.0002). An additional mediation analysis was meta-analyzed across the GOLDN study, Cardiovascular Health Study, and the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Compared with the model without the adjustment of cg14019050 methylation, the model with such adjustment provided smaller estimates of the mean plasma HDL cholesterol concentration in association with both the rs2246293 C allele and EPA and a smaller difference by rs2246293 genotypes in the EPA-associated HDL cholesterol. However, the differences between 2 nested models were NS (P > 0.05). CONCLUSION: We obtained little evidence that the gene-by-fatty acid interactions on blood lipids act through DNA methylation.
Keywords: Apolipoproteins E; ATP Binding Cassette Transporter 1; Cholesterol, HDL; Cohort Studies; Diet; DNA Methylation; Eicosapentaenoic Acid; Epigenesis, Genetic; Fatty Acids; Gene Expression Regulation; Humans; Lipids; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Promoter Regions, Genetic; Triglycerides

KLB is associated with alcohol drinking, and its gene product β-Klotho is necessary for FGF21 regulation of alcohol preference. - Schumann, Gunter; Liu, Chunyu; O'Reilly, Paul; Gao, He; Song, Parkyong; Xu, Bing; Ruggeri, Barbara; Amin, Najaf; Jia, Tianye; Preis, Sarah; Segura Lepe, Marcelo; Akira, Shizuo; et al. (Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 2016)
Excessive alcohol consumption is a major public health problem worldwide. Although drinking habits are known to be inherited, few genes have been identified that are robustly linked to alcohol drinking. We conducted a genome-wide association metaanalysis and replication study among >105,000 individuals of European ancestry and identified β-Klotho (KLB) as a locus associated with alcohol consumption (rs11940694; P = 9.2 × 10(-12)). β-Klotho is an obligate coreceptor for the hormone FGF21, which is secreted from the liver and implicated in macronutrient preference in humans. We show that brain-specific β-Klotho KO mice have an increased alcohol preference and that FGF21 inhibits alcohol drinking by acting on the brain. These data suggest that a liver-brain endocrine axis may play an important role in the regulation of alcohol drinking behavior and provide a unique pharmacologic target for reducing alcohol consumption.

Lack of association of plasma gamma prime (γ') fibrinogen with incident cardiovascular disease. - Appiah, Duke; Heckbert, Susan R; Cushman, Mary; Psaty, Bruce M; Folsom, Aaron R (Thromb Res, 2016)
INTRODUCTION: The association of gamma prime (γ') fibrinogen; a fibrinogen γ chain variant generated via alternative mRNA processing, with cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains equivocal. We prospectively examine the association of plasma γ' fibrinogen with the incidence of multiple cardiovascular disease (CVD) endpoints, independent of established CVD risk factors and total fibrinogen. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We measured plasma γ' fibrinogen on plasma samples collected in 1992-1993 from adults ≥65years (n=3219) enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study, who were followed through 2013 for incident CVD events. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: In multivariable Cox models adjusted for traditional CVD risk factors and total fibrinogen, the hazard ratio per 1 standard deviation (10.7mg/dl) increment of γ' fibrinogen was 1.02 (95%CI: 0.95-1.10) for coronary heart disease; 0.88 (0.77-1.00) for ischemic stroke; 1.07 (0.87-1.32) for peripheral artery disease; 1.00 (0.92-1.08) for heart failure and 1.01 (0.92-1.10) for CVD mortality. Likewise, we failed to show a statistically significant association of γ'/total fibrinogen ratio with any CVD endpoint. These results suggest that among the elderly, γ' fibrinogen does not add much to CVD prediction beyond traditional risk factors and total fibrinogen level.

Large-Scale Exome-wide Association Analysis Identifies Loci for White Blood Cell Traits and Pleiotropy with Immune-Mediated Diseases. - Tajuddin, Salman M; Schick, Ursula M; Eicher, John D; Chami, Nathalie; Giri, Ayush; Brody, Jennifer A; Hill, W David; Kacprowski, Tim; Li, Jin; Lyytikäinen, Leo-Pekka; Manichaikul, Ani; Mihailov, Evelin; et al. (Am J Hum Genet, 2016)
White blood cells play diverse roles in innate and adaptive immunity. Genetic association analyses of phenotypic variation in circulating white blood cell (WBC) counts from large samples of otherwise healthy individuals can provide insights into genes and biologic pathways involved in production, differentiation, or clearance of particular WBC lineages (myeloid, lymphoid) and also potentially inform the genetic basis of autoimmune, allergic, and blood diseases. We performed an exome array-based meta-analysis of total WBC and subtype counts (neutrophils, monocytes, lymphocytes, basophils, and eosinophils) in a multi-ancestry discovery and replication sample of ∼157,622 individuals from 25 studies. We identified 16 common variants (8 of which were coding variants) associated with one or more WBC traits, the majority of which are pleiotropically associated with autoimmune diseases. Based on functional annotation, these loci included genes encoding surface markers of myeloid, lymphoid, or hematopoietic stem cell differentiation (CD69, CD33, CD87), transcription factors regulating lineage specification during hematopoiesis (ASXL1, IRF8, IKZF1, JMJD1C, ETS2-PSMG1), and molecules involved in neutrophil clearance/apoptosis (C10orf54, LTA), adhesion (TNXB), or centrosome and microtubule structure/function (KIF9, TUBD1). Together with recent reports of somatic ASXL1 mutations among individuals with idiopathic cytopenias or clonal hematopoiesis of undetermined significance, the identification of a common regulatory 3' UTR variant of ASXL1 suggests that both germline and somatic ASXL1 mutations contribute to lower blood counts in otherwise asymptomatic individuals. These association results shed light on genetic mechanisms that regulate circulating WBC counts and suggest a prominent shared genetic architecture with inflammatory and autoimmune diseases.

Large-scale pharmacogenomic study of sulfonylureas and the QT, JT and QRS intervals: CHARGE Pharmacogenomics Working Group. - Floyd, J S; Sitlani, C M; Avery, C L; Noordam, R; Li, X; Smith, A V; Gogarten, S M; Li, J; Broer, L; Evans, D S; Trompet, S; Brody, J A; et al. (Pharmacogenomics J, 2016)
Sulfonylureas, a commonly used class of medication used to treat type 2 diabetes, have been associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease. Their effects on QT interval duration and related electrocardiographic phenotypes are potential mechanisms for this adverse effect. In 11 ethnically diverse cohorts that included 71 857 European, African-American and Hispanic/Latino ancestry individuals with repeated measures of medication use and electrocardiogram (ECG) measurements, we conducted a pharmacogenomic genome-wide association study of sulfonylurea use and three ECG phenotypes: QT, JT and QRS intervals. In ancestry-specific meta-analyses, eight novel pharmacogenomic loci met the threshold for genome-wide significance (P<5 × 10(-8)), and a pharmacokinetic variant in CYP2C9 (rs1057910) that has been associated with sulfonylurea-related treatment effects and other adverse drug reactions in previous studies was replicated. Additional research is needed to replicate the novel findings and to understand their biological basis.The Pharmacogenomics Journal advance online publication, 13 December 2016; doi:10.1038/tpj.2016.90.

Lifetime Risk of Venous Thromboembolism in Two Cohort Studies. - Bell, Elizabeth J; Lutsey, Pamela L; Basu, Saonli; Cushman, Mary; Heckbert, Susan R; Lloyd-Jones, Donald M; Folsom, Aaron R (Am J Med, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Greater public awareness of venous thromboembolism may be an important next step for optimizing venous thromboembolism prevention and treatment. "Lifetime risk" is an easily interpretable way of presenting risk information. Therefore, we sought to calculate the lifetime risk of venous thromboembolism (deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism) using data from 2 large, prospective cohort studies: the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) and the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. METHODS: We followed participants aged 45-64 years in ARIC (n = 14,185) and ≥65 in CHS (n = 5414) at baseline visits (1987-1989 in ARIC, 1989-1990 and 1992-1993 in CHS) for incident venous thromboembolism (n = 728 in ARIC through 2011 and n = 172 in CHS through 2001). We estimated lifetime risks and 95% confidence intervals of incident venous thromboembolism using a modified Kaplan-Meier method, accounting for the competing risk of death from other causes. RESULTS: At age 45 years, the remaining lifetime risk of venous thromboembolism in ARIC was 8.1% (95% confidence interval, 7.1-8.7). High-risk groups were African Americans (11.5% lifetime risk), those with obesity (10.9%), heterozygous for the factor V Leiden (17.1%), or with sickle cell trait or disease (18.2%). Lifetime risk estimates differed by cohort; these differences were explained by differences in time period of venous thromboembolism ascertainment. CONCLUSIONS: At least 1 in 12 middle-aged adults will develop venous thromboembolism in their remaining lifetime. This estimate of lifetime risk may be useful to promote awareness of venous thromboembolism and guide decisions at both clinical and policy levels.
Keywords: African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; Anemia, Sickle Cell; Cohort Studies; Factor V; Follow-Up Studies; Heterozygote; Humans; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Middle Aged; Obesity; Risk; Sickle Cell Trait; United States; Venous Thromboembolism

Lipoprotein-Associated Phospholipase A2 and Incident Peripheral Arterial Disease in Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Garg, Parveen K; Arnold, Alice M; Hinckley Stukovsky, Karen D; Koro, Carol; Jenny, Nancy S; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Criqui, Michael H; Furberg, Curt D; Newman, Anne B; Cushman, Mary (Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, 2016)
OBJECTIVE: Although prior studies report a relationship between elevated lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2) and incident cardiovascular disease, the prospective association of Lp-PLA2 with incident peripheral arterial disease (PAD) has not been studied. We investigated the association between Lp-PLA2 mass and activity and the risk of developing clinical PAD and low ankle-brachial index (ABI). APPROACH AND RESULTS: Among Cardiovascular Health Study participants, a population-based cohort of 5888 adults aged ≥65 years enrolled in 1989 to 1990, Lp-PLA2 mass and activity were measured in 4537 individuals without baseline PAD. Clinical PAD, defined as leg artery revascularization or diagnosed claudication, was ascertained through 2011. Incident low ABI, defined as ABI <0.9 and decline of ≥0.15, was assessed among 3537 individuals who had an ABI >0.9 at baseline and a second ABI measurement 3 or 6 years later. Analyses were adjusted for demographics, cholesterol, smoking, comorbidities, and C-reactive protein. Each standard deviation increment in Lp-PLA2 mass (117 ng/mL) was associated with a higher risk of developing clinical PAD (hazard ratio 1.28; 95% confidence interval 1.13, 1.45) and incident low ABI (odds ratio 1.16; 95% confidence interval 1.00, 1.33). Results per standard deviation increment in Lp-PLA2 activity (13 nmol/min per mL) were similar for clinical PAD (hazard ratio 1.24; 95% confidence interval 1.07, 1.44) and low ABI (odds ratio 1.28; 95% confidence interval 1.09, 1.50). CONCLUSIONS: Higher Lp-PLA2 mass and activity were associated with development of both incident clinical PAD and low ABI. Future studies are needed to determine whether pharmacological inhibition of Lp-PLA2 reduces the incidence of PAD.
Keywords: 1-Alkyl-2-acetylglycerophosphocholine Esterase; Age Factors; Aged; Aging; Ankle Brachial Index; Biomarkers; Chi-Square Distribution; Female; Humans; Incidence; Inflammation Mediators; Logistic Models; Male; Odds Ratio; Peripheral Arterial Disease; Prognosis; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Time Factors; United States; Up-Regulation

Longitudinal assessment of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and risk of diabetes in older adults: The cardiovascular health study. - Brutsaert, Erika F; Biggs, Mary L; Delaney, Joseph A; Djoussé, Luc; Gottdiener, John S; Ix, Joachim H; Kim, Francis; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Siscovick, David S; Tracy, Russell P; de Boer, Ian H; deFilippi, Christopher R; et al. (Metabolism, 2016)
INTRODUCTION: Natriuretic peptides have a well-recognized role in cardiovascular homeostasis. Recently, higher levels of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) have also been associated with decreased risk of diabetes in middle-aged adults. Whether this association persists into older age, where the pathophysiology of diabetes changes, has not been established, nor has its intermediate pathways. METHODS: We investigated the relationship between N-terminal (NT)-proBNP and incident diabetes in 2359 older adults free of cardiovascular disease or chronic kidney disease in the Cardiovascular Health Study. RESULTS: We documented 348 incident cases of diabetes over 12.6years of median follow-up. After adjusting for age, sex, race, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, anti-hypertensive treatment, smoking, alcohol use, and LDL, each doubling of NT-proBNP was associated with a 9% lower risk of incident diabetes (HR=0.91 [95% CI: 0.84-0.99]). Additional adjustment for waist circumference, physical activity, estimated glomerular filtration rate or C-reactive protein did not influence the association. Among putative mediators, HDL and triglycerides, adiponectin, and especially homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance, all appeared to account for a portion of the lower risk associated with NT-proBNP. CONCLUSION: In older adults without prevalent cardiovascular or kidney disease, higher NT-proBNP is associated with decreased risk of incident diabetes even after adjustment for traditional risk factors. These findings suggest that the metabolic effects of natriuretic peptides persist late in life and offer a potential therapeutic target for prevention of diabetes in older people.