Leukocyte telomere length and age at menopause. - Gray, Kristen E; Schiff, Melissa A; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Kimura, Masayuki; Aviv, Abraham; Starr, Jacqueline R (Epidemiology, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Telomere length is a marker of cellular aging that varies with the individual, is inherited, and is highly correlated across somatic cell types within persons. Interindividual variability of telomere length may partly explain differences in reproductive aging rates. We examined whether leukocyte telomere length was associated with menopausal age. METHODS: We evaluated the relationship between leukocyte telomere length and age at natural menopause in 486 white women ≥65 years of age. We fit linear regression models adjusted for age, income, education, body mass index, physical activity, smoking, and alcohol intake. We repeated the analysis in women with surgical menopause. We also performed sensitivity analyses excluding women (1) with unilateral oophorectomy, (2) who were nulliparous, or (3) reporting menopausal age <40 years, among other exclusions. RESULTS: For every 1-kb increase in leukocyte telomere length, average age at natural menopause increased by 10.2 months (95% confidence interval = 1.3 to 19.0). There was no association among 179 women reporting surgical menopause. In all but one sensitivity analysis, the association between leukocyte telomere length and age at menopause became stronger. However, when excluding women with menopausal age <40 years, the association decreased to 7.5 months (-0.4 to 15.5). CONCLUSIONS: Women with the longest leukocyte telomere length underwent menopause 3 years later than those with the shortest leukocyte telomere length. If an artifact, an association would likely also have been observed in women with surgical menopause. If these results are replicated, leukocyte telomere length may prove to be a useful predictor of age at menopause.
Keywords: Adult; Age of Onset; Aged; Aging; Alcohol Drinking; Body Mass Index; Educational Status; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Humans; Leukocytes; Linear Models; Menopause; Middle Aged; Motor Activity; Smoking; Telomere

Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 and risk of dementia in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Irizarry, Michael C; Cushman, Mary; Jenny, Nancy S; Chi, Gloria C; Koro, Carol (Atherosclerosis, 2014)
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate associations between Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2) mass and activity with risk of dementia and its subtypes. METHODS: Analysis were completed on 3320 participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a population-based longitudinal study of community-dwelling adults age ≥65 years followed for an average of 5.4 years. Baseline serum Lp-PLA2 mass was measured using a sandwich enzyme immunoassay and Lp-PLA2 activity utilized a tritiated-platelet activating factor activity assay. Cox proportional hazards regression assessed the relative risk of incident dementia with higher baseline Lp-PLA2 adjusting for demographics, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and risk factors, inflammation markers and apolipoprotein E (APOE) genotype. RESULTS: Each standard deviation higher Lp-PLA2 mass and activity were related to increased risk of dementia (fully adjusted HR: 1.11 per SD, 95% CI: 1.00-1.24 for mass; HR: 1.12 per SD, 95% CI: 1.00-1.26 for activity). Persons in the highest quartile of Lp-PLA2 mass were 50% more likely to develop dementia than those in the lowest quartile in adjusted models (HR: 1.49; 95% CI: 1.08-2.06). Among dementia subtypes, the risk of AD was increased two-fold in the highest compared to lowest quartile of Lp-PLA2 mass (adjusted HR: 1.98, 95% CI: 1.22-3.21). Results were attenuated in models of mixed dementia and VaD. Lp-PLA2 activity also doubled the risk of mixed dementia in the highest compared to lowest quartile (HR: 2.21, 95% CI: 1.12-4.373). INTERPRETATION: These data support Lp-PLA2 as a risk factor for dementia independent of CVD and its risk factors. Further study is required to clarify the role of Lp-PLA2-related mechanisms in dementia subtypes.
Keywords: 1-Alkyl-2-acetylglycerophosphocholine Esterase; Aged; Alzheimer Disease; Dementia; Female; Humans; Male; Risk; Risk Factors

A low-frequency variant in MAPK14 provides mechanistic evidence of a link with myeloperoxidase: a prognostic cardiovascular risk marker. - Waterworth, Dawn M; Li, Li; Scott, Robert; Warren, Liling; Gillson, Christopher; Aponte, Jennifer; Sarov-Blat, Lea; Sprecher, Dennis; Dupuis, Josée; Reiner, Alex; Psaty, Bruce M; Tracy, Russell P; et al. (J Am Heart Assoc, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Genetics can be used to predict drug effects and generate hypotheses around alternative indications. To support Losmapimod, a p38 mitogen-activated protein kinase inhibitor in development for acute coronary syndrome, we characterized gene variation in MAPK11/14 genes by exome sequencing and follow-up genotyping or imputation in participants well-phenotyped for cardiovascular and metabolic traits. METHODS AND RESULTS: Investigation of genetic variation in MAPK11 and MAPK14 genes using additive genetic models in linear or logistic regression with cardiovascular, metabolic, and biomarker phenotypes highlighted an association of RS2859144 in MAPK14 with myeloperoxidase in a dyslipidemic population (Genetic Epidemiology of Metabolic Syndrome Study), P=2.3×10(-6)). This variant (or proxy) was consistently associated with myeloperoxidase in the Framingham Heart Study and Cardiovascular Health Study studies (replication meta-P=0.003), leading to a meta-P value of 9.96×10(-7) in the 3 dyslipidemic groups. The variant or its proxy was then profiled in additional population-based cohorts (up to a total of 58 930 subjects) including Cohorte Lausannoise, Ely, Fenland, European Prospective Investigation of Cancer, London Life Sciences Prospective Population Study, and the Genetics of Obesity Associations study obesity case-control for up to 40 cardiovascular and metabolic traits. Overall analysis identified the same single nucleotide polymorphisms to be nominally associated consistently with glomerular filtration rate (P=0.002) and risk of obesity (body mass index ≥30 kg/m(2), P=0.004). CONCLUSIONS: As myeloperoxidase is a prognostic marker of coronary events, the MAPK14 variant may provide a mechanistic link between p38 map kinase and these events, providing information consistent with current indication of Losmapimod for acute coronary syndrome. If replicated, the association with glomerular filtration rate, along with previous biological findings, also provides support for kidney diseases as alternative indications.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Dyslipidemias; Exome; Female; Genotype; Humans; Linear Models; Logistic Models; Male; Metabolic Syndrome X; Middle Aged; Mitogen-Activated Protein Kinase 11; Mitogen-Activated Protein Kinase 14; Obesity; Peroxidase; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Prognosis; Risk Factors; Sequence Analysis, DNA

Meta-analysis of loci associated with age at natural menopause in African-American women. - Chen, Christina T L; Liu, Ching-Ti; Chen, Gary K; Andrews, Jeanette S; Arnold, Alice M; Dreyfus, Jill; Franceschini, Nora; Garcia, Melissa E; Kerr, Kathleen F; Li, Guo; Lohman, Kurt K; Musani, Solomon K; et al. (Hum Mol Genet, 2014)
Age at menopause marks the end of a woman's reproductive life and its timing associates with risks for cancer, cardiovascular and bone disorders. GWAS and candidate gene studies conducted in women of European ancestry have identified 27 loci associated with age at menopause. The relevance of these loci to women of African ancestry has not been previously studied. We therefore sought to uncover additional menopause loci and investigate the relevance of European menopause loci by performing a GWAS meta-analysis in 6510 women with African ancestry derived from 11 studies across the USA. We did not identify any additional loci significantly associated with age at menopause in African Americans. We replicated the associations between six loci and age at menopause (P-value < 0.05): AMHR2, RHBLD2, PRIM1, HK3/UMC1, BRSK1/TMEM150B and MCM8. In addition, associations of 14 loci are directionally consistent with previous reports. We provide evidence that genetic variants influencing reproductive traits identified in European populations are also important in women of African ancestry residing in USA.
Keywords: African Americans; Age Factors; Chromosomes, Human; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Loci; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Menopause; United States

Metabolic syndrome and risk of incident peripheral artery disease: the cardiovascular health study. - Garg, Parveen K; Biggs, Mary L; Carnethon, Mercedes; Ix, Joachim H; Criqui, Michael H; Britton, Kathryn A; Djoussé, Luc; Sutton-Tyrrell, Kim; Newman, Anne B; Cushman, Mary; Mukamal, Kenneth J (Hypertension, 2014)
Prior studies evaluating metabolic syndrome (MetS) and incident peripheral artery disease (PAD) have been limited by use of modified MetS criteria and restriction to clinical PAD end points. We investigated MetS and risk of developing a low ankle-brachial index (ABI) and clinical PAD in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a population-based cohort of adults aged ≥65 years. Participants with MetS met at least 3 of 5 Adult Treatment Panel III criteria. Baseline C-reactive protein-MetS or fibrinogen-MetS were defined as presence of 3 of 6 components, with elevated C-reactive protein (>3 mg/L) or fibrinogen (>341 mg/dL) as a sixth component. Incident low ABI, defined as ABI <0.9 and decline of ≥0.15, was assessed among a subset of 1899 individuals with 2 ABI measurements 6 years apart. Over a median follow-up of 13.7 years, 4632 individuals were followed up for clinical PAD, defined as revascularization or diagnosed claudication. Adult Treatment Panel III MetS was associated with both incident low ABI (risk ratio, 1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00-1.58) and clinical PAD (hazard ratio, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.11-1.94). Incorporating C-reactive protein or fibrinogen into Adult Treatment Panel III criteria identified an additional 16% to 20% of individuals as having MetS, and both C-reactive protein-MetS and fibrinogen-MetS were associated with incident low ABI (risk ratio, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.07-1.72 and risk ratio, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.13-1.81, respectively) and clinical PAD (hazard ratio, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.17-2.08 and hazard ratio, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.17-2.07, respectively). Among Adult Treatment Panel III MetS criteria, risk of PAD was most strongly associated with hypertension.
Keywords: Aged; Ankle Brachial Index; C-Reactive Protein; Female; Fibrinogen; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Metabolic Syndrome; Peripheral Arterial Disease; Prevalence; Risk Factors; Vasculitis

Multiancestral analysis of inflammation-related genetic variants and C-reactive protein in the population architecture using genomics and epidemiology study. - Kocarnik, Jonathan M; Pendergrass, Sarah A; Carty, Cara L; Pankow, James S; Schumacher, Fredrick R; Cheng, Iona; Durda, Peter; Ambite, Jose Luis; Deelman, Ewa; Cook, Nancy R; Liu, Simin; Wactawski-Wende, Jean; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2014)
BACKGROUND: C-reactive protein (CRP) is a biomarker of inflammation. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with CRP concentrations and inflammation-related traits such as cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and obesity. We aimed to replicate previous CRP-SNP associations, assess whether these associations generalize to additional race/ethnicity groups, and evaluate inflammation-related SNPs for a potentially pleiotropic association with CRP. METHODS AND RESULTS: We selected and analyzed 16 CRP-associated and 250 inflammation-related GWAS SNPs among 40 473 African American, American Indian, Asian/Pacific Islander, European American, and Hispanic participants from 7 studies collaborating in the Population Architecture using Genomics and Epidemiology (PAGE) study. Fixed-effect meta-analyses combined study-specific race/ethnicity-stratified linear regression estimates to evaluate the association between each SNP and high-sensitivity CRP. Overall, 18 SNPs in 8 loci were significantly associated with CRP (Bonferroni-corrected P<3.1×10(-3) for replication, P<2.0×10(-4) for pleiotropy): Seven of these were specific to European Americans, while 9 additionally generalized to African Americans (1), Hispanics (5), or both (3); 1 SNP was seen only in African Americans and Hispanics. Two SNPs in the CELSR2/PSRC1/SORT1 locus showed a potentially novel association with CRP: rs599839 (P=2.0×10(-6)) and rs646776 (P=3.1×10(-5)). CONCLUSIONS: We replicated 16 SNP-CRP associations, 10 of which generalized to African Americans and/or Hispanics. We also identified potentially novel pleiotropic associations with CRP for two SNPs previously associated with coronary artery disease and/or low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol. These findings demonstrate the benefit of evaluating genotype-phenotype associations in multiple race/ethnicity groups and looking for pleiotropic relationships among SNPs previously associated with related phenotypes.
Keywords: Adult; African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; Asian Continental Ancestry Group; C-Reactive Protein; Female; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Hispanic Americans; Humans; Indians, North American; Inflammation; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; United States; Young Adult

Multilocus genetic risk score associates with ischemic stroke in case-control and prospective cohort studies. - Malik, Rainer; Bevan, Steve; Nalls, Michael A; Holliday, Elizabeth G; Devan, William J; Cheng, Yu-Ching; Ibrahim-Verbaas, Carla A; Verhaaren, Benjamin F J; Bis, Joshua C; Joon, Aron Y; de Stefano, Anita L; Fornage, Myriam; et al. (Stroke, 2014)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Genome-wide association studies have revealed multiple common variants associated with known risk factors for ischemic stroke (IS). However, their aggregate effect on risk is uncertain. We aimed to generate a multilocus genetic risk score (GRS) for IS based on genome-wide association studies data from clinical-based samples and to establish its external validity in prospective population-based cohorts. METHODS: Three thousand five hundred forty-eight clinic-based IS cases and 6399 controls from the Wellcome Trust Case Control Consortium 2 were used for derivation of the GRS. Subjects from the METASTROKE consortium served as a replication sample. The validation sample consisted of 22 751 participants from the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology consortium. We selected variants that had reached genome-wide significance in previous association studies on established risk factors for IS. RESULTS: A combined GRS for atrial fibrillation, coronary artery disease, hypertension, and systolic blood pressure significantly associated with IS both in the case-control samples and in the prospective population-based studies. Subjects in the top quintile of the combined GRS had >2-fold increased risk of IS compared with subjects in the lowest quintile. Addition of the combined GRS to a simple model based on sex significantly improved the prediction of IS in the combined clinic-based samples but not in the population-based studies, and there was no significant improvement in net reclassification. CONCLUSIONS: A multilocus GRS based on common variants for established cardiovascular risk factors was significantly associated with IS both in clinic-based samples and in the general population. However, the improvement in clinical risk prediction was found to be small.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Atrial Fibrillation; Blood Pressure; Brain Ischemia; Case-Control Studies; Cohort Studies; Coronary Artery Disease; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Hypertension; Male; Middle Aged; Multilocus Sequence Typing; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Population; Prospective Studies; Reproducibility of Results; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Sex Factors; Stroke

Novel gene variants predict serum levels of the cytokines IL-18 and IL-1ra in older adults. - Matteini, A M; Li, J; Lange, E M; Tanaka, T; Lange, L A; Tracy, R P; Wang, Y; Biggs, M L; Arking, D E; Fallin, M D; Chakravarti, A; Psaty, B M; et al. (Cytokine, 2014)
Activation of inflammatory pathways measured by serum inflammatory markers such as interleukin-18 (IL-18) and interleukin-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1ra) is strongly associated with the progression of chronic disease states in older adults. Given that these serum cytokine levels are in part a heritable trait, genetic variation may predict increased serum levels. Using the Cardiovascular Health Study and InCHIANTI cohorts, a genome-wide association study was performed to identify genetic variants that influence IL-18 and IL-1ra serum levels among older adults. Multiple linear regression models characterized the association between each SNP and log-transformed cytokine values. Tests for multiple independent signals within statistically significant loci were performed using haplotype analysis and regression models conditional on lead SNP in each region. Multiple SNPs were associated with these cytokines with genome-wide significance, including SNPs in the IL-18-BCO gene region of chromosome 2 for IL-18 (top SNP rs2250417, P=1.9×10(-32)) and in the IL-1 gene family region of chromosome 2 for IL-1ra (rs6743376, P=2.3×10(-26)). Haplotype tests and conditional linear regression models showed evidence of multiple independent signals in these regions. Serum IL-18 levels were also associated with a region on chromosome 2 containing the NLRC4 gene (rs12989936, P=2.7×10(-19)). These data characterize multiple robust genetic signals that influence IL-18 and IL-1ra cytokine production. In particular, the signal for serum IL-18 located on chromosome two is novel and potentially important in inflammasome triggered chronic activation of inflammation in older adults. Replication in independent cohorts is an important next step, as well as molecular studies to better understand the role of NLRC4.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Calcium-Binding Proteins; CARD Signaling Adaptor Proteins; Chromosomes, Human, Pair 2; Female; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Haplotypes; Humans; Inflammation; Interleukin 1 Receptor Antagonist Protein; Interleukin-18; Male; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Novel genetic markers associate with atrial fibrillation risk in Europeans and Japanese. - Lubitz, Steven A; Lunetta, Kathryn L; Lin, Honghuang; Arking, Dan E; Trompet, Stella; Li, Guo; Krijthe, Bouwe P; Chasman, Daniel I; Barnard, John; Kleber, Marcus E; Dörr, Marcus; Ozaki, Kouichi; et al. (J Am Coll Cardiol, 2014)
OBJECTIVES: This study sought to identify nonredundant atrial fibrillation (AF) genetic susceptibility signals and examine their cumulative relations with AF risk. BACKGROUND: AF-associated loci span broad genomic regions that may contain multiple susceptibility signals. Whether multiple signals exist at AF loci has not been systematically explored. METHODS: We performed association testing conditioned on the most significant, independently associated genetic markers at 9 established AF loci using 2 complementary techniques in 64,683 individuals of European ancestry (3,869 incident and 3,302 prevalent AF cases). Genetic risk scores were created and tested for association with AF in Europeans and an independent sample of 11,309 individuals of Japanese ancestry (7,916 prevalent AF cases). RESULTS: We observed at least 4 distinct AF susceptibility signals on chromosome 4q25 upstream of PITX2, but not at the remaining 8 AF loci. A multilocus score comprised 12 genetic markers demonstrated an estimated 5-fold gradient in AF risk. We observed a similar spectrum of risk associated with these markers in Japanese. Regions containing AF signals on chromosome 4q25 displayed a greater degree of evolutionary conservation than the remainder of the locus, suggesting that they may tag regulatory elements. CONCLUSIONS: The chromosome 4q25 AF locus is architecturally complex and harbors at least 4 AF susceptibility signals in individuals of European ancestry. Similar polygenic AF susceptibility exists between Europeans and Japanese. Future work is necessary to identify causal variants, determine mechanisms by which associated loci predispose to AF, and explore whether AF susceptibility signals classify individuals at risk for AF and related morbidity.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Asian Continental Ancestry Group; Atrial Fibrillation; Chromosome Mapping; Chromosomes, Human, Pair 4; Europe; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Markers; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Homeodomain Proteins; Humans; Japan; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Transcription Factors

Physical activity and heart rate variability in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Soares-Miranda, Luisa; Sattelmair, Jacob; Chaves, Paulo; Duncan, Glen E; Siscovick, David S; Stein, Phyllis K; Mozaffarian, Dariush (Circulation, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Cardiac mortality and electrophysiological dysfunction both increase with age. Heart rate variability (HRV) provides indices of autonomic function and electrophysiology that are associated with cardiac risk. How habitual physical activity among older adults prospectively relates to HRV, including nonlinear indices of erratic sinus patterns, is not established. We hypothesized that increasing the levels of both total leisure-time activity and walking would be prospectively associated with more favorable time-domain, frequency-domain, and nonlinear HRV measures in older adults. METHODS AND RESULTS: We evaluated serial longitudinal measures of both physical activity and 24-hour Holter HRV over 5 years among 985 older US adults in the community-based Cardiovascular Health Study. After multivariable adjustment, greater total leisure-time activity, walking distance, and walking pace were each prospectively associated with specific, more favorable HRV indices, including higher 24-hour standard deviation of all normal-to-normal intervals (Ptrend=0.009, 0.02, 0.06, respectively) and ultralow-frequency power (Ptrend=0.02, 0.008, 0.16, respectively). Greater walking pace was also associated with a higher short-term fractal scaling exponent (Ptrend=0.003) and lower Poincaré ratio (Ptrend=0.02), markers of less erratic sinus patterns. CONCLUSIONS: Greater total leisure-time activity, and walking alone, as well, were prospectively associated with more favorable and specific indices of autonomic function in older adults, including several suggestive of more normal circadian fluctuations and less erratic sinoatrial firing. Our results suggest potential mechanisms that might contribute to lower cardiovascular mortality with habitual physical activity later in life.
Keywords: Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cross-Sectional Studies; Electrocardiography, Ambulatory; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Health Status; Heart Rate; Humans; Leisure Activities; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Motor Activity; Prospective Studies; Walking

Physical activity, inflammation, and volume of the aging brain. - Braskie, M N; Boyle, C P; Rajagopalan, P; Gutman, B A; Toga, A W; Raji, C A; Tracy, R P; Kuller, L H; Becker, J T; Lopez, O L; Thompson, P M (Neuroscience, 2014)
Physical activity influences inflammation, and both affect brain structure and Alzheimer's disease (AD) risk. We hypothesized that older adults with greater reported physical activity intensity and lower serum levels of the inflammatory marker tumor necrosis factor α (TNFα) would have larger regional brain volumes on subsequent magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans. In 43 cognitively intact older adults (79.3±4.8 years) and 39 patients with AD (81.9±5.1 years at the time of MRI) participating in the Cardiovascular Health Study, we examined year-1 reported physical activity intensity, year-5 blood serum TNFα measures, and year-9 volumetric brain MRI scans. We examined how prior physical activity intensity and TNFα related to subsequent total and regional brain volumes. Physical activity intensity was measured using the modified Minnesota Leisure Time Physical Activities questionnaire at year 1 of the study, when all subjects included here were cognitively intact. Stability of measures was established for exercise intensity over 9 years and TNFα over 3 years in a subset of subjects who had these measurements at multiple time points. When considered together, more intense physical activity intensity and lower serum TNFα were both associated with greater total brain volume on follow-up MRI scans. TNFα, but not physical activity, was associated with regional volumes of the inferior parietal lobule, a region previously associated with inflammation in AD patients. Physical activity and TNFα may independently influence brain structure in older adults.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Alzheimer Disease; Apolipoproteins E; Brain; Female; Humans; Inflammation; Longitudinal Studies; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Motor Activity; Neuroimmunomodulation; Neuropsychological Tests; Organ Size; Parietal Lobe; Surveys and Questionnaires; Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha

Plasma free fatty acids and risk of stroke in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Khawaja, Owais; Maziarz, Marlena; Biggs, Mary L; Longstreth, William T; Ix, Joachim H; Kizer, Jorge R; Zieman, Susan; Tracy, Russell P; Mozaffarian, Dariush; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Siscovick, David S; Djoussé, Luc (Int J Stroke, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Although free fatty acids have been positively associated with risk factors for stroke, the role of plasma free fatty acids in the development of stroke has not been elucidated in older adults. AIMS: We sought to examine the association between plasma free fatty acids and incident stroke. METHODS: Prospective cohort of 4369 men and women≥65 years of age in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Plasma levels of free fatty acids were measured at the 1992-1993 examination and stroke events were adjudicated by a committee of experts including neurologists and neuroradiologists. Cox regression was used to estimate the relative risk of stroke associated with free fatty acids concentrations. RESULTS: The average age among participants was 75±5·2 years. During a median follow-up of 11·4 years, 732 incident strokes occurred. The crude incidence rates of stroke were 14·5, 14·9, and 17·6 per 1000 person-years across increasing tertiles of plasma free fatty acids. The adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for incident stroke was 1·05 (0·97-1·14) per standard deviation increase in plasma free fatty acids. Restriction to ischemic stroke did not alter the results [hazard ratio (95% confidence interval): 1·04 (0·96-1·14) per standard deviation higher free fatty acids], and there was no effect modification by adiposity (P interaction=0·18) or by diabetes (P interaction=0·15). CONCLUSION: Our data did not show an association of plasma free fatty acids with incident stroke among community dwelling older adults.
Keywords: Aged; Biomarkers; Brain Ischemia; Fatty Acids, Nonesterified; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Male; Prospective Studies; Risk; Stroke

Plasma phospholipid and dietary α-linolenic acid, mortality, CHD and stroke: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Fretts, Amanda M; Mozaffarian, Dariush; Siscovick, David S; Sitlani, Colleen; Psaty, Bruce M; Rimm, Eric B; Song, Xiaoling; McKnight, Barbara; Spiegelman, Donna; King, Irena B; Lemaitre, Rozenn N (Br J Nutr, 2014)
Previous studies have suggested that long-chain n-3 fatty acids derived from seafood are associated with a lower risk of mortality, CHD and stroke. Whether α-linolenic acid (ALA, 18 : 3n-3), a plant-derived long-chain essential n-3 fatty acid, is associated with a lower risk of these outcomes is unclear. The aim of the present study was to examine the associations of plasma phospholipid and dietary ALA with the risk of mortality, CHD and stroke among older adults who participated in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a cohort study of adults aged ≥ 65 years. A total of 2709 participants were included in the plasma phospholipid ALA analysis and 2583 participants were included in the dietary ALA analysis. Cox regression was used to assess the associations of plasma phospholipid and dietary ALA with the risk of mortality, incident CHD and stroke. In minimally and multivariable-adjusted models, plasma phospholipid ALA was found to be not associated with the risk of mortality, incident CHD or stroke. After adjustment for age, sex, race, enrolment site, education, smoking status, diabetes, BMI, alcohol consumption, treated hypertension and total energy intake, higher dietary ALA intake was found to be associated with a lower risk of total and non-cardiovascular mortality; on comparing the highest quintiles of dietary ALA with the lowest quintiles, the HR for total mortality and non-cardiovascular mortality were found to be 0·73 (95 % CI 0·61, 0·88) and 0·64 (95 % CI 0·52, 0·80), respectively. Dietary ALA was found to be not associated with the risk of cardiovascular mortality, incident CHD or stroke. In conclusion, the results of the present suggest study that dietary ALA, but not plasma phospholipid ALA, is associated with a lower risk of total and non-cardiovascular mortality in older adults.
Keywords: Aged; alpha-Linolenic Acid; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Coronary Disease; Diet; Female; Humans; Male; Mortality; Phospholipids; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Stroke; United States

Plasma phospholipid saturated fatty acids and incident atrial fibrillation: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Fretts, Amanda M; Mozaffarian, Dariush; Siscovick, David S; Djoussé, Luc; Heckbert, Susan R; King, Irena B; McKnight, Barbara; Sitlani, Colleen; Sacks, Frank M; Song, Xiaoling; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Spiegelman, Donna; et al. (J Am Heart Assoc, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Prior studies suggest that circulating fatty acids may influence the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF), but little is known about the associations of circulating saturated fatty acids with risk of AF. METHODS AND RESULTS: The study population included 2899 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study, a community-based longitudinal cohort of adults aged 65 years or older in the United States who were free of prevalent coronary heart disease and AF in 1992. Cox regression was used to assess the association of all the long-chain saturated fatty acids-palmitic acid (16:0), stearic acid (18:0), arachidic acid (20:0), behenic acid (22:0), and lignoceric acid (24:0)-with incident AF. During a median of 11.2 years of follow-up, 707 cases of incident AF occurred. After adjustment for other AF risk factors, higher levels of circulating 16:0 were associated with a higher risk of AF (hazard ratio comparing highest and lowest quartiles: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.18, 1.86). In contrast, higher levels of circulating 18:0, 20:0, 22:0, and 24:0 were each associated with a lower risk of AF. The hazard ratios (95% CI) for AF in the top and bottom quartiles were 0.76 (95% CI: 0.61, 0.95) for 18:0; 0.78 (95% CI: 0.63, 0.97) for 20:0; 0.62 (95% CI: 0.50, 0.78) for 22:0; and 0.68 (95% CI: 0.55, 0.85) for 24:0. CONCLUSIONS: Results from this prospective cohort study of older adults demonstrate divergent associations of circulating 16:0 versus longer-chain saturated fatty acids with incident AF, highlighting the need to investigate both determinants of these levels and potential pathways of the observed differential risk.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Atrial Fibrillation; Eicosanoic Acids; Fatty Acids; Female; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Palmitic Acid; Phospholipids; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Stearic Acids; United States

Plasma phospholipid trans-fatty acids levels, cardiovascular diseases, and total mortality: the cardiovascular health study. - Wang, Qianyi; Imamura, Fumiaki; Lemaitre, Rozenn N; Rimm, Eric B; Wang, Molin; King, Irena B; Song, Xiaoling; Siscovick, David; Mozaffarian, Dariush (J Am Heart Assoc, 2014)
BACKGROUND: While self-reported trans-fatty acid (TFA) consumption is linked to coronary heart disease (CHD), relationships between objective biomarkers of TFA subtypes (t-16:1n9, total t-18:1, and cis/trans-(c/t-), t/c- and t/t-18:2) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) or total mortality are not well established. METHODS AND RESULTS: We evaluated 2742 adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study, aged 74±5 years and free of prevalent CVD, with plasma phospholipid TFA measures in 1992. Incident fatal and nonfatal CHD events, CVD and non-CVD mortality, and total mortality were centrally adjudicated through 2010. Risks were assessed using Cox proportional hazards. During 31 494 person-years, 1735 total deaths and 639 total CHD events occurred. In the multivariate model including mutual adjustment for the 5 TFA subtypes, circulating t/t-18:2 was associated with higher total mortality (extreme quintile hazard ratio (HR)=1.23, 95% CI=1.04 to 1.44, P-trend=0.01), CVD mortality (HR=1.40, 95% CI=1.05 to 1.86, P-trend=0.02), and total CHD (HR=1.39, 95% CI=1.06 to 1.83, P-trend=0.01). t/c-18:2 was positively related to total mortality (HR=1.19, P-trend=0.05), total CHD (HR=1.67, P-trend=0.002), and nonfatal CHD (HR=2.06, P-trend=0.002) after mutual adjustment; these associations were insignificant without mutual adjustment. Neither t-16:1n9 nor t-18:1 was significantly associated with total mortality or CVD, nor was c/t-18:2 if we excluded early cases. CONCLUSIONS: Among circulating TFAs, t/t-18:2 was most adversely associated with total mortality, mainly due to the increased risk of CVD. t/c-18:2 was also positively associated with total mortality and CHD, but only after adjustment for other TFAs. These results highlight the need for further investigation of dietary sources, nondietary determinants, and health effects of specific TFA subtypes, especially t-18:2 isomers.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Biomarkers; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Dietary Fats; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Incidence; Male; Mortality; Phospholipids; Prognosis; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Trans Fatty Acids

Plasma-free fatty acids, fatty acid-binding protein 4, and mortality in older adults (from the Cardiovascular Health Study). - Miedema, Michael D; Maziarz, Marlena; Biggs, Mary L; Zieman, Susan J; Kizer, Jorge R; Ix, Joachim H; Mozaffarian, Dariush; Tracy, Russell P; Psaty, Bruce M; Siscovick, David S; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Djoussé, Luc (Am J Cardiol, 2014)
Plasma-free fatty acids (FFAs) are largely derived from adipose tissue. Elevated levels of FFA and fatty acid-binding protein 4 (FABP4), a key cytoplasmic chaperone of fatty acids, have been associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes, but limited data are available on the relation of these biomarkers with cardiovascular and total mortality. We studied 4,707 participants with a mean age of 75 years who had plasma FFA and FABP4 measured in 1992 to 1993 as part of the Cardiovascular Health Study, an observational cohort of community-dwelling older adults. Over a median follow-up of 11.8 years, 3,555 participants died. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to determine the association between FFA, FABP4, and mortality. In fully adjusted models, FFA were associated with dose-dependent significantly higher total mortality (hazard ratio [HR] per SD: 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09 to 1.18), but FABP4 levels were not (HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.09). In a cause-specific mortality analysis, higher concentrations of FFA were associated with significantly higher risk of death because of cardiovascular disease, dementia, infection, and respiratory causes but not cancer or trauma. We did not find evidence of an interaction between FFA and FABP4 (p = 0.45), but FABP4 appeared to be associated with total mortality differentially in men and women (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.26 for men; HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.07 for women, interaction p value <0.001). In conclusion, in a cohort of community-dwelling older subjects, elevated plasma concentrations of FFA, but not FABP4, were associated with cardiovascular and noncardiovascular mortality.
Keywords: Age Distribution; Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Biomarkers; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cause of Death; Fatty Acid-Binding Proteins; Fatty Acids, Nonesterified; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Health Status; Humans; Male; Prognosis; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Survival Rate; Time Factors; United States

Predicting stroke through genetic risk functions: the CHARGE Risk Score Project. - Ibrahim-Verbaas, Carla A; Fornage, Myriam; Bis, Joshua C; Choi, Seung Hoan; Psaty, Bruce M; Meigs, James B; Rao, Madhu; Nalls, Mike; Fontes, João D; O'Donnell, Christopher J; Kathiresan, Sekar; Ehret, Georg B; et al. (Stroke, 2014)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Beyond the Framingham Stroke Risk Score, prediction of future stroke may improve with a genetic risk score (GRS) based on single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with stroke and its risk factors. METHODS: The study includes 4 population-based cohorts with 2047 first incident strokes from 22,720 initially stroke-free European origin participants aged ≥55 years, who were followed for up to 20 years. GRSs were constructed with 324 single-nucleotide polymorphisms implicated in stroke and 9 risk factors. The association of the GRS to first incident stroke was tested using Cox regression; the GRS predictive properties were assessed with area under the curve statistics comparing the GRS with age and sex, Framingham Stroke Risk Score models, and reclassification statistics. These analyses were performed per cohort and in a meta-analysis of pooled data. Replication was sought in a case-control study of ischemic stroke. RESULTS: In the meta-analysis, adding the GRS to the Framingham Stroke Risk Score, age and sex model resulted in a significant improvement in discrimination (all stroke: Δjoint area under the curve=0.016, P=2.3×10(-6); ischemic stroke: Δjoint area under the curve=0.021, P=3.7×10(-7)), although the overall area under the curve remained low. In all the studies, there was a highly significantly improved net reclassification index (P<10(-4)). CONCLUSIONS: The single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with stroke and its risk factors result only in a small improvement in prediction of future stroke compared with the classical epidemiological risk factors for stroke.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Area Under Curve; Case-Control Studies; Cohort Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Regression Analysis; Risk Factors; ROC Curve; Sex Factors; Stroke

Prediction of asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis in the general population: identification of high-risk groups. - de Weerd, Marjolein; Greving, Jacoba P; Hedblad, Bo; Lorenz, Matthias W; Mathiesen, Ellisiv B; O'Leary, Daniel H; Rosvall, Maria; Sitzer, Matthias; de Borst, Gert Jan; Buskens, Erik; Bots, Michiel L (Stroke, 2014)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Because of a low prevalence of severe carotid stenosis in the general population, screening for presence of asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis (ACAS) is not warranted. Possibly, for certain subgroups, screening is worthwhile. The present study aims to develop prediction rules for the presence of ACAS (>50% and >70%). METHODS: Individual participant data from 4 population-based cohort studies (Malmö Diet and Cancer Study, Tromsø Study, Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression Study, and Cardiovascular Health Study; totaling 23 706 participants) were pooled. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to determine which variables predict presence of ACAS (>50% and >70%). Calibration and discrimination of the models were assessed, and bootstrapping was used to correct for overfitting. RESULTS: Age, sex, history of vascular disease, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein ratio, diabetes mellitus, and current smoking were predictors of stenosis (>50% and >70%). The calibration of the model was good confirmed by a nonsignificant Hosmer and Lemeshow test for moderate (P=0.59) and severe stenosis (P=0.07). The models discriminated well between participants with and without stenosis, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve corrected for over optimism of 0.82 (95% confidence interval, 0.80-0.84) for moderate stenosis and of 0.87 (95% confidence interval, 0.85-0.90) for severe stenosis. The regression coefficients of the predictors were converted into a score chart to facilitate practical application. CONCLUSIONS: A clinical prediction rule was developed that allows identification of subgroups with high prevalence of moderate (>50%) and severe (>70%) ACAS. When confirmed in comparable cohorts, application of the prediction rule may lead to a reduction in the number needed to screen for ACAS.
Keywords: Adult; Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Blood Pressure; Carotid Stenosis; Female; Humans; Life Style; Male; Mass Screening; Middle Aged; Prevalence; Registries; Risk; Smoking

Prognostic implications of microvascular and macrovascular abnormalities in older adults: cardiovascular health study. - Kim, Dae Hyun; Grodstein, Francine; Newman, Anne B; Chaves, Paulo H M; Odden, Michelle C; Klein, Ronald; Sarnak, Mark J; Patel, Kushang V; Lipsitz, Lewis A (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Microvascular and macrovascular abnormalities are frequently found on noninvasive tests performed in older adults. Their prognostic implications on disability and life expectancy have not been collectively assessed. METHODS: This prospective study included 2,452 adults (mean age: 79.5 years) with available measures of microvascular (brain, retina, kidney) and macrovascular abnormalities (brain, carotid, coronary, peripheral artery) in the Cardiovascular Health Study. The burden of microvascular and macrovascular abnormalities was examined in relation to total, activity-of-daily-living disability-free, and severe disability-free life expectancies in the next 10 years (1999-2009). RESULTS: At 75 years, individuals with low burden of both abnormalities lived, on average, 8.71 years (95% confidence interval: 8.29, 9.12) of which 7.67 years (7.16, 8.17) were without disability. In comparison, individuals with high burden of both abnormalities had shortest total life expectancy (6.95 years [6.52, 7.37]; p < .001) and disability-free life expectancy (5.60 years [5.10, 6.11]; p < .001). Although total life expectancy was similarly reduced for those with high burden of either type of abnormalities (microvascular: 7.96 years [7.50, 8.42] vs macrovascular: 8.25 years [7.80, 8.70]; p = .10), microvascular abnormalities seemed to have larger impact than macrovascular abnormalities on disability-free life expectancy (6.45 years [5.90, 6.99] vs 6.96 years [6.43, 7.48]; p = .016). These results were consistent for severe disability-free life expectancy and in individuals without clinical cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: Considering both microvascular and macrovascular abnormalities from multiple noninvasive tests may provide additional prognostic information on how older adults spend their remaining life. Optimal clinical use of this information remains to be determined.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Ankle Brachial Index; Disability Evaluation; Electrocardiography; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Forecasting; Humans; Life Expectancy; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Microcirculation; Prognosis; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Vascular Malformations

Racial and regional differences in venous thromboembolism in the United States in 3 cohorts. - Zakai, Neil A; McClure, Leslie A; Judd, Suzanne E; Safford, Monika M; Folsom, Aaron R; Lutsey, Pamela L; Cushman, Mary (Circulation, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Blacks are thought to have a higher risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) than whites. However, prior studies are limited to administrative databases that lack specific information on VTE risk factors or have limited geographic scope. METHODS AND RESULTS: We ascertained VTE from 3 prospective studies: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC), the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), and the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke study (REGARDS). We tested the association of race with VTE using Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for VTE risk factors. Over 438 090 person-years, 916 incident VTE events (302 in blacks) occurred in 51 149 individuals (17 318 blacks) who were followed up. In risk factor-adjusted models, blacks had a higher rate of VTE than whites in the CHS (hazard ratio, 1.81; 95% confidence interval, 1.20-2.73) but not ARIC (hazard ratio, 1.21; 95% confidence interval, 0.96-1.54). In REGARDS, there was a significant region-by-race interaction (P=0.01): Blacks in the Southeast had a significantly higher rate of VTE than blacks in the rest of the United States (hazard ratio, 1.63; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-2.48) that was not seen in whites (hazard ratio, 0.83; 95% confidence interval, 0.61-1.14). CONCLUSIONS: The association of race with VTE differed in each cohort, which may reflect the different time periods of the studies or different regional rates of VTE. Further studies of environmental and genetic risk factors for VTE are needed to determine which underlie racial and perhaps regional differences in VTE.
Keywords: African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; Cohort Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Middle Aged; Prevalence; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Residence Characteristics; Risk Factors; United States; Venous Thromboembolism

Ratio of urine albumin to creatinine attenuates the association of dementia with hip fracture risk. - Bůzková, Petra; Barzilay, Joshua I; Fink, Howard A; Robbins, John A; Cauley, Jane A; Fitzpatrick, Annette L (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2014)
CONTEXT: Microvascular disease is a leading cause of cognitive impairment. Approximately 50% of people with a hip fracture have cognitive impairment. OBJECTIVE: We tested the hypothesis that microvascular diseases of the brain (lacunar infarcts and white matter disease [WMD]), kidney (albuminuria [≥ 30 mg/g creatinine] and albumin creatinine ratio [ACR]), and eye (retinal vascular disorders) attenuate the association of cognitive impairment with hip fracture risk. SETTING: The Cardiovascular Health Cognition Study. PATIENTS: Three thousand, one-hundred six participants (mean age, ∼ 79 y; 8.84 y median follow-up) with cognitive testing. Subsets received ACR testing (n=2389), brain magnetic resonance imaging scans (n = 2094), and retinal photography (n = 1098). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incident hip fracture. RESULTS: There were 488 participants (16%) with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and 564 (18%) with dementia. There were 337 incident hip fractures, of which 19% occurred in participants with MCI and 26% in participants with dementia. Adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval for hip fracture in participants with MCI were 2.45 (1.67-3.61) and for dementia 2.35 (1.57-3.52). With doubling of ACR, the HR for fracture was attenuated in participants with dementia compared with participants with normal cognition [interaction HR 0.70 (0.55-0.91)]. No such effect was found in participants with MCI. Albuminuria, lacunar infarcts, WMD, and retinal vascular disease (RVD) did not modify the association of dementia or MCI with hip fracture risk. CONCLUSIONS: ACR attenuates part of the risk of hip fracture in people with dementia, suggesting that these disorders share a common pathogenesis.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Albuminuria; Creatinine; Dementia; Female; Hip Fractures; Humans; Incidence; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Mild Cognitive Impairment; Neuropsychological Tests; Prospective Studies; Risk

Regular fish consumption and age-related brain gray matter loss. - Raji, Cyrus A; Erickson, Kirk I; Lopez, Oscar L; Kuller, Lewis H; Gach, H Michael; Thompson, Paul M; Riverol, Mario; Becker, James T (Am J Prev Med, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Brain health may be affected by modifiable lifestyle factors; consuming fish and antioxidative omega-3 fatty acids may reduce brain structural abnormality risk. PURPOSE: To determine whether dietary fish consumption is related to brain structural integrity among cognitively normal elders. METHODS: Data were analyzed from 260 cognitively normal individuals from the Cardiovascular Health Study with information on fish consumption from the National Cancer Institute Food Frequency Questionnaire and brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). The relationship between fish consumption data collected in 1989-1990 and brain structural MRI obtained in 1998-1999 was assessed using voxel-based morphometry in multiple regression analyses in 2012. Covariates were age, gender, race, education, white matter lesions, MRI-identified infarcts, waist-hip ratio, and physical activity as assessed by the number of city blocks walked in 1 week. Volumetric changes were further modeled with omega-3 fatty acid estimates to better understand the mechanistic link between fish consumption, brain health, and Alzheimer disease. RESULTS: Weekly consumption of baked or broiled fish was positively associated with gray matter volumes in the hippocampus, precuneus, posterior cingulate, and orbital frontal cortex even after adjusting for covariates. These results did not change when including omega-3 fatty acid estimates in the analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Dietary consumption of baked or broiled fish is related to larger gray matter volumes independent of omega-3 fatty acid content. These findings suggest that a confluence of lifestyle factors influence brain health, adding to the growing body of evidence that prevention strategies for late-life brain health need to begin decades earlier.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Animals; Brain; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diet; Fatty Acids, Omega-3; Female; Fishes; Gray Matter; Humans; Life Style; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Regression Analysis; Surveys and Questionnaires

Relations of plasma total and high-molecular-weight adiponectin to new-onset heart failure in adults ≥65 years of age (from the Cardiovascular Health study). - Karas, Maria G; Benkeser, David; Arnold, Alice M; Bartz, Traci M; Djoussé, Luc; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Ix, Joachim H; Zieman, Susan J; Siscovick, David S; Tracy, Russell P; Mantzoros, Christos S; Gottdiener, John S; et al. (Am J Cardiol, 2014)
Adiponectin exhibits cardioprotective properties in experimental studies, but elevated levels have been linked to increased mortality in older adults and patients with chronic heart failure (HF). The adipokine's association with new-onset HF remains less well defined. The aim of this study was to investigate the associations of total and high-molecular weight (HMW) adiponectin with incident HF (n = 780) and, in a subset, echocardiographic parameters in a community-based cohort of adults aged ≥65 years. Total and HMW adiponectin were measured in 3,228 subjects without prevalent HF, atrial fibrillation or CVD. The relations of total and HMW adiponectin with HF were nonlinear, with significant associations observed only for concentrations greater than the median (12.4 and 6.2 mg/L, respectively). After adjustment for potential confounders, the hazard ratios per SD increment in total adiponectin were 0.93 (95% confidence interval 0.72 to 1.21) for concentrations less than the median and 1.25 (95% confidence interval 1.14 to 1.38) higher than the median. There was a suggestion of effect modification by body mass index, whereby the association appeared strongest in participants with lower body mass indexes. Consistent with the HF findings, higher adiponectin tended to be associated with left ventricular systolic dysfunction and left atrial enlargement. Results were similar for HMW adiponectin. In conclusion, total and HMW adiponectin showed comparable relations with incident HF in this older cohort, with a threshold effect of increasing risk occurring at their median concentrations. High levels of adiponectin may mark or mediate age-related processes that lead to HF in older adults.
Keywords: Adiponectin; Age of Onset; Aged; Biomarkers; Cross-Sectional Studies; Echocardiography, Doppler; Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Heart Failure; Humans; Incidence; Male; Prognosis; Prospective Studies; Recurrence; Severity of Illness Index; United States; Ventricular Function, Left

Relative risks of chronic kidney disease for mortality and end-stage renal disease across races are similar. - Wen, Chi Pang; Matsushita, Kunihiro; Coresh, Josef; Iseki, Kunitoshi; Islam, Muhammad; Katz, Ronit; McClellan, William; Peralta, Carmen A; Wang, Haiyan; de Zeeuw, Dick; Astor, Brad C; Gansevoort, Ron T; et al. (Kidney Int, 2014)
Some suggest race-specific cutpoints for kidney measures to define and stage chronic kidney disease (CKD), but evidence for race-specific clinical impact is limited. To address this issue, we compared hazard ratios of estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) and albuminuria across races using meta-regression in 1.1 million adults (75% Asians, 21% Whites, and 4% Blacks) from 45 cohorts. Results came mainly from 25 general population cohorts comprising 0.9 million individuals. The associations of lower eGFR and higher albuminuria with mortality and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) were largely similar across races. For example, in Asians, Whites, and Blacks, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for eGFR 45-59 versus 90-104 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) were 1.3 (1.2-1.3), 1.1 (1.0-1.2), and 1.3 (1.1-1.7) for all-cause mortality, 1.6 (1.5-1.7), 1.4 (1.2-1.7), and 1.4 (0.7-2.9) for cardiovascular mortality, and 27.6 (11.1-68.7), 11.2 (6.0-20.9), and 4.1 (2.2-7.5) for ESRD, respectively. The corresponding hazard ratios for urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio 30-299 mg/g or dipstick 1+ versus an albumin-to-creatinine ratio under 10 or dipstick negative were 1.6 (1.4-1.8), 1.7 (1.5-1.9), and 1.8 (1.7-2.1) for all-cause mortality, 1.7 (1.4-2.0), 1.8 (1.5-2.1), and 2.8 (2.2-3.6) for cardiovascular mortality, and 7.4 (2.0-27.6), 4.0 (2.8-5.9), and 5.6 (3.4-9.2) for ESRD, respectively. Thus, the relative mortality or ESRD risks of lower eGFR and higher albuminuria were largely similar among three major races, supporting similar clinical approach to CKD definition and staging, across races.
Keywords: Adult; African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Albuminuria; Asian Continental Ancestry Group; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Creatinine; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Kidney Failure, Chronic; Male; Middle Aged; Odds Ratio; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic; Risk Factors

Residential relocation by older adults in response to incident cardiovascular health events: a case-crossover analysis. - Lovasi, Gina S; Richardson, John M; Rodriguez, Carlos J; Kop, Willem J; Ahmed, Ali; Brown, Arleen F; Greenlee, Heather; Siscovick, David S (J Environ Public Health, 2014)
OBJECTIVE: We use a case-crossover analysis to explore the association between incident cardiovascular events and residential relocation to a new home address. METHODS: We conducted an ambidirectional case-crossover analysis to explore the association between incident cardiovascular events and residential relocation to a new address using data from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a community-based prospective cohort study of 5,888 older adults from four U.S. sites beginning in 1989. Relocation was assessed twice a year during follow-up. Event occurrences were classified as present or absent for the period preceding the first reported move, as compared with an equal length of time immediately prior to and following this period. RESULTS: Older adults (65+) that experience incident cardiovascular disease had an increased probability of reporting a change of residence during the following year (OR 1.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.2-2.1). Clinical conditions associated with relocation included stroke (OR: 2.0, 95% CI: 1.2-3.3), angina (OR: 1.6, 95% CI: 1.0-2.6), and congestive heart failure (OR: 1.5, 95% CI: 1.0-2.1). CONCLUSIONS: Major incident cardiovascular disease may increase the probability of residential relocation in older adults. Case-crossover analyses represent an opportunity to investigate triggering events, but finer temporal resolution would be crucial for future research on residential relocations.
Keywords: Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cross-Over Studies; Female; Humans; Incidence; Life Change Events; Logistic Models; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Prospective Studies; Residence Characteristics; United States

Risk factors for cardiovascular disease across the spectrum of older age: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Odden, Michelle C; Shlipak, Michael G; Whitson, Heather E; Katz, Ronit; Kearney, Patricia M; deFilippi, Chris; Shastri, Shani; Sarnak, Mark J; Siscovick, David S; Cushman, Mary; Psaty, Bruce M; Newman, Anne B (Atherosclerosis, 2014)
OBJECTIVE: The associations of some risk factors with cardiovascular disease (CVD) are attenuated in older age; whereas others appear robust. The present study aimed to compare CVD risk factors across older age. METHODS: Participants (n = 4883) in the Cardiovascular Health Study free of prevalent CVD, were stratified into three age groups: 65-74, 75-84, 85+ years. Traditional risk factors included systolic blood pressure (BP), LDL-cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, obesity, and diabetes. Novel risk factors included kidney function, C-reactive protein (CRP), and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT pro-BNP). RESULTS: There were 1498 composite CVD events (stroke, myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death) over 5 years. The associations of high systolic BP and diabetes appeared strongest, though both were attenuated with age (p-values for interaction = 0.01 and 0.002, respectively). The demographic-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for elevated systolic BP were 1.79 (95% confidence interval: 1.49, 2.15), 1.59 (1.37, 1.85) and 1.10 (0.86, 1.41) in participants aged 65-74, 75-84, 85+, and for diabetes, 2.36 (1.89, 2.95), 1.55 (1.27, 1.89), 1.51 (1.10, 2.09). The novel risk factors had consistent associations with the outcome across the age spectrum; low kidney function: 1.69 (1.31, 2.19), 1.61 (1.36, 1.90), and 1.57 (1.16, 2.14) for 65-74, 75-84, and 85+ years, respectively; elevated CRP: 1.54 (1.28, 1.87), 1.33 (1.13, 1.55), and 1.51 (1.15, 1.97); elevated NT pro-BNP: 2.67 (1.96, 3.64), 2.71 (2.25, 3.27), and 2.18 (1.43, 3.45). CONCLUSIONS: The associations of most traditional risk factors with CVD were minimal in the oldest old, whereas diabetes, eGFR, CRP, and NT pro-BNP were associated with CVD across older age.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Blood Pressure; C-Reactive Protein; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cholesterol, HDL; Cholesterol, LDL; Diabetes Complications; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Humans; Inflammation; Kidney; Kidney Diseases; Lipids; Male; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain; Obesity; Peptide Fragments; Risk Factors

A self-report risk index to predict occurrence of dementia in three independent cohorts of older adults: the ANU-ADRI. - Anstey, Kaarin J; Cherbuin, Nicolas; Herath, Pushpani M; Qiu, Chengxuan; Kuller, Lewis H; Lopez, Oscar L; Wilson, Robert S; Fratiglioni, Laura (PLoS One, 2014)
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The Australian National University AD Risk Index (ANU-ADRI, http://anuadri.anu.edu.au) is a self-report risk index developed using an evidence-based medicine approach to measure risk of Alzheimer's disease (AD). We aimed to evaluate the extent to which the ANU-ADRI can predict the risk of AD in older adults and to compare the ANU-ADRI to the dementia risk index developed from the Cardiovascular Risk Factors, Aging and Dementia (CAIDE) study for middle-aged cohorts. METHODS: This study included three validation cohorts, i.e., the Rush Memory and Aging Study (MAP) (n = 903, age ≥53 years), the Kungsholmen Project (KP) (n = 905, age ≥75 years), and the Cardiovascular Health Cognition Study (CVHS) (n = 2496, age ≥65 years) that were each followed for dementia. Baseline data were collected on exposure to the 15 risk factors included in the ANU-ADRI of which MAP had 10, KP had 8 and CVHS had 9. Risk scores and C-statistics were computed for individual participants for the ANU-ADRI and the CAIDE index. RESULTS: For the ANU-ADRI using available data, the MAP study c-statistic was 0·637 (95% CI 0·596-0·678), for the KP study it was 0·740 (0·712-0·768) and for the CVHS it was 0·733 (0·691-0·776) for predicting AD. When a common set of risk and protective factors were used c-statistics were 0.689 (95% CI 0.650-0.727), 0.666 (0.628-0.704) and 0.734 (0.707-0.761) for MAP, KP and CVHS respectively. Results for CAIDE ranged from c-statistics of 0.488 (0.427-0.554) to 0.595 (0.565-0.625). CONCLUSION: A composite risk score derived from the ANU-ADRI weights including 8-10 risk or protective factors is a valid, self-report tool to identify those at risk of AD and dementia. The accuracy can be further improved in studies including more risk factors and younger cohorts with long-term follow-up.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Dementia; Female; Humans; Incidence; Male; Middle Aged; Risk; ROC Curve; Self Report

Separate prediction of intracerebral hemorrhage and ischemic stroke. - Ferket, Bart S; van Kempen, Bob J H; Wieberdink, Renske G; Steyerberg, Ewout W; Koudstaal, Peter J; Hofman, Albert; Shahar, Eyal; Gottesman, Rebecca F; Rosamond, Wayne; Kizer, Jorge R; Kronmal, Richard A; Psaty, Bruce M; et al. (Neurology, 2014)
OBJECTIVES: To develop and validate 10-year cumulative incidence functions of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and ischemic stroke (IS). METHODS: We used data on 27,493 participants from 3 population-based cohort studies: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, median age 54 years, 45% male, median follow-up 20.7 years; the Rotterdam Study, median age 68 years, 38% male, median follow-up 14.3 years; and the Cardiovascular Health Study, median age 71 years, 41% male, median follow-up 12.8 years. Among these participants, 325 ICH events, 2,559 IS events, and 9,909 nonstroke deaths occurred. We developed 10-year cumulative incidence functions for ICH and IS using stratified Cox regression and competing risks analysis. Basic models including only established nonlaboratory risk factors were extended with diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio, body mass index, waist-to-hip ratio, and glomerular filtration rate. The cumulative incidence functions' performances were cross-validated in each cohort separately by Harrell C-statistic and calibration plots. RESULTS: High total cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio decreased the ICH rates but increased IS rates (p for difference across stroke types <0.001). For both the ICH and IS models, C statistics increased more by model extension in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities and Cardiovascular Health Study cohorts. Improvements in C statistics were reproduced by cross-validation. Models were well calibrated in all cohorts. Correlations between 10-year ICH and IS risks were moderate in each cohort. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and cross-validated cumulative incidence functions for separate prediction of 10-year ICH and IS risk. These functions can be useful to further specify an individual's stroke risk.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Atherosclerosis; Body Mass Index; Brain Ischemia; Cholesterol; Female; Humans; Incidence; Intracranial Hemorrhages; Male; Middle Aged; Models, Statistical; Predictive Value of Tests; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Stroke

Sequence variation in TMEM18 in association with body mass index: Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium Targeted Sequencing Study. - Liu, Ching-Ti; Young, Kristin L; Brody, Jennifer A; Olden, Matthias; Wojczynski, Mary K; Heard-Costa, Nancy; Li, Guo; Morrison, Alanna C; Muzny, Donna; Gibbs, Richard A; Reid, Jeffrey G; Shao, Yaming; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Genome-wide association studies for body mass index (BMI) previously identified a locus near TMEM18. We conducted targeted sequencing of this region to investigate the role of common, low-frequency, and rare variants influencing BMI. METHODS AND RESULTS: We sequenced TMEM18 and regions downstream of TMEM18 on chromosome 2 in 3976 individuals of European ancestry from 3 community-based cohorts (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities, Cardiovascular Health Study, and Framingham Heart Study), including 200 adults selected for high BMI. We examined the association between BMI and variants identified in the region from nucleotide position 586 432 to 677 539 (hg18). Rare variants (minor allele frequency, <1%) were analyzed using a burden test and the sequence kernel association test. Results from the 3 cohort studies were meta-analyzed. We estimate that mean BMI is 0.43 kg/m(2) higher for each copy of the G allele of single-nucleotide polymorphism rs7596758 (minor allele frequency, 29%; P=3.46×10(-4)) using a Bonferroni threshold of P<4.6×10(-4). Analyses conditional on previous genome-wide association study single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with BMI in the region led to attenuation of this signal and uncovered another independent (r(2)<0.2), statistically significant association, rs186019316 (P=2.11×10(-4)). Both rs186019316 and rs7596758 or proxies are located in transcription factor binding regions. No significant association with rare variants was found in either the exons of TMEM18 or the 3' genome-wide association study region. CONCLUSIONS: Targeted sequencing around TMEM18 identified 2 novel BMI variants with possible regulatory function.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aging; Body Mass Index; Cohort Studies; Female; Genetic Association Studies; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genomics; Heart Diseases; Humans; Male; Membrane Proteins; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Sequence Analysis, DNA; Young Adult

Sequencing of 2 subclinical atherosclerosis candidate regions in 3669 individuals: Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium Targeted Sequencing Study. - Bis, Joshua C; White, Charles C; Franceschini, Nora; Brody, Jennifer; Zhang, Xiaoling; Muzny, Donna; Santibanez, Jireh; Gibbs, Richard; Liu, Xiaoming; Lin, Honghuang; Boerwinkle, Eric; Psaty, Bruce M; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Atherosclerosis, the precursor to coronary heart disease and stroke, is characterized by an accumulation of fatty cells in the arterial intimal-medial layers. Common carotid intima media thickness (cIMT) and plaque are subclinical atherosclerosis measures that predict cardiovascular disease events. Previously, genome-wide association studies demonstrated evidence for association with cIMT (SLC17A4) and plaque (PIK3CG). METHODS AND RESULTS: We sequenced 120 kb around SLC17A4 (6p22.2) and 251 kb around PIK3CG (7q22.3) among 3669 European ancestry participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), and Framingham Heart Study (FHS) in Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium. Primary analyses focused on 438 common variants (minor allele frequency ≥1%), which were independently meta-analyzed. A 3' untranslated region CCDC71L variant (rs2286149), upstream from PIK3CG, was the most significant finding in cIMT (P=0.00033) and plaque (P=0.0004) analyses. A SLC17A4 intronic variant was also associated with cIMT (P=0.008). Both were in low linkage disequilibrium with the genome-wide association study single nucleotide polymorphisms. Gene-based tests including T1 count and sequence kernel association test for rare variants (minor allele frequency <1%) did not yield statistically significant associations. However, we observed nominal associations for rare variants in CCDC71L and SLC17A3 with cIMT and of the entire 7q22 region with plaque (P=0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Common and rare variants in PIK3CG and SLC17A4 regions demonstrated modest association with subclinical atherosclerosis traits. Although not conclusive, these findings may help to understand the genetic architecture of regions previously implicated by genome-wide association studies and identify variants within these regions for further investigation in larger samples.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Atherosclerosis; Class Ib Phosphatidylinositol 3-Kinase; Cohort Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genomics; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Sequence Analysis, DNA; Sodium-Phosphate Cotransporter Proteins, Type I

Sequencing of SCN5A identifies rare and common variants associated with cardiac conduction: Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium. - Magnani, Jared W; Brody, Jennifer A; Prins, Bram P; Arking, Dan E; Lin, Honghuang; Yin, Xiaoyan; Liu, Ching-Ti; Morrison, Alanna C; Zhang, Feng; Spector, Tim D; Alonso, Alvaro; Bis, Joshua C; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2014)
BACKGROUND: The cardiac sodium channel SCN5A regulates atrioventricular and ventricular conduction. Genetic variants in this gene are associated with PR and QRS intervals. We sought to characterize further the contribution of rare and common coding variation in SCN5A to cardiac conduction. METHODS AND RESULTS: In Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium Targeted Sequencing Study, we performed targeted exonic sequencing of SCN5A (n=3699, European ancestry individuals) and identified 4 common (minor allele frequency >1%) and 157 rare variants. Common and rare SCN5A coding variants were examined for association with PR and QRS intervals through meta-analysis of European ancestry participants from CHARGE, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute's Exome Sequencing Project (n=607), and the UK10K (n=1275) and by examining Exome Sequencing Project African ancestry participants (n=972). Rare coding SCN5A variants in aggregate were associated with PR interval in European and African ancestry participants (P=1.3×10(-3)). Three common variants were associated with PR and QRS interval duration among European ancestry participants and one among African ancestry participants. These included 2 well-known missense variants: rs1805124 (H558R) was associated with PR and QRS shortening in European ancestry participants (P=6.25×10(-4) and P=5.2×10(-3), respectively) and rs7626962 (S1102Y) was associated with PR shortening in those of African ancestry (P=2.82×10(-3)). Among European ancestry participants, 2 novel synonymous variants, rs1805126 and rs6599230, were associated with cardiac conduction. Our top signal, rs1805126 was associated with PR and QRS lengthening (P=3.35×10(-7) and P=2.69×10(-4), respectively) and rs6599230 was associated with PR shortening (P=2.67×10(-5)). CONCLUSIONS: By sequencing SCN5A, we identified novel common and rare coding variants associated with cardiac conduction.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Cohort Studies; Female; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genomics; Heart Conduction System; Heart Diseases; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; NAV1.5 Voltage-Gated Sodium Channel; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Sequence Analysis, DNA

Serum carboxymethyl-lysine, disability, and frailty in older persons: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Whitson, Heather E; Arnold, Alice M; Yee, Laura M; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Kizer, Jorge R; Djoussé, Luc; Ix, Joachim H; Siscovick, David; Tracy, Russell P; Thielke, Stephen M; Hirsch, Calvin; Newman, Anne B; et al. (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Advanced glycation endproducts are biologically active compounds that accumulate in disordered metabolism and normal aging. Carboxymethyl-lysine (CML), a ubiquitous human advanced glycation endproduct, has been associated with age-related conditions and mortality. Our objective was to ascertain the relationship between CML and geriatric outcomes (disability and frailty) in a large cohort of older men and women. METHODS: In 1996-1997, serum CML was measured in 3,373 Cardiovascular Health Study participants (mean age 78.1 ± 4.8 years). Disability, defined as difficulty in any of six activities of daily living, was assessed every 6-12 months for 14 years. Frailty was defined according to five standard criteria at the 1996-1997 visit. Cox proportional hazard models estimated the relationship between CML and incident disability (N = 2,643). Logistic regression models estimated the relationship between CML and prevalent frailty. RESULTS: Adjusting for multiple potential confounders, higher CML was associated with incident disability (hazard ratio per standard deviation [225 ng/mL] increase: 1.05, 95% CI 1.01-1.11). In men, odds of frailty increased with higher CML values (odds ratio = 1.30 per standard deviation, 95% CI 1.14-1.48), but the relationship was attenuated by adjustment for cognitive status, kidney function, and arthritis. CML was not associated with frailty in women. CONCLUSIONS: Higher serum CML levels in late life are associated with incident disability and prevalent frailty. Further work is needed to understand CML's value as a risk stratifier, biomarker, or target for interventions that promote healthy aging.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Biomarkers; Cardiac Rehabilitation; Cardiovascular Diseases; Disabled Persons; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Frail Elderly; Health Status; Humans; Incidence; Lysine; Male; Prevalence; Prognosis; Retrospective Studies; United States

Simple biologically informed inflammatory index of two serum cytokines predicts 10 year all-cause mortality in older adults. - Varadhan, Ravi; Yao, Wenliang; Matteini, Amy; Beamer, Brock A; Xue, Qian-Li; Yang, Huanle; Manwani, Bhavish; Reiner, Alexander; Jenny, Nancy; Parekh, Neel; Fallin, M Daniele; Newman, Anne; et al. (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Individual measurements of inflammation have been utilized to assess adverse outcomes risk in older adults with varying degrees of success. This study was designed to identify biologically informed, aggregate measures of inflammation for optimal risk assessment and to inform further biological study of inflammatory pathways. METHODS: In total, 15 nuclear factor-kappa B-mediated pathway markers of inflammation were first measured in baseline serum samples of 1,155 older participants in the InCHIANTI population. Of these, C-reactive protein, interleukin-1-receptor antagonist, interleukin-6, interleukin-18, and soluble tumor necrosis factor-α receptor-1 were independent predictors of 5-year mortality. These five inflammatory markers were measured in baseline serum samples of 5,600 Cardiovascular Health Study participants. A weighted summary score, the first principal component summary score, and an inflammation index score were developed from these five log-transformed inflammatory markers, and their prediction of 10-year all-cause mortality was evaluated in Cardiovascular Health Study and then validated in InCHIANTI. RESULTS: The inflammation index score that included interleukin-6 and soluble tumor necrosis factor-α receptor-1 was the best predictor of 10-year all-cause mortality in Cardiovascular Health Study, after adjusting for age, sex, education, race, smoking, and body mass index (hazards ratio = 1.62; 95% CI: 1.54, 1.70) compared with all other single and combined measures. The inflammation index score was also the best predictor of mortality in the InCHIANTI validation study (hazards ratio 1.33; 95% CI: 1.17-1.52). Stratification by sex and CVD status further strengthened the association of inflammation index score with mortality. CONCLUSION: A simple additive index of serum interleukin-6 and soluble tumor necrosis factor-α receptor-1 best captures the effect of chronic inflammation on mortality in older adults among the 15 biomarkers measured.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Biomarkers; C-Reactive Protein; Cohort Studies; Female; Humans; Inflammation; Interleukin 1 Receptor Antagonist Protein; Interleukin-18; Interleukin-6; Longevity; Male; Receptors, Tumor Necrosis Factor, Type I; Risk Factors

Sleep duration does not mediate or modify association of common genetic variants with type 2 diabetes. - Tare, Archana; Lane, Jacqueline M; Cade, Brian E; Grant, Struan F A; Chen, Ting-Hsu; Punjabi, Naresh M; Lauderdale, Diane S; Zee, Phyllis C; Gharib, Sina A; Gottlieb, Daniel J; Scheer, Frank A J L; Redline, Susan; et al. (Diabetologia, 2014)
AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Short and long sleep duration are associated with increased risk of type 2 diabetes. We aimed to investigate whether genetic variants for fasting glucose or type 2 diabetes associate with short or long sleep duration and whether sleep duration modifies the association of genetic variants with these traits. METHODS: We examined the cross-sectional relationship between self-reported habitual sleep duration and prevalence of type 2 diabetes in individuals of European descent participating in five studies included in the Candidate Gene Association Resource (CARe), totalling 1,474 cases and 8,323 controls. We tested for association of 16 fasting glucose-associated variants, 27 type 2 diabetes-associated variants and aggregate genetic risk scores with continuous and dichotomised (≤5 h or ≥9 h) sleep duration using regression models adjusted for age, sex and BMI. Finally, we tested whether a gene × behaviour interaction of variants with sleep duration had an impact on fasting glucose or type 2 diabetes risk. RESULTS: Short sleep duration was significantly associated with type 2 diabetes in CARe (OR 1.32; 95% CI 1.08, 1.61; p = 0.008). Variants previously associated with fasting glucose or type 2 diabetes and genetic risk scores were not associated with sleep duration. Furthermore, no study-wide significant interaction was observed between sleep duration and these variants on glycaemic traits. Nominal interactions were observed for sleep duration and PPARG rs1801282, CRY2 rs7943320 and HNF1B rs4430796 in influencing risk of type 2 diabetes (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Our findings suggest that differences in habitual sleep duration do not mediate or modify the relationship between common variants underlying glycaemic traits (including in circadian rhythm genes) and diabetes.
Keywords: Blood Glucose; Body Composition; Body Mass Index; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; European Continental Ancestry Group; Fasting; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genetic Variation; Genotype; Glucose Intolerance; Glycated Hemoglobin A; Humans; Insulin Resistance; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk Factors; Sleep; Surveys and Questionnaires; Time Factors; United States

Strategies to design and analyze targeted sequencing data: cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium Targeted Sequencing Study. - Lin, Honghuang; Wang, Min; Brody, Jennifer A; Bis, Joshua C; Dupuis, Josée; Lumley, Thomas; McKnight, Barbara; Rice, Kenneth M; Sitlani, Colleen M; Reid, Jeffrey G; Bressler, Jan; Liu, Xiaoming; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Genome-wide association studies have identified thousands of genetic variants that influence a variety of diseases and health-related quantitative traits. However, the causal variants underlying the majority of genetic associations remain unknown. Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium Targeted Sequencing Study aims to follow up genome-wide association study signals and identify novel associations of the allelic spectrum of identified variants with cardiovascular-related traits. METHODS AND RESULTS: The study included 4231 participants from 3 CHARGE cohorts: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, the Cardiovascular Health Study, and the Framingham Heart Study. We used a case-cohort design in which we selected both a random sample of participants and participants with extreme phenotypes for each of 14 traits. We sequenced and analyzed 77 genomic loci, which had previously been associated with ≥1 of 14 phenotypes. A total of 52 736 variants were characterized by sequencing and passed our stringent quality control criteria. For common variants (minor allele frequency ≥1%), we performed unweighted regression analyses to obtain P values for associations and weighted regression analyses to obtain effect estimates that accounted for the sampling design. For rare variants, we applied 2 approaches: collapsed aggregate statistics and joint analysis of variants using the sequence kernel association test. CONCLUSIONS: We sequenced 77 genomic loci in participants from 3 cohorts. We established a set of filters to identify high-quality variants and implemented statistical and bioinformatics strategies to analyze the sequence data and identify potentially functional variants within genome-wide association study loci.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Cohort Studies; Female; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genomics; Heart Diseases; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Research Design; Sequence Analysis, DNA

Subclinical hypothyroidism, weight change, and body composition in the elderly: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Garin, Margaret C; Arnold, Alice M; Lee, Jennifer S; Tracy, Russell P; Cappola, Anne R (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Subclinical hypothyroidism is common in the elderly, yet its relationship with weight and body composition is unclear. OBJECTIVE: We examined the relationship between subclinical hypothyroidism and weight change and body composition in older adults. METHODS: A total of 427 subclinically hypothyroid and 2864 euthyroid U.S. individuals ≥65 years old enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study and not taking thyroid preparations were included. Analyses of 6-year weight change were performed, compared by thyroid status. A cross-sectional analysis of thyroid status and body composition was performed in a subset of 1276 participants who had dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry scans. Models were risk factor-adjusted and stratified by sex. RESULTS: Overall, participants lost weight during follow-up (-0.38 kg/y in men, -0.37 kg/y in women). Subclinical hypothyroidism, when assessed at a single time point or persisting over 2 years, was not associated with a difference in weight change compared with euthyroidism. Subclinical hypothyroidism was also not associated with differences in lean mass, fat mass, or percent fat compared with euthyroidism. A TSH level 1 mU/L higher within the euthyroid or subclinical hypothyroid range was associated with a 0.51-kg higher baseline weight in women only (P < .001) but not with weight change in either sex. A 1 ng/dL higher free T4 level was associated with lower baseline weight and 0.32 kg/y greater weight loss in women only (P = .003). Baseline weight and weight change did not differ by T3 levels. CONCLUSIONS: Our data do not support a clinically significant impact of subclinical hypothyroidism on weight status in the elderly.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Asymptomatic Diseases; Body Composition; Body Mass Index; Cohort Studies; Female; Humans; Hypothyroidism; Male; Thyroid Gland; Weight Loss

Subclinical thyroid dysfunction and hip fracture and bone mineral density in older adults: the cardiovascular health study. - Garin, Margaret C; Arnold, Alice M; Lee, Jennifer S; Robbins, John; Cappola, Anne R (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Subclinical thyroid dysfunction is common in the elderly, yet its relationship with hip fracture and bone mineral density (BMD) is unclear. OBJECTIVE: We examined the association between endogenous subclinical hyper- and hypothyroidism and hip fracture and BMD in older adults. METHODS: A total of 4936 US individuals 65 years old or older enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study and not taking thyroid preparations were included. Analyses of incident hip fracture were performed by thyroid status, over a median follow-up of 12 years. A cross-sectional analysis of thyroid status and BMD was performed in a subset of 1317 participants who had dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry scans. Models were adjusted for risk factors and stratified by sex. RESULTS: No association was found between subclinical hypothyroidism and incident hip fracture compared with euthyroidism, when assessed at a single time point or persisting at two time points, in either women [hazard ratio (HR) 0.91, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69-1.20 for a single and HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.52-1.21 for two time points] or men (HR 1.27, 95% CI 0.82-1.95 for a single and HR 1.09, 95% CI 0.57-2.10 for two time points). Likewise, no association was found between subclinical hyperthyroidism and incident hip fracture in either sex (HR 1.11, 95% CI 0.55-2.25 in women and HR 1.78, 95% CI 0.56-5.66 in men). No association was found between subclinical thyroid dysfunction and BMD at the lumbar spine, total hip, or femoral neck sites. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest no association between subclinical hypothyroidism or subclinical hyperthyroidism and hip fracture risk or BMD in older men and women. Additional data are needed to improve the precision of estimates for subclinical hyperthyroidism and in men.
Keywords: Absorptiometry, Photon; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Asymptomatic Diseases; Bone Density; Cardiovascular System; Cohort Studies; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Hip Fractures; Humans; Male; Osteoporotic Fractures; Risk Factors; Sex Factors; Thyroid Diseases

Subclinical vascular disease burden and longer survival. - Odden, Michelle C; Yee, Laura M; Arnold, Alice M; Sanders, Jason L; Hirsch, Calvin; DeFilippi, Christopher; Kizer, Jorge R; Inzitari, Marco; Newman, Anne B (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2014)
OBJECTIVES: To determine the contribution of gradations of subclinical vascular disease (SVD) to the likelihood of longer survival and to determine what allows some individuals with SVD to live longer. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals born between June 30, 1918, and June 30, 1921 (N = 2,082; aged 70-75 at baseline (1992-93)). MEASUREMENTS: A SVD index was scored as 0 for no abnormalities, 1 for mild abnormalities, and 2 for severe abnormalities on ankle-arm index, electrocardiogram, and common carotid intima-media thickness measured at baseline. Survival groups were categorized as 80 and younger, 81 to 84, 85 to 89, and 90 and older. RESULTS: A 1-point lower SVD score was associated with 1.22 greater odds (95% confidence interval = 1.14-1.31) of longer survival, independent of potential confounders. This association was unchanged after adjustment for intermediate incident cardiovascular events. There was suggestion of an interaction between kidney function, smoking, and C-reactive protein and SVD; the association between SVD and longer survival appeared to be modestly greater in persons with poor kidney function, inflammation, or a history of smoking. CONCLUSION: A lower burden of SVD is associated with longer survival, independent of intermediate cardiovascular events. Abstinence from smoking, better kidney function, and lower inflammation may attenuate the effects of higher SVD and promote longer survival.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; C-Reactive Protein; Carotid Intima-Media Thickness; Cohort Studies; Cystatin C; Depression; Diabetes Mellitus; Electrocardiography; Female; Humans; Inflammation; Kidney Diseases; Male; Smoking; Survival Analysis; United States; Vascular Diseases

Systolic and diastolic blood pressure, incident cardiovascular events, and death in elderly persons: the role of functional limitation in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Peralta, Carmen A; Katz, Ronit; Newman, Anne B; Psaty, Bruce M; Odden, Michelle C (Hypertension, 2014)
Whether limitation in the ability to perform activities of daily living (ADL) or gait speed can identify elders in whom the association of systolic and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) with cardiovascular events (CVDs) and death differs is unclear. We evaluated whether limitation in ADL or gait speed modifies the association of systolic blood pressure or DBP with incident CVD (n=2358) and death (n=3547) in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Mean age was 78±5 and 21% reported limitation in ≥1 ADL. There were 778 CVD and 1289 deaths over 9 years. Among persons without and those with ADL limitation, systolic blood pressure was associated with incident CVD: hazard ratio [HR] (per 10-mm Hg increase) 1.08 (95% confidence interval, 1.03, 1.13) and 1.06 (0.97, 1.17), respectively. ADL modified the association of DBP with incident CVD. Among those without ADL limitation, DBP was weakly associated with incident CVD, HR 1.04 (0.79, 1.37) for DBP >80, compared with <65 mm Hg. Among those with ADL limitation, DBP was inversely associated with CVD: HR 0.65 (0.44, 0.96) for DBP 66 to 80 mm Hg and HR 0.49 (0.25, 0.94) for DBP >80, compared with DBP ≤65. Among people with ADL limitation, a DBP of 66 to 80 had the lowest risk of death, HR 0.72 (0.57, 0.91), compared with a DBP of ≤65. Associations did not vary by 15-feet walking speed. ADL can identify elders in whom diastolic hypotension is associated with higher cardiovascular risk and death. Functional status, rather than chronologic age alone, should inform design of hypertension trials in elders.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Blood Pressure; Cardiovascular Diseases; Diastole; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Gait; Heart Rate; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Risk Factors; Survival Rate; Systole

Targeted sequencing in candidate genes for atrial fibrillation: the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Targeted Sequencing Study. - Lin, Honghuang; Sinner, Moritz F; Brody, Jennifer A; Arking, Dan E; Lunetta, Kathryn L; Rienstra, Michiel; Lubitz, Steven A; Magnani, Jared W; Sotoodehnia, Nona; McKnight, Barbara; McManus, David D; Boerwinkle, Eric; et al. (Heart Rhythm, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified common genetic variants that predispose to atrial fibrillation (AF). It is unclear whether rare and low-frequency variants in genes implicated by such GWAS confer additional risk of AF. OBJECTIVE: To study the association of genetic variants with AF at GWAS top loci. METHODS: In the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Targeted Sequencing Study, we selected and sequenced 77 target gene regions from GWAS loci of complex diseases or traits, including 4 genes hypothesized to be related to AF (PRRX1, CAV1, CAV2, and ZFHX3). Sequencing was performed in participants with (n = 948) and without (n = 3330) AF from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, the Cardiovascular Health Study, the Framingham Heart Study, and the Massachusetts General Hospital. RESULTS: One common variant (rs11265611; P = 1.70 × 10(-6)) intronic to IL6R (interleukin-6 receptor gene) was significantly associated with AF after Bonferroni correction (odds ratio 0.70; 95% confidence interval 0.58-0.85). The variant was not genotyped or imputed by prior GWAS, but it is in linkage disequilibrium (r(2) = .69) with the single-nucleotide polymorphism, with the strongest association with AF so far at this locus (rs4845625). In the rare variant joint analysis, damaging variants within the PRRX1 region showed significant association with AF after Bonferroni correction (P = .01). CONCLUSIONS: We identified 1 common single-nucleotide polymorphism and 1 gene region that were significantly associated with AF. Future sequencing efforts with larger sample sizes and more comprehensive genome coverage are anticipated to identify additional AF-related variants.
Keywords: Aged; Atrial Fibrillation; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Homeodomain Proteins; Humans; Linkage Disequilibrium; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Receptors, Interleukin-6

Telomere length and the risk of atrial fibrillation: insights into the role of biological versus chronological aging. - Roberts, Jason D; Dewland, Thomas A; Longoria, James; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Ziv, Elad; Hu, Donglei; Lin, Jue; Glidden, David V; Psaty, Bruce M; Burchard, Esteban G; Blackburn, Elizabeth H; Olgin, Jeffrey E; et al. (Circ Arrhythm Electrophysiol, 2014)
BACKGROUND: Advanced age is the most important risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF); however, the mechanism remains unknown. Telomeres, regions of DNA that shorten with cell division, are considered reliable markers of biological aging. We sought to examine the association between leukocyte telomere length (LTL) and incident AF in a large population-based cohort using direct LTL measurements and genetic data. To further explore our findings, we compared atrial cell telomere length and LTL in cardiac surgery patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: Mean LTL and the TERT rs2736100 single nucleotide polymorphism were assessed as predictors of incident AF in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). Among the surgical patients, within subject comparison of atrial cell telomere length versus LTL was assessed. Among 1639 CHS participants, we observed no relationship between mean LTL and incident AF before and after adjustment for potential confounders (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.09; 95% confidence interval: 0.92-1.29; P=0.299); chronologic age remained strongly associated with AF in the same model. No association was observed between the TERT rs2736100 single nucleotide polymorphism and incident AF (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.95; 95% confidence interval: 0.88-1.04; P=0.265). In 35 cardiac surgery patients (26 with AF), atrial cell telomere length was longer than LTL (1.19 ± 0.20 versus 1.02 ± 0.25 [T/S ratio], P<0.001), a finding that remained consistent within the AF subgroup. CONCLUSIONS: Our study revealed no evidence of an association between LTL and incident AF and no evidence of relative atrial cell telomere shortening in AF. Chronological aging independent of biological markers of aging is the primary risk factor for AF.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Aging; Atrial Fibrillation; California; Cardiac Surgical Procedures; Cellular Senescence; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Humans; Incidence; Leukocytes; Male; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Telomerase; Telomere; Time Factors

Thyroid antibody status, subclinical hypothyroidism, and the risk of coronary heart disease: an individual participant data analysis. - Collet, Tinh-Hai; Bauer, Douglas C; Cappola, Anne R; Asvold, Bjørn O; Weiler, Stefan; Vittinghoff, Eric; Gussekloo, Jacobijn; Bremner, Alexandra; den Elzen, Wendy P J; Maciel, Rui M B; Vanderpump, Mark P J; Cornuz, Jacques; et al. (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2014)
CONTEXT: Subclinical hypothyroidism has been associated with increased risk of coronary heart disease (CHD), particularly with thyrotropin levels of 10.0 mIU/L or greater. The measurement of thyroid antibodies helps predict the progression to overt hypothyroidism, but it is unclear whether thyroid autoimmunity independently affects CHD risk. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to compare the CHD risk of subclinical hypothyroidism with and without thyroid peroxidase antibodies (TPOAbs). DATA SOURCES AND STUDY SELECTION: A MEDLINE and EMBASE search from 1950 to 2011 was conducted for prospective cohorts, reporting baseline thyroid function, antibodies, and CHD outcomes. DATA EXTRACTION: Individual data of 38 274 participants from six cohorts for CHD mortality followed up for 460 333 person-years and 33 394 participants from four cohorts for CHD events. DATA SYNTHESIS: Among 38 274 adults (median age 55 y, 63% women), 1691 (4.4%) had subclinical hypothyroidism, of whom 775 (45.8%) had positive TPOAbs. During follow-up, 1436 participants died of CHD and 3285 had CHD events. Compared with euthyroid individuals, age- and gender-adjusted risks of CHD mortality in subclinical hypothyroidism were similar among individuals with and without TPOAbs [hazard ratio (HR) 1.15, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.87-1.53 vs HR 1.26, CI 1.01-1.58, P for interaction = .62], as were risks of CHD events (HR 1.16, CI 0.87-1.56 vs HR 1.26, CI 1.02-1.56, P for interaction = .65). Risks of CHD mortality and events increased with higher thyrotropin, but within each stratum, risks did not differ by TPOAb status. CONCLUSIONS: CHD risk associated with subclinical hypothyroidism did not differ by TPOAb status, suggesting that biomarkers of thyroid autoimmunity do not add independent prognostic information for CHD outcomes.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Autoantibodies; Coronary Disease; Female; Humans; Hypothyroidism; Incidence; Male; Middle Aged; Prevalence; Prognosis; Risk Factors; Seroepidemiologic Studies; Severity of Illness Index; Young Adult

Troponin T, NT-proBNP, and venous thromboembolism: the Longitudinal Investigation of Thromboembolism Etiology (LITE). - Folsom, Aaron R; Lutsey, Pamela L; Nambi, Vijay; deFilippi, Christopher R; Heckbert, Susan R; Cushman, Mary; Ballantyne, Christie M (Vasc Med, 2014)
Increased levels of plasma troponins and natriuretic peptides are markers of cardiac dysfunction associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease. Little information exists on cardiac dysfunction and occurrence of venous thromboembolism (VTE). In two prospective epidemiological cohorts, we tested the hypothesis that high-sensitivity troponin T (TnT) and N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) are associated positively with VTE occurrence. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) measured plasma TnT and NT-proBNP in 13,719 men or women with no history of venous thrombosis, coronary heart disease, or heart failure and followed them for approximately 10 years for VTE occurrence (n = 348 VTEs). In both ARIC and CHS, TnT was associated positively with incidence of total VTE and provoked VTE, but not with unprovoked VTE: age, race, and sex-adjusted hazard ratios for total VTE in the pooled analysis were 1.00, 0.85, 1.36, 1.51, and 1.98 (p-trend <0.0001) across five categories of TnT. In contrast, the association of NT-proBNP with VTE was positive in ARIC (hazard ratios approximately 2.5-fold for the highest versus lowest NT-proBNP quintiles), but non-existent in CHS.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Atherosclerosis; Biomarkers; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Middle Aged; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain; Peptide Fragments; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Troponin T; Venous Thromboembolism

Vitamin D and the risk of dementia and Alzheimer disease. - Littlejohns, Thomas J; Henley, William E; Lang, Iain A; Annweiler, Cedric; Beauchet, Olivier; Chaves, Paulo H M; Fried, Linda; Kestenbaum, Bryan R; Kuller, Lewis H; Langa, Kenneth M; Lopez, Oscar L; Kos, Katarina; et al. (Neurology, 2014)
OBJECTIVE: To determine whether low vitamin D concentrations are associated with an increased risk of incident all-cause dementia and Alzheimer disease. METHODS: One thousand six hundred fifty-eight elderly ambulatory adults free from dementia, cardiovascular disease, and stroke who participated in the US population-based Cardiovascular Health Study between 1992-1993 and 1999 were included. Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations were determined by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry from blood samples collected in 1992-1993. Incident all-cause dementia and Alzheimer disease status were assessed during follow-up using National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke/Alzheimer's Disease and Related Disorders Association criteria. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 5.6 years, 171 participants developed all-cause dementia, including 102 cases of Alzheimer disease. Using Cox proportional hazards models, the multivariate adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval [CI]) for incident all-cause dementia in participants who were severely 25(OH)D deficient (<25 nmol/L) and deficient (≥25 to <50 nmol/L) were 2.25 (95% CI: 1.23-4.13) and 1.53 (95% CI: 1.06-2.21) compared to participants with sufficient concentrations (≥50 nmol/L). The multivariate adjusted hazard ratios for incident Alzheimer disease in participants who were severely 25(OH)D deficient and deficient compared to participants with sufficient concentrations were 2.22 (95% CI: 1.02-4.83) and 1.69 (95% CI: 1.06-2.69). In multivariate adjusted penalized smoothing spline plots, the risk of all-cause dementia and Alzheimer disease markedly increased below a threshold of 50 nmol/L. CONCLUSION: Our results confirm that vitamin D deficiency is associated with a substantially increased risk of all-cause dementia and Alzheimer disease. This adds to the ongoing debate about the role of vitamin D in nonskeletal conditions.
Keywords: Aged; Alzheimer Disease; Dementia; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Incidence; Male; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors; United States; Vitamin D; Vitamin D Deficiency

What do carotid intima-media thickness and plaque add to the prediction of stroke and cardiovascular disease risk in older adults? The cardiovascular health study. - Gardin, Julius M; Bartz, Traci M; Polak, Joseph F; O'Leary, Daniel H; Wong, Nathan D (J Am Soc Echocardiogr, 2014)
BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate whether the addition of ultrasound carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) measurements and risk categories of plaque help predict incident stroke and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in older adults. METHODS: Carotid ultrasound studies were recorded in the multicenter Cardiovascular Health Study. CVD was defined as coronary heart disease plus heart failure plus stroke. Ten-year risk prediction Cox proportional-hazards models for stroke and CVD were calculated using Cardiovascular Health Study-specific coefficients for Framingham risk score factors. Categories of CIMT and CIMT plus plaque were added to Framingham risk score prediction models, and categorical net reclassification improvement (NRI) and Harrell's c-statistic were calculated. RESULTS: In 4,384 Cardiovascular Health Study participants (61% women, 14% black; mean baseline age, 72 ± 5 years) without CVD at baseline, higher CIMT category and the presence of plaque were both associated with higher incidence rates for stroke and CVD. The addition of CIMT improved the ability of Framingham risk score-type risk models to discriminate cases from noncases of incident stroke and CVD (NRI = 0.062, P = .015, and NRI = 0.027, P < .001, respectively), with no further improvement by adding plaque. For both outcomes, NRI was driven by down-classifying those without incident disease. Although the addition of plaque to CIMT did not result in a significant NRI for either outcome, it was significant among those without incident disease. CONCLUSIONS: In older adults, the addition of CIMT modestly improves 10-year risk prediction for stroke and CVD beyond a traditional risk factor model, mainly by down-classifying risk in those without stroke or CVD; the addition of plaque to CIMT adds no statistical benefit in the overall cohort, although there is evidence of down-classification in those without events.
Keywords: Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Carotid Intima-Media Thickness; Carotid Stenosis; Comorbidity; Female; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Reproducibility of Results; Risk Factors; Sensitivity and Specificity; Stroke; Survival Rate

Whole-exome sequencing identifies rare and low-frequency coding variants associated with LDL cholesterol. - Lange, Leslie A; Hu, Youna; Zhang, He; Xue, Chenyi; Schmidt, Ellen M; Tang, Zheng-Zheng; Bizon, Chris; Lange, Ethan M; Smith, Joshua D; Turner, Emily H; Jun, Goo; Kang, Hyun Min; et al. (Am J Hum Genet, 2014)
Elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is a treatable, heritable risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have identified 157 variants associated with lipid levels but are not well suited to assess the impact of rare and low-frequency variants. To determine whether rare or low-frequency coding variants are associated with LDL-C, we exome sequenced 2,005 individuals, including 554 individuals selected for extreme LDL-C (>98(th) or <2(nd) percentile). Follow-up analyses included sequencing of 1,302 additional individuals and genotype-based analysis of 52,221 individuals. We observed significant evidence of association between LDL-C and the burden of rare or low-frequency variants in PNPLA5, encoding a phospholipase-domain-containing protein, and both known and previously unidentified variants in PCSK9, LDLR and APOB, three known lipid-related genes. The effect sizes for the burden of rare variants for each associated gene were substantially higher than those observed for individual SNPs identified from GWASs. We replicated the PNPLA5 signal in an independent large-scale sequencing study of 2,084 individuals. In conclusion, this large whole-exome-sequencing study for LDL-C identified a gene not known to be implicated in LDL-C and provides unique insight into the design and analysis of similar experiments.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Apolipoproteins E; Cholesterol, LDL; Cohort Studies; Dyslipidemias; Exome; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Gene Frequency; Genetic Code; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Humans; Lipase; Male; Middle Aged; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Proprotein Convertase 9; Proprotein Convertases; Receptors, LDL; Sequence Analysis, DNA; Serine Endopeptidases

Association between hospitalization for pneumonia and subsequent risk of cardiovascular disease. - Corrales-Medina, Vicente F; Alvarez, Karina N; Weissfeld, Lisa A; Angus, Derek C; Chirinos, Julio A; Chang, Chung-Chou H; Newman, Anne; Loehr, Laura; Folsom, Aaron R; Elkind, Mitchell S; Lyles, Mary F; Kronmal, Richard A; et al. (JAMA, 2015)
IMPORTANCE: The risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) after infection is poorly understood. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether hospitalization for pneumonia is associated with an increased short-term and long-term risk of CVD. DESIGN, SETTINGS, AND PARTICIPANTS: We examined 2 community-based cohorts: the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS, n = 5888; enrollment age, ≥65 years; enrollment period, 1989-1994) and the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (ARIC, n = 15,792; enrollment age, 45-64 years; enrollment period, 1987-1989). Participants were followed up through December 31, 2010. We matched each participant hospitalized with pneumonia to 2 controls. Pneumonia cases and controls were followed for occurrence of CVD over 10 years after matching. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for CVD at different time intervals, adjusting for demographics, CVD risk factors, subclinical CVD, comorbidities, and functional status. EXPOSURES: Hospitalization for pneumonia. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Incident CVD (myocardial infarction, stroke, and fatal coronary heart disease). RESULTS: Of 591 pneumonia cases in CHS, 206 had CVD events over 10 years after pneumonia hospitalization. CVD risk after pneumonia was highest in the first year. CVD occurred in 54 cases and 6 controls in the first 30 days (HR, 4.07; 95% CI, 2.86-5.27); 11 cases and 9 controls between 31 and 90 days (HR, 2.94; 95% CI, 2.18-3.70); and 22 cases and 55 controls between 91 days and 1 year (HR, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.59-2.60). Additional CVD risk remained elevated into the tenth year, when 4 cases and 12 controls developed CVD (HR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.18-2.55). In ARIC, of 680 pneumonia cases, 112 had CVD over 10 years after hospitalization. CVD occurred in 4 cases and 3 controls in the first 30 days (HR, 2.38; 95% CI, 1.12-3.63); 4 cases and 0 controls between 31 and 90 days (HR, 2.40; 95% CI, 1.23-3.47); 11 cases and 8 controls between 91 days and 1 year (HR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.20-3.19); and 8 cases and 7 controls during the second year (HR, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.10-2.66). After the second year, the HRs were no longer statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Hospitalization for pneumonia was associated with increased short-term and long-term risk of CVD, suggesting that pneumonia may be a risk factor for CVD.
Keywords: Aged; Atherosclerosis; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Comorbidity; Female; Hospitalization; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Pneumonia; Risk Factors

Association between left atrial abnormality on ECG and vascular brain injury on MRI in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Kamel, Hooman; Bartz, Traci M; Longstreth, W T; Okin, Peter M; Thacker, Evan L; Patton, Kristen K; Stein, Phyllis K; Gottesman, Rebecca F; Heckbert, Susan R; Kronmal, Richard A; Elkind, Mitchell S V; Soliman, Elsayed Z (Stroke, 2015)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Emerging evidence suggests that atrial disease is associated with vascular brain injury in the absence of atrial fibrillation. METHODS: The Cardiovascular Health Study prospectively enrolled community-dwelling adults aged ≥65 years. Among participants who underwent MRI, we examined associations of ECG left atrial abnormality with brain infarcts and leukoaraiosis. P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was the primary measure of left atrial abnormality; P-wave area and duration were secondary predictors. We excluded participants with atrial fibrillation before or on their index ECG. Primary outcomes were incident infarcts and worsening leukoaraiosis from initial to follow-up scan ≈5 years later. Secondary outcomes were prevalent infarcts and degree of leukoaraiosis on initial MRI. Relative risk (RR) and linear regression models were adjusted for vascular risk factors. RESULTS: Among 3129 participants with ≥1 scan, each SD increase in P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was associated with a 0.05-point (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.0003-0.10) higher baseline white matter grade on a 10-point scale. P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was associated with prevalent infarcts of any type (RR per SD, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.04-1.16) and more so with prevalent nonlacunar infarcts (RR per SD, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.08-1.38). Among 1839 participants with 2 scans, P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was associated with worsening leukoaraiosis (RR per SD, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.01-1.18), but not with incident infarcts (RR per SD, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.93-1.20). Sensitivity analyses adjusting for incident atrial fibrillation found similar results. P-wave area and duration were not associated with outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: ECG left atrial abnormality is associated with vascular brain injury in the absence of documented atrial fibrillation.
Keywords: Aged; Atrial Fibrillation; Brain; Brain Infarction; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cerebrovascular Trauma; Electrocardiography; Female; Heart Atria; Heart Diseases; Humans; Linear Models; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Middle Aged; Predictive Value of Tests; Prospective Studies; Regression Analysis; Risk Factors; Treatment Outcome

Association of 25-Hydroxyvitamin D status and genetic variation in the vitamin D metabolic pathway with FEV1 in the Framingham Heart Study. - Hansen, J G; Gao, W; Dupuis, J; O'Connor, G T; Tang, W; Kowgier, M; Sood, A; Gharib, S A; Palmer, L J; Fornage, M; Heckbert, S R; Psaty, B M; et al. (Respir Res, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Vitamin D is associated with lung function in cross-sectional studies, and vitamin D inadequacy is hypothesized to play a role in the pathogenesis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Further data are needed to clarify the relation between vitamin D status, genetic variation in vitamin D metabolic genes, and cross-sectional and longitudinal changes in lung function in healthy adults. METHODS: We estimated the association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] and cross-sectional forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV1) in Framingham Heart Study (FHS) Offspring and Third Generation participants and the association between serum 25(OH)D and longitudinal change in FEV1 in Third Generation participants using linear mixed-effects models. Using a gene-based approach, we investigated the association between 241 SNPs in 6 select vitamin D metabolic genes in relation to longitudinal change in FEV1 in Offspring participants and pursued replication of these findings in a meta-analyzed set of 4 independent cohorts. RESULTS: We found a positive cross-sectional association between 25(OH)D and FEV1 in FHS Offspring and Third Generation participants (P=0.004). There was little or no association between 25(OH)D and longitudinal change in FEV1 in Third Generation participants (P=0.97). In Offspring participants, the CYP2R1 gene, hypothesized to influence usual serum 25(OH)D status, was associated with longitudinal change in FEV1 (gene-based P<0.05). The most significantly associated SNP from CYP2R1 had a consistent direction of association with FEV1 in the meta-analyzed set of replication cohorts, but the association did not reach statistical significance thresholds (P=0.09). CONCLUSIONS: Serum 25(OH)D status was associated with cross-sectional FEV1, but not longitudinal change in FEV1. The inconsistent associations may be driven by differences in the groups studied. CYP2R1 demonstrated a gene-based association with longitudinal change in FEV1 and is a promising candidate gene for further studies.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Cohort Studies; Cross-Sectional Studies; DNA-Binding Proteins; Female; Genetic Variation; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Massachusetts; Metabolic Networks and Pathways; Middle Aged; Nuclear Proteins; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Vitamin D

Association of Alzheimer's disease GWAS loci with MRI markers of brain aging. - Chauhan, Ganesh; Adams, Hieab H H; Bis, Joshua C; Weinstein, Galit; Yu, Lei; Töglhofer, Anna Maria; Smith, Albert Vernon; van der Lee, Sven J; Gottesman, Rebecca F; Thomson, Russell; Wang, Jing; Yang, Qiong; et al. (Neurobiol Aging, 2015)
Whether novel risk variants of Alzheimer's disease (AD) identified through genome-wide association studies also influence magnetic resonance imaging-based intermediate phenotypes of AD in the general population is unclear. We studied association of 24 AD risk loci with intracranial volume, total brain volume, hippocampal volume (HV), white matter hyperintensity burden, and brain infarcts in a meta-analysis of genetic association studies from large population-based samples (N = 8175-11,550). In single-SNP based tests, AD risk allele of APOE (rs2075650) was associated with smaller HV (p = 0.0054) and CD33 (rs3865444) with smaller intracranial volume (p = 0.0058). In gene-based tests, there was associations of HLA-DRB1 with total brain volume (p = 0.0006) and BIN1 with HV (p = 0.00089). A weighted AD genetic risk score was associated with smaller HV (beta ± SE = -0.047 ± 0.013, p = 0.00041), even after excluding the APOE locus (p = 0.029). However, only association of AD genetic risk score with HV, including APOE, was significant after multiple testing correction (including number of independent phenotypes tested). These results suggest that novel AD genetic risk variants may contribute to structural brain aging in nondemented older community persons.
Keywords: Aging; Alleles; Alzheimer Disease; Apolipoproteins E; Brain; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Hippocampus; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Organ Size; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk; Sialic Acid Binding Ig-like Lectin 3

Association of Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity With Mortality. - Di Angelantonio, Emanuele; Kaptoge, Stephen; Wormser, David; Willeit, Peter; Butterworth, Adam S; Bansal, Narinder; O'Keeffe, Linda M; Gao, Pei; Wood, Angela M; Burgess, Stephen; Freitag, Daniel F; Pennells, Lisa; et al. (JAMA, 2015)
IMPORTANCE: The prevalence of cardiometabolic multimorbidity is increasing. OBJECTIVE: To estimate reductions in life expectancy associated with cardiometabolic multimorbidity. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Age- and sex-adjusted mortality rates and hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using individual participant data from the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration (689,300 participants; 91 cohorts; years of baseline surveys: 1960-2007; latest mortality follow-up: April 2013; 128,843 deaths). The HRs from the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration were compared with those from the UK Biobank (499,808 participants; years of baseline surveys: 2006-2010; latest mortality follow-up: November 2013; 7995 deaths). Cumulative survival was estimated by applying calculated age-specific HRs for mortality to contemporary US age-specific death rates. EXPOSURES: A history of 2 or more of the following: diabetes mellitus, stroke, myocardial infarction (MI). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: All-cause mortality and estimated reductions in life expectancy. RESULTS: In participants in the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration without a history of diabetes, stroke, or MI at baseline (reference group), the all-cause mortality rate adjusted to the age of 60 years was 6.8 per 1000 person-years. Mortality rates per 1000 person-years were 15.6 in participants with a history of diabetes, 16.1 in those with stroke, 16.8 in those with MI, 32.0 in those with both diabetes and MI, 32.5 in those with both diabetes and stroke, 32.8 in those with both stroke and MI, and 59.5 in those with diabetes, stroke, and MI. Compared with the reference group, the HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.9 (95% CI, 1.8-2.0) in participants with a history of diabetes, 2.1 (95% CI, 2.0-2.2) in those with stroke, 2.0 (95% CI, 1.9-2.2) in those with MI, 3.7 (95% CI, 3.3-4.1) in those with both diabetes and MI, 3.8 (95% CI, 3.5-4.2) in those with both diabetes and stroke, 3.5 (95% CI, 3.1-4.0) in those with both stroke and MI, and 6.9 (95% CI, 5.7-8.3) in those with diabetes, stroke, and MI. The HRs from the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration were similar to those from the more recently recruited UK Biobank. The HRs were little changed after further adjustment for markers of established intermediate pathways (eg, levels of lipids and blood pressure) and lifestyle factors (eg, smoking, diet). At the age of 60 years, a history of any 2 of these conditions was associated with 12 years of reduced life expectancy and a history of all 3 of these conditions was associated with 15 years of reduced life expectancy. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Mortality associated with a history of diabetes, stroke, or MI was similar for each condition. Because any combination of these conditions was associated with multiplicative mortality risk, life expectancy was substantially lower in people with multimorbidity.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Comorbidity; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Humans; Life Expectancy; Male; Middle Aged; Mortality; Myocardial Infarction; Risk Factors; Stroke

Association of exome sequences with plasma C-reactive protein levels in >9000 participants. - Schick, Ursula M; Auer, Paul L; Bis, Joshua C; Lin, Honghuang; Wei, Peng; Pankratz, Nathan; Lange, Leslie A; Brody, Jennifer; Stitziel, Nathan O; Kim, Daniel S; Carlson, Christopher S; Fornage, Myriam; et al. (Hum Mol Genet, 2015)
C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration is a heritable systemic marker of inflammation that is associated with cardiovascular disease risk. Genome-wide association studies have identified CRP-associated common variants associated in ∼25 genes. Our aims were to apply exome sequencing to (1) assess whether the candidate loci contain rare coding variants associated with CRP levels and (2) perform an exome-wide search for rare variants in novel genes associated with CRP levels. We exome-sequenced 6050 European-Americans (EAs) and 3109 African-Americans (AAs) from the NHLBI-ESP and the CHARGE consortia, and performed association tests of sequence data with measured CRP levels. In single-variant tests across candidate loci, a novel rare (minor allele frequency = 0.16%) CRP-coding variant (rs77832441-A; p.Thr59Met) was associated with 53% lower mean CRP levels (P = 2.9 × 10(-6)). We replicated the association of rs77832441 in an exome array analysis of 11 414 EAs (P = 3.0 × 10(-15)). Despite a strong effect on CRP levels, rs77832441 was not associated with inflammation-related phenotypes including coronary heart disease. We also found evidence for an AA-specific association of APOE-ε2 rs7214 with higher CRP levels. At the exome-wide significance level (P < 5.0 × 10(-8)), we confirmed associations for reported common variants of HNF1A, CRP, IL6R and TOMM40-APOE. In gene-based tests, a burden of rare/lower frequency variation in CRP in EAs (P ≤ 6.8 × 10(-4)) and in retinoic acid receptor-related orphan receptor α (RORA) in AAs (P = 1.7 × 10(-3)) were associated with CRP levels at the candidate gene level (P < 2.0 × 10(-3)). This inquiry did not elucidate novel genes, but instead demonstrated that variants distributed across the allele frequency spectrum within candidate genes contribute to CRP levels.
Keywords: Adult; African Americans; C-Reactive Protein; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Exome; Female; Gene Frequency; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Hepatocyte Nuclear Factor 1-alpha; Humans; Male; Plasma; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Receptors, Interleukin-6; Risk Factors

Association of Fetuin-A With Incident Fractures in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Fink, Howard A; Bůzková, Petra; Garimella, Pranav S; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Cauley, Jane A; Kizer, Jorge R; Barzilay, Joshua I; Jalal, Diana I; Ix, Joachim H (J Bone Miner Res, 2015)
Fetuin-A, a serum protein that regulates calcium mineralization, has been associated with bone mineral density (BMD) in several cross-sectional human studies, suggesting a possible beneficial effect on clinically important measures of bone health. Fetuin-A and incidence of subsequent fracture was assessed in 4714 men and women ≥65 years of age. Proportional hazards models were used to estimate risk of incident hip (hospital discharge ICD-9 codes) and composite fracture (hip, pelvis, humerus, or proximal forearm; hospital discharge ICD-9 codes and Medicare claims data). A total of 576 participants had an incident hip fracture (median follow-up 11.2 years) and 768 had an incident composite fracture (median follow-up 6.9 years). In unadjusted analyses, there was no association between fetuin-A (per SD increase) and risk of hip fracture (hazard ratio [HR], 0.96; 95% CI, 0.88 to 1.05) or composite fracture (HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.92 to 1.06). Results were not significantly changed after adjustment for potential confounding variables. Analyses modeling fetuin-A in quartiles or within a subset with available BMD measures also showed no statistically significant association with risk of hip or composite fracture. Though fetuin-A was positively associated with areal BMD in partially adjusted models (total hip: β, 0.013 g/cm(2) ; 95% CI, 0.005 to 0.021; femoral neck: β, 0.011 g/cm(2) ; 95% CI, 0.004 to 0.018; and lumbar spine: β, 0.007 g/cm(2) ; 95% CI, 0.001 to 0.028), these associations were no longer significant after further adjustment for BMI and in final multivariate models. In this large sample of community-dwelling older adults, a small positive association between fetuin-A and areal BMD appeared attributable to confounding variables and we found no evidence of an association between fetuin-A and risk of clinical fracture.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; alpha-2-HS-Glycoprotein; Bone Density; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Fractures, Bone; Humans; Incidence; Male; Models, Biological

Association of mitochondrial DNA levels with frailty and all-cause mortality. - Ashar, Foram N; Moes, Anna; Moore, Ann Z; Grove, Megan L; Chaves, Paulo H M; Coresh, Josef; Newman, Anne B; Matteini, Amy M; Bandeen-Roche, Karen; Boerwinkle, Eric; Walston, Jeremy D; Arking, Dan E (J Mol Med (Berl), 2015)
Mitochondrial function is altered with age and variants in mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) modulate risk for several age-related disease states. However, the association of mtDNA copy number, a readily available marker which reflects mitochondrial depletion, energy reserves, and oxidative stress, on aging and mortality in the general population has not been addressed. To assess the association between mtDNA copy number and two primary outcomes--prevalent frailty and all-cause mortality--we utilize data from participants who were from two multicenter, multiethnic, community-based, prospective studies--the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) (1989-2006) and the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study (1987-2013). A total of 4892 participants (43.3% men) from CHS and 11,509 participants (44.9% men) from ARIC self-identifying as white or black were included in the analysis. mtDNA copy number, the trait of interest, was measured using a qPCR-based method in CHS and an array-based method in ARIC from DNA isolated from whole blood in participants from both cohorts. In race-stratified meta-analyses, we observe a significant inverse association of mtDNA copy number with age and higher mtDNA copy number in women relative to men. Lower mtDNA copy number was also significantly associated with prevalent frailty in white participants from CHS (OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.85-0.97). Additionally, mtDNA copy number was a strong independent predictor of all-cause mortality in an age- and sex-adjusted, race-stratified analysis of 16,401 participants from both cohorts with a pooled hazard ratio of 1.47 (95% CI 1.33-1.62) for the lowest quintile of mtDNA copy number relative to the highest quintile. Key messages: Mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) copy number is associated with age and sex. Lower mtDNA copy number is also associated with prevalent frailty. mtDNA copy number is a significant predictor of all-cause mortality in a multiethnic population.
Keywords: African Americans; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; DNA, Mitochondrial; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Gene Dosage; Geriatric Assessment; Humans; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Male; Mortality; Odds Ratio; Population Surveillance; Prospective Studies; Surveys and Questionnaires; United States

Association of Rare Loss-Of-Function Alleles in HAL, Serum Histidine: Levels and Incident Coronary Heart Disease. - Yu, Bing; Li, Alexander H; Muzny, Donna; Veeraraghavan, Narayanan; de Vries, Paul S; Bis, Joshua C; Musani, Solomon K; Alexander, Danny; Morrison, Alanna C; Franco, Oscar H; Uitterlinden, Andre; Hofman, Albert; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Histidine is a semiessential amino acid with antioxidant and anti-inflammatory properties. Few data are available on the associations between genetic variants, histidine levels, and incident coronary heart disease (CHD) in a population-based sample. METHODS AND RESULTS: By conducting whole exome sequencing on 1152 African Americans in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and focusing on loss-of-function (LoF) variants, we identified 3 novel rare LoF variants in HAL, a gene that encodes histidine ammonia-lyase in the first step of histidine catabolism. These LoF variants had large effects on blood histidine levels (β=0.26; P=1.2×10(-13)). The positive association with histidine levels was replicated by genotyping an independent sample of 718 ARIC African Americans (minor allele frequency=1%; P=1.2×10(-4)). In addition, high blood histidine levels were associated with reduced risk of developing incident CHD with an average of 21.5 years of follow-up among African Americans (hazard ratio=0.18; P=1.9×10(-4)). This finding was validated in an independent sample of European Americans from the Framingham Heart Study (FHS) Offspring Cohort. However, LoF variants in HAL were not directly significantly associated with incident CHD after meta-analyzing results from the CHARGE Consortium. CONCLUSIONS: Three LoF mutations in HAL were associated with increased histidine levels, which in turn were shown to be inversely related to the risk of CHD among both African Americans and European Americans. Future investigations on the association between HAL gene variation and CHD are warranted.
Keywords: Adult; African Americans; Alleles; Coronary Disease; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Histidine; Histidine Ammonia-Lyase; Humans; Male; Mutation

Associations between metabolic dysregulation and circulating biomarkers of fibrosis: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Agarwal, Isha; Glazer, Nicole L; Barasch, Eddy; Djoussé, Luc; Gottdiener, John S; Ix, Joachim H; Kizer, Jorge R; Rimm, Eric B; Siscovick, David S; King, George L; Mukamal, Ken J (Metabolism, 2015)
AIM: Fibrosis is one postulated pathway by which diabetes produces cardiac and other systemic complications. Our aim was to determine which metabolic parameters are associated with circulating fibrosis-related biomarkers transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β) and procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP). METHODS: We used linear regression to determine the cross-sectional associations of diverse metabolic parameters, including fasting glucose, fasting insulin, body mass index, fatty acid binding protein 4, and non-esterified fatty acids, with circulating levels of TGF-β (n = 1559) and PIIINP (n = 3024) among community-living older adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study. RESULTS: Among the main metabolic parameters we examined, only fasting glucose was associated with TGF-β (P = 0.03). In contrast, multiple metabolic parameters were associated with PIIINP, including fasting insulin, body mass index, and non-esterified fatty acids (P<0.001, P<0.001, P=0.001, respectively). These associations remained statistically significant after mutual adjustment, except the association between BMI and PIIINP. CONCLUSIONS: Isolated hyperglycemia is associated with higher serum concentrations of TGF-β, while a broader phenotype of insulin resistance is associated with higher serum PIIINP. Whether simultaneous pharmacologic targeting of these two metabolic phenotypes can synergistically reduce the risk of cardiac and other manifestations of fibrosis remains to be determined.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Biomarkers; Blood Glucose; Cardiovascular System; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diabetes Complications; Diabetes Mellitus; Fatty Acids, Nonesterified; Female; Fibrosis; Health; Humans; Insulin; Insulin Resistance; Male; Metabolic Diseases; Peptide Fragments; Procollagen; Transforming Growth Factor beta

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in older adults with diabetes mellitus. - Barzilay, Joshua I; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Kizer, Jorge R (Clin Geriatr Med, 2015)
Diabetes mellitus exerts a strong effect on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk into older age (beyond ages 70-74 years). This effect is particularly noticeable with regard to coronary artery disease and cerebral microvascular disease. Thus, diabetes mellitus in older adults deserves the same careful medical attention as it does in middle age.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Coronary Artery Disease; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Female; Humans; Male; Risk Factors; Survival Rate

Burden of Comorbidities and Functional and Cognitive Impairments in Elderly Patients at the Initial Diagnosis of Heart Failure and Their Impact on Total Mortality: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Murad, Khalil; Goff, David C; Morgan, Timothy M; Burke, Gregory L; Bartz, Traci M; Kizer, Jorge R; Chaudhry, Sarwat I; Gottdiener, John S; Kitzman, Dalane W (JACC Heart Fail, 2015)
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine the prevalence of clinically relevant comorbidities and measures of physical and cognitive impairment in elderly persons with incident heart failure (HF). BACKGROUND: Comorbidities and functional and cognitive impairments are common in the elderly and often associated with greater mortality risk. METHODS: We examined the prevalence of 9 comorbidities and 4 measures of functional and cognitive impairments in 558 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study who developed incident HF between 1990 and 2002. Participants were followed prospectively until mid-2008 to determine their mortality risk. RESULTS: Mean age of participants was 79.2 ± 6.3 years with 52% being men. Sixty percent of participants had ≥3 comorbidities, and only 2.5% had none. Twenty-two percent and 44% of participants had ≥1 activity of daily living (ADL) and ≥1 instrumental activity of daily living (IADL) impaired respectively. Seventeen percent of participants had cognitive impairment (modified mini-mental state exam score <80, scores range between 0 and 100). During follow up, 504 participants died, with 1-, 5-, and 10-year mortality rates of 19%, 56%, and 83%, respectively. In a multivariable-adjusted model, the following were significantly associated with greater total mortality risk: diabetes mellitus (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.64; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.33 to 2.03), chronic kidney disease (HR: 1.32; 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.62 for moderate disease; HR: 3.00; 95% CI: 1.82 to 4.95 for severe), cerebrovascular disease (HR: 1.53; 95% CI: 1.22 to 1.92), depression (HR: 1.44; 95% CI: 1.09 to 1.90), functional impairment (HR: 1.30; 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.63 for 1 IADL impaired; HR: 1.49; 95% CI: 1.07 to 2.04 for ≥2 IADL impaired), and cognitive impairment (HR: 1.33; 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.73). Other comorbidities (hypertension, coronary heart disease, peripheral arterial disease, atrial fibrillation, and obstructive airway disease) and measures of functional impairments (ADLs and 15-ft walk time) were not associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Elderly patients with incident HF have a high burden of comorbidities and functional and cognitive impairments. Some of these conditions are associated with greater mortality risk.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Atrial Fibrillation; Cognition Disorders; Cohort Studies; Comorbidity; Coronary Disease; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Hypertension; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Peripheral Arterial Disease; Physical Fitness; Prevalence; Proportional Hazards Models; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive

Cardiovascular and Mortality Outcomes in the Elderly With Impaired Cardiac and Pulmonary Function: The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). - Waheed, Salman; Chaves, Paulo H M; Gardin, Julius M; Cao, Jie Jane (J Am Heart Assoc, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Impaired pulmonary function (IPF) and left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) are prevalent in the elderly and are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. The main objectives of this study were to examine the relative impact and joint association of IPF and LVSD with heart failure, cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality, and their impact on risk classification using a continuous net reclassification index. METHODS AND RESULTS: We followed 2342 adults without prevalent cardiovascular disease (mean age, 76 years) from the Cardiovascular Health Study for a median of 12.6 years. LVSD was defined as LV ejection fraction <55%. IPF was defined as: forced expiratory volume in 1 second:forced vital capacity <70%, and predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second <80%. Outcomes included heart failure hospitalization, cardiovascular mortality, all-cause mortality, and composite outcome. LVSD was detected in 128 subjects (6%), IPF in 441 (19%) and both in 38 (2%). Compared to those without LVSD or IPF, there was a significantly increased cardiovascular risk for groups of LVSD only, IPF only, and LVSD plus IPF, adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) 2.1 (1.5-3.0), 1.7 (1.4-2.1), and 3.2 (2.0-5.1) for HF; 1.8 (1.2-2.6), 1.4 (1.1-1.8), and 2.8 (1.7-4.7) for cardiovascular mortality; 1.3 (1.0-1.8), 1.7 (1.4-1.9), and 2.1 (1.5-3.0) for all-cause mortality, and 1.6 (1.3-2.1), 1.7 (1.5-1.9), and 2.4 (1.7-3.3) for composite outcome, respectively. Risk classification improved significantly for all outcomes when IPF was added to the adjusted model with LVSD or LVSD to IPF. CONCLUSIONS: While risk of cardiovascular outcomes was the highest among elderly with both LVSD and IPF, risk was comparable between subjects with IPF alone and those with LVSD alone. This observation, combined with improved risk classification by adding IPF to LVSD or LVSD to IPF, underscore the importance of comprehensive heart and lung evaluation in cardiovascular outcome assessment.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cardiovascular Diseases; Female; Heart Diseases; Heart Failure; Hospitalization; Humans; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Lung Diseases; Male; Mortality; Prospective Studies; Respiratory Function Tests; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Stroke Volume; United States; Ventricular Dysfunction, Left

Changes in insulin-like growth factor-I and its binding proteins are associated with diabetes mellitus in older adults. - Aneke-Nash, Chino S; Parrinello, Christina M; Rajpathak, Swapnil N; Rohan, Thomas E; Strotmeyer, Elsa S; Kritchevsky, Stephen B; Psaty, Bruce M; Bůzková, Petra; Kizer, Jorge R; Newman, Anne B; Strickler, Howard D; Kaplan, Robert C (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2015)
OBJECTIVES: To determine whether changes in insulin-like growth factor (IGF) protein levels are greater in participants with type 2 diabetes mellitus or worsening glycemia than in normoglycemic individuals over a 9-year follow-up period. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of a cohort study. SETTING: Participants were recruited from North Carolina, California, Maryland, and Pennsylvania. PARTICIPANTS: Cardiovascular Health Study All Stars participants, a cohort study of community-dwelling adults aged 65 and older (N=897). MEASUREMENTS: Plasma IGF-I, IGF binding protein (IGFBP)-1, and IGFBP-3 levels were assessed and American Diabetes Association cut-points for impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), impaired fasting glucose (IFG), and diabetes mellitus were used to classify participants at baseline (1996-97) and follow-up (2005-06). RESULTS: At baseline, mean age was 76.3±3.6, and 18.5% had diabetes mellitus. Participants with IFG alone and IGT plus IFG had higher IGF-I levels and lower IGFBP-1 levels than those with normoglycemia or diabetes mellitus. The greatest percentage change in IGF levels occurred in those who had diabetes mellitus at baseline (9-year changes: -9.3% for IGF-I, 59.7% for IGFBP-1, -13.4% for IGFBP-3), the smallest in individuals who remained normoglycemic at follow-up (9-year changes: -3.7% for IGF-I, 25.6% for IGFBP-1, -6.4% for IGFBP-3), and intermediate in those who were normoglycemic but developed IFG at follow-up. CONCLUSION: Degrees of glycemic impairment are associated with varying degrees of change in IGF protein levels. The changes observed in the diabetes mellitus group have been previously shown to be associated with heart failure, cancer, and noncancer mortality.
Keywords: Aged; Blood Glucose; Cohort Studies; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Female; Humans; Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 1; Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 3; Insulin-Like Growth Factor I; Male; Retrospective Studies

Circulating and dietary trans fatty acids and incident type 2 diabetes in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Wang, Qianyi; Imamura, Fumiaki; Ma, Wenjie; Wang, Molin; Lemaitre, Rozenn N; King, Irena B; Song, Xiaoling; Biggs, Mary L; Delaney, Joseph A; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Djoussé, Luc; Siscovick, David S; et al. (Diabetes Care, 2015)
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effects of trans fatty acids (TFAs) on type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) by specific TFA subtype or method of assessment. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: In the Cardiovascular Health Study, plasma phospholipid trans (t)-16:1n9, t-18:1, and cis (c)/t-, t/c-, and t/t-18:2 were measured in blood drawn from 2,919 adults aged 74 ± 5 years and free of prevalent DM in 1992. Dietary TFA was estimated among 4,207 adults free of prevalent DM when dietary questionnaires were initially administered in 1989 or 1996. Incident DM was defined through 2010 by medication use or blood glucose levels. Risks were assessed by Cox proportional hazards. RESULTS: In biomarker analyses, 287 DM cases occurred during 30,825 person-years. Both t-16:1n9 (extreme quartile hazard ratio 1.59 [95% CI 1.04-2.42], P-trend = 0.04) and t-18:1 (1.91 [1.20-3.03], P-trend = 0.01) levels were associated with higher incident DM after adjustment for de novo lipogenesis fatty acids. In dietary analyses, 407 DM cases occurred during 50,105 person-years. Incident DM was positively associated with consumption of total TFAs (1.38 [1.03-1.86], P-trend = 0.02), t-18:1 (1.32 [1.00-1.76], P-trend = 0.04), and t-18:2 (1.41 [1.05-1.89], P-trend = 0.02). After further adjustment for other dietary habits, however, the associations of estimated dietary TFA with DM were attenuated, and only nonsignificant positive trends remained. CONCLUSIONS: Among older adults, plasma phospholipid t-16:1n9 and t-18:1 levels were positively related to DM after adjustment for de novo lipogenesis fatty acids. Estimated dietary TFA was not significantly associated with DM. These findings highlight the need for further observational, interventional, and experimental studies of the effects TFA on DM.
Keywords: Aged; Biomarkers; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Diabetic Angiopathies; Dietary Fats, Unsaturated; Epidemiologic Methods; Female; Food Habits; Humans; Male; Phospholipids; Trans Fatty Acids

Coagulation factor XII genetic variation, ex vivo thrombin generation, and stroke risk in the elderly: results from the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Olson, N C; Butenas, S; Lange, L A; Lange, E M; Cushman, M; Jenny, N S; Walston, J; Souto, J C; Soria, J M; Chauhan, G; Debette, S; Longstreth, W T; et al. (J Thromb Haemost, 2015)
BACKGROUND: The relationships of thrombin generation (TG) with cardiovascular disease risk are underevaluated in population-based cohorts. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the relationships of TG influenced by the contact and tissue factor coagulation pathways ex vivo with common single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and incident cardiovascular disease and stroke. PATIENTS/METHODS: We measured peak TG (pTG) in baseline plasma samples of Cardiovascular Health Study participants (n = 5411), both with and without inhibitory anti-factor XIa antibody (pTG/FXIa(-) ). We evaluated their associations with ~ 50 000 SNPs by using the IBCv2 genotyping array, and with incident cardiovascular disease and stroke events over a median follow-up of 13.2 years. RESULTS: The minor allele for an SNP in the FXII gene (F12), rs1801020, was associated with lower pTG in European-Americans (β = - 34.2 ± 3.5 nm; P = 3.3 × 10(-22) ; minor allele frequency [MAF] = 0.23) and African-Americans (β = - 31.1 ± 7.9 nm; P = 9.0 × 10(-5) ; MAF = 0.42). Lower FXIa-independent pTG (pTG/FXIa(-) ) was associated with the F12 rs1801020 minor allele, and higher pTG/FXIa(-) was associated with the ABO SNP rs657152 minor allele (β = 16.3 nm; P = 4.3 × 10(-9) ; MAF = 0.37). The risk factor-adjusted ischemic stroke hazard ratios were 1.09 (95% confidence interval CI 1.01-1.17; P = 0.03) for pTG, 1.06 (95% CI 0.98-1.15; P = 0.17) for pTG/FXIa(-) , and 1.11 (95% CI 1.02-1.21; P = 0.02) for FXIa-dependent pTG (pTG/FXIa(+) ), per one standard deviation increment (n = 834 ischemic strokes). In a multicohort candidate gene analysis, rs1801020 was not associated with incident ischemic stroke (β = - 0.02; standard error = 0.08; P = 0.81). CONCLUSIONS: These results support the importance of contact activation pathway-dependent TG as a risk factor for ischemic stroke, and indicate the importance of F12 SNPs for TG ex vivo and in vivo.
Keywords: African Americans; Age Factors; Aged; Blood Coagulation; Brain Ischemia; European Continental Ancestry Group; Factor XII; Female; Gene Frequency; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Humans; Incidence; Male; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Stroke; Thrombin; Time Factors; United States

Contribution of Major Lifestyle Risk Factors for Incident Heart Failure in Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Del Gobbo, Liana C; Kalantarian, Shadi; Imamura, Fumiaki; Lemaitre, Rozenn; Siscovick, David S; Psaty, Bruce M; Mozaffarian, Dariush (JACC Heart Fail, 2015)
OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to determine the relative contribution of major lifestyle factors on the development of heart failure (HF) in older adults. BACKGROUND: HF incurs high morbidity, mortality, and health care costs among adults ≥65 years of age, which is the most rapidly growing segment of the U.S. METHODS: We prospectively investigated separate and combined associations of lifestyle risk factors with incident HF (1,380 cases) over 21.5 years among 4,490 men and women in the Cardiovascular Health Study, which is a community-based cohort of older adults. Lifestyle factors included 4 dietary patterns (Alternative Healthy Eating Index, Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension, an American Heart Association 2020 dietary goals score, and a Biologic pattern, which was constructed using previous knowledge of cardiovascular disease dietary risk factors), 4 physical activity metrics (exercise intensity, walking pace, energy expended in leisure activity, and walking distance), alcohol intake, smoking, and obesity. RESULTS: No dietary pattern was associated with developing HF (p > 0.05). Walking pace and leisure activity were associated with a 26% and 22% lower risk of HF, respectively (pace >3 mph vs. <2 mph; hazard ratio [HR]: 0.74; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.63 to 0.86; leisure activity ≥845 kcal/week vs. <845 kcal/week; HR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.69 to 0.87). Modest alcohol intake, maintaining a body mass index <30 kg/m(2), and not smoking were also independently associated with a lower risk of HF. Participants with ≥4 healthy lifestyle factors had a 45% (HR: 0.55; 95% CI: 0.42 to 0.74) lower risk of HF. Heterogeneity by age, sex, cardiovascular disease, hypertension medication use, and diabetes was not observed. CONCLUSIONS: Among older U.S. adults, physical activity, modest alcohol intake, avoiding obesity, and not smoking, but not dietary patterns, were associated with a lower risk of HF.
Keywords: Aged; Alcohol Drinking; Cohort Studies; Diet; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Incidence; Male; Motor Activity; Obesity; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Sedentary Lifestyle; Smoking; United States

Development and validation of a model to predict 5-year risk of death without ESRD among older adults with CKD. - Bansal, Nisha; Katz, Ronit; de Boer, Ian H; Peralta, Carmen A; Fried, Linda F; Siscovick, David S; Rifkin, Dena E; Hirsch, Calvin; Cummings, Steven R; Harris, Tamara B; Kritchevsky, Stephen B; Sarnak, Mark J; et al. (Clin J Am Soc Nephrol, 2015)
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: CKD is associated with mortality. Accurate prediction tools for mortality may guide clinical decision-making, particularly among elderly persons with CKD. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: A prediction equation was developed for 5-year risk of mortality among participants with CKD in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Sixteen candidate predictor variables were explored, which included demographics, physical examination measures, comorbidity, medication use, and kidney function measures (eGFR calculated from serum creatinine and the CKD Epidemiology Collaboration equation and the urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio). Models were developed using Cox regression and evaluated using c statistics. A final parsimonious model was externally validated in an independent cohort of community-living elders with CKD in the Health, Aging, and Body Composition Study. RESULTS: The development cohort included 828 participants who had a mean age of 80 (±5.6) years and an eGFR of 47 (±11) ml/min per 1.73 m(2), and median albumin-to-creatinine ratio of 13 (interquartile range 6-51) mg/g. The validation cohort included 789 participants who had a mean age of 74 (±2.8) years and an eGFR of 50 (±9) ml/min per 1.73 m(2), and median albumin-to-creatinine ratio of 13 (interquartile range 6-42) mg/g. The final model for 5-year mortality risk included age, sex, race, eGFR, urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio, smoking, diabetes mellitus, and history of heart failure and stroke (c statistic=0.72; 95% confidence interval, 0.68 to 0.74). When a point-based system was assigned for each of nine variables in the equation, the estimated risk of death within 5 years ranged from 3.8% among participants with the lowest scores to 83.6% among participants with nine points. The model performed fair in external validation (c statistic=0.69; 95% confidence interval, 0.64 to 0.74). CONCLUSIONS: A simple prediction tool using nine readily available clinical variables can assist in predicting 5-year mortality risk in elderly patients with CKD, which may be useful in counseling patients and guiding clinical decision making.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Albuminuria; Continental Population Groups; Creatinine; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Heart Failure; Humans; Male; Proportional Hazards Models; Regression Analysis; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic; Risk Factors; Sex Factors; Smoking; Stroke

Dietary fatty acids modulate associations between genetic variants and circulating fatty acids in plasma and erythrocyte membranes: Meta-analysis of nine studies in the CHARGE consortium. - Smith, Caren E; Follis, Jack L; Nettleton, Jennifer A; Foy, Millennia; Wu, Jason H Y; Ma, Yiyi; Tanaka, Toshiko; Manichakul, Ani W; Wu, Hongyu; Chu, Audrey Y; Steffen, Lyn M; Fornage, Myriam; et al. (Mol Nutr Food Res, 2015)
SCOPE: Tissue concentrations of omega-3 fatty acids may reduce cardiovascular disease risk, and genetic variants are associated with circulating fatty acids concentrations. Whether dietary fatty acids interact with genetic variants to modify circulating omega-3 fatty acids is unclear. We evaluated interactions between genetic variants and fatty acid intakes for circulating alpha-linoleic acid, eicosapentaenoic acid, docosahexaenoic acid, and docosapentaenoic acid. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted meta-analyses (N = 11 668) evaluating interactions between dietary fatty acids and genetic variants (rs174538 and rs174548 in FADS1 (fatty acid desaturase 1), rs7435 in AGPAT3 (1-acyl-sn-glycerol-3-phosphate), rs4985167 in PDXDC1 (pyridoxal-dependent decarboxylase domain-containing 1), rs780094 in GCKR (glucokinase regulatory protein), and rs3734398 in ELOVL2 (fatty acid elongase 2)). Stratification by measurement compartment (plasma versus erthyrocyte) revealed compartment-specific interactions between FADS1 rs174538 and rs174548 and dietary alpha-linolenic acid and linoleic acid for docosahexaenoic acid and docosapentaenoic acid. CONCLUSION: Our findings reinforce earlier reports that genetically based differences in circulating fatty acids may be partially due to differences in the conversion of fatty acid precursors. Further, fatty acids measurement compartment may modify gene-diet relationships, and considering compartment may improve the detection of gene-fatty acids interactions for circulating fatty acid outcomes.
Keywords: Acetyltransferases; Acyltransferases; Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing; Carboxy-Lyases; Diet; Docosahexaenoic Acids; Eicosapentaenoic Acid; Erythrocyte Membrane; Fatty Acid Desaturases; Fatty Acids; Fatty Acids, Omega-3; Female; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Drug-Gene Interactions of Antihypertensive Medications and Risk of Incident Cardiovascular Disease: A Pharmacogenomics Study from the CHARGE Consortium. - Bis, Joshua C; Sitlani, Colleen; Irvin, Ryan; Avery, Christy L; Smith, Albert Vernon; Sun, Fangui; Evans, Daniel S; Musani, Solomon K; Li, Xiaohui; Trompet, Stella; Krijthe, Bouwe P; Harris, Tamara B; et al. (PLoS One, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Hypertension is a major risk factor for a spectrum of cardiovascular diseases (CVD), including myocardial infarction, sudden death, and stroke. In the US, over 65 million people have high blood pressure and a large proportion of these individuals are prescribed antihypertensive medications. Although large long-term clinical trials conducted in the last several decades have identified a number of effective antihypertensive treatments that reduce the risk of future clinical complications, responses to therapy and protection from cardiovascular events vary among individuals. METHODS: Using a genome-wide association study among 21,267 participants with pharmaceutically treated hypertension, we explored the hypothesis that genetic variants might influence or modify the effectiveness of common antihypertensive therapies on the risk of major cardiovascular outcomes. The classes of drug treatments included angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, beta-blockers, calcium channel blockers, and diuretics. In the setting of the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) consortium, each study performed array-based genome-wide genotyping, imputed to HapMap Phase II reference panels, and used additive genetic models in proportional hazards or logistic regression models to evaluate drug-gene interactions for each of four therapeutic drug classes. We used meta-analysis to combine study-specific interaction estimates for approximately 2 million single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in a discovery analysis among 15,375 European Ancestry participants (3,527 CVD cases) with targeted follow-up in a case-only study of 1,751 European Ancestry GenHAT participants as well as among 4,141 African-Americans (1,267 CVD cases). RESULTS: Although drug-SNP interactions were biologically plausible, exposures and outcomes were well measured, and power was sufficient to detect modest interactions, we did not identify any statistically significant interactions from the four antihypertensive therapy meta-analyses (Pinteraction > 5.0×10-8). Similarly, findings were null for meta-analyses restricted to 66 SNPs with significant main effects on coronary artery disease or blood pressure from large published genome-wide association studies (Pinteraction ≥ 0.01). Our results suggest that there are no major pharmacogenetic influences of common SNPs on the relationship between blood pressure medications and the risk of incident CVD.
Keywords: African Americans; Aged; Antihypertensive Agents; Cardiovascular Diseases; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Hypertension; Incidence; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Treatment Outcome

Empirically Derived Trajectories to Dementia Over 15 Years of Follow-up Identified by Using Mixed Membership Models. - Lecci, Fabrizio; Junker, Brian; Kuller, Lewis H; Lopez, Oscar L; Becker, James T (Am J Epidemiol, 2015)
Alzheimer disease is the most common form of dementia in the elderly, and the complex relationships among risk factors produce highly variable natural histories from normal cognition through the prodromal stage of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to clinical dementia. We used a novel statistical approach, mixed membership trajectory models, to capture the variety of such pathways in 652 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study Cognition Study over 22 years of follow-up (1992-2014). We identified 3 trajectories: a "healthy" profile with a peak probability of MCI between 95 and 100 years of age and only a 50% probability of dementia by age 100; an "intermediate" profile with a peak probability of MCI between 85 and 90 years of age and progression to dementia between 90 and 95 years; and an "unhealthy" profile with a peak probability of progressing to MCI between ages 75 and 80 years and to dementia between the ages of 80 and 85 years. Hypertension, education, race, and the ϵ4 allele of the apolipoprotein E gene all affected the closeness of an individual to 1 or more of the canonical trajectories. These results provide new insights into the natural history of Alzheimer disease and evidence for a potential difference in the pathophysiology of the development of dementia.
Keywords: Age Distribution; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Apolipoprotein E4; Cardiovascular Diseases; Comorbidity; Dementia; Diabetes Mellitus; Disease Progression; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Mild Cognitive Impairment; Neuroimaging; Prevalence; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors; Sex Distribution

Exome sequencing identifies rare LDLR and APOA5 alleles conferring risk for myocardial infarction. - Do, Ron; Stitziel, Nathan O; Won, Hong-Hee; Jørgensen, Anders Berg; Duga, Stefano; Angelica Merlini, Pier; Kiezun, Adam; Farrall, Martin; Goel, Anuj; Zuk, Or; Guella, Illaria; Asselta, Rosanna; et al. (Nature, 2015)
Myocardial infarction (MI), a leading cause of death around the world, displays a complex pattern of inheritance. When MI occurs early in life, genetic inheritance is a major component to risk. Previously, rare mutations in low-density lipoprotein (LDL) genes have been shown to contribute to MI risk in individual families, whereas common variants at more than 45 loci have been associated with MI risk in the population. Here we evaluate how rare mutations contribute to early-onset MI risk in the population. We sequenced the protein-coding regions of 9,793 genomes from patients with MI at an early age (≤50 years in males and ≤60 years in females) along with MI-free controls. We identified two genes in which rare coding-sequence mutations were more frequent in MI cases versus controls at exome-wide significance. At low-density lipoprotein receptor (LDLR), carriers of rare non-synonymous mutations were at 4.2-fold increased risk for MI; carriers of null alleles at LDLR were at even higher risk (13-fold difference). Approximately 2% of early MI cases harbour a rare, damaging mutation in LDLR; this estimate is similar to one made more than 40 years ago using an analysis of total cholesterol. Among controls, about 1 in 217 carried an LDLR coding-sequence mutation and had plasma LDL cholesterol > 190 mg dl(-1). At apolipoprotein A-V (APOA5), carriers of rare non-synonymous mutations were at 2.2-fold increased risk for MI. When compared with non-carriers, LDLR mutation carriers had higher plasma LDL cholesterol, whereas APOA5 mutation carriers had higher plasma triglycerides. Recent evidence has connected MI risk with coding-sequence mutations at two genes functionally related to APOA5, namely lipoprotein lipase and apolipoprotein C-III (refs 18, 19). Combined, these observations suggest that, as well as LDL cholesterol, disordered metabolism of triglyceride-rich lipoproteins contributes to MI risk.
Keywords: Age Factors; Age of Onset; Alleles; Apolipoproteins A; Case-Control Studies; Cholesterol, LDL; Coronary Artery Disease; Exome; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genetics, Population; Heterozygote; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Mutation; Myocardial Infarction; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (U.S.); Receptors, LDL; Triglycerides; United States

Fetuin-A and risk of coronary heart disease: A Mendelian randomization analysis and a pooled analysis of AHSG genetic variants in 7 prospective studies. - Laugsand, Lars E; Ix, Joachim H; Bartz, Traci M; Djoussé, Luc; Kizer, Jorge R; Tracy, Russell P; Dehghan, Abbas; Rexrode, Kathryn; Lopez, Oscar L; Rimm, Eric B; Siscovick, David S; O'Donnell, Christopher J; et al. (Atherosclerosis, 2015)
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Fetuin-A has a plausible role in the inhibition of arterial calcification, but its association with risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) in the general population is unclear. We used two common genetic variants in the fetuin-A gene (AHSG) that are strongly associated with circulating fetuin-A levels to investigate the associations with risk of CHD and subclinical cardiovascular measures (intima-media thickness, ankle-arm index, and coronary artery calcification). METHODS: Genetic variation and fetuin-A levels were assessed in 3299 community-living individuals (2733 Caucasians and 566 African Americans) 65 years of age or older, free of previous cardiovascular disease, who participated in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) in 1992-1993. RESULTS: Among Caucasians, both rs2248690 and rs4917 were associated with 12% lower fetuin-A concentrations per minor allele (P < 0.0001). The hazard ratios (HRs) per minor allele for incident CHD were 1.12 (95% CI: 1.00-1.26) for rs2248690 and 1.02 (0.91-1.14) for rs4917. Using both genotypes as an instrumental variable for measured fetuin-A, the HRs for one standard deviation increase in genetically determined fetuin-A levels on CHD risk were 0.84 (95% CI: 0.70-1.00) for rs2248690 and 0.97 (95% CI: 0.82-1.14) for rs4917, respectively. However, in CHS neither of the genotypes were associated with subclinical cardiovascular measures and when CHS data were meta-analyzed with data from six other prospective studies (totaling 26,702 Caucasian participants and 3295 CHD cases), the meta-analyzed HRs for incident CHD were 1.12 (0.93-1.34) and 1.06 (0.93-1.20) for rs2248690 and rs4917, respectively (p heterogeneity 0.005 and 0.0048). CONCLUSION: Common variants in the AHSG gene are strongly associated with fetuin-A levels, but their concurrent association with CHD risk in current prospective studies is inconsistent. Further investigation in studies with measured fetuin-A and AHSG variants is needed to clarify the potential causal association of fetuin-A with CHD risk.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; alpha-2-HS-Glycoprotein; Carotid Intima-Media Thickness; Coronary Vessels; Female; Genetic Variation; Genotype; Heart Diseases; Humans; Insulin Resistance; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Mendelian Randomization Analysis; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Vascular Calcification

Fibroblast growth factor 23 and sudden versus non-sudden cardiac death: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Deo, Rajat; Katz, Ronit; de Boer, Ian H; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Kestenbaum, Bryan; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Chonchol, Michel; Sarnak, Mark J; Siscovick, David; Shlipak, Michael G; Ix, Joachim H (Am J Kidney Dis, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Elevated fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF-23) concentrations are associated with greater risk of cardiovascular events and mortality, especially among people with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Because individuals with CKD are at an increased risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD), we sought to understand whether FGF-23 level is a stronger risk factor for SCD versus non-SCD. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 3,244 participants 65 years or older in the community-based Cardiovascular Health Study. PREDICTOR: Plasma FGF-23 concentrations. OUTCOMES: We assessed SCD and non-SCD in these analyses. SCD was adjudicated rigorously and was defined as a sudden pulseless condition of cardiac origin in a previously stable person occurring out of hospital or in the emergency department. MEASUREMENTS: We estimated associations of baseline FGF-23 concentrations with SCD and non-SCD using Cox proportional hazards models after adjustment for demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, comorbid conditions, and kidney function. We also tested whether associations differed by CKD status. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 8.1 years, there were 118 adjudicated SCD and 570 non-SCD events. After multivariable adjustment for demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, comorbid conditions, and parameters of kidney function, higher FGF-23 concentrations were an independent risk factor for non-SCD (HR [per doubling], 1.17; 95% CI, 1.06-1.30). However, elevated FGF-23 concentrations were not associated independently with SCD (HR [per doubling], 1.07; 95% CI, 0.85-1.35). In stratified analysis by CKD status (36.5% of cohort), doubling of FGF-23 concentrations was associated independently with non-SCD (adjusted HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.10-1.45). A similar magnitude of association was observed between FGF-23 level and SCD in the CKD subgroup; however, it was not significant (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.89-1.62). LIMITATIONS: Limited power to detect moderate-sized effects between FGF-23 level and SCD in both the primary and stratified analyses. CONCLUSIONS: In this population-based study, FGF-23 level elevations were associated independently with non-SCD. Among individuals with CKD, the associations between FGF-23 level and SCD and non-SCD were similar.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Biomarkers; Comorbidity; Death, Sudden, Cardiac; Electrocardiography; Female; Fibroblast Growth Factors; Follow-Up Studies; Heart Arrest; Heart Diseases; Humans; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Male; Prospective Studies; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic; Risk Factors; Sympathetic Nervous System; United States

Fibrosis-related biomarkers and large and small vessel disease: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Agarwal, Isha; Arnold, Alice; Glazer, Nicole L; Barasch, Eddy; Djoussé, Luc; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Gottdiener, John S; Ix, Joachim H; Jensen, Richard A; Kizer, Jorge R; Rimm, Eric B; Siscovick, David S; et al. (Atherosclerosis, 2015)
OBJECTIVE: Fibrosis has been implicated in a number of pathological, organ-based conditions of the liver, kidney, heart, and lungs. The objective of this study was to determine whether biomarkers of fibrosis are associated with vascular disease in the large and/or small vessels. METHODS: We evaluated the associations of two circulating biomarkers of fibrosis, transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β) and procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP), with incident peripheral artery disease (PAD) and subclinical macrovascular (carotid intima-media thickness, flow-mediated vasodilation, ankle-brachial index, retinal vein diameter), and microvascular (retinal artery diameter and retinopathy) disease among older adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study. We measured TGF-β and PIIINP from samples collected in 1996 and ascertained clinical PAD through 2011. Measurements of large and small vessels were collected between 1996 and 1998. RESULTS: After adjustment for sociodemographic, clinical, and biochemical risk factors, TGF-β was associated with incident PAD (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.36 per doubling of TGF-β, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.04, 1.78) and retinal venular diameter (1.63 μm per doubling of TGF-β, CI = 0.23, 3.02). PIIINP was not associated with incident PAD, but was associated with carotid intima-media thickness (0.102 mm per doubling of PIIINP, CI = 0.029, 0.174) and impaired brachial artery reactivity (-0.20% change per doubling of PIIINP, CI = -0.39, -0.02). Neither TGF-β nor PIIINP were associated with retinal arteriolar diameter or retinopathy. CONCLUSIONS: Serum concentrations of fibrosis-related biomarkers were associated with several measures of large vessel disease, including incident PAD, but not with small vessel disease. Fibrosis may contribute to large vessel atherosclerosis in older adults.
Keywords: Aged; Ankle Brachial Index; Biomarkers; Brachial Artery; Carotid Artery Diseases; Carotid Intima-Media Thickness; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Fibrosis; Humans; Incidence; Male; Peptide Fragments; Peripheral Arterial Disease; Predictive Value of Tests; Procollagen; Prognosis; Prospective Studies; Retinal Diseases; Risk Factors; Transforming Growth Factor beta; United States; Vasodilation

Gene × dietary pattern interactions in obesity: analysis of up to 68 317 adults of European ancestry. - Nettleton, Jennifer A; Follis, Jack L; Ngwa, Julius S; Smith, Caren E; Ahmad, Shafqat; Tanaka, Toshiko; Wojczynski, Mary K; Voortman, Trudy; Lemaitre, Rozenn N; Kristiansson, Kati; Nuotio, Marja-Liisa; Houston, Denise K; et al. (Hum Mol Genet, 2015)
Obesity is highly heritable. Genetic variants showing robust associations with obesity traits have been identified through genome-wide association studies. We investigated whether a composite score representing healthy diet modifies associations of these variants with obesity traits. Totally, 32 body mass index (BMI)- and 14 waist-hip ratio (WHR)-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms were genotyped, and genetic risk scores (GRS) were calculated in 18 cohorts of European ancestry (n = 68 317). Diet score was calculated based on self-reported intakes of whole grains, fish, fruits, vegetables, nuts/seeds (favorable) and red/processed meats, sweets, sugar-sweetened beverages and fried potatoes (unfavorable). Multivariable adjusted, linear regression within each cohort followed by inverse variance-weighted, fixed-effects meta-analysis was used to characterize: (a) associations of each GRS with BMI and BMI-adjusted WHR and (b) diet score modification of genetic associations with BMI and BMI-adjusted WHR. Nominally significant interactions (P = 0.006-0.04) were observed between the diet score and WHR-GRS (but not BMI-GRS), two WHR loci (GRB14 rs10195252; LYPLAL1 rs4846567) and two BMI loci (LRRN6C rs10968576; MTIF3 rs4771122), for the respective BMI-adjusted WHR or BMI outcomes. Although the magnitudes of these select interactions were small, our data indicated that associations between genetic predisposition and obesity traits were stronger with a healthier diet. Our findings generate interesting hypotheses; however, experimental and functional studies are needed to determine their clinical relevance.
Keywords: Adult; Body Mass Index; Case-Control Studies; Diet, Western; Epistasis, Genetic; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Obesity; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Gene-centric approach identifies new and known loci for FVIII activity and VWF antigen levels in European Americans and African Americans. - Tang, Weihong; Cushman, Mary; Green, David; Rich, Stephen S; Lange, Leslie A; Yang, Qiong; Tracy, Russell P; Tofler, Geoffrey H; Basu, Saonli; Wilson, James G; Keating, Brendan J; Weng, Lu-Chen; et al. (Am J Hematol, 2015)
Coagulation factor VIII and von Willebrand factor (VWF) are key proteins in procoagulant activation. Higher FVIII coagulant activity (FVIII :C) and VWF antigen (VWF :Ag) are risk factors for cardiovascular disease and venous thromboembolism. Beyond associations with ABO blood group, genetic determinants of FVIII and VWF are not well understood, especially in non European-American populations. We performed a genetic association study of FVIII :C and VWF:Ag that assessed 50,000 gene-centric single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 18,556 European Americans (EAs) and 5,047 African Americans (AAs) from five population-based cohorts. Previously unreported associations for FVIII :C were identified in both AAs and EAs with KNG1 (most significantly associated SNP rs710446, Ile581Thr, Ile581Thr, P = 5.10 × 10(-7) in EAs and P = 3.88 × 10(-3) in AAs) and VWF rs7962217 (Gly2705Arg,P = 6.30 × 10(-9) in EAs and P = 2.98 × 10(-2) in AAs. Significant associations for FVIII :C were also observed with F8/TMLHE region SNP rs12557310 in EAs (P = 8.02 × 10(-10) ), with VWF rs1800380 in AAs (P = 5.62 × 10(-11) ), and with MAT1A rs2236568 in AAs (P51.69 × 10(-6) ). We replicated previously reported associations of FVIII :C and VWF :Ag with the ABO blood group, VWF rs1063856(Thr789Ala), rs216321 (Ala852Gln), and VWF rs2229446 (Arg2185Gln). Findings from this study expand our understanding of genetic influences for FVIII :C and VWF :Ag in both EAs and AAs.
Keywords: Adult; African Americans; Aged; European Continental Ancestry Group; Factor VIII; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Methionine Adenosyltransferase; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Venous Thromboembolism; von Willebrand Factor

Gene-Environment Interactions of Circadian-Related Genes for Cardiometabolic Traits. - Dashti, Hassan S; Follis, Jack L; Smith, Caren E; Tanaka, Toshiko; Garaulet, Marta; Gottlieb, Daniel J; Hruby, Adela; Jacques, Paul F; Kiefte-de Jong, Jessica C; Lamon-Fava, Stefania; Scheer, Frank A J L; Bartz, Traci M; et al. (Diabetes Care, 2015)
OBJECTIVE: Common circadian-related gene variants associate with increased risk for metabolic alterations including type 2 diabetes. However, little is known about whether diet and sleep could modify associations between circadian-related variants (CLOCK-rs1801260, CRY2-rs11605924, MTNR1B-rs1387153, MTNR1B-rs10830963, NR1D1-rs2314339) and cardiometabolic traits (fasting glucose [FG], HOMA-insulin resistance, BMI, waist circumference, and HDL-cholesterol) to facilitate personalized recommendations. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We conducted inverse-variance weighted, fixed-effect meta-analyses of results of adjusted associations and interactions between dietary intake/sleep duration and selected variants on cardiometabolic traits from 15 cohort studies including up to 28,190 participants of European descent from the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium. RESULTS: We observed significant associations between relative macronutrient intakes and glycemic traits and short sleep duration (<7 h) and higher FG and replicated known MTNR1B associations with glycemic traits. No interactions were evident after accounting for multiple comparisons. However, we observed nominally significant interactions (all P < 0.01) between carbohydrate intake and MTNR1B-rs1387153 for FG with a 0.003 mmol/L higher FG with each additional 1% carbohydrate intake in the presence of the T allele, between sleep duration and CRY2-rs11605924 for HDL-cholesterol with a 0.010 mmol/L higher HDL-cholesterol with each additional hour of sleep in the presence of the A allele, and between long sleep duration (≥9 h) and MTNR1B-rs1387153 for BMI with a 0.60 kg/m(2) higher BMI with long sleep duration in the presence of the T allele relative to normal sleep duration (≥7 to <9 h). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that lower carbohydrate intake and normal sleep duration may ameliorate cardiometabolic abnormalities conferred by common circadian-related genetic variants. Until further mechanistic examination of the nominally significant interactions is conducted, recommendations applicable to the general population regarding diet—specifically higher carbohydrate and lower fat composition—and normal sleep duration should continue to be emphasized among individuals with the investigated circadian-related gene variants.
Keywords: Adult; Alleles; Blood Glucose; Circadian Rhythm Signaling Peptides and Proteins; Cohort Studies; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Diet, Fat-Restricted; European Continental Ancestry Group; Fasting; Female; Gene-Environment Interaction; Humans; Insulin Resistance; Male; Middle Aged; Multicenter Studies as Topic; Observational Studies as Topic; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Sleep; Waist Circumference

Genes from a translational analysis support a multifactorial nature of white matter hyperintensities. - Lopez, Lorna M; Hill, W David; Harris, Sarah E; Valdes Hernandez, Maria; Munoz Maniega, Susana; Bastin, Mark E; Bailey, Emma; Smith, Colin; McBride, Martin; McClure, John; Graham, Delyth; Dominiczak, Anna; et al. (Stroke, 2015)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: White matter hyperintensities (WMH) of presumed vascular origin increase the risk of stroke and dementia. Despite strong WMH heritability, few gene associations have been identified. Relevant experimental models may be informative. METHODS: We tested the associations between genes that were differentially expressed in brains of young spontaneously hypertensive stroke-prone rats and human WMH (using volume and visual score) in 621 subjects from the Lothian Birth Cohort 1936 (LBC1936). We then attempted replication in 9361 subjects from the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE). We also tested the subjects from LBC1936 for previous genome-wide WMH associations found in subjects from CHARGE. RESULTS: Of 126 spontaneously hypertensive stroke-prone rat genes, 10 were nominally associated with WMH volume or score in subjects from LBC1936, of which 5 (AFP, ALB, GNAI1, RBM8a, and MRPL18) were associated with both WMH volume and score (P<0.05); 2 of the 10 (XPNPEP1, P=6.7×10(-5); FARP1, P=0.024) plus another spontaneously hypertensive stroke-prone rat gene (USMG5, P=0.00014), on chromosomes 10, 13, and 10 respectively, were associated with WMH in subjects from CHARGE. Gene set enrichment showed significant associations for downregulated spontaneously hypertensive stroke-prone rat genes with WMH in humans. In subjects from LBC1936, we replicated CHARGE's genome-wide WMH associations on chromosomes 17 (TRIM65 and TRIM47) and, for the first time, 1 (PMF1). CONCLUSIONS: Despite not passing multiple testing thresholds individually, these genes collectively are relevant to known WMH associations, proposed WMH mechanisms, or dementia: associations with Alzheimer's disease, late-life depression, ATP production, osmotic regulation, neurodevelopmental abnormalities, and cognitive impairment. If replicated further, they suggest a multifactorial nature for WMH and argue for more consideration of vascular contributions to dementia.
Keywords: Aged; Alzheimer Disease; Animals; Brain; Causality; Dementia; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Leukoencephalopathies; Male; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Rats; Rats, Inbred SHR; Rats, Wistar; Risk Factors; Translational Medical Research; White Matter

Genetic contributions to variation in general cognitive function: a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies in the CHARGE consortium (N=53949). - Davies, G; Armstrong, N; Bis, J C; Bressler, J; Chouraki, V; Giddaluru, S; Hofer, E; Ibrahim-Verbaas, C A; Kirin, M; Lahti, J; van der Lee, S J; Le Hellard, S; et al. (Mol Psychiatry, 2015)
General cognitive function is substantially heritable across the human life course from adolescence to old age. We investigated the genetic contribution to variation in this important, health- and well-being-related trait in middle-aged and older adults. We conducted a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies of 31 cohorts (N=53,949) in which the participants had undertaken multiple, diverse cognitive tests. A general cognitive function phenotype was tested for, and created in each cohort by principal component analysis. We report 13 genome-wide significant single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) associations in three genomic regions, 6q16.1, 14q12 and 19q13.32 (best SNP and closest gene, respectively: rs10457441, P=3.93 × 10(-9), MIR2113; rs17522122, P=2.55 × 10(-8), AKAP6; rs10119, P=5.67 × 10(-9), APOE/TOMM40). We report one gene-based significant association with the HMGN1 gene located on chromosome 21 (P=1 × 10(-6)). These genes have previously been associated with neuropsychiatric phenotypes. Meta-analysis results are consistent with a polygenic model of inheritance. To estimate SNP-based heritability, the genome-wide complex trait analysis procedure was applied to two large cohorts, the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (N=6617) and the Health and Retirement Study (N=5976). The proportion of phenotypic variation accounted for by all genotyped common SNPs was 29% (s.e.=5%) and 28% (s.e.=7%), respectively. Using polygenic prediction analysis, ~1.2% of the variance in general cognitive function was predicted in the Generation Scotland cohort (N=5487; P=1.5 × 10(-17)). In hypothesis-driven tests, there was significant association between general cognitive function and four genes previously associated with Alzheimer's disease: TOMM40, APOE, ABCG1 and MEF2C.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Atherosclerosis; Cognition; Cognition Disorders; Cohort Studies; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; HMGN1 Protein; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Neuropsychological Tests; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Scotland

Genome-wide studies of verbal declarative memory in nondemented older people: the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology consortium. - Debette, Stephanie; Ibrahim Verbaas, Carla A; Bressler, Jan; Schuur, Maaike; Smith, Albert; Bis, Joshua C; Davies, Gail; Wolf, Christiane; Gudnason, Vilmundur; Chibnik, Lori B; Yang, Qiong; DeStefano, Anita L; et al. (Biol Psychiatry, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Memory performance in older persons can reflect genetic influences on cognitive function and dementing processes. We aimed to identify genetic contributions to verbal declarative memory in a community setting. METHODS: We conducted genome-wide association studies for paragraph or word list delayed recall in 19 cohorts from the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology consortium, comprising 29,076 dementia- and stroke-free individuals of European descent, aged ≥45 years. Replication of suggestive associations (p < 5 × 10(-6)) was sought in 10,617 participants of European descent, 3811 African-Americans, and 1561 young adults. RESULTS: rs4420638, near APOE, was associated with poorer delayed recall performance in discovery (p = 5.57 × 10(-10)) and replication cohorts (p = 5.65 × 10(-8)). This association was stronger for paragraph than word list delayed recall and in the oldest persons. Two associations with specific tests, in subsets of the total sample, reached genome-wide significance in combined analyses of discovery and replication (rs11074779 [HS3ST4], p = 3.11 × 10(-8), and rs6813517 [SPOCK3], p = 2.58 × 10(-8)) near genes involved in immune response. A genetic score combining 58 independent suggestive memory risk variants was associated with increasing Alzheimer disease pathology in 725 autopsy samples. Association of memory risk loci with gene expression in 138 human hippocampus samples showed cis-associations with WDR48 and CLDN5, both related to ubiquitin metabolism. CONCLUSIONS: This largest study to date exploring the genetics of memory function in ~40,000 older individuals revealed genome-wide associations and suggested an involvement of immune and ubiquitin pathways.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Apolipoproteins E; Claudin-5; Cohort Studies; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Humans; Male; Memory Disorders; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Proteins; Proteoglycans; Regression Analysis; Sulfotransferases; Verbal Learning

GWAS of longevity in CHARGE consortium confirms APOE and FOXO3 candidacy. - Broer, Linda; Buchman, Aron S; Deelen, Joris; Evans, Daniel S; Faul, Jessica D; Lunetta, Kathryn L; Sebastiani, Paola; Smith, Jennifer A; Smith, Albert V; Tanaka, Toshiko; Yu, Lei; Arnold, Alice M; et al. (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2015)
BACKGROUND: The genetic contribution to longevity in humans has been estimated to range from 15% to 25%. Only two genes, APOE and FOXO3, have shown association with longevity in multiple independent studies. METHODS: We conducted a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies including 6,036 longevity cases, age ≥90 years, and 3,757 controls that died between ages 55 and 80 years. We additionally attempted to replicate earlier identified single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) associations with longevity. RESULTS: In our meta-analysis, we found suggestive evidence for the association of SNPs near CADM2 (odds ratio [OR] = 0.81; p value = 9.66 × 10(-7)) and GRIK2 (odds ratio = 1.24; p value = 5.09 × 10(-8)) with longevity. When attempting to replicate findings earlier identified in genome-wide association studies, only the APOE locus consistently replicated. In an additional look-up of the candidate gene FOXO3, we found that an earlier identified variant shows a highly significant association with longevity when including published data with our meta-analysis (odds ratio = 1.17; p value = 1.85×10(-10)). CONCLUSIONS: We did not identify new genome-wide significant associations with longevity and did not replicate earlier findings except for APOE and FOXO3. Our inability to find new associations with survival to ages ≥90 years because longevity represents multiple complex traits with heterogeneous genetic underpinnings, or alternatively, that longevity may be regulated by rare variants that are not captured by standard genome-wide genotyping and imputation of common variants.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Apolipoproteins E; Cell Adhesion Molecules; Cohort Studies; Female; Forkhead Box Protein O3; Forkhead Transcription Factors; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Longevity; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Receptors, Kainic Acid

Habitual sleep duration is associated with BMI and macronutrient intake and may be modified by CLOCK genetic variants. - Dashti, Hassan S; Follis, Jack L; Smith, Caren E; Tanaka, Toshiko; Cade, Brian E; Gottlieb, Daniel J; Hruby, Adela; Jacques, Paul F; Lamon-Fava, Stefania; Richardson, Kris; Saxena, Richa; Scheer, Frank A J L; et al. (Am J Clin Nutr, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Short sleep duration has been associated with greater risks of obesity, hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease. Also, common genetic variants in the human Circadian Locomotor Output Cycles Kaput (CLOCK) show associations with ghrelin and total energy intake. OBJECTIVES: We examined associations between habitual sleep duration, body mass index (BMI), and macronutrient intake and assessed whether CLOCK variants modify these associations. DESIGN: We conducted inverse-variance weighted, fixed-effect meta-analyses of results of adjusted associations of sleep duration and BMI and macronutrient intake as percentages of total energy as well as interactions with CLOCK variants from 9 cohort studies including up to 14,906 participants of European descent from the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology Consortium. RESULTS: We observed a significant association between sleep duration and lower BMI (β ± SE = 0.16 ± 0.04, P < 0.0001) in the overall sample; however, associations between sleep duration and relative macronutrient intake were evident in age- and sex-stratified analyses only. We observed a significant association between sleep duration and lower saturated fatty acid intake in younger (aged 20-64 y) adults (men: 0.11 ± 0.06%, P = 0.03; women: 0.10 ± 0.05%, P = 0.04) and with lower carbohydrate (-0.31 ± 0.12%, P < 0.01), higher total fat (0.18 ± 0.09%, P = 0.05), and higher PUFA (0.05 ± 0.02%, P = 0.02) intakes in older (aged 65-80 y) women. In addition, the following 2 nominally significant interactions were observed: between sleep duration and rs12649507 on PUFA intake and between sleep duration and rs6858749 on protein intake. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that longer habitual sleep duration is associated with lower BMI and age- and sex-specific favorable dietary behaviors. Differences in the relative intake of specific macronutrients associated with short sleep duration could, at least in part, explain previously reported associations between short sleep duration and chronic metabolic abnormalities. In addition, the influence of obesity-associated CLOCK variants on the association between sleep duration and macronutrient intake suggests that longer habitual sleep duration could ameliorate the genetic predisposition to obesity via a favorable dietary profile.
Keywords: Adult; Body Mass Index; CLOCK Proteins; Cohort Studies; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diet; Dietary Proteins; Energy Intake; European Continental Ancestry Group; Fatty Acids, Unsaturated; Female; Gene-Environment Interaction; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Obesity; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Sleep; Young Adult

Higher circulating adiponectin levels are associated with increased risk of atrial fibrillation in older adults. - Macheret, Fima; Bartz, Traci M; Djoussé, Luc; Ix, Joachim H; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Zieman, Susan J; Siscovick, David S; Tracy, Russell P; Heckbert, Susan R; Psaty, Bruce M; Kizer, Jorge R (Heart, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Adiponectin has cardioprotective properties, suggesting that lower levels seen in obesity and diabetes could heighten risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Among older adults, however, higher adiponectin has been linked to greater incidence of adverse outcomes associated with AF, although recent reports have shown this association to be U-shaped. We postulated that higher adiponectin would be linked to increased risk for AF in older adults in a U-shaped manner. METHODS: We examined the associations of total and high-molecular-weight (HMW) adiponectin with incident AF among individuals free of prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD) participating in a population-based cohort study of older adults (n=3190; age=74±5 years). RESULTS: During median follow-up of 11.4 years, there were 886 incident AF events. Adjusted cubic splines showed a positive and linear association between adiponectin and incident AF. After adjusting for potential confounders, including amino-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide 1-76, the HR (95% CI) for AF per SD increase in total adiponectin was 1.14 (1.05 to 1.24), while that for HMW adiponectin was 1.17 (1.08 to 1.27). Additional adjustment for putative mediators, including subclinical CVD, diabetes, lipids and inflammation, did not significantly affect these estimates. CONCLUSIONS: The present findings demonstrate that higher, not lower, levels of adiponectin are independently associated with increased risk of AF in older adults despite its documented cardiometabolic benefits. Additional work is necessary to determine if adiponectin is a marker of failed counter-regulatory pathways or whether this hormone is directly harmful in the setting of or as a result of advanced age.
Keywords: Adiponectin; Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Atrial Fibrillation; Biomarkers; Female; Humans; Incidence; Linear Models; Male; Multivariate Analysis; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain; Peptide Fragments; Prognosis; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Time Factors; United States; Up-Regulation

HMG-coenzyme A reductase inhibition, type 2 diabetes, and bodyweight: evidence from genetic analysis and randomised trials. - Swerdlow, Daniel I; Preiss, David; Kuchenbaecker, Karoline B; Holmes, Michael V; Engmann, Jorgen E L; Shah, Tina; Sofat, Reecha; Stender, Stefan; Johnson, Paul C D; Scott, Robert A; Leusink, Maarten; Verweij, Niek; et al. (Lancet, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Statins increase the risk of new-onset type 2 diabetes mellitus. We aimed to assess whether this increase in risk is a consequence of inhibition of 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl-CoA reductase (HMGCR), the intended drug target. METHODS: We used single nucleotide polymorphisms in the HMGCR gene, rs17238484 (for the main analysis) and rs12916 (for a subsidiary analysis) as proxies for HMGCR inhibition by statins. We examined associations of these variants with plasma lipid, glucose, and insulin concentrations; bodyweight; waist circumference; and prevalent and incident type 2 diabetes. Study-specific effect estimates per copy of each LDL-lowering allele were pooled by meta-analysis. These findings were compared with a meta-analysis of new-onset type 2 diabetes and bodyweight change data from randomised trials of statin drugs. The effects of statins in each randomised trial were assessed using meta-analysis. FINDINGS: Data were available for up to 223 463 individuals from 43 genetic studies. Each additional rs17238484-G allele was associated with a mean 0·06 mmol/L (95% CI 0·05-0·07) lower LDL cholesterol and higher body weight (0·30 kg, 0·18-0·43), waist circumference (0·32 cm, 0·16-0·47), plasma insulin concentration (1·62%, 0·53-2·72), and plasma glucose concentration (0·23%, 0·02-0·44). The rs12916 SNP had similar effects on LDL cholesterol, bodyweight, and waist circumference. The rs17238484-G allele seemed to be associated with higher risk of type 2 diabetes (odds ratio [OR] per allele 1·02, 95% CI 1·00-1·05); the rs12916-T allele association was consistent (1·06, 1·03-1·09). In 129 170 individuals in randomised trials, statins lowered LDL cholesterol by 0·92 mmol/L (95% CI 0·18-1·67) at 1-year of follow-up, increased bodyweight by 0·24 kg (95% CI 0·10-0·38 in all trials; 0·33 kg, 95% CI 0·24-0·42 in placebo or standard care controlled trials and -0·15 kg, 95% CI -0·39 to 0·08 in intensive-dose vs moderate-dose trials) at a mean of 4·2 years (range 1·9-6·7) of follow-up, and increased the odds of new-onset type 2 diabetes (OR 1·12, 95% CI 1·06-1·18 in all trials; 1·11, 95% CI 1·03-1·20 in placebo or standard care controlled trials and 1·12, 95% CI 1·04-1·22 in intensive-dose vs moderate dose trials). INTERPRETATION: The increased risk of type 2 diabetes noted with statins is at least partially explained by HMGCR inhibition. FUNDING: The funding sources are cited at the end of the paper.
Keywords: Aged; Body Mass Index; Body Weight; Cholesterol, HDL; Cholesterol, LDL; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Female; Genetic Testing; Humans; Hydroxymethylglutaryl CoA Reductases; Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic; Risk Factors

Husbands' and Wives' Physical Activity and Depressive Symptoms: Longitudinal Findings from the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Monin, Joan K; Levy, Becca; Chen, Baibing; Fried, Terri; Stahl, Sarah T; Schulz, Richard; Doyle, Margaret; Kershaw, Trace (Ann Behav Med, 2015)
BACKGROUND: When examining older adults' health behaviors and psychological health, it is important to consider the social context. PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to examine in older adult marriages whether each spouse's physical activity predicted changes in their own (actor effects) and their partner's (partner effects) depressive symptoms. Gender differences were also examined. METHOD: Each spouse within 1260 married couples (at baseline) in the Cardiovascular Health Study completed self-report measures at wave 1 (1989-1990), wave 3 (1992-1993), and wave 7 (1996-1997). Dyadic path analyses were performed. RESULTS: Husbands' physical activity significantly predicted own decreased depressive symptoms (actor effect). For both spouses, own physical activity did not significantly predict the spouse's depressive symptoms (partner effects). However, husbands' physical activity and depressive symptoms predicted wives' physical activity and depressive symptoms (partner effects), respectively. Depressive symptoms did not predict physical activity. CONCLUSION: Findings suggest that husbands' physical activity is particularly influential for older married couples' psychological health.
Keywords: Aged; Cardiovascular System; Depression; Female; Health Surveys; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Motor Activity; Sex Characteristics; Spouses

Impact of gait speed and instrumental activities of daily living on all-cause mortality in adults ≥65 years with heart failure. - Lo, Alexander X; Donnelly, John P; McGwin, Gerald; Bittner, Vera; Ahmed, Ali; Brown, Cynthia J (Am J Cardiol, 2015)
Mobility and function are important predictors of survival. However, their combined impact on mortality in adults ≥65 years with heart failure (HF) is not well understood. This study examined the role of gait speed and instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) in all-cause mortality in a cohort of 1,119 community-dwelling Cardiovascular Health Study participants ≥65 years with incident HF. Data on HF and mortality were collected through annual examinations or contact during the 10-year follow-up period. Slower gait speed (<0.8 m/s vs ≥0.8 m/s) and IADL impairment (≥1 vs 0 areas of dependence) were determined from baseline and follow-up assessments. A total of 740 (66%) of the 1,119 participants died during the follow-up period. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models showed that impairments in either gait speed (hazard ratio 1.37, 95% confidence interval 1.10 to 1.70; p = 0.004) or IADL (hazard ratio 1.56, 95% confidence interval 1.29-1.89; p <0.001), measured within 1 year before the diagnosis of incident HF, were independently associated with mortality, adjusting for sociodemographic and clinical characteristics. The combined presence of slower gait speed and IADL impairment was associated with a greater risk of mortality and suggested an additive relation between gait speed and IADL. In conclusion, gait speed and IADL are important risk factors for mortality in adults ≥65 years with HF, but the combined impairments of both gait speed and IADL can have an especially important impact on mortality.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Early Diagnosis; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Gait; Geriatric Assessment; Heart Failure; Humans; Male; Odds Ratio; Predictive Value of Tests; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Sensitivity and Specificity; Survival Analysis; United States; Walking

Intermediate and long-term risk of new-onset heart failure after hospitalization for pneumonia in elderly adults. - Corrales-Medina, Vicente F; Taljaard, Monica; Yende, Sachin; Kronmal, Richard; Dwivedi, Girish; Newman, Anne B; Elkind, Mitchell S V; Lyles, Mary F; Chirinos, Julio A (Am Heart J, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Pneumonia is associated with high risk of heart failure (HF) in the short term (30 days) postinfection. Whether this association persists beyond this period is unknown. METHODS: We studied 5,613 elderly (≥65 years) adults enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study between 1989 and 1994 at 4 US communities. Participants had no clinical diagnosis of HF at enrollment, and they were followed up through December 2010. Hospitalizations for pneumonia were identified using validated International Classification of Disease Ninth Revision codes. A centralized committee adjudicated new-onset HF events. Using Cox regression, we estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of new-onset HF at different time intervals after hospitalization for pneumonia. RESULTS: A total of 652 participants hospitalized for pneumonia during follow-up were still alive and free of clinical diagnosis of HF by day 30 posthospitalization. Relative to the time of their hospitalization, new-onset HF occurred in 22 cases between 31 and 90 days (HR 6.9, 95% CI 4.46-10.63, P < .001), 14 cases between 91 days and 6 months (HR 3.2, 95% CI 1.88-5.50, P < .001), 20 cases between 6 months and 1 year (HR 2.6, 95% CI 1.64-4.04, P < .001), 76 cases between 1 and 5 years (HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.30-2.12, P < .001), and 71 cases after 5 years (HR 2.0, 95% CI 1.56-2.58, P < .001). Results were robust to sensitivity analyses using stringent definitions of pneumonia and extreme assumptions for potential informative censoring. CONCLUSION: Hospitalization for pneumonia is associated with increased risk of new-onset HF in the intermediate and long term. Studies should characterize the mechanisms of this association in order to prevent HF in elderly pneumonia survivors.
Keywords: Aged; Disease Progression; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Forecasting; Heart Failure; Hospitalization; Humans; Incidence; Inpatients; Male; Patient Readmission; Pneumonia; Proportional Hazards Models; Retrospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Time Factors

Lower Extremity Proximal Muscle Function and Dyspnea in Older Persons. - Vaz Fragoso, Carlos A; Araujo, Katy; Leo-Summers, Linda; Van Ness, Peter H (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2015)
OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the association between performance on a single chair stand and moderate to severe exertional dyspnea. DESIGN: Cross-sectional. SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study. PARTICIPANTS: Community-dwelling individuals aged 65 and older (N = 4,413; mean age 72.6; female, n = 2,518 (57.1%); nonwhite, n = 199 (4.5%); obese, n = 788 (17.9%); history of smoking, n = 2,410 (54.6%)). MEASUREMENTS: Performance on single chair stand (poor (unable to rise without arm use) vs normal (able to rise without arm use)), moderate to severe exertional dyspnea (American Thoracic Society grade ≥2), age, sex, ethnicity, obesity, smoking, frailty status (Fried-defined nonfrail, prefrail, frail), high cardiopulmonary risk (composite of cardiopulmonary diseases and diabetes mellitus), spirometric impairment, arthritis, depression, stroke, and kidney disease. RESULTS: Poor performance on the single chair stand was established in 369 (8.4%) and moderate to severe exertional dyspnea in 773 (17.5%). Prefrail status was established in 2,210 (50.1%), frail status in 360 (8.2%), arthritis in 2,241 (51.4%), high cardiopulmonary risk in 2,469 (55.9%), spirometric impairment in 1,076 (24.4%), kidney disease in 111 (2.5%), depression in 107 (2.4%), and stroke in 93 (2.1%). In multivariable regression models, poor performance on the single chair stand was associated with moderate to severe exertional dyspnea (unadjusted odds ratio (OR) = 3.48, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.78-4.36; adjusted OR = 1.85, 95% CI = 1.41-2.41). CONCLUSION: Poor performance on a single chair stand was associated with an adjusted 85% greater likelihood of moderate to severe exertional dyspnea than normal performance. These results suggest that reduced proximal muscle function of the lower extremities is associated with moderate to severe exertional dyspnea, even after adjusting for multiple confounders.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cross-Sectional Studies; Dyspnea; Female; Frail Elderly; Geriatric Assessment; Humans; Lower Extremity; Male; Motor Activity; Muscle Contraction; Prevalence; Retrospective Studies; Spirometry; United States

LV Mass as a Predictor of CVD Events in Older Adults With and Without Metabolic Syndrome and Diabetes. - Hoang, Khiet; Zhao, Yanglu; Gardin, Julius M; Carnethon, Mercedes; Mukamal, Ken; Yanez, David; Wong, Nathan D (JACC Cardiovasc Imaging, 2015)
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to examine the prognostic significance of left ventricular (LV) mass for cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in older adults with and without metabolic syndrome (MetS) and diabetes mellitus (DM). BACKGROUND: MetS and DM are associated with increased CVD risk, but it is unclear in these groups whether subclinical CVD as shown by increased LV mass improves risk prediction compared to standard risk factors in older individuals. METHODS: We studied 3,724 adults (mean 72.4 ± 5.4 years of age, 61.0% female, 4.4% African-American) from the Cardiovascular Health Study who had MetS but not DM or had DM alone or had neither condition. Cox regression was used to examine the association of LV mass, (alone and indexed by height and body surface area [BSA]) as determined by echocardiography, with CVD events, including coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, heart failure (HF), and CVD death, as well as total mortality. We also assessed the added prediction, discriminative value, and net reclassification improvement (NRI) for clinical utility of LV mass compared to standard risk factors. RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 14.2 ± 6.3 years, 2,180 subjects experienced CVD events, including 986 CVD deaths. After adjustment for age, sex and standard risk factors, LV mass was positively associated with CVD events in those with MetS (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.4, p < 0.001) and without MetS (HR: 1.4, p < 0.001), but not DM (HR: 1.0, p = 0.62), with similar findings for LV mass indexed for height or BSA. Adding LV mass to standard risk factors moderately improved the prediction accuracy in the overall sample and MetS group from changes in C-statistics (p < 0.05). Categorical-free net reclassification improvement increased significantly by 17% to 19% in those with MetS. Findings were comparable for CHD, CVD mortality, and total mortality. CONCLUSIONS: LV mass is associated with increased CVD risk and provides modest added prediction and clinical utility compared to standard risk factors in older persons with and without MetS but not with DM.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cardiovascular Diseases; Comorbidity; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Heart Ventricles; Humans; Hypertrophy, Left Ventricular; Logistic Models; Male; Metabolic Syndrome X; Prognosis; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Time Factors; United States

Mendelian randomization of blood lipids for coronary heart disease. - Holmes, Michael V; Asselbergs, Folkert W; Palmer, Tom M; Drenos, Fotios; Lanktree, Matthew B; Nelson, Christopher P; Dale, Caroline E; Padmanabhan, Sandosh; Finan, Chris; Swerdlow, Daniel I; Tragante, Vinicius; van Iperen, Erik P A; et al. (Eur Heart J, 2015)
AIMS: To investigate the causal role of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and triglycerides in coronary heart disease (CHD) using multiple instrumental variables for Mendelian randomization. METHODS AND RESULTS: We developed weighted allele scores based on single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with established associations with HDL-C, triglycerides, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C). For each trait, we constructed two scores. The first was unrestricted, including all independent SNPs associated with the lipid trait identified from a prior meta-analysis (threshold P < 2 × 10(-6)); and the second a restricted score, filtered to remove any SNPs also associated with either of the other two lipid traits at P ≤ 0.01. Mendelian randomization meta-analyses were conducted in 17 studies including 62,199 participants and 12,099 CHD events. Both the unrestricted and restricted allele scores for LDL-C (42 and 19 SNPs, respectively) associated with CHD. For HDL-C, the unrestricted allele score (48 SNPs) was associated with CHD (OR: 0.53; 95% CI: 0.40, 0.70), per 1 mmol/L higher HDL-C, but neither the restricted allele score (19 SNPs; OR: 0.91; 95% CI: 0.42, 1.98) nor the unrestricted HDL-C allele score adjusted for triglycerides, LDL-C, or statin use (OR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.44, 1.46) showed a robust association. For triglycerides, the unrestricted allele score (67 SNPs) and the restricted allele score (27 SNPs) were both associated with CHD (OR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.24, 2.11 and 1.61; 95% CI: 1.00, 2.59, respectively) per 1-log unit increment. However, the unrestricted triglyceride score adjusted for HDL-C, LDL-C, and statin use gave an OR for CHD of 1.01 (95% CI: 0.59, 1.75). CONCLUSION: The genetic findings support a causal effect of triglycerides on CHD risk, but a causal role for HDL-C, though possible, remains less certain.
Keywords: Case-Control Studies; Cholesterol, HDL; Coronary Artery Disease; Female; Gene Frequency; Genotype; Genotyping Techniques; Humans; Male; Mendelian Randomization Analysis; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk Assessment; Triglycerides

A Meta-analysis of the Association of Estimated GFR, Albuminuria, Age, Race, and Sex With Acute Kidney Injury. - Grams, Morgan E; Sang, Yingying; Ballew, Shoshana H; Gansevoort, Ron T; Kimm, Heejin; Kovesdy, Csaba P; Naimark, David; Oien, Cecilia; Smith, David H; Coresh, Josef; Sarnak, Mark J; Stengel, Bénédicte; et al. (Am J Kidney Dis, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a serious global public health problem. We aimed to quantify the risk of AKI associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), albuminuria (albumin-creatinine ratio [ACR]), age, sex, and race (African American and white). STUDY DESIGN: Collaborative meta-analysis. SETTING & POPULATION: 8 general-population cohorts (1,285,049 participants) and 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD) cohorts (79,519 participants). SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES: Available eGFR, ACR, and 50 or more AKI events. PREDICTORS: Age, sex, race, eGFR, urine ACR, and interactions. OUTCOME: Hospitalized with or for AKI, using Cox proportional hazards models to estimate HRs of AKI and random-effects meta-analysis to pool results. RESULTS: 16,480 (1.3%) general-population cohort participants had AKI over a mean follow-up of 4 years; 2,087 (2.6%) CKD participants had AKI over a mean follow-up of 1 year. Lower eGFR and higher ACR were strongly associated with AKI. Compared with eGFR of 80mL/min/1.73m(2), the adjusted HR of AKI at eGFR of 45mL/min/1.73m(2) was 3.35 (95% CI, 2.75-4.07). Compared with ACR of 5mg/g, the risk of AKI at ACR of 300mg/g was 2.73 (95% CI, 2.18-3.43). Older age was associated with higher risk of AKI, but this effect was attenuated with lower eGFR or higher ACR. Male sex was associated with higher risk of AKI, with a slight attenuation in lower eGFR but not in higher ACR. African Americans had higher AKI risk at higher levels of eGFR and most levels of ACR. LIMITATIONS: Only 2 general-population cohorts could contribute to analyses by race; AKI identified by diagnostic code. CONCLUSIONS: Reduced eGFR and increased ACR are consistent strong risk factors for AKI, whereas associations of AKI with age, sex, and race may be weaker in more advanced stages of CKD.
Keywords: Acute Kidney Injury; Adolescent; Adult; African Americans; Age Distribution; Aged; Albuminuria; Continental Population Groups; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Incidence; Male; Middle Aged; Predictive Value of Tests; Prognosis; Severity of Illness Index; Sex Distribution; Young Adult

A Meta-analysis of the Association of Estimated GFR, Albuminuria, Diabetes Mellitus, and Hypertension With Acute Kidney Injury. - James, Matthew T; Grams, Morgan E; Woodward, Mark; Elley, C Raina; Green, Jamie A; Wheeler, David C; de Jong, Paul; Gansevoort, Ron T; Levey, Andrew S; Warnock, David G; Sarnak, Mark J (Am J Kidney Dis, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus and hypertension are risk factors for acute kidney injury (AKI). Whether estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) remain risk factors for AKI in the presence and absence of these conditions is uncertain. STUDY DESIGN: Meta-analysis of cohort studies. SETTING & POPULATION: 8 general-population (1,285,045 participants) and 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD; 79,519 participants) cohorts. SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES: Cohorts participating in the CKD Prognosis Consortium. PREDICTORS: Diabetes and hypertension status, eGFR by the 2009 CKD Epidemiology Collaboration creatinine equation, urine ACR, and interactions. OUTCOME: Hospitalization with AKI, using Cox proportional hazards models to estimate HRs of AKI and random-effects meta-analysis to pool results. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 4 years, there were 16,480 episodes of AKI in the general-population and 2,087 episodes in the CKD cohorts. Low eGFRs and high ACRs were associated with higher risks of AKI in individuals with or without diabetes and with or without hypertension. When compared to a common reference of eGFR of 80mL/min/1.73m(2) in nondiabetic patients, HRs for AKI were generally higher in diabetic patients at any level of eGFR. The same was true for diabetic patients at all levels of ACR compared with nondiabetic patients. The risk gradient for AKI with lower eGFRs was greater in those without diabetes than with diabetes, but similar with higher ACRs in those without versus with diabetes. Those with hypertension had a higher risk of AKI at eGFRs>60mL/min/1.73m(2) than those without hypertension. However, risk gradients for AKI with both lower eGFRs and higher ACRs were greater for those without than with hypertension. LIMITATIONS: AKI identified by diagnostic code. CONCLUSIONS: Lower eGFRs and higher ACRs are associated with higher risks of AKI among individuals with or without either diabetes or hypertension.
Keywords: Acute Kidney Injury; Adult; Aged; Comorbidity; Diabetes Mellitus; Disease Progression; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Hypertension; Incidence; Kidney Failure, Chronic; Male; Middle Aged; Prognosis; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic

Microvascular and Macrovascular Abnormalities and Cognitive and Physical Function in Older Adults: Cardiovascular Health Study. - Kim, Dae Hyun; Grodstein, Francine; Newman, Anne B; Chaves, Paulo H M; Odden, Michelle C; Klein, Ronald; Sarnak, Mark J; Lipsitz, Lewis A (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2015)
OBJECTIVES: To evaluate and compare the associations between microvascular and macrovascular abnormalities and cognitive and physical function DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of the Cardiovascular Health Study (1998-1999). SETTING: Community. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals with available data on three or more of five microvascular abnormalities (brain, retina, kidney) and three or more of six macrovascular abnormalities (brain, carotid artery, heart, peripheral artery) (N = 2,452; mean age 79.5). MEASUREMENTS: Standardized composite scores derived from three cognitive tests (Modified Mini-Mental State Examination, Digit-Symbol Substitution Test, Trail-Making Test (TMT)) and three physical tests (gait speed, grip strength, 5-time sit to stand) RESULTS: Participants with high microvascular and macrovascular burden had worse cognitive (mean score difference = -0.30, 95% confidence interval (CI) = -0.37 to -0.24) and physical (mean score difference = -0.32, 95% CI = -0.38 to -0.26) function than those with low microvascular and macrovascular burden. Individuals with high microvascular burden alone had similarly lower scores than those with high macrovascular burden alone (cognitive function: -0.16, 95% CI = -0.24 to -0.08 vs -0.13, 95% CI = -0.20 to -0.06; physical function: -0.15, 95% CI = -0.22 to -0.08 vs -0.12, 95% CI = -0.18 to -0.06). Psychomotor speed and working memory, assessed using the TMT, were only impaired in the presence of high microvascular burden. Of the 11 vascular abnormalities considered, white matter hyperintensity, cystatin C-based glomerular filtration rate, large brain infarct, and ankle-arm index were independently associated with cognitive and physical function. CONCLUSION: Microvascular and macrovascular abnormalities assessed using noninvasive tests of the brain, kidney, and peripheral artery were independently associated with poor cognitive and physical function in older adults. Future research should evaluate the usefulness of these tests in prognostication.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cognition; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Humans; Male; Neuropsychological Tests; Vascular Malformations

Multiethnic genome-wide association study of cerebral white matter hyperintensities on MRI. - Verhaaren, Benjamin F J; Debette, Stephanie; Bis, Joshua C; Smith, Jennifer A; Ikram, M Kamran; Adams, Hieab H; Beecham, Ashley H; Rajan, Kumar B; Lopez, Lorna M; Barral, Sandra; van Buchem, Mark A; van der Grond, Jeroen; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2015)
BACKGROUND: The burden of cerebral white matter hyperintensities (WMH) is associated with an increased risk of stroke, dementia, and death. WMH are highly heritable, but their genetic underpinnings are incompletely characterized. To identify novel genetic variants influencing WMH burden, we conducted a meta-analysis of multiethnic genome-wide association studies. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 21 079 middle-aged to elderly individuals from 29 population-based cohorts, who were free of dementia and stroke and were of European (n=17 936), African (n=1943), Hispanic (n=795), and Asian (n=405) descent. WMH burden was quantified on MRI either by a validated automated segmentation method or a validated visual grading scale. Genotype data in each study were imputed to the 1000 Genomes reference. Within each ethnic group, we investigated the relationship between each single-nucleotide polymorphism and WMH burden using a linear regression model adjusted for age, sex, intracranial volume, and principal components of ancestry. A meta-analysis was conducted for each ethnicity separately and for the combined sample. In the European descent samples, we confirmed a previously known locus on chr17q25 (P=2.7×10(-19)) and identified novel loci on chr10q24 (P=1.6×10(-9)) and chr2p21 (P=4.4×10(-8)). In the multiethnic meta-analysis, we identified 2 additional loci, on chr1q22 (P=2.0×10(-8)) and chr2p16 (P=1.5×10(-8)). The novel loci contained genes that have been implicated in Alzheimer disease (chr2p21 and chr10q24), intracerebral hemorrhage (chr1q22), neuroinflammatory diseases (chr2p21), and glioma (chr10q24 and chr2p16). CONCLUSIONS: We identified 4 novel genetic loci that implicate inflammatory and glial proliferative pathways in the development of WMH in addition to previously proposed ischemic mechanisms.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Chromosomes, Human; Continental Population Groups; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Middle Aged; Models, Genetic; Stroke; White Matter

Multisystem physiologic impairments and changes in gait speed of older adults. - Rosso, Andrea L; Sanders, Jason L; Arnold, Alice M; Boudreau, Robert M; Hirsch, Calvin H; Carlson, Michelle C; Rosano, Caterina; Kritchevsky, Stephen B; Newman, Anne B (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Slowed gait is an important health indicator in older adults but a single identifiable cause is often lacking. We assessed whether a summary index measuring impairments across multiple physiologic systems was associated with slowed gait in older individuals. METHODS: Data from the Cardiovascular Health Study (n = 3,010) were used to assess associations between baseline physiologic index (measuring vasculature, brain, kidneys, lungs, and glucose metabolism; range 0-10 with 0-2 points/system and lower score indicating higher function) and annual gait speed (m/s) over 6 years. Participants with complete data on the physiologic index and at least two gait speed measures were included. Mean gait speed and 95% confidence intervals (CI) by category of index were calculated using mixed effects models. RESULTS: Those with scores of three or higher on the index had significantly slower gait speed at baseline compared to those with scores of 0-2 (7-10: mean speed = 0.83 m/s, 95% CI: 0.80, 0.84; 0-2: mean speed = 1.01 m/s, 95% CI: 0.99, 1.03). Those with higher indices also had faster decline in gait speed compared to those with lower scores after adjustment for demographic and health characteristics (7-10: change in speed = -0.020 m/s/year, 95% CI: -0.024, -0.016; 0-2: change in speed= -0.010 m/s/year, 95% CI: -0.014, -0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Greater impairment across five organ systems was associated with slower gait speed and greater declines in gait speed over 6 years. Impairments accumulated over multiple physiologic systems may make older adults more vulnerable to slow gait speed.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Brain; Cardiovascular Physiological Phenomena; Cohort Studies; Female; Gait; Geriatric Assessment; Glucose; Health Status Indicators; Humans; Kidney; Lung; Male; Sensitivity and Specificity; Time Factors

Novel loci associated with usual sleep duration: the CHARGE Consortium Genome-Wide Association Study. - Gottlieb, D J; Hek, K; Chen, T-H; Watson, N F; Eiriksdottir, G; Byrne, E M; Cornelis, M; Warby, S C; Bandinelli, S; Cherkas, L; Evans, D S; Grabe, H J; et al. (Mol Psychiatry, 2015)
Usual sleep duration is a heritable trait correlated with psychiatric morbidity, cardiometabolic disease and mortality, although little is known about the genetic variants influencing this trait. A genome-wide association study (GWAS) of usual sleep duration was conducted using 18 population-based cohorts totaling 47 180 individuals of European ancestry. Genome-wide significant association was identified at two loci. The strongest is located on chromosome 2, in an intergenic region 35- to 80-kb upstream from the thyroid-specific transcription factor PAX8 (lowest P=1.1 × 10(-9)). This finding was replicated in an African-American sample of 4771 individuals (lowest P=9.3 × 10(-4)). The strongest combined association was at rs1823125 (P=1.5 × 10(-10), minor allele frequency 0.26 in the discovery sample, 0.12 in the replication sample), with each copy of the minor allele associated with a sleep duration 3.1 min longer per night. The alleles associated with longer sleep duration were associated in previous GWAS with a more favorable metabolic profile and a lower risk of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. Understanding the mechanisms underlying these associations may help elucidate biological mechanisms influencing sleep duration and its association with psychiatric, metabolic and cardiovascular disease.
Keywords: Adult; African Americans; Aged; Dyssomnias; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Association Studies; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Self Report; Sleep

NT-proBNP and troponin T and risk of rapid kidney function decline and incident CKD in elderly adults. - Bansal, Nisha; Katz, Ronit; Dalrymple, Lorien; de Boer, Ian; DeFilippi, Christopher; Kestenbaum, Bryan; Park, Meyeon; Sarnak, Mark; Seliger, Stephen; Shlipak, Michael (Clin J Am Soc Nephrol, 2015)
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Elevations in N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T are associated with poor cardiovascular outcomes. Whether elevations in these cardiac biomarkers are associated with decline in kidney function was evaluated. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and troponin T were measured at baseline in 3752 participants free of heart failure in the Cardiovascular Health Study. eGFR was determined from the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation using serum cystatin C. Rapid decline in kidney function was defined as decline in serum cystatin C eGFR≥30%, and incident CKD was defined as the onset of serum cystatin C eGFR<60 among those without CKD at baseline (n=2786). Cox regression models were used to examine the associations of each biomarker with kidney function decline adjusting for demographics, baseline serum cystatin C eGFR, diabetes, and other CKD risk factors. RESULTS: In total, 503 participants had rapid decline in serum cystatin C eGFR over a mean follow-up time of 6.41 (1.81) years, and 685 participants developed incident CKD over a mean follow-up time of 6.41 (1.74) years. Participants in the highest quartile of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (>237 pg/ml) had an 67% higher risk of rapid decline and 38% higher adjusted risk of incident CKD compared with participants in the lowest quartile (adjusted hazard ratio for serum cystatin C eGFR rapid decline, 1.67; 95% confidence interval, 1.25 to 2.23; hazard ratio for incident CKD, 1.38; 95% confidence interval, 1.08 to 1.76). Participants in the highest category of troponin T (>10.58 pg/ml) had 80% greater risk of rapid decline compared with participants in the lowest category (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.80; 95% confidence interval, 1.35 to 2.40). The association of troponin T with incident CKD was not statistically significant (hazard ratio, 1.17; 95% confidence interval, 0.92 to 1.50). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and troponin T are associated with rapid decline of kidney function and incident CKD. Additional studies are needed to evaluate the mechanisms that may explain this association.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Aging; Biomarkers; Cystatin C; Disease Progression; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Incidence; Kidney; Linear Models; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain; Peptide Fragments; Predictive Value of Tests; Prognosis; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic; Risk Factors; Time Factors; Troponin T; United States; Up-Regulation

Older Adults, "Malignant" Left Ventricular Hypertrophy, and Associated Cardiac-Specific Biomarker Phenotypes to Identify the Differential Risk of New-Onset Reduced Versus Preserved Ejection Fraction Heart Failure: CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study). - Seliger, Stephen L; de Lemos, James; Neeland, Ian J; Christenson, Robert; Gottdiener, John; Drazner, Mark H; Berry, Jarett; Sorkin, John; DeFilippi, Christopher (JACC Heart Fail, 2015)
OBJECTIVES: This study hypothesized that biomarkers of subclinical myocardial injury (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T [hs-cTnT]) and hemodynamic stress (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide [NT-proBNP]) would differentiate heart failure (HF) risk among older adults with left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH). BACKGROUND: The natural history of LVH, an important risk factor for HF, is heterogeneous. METHODS: NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT were measured at baseline and after 2 to 3 years in older adults without prior HF or myocardial infarction in the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study). LVH and left ventricular ejection fraction were determined by echocardiography. HF events were adjudicated over a median of 13.1 years and classified as preserved or reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (heart failure with preserved ejection fraction or heart failure with reduced ejection fraction [HFrEF]). Adjusted risk of HF by LVH and biomarker tertiles, and by LVH and longitudinal increase in each biomarker was estimated using Cox regression. RESULTS: Prevalence of LVH was 12.5% among 2,347 participants with complete measures. Adjusted risk of HF (N = 643 events) was approximately 3.8-fold higher among participants with LVH and in the highest biomarker tertile, compared with those with low biomarker levels without LVH (NT-proBNP, hazard ratio [HR]: 3.78; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.78 to 5.15 and hs-cTnT, HR: 3.86; 95% CI: 2.84 to 5.26). The adjusted risk of HFrEF was 7.8 times higher among those with the highest tertile of hs-cTnT and LVH (HR: 7.83; 95% CI: 4.43 to 13.83). Those with LVH and longitudinal increases in hs-cTnT or NT-proBNP were approximately 3-fold more likely to develop HF, primarily HFrEF, compared with those without LVH and with stable biomarkers. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of LVH with greater hs-cTnT or NT-proBNP levels, and their longitudinal increase, identifies older adults at highest risk for symptomatic HF, especially HFrEF. These biomarkers may characterize sub-phenotypes in the transition from LVH to HF and suggest modifiable targets for prevention.
Keywords: Aged; Biomarkers; Echocardiography; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Hypertrophy, Left Ventricular; Male; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain; Peptide Fragments; Phenotype; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Troponin T

Physical activity, body mass index, and brain atrophy in Alzheimer's disease. - Boyle, Christina P; Raji, Cyrus A; Erickson, Kirk I; Lopez, Oscar L; Becker, James T; Gach, H Michael; Longstreth, W T; Teverovskiy, Leonid; Kuller, Lewis H; Carmichael, Owen T; Thompson, Paul M (Neurobiol Aging, 2015)
The purpose of this study was to use a novel imaging biomarker to assess associations between physical activity (PA), body mass index (BMI), and brain structure in normal aging, mild cognitive impairment, and Alzheimer's dementia. We studied 963 participants (mean age: 74.1 ± 4.4 years) from the multisite Cardiovascular Health Study including healthy controls (n = 724), Alzheimer's dementia patients (n = 104), and people with mild cognitive impairment (n = 135). Volumetric brain images were processed using tensor-based morphometry to analyze regional brain volumes. We regressed the local brain tissue volume on reported PA and computed BMI, and performed conjunction analyses using both variables. Covariates included age, sex, and study site. PA was independently associated with greater whole brain and regional brain volumes and reduced ventricular dilation. People with higher BMI had lower whole brain and regional brain volumes. A PA-BMI conjunction analysis showed brain preservation with PA and volume loss with increased BMI in overlapping brain regions. In one of the largest voxel-based cross-sectional studies to date, PA and lower BMI may be beneficial to the brain across the spectrum of aging and neurodegeneration.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Alzheimer Disease; Atrophy; Biomarkers; Body Mass Index; Brain; Cognitive Dysfunction; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diffusion Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Female; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Motor Activity; Neuroimaging

Physical Activity, Physical Fitness, and Leukocyte Telomere Length: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Soares-Miranda, Luisa; Imamura, Fumiaki; Siscovick, David; Jenny, Nancy Swords; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Mozaffarian, Dariush (Med Sci Sports Exerc, 2015)
INTRODUCTION: The influence of physical activity (PA) and physical fitness (PF) at older ages on changes in telomere length (TL)--repetitive DNA sequences that may mark biologic aging--is not well-established. Few prior studies (mainly cross-sectional) have been conducted in older adults, and few studies have evaluated PF. METHODS: We investigated cross-sectional and prospective associations of PA and PF with leukocyte TL among 582 older adults (mean ± SD age, 73 ± 5 yr at baseline) in the Cardiovascular Health Study, with serial TL measures and PA and PF assessed multiple times. Cross-sectional associations were assessed using multivariable repeated-measures regression, in which cumulatively averaged PA and PF measures were related to TL. Longitudinal analyses assessed cumulatively averaged PA and PF against later changes in TL, and changes in cumulatively averaged PA and PF against changes in TL. RESULTS: Cross-sectionally, greater walking distance and chair test performance, but not other PA and PF measures, were each associated with longer TL (P trend = 0.007 and 0.04, respectively). In longitudinal analyses, no significant associations of baseline PA and PF with change in TL were observed. In contrast, changes in leisure-time activity and chair test performance were each inversely associated with changes in TL. CONCLUSIONS: Cross-sectional analyses suggest that greater PA and PF are associated with longer TL. Prospective analyses show that changes in PA and PF are associated with differences in changes in TL. Even later in life, changes in certain PA and PF measures are associated with changes in TL, suggesting that leisure-time activity and fitness could reduce leukocyte telomere attrition among older adults.
Keywords: Aged; Aging; Cross-Sectional Studies; Exercise Test; Female; Hand Strength; Humans; Leukocytes; Male; Motor Activity; Physical Fitness; Prospective Studies; Telomere Homeostasis; Walking

Plasma Levels of Soluble Interleukin-2 Receptor α: Associations With Clinical Cardiovascular Events and Genome-Wide Association Scan. - Durda, Peter; Sabourin, Jeremy; Lange, Ethan M; Nalls, Mike A; Mychaleckyj, Josyf C; Jenny, Nancy Swords; Li, Jin; Walston, Jeremy; Harris, Tamara B; Psaty, Bruce M; Valdar, William; Liu, Yongmei; et al. (Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, 2015)
OBJECTIVE: Interleukin (IL) -2 receptor subunit α regulates lymphocyte activation, which plays an important role in atherosclerosis. Associations between soluble IL-2Rα (sIL-2Rα) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) have not been widely studied and little is known about the genetic determinants of sIL-2Rα levels. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We measured baseline levels of sIL-2Rα in 4408 European American (EA) and 766 African American (AA) adults from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) and examined associations with baseline CVD risk factors, subclinical CVD, and incident CVD events. We also performed a genome-wide association study for sIL-2Rα in CHS (2964 EAs and 683 AAs) and further combined CHS EA results with those from two other EA cohorts in a meta-analysis (n=4464 EAs). In age, sex- and race- adjusted models, sIL-2Rα was positively associated with current smoking, type 2 diabetes mellitus, hypertension, insulin, waist circumference, C-reactive protein, IL-6, fibrinogen, internal carotid wall thickness, all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, and incident CVD, stroke, and heart failure. When adjusted for baseline CVD risk factors and subclinical CVD, associations with all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, and heart failure remained significant in both EAs and AAs. In the EA genome-wide association study analysis, we observed 52 single-nucleotide polymorphisms in the chromosome 10p15-14 region, which contains IL2RA, IL15RA, and RMB17, that reached genome-wide significance (P<5×10(-8)). The most significant single-nucleotide polymorphism was rs7911500 (P=1.31×10(-75)). The EA meta-analysis results were highly consistent with CHS-only results. No single-nucleotide polymorphisms reached statistical significance in the AAs. CONCLUSIONS: These results support a role for sIL-2Rα in atherosclerosis and provide evidence for multiple-associated single-nucleotide polymorphisms at chromosome 10p15-14.
Keywords: Adult; African Americans; Age Distribution; Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Coronary Artery Disease; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Incidence; Interleukin-2 Receptor alpha Subunit; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Sex Distribution; Survival Analysis

Plasma phospholipid very-long-chain saturated fatty acids and incident diabetes in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Lemaitre, Rozenn N; Fretts, Amanda M; Sitlani, Colleen M; Biggs, Mary L; Mukamal, Kenneth; King, Irena B; Song, Xiaoling; Djoussé, Luc; Siscovick, David S; McKnight, Barbara; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Kizer, Jorge R; et al. (Am J Clin Nutr, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Circulating saturated fatty acids (SFAs) are integrated biomarkers of diet and metabolism that may influence the pathogenesis of diabetes. In epidemiologic studies, circulating levels of palmitic acid (16:0) are associated with diabetes; however, very-long-chain SFAs (VLSFAs), with 20 or more carbons, differ from palmitic acid in their biological activities, and little is known of the association of circulating VLSFA with diabetes. OBJECTIVE: By using data from the Cardiovascular Health Study, we examined the associations of plasma phospholipid VLSFA levels measured at baseline with subsequent incident diabetes. DESIGN: A total of 3179 older adults, with a mean age of 75 y at study baseline (1992-1993), were followed through 2011. We used multiple proportional hazards regression to examine the associations of arachidic acid (20:0), behenic acid (22:0), and lignoceric acid (24:0) with diabetes. RESULTS: Baseline levels of each VLSFA were cross-sectionally associated with lower triglyceride levels and lower circulating palmitic acid. We identified 284 incident diabetes cases during follow-up. Compared with the lowest quartile, levels of arachidic acid in the highest quartile of the fatty acid distribution were associated with a 47% lower risk of diabetes (95% CI: 23%, 63%; P-trend: <0.001), after adjustment for demographics, lifestyle factors, and clinical conditions. In analogous comparisons, levels of behenic and lignoceric acid were similarly associated with 33% (95% CI: 6%, 53%; P-trend: 0.02) and 37% (95% CI: 11%, 55%; P-trend: 0.01) lower diabetes risk, respectively. Adjustment for triglycerides and palmitic acid attenuated the associations toward the null, and only the association of arachidic acid remained statistically significant (32% lower risk for fourth vs. first quartile; P-trend: 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that circulating VLSFAs are associated with a lower risk of diabetes, and these associations may be mediated by lower triglycerides and palmitic acid. The study highlights the need to distinguish the effects of different SFAs and to explore determinants of circulating VLSFAs. This trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT00005133.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Biomarkers; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diabetes Mellitus; Diet; Eicosanoic Acids; Fatty Acids; Fatty Acids, Nonesterified; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Incidence; Male; Observational Studies as Topic; Palmitic Acid; Phospholipids; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Triglycerides

Positive association of tomato consumption with serum urate: support for tomato consumption as an anecdotal trigger of gout flares. - Flynn, Tanya J; Cadzow, Murray; Dalbeth, Nicola; Jones, Peter B; Stamp, Lisa K; Hindmarsh, Jennie Harré; Todd, Alwyn S; Walker, Robert J; Topless, Ruth; Merriman, Tony R (BMC Musculoskelet Disord, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Gout is a consequence of an innate immune reaction to monosodium urate crystals deposited in joints. Acute gout attacks can be triggered by dietary factors that are themselves associated with serum urate levels. Tomato consumption is an anecdotal trigger of gout flares. This study aimed to measure the frequency of tomato consumption as a self-reported trigger of gout attacks in a large New Zealand sample set, and to test the hypothesis that tomato consumption is associated with serum urate levels. METHODS: Two thousand fifty one New Zealanders (of Māori, Pacific Island, European or other ancestry) with clinically-ascertained gout were asked about gout trigger foods. European individuals from the Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC; n = 7517) Study, Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS; n = 2151) and Framingham Heart Study (FHS; n = 3052) were used to test, in multivariate-adjusted analyses, for association between serum urate and tomato intake. RESULTS: Seventy one percent of people with gout reported having ≥1 gout trigger food. Of these 20% specifically mentioned tomatoes, the 4(th) most commonly reported trigger food. There was association between tomato intake and serum urate levels in the ARIC, CHS and FHS combined cohort (β = 0.66 μmolL(-1) increase in serum urate per additional serve per week; P = 0.006) - evident in both sexes (men: β = 0.84 μmolL(-1), P = 0.035; women: β = 0.59 μmolL (-1), P = 0.041). CONCLUSIONS: While our descriptive and observational data are unable to support the claim that tomato consumption is a trigger of gout attacks, the positive association between tomato consumption and serum urate levels suggests that the self-reporting of tomatoes as a dietary trigger by people with gout has a biological basis.
Keywords: Adolescent; Adult; Aged; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Gout; Humans; Hyperuricemia; Lycopersicon esculentum; Male; Middle Aged; New Zealand; Oceanic Ancestry Group; Surveys and Questionnaires; Uric Acid; Young Adult

Potassium and glucose measures in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Chatterjee, Ranee; Biggs, Mary L; de Boer, Ian H; Brancati, Frederick L; Svetkey, Laura P; Barzilay, Joshua; Djoussé, Luc; Ix, Joachim H; Kizer, Jorge R; Siscovick, David S; Mozaffarian, Dariush; Edelman, David; et al. (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2015)
BACKGROUND: We sought to determine the impacts of serum and dietary potassium measures on glucose metabolism and diabetes risk in older adults. METHODS: Among participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study, a community-based cohort of older American adults, we examined a) cross-sectional associations between potassium and measures of insulin sensitivity and secretion estimated from oral glucose tolerance tests and b) longitudinal associations of serum and dietary potassium with diabetes risk. RESULTS: Among 4,754 participants aged ≥65 years at baseline, there were 445 cases of incident diabetes during a median follow-up of 12 years. In multivariate models, baseline serum and dietary potassium were both associated with lower insulin sensitivity and greater insulin secretion. Compared with those with a serum potassium ≥4.5 mEq/L, participants with a serum potassium <4.0mEq/L had an adjusted mean difference in Matsuda insulin sensitivity index of -0.18 (-0.39, 0.02). Compared with those in the highest quartile, participants in the lowest quartile of dietary potassium intake had a corresponding adjusted mean difference in Matsuda insulin sensitivity index of -0.61 (-0.94, -0.29). In multivariate models, neither serum nor dietary potassium intake was associated with long-term diabetes risk. CONCLUSIONS: Although we did not identify serum and dietary potassium as risk factors for incident diabetes in older adults, results from cross-sectional analyses suggest that both may be associated with increased insulin resistance. This relationship with insulin resistance needs to be confirmed, and its importance on diabetes risk, cardiovascular risk, and conditions specific to older adults should be determined as well.
Keywords: Aged; Blood Glucose; Cohort Studies; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Humans; Insulin; Insulin Resistance; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Multivariate Analysis; Potassium; Potassium, Dietary; Risk Factors; United States

Prognostic Significance of High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin T Concentrations between the Limit of Blank and Limit of Detection in Community-Dwelling Adults: A Metaanalysis. - Parikh, Ravi H; Seliger, Stephen L; de Lemos, James; Nambi, Vijay; Christenson, Robert; Ayers, Colby; Sun, Wensheng; Gottdiener, John S; Kuller, Lewis H; Ballantyne, Christie; deFilippi, Christopher R (Clin Chem, 2015)
BACKGROUND: There is controversy regarding whether to report concentrations of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) to the limit of blank (LOB) (3 ng/L) or the limit of detection (LOD) (5 ng/L) of the assay in community-based cohorts. We hypothesized that hs-cTnT concentrations between the LOB and LOD would be associated with poorer cardiovascular outcomes compared to concentrations below the LOB. METHODS: hs-cTnT was analyzed in a total of 10 723 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, and Dallas Heart Study (DHS). Participants were divided into 2 groups, those with hs-cTnT concentrations below the limit of blank (LOB) (<3 ng/L) and those with hs-cTnT between the LOB and limit of detection (LOD) (3-4.99 ng/L). Cross-sectional associations with traditional cardiovascular risk factors and cardiac structural measurements, and longitudinal associations with long-term cardiovascular outcomes of incident heart failure and cardiovascular death, were determined. RESULTS: Participants with hs-cTnT between the LOB and LOD for all 3 cohorts were older, more likely to be male, and have a higher burden of cardiovascular risk factors and structural pathology. A metaanalysis of the 3 cohorts showed participants with hs-cTnT between the LOB and LOD were at increased risk of new-onset heart failure (hazard ratio, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.02-1.38) and cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.06-1.57). CONCLUSIONS: hs-cTnT concentrations between the LOB and LOD (3-4.99 ng/L) are associated with a higher prevalence of traditional risk factors, more cardiac pathology, and worse outcomes than concentrations below the LOB (<3 ng/L).
Keywords: Aged; Atherosclerosis; Biomarkers; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Independent Living; Limit of Detection; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Middle Aged; Myocardial Infarction; Prognosis; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Sex Factors; Troponin T

Prospective association of fatty acids in the de novo lipogenesis pathway with risk of type 2 diabetes: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Ma, Wenjie; Wu, Jason H Y; Wang, Qianyi; Lemaitre, Rozenn N; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Djoussé, Luc; King, Irena B; Song, Xiaoling; Biggs, Mary L; Delaney, Joseph A; Kizer, Jorge R; Siscovick, David S; et al. (Am J Clin Nutr, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Experimental evidence suggests that hepatic de novo lipogenesis (DNL) affects insulin homeostasis via synthesis of saturated fatty acids (SFAs) and monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFAs). Few prospective studies have used fatty acid biomarkers to assess associations with type 2 diabetes. OBJECTIVES: We investigated associations of major circulating SFAs [palmitic acid (16:0) and stearic acid (18:0)] and MUFA [oleic acid (18:1n-9)] in the DNL pathway with metabolic risk factors and incident diabetes in community-based older U.S. adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study. We secondarily assessed other DNL fatty acid biomarkers [myristic acid (14:0), palmitoleic acid (16:1n-7), 7-hexadecenoic acid (16:1n-9), and vaccenic acid (18:1n-7)] and estimated dietary SFAs and MUFAs. DESIGN: In 3004 participants free of diabetes, plasma phospholipid fatty acids were measured in 1992, and incident diabetes was identified by medication use and blood glucose. Usual diets were assessed by using repeated food-frequency questionnaires. Multivariable linear and Cox regression were used to assess associations with metabolic risk factors and incident diabetes, respectively. RESULTS: At baseline, circulating palmitic acid and stearic acid were positively associated with adiposity, triglycerides, inflammation biomarkers, and insulin resistance (P-trend < 0.01 each), whereas oleic acid showed generally beneficial associations (P-trend < 0.001 each). During 30,763 person-years, 297 incident diabetes cases occurred. With adjustment for demographics and lifestyle, palmitic acid (extreme-quintile HR: 1.89; 95% CI: 1.27, 2.83; P-trend = 0.001) and stearic acid (HR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.09, 2.41; P-trend = 0.006) were associated with higher diabetes risk, whereas oleic acid was not significantly associated. In secondary analyses, vaccenic acid was inversely associated with diabetes (HR: 0.56; 95% CI: 0.38, 0.83; P-trend = 0.005). Other fatty acid biomarkers and estimated dietary SFAs or MUFAs were not significantly associated with incident diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: In this large prospective cohort, circulating palmitic acid and stearic acid were associated with higher diabetes risk, and vaccenic acid was associated with lower diabetes risk. These results indicate a need for additional investigation of biological mechanisms linking specific fatty acids in the DNL pathway to the pathogenesis of diabetes.
Keywords: Aged; Biomarkers; Cohort Studies; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Incidence; Lipogenesis; Liver; Male; Palmitic Acid; Phospholipids; Prevalence; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors; Stearic Acids; United States; Up-Regulation

Prospective study of circulating factor XI and incident venous thromboembolism: The Longitudinal Investigation of Thromboembolism Etiology (LITE). - Folsom, Aaron R; Tang, Weihong; Roetker, Nicholas S; Heckbert, Susan R; Cushman, Mary; Pankow, James S (Am J Hematol, 2015)
Elevated plasma concentrations of coagulation factor XI may increase risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE), but prospective data are limited. We studied prospectively the associations of plasma factor XI and a key F11 genetic variant with incident VTE in whites and African-Americans. We measured factor XI in 16,299 participants, initially free of VTE, in two prospective population cohorts. We also measured the F11 single nucleotide polymorphism rs4241824, which a genome-wide association study had linked to factor XI concentration. During follow-up, we identified 606 VTEs. The age, race, sex, and study-adjusted hazard ratio of VTE increased across factor XI quintiles (P < 0.001 for trend), and the hazard ratio was 1.51 (95% CI 1.16, 1.97) for the highest versus lowest quintile overall, and was 1.42 (95% CI 1.03, 1.95) in whites and 1.72 (95% CI 1.08, 2.73) in African-Americans. In whites, the F11 variant was associated with both factor XI concentration and VTE incidence (1.15-fold greater incidence of VTE per risk allele). In African-Americans, these associations were absent. In conclusion, this cohort study documented that an elevated plasma factor XI concentration is a risk factor for VTE over extended follow-up, not only in whites but also in African-Americans. In whites, the association of the F11 genetic variant with VTE suggests a causal relation, but we did not observe this genetic relation in African-Americans.
Keywords: African Americans; Aged; Alleles; European Continental Ancestry Group; Factor XI; Female; Gene Expression; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; United States; Venous Thromboembolism

Race/Ethnic Differences in the Associations of the Framingham Risk Factors with Carotid IMT and Cardiovascular Events. - Gijsberts, Crystel M; Groenewegen, Karlijn A; Hoefer, Imo E; Eijkemans, Marinus J C; Asselbergs, Folkert W; Anderson, Todd J; Britton, Annie R; Dekker, Jacqueline M; Engström, Gunnar; Evans, Greg W; de Graaf, Jacqueline; Grobbee, Diederick E; et al. (PLoS One, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Clinical manifestations and outcomes of atherosclerotic disease differ between ethnic groups. In addition, the prevalence of risk factors is substantially different. Primary prevention programs are based on data derived from almost exclusively White people. We investigated how race/ethnic differences modify the associations of established risk factors with atherosclerosis and cardiovascular events. METHODS: We used data from an ongoing individual participant meta-analysis involving 17 population-based cohorts worldwide. We selected 60,211 participants without cardiovascular disease at baseline with available data on ethnicity (White, Black, Asian or Hispanic). We generated a multivariable linear regression model containing risk factors and ethnicity predicting mean common carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) and a multivariable Cox regression model predicting myocardial infarction or stroke. For each risk factor we assessed how the association with the preclinical and clinical measures of cardiovascular atherosclerotic disease was affected by ethnicity. RESULTS: Ethnicity appeared to significantly modify the associations between risk factors and CIMT and cardiovascular events. The association between age and CIMT was weaker in Blacks and Hispanics. Systolic blood pressure associated more strongly with CIMT in Asians. HDL cholesterol and smoking associated less with CIMT in Blacks. Furthermore, the association of age and total cholesterol levels with the occurrence of cardiovascular events differed between Blacks and Whites. CONCLUSION: The magnitude of associations between risk factors and the presence of atherosclerotic disease differs between race/ethnic groups. These subtle, yet significant differences provide insight in the etiology of cardiovascular disease among race/ethnic groups. These insights aid the race/ethnic-specific implementation of primary prevention.
Keywords: Adult; Age Distribution; Aged; Carotid Artery Diseases; Carotid Intima-Media Thickness; Cholesterol, HDL; Cholesterol, LDL; Comorbidity; Continental Population Groups; Diabetes Mellitus; Dyslipidemias; Ethnic Groups; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Global Health; Humans; Hypertension; Incidence; Linear Models; Male; Middle Aged; Myocardial Infarction; Prevalence; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors; Smoking; Stroke

Rare and Coding Region Genetic Variants Associated With Risk of Ischemic Stroke: The NHLBI Exome Sequence Project. - Auer, Paul L; Nalls, Mike; Meschia, James F; Worrall, Bradford B; Longstreth, W T; Seshadri, Sudha; Kooperberg, Charles; Burger, Kathleen M; Carlson, Christopher S; Carty, Cara L; Chen, Wei-Min; Cupples, L Adrienne; et al. (JAMA Neurol, 2015)
IMPORTANCE: Stroke is the second leading cause of death and the third leading cause of years of life lost. Genetic factors contribute to stroke prevalence, and candidate gene and genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified variants associated with ischemic stroke risk. These variants often have small effects without obvious biological significance. Exome sequencing may discover predicted protein-altering variants with a potentially large effect on ischemic stroke risk. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the contribution of rare and common genetic variants to ischemic stroke risk by targeting the protein-coding regions of the human genome. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) Exome Sequencing Project (ESP) analyzed approximately 6000 participants from numerous cohorts of European and African ancestry. For discovery, 365 cases of ischemic stroke (small-vessel and large-vessel subtypes) and 809 European ancestry controls were sequenced; for replication, 47 affected sibpairs concordant for stroke subtype and an African American case-control series were sequenced, with 1672 cases and 4509 European ancestry controls genotyped. The ESP's exome sequencing and genotyping started on January 1, 2010, and continued through June 30, 2012. Analyses were conducted on the full data set between July 12, 2012, and July 13, 2013. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Discovery of new variants or genes contributing to ischemic stroke risk and subtype (primary analysis) and determination of support for protein-coding variants contributing to risk in previously published candidate genes (secondary analysis). RESULTS: We identified 2 novel genes associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke: a protein-coding variant in PDE4DIP (rs1778155; odds ratio, 2.15; P = 2.63 × 10(-8)) with an intracellular signal transduction mechanism and in ACOT4 (rs35724886; odds ratio, 2.04; P = 1.24 × 10(-7)) with a fatty acid metabolism; confirmation of PDE4DIP was observed in affected sibpair families with large-vessel stroke subtype and in African Americans. Replication of protein-coding variants in candidate genes was observed for 2 previously reported GWAS associations: ZFHX3 (cardioembolic stroke) and ABCA1 (large-vessel stroke). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Exome sequencing discovered 2 novel genes and mechanisms, PDE4DIP and ACOT4, associated with increased risk for ischemic stroke. In addition, ZFHX3 and ABCA1 were discovered to have protein-coding variants associated with ischemic stroke. These results suggest that genetic variation in novel pathways contributes to ischemic stroke risk and serves as a target for prediction, prevention, and therapy.
Keywords: Aged; Brain Ischemia; Exome; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Muscle Proteins; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (U.S.); Nuclear Proteins; Open Reading Frames; Palmitoyl-CoA Hydrolase; Stroke; United States

Relationship between Systemic and Cerebral Vascular Disease and Brain Structure Integrity in Normal Elderly Individuals. - Riverol, Mario; Becker, James T; Lopez, Oscar L; Raji, Cyrus A; Thompson, Paul M; Carmichael, Owen T; Gach, H Michael; Longstreth, William T; Fried, Linda; Tracy, Russell P; Kuller, Lewis H (J Alzheimers Dis, 2015)
Cerebral white matter lesions (WMLs) are considered a reflection of cerebral and systemic small vessel disease (SVD), and are associated with reductions in brain volume. Like the brain, the kidney is also sensitive to factors that affect vasculature. Glomerular dysfunction due to renal vascular damage can be measured with different biochemical parameters, such as creatinine or cystatin C, although cystatin C is considered to be more accurate than creatinine in the elderly. The purpose of the study was to determine whether manifestations of SVD in the kidney can predict SVD-based damage to the brain. We examined the relationship between glomerular dysfunction as a measure of SVD on WMLs, gray matter (GM) volume, and cognition in 735 cognitively normal participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study Cognition Study. The multivariate analyses controlled for demographic characteristics, hypertension, heart disease, diabetes, Apolipoprotein 4 allele, C reactive protein, lipids, physical activity, smoking, and body mass index (BMI). Elevated cystatin C levels were associated with lower neuropsychological test scores, the presence of MRI-identified brain infarcts, the severity of WMLs, and GM atrophy five years later. In adjusted models, GM volume was significantly associated with cystatin-C only until BMI and severity of WMLs were added to the model, meaning that the effect of SVD on GM volume is mediated by these two variables. These findings suggest that age-related SVD is a process that leads to altered brain structure, and creates a vulnerability state for cognitive decline.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Analysis of Variance; Brain; Cerebrovascular Disorders; Female; Humans; Image Processing, Computer-Assisted; Logistic Models; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Neuropsychological Tests; Peripheral Vascular Diseases; Predictive Value of Tests; Retrospective Studies; White Matter

Resting heart rate and risk of incident heart failure: three prospective cohort studies and a systematic meta-analysis. - Khan, Hassan; Kunutsor, Setor; Kalogeropoulos, Andreas P; Georgiopoulou, Vasiliki V; Newman, Anne B; Harris, Tamara B; Bibbins-Domingo, Kirsten; Kauhanen, Jussi; Gheorghiade, Mihai; Fonarow, Gregg C; Kritchevsky, Stephen B; Laukkanen, Jari A; et al. (J Am Heart Assoc, 2015)
BACKGROUND: The relationship between resting heart rate (RHR) and incident heart failure (HF) has been questioned. METHODS AND RESULTS: RHR was assessed at baseline in 7073 participants in 3 prospective cohorts (Cardiovascular Health Study, Health ABC study and Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease Study) that recorded 1189 incident HF outcomes during 92 702 person-years of follow-up. Mean age of participants was 67 (9.9) years and mean RHR was 64.6 (11.1) bpm. Baseline RHR correlated (P<0.001) positively with body mass index (r=0.10), fasting glucose (r=0.18), and C-reactive protein (r=0.20); and inversely with serum creatinine (r=-0.05) and albumin (r=-0.05). Baseline RHR was non-linearly associated with HF risk. The age and sex-adjusted hazard ratio for HF comparing the top (>72 bpm) versus the bottom (<57 bpm) quartile of baseline RHR was 1.48 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.26 to 1.74) and was modestly attenuated (1.30, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.53) with further adjustment for body mass index, history of diabetes, hypertension, smoking status, serum creatinine, and left ventricular hypertrophy. These findings remained consistent in analyses accounting for incident coronary heart disease, excluding individuals with prior cardiovascular events, or those taking beta-blockers; and in subgroups defined by several individual participant characteristics. In a pooled random effects meta-analysis of 7 population-based studies (43 051 participants and 3476 HF events), the overall hazard ratio comparing top versus bottom fourth of RHR was 1.40 (95% CI: 1.19 to 1.64). CONCLUSIONS: There is a non-linear association between RHR and incident HF. Further research is needed to understand the physiologic foundations of this association.
Keywords: Age Distribution; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Cohort Studies; Female; Heart Failure; Heart Rate; Humans; Incidence; Japan; Male; Predictive Value of Tests; Prospective Studies; Rest; Risk Assessment; Severity of Illness Index; Sex Distribution; Survival Rate

Serial measures of cardiac troponin T levels by a highly sensitive assay and incident atrial fibrillation in a prospective cohort of ambulatory older adults. - Hussein, Ayman A; Bartz, Traci M; Gottdiener, John S; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Heckbert, Susan R; Lloyd-Jones, Donald; Kizer, Jorge R; Christenson, Robert; Wazni, Oussama; DeFilippi, Christopher (Heart Rhythm, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Various mechanisms in cardiac remodeling related to atrial fibrillation (AF) lead to elevated circulating cardiac troponin levels, but little is known about such elevations upstream to AF onset. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to study the association between circulating troponin levels as assessed by a highly sensitive cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) assay and incident atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: In a large prospective cohort of ambulatory older adults [the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS)], hs-cTnT levels were measured in sera that were collected at enrollment from 4262 participants without AF (2871 with follow-up measurements). Incident AF was identified by electrocardiograms during CHS visits, hospital discharge diagnoses, and Medicare files, including outpatient and physician claims diagnoses. RESULTS: Over median follow-up of 11.2 years (interquartile range 6.1-16.5), 1363 participants (32.0%) developed AF. Higher baseline levels of hs-cTnT were associated with incident AF in covariate-adjusted analyses accounting for demographics, traditional risk factors, and incident heart failure in time-dependent analyzes (hazard ratio for 3rd tertile vs undetectable 1.75, 95% confidence interval 1.48-2.08). This association was statistically significant in analyses that additionally adjusted for biomarkers of inflammation and hemodynamic strain (hazard ratio for 3rd tertile vs undetectable 1.38, 95% confidence interval 1.16-1.65). Significant associations were also found when hs-cTnT levels were treated as a continuous variable and when examining change from baseline of hs-cTnT levels and incident AF. CONCLUSION: The findings show a significant association of circulating troponin levels in ambulatory older adults with incident AF beyond that of traditional risk factors, incident heart failure, and biomarkers of inflammation and hemodynamic strain.
Keywords: Aged; Atrial Fibrillation; Biomarkers; Electrocardiography; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Outpatients; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Statistics as Topic; Troponin T; United States

Serum urate levels and the risk of hip fractures: data from the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Mehta, Tapan; Bůzková, Petra; Sarnak, Mark J; Chonchol, Michel; Cauley, Jane A; Wallace, Erin; Fink, Howard A; Robbins, John; Jalal, Diana (Metabolism, 2015)
PURPOSE: Uric acid inhibits vitamin D activation experimentally and higher serum urate levels are associated with higher parathyroid hormone levels in humans suggesting a link between uric acid and bone health. We hypothesized that hyperuricemia may increase the risk of fractures in older adults. METHODS: 1963 men and 2729 women ≥65 years of age who participated in the Cardiovascular Health Study and had baseline serum urate levels were included in the study. The primary outcome was incident hip fracture, assessed prospectively through June, 2008 by inpatient and outpatient records. The analysis was stratified by sex a priori. RESULTS: There was a U-shaped relationship between serum urate levels and hip fractures in men. Men in the lowest and the highest urate quartiles (<4.88 and ≥6.88 mg/dL respectively) had a significantly higher rate of fractures in unadjusted analysis. However, upon multivariate adjustment, only the HR for hip fracture in highest quartile versus the reference remained significant (HR 1.9; 95% C.I. 1.1, 3.1; p value 0.02). High serum urate levels were not associated with hip fractures in women. CONCLUSION: In this large prospective cohort of community-dwelling older adults, increased serum urate levels were associated with an increased risk of hip fractures in men. Further studies are needed to confirm these findings and to understand the mechanisms that underlie them.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Body Mass Index; Cohort Studies; Estrogen Replacement Therapy; Female; Health Surveys; Hip Fractures; Humans; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Male; Prospective Studies; Risk; Sex Factors; United States; Uric Acid

Sleep Disturbances and Glucose Metabolism in Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Strand, Linn Beate; Carnethon, Mercedes; Biggs, Mary Lou; Djoussé, Luc; Kaplan, Robert C; Siscovick, David S; Robbins, John A; Redline, Susan; Patel, Sanjay R; Janszky, Imre; Mukamal, Kenneth J (Diabetes Care, 2015)
OBJECTIVE: We examined the associations of symptoms of sleep-disordered breathing (SDB), which was defined as loud snoring, stopping breathing for a while during sleep, and daytime sleepiness, and insomnia with glucose metabolism and incident type 2 diabetes in older adults. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Between 1989 and 1993, the Cardiovascular Health Study recruited 5,888 participants ≥65 years of age from four U.S. communities. Participants reported SDB and insomnia symptoms yearly through 1989-1994. In 1989-1990, participants underwent an oral glucose tolerance test, from which insulin secretion and insulin sensitivity were estimated. Fasting glucose levels were measured in 1989-1990 and again in 1992-1993, 1994-1995, 1996-1997, and 1998-1999, and medication use was ascertained yearly. We determined the cross-sectional associations of sleep symptoms with fasting glucose levels, 2-h glucose levels, insulin sensitivity, and insulin secretion using generalized estimated equations and linear regression models. We determined the associations of updated and averaged sleep symptoms with incident diabetes in Cox proportional hazards models. We adjusted for sociodemographics, lifestyle factors, and medical history. RESULTS: Observed apnea, snoring, and daytime sleepiness were associated with higher fasting glucose levels, higher 2-h glucose levels, lower insulin sensitivity, and higher insulin secretion. The risk of the development of type 2 diabetes was positively associated with observed apnea (hazard ratio [HR] 1.84 [95% CI 1.19-2.86]), snoring (HR 1.27 [95% CI 0.95-1.71]), and daytime sleepiness (HR 1.54 [95% CI 1.13-2.12]). In contrast, we did not find consistent associations between insomnia symptoms and glucose metabolism or incident type 2 diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Easily collected symptoms of SDB are strongly associated with insulin resistance and the incidence of type 2 diabetes in older adults. Monitoring glucose metabolism in such patients may prove useful in identifying candidates for lifestyle or pharmacological therapy. Further studies are needed to determine whether insomnia symptoms affect the risk of diabetes in younger adults.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Blood Glucose; Cardiovascular System; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Fasting; Female; Glucose Tolerance Test; Humans; Incidence; Insulin; Insulin Resistance; Male; Middle Aged; Sleep Apnea Syndromes; Sleep Initiation and Maintenance Disorders; Snoring; United States

Social Network Size and Cranial Magnetic Resonance Imaging Findings in Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Flatt, Jason D; Rosso, Andrea L; Aizenstein, Howard J; Schulz, Richard; Longstreth, W T; Newman, Anne B; Fowler, Nicole R; Rosano, Caterina (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2015)
Keywords: Aged; Brain; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Geriatric Assessment; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Neuroimaging; Social Participation; Social Support

Subclinical Hypothyroidism and the Risk of Stroke Events and Fatal Stroke: An Individual Participant Data Analysis. - Chaker, Layal; Baumgartner, Christine; den Elzen, Wendy P J; Ikram, M Arfan; Blum, Manuel R; Collet, Tinh-Hai; Bakker, Stephan J L; Dehghan, Abbas; Drechsler, Christiane; Luben, Robert N; Hofman, Albert; Portegies, Marileen L P; et al. (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2015)
OBJECTIVE: The objective was to determine the risk of stroke associated with subclinical hypothyroidism. DATA SOURCES AND STUDY SELECTION: Published prospective cohort studies were identified through a systematic search through November 2013 without restrictions in several databases. Unpublished studies were identified through the Thyroid Studies Collaboration. We collected individual participant data on thyroid function and stroke outcome. Euthyroidism was defined as TSH levels of 0.45-4.49 mIU/L, and subclinical hypothyroidism was defined as TSH levels of 4.5-19.9 mIU/L with normal T4 levels. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: We collected individual participant data on 47 573 adults (3451 subclinical hypothyroidism) from 17 cohorts and followed up from 1972-2014 (489 192 person-years). Age- and sex-adjusted pooled hazard ratios (HRs) for participants with subclinical hypothyroidism compared to euthyroidism were 1.05 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.91-1.21) for stroke events (combined fatal and nonfatal stroke) and 1.07 (95% CI, 0.80-1.42) for fatal stroke. Stratified by age, the HR for stroke events was 3.32 (95% CI, 1.25-8.80) for individuals aged 18-49 years. There was an increased risk of fatal stroke in the age groups 18-49 and 50-64 years, with a HR of 4.22 (95% CI, 1.08-16.55) and 2.86 (95% CI, 1.31-6.26), respectively (p trend 0.04). We found no increased risk for those 65-79 years old (HR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.86-1.18) or ≥ 80 years old (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.79-2.18). There was a pattern of increased risk of fatal stroke with higher TSH concentrations. CONCLUSIONS: Although no overall effect of subclinical hypothyroidism on stroke could be demonstrated, an increased risk in subjects younger than 65 years and those with higher TSH concentrations was observed.
Keywords: Adult; Asymptomatic Diseases; Female; Humans; Hypothyroidism; Incidence; Male; Risk Factors; Stroke; Thyrotropin

Subclinical thyroid dysfunction and fracture risk: a meta-analysis. - Blum, Manuel R; Bauer, Douglas C; Collet, Tinh-Hai; Fink, Howard A; Cappola, Anne R; da Costa, Bruno R; Wirth, Christina D; Peeters, Robin P; Asvold, Bjørn O; den Elzen, Wendy P J; Luben, Robert N; Imaizumi, Misa; et al. (JAMA, 2015)
IMPORTANCE: Associations between subclinical thyroid dysfunction and fractures are unclear and clinical trials are lacking. OBJECTIVE: To assess the association of subclinical thyroid dysfunction with hip, nonspine, spine, or any fractures. DATA SOURCES AND STUDY SELECTION: The databases of MEDLINE and EMBASE (inception to March 26, 2015) were searched without language restrictions for prospective cohort studies with thyroid function data and subsequent fractures. DATA EXTRACTION: Individual participant data were obtained from 13 prospective cohorts in the United States, Europe, Australia, and Japan. Levels of thyroid function were defined as euthyroidism (thyroid-stimulating hormone [TSH], 0.45-4.49 mIU/L), subclinical hyperthyroidism (TSH <0.45 mIU/L), and subclinical hypothyroidism (TSH ≥4.50-19.99 mIU/L) with normal thyroxine concentrations. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was hip fracture. Any fractures, nonspine fractures, and clinical spine fractures were secondary outcomes. RESULTS: Among 70,298 participants, 4092 (5.8%) had subclinical hypothyroidism and 2219 (3.2%) had subclinical hyperthyroidism. During 762,401 person-years of follow-up, hip fracture occurred in 2975 participants (4.6%; 12 studies), any fracture in 2528 participants (9.0%; 8 studies), nonspine fracture in 2018 participants (8.4%; 8 studies), and spine fracture in 296 participants (1.3%; 6 studies). In age- and sex-adjusted analyses, the hazard ratio (HR) for subclinical hyperthyroidism vs euthyroidism was 1.36 for hip fracture (95% CI, 1.13-1.64; 146 events in 2082 participants vs 2534 in 56,471); for any fracture, HR was 1.28 (95% CI, 1.06-1.53; 121 events in 888 participants vs 2203 in 25,901); for nonspine fracture, HR was 1.16 (95% CI, 0.95-1.41; 107 events in 946 participants vs 1745 in 21,722); and for spine fracture, HR was 1.51 (95% CI, 0.93-2.45; 17 events in 732 participants vs 255 in 20,328). Lower TSH was associated with higher fracture rates: for TSH of less than 0.10 mIU/L, HR was 1.61 for hip fracture (95% CI, 1.21-2.15; 47 events in 510 participants); for any fracture, HR was 1.98 (95% CI, 1.41-2.78; 44 events in 212 participants); for nonspine fracture, HR was 1.61 (95% CI, 0.96-2.71; 32 events in 185 participants); and for spine fracture, HR was 3.57 (95% CI, 1.88-6.78; 8 events in 162 participants). Risks were similar after adjustment for other fracture risk factors. Endogenous subclinical hyperthyroidism (excluding thyroid medication users) was associated with HRs of 1.52 (95% CI, 1.19-1.93) for hip fracture, 1.42 (95% CI, 1.16-1.74) for any fracture, and 1.74 (95% CI, 1.01-2.99) for spine fracture. No association was found between subclinical hypothyroidism and fracture risk. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Subclinical hyperthyroidism was associated with an increased risk of hip and other fractures, particularly among those with TSH levels of less than 0.10 mIU/L and those with endogenous subclinical hyperthyroidism. Further study is needed to determine whether treating subclinical hyperthyroidism can prevent fractures.
Keywords: Adolescent; Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Female; Fractures, Bone; Hip Fractures; Humans; Hyperthyroidism; Hypothyroidism; Male; Middle Aged; Risk Factors; Spinal Fractures; Thyrotropin; Young Adult

Thyroid function in the euthyroid range and adverse outcomes in older adults. - Cappola, Anne R; Arnold, Alice M; Wulczyn, Kendra; Carlson, Michelle; Robbins, John; Psaty, Bruce M (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2015)
CONTEXT: The appropriateness of current reference ranges for thyroid function testing in older adults has been questioned. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the relationship between thyroid function tests within the euthyroid range and adverse outcomes in older adults not taking thyroid medication. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: US community-dwelling adults years of older (n = 2843) enrolled onto the Cardiovascular Health Study with TSH, free T4 (FT4), and total T3 concentrations in the euthyroid range. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incidence of atrial fibrillation, coronary heart disease, heart failure, hip fracture, dementia, and all-cause death were measured. RESULTS: No departures from linearity were detected. Higher TSH was negatively associated (P = .03) and higher FT4 was positively associated (P = .007) with mortality. Higher FT4 was associated with atrial fibrillation (P < .001) and heart failure (P = .004). Compared with the first quartile, individuals with TSH in the fourth quartile had a 9.6 per 1000 person-year lower incidence of dementia (P < .05) and those with FT4 in the fourth quartile had higher incidences of atrial fibrillation, coronary heart disease, heart failure, and mortality (11.0, 8.0, 7.8, and 14.3 per 1000 person-years, respectively, all P < .05). Total T3 was not associated with any outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Higher TSH and lower FT4 concentrations within the euthyroid range are associated with lower risk of multiple adverse events in older people, including mortality. This suggests tolerance for lower thyroid hormone levels in this age group. Clinical trials are needed to evaluate the risk-benefit profile of new thresholds for initiating treatment and optimal target concentrations for thyroid hormone replacement in older people.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Atrial Fibrillation; Cause of Death; Coronary Disease; Dementia; Female; Heart Failure; Hip Fractures; Humans; Incidence; Male; Prognosis; Reference Values; Survival Analysis; Thyroid Function Tests; Thyroid Gland

Urinary uromodulin, kidney function, and cardiovascular disease in elderly adults. - Garimella, Pranav S; Biggs, Mary L; Katz, Ronit; Ix, Joachim H; Bennett, Michael R; Devarajan, Prasad; Kestenbaum, Bryan R; Siscovick, David S; Jensen, Majken K; Shlipak, Michael G; Chaves, Paulo H M; Sarnak, Mark J (Kidney Int, 2015)
Urinary uromodulin (uUMOD) is the most common secreted tubular protein in healthy adults. However, the relationship between uUMOD and clinical outcomes is still unclear. Here we measured uUMOD in 192 participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study with over a 30% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over 9 years, 54 with incident end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and in a random subcohort of 958 participants. The association of uUMOD with eGFR decline was evaluated using logistic regression and with incident ESRD, cardiovascular disease, heart failure, and mortality using Cox proportional regression. Mean age was 78 years and median uUMOD was 25.8 μg/ml. In a case-control study evaluating eGFR decline (192 cases and 231 controls), each 1-s.d. higher uUMOD was associated with a 23% lower odds of eGFR decline (odds ratio 0.77 (95% CI 0.62-0.96)) and a 10% lower risk of mortality (hazard ratio 0.90 (95% CI 0.83-0.98)) after adjusting for demographics, eGFR, albumin/creatinine ratio, and other risk factors. There was no risk association of uUMOD with ESRD, cardiovascular disease, or heart failure after multivariable adjustment. Thus, low uUMOD levels may identify persons at risk of progressive kidney disease and mortality above and beyond established markers of kidney disease, namely eGFR and the albumin/creatinine ratio. Future studies need to confirm these results and evaluate whether uUMOD is a marker of tubular health and/or whether it plays a causal role in preserving kidney function.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Albuminuria; Biomarkers; Cardiovascular Diseases; Case-Control Studies; Creatinine; Disease Progression; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Heart Failure; Humans; Incidence; Kidney Failure, Chronic; Male; Proportional Hazards Models; Uromodulin

Urine Collagen Fragments and CKD Progression-The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Ix, Joachim H; Biggs, Mary L; Mukamal, Kenneth; Djoussé, Luc; Siscovick, David; Tracy, Russell; Katz, Ronit; Delaney, Joseph A; Chaves, Paulo; Rifkin, Dena E; Hughes-Austin, Jan M; Garimella, Pranav S; et al. (J Am Soc Nephrol, 2015)
Tubulointerstitial fibrosis is common with ageing and strongly prognostic for ESRD but is poorly captured by eGFR or urine albumin to creatinine ratio (ACR). Higher urine levels of procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP) mark the severity of tubulointerstitial fibrosis in biopsy studies, but the association of urine PIIINP with CKD progression is unknown. Among community-living persons aged ≥65 years, we measured PIIINP in spot urine specimens from the 1996 to 1997 Cardiovascular Health Study visit among individuals with CKD progression (30% decline in eGFR over 9 years, n=192) or incident ESRD (n=54) during follow-up, and in 958 randomly selected participants. We evaluated associations of urine PIIINP with CKD progression and incident ESRD. Associations of urine PIIINP with cardiovascular disease, heart failure, and death were evaluated as secondary end points. At baseline, mean age (±SD) was 78±5 years, mean eGFR was 63±18 ml/min per 1.73 m(2), and median urine PIIINP was 2.6 (interquartile range, 1.4-4.2) μg/L. In a case-control study (192 participants, 231 controls), each doubling of urine PIIINP associated with 22% higher odds of CKD progression (adjusted odds ratio, 1.22; 95% confidence interval, 1.00 to 1.49). Higher urine PIIINP level was also associated with incident ESRD, but results were not significant in fully adjusted models. In a prospective study among the 958 randomly selected participants, higher urine PIIINP was significantly associated with death, but not with incident cardiovascular disease or heart failure. These data suggest higher urine PIIINP levels associate with CKD progression independently of eGFR and ACR in older individuals.
Keywords: Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Case-Control Studies; Disease Progression; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Kidney Failure, Chronic; Male; Peptide Fragments; Procollagen; Prospective Studies; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic

Variation in resting heart rate over 4 years and the risks of myocardial infarction and death among older adults. - Floyd, James S; Sitlani, Colleen M; Wiggins, Kerri L; Wallace, Erin; Suchy-Dicey, Astrid; Abbasi, Siddique A; Carnethon, Mercedes R; Siscovick, David S; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Heckbert, Susan R; McKnight, Barbara; Rice, Kenneth M; et al. (Heart, 2015)
OBJECTIVE: Resting heart rate (RHR) is an established predictor of myocardial infarction (MI) and mortality, but the relationship between variation in RHR over a period of several years and health outcomes is unclear. We evaluated the relationship between long-term variation in RHR and the risks of incident MI and mortality among older adults. METHODS: 1991 subjects without cardiovascular disease from the Cardiovascular Health Study were included. RHR was taken from resting ECGs at the first five annual study visits. RHR mean, trend and variation were estimated with linear regression. Subjects were followed for incident MI and death until December 2010. HRs for RHR mean, trend and variation are reported for differences of 10 bpm, 2 bpm/year and 2 bpm, respectively. RESULTS: 262 subjects had an incident MI event (13%) and 1326 died (67%) during 12 years of median follow-up. In primary analyses adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors, RHR mean (HR 1.12; 95% CI 1.05 to 1.20) and variation (HR 1.08; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.13) were associated with the risk of death while trend was not. None of the RHR variables were significantly associated with the risk of incident MI events; however, CIs were wide and the MI associations with RHR variables were not significantly different from the mortality associations. Adjusting for additional variables did not affect estimates, and there were no significant interactions with sex. CONCLUSIONS: Variation in RHR over a period of several years represents a potential predictor of long-term mortality among older persons free of cardiovascular disease.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cause of Death; Electrocardiography; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Heart Rate; Humans; Incidence; Linear Models; Male; Myocardial Infarction; Outcome Assessment (Health Care); Prognosis; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Rest; Risk Factors; Time; Washington

Ventricular Ectopy as a Predictor of Heart Failure and Death. - Dukes, Jonathan W; Dewland, Thomas A; Vittinghoff, Eric; Mandyam, Mala C; Heckbert, Susan R; Siscovick, David S; Stein, Phyllis K; Psaty, Bruce M; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Gottdiener, John S; Marcus, Gregory M (J Am Coll Cardiol, 2015)
BACKGROUND: Studies of patients presenting for catheter ablation suggest that premature ventricular contractions (PVCs) are a modifiable risk factor for congestive heart failure (CHF). The relationship among PVC frequency, incident CHF, and mortality in the general population remains unknown. OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to determine whether PVC frequency ascertained using a 24-h Holter monitor is a predictor of a decrease in the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), incident CHF, and death in a population-based cohort. METHODS: We studied 1,139 Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) participants who were randomly assigned to 24-h ambulatory electrocardiography (Holter) monitoring and who had a normal LVEF and no history of CHF. PVC frequency was quantified using Holter studies, and LVEF was measured from baseline and 5-year echocardiograms. Participants were followed for incident CHF and death. RESULTS: Those in the upper quartile versus the lowest quartile of PVC frequency had a multivariable-adjusted, 3-fold greater odds of a 5-year decrease in LVEF (odds ratio [OR]: 3.10; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.42 to 6.77; p = 0.005), a 48% increased risk of incident CHF (HR: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.08 to 2.04; p = 0.02), and a 31% increased risk of death (HR: 1.31; 95% CI: 1.06 to 1.63; p = 0.01) during a median follow-up of >13 years. Similar statistically significant results were observed for PVCs analyzed as a continuous variable. The specificity for the 15-year risk of CHF exceeded 90% when PVCs included at least 0.7% of ventricular beats. The population-level risk for incident CHF attributed to PVCs was 8.1% (95% CI: 1.2% to 14.9%). CONCLUSIONS: In a population-based sample, a higher frequency of PVCs was associated with a decrease in LVEF, an increase in incident CHF, and increased mortality. Because of the capacity to prevent PVCs through medical or ablation therapy, PVCs may represent a modifiable risk factor for CHF and death.
Keywords: Aged; Catheter Ablation; Echocardiography; Electrocardiography, Ambulatory; Female; Forecasting; Heart Failure; Humans; Male; Risk Factors; Stroke Volume; Ventricular Premature Complexes

Voxel Level Survival Analysis of Grey Matter Volume and Incident Mild Cognitive Impairment or Alzheimer's Disease. - Zeifman, Lubov E; Eddy, William F; Lopez, Oscar L; Kuller, Lewis H; Raji, Cyrus; Thompson, Paul M; Becker, James T (J Alzheimers Dis, 2015)
The purpose of this study was to identify, at the voxel level, brain regions associated with the time to develop mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or Alzheimer's disease (AD) from normal cognition. We analyzed incident MCI (n = 58) or AD (n = 151) in 292 cognitively normal participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study-Cognition Study (mean age = 79.2 ± 3.6 years). We used segmented, modulated grey matter maps from 3D (spoiled gradient echo) MRI scans obtained in 1998/99 (with clinical follow-up through 2012) that were smoothed with a 3-D 4 mm Gaussian filter. We fit approximately 1.92 million voxel-level Cox proportional hazard models to examine the grey matter volume effect on time to event, adjusting for age, sex, and diabetes. We used the significance threshold of p <  0.005 with contiguity threshold of at least 68 voxels (false detection probability <2.5×10 -8). Areas within the mesial temporal lobe (MTL), anterior temporal lobe, hippocampus, and posterior cingulate gyrus were associated with time to MCI or AD. The presence of white matter lesions (a marker of small vessel disease in the brain) was associated with the volumes of the MTL and precuneus; MRI-identified infarcts also predicted MTL volume. These findings are important because we identified critical brain regions that predict a person's increased likelihood of developing MCI or AD over a decade prior to the onset of clinical symptoms; these critical brain regions were themselves affected by the presence of vascular disease.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Chi-Square Distribution; Disease Progression; Female; Gray Matter; Humans; Incidence; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Mild Cognitive Impairment; Neuropsychological Tests; Psychiatric Status Rating Scales; Survival Analysis

White Matter Lesion Progression: Genome-Wide Search for Genetic Influences. - Hofer, Edith; Cavalieri, Margherita; Bis, Joshua C; DeCarli, Charles; Fornage, Myriam; Sigurdsson, Sigurdur; Srikanth, Velandai; Trompet, Stella; Verhaaren, Benjamin F J; Wolf, Christiane; Yang, Qiong; Adams, Hieab H H; et al. (Stroke, 2015)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: White matter lesion (WML) progression on magnetic resonance imaging is related to cognitive decline and stroke, but its determinants besides baseline WML burden are largely unknown. Here, we estimated heritability of WML progression, and sought common genetic variants associated with WML progression in elderly participants from the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) consortium. METHODS: Heritability of WML progression was calculated in the Framingham Heart Study. The genome-wide association study included 7773 elderly participants from 10 cohorts. To assess the relative contribution of genetic factors to progression of WML, we compared in 7 cohorts risk models including demographics, vascular risk factors plus single-nucleotide polymorphisms that have been shown to be associated cross-sectionally with WML in the current and previous association studies. RESULTS: A total of 1085 subjects showed WML progression. The heritability estimate for WML progression was low at 6.5%, and no single-nucleotide polymorphisms achieved genome-wide significance (P<5×10(-8)). Four loci were suggestive (P<1×10(-5)) of an association with WML progression: 10q24.32 (rs10883817, P=1.46×10(-6)); 12q13.13 (rs4761974, P=8.71×10(-7)); 20p12.1 (rs6135309, P=3.69×10(-6)); and 4p15.31 (rs7664442, P=2.26×10(-6)). Variants that have been previously related to WML explained only 0.8% to 11.7% more of the variance in WML progression than age, vascular risk factors, and baseline WML burden. CONCLUSIONS: Common genetic factors contribute little to the progression of age-related WML in middle-aged and older adults. Future research on determinants of WML progression should focus more on environmental, lifestyle, or host-related biological factors.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Cohort Studies; Disease Progression; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Leukoencephalopathies; Male; Middle Aged; Prospective Studies; White Matter

Years of able life in older persons--the role of cardiovascular imaging and biomarkers: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Alshawabkeh, Laith I; Yee, Laura M; Gardin, Julius M; Gottdiener, John S; Odden, Michelle C; Bartz, Traci M; Arnold, Alice M; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Wallace, Robert B (J Am Heart Assoc, 2015)
BACKGROUND: As the U.S. population grows older, there is greater need to examine physical independence. Previous studies have assessed risk factors in relation to either disability or mortality, but an outcome that combines both is still needed. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Cardiovascular Health Study is a population-based, prospective study where participants underwent baseline echocardiogram, measurement of carotid intima-media thickness (IMT), and various biomarkers, then followed for up to 18 years. Years of able life (YAL) constituted the number of years the participant was able to perform all activities of daily living. Linear regression was used to model the relationship between selected measures and outcomes, adjusted for confounding variables. Among 4902 participants, mean age was 72.6 ± 5.4 years, median YAL for males was 8.8 (interquartile range [IQR], 4.3 to 13.8) and 10.3 (IQR, 5.8 to 15.8) for females. Reductions in YAL in the fully adjusted model for females and males, respectively, were: -1.34 (95% confidence interval [CI], -2.18, -0.49) and -1.41 (95% CI, -2.03, -0.8) for abnormal left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction, -0.5 (95% CI, -0.78, -0.22) and -0.62 (95% CI, -0.87, -0.36) per SD increase in LV mass, -0.5 (95% CI, -0.7, -0.29) and -0.79 (95% CI, -0.99, -0.58) for IMT, -0.5 (95% CI, -0.64, -0.37) and -0.79 (95% CI, -0.94, -0.65) for N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, -1.08 (95% CI, -1.34, -0.83) and -0.73 (95% CI, -0.97, -0.5) for high-sensitivity troponin-T, and -0.26 (95% CI, -0.42, -0.09) and -0.23 (95% CI, -0.41, -0.05) for procollagen-III N-terminal propeptide. Most tested variables remained significant even after adjusting for incident cardiovascular (CV) disease. CONCLUSIONS: In this population-based cohort, variables obtained by CV imaging and biomarkers of inflammation, coagulation, atherosclerosis, myocardial injury and stress, and cardiac collagen turnover were associated with YAL, an important outcome that integrates physical ability and longevity in older persons.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Biomarkers; Cardiovascular Diseases; Carotid Intima-Media Thickness; Echocardiography; Female; Humans; Independent Living; Male; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain; Peptide Fragments; Procollagen; Prospective Studies; Stroke Volume; Troponin I

APOL1 Genotype, Kidney and Cardiovascular Disease, and Death in Older Adults. - Mukamal, Kenneth J; Tremaglio, Joseph; Friedman, David J; Ix, Joachim H; Kuller, Lewis H; Tracy, Russell P; Pollak, Martin R (Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, 2016)
OBJECTIVE: We sought to evaluate the cardiovascular impact of coding variants in the apolipoprotein L1 gene APOL1 that protect against trypanosome infection but have been associated with kidney disease among African Americans. APPROACH AND RESULTS: As part of the Cardiovascular Health Study, a population-based cohort of Americans aged ≥65 years, we genotyped APOL1 polymorphisms rs73885319 and rs71785153 and examined kidney function, subclinical atherosclerosis, and incident cardiovascular disease and death over 13 years of follow-up among 91 African Americans with 2 risk alleles, 707 other African Americans, and 4964 white participants. The high-risk genotype with 2 risk alleles was associated with 2-fold higher levels of albuminuria and lower ankle-brachial indices but similar carotid intima-media thickness among African Americans. Median survival among high-risk African Americans was 9.9 years (95% confidence interval [CI], 8.7-11.9), compared with 13.6 years (95% CI, 12.5-14.3) among other African Americans and 13.3 years (95% CI, 13.0-13.6) among whites (P=0.03). The high-risk genotype was also associated with increased risk for incident myocardial infarction (adjusted hazard ratio 1.8; 95% CI, 1.1-3.0) and mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 1.3; 95% CI 1.0-1.7). Albuminuria and risk for myocardial infarction and mortality were nearly identical between African Americans with 0 to 1 risk alleles and whites. CONCLUSIONS: APOL1 genotype is associated with albuminuria, subclinical atherosclerosis, incident myocardial infarction, and mortality in older African Americans. African Americans without 2 risk alleles do not differ significantly in risk of myocardial infarction or mortality from whites. APOL1 trypanolytic variants may account for a substantial proportion of the excess risk of chronic disease in African Americans.
Keywords: African Americans; Age Factors; Aged; Albuminuria; Apolipoproteins; Atherosclerosis; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cause of Death; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Gene Frequency; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Health Status Disparities; Heterozygote; Homozygote; Humans; Incidence; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Kidney Diseases; Lipoproteins, HDL; Male; Myocardial Infarction; Phenotype; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Time Factors; United States

Association of Smoking, Alcohol, and Obesity with Cardiovascular Death and Ischemic Stroke in Atrial Fibrillation: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study and Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). - Kwon, Younghoon; Norby, Faye L; Jensen, Paul N; Agarwal, Sunil K; Soliman, Elsayed Z; Lip, Gregory Y H; Longstreth, W T; Alonso, Alvaro; Heckbert, Susan R; Chen, Lin Y (PLoS One, 2016)
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke and cardiovascular (CV) death. Whether modifiable lifestyle risk factors are associated with these CV outcomes in AF is unknown. Among Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) participants with incident AF, we estimated the risk of composite endpoint of ischemic stroke or CV death associated with candidate modifiable risk factor (smoking, heavy alcohol consumption, or high body mass index [BMI]), and computed the C-statistic, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) of incorporating each factor into the CHA2DS2-VASc. Among 1222 ARIC (mean age: 63.4) and 756 CHS (mean age: 79.1) participants with incident AF, during mean follow-up of 6.9 years and 5.7 years, there were 332 and 335 composite events respectively. Compared with never smokers, current smokers had a higher incidence of the composite endpoint in ARIC [HR: 1.65 (1.21-2.26)] but not in CHS [HR: 1.05 (0.69-1.61)]. In ARIC, the addition of current smoking did not improve risk prediction over and above the CHA2DS2-VASc. No significant associations were observed with alcohol consumption or BMI with CVD outcomes in AF patients from either cohort. Smoking is associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke or CV death in ARIC, which comprised mostly middle-aged to young-old (65-74 years), but not in CHS, which comprised mostly middle-old or oldest-old (≥75 years) adults with AF. However, addition of smoking to the CHA2DS2-VASc score did not improve risk prediction of these outcomes.
Keywords: Aged; Alcohol Drinking; Atrial Fibrillation; Cardiovascular Diseases; Female; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Obesity; Smoking; Stroke

Associations of insulin resistance, inflammation and liver synthetic function with very low-density lipoprotein: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Jiang, Z Gordon; de Boer, Ian H; Mackey, Rachel H; Jensen, Majken K; Lai, Michelle; Robson, Simon C; Tracy, Russell; Kuller, Lewis H; Mukamal, Kenneth J (Metabolism, 2016)
INTRODUCTION: Production of very low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) is increased in states of metabolic syndrome, leading to hypertriglyceridemia. However, metabolic syndrome is often associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, which leads to liver fibrosis and inflammation that may decrease VLDL production. In this study, we aim to determine the interactive impact on VLDL profiles from insulin resistance, impairment in liver synthetic function and inflammation. METHODS: We examined cross-sectional associations of insulin sensitivity, inflammation, and liver synthetic function with VLDL particle (VLDL-P) concentration and size among 1,850 older adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study. RESULTS: Indices for high insulin sensitivity and low liver synthetic function were associated with lower concentrations of VLDL-P. In addition, insulin resistance preferentially increased concentration of large VLDL and was associated with mean VLDL size. Indices for inflammation however demonstrated a nonlinear relationship with both VLDL-P concentration and VLDL size. When mutually adjusted, one standard deviation (SD) increment in Matsuda index and C-reactive protein (CRP) were associated with 4.9 nmol/L (-8.2 to -1.5, p=0.005) and 6.3 nmol/L (-11.0 to -1.6, p=0.009) lower VLDL-P concentration respectively. In contrast, one-SD increment in factor VII, a marker for liver synthetic function, was associated with 16.9 nmol/L (12.6-21.2, p<0.001) higher VLDL-P concentration. Furthermore, a one-SD increment in the Matsuda index was associated with 1.1 nm (-2.0 to -0.3, p=0.006) smaller mean VLDL size, whereas CRP and factor VII were not associated with VLDL size. CONCLUSION: Insulin sensitivity, inflammation and markers for liver synthetic function differentially impact VLDL-P concentration and VLDL size. These results underscore the complex effects of insulin resistance and its complications on VLDL production.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; C-Reactive Protein; Cross-Sectional Studies; Factor VII; Female; Humans; Inflammation; Insulin Resistance; Lipoproteins, VLDL; Liver; Liver Function Tests; Male; Risk Factors; Socioeconomic Factors

Associations of Plasma Phospholipid SFAs with Total and Cause-Specific Mortality in Older Adults Differ According to SFA Chain Length. - Fretts, Amanda M; Mozaffarian, Dariush; Siscovick, David S; King, Irena B; McKnight, Barbara; Psaty, Bruce M; Rimm, Eric B; Sitlani, Colleen; Sacks, Frank M; Song, Xiaoling; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Spiegelman, Donna; et al. (J Nutr, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Not much is known about the relations of circulating saturated fatty acids (SFAs), which are influenced by both metabolic and dietary determinants, with total and cause-specific mortality. OBJECTIVE: We examined the associations of plasma phospholipid SFAs with total and cause-specific mortality among 3941 older adults from the Cardiovascular Health Study, a population-based prospective study of adults aged ≥65 y who were followed from 1992 through 2011. METHODS: The relations of total and cause-specific mortality with plasma phospholipid palmitic acid (16:0), stearic acid (18:0), arachidic acid (20:0), behenic acid (22:0), and lignoceric acid (24:0) were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: During 45,450 person-years of follow-up, 3134 deaths occurred. Higher concentrations of the plasma phospholipid SFAs 18:0, 22:0, and 24:0 were associated with a lower risk of total mortality [multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CIs)] for the top compared with the bottom quintile: 0.85 (0.75, 0.95) for 18:0; 0.85 (0.75, 0.95) for 22:0; and 0.80 (0.71, 0.90) for 24:0. In contrast, plasma 16:0 concentrations in the highest quintile were associated with a higher risk of total mortality compared with concentrations in the lowest quintile [1.25 (1.11, 1.41)]. We also found no association of plasma phospholipid 20:0 with total mortality. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that the associations of plasma phospholipid SFAs with the risk of death differ according to SFA chain length and support future studies to better characterize the determinants of circulating SFAs and to explore the mechanisms underlying these relations.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cause of Death; Diet; Dietary Fats; Eicosanoic Acids; Fatty Acids; Female; Humans; Male; Mortality; Palmitic Acid; Phospholipids; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Stearic Acids

Fibroblast Growth Factor-23 and Frailty in Elderly Community-Dwelling Individuals: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Beben, Tomasz; Ix, Joachim H; Shlipak, Michael G; Sarnak, Mark J; Fried, Linda F; Hoofnagle, Andrew N; Chonchol, Michel; Kestenbaum, Bryan R; de Boer, Ian H; Rifkin, Dena E (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2016)
OBJECTIVES: To evaluate whether fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF-23) is related to frailty and to characterize the nature of their joint association with mortality. DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis for frailty and longitudinal cohort analysis for mortality. SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study. PARTICIPANTS: Community-dwelling individuals (N = 2,977; mean age 77.9 ± 4.7, 40% male, 83% white). MEASUREMENTS: The predictor was serum FGF-23 concentration (C-terminal enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay), and the outcomes were frailty status (determined according to frailty phenotype criteria of weight loss, weakness, exhaustion, slowness, and low physical activity) and mortality. Multinomial logistic regression was used to assess the cross-sectional association between FGF-23 and frailty and prefrailty, adjusting for demographic characteristics, cardiovascular disease and risk factors, and kidney markers. Proportional hazards Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess the association between FGF-23, frailty, and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Mean estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 64 ± 17 mL/min per 1.73 m(2) . Median FGF-23 was 70.3 RU/mL (interquartile range 53.4-99.2); 52% were prefrail, and 13% were frail. After multivariate adjustment, each doubling in FGF-23 concentration was associated with 38% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 17-62%) higher odds of frailty than of nonfrailty and 16% (95% CI = 3-30%) higher odds of prefrailty. FGF-23 (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.16, 95% CI = 1.10-1.23) and frailty (HR = 1.82, 95% CI = 1.57-2.12) were independently associated with mortality, but neither association was meaningfully attenuated when adjusted for the other. CONCLUSION: In a large cohort of older adults, higher FGF-23 was independently associated with prevalent frailty and prefrailty. FGF-23 and frailty were independent and additive risk factors for mortality. FGF-23 may be a marker for functional outcomes.
Keywords: Aged; Anthropometry; Biomarkers; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cross-Sectional Studies; Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay; Female; Fibroblast Growth Factors; Frail Elderly; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Independent Living; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Phenotype; Risk Factors; Surveys and Questionnaires

Gait Speed Predicts Incident Disability: A Pooled Analysis. - Perera, Subashan; Patel, Kushang V; Rosano, Caterina; Rubin, Susan M; Satterfield, Suzanne; Harris, Tamara; Ensrud, Kristine; Orwoll, Eric; Lee, Christine G; Chandler, Julie M; Newman, Anne B; Cauley, Jane A; et al. (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Functional independence with aging is an important goal for individuals and society. Simple prognostic indicators can inform health promotion and care planning, but evidence is limited by heterogeneity in measures of function. METHODS: We performed a pooled analysis of data from seven studies of 27,220 community-dwelling older adults aged 65 or older with baseline gait speed, followed for disability and mortality. Outcomes were incident inability or dependence on another person in bathing or dressing; and difficulty walking ¼ - ½ mile or climbing 10 steps within 3 years. RESULTS: Participants with faster baseline gait had lower rates of incident disability. In subgroups (defined by 0.2 m/s-wide intervals from <0.4 to ≥ 1.4 m/s) with increasingly greater gait speed, 3-year rates of bathing or dressing dependence trended from 10% to 1% in men, and from 15% to 1% in women, while mobility difficulty trended from 47% to 4% in men and 40% to 6% in women. The age-adjusted relative risk ratio per 0.1 m/s greater speed for bathing or dressing dependence in men was 0.68 (0.57-0.81) and in women: 0.74 (0.66-0.82); for mobility difficulty, men: 0.75 (0.68-0.82), women: 0.73 (0.67-0.80). Results were similar for combined disability and mortality. Effects were largely consistent across subgroups based on age, gender, race, body mass index, prior hospitalization, and selected chronic conditions. In the presence of multiple other risk factors for disability, gait speed significantly increased the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve. CONCLUSION: In older adults, gait speed predicts 3 year incidence of bathing or dressing dependence, mobility difficulty, and a composite outcome of disability and mortality.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Cohort Studies; Disability Evaluation; Disabled Persons; Female; Gait; Geriatric Assessment; Humans; Independent Living; Male; Mobility Limitation; Predictive Value of Tests; Prognosis; Psychomotor Performance; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; ROC Curve; Survival Analysis; United States

Galectin-3 and Soluble ST2 and Kidney Function Decline in Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). - Bansal, Nisha; Katz, Ronit; Seliger, Stephen; DeFilippi, Christopher; Sarnak, Mark J; Delaney, Joseph A; Christenson, Robert; de Boer, Ian H; Kestenbaum, Bryan; Robinson-Cohen, Cassianne; Ix, Joachim H; Shlipak, Michael G (Am J Kidney Dis, 2016)
Keywords: Aged; Cohort Studies; Creatinine; Cystatin C; Female; Galectin 3; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Interleukin-1 Receptor-Like 1 Protein; Logistic Models; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Prognosis; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic

Genome-Wide Association Analysis of Young-Onset Stroke Identifies a Locus on Chromosome 10q25 Near HABP2. - Cheng, Yu-Ching; Stanne, Tara M; Giese, Anne-Katrin; Ho, Weang Kee; Traylor, Matthew; Amouyel, Philippe; Holliday, Elizabeth G; Malik, Rainer; Xu, Huichun; Kittner, Steven J; Cole, John W; O'Connell, Jeffrey R; et al. (Stroke, 2016)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Although a genetic contribution to ischemic stroke is well recognized, only a handful of stroke loci have been identified by large-scale genetic association studies to date. Hypothesizing that genetic effects might be stronger for early- versus late-onset stroke, we conducted a 2-stage meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies, focusing on stroke cases with an age of onset <60 years. METHODS: The discovery stage of our genome-wide association studies included 4505 cases and 21 968 controls of European, South-Asian, and African ancestry, drawn from 6 studies. In Stage 2, we selected the lead genetic variants at loci with association P<5×10(-6) and performed in silico association analyses in an independent sample of ≤1003 cases and 7745 controls. RESULTS: One stroke susceptibility locus at 10q25 reached genome-wide significance in the combined analysis of all samples from the discovery and follow-up stages (rs11196288; odds ratio =1.41; P=9.5×10(-9)). The associated locus is in an intergenic region between TCF7L2 and HABP2. In a further analysis in an independent sample, we found that 2 single nucleotide polymorphisms in high linkage disequilibrium with rs11196288 were significantly associated with total plasma factor VII-activating protease levels, a product of HABP2. CONCLUSIONS: HABP2, which encodes an extracellular serine protease involved in coagulation, fibrinolysis, and inflammatory pathways, may be a genetic susceptibility locus for early-onset stroke.
Keywords: Adult; African Continental Ancestry Group; Age of Onset; Aged; Asian Continental Ancestry Group; Brain Ischemia; Chromosomes, Human, Pair 10; Computer Simulation; DNA, Intergenic; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Odds Ratio; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Serine Endopeptidases; Stroke

Genome-Wide Association Study for Incident Myocardial Infarction and Coronary Heart Disease in Prospective Cohort Studies: The CHARGE Consortium. - Dehghan, Abbas; Bis, Joshua C; White, Charles C; Smith, Albert Vernon; Morrison, Alanna C; Cupples, L Adrienne; Trompet, Stella; Chasman, Daniel I; Lumley, Thomas; Völker, Uwe; Buckley, Brendan M; Ding, Jingzhong; et al. (PLoS One, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Data are limited on genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for incident coronary heart disease (CHD). Moreover, it is not known whether genetic variants identified to date also associate with risk of CHD in a prospective setting. METHODS: We performed a two-stage GWAS analysis of incident myocardial infarction (MI) and CHD in a total of 64,297 individuals (including 3898 MI cases, 5465 CHD cases). SNPs that passed an arbitrary threshold of 5×10-6 in Stage I were taken to Stage II for further discovery. Furthermore, in an analysis of prognosis, we studied whether known SNPs from former GWAS were associated with total mortality in individuals who experienced MI during follow-up. RESULTS: In Stage I 15 loci passed the threshold of 5×10-6; 8 loci for MI and 8 loci for CHD, for which one locus overlapped and none were reported in previous GWAS meta-analyses. We took 60 SNPs representing these 15 loci to Stage II of discovery. Four SNPs near QKI showed nominally significant association with MI (p-value<8.8×10-3) and three exceeded the genome-wide significance threshold when Stage I and Stage II results were combined (top SNP rs6941513: p = 6.2×10-9). Despite excellent power, the 9p21 locus SNP (rs1333049) was only modestly associated with MI (HR = 1.09, p-value = 0.02) and marginally with CHD (HR = 1.06, p-value = 0.08). Among an inception cohort of those who experienced MI during follow-up, the risk allele of rs1333049 was associated with a decreased risk of subsequent mortality (HR = 0.90, p-value = 3.2×10-3). CONCLUSIONS: QKI represents a novel locus that may serve as a predictor of incident CHD in prospective studies. The association of the 9p21 locus both with increased risk of first myocardial infarction and longer survival after MI highlights the importance of study design in investigating genetic determinants of complex disorders.
Keywords: Aged; Cohort Studies; Cooperative Behavior; Coronary Artery Disease; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Myocardial Infarction; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Prospective Studies

Incident Atrial Fibrillation and Disability-Free Survival in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Wallace, Erin R; Siscovick, David S; Sitlani, Colleen M; Dublin, Sascha; Mitchell, Pamela H; Odden, Michelle C; Hirsch, Calvin H; Thielke, Stephen; Heckbert, Susan R (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2016)
OBJECTIVES: To assess the associations between incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and disability-free survival and risk of disability. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals aged 65 and older and enrolled in fee-for-service Medicare followed between 1991 and 2009 (MN = 4,046). Individuals with prevalent AF, activity of daily living (ADL) disability, or a history of stroke or heart failure at baseline were excluded. MEASUREMENTS: Incident AF was identified according to annual study electrocardiogram, hospital discharge diagnosis, or Medicare claims. Disability-free survival was defined as survival free of ADL disability (any difficulty or inability in bathing, dressing, eating, using the toilet, walking around the home, or getting out of a bed or chair). ADLs were assessed at annual study visits or in a telephone interview. Association between incident AF and disability-free survival or risk of disability was estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Over an average of 7.0 years of follow-up, 660 individuals (16.3%) developed incident AF, and 3,112 (77%) became disabled or died. Incident AF was associated with shorter disability-free survival (hazard ratio (HR) for death or ADL disability = 1.71, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.55-1.90) and a higher risk of ADL disability (HR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.18-1.58) than in individuals with no history of AF. This association persisted after adjustment for interim stroke and heart failure. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that AF is a risk factor for shorter functional longevity in older adults, independent of other risk factors and comorbid conditions.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Atrial Fibrillation; Disability Evaluation; Electrocardiography; Female; Geriatric Assessment; Humans; Incidence; Longevity; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Medicare; Prevalence; Prospective Studies; Survival Rate; United States

Lipoprotein-Associated Phospholipase A2 and Incident Peripheral Arterial Disease in Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Garg, Parveen K; Arnold, Alice M; Hinckley Stukovsky, Karen D; Koro, Carol; Jenny, Nancy S; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Criqui, Michael H; Furberg, Curt D; Newman, Anne B; Cushman, Mary (Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, 2016)
OBJECTIVE: Although prior studies report a relationship between elevated lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2) and incident cardiovascular disease, the prospective association of Lp-PLA2 with incident peripheral arterial disease (PAD) has not been studied. We investigated the association between Lp-PLA2 mass and activity and the risk of developing clinical PAD and low ankle-brachial index (ABI). APPROACH AND RESULTS: Among Cardiovascular Health Study participants, a population-based cohort of 5888 adults aged ≥65 years enrolled in 1989 to 1990, Lp-PLA2 mass and activity were measured in 4537 individuals without baseline PAD. Clinical PAD, defined as leg artery revascularization or diagnosed claudication, was ascertained through 2011. Incident low ABI, defined as ABI <0.9 and decline of ≥0.15, was assessed among 3537 individuals who had an ABI >0.9 at baseline and a second ABI measurement 3 or 6 years later. Analyses were adjusted for demographics, cholesterol, smoking, comorbidities, and C-reactive protein. Each standard deviation increment in Lp-PLA2 mass (117 ng/mL) was associated with a higher risk of developing clinical PAD (hazard ratio 1.28; 95% confidence interval 1.13, 1.45) and incident low ABI (odds ratio 1.16; 95% confidence interval 1.00, 1.33). Results per standard deviation increment in Lp-PLA2 activity (13 nmol/min per mL) were similar for clinical PAD (hazard ratio 1.24; 95% confidence interval 1.07, 1.44) and low ABI (odds ratio 1.28; 95% confidence interval 1.09, 1.50). CONCLUSIONS: Higher Lp-PLA2 mass and activity were associated with development of both incident clinical PAD and low ABI. Future studies are needed to determine whether pharmacological inhibition of Lp-PLA2 reduces the incidence of PAD.
Keywords: 1-Alkyl-2-acetylglycerophosphocholine Esterase; Age Factors; Aged; Aging; Ankle Brachial Index; Biomarkers; Chi-Square Distribution; Female; Humans; Incidence; Inflammation Mediators; Logistic Models; Male; Odds Ratio; Peripheral Arterial Disease; Prognosis; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Time Factors; United States; Up-Regulation

Natriuretic peptides and integrated risk assessment for cardiovascular disease: an individual-participant-data meta-analysis. - Willeit, Peter; Kaptoge, Stephen; Welsh, Paul; Butterworth, Adam; Chowdhury, Rajiv; Spackman, Sarah; Pennells, Lisa; Gao, Pei; Burgess, Stephen; Freitag, Daniel; Sweeting, Michael; Wood, Angela; et al. (Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Guidelines for primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases focus on prediction of coronary heart disease and stroke. We assessed whether or not measurement of N-terminal-pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) concentration could enable a more integrated approach than at present by predicting heart failure and enhancing coronary heart disease and stroke risk assessment. METHODS: In this individual-participant-data meta-analysis, we generated and harmonised individual-participant data from relevant prospective studies via both de-novo NT-proBNP concentration measurement of stored samples and collection of data from studies identified through a systematic search of the literature (PubMed, Scientific Citation Index Expanded, and Embase) for articles published up to Sept 4, 2014, using search terms related to natriuretic peptide family members and the primary outcomes, with no language restrictions. We calculated risk ratios and measures of risk discrimination and reclassification across predicted 10 year risk categories (ie, <5%, 5% to <7·5%, and ≥7·5%), adding assessment of NT-proBNP concentration to that of conventional risk factors (ie, age, sex, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, history of diabetes, and total and HDL cholesterol concentrations). Primary outcomes were the combination of coronary heart disease and stroke, and the combination of coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure. FINDINGS: We recorded 5500 coronary heart disease, 4002 stroke, and 2212 heart failure outcomes among 95 617 participants without a history of cardiovascular disease in 40 prospective studies. Risk ratios (for a comparison of the top third vs bottom third of NT-proBNP concentrations, adjusted for conventional risk factors) were 1·76 (95% CI 1·56-1·98) for the combination of coronary heart disease and stroke and 2·00 (1·77-2·26) for the combination of coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure. Addition of information about NT-proBNP concentration to a model containing conventional risk factors was associated with a C-index increase of 0·012 (0·010-0·014) and a net reclassification improvement of 0·027 (0·019-0·036) for the combination of coronary heart disease and stroke and a C-index increase of 0·019 (0·016-0·022) and a net reclassification improvement of 0·028 (0·019-0·038) for the combination of coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure. INTERPRETATION: In people without baseline cardiovascular disease, NT-proBNP concentration assessment strongly predicted first-onset heart failure and augmented coronary heart disease and stroke prediction, suggesting that NT-proBNP concentration assessment could be used to integrate heart failure into cardiovascular disease primary prevention. FUNDING: British Heart Foundation, Austrian Science Fund, UK Medical Research Council, National Institute for Health Research, European Research Council, and European Commission Framework Programme 7.
Keywords: Aged; Biomarkers; Cardiovascular Diseases; Female; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain; Peptide Fragments; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment

Physical Activity and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease and Stroke in Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Soares-Miranda, Luisa; Siscovick, David S; Psaty, Bruce M; Longstreth, W T; Mozaffarian, Dariush (Circulation, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Although guidelines suggest that older adults engage in regular physical activity (PA) to reduce cardiovascular disease (CVD), surprisingly few studies have evaluated this relationship, especially in those >75 years. In addition, with advancing age the ability to perform some types of PA might decrease, making light-moderate exercise such as walking especially important to meet recommendations. METHODS AND RESULTS: Prospective cohort analysis among 4207 US men and women of a mean age of 73 years (standard deviation=6) who were free of CVD at baseline in the Cardiovascular Health Study were followed from 1989 to 1999. PA was assessed and cumulatively updated over time to minimize misclassification and assess the long-term effects of habitual activity. Walking (pace, blocks, combined walking score) was updated annually from baseline through 1999. Leisure-time activity and exercise intensity were updated at baseline, 1992, and 1996. Incident CVD (fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction, coronary death, or stroke) was adjudicated using medical records. During 41,995 person-years of follow-up, 1182 CVD events occurred. After multivariable adjustment, greater PA was inversely associated with coronary heart disease, stroke (especially ischemic stroke), and total CVD, even in those ≥75 years. Walking pace, distance, and overall walking score, leisure-time activity, and exercise intensity were each associated with lower risk. For example, in comparison with a walking pace <2 mph, those that habitually walked at a pace >3 mph had a lower risk of coronary heart disease (0.50; confidence interval, 0.38-0.67), stroke (0.47; confidence interval, 033-0.66), and CVD (0.50; confidence interval, 0.40-0.62). CONCLUSIONS: These data provide empirical evidence supporting PA recommendations, in particular, walking, to reduce the incidence of CVD among older adults.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Coronary Disease; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Health Status; Humans; Leisure Activities; Male; Motor Activity; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Sampling Studies; Stroke; United States; Walking

Relations of Postload and Fasting Glucose With Incident Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality Late in Life: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Brutsaert, Erika F; Shitole, Sanyog; Biggs, Mary Lou; Mukamal, Kenneth J; deBoer, Ian H; Thacker, Evan L; Barzilay, Joshua I; Djoussé, Luc; Ix, Joachim H; Smith, Nicholas L; Kaplan, Robert C; Siscovick, David S; et al. (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Older adults have a high prevalence of postload hyperglycemia. Postload glucose has shown more robust associations with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and death than fasting glucose, but data in the oldest old are sparse. METHODS: Fasting and 2-hour postload glucose were measured in community-dwelling older adults, mean age 78, at the 1996-1997 follow-up visit of the Cardiovascular Health Study. We evaluated their associations with atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD) and mortality using standard Cox regression and competing-risks analyses and assessed improvement in prediction-model discrimination with the c-statistic. RESULTS: Among 2,394 participants without treated diabetes and available data on glycemic measures, there were 579 ASCVD events and 1,698 deaths during median follow-up of 11.2 years. In fully adjusted models, both fasting and 2-hour glucose were associated with ASCVD (HR per SD, 1.13 [1.03-1.25] and 1.17 [1.07-1.28], respectively) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.12 [1.07-1.18] and 1.14 [1.08-1.20]). After mutual adjustment, however, the associations for fasting glucose with both outcomes were abolished, but those for postload glucose were largely unchanged. Consistent findings were observed for ASCVD in competing-risks models. CONCLUSION: In adults surviving to advanced old age, postload glucose was associated with ASCVD and mortality independently of fasting glucose, but fasting glucose was not associated with these outcomes independently of postload glucose. These findings affirm the robust association of postload glucose with ASCVD and death late in life.
Keywords: Aged; Aging; Blood Glucose; Cardiovascular Diseases; Fasting; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Glucose; Glucose Tolerance Test; Health Surveys; Humans; Incidence; Male; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Survival Rate; United States

Risk of dementia and death in the long-term follow-up of the Pittsburgh Cardiovascular Health Study-Cognition Study. - Kuller, Lewis H; Lopez, Oscar L; Becker, James T; Chang, Yuefang; Newman, Anne B (Alzheimers Dement, 2016)
INTRODUCTION: Increasing life expectancy has resulted in a larger population of older individuals at risk of dementia. METHODS: The Cardiovascular Health Study-Cognition Study followed 532 participants from 1998-99 (mean age 79) to 2013 (mean age 93) for death and dementia. RESULTS: Risk of death was determined by extent of coronary artery calcium, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin, brain natriuretic peptide, and white matter grade. Significant predictors of dementia were age, apolipoprotein-E4, vocabulary raw score, hippocampal volume, ventricular size, cognitive performance, and number of blocks walked. By 2013, 160 of 532 were alive, including 19 cognitively normal. Those with normal cognition had higher grade education, better cognition test scores, greater hippocampal volume, faster gait speed, and number of blocks walked as compared with survivors who were demented. DISCUSSION: Few survived free of dementia and disability. Prevention and delay of cognitive decline for this older population is an imperative.
Keywords: African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Apolipoprotein E4; Brain; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cognition; Dementia; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Neuropsychological Tests; Pennsylvania; Risk Factors; Walking

Spousal Associations Between Frailty and Depressive Symptoms: Longitudinal Findings from the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Monin, Joan; Doyle, Margaret; Levy, Becca; Schulz, Richard; Fried, Terri; Kershaw, Trace (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2016)
OBJECTIVES: To determine whether older adult spouses' frailty states and depressive symptoms are interrelated over time. DESIGN: Longitudinal, dyadic path analysis using the Actor-Partner Interdependence Model. SETTING: Data were from baseline (1989-90), Wave 3 (1992-93), and Wave 7 (1996-97), all waves in which frailty and depressive symptoms were measured, of the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a multisite, longitudinal, observational study of risk factors for cardiovascular disease in adults aged 65 and older. PARTICIPANTS: Spouses in 1,260 community-dwelling married couples. MEASUREMENTS: Frailty was measured using the CHS criteria, categorized as nonfrail, prefrail, or frail. Depressive symptoms were measured using the 10-item Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale. RESULTS: Within individuals (actor effects), greater frailty predicted greater subsequent depressive symptoms, and greater depressive symptoms predicted greater subsequent frailty. Between spouses (partner effects), an individual's greater frailty predicted the spouse's greater frailty, and an individual's greater depressive symptoms predicted the spouse's greater depressive symptoms. CONCLUSION: Frailty and depressive symptoms are interrelated in older adult spouses. For older couples, interventions to prevent or treat frailty and depression that focus on couples may be more effective than those that focus on individuals.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cardiovascular Diseases; Depression; Female; Frail Elderly; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Risk Factors; Spouses; United States

Study of Cardiovascular Health Outcomes in the Era of Claims Data: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Psaty, Bruce M; Delaney, Joseph A; Arnold, Alice M; Curtis, Lesley H; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Heckbert, Susan R; McKnight, Barbara; Ives, Diane; Gottdiener, John S; Kuller, Lewis H; Longstreth, W T (Circulation, 2016)
BACKGROUND: Increasingly, the diagnostic codes from administrative claims data are being used as clinical outcomes. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) were used to compare event rates and risk factor associations between adjudicated hospitalized cardiovascular events and claims-based methods of defining events. The outcomes of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and heart failure were defined in 3 ways: the CHS adjudicated event (CHS[adj]), selected International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Edition diagnostic codes only in the primary position for Medicare claims data from the Center for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS[1st]), and the same selected diagnostic codes in any position (CMS[any]). Conventional claims-based methods of defining events had high positive predictive values but low sensitivities. For instance, the positive predictive value of International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Edition code 410.x1 for a new acute MI in the first position was 90.6%, but this code identified only 53.8% of incident MIs. The observed event rates for CMS[1st] were low. For MI, the incidence was 14.9 events per 1000 person-years for CHS[adj] MI, 8.6 for CMS[1st] MI, and 12.2 for CMS[any] MI. In general, cardiovascular disease risk factor associations were similar across the 3 methods of defining events. Indeed, traditional cardiovascular disease risk factors were also associated with all first hospitalizations not resulting from an MI. CONCLUSIONS: The use of diagnostic codes from claims data as clinical events, especially when restricted to primary diagnoses, leads to an underestimation of event rates. Additionally, claims-based events data represent a composite end point that includes the outcome of interest and selected (misclassified) nonevent hospitalizations.
Keywords: Blood Glucose; Cardiovascular Diseases; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Health Surveys; Hospitalization; Hospitals, Veterans; Humans; Insurance Claim Review; International Classification of Diseases; Lipids; Male; Managed Care Programs; Medicare; Risk Factors; Sampling Studies; Treatment Outcome; United States

Subclinical Cardiovascular Disease and Death, Dementia, and Coronary Heart Disease in Patients 80+ Years. - Kuller, Lewis H; Lopez, Oscar L; Mackey, Rachel H; Rosano, Caterina; Edmundowicz, Daniel; Becker, James T; Newman, Anne B (J Am Coll Cardiol, 2016)
BACKGROUND: The successful prevention and treatment of coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke has resulted in a substantial increase in longevity, with subsequent growth in the population of older people at risk for dementia. OBJECTIVES: The authors evaluated the relationship of coronary and other peripheral atherosclerosis to risk of death, dementia, and CHD in the very elderly. Because the extent of vascular disease differs substantially between men and women, sex- and race-specific analyses were included, with a specific focus on women with low coronary artery calcium (CAC) Agatston scores. METHODS: We evaluated the relationship between measures of subclinical cardiovascular disease (CAC, carotid intimal medial thickness, stenosis, and ankle brachial index) and risk of dementia, CHD, and total mortality in 532 participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study-Cognition Study from 1998/1999 (mean age, 80 years) to 2012/2013 (mean age, 93 years). RESULTS: Thirty-six percent of participants had CAC scores >400. Women and African-Americans had lower CAC scores. Few men had low CAC scores. CAC score and number of coronary calcifications were directly related to age-adjusted total mortality and CHD. The age-specific incidence of dementia was higher than for CHD. Only about 25% of deaths were caused by CHD and 16% by dementia. Approximately 64% of those who died had a prior diagnosis of dementia. White women with low CAC scores had a significantly decreased incidence of dementia. CONCLUSIONS: In subjects 80+ years of age, there is a greater incidence of dementia than of CHD. CAC, as a marker of atherosclerosis, is a determinant of mortality, and risk of CHD and myocardial infarction. White women with low CAC scores had a significantly decreased risk of dementia. A very important unanswered question, especially in the very elderly, is whether prevention of atherosclerosis and its complications is associated with less Alzheimer disease pathology and dementia. (Cardiovascular Health Study [CHS]; NCT00005133).
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged, 80 and over; Cause of Death; Coronary Artery Disease; Dementia; Female; Humans; Incidence; Male; Pennsylvania; Retrospective Studies; Risk Factors; Survival Rate

Twenty-eight genetic loci associated with ST-T-wave amplitudes of the electrocardiogram. - Verweij, Niek; Mateo Leach, Irene; Isaacs, Aaron; Arking, Dan E; Bis, Joshua C; Pers, Tune H; van den Berg, Marten E; Lyytikäinen, Leo-Pekka; Barnett, Phil; Wang, Xinchen; Soliman, Elsayed Z; van Duijn, Cornelia M; et al. (Hum Mol Genet, 2016)
The ST-segment and adjacent T-wave (ST-T wave) amplitudes of the electrocardiogram are quantitative characteristics of cardiac repolarization. Repolarization abnormalities have been linked to ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death. We performed the first genome-wide association meta-analysis of ST-T-wave amplitudes in up to 37 977 individuals identifying 71 robust genotype-phenotype associations clustered within 28 independent loci. Fifty-four genes were prioritized as candidates underlying the phenotypes, including genes with established roles in the cardiac repolarization phase (SCN5A/SCN10A, KCND3, KCNB1, NOS1AP and HEY2) and others with as yet undefined cardiac function. These associations may provide insights in the spatiotemporal contribution of genetic variation influencing cardiac repolarization and provide novel leads for future functional follow-up.
Keywords: Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing; Arrhythmias, Cardiac; Basic Helix-Loop-Helix Transcription Factors; Brugada Syndrome; Cardiac Conduction System Disease; Death, Sudden, Cardiac; Electrocardiography; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Heart Conduction System; Humans; Male; NAV1.5 Voltage-Gated Sodium Channel; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Repressor Proteins; Shab Potassium Channels; Shal Potassium Channels

Assessing the causal relationship between obesity and venous thromboembolism through a Mendelian Randomization study. - Lindström, Sara; Germain, Marine; Crous-Bou, Marta; Smith, Erin N; Morange, Pierre-Emmanuel; van Hylckama Vlieg, Astrid; de Haan, Hugoline G; Chasman, Daniel; Ridker, Paul; Brody, Jennifer; de Andrade, Mariza; Heit, John A; et al. (Hum Genet, 2017)
Observational studies have shown an association between obesity and venous thromboembolism (VTE) but it is not known if observed associations are causal, due to reverse causation or confounding bias. We conducted a Mendelian Randomization study of body mass index (BMI) and VTE. We identified 95 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that have been previously associated with BMI and assessed the association between genetically predicted high BMI and VTE leveraging data from a previously conducted GWAS within the INVENT consortium comprising a total of 7507 VTE cases and 52,632 controls of European ancestry. Five BMI SNPs were associated with VTE at P < 0.05, with the strongest association seen for the FTO SNP rs1558902 (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.02-1.12, P = 0.005). In addition, we observed a significant association between genetically predicted BMI and VTE (OR = 1.59, 95% CI 1.30-1.93 per standard deviation increase in BMI, P = 5.8 × 10). Our study provides evidence for a causal relationship between high BMI and risk of VTE. Reducing obesity levels will likely result in lower incidence in VTE.
Keywords: Adult; Body Mass Index; Case-Control Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Incidence; Logistic Models; Male; Mendelian Randomization Analysis; Obesity; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Proportional Hazards Models; Venous Thromboembolism

The Association Between IGF-I and IGFBP-3 and Incident Diabetes in an Older Population of Men and Women in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Aneke-Nash, Chino S; Xue, XiaoNan; Qi, Qibin; Biggs, Mary L; Cappola, Anne; Kuller, Lewis; Pollak, Michael; Psaty, Bruce M; Siscovick, David; Mukamal, Kenneth; Strickler, Howard D; Kaplan, Robert C (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2017)
Context: Insulin-like growth factor-I (IGF-I) has structural and functional similarities to insulin and may play a role in glucose homeostasis, along with insulin-like growth factor binding protein-3 (IGFBP-3), which binds the majority of circulating IGF-I. Objective: To assess whether IGF-I and IGFBP-3 are associated with a higher risk of incident diabetes in older adults. Design: Participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study (n = 3133), a cohort of adults aged ≥65 years, were observed for 16 years (n = 3133) for the development of incident diabetes. Statistical models were fit separately for men and women because of interactions with sex (P interaction: IGF-I, 0.02; IGFBP-3, 0.009) and were adjusted for relevant covariates. Setting: General community. Participants: Older adults who were nondiabetic at baseline and who did not develop diabetes within the first year of follow-up. Interventions: Not applicable. Main Outcome Measure: Incident diabetes as measured by fasting plasma glucose (FPG) ≥126 mg/dL, non-FPG ≥200 mg/dL, use of pharmacological treatment of diabetes, or existence of two or more inpatient or three or more outpatient or (at least one inpatient and at least one outpatient) Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services claims with the diagnostic International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification code of 250.xx. Results: In women, higher IGFBP-3 (hazard ratio tertile 3 vs tertile 1 = 2.30; 95% confidence interval, 1.55 to 3.40; P trend < 0.0001) was significantly associated with incident diabetes. Total IGF-I was not significantly associated with incident diabetes. In men, neither IGF-I nor IGFBP-3 was significantly associated with incident diabetes. Conclusions: We confirmed a previously reported association between circulating IGFBP-3 and diabetes risk in the older adult population, establishing that this association is present among women but could not be shown to be associated in men.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Biomarkers; Blood Glucose; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Humans; Incidence; Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 3; Insulin-Like Growth Factor I; Longitudinal Studies; Male; New England; Prospective Studies; Risk

Association Between Telomere Length and Risk of Cancer and Non-Neoplastic Diseases: A Mendelian Randomization Study. - Haycock, Philip C; Burgess, Stephen; Nounu, Aayah; Zheng, Jie; Okoli, George N; Bowden, Jack; Wade, Kaitlin Hazel; Timpson, Nicholas J; Evans, David M; Willeit, Peter; Aviv, Abraham; Gaunt, Tom R; et al. (JAMA Oncol, 2017)
Importance: The causal direction and magnitude of the association between telomere length and incidence of cancer and non-neoplastic diseases is uncertain owing to the susceptibility of observational studies to confounding and reverse causation. Objective: To conduct a Mendelian randomization study, using germline genetic variants as instrumental variables, to appraise the causal relevance of telomere length for risk of cancer and non-neoplastic diseases. Data Sources: Genomewide association studies (GWAS) published up to January 15, 2015. Study Selection: GWAS of noncommunicable diseases that assayed germline genetic variation and did not select cohort or control participants on the basis of preexisting diseases. Of 163 GWAS of noncommunicable diseases identified, summary data from 103 were available. Data Extraction and Synthesis: Summary association statistics for single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that are strongly associated with telomere length in the general population. Main Outcomes and Measures: Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for disease per standard deviation (SD) higher telomere length due to germline genetic variation. Results: Summary data were available for 35 cancers and 48 non-neoplastic diseases, corresponding to 420 081 cases (median cases, 2526 per disease) and 1 093 105 controls (median, 6789 per disease). Increased telomere length due to germline genetic variation was generally associated with increased risk for site-specific cancers. The strongest associations (ORs [95% CIs] per 1-SD change in genetically increased telomere length) were observed for glioma, 5.27 (3.15-8.81); serous low-malignant-potential ovarian cancer, 4.35 (2.39-7.94); lung adenocarcinoma, 3.19 (2.40-4.22); neuroblastoma, 2.98 (1.92-4.62); bladder cancer, 2.19 (1.32-3.66); melanoma, 1.87 (1.55-2.26); testicular cancer, 1.76 (1.02-3.04); kidney cancer, 1.55 (1.08-2.23); and endometrial cancer, 1.31 (1.07-1.61). Associations were stronger for rarer cancers and at tissue sites with lower rates of stem cell division. There was generally little evidence of association between genetically increased telomere length and risk of psychiatric, autoimmune, inflammatory, diabetic, and other non-neoplastic diseases, except for coronary heart disease (OR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.67-0.90]), abdominal aortic aneurysm (OR, 0.63 [95% CI, 0.49-0.81]), celiac disease (OR, 0.42 [95% CI, 0.28-0.61]) and interstitial lung disease (OR, 0.09 [95% CI, 0.05-0.15]). Conclusions and Relevance: It is likely that longer telomeres increase risk for several cancers but reduce risk for some non-neoplastic diseases, including cardiovascular diseases.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cardiovascular Diseases; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Germ-Line Mutation; Humans; Male; Mendelian Randomization Analysis; Middle Aged; Neoplasms; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk Assessment; Telomere; Telomere Homeostasis

Blood Pressure and Heart Rate Measures Associated With Increased Risk of Covert Brain Infarction and Worsening Leukoaraiosis in Older Adults. - Leung, Lester Y; Bartz, Traci M; Rice, Kenneth; Floyd, James; Psaty, Bruce; Gutierrez, Jose; Longstreth, W T; Mukamal, Kenneth J (Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, 2017)
OBJECTIVE: In people without previous stroke, covert findings on serial magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of incident brain infarcts and worsening leukoaraiosis are associated with increased risk for ischemic stroke and dementia. We evaluated whether various measures of blood pressure (BP) and heart rate are associated with these MRI findings. APPROACH AND RESULTS: In the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study), a longitudinal cohort study of older adults, we used relative risk regression to assess the associations of mean, variability, and trend in systolic BP, diastolic BP, and heart rate measured at 4 annual clinic visits between 2 brain MRIs with incident covert brain infarction and worsening white matter grade (using a 10-point scale to characterize leukoaraiosis). We included participants who had both brain MRIs, no stroke before the follow-up MRI, and no change in antihypertensive medication status during follow-up. Among 878 eligible participants, incident covert brain infarction occurred in 15% and worsening white matter grade in 27%. Mean systolic BP was associated with increased risk for incident covert brain infarction (relative risk per 10 mm Hg, 1.28; 95% confidence interval, 1.12-1.47), and mean diastolic BP was associated with increased risk for worsening white matter grade (relative risk per 10 mm Hg, 1.45; 95% confidence interval, 1.24-1.69). These findings persisted in secondary and sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated mean systolic BP is associated with increased risk for covert brain infarction, and elevated mean diastolic BP is associated with increased risk for worsening leukoaraiosis. These findings reinforce the importance of hypertension in the development of silent cerebrovascular diseases, but the pathophysiologic relationships to BP for each may differ.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Antihypertensive Agents; Blood Pressure; Cerebral Infarction; Disease Progression; Female; Heart Rate; Humans; Hypertension; Incidence; Leukoaraiosis; Longitudinal Studies; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Prospective Studies; Pulsatile Flow; Risk Factors; Time Factors; United States

Concordance With Prevention Guidelines and Subsequent Cancer, Cardiovascular Disease, and Mortality: A Longitudinal Study of Older Adults. - Greenlee, Heather; Strizich, Garrett; Lovasi, Gina S; Kaplan, Robert C; Biggs, Mary L; Li, Christopher I; Richardson, John; Burke, Gregory L; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Fretts, Amanda M; Psaty, Bruce M; Fried, Linda P (Am J Epidemiol, 2017)
Reports on the associations between multiple clinical and behavioral health indicators and major health outcomes among older adults are scarce. We prospectively examined concordance with guidelines from the American Cancer Society and American Heart Association for disease prevention in relation to cancer, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and mortality among Cardiovascular Health Study enrollees aged 65-98 years who, at baseline assessment in 1989-1996 (n = 3,491), were free of CVD and cancer. Total and cause-specific mortality, as well as incidence of cancer and CVD, were lower with higher guideline concordance. Independent of body mass index, blood pressure, total cholesterol, and fasting plasma glucose, better health behaviors (diet, physical activity, and alcohol consumption) were associated with lower mortality (2-sided P < 0.0001). Among individuals with ideal levels for 3-4 of these 4 cardiometabolic biomarkers, those with poor concordance with health behavior recommendations had higher mortality compared with those who had the highest concordance with these behavioral recommendations (adjusted mortality hazard ratio = 1.82, 95% confidence interval: 1.25, 2.67). Older adults who are concordant with recommendations for cancer and CVD prevention have reduced rates of chronic disease and mortality. Interventions to achieve and maintain healthy lifestyle behaviors may offer benefits both in the presence and absence of adverse traditional clinical risk factors.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; American Cancer Society; American Heart Association; Body Mass Index; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cause of Death; Diet; Exercise; Female; Guideline Adherence; Healthy Lifestyle; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Neoplasms; Practice Guidelines as Topic; Prospective Studies; United States

Disability Trajectories Before and After Stroke and Myocardial Infarction: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Dhamoon, Mandip S; Longstreth, W T; Bartz, Traci M; Kaplan, Robert C; Elkind, Mitchell S V (JAMA Neurol, 2017)
Importance: Ischemic strokes may accelerate long-term functional decline apart from their acute effects on neurologic function. Objective: To test whether the increase in long-term disability is steeper after than before the event for ischemic stroke but not myocardial infarction (MI). Design, Settings, and Participants: In the population-based, prospective cohort Cardiovascular Health Study (1989-2013), longitudinal follow-up was conducted for a mean (SD) of 13 (6.2) years. Follow-up data were used until September 1, 2013; data analysis was performed from August 1, 2013, to June 1, 2016. Models based on generalized estimating equations adjusted for baseline covariates and included a test for different slopes of disability before and after the event. Participants included 5888 Medicare-eligible individuals 65 years or older who were not institutionalized, expected to reside in the area for 3 or more years, and able to provide informed consent. Exclusions were needing a wheelchair, receiving hospice care, and undergoing radiotherapy or chemotherapy. Exposures: Ischemic stroke and MI. Main Outcomes and Measures: Annual assessments with a disability scale (measuring activities of daily living [ADLs] and instrumental ADLs). The number of ADLs and instrumental ADLs (range, 0-12) that the participant could not perform was analyzed continuously. Results: The mean (SD) age of the entire cohort (n = 5888) was 72.8 (5.6) years; 2495 (42.4%) were male. During follow-up, 382 (6.5%) participants had ischemic stroke and 395 (6.7%) had MI with 1 or more disability assessment after the event. There was a mean of 3.7 (2.4) visits before stroke and 3.7 (2.3) visits after stroke; there was a mean of 3.8 (2.5) visits before MI and 3.8 (2.4) visits after MI. The increase in disability near the time of the event was greater for stroke (0.88 points on the disability scale; 95% CI, 0.57 to 1.20; P < .001) than MI (0.20 points on the disability scale; 95% CI, 0.06 to 0.35; P = .006). The annual increase in disability before stroke (0.06 points per year; 95% CI, 0.002 to 0.12; P = .04) more than tripled after stroke (0.15 additional points per year; 95% CI, 0.004 to 0.30; P = .04). The annual increase in disability before MI (0.04 points per year; 95% CI, 0.004 to 0.08; P = .03) did not change significantly after MI (0.02 additional points per year; 95% CI, -0.07 to 0.11; P = .69). Conclusions and Relevance: In this large, population-based study, a trajectory of increasing disability became significantly steeper after stroke but not after MI. Thus, in addition to the acute brain injury and consequent impairment, ischemic stroke may also be associated with potentially treatable long-term adverse effects on the brain that lead to accelerated functional decline.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Brain Ischemia; Cohort Studies; Disabled Persons; Disease Progression; Female; Humans; Male; Myocardial Infarction; Prospective Studies; Stroke

Factors Associated With Ischemic Stroke Survival and Recovery in Older Adults. - Winovich, Divya Thekkethala; Longstreth, William T; Arnold, Alice M; Varadhan, Ravi; Zeki Al Hazzouri, Adina; Cushman, Mary; Newman, Anne B; Odden, Michelle C (Stroke, 2017)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Little is known about factors that predispose older adults to poor recovery after a stroke. In this study, we sought to evaluate prestroke measures of frailty and related factors as markers of vulnerability to poor outcomes after ischemic stroke. METHODS: In participants aged 65 to 99 years with incident ischemic strokes from the Cardiovascular Health Study, we evaluated the association of several risk factors (frailty, frailty components, C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, and cystatin C) assessed before stroke with stroke outcomes of survival, cognitive decline (≥5 points on Modified Mini-Mental State Examination), and activities of daily living decline (increase in limitations). RESULTS: Among 717 participants with incident ischemic stroke with survival data, slow walking speed, low grip strength, and cystatin C were independently associated with shorter survival. Among participants <80 years of age, frailty and interleukin-6 were also associated with shorter survival. Among 509 participants with recovery data, slow walking speed, and low grip strength were associated with both cognitive and activities of daily living decline poststroke. C-reactive protein and interleukin-6 were associated with poststroke cognitive decline among men only. Frailty status was associated with activities of daily living decline among women only. CONCLUSIONS: Markers of physical function-walking speed and grip strength-were consistently associated with survival and recovery after ischemic stroke. Inflammation, kidney function, and frailty also seemed to be determinants of survival and recovery after an ischemic stroke. These markers of vulnerability may identify targets for differing pre and poststroke medical management and rehabilitation among older adults at risk of poor stroke outcomes.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Brain Ischemia; Cohort Studies; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Frail Elderly; Humans; Male; Recovery of Function; Risk Factors; Stroke; Survival Rate

Fibroblast Growth Factor 23, Mineral Metabolism, and Adiposity in Normal Kidney Function. - Zaheer, Sarah; de Boer, Ian H; Allison, Matthew; Brown, Jenifer M; Psaty, Bruce M; Robinson-Cohen, Cassianne; Michos, Erin D; Ix, Joachim H; Kestenbaum, Bryan; Siscovick, David; Vaidya, Anand (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2017)
Context: Obesity is associated with poor bone mineralization and quality. Fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) plays an important role in skeletal physiology. Objective: To test hypothesis that greater adiposity results in higher FGF23 levels among individuals with normal estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Design, Setting, Participants: Cross-sectional analyses among participants with eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73m2. We assessed the association between crude [body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR); n = 5610] and refined (abdominal adipose tissue area by computed tomography; n = 1313) measures of adiposity and FGF23 using multivariable linear regression. Main Outcome Measure: Serum FGF23. Results: FGF23 was higher across BMI categories (BMI <25: 37.7; BMI 25 to 29.99: 38.7; BMI 30 to 39.99: 39.8; BMI ≥40: 40.9 pg/mL, unadjusted P trend < 0.0001). The association between BMI and FGF23 was independent of known confounders of FGF23 (adjusted β = +7.2% higher FGF23 per 10 kg/m2; P < 0.0001). Similar results were observed using WC and WHR. Abdominal adipose tissue area was also independently associated with higher FGF23 (P < 0.01). Notably, the positive associations between FGF23 and adiposity were observed despite the fact that eGFR did not decline and serum phosphate levels did not increase with adiposity. Conclusion: In a large cohort with normal kidney function, adiposity was associated with higher FGF23 levels independent of known confounders, including eGFR and phosphate. Further studies are needed to evaluate the causes of higher FGF23 in settings of greater adiposity and the potential impact on skeletal health.
Keywords: Adiposity; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Fibroblast Growth Factors; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Kidney; Male; Middle Aged; Minerals; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic; Risk Factors

Genetically Determined Plasma Lipid Levels and Risk of Diabetic Retinopathy: A Mendelian Randomization Study. - Sobrin, Lucia; Chong, Yong He; Fan, Qiao; Gan, Alfred; Stanwyck, Lynn K; Kaidonis, Georgia; Craig, Jamie E; Kim, Jihye; Liao, Wen-Ling; Huang, Yu-Chuen; Lee, Wen-Jane; Hung, Yi-Jen; et al. (Diabetes, 2017)
Results from observational studies examining dyslipidemia as a risk factor for diabetic retinopathy (DR) have been inconsistent. We evaluated the causal relationship between plasma lipids and DR using a Mendelian randomization approach. We pooled genome-wide association studies summary statistics from 18 studies for two DR phenotypes: any DR (N = 2,969 case and 4,096 control subjects) and severe DR (N = 1,277 case and 3,980 control subjects). Previously identified lipid-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms served as instrumental variables. Meta-analysis to combine the Mendelian randomization estimates from different cohorts was conducted. There was no statistically significant change in odds ratios of having any DR or severe DR for any of the lipid fractions in the primary analysis that used single nucleotide polymorphisms that did not have a pleiotropic effect on another lipid fraction. Similarly, there was no significant association in the Caucasian and Chinese subgroup analyses. This study did not show evidence of a causal role of the four lipid fractions on DR. However, the study had limited power to detect odds ratios less than 1.23 per SD in genetically induced increase in plasma lipid levels, thus we cannot exclude that causal relationships with more modest effect sizes exist.
Keywords: Aged; Diabetic Retinopathy; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Lipids; Male; Mendelian Randomization Analysis; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk

Genome-wide association meta-analysis of fish and EPA+DHA consumption in 17 US and European cohorts. - Mozaffarian, Dariush; Dashti, Hassan S; Wojczynski, Mary K; Chu, Audrey Y; Nettleton, Jennifer A; Männistö, Satu; Kristiansson, Kati; Reedik, Mägi; Lahti, Jari; Houston, Denise K; Cornelis, Marilyn C; van Rooij, Frank J A; et al. (PLoS One, 2017)
BACKGROUND: Regular fish and omega-3 consumption may have several health benefits and are recommended by major dietary guidelines. Yet, their intakes remain remarkably variable both within and across populations, which could partly owe to genetic influences. OBJECTIVE: To identify common genetic variants that influence fish and dietary eicosapentaenoic acid plus docosahexaenoic acid (EPA+DHA) consumption. DESIGN: We conducted genome-wide association (GWA) meta-analysis of fish (n = 86,467) and EPA+DHA (n = 62,265) consumption in 17 cohorts of European descent from the CHARGE (Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology) Consortium Nutrition Working Group. Results from cohort-specific GWA analyses (additive model) for fish and EPA+DHA consumption were adjusted for age, sex, energy intake, and population stratification, and meta-analyzed separately using fixed-effect meta-analysis with inverse variance weights (METAL software). Additionally, heritability was estimated in 2 cohorts. RESULTS: Heritability estimates for fish and EPA+DHA consumption ranged from 0.13-0.24 and 0.12-0.22, respectively. A significant GWA for fish intake was observed for rs9502823 on chromosome 6: each copy of the minor allele (FreqA = 0.015) was associated with 0.029 servings/day (~1 serving/month) lower fish consumption (P = 1.96x10-8). No significant association was observed for EPA+DHA, although rs7206790 in the obesity-associated FTO gene was among top hits (P = 8.18x10-7). Post-hoc calculations demonstrated 95% statistical power to detect a genetic variant associated with effect size of 0.05% for fish and 0.08% for EPA+DHA. CONCLUSIONS: These novel findings suggest that non-genetic personal and environmental factors are principal determinants of the remarkable variation in fish consumption, representing modifiable targets for increasing intakes among all individuals. Genes underlying the signal at rs72838923 and mechanisms for the association warrant further investigation.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Cohort Studies; Docosahexaenoic Acids; Eicosapentaenoic Acid; Europe; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Seafood; United States

Genome-Wide Association Study Meta-Analysis of Long-Term Average Blood Pressure in East Asians. - Li, Changwei; Kim, Yun Kyoung; Dorajoo, Rajkumar; Li, Huaixing; Lee, I-Te; Cheng, Ching-Yu; He, Meian; Sheu, Wayne H-H; Guo, Xiuqing; Ganesh, Santhi K; He, Jiang; Lee, Juyoung; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2017)
BACKGROUND: Genome-wide single marker and gene-based meta-analyses of long-term average (LTA) blood pressure (BP) phenotypes may reveal novel findings for BP. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted genome-wide analysis among 18 422 East Asian participants (stage 1) followed by replication study of ≤46 629 participants of European ancestry (stage 2). Significant single-nucleotide polymorphisms and genes were determined by a P<5.0×10-8 and 2.5×10-6, respectively, in joint analyses of stage-1 and stage-2 data. We identified 1 novel ARL3 variant, rs4919669 at 10q24.32, influencing LTA systolic BP (stage-1 P=5.03×10-8, stage-2 P=8.64×10-3, joint P=2.63×10-8) and mean arterial pressure (stage-1 P=3.59×10-9, stage-2 P=2.35×10-2, joint P=2.64×10-8). Three previously reported BP loci (WBP1L, NT5C2, and ATP2B1) were also identified for all BP phenotypes. Gene-based analysis provided the first robust evidence for association of KCNJ11 with LTA systolic BP (stage-1 P=8.55×10-6, stage-2 P=1.62×10-5, joint P=3.28×10-9) and mean arterial pressure (stage-1 P=9.19×10-7, stage-2 P=9.69×10-5, joint P=2.15×10-9) phenotypes. Fourteen genes (TMEM180, ACTR1A, SUFU, ARL3, SFXN2, WBP1L, CYP17A1, C10orf32, C10orf32-ASMT, AS3MT, CNNM2, and NT5C2 at 10q24.32; ATP2B1 at 12q21.33; and NCR3LG1 at 11p15.1) implicated by previous genome-wide association study meta-analyses were also identified. Among the loci identified by the previous genome-wide association study meta-analysis of LTA BP, we transethnically replicated associations of the KCNK3 marker rs1275988 at 2p23.3 with LTA systolic BP and mean arterial pressure phenotypes (P=1.27×10-4 and 3.30×10-4, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: We identified 1 novel variant and 1 novel gene and present the first direct evidence of relevance of the KCNK3 locus for LTA BP among East Asians.
Keywords: Asian Continental Ancestry Group; Blood Pressure; Far East; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Omega-3 Fatty Acids and Incident Ischemic Stroke and Its Atherothrombotic and Cardioembolic Subtypes in 3 US Cohorts. - Saber, Hamidreza; Yakoob, Mohammad Yawar; Shi, Peilin; Longstreth, W T; Lemaitre, Rozenn N; Siscovick, David; Rexrode, Kathryn M; Willett, Walter C; Mozaffarian, Dariush (Stroke, 2017)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The associations of individual long-chain n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids with incident ischemic stroke and its main subtypes are not well established. We aimed to investigate prospectively the relationship of circulating eicosapentaenoic acid, docosapentaenoic acid (DPA), and docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) with risk of total ischemic, atherothrombotic, and cardioembolic stroke. METHODS: We measured circulating phospholipid fatty acids at baseline in 3 separate US cohorts: CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study), NHS (Nurses' Health Study), and HPFS (Health Professionals Follow-Up Study). Ischemic strokes were prospectively adjudicated and classified into atherothrombotic (large- and small-vessel infarctions) or cardioembolic by imaging studies and medical records. Risk according to fatty acid levels was assessed using Cox proportional hazards (CHS) or conditional logistic regression (NHS, HPFS) according to study design. Cohort findings were pooled using fixed-effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: A total of 953 incident ischemic strokes were identified (408 atherothrombotic, 256 cardioembolic, and 289 undetermined subtypes) during median follow-up of 11.2 years (CHS) and 8.3 years (pooled, NHS and HPFS). After multivariable adjustment, lower risk of total ischemic stroke was seen with higher DPA (highest versus lowest quartiles; pooled hazard ratio [HR], 0.74; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.58-0.92) and DHA (HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.64-1.00) but not eicosapentaenoic acid (HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.77-1.19). DHA was associated with lower risk of atherothrombotic stroke (HR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.34-0.83) and DPA with lower risk of cardioembolic stroke (HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.37-0.92). Findings in each individual cohort were consistent with pooled results. CONCLUSIONS: In 3 large US cohorts, higher circulating levels of DHA were inversely associated with incident atherothrombotic stroke and DPA with cardioembolic stroke. These novel findings suggest differential pathways of benefit for DHA, DPA, and eicosapentaenoic acid.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Biomarkers; Brain Ischemia; Cardiovascular Diseases; Case-Control Studies; Cohort Studies; Fatty Acids, Omega-3; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Incidence; Intracranial Arteriosclerosis; Intracranial Embolism; Intracranial Thrombosis; Male; Middle Aged; Prospective Studies; Random Allocation; Risk Factors; Stroke; United States

Phenotype-Specific Association of Single-Nucleotide Polymorphisms with Heart Failure and Preserved Ejection Fraction: a Genome-Wide Association Analysis of the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Kao, David P; Stevens, Laura M; Hinterberg, Michael A; Görg, Carsten (J Cardiovasc Transl Res, 2017)
Little is known about genetics of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) in part because of the many comorbidities in this population. To identify single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with HFpEF, we analyzed phenotypic and genotypic data from the Cardiovascular Health Study, which profiled patients using a 50,000 SNP array. Results were explored using novel SNP- and gene-centric tools. We performed analyses to determine whether some SNPs were relevant only in certain phenotypes. Among 3804 patients, 7 clinical factors and 9 SNPs were significantly associated with HFpEF; the most notable of which was rs6996224, a SNP associated with transforming growth factor-beta receptor 3. Most SNPs were associated with HFpEF only in the absence of a clinical predictor. Significant SNPs represented genes involved in myocyte proliferation, transforming growth factor-beta/erbB signaling, and extracellular matrix formation. These findings suggest that genetic factors may be more important in some phenotypes than others.
Keywords: Aged; Computational Biology; Databases, Genetic; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Gene Expression Profiling; Genetic Markers; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Heart Failure; Humans; Male; Oligonucleotide Array Sequence Analysis; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Predictive Value of Tests; Prognosis; Proteoglycans; Receptors, Transforming Growth Factor beta; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Stroke Volume; United States

Rare coding variants pinpoint genes that control human hematological traits. - Mousas, Abdou; Ntritsos, Georgios; Chen, Ming-Huei; Song, Ci; Huffman, Jennifer E; Tzoulaki, Ioanna; Elliott, Paul; Psaty, Bruce M; Auer, Paul L; Johnson, Andrew D; Evangelou, Evangelos; Lettre, Guillaume; et al. (PLoS Genet, 2017)
The identification of rare coding or splice site variants remains the most straightforward strategy to link genes with human phenotypes. Here, we analyzed the association between 137,086 rare (minor allele frequency (MAF) <1%) coding or splice site variants and 15 hematological traits in up to 308,572 participants. We found 56 such rare coding or splice site variants at P<5x10-8, including 31 that are associated with a blood-cell phenotype for the first time. All but one of these 31 new independent variants map to loci previously implicated in hematopoiesis by genome-wide association studies (GWAS). This includes a rare splice acceptor variant (rs146597587, MAF = 0.5%) in interleukin 33 (IL33) associated with reduced eosinophil count (P = 2.4x10-23), and lower risk of asthma (P = 2.6x10-7, odds ratio [95% confidence interval] = 0.56 [0.45-0.70]) and allergic rhinitis (P = 4.2x10-4, odds ratio = 0.55 [0.39-0.76]). The single new locus identified in our study is defined by a rare p.Arg172Gly missense variant (rs145535174, MAF = 0.05%) in plasminogen (PLG) associated with increased platelet count (P = 6.8x10-9), and decreased D-dimer concentration (P = 0.018) and platelet reactivity (P<0.03). Finally, our results indicate that searching for rare coding or splice site variants in very large sample sizes can help prioritize causal genes at many GWAS loci associated with complex human diseases and traits.
Keywords: Asthma; Databases, Genetic; Endometriosis; Female; Fibrin Fibrinogen Degradation Products; Gene Frequency; Genetic Loci; Genome, Human; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Interleukin-33; Linear Models; Logistic Models; Male; Mutation, Missense; Phenotype; Plasminogen; Platelet Count; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Principal Component Analysis; Protein Splicing; Rhinitis, Allergic; Sequence Analysis, DNA

Short telomere length is associated with impaired cognitive performance in European ancestry cohorts. - Hägg, S; Zhan, Y; Karlsson, R; Gerritsen, L; Ploner, A; van der Lee, S J; Broer, L; Deelen, J; Marioni, R E; Wong, A; Lundquist, A; Zhu, G; et al. (Transl Psychiatry, 2017)
The association between telomere length (TL) dynamics on cognitive performance over the life-course is not well understood. This study meta-analyses observational and causal associations between TL and six cognitive traits, with stratifications on APOE genotype, in a Mendelian Randomization (MR) framework. Twelve European cohorts (N=17 052; mean age=59.2±8.8 years) provided results for associations between qPCR-measured TL (T/S-ratio scale) and general cognitive function, mini-mental state exam (MMSE), processing speed by digit symbol substitution test (DSST), visuospatial functioning, memory and executive functioning (STROOP). In addition, a genetic risk score (GRS) for TL including seven known genetic variants for TL was calculated, and used in associations with cognitive traits as outcomes in all cohorts. Observational analyses showed that longer telomeres were associated with better scores on DSST (β=0.051 per s.d.-increase of TL; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.024, 0.077; P=0.0002), and MMSE (β=0.025; 95% CI: 0.002, 0.047; P=0.03), and faster STROOP (β=-0.053; 95% CI: -0.087, -0.018; P=0.003). Effects for DSST were stronger in APOE ɛ4 non-carriers (β=0.081; 95% CI: 0.045, 0.117; P=1.0 × 10-5), whereas carriers performed better in STROOP (β=-0.074; 95% CI: -0.140, -0.009; P=0.03). Causal associations were found for STROOP only (β=-0.598 per s.d.-increase of TL; 95% CI: -1.125, -0.072; P=0.026), with a larger effect in ɛ4-carriers (β=-0.699; 95% CI: -1.330, -0.069; P=0.03). Two-sample replication analyses using CHARGE summary statistics showed causal effects between TL and general cognitive function and DSST, but not with STROOP. In conclusion, we suggest causal effects from longer TL on better cognitive performance, where APOE ɛ4-carriers might be at differential risk.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Apolipoprotein E4; Cognitive Dysfunction; Cohort Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Carrier Screening; Genotype; Humans; Male; Mendelian Randomization Analysis; Middle Aged; Neuropsychological Tests; Psychometrics; Statistics as Topic; Telomere

Single-trait and multi-trait genome-wide association analyses identify novel loci for blood pressure in African-ancestry populations. - Liang, Jingjing; Le, Thu H; Edwards, Digna R Velez; Tayo, Bamidele O; Gaulton, Kyle J; Smith, Jennifer A; Lu, Yingchang; Jensen, Richard A; Chen, Guanjie; Yanek, Lisa R; Schwander, Karen; Tajuddin, Salman M; et al. (PLoS Genet, 2017)
Hypertension is a leading cause of global disease, mortality, and disability. While individuals of African descent suffer a disproportionate burden of hypertension and its complications, they have been underrepresented in genetic studies. To identify novel susceptibility loci for blood pressure and hypertension in people of African ancestry, we performed both single and multiple-trait genome-wide association analyses. We analyzed 21 genome-wide association studies comprised of 31,968 individuals of African ancestry, and validated our results with additional 54,395 individuals from multi-ethnic studies. These analyses identified nine loci with eleven independent variants which reached genome-wide significance (P < 1.25×10-8) for either systolic and diastolic blood pressure, hypertension, or for combined traits. Single-trait analyses identified two loci (TARID/TCF21 and LLPH/TMBIM4) and multiple-trait analyses identified one novel locus (FRMD3) for blood pressure. At these three loci, as well as at GRP20/CDH17, associated variants had alleles common only in African-ancestry populations. Functional annotation showed enrichment for genes expressed in immune and kidney cells, as well as in heart and vascular cells/tissues. Experiments driven by these findings and using angiotensin-II induced hypertension in mice showed altered kidney mRNA expression of six genes, suggesting their potential role in hypertension. Our study provides new evidence for genes related to hypertension susceptibility, and the need to study African-ancestry populations in order to identify biologic factors contributing to hypertension.
Keywords: African Americans; Animals; Basic Helix-Loop-Helix Transcription Factors; Blood Pressure; Cadherins; Case-Control Studies; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Hypertension; Male; Membrane Proteins; Mice; Multifactorial Inheritance; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Systems biology approach to late-onset Alzheimer's disease genome-wide association study identifies novel candidate genes validated using brain expression data and Caenorhabditis elegans experiments. - Mukherjee, Shubhabrata; Russell, Joshua C; Carr, Daniel T; Burgess, Jeremy D; Allen, Mariet; Serie, Daniel J; Boehme, Kevin L; Kauwe, John S K; Naj, Adam C; Fardo, David W; Dickson, Dennis W; Montine, Thomas J; et al. (Alzheimers Dement, 2017)
INTRODUCTION: We sought to determine whether a systems biology approach may identify novel late-onset Alzheimer's disease (LOAD) loci. METHODS: We performed gene-wide association analyses and integrated results with human protein-protein interaction data using network analyses. We performed functional validation on novel genes using a transgenic Caenorhabditis elegans Aβ proteotoxicity model and evaluated novel genes using brain expression data from people with LOAD and other neurodegenerative conditions. RESULTS: We identified 13 novel candidate LOAD genes outside chromosome 19. Of those, RNA interference knockdowns of the C. elegans orthologs of UBC, NDUFS3, EGR1, and ATP5H were associated with Aβ toxicity, and NDUFS3, SLC25A11, ATP5H, and APP were differentially expressed in the temporal cortex. DISCUSSION: Network analyses identified novel LOAD candidate genes. We demonstrated a functional role for four of these in a C. elegans model and found enrichment of differentially expressed genes in the temporal cortex.
Keywords: Alzheimer Disease; Amyloid beta-Peptides; Amyloid beta-Protein Precursor; Animals; Animals, Genetically Modified; Antigens, Neoplasm; Caenorhabditis elegans; Disease Models, Animal; Early Growth Response Protein 1; Female; Gene Expression Regulation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Heparin-binding EGF-like Growth Factor; Humans; Male; Membrane Transport Proteins; Mitochondrial ADP, ATP Translocases; NADH Dehydrogenase; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Protein Interaction Maps; RNA Interference; Systems Biology; Temporal Lobe

Thyroid Function Within the Normal Range, Subclinical Hypothyroidism, and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation. - Baumgartner, Christine; da Costa, Bruno R; Collet, Tinh-Hai; Feller, Martin; Floriani, Carmen; Bauer, Douglas C; Cappola, Anne R; Heckbert, Susan R; Ceresini, Graziano; Gussekloo, Jacobijn; den Elzen, Wendy P J; Peeters, Robin P; et al. (Circulation, 2017)
BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a highly prevalent disorder leading to heart failure, stroke, and death. Enhanced understanding of modifiable risk factors may yield opportunities for prevention. The risk of AF is increased in subclinical hyperthyroidism, but it is uncertain whether variations in thyroid function within the normal range or subclinical hypothyroidism are also associated with AF. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and obtained individual participant data from prospective cohort studies that measured thyroid function at baseline and assessed incident AF. Studies were identified from MEDLINE and EMBASE databases from inception to July 27, 2016. The euthyroid state was defined as thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) 0.45 to 4.49 mIU/L, and subclinical hypothyroidism as TSH 4.5 to 19.9 mIU/L with free thyroxine (fT4) levels within reference range. The association of TSH levels in the euthyroid and subclinical hypothyroid range with incident AF was examined by using Cox proportional hazards models. In euthyroid participants, we additionally examined the association between fT4 levels and incident AF. RESULTS: Of 30 085 participants from 11 cohorts (278 955 person-years of follow-up), 1958 (6.5%) had subclinical hypothyroidism and 2574 individuals (8.6%) developed AF during follow-up. TSH at baseline was not significantly associated with incident AF in euthyroid participants or those with subclinical hypothyroidism. Higher fT4 levels at baseline in euthyroid individuals were associated with increased AF risk in age- and sex-adjusted analyses (hazard ratio, 1.45; 95% confidence interval, 1.26-1.66, for the highest quartile versus the lowest quartile of fT4; P for trend ≤0.001 across quartiles). Estimates did not substantially differ after further adjustment for preexisting cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: In euthyroid individuals, higher circulating fT4 levels, but not TSH levels, are associated with increased risk of incident AF.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Asymptomatic Diseases; Atrial Fibrillation; Biomarkers; Chi-Square Distribution; Female; Humans; Hypothyroidism; Incidence; Male; Middle Aged; Predictive Value of Tests; Prognosis; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Thyroid Function Tests; Thyroid Gland; Thyrotropin; Thyroxine; Time Factors; Young Adult

Visit-to-Visit Blood Pressure Variability and Mortality and Cardiovascular Outcomes Among Older Adults: The Health, Aging, and Body Composition Study. - Wu, Chenkai; Shlipak, Michael G; Stawski, Robert S; Peralta, Carmen A; Psaty, Bruce M; Harris, Tamara B; Satterfield, Suzanne; Shiroma, Eric J; Newman, Anne B; Odden, Michelle C (Am J Hypertens, 2017)
BACKGROUND: Level of blood pressure (BP) is strongly associated with cardiovascular (CV) events and mortality. However, it is questionable whether mean BP can fully capture BP-related vascular risk. Increasing attention has been given to the value of visit-to-visit BP variability. METHODS: We examined the association of visit-to-visit BP variability with mortality, incident myocardial infarction (MI), and incident stroke among 1,877 well-functioning elders in the Health, Aging, and Body Composition Study. We defined visit-to-visit diastolic BP (DBP) and systolic BP (SBP) variability as the root-mean-square error of person-specific linear regression of BP as a function of time. Alternatively, we counted the number of considerable BP increases and decreases (separately; 10mm Hg for DBP and 20mm Hg for SBP) between consecutive visits for each individual. RESULTS: Over an average follow-up of 8.5 years, 623 deaths (207 from CV disease), 153 MIs, and 156 strokes occurred. The median visit-to-visit DBP and SBP variability was 4.96 mmHg and 8.53 mmHg, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, visit-to-visit DBP variability was related to higher all-cause (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.18 per 1 SD, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.01-1.37) and CV mortality (HR = 1.35, 95% CI = 1.05-1.73). Additionally, individuals having more considerable decreases of DBP (≥10mm Hg between 2 consecutive visits) had higher risk of all-cause (HR = 1.13, 95% CI = 0.99-1.28) and CV mortality (HR = 1.30, 95% CI = 1.05-1.61); considerable increases of SBP (≥20mm Hg) were associated with higher risk of all-cause (HR = 1.18, 95% CI = 1.03-1.36) and CV mortality (HR = 1.37, 95% CI = 1.08-1.74). CONCLUSIONS: Visit-to-visit DBP variability and considerable changes in DBP and SBP were risk factors for mortality in the elderly.
Keywords: Aged; Aging; Blood Pressure; Blood Pressure Determination; Body Composition; California; Cohort Studies; Female; Health Status; Humans; Hypertension; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Myocardial Infarction; Office Visits; Prognosis; Retrospective Studies; Risk Factors; Stroke; Survival Rate

Association between subclinical thyroid dysfunction and change in bone mineral density in prospective cohorts. - Segna, D; Bauer, D C; Feller, M; Schneider, C; Fink, H A; Aubert, C E; Collet, T-H; da Costa, B R; Fischer, K; Peeters, R P; Cappola, A R; Blum, M R; et al. (J Intern Med, 2018)
BACKGROUND: Subclinical hyperthyroidism (SHyper) has been associated with increased risk of hip and other fractures, but the linking mechanisms remain unclear. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between subclinical thyroid dysfunction and bone loss. METHODS: Individual participant data analysis was performed after a systematic literature search in MEDLINE/EMBASE (1946-2016). Two reviewers independently screened and selected prospective cohorts providing baseline thyroid status and serial bone mineral density (BMD) measurements. We classified thyroid status as euthyroidism (thyroid-stimulating hormone [TSH] 0.45-4.49 mIU/L), SHyper (TSH < 0.45 mIU/L) and subclinical hypothyroidism (SHypo, TSH ≥ 4.50-19.99 mIU/L) both with normal free thyroxine levels. Our primary outcome was annualized percentage BMD change (%ΔBMD) from serial dual X-ray absorptiometry scans of the femoral neck, total hip and lumbar spine, obtained from multivariable regression in a random-effects two-step approach. RESULTS: Amongst 5458 individuals (median age 72 years, 49.1% women) from six prospective cohorts, 451 (8.3%) had SHypo and 284 (5.2%) had SHyper. During 36 569 person-years of follow-up, those with SHyper had a greater annual bone loss at the femoral neck versus euthyroidism: %ΔBMD = -0.18 (95% CI: -0.34, -0.02; I2 = 0%), with a nonstatistically significant pattern at the total hip: %ΔBMD = -0.14 (95% CI: -0.38, 0.10; I2 = 53%), but not at the lumbar spine: %ΔBMD = 0.03 (95% CI: -0.30, 0.36; I2 = 25%); especially participants with TSH < 0.10 mIU/L showed an increased bone loss in the femoral neck (%Δ BMD = -0.59; [95% CI: -0.99, -0.19]) and total hip region (%ΔBMD = -0.46 [95% CI: -1.05, -0.13]). In contrast, SHypo was not associated with bone loss at any site. CONCLUSION: Amongst adults, SHyper was associated with increased femoral neck bone loss, potentially contributing to the increased fracture risk.
Keywords: Aged; Asymptomatic Diseases; Bone Density; Female; Fractures, Bone; Humans; Hyperthyroidism; Hypothyroidism; Male; Risk Factors

Fatty acid biomarkers of dairy fat consumption and incidence of type 2 diabetes: A pooled analysis of prospective cohort studies. - Imamura, Fumiaki; Fretts, Amanda; Marklund, Matti; Ardisson Korat, Andres V; Yang, Wei-Sin; Lankinen, Maria; Qureshi, Waqas; Helmer, Catherine; Chen, Tzu-An; Wong, Kerry; Bassett, Julie K; Murphy, Rachel; et al. (PLoS Med, 2018)
BACKGROUND: We aimed to investigate prospective associations of circulating or adipose tissue odd-chain fatty acids 15:0 and 17:0 and trans-palmitoleic acid, t16:1n-7, as potential biomarkers of dairy fat intake, with incident type 2 diabetes (T2D). METHODS AND FINDINGS: Sixteen prospective cohorts from 12 countries (7 from the United States, 7 from Europe, 1 from Australia, 1 from Taiwan) performed new harmonised individual-level analysis for the prospective associations according to a standardised plan. In total, 63,682 participants with a broad range of baseline ages and BMIs and 15,180 incident cases of T2D over the average of 9 years of follow-up were evaluated. Study-specific results were pooled using inverse-variance-weighted meta-analysis. Prespecified interactions by age, sex, BMI, and race/ethnicity were explored in each cohort and were meta-analysed. Potential heterogeneity by cohort-specific characteristics (regions, lipid compartments used for fatty acid assays) was assessed with metaregression. After adjustment for potential confounders, including measures of adiposity (BMI, waist circumference) and lipogenesis (levels of palmitate, triglycerides), higher levels of 15:0, 17:0, and t16:1n-7 were associated with lower incidence of T2D. In the most adjusted model, the hazard ratio (95% CI) for incident T2D per cohort-specific 10th to 90th percentile range of 15:0 was 0.80 (0.73-0.87); of 17:0, 0.65 (0.59-0.72); of t16:1n7, 0.82 (0.70-0.96); and of their sum, 0.71 (0.63-0.79). In exploratory analyses, similar associations for 15:0, 17:0, and the sum of all three fatty acids were present in both genders but stronger in women than in men (pinteraction < 0.001). Whereas studying associations with biomarkers has several advantages, as limitations, the biomarkers do not distinguish between different food sources of dairy fat (e.g., cheese, yogurt, milk), and residual confounding by unmeasured or imprecisely measured confounders may exist. CONCLUSIONS: In a large meta-analysis that pooled the findings from 16 prospective cohort studies, higher levels of 15:0, 17:0, and t16:1n-7 were associated with a lower risk of T2D.
Keywords: Aged; Australia; Biomarkers; Dairy Products; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Dietary Fats; Europe; Fatty Acids; Fatty Acids, Monounsaturated; Female; Humans; Incidence; Male; Middle Aged; Prospective Studies; Sex Factors; Taiwan; United States

Metabolic Clusters and Outcomes in Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Mukamal, Kenneth J; Siscovick, David S; de Boer, Ian H; Ix, Joachim H; Kizer, Jorge R; Djoussé, Luc; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Tracy, Russell P; Boyko, Edward J; Kahn, Steven E; Arnold, Alice M (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2018)
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Few studies have the requisite phenotypic information to define metabolic patterns that may inform our understanding of the pathophysiology and consequences of diabetes in older adults. We sought to characterize clusters of older adults on the basis of shared metabolic features. DESIGN: Population-based prospective cohort study. SETTING: Four U.S. Cardiovascular Health Study field centers. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals aged 65 and older taking no glucose-lowering agents (N = 2,231). MEASUREMENTS: K-means cluster analysis of 11 metabolic parameters (fasting and postload serum glucose and plasma insulin, fasting C-peptide, body mass index, C-reactive protein (CRP), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), albuminuria, carboxymethyl lysine (an advanced glycation end-product), procollagen III N-terminal propeptide (a fibrotic marker)) and their associations with incident cardiovascular disease, diabetes, disability, and mortality over 8 to 14.5 years of follow-up and with measures of subclinical cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: A 6-cluster solution provided robust differentiation into distinct, identifiable clusters. Cluster A (n = 739) had the lowest glucose and insulin and highest eGFR and the lowest rates of all outcomes. Cluster B (n = 419) had high glucose and insulin and intermediate rates of most outcomes. Cluster C (n = 118) had the highest insulin. Cluster D (n = 129) had the highest glucose with much lower insulin. Cluster E (n = 314) had the lowest eGFR and highest albuminuria. Cluster F (n = 512) had the highest CRP. Rates of CVD, mortality, and subclinical atherosclerosis were highest in clusters C, D, and E and were similar to rates in participants with treated diabetes. Incidence of disability was highest in Cluster C. CONCLUSION: Clustering according to metabolic parameters identifies distinct phenotypes that are strongly associated with clinical and functional outcomes, even at advanced age.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Blood Glucose; C-Reactive Protein; Cardiovascular Diseases; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Incidence; Insulin; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; United States

Predictive value for cardiovascular events of common carotid intima media thickness and its rate of change in individuals at high cardiovascular risk - Results from the PROG-IMT collaboration. - Lorenz, Matthias W; Gao, Lu; Ziegelbauer, Kathrin; Norata, Giuseppe Danilo; Empana, Jean Philippe; Schmidtmann, Irene; Lin, Hung-Ju; McLachlan, Stela; Bokemark, Lena; Ronkainen, Kimmo; Amato, Mauro; Schminke, Ulf; et al. (PLoS One, 2018)
AIMS: Carotid intima media thickness (CIMT) predicts cardiovascular (CVD) events, but the predictive value of CIMT change is debated. We assessed the relation between CIMT change and events in individuals at high cardiovascular risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: From 31 cohorts with two CIMT scans (total n = 89070) on average 3.6 years apart and clinical follow-up, subcohorts were drawn: (A) individuals with at least 3 cardiovascular risk factors without previous CVD events, (B) individuals with carotid plaques without previous CVD events, and (C) individuals with previous CVD events. Cox regression models were fit to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of the combined endpoint (myocardial infarction, stroke or vascular death) per standard deviation (SD) of CIMT change, adjusted for CVD risk factors. These HRs were pooled across studies. In groups A, B and C we observed 3483, 2845 and 1165 endpoint events, respectively. Average common CIMT was 0.79mm (SD 0.16mm), and annual common CIMT change was 0.01mm (SD 0.07mm), both in group A. The pooled HR per SD of annual common CIMT change (0.02 to 0.43mm) was 0.99 (95% confidence interval: 0.95-1.02) in group A, 0.98 (0.93-1.04) in group B, and 0.95 (0.89-1.04) in group C. The HR per SD of common CIMT (average of the first and the second CIMT scan, 0.09 to 0.75mm) was 1.15 (1.07-1.23) in group A, 1.13 (1.05-1.22) in group B, and 1.12 (1.05-1.20) in group C. CONCLUSIONS: We confirm that common CIMT is associated with future CVD events in individuals at high risk. CIMT change does not relate to future event risk in high-risk individuals.
Keywords: Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Carotid Intima-Media Thickness; Female; Humans; Intersectoral Collaboration; Male; Middle Aged; Prognosis; Risk Factors

Protein and glycomic plasma markers for early detection of adenoma and colon cancer. - Rho, Jung-Hyun; Ladd, Jon J; Li, Christopher I; Potter, John D; Zhang, Yuzheng; Shelley, David; Shibata, David; Coppola, Domenico; Yamada, Hiroyuki; Toyoda, Hidenori; Tada, Toshifumi; Kumada, Takashi; et al. (Gut, 2018)
OBJECTIVE: To discover and confirm blood-based colon cancer early-detection markers. DESIGN: We created a high-density antibody microarray to detect differences in protein levels in plasma from individuals diagnosed with colon cancer <3 years after blood was drawn (ie, prediagnostic) and cancer-free, matched controls. Potential markers were tested on plasma samples from people diagnosed with adenoma or cancer, compared with controls. Components of an optimal 5-marker panel were tested via immunoblotting using a third sample set, Luminex assay in a large fourth sample set and immunohistochemistry (IHC) on tissue microarrays. RESULTS: In the prediagnostic samples, we found 78 significantly (t-test) increased proteins, 32 of which were confirmed in the diagnostic samples. From these 32, optimal 4-marker panels of BAG family molecular chaperone regulator 4 (BAG4), interleukin-6 receptor subunit beta (IL6ST), von Willebrand factor (VWF) and CD44 or epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) were established. Each panel member and the panels also showed increases in the diagnostic adenoma and cancer samples in independent third and fourth sample sets via immunoblot and Luminex, respectively. IHC results showed increased levels of BAG4, IL6ST and CD44 in adenoma and cancer tissues. Inclusion of EGFR and CD44 sialyl Lewis-A and Lewis-X content increased the panel performance. The protein/glycoprotein panel was statistically significantly higher in colon cancer samples, characterised by a range of area under the curves from 0.90 (95% CI 0.82 to 0.98) to 0.86 (95% CI 0.83 to 0.88), for the larger second and fourth sets, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A panel including BAG4, IL6ST, VWF, EGFR and CD44 protein/glycomics performed well for detection of early stages of colon cancer and should be further examined in larger studies.
Keywords: Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing; Adenoma; Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Biomarkers, Tumor; CA-19-9 Antigen; Case-Control Studies; Colonic Neoplasms; Cytokine Receptor gp130; Early Detection of Cancer; ErbB Receptors; Female; Humans; Hyaluronan Receptors; Lewis X Antigen; Male; Middle Aged; Oligosaccharides; Protein Array Analysis; von Willebrand Factor

Associations of variants In the hexokinase 1 and interleukin 18 receptor regions with oxyhemoglobin saturation during sleep. - Cade, Brian E; Chen, Han; Stilp, Adrienne M; Louie, Tin; Ancoli-Israel, Sonia; Arens, Raanan; Barfield, Richard; Below, Jennifer E; Cai, Jianwen; Conomos, Matthew P; Evans, Daniel S; Frazier-Wood, Alexis C; et al. (PLoS Genet, 2019)
Sleep disordered breathing (SDB)-related overnight hypoxemia is associated with cardiometabolic disease and other comorbidities. Understanding the genetic bases for variations in nocturnal hypoxemia may help understand mechanisms influencing oxygenation and SDB-related mortality. We conducted genome-wide association tests across 10 cohorts and 4 populations to identify genetic variants associated with three correlated measures of overnight oxyhemoglobin saturation: average and minimum oxyhemoglobin saturation during sleep and the percent of sleep with oxyhemoglobin saturation under 90%. The discovery sample consisted of 8,326 individuals. Variants with p < 1 × 10(-6) were analyzed in a replication group of 14,410 individuals. We identified 3 significantly associated regions, including 2 regions in multi-ethnic analyses (2q12, 10q22). SNPs in the 2q12 region associated with minimum SpO2 (rs78136548 p = 2.70 × 10(-10)). SNPs at 10q22 were associated with all three traits including average SpO2 (rs72805692 p = 4.58 × 10(-8)). SNPs in both regions were associated in over 20,000 individuals and are supported by prior associations or functional evidence. Four additional significant regions were detected in secondary sex-stratified and combined discovery and replication analyses, including a region overlapping Reelin, a known marker of respiratory complex neurons.These are the first genome-wide significant findings reported for oxyhemoglobin saturation during sleep, a phenotype of high clinical interest. Our replicated associations with HK1 and IL18R1 suggest that variants in inflammatory pathways, such as the biologically-plausible NLRP3 inflammasome, may contribute to nocturnal hypoxemia.
Keywords: Adolescent; Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cell Adhesion Molecules, Neuronal; Computational Biology; Extracellular Matrix Proteins; Female; Gene Regulatory Networks; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Hexokinase; Humans; Hypoxia; Interleukin-18 Receptor alpha Subunit; Male; Middle Aged; Nerve Tissue Proteins; NLR Family, Pyrin Domain-Containing 3 Protein; Oxygen; Oxyhemoglobins; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Quantitative Trait Loci; Serine Endopeptidases; Sleep; Sleep Apnea Syndromes; Young Adult

Blood Leukocyte DNA Methylation Predicts Risk of Future Myocardial Infarction and Coronary Heart Disease. - Agha, Golareh; Mendelson, Michael M; Ward-Caviness, Cavin K; Joehanes, Roby; Huan, Tianxiao; Gondalia, Rahul; Salfati, Elias; Brody, Jennifer A; Fiorito, Giovanni; Bressler, Jan; Chen, Brian H; Ligthart, Symen; et al. (Circulation, 2019)
BACKGROUND: DNA methylation is implicated in coronary heart disease (CHD), but current evidence is based on small, cross-sectional studies. We examined blood DNA methylation in relation to incident CHD across multiple prospective cohorts. METHODS: Nine population-based cohorts from the United States and Europe profiled epigenome-wide blood leukocyte DNA methylation using the Illumina Infinium 450k microarray, and prospectively ascertained CHD events including coronary insufficiency/unstable angina, recognized myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, and coronary death. Cohorts conducted race-specific analyses adjusted for age, sex, smoking, education, body mass index, blood cell type proportions, and technical variables. We conducted fixed-effect meta-analyses across cohorts. RESULTS: Among 11 461 individuals (mean age 64 years, 67% women, 35% African American) free of CHD at baseline, 1895 developed CHD during a mean follow-up of 11.2 years. Methylation levels at 52 CpG (cytosine-phosphate-guanine) sites were associated with incident CHD or myocardial infarction (false discovery rate<0.05). These CpGs map to genes with key roles in calcium regulation (ATP2B2, CASR, GUCA1B, HPCAL1), and genes identified in genome- and epigenome-wide studies of serum calcium (CASR), serum calcium-related risk of CHD (CASR), coronary artery calcified plaque (PTPRN2), and kidney function (CDH23, HPCAL1), among others. Mendelian randomization analyses supported a causal effect of DNA methylation on incident CHD; these CpGs map to active regulatory regions proximal to long non-coding RNA transcripts. CONCLUSION: Methylation of blood-derived DNA is associated with risk of future CHD across diverse populations and may serve as an informative tool for gaining further insight on the development of CHD.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Cohort Studies; Coronary Disease; CpG Islands; DNA Methylation; Europe; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Incidence; Leukocytes; Male; Middle Aged; Myocardial Infarction; Population Groups; Prognosis; Prospective Studies; Risk; United States

Discriminative Accuracy of FEV1:FVC Thresholds for COPD-Related Hospitalization and Mortality. - Bhatt, Surya P; Balte, Pallavi P; Schwartz, Joseph E; Cassano, Patricia A; Couper, David; Jacobs, David R; Kalhan, Ravi; O'Connor, George T; Yende, Sachin; Sanders, Jason L; Umans, Jason G; Dransfield, Mark T; et al. (JAMA, 2019)
Importance: According to numerous current guidelines, the diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) requires a ratio of the forced expiratory volume in the first second to the forced vital capacity (FEV1:FVC) of less than 0.70, yet this fixed threshold is based on expert opinion and remains controversial. Objective: To determine the discriminative accuracy of various FEV1:FVC fixed thresholds for predicting COPD-related hospitalization and mortality. Design, Setting, and Participants: The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) Pooled Cohorts Study harmonized and pooled data from 4 US general population-based cohorts (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study; Cardiovascular Health Study; Health, Aging, and Body Composition Study; and Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis). Participants aged 45 to 102 years were enrolled from 1987 to 2000 and received follow-up longitudinally through 2016. Exposures: Presence of airflow obstruction, which was defined by a baseline FEV1:FVC less than a range of fixed thresholds (0.75 to 0.65) or less than the lower limit of normal as defined by Global Lung Initiative reference equations (LLN). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was a composite of COPD hospitalization and COPD-related mortality, defined by adjudication or administrative criteria. The optimal fixed FEV1:FVC threshold was defined by the best discrimination for these COPD-related events as indexed using the Harrell C statistic from unadjusted Cox proportional hazards models. Differences in C statistics were compared with respect to less than 0.70 and less than LLN thresholds using a nonparametric approach. Results: Among 24 207 adults in the pooled cohort (mean [SD] age at enrollment, 63 [10.5] years; 12 990 [54%] women; 16 794 [69%] non-Hispanic white; 15 181 [63%] ever smokers), complete follow-up was available for 11 077 (77%) at 15 years. During a median follow-up of 15 years, 3925 participants experienced COPD-related events over 340 757 person-years of follow-up (incidence density rate, 11.5 per 1000 person-years), including 3563 COPD-related hospitalizations and 447 COPD-related deaths. With respect to discrimination of COPD-related events, the optimal fixed threshold (0.71; C statistic for optimal fixed threshold, 0.696) was not significantly different from the 0.70 threshold (difference, 0.001 [95% CI, -0.002 to 0.004]) but was more accurate than the LLN threshold (difference, 0.034 [95% CI, 0.028 to 0.041]). The 0.70 threshold provided optimal discrimination in the subgroup analysis of ever smokers and in adjusted models. Conclusions and Relevance: Defining airflow obstruction as FEV1:FVC less than 0.70 provided discrimination of COPD-related hospitalization and mortality that was not significantly different or was more accurate than other fixed thresholds and the LLN. These results support the use of FEV1:FVC less than 0.70 to identify individuals at risk of clinically significant COPD.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cohort Studies; Female; Forced Expiratory Volume; Hospitalization; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Prognosis; Proportional Hazards Models; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive; Risk Assessment; Vital Capacity

Genome-Wide Association Study of Apparent Treatment-Resistant Hypertension in the CHARGE Consortium: The CHARGE Pharmacogenetics Working Group. - Irvin, Marguerite R; Sitlani, Colleen M; Floyd, James S; Psaty, Bruce M; Bis, Joshua C; Wiggins, Kerri L; Whitsel, Eric A; Stürmer, Til; Stewart, James; Raffield, Laura; Sun, Fangui; Liu, Ching-Ti; et al. (Am J Hypertens, 2019)
BACKGROUND: Only a handful of genetic discovery efforts in apparent treatment-resistant hypertension (aTRH) have been described. METHODS: We conducted a case-control genome-wide association study of aTRH among persons treated for hypertension, using data from 10 cohorts of European ancestry (EA) and 5 cohorts of African ancestry (AA). Cases were treated with 3 different antihypertensive medication classes and had blood pressure (BP) above goal (systolic BP ≥ 140 mm Hg and/or diastolic BP ≥ 90 mm Hg) or 4 or more medication classes regardless of BP control (nEA = 931, nAA = 228). Both a normotensive control group and a treatment-responsive control group were considered in separate analyses. Normotensive controls were untreated (nEA = 14,210, nAA = 2,480) and had systolic BP/diastolic BP < 140/90 mm Hg. Treatment-responsive controls (nEA = 5,266, nAA = 1,817) had BP at goal (<140/90 mm Hg), while treated with one antihypertensive medication class. Individual cohorts used logistic regression with adjustment for age, sex, study site, and principal components for ancestry to examine the association of single-nucleotide polymorphisms with case-control status. Inverse variance-weighted fixed-effects meta-analyses were carried out using METAL. RESULTS: The known hypertension locus, CASZ1, was a top finding among EAs (P = 1.1 × 10-8) and in the race-combined analysis (P = 1.5 × 10-9) using the normotensive control group (rs12046278, odds ratio = 0.71 (95% confidence interval: 0.6-0.8)). Single-nucleotide polymorphisms in this locus were robustly replicated in the Million Veterans Program (MVP) study in consideration of a treatment-responsive control group. There were no statistically significant findings for the discovery analyses including treatment-responsive controls. CONCLUSION: This genomic discovery effort for aTRH identified CASZ1 as an aTRH risk locus.
Keywords: Aged; Antihypertensive Agents; Black or African American; Blood Pressure; Case-Control Studies; DNA (Cytosine-5-)-Methyltransferases; DNA Methyltransferase 3A; DNA-Binding Proteins; Drug Resistance; Dystrophin-Associated Proteins; Europe; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Hypertension; Male; Middle Aged; Myosin Heavy Chains; Myosin Type V; Neuropeptides; Pharmacogenetics; Pharmacogenomic Variants; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Transcription Factors; United States; White People

Multi-ancestry study of blood lipid levels identifies four loci interacting with physical activity. - Kilpeläinen, Tuomas O; Bentley, Amy R; Noordam, Raymond; Sung, Yun Ju; Schwander, Karen; Winkler, Thomas W; Jakupović, Hermina; Chasman, Daniel I; Manning, Alisa; Ntalla, Ioanna; Aschard, Hugues; Brown, Michael R; et al. (Nat Commun, 2019)
Many genetic loci affect circulating lipid levels, but it remains unknown whether lifestyle factors, such as physical activity, modify these genetic effects. To identify lipid loci interacting with physical activity, we performed genome-wide analyses of circulating HDL cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, and triglyceride levels in up to 120,979 individuals of European, African, Asian, Hispanic, and Brazilian ancestry, with follow-up of suggestive associations in an additional 131,012 individuals. We find four loci, in/near CLASP1, LHX1, SNTA1, and CNTNAP2, that are associated with circulating lipid levels through interaction with physical activity; higher levels of physical activity enhance the HDL cholesterol-increasing effects of the CLASP1, LHX1, and SNTA1 loci and attenuate the LDL cholesterol-increasing effect of the CNTNAP2 locus. The CLASP1, LHX1, and SNTA1 regions harbor genes linked to muscle function and lipid metabolism. Our results elucidate the role of physical activity interactions in the genetic contribution to blood lipid levels.
Keywords: Adolescent; Adult; African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Asian Continental Ancestry Group; Brazil; Calcium-Binding Proteins; Cholesterol; Cholesterol, HDL; Cholesterol, LDL; European Continental Ancestry Group; Exercise; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Hispanic Americans; Humans; LIM-Homeodomain Proteins; Lipid Metabolism; Lipids; Male; Membrane Proteins; Microtubule-Associated Proteins; Middle Aged; Muscle Proteins; Nerve Tissue Proteins; Transcription Factors; Triglycerides; Young Adult

No causal effects of serum urate levels on the risk of chronic kidney disease: A Mendelian randomization study. - Jordan, Daniel M; Choi, Hyon K; Verbanck, Marie; Topless, Ruth; Won, Hong-Hee; Nadkarni, Girish; Merriman, Tony R; Do, Ron (PLoS Med, 2019)
BACKGROUND: Studies have shown strong positive associations between serum urate (SU) levels and chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk; however, whether the relation is causal remains uncertain. We evaluate whether genetic data are consistent with a causal impact of SU level on the risk of CKD and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). METHODS AND FINDINGS: We used Mendelian randomization (MR) methods to evaluate the presence of a causal effect. We used aggregated genome-wide association data (N = 110,347 for SU, N = 69,374 for gout, N = 133,413 for eGFR, N = 117,165 for CKD), electronic-medical-record-linked UK Biobank data (N = 335,212), and population-based cohorts (N = 13,425), all in individuals of European ancestry, for SU levels and CKD. Our MR analysis showed that SU has a causal effect on neither eGFR level nor CKD risk across all MR analyses (all P > 0.05). These null associations contrasted with our epidemiological association findings from the 4 population-based cohorts (change in eGFR level per 1-mg/dl [59.48 μmol/l] increase in SU: -1.99 ml/min/1.73 m2; 95% CI -2.86 to -1.11; P = 8.08 × 10(-6); odds ratio [OR] for CKD: 1.48; 95% CI 1.32 to 1.65; P = 1.52 × 10(-11)). In contrast, the same MR approaches showed that SU has a causal effect on the risk of gout (OR estimates ranging from 3.41 to 6.04 per 1-mg/dl increase in SU, all P < 10-3), which served as a positive control of our approach. Overall, our MR analysis had >99% power to detect a causal effect of SU level on the risk of CKD of the same magnitude as the observed epidemiological association between SU and CKD. Limitations of this study include the lifelong effect of a genetic perturbation not being the same as an acute perturbation, the inability to study non-European populations, and some sample overlap between the datasets used in the study. CONCLUSIONS: Evidence from our series of causal inference approaches using genetics does not support a causal effect of SU level on eGFR level or CKD risk. Reducing SU levels is unlikely to reduce the risk of CKD development.
Keywords: Adult; Age Factors; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Male; Mendelian Randomization Analysis; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic; Sex Factors; Uric Acid; Young Adult

Alzheimer Disease Pathology-Associated Polymorphism in a Complex Variable Number of Tandem Repeat Region Within the MUC6 Gene, Near the AP2A2 Gene. - Katsumata, Yuriko; Fardo, David W; Bachstetter, Adam D; Artiushin, Sergey C; Wang, Wang-Xia; Wei, Angela; Brzezinski, Lena J; Nelson, Bela G; Huang, Qingwei; Abner, Erin L; Anderson, Sonya; Patel, Indumati; et al. (J Neuropathol Exp Neurol, 2020)
We found evidence of late-onset Alzheimer disease (LOAD)-associated genetic polymorphism within an exon of Mucin 6 (MUC6) and immediately downstream from another gene: Adaptor Related Protein Complex 2 Subunit Alpha 2 (AP2A2). PCR analyses on genomic DNA samples confirmed that the size of the MUC6 variable number tandem repeat (VNTR) region was highly polymorphic. In a cohort of autopsied subjects with quantitative digital pathology data (n = 119), the size of the polymorphic region was associated with the severity of pTau pathology in neocortex. In a separate replication cohort of autopsied subjects (n = 173), more pTau pathology was again observed in subjects with longer VNTR regions (p = 0.031). Unlike MUC6, AP2A2 is highly expressed in human brain. AP2A2 expression was lower in a subset analysis of brain samples from persons with longer versus shorter VNTR regions (p = 0.014 normalizing with AP2B1 expression). Double-label immunofluorescence studies showed that AP2A2 protein often colocalized with neurofibrillary tangles in LOAD but was not colocalized with pTau proteinopathy in progressive supranuclear palsy, or with TDP-43 proteinopathy. In summary, polymorphism in a repeat-rich region near AP2A2 was associated with neocortical pTau proteinopathy (because of the unique repeats, prior genome-wide association studies were probably unable to detect this association), and AP2A2 was often colocalized with neurofibrillary tangles in LOAD.
Keywords: Adaptor Protein Complex 2; Adaptor Protein Complex alpha Subunits; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Autopsy; Cohort Studies; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Humans; Male; Minisatellite Repeats; Mucin-6; Neurofibrillary Tangles; Polymorphism, Genetic; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; TDP-43 Proteinopathies

Association of Genetic Variation With Keratoconus. - McComish, Bennet J; Sahebjada, Srujana; Bykhovskaya, Yelena; Willoughby, Colin E; Richardson, Andrea J; Tenen, Abi; Charlesworth, Jac C; Macgregor, Stuart; Mitchell, Paul; Lucas, Sionne E M; Mills, Richard A; Mackey, David A; et al. (JAMA Ophthalmol, 2020)
Importance: Keratoconus is a condition in which the cornea progressively thins and protrudes in a conical shape, severely affecting refraction and vision. It is a major indication for corneal transplant. To discover new genetic loci associated with keratoconus and better understand the causative mechanism of this disease, we performed a genome-wide association study on patients with keratoconus. Objective: To identify genetic susceptibility regions for keratoconus in the human genome. Design, Setting, and Participants: This study was conducted with data from eye clinics in Australia, the United States, and Northern Ireland. The discovery cohort of individuals with keratoconus and control participants from Australia was genotyped using the Illumina HumanCoreExome single-nucleotide polymorphism array. After quality control and data cleaning, genotypes were imputed against the 1000 Genomes Project reference panel (phase III; version 5), and association analyses were completed using PLINK version 1.90. Single-nucleotide polymorphisms with P < 1.00 × 10-6 were assessed for replication in 3 additional cohorts. Control participants were drawn from the cohorts of the Blue Mountains Eye Study and a previous study of glaucoma. Replication cohorts were from a previous keratoconus genome-wide association study data set from the United States, a cohort of affected and control participants from Australia and Northern Ireland, and a case-control cohort from Victoria, Australia. Data were collected from January 2006 to March 2019. Main Outcomes and Measures: Associations between keratoconus and 6 252 612 genetic variants were estimated using logistic regression after adjusting for ancestry using the first 3 principal components. Results: The discovery cohort included 522 affected individuals and 655 control participants, while the replication cohorts included 818 affected individuals (222 from the United States, 331 from Australia and Northern Ireland, and 265 from Victoria, Australia) and 3858 control participants (2927 from the United States, 229 from Australia and Northern Ireland, and 702 from Victoria, Australia). Two novel loci reached genome-wide significance (defined as P < 5.00 × 10-8), with a P value of 7.46 × 10-9 at rs61876744 in patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing 2 gene (PNPLA2) on chromosome 11 and a P value of 6.35 × 10-12 at rs138380, 2.2 kb upstream of casein kinase I isoform epsilon gene (CSNK1E) on chromosome 22. One additional locus was identified with a P value less than 1.00 × 10-6 in mastermind-like transcriptional coactivator 2 (MAML2) on chromosome 11 (P = 3.91 × 10-7). The novel locus in PNPLA2 reached genome-wide significance in an analysis of all 4 cohorts (P = 2.45 × 10-8). Conclusions and Relevance: In this relatively large keratoconus genome-wide association study, we identified a genome-wide significant locus for keratoconus in the region of PNPLA2 on chromosome 11.
Keywords: Adult; Female; Fuchs' Endothelial Dystrophy; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Keratoconus; Lipase; Logistic Models; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Association of Nonobstructive Chronic Bronchitis With Respiratory Health Outcomes in Adults. - Balte, Pallavi P; Chaves, Paulo H M; Couper, David J; Enright, Paul; Jacobs, David R; Kalhan, Ravi; Kronmal, Richard A; Loehr, Laura R; London, Stephanie J; Newman, Anne B; O'Connor, George T; Schwartz, Joseph E; et al. (JAMA Intern Med, 2020)
Importance: Chronic bronchitis has been associated with cigarette smoking as well as with e-cigarette use among young adults, but the association of chronic bronchitis in persons without airflow obstruction or clinical asthma, described as nonobstructive chronic bronchitis, with respiratory health outcomes remains uncertain. Objective: To assess whether nonobstructive chronic bronchitis is associated with adverse respiratory health outcomes in adult ever smokers and never smokers. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective cohort study included 22 325 adults without initial airflow obstruction (defined as the ratio of forced expiratory volume in the first second [FEV1] to forced vital capacity [FVC] of <0.70) or clinical asthma at baseline. The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) Pooled Cohorts Study harmonized and pooled data from 9 US general population-based cohorts. Thus present study is based on data from 5 of these cohorts. Participants were enrolled from August 1971 through May 2007 and were followed up through December 2018. Exposures: Nonobstructive chronic bronchitis was defined by questionnaire at baseline as both cough and phlegm for at least 3 months for at least 2 consecutive years. Main Outcomes and Measures: Lung function was measured by prebronchodilator spirometry. Hospitalizations and deaths due to chronic lower respiratory disease and respiratory disease-related mortality were defined by events adjudication and administrative criteria. Models were stratified by smoking status and adjusted for anthropometric, sociodemographic, and smoking-related factors. The comparison group was participants without nonobstructive chronic bronchitis. Results: Among 22 325 adults included in the analysis, mean (SD) age was 53.0 (16.3) years (range, 18.0-95.0 years), 58.2% were female, 65.9% were non-Hispanic white, and 49.6% were ever smokers. Among 11 082 ever smokers with 99 869 person-years of follow-up, participants with nonobstructive chronic bronchitis (300 [2.7%]) had accelerated decreases in FEV1 (4.1 mL/y; 95% CI, 2.1-6.1 mL/y) and FVC (4.7 mL/y; 95% CI, 2.2-7.2 mL/y), increased risks of chronic lower respiratory disease-related hospitalization or mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 2.2; 95% CI, 1.7-2.7), and greater respiratory disease-related (HR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.1-3.8) and all-cause mortality (HR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.3-1.8) compared with ever smokers without nonobstructive chronic bronchitis. Among 11 243 never smokers with 120 004 person-years of follow-up, participants with nonobstructive chronic bronchitis (151 [1.3%]) had greater rates of chronic lower respiratory disease-related hospitalization or mortality (HR, 3.1; 95% CI, 2.1-4.5) compared with never smokers without nonobstructive chronic bronchitis. Nonobstructive chronic bronchitis was not associated with FEV1:FVC decline or incident airflow obstruction. The presence of at least 1 of the component symptoms of nonobstructive chronic bronchitis (ie, chronic cough or phlegm), which was common in both ever smokers (11.0%) and never smokers (6.7%), was associated with adverse respiratory health outcomes. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings suggest that nonobstructive chronic bronchitis is associated with adverse respiratory health outcomes, particularly in ever smokers, and may be a high-risk phenotype suitable for risk stratification and targeted therapies.
Keywords: Adolescent; Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Asthma; Bronchitis, Chronic; Female; Humans; Lung; Male; Middle Aged; Prospective Studies; Respiratory Function Tests; Smokers; Smoking; Young Adult

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and related phenotypes: polygenic risk scores in population-based and case-control cohorts. - Moll, Matthew; Sakornsakolpat, Phuwanat; Shrine, Nick; Hobbs, Brian D; DeMeo, Dawn L; John, Catherine; Guyatt, Anna L; McGeachie, Michael J; Gharib, Sina A; Obeidat, Ma'en; Lahousse, Lies; Wijnant, Sara R A; et al. (Lancet Respir Med, 2020)
BACKGROUND: Genetic factors influence chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) risk, but the individual variants that have been identified have small effects. We hypothesised that a polygenic risk score using additional variants would predict COPD and associated phenotypes. METHODS: We constructed a polygenic risk score using a genome-wide association study of lung function (FEV and FEV/forced vital capacity [FVC]) from the UK Biobank and SpiroMeta. We tested this polygenic risk score in nine cohorts of multiple ethnicities for an association with moderate-to-severe COPD (defined as FEV/FVC <0·7 and FEV <80% of predicted). Associations were tested using logistic regression models, adjusting for age, sex, height, smoking pack-years, and principal components of genetic ancestry. We assessed predictive performance of models by area under the curve. In a subset of studies, we also studied quantitative and qualitative CT imaging phenotypes that reflect parenchymal and airway pathology, and patterns of reduced lung growth. FINDINGS: The polygenic risk score was associated with COPD in European (odds ratio [OR] per SD 1·81 [95% CI 1·74-1·88] and non-European (1·42 [1·34-1·51]) populations. Compared with the first decile, the tenth decile of the polygenic risk score was associated with COPD, with an OR of 7·99 (6·56-9·72) in European ancestry and 4·83 (3·45-6·77) in non-European ancestry cohorts. The polygenic risk score was superior to previously described genetic risk scores and, when combined with clinical risk factors (ie, age, sex, and smoking pack-years), showed improved prediction for COPD compared with a model comprising clinical risk factors alone (AUC 0·80 [0·79-0·81] vs 0·76 [0·75-0·76]). The polygenic risk score was associated with CT imaging phenotypes, including wall area percent, quantitative and qualitative measures of emphysema, local histogram emphysema patterns, and destructive emphysema subtypes. The polygenic risk score was associated with a reduced lung growth pattern. INTERPRETATION: A risk score comprised of genetic variants can identify a small subset of individuals at markedly increased risk for moderate-to-severe COPD, emphysema subtypes associated with cigarette smoking, and patterns of reduced lung growth. FUNDING: US National Institutes of Health, Wellcome Trust.
Keywords: Adult; Case-Control Studies; Cohort Studies; Female; Forced Expiratory Volume; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Phenotype; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive; Risk Factors; Vital Capacity

Coagulation factor VIII, white matter hyperintensities and cognitive function: Results from the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Rohmann, Jessica L; Longstreth, W T; Cushman, Mary; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Heckbert, Susan R; Rice, Kenneth; Rosendaal, Frits R; Sitlani, Colleen M; Psaty, Bruce M; Siegerink, Bob (PLoS One, 2020)
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relationship between high FVIII clotting activity (FVIII:C), MRI-defined white matter hyperintensities (WMH) and cognitive function over time. METHODS: Data from the population-based Cardiovascular Health Study (n = 5,888, aged ≥65) were used. FVIII:C was measured in blood samples taken at baseline. WMH burden was assessed on two cranial MRI scans taken roughly 5 years apart. Cognitive function was assessed annually using the Modified Mini-Mental State Examination (3MSE) and Digit Symbol Substitution Test (DSST). We used ordinal logistic regression models adjusted for demographic and cardiovascular factors in cross-sectional and longitudinal WMH analyses, and adjusted linear regression and linear mixed models in the analyses of cognitive function. RESULTS: After adjustment for confounding, higher levels of FVIII:C were not strongly associated with the burden of WMH on the initial MRI scan (OR>p75 = 1.20, 95% CI 0.99-1.45; N = 2,735) nor with WMH burden worsening over time (OR>p75 = 1.18, 95% CI 0.87-1.59; N = 1,527). High FVIII:C showed no strong association with cognitive scores cross-sectionally (3MSE>p75 β = -0.06, 95%CI -0.45 to 0.32, N = 4,005; DSST>p75 β = -0.69, 95%CI -1.52 to 0.13, N = 3,954) or over time (3MSE>p75 β = -0.07,95% CI -0.58 to 0.44, N = 2,764; DSST>p75 β = -0.22, 95% CI -0.97 to 0.53, N = 2,306) after confounding adjustment. INTERPRETATION: The results from this cohort study of older adult participants indicate no strong relationships between higher FVIII:C levels and WMH burden or cognitive function in cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses.
Keywords: Aged; Blood Coagulation; Cognition; Cross-Sectional Studies; Factor VIII; Female; Humans; Logistic Models; Longitudinal Studies; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Mental Status and Dementia Tests; Up-Regulation; White Matter

Lung function decline in former smokers and low-intensity current smokers: a secondary data analysis of the NHLBI Pooled Cohorts Study. - Oelsner, Elizabeth C; Balte, Pallavi P; Bhatt, Surya P; Cassano, Patricia A; Couper, David; Folsom, Aaron R; Freedman, Neal D; Jacobs, David R; Kalhan, Ravi; Mathew, Amanda R; Kronmal, Richard A; Loehr, Laura R; et al. (Lancet Respir Med, 2020)
BACKGROUND: Former smokers now outnumber current smokers in many developed countries, and current smokers are smoking fewer cigarettes per day. Some data suggest that lung function decline normalises with smoking cessation; however, mechanistic studies suggest that lung function decline could continue. We hypothesised that former smokers and low-intensity current smokers have accelerated lung function decline compared with never-smokers, including among those without prevalent lung disease. METHODS: We used data on six US population-based cohorts included in the NHLBI Pooled Cohort Study. We restricted the sample to participants with valid spirometry at two or more exams. Two cohorts recruited younger adults (≥17 years), two recruited middle-aged and older adults (≥45 years), and two recruited only elderly adults (≥65 years) with examinations done between 1983 and 2014. FEV decline in sustained former smokers and current smokers was compared to that of never-smokers by use of mixed models adjusted for sociodemographic and anthropometric factors. Differential FEV decline was also evaluated according to duration of smoking cessation and cumulative (number of pack-years) and current (number of cigarettes per day) cigarette consumption. FINDINGS: 25 352 participants (ages 17-93 years) completed 70 228 valid spirometry exams. Over a median follow-up of 7 years (IQR 3-20), FEV decline at the median age (57 years) was 31·01 mL per year (95% CI 30·66-31·37) in sustained never-smokers, 34·97 mL per year (34·36-35·57) in former smokers, and 39·92 mL per year (38·92-40·92) in current smokers. With adjustment, former smokers showed an accelerated FEV decline of 1·82 mL per year (95% CI 1·24-2·40) compared to never-smokers, which was approximately 20% of the effect estimate for current smokers (9·21 mL per year; 95% CI 8·35-10·08). Compared to never-smokers, accelerated FEV decline was observed in former smokers for decades after smoking cessation and in current smokers with low cumulative cigarette consumption (<10 pack-years). With respect to current cigarette consumption, the effect estimate for FEV decline in current smokers consuming less than five cigarettes per day (7·65 mL per year; 95% CI 6·21-9·09) was 68% of that in current smokers consuming 30 or more cigarettes per day (11·24 mL per year; 9·86-12·62), and around five times greater than in former smokers (1·57 mL per year; 1·00-2·14). Among participants without prevalent lung disease, associations were attenuated but were consistent with the main results. INTERPRETATION: Former smokers and low-intensity current smokers have accelerated lung function decline compared with never-smokers. These results suggest that all levels of smoking exposure are likely to be associated with lasting and progressive lung damage. FUNDING: National Institutes of Health, National Heart Lung and Blood Institute, and US Environmental Protection Agency.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Case-Control Studies; Ex-Smokers; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Lung; Male; Middle Aged; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (U.S.); Non-Smokers; Respiratory Physiological Phenomena; Smokers; Smoking; Spirometry; United States; Young Adult

Metabolites Associated with Walking Ability Among the Oldest Old from the CHS All Stars Study. - Marron, Megan M; Wendell, Stacy G; Boudreau, Robert M; Clish, Clary B; Santanasto, Adam J; Tseng, George C; Zmuda, Joseph M; Newman, Anne B (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2020)
BACKGROUND: Low walking ability is highly prevalent with advancing age and predicts major health outcomes. Metabolomics may help to better characterize differences in walking ability among older adults, providing insight into potentially altered molecular processes underlying age-related decline in functioning. We sought to identify metabolites and metabolic pathways associated with high versus low walking ability among 120 participants ages 79-95 from the CHS All Stars study. METHODS: Using a nested case-control design, 60 randomly selected participants with low walking ability were matched one-to-one on age, gender, race, and fasting time with 60 participants with high walking ability. High versus low walking ability was defined as being in the best versus worst tertiles for both gait speed (≥0.9 vs <0.7 m/s) and the Walking Ability Index (7-9 vs 0-1). Using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry, 569 metabolites were identified in overnight-fasting plasma. RESULTS: Ninety-six metabolites were associated with walking ability, where 24% were triacylglycerols. Triacylglycerols that were higher among those with high walking ability consisted mostly of polyunsaturated fatty acids, whereas triacylglycerols that were lower among those with high walking ability consisted mostly of saturated or monounsaturated fatty acids. Body composition partly explained associations between some metabolites and walking ability. Proline and arginine metabolism was a top pathway associated with walking ability. CONCLUSION: These results may partly reflect pathways of modifiable risk factors, including excess dietary lipids and lack of physical activity, contributing to obesity and further alterations in metabolic pathways that lead to age-related decline in walking ability in this older adult cohort.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Case-Control Studies; Female; Geriatric Assessment; Humans; Male; Metabolomics; Risk Factors; Walking; Walking Speed

Performance of the Pooled Cohort Equations to Estimate Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk by Body Mass Index. - Khera, Rohan; Pandey, Ambarish; Ayers, Colby R; Carnethon, Mercedes R; Greenland, Philip; Ndumele, Chiadi E; Nambi, Vijay; Seliger, Stephen L; Chaves, Paulo H M; Safford, Monika M; Cushman, Mary; Xanthakis, Vanessa; et al. (JAMA Netw Open, 2020)
Importance: Obesity is a global health challenge and a risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASVCD). Performance of the pooled cohort equations (PCE) for ASCVD risk by body mass index (BMI; calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared) is unknown. Objective: To assess performance of the PCE across clinical BMI categories. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used pooled individual-level data from 8 community-based, prospective, longitudinal cohort studies with 10-year ASCVD event follow-up from 1996 to 2016. We included all adults ages 40 to 79 years without baseline ASCVD or statin use, resulting in a sample size of 37 311 participants. Data were analyzed from August 2017 to July 2020. Exposures: Participant BMI category: underweight (<18.5), normal weight (18.5 to <25), overweight (25 to <30), mild obesity (30 to <35), and moderate to severe obesity (≥35). Main Outcomes and Measures: Discrimination (Harrell C statistic) and calibration (Nam-D'Agostino χ2 goodness-of-fit test) of the PCE across BMI categories. Improvement in discrimination and net reclassification with addition of BMI, waist circumference, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) to the PCE. Results: Among 37 311 participants (mean [SD] age, 58.6 [11.8] years; 21 897 [58.7%] women), 380 604 person-years of follow-up were conducted. Mean (SD) baseline BMI was 29.0 (6.2), and 360 individuals (1.0%) were in the underweight category, 9937 individuals (26.6%) were in the normal weight category, 13 601 individuals (36.4%) were in the overweight category, 7783 individuals (20.9%) were in the mild obesity category, and 5630 individuals (15.1%) were in the moderate to severe obesity category. Median (interquartile range [IQR]) 10-year estimated ASCVD risk was 7.1% (2.5%-15.4%), and 3709 individuals (9.9%) developed ASCVD over a median (IQR) 10.8 [8.5-12.6] years. The PCE overestimated ASCVD risk in the overall cohort (estimated/observed [E/O] risk ratio, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.18-1.26) and across all BMI categories except the underweight category. Calibration was better near the clinical decision threshold in all BMI groups but worse among individuals with moderate or severe obesity (E/O risk ratio, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.25-1.47) and among those with the highest estimated ASCVD risk ≥20%. The PCE C statistic overall was 0.760 (95% CI, 0.753-0.767), with lower discrimination in the moderate or severe obesity group (C statistic, 0.742; 95% CI, 0.721-0.763) compared with the normal-range BMI group (C statistic, 0.785; 95% CI, 0.772-0.798). Waist circumference (hazard ratio, 1.07 per 1-SD increase; 95% CI, 1.03-1.11) and hsCRP (hazard ratio, 1.07 per 1-SD increase; 95% CI, 1.05-1.09), but not BMI, were associated with increased ASCVD risk when added to the PCE. However, these factors did not improve model performance (C statistic, 0.760; 95% CI, 0.753-0.767) with or without added metrics. Conclusions and Relevance: These findings suggest that the PCE had acceptable model discrimination and were well calibrated at clinical decision thresholds but overestimated risk of ASCVD for individuals in overweight and obese categories, particularly individuals with high estimated risk. Incorporation of the usual clinical measures of obesity did not improve risk estimation of the PCE. Future research is needed to determine whether incorporation of alternative high-risk obesity markers (eg, weight trajectory or measures of visceral or ectopic fat) into the PCE may improve risk prediction.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Body Mass Index; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Correlation of Data; Female; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Middle Aged; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors

Pre-diabetes, diabetes and predictors of incident angina among older women and men in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Mathenge, Njambi; Fan, Wenjun; Wong, Nathan D; Hirsch, Calvin; Delaney, Chris Joseph; Amsterdam, Ezra A; Koch, Bruce; Calara, Rico; Gardin, Julius M (Diab Vasc Dis Res, 2020)
Diabetes mellitus and angina pectoris are important conditions in older persons. The utility of pre-diabetes mellitus, diabetes mellitus and other risk factors as predictors of incident angina pectoris among older adults has not been characterized. We examined incident angina pectoris rates by sex and diabetes mellitus status in 4511 adults aged ⩾65 years without coronary heart disease at baseline from the Cardiovascular Health Study. Cox regression examined predictors of incident angina pectoris, including pre-diabetes mellitus or diabetes mellitus adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics and other risk factors, over 12.2 ± 6.9 years of follow-up. Overall, 39.1% of participants had pre-diabetes mellitus, 14.0% had diabetes mellitus and 532 (11.8%) had incident angina pectoris. Incident angina pectoris rates per 1000 person-years in those with neither condition, pre-diabetes mellitus, and diabetes mellitus were 7.9, 9.0 and 12.3 in women and 10.3, 11.2 and 14.5 in men, respectively. Pre-diabetes mellitus and diabetes mellitus were not independently associated with incident AP; however, key predictors of AP were male sex, low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, triglycerides, systolic blood pressure, antihypertensive medication and difficulty performing at least one instrumental activity of daily living (all  < 0.05 to  < 0.01). In our cohort of older adult participants, while the incidence of AP is greater in those with diabetes mellitus, neither diabetes mellitus nor pre-diabetes mellitus independently predicted incident angina pectoris.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Angina Pectoris; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Humans; Incidence; Male; Prediabetic State; Prognosis; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Sex Factors; Time Factors; United States

Whole genome sequence analysis of pulmonary function and COPD in 19,996 multi-ethnic participants. - Zhao, Xutong; Qiao, Dandi; Yang, Chaojie; Kasela, Silva; Kim, Wonji; Ma, Yanlin; Shrine, Nick; Batini, Chiara; Sofer, Tamar; Taliun, Sarah A Gagliano; Sakornsakolpat, Phuwanat; Balte, Pallavi P; et al. (Nat Commun, 2020)
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), diagnosed by reduced lung function, is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality. We performed whole genome sequence (WGS) analysis of lung function and COPD in a multi-ethnic sample of 11,497 participants from population- and family-based studies, and 8499 individuals from COPD-enriched studies in the NHLBI Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine (TOPMed) Program. We identify at genome-wide significance 10 known GWAS loci and 22 distinct, previously unreported loci, including two common variant signals from stratified analysis of African Americans. Four novel common variants within the regions of PIAS1, RGN (two variants) and FTO show evidence of replication in the UK Biobank (European ancestry n ~ 320,000), while colocalization analyses leveraging multi-omic data from GTEx and TOPMed identify potential molecular mechanisms underlying four of the 22 novel loci. Our study demonstrates the value of performing WGS analyses and multi-omic follow-up in cohorts of diverse ancestry.
Keywords: Adult; African Americans; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alpha-Ketoglutarate-Dependent Dioxygenase FTO; Calcium-Binding Proteins; Feasibility Studies; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Genetic Loci; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Intracellular Signaling Peptides and Proteins; Lung; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Protein Inhibitors of Activated STAT; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive; Respiratory Physiological Phenomena; Small Ubiquitin-Related Modifier Proteins; Whole Genome Sequencing

Association Between Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry and Clinical Outcomes in US Adults. - Wan, Emily S; Balte, Pallavi; Schwartz, Joseph E; Bhatt, Surya P; Cassano, Patricia A; Couper, David; Daviglus, Martha L; Dransfield, Mark T; Gharib, Sina A; Jacobs, David R; Kalhan, Ravi; London, Stephanie J; et al. (JAMA, 2021)
Importance: Chronic lung diseases are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality. Unlike chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, clinical outcomes associated with proportional reductions in expiratory lung volumes without obstruction, otherwise known as preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm), are poorly understood. Objective: To examine the prevalence, correlates, and clinical outcomes associated with PRISm in US adults. Design, Setting, and Participants: The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) Pooled Cohorts Study was a retrospective study with harmonized pooled data from 9 US general population-based cohorts (enrollment, 65 251 participants aged 18 to 102 years of whom 53 701 participants had valid baseline lung function) conducted from 1971-2011 (final follow-up, December 2018). Exposures: Participants were categorized into mutually exclusive groups by baseline lung function. PRISm was defined as the ratio of forced expiratory volume in the first second to forced vital capacity (FEV1:FVC) greater than or equal to 0.70 and FEV1 less than 80% predicted; obstructive spirometry FEV1:FVC ratio of less than 0.70; and normal spirometry FEV1:FVC ratio greater than or equal to 0.7 and FEV1 greater than or equal to 80% predicted. Main Outcomes and Measures: Main outcomes were all-cause mortality, respiratory-related mortality, coronary heart disease (CHD)-related mortality, respiratory-related events (hospitalizations and mortality), and CHD-related events (hospitalizations and mortality) classified by adjudication or validated administrative criteria. Absolute risks were adjusted for age and smoking status. Poisson and Cox proportional hazards models comparing PRISm vs normal spirometry were adjusted for age, sex, race and ethnicity, education, body mass index, smoking status, cohort, and comorbidities. Results: Among all participants (mean [SD] age, 53.2 [15.8] years, 56.4% women, 48.5% never-smokers), 4582 (8.5%) had PRISm. The presence of PRISm relative to normal spirometry was significantly associated with obesity (prevalence, 48.3% vs 31.4%; prevalence ratio [PR], 1.68 [95% CI, 1.55-1.82]), underweight (prevalence, 1.4% vs 1.0%; PR, 2.20 [95% CI, 1.72-2.82]), female sex (prevalence, 60.3% vs 59.0%; PR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.01-1.13]), and current smoking (prevalence, 25.2% vs 17.5%; PR, 1.33 [95% CI, 1.22-1.45]). PRISm, compared with normal spirometry, was significantly associated with greater all-cause mortality (29.6/1000 person-years vs 18.0/1000 person-years; difference, 11.6/1000 person-years [95% CI, 10.0-13.1]; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.50 [95% CI, 1.42-1.59]), respiratory-related mortality (2.1/1000 person-years vs 1.0/1000 person-years; difference, 1.1/1000 person-years [95% CI, 0.7-1.6]; adjusted HR, 1.95 [95% CI, 1.54-2.48]), CHD-related mortality (5.4/1000 person-years vs 2.6/1000 person-years; difference, 2.7/1000 person-years [95% CI, 2.1-3.4]; adjusted HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.36-1.77]), respiratory-related events (12.2/1000 person-years vs 6.0/1000 person-years; difference, 6.2/1000 person-years [95% CI, 4.9-7.5]; adjusted HR, 1.90 [95% CI, 1.69-2.14]), and CHD-related events (11.7/1000 person-years vs 7.0/1000 person-years; difference, 4.7/1000 person-years [95% CI, 3.7-5.8]; adjusted HR, 1.30 [95% CI, 1.18-1.42]). Conclusions and Relevance: In a large, population-based sample of US adults, baseline PRISm, compared with normal spirometry, was associated with a small but statistically significant increased risk for mortality and adverse cardiovascular and respiratory outcomes. Further research is needed to explore whether this association is causal.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cardiovascular Diseases; Female; Forced Expiratory Volume; Humans; Lung; Lung Diseases; Male; Middle Aged; Prevalence; Retrospective Studies; Spirometry; United States; Vital Capacity

Associations of Body Mass Index and Waist Circumference in Young Adulthood with Later Life Incident Diabetes. - Nair, Nandini; Vittinghoff, Eric; Pletcher, Mark J; Oelsner, Elizabeth C; Allen, Norrina B; Ndumele, Chiadi E; West, Nancy A; Strotmeyer, Elsa S; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Siscovick, David S; Biggs, Mary L; Laferrère, Blandine; et al. (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2021)
CONTEXT: The independent contribution of young adult exposure to overweight and obesity to later-life incident diabetes is not well studied. OBJECTIVE: To assess the associations of exposures to elevated body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) in young adulthood (ages 18-39 years) with incident diabetes later in life (≥40 years). DESIGN: Pooled data from 6 US prospective cohorts (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, Cardiovascular Risk Development in Young Adults Study, Cardiovascular Health Study, (4) Framingham Heart Study Offspring Cohort, (5) Health, Aging and Body Composition Study, and (6) Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. SETTING: Population-based cohort studies. PARTICIPANTS: 30 780 participants (56.1% female, 69.8% non-Hispanic white) without a diagnosis of diabetes by age 40. INTERVENTIONS: We imputed BMI and WC trajectories from age 18 for every participant and estimated time-weighted average exposures to BMI or WC during young adulthood and later life. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Incident diabetes defined as fasting glucose ≥126 mg/dL, nonfasting glucose ≥200 mg/dL, or use of diabetes medications. RESULTS: During a 9-year median follow-up, 4323 participants developed incident diabetes. Young adult BMI and WC were associated with later-life incident diabetes after controlling for later-life exposures [hazard ratios (HR) 1.99 for BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 and 2.13 for WC > 88cm (women)/>102cm (men) compared to normal ranges]. Young adult homeostatic model of insulin resistance mediated 49% and 44% of the association between BMI and WC with later-life incident diabetes. High-density lipoproteins and triglycerides mediated a smaller proportion of these associations. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated BMI and WC during young adulthood were independently associated with later-life incident diabetes. Insulin resistance may be a key mediator.
Keywords: Adolescent; Adult; Biomarkers; Body Mass Index; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Male; Obesity; Overweight; Prognosis; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; United States; Waist Circumference; Young Adult

Blood n-3 fatty acid levels and total and cause-specific mortality from 17 prospective studies. - Harris, William S; Tintle, Nathan L; Imamura, Fumiaki; Qian, Frank; Korat, Andres V Ardisson; Marklund, Matti; Djoussé, Luc; Bassett, Julie K; Carmichael, Pierre-Hugues; Chen, Yun-Yu; Hirakawa, Yoichiro; Küpers, Leanne K; et al. (Nat Commun, 2021)
The health effects of omega-3 fatty acids have been controversial. Here we report the results of a de novo pooled analysis conducted with data from 17 prospective cohort studies examining the associations between blood omega-3 fatty acid levels and risk for all-cause mortality. Over a median of 16 years of follow-up, 15,720 deaths occurred among 42,466 individuals. We found that, after multivariable adjustment for relevant risk factors, risk for death from all causes was significantly lower (by 15-18%, at least p < 0.003) in the highest vs the lowest quintile for circulating long chain (20-22 carbon) omega-3 fatty acids (eicosapentaenoic, docosapentaenoic, and docosahexaenoic acids). Similar relationships were seen for death from cardiovascular disease, cancer and other causes. No associations were seen with the 18-carbon omega-3, alpha-linolenic acid. These findings suggest that higher circulating levels of marine n-3 PUFA are associated with a lower risk of premature death.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cause of Death; Fatty Acids, Omega-3; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Mortality, Premature; Prospective Studies; Protective Factors; Risk Factors

Cardiovascular autonomic nervous system function and hip fracture risk: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Stein, Phyllis K; Bůzková, Petra; Fink, Howard A; Robbins, John A; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Cauley, Jane A; Carbone, Laura; Elam, Rachel; McMillan, David W; Valderrabano, Rodrigo; Barzilay, Joshua I (Arch Osteoporos, 2021)
Among 1299 older adults with 24-h Holter monitoring data at baseline, followed for approximately 15 years, 190 incident hip fractures occurred. Increased heart rate variability was independently associated with reduced risk of hip fracture among female participants. PURPOSE: Autonomic nervous system function modulates bone remodeling in rodent osteoporosis models. We tested whether cardiovascular autonomic function is associated with hip fracture risk in humans. METHODS: Participants were 1299 subjects from the Cardiovascular Health Study (mean age 72.8 years). Eight heart rate variability (HRV) measures (time and frequency domains, detrended fluctuation analysis variables, and heart rate turbulence) were derived from 24-h Holter monitor scans in sinus rhythm. Median follow-up for incident hip fracture was 14.7 years [IQR 9.1, 20.2]. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals, CI). RESULTS: There were 144 hip fractures among 714 women (1.31 [1.06, 1.61] per 100-person years) and 46 among 585 men (0.62 [0.43, 0.90] per 100 person-years). From among HRV variables examined, a one standard deviation (SD) higher variation between normal heart beats over 24 h (the SD of NN intervals [SDNN]) was associated with a multivariable-adjusted lower hip fracture risk (HR [Formula: see text] 0.80; 95% CI 0.65-0.99; p = 0.04) in women. The adjusted association between very low frequency power, and hip fracture was borderline statistically significant in women (HR [Formula: see text] 0.82; 95% CI, 0.66-1.00; p = 0.06). When the 8 HRV variables were considered conjointly and adjusted for each other's association with hip fracture risk, a 1 SD higher SDNN value was significantly associated with reduced hip fracture risk in women (HR 0.74; 95% CI, 0.50-0.99; p = 0.05). No HRV variables were associated with hip fracture in men. CONCLUSIONS: In older women, increased heart rate variation is associated with hip fracture risk.
Keywords: Aged; Autonomic Nervous System; Female; Heart Rate; Hip Fractures; Humans; Osteoporosis; Proportional Hazards Models

Cardiovascular Risk Factors Across the Life Course and Cognitive Decline: A Pooled Cohort Study. - Yaffe, Kristine; Vittinghoff, Eric; Hoang, Tina; Matthews, Karen; Golden, Sherita H; Zeki Al Hazzouri, Adina (Neurology, 2021)
OBJECTIVE: Cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs) are associated with increased risk of cognitive decline, but little is known about how early adult CVRFs and those across the life course might influence late-life cognition. To test the hypothesis that CVRFs across the adult life course are associated with late-life cognitive changes, we pooled data from 4 prospective cohorts (n = 15,001, ages 18-95). METHODS: We imputed trajectories of body mass index (BMI), fasting glucose (FG), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and total cholesterol (TC) for older adults. We used linear mixed models to determine the association of early adult, midlife, and late-life CVRFs with late-life decline on global cognition (Modified Mini-Mental State Examination [3MS]) and processing speed (Digit Symbol Substitution Test [DSST]), adjusting for demographics, education, and cohort. RESULTS: Elevated BMI, FG, and SBP (but not TC) at each time period were associated with greater late-life decline. Early life CVRFs were associated with the greatest change, an approximate doubling of mean 10-year decline (an additional 3-4 points for 3MS or DSST). Late-life CVRFs were associated with declines in early late life (<80 years) but with gains in very late life (≥80 years). After adjusting for CVRF exposures at all time periods, the associations for early adult and late-life CVRFs persisted. CONCLUSIONS: We found that imputed CVRFs across the life course, especially in early adulthood, were associated with greater late-life cognitive decline. Our results suggest that CVRF treatment in early adulthood could benefit late-life cognition, but that treatment in very late life may not be as helpful for these outcomes.
Keywords: Adolescent; Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Blood Pressure; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cognition; Cognitive Dysfunction; Cohort Studies; Female; Heart Disease Risk Factors; Humans; Hypertension; Male; Middle Aged; Risk Factors; Young Adult

Depressive Symptoms Imputed Across the Life Course Are Associated with Cognitive Impairment and Cognitive Decline. - Brenowitz, Willa D; Zeki Al Hazzouri, Adina; Vittinghoff, Eric; Golden, Sherita H; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Yaffe, Kristine (J Alzheimers Dis, 2021)
BACKGROUND: Depressive symptoms may increase risk for dementia, but findings are controversial because late-life depression may be a prodromal dementia symptom. Life course data on depression and dementia risk may clarify this association; however, data is limited. OBJECTIVE: To impute adult depressive symptoms trajectories across adult life stages and estimate the association with cognitive impairment and decline. METHODS: Using a pooled study of 4 prospective cohorts (ages 20-89), we imputed adult life course depressive symptoms trajectories based on Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale-10 (CESD-10) and calculated time-weighted averages for early adulthood (ages 20-49), mid-life (ages 50-69), and late-life (ages 70-89) for 6,122 older participants. Adjusted pooled logistic and mixed-effects models estimated associations of imputed depressive symptoms with two cognitive outcomes: cognitive impairment defined by established criteria and a composite cognitive score. RESULTS: In separate models, elevated depressive symptoms in each life stage were associated with cognitive outcomes: early adulthood OR for cognitive impairment = 1.59 (95%CI: 1.35,1.87); mid-life OR = 1.94 (95%CI:1.16, 3.26); and late-life OR = 1.77 (95%CI:1.42, 2.21). When adjusted for depressive symptoms in the other life-stages, elevated depressive symptoms in early adulthood (OR = 1.73; 95%CI: 1.42,2.11) and late-life (OR = 1.43; 95%CI: 1.08,1.89) remained associated with cognitive impairment and were also associated with faster rates of cognitive decline (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Imputing depressive symptom trajectories from pooled cohorts may help expand data across the life course. Our findings suggest early adulthood depressive symptoms may be a risk factor for cognitive impairment independent of mid- or late-life depressive symptoms.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Cognitive Dysfunction; Cohort Studies; Dementia; Depression; Female; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Prodromal Symptoms; Risk Factors

Epigenetic Age and the Risk of Incident Atrial Fibrillation. - Roberts, Jason D; Vittinghoff, Eric; Lu, Ake T; Alonso, Alvaro; Wang, Biqi; Sitlani, Colleen M; Mohammadi-Shemirani, Pedrum; Fornage, Myriam; Kornej, Jelena; Brody, Jennifer A; Arking, Dan E; Lin, Honghuang; et al. (Circulation, 2021)
BACKGROUND: The most prominent risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF) is chronological age; however, underlying mechanisms are unexplained. Algorithms using epigenetic modifications to the human genome effectively predict chronological age. Chronological and epigenetic predicted ages may diverge in a phenomenon referred to as epigenetic age acceleration (EAA), which may reflect accelerated biological aging. We sought to evaluate for associations between epigenetic age measures and incident AF. METHODS: Measures for 4 epigenetic clocks (Horvath, Hannum, DNA methylation [DNAm] PhenoAge, and DNAm GrimAge) and an epigenetic predictor of PAI-1 (plasminogen activator inhibitor-1) levels (ie, DNAm PAI-1) were determined for study participants from 3 population-based cohort studies. Cox models evaluated for associations with incident AF and results were combined via random-effects meta-analyses. Two-sample summary-level Mendelian randomization analyses evaluated for associations between genetic instruments of the EAA measures and AF. RESULTS: Among 5600 participants (mean age, 65.5 years; female, 60.1%; Black, 50.7%), there were 905 incident AF cases during a mean follow-up of 12.9 years. Unadjusted analyses revealed all 4 epigenetic clocks and the DNAm PAI-1 predictor were associated with statistically significant higher hazards of incident AF, though the magnitudes of their point estimates were smaller relative to the associations observed for chronological age. The pooled EAA estimates for each epigenetic measure, with the exception of Horvath EAA, were associated with incident AF in models adjusted for chronological age, race, sex, and smoking variables. After multivariable adjustment for additional known AF risk factors that could also potentially function as mediators, pooled EAA measures for 2 clocks remained statistically significant. Five-year increases in EAA measures for DNAm GrimAge and DNAm PhenoAge were associated with 19% (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.19 [95% CI, 1.09-1.31]; <0.01) and 15% (adjusted HR, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.05-1.25]; <0.01) higher hazards of incident AF, respectively. Mendelian randomization analyses for the 5 EAA measures did not reveal statistically significant associations with AF. CONCLUSIONS: Our study identified adjusted associations between EAA measures and incident AF, suggesting that biological aging plays an important role independent of chronological age, though a potential underlying causal relationship remains unclear. These aging processes may be modifiable and not constrained by the immutable factor of time.
Keywords: Aged; Aging; Atrial Fibrillation; DNA Methylation; Epigenesis, Genetic; Epigenomics; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Incidence; Male; Mendelian Randomization Analysis; Middle Aged; Models, Cardiovascular; Models, Genetic

Epigenome-wide association study of serum urate reveals insights into urate co-regulation and the SLC2A9 locus. - Tin, Adrienne; Schlosser, Pascal; Matias-Garcia, Pamela R; Thio, Chris H L; Joehanes, Roby; Liu, Hongbo; Yu, Zhi; Weihs, Antoine; Hoppmann, Anselm; Grundner-Culemann, Franziska; Min, Josine L; Kuhns, Victoria L Halperin; et al. (Nat Commun, 2021)
Elevated serum urate levels, a complex trait and major risk factor for incident gout, are correlated with cardiometabolic traits via incompletely understood mechanisms. DNA methylation in whole blood captures genetic and environmental influences and is assessed in transethnic meta-analysis of epigenome-wide association studies (EWAS) of serum urate (discovery, n = 12,474, replication, n = 5522). The 100 replicated, epigenome-wide significant (p < 1.1E-7) CpGs explain 11.6% of the serum urate variance. At SLC2A9, the serum urate locus with the largest effect in genome-wide association studies (GWAS), five CpGs are associated with SLC2A9 gene expression. Four CpGs at SLC2A9 have significant causal effects on serum urate levels and/or gout, and two of these partly mediate the effects of urate-associated GWAS variants. In other genes, including SLC7A11 and PHGDH, 17 urate-associated CpGs are associated with conditions defining metabolic syndrome, suggesting that these CpGs may represent a blood DNA methylation signature of cardiometabolic risk factors. This study demonstrates that EWAS can provide new insights into GWAS loci and the correlation of serum urate with other complex traits.
Keywords: Amino Acid Transport System y+; Cohort Studies; CpG Islands; DNA Methylation; Epigenome; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Glucose Transport Proteins, Facilitative; Gout; Humans; Male; Uric Acid

Meta-analyses identify DNA methylation associated with kidney function and damage. - Schlosser, Pascal; Tin, Adrienne; Matias-Garcia, Pamela R; Thio, Chris H L; Joehanes, Roby; Liu, Hongbo; Weihs, Antoine; Yu, Zhi; Hoppmann, Anselm; Grundner-Culemann, Franziska; Min, Josine L; Adeyemo, Adebowale A; et al. (Nat Commun, 2021)
Chronic kidney disease is a major public health burden. Elevated urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio is a measure of kidney damage, and used to diagnose and stage chronic kidney disease. To extend the knowledge on regulatory mechanisms related to kidney function and disease, we conducted a blood-based epigenome-wide association study for estimated glomerular filtration rate (n = 33,605) and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (n = 15,068) and detected 69 and seven CpG sites where DNA methylation was associated with the respective trait. The majority of these findings showed directionally consistent associations with the respective clinical outcomes chronic kidney disease and moderately increased albuminuria. Associations of DNA methylation with kidney function, such as CpGs at JAZF1, PELI1 and CHD2 were validated in kidney tissue. Methylation at PHRF1, LDB2, CSRNP1 and IRF5 indicated causal effects on kidney function. Enrichment analyses revealed pathways related to hemostasis and blood cell migration for estimated glomerular filtration rate, and immune cell activation and response for urinary albumin-to-creatinineratio-associated CpGs.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; CpG Islands; DNA Methylation; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Interferon Regulatory Factors; Kidney; Kidney Function Tests; LIM Domain Proteins; Male; Membrane Proteins; Middle Aged; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic; Transcription Factors

Serum Non-Esterified Fatty Acids, Carotid Artery Intima-Media Thickness and Flow-Mediated Dilation in Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). - Huang, Neil K; Bůzková, Petra; Matthan, Nirupa R; Djoussé, Luc; Kizer, Jorge R; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Polak, Joseph F; Lichtenstein, Alice H (Nutrients, 2021)
Elevated common carotid artery intima-media thickness (carotid IMT) and diminished flow-mediated dilation (FMD) are early subclinical indicators of atherosclerosis. Serum total non-esterified fatty acid (NEFA) concentrations have been positively associated with subclinical atherosclerosis. The relations between individual NEFA, carotid IMT and FMD have as yet to be assessed. We investigated the associations between fasting serum individual NEFA, carotid IMT and FMD among Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) participants with ( = 255 for carotid IMT, 301 for FMD) or without ( = 1314 for carotid IMT, 1462 for FMD) known atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Using archived samples (fasting) collected from 1996-1997 (baseline), 35 individual NEFAs were measured using gas chromatography. Carotid IMT and estimated plaque thickness (mean of maximum internal carotid IMT) were determined in 1998-1999. FMD was measured in 1997-1998. Linear regression adjusted by the Holm-Bonferroni method was used to assess relations between individual NEFA, carotid IMT and FMD. In multivariable adjusted linear regression models per SD increment, the non-esterified fatty acid conjugated linoleic acid (-18:2 CLA) was positively associated with carotid IMT [β (95% CI): 44.8 (19.2, 70.4), = 0.025] among participants with, but not without, ASCVD [2.16 (-6.74, 11.5), = 1.000]. Non-esterified -palmitoleic acid (16:1n-7) was positively associated with FMD [19.7 (8.34, 31.0), = 0.024] among participants without, but not with ASCVD. No significant associations between NEFAs and estimated plaque thickness were observed. In older adults, serum non-esterified CLA and palmitoleic acid were positively associated with carotid IMT and FMD, respectively, suggesting potential modifiable biomarkers for arteriopathy.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Atherosclerosis; Biomarkers; Brachial Artery; Carotid Artery, Common; Carotid Intima-Media Thickness; Dilatation; Fatty Acids, Monounsaturated; Fatty Acids, Nonesterified; Female; Humans; Linoleic Acid; Male; Regional Blood Flow; Risk Factors; Ultrasonography

Supplemental Association of Clonal Hematopoiesis With Incident Heart Failure. - Yu, Bing; Roberts, Mary B; Raffield, Laura M; Zekavat, Seyedeh Maryam; Nguyen, Ngoc Quynh H; Biggs, Mary L; Brown, Michael R; Griffin, Gabriel; Desai, Pinkal; Correa, Adolfo; Morrison, Alanna C; Shah, Amil M; et al. (J Am Coll Cardiol, 2021)
BACKGROUND: Age-related clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP), defined as clonally expanded leukemogenic sequence variations (particularly in DNMT3A, TET2, ASXL1, and JAK2) in asymptomatic individuals, is associated with cardiovascular events, including recurrent heart failure (HF). OBJECTIVES: This study sought to evaluate whether CHIP is associated with incident HF. METHODS: CHIP status was obtained from whole exome or genome sequencing of blood DNA in participants without prevalent HF or hematological malignancy from 5 cohorts. Cox proportional hazards models were performed within each cohort, adjusting for demographic and clinical risk factors, followed by fixed-effect meta-analyses. Large CHIP clones (defined as variant allele frequency >10%), HF with or without baseline coronary heart disease, and left ventricular ejection fraction were evaluated in secondary analyses. RESULTS: Of 56,597 individuals (59% women, mean age 58 years at baseline), 3,406 (6%) had CHIP, and 4,694 developed HF (8.3%) over up to 20 years of follow-up. CHIP was prospectively associated with a 25% increased risk of HF in meta-analysis (hazard ratio: 1.25; 95% confidence interval: 1.13-1.38) with consistent associations across cohorts. ASXL1, TET2, and JAK2 sequence variations were each associated with an increased risk of HF, whereas DNMT3A sequence variations were not associated with HF. Secondary analyses suggested large CHIP was associated with a greater risk of HF (hazard ratio: 1.29; 95% confidence interval: 1.15-1.44), and the associations for CHIP on HF with and without prior coronary heart disease were homogenous. ASXL1 sequence variations were associated with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction. CONCLUSIONS: CHIP, particularly sequence variations in ASXL1, TET2, and JAK2, represents a new risk factor for HF.
Keywords: Aged; Clonal Hematopoiesis; Correlation of Data; Demography; DNA-Binding Proteins; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Janus Kinase 2; Male; Middle Aged; Mutation; Proportional Hazards Models; Proto-Oncogene Proteins; Repressor Proteins; Risk Factors; Stroke Volume; Ventricular Dysfunction, Left; Whole Exome Sequencing

Total carotenoid intake is associated with reduced loss of grip strength and gait speed over time in adults: The Framingham Offspring Study. - Sahni, Shivani; Dufour, Alyssa B; Fielding, Roger A; Newman, Anne B; Kiel, Douglas P; Hannan, Marian T; Jacques, Paul F (Am J Clin Nutr, 2021)
BACKGROUND: Lower antioxidant serum concentrations have been linked to declines in lean mass and physical function in older adults. Yet population data on the effect of dietary antioxidants on loss of muscle strength and physical function are lacking. OBJECTIVE: We sought to determine the association of antioxidant intake [vitamin C, vitamin E, and total and individual carotenoids (α-carotene, β-carotene, β-cryptoxanthin, lycopene, and lutein + zeaxanthin)] with annualized change in grip strength and gait speed in adults from the Framingham Offspring study. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included participants with a valid FFQ at the index examination and up to 2 prior examinations and at ≥2 measures of primary outcomes: grip strength (n = 2452) and/or gait speed (n = 2422) measured over 3 subsequent examinations. Annualized change in grip strength (kg/y) and change in gait speed (m/s/y) over the follow-up period were used. Linear regression was used to calculate β coefficients and P values, adjusting for covariates. RESULTS: Mean ± SD age of participants was 61 ± 9 y (range: 33-88 y). Median intakes (IQR, mg/d) of vitamin C, vitamin E, and total carotenoid across available examinations were 209.2 (133.1-394.2), 27.1 (7.4-199.0), and 15.3 (10.4-21.3), respectively. The mean follow-up time was ∼12 ± 2 y (range: 4.5-15.4 y). In the sex-combined sample, higher intakes of total carotenoids, lycopene, and lutein + zeaxanthin were associated with increased annualized change in grip strength [β (SE) per 10-mg higher intake/d, range: 0.0316 (0.0146) to 0.1223 (0.0603) kg/y)]. All antioxidants except for vitamin C were associated with faster gait speed [β (SE) per 10-mg higher intake/d, range: 0.00008 (0.00004) to 0.0187 (0.0081) m/s/y]. CONCLUSIONS: Higher antioxidant intake was associated with increase in grip strength and faster gait speed in this cohort of adults. This finding highlights the need for a randomized controlled trial of dietary antioxidants and their effect on muscle strength and physical function.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Carotenoids; Cohort Studies; Diet; Female; Hand Strength; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Prospective Studies; Walking Speed

What Cut-Point in Gait Speed Best Discriminates Community-Dwelling Older Adults With Mobility Complaints From Those Without? A Pooled Analysis From the Sarcopenia Definitions and Outcomes Consortium. - Cawthon, Peggy M; Patel, Sheena M; Kritchevsky, Stephen B; Newman, Anne B; Santanasto, Adam; Kiel, Douglas P; Travison, Thomas G; Lane, Nancy; Cummings, Steven R; Orwoll, Eric S; Duchowny, Kate A; Kwok, Timothy; et al. (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2021)
BACKGROUND: Cut-points to define slow walking speed have largely been derived from expert opinion. METHODS: Study participants (13 589 men and 5043 women aged ≥65years) had walking speed (m/s) measured over 4-6 m (mean ± SD: 1.20 ± 0.27 m/s in men and 0.94 ± 0.24 m/s in women.) Mobility limitation was defined as any self-reported difficulty with walking approximately 1/4 mile (prevalence: 12.6% men, 26.4% women). Sex-stratified classification and regression tree (CART) models with 10-fold cross-validation identified walking speed cut-points that optimally discriminated those who reported mobility limitation from those who did not. RESULTS: Among 5043 women, CART analysis identified 2 cut-points, classifying 4144 (82.2%) with walking speed ≥0.75 m/s, which we labeled as "fast"; 478 (9.5%) as "intermediate" (walking speed ≥0.62 m/s but <0.75 m/s); and 421 (8.3%) as "slow" (walking speed <0.62 m/s). Among 13 589 men, CART analysis identified 3 cut-points, classifying 10 001 (73.6%) with walking speed ≥1.00 m/s ("very fast"); 2901 (21.3%) as "fast" (walking speed ≥0.74 m/s but <1.00 m/s); 497 (3.7%) as "intermediate" (walking speed ≥0.57 m/s but <0.74 m/s); and 190 (1.4%) as "slow" (walking speed <0.57 m/s). Prevalence of self-reported mobility limitation was lowest in the "fast" or "very fast" (11% for men and 19% for women) and highest in the "slow" (60.5% in men and 71.0% in women). Rounding the 2 slower cut-points to 0.60 m/s and 0.75 m/s reclassified very few participants. CONCLUSIONS: Cut-points in walking speed of approximately 0.60 m/s and 0.75 m/s discriminate those with self-reported mobility limitation from those without.
Keywords: Aged; Female; Gait; Humans; Independent Living; Male; Mobility Limitation; Sarcopenia; Walking; Walking Speed

Whole-genome sequencing association analysis of quantitative red blood cell phenotypes: The NHLBI TOPMed program. - Hu, Yao; Stilp, Adrienne M; McHugh, Caitlin P; Rao, Shuquan; Jain, Deepti; Zheng, Xiuwen; Lane, John; Méric de Bellefon, Sébastian; Raffield, Laura M; Chen, Ming-Huei; Yanek, Lisa R; Wheeler, Marsha; et al. (Am J Hum Genet, 2021)
Whole-genome sequencing (WGS), a powerful tool for detecting novel coding and non-coding disease-causing variants, has largely been applied to clinical diagnosis of inherited disorders. Here we leveraged WGS data in up to 62,653 ethnically diverse participants from the NHLBI Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine (TOPMed) program and assessed statistical association of variants with seven red blood cell (RBC) quantitative traits. We discovered 14 single variant-RBC trait associations at 12 genomic loci, which have not been reported previously. Several of the RBC trait-variant associations (RPN1, ELL2, MIDN, HBB, HBA1, PIEZO1, and G6PD) were replicated in independent GWAS datasets imputed to the TOPMed reference panel. Most of these discovered variants are rare/low frequency, and several are observed disproportionately among non-European Ancestry (African, Hispanic/Latino, or East Asian) populations. We identified a 3 bp indel p.Lys2169del (g.88717175_88717177TCT[4]) (common only in the Ashkenazi Jewish population) of PIEZO1, a gene responsible for the Mendelian red cell disorder hereditary xerocytosis (MIM: 194380), associated with higher mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration (MCHC). In stepwise conditional analysis and in gene-based rare variant aggregated association analysis, we identified several of the variants in HBB, HBA1, TMPRSS6, and G6PD that represent the carrier state for known coding, promoter, or splice site loss-of-function variants that cause inherited RBC disorders. Finally, we applied base and nuclease editing to demonstrate that the sentinel variant rs112097551 (nearest gene RPN1) acts through a cis-regulatory element that exerts long-range control of the gene RUVBL1 which is essential for hematopoiesis. Together, these results demonstrate the utility of WGS in ethnically diverse population-based samples and gene editing for expanding knowledge of the genetic architecture of quantitative hematologic traits and suggest a continuum between complex trait and Mendelian red cell disorders.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Chromosomes, Human, Pair 16; Datasets as Topic; Erythrocytes; Female; Gene Editing; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; HEK293 Cells; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (U.S.); Phenotype; Quality Control; Reproducibility of Results; United States

The association of hearing problems with social network strength and depressive symptoms: the cardiovascular health study. - Dobrota, Sylvie D; Biggs, Mary L; Pratt, Sheila; Popat, Rita; Odden, Michelle C (Age Ageing, 2022)
BACKGROUND: research on the association between hearing impairment and psychosocial outcomes is not only limited but also yielded mixed results. METHODS: we investigated associations between annual self-reports of hearing problems, depressive symptoms and social network strength among 5,888 adults from the Cardiovascular Health Study over a period of 9 years. Social network strength and depressive symptoms were defined using the Lubben Social Network Scale (LSNS), and the Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale (CES-D). RESULTS: hearing problems were associated with weaker social networks and more depressive symptoms. These association differed for prevalent versus incident hearing problems. Participants with prevalent hearing problems scored an adjusted 0.47 points lower (95% CI: -2.20, -0.71) on the LSNS and 0.71 points higher (95% CI: 0.23, 1.19) on the CES-D than those without hearing problems. Participants with incident hearing problems had a greater decline of 0.12 points (95% CI: -0.12, -0.03) per year in social network score than individuals with no hearing problems after adjusting for confounders. Females appeared to be more vulnerable to changes in social network strength than males (P-value for interaction = 0.02), but not for changes in depressive score. Accounting for social network score did not appear to attenuate the association between hearing problems and depressive score. CONCLUSION: findings suggest that older adults with prevalent hearing problems may be more at risk for depression, but individuals with incident hearing problems may be at greater risk for a winnowing of their social network.
Keywords: Aged; Depression; Female; Hearing Loss; Humans; Male; Self Report; Social Networking

Association of Trimethylamine N-Oxide and Metabolites With Mortality in Older Adults. - Fretts, Amanda M; Hazen, Stanley L; Jensen, Paul; Budoff, Matthew; Sitlani, Colleen M; Wang, Meng; de Oliveira Otto, Marcia C; DiDonato, Joseph A; Lee, Yujin; Psaty, Bruce M; Siscovick, David S; Sotoodehnia, Nona; et al. (JAMA Netw Open, 2022)
Importance: Little is known about the association of trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO), a novel plasma metabolite derived from L-carnitine and phosphatidylcholine, and related metabolites (ie, choline, betaine, carnitine, and butyrobetaine) with risk of death among older adults in the general population. Objective: To investigate the associations of serial measures of plasma TMAO and related metabolites with risk of total and cause-specific death (ie, deaths from cardiovascular diseases [CVDs] and non-CVDs) among older adults in the US. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective cohort study involved 5333 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study-a community-based longitudinal cohort of adults aged 65 years or older-who were followed up from June 1, 1989, to December 31, 2015. Participants were from 4 communities in the US (Forsyth County, North Carolina; Sacramento County, California; Washington County, Maryland; and Allegheny County, Pennsylvania). Data were analyzed from March 17 to June 23, 2021. Exposures: Plasma TMAO, choline, betaine, carnitine, and butyrobetaine levels were measured using stored samples from baseline (June 1, 1989, to May 31, 1990, or November 1, 1992, to June 31, 1993) and follow-up examination (June 1, 1996, to May 31, 1997). Measurements were performed through stable-isotope dilution liquid chromatography with tandem mass spectrometry using high-performance liquid chromatography with online electrospray ionization tandem mass spectrometry. Main Outcomes and Measures: Deaths (total and cause specific) were adjudicated by a centralized Cardiovascular Health Study events committee based on information from medical records, laboratory and diagnostic reports, death certificates, and/or interviews with next of kin. The associations of each metabolite with mortality were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results: Among 5333 participants in the analytic sample, the mean (SD) age was 73 (6) years; 2149 participants (40.3%) were male, 3184 (59.7%) were female, 848 (15.9%) were African American, 4450 (83.4%) were White, and 35 (0.01%) were of other races (12 were American Indian or Alaska Native, 4 were Asian or Pacific Islander, and 19 were of other races or ethnicities). During a median follow-up of 13.2 years (range, 0-26.9 years), 4791 deaths occurred. After adjustment for potential confounders, the hazard ratios for death from any cause (ie, total mortality) comparing extreme quintiles (fifth vs first) of plasma concentrations were 1.30 (95% CI, 1.17-1.44) for TMAO, 1.19 (95% CI, 1.08-1.32) for choline, 1.26 (95% CI, 1.15-1.40) for carnitine, and 1.26 (95% CI, 1.13-1.40) for butyrobetaine. Plasma betaine was not associated with risk of death. The extent of risk estimates was similar for CVD and non-CVD mortality. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, plasma concentrations of TMAO and related metabolites were positively associated with risk of death. These findings suggest that circulating TMAO is an important novel risk factor associated with death among older adults.
Keywords: Aged; Betaine; Cardiovascular Diseases; Carnitine; Choline; Cohort Studies; Female; Humans; Male; Methylamines; Prospective Studies

Circulating Soluble CD163, Associations With Cardiovascular Outcomes and Mortality, and Identification of Genetic Variants in Older Individuals: The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Durda, Peter; Raffield, Laura M; Lange, Ethan M; Olson, Nels C; Jenny, Nancy Swords; Cushman, Mary; Deichgraeber, Pia; Grarup, Niels; Jonsson, Anna; Hansen, Torben; Mychaleckyj, Josyf C; Psaty, Bruce M; et al. (J Am Heart Assoc, 2022)
Background Monocytes/macrophages participate in cardiovascular disease. CD163 (cluster of differentiation 163) is a monocyte/macrophage receptor, and the shed sCD163 (soluble CD163) reflects monocyte/macrophage activation. We examined the association of sCD163 with incident cardiovascular disease events and performed a genome-wide association study to identify sCD163-associated variants. Methods and Results We measured plasma sCD163 in 5214 adults (aged ≥65 years, 58.7% women, 16.2% Black) of the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study). We used Cox regression models (associations of sCD163 with incident events and mortality); median follow-up was 26 years. Genome-wide association study analyses were stratified on race. Adjusted for age, sex, and race and ethnicity, sCD163 levels were associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.08 [95% CI, 1.04-1.12] per SD increase), cardiovascular disease mortality (HR, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.09-1.21]), incident coronary heart disease (HR, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.04-1.16]), and incident heart failure (HR, 1.18 [95% CI, 1.12-1.25]). When further adjusted (eg, cardiovascular disease risk factors), only incident coronary heart disease lost significance. In European American individuals, genome-wide association studies identified 38 variants on chromosome 2 near (top result rs62165726, =3.3×10),19 variants near chromosome 17 gene (rs55714927, =1.5×10), and 18 variants near chromosome 11 gene . These regions replicated in the European ancestry ADDITION-PRO cohort, a longitudinal cohort study nested in the Danish arm of the Anglo-Danish-Dutch study of Intensive Treatment Intensive Treatment In peOple with screeNdetcted Diabetes in Primary Care. In Black individuals, we identified 9 variants on chromosome 6 (rs3129781 =7.1×10) in the region, and 3 variants (rs115391969 =4.3×10) near the chromosome 16 gene Conclusions Monocyte function, as measured by sCD163, may be predictive of overall and cardiovascular-specific mortality and incident heart failure.
Keywords: Aged; Antigens, CD; Antigens, Differentiation, Myelomonocytic; Asialoglycoprotein Receptor; Biomarkers; Cardiovascular Diseases; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Heart Failure; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male

Correlations between complex human phenotypes vary by genetic background, gender, and environment. - Elgart, Michael; Goodman, Matthew O; Isasi, Carmen; Chen, Han; Morrison, Alanna C; de Vries, Paul S; Xu, Huichun; Manichaikul, Ani W; Guo, Xiuqing; Franceschini, Nora; Psaty, Bruce M; Rich, Stephen S; et al. (Cell Rep Med, 2022)
We develop a closed-form Haseman-Elston estimator for genetic and environmental correlation coefficients between complex phenotypes, which we term HEc, that is as precise as GCTA yet ∼20× faster. We estimate genetic and environmental correlations between over 7,000 phenotype pairs in subgroups from the Trans-Omics in Precision Medicine (TOPMed) program. We demonstrate substantial differences in both heritabilities and genetic correlations for multiple phenotypes and phenotype pairs between individuals of self-reported Black, Hispanic/Latino, and White backgrounds. We similarly observe differences in many of the genetic and environmental correlations between genders. To estimate the contribution of genetics to the observed phenotypic correlation, we introduce "fractional genetic correlation" as the fraction of phenotypic correlation explained by genetics. Finally, we quantify the enrichment of correlations between phenotypic domains, each of which is comprised of multiple phenotypes. Altogether, we demonstrate that the observed correlations between complex human phenotypes depend on the genetic background of the individuals, their gender, and their environment.
Keywords: Female; Genetic Background; Humans; Male; Phenotype

Diabetes Status Modifies the Association Between Different Measures of Obesity and Heart Failure Risk Among Older Adults: A Pooled Analysis of Community-Based NHLBI Cohorts. - Patel, Kershaw V; Segar, Matthew W; Lavie, Carl J; Kondamudi, Nitin; Neeland, Ian J; Almandoz, Jaime P; Martin, Corby K; Carbone, Salvatore; Butler, Javed; Powell-Wiley, Tiffany M; Pandey, Ambarish (Circulation, 2022)
BACKGROUND: Obesity and diabetes are associated with a higher risk of heart failure (HF). The interrelationships between different measures of adiposity-overall obesity, central obesity, fat mass (FM)-and diabetes status for HF risk are not well-established. METHODS: Participant-level data from the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities; visit 5) and the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study; visit 1) cohorts were obtained from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Biologic Specimen and Data Repository Information Coordinating Center, harmonized, and pooled for the present analysis, excluding individuals with prevalent HF. FM was estimated in all participants using established anthropometric prediction equations additionally validated using the bioelectrical impedance-based FM in the ARIC subgroup. Incident HF events on follow-up were captured across both cohorts using similar adjudication methods. Multivariable-adjusted Fine-Gray models were created to evaluate the associations of body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), and FM with risk of HF in the overall cohort as well as among those with versus without diabetes at baseline. The population attributable risk of overall obesity (BMI≥30 kg/m), abdominal obesity (WC>88 and 102 cm in women and men, respectively), and high FM (above sex-specific median) for incident HF was evaluated among participants with and without diabetes. RESULTS: The study included 10 387 participants (52.9% ARIC; 25.1% diabetes; median age, 74 years). The correlation between predicted and bioelectrical impedance-based FM was high (=0.90; n=5038). During a 5-year follow-up, 447 participants developed HF (4.3%). Higher levels of each adiposity measure were significantly associated with higher HF risk (hazard ratio [95% CI] per 1 SD higher BMI=1.15 [1.05, 1.27], WC=1.22 [1.10, 1.36]; FM=1.13 [1.02, 1.25]). A significant interaction was noted between diabetes status and measures of BMI ( interaction=0.04) and WC ( interaction=0.004) for the risk of HF. In stratified analysis, higher measures of each adiposity parameter were significantly associated with higher HF risk in individuals with diabetes (hazard ratio [95% CI] per 1 SD higher BMI=1.29 [1.14-1.47]; WC=1.48 [1.29-1.70]; FM=1.25 [1.09-1.43]) but not those without diabetes, including participants with prediabetes and euglycemia. The population attributable risk percentage of overall obesity, abdominal obesity, and high FM for incident HF was higher among participants with diabetes (12.8%, 29.9%, and 13.7%, respectively) versus those without diabetes (≤1% for each). CONCLUSIONS: Higher BMI, WC, and FM are strongly associated with greater risk of HF among older adults, particularly among those with prevalent diabetes.
Keywords: Aged; Cohort Studies; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Male; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (U.S.); Obesity; Risk Factors; United States