Health status of individuals with mild stroke. - Duncan, P W; Samsa, G P; Weinberger, M; Goldstein, L B; Bonito, A; Witter, D M; Enarson, C; Matchar, D (Stroke, 1997)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Diminished quality of life and limitations in higher levels of physical functioning are often underestimated in stroke and are not fully captured by measures such as the Barthel Index and the Rankin Outcome Scale. This study used additional measures to assess the health status of 304 persons with mild stroke and to compare these individuals with 184 persons with transient ischemic attack and 654 persons without history of stroke/transient ischemic attack but at elevated risk for stroke (asymptomatic group). METHODS: Subjects were recruited from the Academic Medical Center Consortium (inpatients), the Cardiovascular Health Study (population-based sample of community-dwelling persons 65 years and older), and United HealthCare (inpatients and outpatients typically younger than 65 years). Subjects were interviewed by telephone or in person to assess activities of daily living (Barthel Index), depression (Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale), health status (MOS-36), and utility for current health state. RESULTS: Most respondents were independent on all Barthel items. The stroke group was more impaired on the MOS-36 than the asymptomatic group but similar to the group with transient ischemic attack. Health-related quality of life was lowest for persons with stroke. While symptom status and Barthel Index score were the strongest predictors of health status, the Barthel Index showed a consistent ceiling effect when compared with the physical function subscale of the MOS-36. CONCLUSIONS: The consequences of even mild stroke affect all dimensions of health except pain. Standardized assessment of persons with stroke must evaluate across the entire continuum of health-related functions.
Keywords: Age Distribution; Aged; Cerebrovascular Disorders; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Health Status; Humans; Ischemic Attack, Transient; Male; Middle Aged; Social Support

Knowledge of risk among patients at increased risk for stroke. - Samsa, G P; Cohen, S J; Goldstein, L B; Bonito, A J; Duncan, P W; Enarson, C; DeFriese, G H; Horner, R D; Matchar, D B (Stroke, 1997)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Patients who recognize their increased risk for stroke are more likely to engage in (and comply with) stroke prevention practices than those who do not. We describe perceived risk of stroke among a nationally diverse sample of patients at increased risk for stroke and determine whether patients' knowledge of their stroke risk varied according to patients' demographic and clinical characteristics. METHODS: Respondents were recruited from the Academic Medical Center Consortium (n = 621, five academic medical centers, inpatients of varying age); the Cardiovascular Health Study (n = 321, population-based sample of persons aged 65+ years); and United HealthCare (n = 319, five health plans, inpatients and outpatients typically younger than 65 years). The primary outcome was awareness of being at risk for stroke. RESULTS: Only 41% of respondents were aware of their increased risk for stroke (including less than one half of patients with previous minor stroke). Approximately 74% of patients who recalled being told of their increased stroke risk by a physician acknowledged this risk in comparison with 28% of patients who did not recall being informed by a physician. Younger patients, depressed patients, those in poor current health, and those with a history of TIA were most likely to be aware of their stroke risk. CONCLUSIONS: Over one half of patients at increased risk of stroke are unaware of their risk. Healthcare providers play a crucial role in communicating information about risk, and successful communication encourages adoption of stroke prevention practices. Educational messages should be targeted toward patients least likely to be aware of their risk.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Awareness; Cerebrovascular Disorders; Female; Humans; Knowledge; Male; Middle Aged; Multivariate Analysis; Risk Factors

Use of calcium channel blockers and breast carcinoma risk in postmenopausal women. - Fitzpatrick, A L; Daling, J R; Furberg, C D; Kronmal, R A; Weissfeld, J L (Cancer, 1997)
BACKGROUND: The use of calcium channel blockers in an elderly population recently was reported to be associated with the incidence of cancer. The Cardiovascular Health Study, a multisite observational cohort study, provided the opportunity to investigate the epidemiologic association between the use of calcium channel blockers and breast carcinoma risk in 3198 women age > or = 65 years. METHODS: Standard questionnaires and clinical procedures were administered at four study sites annually from 1989-1990 to 1993-1994. Drug usage was assessed by a medication inventory and hospitalizations for 75 incident invasive breast carcinoma cases were identified using International Classification of Diseases-9 Clinical Modification codes. Time-dependent Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess associations between incident breast carcinoma and the use of specific antihypertensive medication including calcium channel blockers. RESULTS: In adjusted Cox proportional hazards models, an elevated risk of breast carcinoma was associated with use of calcium channel blockers (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.47-4.49). This association persisted when the comparison group was users of other antihypertensive medication. No associations between the use of other antihypertensive medication with incident breast carcinoma were found. Associations were enhanced by assessment of high dose at baseline (HR: 4.42; 95% CI, 1.37-14.27) and when calcium channel blockers were combined with estrogen use (HR: 4.48; 95% CI, 1.58-12.75). The association was found to be strongest for the use of estrogens with immediate release calcium channel blockers (HR: 8.48; 95% CI, 2.99-24.08). CONCLUSIONS: Although the number of cases was limited in this observational study, associations found between the use of calcium channel blockers and incident invasive breast carcinoma warrant further investigation. Site specific carcinomas should be included as an outcome of ongoing and planned long term clinical trials using calcium channel blockers.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Breast Neoplasms; Calcium Channel Blockers; Cohort Studies; Estrogens; Female; Humans; Postmenopause; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors

Body mass index and mortality in nonsmoking older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Diehr, P; Bild, D E; Harris, T B; Duxbury, A; Siscovick, D; Rossi, M (Am J Public Health, 1998)
OBJECTIVES: This study assesses the relationship of body mass index to 5-year mortality in a cohort of 4317 nonsmoking men and women aged 65 to 100 years. METHODS: Logistic regression analyses were conducted to predict mortality as a function of baseline body mass index, adjusting for demographic, clinical, and laboratory covariates. RESULTS: There was an inverse relationship between body mass index and mortality; death rates were higher for those who weighed the least. Inclusion of covariates had trivial effects on these results. People who had lost 10% or more of their body weight since age 50 had a relatively high death rate. When that group was excluded, there was no remaining relationship between body mass index and mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The association between higher body mass index and mortality often found in middle-aged populations was not observed in this large cohort of older adults. Over-weight does not seem to be a risk factor for 5-year mortality in this age group. Rather, the risks associated with significant weight loss should be the primary concern.
Keywords: Age Distribution; Aged; Body Mass Index; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cause of Death; Cohort Studies; Female; Humans; Logistic Models; Male; Mortality; Predictive Value of Tests; Risk Factors; Sex Distribution; Smoking; Survival Analysis; United States; Weight Loss

Predicting future years of healthy life for older adults. - Diehr, P; Patrick, D L; Bild, D E; Burke, G L; Williamson, J D (J Clin Epidemiol, 1998)
Cost-effectiveness studies often need to compare the cost of a program to the lifetime benefits of the program, but estimates of lifetime benefits are not routinely available, especially for older adults. We used data from two large longitudinal studies of older adults (ages 65-100) to estimate transition probabilities from one health state to another, and used those probabilities to estimate the mean additional years of healthy life that an older adult of specified age, sex, and health status would experience. We found, for example, that 65-year-old women in excellent health can expect 16.8 years of healthy life in the future, compared to only 8.5 years for women in poor health. We also provide estimates of discounted years of healthy life and future life expectancy. These estimates may be used to extend the effective length of the study period in cost-effectiveness studies, to examine the impact of chronic diseases or risk factors on years of healthy life, or to investigate the relationship of years of life to years of healthy life. Several applications are described.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cost-Benefit Analysis; Female; Forecasting; Health Promotion; Health Status; Humans; Life Expectancy; Life Tables; Male; Probability; Quality-Adjusted Life Years; Sex Factors

Relationship between balance and abnormalities in cerebral magnetic resonance imaging in older adults. - Tell, G S; Lefkowitz, D S; Diehr, P; Elster, A D (Arch Neurol, 1998)
BACKGROUND: Falling is a major cause of disability and morbidity among older adults. Because poor balance is a major reason for frequent falls, assessment of balance and its risk factors are important. In this study, we postulated that cerebral changes identified on magnetic resonance (MR) imaging are related to balance, and that older adults with balance problems would have significantly greater prevalence of such brain abnormalities than older adults without balance problems. DESIGN AND MEASUREMENTS: Several measures of balance were examined in more than 700 community-dwelling older men and women, blacks and whites. Balance measures included dynamic posturography, functional reach, Romberg and 1-foot stand tests, tandem stand, and 1-foot stand. Cerebral MR imaging assessments included ventricular size, sulcal widening, white matter disease, and ischemic infarctions. Cardiovascular disease and hypertension were determined and controlled for in the analyses. RESULTS: A summary of the balance measures was significantly related to each of the 4 MR imaging measures, with those with poorer balance having more disease. The strongest associations with balance were seen for white matter disease and ventricular size. All but the ischemic infarction variable remained significantly associated with balance after adjustments for sex, race, age, cardiovascular disease, and hypertension. CONCLUSION: Cerebral changes identified by MR imaging are associated with poorer balance among older adults.
Keywords: Accidental Falls; Aged; Aging; Cerebral Cortex; Female; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Postural Balance; Risk Factors

Reliability of scoring respiratory disturbance indices and sleep staging. - Whitney, C W; Gottlieb, D J; Redline, S; Norman, R G; Dodge, R R; Shahar, E; Surovec, S; Nieto, F J (Sleep, 1998)
STUDY OBJECTIVES: Unattended, home-based polysomnography (PSG) is increasingly used in both research and clinical settings as an alternative to traditional laboratory-based studies, although the reliability of the scoring of these studies has not been described. The purpose of this study is to describe the reliability of the PSG scoring in the Sleep Heart Health Study (SHHS), a multicenter study of the relation between sleep-disordered breathing measured by unattended, in-home PSG using a portable sleep monitor, and cardiovascular outcomes. DESIGN: The reliability of SHHS scorers was evaluated based on 20 randomly selected studies per scorer, assessing both interscorer and intrascorer reliability. RESULTS: Both inter- and intrascorer comparisons on epoch-by-epoch sleep staging showed excellent reliability (kappa statistics >0.80), with stage 1 having the greatest discrepancies in scoring and stage 3/4 being the most reliably discriminated. The arousal index (number of arousals per hour of sleep) was moderately reliable, with an intraclass correlation (ICC) of 0.54. The scorers were highly reliable on various respiratory disturbance indices (RDIs), which incorporate an associated oxygen desaturation in the definition of respiratory events (2% to 5%) with or without the additional use of associated EEG arousal in the definition of respiratory events (ICC>0.90). When RDI was defined without considering oxygen desaturation or arousals to define respiratory events, the RDI was moderately reliable (ICC=0.74). The additional use of associated EEG arousals, but not oxygen desaturation, in defining respiratory events did little to increase the reliability of the RDI measure (ICC=0.77). CONCLUSIONS: The SHHS achieved a high degree of intrascorer and interscorer reliability for the scoring of sleep stage and RDI in unattended in-home PSG studies.
Keywords: Humans; Polysomnography; Reproducibility of Results; Research Design; Sleep Apnea Syndromes; Sleep Stages

Utilities for major stroke: results from a survey of preferences among persons at increased risk for stroke. - Samsa, G P; Matchar, D B; Goldstein, L; Bonito, A; Duncan, P W; Lipscomb, J; Enarson, C; Witter, D; Venus, P; Paul, J E; Weinberger, M (Am Heart J, 1998)
BACKGROUND: Patient beliefs, values, and preferences are crucial to decisions involving health care. In a large sample of persons at increased risk for stroke, we examined attitudes toward hypothetical major stroke. METHODS AND RESULTS: Respondents were obtained from the Academic Medical Center Consortium (n = 621), the Cardiovascular Health Study (n = 321 ), and United Health Care (n = 319). Preferences were primarily assessed by using the time trade off (TTO). Although major stroke is generally considered an undesirable event (mean TTO = 0.30), responses were varied: although 45% of respondents considered major stroke to be a worse outcome than death, 15% were willing to trade off little or no survival to avoid a major stroke. CONCLUSIONS: Providers should speak directly with patients about beliefs, values, and preferences. Stroke-related interventions, even those with a high price or less than dramatic clinical benefits, are likely to be cost-effective if they prevent an outcome (major stroke) that is so undesirable.
Keywords: Adult; Age Distribution; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Attitude to Health; Female; Health Status; Humans; Intracranial Embolism and Thrombosis; Male; Middle Aged; Quality of Life; Sex Distribution; Surveys and Questionnaires; United States

Antidiabetic treatment trends in a cohort of elderly people with diabetes. The cardiovascular health study, 1989-1997. - Smith, N L; Heckbert, S R; Bittner, V A; Savage, P J; Barzilay, J I; Dobs, A S; Psaty, B M (Diabetes Care, 1999)
OBJECTIVE: This study characterizes the pharmaceutical treatment of type 2 diabetes from 1989-1990 to 1996-1997 in an elderly cohort. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A total of 5,888 adults aged > or = 65 years were recruited and attended a baseline clinic visit in 1989-1990 (n = 5,201, original cohort) or 1992-1993 (n = 687. African-American [new] cohort) as participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study. Fasting serum glucose (FSG) was measured at baseline. Medication use was ascertained by drug inventory at all annual clinic visits. Diabetes was defined at baseline as insulin or oral hypoglycemic agent (OHA) use or as having an FSG > or = 7.0 mmol/l (126 mg/dl), the current consensus definition of diabetes. RESULTS: A total of 387 (7%) original (FSG = 9.8 mmol/l [177 mg/dl]) and 115 (17%) new (FSG = 10.6 mmol/l [191 mg/dl]) cohort members had pharmacologically treated diabetes at baseline. Among those in the original and in the new cohorts who survived follow-up, respectively, OHA use decreased from 80 to 48% (P < 0.001) and from 67 to 50% (P < 0.003) and insulin use increased from 20 to 33% (P = 0.001) and from 33 to 37% (P = 0.603). There were 396 (8%) original (FSG = 8.8 mmol/l [159 mg/dl]) and 45 (7%) new (FSG = 10.0 mmol/l [181 mg/dl]) cohort members with diabetes untreated at baseline. Among them, respectively, OHA use reached 38 and 30% and insulin use reached 6 and 16% in 1996-1997. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes was common in this elderly cohort, and > 80% of treated patients with diabetes at baseline were not achieving fasting glucose goals of < or = 6.7 mmol/l (120 mg/dl). Many untreated at baseline remained untreated after 7 years of follow-up.
Keywords: Aged; Blood Glucose; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Diabetes Mellitus; Drug Therapy; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Hypoglycemic Agents; Insulin; Male; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Time Factors; United States

Cardiovascular disease in older adults with glucose disorders: comparison of American Diabetes Association criteria for diabetes mellitus with WHO criteria. - Barzilay, J I; Spiekerman, C F; Wahl, P W; Kuller, L H; Cushman, M; Furberg, C D; Dobs, A; Polak, J F; Savage, P J (Lancet, 1999)
BACKGROUND: The new fasting American Diabetes Association (ADA) criteria for the diagnosis of diabetes mellitus rely mainly on fasting blood glucose concentrations and use a lower cut-off value for diagnosis than the WHO criteria. We aimed to assess the sensitivity of these criteria for the detection of cardiovascular disease, the main complication of diabetes mellitus in the elderly. METHODS: We did a cross-sectional and prospective analysis of 4515 participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study, an 8 year longitudinal study designed to identify factors related to the onset and course of cardiovascular disease in adults aged at least 65 years. We calculated the prevalence and incidence of cardiovascular disease for the ADA and WHO criteria. FINDINGS: There was a higher prevalence of cardiovascular disease among individuals with impaired glucose or newly diagnosed diabetes by both criteria than among those with normal glucose concentrations. However, because fewer individuals had abnormal glucose states by the fasting ADA criteria (22.3%) than by the WHO criteria (46.8%), the number of cases of cardiovascular disease attributable to abnormal glucose states was a third of that attributable by the WHO criteria (53 vs 159 cases per 10,000). For the two sets of criteria, the relative risk for incident cardiovascular disease (mean follow-up 5.9 years) was higher in individuals with impaired glucose and newly diagnosed diabetes than in those with normal glucose. Individuals classified as normal by the fasting ADA criteria had a higher absolute number of incident events (455 of 581 events) than those classified as normal by the WHO criteria (269 of 581 events). Fasting ADA criteria were therefore less sensitive than the WHO criteria for predicting cardiovascular disease among individuals with abnormal glucose (sensitivity, 28% vs 54%). INTERPRETATION: The new fasting ADA criteria seem to be less predictive than the WHO criteria for the burden of cardiovascular disease associated with abnormal glucose in the elderly.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Blood Glucose; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diabetes Complications; Diabetes Mellitus; Fasting; Female; Glucose Intolerance; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Sensitivity and Specificity; Societies, Medical; United States; World Health Organization

Hormone replacement therapy, inflammation, and hemostasis in elderly women. - Cushman, M; Meilahn, E N; Psaty, B M; Kuller, L H; Dobs, A S; Tracy, R P (Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, 1999)
Lipid-lowering by postmenopausal hormone therapy (HRT) explains only partly the assumed coronary risk reduction associated with therapy. To explore other possible mechanisms, we studied associations of HRT use with inflammation and hemostasis risk markers in women >/=65 years of age. Subjects were selected from 3393 participants in the fourth year examination of the Cardiovascular Health Study, an observational study of vascular disease risk factors. After excluding women with vascular disease, we compared levels of inflammation and hemostasis variables in the 230 women using unopposed estrogen and 60 using estrogen/progestin, with those of 196 nonusers selected as controls. Compared with nonusers, unopposed estrogen use was associated with 59% higher mean C-reactive protein (P<0.001), but with modestly lower levels of other inflammation indicators, fibrinogen, and alpha-1 acid glycoprotein (P<0.001). Factor VIIc was 16% higher among estrogen users (P<0.001), but this was not associated with higher thrombin production (prothrombin fragment 1-2), or increased fibrin breakdown (D-dimer). Concentration of plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 was 50% lower in both using groups (P<0.001) compared with nonusers, and this was associated with higher plasmin-antiplasmin complex: 8% higher in estrogen and 18% higher in estrogen/progestin users (P<0. 05). Relationships between the markers and hormone use were less pronounced in estrogen/progestin users, with no association for C-reactive protein except in women in upper 2 tertiles of body mass index (P for interaction, 0.02). The direction and strength of the associations of HRT use with inflammation markers differed depending on the protein, so it is not clear whether HRT confers coronary risk reduction through an inflammation-sensitive mechanism. Associations with hemostasis markers indicated no association with evidence of procoagulation and a possible association with increased fibrinolytic activity.
Keywords: Aged; Biomarkers; Case-Control Studies; Cross-Sectional Studies; Estrogens; Female; Hemostasis; Hormone Replacement Therapy; Humans; Inflammation; Progestins; Random Allocation; United Kingdom; United States

Increased blood glucose and insulin, body size, and incident colorectal cancer. - Schoen, R E; Tangen, C M; Kuller, L H; Burke, G L; Cushman, M; Tracy, R P; Dobs, A; Savage, P J (J Natl Cancer Inst, 1999)
BACKGROUND: Abdominal obesity--an elevated level of visceral adipose tissue--has been linked to colorectal cancer. Furthermore, elevated levels of visceral adipose tissue have been associated with hyperinsulinemia, and insulin is a growth factor in the colon. We assessed whether waist circumference, a surrogate measure of visceral adipose tissue, and metabolic parameters associated with visceral adipose tissue were related to colorectal cancer. METHODS: In the Cardiovascular Health Study cohort, we examined the relationship of baseline measurements of body size, glucose, insulin, and lipoproteins to incident colorectal cancer. All P values are two-sided. RESULTS: Among 5849 participants, 102 incident cases of colorectal cancer were identified. Individuals in the highest quartile of fasting glucose had a nearly twofold increased risk of colorectal cancer (relative risk [RR] = 1.8; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.0-3.1), and the linear trend RR (LT RR = 1.2; 95% CI = 1.0-1.5) for fasting glucose level was statistically significant (P =. 02). Glucose and insulin levels 2 hours after oral glucose challenge also exhibited statistically significant associations with colorectal cancer (2-hour glucose levels: RR = 2.4 [95% CI = 1.2-4. 7]/LT RR = 1.3 [95% CI = 1.0-1.6; P =.02]; 2-hour insulin levels: RR = 2.0 [95% CI = 1.0-3.8]/LT RR = 1.2 [95% CI = 1.0-1.5; P =.04]). Analysis of fasting insulin levels suggested a threshold effect, with values above the median associated with colorectal cancer (RR = 1.6; 95% CI = 1.1-2.4; P =.02). Higher levels of waist circumference were also statistically significantly associated with colorectal cancer (RR = 1.9; 95% CI = 1.1-3.3; P =.02). CONCLUSIONS: These data provide, to our knowledge, the first direct evidence of an association between elevated visceral adipose tissue level, its associated metabolic effects, and colorectal cancer.
Keywords: Adipose Tissue; Aged; Blood Glucose; Body Constitution; Cholesterol, HDL; Colorectal Neoplasms; Female; Humans; Incidence; Insulin; Male; Prospective Studies; Risk; Triglycerides; Viscera

Survival versus years of healthy life: which is more powerful as a study outcome? - Diehr, P; Patrick, D L; Burke, G L; Williamson, J (Control Clin Trials, 1999)
Studies of interventions that are intended to improve patients' health are often evaluated with survival as the primary outcome, even when a measure adjusted for quality of survival, such as years of healthy life (YHL), would seem more appropriate. The purpose of this article is to determine whether studies based on survival are more or less powerful than studies based on YHL in clinical trials where either measure might be appropriate. We used data from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) to estimate the sample size that would be needed in studies of 156 different health conditions, for the two outcome measures. The median sample size for a 5-year study was 687 if survival was the endpoint and 484 for YHL. YHL usually required lower sample sizes than survival, although survival was more powerful for some health conditions. We also found that lengthy studies, and studies with many follow-up measures per person, did not have appreciably higher power than less intensive studies. We conclude that clinical investigations in which the goal is to improve health may often be performed more efficiently with YHL rather than survival as the primary outcome measure. Such studies can be short in duration, with relatively few measures per person of health status.
Keywords: Aged; Angina Pectoris; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Health Status; Humans; Life Expectancy; Male; Quality-Adjusted Life Years; Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic; Research Design; Sample Size; Survival Analysis; Time Factors; Treatment Outcome

Association of sleep-disordered breathing, sleep apnea, and hypertension in a large community-based study. Sleep Heart Health Study. - Nieto, F J; Young, T B; Lind, B K; Shahar, E; Samet, J M; Redline, S; D'Agostino, R B; Newman, A B; Lebowitz, M D; Pickering, T G (JAMA, 2000)
CONTEXT: Sleep-disordered breathing (SDB) and sleep apnea have been linked to hypertension in previous studies, but most of these studies used surrogate information to define SDB (eg, snoring) and were based on small clinic populations, or both. OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between SDB and hypertension in a large cohort of middle-aged and older persons. DESIGN AND SETTING: Cross-sectional analyses of participants in the Sleep Heart Health Study, a community-based multicenter study conducted between November 1995 and January 1998. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 6132 subjects recruited from ongoing population-based studies (aged > or = 40 years; 52.8% female). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Apnea-hypopnea index (AHI, the average number of apneas plus hypopneas per hour of sleep, with apnea defined as a cessation of airflow and hypopnea defined as a > or = 30% reduction in airflow or thoracoabdominal excursion both of which are accompanied by a > or = 4% drop in oxyhemoglobin saturation) [corrected], obtained by unattended home polysomnography. Other measures include arousal index; percentage of sleep time below 90% oxygen saturation; history of snoring; and presence of hypertension, defined as resting blood pressure of at least 140/90 mm Hg or use of antihypertensive medication. RESULTS: Mean systolic and diastolic blood pressure and prevalence of hypertension increased significantly with increasing SDB measures, although some of this association was explained by body mass index (BMI). After adjusting for demographics and anthropometric variables (including BMI, neck circumference, and waist-to-hip ratio), as well as for alcohol intake and smoking, the odds ratio for hypertension, comparing the highest category of AHI (> or = 30 per hour) with the lowest category (< 1.5 per hour), was 1.37 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-1.83; P for trend = .005). The corresponding estimate comparing the highest and lowest categories of percentage of sleep time below 90% oxygen saturation (> or = 12% vs < 0.05%) was 1.46 (95% CI, 1.12-1.88; P for trend <.001). In stratified analyses, associations of hypertension with either measure of SDB were seen in both sexes, older and younger ages, all ethnic groups, and among normal-weight and overweight individuals. Weaker and nonsignificant associations were observed for the arousal index or self-reported history of habitual snoring. CONCLUSION: Our findings from the largest cross-sectional study to date indicate that SDB is associated with systemic hypertension in middle-aged and older individuals of different sexes and ethnic backgrounds.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Cohort Studies; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Humans; Hypertension; Logistic Models; Male; Middle Aged; Obesity; Polysomnography; Sleep Apnea Syndromes; Snoring

Depressive symptoms and risks of coronary heart disease and mortality in elderly Americans. Cardiovascular Health Study Collaborative Research Group. - Ariyo, A A; Haan, M; Tangen, C M; Rutledge, J C; Cushman, M; Dobs, A; Furberg, C D (Circulation, 2000)
BACKGROUND: Several epidemiological studies have associated depressive symptoms with cardiovascular disease. We investigated whether depressive symptoms constituted a risk for coronary heart disease (CHD) and total mortality among an apparently healthy elderly cohort. METHODS AND RESULTS: In a prospective cohort of 5888 elderly Americans (>/=65 years) who were enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study, 4493 participants who were free of cardiovascular disease at baseline provided annual information on their depressive status, which was assessed using the Depression Scale of the Center for Epidemiological Studies. These 4493 subjects were followed for 6 years for the development of CHD and mortality. The cumulative mean depression score was assessed for each participant up to the time of event (maximum 6-year follow-up). Using time-dependent, proportional-hazards models, the unadjusted hazard ratio associated with every 5-unit increase in mean depression score for the development of CHD was 1.15 (P:=0.006); the ratio for all-cause mortality was 1.29 (P:<0.0001). In multivariate analyses adjusted for age, race, sex, education, diabetes, hypertension, cigarette smoking, total cholesterol, triglyceride level, congestive heart failure, and physical inactivity, the hazard ratio for CHD was 1.15 (P:=0.006) and that for all-cause mortality was 1.16 (P:=0.006). Among participants with the highest cumulative mean depression scores, the risk of CHD increased by 40% and risk of death by 60% compared with those who had the lowest mean scores. CONCLUSIONS: Among elderly Americans, depressive symptoms constitute an independent risk factor for the development of CHD and total mortality.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cohort Studies; Coronary Disease; Depression; Female; Humans; Male; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; United States

Area characteristics and individual-level socioeconomic position indicators in three population-based epidemiologic studies. - Diez-Roux, A V; Kiefe, C I; Jacobs, D R; Haan, M; Jackson, S A; Nieto, F J; Paton, C C; Schulz, R (Ann Epidemiol, 2001)
PURPOSE: There is growing interest in incorporating area indicators into epidemiologic analyses. Using data from the 1990 U.S. Census linked to individual-level data from three epidemiologic studies, we investigated how different area indicators are interrelated, how measures for different sized areas compare, and the relation between area and individual-level social position indicators. METHODS: The interrelations between 13 area indicators of wealth/income, education, occupation, and other socioenvironmental characteristics were investigated using correlation coefficients and factor analyses. The extent to which block-group measures provide information distinct from census tract measures was investigated using intraclass correlation coefficients. Loglinear models were used to investigate associations between area and individual-level indicators. RESULTS: Correlations between area measures were generally in the 0.5--0.8 range. In factor analyses, six indicators of income/wealth, education, and occupation loaded on one factor in most geographic sites. Correlations between block-group and census tract measures were high (correlation coefficients 0.85--0.96). Most of the variability in block-group indicators was between census tracts (intraclass correlation coefficients 0.72--0.92). Although individual-level and area indicators were associated, there was evidence of important heterogeneity in area of residence within individual-level income or education categories. The strength of the association between individual and area measures was similar in the three studies and in whites and blacks, but blacks were much more likely to live in more disadvantaged areas than whites. CONCLUSIONS: Area measures of wealth/income, education, and occupation are moderately to highly correlated. Differences between using census tract or block-group measures in contextual investigations are likely to be relatively small. Area and individual-level indicators are far from perfectly correlated and provide complementary information on living circumstances. Differences in the residential environments of blacks and whites may need to be taken into account in interpreting race differences in epidemiologic studies.
Keywords: Adult; Black or African American; Cardiovascular Diseases; Demography; Educational Status; Factor Analysis, Statistical; Humans; Income; Linear Models; Occupations; Risk Factors; Social Class; Social Environment; Socioeconomic Factors; Statistics, Nonparametric; United States; White People

Brachial flow-mediated vasodilator responses in population-based research: methods, reproducibility and effects of age, gender and baseline diameter. - Herrington, D M; Fan, L; Drum, M; Riley, W A; Pusser, B E; Crouse, J R; Burke, G L; McBurnie, M A; Morgan, T M; Espeland, M A (J Cardiovasc Risk, 2001)
BACKGROUND: Brachial artery ultrasound has been proposed as an inexpensive, accurate way to assess cardiovascular risk in populations. However, analysis and interpretation of these data are not uniform. METHODS: We analysed the relationship between relative and absolute changes in brachial artery diameter in response to flow-mediated dilation and age, gender and baseline diameter among 4,040 ultrasound examinations from subjects aged 14 to 98 years. RESULTS: Reproducibility studies demonstrated intra- and interreader and intrasubject correlations from 0.67 to 0.84 for repeated measures of per cent change in diameter. Per cent change in diameter after flow stimulus was 3.58 +/- 0.10% (mean +/- standard deviation). Corresponding values for baseline diameter and absolute change in diameter were 4.43 +/- 0.87 mm and 0.15 +/- 0.01 mm, respectively. Baseline diameter and its variance were inversely related to per cent change in diameter (P< 0.001). In contrast, absolute change in diameter was more uniform throughout the range of baseline diameters. Baseline diameter was directly related, and per cent change in diameter inversely related, to age (P < 0.001 for all three measures). Time to maximum vasodilator response increased with age (P < 0.001). Women (n=2,315) had significantly larger per cent change in diameter than men (n=1,725) (P < 0.001). However, after adjustment for age and baseline diameter, per cent and absolute change were 5% smaller in women than men (P < 0.05 for both). In multivariate analysis, age was overwhelmingly the most important determinant of absolute change in diameter (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Automated analysis of brachial flow-mediated vasodilator responses is both feasible and reproducible in large-scale clinical and population-based research.
Keywords: Adolescent; Adult; Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Blood Circulation; Brachial Artery; Female; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Observer Variation; Population Surveillance; Reproducibility of Results; Sex Factors; Vasodilation; Vasodilator Agents

Cluster analysis and patterns of findings on cranial magnetic resonance imaging of the elderly: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Longstreth, W T; Diehr, P; Manolio, T A; Beauchamp, N J; Jungreis, C A; Lefkowitz, D (Arch Neurol, 2001)
OBJECTIVE: To characterize patterns of findings on cranial magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the elderly using a statistical technique called cluster analysis. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: The Cardiovascular Health Study is a population-based, longitudinal study of 5888 people 65 years and older. Of these, 3230 underwent cranial MRI scans, which were coded for presence of infarcts and grades for white matter, ventricles, and sulci. Cluster analysis separated participants into 5 clusters based solely on patterns of MRI findings. Participants comprising each cluster were contrasted with respect to cardiovascular risk factors and clinical manifestations. RESULTS: One cluster was low on all the MRI findings (normal) and another was high on all of them (complex infarcts). Another cluster had evidence for infarcts alone (simple infarcts), whereas the last 2 clusters lacked infarcts, one having enlarged ventricles and sulci (atrophy) and the other having prominent white matter changes and enlarged ventricles (leukoaraiosis). Factors that distinguished these clusters in a discriminant analysis were age, sex, several measures of hypertension, internal carotid artery wall thickness, smoking, and prevalent claudication before the MRI. The atrophy group had the highest percentage of men and the normal group had the lowest. Cognitive and motor performance also differed across clusters, with the atrophy cluster performing better than may have been expected. CONCLUSIONS: These MRI patterns identified participants with different vascular disease risk factors and clinical manifestations. Results of these exploratory analyses warrant consideration in other populations of elderly people. Such patterns may provide clues about the pathophysiology of structural brain changes in the elderly.
Keywords: Aged; Brain; Cerebral Infarction; Cerebrovascular Disorders; Cluster Analysis; Cohort Studies; Discriminant Analysis; Female; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Risk Factors

Hypertension, heart rate, use of antihypertensives, and incident prostate cancer. - Fitzpatrick, A L; Daling, J R; Furberg, C D; Kronmal, R A; Weissfeld, J L (Ann Epidemiol, 2001)
PURPOSE: Recent studies have reported conflicting results on a possible relationship between hypertension, heart rate, and prostate cancer. A model has been developed suggesting that high blood pressure and high heart rate may both be markers for increased central sympathetic nervous activity, which may result in androgen-mediated stimulation of prostate cancer growth. METHODS: In this study we examined the associations between hypertension, heart rate, use of antihypertensive medications, and incident prostate cancer in a cohort of 2442 men. Data from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), an NHLBI-sponsored observational study of adults age 65 or older in four U.S. communities, were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression. Seated systolic and diastolic blood pressures were measured using a standardized protocol at the initial clinical examination and annually at follow-up visits. Medications data were transcribed by trained interviewers from prescription medication containers brought into the clinic by participants. RESULTS: A total of 209 cases of incident prostate cancer were identified from either an ICD-9 code of 185 in hospital medical records (n = 130) or by self-report from annual surveillance interviews (n = 79). An average of 5.6 years of follow-up was available for analyses. No associations between blood pressure measures at entry into the study and prostate cancer were found, although these results may have been affected by subsequent treatment of hypertension. An association between resting heart rate (HR) equal to or greater than 80 beats per minute and incident prostate cancer was found compared to men with a rate of less than 60 beats per minute (HR: 1.6, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03-2.5). An inverse association was found between risk of incident prostate cancer and use of any antihypertensive medication (HR: 0.7, 95% CI: 0.5-0.9). A test of heterogeneity found no difference between use of the specific classes of antihypertensive medication and the association with prostate cancer risk. CONCLUSIONS: These data tend to support the hypothesized causal pathway between vascular disease markers and prostate cancer.
Keywords: Aged; Antihypertensive Agents; Cohort Studies; Heart Rate; Humans; Hypertension; Incidence; Male; Proportional Hazards Models; Prostatic Neoplasms; Risk; United States

Patterns of self-rated health in older adults before and after sentinel health events. - Diehr, P; Williamson, J; Patrick, D L; Bild, D E; Burke, G L (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2001)
OBJECTIVES: To describe and compare patterns of change in self-rated health for older adults before death and before and after stroke, myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, cardiac procedure, hospital admission for cancer, and hip fracture. DESIGN: "Event cohort," measuring time in months before and after the event. SETTING: Four U.S. communities. PARTICIPANTS: 5888 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), sampled from Medicare rolls and followed up to 8 years. Mean age at baseline was 73. MEASUREMENTS: Self-rated health, including a category for death, assessed at 6-month intervals, and ascertainment of events. METHODS: We examined the percentage that was healthy each month in the 5 years before death and in the 2 years before and after the other events, and compared the patterns to a "no event" group and to one another, using graphs and linear regression. RESULTS: For people who died, health status declined slowly until about 9 months before death, when it dropped steeply. Comparing persons equally far from death, health was unrelated to age, but men and whites were healthier than women and blacks. Health for other events declined before the event, dropped steeply at the event, showed some recovery, and then declined further after the event. About 65% to 80% of the subjects were healthy 2 years before their event, but only 35% to 65% were healthy two years afterwards. Patterns were similar although less extreme for the "no event" group. CONCLUSION: Visualizing trajectories of health helps us understand how serious health events changes health. Conclusions about change must be drawn with care because of a variety of possible biases. We have described the trajectories in detail. Work is now needed to explain, predict, and possibly prevent such changes in health.
Keywords: Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Death; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Health Status; Health Status Indicators; Hip Fractures; Hospitalization; Humans; Linear Models; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Random Allocation; Time Factors

Patterns on cranial magnetic resonance imaging in elderly people and vascular disease outcomes. - Longstreth, W T; Diehr, P; Beauchamp, N J; Manolio, T A (Arch Neurol, 2001)
Keywords: Aged; Brain; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cluster Analysis; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging

Post-menopausal hormone therapy and concentrations of protein C and antithrombin in elderly women. - Cushman, M; Psaty, B M; Meilahn, E N; Dobs, A S; Kuller, L H (Br J Haematol, 2001)
The effects of post-menopausal hormone therapy (HRT) on blood coagulation in elderly women are not well defined. We studied associations of HRT use with levels of natural anticoagulant proteins in a cross-sectional study of 3393 women > or = 65 years of age participating in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Protein C antigen and antithrombin were measured in all users (n = 230 unopposed oestrogen; 60 oestrogen/progestin) and a comparison group of 196 age- and race-matched non-users. Compared with non-users, oestrogen use was associated with higher protein C (4.80 vs. 4.30 microg/ml, P < 0.01). Results were similar for oestrogen/progestin (P > 0.05). In both user groups, antithrombin was lower than in non-users (109% for each vs. 115% in non-users, P < 0.001). Adjustment for factors related to prescription of HRT and to anticoagulant protein levels had little impact on the results. For antithrombin, associations with HRT were larger for thinner Caucasian women and black women. Venous thrombosis from HRT may be mediated partly by alterations in antithrombin, but not protein C concentrations. This study extends previous observations to older women, the group at highest risk of venous thromboembolism. Studies of HRT-induced alterations in anticoagulant function in relation to the occurrence of thrombosis with HRT are required.
Keywords: Aged; Antithrombins; Black People; Body Mass Index; Cross-Sectional Studies; Estrogen Replacement Therapy; Female; Humans; Logistic Models; Postmenopause; Progestins; Protein C; Risk Factors; Venous Thrombosis; White People

Probabilities of transition among health states for older adults. - Diehr, P; Patrick, D L (Qual Life Res, 2001)
GOAL: To estimate the probabilities of transition among self-rated health states for older adults, and examine how they vary by age and sex. METHODS: We used self-rated health (excellent, very good, good, fair, poor, dead) collected in two longitudinal studies of older adults (mean age 75) to estimate the probability of transition in 2 years. We used the estimates to project future health for selected cohorts. FINDINGS: These older adults were most likely to be in the same health state 2 years later, but a substantial proportion changed in both directions. Transition probabilities varied by initial health state, age and sex. Men were more likely than women to transition to excellent or dead. Women were more likely than men to transition to good or fair health. Although women aged 70 will have more years of life and more years of healthy life than men, they also have more years of unhealthy life, and the proportion of remaining life that is healthy is slightly higher for men. When observed and predicted years of healthy life (YHL) were compared in various subgroups, the YHL of persons with less favorable baseline characteristics was lower than predicted, and vice-versa. Differences, however, were small (about 5%). CONCLUSIONS: These transition probability estimates can be used to predict the future health of individuals or groups as a function of current age, sex, and self-rated health.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Aging; Female; Health Status; Humans; Male; Probability; Quality of Life; Regression Analysis; Sex Factors

Relation of hemodynamics and risk factors to ventricular-vascular interactions in the elderly: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - de Simone, G; McClelland, R; Gottdiener, J S; Celentano, A; Kronmal, R A; Gardin, J M (J Hypertens, 2001)
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the interaction between left ventricular (LV) geometry, carotid structure and arterial compliance in relation to hemodynamic stimuli and risk factors (plasma cholesterol, body mass index, insulin resistance, smoking habit, age, sex and race). DESIGN: Cross-sectional. METHODS: Echocardiography and carotid ultrasound were performed in 2375 elderly subjects without signs or history of prevalent cardiovascular disease, diabetes or renal disease (795 men; 298 non-whites; 1215 hypertensive), from the cohort of the Cardiovascular Health Study. Arterial compliance was estimated by the prognostically validated ratio of stroke volume to pulse pressure (SV/PP) as the percent deviation (Delta%) from the value predicted by individual age, heart rate and body weight. RESULTS: Intima-medial thickness (IMT) was higher in the presence of LV hypertrophy (LVH) in normotensive and hypertensive subjects and was greatest in the presence of concentric LVH. Maximum carotid lumen diameter (CLD) was also higher in the presence of LVH (and was greatest with eccentric LVH, in association with relatively high values for stroke volume). After adjusting for blood pressure, maximum carotid lumen diameter was directly correlated with stroke volume, and IMT to LV mass (all P < 0.001). Similarly, IMT was also related to maximum carotid lumen diameter, independently of prevalent risk factors (P < 0.001). SV/PP-Delta% was reduced in both groups with concentric LV remodeling (both P < 0.0001) or concentric LVH (both P < 0.05). Adjusting for risk factors did not affect these associations in normotensives, but made them insignificant in hypertensives. In normotensives, IMT was inversely related to SV/PP-Delta% (P < 0.001), independently of risk factors, whereas no significant relation was found in hypertensives. CONCLUSIONS: The magnitudes of carotid intima-medial thickness and lumen diameter parallel levels of LV mass and geometry, and are directly related to stroke volume and arterial stiffness; this interaction is most evident in the presence of normal blood pressure, whereas it is affected by other cardiovascular risk factors when arterial hypertension is present.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Blood Pressure; Carotid Arteries; Compliance; Cross-Sectional Studies; Echocardiography; Female; Hemodynamics; Humans; Hypertension; Hypertrophy, Left Ventricular; Male; Reference Values; Risk Factors; Stroke Volume; Tunica Intima; Tunica Media; Ventricular Function, Left

Silent MRI infarcts and the risk of future stroke: the cardiovascular health study. - Bernick, C; Kuller, L; Dulberg, C; Longstreth, W T; Manolio, T; Beauchamp, N; Price, T (Neurology, 2001)
BACKGROUND: Silent infarcts are commonly discovered on cranial MRI in the elderly. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between risk of stroke and presence of silent infarcts, alone and in combination with other stroke risk factors. METHODS: Participants (3,324) in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) without a history of stroke underwent cranial MRI scans between 1992 and 1994. Silent infarcts were defined as focal lesions greater than 3 mm that were hyperintense on T2 images and, if subcortical, hypointense on T1 images. Incident strokes were identified and classified over an average follow-up of 4 years. The authors evaluated the risk of subsequent symptomatic stroke and how it was modified by other potential stroke risk factors among those with silent infarcts. RESULTS: Approximately 28% of CHS participants had evidence of silent infarcts (n = 923). The incidence of stroke was 18.7 per 1,000 person-years in those with silent infarcts (n = 67) compared with 9.5 per 1,000 person-years in the absence of silent infarcts. The adjusted relative risk of incident stroke increased with multiple (more than one) silent infarcts (hazard ratio 1.9 [1.2 to 2.8]). Higher values of diastolic and systolic blood pressure, common and internal carotid wall thickness, and the presence of atrial fibrillation were associated with an increased risk of strokes in those with silent infarcts (n = 53 strokes). CONCLUSION: The presence of silent cerebral infarcts on MRI is an independent predictor of the risk of symptomatic stroke over a 4-year follow- up in older individuals without a clinical history of stroke.
Keywords: Aged; Cerebral Infarction; Cohort Studies; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Incidence; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Predictive Value of Tests; Risk Factors; Stroke

Transforming self-rated health and the SF-36 scales to include death and improve interpretability. - Diehr, P; Patrick, D L; Spertus, J; Kiefe, C I; McDonell, M; Fihn, S D (Med Care, 2001)
BACKGROUND: Most measures of health-related quality of life are undefined for people who die. Longitudinal analyses are often limited to a healthier cohort (survivors) that cannot be identified prospectively, and that may have had little change in health. OBJECTIVE: To develop and evaluate methods to transform a single self-rated health item (excellent to poor; EVGGFP) and the physical component score of the SF-36 (PCS) to new variables that include a defensible value for death. METHODS: Using longitudinal data from two large studies of older adults, health variables were transformed to the probability of being healthy in the future, conditional on the current observed value; death then has the value of 0. For EVGGFP, the new transformations were compared with some that were published earlier, based on different data. For the PCS, how well three different transformations, based on different definitions of being healthy, discriminated among groups of patients, and detected change in time were assessed. RESULTS: The new transformation for EVGGFP was similar to that published previously. Coding the 5 categories as 95, 90, 80, 30, and 15, and coding dead as 0 is recommended. The three transformations of the PCS detected group differences and change at least as well as the standard PCS. CONCLUSION: These easily interpretable transformed variables permit keeping persons who die in the analyses. Using the transformed variables for longitudinal analyses of health when deaths occur, either for secondary or primary analysis, is recommended. This approach can be applied to other measures of health.
Keywords: Aged; Data Interpretation, Statistical; Death; Decision Making; Female; Health Status; Humans; Logistic Models; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Models, Statistical; Quality of Life; ROC Curve; Surveys and Questionnaires

Weight change in old age and its association with mortality. - Newman, A B; Yanez, D; Harris, T; Duxbury, A; Enright, P L; Fried, L P (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2001)
OBJECTIVES: Previous studies of weight change and mortality in older adults have relied on self-reported weight loss, have not evaluated weight gain, or have had limited information on health status. Our objective was to determine whether 5% weight gain or loss in 3 years was predictive of mortality in a large sample of older adults. DESIGN: Longitudinal observational cohort study. SETTING: Four U.S. communities. PARTICIPANTS: Four thousand seven hundred fourteen community-dwelling older adults, age 65 and older. MEASUREMENTS: Weight gain or loss of 5% in a 3-year period was examined in relationship to baseline health status and interim health events. Risk for subsequent mortality was estimated in those with weight loss or weight gain compared with the group whose weight was stable. RESULTS: Weight changes occurred in 34.6% of women and 27.3% of men, with weight loss being more frequent than gain. Weight loss was associated with older age, black race, higher weight, lower waist circumference, current smoking, stroke, any hospitalization, death of a spouse, activities of daily living disability, lower grip strength, and slower gait speed. Weight loss but not weight gain of 5% or more was associated with an increased risk of mortality that persisted after multivariate adjustment (Hazard ratio (HR) = 1.67, 95% CI = 1.29-2.15) and was similar in those with no serious illness in the period of weight change. Those with weight loss and low baseline weight had the highest crude mortality rate, although the HR for weight loss was similar for all tertiles of baseline weight and for those with or without a special diet, compared with those whose weight was stable. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms that even modest decline in body weight is an important and independent marker of risk of mortality in older adults.
Keywords: Aged; Analysis of Variance; Body Weight; Chi-Square Distribution; Female; Health Status; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Mortality; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors; United States; Weight Gain; Weight Loss

The aging and dying processes and the health of older adults. - Diehr, Paula; Williamson, Jeff; Burke, Gregory L; Psaty, Bruce M (J Clin Epidemiol, 2002)
It is difficult to distinguish changes in health due to aging from those related to dying, because the two processes are highly related. Some potentially treatable conditions may mistakenly be dismissed as due to old age. The goal of this article was to examine the relationships of aging and of dying to changes in 10 health-related variables: self-rated health, depression, ADLs, IADLs, minimental state examination, body mass index, blocks walked per week, bed days, hospitalization, and walking speed (all coded so that higher values were better). We used longitudinal data from the Cardiovascular Health Study to estimate the changes in the variables associated with 5 years of aging and also in the 5 years before death, controlling for years from death and for age, respectively. All 10 health variables declined as death approached, and most of them also declined with age. The "effect" of the dying process was usually significantly larger than the effect of aging. Large declines in these health measures are probably not due to aging, and should be taken seriously by patients and their providers.
Keywords: Aged; Aging; Death; Female; Health Status Indicators; Humans; Linear Models; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Muscular Atrophy

Incidence, manifestations, and predictors of brain infarcts defined by serial cranial magnetic resonance imaging in the elderly: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Longstreth, W T; Dulberg, Corinne; Manolio, Teri A; Lewis, Michael R; Beauchamp, Norman J; O'Leary, Daniel; Carr, Jeff; Furberg, Curt D (Stroke, 2002)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: MRI-defined infarcts are common in the elderly. We sought to explore incidence, manifestations, and predictors of such infarcts. METHODS: The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) is a population-based, longitudinal study of 5888 people aged > or =65 years. Participants have had extensive baseline and follow-up evaluations; 1433 participants underwent 2 MRI scans separated by 5 years and had no infarcts on initial MRI. RESULTS: On follow-up MRI, 254 participants (17.7%) had 1 or more infarcts. Most were single (75.6%), subcortical (79.9%), and small (3 to 20 mm in 87.0%). Only 11.4% of those with infarcts experienced a documented transient ischemic attack or stroke between the scans. Although participants were similar at initial MRI, those with MRI-defined infarcts on follow-up experienced greater decline than those without infarcts on the Modified Mini-Mental State Examination and Digit-Symbol Substitution test (both P<0.01). Severity of white matter changes on initial MRI was the strongest predictor of incident infarcts. When it was excluded from stepwise multivariable models, predictors were serum creatinine, age, and ankle-arm index. CONCLUSIONS: Incident MRI-defined infarcts commonly affect the elderly. Most are small, subcortical, and not associated with acute symptoms recognized as a transient ischemic attack or stroke. Nonetheless, they cannot be considered silent because of their association with subtle cognitive deficits. These covert infarcts are associated with white matter changes, which may share a common pathophysiology. Whether control of vascular risk factors, such as blood pressure, would reduce the risk of developing these infarcts and associated cognitive decline deserves further investigation.
Keywords: Aged; Brain Infarction; California; Cohort Studies; Creatinine; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Maryland; Multivariate Analysis; Neuropsychological Tests; North Carolina; Odds Ratio; Pennsylvania; Predictive Value of Tests; Risk Factors

Prevalence of neuropsychiatric symptoms in dementia and mild cognitive impairment: results from the cardiovascular health study. - Lyketsos, Constantine G; Lopez, Oscar; Jones, Beverly; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Breitner, John; DeKosky, Steven (JAMA, 2002)
CONTEXT: Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) may be a precursor to dementia, at least in some cases. Dementia and MCI are associated with neuropsychiatric symptoms in clinical samples. Only 2 population-based studies exist of the prevalence of these symptoms in dementia, and none exist for MCI. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of neuropsychiatric symptoms in dementia and MCI in a population-based study. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study derived from the Cardiovascular Health Study, a longitudinal cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: A total of 3608 participants were cognitively evaluated using data collected longitudinally over 10 years and additional data collected in 1999-2000 in 4 US counties. Dementia and MCI were classified using clinical criteria and adjudicated by committee review by expert neurologists and psychiatrists. A total of 824 individuals completed the Neuropsychiatric Inventory (NPI); 362 were classified as having dementia, 320 as having MCI; and 142 did not meet criteria for MCI or dementia. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Prevalence of neuropsychiatric symptoms, based on ratings on the NPI in the previous month and from the onset of cognitive symptoms. RESULTS: Of the 682 individuals with dementia or MCI, 43% of MCI participants (n = 138) exhibited neuropsychiatric symptoms in the previous month (29% rated as clinically significant) with depression (20%), apathy (15%), and irritability (15%) being most common. Among the dementia participants, 75% (n = 270) had exhibited a neuropsychiatric symptom in the past month (62% were clinically significant); 55% (n = 199) reported 2 or more and 44% (n = 159) 3 or more disturbances in the past month. In participants with dementia, the most frequent disturbances were apathy (36%), depression (32%), and agitation/aggression (30%). Eighty percent of dementia participants (n = 233) and 50% of MCI participants (n = 139) exhibited at least 1 NPI symptom from the onset of cognitive symptoms. There were no differences in prevalence of neuropsychiatric symptoms between participants with Alzheimer-type dementia and those with other dementias, with the exception of aberrant motor behavior, which was more frequent in Alzheimer-type dementia (5.4% vs 1%; P =.02). CONCLUSIONS: Neuropsychiatric symptoms occur in the majority of persons with dementia over the course of the disease. These are the first population-based estimates for neuropsychiatric symptoms in MCI, indicating a high prevalence associated with this condition as well. These symptoms have serious adverse consequences and should be inquired about and treated as necessary. Study of neuropsychiatric symptoms in the context of dementia may improve our understanding of brain-behavior relationships.
Keywords: Aged; Aggression; Anxiety; Behavioral Symptoms; Cognition Disorders; Comorbidity; Cross-Sectional Studies; Delusions; Dementia; Depression; Feeding and Eating Disorders; Female; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Neuropsychological Tests; Prevalence; Sleep Wake Disorders

Prevalence of renovascular disease in the elderly: a population-based study. - Hansen, Kimberley J; Edwards, Matthew S; Craven, Timothy E; Cherr, Gregory S; Jackson, Sharon A; Appel, Richard G; Burke, Gregory L; Dean, Richard H (J Vasc Surg, 2002)
PURPOSE: The purpose of this investigation was to estimate the population-based prevalence of renovascular disease (RVD), defined as > or = 60% diameter-reducing renal artery stenosis or occlusion, and to define its associations with age, gender, race, and other potential risk factors among participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). METHODS: The CHS is a multicenter, longitudinal cohort study of cardiovascular disease risk factors, morbidity, and mortality among free-living adults of more than 65 years of age. As part of an ancillary investigation, participants in the Forsyth County cohort of the CHS were invited to undergo renal duplex sonography (RDS) to define the presence or absence of RVD. RVD was defined as stenosis with a focal renal artery peak systolic velocity exceeding 1.8 m/s in the main renal artery and defined as occlusion when an imaged renal artery lacked a Doppler signal. Demographic and atherosclerotic risk factor data were gathered as part of the baseline CHS examination. Univariable tests of association were performed with chi(2) and Student t tests and logistic regression analysis. Multivariate associations were examined with logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Eight hundred seventy CHS participants underwent RDS. Of these examinations, 834 (96%) were technically adequate to define the presence or absence of RVD. The RDS study cohort had a mean age of 77.2 +/- 4.9 years and consisted of 63% women and 37% men. Participant race was 76% white and 23% African American. The overall prevalence rate of RVD was 6.8%. Among the 57 patients with RVD, 50 (88%) had unilateral disease and seven (12%) had bilateral disease. Seven cases were seen of renal artery occlusion, including one case with contralateral renal artery stenosis. The mean ages of patients with and without RVD were 78.7 +/- 5.7 years and 77.1 +/- 4.9 years (P =.018). RVD was present in 5.5% of women and 9.1% of men (P =.053). RVD was present in 6.9% of white participants and 6.7% of African American participants (P =.933). Multivariate analysis revealed increasing participant age (P =.028; odds ratio, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.03, 1.73), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels of less than 40 mg/dL (P =.003; odds ratio, 2.63; 95% CI, 1.40, 4.93), and increasing systolic blood pressure (P =.007; odds ratio, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.10, 1.87) to be significantly and independently associated with the presence of RVD. CONCLUSION: This investigation provides the first population-based estimate of the prevalence of RVD among free-living, elderly black and white Americans. RVD was present in 6.8% of the study cohort. RVD showed no association with ethnicity. However, its presence was significantly and independently associated with increasing age, low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels, and increasing systolic blood pressure.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cohort Studies; Ethnic Groups; Female; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Prevalence; Prospective Studies; Renal Artery; Renal Artery Obstruction; Risk Factors; Sex Factors; Ultrasonography, Doppler, Duplex

Weight-modification trials in older adults: what should the outcome measure be? - Diehr, Paula; Newman, Anne B; Jackson, Sharon A; Kuller, Lewis; Powe, Neil (Curr Control Trials Cardiovasc Med, 2002)
BACKGROUND: Overweight older adults are often counseled to lose weight, even though there is little evidence of excess mortality in that age group. Overweight and underweight may be more associated with health status than with mortality, but few clinical trials of any kind have been based on maximizing years of healthy life (YHL), as opposed to years of life (YOL). OBJECTIVE: This paper examines the relationship of body mass index (BMI) to both YHL and YOL. Results were used to determine whether clinical trials of weight-modification based on improving YHL would be more powerful than studies based on survival. DESIGN: We used data from a cohort of 4,878 non-smoking men and women aged 65-100 at baseline (mean age 73) and followed 7 years. We estimated mean YHL and YOL in four categories of BMI: underweight, normal, overweight, and obese. RESULTS: Subjects averaged 6.3 YOL and 4.6 YHL of a possible 7 years. Both measures were higher for women and whites. For men, none of the BMI groups was significantly different from the normal group on either YOL or YHL. For women, the obese had significantly lower YHL (but not YOL) than the normals, and the underweight had significantly lower YOL and YHL. The overweight group was not significantly different from the normal group on either measure. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical trials of weight loss interventions for obese older women would require fewer participants if YHL rather than YOL was the outcome measure. Interventions for obese men or for the merely overweight are not likely to achieve differences in either YOL or YHL. Evaluations of interventions for the underweight (which would presumably address the causes of their low weight) may be conducted efficiently using either outcome measure.

Beta2-adrenergic receptor polymorphisms and risk of incident cardiovascular events in the elderly. - Heckbert, Susan R; Hindorff, Lucia A; Edwards, Karen L; Psaty, Bruce M; Lumley, Thomas; Siscovick, David S; Tang, Zhonghua; Durda, J Peter; Kronmal, Richard A; Tracy, Russell P (Circulation, 2003)
BACKGROUND: Genetic polymorphisms at codons 16 and 27 of the beta2-adrenergic receptor have been associated with altered response to sympathetic stimulation. We examined these polymorphisms in relation to cardiovascular event risk in the Cardiovascular Health Study. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 808 black and 4441 white participants (mean age, 73 years) were genotyped for the Arg16Gly and Gln27Glu polymorphisms of the beta2-adrenergic receptor. There were 702 incident coronary events, 438 ischemic strokes, and 1136 combined cardiovascular events during 7 to 10 years of follow-up. Allele frequencies differed by race but not by age or hypertension status. Glu27 carriers had a lower risk of coronary events than Gln27 homozygotes (hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.70 to 0.95), and there was a suggestion of decreased risk among Gly16 carriers compared with Arg16 homozygotes (hazard ratio, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.72 to 1.07). There was no association of beta2-adrenergic receptor genotype with ischemic stroke or combined cardiovascular events. CONCLUSIONS: The Glu27 allele of the beta2-adrenergic receptor was associated with a lower risk of incident coronary events in this elderly population.
Keywords: African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; Alleles; Brain Ischemia; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Comorbidity; Coronary Disease; European Continental Ancestry Group; Follow-Up Studies; Gene Frequency; Humans; Incidence; Linkage Disequilibrium; Polymorphism, Genetic; Receptors, Adrenergic, beta-2; Risk Assessment; Stroke; United States

Imputation of missing longitudinal data: a comparison of methods. - Engels, Jean Mundahl; Diehr, Paula (J Clin Epidemiol, 2003)
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Missing information is inevitable in longitudinal studies, and can result in biased estimates and a loss of power. One approach to this problem is to impute the missing data to yield a more complete data set. Our goal was to compare the performance of 14 methods of imputing missing data on depression, weight, cognitive functioning, and self-rated health in a longitudinal cohort of older adults. METHODS: We identified situations where a person had a known value following one or more missing values, and treated the known value as a "missing value." This "missing value" was imputed using each method and compared to the observed value. Methods were compared on the root mean square error, mean absolute deviation, bias, and relative variance of the estimates. RESULTS: Most imputation methods were biased toward estimating the "missing value" as too healthy, and most estimates had a variance that was too low. Imputed values based on a person's values before and after the "missing value" were superior to other methods, followed by imputations based on a person's values before the "missing value." Imputations that used no information specific to the person, such as using the sample mean, had the worst performance. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that, in longitudinal studies where the overall trend is for worse health over time and where missing data can be assumed to be primarily related to worse health, missing data in a longitudinal sequence should be imputed from the available longitudinal data for that person.
Keywords: Aged; Analysis of Variance; Bias; Coronary Disease; Data Interpretation, Statistical; Depression; Female; Health Status; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Research Design; Risk Factors; Stroke; United States

Prevalence and classification of mild cognitive impairment in the Cardiovascular Health Study Cognition Study: part 1. - Lopez, Oscar L; Jagust, William J; DeKosky, Steven T; Becker, James T; Fitzpatrick, Annette; Dulberg, Corinne; Breitner, John; Lyketsos, Constantine; Jones, Beverly; Kawas, Claudia; Carlson, Michelle; Kuller, Lewis H (Arch Neurol, 2003)
OBJECTIVE: To examine the prevalence of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and its diagnostic classification in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) Cognition Study. DESIGN: The CHS Cognition Study is an ancillary study of the CHS that was conducted to determine the presence of MCI and dementia in the CHS cohort. SETTING: Multicenter population study. PATIENTS: We examined 3608 participants in the CHS who had undergone detailed neurological, neuropsychological, neuroradiological, and psychiatric testing to identify dementia and MCI. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The prevalence of MCI was determined for the whole cohort, and specific subtypes of MCI were examined in detail only at the Pittsburgh, Pa, center (n = 927). Mild cognitive impairment was classified as either MCI amnestic-type or MCI multiple cognitive deficits-type. RESULTS: The overall prevalence of MCI was 19% (465 of 2470 participants); prevalence increased with age from 19% in participants younger than 75 years to 29% in those older than 85 years. The overall prevalence of MCI at the Pittsburgh center was 22% (130 of 599 participants); prevalence of the MCI amnesic-type was 6% and of the MCI multiple cognitive deficits-type was 16%. CONCLUSIONS: Twenty-two percent of the participants aged 75 years or older had MCI. Mild cognitive impairment is a heterogeneous syndrome, where the MCI amnestic-type is less frequent than the MCI multiple cognitive deficits-type. Most of the participants with MCI had comorbid conditions that may affect their cognitive functions.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cognition Disorders; Cohort Studies; Dementia; Female; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Memory Disorders; Neuropsychological Tests; Pennsylvania; Population; Psychiatric Status Rating Scales

A prospective analysis of risk factors for white matter disease in the brain stem: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Ding, Jingzhong; Nieto, F Javier; Beauchamp, Norman J; Longstreth, W T; Manolio, Teri A; Hetmanski, Jacqueline B; Fried, Linda P (Neuroepidemiology, 2003)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: White matter disease (WMD) in the brain stem may be a predictor of poor clinical outcome, independent of WMD in the periventricular and subcortical areas of the brain. Many cardiovascular risk factors such as older age, hypertension, and smoking have been suggested as risk factors for WMD in the periventricular and subcortical areas of the brain. However, no epidemiologic study has examined the associations between cardiovascular risk factors and WMD in the brain stem. METHODS: A total of 789 participants, aged 65 years or older, from the Cardiovascular Health Study constituted the present study population. WMD, defined as hyperintensive lesions on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), in the brain stem was measured in 1992/1993 and 1997/1998. RESULTS: Of the 789 participants, 212 (26.9%) had WMD in the brain stem in 1997/1998. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, the presence of WMD in the brain stem in 1997/1998 was significantly associated with several variables measured in 1992/1993: an increase by 5 years of age (OR = 1.51, 95% CI: 1.25-1.83), a 10-pack-years increase in smoking (OR = 1.12, 95% CI: 1.04-1.21), a 0.1-liter increase in first-second forced expiratory volume (OR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92-0.99), a 1 micromol/l increase in fibrinogen level (OR = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.03-1.23), and MRI infarction (OR = 2.58, 95% CI: 1.78-3.74). Excluding those (n = 167) with WMD in the brain stem in 1992/1993, the pattern remained. Hypertension was not associated with WMD in the brain stem. CONCLUSIONS: Increased age, smoking, lower forced expiratory volume, increased fibrinogen level, and MRI infarction, but not hypertension, may be independent risk factors for WMD in the brain stem in older adults.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Brain Diseases; Brain Infarction; Brain Stem; Cardiovascular Diseases; Female; Fibrinogen; Forced Expiratory Volume; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Prospective Studies; Regression Analysis; Risk Factors; Smoking

The relation of dietary patterns to future survival, health, and cardiovascular events in older adults. - Diehr, Paula; Beresford, Shirley A A (J Clin Epidemiol, 2003)
BACKGROUND: There have been few long-term follow-up studies of older adults who follow different dietary patterns. METHODS: We cluster-analyzed data on dietary fat, fiber, protein, carbohydrate, and calorie consumption from the U.S. Cardiovascular Health Study (mean age=73), and examined the relationship of the dietary clusters to outcomes 10 years later. RESULTS: The five clusters were named "Healthy diet" (relatively high in fiber and carbohydrate and low in fat), "Unhealthy diet" (relatively high in protein and fat, relatively low in carbohydrates and fiber); "High Calorie," "Low Calorie," and "Low 4," which was distinguished by higher alcohol consumption. The clusters were strongly associated with demographic factors, health behaviors, and baseline health status. The Healthy diet cluster had the most years of life and years of healthy life, and the Unhealthy diet cluster had the fewest. The Low 4 cluster had the best cardiovascular outcomes. Differences were not usually large. CONCLUSIONS: Older adults who followed the healthy eating pattern had somewhat longer and healthier lives, and the cluster with more alcohol consumption was associated with fewer cardiovascular events. The unhealthy eating pattern had the worst outcomes.
Keywords: Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cluster Analysis; Diet; Energy Intake; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Health Status; Humans; Incidence; Linear Models; Male; Nutritional Physiological Phenomena; Survival Rate

Relationships between renovascular disease, blood pressure, and renal function in the elderly: a population-based study. - Edwards, Matthew S; Hansen, Kimberley J; Craven, Timothy E; Cherr, Gregory S; Bleyer, Anthony J; Burke, Gregory L; Dean, Richard H (Am J Kidney Dis, 2003)
BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study is to examine the associations between renovascular disease (RVD) and cross-sectional measures of blood pressure and renal function among participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). METHODS: The CHS is a prospective cohort study of cardiovascular disease among elderly Americans. As part of an ancillary study, participants in the Forsyth County, NC, cohort of the CHS were invited to undergo renal duplex sonography (RDS) to define the presence or absence of RVD (defined as any focal peak systolic velocity > or = 1.8 milliseconds or the absence of a Doppler shifted signal from an imaged artery). Demographic, risk factor, blood pressure, and serum creatinine data were obtained at the time of RDS and from the annual CHS examination. RESULTS: Eight hundred thirty-four CHS participants (including 525 women [63%], 309 men [37%], 194 African Americans [23%], and 635 Caucasians [76%]) with a mean age of 77.2 +/- 4.9 years underwent successful RDS. RVD was present in 57 participants (6.8%). When examined according to the presence or absence of RVD, significant univariate differences were observed in the prevalence of clinical hypertension (72% versus 50%; P = 0.001), systolic blood pressure (145 versus 136 mm Hg; P = 0.001), and renal insufficiency (16% versus 8%; P = 0.041). Multivariate analyses showed significant and independent associations for the presence of RVD with increasing systolic blood pressure (P = 0.034), clinical hypertension (odds ratio, 2.68; 95% confidence interval, 1.44 to 4.99; P = 0.002), increasing serum creatinine level, and renal insufficiency (odds ratio, 2.21; 95% confidence interval, 1.02 to 4.79; P = 0.043). A significant interaction was observed between the presence of RVD and increasing systolic blood pressure in association with increasing serum creatinine levels (P = 0.041). CONCLUSION: These results suggest important population-based associations between RVD and cross-sectional measures of blood pressure and renal function. Furthermore, the observed relationship between RVD and increasing serum creatinine level was influenced strongly by increasing blood pressure.
Keywords: Aged; Blood Pressure; Female; Humans; Hypertension; Kidney; Kidney Diseases; Male; Prospective Studies; Ultrasonography, Doppler, Duplex; Vascular Diseases

Risk factors for dementia in the cardiovascular health cognition study. - Kuller, Lewis H; Lopez, Oscar L; Newman, Anne; Beauchamp, Norman J; Burke, Greg; Dulberg, Corinne; Fitzpatrick, Annette; Fried, Linda; Haan, Mary N (Neuroepidemiology, 2003)
BACKGROUND: The Cardiovascular Health Cognition Study has evaluated the determinants of dementia among 3,608 participants that had a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the brain in 1991 and were followed to 1998-1999. METHODS: There were 480 incident dementia cases, 330 (69%) were classified as Alzheimer's disease (AD). RESULTS: In univariate analysis, low scores on the Modified Mini-Mental State Examination (3MSE) and on the Digit Symbol Substitution Test as well as declines in scores over time prior to the development of dementia were significant predictors of dementia. A high ventricular grade on the MRI (atrophy) as well as high white matter grade, a number of brain infarcts on the MRI were all determinants of dementia. Apolipoprotein E epsilon4 (Apo(E-4)) was also a powerful predictor of dementia. In a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model controlling for race, gender and grade, the hazard ratios for age (1.1), 3MSE score (0.9), ventricular size (1.4), white matter grade (1.8), presence of large infarcts >3 mm (1.3) and Apo(E-4) (2.1) were significant predictors of dementia. The combination of an Apo(E-4) genotype, 3MSE score <90, > or =5 ventricular grade, > or =3 white matter grade at the time of the MRI were associated with a 17-fold increased risk (95% CI: 8.6-34.9) of dementia as compared to individuals with none of the above attributes. CONCLUSIONS: Measures of cognition, Apo(E-4) and MRI of the brain are strong predictors of both dementia and of AD.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Apolipoproteins E; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cognition Disorders; Dementia; Female; Genotype; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Odds Ratio; Predictive Value of Tests; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors

Risk factors for mild cognitive impairment in the Cardiovascular Health Study Cognition Study: part 2. - Lopez, Oscar L; Jagust, William J; Dulberg, Corinne; Becker, James T; DeKosky, Steven T; Fitzpatrick, Annette; Breitner, John; Lyketsos, Constantine; Jones, Beverly; Kawas, Claudia; Carlson, Michelle; Kuller, Lewis H (Arch Neurol, 2003)
OBJECTIVE: To examine the risk factors for mild cognitive impairment (MCI) in a longitudinal population study-the Cardiovascular Health Study Cognition Study. DESIGN: We examined the factors that in the period 1991 through 1994 predicted the development of MCI in all participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study Cognition Study. Further examination was conducted in the Pittsburgh, Pa, cohort (n = 927), where participants with MCI were classified as having either the MCI amnestic-type or the MCI multiple cognitive deficits-type. SETTING: Multicenter population study. PATIENTS: This study includes all participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study Cognition Study (n = 3608) who had a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scan of the brain between 1991 and 1994, and detailed neuropsychological, neurological, and medical evaluations to identify the presence of MCI or dementia in the period 1998 to 1999. The mean time between the closest clinical examination to the MRI and the diagnostic evaluation for cognitive disorders was 5.8 years for the Cardiovascular Health Study Cognition Study cohort and 6.0 years for the Pittsburgh cohort. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Risk factors for MCI at the time of the MRI were identified using logistic regression, controlling for age, race, educational level, baseline Modified Mini-Mental State Examination and Digit Symbol Test scores, measurements of depression, MRI findings (atrophy, ventricular volume, white matter lesions, and infarcts), the presence of the apolipoprotein E (APOE) epsilon4 allele, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and heart disease. RESULTS: Mild cognitive impairment (n = 577) was associated with race (African American), low educational level, low Modified Mini-Mental State Examination and Digit Symbol Test scores, cortical atrophy, MRI-identified infarcts, and measurements of depression. The MCI amnestic-type was associated with MRI-identified infarcts, the presence of the APOE epsilon4 allele, and low Modified Mini-Mental State Examination scores. The MCI multiple cognitive deficits-type was associated with low Modified Mini-Mental State Examination and Digit Symbol Test scores. CONCLUSIONS: The development of MCI is associated with measurements of cognition and depression, racial and constitutional factors, and cerebrovascular disease. Early cognitive deficits seem to be a common denominator for the 2 forms of MCI; the presence of cerebrovascular disease and the APOE epsilon4 allele is associated with the amnestic type of MCI.
Keywords: Aged; Apolipoprotein E4; Apolipoproteins E; Brain; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cognition Disorders; Cohort Studies; Depressive Disorder; Female; Humans; Logistic Models; Longitudinal Studies; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Mood Disorders; Pennsylvania; Population; Risk Factors

Trajectories of health for older adults over time: accounting fully for death. - Diehr, Paula; Patrick, Donald L (Ann Intern Med, 2003)
The process of healthy aging can best be described by plotting the trajectory of health-related variables over time. Unfortunately, graphs including data only from survivors may be misleading because they may confuse patterns of mortality with patterns of change in health. Two approaches for creating graphs that account for death in such situations are 1) to incorporate a category or value for death into the longitudinal health variable and 2) to measure time in years before death or some other event. The first approach has been applied to self-rated health (excellent to poor) and the 36-Item Short-Form Health Survey (SF-36). It allows for flexible and interpretable analyses and may be appropriate for other variables as well. The second approach also accounts fully for death, but the questions it can address are limited. Both approaches are useful and should be used at a minimum for supporting analyses in longitudinal studies in which persons die during observation.
Keywords: Aged; Aging; Death; Geriatric Assessment; Health Status Indicators; Health Surveys; Humans; Time Factors

APOE epsilon4 is associated with obstructive sleep apnea/hypopnea: the Sleep Heart Health Study. - Gottlieb, D J; DeStefano, A L; Foley, D J; Mignot, E; Redline, S; Givelber, R J; Young, T (Neurology, 2004)
BACKGROUND: Obstructive sleep apnea/hypopnea (OSAH) has a strong heritable component, although its genetic basis remains largely unknown. One epidemiologic study found a significant association between the APOE epsilon4 allele and OSAH in middle-aged adults, a finding that was not replicated in a cohort of elderly adults. The objective of this study was to further examine the association of the APOE epsilon4 allele with OSAH in a community-dwelling cohort, exploring age dependency of the association. METHODS: A genetic association study was performed, nested within a prospective cohort study of the cardiovascular consequences of OSAH. Unattended, in-home nocturnal polysomnography was used to measure apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) in 1,775 participants age 40 to 100 years. OSAH was defined as an AHI > or = 15. The relation of APOE genotype to prevalent OSAH was analyzed using generalized estimating equations to account for non-independent observations of individuals from the same sibship. RESULTS: At least one APOE epsilon4 allele was present in 25% of subjects, with 1.3% epsilon4/epsilon4 homozygotes. The prevalence of OSAH was 19%. After adjustment for age, sex, and BMI, the presence of any APOE epsilon4 allele was associated with increased odds of OSAH (OR 1.41, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.87, p = 0.02). The effect was approximately twice as great in subjects <75 (OR 1.61, CI 1.02 to 2.54) as in those > or =75 years old (OR 1.32, CI 0.91 to 1.90). Exploratory analyses revealed that the strongest effect of APOE epsilon4 was in subjects age <65 (OR 3.08, CI 1.43 to 6.64), and was stronger in those with hypertension or cardiovascular disease than in those without. CONCLUSION: The APOE epsilon4 allele is associated with increased risk of OSAH, particularly in individuals under age 65. The mechanisms underlying this association are uncertain. Age-dependency of the APOE-OSAH association may explain previous conflicting results.
Keywords: Adult; Age Distribution; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alleles; Apolipoprotein E4; Apolipoproteins E; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Comorbidity; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genotype; Humans; Hyperlipidemias; Hypertension; Male; Middle Aged; Obesity; Polysomnography; Sleep Apnea, Obstructive; Smoking

Associations between renovascular disease and prevalent cardiovascular disease in the elderly: a population-based study. - Edwards, Matthew S; Hansen, Kimberley J; Craven, Timothy E; Bleyer, Anthony J; Burke, Gregory L; Levy, Pavel J; Dean, Richard H (Vasc Endovascular Surg, 2004)
Atherosclerotic renovascular disease (RVD) is a suspected contributor to the morbidity and mortality of cardiovascular disease (CVD) through its potential effects on blood pressure and excretory renal function as well as through its associations with other forms of CVD. However, population-based data regarding the associations between the presence of RVD and prevalent CVD are lacking. The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) is a prospective, multicenter cohort study of CVD among elderly Americans. As part of an ancillary study, participants in the Forsyth County, North Carolina, cohort of the CHS were invited to undergo renal duplex sonography (RDS) to establish the presence or absence of RVD (defined as any focal peak systolic velocity >/= 1.8 m/second or the absence of a Doppler-shifted signal from an imaged artery). Demographic, risk factor, and prevalent CVD data were obtained from the CHS coordinating center and matched with ancillary study participants. Eight hundred thirty-four CHS participants (including 525 women [63%], 309 men [37%], 194 African-Americans [23%], and 635 Caucasians [76%]) with a mean age of 77.2 +/-4.9 years underwent RDS examination. RVD was present in 57 participants (6.8%). Overall, clinical and/or subclinical manifestations of CVD were present in 603 participants (72.3%) at the time of RDS. Participants with RVD demonstrated a significantly greater prevalence of angina (p = 0.002), previous myocardial infarction (p < 0.001), >/= 25% diameter-reducing internal carotid artery stenosis (p = 0.010), increased carotid intimal medial thickness (p = 0.003), and major electrocardiographic abnormalities (p = 0.013). Following adjustment for demographics and cardiovascular risk factors, the presence of RVD demonstrated a significant and independent association with prevalent coronary artery disease but not with prevalent cerebrovascular or lower extremity vascular disease. These results suggest important population-based associations between RVD and both clinical and subclinical manifestations of CVD, especially coronary artery disease.
Keywords: Aged; Arteriosclerosis; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Humans; Hypertension, Renovascular; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Multivariate Analysis; Prevalence; Prospective Studies; Renal Artery Obstruction; Ultrasonography; United States

Incidence and prevalence of dementia in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Kuller, Lewis H; Ives, Diane G; Lopez, Oscar L; Jagust, William; Breitner, John C S; Jones, Beverly; Lyketsos, Constantine; Dulberg, Corinne (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2004)
OBJECTIVES: To estimate the incidence and prevalence of dementia, Alzheimer's disease (AD), and vascular dementia (VaD) in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) cohort. DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study using prospectively and retrospectively collected data to evaluate dementia. SETTING: Four U.S. communities. PARTICIPANTS: There were 3,602 CHS participants, including 2,865 white and 492 African-American participants free of dementia, who completed a cranial magnetic resonance image between 1992 and 1994 and were followed for an average of 5.4 years. MEASUREMENTS: Dementia was classified by neurologist/psychiatrist committee review using neuropsychological tests, neurological examinations, medical records, physician questionnaires, and proxy/informant interviews. Demographics and apolipoprotein E (APOE) genotype were collected at baseline. Incidence by type of dementia was determined using National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke-Alzheimer's Disease and Related Disorders Association criteria for AD and Alzheimer's Disease Diagnostic and Treatment Center's State of California criteria for VaD. RESULTS: Classification resulted in 227 persons with prevalent dementia at entry into the study and 480 incident cases during follow-up. Incidence rates of dementia scaled to age 80 were 34.7 per 1,000 person-years for white women, 35.3 for white men, 58.8 for African-American women, and 53.0 for African-American men. Sex differences were not significant within race. Adjusted for age and education, racial differences were only of borderline significance and may have been influenced by ascertainment methodology. Rates differed substantially by educational attainment but were only significant for whites. Those with the APOE epsilon4 allele had an incidence rate at age 80 of 56.4, compared with 29.6 for those without this allele (P<.001). In whites, type-specific incidence at age 80 was 19.2 for AD versus 14.6 for VaD. These rates were 34.7 and 27.2 for African Americans. At termination of observation, women had only a slightly higher prevalence of dementia (16.0%) than men (14.7%). CONCLUSION: Sex and racial differences were not found, and VaD was higher than reported in other studies. These data provide new estimates of dementia incidence in a community sample for projection of future burden.
Keywords: African Americans; Age Distribution; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Apolipoproteins E; Dementia; Dementia, Vascular; Education; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Prevalence; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors; Sex Distribution; United States

Increased left ventricular mass is a risk factor for the development of a depressed left ventricular ejection fraction within five years: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Drazner, Mark H; Rame, J Eduardo; Marino, Emily K; Gottdiener, John S; Kitzman, Dalane W; Gardin, Julius M; Manolio, Teri A; Dries, Daniel L; Siscovick, David S (J Am Coll Cardiol, 2004)
OBJECTIVES: Our aim in this study was to determine whether increased left ventricular mass (LVM) is a risk factor for the development of a reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). BACKGROUND: Prior studies have shown that increased LVM is a risk factor for heart failure but not whether it is a risk factor for a low LVEF. METHODS: As part of the Cardiovascular Health Study, a prospective population-based longitudinal study, we performed echocardiograms upon participant enrollment and again at follow-up of 4.9 +/- 0.14 years. In the present analysis, we identified 3,042 participants who had at baseline a normal LVEF and an assessment of LVM (either by electrocardiogram or echocardiogram), and at follow-up a measurable LVEF. The frequency of the development of a qualitatively depressed LVEF on two-dimensional echocardiography, corresponding approximately to an LVEF <55%, was analyzed by quartiles of baseline LVM. Multivariable regression determined whether LVM was independently associated with the development of depressed LVEF. RESULTS: Baseline quartile of echocardiographic LVM indexed to body surface area was associated with development of a depressed LVEF (4.8% in quartile 1, 4.4% in quartile 2, 7.5% in quartile 3, and 14.1% in quartile 4 [p < 0.001]). A similar relationship was seen in the subgroup of participants without myocardial infarction (p < 0.001). In multivariable regression that adjusted for confounders, both baseline echocardiographic (p < 0.001) and electrocardiographic (p < 0.001) LVM remained associated with development of depressed LVEF. CONCLUSIONS: Increased LVM as assessed by electrocardiography or echocardiography is an independent risk factor for the development of depressed LVEF.
Keywords: Aged; Body Surface Area; Coronary Artery Disease; Diastole; Echocardiography; Electrocardiography; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Heart Ventricles; Humans; Hypertrophy, Left Ventricular; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Multivariate Analysis; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Sensitivity and Specificity; Statistics as Topic; Stroke Volume; Ventricular Dysfunction, Left

Preclinical Alzheimer disease: neuropsychological test performance 1.5 to 8 years prior to onset. - Saxton, J; Lopez, O L; Ratcliff, G; Dulberg, C; Fried, L P; Carlson, M C; Newman, A B; Kuller, L (Neurology, 2004)
OBJECTIVE: To determine if individuals ultimately diagnosed with Alzheimer disease (AD) exhibited evidence of cognitive impairment on neuropsychological tests administered between 1.5 years and 8.1 years before dementia onset. METHODS: A total of 693 community-dwelling individuals, part of the Cardiovascular Health Study, completed a neuropsychological test battery in 1991/92. Subjects were followed annually over the next 8 years (median follow-up = 7.4 years). Seventy-two individuals were ultimately diagnosed with AD (median follow-up = 4.5 years): 24 with AD onset 1.5 to 3.4 years after baseline neuropsychological testing, 20 with AD onset 3.5 to 5.0 years after testing, and 28 with onset 5.1 to 8.1 years after testing. A total of 621 individuals remained nondemented throughout the 8 years of follow-up (median follow-up = 7.5 years). RESULTS: Subjects ultimately diagnosed with AD had poorer scores on baseline neuropsychological measures than subjects who remained nondemented. Although individuals closest to AD onset (i.e., 1.5 to 3.4 years) performed the most poorly, cognitive impairment was detected in individuals who did not develop AD until 5 to 8 years later. CONCLUSIONS: Cognitive changes can be detected well before onset of Alzheimer disease.
Keywords: Age of Onset; Alzheimer Disease; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cognition Disorders; Cohort Studies; Confounding Factors, Epidemiologic; Disease Progression; Early Diagnosis; Educational Status; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Male; Memory Disorders; Neuropsychological Tests; Predictive Value of Tests; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk; Sensitivity and Specificity; Time Factors

Predictors of falling cholesterol levels in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Manolio, Teri A; Cushman, Mary; Gottdiener, John S; Dobs, Adrian; Kuller, Lewis H; Kronmal, Richard A (Ann Epidemiol, 2004)
PURPOSE: To estimate 4-year change in serum total cholesterol levels in a population-based sample of older adults and identify independent predictors of cholesterol decline. METHODS: Prospective study of 2837 adults aged 65 years and older with serum cholesterol measured in 1992-1993 and 1996-1997. RESULTS: Mean serum cholesterol levels declined 6.3 mg/dl between the two examinations. Declines were greater in white (-7.3 mg/dl) than black (-1.4 mg/dl) participants and in those in good/excellent health (-0.9 mg/dl) vs. fair/poor health (-3.1 mg/dl; both p < 0.01). Factors associated with greater decline on multivariate analysis included age, male gender, and higher white cell count, albumin, and baseline cholesterol. Cholesterol levels declined 2.0 mg/dl per 6 year increment in baseline age and 6.8 mg/dl more in men than women after adjustment for other factors. C-reactive protein levels were unrelated to cholesterol change. CONCLUSION: Declining cholesterol levels were associated with male gender, advanced age, weight loss, and white blood cell count but not with C-reactive protein levels. The role of declining cholesterol synthesis, due to as yet undefined age-related changes or to cytokine-mediated reductions related to illness, should be examined to help clarify the mechanisms of the sometimes marked declines in cholesterol levels observed at advanced ages.
Keywords: African Americans; Age Factors; Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cholesterol; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Forecasting; Health Status; Humans; Male; Medicare; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Sex Distribution; Sex Factors; United States

Sleep-disordered breathing and white matter disease in the brainstem in older adults. - Ding, Jingzhong; Nieto, F Javier; Beauchamp, Norman J; Harris, Tamara B; Robbins, John A; Hetmanski, Jacqueline B; Fried, Linda P; Redline, Susan (Sleep, 2004)
STUDY OBJECTIVES: To examine whether sleep-disordered breathing is associated with white matter disease in the brainstem. DESIGN: A population-based longitudinal study. SETTING: Allegheny County, PA; Sacramento County, CA; and Washington County, MD. PATIENTS OR PARTICIPANTS: A total of 789 individuals, aged 68 years or older, drawn from the Sleep Heart Health Study. INTERVENTIONS: N/A. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: The participants underwent home polysomnography in 1995-1998 and cerebral magnetic resonance imaging in both 1992-1993 and 1997-1998. The apnea-hypopnea index was not associated with white matter disease in the brainstem, with or without adjusting for age, sex, race, community, body mass index, smoking status, alcohol use, systolic blood pressure, and the use of antihypertensive medication. In contrast, the arousal index (number of arousals per hour of sleep) was inversely associated with brainstem white matter disease (odds ratio = 0.75 for a SD increase in the arousal index, 95% confidence interval: 0.62, 0.92). CONCLUSIONS: The frequency of apneas and hypopneas was not associated with brainstem white matter disease in these older adults. A unique relationship with arousal frequency suggests that ischemic changes in the brainstem may be associated with arousals during sleep.
Keywords: Aged; Arousal; Brain; Brain Stem; Cerebrovascular Disorders; Electrooculography; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Polysomnography; Population Surveillance; Severity of Illness Index; Sleep Apnea Syndromes; Sleep Stages

Associations of sleep-disordered breathing and cerebral changes on MRI. - Robbins, John; Redline, Susan; Ervin, Ann; Walsleben, Joyce A; Ding, Jingzhong; Nieto, F Javier (J Clin Sleep Med, 2005)
STUDY OBJECTIVES: Population-based studies have demonstrated associations between sleep-disordered breathing (SDB), hypertension, and cardiovascular disease; few large-scale studies have examined associations of SDB with objective measures of cerebrovascular disease. This study tested the significance of associations of SDB with evidence of brain injury or ischemia determined by cerebral magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) studies. DESIGN: Cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses in a nested sample of Cardiovascular Health Study participants in the Sleep Heart Health Study. PARTICIPANTS: The 843 individuals (mean age 77, SD 4.3 years, 58% women) who had MRI studies as part of the Cardiovascular Health Study before and after polysomnography obtained as part of the Sleep Heart Health Study. MEASUREMENTS: A 12-channel polysomnogram was used to derive indexes of sleep-disordered breathing. Repeated MRI measurements provided indexes of infarct (presence and size) and white matter disease. Logistic regression analyses were used to model MRI changes of infarct-like lesions and white matter disease as a function of age, baseline white matter grade, and indexes of central and obstructive sleep-disordered breathing. RESULTS: Individuals who showed progression in white matter disease compared to those who did not were significantly more likely to show a Cheyne-Stokes respiration pattern and to have an increased number of central but not obstructive apneas. CONCLUSIONS: An association between change in white matter grade and measures of central sleep apnea was demonstrated that was consistent with a causal pathway in which central sleep apnea contributes to the progression of white matter disease; alternatively, central sleep apnea may be a marker of subclinical cerebrovascular or cardiovascular disease.
Keywords: Aged; Brain; Cerebral Infarction; Cerebrovascular Circulation; Female; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Polysomnography; Severity of Illness Index; Sleep Apnea Syndromes; Sleep Apnea, Obstructive

Classification of vascular dementia in the Cardiovascular Health Study Cognition Study. - Lopez, O L; Kuller, L H; Becker, J T; Jagust, W J; DeKosky, S T; Fitzpatrick, A; Breitner, J; Lyketsos, C; Kawas, C; Carlson, M (Neurology, 2005)
OBJECTIVE: To describe the diagnostic classification of subjects with incident vascular dementia (VaD) participating in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) Cognition Study. METHODS: The CHS classified 480 incident cases between 1994 and 1999 among 3,608 CHS participants who had brain MRI in 1992 through 1994 and in 1997 through 1998. The patients were diagnosed before and after reviewing the brain MRI. RESULTS: The pre-MRI classification showed that 52 participants had VaD and 76 had both Alzheimer disease (AD) and VaD. The post-MRI classification showed that the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (4th ed.; DSM-IV) criteria classified 61 subjects as having VaD, the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke-Association Internationale pour la Recherche et l'Enseignement en Neurosciences (NINDS-AIREN) criteria classified 43 subjects as having probable VaD and 10 as possible VaD, and the State of California Alzheimer's Disease Diagnostic and Treatment Center (ADDTC) criteria classified 117 as having probable VaD and 96 as possible. The combination of the ADDTC and National Institute of Neurological and Communication Disorders and Stroke-Alzheimer's Disease and Related Disorders Association criteria was used to examine the spectrum of vascular disease in dementia. The dementia was attributable to only vascular factors in 56 cases (probable VaD); VaD coexisted with AD in 61 cases, although the VaD component was the leading cause of dementia (probable VaD with AD); AD was the leading cause of dementia in 61 cases (possible VaD and probable AD); and in 29 cases, it was not clear that either AD or VaD was the primary diagnosis (possible AD and possible VaD). CONCLUSIONS: None of the clinical criteria for VaD identified the same group of subjects. The diagnosis of vascular dementia is difficult in epidemiologic studies because poststroke dementia can be due to Alzheimer disease (AD) and evidence of vascular disease can be found in the MRI of dementia cases without clinical strokes. Whether the clinical progression is related to AD pathology or vascular disease is difficult to establish.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Brain; Cerebral Arteries; Cohort Studies; Dementia, Vascular; Diagnosis, Differential; Disease Progression; Female; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Predictive Value of Tests; Stroke; United States

Common promoter polymorphisms of inflammation and thrombosis genes and longevity in older adults: the cardiovascular health study. - Reiner, Alexander P; Diehr, Paula; Browner, Warren S; Humphries, Stephen E; Jenny, Nancy S; Cushman, Mary; Tracy, Russell P; Walston, Jeremy; Lumley, Thomas; Newman, Anne B; Kuller, Lewis H; Psaty, Bruce M (Atherosclerosis, 2005)
Inflammatory response genes may influence life span or quality at advanced ages. Using data from the population-based cardiovascular health study (CHS) cohort, we examined the associations between promoter polymorphisms of several inflammation and thrombosis genes with longevity. We ascertained genotypes for interleukin (IL)-6 -174 G/C, beta-fibrinogen -455 G/A, plasminogen activator inhibitor (PAI)-1 -675 4G/5G, and thrombin-activatable fibrinolysis inhibitor (TAFI) -438 G/A in 2224 men and women > or = 65 years old at baseline. During 10 years of follow-up, men with the TAFI -438 A/A genotype had decreased mortality due to all causes, and lived, on average, 0.9 more years of life, or 1.1 more years of healthy life, than men with the -438 G allele. The effects of TAFI -438 G/A in women were smaller and not statistically significant. PAI-1 4G/4G genotype appeared to be associated with lower non-cardiovascular mortality in men, but with greater cardiovascular mortality in women. In exploratory analyses, we observed a possible interaction among anti-inflammatory drugs, interleukin-6 -174 C/C genotype, and longevity. These findings suggest that modulators of fibrinolytic activity may have a generalized influence on aging, and merit further investigation in studies of genetic determinants of human longevity.
Keywords: Aged; Aging; Carboxypeptidase B2; Cause of Death; Cohort Studies; Female; Genotype; Health Status; Humans; Inflammation; Longevity; Male; Middle Aged; Plasminogen Activator Inhibitor 1; Polymorphism, Genetic; Promoter Regions, Genetic; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Thrombosis

Dementia and Alzheimer's disease incidence in relationship to cardiovascular disease in the Cardiovascular Health Study cohort. - Newman, Anne B; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Lopez, Oscar; Jackson, Sharon; Lyketsos, Constantine; Jagust, William; Ives, Diane; DeKosky, Steven T; Kuller, Lewis H (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2005)
OBJECTIVES: To determine whether coronary artery disease, peripheral arterial disease (PAD), or noninvasive markers of cardiovascular disease (CVD) predict the onset of dementia and Alzheimer's disease (AD). DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study. SETTING: Four U.S. communities. PARTICIPANTS: Men and women (N=3,602) with a brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scan but no dementia were followed for 5.4 years. Participants with stroke were excluded. MEASUREMENTS: Neurologists and psychiatrists classified incident cases of dementia and subtype using neuropsychological tests, examination, medical records and informant interviews. CVD was defined at the time of the MRI scan. Noninvasive tests of CVD were assessed within 1 year of the MRI. Apolipoprotein E allele status, age, race, sex, education, Mini-Mental State Examination score, and income were assessed as potential confounders. RESULTS: The incidence of dementia was higher in those with prevalent CVD, particularly in the subgroup with PAD. The rate of AD was 34.4 per 1,000 person-years for those with a history of CVD, versus 22.2 per 1,000 person-years without a history of CVD (adjusted hazard ratio (HR)=1.3, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.0-1.7). Rates of AD were highest in those with PAD (57.4 vs 23.7 per 100 person-years, adjusted HR=2.4, 95% CI=1.4-4.2). Results were similar with further exclusion of those with vascular dementia from the AD group. A gradient of increasing risk was noted with the extent of vascular disease. CONCLUSION: Older adults with CVD other than stroke had a higher risk of dementia and AD than did those without CVD. The risk was highest in people with PAD, suggesting that extensive peripheral atherosclerosis is a risk factor for AD.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Coronary Disease; Dementia; Female; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Peripheral Vascular Diseases; Risk Factors

Determinants of vascular dementia in the Cardiovascular Health Cognition Study. - Kuller, L H; Lopez, O L; Jagust, W J; Becker, J T; DeKosky, S T; Lyketsos, C; Kawas, C; Breitner, J C S; Fitzpatrick, A; Dulberg, C (Neurology, 2005)
OBJECTIVE: The authors evaluated 3,375 participants without dementia at the time of MRI in 1991 to 1994 over 5.7 years for incident dementia and type of dementia. METHODS: Incidence of and risk factors for vascular dementia (VaD) were measured using both pre-MRI and modified State of California Alzheimer's Disease Diagnostic and Treatment Centers (ADDTC) post-MRI review and further classified Alzheimer disease (AD) by the National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke and the Alzheimer's Disease and Related Disorders Association (NINCDS-ADRDA) criteria. RESULTS: Approximately 44% (213) of 480 incident dementia cases were classified as possible or probable VaD by ADDTC. The incidence of VaD increased with age and was greater in blacks than whites. Risk factors for VaD included age, Modified Mini-Mental State Examination, high white matter grade, number of MRI infarcts, ventricular size, and history of stroke. CONCLUSIONS: Vascular disease in the brain is prevalent among incident dementia cases. There is a substantial overlap between cases classified as Alzheimer disease by Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke and the Alzheimer's Disease and Related Disorders Association and vascular dementia (VaD) by modified State of California Alzheimer's Disease Diagnostic and Treatment Centers criteria. The substantial contribution of vascular disease would be missed without inclusion of MRI. Treatment of risk factors for VaD could have an important impact on incidence of dementia.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Atrophy; Brain; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cerebral Arteries; Cerebral Infarction; Cohort Studies; Comorbidity; Continental Population Groups; Dementia, Vascular; Female; Humans; Lateral Ventricles; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Nerve Fibers, Myelinated; Neuropsychological Tests; Risk Factors; Sex Factors

Methods for incorporating death into health-related variables in longitudinal studies. - Diehr, Paula; Johnson, Laura Lee; Patrick, Donald L; Psaty, Bruce (J Clin Epidemiol, 2005)
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Longitudinal studies of health over time may be misleading if some people die. Self-rated health (excellent to poor) and the SF-36 profile scores have been transformed to incorporate death. We applied the same approaches to incorporate death into activities of daily living difficulties (ADLs), IADLs, mini-mental state examination, depressive symptoms, blocks walked per week, bed days, the timed walk, body mass index and blood pressure. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: The Cardiovascular Health Study of 5,888 older adults, was followed up to 9 years. Mean age was 73 at baseline, and 658 had an incident stroke during follow-up. METHODS: We recoded each variable as the probability of being healthy 1 year in the future (PHF), conditional on the current value of the variable. This was done for 11 health variables, using three definitions of healthy, and two estimation models. Deaths were set to zero, and mean PHF was plotted in the 3 years before and after an incident stroke. RESULTS: Analyses without the deaths were too optimistic. The effect of stroke was greatest on hospitalization, self-rated health, and IADLs. Alternative transformation approaches had slightly different results. CONCLUSION: These methods provide an additional approach for handling death in longitudinal studies.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Death; Health Status Indicators; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Proportional Hazards Models

Renovascular disease and the risk of adverse coronary events in the elderly: a prospective, population-based study. - Edwards, Matthew S; Craven, Timothy E; Burke, Gregory L; Dean, Richard H; Hansen, Kimberley J (Arch Intern Med, 2005)
BACKGROUND: Renovascular disease is a cause of secondary hypertension and renal insufficiency and is suspected to contribute to morbidity and mortality of coronary heart disease. This investigation prospectively examined associations between renovascular disease and adverse coronary events among a population-based sample of elderly Americans. METHODS: The Cardiovascular Health Study is a prospective, multicenter cohort study of cardiovascular disease risk factors, morbidity, and mortality among Americans older than 65 years. Renal duplex sonography was performed on 870 individuals between January 1995 and February 1997. Renovascular disease was defined as any focal peak systolic velocity of 1.8 m/s or greater (renal artery stenosis) or the absence of a Doppler-shifted signal from an imaged artery (renal artery occlusion). Adverse coronary events were defined as hospitalized angina, fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction, and coronary revascularization. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 14 months, 68 participants experienced incident or recurrent adverse coronary events. The presence of renovascular disease demonstrated a significant relationship with adverse coronary events (hazard ratio, 1.96; 95% confidence interval, 1.00-3.83; P = .05) that remained after controlling for the effects of coexisting atherosclerotic risk factors and prevalent cardiovascular disease. The relationship between renovascular disease and adverse coronary events was not dependent on the effects of increased blood pressure. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of renovascular disease was associated with an increase in the risk of adverse coronary events in this sample. The increment in risk was not dependent on the effects of associated atherosclerotic risk factors, other prevalent cardiovascular disease, or increased blood pressure.
Keywords: Age Distribution; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Analysis of Variance; Cohort Studies; Comorbidity; Coronary Disease; Female; Geriatric Assessment; Heart Function Tests; Humans; Hypertension, Renovascular; Incidence; Kidney Function Tests; Male; Multivariate Analysis; Probability; Prognosis; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Severity of Illness Index; Sex Distribution; Survival Rate; Ultrasonography, Doppler; United States

Sometimes higher heart rate variability is not better heart rate variability: results of graphical and nonlinear analyses. - Stein, Phyllis K; Domitrovich, Peter P; Hui, Nelson; Rautaharju, Pentti; Gottdiener, John (J Cardiovasc Electrophysiol, 2005)
OBJECTIVE: To determine the prevalence and effect on traditional heart rate variability (HRV) indices of abnormal HRV patterns in the elderly. METHODS: Hourly Poincaré plots and plots of spectral HRV from normal-to-normal interbeat intervals and hourly nonlinear HRV values were examined in a subset of 290 consecutive participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Only subjects in normal sinus rhythm with > or = 18 hours of usable data were included. Eligible subjects were 71 +/- 5 years. During 7 years of follow-up, 21.7% had died. Hours were scored as normal (0), borderline (0.5), or abnormal (1) from a combination of plot appearance and HRV. Summed scores were normalized to 100% to create an abnormality score (ABN). Short-term HRV versus each 5th percentile of ABN was plotted and a cutpoint for markedly increased HRV identified. The t-tests compared HRV for subjects above and below this cutpoint. Cox regression evaluated the association of ABN and mortality. RESULTS: Of 5,815 eligible hourly plots, 64.4% were normal, 14.5% borderline, and 21.1% abnormal. HR, SDNN, SDNNIDX, ln VLF and LF power, and power law slope did not differ by the cutpoint for increased short-term HRV, while SDANN and ln ULF power were significantly lower for those above the cutpoint. However, many HRV indices including LF/HF ratio and normalized LF and HF power were significantly different between groups (P < 0.001). Increased ABN was significantly associated with mortality (P = 0.019). Despite similar values for many HRV indices, being in the group above the cutpoint was significantly associated with mortality (P = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Abnormal HR patterns that elevate many HRV indices are prevalent among the elderly and associated with higher risk of mortality. Consideration of abnormal HRV may improve HRV-based risk stratification.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Algorithms; Arrhythmia, Sinus; Cohort Studies; Diagnosis, Computer-Assisted; Electrocardiography; Female; Heart Rate; Humans; Male; Models, Cardiovascular; Nonlinear Dynamics; Numerical Analysis, Computer-Assisted; Prevalence; Proportional Hazards Models; Reproducibility of Results; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Sensitivity and Specificity; United States

Association of polymorphisms in the CRP gene with circulating C-reactive protein levels and cardiovascular events. - Lange, Leslie A; Carlson, Christopher S; Hindorff, Lucia A; Lange, Ethan M; Walston, Jeremy; Durda, J Peter; Cushman, Mary; Bis, Joshua C; Zeng, Donglin; Lin, Danyu; Kuller, Lewis H; Nickerson, Deborah A; et al. (JAMA, 2006)
CONTEXT: C-reactive protein (CRP) is an inflammation protein that may play a role in the pathogenesis of cardiovascular disease (CVD). OBJECTIVE: To assess whether polymorphisms in the CRP gene are associated with plasma CRP, carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), and CVD events. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In the prospective, population-based Cardiovascular Health Study, 4 tag single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (1919A/T, 2667G/C, 3872G/A, 5237A/G) were genotyped in 3941 white (European American) participants and 5 tag SNPs (addition of 790A/T) were genotyped in 700 black (African American) participants, aged 65 years or older, all of whom were without myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke before study entry. Median follow-up was 13 years (1989-2003). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Baseline CIMT; occurrence of MI, stroke, and CVD mortality during follow-up. RESULTS: In white participants, 461 incident MIs, 491 incident strokes, and 490 CVD-related deaths occurred; in black participants, 67 incident MIs, 78 incident strokes, and 75 CVD-related deaths occurred. The 1919T and 790T alleles were associated with higher CRP levels in white and black participants, respectively. The 3872A allele was associated with lower CRP levels in both populations, and the 2667C allele was associated with lower CRP levels in white participants only. There was no association between CIMT and any CRP gene polymorphism in either population. In white participants, the 1919T allele was associated with increased risk of stroke for TT vs AA (hazard ratio [HR], 1.40; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-1.87) and for CVD mortality (HR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.10-1.90). In black participants, homozygosity for the 790T allele was associated with a 4-fold increased risk of MI compared with homozygosity for the 790A allele (95% CI, 1.58-10.53). The minor alleles of the 2 SNPs associated with lower plasma CRP concentration in white participants (2667C and 3872A) were associated with decreased risk of CVD mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Genetic variation in the CRP gene is associated with plasma CRP levels and CVD risk in older adults.
Keywords: African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; C-Reactive Protein; Cardiovascular Diseases; Carotid Arteries; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genotype; Humans; Male; Myocardial Infarction; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk; Stroke; Tunica Intima

Beta2-adrenergic receptor genetic variants and risk of sudden cardiac death. - Sotoodehnia, Nona; Siscovick, David S; Vatta, Matteo; Psaty, Bruce M; Tracy, Russell P; Towbin, Jeffrey A; Lemaitre, Rozenn N; Rea, Thomas D; Durda, J Peter; Chang, Joel M; Lumley, Thomas S; Kuller, Lewis H; et al. (Circulation, 2006)
BACKGROUND: Sympathetic activation influences the risk of ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death (SCD), mediated in part by the beta2-adrenergic receptor (B2AR). We investigated whether variation in the B2AR gene is associated with SCD risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this study, 4441 white and 808 black Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) participants were followed up prospectively for SCD and genotyped for B2AR Gly16Arg and Gln27Glu polymorphisms. The study was replicated in 155 case and 144 control white subjects in a population-based case-control study of SCD, the Cardiac Arrest Blood Study (CABS). In CHS, Gly16 and Gln27 allele frequencies were 62.4% and 57.1% among white and 50.1% and 81.4% among black participants. Over a median follow-up of 11.1 years, 156 and 39 SCD events occurred in white and black participants, respectively. The Gln27Glu variant was associated with SCD risk (P=0.008 for general model). SCD risk was higher in Gln27 homozygous participants than in Glu27 carriers (ethnicity-adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.56; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.17 to 2.09; P=0.003). The increased risk did not differ significantly between white (HR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.18 to 2.23) and black (HR, 1.23; 95% CI, 0.61 to 2.48) participants, although the confidence interval was wide in blacks. In the CABS replication study, Gln27 homozygous participants similarly had higher SCD risk than Glu27 carriers (odds ratio, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.02 to 2.63; P=0.040). Gly16Arg was not associated with SCD risk in either study. CONCLUSIONS: Gln27 homozygous individuals have an increased risk of SCD in 2 study populations. Our findings suggest that B2AR plays a role in SCD in humans. Study of genetic variation within the B2AR gene may help identify those at increased SCD risk.
Keywords: African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; Case-Control Studies; Death, Sudden, Cardiac; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Gene Frequency; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genetic Variation; Glutamine; Haplotypes; Homozygote; Humans; Male; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Receptors, Adrenergic, beta-2; Reproducibility of Results

Education, cognitive test scores, and black-white differences in dementia risk. - Shadlen, Marie-Florence; Siscovick, David; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Dulberg, Corinne; Kuller, Lewis H; Jackson, Sharon (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2006)
OBJECTIVES: To compare dementia risks of elderly black and white subjects and to determine whether differences in education and cognitive test scores contribute to the inconsistency in reported differences between these groups. DESIGN: Longitudinal, 6-year follow-up. PARTICIPANTS: Two thousand seven hundred eighty-six older black and white subjects in the Cardiovascular Health Study. MEASUREMENTS: Age, education (>10 years vs < or =10 years), Modified Mini-Mental State Examination score (3MS, < or =85 vs >85). Potential confounders were sex, depression, apolipoprotein E4 genotype, vascular disease, and baseline magnetic resonance imaging changes. RESULTS: White subjects with low education and black subjects with high education had twice the risk of dementia of white subjects with high education (95% confidence interval (CI)=1.5-2.4 and 95% CI=1.4-2.7); black subjects with low education had five times the risk of dementia (95% CI=3.4-7.7). Likewise, for subjects with low 3MSE scores, black subjects had 6.7 times the risk of dementia (95% CI=4.7-9.7) and white subjects had 2.7 times the risk of dementia (95% CI=2.2-3.5) as white subjects with high 3MSE scores. Finally, in Cox models, there was no significant black-white difference in dementia risk after adjustment for all confounders and baseline 3MSE. CONCLUSION: Black race was associated with greater dementia risk even after adjustment for education and other potential confounders. This black-white difference in dementia risk was markedly attenuated after adjustment for baseline cognitive screening scores. The apparent race effect may reflect gaps in the quality of education or differences in the trajectory of impaired cognitive function experienced by the two groups. Future investigations might take these findings into consideration for the design of studies evaluating black-white differences in dementia risk.
Keywords: African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; Cognition; Dementia; Educational Status; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Incidence; Male; Psychological Tests; Retrospective Studies; Risk Factors; United States

Neuropsychological characteristics of mild cognitive impairment subgroups. - Lopez, O L; Becker, J T; Jagust, W J; Fitzpatrick, A; Carlson, M C; DeKosky, S T; Breitner, J; Lyketsos, C G; Jones, B; Kawas, C; Kuller, L H (J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry, 2006)
OBJECTIVE: To describe the neuropsychological characteristics of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) subgroups identified in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) cognition study. METHODS: MCI was classified as MCI-amnestic type (MCI-AT): patients with documented memory deficits but otherwise normal cognitive function; and MCI-multiple cognitive deficits type (MCI-MCDT): impairment of at least one cognitive domain (not including memory), or one abnormal test in at least two other domains, but who had not crossed the dementia threshold. The MCI subjects did not have systemic, neurological, or psychiatric disorders likely to affect cognition. RESULTS: MCI-AT (n = 10) had worse verbal and non-verbal memory performance than MCI-MCDT (n = 28) or normal controls (n = 374). By contrast, MCI-MCDT had worse language, psychomotor speed, fine motor control, and visuoconstructional function than MCI-AT or normal controls. MCI-MCDT subjects had memory deficits, though they were less pronounced than in MCI-AT. Of the MCI-MCDT cases, 22 (78.5%) had memory deficits, and 6 (21.5%) did not. MCI-MCDT with memory disorders had more language deficits than MCI-MCDT without memory disorders. By contrast, MCI-MCDT without memory deficits had more fine motor control deficits than MCI-MCDT with memory deficits. CONCLUSIONS: The most frequent form of MCI was the MCI-MCDT with memory deficits. However, the identification of memory impaired MCI groups did not reflect the true prevalence of MCI in a population, as 16% of all MCI cases and 21.5% of the MCI-MCDT cases did not have memory impairment. Study of idiopathic amnestic and non-amnestic forms of MCI is essential for an understanding of the aetiology of MCI.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Amnesia; Cognition Disorders; Female; Humans; Male; Neuropsychological Tests; Psychometrics; Reference Values

Quantitative retinal venular caliber and risk of cardiovascular disease in older persons: the cardiovascular health study. - Wong, Tien Yin; Kamineni, Aruna; Klein, Ronald; Sharrett, A Richey; Klein, Barbara E; Siscovick, David S; Cushman, Mary; Duncan, Bruce B (Arch Intern Med, 2006)
BACKGROUND: Small vessel disease may contribute to the risk of cardiovascular disease in older persons. We describe the relation of retinal vascular caliber to incident coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke in elderly persons. METHODS: Prospective population-based cohort study composed of 1992 men and women aged 69 to 97 years living in 4 US communities. Retinal arteriolar and venular calibers were measured from retinal photographs using a computer-assisted method. Incident CHD and stroke events were ascertained using standardized methods. RESULTS: After 5 years of follow-up, there were 115 incident CHD events and 113 incident stroke events. Participants with larger retinal venular caliber had a higher incidence of CHD (11.7%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 8.7%-15.8%, vs 8.1%; 95% CI, 5.7%-11.6%), comparing largest with smallest venular caliber quartiles, and stroke (8.4%; 95% CI, 6.0-11.7, vs 5.8%; 95% CI, 3.9-8.4). At multivariable analysis, controlling for age, sex, race, arteriolar caliber, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, diabetes, glucose concentration, cigarette smoking, pack-years of smoking, and high-density-lipoprotein and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels, larger retinal venular caliber was associated with incident CHD (rate ratio, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.6-5.7, comparing largest with smallest venular caliber quartiles; P(trend) = .001) and incident stroke (rate ratio, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.1-4.3; P(trend) = .02). Additional adjustment for C-reactive protein and common and internal carotid artery intimal-media thickness had minimal effect on these associations. At multivariable analysis, smaller retinal arteriolar caliber was associated with incident CHD (rate ratio, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.1-3.7, comparing largest with smallest arteriolar caliber quartiles; P = .03) but not stroke (rate ratio,1.1; 95% CI, 0.5-2.2; P = .73). CONCLUSION: Larger retinal venular caliber is independently associated with risk of cardiovascular disease in elderly persons.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Algorithms; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Female; Humans; Image Processing, Computer-Assisted; Incidence; Male; Photography; Prospective Studies; Retinal Diseases; Retinal Vein; Retinal Vessels; Risk Factors; Stroke; United States

Regression dilution methods for meta-analysis: assessing long-term variability in plasma fibrinogen among 27,247 adults in 15 prospective studies. - Wood, Angela M; White, Ian; Thompson, Simon G; Lewington, Sarah; Danesh, John (Int J Epidemiol, 2006)
BACKGROUND: Within-person variability in measured values of a risk factor can bias its association with disease. The extent of this regression dilution bias for plasma fibrinogen was investigated using repeat measurement data collected at varying time intervals on 27 247 adults in 15 prospective studies. METHODS: Regression dilution ratios (RDRs) were estimated from a linear regression of repeat measurements on baseline values in each study and for each time interval, and pooled allowing for within- and between-study heterogeneity. RDRs were estimated both without and with adjustment for confounders, and factors were investigated that might influence the RDRs. RESULTS: The unadjusted overall RDR was 0.51 (95% CI: 0.47, 0.55), which decreased to 0.46 (95% CI: 0.42, 0.49) after adjustment for age, sex and measured values of other established vascular risk factors. The RDR did not vary materially by assay method, age, sex or smoking status, but decreased at higher levels of baseline fibrinogen. CONCLUSION: It is appropriate to use an RDR of 0.5 to correct approximately for regression dilution bias in plasma fibrinogen values; however, this correction factor may produce somewhat conservative hazard ratios in adjusted analyses, at higher fibrinogen concentrations and in follow-up beyond a decade. More generally, the methods described in this report have widespread applicability to quantifying regression dilution bias in repeatability data from multiple prospective studies.
Keywords: Adult; Age Factors; Bias; Cardiovascular Diseases; Female; Fibrinogen; Humans; Male; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Prospective Studies; Regression Analysis; Risk Factors; Sex Factors; Smoking; Time Factors

Thyroid status, cardiovascular risk, and mortality in older adults. - Cappola, Anne R; Fried, Linda P; Arnold, Alice M; Danese, Mark D; Kuller, Lewis H; Burke, Gregory L; Tracy, Russell P; Ladenson, Paul W (JAMA, 2006)
CONTEXT: Previous studies have suggested that subclinical abnormalities in thyroid-stimulating hormone levels are associated with detrimental effects on the cardiovascular system. OBJECTIVE: To determine the relationship between baseline thyroid status and incident atrial fibrillation, incident cardiovascular disease, and mortality in older men and women not taking thyroid medication. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A total of 3233 US community-dwelling individuals aged 65 years or older with baseline serum thyroid-stimulating hormone levels were enrolled in 1989-1990 in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a large, prospective cohort study. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incident atrial fibrillation, coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, cardiovascular death, and all-cause death assessed through June 2002. Analyses are reported for 4 groups defined according to thyroid function test results: subclinical hyperthyroidism, euthyroidism, subclinical hypothyroidism, and overt hypothyroidism. RESULTS: Individuals with overt thyrotoxicosis (n = 4) were excluded because of small numbers. Eighty-two percent of participants (n = 2639) had normal thyroid function, 15% (n = 496) had subclinical hypothyroidism, 1.6% (n = 51) had overt hypothyroidism, and 1.5% (n = 47) had subclinical hyperthyroidism. After exclusion of those with prevalent atrial fibrillation, individuals with subclinical hyperthyroidism had a greater incidence of atrial fibrillation compared with those with normal thyroid function (67 events vs 31 events per 1000 person-years; adjusted hazard ratio, 1.98; 95% confidence interval, 1.29-3.03). No differences were seen between the subclinical hyperthyroidism group and euthyroidism group for incident coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, cardiovascular death, or all-cause death. Likewise, there were no differences between the subclinical hypothyroidism or overt hypothyroidism groups and the euthyroidism group for cardiovascular outcomes or mortality. Specifically, individuals with subclinical hypothyroidism had an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.07 (95% confidence interval, 0.90-1.28) for incident coronary heart disease. CONCLUSION: Our data show an association between subclinical hyperthyroidism and development of atrial fibrillation but do not support the hypothesis that unrecognized subclinical hyperthyroidism or subclinical hypothyroidism is associated with other cardiovascular disorders or mortality.
Keywords: Aged; Atrial Fibrillation; Cardiovascular Diseases; Female; Humans; Hyperthyroidism; Hypothyroidism; Male; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors; Thyroid Gland; Thyrotropin

Acceleration of cerebral ventricular expansion in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Carmichael, Owen T; Kuller, L H; Lopez, O L; Thompson, P M; Dutton, R A; Lu, A; Lee, S E; Lee, J Y; Aizenstein, H J; Meltzer, C C; Liu, Y; Toga, A W; et al. (Neurobiol Aging, 2007)
Interactions between prevalent late-life medical conditions and expansion of the cerebral ventricles are not well understood. Thirty elderly subjects received three magnetic resonance (MR) scans each, in 1997-1999, 2002-2004, and 2003-2005. A linear expansion model of MR-measured lateral ventricle volume was estimated for each subject by fitting a line to a plot of their 1997-1999 and 2002-2004 volumes as a function of time. Acceleration in ventricular expansion was defined as the deviation between the 2003-2005 volumes measured from MR and the 2003-2005 volumes predicted by the linear expansion model. Ventricular acceleration was analyzed in a multivariate model with age, race, history of heart disease, diabetes, and hypertension as fixed effects. Ventricular acceleration was significantly higher in non-whites, diabetics, and those without heart disease (p<0.05). Ventricular acceleration was higher in subjects with a history of hypertension, but the difference was not statistically significant (p=0.08). Acceleration of ventricular expansion in the elderly may be related to demographic and cardiovascular factors.
Keywords: Aged; Analysis of Variance; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cerebral Ventricles; Female; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Reference Values; Retrospective Studies; Sex Factors; Time Factors

Alcohol consumption and type 2 diabetes among older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Djoussé, Luc; Biggs, Mary L; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Siscovick, David S (Obesity (Silver Spring), 2007)
OBJECTIVE: The objective was to examine the role of total and beverage-specific alcohol consumption on the incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) among elderly men and women. RESEARCH METHODS AND PROCEDURES: We studied prospectively 4655 participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study who were free of DM at baseline. Alcohol consumption was obtained at baseline and during follow-up examinations. DM was defined using fasting glucose and/or use of hypoglycemic medications. We used Cox proportional hazard models to estimate adjusted relative risks of diabetes across alcohol categories. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 6.3 years, 234 incident cases of DM were documented. Compared with never drinkers, hazard ratios [95% confidence interval (CI)] for DM were 0.7 (0.3 to 1.4), 0.5 (0.3 to 0.9), 0.6 (0.4 to 1.1), and 0.8 (0.4 to 1.3) for former drinkers and current drinkers of <1, 1 to 6, and 7+ drinks per week, respectively, for men after adjustment for age, BMI, education, and smoking. Corresponding values for women were 1.2 (0.6 to 2.3), 0.7 (0.4 to 1.1), 0.6 (0.3 to 1.1), and 0.4 (0.2 to 1.0), respectively. A reduced risk of DM was observed with all types of beverage consumed. Similar findings were observed when we repeated the above analyses using simple or weighted cumulative alcohol update and covariates over time. DISCUSSION: Light to moderate alcohol consumption was associated with a lower incidence of DM among elderly people, irrespective of the type of beverage consumed.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alcohol Drinking; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Medicare; Middle Aged; Risk; Smoking; Temperance; United States

Associations of plasma fibrinogen levels with established cardiovascular disease risk factors, inflammatory markers, and other characteristics: individual participant meta-analysis of 154,211 adults in 31 prospective studies: the fibrinogen studies collab - Kaptoge, S; White, I R; Thompson, S G; Wood, A M; Lewington, S; Lowe, G D O; Danesh, J (Am J Epidemiol, 2007)
Long-term increases in plasma fibrinogen levels of 1 g/liter are associated with an approximate doubling of risk of major cardiovascular disease outcomes, but causality remains uncertain. To quantify cross-sectional associations of fibrinogen levels with established risk factors and other characteristics, the investigators combined individual data on 154,211 apparently healthy adults from 31 prospective studies conducted between 1967 and 2003, using a linear mixed model that included random effects at the cohort level. Fibrinogen levels increased with age and showed continuous, approximately linear relations with several risk markers and slightly curvilinear associations with log triglycerides, albumin, and tobacco and alcohol consumption. Female sex, Black ethnicity, lower socioeconomic status, and alcohol abstinence were each associated with modestly higher fibrinogen levels. Approximately one third of the variation in fibrinogen levels was explained by cohort, age, and sex. An additional 7% was explained by established risk factors (notably, positive associations with smoking and body mass index and an inverse association with high density lipoprotein cholesterol), and a further 10% was explained by inflammatory markers (notably, a positive association with C-reactive protein). The association with body mass index was twice as strong in women as in men, whereas the association with smoking was much stronger in men. These findings substantially advance understanding of the correlates and possible determinants of fibrinogen levels.
Keywords: Adult; African Americans; Age Factors; Biomarkers; Body Mass Index; C-Reactive Protein; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Female; Fibrinogen; Humans; Linear Models; Male; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Sex Factors; Smoking; Social Class; United States

Cerebral ventricular changes associated with transitions between normal cognitive function, mild cognitive impairment, and dementia. - Carmichael, Owen T; Kuller, Lewis H; Lopez, Oscar L; Thompson, Paul M; Dutton, Rebecca A; Lu, Allen; Lee, Sharon E; Lee, Jessica Y; Aizenstein, Howard J; Meltzer, Carolyn C; Liu, Yanxi; Toga, Arthur W; et al. (Alzheimer Dis Assoc Disord, 2007)
Expansion of the cerebral ventricles may occur at an accelerated rate in subjects with dementia, but the time course of expansion during transitions between normal cognitive function, mild cognitive impairment (MCI), and dementia is not well understood. Furthermore, the effects of cardiovascular risk factors on rate of ventricular expansion are unclear. We used a fully automated segmentation technique to measure change rate in lateral ventricle-to-brain ratio (VBR) on 145 longitudinal pairs of magnetic resonance images of subjects in the Cardiovascular Health Study Cognition Study from the Pittsburgh Center. A multivariate model analyzed VBR change rate, accounting for dementia statuses at both imaging times (normal, MCI, or dementia), age, sex, education, race, magnetic resonance-defined infarcts, Center for Epidemiology Studies Depression Scale, baseline ventricular volume, and cardiovascular risk factors. VBR change was faster in subjects who were demented or transitioned from MCI to dementia, compared with subjects normal at both images and subjects who transitioned from normal to MCI or dementia. Patients with diabetes had faster VBR change. Ventricular expansion may accelerate late in the progression from normal cognitive function to dementia, and may be modulated by diabetes.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Case-Control Studies; Cerebral Ventricles; Cognition Disorders; Dementia; Disease Progression; Female; Humans; Image Processing, Computer-Assisted; Longitudinal Studies; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Risk Factors; Severity of Illness Index; Time Factors

Collaborative meta-analysis of individual participant data from observational studies of Lp-PLA2 and cardiovascular diseases. - Ballantyne, C; Cushman, M; Psaty, B; Furberg, C; Khaw, K T; Sandhu, M; Oldgren, J; Rossi, G P; Maiolino, G; Cesari, M; Lenzini, L; James, S K; et al. (Eur J Cardiovasc Prev Rehabil, 2007)
BACKGROUND: A large number of observational epidemiological studies have reported generally positive associations between circulating mass and activity levels of lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2) and the risk of cardiovascular diseases. Few studies have been large enough to provide reliable estimates in different circumstances, such as in different subgroups (e.g., by age group, sex, or smoking status) or at different Lp-PLA2 levels. Moreover, most published studies have related disease risk only to baseline values of Lp-PLA2 markers (which can lead to substantial underestimation of any risk relationships because of within-person variability over time) and have used different approaches to adjustment for possible confounding factors. OBJECTIVES: By combination of data from individual participants from all relevant observational studies in a systematic 'meta-analysis', with correction for regression dilution (using available data on serial measurements of Lp-PLA2), the Lp-PLA2 Studies Collaboration will aim to characterize more precisely than has previously been possible the strength and shape of the age and sex-specific associations of plasma Lp-PLA2 with coronary heart disease (and, where data are sufficient, with other vascular diseases, such as ischaemic stroke). It will also help to determine to what extent such associations are independent of possible confounding factors and to explore potential sources of heterogeneity among studies, such as those related to assay methods and study design. It is anticipated that the present collaboration will serve as a framework to investigate related questions on Lp-PLA2 and cardiovascular outcomes. METHODS: A central database is being established containing data on circulating Lp-PLA2 values, sex and other potential confounding factors, age at baseline Lp-PLA2 measurement, age at event or at last follow-up, major vascular morbidity and cause-specific mortality. Information about any repeat measurements of Lp-PLA2 and potential confounding factors has been sought to allow adjustment for possible confounding and correction for regression dilution. The analyses will involve age-specific regression models. Synthesis of the available observational studies of Lp-PLA2 will yield information on a total of about 15 000 cardiovascular disease endpoints.
Keywords: 1-Alkyl-2-acetylglycerophosphocholine Esterase; Cardiovascular Diseases; Humans; Phospholipases A2

The effect of different public health interventions on longevity, morbidity, and years of healthy life. - Diehr, Paula; Derleth, Ann; Cai, Liming; Newman, Anne B (BMC Public Health, 2007)
BACKGROUND: Choosing cost-effective strategies for improving the health of the public is difficult because the relative effects of different types of interventions are not well understood. The benefits of one-shot interventions may be different from the benefits of interventions that permanently change the probability of getting sick, recovering, or dying. Here, we compare the benefits of such types of public health interventions. METHODS: We used multi-state life table methods to estimate the impact of five types of interventions on mortality, morbidity (years of life in fair or poor health), and years of healthy life (years in excellent, very good, or good health). RESULTS: A one-shot intervention that makes all the sick persons healthy at baseline would increase life expectancy by 3 months and increase years of healthy life by 6 months, in a cohort beginning at age 65. An equivalent amount of improvement can be obtained from an intervention that either decreases the probability of getting sick each year by 12%, increases the probability of a sick person recovering by 16%, decreases the probability that a sick person dies by 15%, or decreases the probability that a healthy person dies by 14%. Interventions aimed at keeping persons healthy increased longevity and years of healthy life, while decreasing morbidity and medical expenditures. Interventions focused on preventing mortality had a greater effect on longevity, but had higher future morbidity and medical expenditures. Results differed for older and younger cohorts and depended on the value to society of an additional year of sick life. CONCLUSION: Interventions that promote health and prevent disease performed well, but other types of intervention were sometimes better. The value to society of interventions that increase longevity but also increase morbidity needs further research. More comprehensive screening and treatment of new Medicare enrollees might improve their health and longevity without increasing future medical expenditures.
Keywords: Actuarial Analysis; Cost-Benefit Analysis; Disease Management; Health Priorities; Health Promotion; Health Services; Health Status; Humans; Life Expectancy; Medicare; Models, Biological; Morbidity; United States; United States Public Health Service

The Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration: analysis of individual data on lipid, inflammatory and other markers in over 1.1 million participants in 104 prospective studies of cardiovascular diseases. - Danesh, J; Erqou, S; Walker, M; Thompson, S G; Tipping, R; Ford, C; Pressel, S; Walldius, G; Jungner, I; Folsom, A R; Chambless, L E; Knuiman, M; et al. (Eur J Epidemiol, 2007)
Many long-term prospective studies have reported on associations of cardiovascular diseases with circulating lipid markers and/or inflammatory markers. Studies have not, however, generally been designed to provide reliable estimates under different circumstances and to correct for within-person variability. The Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration has established a central database on over 1.1 million participants from 104 prospective population-based studies, in which subsets have information on lipid and inflammatory markers, other characteristics, as well as major cardiovascular morbidity and cause-specific mortality. Information on repeat measurements on relevant characteristics has been collected in approximately 340,000 participants to enable estimation of and correction for within-person variability. Re-analysis of individual data will yield up to approximately 69,000 incident fatal or nonfatal first ever major cardiovascular outcomes recorded during about 11.7 million person years at risk. The primary analyses will involve age-specific regression models in people without known baseline cardiovascular disease in relation to fatal or nonfatal first ever coronary heart disease outcomes. This initiative will characterize more precisely and in greater detail than has previously been possible the shape and strength of the age- and sex-specific associations of several lipid and inflammatory markers with incident coronary heart disease outcomes (and, secondarily, with other incident cardiovascular outcomes) under a wide range of circumstances. It will, therefore, help to determine to what extent such associations are independent from possible confounding factors and to what extent such markers (separately and in combination) provide incremental predictive value.
Keywords: Albumins; Biomarkers; Cardiovascular Diseases; Databases, Factual; Far East; Humans; Inflammation; Leukocyte Count; Lipids; Lipoproteins, HDL; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Triglycerides

Ethnic-specific prevalence of peripheral arterial disease in the United States. - Allison, Matthew A; Ho, Elena; Denenberg, Julie O; Langer, Robert D; Newman, Anne B; Fabsitz, Richard R; Criqui, Michael H (Am J Prev Med, 2007)
BACKGROUND: Individuals diagnosed with peripheral arterial disease (PAD) are at increased risk for future functional limitations as well as cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. The aim of this study was to estimate the age-, gender-, and ethnic-specific burden of PAD in the United States for the year 2000. METHODS: Data were collected from seven community-based studies that assessed subjects for the presence of PAD using the ankle-brachial index (ABI). Using standardized weighting criteria, age-, gender-, and ethnic-specific prevalence rates were computed and then multiplied by the corresponding 2000 Census population totals to estimate the burden of PAD in the United States for that year. Evidence-based adjustments for studies which did not consider possible subclavian stenosis, prior revascularization for PAD, or both were employed. RESULTS: In 2000, it is conservatively estimated that at least 6.8 million (5.8%) individuals aged 40 years or older had PAD based on an ABI of less than 0.9 or previous revascularization for PAD, and that that there are an additional 1.7 million Americans with PAD but "normal" ABIs. Including this group gives a total of 8.5 million (7.2%) individuals with PAD. CONCLUSIONS: Roughly one in 16 individuals residing in the United States in 2000 who were aged 40 years and older had PAD. Clinicians are encouraged to screen for the presence of PAD using the ABI.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Databases as Topic; Female; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Peripheral Vascular Diseases; United States

IL-6 gene variation is associated with IL-6 and C-reactive protein levels but not cardiovascular outcomes in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Walston, Jeremy D; Fallin, M Daniele; Cushman, Mary; Lange, Leslie; Psaty, Bruce; Jenny, Nancy; Browner, Warren; Tracy, Russell; Durda, Peter; Reiner, Alex (Hum Genet, 2007)
Interleukin-6 (IL-6) and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels increase with age and likely play a role in adverse health outcomes in older adults. The relationship between IL-6 gene tag single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and circulating IL-6 and CRP levels, cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes, and mortality in Caucasian (CA) and African American (AA) participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) was evaluated using ANCOVA and Cox proportional hazards models. The minor allele of the promoter SNP 1510 and intronic SNP 3572 associates with significantly higher serum IL-6 and CRP levels in CA but not AA. The CRP association persisted after CA and AA populations were combined and after accounting for multiple comparisons. These associations did not carry through to cardiovascular disease outcomes. Decreased risk of stroke was identified in CA, with the minor allele of SNP 1111 (HRR 0.71, 95% CI 0.52, 0.95), P = 0.02, and increased risk of CVD and all-cause mortality (HRR 1.31, 95% CI 1.05-1.64) in AAs heterozygote for SNP 2989. While genetic variation in the IL-6 gene was associated with circulating IL-6 and especially with CRP concentrations in this study, there is little evidence for association between common IL-6 gene variation and adverse health outcomes in this population of older adults.
Keywords: African Americans; Aged; Alleles; C-Reactive Protein; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Gene Frequency; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genetic Variation; Humans; Interleukin-6; Introns; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Promoter Regions, Genetic

Incidence of dementia in mild cognitive impairment in the cardiovascular health study cognition study. - Lopez, Oscar L; Kuller, Lewis H; Becker, James T; Dulberg, Corinne; Sweet, Robert A; Gach, H Michael; DeKosky, Steven T (Arch Neurol, 2007)
OBJECTIVES: To examine the incidence of dementia in subjects with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) in the Cardiovascular Health Study Cognition Study. DESIGN: Prospective epidemiological study. SETTING: The Cardiovascular Health Study Cognition Study of Pittsburgh, Pa, was conducted from 2002 through 2003 to determine the incidence of dementia in participants classified as having MCI in 1998 and 1999. Subjects There were 136 subjects with MCI. Mild cognitive impairment was subclassified as MCI amnestic type and MCI multiple cognitive deficits type (MCI-MCDT); subjects with MCI-MCDT were also grouped based on the presence of a memory impairment. Subjects with MCI were classified as possible when there were comorbidities that could explain the subjects' cognitive deficits and as probable when there were none. Main Outcome Measure Dementia. RESULTS: The incidence of all dementias in the subjects with MCI was 147 per 1000 person-years (mean follow-up overall, 4.3 years). Of the 136 subjects with MCI, 69 (51%) in 1998 through 1999 progressed to dementia (57 [83%] to Alzheimer disease [AD]), but 25 (18%) returned to normal. Of the 10 subjects with probable MCI amnestic type, 7 (70%) progressed to dementia (all of them to AD) and none returned to normal, whereas 7 (41%) of the 17 subjects with possible MCI amnestic type became demented (6 [86%] to AD) and 3 (18%) returned to normal. Of the 40 subjects with probable MCI-MCDT, 21 (52%) progressed to dementia (17 [81%] to AD) and 2 (5%) returned to normal. Of the 69 subjects with possible MCI-MCDT, 34 (49%) progressed to dementia (28 [82%] to AD) and 20 (29%) returned to normal. Among the subjects with probable MCI-MCDT, 15 (54%) of 28 with and 6 (50%) of 12 without memory deficits progressed to dementia. CONCLUSIONS: Subjects with MCI are at high risk for dementia. The probable MCI diagnosis identified individuals in the earliest stages of dementia, usually AD, whereas the possible MCI diagnosis identified a more heterogeneous group. However, this latter group had only a slightly lower rate of conversion to dementia than the group with probable MCI, suggesting that even with comorbid conditions, there is a high likelihood of the presence of a progressive dementing disorder.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cardiovascular System; Cognition Disorders; Dementia; Disease Progression; Female; Humans; Incidence; Male; Retrospective Studies

The number of sick persons in a cohort. - Diehr, P; Derleth, A; Newman, AB; Cai, L (Research on Aging, 2007)
In the Cardiovascular Health Study, a cohort study of older adults followed up to 14 years, the number of sick persons was approximately constant over time. This was true whether we defined “sick” based on self-rated health, ADL or IADL difficulties, the timed walk, bed days, depression, cognitive problems, or cardiovascular disease. To better understand this phenomenon, we estimated the probabilities of transition among the healthy, sick, and dead states, and projected the number who would be in each health state over time for a birth cohort. The estimated number of sick persons in the birth cohort increased slowly over time and was approximately constant from ages 55-75, after which it decreased. The relative excess of older persons who are sick in later life is caused by a decline in the number of healthy persons rather than an increase in the number who are sick. Estimated total medical expenditures for a birth cohort may decline after about age 73. These findings may suggest a different way of thinking about trends in the health and medical expenditures of the population over time.
Keywords: Aging; equilibrium; transition probabilities; years of healthy life

The relationship of heart rate and heart rate variability to non-diabetic fasting glucose levels and the metabolic syndrome: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Stein, P K; Barzilay, J I; Domitrovich, P P; Chaves, P M; Gottdiener, J S; Heckbert, S R; Kronmal, R A (Diabet Med, 2007)
BACKGROUND: Increased heart rate (HR) and diminished heart rate variability (HRV) are signs of early cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy. We tested the hypotheses that increased HR and diminished HRV are present in people: (i) with increased fasting glucose (FG) levels not in the range of diabetes mellitus (DM), and (ii) in people with the metabolic syndrome (MetS) independent of elevated FG levels. METHODS: HR and HRV were determined in 1267 adults (mean age 72 years) who had Holter monitoring and FG measures: 536 had normal FG levels (NORM, FG 4.5-5.5 mmol/l), 363 had mildly impaired FG (IFG-1, FG 5.6-6.0 mmol/l), 182 had significantly impaired FG (IFG-2, FG 6.1-6.9 mmol/l) and 178 had DM (FG > 6.9 mmol/l or use of glucose-lowering agents/insulin). HR and HRV in NORM/IFG-1 was further compared by the number of components of the MetS and compared by the presence or absence of MetS in IFG-2/DM. RESULTS: HRV indices were more impaired in IFG-2 and DM than in NORM or IFG-1. There were few differences in HRV indices between NORM and IFG-1 or between IFG-2 and DM. In NORM/IFG-1 participants, having > or = 2 components of the MetS was associated with a greater decrease in HRV compared with having no or one components. In IFG-2/DM participants, MetS was associated with decreased HRV compared with no MetS. CONCLUSIONS: Increased HR and diminished HRV occur in the non-diabetic FG range. Diminished HRV is associated with the MetS, independent of FG levels. Both these results suggest that factors associated with increasing non-diabetic FG levels and the MetS play a role in the onset of cardiac autonomic impairment.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Arrhythmias, Cardiac; Blood Glucose; Fasting; Female; Glucose Intolerance; Heart Rate; Humans; Male; Metabolic Syndrome; Risk Factors

USF1 gene variants, cardiovascular risk, and mortality in European Americans: analysis of two US cohort studies. - Reiner, Alexander P; Carlson, Christopher S; Jenny, Nancy S; Durda, J Peter; Siscovick, David S; Nickerson, Deborah A; Tracy, Russell P (Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, 2007)
OBJECTIVE: A common haplotype of the upstream transcription factor 1 gene (USF1) has been associated with decreased susceptibility to familial combined hyperlipidemia (FCHL) and, paradoxically, with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: We assessed associations between USF1 tagSNPs, CVD risk factors, and aging-related phenotypes using data from 2 large population-based cohorts, Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) and the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), comprising younger and older adults, respectively. In CARDIA, each additional copy of the FCHL low-risk allele was associated with 2.4 mg/dL lower levels of LDL cholesterol (P=0.01) and decreased risk of subclinical atherosclerosis as assessed by coronary artery calcium (odds ratio 0.79; 95%CI 0.63 to 0.98). Whereas there was little association between USF1 genotype and metabolic or CVD traits in older adults from CHS, the USF1 low-risk dyslipidemia allele was associated with higher plasma C-reactive protein and interleukin (IL)-6 levels and with increased risk of mortality, particularly attributable to noncardiovascular causes. CONCLUSIONS: There appears to be a complex and possibly age-dependent relationship between USF1 genotype, atherosclerosis phenotypes, and CVD risk. USF1 may influence mortality through pathways distinct from atherosclerosis. Alternatively, linkage disequilibrium with neighboring polymorphisms in other genes such as F11R may be responsible for the observed USF1 genotype-phenotype associations in older adults.
Keywords: Adult; Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Blood Glucose; C-Reactive Protein; Calcium; Cardiovascular Diseases; Carotid Artery, Common; Cohort Studies; Coronary Artery Disease; Coronary Vessels; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Humans; Hyperlipidemia, Familial Combined; Insulin; Interleukin-6; Linkage Disequilibrium; Lipids; Male; Odds Ratio; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Time Factors; United States; Upstream Stimulatory Factors

Ventricular volume and dementia progression in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Carmichael, Owen T; Kuller, Lewis H; Lopez, Oscar L; Thompson, Paul M; Dutton, Rebecca A; Lu, Allen; Lee, Sharon E; Lee, Jessica Y; Aizenstein, Howard J; Meltzer, Carolyn Cidis; Liu, Yanxi; Toga, Arthur W; et al. (Neurobiol Aging, 2007)
Elevated cerebral ventricular volume may be associated with dementia risk and progression. A fully-automated technique that agreed highly with radiological readings was used to estimate lateral ventricle volume on MR scans done at baseline in 1997-99 of 377 subjects in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) from the Pittsburgh Center. 327 subjects were normal or diagnosed with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) at baseline and were evaluated 4 years later. Baseline ventricular volume was analyzed in multivariate models with age, gender, education level, presence and incidence of cerebral infarcts, and dementia category (normal, MCI, or dementia) at baseline and follow-up as fixed effects. Ventricular volume at baseline was significantly higher among subjects normal at baseline and demented 4 years later. Age, gender, education level, and dementia progression were significant factors affecting ventricular volume. Ventricular volume was higher in dementia compared to MCI, higher in MCI compared to controls, and higher in Possible-Alzheimer's-disease (AD) dementia compared to Probable-AD. Larger ventricles in healthy subjects may indicate susceptibility to, or progression of, dementia-related pathology.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Cognition Disorders; Cross-Sectional Studies; Dementia; Disease Progression; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Lateral Ventricles; Linear Models; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Predictive Value of Tests; Prospective Studies; Retrospective Studies; Time Factors

Abnormal regional cerebral blood flow in cognitively normal elderly subjects with hypertension. - Dai, Weiying; Lopez, Oscar L; Carmichael, Owen T; Becker, James T; Kuller, Lewis H; Gach, H Michael (Stroke, 2008)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to examine regional cerebral blood flow (rCBF) in normal cognitive-performing subjects with hypertension (HTN) using continuous arterial spin-labeled MRI. The most common explanation for the effect of blood pressure on cognition is that HTN increases the risk of cerebrovascular disease, and it may increase the risk for Alzheimer disease possibly through small vessel disease, ischemia, oxidative stress, and inflammation. However, few studies to date have examined the rCBF of cognitively normal subjects with HTN in population-based cohorts, and none have used continuous arterial spin-labeled MRI. This is a noninvasive technique that does not require either injections or ionizing radiation and can measure absolute rCBF rates over the entire brain. METHODS: rCBF was measured at 1.5 T using continuous arterial spin-labeled MRI in 41 cognitively normal subjects who were participating in the Cardiovascular Health Study Cognition Study. A deformable atrophy-corrected registration method was used to warp the rCBF maps to the standard colin27 brain space. Image and cluster-based statistical analyses were performed between subject groups. RESULTS: Cognitively normal subjects with HTN (n=19) had decreased rCBF in the putamen, globus pallidus, bilaterally, and in the left hippocampus compared with normotensives (n=22). In addition, decreased rCBF was observed in the right and left anterior cingulate gyrus with extension to the subcallosal region, left posterior cingulate gyrus and medial precuneus, left lateral inferior and superior frontal, and inferior parietal, left orbitofrontal, and left superior temporal cortices. CONCLUSIONS: rCBF is affected in normal subjects with HTN, not only in the subcortical regions, but also in limbic and paralimbic structures. We hypothesize that the HTN creates a vulnerability state for the development of neurodegenerative disorders, especially Alzheimer disease.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cerebral Cortex; Cerebrovascular Circulation; Cognition; Cognition Disorders; Female; Globus Pallidus; Gyrus Cinguli; Humans; Hypertension; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Putamen; Spin Labels

Age-specific prevalence and years of healthy life in a system with three health states. - Diehr, Paula; Yanez, David; Derleth, Ann; Newman, Anne B (Stat Med, 2008)
Consider a 3-state system with one absorbing state, such as Healthy, Sick, and Dead. Over time, the prevalence of the Healthy state will approach an 'equilibrium' value that is independent of the initial conditions. We derived this equilibrium prevalence (Prev:Equil) as a function of the local transition probabilities. We then used Prev:Equil to estimate the expected number of years spent in the healthy state over time. This estimate is similar to the one calculated by multi-state life table methods, and has the advantage of having an associated standard error. In longitudinal data for older adults, the standard error was accurate when a valid survival table was known from other sources, or when the available data set was sufficient to estimate survival accurately. Performance was better with fewer waves of data. If validated in other situations, these estimates of prevalence and years of healthy life (YHL) and their standard errors may be useful when the goal is to compare YHL for different populations.
Keywords: Age Factors; Biometry; Health Status; Humans; Life Tables; Longitudinal Studies; Middle Aged; Models, Statistical; Probability; Quality-Adjusted Life Years

Ankle brachial index combined with Framingham Risk Score to predict cardiovascular events and mortality: a meta-analysis. - Fowkes, F G R; Murray, G D; Butcher, I; Heald, C L; Lee, R J; Chambless, L E; Folsom, A R; Hirsch, A T; Dramaix, M; deBacker, G; Wautrecht, J-C; Kornitzer, M; et al. (JAMA, 2008)
CONTEXT: Prediction models to identify healthy individuals at high risk of cardiovascular disease have limited accuracy. A low ankle brachial index (ABI) is an indicator of atherosclerosis and has the potential to improve prediction. OBJECTIVE: To determine if the ABI provides information on the risk of cardiovascular events and mortality independently of the Framingham risk score (FRS) and can improve risk prediction. DATA SOURCES: Relevant studies were identified. A search of MEDLINE (1950 to February 2008) and EMBASE (1980 to February 2008) was conducted using common text words for the term ankle brachial index combined with text words and Medical Subject Headings to capture prospective cohort designs. Review of reference lists and conference proceedings, and correspondence with experts was conducted to identify additional published and unpublished studies. STUDY SELECTION: Studies were included if participants were derived from a general population, ABI was measured at baseline, and individuals were followed up to detect total and cardiovascular mortality. DATA EXTRACTION: Prespecified data on individuals in each selected study were extracted into a combined data set and an individual participant data meta-analysis was conducted on individuals who had no previous history of coronary heart disease. RESULTS: Sixteen population cohort studies fulfilling the inclusion criteria were included. During 480,325 person-years of follow-up of 24,955 men and 23,339 women, the risk of death by ABI had a reverse J-shaped distribution with a normal (low risk) ABI of 1.11 to 1.40. The 10-year cardiovascular mortality in men with a low ABI (< or = 0.90) was 18.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 13.3%-24.1%) and with normal ABI (1.11-1.40) was 4.4% (95% CI, 3.2%-5.7%) (hazard ratio [HR], 4.2; 95% CI, 3.3-5.4). Corresponding mortalities in women were 12.6% (95% CI, 6.2%-19.0%) and 4.1% (95% CI, 2.2%-6.1%) (HR, 3.5; 95% CI, 2.4-5.1). The HRs remained elevated after adjusting for FRS (2.9 [95% CI, 2.3-3.7] for men vs 3.0 [95% CI, 2.0-4.4] for women). A low ABI (< or = 0.90) was associated with approximately twice the 10-year total mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and major coronary event rate compared with the overall rate in each FRS category. Inclusion of the ABI in cardiovascular risk stratification using the FRS would result in reclassification of the risk category and modification of treatment recommendations in approximately 19% of men and 36% of women. CONCLUSION: Measurement of the ABI may improve the accuracy of cardiovascular risk prediction beyond the FRS.
Keywords: Adult; Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Ankle; Atherosclerosis; Blood Pressure; Brachial Artery; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Confidence Intervals; Female; Global Health; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Odds Ratio; Predictive Value of Tests; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Severity of Illness Index

Association of gene variants with incident myocardial infarction in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Shiffman, Dov; O'Meara, Ellen S; Bare, Lance A; Rowland, Charles M; Louie, Judy Z; Arellano, Andre R; Lumley, Thomas; Rice, Kenneth; Iakoubova, Olga; Luke, May M; Young, Bradford A; Malloy, Mary J; et al. (Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, 2008)
OBJECTIVE: We asked whether single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that had been nominally associated with cardiovascular disease in antecedent studies were also associated with cardiovascular disease in a population-based prospective study of 4522 individuals aged 65 or older. METHODS AND RESULTS: Based on antecedent studies, we prespecified a risk allele and an inheritance model for each of 74 SNPs. We then tested the association of these SNPs with myocardial infarction (MI) in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). The prespecified risk alleles of 8 SNPs were nominally associated (1-sided P<0.05) with increased risk of MI in White CHS participants. The false discovery rate for these 8 was 0.43, suggesting that about 4 of these 8 are likely to be true positives. The 4 of these 8 SNPs that had the strongest evidence for association with cardiovascular disease before testing in CHS (association in 3 antecedent studies) were in KIF6 (CHS HR=1.29; 90%CI 1.1 to 1.52), VAMP8 (HR=1.2; 90%CI 1.02 to 1.41), TAS2R50 (HR=1.13; 90%CI 1 to 1.27), and LPA (HR=1.62; 90%CI 1.09 to 2.42). CONCLUSIONS: Although most of the SNPs investigated were not associated with MI in CHS, evidence from this investigation combined with previous studies suggests that 4 of these SNPs are likely associated with MI.
Keywords: African Americans; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Coronary Disease; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Myocardial Infarction; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (U.S.); Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Proportional Hazards Models; United States

Associations between common fibrinogen gene polymorphisms and cardiovascular disease in older adults. The Cardiovascular Health Study. - Carty, Cara L; Cushman, Mary; Jones, Daniel; Lange, Leslie A; Hindorff, Lucia A; Rice, Kenneth; Jenny, Nancy S; Durda, J Peter; Walston, Jeremy; Carlson, Christopher S; Nickerson, Debbie; Tracy, Russell P; et al. (Thromb Haemost, 2008)
Elevated plasma fibrinogen is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD), but associations between fibrinogen single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and disease risk are inconsistent. We investigated whether common (> or = 5% minor allele frequency) variation in the fibrinogen genes (FGA, FGB, FGG) is associated with fibrinogen concentration, carotid artery intima-medial thickness (IMT) and risk of incident myocardial infarction (MI), ischemic stroke and CVD mortality in European- (EA) and African-descent (AA) adults (> or = 65 years) from the Cardiovascular Health Study. TagSNPs were genotyped in 3,969 EA and 719 AA free of MI or stroke at baseline. Race-specific models included multiple testing correction and adjustment for sex, age and site. Among EA, minor alleles of FGA3807, FGB1437 and FGG902 were associated with higher fibrinogen levels; whereas FGA251, FGA2224, FGA6534 and FGG10034 were associated with lower levels, p<0.004 for each. Strongest associations were seen for FGB1437; each additional copy of the minor allele was associated with 13 mg/dl (95%CI: 9-16) higher fibrinogen level. Similar trends in AA were not significant. Fibrinogen haplotypes were not significantly associated with internal or common carotid IMT. No associations with MI or CVD mortality were seen in EA, though FGB1038 and FGG902 were significantly associated with increased and decreased risk of stroke in men, respectively, as were related haplotypes. FGB1038 was also associated with CVD mortality in AA, HR = 1.9 (95%CI: 1.3-2.7). In conclusion, while fibrinogen genetic variation was strongly associated with fibrinogen levels, there was less evidence of association with the more complex outcomes of IMT and CVD events.
Keywords: African Americans; Age Factors; Aged; Brain Ischemia; Cardiovascular Diseases; Carotid Artery Diseases; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Fibrinogen; Gene Frequency; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Haplotypes; Humans; Male; Myocardial Infarction; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Population Surveillance; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Reproducibility of Results; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Sex Factors; Stroke; United States

Common variants in the CRP gene in relation to longevity and cause-specific mortality in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Hindorff, Lucia A; Rice, Kenneth M; Lange, Leslie A; Diehr, Paula; Halder, Indrani; Walston, Jeremy; Kwok, Pui; Ziv, Elad; Nievergelt, Caroline; Cummings, Steven R; Newman, Anne B; Tracy, Russell P; et al. (Atherosclerosis, 2008)
Common polymorphisms in the CRP gene are associated with plasma CRP levels in population-based studies, but associations with age-related events are uncertain. A previous study of CRP haplotypes in older adults was broadened to include longevity and cause-specific mortality (all-cause, noncardiovascular (non-CV), and cardiovascular (CV)). Common haplotypes were inferred from four tagSNPs in 4512 whites and five tagSNPs in 812 blacks from the Cardiovascular Health Study, a longitudinal cohort of adults over age 65. Exploratory analyses addressed early versus late mortality. CRP haplotypes were not associated with all-cause mortality or longevity overall in either population, but associations with all-cause mortality differed during early and late periods. In blacks, the haplotype tagged by 3872A (rs1205) was associated with increased risk of non-CV mortality, relative to other haplotypes (adjusted hazard ratio for each additional copy: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.07, 1.87). Relative to other haplotypes, this haplotype was associated with decreased risk of early but not decreased risk of late CV mortality in blacks; among whites, a haplotype tagged by 2667C (rs1800947) gave similar but nonsignificant findings. If confirmed, CRP genetic variants may be weakly associated with CV and non-CV mortality in older adults, particularly in self-identified blacks.
Keywords: African Americans; Aged; C-Reactive Protein; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cause of Death; Cohort Studies; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Haplotypes; Humans; Linear Models; Longevity; Male; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Proportional Hazards Models; United States

Evaluation of a method for fitting a semi-Markov process model in the presence of left-censored spells using the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Cai, Liming; Schenker, Nathaniel; Lubitz, James; Diehr, Paula; Arnold, Alice; Fried, Linda P (Stat Med, 2008)
We used a longitudinal data set covering 13 years from the Cardiovascular Health Study to evaluate the properties of a recently developed approach to deal with left censoring that fits a semi-Markov process (SMP) model by using an analog to the stochastic EM algorithm--the SMP-EM approach. It appears that the SMP-EM approach gives estimates of duration-dependent probabilities of health changes similar to those obtained by using SMP models that have the advantage of actual duration data. SMP-EM estimates of duration-dependent transition probabilities also appear more accurate and less variable than multi-state life table estimates.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cardiovascular System; Data Interpretation, Statistical; Disease Progression; Female; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Markov Chains; Models, Statistical; Stochastic Processes; Time Factors

Higher levels of inflammation factors and greater insulin resistance are independently associated with higher heart rate and lower heart rate variability in normoglycemic older individuals: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Stein, Phyllis K; Barzilay, Joshua I; Chaves, Paulo H M; Traber, Jennifer; Domitrovich, Peter P; Heckbert, Susan R; Gottdiener, John S (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2008)
OBJECTIVES: To explore the relationship between (1) insulin resistance and inflammation factors with (2) higher heart rate (HR) and lower heart rate variability (HRV) in normoglycemic older adults. DESIGN: Cross-sectional population-based study. PARTICIPANTS: Five hundred forty-five adults aged 65 and older with normoglycemia (fasting glucose <100 mg/dL) who participated in the Cardiovascular Health Study. MEASUREMENTS: Serum levels of three inflammation proteins (C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin 6 (IL-6), and fibrinogen); insulin resistance, quantified according to the homeostasis assessment model (HOMA-IR); HR; and four representative measures of HRV (the standard deviation of normal beat to beat intervals (SDNN), the root mean square of successive differences (rMSSD), very low frequency power (VLF), and the low- to high-frequency power ratio (LF/HF)) derived from 24-hour Holter recordings. RESULTS: High CRP and IL-6 levels were associated with higher HR and lower SDNN and VLF after adjustment for multiple covariates, including HOMA-IR and clinical cardiovascular disease. High IL-6 was also associated with lower LF/HF. Significant univariate inverse relationships between HOMA-IR and HR and HRV were also found, but the strengths of these relationships were attenuated after adjustment for inflammation factors. CONCLUSION: Increased levels of inflammation markers and HOMA-IR are associated with higher HR and lower HRV. These findings suggest that inflammation may contribute to the pathogenesis of cardiovascular autonomic decline in older adults.
Keywords: Aged; C-Reactive Protein; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cross-Sectional Studies; Electrocardiography, Ambulatory; Female; Fibrinogen; Heart Rate; Humans; Inflammation Mediators; Insulin Resistance; Interleukin-6; Male; Risk Factors

Insulin-like growth factors, their binding proteins, and prostate cancer risk: analysis of individual patient data from 12 prospective studies. - Roddam, Andrew W; Allen, Naomi E; Appleby, Paul; Key, Timothy J; Ferrucci, Luigi; Carter, H Ballentine; Metter, E Jeffrey; Chen, Chu; Weiss, Noel S; Fitzpatrick, Annette; Hsing, Ann W; Lacey, James V; et al. (Ann Intern Med, 2008)
BACKGROUND: Some, but not all, published results have shown an association between circulating blood levels of some insulin-like growth factors (IGFs) and their binding proteins (IGFBPs) and the subsequent risk for prostate cancer. PURPOSE: To assess the association between levels of IGFs and IGFBPs and the subsequent risk for prostate cancer. DATA SOURCES: Studies identified in PubMed, Web of Science, and CancerLit. STUDY SELECTION: The principal investigators of all studies that published data on circulating concentrations of sex steroids, IGFs, or IGFBPs and prostate cancer risk using prospectively collected blood samples were invited to collaborate. DATA EXTRACTION: Investigators provided individual participant data on circulating concentrations of IGF-I, IGF-II, IGFBP-II, and IGFBP-III and participant characteristics to a central data set in Oxford, United Kingdom. DATA SYNTHESIS: The study included data on 3700 men with prostate cancer and 5200 control participants. On average, case patients were 61.5 years of age at blood collection and received a diagnosis of prostate cancer 5 years after blood collection. The greater the serum IGF-I concentration, the greater the subsequent risk for prostate cancer (odds ratio [OR] in the highest vs. lowest quintile, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.19 to 1.60]; P < 0.001 for trend). Neither IGF-II nor IGFBP-II concentrations were associated with prostate cancer risk, but statistical power was limited. Insulin-like growth factor I and IGFBP-III were correlated (r = 0.58), and although IGFBP-III concentration seemed to be associated with prostate cancer risk, this was secondary to its association with IGF-I levels. Insulin-like growth factor I concentrations seemed to be more positively associated with low-grade than high-grade disease; otherwise, the association between IGFs and IGFBPs and prostate cancer risk had no statistically significant heterogeneity related to stage or grade of disease, time between blood collection and diagnosis, age and year of diagnosis, prostate-specific antigen level at recruitment, body mass index, smoking, or alcohol intake. LIMITATIONS: Insulin-like growth factor concentrations were measured in only 1 sample for each participant, and the laboratory methods to measure IGFs differed in each study. Not all patients had disease stage or grade information, and the diagnosis of prostate cancer may differ among the studies. CONCLUSION: High circulating IGF-I concentrations are associated with a moderately increased risk for prostate cancer.
Keywords: Aged; Humans; Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 2; Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein 3; Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Proteins; Insulin-Like Growth Factor I; Insulin-Like Growth Factor II; Male; Middle Aged; Prospective Studies; Prostatic Neoplasms; Risk Factors; Somatomedins

Left ventricular mass predicts heart failure not related to previous myocardial infarction: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - de Simone, Giovanni; Gottdiener, John S; Chinali, Marcello; Maurer, Mathew S (Eur Heart J, 2008)
AIMS: The relationship of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) to incident heart failure (HF) not attributable to myocardial infarction (MI) has not been defined. We assessed whether LVH is an independent predictor of MI-independent HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: LVH was assessed by echocardiographic LV mass index (in g/m2.7) and excess of LV mass (eLVM, in % of the observed value) relative to the amount predicted by sex, stroke work, and height, using a prognostically validated equation in 2078 participants of Cardiovascular Health Study without prevalent MI and normal systolic function. Increasing eLVM was associated with progressively increasing left atrial dimension and concentric geometry, decreasing systolic (P < 0.0001), and diastolic function (P < 0.04). After adjustment for age, sex, obesity, diabetes, hypertension, and antihypertensive therapy, and accounting for by incident MI, hazard of HF increased by 1% for each 1% increase in eLVM and by 3% for each g/m2.7 increase in LV mass index (both P < 0.0001). The results were confirmed when also C-reactive protein and measures of systolic (endocardial shortening) and diastolic function (categories of E/A ratio) were added to the Cox models. CONCLUSION: In an elderly population, LVH, measured as LV mass index or eLVM is an independent predictor of incident HF not related to prevalent or incident MI.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Diabetic Angiopathies; Echocardiography; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Hypertension; Hypertrophy, Left Ventricular; Male; Myocardial Infarction; Obesity; Risk Factors

Left ventricular morphology and systolic function in sleep-disordered breathing: the Sleep Heart Health Study. - Chami, Hassan A; Devereux, Richard B; Gottdiener, John S; Mehra, Reena; Roman, Mary J; Benjamin, Emelia J; Gottlieb, Daniel J (Circulation, 2008)
BACKGROUND: Whether sleep-disordered breathing (SDB) is a risk factor for left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy and dysfunction is controversial. We assessed the relation of SDB to LV morphology and systolic function in a community-based sample of middle-aged and older adults. METHODS AND RESULTS: The present study was a cross-sectional observational study of 2058 Sleep Heart Health Study participants (mean age 65+/-12 years; 58% women; 44% ethnic minorities) who had technically adequate echocardiograms. A polysomnographically derived apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) and hypoxemia index (percent of sleep time with oxyhemoglobin saturation < 90%) were used to quantify SDB severity. LV mass index was significantly associated with both AHI and hypoxemia index after adjustment for age, sex, ethnicity, study site, body mass index, current and prior smoking, alcohol consumption, systolic blood pressure, antihypertensive medication use, diabetes mellitus, and prevalent myocardial infarction. Adjusted LV mass index was 41.3 (SD 9.90) g/m(2.7) in participants with AHI < 5 (n=957) and 44.1 (SD 9.90) g/m(2.7) in participants with AHI > or = 30 (n=84) events per hour. Compared with participants with AHI < 5, those with AHI > or = 30 had an adjusted odds ratio of 1.78 (95% confidence interval 1.14 to 2.79) for LV hypertrophy. A higher AHI and higher hypoxemia index were also associated with larger LV diastolic dimension and lower LV ejection fraction, with a trend toward lower LV fractional shortening. LV wall thickness was significantly associated with the hypoxemia index but not with AHI. Left atrial diameter was not associated with either SDB measure. CONCLUSIONS: In a community-based cohort, SDB is associated with echocardiographic evidence of increased LV mass and reduced LV systolic function.
Keywords: Aged; Echocardiography; Female; Humans; Hypertrophy, Left Ventricular; Hypoxia; Male; Middle Aged; Odds Ratio; Sleep Apnea Syndromes; Systole; Ventricular Dysfunction, Left

Metabolic syndrome, endothelial dysfunction, and risk of cardiovascular events: the Northern Manhattan Study (NOMAS). - Suzuki, Takeki; Hirata, Kumiko; Elkind, Mitchell S V; Jin, Zhezhen; Rundek, Tanja; Miyake, Yumiko; Boden-Albala, Bernadette; Di Tullio, Marco R; Sacco, Ralph; Homma, Shunichi (Am Heart J, 2008)
BACKGROUND: Metabolic syndrome (MetS) predisposes to cardiovascular disease. Endothelial dysfunction is thought to be an important factor in the pathogenesis of atherosclerosis. We tested the hypothesis that both MetS and endothelial dysfunction are vascular risk factors and provide additive prognostic values in predicting cardiovascular events in a multiethnic community sample. METHODS: The study population consisted of 819 subjects (467 female, mean age 66.5 +/- 8.8 years, 66% Hispanic) enrolled in the NOMAS. Metabolic syndrome was defined using the revised Adult Treatment Panel III criteria. Brachial artery flow-mediated dilation (FMD) was measured using high-resolution ultrasound. Endothelial dysfunction was defined as FMD <8.44% (lower 3 quartiles). Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the effect of MetS and endothelial dysfunction on risk of cardiovascular events. RESULTS: During 81 +/- 21 months of follow-up, events occurred in 84 subjects. Metabolic syndrome was independently associated with cardiovascular events in a multivariate model, including cardiovascular risk factors (adjusted hazard ratio 2.08, 95% CI 1.27-3.40). Subjects with both MetS and endothelial dysfunction were at higher risk for cardiovascular events than those with either one of them alone (adjusted hazard ratio 2.60, 95% CI 1.14-5.92). CONCLUSIONS: Metabolic syndrome is associated with incident cardiovascular events. Combined use of MetS and FMD identifies those who are at higher risk of cardiovascular events. Metabolic syndrome and noninvasive FMD testing can be used concurrently for cardiovascular risk prediction.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Brachial Artery; Endothelium, Vascular; Female; Humans; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Male; Metabolic Syndrome; Middle Aged; Prognosis; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Stroke; Vascular Diseases

No advantage of A beta 42-lowering NSAIDs for prevention of Alzheimer dementia in six pooled cohort studies. - Szekely, C A; Green, R C; Breitner, J C S; Østbye, T; Beiser, A S; Corrada, M M; Dodge, H H; Ganguli, M; Kawas, C H; Kuller, L H; Psaty, B M; Resnick, S M; et al. (Neurology, 2008)
INTRODUCTION: Observational studies show reduced incidence of Alzheimer dementia (AD) in users of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs). One hypothesis holds that the subset of NSAIDs known as selective A beta(42)-lowering agents (SALAs) is responsible for this apparent reduction in AD risk. METHODS: We pooled individual-level data from six prospective studies to obtain a sufficient sample to examine AD risk in users of SALA vs non-SALA NSAIDs. RESULTS: Of 13,499 initially dementia-free participants (70,863 person-years), 820 developed incident AD. Users of NSAIDs (29.6%) showed reduced risk of AD (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.77, 95% CI 0.65-0.91). The point estimates were similar for SALAs (aHR 0.87, CI 0.72-1.04) and non-SALAs (aHR 0.75, CI 0.56-1.01). Because 573 NSAID users (14.5%) reported taking both a SALA and non-SALA, we examined their use alone and in combination. Resulting aHRs were 0.82 (CI 0.67-0.99) for SALA only, 0.60 (CI 0.40-0.90) for non-SALA only, and 0.87 (CI 0.57-1.33) for both NSAIDs (Wald test for differences, p = 0.32). The 40.7% of participants who used aspirin also showed reduced risk of AD, even when they used no other NSAIDs (aHR 0.78, CI 0.66-0.92). By contrast, there was no association with use of acetaminophen (aHR 0.93, CI 0.76-1.13). CONCLUSIONS: In this pooled dataset, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) use reduced the risk of Alzheimer dementia (AD). However, there was no apparent advantage in AD risk reduction for the subset of NSAIDs shown to selectively lower A beta(42), suggesting that all conventional NSAIDs including aspirin have a similar protective effect in humans.
Keywords: Acetaminophen; Adolescent; Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Amyloid beta-Peptides; Analgesics, Non-Narcotic; Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal; Aspirin; Cohort Studies; Female; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Neuroprotective Agents; Peptide Fragments; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors

Novel measures of heart rate variability predict cardiovascular mortality in older adults independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors: the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). - Stein, Phyllis K; Barzilay, Joshua I; Chaves, Paulo H M; Mistretta, Stephanie Q; Domitrovich, Peter P; Gottdiener, John S; Rich, Michael W; Kleiger, Robert E (J Cardiovasc Electrophysiol, 2008)
UNLABELLED: Novel HRV Predicts CV Mortality in the Elderly. BACKGROUND: It is unknown whether abnormal heart rate turbulence (HRT) and abnormal fractal properties of heart rate variability identify older adults at increased risk of cardiovascular death (CVdth). METHODS: Data from 1,172 community-dwelling adults, ages 72 +/- 5 (65-93) years, who participated in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a study of risk factors for CV disease in people >or=65 years. HRT and the short-term fractal scaling exponent (DFA1) derived from 24-hour Holter recordings. HRT categorized as: normal (turbulence slope [TS] and turbulence onset [TO] normal) or abnormal (TS and/or TO abnormal). DFA1 categorized as low (<or=1) or high (>1). Cox regression analyses stratified by Framingham Risk Score (FRS) strata (low = <10, mid = 10-20, and high >20) and adjusted for prevalent clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes, and quartiles of ventricular premature beat counts (VPCs). RESULTS: CVdths (N = 172) occurred over a median follow-up of 12.3 years. Within each FRS stratum, low DFA1 + abnormal HRT predicted risk of CVdth (RR = 7.7 for low FRS; 3.6, mid FRS; 2.8, high FRS). Among high FRS stratum participants, low DFA1 alone also predicted CVdth (RR = 2.0). VPCs in the highest quartile predicted CVdth, but only in the high FRS group. Clinical CV disease predicted CVdth at each FRS stratum (RR = 2.9, low; 2.6, mid; and 1.9, high). Diabetes predicted CVdth in the highest FRS group only (RR = 2.2). CONCLUSIONS: The combination of low DFA1 + abnormal HRT is a strong risk factor for CVdth among older adults even after adjustment for conventional CVD risk measures and the presence of CVD.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Arrhythmias, Cardiac; Death, Sudden, Cardiac; Electrocardiography, Ambulatory; Female; Heart Rate; Humans; Male; Maryland; Reproducibility of Results; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Sensitivity and Specificity; Survival Analysis; Survival Rate

Plasma amyloid levels and the risk of AD in normal subjects in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Lopez, O L; Kuller, L H; Mehta, P D; Becker, J T; Gach, H M; Sweet, R A; Chang, Y F; Tracy, R; DeKosky, S T (Neurology, 2008)
OBJECTIVES: To examine the association between incident Alzheimer disease (AD), and plasma A beta 1-40 and A beta 1-42 levels in normal and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) subjects in a subgroup of participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study Cognition Study. METHODS: We determined the plasma A beta 1-40 and A beta 1-42 levels of 274 nondemented subjects (232 normals and 42 with MCI) in 1998-1999 and repeated the measurements in 2002-2003. The mean age of the subjects at baseline was 79.3 +/- 3.6 years. We examined the association between A beta levels and incident AD over the ensuing 4.5 years, controlling for age, cystatin C level (marker of glomerular function), apolipoprotein E-4 allele, Modified-Mini-Mental State Examination scores, and MRI-identified infarcts. RESULTS: In an unadjusted prospective model in normal subjects, both A beta 1-40 and A beta 1-42 levels in 1998-1999 were associated with incident AD (n = 55) in 2002-2003 (longitudinal analysis). In the fully adjusted multivariate model, neither A beta 1-42 nor A beta 1-40 nor their ratio was associated with incident AD. However, adjustment had a very small effect on point estimates for A beta 1-42, from an odds ratio (OR) of 1.61 (p = 0.007) in the unadjusted model to an OR of 1.46 (p = 0.08) in the fully adjusted model. In 2002-2003 (cross-sectional analysis), only the unadjusted models showed that both peptides were associated with AD. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma A beta levels are affected by age and by systemic and CNS vascular risk factors. After controlling for these conditions, A beta-40 and A beta 1-42 are weak predictors of conversion to Alzheimer disease (AD) in normal subjects and are only weakly associated with AD in cross-sectional analysis. Consequently, plasma levels of A beta do not seem to be useful biomarkers for AD.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Amyloid beta-Peptides; Apolipoprotein E4; Biomarkers; Brain; Cerebrovascular Disorders; Comorbidity; Cross-Sectional Studies; Cystatin C; Cystatins; Female; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Models, Statistical; Neuropsychological Tests; Peptide Fragments; Predictive Value of Tests; Prospective Studies; Reference Values; Risk Factors

Polymorphisms of the HNF1A gene encoding hepatocyte nuclear factor-1 alpha are associated with C-reactive protein. - Reiner, Alexander P; Barber, Mathew J; Guan, Yongtao; Ridker, Paul M; Lange, Leslie A; Chasman, Daniel I; Walston, Jeremy D; Cooper, Gregory M; Jenny, Nancy S; Rieder, Mark J; Durda, J Peter; Smith, Joshua D; et al. (Am J Hum Genet, 2008)
Data from the Pharmacogenomics and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease (PARC) study and the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) provide independent and confirmatory evidence for association between common polymorphisms of the HNF1A gene encoding hepatocyte nuclear factor-1 alpha and plasma C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration. Analyses with the use of imputation-based methods to combine genotype data from both studies and to test untyped SNPs from the HapMap database identified several SNPs within a 5 kb region of HNF1A intron 1 with the strongest evidence of association with CRP phenotype.
Keywords: Aged; Bayes Theorem; C-Reactive Protein; Female; Hepatocyte Nuclear Factor 1-alpha; Humans; Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Pravastatin; Simvastatin

The relationship between exercise and risk of venous thrombosis in elderly people. - van Stralen, Karlijn J; Doggen, Carine J M; Lumley, Thomas; Cushman, Mary; Folsom, Aaron R; Psaty, Bruce M; Siscovick, David; Rosendaal, Frits R; Heckbert, Susan R (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2008)
OBJECTIVES: To study whether exercise is associated with the risk of venous thrombosis in elderly people. DESIGN: Observational study with a median follow-up of 11.6 years. SETTING: The Cardiovascular Health Study in four U.S. communities. PARTICIPANTS: People aged 65 and older without prior venous thrombosis (deep venous thrombosis or pulmonary embolism). MEASUREMENTS: Self-reported exercise was measured two or three times during follow-up and was defined as expending more than 500 kcal/wk on exercise, including walking for exercise. Venous thrombosis cases were verified using medical record review. RESULTS: Of 5,534 participants, 171 developed a first venous thrombosis. Self-reported exercise at baseline was not related to the risk of venous thrombosis after adjustment for sex, age, race, self-reported health, and body mass index (adjusted hazard ratio (HR(adj))=1.16, 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.84-1.61), although with exercise modeled as a time-varying exposure, overall results were in the direction of greater risk of venous thrombosis (HR(adj)=1.38, 95% CI=0.99-1.91). For mild-intensity exercise, such as walking, there was a nonsignificant finding in the direction of benefit (HR(adj)=0.75, 95% CI=0.49-1.16), but strenuous exercise, such as jogging, was associated with greater risk of venous thrombosis (HR(adj)=1.75, 95% CI=1.08-2.83) than no exercise at all. CONCLUSION: In elderly people, strenuous exercise was associated with a higher risk of venous thrombosis than no exercise at all. Future studies are needed to explain this unexpected higher risk.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Case-Control Studies; Cohort Studies; Energy Metabolism; Exercise; Female; Humans; Male; Prevalence; Risk Factors; United States; Venous Thrombosis

Weight, mortality, years of healthy life, and active life expectancy in older adults. - Diehr, Paula; O'Meara, Ellen S; Fitzpatrick, Annette; Newman, Anne B; Kuller, Lewis; Burke, Gregory (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2008)
OBJECTIVES: To determine whether weight categories predict subsequent mortality and morbidity in older adults. DESIGN: Multistate life tables, using data from the Cardiovascular Health Study, a longitudinal population-based cohort of older adults. SETTING: Data were provided by community-dwelling seniors in four U.S. counties: Forsyth County, North Carolina; Sacramento County, California; Washington County, Maryland; and Allegheny County, Pennsylvania. PARTICIPANTS: Five thousand eight hundred eighty-eight adults aged 65 and older at baseline. MEASUREMENTS: The age- and sex-specific probabilities of transition from one health state to another and from one weight category to another were estimated. From these probabilities, future life expectancy, years of healthy life, active life expectancy, and the number of years spent in each weight and health category after age 65 were estimated. RESULTS: Women who are healthy and of normal weight at age 65 have a life expectancy of 22.1 years. Of that, they spend, on average, 9.6 years as overweight or obese and 5.3 years in fair or poor health. For both men and women, being underweight at age 65 was associated with worse outcomes than being normal weight, whereas being overweight or obese was rarely associated with worse outcomes than being normal weight and was sometimes associated with significantly better outcomes. CONCLUSION: Similar to middle-aged populations, older adults are likely to be or to become overweight or obese, but higher weight is not associated with worse health in this age group. Thus, the number of older adults at a "healthy" weight may be much higher than currently believed.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Body Mass Index; Body Weight; Female; Health Status Indicators; Humans; Life Expectancy; Life Style; Male; Prognosis; Risk Factors; Sex Factors; Survival Rate; United States

Association of chronic kidney disease with the spectrum of ankle brachial index the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study). - Ix, Joachim H; Katz, Ronit; de Boer, Ian H; Kestenbaum, Brian R; Allison, Matthew A; Siscovick, David S; Newman, Anne B; Sarnak, Mark J; Shlipak, Michael G; Criqui, Michael H (J Am Coll Cardiol, 2009)
OBJECTIVES: This study sought to determine the association of chronic kidney disease (CKD) with high ankle brachial index (ABI) measurement and to compare its strength with that of CKD with a low ABI. BACKGROUND: CKD is an important risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) events. A high ABI, a marker of lower extremity arterial stiffness, is associated with CVD events and mortality. The association between CKD and high ABI is unknown. METHODS: The CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study) enrolled community-living people >65 years of age and measured kidney function and ABI. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was estimated using equations that incorporated either cystatin C or creatinine, and CKD was defined by estimated GFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m(2). The ABI was categorized as low (<0.90), low-normal (0.90 to 1.09), normal (1.10 to 1.40), and high (>1.40 or incompressible). Multinomial logistic regression was used to evaluate the associations of CKD with ABI categories. RESULTS: Among 4,513 participants, 23% had CKD, 13% had a low ABI, and 3% had a high ABI. In models adjusted for age, sex, race, hypertension, diabetes, smoking, body mass index, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and C-reactive protein, cystatin C-based CKD was associated with both low ABI (relative risk [RR]: 2.0; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.6 to 2.5; p <0.001) and high ABI (RR: 1.6; 95% CI: 1.0 to 2.3; p = 0.03). Results were similar when CKD was defined by creatinine. CONCLUSIONS: CKD is associated with both the high and the low extremes of ABI in community-living older people. Future studies should evaluate whether arterial stiffness is an important mechanism leading to CVD in people with CKD.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Ankle Brachial Index; C-Reactive Protein; Cardiovascular Diseases; Chronic Disease; Cohort Studies; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Kidney Diseases; Lipids; Male; Risk Factors

Association of genetic variation in serum amyloid-A with cardiovascular disease and interactions with IL6, IL1RN, IL1beta and TNF genes in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Carty, Cara L; Heagerty, Patrick; Heckbert, Susan R; Enquobahrie, Daniel A; Jarvik, Gail P; Davis, Scott; Tracy, Russell P; Reiner, Alexander P (J Atheroscler Thromb, 2009)
AIM: Since inflammation is an important contributor to atherosclerosis, gene variants mediating inflammation are of interest. We investigated gene variants in acute phase serum amyloid-A (SAA), a sensitive indicator of inflammatory activity, and their associations with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and HDL cholesterol. Interaction of the SAA genes with genetic variants of their regulators, IL-1, IL-6 and TNF-alpha in influencing CVD was also explored. METHODS: SNPs characterizing common variation in the SAA1 and SAA2 genes were genotyped in European-(EA) and African-American (AA) participants (n=3969 and n=719) of the Cardiovascular Health Study. Using linear and Cox proportional hazards regression, we assessed associations of SNPs with baseline carotid artery intima-media thickness (cIMT) and risk of incident myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, total CVD events or mortality during 14 years of follow-up. RESULTS: No associations between SAA SNPs and outcomes were observed in EA, with the exception of total CVD events; each rs4638289 minor allele was associated with an increased risk in obese individuals, HR=1.2 (95%CI: 0.981.4; p=0.086) and decreased risk among non-obese, HR=0.9 (95%CI: 0.80.99; p=0.026). In AA, we observed modest associations between SAA SNPs and cIMT, potentially modified by HDL. SAA SNPs were also associated with lower HDL in EA and AA. Suggestive gene-gene interaction findings for cIMT in AA and CVD mortality in EA were not significant in subsequent model selection tests. CONCLUSION: Associations of SAA SNPs with cIMT, HDL and total CVD events were identified, unadjusted for multiple testing. These findings should be regarded as hypothesis-generating until confirmed by other studies.
Keywords: Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cholesterol, HDL; Cytokines; Female; Gene Regulatory Networks; Humans; Inflammation Mediators; Interleukin 1 Receptor Antagonist Protein; Interleukin-1beta; Interleukin-6; Male; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Proportional Hazards Models; Serum Amyloid A Protein; Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha; Tunica Intima

Association of novel genetic Loci with circulating fibrinogen levels: a genome-wide association study in 6 population-based cohorts. - Dehghan, Abbas; Yang, Qiong; Peters, Annette; Basu, Saonli; Bis, Joshua C; Rudnicka, Alicja R; Kavousi, Maryam; Chen, Ming-Huei; Baumert, Jens; Lowe, Gordon D O; McKnight, Barbara; Tang, Weihong; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2009)
BACKGROUND: Fibrinogen is both central to blood coagulation and an acute-phase reactant. We aimed to identify common variants influencing circulation fibrinogen levels. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted a genome-wide association analysis on 6 population-based studies, the Rotterdam Study, the Framingham Heart Study, the Cardiovascular Health Study, the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, the Monitoring of Trends and Determinants in Cardiovascular Disease/KORA Augsburg Study, and the British 1958 Birth Cohort Study, including 22 096 participants of European ancestry. Four loci were marked by 1 or more single-nucleotide polymorphisms that demonstrated genome-wide significance (P<5.0 x 10(-8)). These included a single-nucleotide polymorphism located in the fibrinogen beta chain (FGB) gene and 3 single-nucleotide polymorphisms representing newly identified loci. The high-signal single-nucleotide polymorphisms were rs1800789 in exon 7 of FGB (P=1.8 x 10(-30)), rs2522056 downstream from the interferon regulatory factor 1 (IRF1) gene (P=1.3 x 10(-15)), rs511154 within intron 1 of the propionyl coenzyme A carboxylase (PCCB) gene (P=5.9 x 10(-10)), and rs1539019 on the NLR family pyrin domain containing 3 isoforms (NLRP3) gene (P=1.04 x 10(-8)). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings highlight biological pathways that may be important in regulation of inflammation underlying cardiovascular disease.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Fibrinogen; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Pedigree; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Young Adult

Common variants at ten loci influence QT interval duration in the QTGEN Study. - Newton-Cheh, Christopher; Eijgelsheim, Mark; Rice, Kenneth M; de Bakker, Paul I W; Yin, Xiaoyan; Estrada, Karol; Bis, Joshua C; Marciante, Kristin; Rivadeneira, Fernando; Noseworthy, Peter A; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Smith, Nicholas L; et al. (Nat Genet, 2009)
QT interval duration, reflecting myocardial repolarization on the electrocardiogram, is a heritable risk factor for sudden cardiac death and drug-induced arrhythmias. We conducted a meta-analysis of three genome-wide association studies in 13,685 individuals of European ancestry from the Framingham Heart Study, the Rotterdam Study and the Cardiovascular Health Study, as part of the QTGEN consortium. We observed associations at P < 5 x 10(-8) with variants in NOS1AP, KCNQ1, KCNE1, KCNH2 and SCN5A, known to be involved in myocardial repolarization and mendelian long-QT syndromes. Associations were found at five newly identified loci, including 16q21 near NDRG4 and GINS3, 6q22 near PLN, 1p36 near RNF207, 16p13 near LITAF and 17q12 near LIG3 and RFFL. Collectively, the 14 independent variants at these 10 loci explain 5.4-6.5% of the variation in QT interval. These results, together with an accompanying paper, offer insights into myocardial repolarization and suggest candidate genes that could predispose to sudden cardiac death and drug-induced arrhythmias.
Keywords: Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing; Adult; Aged; Arrhythmias, Cardiac; Chromosome Mapping; Death, Sudden, Cardiac; Electroencephalography; ERG1 Potassium Channel; Ether-A-Go-Go Potassium Channels; European Continental Ancestry Group; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genetic Variation; Genome, Human; Humans; KCNQ1 Potassium Channel; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Muscle Proteins; NAV1.5 Voltage-Gated Sodium Channel; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Potassium Channels, Voltage-Gated; Risk Factors; Sodium Channels

C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, and prostate cancer risk in men aged 65 years and older. - Pierce, Brandon L; Biggs, Mary L; DeCambre, Marvalyn; Reiner, Alexander P; Li, Christopher; Fitzpatrick, Annette; Carlson, Christopher S; Stanford, Janet L; Austin, Melissa A (Cancer Causes Control, 2009)
Inflammation is believed to play a role in prostate cancer (PCa) etiology, but it is unclear whether inflammatory markers C-reactive protein (CRP) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) associate with PCa risk in older men. Using Cox regression, we assessed the relationship between baseline concentrations of CRP and IL-6 and the subsequent PCa risk in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a population-based cohort study of mostly European American men of ages >64 years (n = 2,234; mean follow-up = 8.7 years; 215 incident PCa cases). We also tested associations between CRP and IL-6 tagSNPs and PCa risk, focusing on SNPs that are known to associate with circulating CRP and/or IL-6. Neither CRP nor IL-6 blood concentrations was associated with PCa risk. The C allele of IL-6 SNP rs1800795 (-174), a known functional variant, was associated with increased risk in a dominant model (HR = 1.44; 95% CI = 1.03-2.01; p = 0.03), but was not statistically significant after accounting for multiple tests (permutation p = 0.21). Our results suggest that circulating CRP and IL-6 do not influence PCa risk. SNPs at the CRP locus are not associated with PCa risk in this cohort, while the association between rs1800795 and PCa risk warrants further investigation.
Keywords: African Americans; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Biomarkers; C-Reactive Protein; European Continental Ancestry Group; Humans; Inflammation; Interleukin-6; Male; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Prospective Studies; Prostatic Neoplasms; Risk Factors

Cystatin C, albuminuria, and mortality among older adults with diabetes. - de Boer, Ian H; Katz, Ronit; Cao, Jie J; Fried, Linda F; Kestenbaum, Bryan; Mukamal, Ken; Rifkin, Dena E; Sarnak, Mark J; Shlipak, Michael G; Siscovick, David S (Diabetes Care, 2009)
OBJECTIVE: Albuminuria and impaired glomerular filtration rate (GFR) are each associated with poor health outcomes among individuals with diabetes. Joint associations of albuminuria and impaired GFR with mortality have not been comprehensively evaluated in this population. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This is a cohort study among Cardiovascular Health Study participants with diabetes, mean age 78 years. GFR was estimated using serum cystatin C and serum creatinine. Albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) was measured in single-voided urine samples. RESULTS: Of 691 participants, 378 died over 10 years of follow-up. Cystatin C-estimated GFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m(2), creatinine-based estimated GFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m(2), and urine ACR > or =30 mg/g were each associated with increased mortality risk with hazard ratios of 1.73 (95% CI 1.37-2.18), 1.54 (1.21-1.97), and 1.73 (1.39-2.17), respectively, adjusting for age, sex, race, diabetes duration, hypoglycemic medications, hypertension, BMI, smoking, cholesterol, lipid-lowering medications, prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD), and prevalent heart failure. Cystatin C-estimated GFR and urine ACR were additive in terms of mortality risk. Cystatin C-estimated GFR predicted mortality more strongly than creatinine-based estimated GFR. CONCLUSIONS: Albuminuria and impaired GFR were independent, additive risk factors for mortality among older adults with diabetes. These findings support current recommendations to regularly assess both albuminuria and GFR in the clinical care of patients with diabetes; a focus on interventions to prevent or treat CVD in the presence of albuminuria, impaired GFR, or both; and further consideration of cystatin C use in clinical care.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Albuminuria; Creatinine; Cystatin C; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Kidney Function Tests; Male; Risk Factors

Depressed mood is not a risk factor for incident dementia in a community-based cohort. - Becker, James T; Chang, Yue-Fang; Lopez, Oscar L; Dew, Mary Amanda; Sweet, Robert A; Barnes, Deborah; Yaffe, Kristine; Young, Jeffrey; Kuller, Lewis; Reynolds, Charles F (Am J Geriatr Psychiatry, 2009)
OBJECTIVES: To determine the relationship between depressed mood and the development of Alzheimer disease in cognitively normal individuals. DESIGN: Longitudinal and observational. SETTING: Community-based cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 288 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study-Cognition Study (mean age: 77.52, SD =3.65, range: 70-89). All of the participants were adjudicated as cognitively normal in 1998/1999, and all had at least three visits before 1998/1999 with measures of cognition and mood state. The mean length of follow-up from 1998-1999 to 2007 was 7.1 years (range: 1-9 years, median =9 years). MEASUREMENTS: The Center for Epidemiological Studies-Depression Scale (CESD) was used to index mood state, and the Modified Mini-Mental State Examination (3MSE) was the index of cognitive function among participants before 1998/1999. These measures were considered in two ways: participants were classified according to: 1) whether they showed a high-negative correlation between their CESD and 3MSE scores (i.e., indicating that greater depression was linked to poorer cognition) and 2) whether they showed persistently elevated CESD scores. The study outcome, development of dementia (N = 48), was based on consensus classifications, which was based on detailed neuropsychological and neurological exams. RESULTS: The authors could find no consistent relationship between mood state, either alone or in relation to cognitive status, and the subsequent development of dementia. Those individuals whose cognitive functions were highly correlated with their mood state were no more likely to develop dementia than other participants. Those who had persistently depressed mood were also no more likely to develop dementia than those without persistently depressed mood. CONCLUSION: Within the confines of this prospective, community-based study of elderly adults, the authors could not find strong evidence to support the hypothesis that mood disturbance was linked with the development of dementia.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Cognition Disorders; Dementia; Depression; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Mental Status Schedule; Prospective Studies; Psychiatric Status Rating Scales; Residence Characteristics; Risk Factors

External validity of the cardiovascular health study: a comparison with the Medicare population. - DiMartino, Lisa D; Hammill, Bradley G; Curtis, Lesley H; Gottdiener, John S; Manolio, Teri A; Powe, Neil R; Schulman, Kevin A (Med Care, 2009)
BACKGROUND: The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a population-based prospective cohort study, has been used to identify major risk factors associated with cardiovascular disease and stroke in the elderly. OBJECTIVE: To assess the external validity of the CHS. RESEARCH DESIGN: Comparison of the CHS cohort to a national cohort of Medicare beneficiaries and to Medicare beneficiaries residing in the CHS geographic regions. SUBJECTS: CHS participants and a 5% sample of Medicare beneficiaries. MEASURES: Demographic and administrative characteristics, comorbid conditions, resource use, and mortality. RESULTS: Compared with both Medicare cohorts, the CHS cohort was older and included more men and African American participants. CHS participants were more likely to be enrolled in Medicare managed care than beneficiaries in the national Medicare cohort. Compared with the Medicare cohorts, mortality in the CHS was more than 40% lower at 1 year, approximately 25% lower at 5 years, and approximately 15% lower at 10 years. There were minimal differences in comorbid conditions and health care resource use. CONCLUSION: The CHS cohort is comparable with the Medicare population, particularly with regard to comorbid conditions and resource use, but had lower mortality. The difference in mortality may reflect the CHS recruitment strategy or volunteer bias. These findings suggest it may not be appropriate to project absolute rates of disease and outcomes based on CHS data to the entire Medicare population. However, there is no reason to expect that the relative risks associated with physiologic processes identified by CHS data would differ for nonparticipants.
Keywords: Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Comorbidity; Female; Humans; Male; Medicare; Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic; Reproducibility of Results; Socioeconomic Factors; United States

Gene variants associated with ischemic stroke: the cardiovascular health study. - Luke, May M; O'Meara, Ellen S; Rowland, Charles M; Shiffman, Dov; Bare, Lance A; Arellano, Andre R; Longstreth, W T; Lumley, Thomas; Rice, Kenneth; Tracy, Russell P; Devlin, James J; Psaty, Bruce M (Stroke, 2009)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to determine whether 74 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), which had been associated with coronary heart disease, are associated with incident ischemic stroke. METHODS: Based on antecedent studies of coronary heart disease, we prespecified the risk allele for each of the 74 SNPs. We used Cox proportional hazards models that adjusted for traditional risk factors to estimate the associations of these SNPs with incident ischemic stroke during 14 years of follow-up in a population-based study of older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). RESULTS: In white CHS participants, the prespecified risk alleles of 7 of the 74 SNPs (in HPS1, ITGAE, ABCG2, MYH15, FSTL4, CALM1, and BAT2) were nominally associated with increased risk of stroke (one-sided P<0.05, false discovery rate=0.42). In black participants, the prespecified risk alleles of 5 SNPs (in KRT4, LY6G5B, EDG1, DMXL2, and ABCG2) were nominally associated with stroke (one-sided P<0.05, false discovery rate=0.55). The Val12Met SNP in ABCG2 was associated with stroke in both white (hazard ratio, 1.46; 90% CI, 1.05 to 2.03) and black (hazard ratio, 3.59; 90% CI, 1.11 to 11.6) participants of CHS. Kaplan-Meier estimates of the 10-year cumulative incidence of stroke were greater among Val allele homozygotes than among Met allele carriers in both white (10% versus 6%) and black (12% versus 3%) participants of CHS. CONCLUSIONS: The Val12Met SNP in ABCG2 (encoding a transporter of sterols and xenobiotics) was associated with incident ischemic stroke in white and black participants of CHS.
Keywords: African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; Alleles; Brain Ischemia; Cardiovascular Diseases; Coronary Disease; Ethnic Groups; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Gene Frequency; Genetic Variation; Humans; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Male; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Stroke; United States

Genetic variants associated with cardiac structure and function: a meta-analysis and replication of genome-wide association data. - Vasan, Ramachandran S; Glazer, Nicole L; Felix, Janine F; Lieb, Wolfgang; Wild, Philipp S; Felix, Stephan B; Watzinger, Norbert; Larson, Martin G; Smith, Nicholas L; Dehghan, Abbas; Grosshennig, Anika; Schillert, Arne; et al. (JAMA, 2009)
CONTEXT: Echocardiographic measures of left ventricular (LV) structure and function are heritable phenotypes of cardiovascular disease. OBJECTIVE: To identify common genetic variants associated with cardiac structure and function by conducting a meta-analysis of genome-wide association data in 5 population-based cohort studies (stage 1) with replication (stage 2) in 2 other community-based samples. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Within each of 5 community-based cohorts comprising the EchoGen consortium (stage 1; n = 12 612 individuals of European ancestry; 55% women, aged 26-95 years; examinations between 1978-2008), we estimated the association between approximately 2.5 million single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs; imputed to the HapMap CEU panel) and echocardiographic traits. In stage 2, SNPs significantly associated with traits in stage 1 were tested for association in 2 other cohorts (n = 4094 people of European ancestry). Using a prespecified P value threshold of 5 x 10(-7) to indicate genome-wide significance, we performed an inverse variance-weighted fixed-effects meta-analysis of genome-wide association data from each cohort. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Echocardiographic traits: LV mass, internal dimensions, wall thickness, systolic dysfunction, aortic root, and left atrial size. RESULTS: In stage 1, 16 genetic loci were associated with 5 echocardiographic traits: 1 each with LV internal dimensions and systolic dysfunction, 3 each with LV mass and wall thickness, and 8 with aortic root size. In stage 2, 5 loci replicated (6q22 locus associated with LV diastolic dimensions, explaining <1% of trait variance; 5q23, 12p12, 12q14, and 17p13 associated with aortic root size, explaining 1%-3% of trait variance). CONCLUSIONS: We identified 5 genetic loci harboring common variants that were associated with variation in LV diastolic dimensions and aortic root size, but such findings explained a very small proportion of variance. Further studies are required to replicate these findings, identify the causal variants at or near these loci, characterize their functional significance, and determine whether they are related to overt cardiovascular disease.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aorta; Cardiovascular Diseases; Echocardiography; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Heart Atria; Heart Ventricles; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Organ Size; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk Factors; Ventricular Dysfunction, Left; Ventricular Function, Left

Genetic variations in nitric oxide synthase 1 adaptor protein are associated with sudden cardiac death in US white community-based populations. - Kao, W H Linda; Arking, Dan E; Post, Wendy; Rea, Thomas D; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Prineas, Ronald J; Bishe, Bryan; Doan, Betty Q; Boerwinkle, Eric; Psaty, Bruce M; Tomaselli, Gordon F; Coresh, Josef; et al. (Circulation, 2009)
BACKGROUND: The ECG QT interval is associated with risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD). A previous genome-wide association study demonstrated that allelic variants (rs10494366 and rs4657139) in the nitric oxide synthase 1 adaptor protein (NOS1AP), which encodes a carboxy-terminal PDZ ligand of neuronal nitric oxide synthase, are associated with the QT interval in white adults. The present analysis was conducted to validate the association between NOS1AP variants and the QT interval and to examine the association with SCD in a combined population of 19 295 black and white adults from the Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities Study and the Cardiovascular Health Study. METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined 19 tagging single-nucleotide polymorphisms in the genomic blocks containing rs10494366 and rs4657139 in NOS1AP. SCD was defined as a sudden pulseless condition of cardiac origin in a previously stable individual. General linear models and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used. Multiple single-nucleotide polymorphisms in NOS1AP, including rs10494366, rs4657139, and rs16847548, were significantly associated with adjusted QT interval in whites (P<0.0001). In whites, after adjustment for age, sex, and study, the relative hazard of SCD associated with each C allele at rs16847548 was 1.31 (95% confidence interval 1.10 to 1.56, P=0.002), assuming an additive model. In addition, a downstream neighboring single-nucleotide polymorphism, rs12567209, which was not correlated with rs16847548 or QT interval, was also independently associated with SCD in whites (relative hazard 0.57, 95% confidence interval 0.39 to 0.83, P=0.003). Adjustment for QT interval and coronary heart disease risk factors attenuated but did not eliminate the association between rs16847548 and SCD, and such adjustment had no effect on the association between rs12567209 and SCD. No significant associations between tagging single-nucleotide polymorphisms in NOS1AP and either QT interval or SCD were observed in blacks. CONCLUSIONS: In a combined analysis of 2 population-based prospective cohort studies, sequence variations in NOS1AP were associated with baseline QT interval and the risk of SCD in white US adults.
Keywords: Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing; Aged; Death, Sudden, Cardiac; Electrocardiography; European Continental Ancestry Group; Genotype; Humans; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk Factors

Genomewide association studies of stroke. - Ikram, M Arfan; Seshadri, Sudha; Bis, Joshua C; Fornage, Myriam; DeStefano, Anita L; Aulchenko, Yurii S; Debette, Stephanie; Lumley, Thomas; Folsom, Aaron R; van den Herik, Evita G; Bos, Michiel J; Beiser, Alexa; et al. (N Engl J Med, 2009)
BACKGROUND: The genes underlying the risk of stroke in the general population remain undetermined. METHODS: We carried out an analysis of genomewide association data generated from four large cohorts composing the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology consortium, including 19,602 white persons (mean [+/-SD] age, 63+/-8 years) in whom 1544 incident strokes (1164 ischemic strokes) developed over an average follow-up of 11 years. We tested the markers most strongly associated with stroke in a replication cohort of 2430 black persons with 215 incident strokes (191 ischemic strokes), another cohort of 574 black persons with 85 incident strokes (68 ischemic strokes), and 652 Dutch persons with ischemic stroke and 3613 unaffected persons. RESULTS: Two intergenic single-nucleotide polymorphisms on chromosome 12p13 and within 11 kb of the gene NINJ2 were associated with stroke (P<5x10(-8)). NINJ2 encodes an adhesion molecule expressed in glia and shows increased expression after nerve injury. Direct genotyping showed that rs12425791 was associated with an increased risk of total (i.e., all types) and ischemic stroke, with hazard ratios of 1.30 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.19 to 1.42) and 1.33 (95% CI, 1.21 to 1.47), respectively, yielding population attributable risks of 11% and 12% in the discovery cohorts. Corresponding hazard ratios were 1.35 (95% CI, 1.01 to 1.79; P=0.04) and 1.42 (95% CI, 1.06 to 1.91; P=0.02) in the large cohort of black persons and 1.17 (95% CI, 1.01 to 1.37; P=0.03) and 1.19 (95% CI, 1.01 to 1.41; P=0.04) in the Dutch sample; the results of an underpowered analysis of the smaller black cohort were nonsignificant. CONCLUSIONS: A genetic locus on chromosome 12p13 is associated with an increased risk of stroke.
Keywords: African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; Chromosomes, Human, Pair 12; Cohort Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Markers; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors; Stroke

Genome-wide association study of blood pressure and hypertension. - Levy, Daniel; Ehret, Georg B; Rice, Kenneth; Verwoert, Germaine C; Launer, Lenore J; Dehghan, Abbas; Glazer, Nicole L; Morrison, Alanna C; Johnson, Andrew D; Aspelund, Thor; Aulchenko, Yurii; Lumley, Thomas; et al. (Nat Genet, 2009)
Blood pressure is a major cardiovascular disease risk factor. To date, few variants associated with interindividual blood pressure variation have been identified and replicated. Here we report results of a genome-wide association study of systolic (SBP) and diastolic (DBP) blood pressure and hypertension in the CHARGE Consortium (n = 29,136), identifying 13 SNPs for SBP, 20 for DBP and 10 for hypertension at P < 4 × 10(-7). The top ten loci for SBP and DBP were incorporated into a risk score; mean BP and prevalence of hypertension increased in relation to the number of risk alleles carried. When ten CHARGE SNPs for each trait were included in a joint meta-analysis with the Global BPgen Consortium (n = 34,433), four CHARGE loci attained genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10(-8)) for SBP (ATP2B1, CYP17A1, PLEKHA7, SH2B3), six for DBP (ATP2B1, CACNB2, CSK-ULK3, SH2B3, TBX3-TBX5, ULK4) and one for hypertension (ATP2B1). Identifying genes associated with blood pressure advances our understanding of blood pressure regulation and highlights potential drug targets for the prevention or treatment of hypertension.
Keywords: Blood Pressure; Cell Line; Chromosome Mapping; Chromosomes, Human; Diastole; Gene Expression Regulation; Genetic Association Studies; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Hypertension; Liver; Lymphocytes; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Odds Ratio; Phenotype; Prevalence; Risk Assessment; Systole

Heart rate variability and its changes over 5 years in older adults. - Stein, Phyllis K; Barzilay, Joshua I; Chaves, Paulo H M; Domitrovich, Peter P; Gottdiener, John S (Age Ageing, 2009)
PURPOSE: to characterise the association between age, ageing and heart rate variability (HRV) in older individuals, 585 adults age >65 years with two 24-h Holter recordings in the Cardiovascular Health Study were studied. METHODS: heart rate (HR), ventricular premature contractions (VPCs), atrial premature contractions (APCs), frequency-domain, ratio-based and non-linear HRV and heart rate turbulence (HRT) were examined cross-sectionally by 5-year age groups and prospectively over 5 years. Analyses adjusted for gender, lower versus elevated cardiovascular (CV) risk and for the change in CV risk. RESULTS: HR declined, and VPCs and APCs increased per 5-year increase in age. Frequency-domain HRV decreased more at 65-69, less at 70-74 and minimally at > or =75 years, independent of CVD risk or change in CVD risk. Ratio and non-linear HRV continued to decline to > or =75 years old. Ratio HRV and HRT slope were more strongly related to CVD risk than frequency-domain HRV. CONCLUSIONS: cardiac autonomic function, assessed by frequency-domain HRV, declines most at 65-70 and levels off at age >75. The decline is independent of CVD risk or change in CVD risk. Ratio-based and non-linear HRV and HRT slope continued to change with increasing age and were more closely related to CVD risk than frequency-domain HRV.
Keywords: Age Distribution; Aged; Aging; Atrial Premature Complexes; Autonomic Nervous System; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cross-Sectional Studies; Electrocardiography, Ambulatory; Female; Heart Rate; Humans; Hypertension; Male; Nonlinear Dynamics; Prevalence; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Ventricular Premature Complexes

Imaging cerebral blood flow in the cognitively normal aging brain with arterial spin labeling: implications for imaging of neurodegenerative disease. - Lee, Charles; Lopez, Oscar L; Becker, James T; Raji, Cyrus; Dai, Weiying; Kuller, Lewis H; Gach, H Michael (J Neuroimaging, 2009)
INTRODUCTION: Arterial spin labeling (ASL) is a safe, noninvasive imaging method for evaluating cerebral blood flow (rCBF). The purpose of this article is to present ASL imaging features of 38 elderly cognitively normals (CN) with their rCBF values and an averaged profile of targeted anatomic regions rCBF values. METHODS: Thirty-eight CN underwent MR imaging especially ASL with voxel morphometric techniques fusing the MR anatomical and ASL images to a standard reference brain (colin27). The ASL images were fused to echo planar images, which were then coregistered to high-resolution anatomical SPGR images. rCBF was calculated per region of interest using a modified continuous arterial spin labeling (CASL) convolutional method. Anatomical regions were selected and identified by the Talairach atlas in SPM2. RESULTS: We identified areas of decreased and increased perfusion (compared to the averaged rCBF of all 38 CN) corresponding to decreased and increased quantified rCBF. The most common sites for decreased perfusion were precuneus (53%), superior temporal (48%), and orbitofrontal (37%), and for increased perfusion the caudate (39%), posterior cingulate (34%), anterior cingulate (32%), and amygdala (32%). CONCLUSION: There are regional variations in rCBF both increased and decreased with the posterior cingulate and precuneus cortex showing the highest averaged values and signal intensity (bright spots). These variations represent the normal profile of a CN elderly brain, with higher perfusion in areas associated with cognition, memory, and behavior. It is necessary to understand these normal variations in order to determine if there are perfusion changes in ASL detected in neurodegenerative disorders such as Alzheimer's disease.
Keywords: Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Brain; Brain Mapping; Cerebrovascular Circulation; Female; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Neurodegenerative Diseases; Signal Processing, Computer-Assisted; Spin Labels

Joint modeling of self-rated health and changes in physical functioning. - Hubbard, Rebecca A; Inoue, Lurdes Y T; Diehr, Paula (J Am Stat Assoc, 2009)
Self-rated health is an important indicator of future morbidity and mortality. Past research has indicated that self-rated health is related to both levels of and changes in physical functioning. However, no previous study has jointly modeled longitudinal functional status and self-rated health trajectories. We propose a joint model for self-rated health and physical functioning that describes the relationship between perceptions of health and the rate of change of physical functioning or disability. Our joint model uses a non-homogeneous Markov process for discrete physical functioning states and connects this to a logistic regression model for "healthy" versus "unhealthy" self-rated health through parameters of the physical functioning model. We use simulation studies to establish finite sample properties of our estimators and show that this model is robust to misspecification of the functional form of the relationship between self-rated health and rate of change of physical functioning. We also show that our joint model performs better than an empirical model based on observed changes in functional status. We apply our joint model to data from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a large, multi-center, longitudinal study of older adults. Our analysis indicates that self-rated health is associated both with level of functioning as indicated by difficulty with activities of daily living (ADL) and instrumental activities of daily living (IADL), and the risk of increasing difficulty with ADLs and IADLs.

Lifestyle risk factors and new-onset diabetes mellitus in older adults: the cardiovascular health study. - Mozaffarian, Dariush; Kamineni, Aruna; Carnethon, Mercedes; Djoussé, Luc; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Siscovick, David (Arch Intern Med, 2009)
BACKGROUND: The combined impact of lifestyle factors on incidence of diabetes mellitus later in life is not well established. The objective of this study was to determine how lifestyle factors, assessed in combination, relate to new-onset diabetes in a broad and relatively unselected population of older adults. METHODS: We prospectively examined associations of lifestyle factors, measured using repeated assessments later in life, with incident diabetes mellitus during a 10-year period (1989-1998) among 4883 men and women 65 years or older (mean [SD] age at baseline, 73 [6] years) enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Low-risk lifestyle groups were defined by physical activity level (leisure-time activity and walking pace) above the median; dietary score (higher fiber intake and polyunsaturated to saturated fat ratio, lower trans-fat intake and lower mean glycemic index) in the top 2 quintiles; never smoked or former smoker more than 20 years ago or for fewer than 5 pack-years; alcohol use (predominantly light or moderate); body mass index less than 25 (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared); and waist circumference of 88 cm for women or 92 cm for men. The main outcome measure was incident diabetes defined annually by new use of insulin or oral hypoglycemic medications. We also evaluated fasting and 2-hour postchallenge glucose levels. RESULTS: During 34,539 person-years, 337 new cases of drug-treated diabetes mellitus occurred (9.8 per 1000 person-years). After adjustment for age, sex, race, educational level, and annual income, each lifestyle factor was independently associated with incident diabetes. Overall, the rate of incident diabetes was 35% lower (relative risk, 0.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.59-0.71) for each 1 additional lifestyle factor in the low-risk group. Participants whose physical activity level and dietary, smoking, and alcohol habits were all in the low-risk group had an 82% lower incidence of diabetes (relative risk, 0.18; 95% confidence interval, 0.06-0.56) compared with all other participants. When absence of adiposity (either body mass index <25 or waist circumference < or =88/92 cm for women/men) was added to the other 4 low-risk lifestyle factors, incidence of diabetes was 89% lower (relative risk, 0.11; 95% confidence interval, 0.01-0.76). Overall, 9 of 10 new cases of diabetes appeared to be attributable to these 5 lifestyle factors. Associations were slightly attenuated, but still highly significant, for incident diabetes defined by medication use or glucose level. CONCLUSION: Even later in life, combined lifestyle factors are associated with a markedly lower incidence of new-onset diabetes mellitus.
Keywords: Age of Onset; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Female; Humans; Incidence; Life Style; Male; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (U.S.); Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; United States

Lipoprotein(a) concentration and the risk of coronary heart disease, stroke, and nonvascular mortality. - Erqou, Sebhat; Kaptoge, Stephen; Perry, Philip L; Di Angelantonio, Emanuele; Thompson, Alexander; White, Ian R; Marcovina, Santica M; Collins, Rory; Thompson, Simon G; Danesh, John (JAMA, 2009)
CONTEXT: Circulating concentration of lipoprotein(a) (Lp[a]), a large glycoprotein attached to a low-density lipoprotein-like particle, may be associated with risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke. OBJECTIVE: To assess the relationship of Lp(a) concentration with risk of major vascular and nonvascular outcomes. STUDY SELECTION: Long-term prospective studies that recorded Lp(a) concentration and subsequent major vascular morbidity and/or cause-specific mortality published between January 1970 and March 2009 were identified through electronic searches of MEDLINE and other databases, manual searches of reference lists, and discussion with collaborators. DATA EXTRACTION: Individual records were provided for each of 126,634 participants in 36 prospective studies. During 1.3 million person-years of follow-up, 22,076 first-ever fatal or nonfatal vascular disease outcomes or nonvascular deaths were recorded, including 9336 CHD outcomes, 1903 ischemic strokes, 338 hemorrhagic strokes, 751 unclassified strokes, 1091 other vascular deaths, 8114 nonvascular deaths, and 242 deaths of unknown cause. Within-study regression analyses were adjusted for within-person variation and combined using meta-analysis. Analyses excluded participants with known preexisting CHD or stroke at baseline. DATA SYNTHESIS: Lipoprotein(a) concentration was weakly correlated with several conventional vascular risk factors and it was highly consistent within individuals over several years. Associations of Lp(a) with CHD risk were broadly continuous in shape. In the 24 cohort studies, the rates of CHD in the top and bottom thirds of baseline Lp(a) distributions, respectively, were 5.6 (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.4-5.9) per 1000 person-years and 4.4 (95% CI, 4.2-4.6) per 1000 person-years. The risk ratio for CHD, adjusted for age and sex only, was 1.16 (95% CI, 1.11-1.22) per 3.5-fold higher usual Lp(a) concentration (ie, per 1 SD), and it was 1.13 (95% CI, 1.09-1.18) following further adjustment for lipids and other conventional risk factors. The corresponding adjusted risk ratios were 1.10 (95% CI, 1.02-1.18) for ischemic stroke, 1.01 (95% CI, 0.98-1.05) for the aggregate of nonvascular mortality, 1.00 (95% CI, 0.97-1.04) for cancer deaths, and 1.00 (95% CI, 0.95-1.06) for nonvascular deaths other than cancer. CONCLUSION: Under a wide range of circumstances, there are continuous, independent, and modest associations of Lp(a) concentration with risk of CHD and stroke that appear exclusive to vascular outcomes.
Keywords: Cause of Death; Coronary Disease; Humans; Lipoprotein(a); Risk Factors; Stroke

Longitudinal Data with Follow-up Truncated by Death: Match the Analysis Method to Research Aims. - Kurland, Brenda F; Johnson, Laura L; Egleston, Brian L; Diehr, Paula H (Stat Sci, 2009)
Diverse analysis approaches have been proposed to distinguish data missing due to death from nonresponse, and to summarize trajectories of longitudinal data truncated by death. We demonstrate how these analysis approaches arise from factorizations of the distribution of longitudinal data and survival information. Models are illustrated using cognitive functioning data for older adults. For unconditional models, deaths do not occur, deaths are independent of the longitudinal response, or the unconditional longitudinal response is averaged over the survival distribution. Unconditional models, such as random effects models fit to unbalanced data, may implicitly impute data beyond the time of death. Fully conditional models stratify the longitudinal response trajectory by time of death. Fully conditional models are effective for describing individual trajectories, in terms of either aging (age, or years from baseline) or dying (years from death). Causal models (principal stratification) as currently applied are fully conditional models, since group differences at one timepoint are described for a cohort that will survive past a later timepoint. Partly conditional models summarize the longitudinal response in the dynamic cohort of survivors. Partly conditional models are serial cross-sectional snapshots of the response, reflecting the average response in survivors at a given timepoint rather than individual trajectories. Joint models of survival and longitudinal response describe the evolving health status of the entire cohort. Researchers using longitudinal data should consider which method of accommodating deaths is consistent with research aims, and use analysis methods accordingly.

Long-term function in an older cohort--the cardiovascular health study all stars study. - Newman, Anne B; Arnold, Alice M; Sachs, Michael C; Ives, Diane G; Cushman, Mary; Strotmeyer, Elsa S; Ding, Jingzhong; Kritchevsky, Stephen B; Chaves, Paulo H M; Fried, Linda P; Robbins, John (J Am Geriatr Soc, 2009)
OBJECTIVES: To evaluate shared and unique risk factors for maintaining physical and cognitive function into the ninth decade and beyond. DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study. SETTING: Four U.S. communities. PARTICIPANTS: One thousand six hundred seventy-seven participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study All Stars Study, assessed in 2005/06. Median age was 85 (range 77-102), 66.5% were women, and 16.6% were black. MEASUREMENTS: Intact function was defined as no difficulty with any activities of daily living and a score of 80 or higher on the Modified Mini-Mental State Examination. Baseline characteristics assessed in 1992/93 included demographics, behavioral health factors, chronic disease history, subclinical disease markers, cardiovascular risk factors, and inflammatory markers. Multinomial logistic regression was used to compare risk for physical disability, cognitive impairment,and combined impairments with no functional impairment. RESULTS: Of the 1,677 participants evaluated in both domains, 891 (53%) were functionally intact. Continuous measures of function, including the Digit Symbol Substitution Test and gait speed, showed that all groups, including the most functional, had declined over time. The functional group had less decline but also tended to have higher starting values. Functional individuals had a higher baseline health profile than those with either or cognitive impairment or both impairments combined. Women and individuals with greater weight had higher rates of physical impairment but not cognitive impairment. Risk factors common to both types of impairment included cardiovascular disease and hypertension. CONCLUSION: Intact function was found in only approximately half of these older adults in the ninth decade and beyond. High baseline function and low vascular disease risk characterized functional aging.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Attention; Cardiovascular Diseases; Chronic Disease; Cohort Studies; Comorbidity; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Gait; Geriatric Assessment; Hand Strength; Health Surveys; Humans; Male; Memory, Short-Term; Mental Status Schedule; Proportional Hazards Models; Psychometrics; Risk Factors; United States

Meta-analysis: retinal vessel caliber and risk for coronary heart disease. - McGeechan, Kevin; Liew, Gerald; Macaskill, Petra; Irwig, Les; Klein, Ronald; Klein, Barbara E K; Wang, Jie Jin; Mitchell, Paul; Vingerling, Johannes R; Dejong, Paulus T V M; Witteman, Jacqueline C M; Breteler, Monique M B; et al. (Ann Intern Med, 2009)
BACKGROUND: Retinal vessel caliber may be a novel marker of coronary heart disease (CHD) risk. However, the sex-specific effect, magnitude of association, and effect independent of traditional CHD disease risk factors remain unclear. PURPOSE: To determine the association between retinal vessel caliber and risk for CHD. DATA SOURCES: Relevant studies in any language identified through MEDLINE (1950 to June 2009) and EMBASE (1950 to June 2009) databases. STUDY SELECTION: Studies were included if they examined a general population, measured retinal vessel caliber from retinal photographs, and documented CHD risk factors and incident CHD events. DATA EXTRACTION: 6 population-based prospective cohort studies provided data for individual participant meta-analysis. DATA SYNTHESIS: Proportional hazards models, adjusted for traditional CHD risk factors, were constructed for retinal vessel caliber and incident CHD in women and men. Among 22,159 participants who were free of CHD and followed for 5 to 14 years, 2219 (10.0%) incident CHD events occurred. Retinal vessel caliber changes (wider venules and narrower arterioles) were each associated with an increased risk for CHD in women (pooled multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios, 1.16 [95% CI, 1.06 to 1.26] per 20-microm increase in venular caliber and 1.17 [CI, 1.07 to 1.28] per 20-microm decrease in arteriolar caliber) but not in men (1.02 [CI, 0.94 to 1.10] per 20-microm increase in venular caliber and 1.02 [CI, 0.95 to 1.10] per 20-microm decrease in arteriolar caliber). Women without hypertension or diabetes had higher hazard ratios. LIMITATION: Error in the measurement of retinal vessel caliber and Framingham variables was not taken into account. CONCLUSION: Retinal vessel caliber changes were independently associated with an increased risk for CHD events in women.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Arterioles; Biomarkers; Coronary Disease; Female; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Proportional Hazards Models; Retinal Vessels; Risk Factors; Sex Factors; Venules

Midlife and late-life obesity and the risk of dementia: cardiovascular health study. - Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Kuller, Lewis H; Lopez, Oscar L; Diehr, Paula; O'Meara, Ellen S; Longstreth, W T; Luchsinger, José A (Arch Neurol, 2009)
BACKGROUND: While high adiposity in middle age appears to be related to greater dementia risk, studies exploring this association in the elderly are conflicting. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate associations between midlife and late-life obesity and risk of dementia. DESIGN: Prospective study with mean follow-up of 5.4 years (1992-1994 through 1999). SETTING: Community-dwelling sample in 4 US sites recruited from Medicare eligibility files. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 2798 adults without dementia (mean age, 74.7 years; 59.1% women) participating in the Cardiovascular Health Study who underwent magnetic resonance imaging were measured for height and weight at baseline at age 65 years or older (late life), and self-reported weight at age 50 years (midlife). Body mass index (BMI) (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared) was calculated at both times. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Dementia, Alzheimer disease, and vascular dementia classified by a multidisciplinary committee using standardized criteria. RESULTS: Classification resulted in 480 persons with incident dementia, 245 with Alzheimer disease (no vascular dementia), and 213 with vascular dementia (with or without Alzheimer disease). In evaluations of midlife obesity, an increased risk of dementia was found for obese (BMI >30) vs normal-weight (BMI 20-25) persons, adjusted for demographics (hazard ratio [HR], 1.39; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-1.87) and for cardiovascular risk factors (1.36; 0.94-1.95). The risk estimates were reversed in assessments of late-life BMI. Underweight persons (BMI <20) had an increased risk of dementia (1.62; 1.02-2.64), whereas being overweight (BMI >25-30) was not associated (0.92; 0.72-1.18) and being obese reduced the risk of dementia (0.63; 0.44-0.91) compared with those with normal BMI. CONCLUSION: These results help explain the "obesity paradox" as differences in dementia risk across time are consistent with physical changes in the trajectory toward disability.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Alzheimer Disease; Anthropometry; Body Mass Index; Dementia, Vascular; Evaluation Studies as Topic; Female; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Middle Aged; Obesity; Prospective Studies; Risk; Survival Analysis

Mild cognitive impairment and alzheimer disease: patterns of altered cerebral blood flow at MR imaging. - Dai, Weiying; Lopez, Oscar L; Carmichael, Owen T; Becker, James T; Kuller, Lewis H; Gach, H Michael (Radiology, 2009)
PURPOSE: To examine regional cerebral blood flow (rCBF) in incident mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and Alzheimer disease (AD) by using continuous arterial spin-labeling (CASL) magnetic resonance (MR) imaging. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study was approved by the local institutional review board and was compliant with HIPAA regulations. Informed consent was obtained. rCBF was measured in 38 control subjects, 29 MCI patients, and 37 AD patients who were participating in a longitudinal epidemiologic study. Multisection CASL MR imaging with alternating single and double adiabatic inversion pulses and ramp-sampled echo-planar imaging were performed to acquire 19 contiguous axial sections. Voxel-level rCBF was compared among groups by using an analysis of variance design; clusters of voxels with significant group differences were identified. Multiple regression models controlled for age, sex, and presence of hypertension and related the mean rCBF in those clusters to the presence of MCI and AD. RESULTS: MCI and AD patients had decreased rCBF in the posterior cingulate gyrus (P = .01) with extension to the medial precuneus compared with that in control subjects. MCI patients had increased rCBF in the left hippocampus (P < .001), right amygdala (P = .007), and rostral head of the right caudate nucleus and ventral putamen and globus pallidus (P = .003) compared with that in control subjects. AD patients had decreased rCBF relative to that in control subjects and MCI patients in the left inferior parietal (P = .005), left lateral frontal (P < .001), left superior temporal (P = .001), and left orbitofrontal (P = .003) cortices. AD patients had increased rCBF in the right anterior cingulate gyrus (P = .02) compared with that in control subjects. CONCLUSION: The transition from normal cognition to AD is associated with dynamic pathologic processes in the brain, and this is reflected by both decreases and increases in rCBF. Increases in rCBF suggest a cellular and vascular compensatory process associated with incipient AD. SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL: http://radiology.rsnajnls.org/cgi/content/full/2503080751/DC1.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Brain; Cerebrovascular Circulation; Cognition Disorders; Female; Humans; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male

Multiple loci associated with indices of renal function and chronic kidney disease. - Köttgen, Anna; Glazer, Nicole L; Dehghan, Abbas; Hwang, Shih-Jen; Katz, Ronit; Li, Man; Yang, Qiong; Gudnason, Vilmundur; Launer, Lenore J; Harris, Tamara B; Smith, Albert V; Arking, Dan E; et al. (Nat Genet, 2009)
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) has a heritable component and is an important global public health problem because of its high prevalence and morbidity. We conducted genome-wide association studies (GWAS) to identify susceptibility loci for glomerular filtration rate, estimated by serum creatinine (eGFRcrea) and cystatin C (eGFRcys), and CKD (eGFRcrea < 60 ml/min/1.73 m(2)) in European-ancestry participants of four population-based cohorts (ARIC, CHS, FHS, RS; n = 19,877; 2,388 CKD cases), and tested for replication in 21,466 participants (1,932 CKD cases). We identified significant SNP associations (P < 5 × 10(-8)) with CKD at the UMOD locus, with eGFRcrea at UMOD, SHROOM3 and GATM-SPATA5L1, and with eGFRcys at CST and STC1. UMOD encodes the most common protein in human urine, Tamm-Horsfall protein, and rare mutations in UMOD cause mendelian forms of kidney disease. Our findings provide new insights into CKD pathogenesis and underscore the importance of common genetic variants influencing renal function and disease.
Keywords: Chromosome Mapping; Cohort Studies; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Kidney; Kidney Failure, Chronic; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Mucoproteins; Netherlands; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Prevalence; Uromodulin

Multiple loci influence erythrocyte phenotypes in the CHARGE Consortium. - Ganesh, Santhi K; Zakai, Neil A; van Rooij, Frank J A; Soranzo, Nicole; Smith, Albert V; Nalls, Michael A; Chen, Ming-Huei; Köttgen, Anna; Glazer, Nicole L; Dehghan, Abbas; Kuhnel, Brigitte; Aspelund, Thor; et al. (Nat Genet, 2009)
Measurements of erythrocytes within the blood are important clinical traits and can indicate various hematological disorders. We report here genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for six erythrocyte traits, including hemoglobin concentration (Hb), hematocrit (Hct), mean corpuscular volume (MCV), mean corpuscular hemoglobin (MCH), mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration (MCHC) and red blood cell count (RBC). We performed an initial GWAS in cohorts of the CHARGE Consortium totaling 24,167 individuals of European ancestry and replication in additional independent cohorts of the HaemGen Consortium totaling 9,456 individuals. We identified 23 loci significantly associated with these traits in a meta-analysis of the discovery and replication cohorts (combined P values ranging from 5 x 10(-8) to 7 x 10(-86)). Our findings include loci previously associated with these traits (HBS1L-MYB, HFE, TMPRSS6, TFR2, SPTA1) as well as new associations (EPO, TFRC, SH2B3 and 15 other loci). This study has identified new determinants of erythrocyte traits, offering insight into common variants underlying variation in erythrocyte measures.
Keywords: Blood Pressure; Cell Line; Cohort Studies; Endothelial Cells; Erythrocytes; Gene Expression; Genome, Human; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Hypertension; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Quantitative Trait Loci

NRXN3 is a novel locus for waist circumference: a genome-wide association study from the CHARGE Consortium. - Heard-Costa, Nancy L; Zillikens, M Carola; Monda, Keri L; Johansson, Asa; Harris, Tamara B; Fu, Mao; Haritunians, Talin; Feitosa, Mary F; Aspelund, Thor; Eiriksdottir, Gudny; Garcia, Melissa; Launer, Lenore J; et al. (PLoS Genet, 2009)
Central abdominal fat is a strong risk factor for diabetes and cardiovascular disease. To identify common variants influencing central abdominal fat, we conducted a two-stage genome-wide association analysis for waist circumference (WC). In total, three loci reached genome-wide significance. In stage 1, 31,373 individuals of Caucasian descent from eight cohort studies confirmed the role of FTO and MC4R and identified one novel locus associated with WC in the neurexin 3 gene [NRXN3 (rs10146997, p = 6.4x10(-7))]. The association with NRXN3 was confirmed in stage 2 by combining stage 1 results with those from 38,641 participants in the GIANT consortium (p = 0.009 in GIANT only, p = 5.3x10(-8) for combined analysis, n = 70,014). Mean WC increase per copy of the G allele was 0.0498 z-score units (0.65 cm). This SNP was also associated with body mass index (BMI) [p = 7.4x10(-6), 0.024 z-score units (0.10 kg/m(2)) per copy of the G allele] and the risk of obesity (odds ratio 1.13, 95% CI 1.07-1.19; p = 3.2x10(-5) per copy of the G allele). The NRXN3 gene has been previously implicated in addiction and reward behavior, lending further evidence that common forms of obesity may be a central nervous system-mediated disorder. Our findings establish that common variants in NRXN3 are associated with WC, BMI, and obesity.
Keywords: Aged; Body Mass Index; Cohort Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Nerve Tissue Proteins; Obesity; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Waist Circumference

N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide is a major predictor of the development of atrial fibrillation: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Patton, Kristen K; Ellinor, Patrick T; Heckbert, Susan R; Christenson, Robert H; DeFilippi, Christopher; Gottdiener, John S; Kronmal, Richard A (Circulation, 2009)
BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common cardiac rhythm abnormality, is associated with significant morbidity, mortality, and healthcare expenditures. Elevated B-type natriuretic peptide levels have been associated with the risk of heart failure, AF, and mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: The relation between N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and AF was studied in 5445 Cardiovascular Health Study participants with the use of relative risk regression for predicting prevalent AF and Cox proportional hazards for predicting incident AF. NT-proBNP levels were strongly associated with prevalent AF, with an unadjusted prevalence ratio of 128 for the highest quintile (95% confidence interval, 17.9 to 913.3; P<0.001) and adjusted prevalence ratio of 147 for the highest quintile (95% confidence interval, 20.4 to 1064.3; P<0.001) compared with the lowest. After a median follow-up of 10 years (maximum of 16 years), there were 1126 cases of incident AF (a rate of 2.2 per 100 person-years). NT-proBNP was highly predictive of incident AF, with an unadjusted hazard ratio of 5.2 (95% confidence interval, 4.3 to 6.4; P<0.001) for the development of AF for the highest quintile compared with the lowest; for the same contrast, NT-proBNP remained the strongest predictor of incident AF after adjustment for an extensive number of covariates, including age, sex, medication use, blood pressure, echocardiographic parameters, diabetes mellitus, and heart failure, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 4.0 (95% confidence interval, 3.2 to 5.0; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In a community-based population of older adults, NT-proBNP was a remarkable predictor of incident AF, independent of any other previously described risk factor.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Atrial Fibrillation; Female; Humans; Immunoassay; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain; Peptide Fragments; Predictive Value of Tests; Prevalence; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors

Obesity and change in estimated GFR among older adults. - de Boer, Ian H; Katz, Ronit; Fried, Linda F; Ix, Joachim H; Luchsinger, Jose; Sarnak, Mark J; Shlipak, Michael G; Siscovick, David S; Kestenbaum, Bryan (Am J Kidney Dis, 2009)
BACKGROUND: The prevalence of chronic kidney disease is growing most rapidly among older adults; however, determinants of impaired kidney function in this population are not well understood. Obesity assessed in midlife has been associated with chronic kidney disease. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 4,295 participants in the community-based Cardiovascular Health Study, aged >or= 65 years. PREDICTORS: Body mass index, waist circumference, and fat mass measured using bioelectrical impedance. OUTCOME: Change in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) during 7 years of follow-up. MEASUREMENTS: Longitudinal estimates of GFR calculated using the 4-variable Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) Study equation. RESULTS: Estimated GFR decreased by an average of 0.4 +/- 3.6 mL/min/1.73 m(2)/y, and rapid GFR loss (>3 mL/min/1.73 m(2)/y) occurred in 693 participants (16%). Baseline body mass index, waist circumference, and fat mass were each associated with increased risk of rapid GFR loss: ORs, 1.19 (95% CI, 1.09-1.30) per 5 kg/m(2), 1.25 (95% CI, 1.16-1.36) per 12 cm, and 1.14 (95% CI, 1.05-1.24) per 10 kg after adjustment for age, sex, race, and smoking. The magnitude of increased risk was larger for participants with estimated GFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) at baseline (P for interaction < 0.05). Associations were substantially attenuated by further adjustment for diabetes, hypertension, and C-reactive protein level. Obesity measurements were not associated with change in GFR estimated using serum cystatin C level. LIMITATIONS: Few participants with advanced chronic kidney disease at baseline, no direct GFR measurements. CONCLUSION: Obesity may be a modifiable risk factor for the development and progression of kidney disease in older adults.
Keywords: Aged; Aging; Body Composition; Body Mass Index; Chronic Disease; Cohort Studies; Creatinine; Cystatin C; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Kidney; Kidney Diseases; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Obesity; Risk Factors

Physical activity and rapid decline in kidney function among older adults. - Robinson-Cohen, Cassianne; Katz, Ronit; Mozaffarian, Dariush; Dalrymple, Lorien S; de Boer, Ian; Sarnak, Mark; Shlipak, Mike; Siscovick, David; Kestenbaum, Bryan (Arch Intern Med, 2009)
BACKGROUND: Habitual physical activity (PA) has both physiologic and metabolic effects that may moderate the risk of kidney function decline. We tested the hypothesis that higher levels of PA are associated with a lower risk of kidney function decline using longitudinal data from a large cohort of older adults. METHODS: We studied 4011 ambulatory participants aged 65 or older from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) who completed at least 2 measurements of kidney function over 7 years. We calculated a PA score (range, 2-8) by summing kilocalories expended per week (ordinal score of 1-5 from quintiles of kilocalories per week) and walking pace (ordinal score for categories of <2, 2-3, and >3 mph). Rapid decline in kidney function decline (RDKF) was defined by loss of more than 3.0 mL/min/1.73 m(2) per year in glomerular filtration rate, which we estimated by using longitudinal measurements of cystatin C levels. RESULTS: A total of 958 participants had RDKF (23.9%; 4.1 events per 100 person-years). The estimated risk of RDKF was 16% in the highest PA group (score of 8) and 30% in the lowest PA group (score of 2). After multivariate adjustment, we found that the 2 highest PA groups (scores of 7-8) were associated with a 28% lower risk of RDKF (95% confidence interval, 21%-41% lower risk) than the 2 lowest PA groups (score of 2-3). Greater kilocalories of leisure-time PA and walking pace were also each associated with a lower incidence of RDKF. CONCLUSION: Higher levels of PA are associated with a lower risk of RDKF among older adults.
Keywords: Aged; Cystatin C; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Kidney Function Tests; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Motor Activity; Renal Insufficiency; Time Factors

Prediction of incident stroke events based on retinal vessel caliber: a systematic review and individual-participant meta-analysis. - McGeechan, Kevin; Liew, Gerald; Macaskill, Petra; Irwig, Les; Klein, Ronald; Klein, Barbara E K; Wang, Jie Jin; Mitchell, Paul; Vingerling, Johannes R; de Jong, Paulus T V M; Witteman, Jacqueline C M; Breteler, Monique M B; et al. (Am J Epidemiol, 2009)
The caliber of the retinal vessels has been shown to be associated with stroke events. However, the consistency and magnitude of association, and the changes in predicted risk independent of traditional risk factors, are unclear. To determine the association between retinal vessel caliber and the risk of stroke events, the investigators combined individual data from 20,798 people, who were free of stroke at baseline, in 6 cohort studies identified from a search of the Medline (National Library of Medicine, Bethesda, Maryland) and EMBASE (Elsevier B.V., Amsterdam, the Netherlands) databases. During follow-up of 5-12 years, 945 (4.5%) incident stroke events were recorded. Wider retinal venular caliber predicted stroke (pooled hazard ratio = 1.15, 95% confidence interval: 1.05, 1.25 per 20-micron increase in caliber), but the caliber of retinal arterioles was not associated with stroke (pooled hazard ratio = 1.00, 95% confidence interval: 0.92, 1.08). There was weak evidence of heterogeneity in the hazard ratio for retinal venular caliber, which may be attributable to differences in follow-up strategies across studies. Inclusion of retinal venular caliber in prediction models containing traditional stroke risk factors reassigned 10.1% of people at intermediate risk into different, mostly lower, risk categories.
Keywords: Aged; Fluorescein Angiography; Humans; Middle Aged; Predictive Value of Tests; Proportional Hazards Models; Retinal Artery; Retinal Vein; Retinal Vessels; Risk Factors; Stroke

Systematically missing confounders in individual participant data meta-analysis of observational cohort studies. - Jackson, Dan; White, Ian; Kostis, J B; Wilson, A C; Folsom, A R; Wu, K; Chambless, L; Benderly, M; Goldbourt, U; Willeit, J; Kiechl, S; Yarnell, J W G; et al. (Stat Med, 2009)
One difficulty in performing meta-analyses of observational cohort studies is that the availability of confounders may vary between cohorts, so that some cohorts provide fully adjusted analyses while others only provide partially adjusted analyses. Commonly, analyses of the association between an exposure and disease either are restricted to cohorts with full confounder information, or use all cohorts but do not fully adjust for confounding. We propose using a bivariate random-effects meta-analysis model to use information from all available cohorts while still adjusting for all the potential confounders. Our method uses both the fully adjusted and the partially adjusted estimated effects in the cohorts with full confounder information, together with an estimate of their within-cohort correlation. The method is applied to estimate the association between fibrinogen level and coronary heart disease incidence using data from 154,012 participants in 31 cohorts
Keywords: Cohort Studies; Computer Simulation; Coronary Disease; Data Interpretation, Statistical; Female; Fibrinogen; Humans; Male; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Models, Statistical

Using telephone and informant assessments to estimate missing Modified Mini-Mental State Exam scores and rates of cognitive decline. The cardiovascular health study. - Arnold, Alice M; Newman, Anne B; Dermond, Norma; Haan, Mary; Fitzpatrick, Annette (Neuroepidemiology, 2009)
AIM: To estimate an equivalent to the Modified Mini-Mental State Exam (3MSE), and to compare changes in the 3MSE with and without the estimated scores. METHODS: Comparability study on a subset of 405 participants, aged >or=70 years, from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a longitudinal study in 4 United States communities. The 3MSE, the Telephone Interview for Cognitive Status (TICS) and the Informant Questionnaire on Cognitive Decline in the Elderly (IQCODE) were administered within 30 days of one another. Regression models were developed to predict the 3MSE score from the TICS and/or IQCODE, and the predicted values were used to estimate missing 3MSE scores in longitudinal follow-up of 4,274 CHS participants. RESULTS: The TICS explained 67% of the variability in 3MSE scores, with a correlation of 0.82 between predicted and observed scores. The IQCODE alone was not a good estimate of 3MSE score, but improved the model fit when added to the TICS model. Using estimated 3MSE scores classified more participants with low cognition, and rates of decline were greater than when only the observed 3MSE scores were considered. CONCLUSIONS: 3MSE scores can be reliably estimated from the TICS, with or without the IQCODE. Incorporating these estimates captured more cognitive decline in older adults.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cognition Disorders; Female; Humans; Interviews as Topic; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Predictive Value of Tests; Psychiatric Status Rating Scales; Regression Analysis; Risk Factors; ROC Curve; United States

Variants in ZFHX3 are associated with atrial fibrillation in individuals of European ancestry. - Benjamin, Emelia J; Rice, Kenneth M; Arking, Dan E; Pfeufer, Arne; van Noord, Charlotte; Smith, Albert V; Schnabel, Renate B; Bis, Joshua C; Boerwinkle, Eric; Sinner, Moritz F; Dehghan, Abbas; Lubitz, Steven A; et al. (Nat Genet, 2009)
We conducted meta-analyses of genome-wide association studies for atrial fibrillation (AF) in participants from five community-based cohorts. Meta-analyses of 896 prevalent (15,768 referents) and 2,517 incident (21,337 referents) AF cases identified a new locus for AF (ZFHX3, rs2106261, risk ratio RR = 1.19; P = 2.3 x 10(-7)). We replicated this association in an independent cohort from the German AF Network (odds ratio = 1.44; P = 1.6 x 10(-11); combined RR = 1.25; combined P = 1.8 x 10(-15)).
Keywords: Atrial Fibrillation; Chromosomes, Human, Pair 16; European Continental Ancestry Group; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Homeodomain Proteins; Humans; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Mutation; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Reproducibility of Results

Albuminuria, impaired kidney function and cardiovascular outcomes or mortality in the elderly. - Rifkin, Dena E; Katz, Ronit; Chonchol, Michel; Fried, Linda F; Cao, Jie; de Boer, Ian H; Siscovick, David S; Shlipak, Michael G; Sarnak, Mark J (Nephrol Dial Transplant, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Kidney disease is a risk factor for mortality and cardiovascular disease in older adults, but the separate and combined effects of albuminuria and cystatin C, a novel marker of glomerular filtration, are not known. METHODS: We examined associations of these markers with mortality and cardiovascular outcomes during a median follow-up of 8.3 years in 3291 older adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Kidney disease was assessed using urinary albumin/creatinine ratio (ACR), cystatin C and Modification of Diet in Renal Disease estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). We defined subgroups based on presence of microalbuminuria (MA, ACR > 30 mg/g) and categories of normal kidney function (cystatin C < 1.0 mg/L and eGFR > 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2)); preclinical kidney disease (cystatin C level > 1.0 mg/l but eGFR > 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2)); and chronic kidney disease (CKD) (eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2)). Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine associations between these six subgroups and all-cause or cardiovascular mortality, myocardial infarction and heart failure. RESULTS: One thousand one hundred fifty (34.9%) had normal kidney function (12.2% with MA), 1518 (46.1%) had preclinical kidney disease (17.9% with MA) and 622 (18.9%) had CKD (47% with MA). After adjustment, the presence of either preclinical kidney disease or MA was associated with an over 50% increase in mortality risk; the presence of both was associated with a 2.4-fold mortality risk. Those with CKD and MA were at highest risk, with a nearly 4-fold mortality risk. CONCLUSION: Elevated cystatin C and albuminuria are common, identify different subsets of the older population, and are independent, graded risk factors for cardiovascular disease and mortality.
Keywords: Aged; Albuminuria; Cardiovascular Diseases; Creatinine; Cystatin C; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Heart Failure; Humans; Male; Myocardial Infarction; Risk Factors

Alcohol consumption and kidney function decline in the elderly: alcohol and kidney disease. - Menon, Vandana; Katz, Ronit; Mukamal, Kenneth; Kestenbaum, Bryan; de Boer, Ian H; Siscovick, David S; Sarnak, Mark J; Shlipak, Michael G (Nephrol Dial Transplant, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Alcohol consumption appears to be protective for cardiovascular disease; however, its relationship with kidney disease is unclear. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 4343 subjects from the Cardiovascular Health Study, a longitudinal, community-based cohort of persons aged ≥65 from four US communities. We used previously defined categories based on weekly alcohol consumption: none, former, <1 drink, 1-6 drinks, 7-13 drinks and ≥14 drinks. Cystatin C was measured at baseline, year 3 and year 7; eligible subjects had at least two measures. Estimated GFR(cys) was calculated from cystatin C. The primary outcome was rapid kidney function as an annual estimated GFR (eGFR(cys)) loss >3 mL/min/1.73 m(2)/year. RESULTS: Eight percent of the cohort reported former alcohol use and 52% reported current alcohol consumption. During a mean follow-up of 5.6 years, 1075 (25%) participants had rapid kidney function decline. In adjusted logistic regression models, there was no association between alcohol use and kidney function decline (odds ratio, 95% confidence interval: none = reference; former = 1.18, 0.89-1.56; <1 drink = 1.20, 0.99-1.47; 1-6 = 1.18, 0.95-1.45; 7-13 = 1.10, 0.80-1.53; >14 = 0.89, 0.61-1.13). Results were similar with kidney function decline as a continuous outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that moderate alcohol consumption has neither adverse nor beneficial effects on kidney function. Although clinicians will need to consider the potential deleterious effects associated with alcohol consumption, there does not appear to be a basis for recommending that older adults discontinue or initiate light to moderate alcohol consumption to protect against kidney disease.
Keywords: Aged; Aging; Alcohol Drinking; Cohort Studies; Cystatin C; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Kidney; Kidney Diseases; Male; Prospective Studies

Association analyses of 249,796 individuals reveal 18 new loci associated with body mass index. - Speliotes, Elizabeth K; Willer, Cristen J; Berndt, Sonja I; Monda, Keri L; Thorleifsson, Gudmar; Jackson, Anne U; Lango Allen, Hana; Lindgren, Cecilia M; Luan, Jian'an; Mägi, Reedik; Randall, Joshua C; Vedantam, Sailaja; et al. (Nat Genet, 2010)
Obesity is globally prevalent and highly heritable, but its underlying genetic factors remain largely elusive. To identify genetic loci for obesity susceptibility, we examined associations between body mass index and ∼ 2.8 million SNPs in up to 123,865 individuals with targeted follow up of 42 SNPs in up to 125,931 additional individuals. We confirmed 14 known obesity susceptibility loci and identified 18 new loci associated with body mass index (P < 5 × 10⁻⁸), one of which includes a copy number variant near GPRC5B. Some loci (at MC4R, POMC, SH2B1 and BDNF) map near key hypothalamic regulators of energy balance, and one of these loci is near GIPR, an incretin receptor. Furthermore, genes in other newly associated loci may provide new insights into human body weight regulation.
Keywords: Body Height; Body Mass Index; Body Size; Body Weight; Chromosome Mapping; European Continental Ancestry Group; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Obesity; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Association between adiposity in midlife and older age and risk of diabetes in older adults. - Biggs, Mary L; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Luchsinger, José A; Ix, Joachim H; Carnethon, Mercedes R; Newman, Anne B; de Boer, Ian H; Strotmeyer, Elsa S; Mozaffarian, Dariush; Siscovick, David S (JAMA, 2010)
CONTEXT: Adiposity is a well-recognized risk factor for type 2 diabetes among young and middle-aged adults, but the relationship between body composition and type 2 diabetes is not well described among older adults. OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationship between adiposity, changes in adiposity, and risk of incident type 2 diabetes in adults 65 years of age and older. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective cohort study (1989-2007) of 4193 men and women 65 years of age and older in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Measures of adiposity were derived from anthropometry and bioelectrical impedance data at baseline and anthropometry repeated 3 years later. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incident diabetes was ascertained based on use of antidiabetic medication or a fasting glucose level of 126 mg/dL or greater. RESULTS: Over median follow-up of 12.4 years (range, 0.9-17.8 years), 339 cases of incident diabetes were ascertained (7.1/1000 person-years). The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval [CI]) of type 2 diabetes for participants in the highest quintile of baseline measures compared with those in the lowest was 4.3 (95% CI, 2.9-6.5) for body mass index (BMI [calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared]), 3.0 (95% CI, 2.0-4.3) for BMI at 50 years of age, 4.2 (95% CI, 2.8-6.4) for weight, 4.0 (95% CI, 2.6-6.0) for fat mass, 4.2 (95% CI, 2.8-6.2) for waist circumference, 2.4 (95% CI, 1.6-3.5) for waist-hip ratio, and 3.8 (95% CI, 2.6-5.5) for waist-height ratio. However, when stratified by age, participants 75 years of age and older had HRs approximately half as large as those 65 to 74 years of age. Compared with weight-stable participants (+/-2 kg), those who gained the most weight from 50 years of age to baseline (> or = 9 kg), and from baseline to the third follow-up visit (> or = 6 kg), had HRs for type 2 diabetes of 2.8 (95% CI, 1.9-4.3) and 2.0 (95% CI, 1.1-3.7), respectively. Participants with a greater than 10-cm increase in waist size from baseline to the third follow-up visit had an HR of type 2 diabetes of 1.7 (95% CI, 1.1-2.8) compared with those who gained or lost 2 cm or less. CONCLUSION: Among older adults, overall and central adiposity, and weight gain during middle age and after the age of 65 years are associated with risk of diabetes.
Keywords: Adiposity; Age Factors; Aged; Body Mass Index; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Female; Humans; Incidence; Male; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; United States; Weight Gain

Association of genome-wide variation with the risk of incident heart failure in adults of European and African ancestry: a prospective meta-analysis from the cohorts for heart and aging research in genomic epidemiology (CHARGE) consortium. - Smith, Nicholas L; Felix, Janine F; Morrison, Alanna C; Demissie, Serkalem; Glazer, Nicole L; Loehr, Laura R; Cupples, L Adrienne; Dehghan, Abbas; Lumley, Thomas; Rosamond, Wayne D; Lieb, Wolfgang; Rivadeneira, Fernando; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Although genetic factors contribute to the onset of heart failure (HF), no large-scale genome-wide investigation of HF risk has been published to date. We have investigated the association of 2,478,304 single-nucleotide polymorphisms with incident HF by meta-analyzing data from 4 community-based prospective cohorts: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, the Cardiovascular Health Study, the Framingham Heart Study, and the Rotterdam Study. METHODS AND RESULTS: Eligible participants for these analyses were of European or African ancestry and free of clinical HF at baseline. Each study independently conducted genome-wide scans and imputed data to the approximately 2.5 million single-nucleotide polymorphisms in HapMap. Within each study, Cox proportional hazards regression models provided age- and sex-adjusted estimates of the association between each variant and time to incident HF. Fixed-effect meta-analyses combined results for each single-nucleotide polymorphism from the 4 cohorts to produce an overall association estimate and P value. A genome-wide significance P value threshold was set a priori at 5.0x10(-7). During a mean follow-up of 11.5 years, 2526 incident HF events (12%) occurred in 20 926 European-ancestry participants. The meta-analysis identified a genome-wide significant locus at chromosomal position 15q22 (1.4x10(-8)), which was 58.8 kb from USP3. Among 2895 African-ancestry participants, 466 incident HF events (16%) occurred during a mean follow-up of 13.7 years. One genome-wide significant locus was identified at 12q14 (6.7x10(-8)), which was 6.3 kb from LRIG3. CONCLUSIONS: We identified 2 loci that were associated with incident HF and exceeded genome-wide significance. The findings merit replication in other community-based settings of incident HF.
Keywords: African Americans; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cohort Studies; Endopeptidases; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Heart Failure; Humans; Incidence; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk; Ubiquitin-Specific Proteases

Association of serial measures of cardiac troponin T using a sensitive assay with incident heart failure and cardiovascular mortality in older adults. - deFilippi, Christopher R; de Lemos, James A; Christenson, Robert H; Gottdiener, John S; Kop, Willem J; Zhan, Min; Seliger, Stephen L (JAMA, 2010)
CONTEXT: Older adults comprise the majority of new-onset heart failure (HF) diagnoses, but traditional risk-factor prediction models have limited accuracy in this population to identify those at highest risk for hospitalization or death. OBJECTIVES: To determine if cardiac troponin T (cTnT) measured by a highly sensitive assay would be detectable in the majority of community-dwelling older adults, and if serial measures were associated with risk of HF hospitalization and cardiovascular death. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A longitudinal nationwide cohort study (Cardiovascular Health Study) of 4221 community-dwelling adults aged 65 years or older without prior HF who had cTnT measured using a highly sensitive assay at baseline (1989-1990) and repeated after 2 to 3 years (n = 2918). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: New-onset HF and cardiovascular death were examined through June 2008 with respect to cTnT concentrations, accounting for clinical risk predictors. RESULTS: Cardiac troponin T was detectable (≥3.00 pg/mL) in 2794 participants (66.2%). During a median follow-up of 11.8 years, 1279 participants experienced new-onset HF and 1103 cardiovascular deaths occurred, with a greater risk of both end points associated with higher cTnT concentrations. Among those participants with the highest cTnT concentrations (>12.94 pg/mL), there was an incidence rate per 100 person-years of 6.4 (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.8-7.2; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.48; 95% CI, 2.04-3.00) for HF and an incidence rate of 4.8 (95% CI, 4.3-5.4; aHR, 2.91; 95% CI, 2.37-3.58) for cardiovascular death compared with participants with undetectable cTnT levels (incidence rate, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.4-1.8 and 1.1; 95% CI, 0.9-1.2 for HF and cardiovascular death, respectively). Among individuals with initially detectable cTnT, a subsequent increase of more than 50% (n = 393, 22%) was associated with a greater risk for HF (aHR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.32-1.97) and cardiovascular death (aHR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.35-2.03) and a decrease of more than 50% (n = 247, 14%) was associated with a lower risk for HF (aHR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.54-0.97) and cardiovascular death (aHR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.52-0.97) compared with participants with 50% or less change. Addition of baseline cTnT measurements to clinical risk factors was associated with only modest improvement in discrimination, with change in C statistic of 0.015 for HF and 0.013 for cardiovascular death. CONCLUSION: In this cohort of older adults without known HF, baseline cTnT levels and changes in cTnT levels measured with a highly sensitive assay were significantly associated with incident HF and cardiovascular death.
Keywords: Aged; Biomarkers; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Incidence; Male; Predictive Value of Tests; Risk; Sensitivity and Specificity; Troponin T; United States

Bayesian methods for meta-analysis of causal relationships estimated using genetic instrumental variables. - Burgess, Stephen; Thompson, Simon G; Burgess, S; Thompson, S G; Andrews, G; Samani, N J; Hall, A; Whincup, P; Morris, R; Lawlor, D A; Davey Smith, G; Timpson, N; et al. (Stat Med, 2010)
Genetic markers can be used as instrumental variables, in an analogous way to randomization in a clinical trial, to estimate the causal relationship between a phenotype and an outcome variable. Our purpose is to extend the existing methods for such Mendelian randomization studies to the context of multiple genetic markers measured in multiple studies, based on the analysis of individual participant data. First, for a single genetic marker in one study, we show that the usual ratio of coefficients approach can be reformulated as a regression with heterogeneous error in the explanatory variable. This can be implemented using a Bayesian approach, which is next extended to include multiple genetic markers. We then propose a hierarchical model for undertaking a meta-analysis of multiple studies, in which it is not necessary that the same genetic markers are measured in each study. This provides an overall estimate of the causal relationship between the phenotype and the outcome, and an assessment of its heterogeneity across studies. As an example, we estimate the causal relationship of blood concentrations of C-reactive protein on fibrinogen levels using data from 11 studies. These methods provide a flexible framework for efficient estimation of causal relationships derived from multiple studies. Issues discussed include weak instrument bias, analysis of binary outcome data such as disease risk, missing genetic data, and the use of haplotypes.
Keywords: Bayes Theorem; Biostatistics; C-Reactive Protein; Fibrinogen; Genetic Markers; Humans; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Models, Statistical; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Biological, clinical and population relevance of 95 loci for blood lipids. - Teslovich, Tanya M; Musunuru, Kiran; Smith, Albert V; Edmondson, Andrew C; Stylianou, Ioannis M; Koseki, Masahiro; Pirruccello, James P; Ripatti, Samuli; Chasman, Daniel I; Willer, Cristen J; Johansen, Christopher T; Fouchier, Sigrid W; et al. (Nature, 2010)
Plasma concentrations of total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and triglycerides are among the most important risk factors for coronary artery disease (CAD) and are targets for therapeutic intervention. We screened the genome for common variants associated with plasma lipids in >100,000 individuals of European ancestry. Here we report 95 significantly associated loci (P < 5 x 10(-8)), with 59 showing genome-wide significant association with lipid traits for the first time. The newly reported associations include single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) near known lipid regulators (for example, CYP7A1, NPC1L1 and SCARB1) as well as in scores of loci not previously implicated in lipoprotein metabolism. The 95 loci contribute not only to normal variation in lipid traits but also to extreme lipid phenotypes and have an impact on lipid traits in three non-European populations (East Asians, South Asians and African Americans). Our results identify several novel loci associated with plasma lipids that are also associated with CAD. Finally, we validated three of the novel genes-GALNT2, PPP1R3B and TTC39B-with experiments in mouse models. Taken together, our findings provide the foundation to develop a broader biological understanding of lipoprotein metabolism and to identify new therapeutic opportunities for the prevention of CAD.
Keywords: African Americans; Animals; Asian Continental Ancestry Group; Cholesterol, HDL; Cholesterol, LDL; Coronary Artery Disease; Europe; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Humans; Lipid Metabolism; Lipids; Liver; Male; Mice; N-Acetylgalactosaminyltransferases; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Protein Phosphatase 1; Reproducibility of Results; Triglycerides

Body weight dynamics and their association with physical function and mortality in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Arnold, Alice M; Newman, Anne B; Cushman, Mary; Ding, Jingzhong; Kritchevsky, Stephen (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2010)
BACKGROUND: To estimate the associations of weight dynamics with physical functioning and mortality in older adults. METHODS: Longitudinal cohort study using prospectively collected data on weight, physical function, and health status in four U.S. Communities in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Included were 3,278 participants (2,013 women and 541 African Americans), aged 65 or older at enrollment, who had at least five weight measurements. Weight was measured at annual clinic visits between 1992 and 1999, and summary measures of mean weight, coefficient of variation, average annual weight change, and episodes of loss and gain (cycling) were calculated. Participants were followed from 1999 to 2006 for activities of daily living (ADL) difficulty, incident mobility limitations, and mortality. RESULTS: Higher mean weight, weight variability, and weight cycling increased the risk of new onset of ADL difficulties and mobility limitations. After adjustment for risk factors, the hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for weight cycling for incident ADL impairment was 1.28 (1.12, 1.47), similar to that for several comorbidities in our model, including cancer and diabetes. Lower weight, weight loss, higher variability, and weight cycling were all risk factors for mortality, after adjustment for demographic risk factors, height, self-report health status, and comorbidities. CONCLUSIONS: Variations in weight are important indicators of future physical limitations and mortality in the elderly and may reflect difficulties in maintaining homeostasis throughout older ages. Monitoring the weight of an older person for fluctuations or episodes of both loss and gain is an important aspect of geriatric care.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Age Factors; Aged, 80 and over; Body Weight; Cardiovascular Diseases; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Health Status; Humans; Longevity; Male; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Survival Rate; United States

Change in circulating adiponectin in advanced old age: determinants and impact on physical function and mortality. The Cardiovascular Health Study All Stars Study. - Kizer, Jorge R; Arnold, Alice M; Strotmeyer, Elsa S; Ives, Diane G; Cushman, Mary; Ding, Jingzhong; Kritchevsky, Stephen B; Chaves, Paulo H M; Hirsch, Calvin H; Newman, Anne B (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Cross-sectional studies show that adiponectin is higher in older than in younger adults but long-term change in adiponectin, its determinants, and its relationship to functional decline or survival in the elderly population have not been evaluated. METHODS: We investigated predictors of longitudinal change in adiponectin, and the association of this adipokine or its antecedent change with physical deterioration and all-cause mortality in 988 participants in a population-based study who completed examinations in 1996-1997 and 2005-2006, had serial adiponectin measurements and underwent follow-up through June 2009. RESULTS: Adiponectin level rose significantly during follow-up, but the increase was smaller in blacks, was associated with declining weight or fasting glucose and, in men, lower albumin, and was affected by medications. Adiponectin was independently associated with greater physical decline, but the relationship for adiponectin change was driven by concomitant weight decrease. Both adiponectin and its change independently predicted mortality, even after adjustment for weight change. The association for adiponectin and mortality was observed in whites but not in blacks and only for levels in the upper range (hazard ratio = 1.85, 95% confidence interval = 1.36-2.52 per SD ≥ 20 mg/L), whereas that for adiponectin change was linear throughout in both racial groups (hazard ratio = 1.30, 95% confidence interval = 1.10-1.52 per SD). CONCLUSIONS: Adiponectin levels increase over time in long-lived adults and are associated with greater physical disability and mortality. Such increases may occur in response to age-related homeostatic dysregulation. Additional investigation is required to define the underlying mechanisms and whether this represents a marker or causal factor for mortality in this age group.
Keywords: Adiponectin; Age Factors; Aged; Aging; Analysis of Variance; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cause of Death; Chi-Square Distribution; Cohort Studies; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Health Status; Humans; Linear Models; Male; Physical Fitness; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors; Sex Factors; Time Factors; United States

Common genetic determinants of vitamin D insufficiency: a genome-wide association study. - Wang, Thomas J; Zhang, Feng; Richards, J Brent; Kestenbaum, Bryan; van Meurs, Joyce B; Berry, Diane; Kiel, Douglas P; Streeten, Elizabeth A; Ohlsson, Claes; Koller, Daniel L; Peltonen, Leena; Cooper, Jason D; et al. (Lancet, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Vitamin D is crucial for maintenance of musculoskeletal health, and might also have a role in extraskeletal tissues. Determinants of circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations include sun exposure and diet, but high heritability suggests that genetic factors could also play a part. We aimed to identify common genetic variants affecting vitamin D concentrations and risk of insufficiency. METHODS: We undertook a genome-wide association study of 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations in 33 996 individuals of European descent from 15 cohorts. Five epidemiological cohorts were designated as discovery cohorts (n=16 125), five as in-silico replication cohorts (n=9367), and five as de-novo replication cohorts (n=8504). 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations were measured by radioimmunoassay, chemiluminescent assay, ELISA, or mass spectrometry. Vitamin D insufficiency was defined as concentrations lower than 75 nmol/L or 50 nmol/L. We combined results of genome-wide analyses across cohorts using Z-score-weighted meta-analysis. Genotype scores were constructed for confirmed variants. FINDINGS: Variants at three loci reached genome-wide significance in discovery cohorts for association with 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations, and were confirmed in replication cohorts: 4p12 (overall p=1.9x10(-109) for rs2282679, in GC); 11q12 (p=2.1x10(-27) for rs12785878, near DHCR7); and 11p15 (p=3.3x10(-20) for rs10741657, near CYP2R1). Variants at an additional locus (20q13, CYP24A1) were genome-wide significant in the pooled sample (p=6.0x10(-10) for rs6013897). Participants with a genotype score (combining the three confirmed variants) in the highest quartile were at increased risk of having 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations lower than 75 nmol/L (OR 2.47, 95% CI 2.20-2.78, p=2.3x10(-48)) or lower than 50 nmol/L (1.92, 1.70-2.16, p=1.0x10(-26)) compared with those in the lowest quartile. INTERPRETATION: Variants near genes involved in cholesterol synthesis, hydroxylation, and vitamin D transport affect vitamin D status. Genetic variation at these loci identifies individuals who have substantially raised risk of vitamin D insufficiency. FUNDING: Full funding sources listed at end of paper (see Acknowledgments).
Keywords: Canada; Chromosomes, Human, Pair 11; Chromosomes, Human, Pair 4; Cohort Studies; Dietary Supplements; Europe; European Continental Ancestry Group; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Heterozygote; Homozygote; Humans; Immunoassay; International Cooperation; Linkage Disequilibrium; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Seasons; United States; Vitamin D; Vitamin D Deficiency

Common genetic variants associate with serum phosphorus concentration. - Kestenbaum, Bryan; Glazer, Nicole L; Köttgen, Anna; Felix, Janine F; Hwang, Shih-Jen; Liu, Yongmei; Lohman, Kurt; Kritchevsky, Stephen B; Hausman, Dorothy B; Petersen, Ann-Kristin; Gieger, Christian; Ried, Janina S; et al. (J Am Soc Nephrol, 2010)
Phosphorus is an essential mineral that maintains cellular energy and mineralizes the skeleton. Because complex actions of ion transporters and regulatory hormones regulate serum phosphorus concentrations, genetic variation may determine interindividual variation in phosphorus metabolism. Here, we report a comprehensive genome-wide association study of serum phosphorus concentration. We evaluated 16,264 participants of European ancestry from the Cardiovascular Heath Study, Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, Framingham Offspring Study, and the Rotterdam Study. We excluded participants with an estimated GFR <45 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) to focus on phosphorus metabolism under normal conditions. We imputed genotypes to approximately 2.5 million single-nucleotide polymorphisms in the HapMap and combined study-specific findings using meta-analysis. We tested top polymorphisms from discovery cohorts in a 5444-person replication sample. Polymorphisms in seven loci with minor allele frequencies 0.08 to 0.49 associate with serum phosphorus concentration (P = 3.5 x 10(-16) to 3.6 x 10(-7)). Three loci were near genes encoding the kidney-specific type IIa sodium phosphate co-transporter (SLC34A1), the calcium-sensing receptor (CASR), and fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23), proteins that contribute to phosphorus metabolism. We also identified genes encoding phosphatases, kinases, and phosphodiesterases that have yet-undetermined roles in phosphorus homeostasis. In the replication sample, five of seven top polymorphisms associate with serum phosphorous concentrations (P < 0.05 for each). In conclusion, common genetic variants associate with serum phosphorus in the general population. Further study of the loci identified in this study may help elucidate mechanisms of phosphorus regulation.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Fibroblast Growth Factors; Gene Frequency; Genetic Loci; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Kidney; Male; Middle Aged; Phosphorus; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Receptors, Calcium-Sensing; Sex Factors; Sodium-Phosphate Cotransporter Proteins, Type IIa

Common variants in 22 loci are associated with QRS duration and cardiac ventricular conduction. - Sotoodehnia, Nona; Isaacs, Aaron; de Bakker, Paul I W; Dörr, Marcus; Newton-Cheh, Christopher; Nolte, Ilja M; van der Harst, Pim; Müller, Martina; Eijgelsheim, Mark; Alonso, Alvaro; Hicks, Andrew A; Padmanabhan, Sandosh; et al. (Nat Genet, 2010)
The QRS interval, from the beginning of the Q wave to the end of the S wave on an electrocardiogram, reflects ventricular depolarization and conduction time and is a risk factor for mortality, sudden death and heart failure. We performed a genome-wide association meta-analysis in 40,407 individuals of European descent from 14 studies, with further genotyping in 7,170 additional Europeans, and we identified 22 loci associated with QRS duration (P < 5 × 10(-8)). These loci map in or near genes in pathways with established roles in ventricular conduction such as sodium channels, transcription factors and calcium-handling proteins, but also point to previously unidentified biologic processes, such as kinase inhibitors and genes related to tumorigenesis. We demonstrate that SCN10A, a candidate gene at the most significantly associated locus in this study, is expressed in the mouse ventricular conduction system, and treatment with a selective SCN10A blocker prolongs QRS duration. These findings extend our current knowledge of ventricular depolarization and conduction.
Keywords: Animals; Animals, Newborn; Chromosomes, Human; Computational Biology; Electrocardiography; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Heart Conduction System; Humans; Mice; Mice, Transgenic; Models, Animal; Myocytes, Cardiac; NAV1.8 Voltage-Gated Sodium Channel; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Sodium Channels

Common variants in KCNN3 are associated with lone atrial fibrillation. - Ellinor, Patrick T; Lunetta, Kathryn L; Glazer, Nicole L; Pfeufer, Arne; Alonso, Alvaro; Chung, Mina K; Sinner, Moritz F; de Bakker, Paul I W; Mueller, Martina; Lubitz, Steven A; Fox, Ervin; Darbar, Dawood; et al. (Nat Genet, 2010)
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia. Previous studies have identified several genetic loci associated with typical AF. We sought to identify common genetic variants underlying lone AF. This condition affects a subset of individuals without overt heart disease and with an increased heritability of AF. We report a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies conducted using 1,335 individuals with lone AF (cases) and 12,844 unaffected individuals (referents). Cases were obtained from the German AF Network, Heart and Vascular Health Study, the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, the Cleveland Clinic and Massachusetts General Hospital. We identified an association on chromosome 1q21 to lone AF (rs13376333, adjusted odds ratio = 1.56; P = 6.3 x 10(-12)), and we replicated this association in two independent cohorts with lone AF (overall combined odds ratio = 1.52, 95% CI 1.40-1.64; P = 1.83 x 10(-21)). rs13376333 is intronic to KCNN3, which encodes a potassium channel protein involved in atrial repolarization.
Keywords: Adolescent; Adult; Aged; Atrial Fibrillation; Case-Control Studies; Cohort Studies; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Introns; Male; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Small-Conductance Calcium-Activated Potassium Channels; Young Adult

Common variants in the calcium-sensing receptor gene are associated with total serum calcium levels. - O'Seaghdha, Conall M; Yang, Qiong; Glazer, Nicole L; Leak, Tennille S; Dehghan, Abbas; Smith, Albert V; Kao, W H Linda; Lohman, Kurt; Hwang, Shih-Jen; Johnson, Andrew D; Hofman, Albert; Uitterlinden, André G; et al. (Hum Mol Genet, 2010)
Serum calcium levels are tightly regulated. We performed genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in population-based studies participating in the CHARGE Consortium to uncover common genetic variations associated with total serum calcium levels. GWAS of serum calcium concentrations was performed in 20 611 individuals of European ancestry for ∼2.5 million genotyped and imputed single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). The SNP with the lowest P-value was rs17251221 (P = 2.4 * 10(-22), minor allele frequency 14%) in the calcium-sensing receptor gene (CASR). This lead SNP was associated with higher serum calcium levels [0.06 mg/dl (0.015 mmol/l) per copy of the minor G allele] and accounted for 0.54% of the variance in serum calcium concentrations. The identification of variation in CASR that influences serum calcium concentration confirms the results of earlier candidate gene studies. The G allele of rs17251221 was also associated with higher serum magnesium levels (P = 1.2 * 10(-3)), lower serum phosphate levels (P = 2.8 * 10(-7)) and lower bone mineral density at the lumbar spine (P = 0.038), but not the femoral neck. No additional genomic loci contained SNPs associated at genome-wide significance (P < 5 * 10(-8)). These associations resemble clinical characteristics of patients with familial hypocalciuric hypercalcemia, an autosomal-dominant disease arising from rare inactivating mutations in the CASR gene. We conclude that common genetic variation in the CASR gene is associated with similar but milder features in the general population.
Keywords: Adult; Calcium; Female; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Receptors, Calcium-Sensing

C-reactive protein concentration and risk of coronary heart disease, stroke, and mortality: an individual participant meta-analysis. - Kaptoge, Stephen; Di Angelantonio, Emanuele; Lowe, Gordon; Pepys, Mark B; Thompson, Simon G; Collins, Rory; Danesh, John (Lancet, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Associations of C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration with risk of major diseases can best be assessed by long-term prospective follow-up of large numbers of people. We assessed the associations of CRP concentration with risk of vascular and non-vascular outcomes under different circumstances. METHODS: We meta-analysed individual records of 160 309 people without a history of vascular disease (ie, 1.31 million person-years at risk, 27 769 fatal or non-fatal disease outcomes) from 54 long-term prospective studies. Within-study regression analyses were adjusted for within-person variation in risk factor levels. RESULTS: Log(e) CRP concentration was linearly associated with several conventional risk factors and inflammatory markers, and nearly log-linearly with the risk of ischaemic vascular disease and non-vascular mortality. Risk ratios (RRs) for coronary heart disease per 1-SD higher log(e) CRP concentration (three-fold higher) were 1.63 (95% CI 1.51-1.76) when initially adjusted for age and sex only, and 1.37 (1.27-1.48) when adjusted further for conventional risk factors; 1.44 (1.32-1.57) and 1.27 (1.15-1.40) for ischaemic stroke; 1.71 (1.53-1.91) and 1.55 (1.37-1.76) for vascular mortality; and 1.55 (1.41-1.69) and 1.54 (1.40-1.68) for non-vascular mortality. RRs were largely unchanged after exclusion of smokers or initial follow-up. After further adjustment for fibrinogen, the corresponding RRs were 1.23 (1.07-1.42) for coronary heart disease; 1.32 (1.18-1.49) for ischaemic stroke; 1.34 (1.18-1.52) for vascular mortality; and 1.34 (1.20-1.50) for non-vascular mortality. INTERPRETATION: CRP concentration has continuous associations with the risk of coronary heart disease, ischaemic stroke, vascular mortality, and death from several cancers and lung disease that are each of broadly similar size. The relevance of CRP to such a range of disorders is unclear. Associations with ischaemic vascular disease depend considerably on conventional risk factors and other markers of inflammation. FUNDING: British Heart Foundation, UK Medical Research Council, BUPA Foundation, and GlaxoSmithKline.
Keywords: Alcohol Drinking; Biomarkers; Blood Pressure; Body Mass Index; C-Reactive Protein; Cholesterol; Coronary Disease; Databases, Factual; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Fibrinogen; Humans; Interleukin-6; Leukocyte Count; Lung Diseases; Male; Middle Aged; Motor Activity; Neoplasms; Regression Analysis; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Serum Albumin; Sex Factors; Smoking; Stroke; Triglycerides

Cystatin C and sudden cardiac death risk in the elderly. - Deo, Rajat; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Katz, Ronit; Sarnak, Mark J; Fried, Linda F; Chonchol, Michel; Kestenbaum, Bryan; Psaty, Bruce M; Siscovick, David S; Shlipak, Michael G (Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Recent studies have demonstrated an association between moderate kidney dysfunction and sudden cardiac death in people with cardiovascular disease. METHODS AND RESULTS: The study was a longitudinal analysis among 4465 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study without prevalent cardiovascular disease at baseline. Cystatin C and creatinine were measured from baseline sera. Sudden cardiac death (SCD) was defined as a sudden pulseless condition from a cardiac origin in a previously stable individual that occurred out of the hospital or in the emergency room. The association between cystatin C tertiles and SCD was determined with multivariate Cox proportional hazards. A similar analysis compared SCD incidence across creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) tertiles. Over a median follow-up of 11.2 years, 91 adjudicated SCD events occurred. The annual incidence of SCD events increased across cystatin C tertiles: 10 events per 10 000 person years in tertile 1, 25 events per 10 000 person years in tertile 2, and 32 events per 10 000 person-years in the highest cystatin C tertile. These associations persisted after multivariate adjustment: hazards ratio=2.72; 95% confidence interval, 1.44 to 5.16 in tertile 2 and hazards ratio=2.67; 95% confidence interval, 1.33 to 5.35 in tertile 3. After multivariate adjustment, the rate of SCD also increased in a linear distribution across creatinine-based eGFR tertiles: 15 events per 10 000 person-years in tertile 1, 22 events per 10 000 person-years in tertile 2, and 27 events per 10 000 person-years in tertile 3. No significant associations, however, remained between creatinine-based eGFR and SCD after multivariable adjustment. CONCLUSIONS: Impaired kidney function, as measured by cystatin C, has an independent association with SCD risk among elderly persons without clinical cardiovascular disease.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Biomarkers; Chi-Square Distribution; Creatinine; Cystatin C; Death, Sudden, Cardiac; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Incidence; Kidney Diseases; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Time Factors; United States; Up-Regulation

Diabetes mellitus, fasting blood glucose concentration, and risk of vascular disease: a collaborative meta-analysis of 102 prospective studies. - Sarwar, N; Gao, P; Seshasai, S R Kondapally; Gobin, R; Kaptoge, S; Di Angelantonio, E; Ingelsson, E; Lawlor, D A; Selvin, E; Stampfer, M; Stehouwer, C D A; Lewington, S; et al. (Lancet, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Uncertainties persist about the magnitude of associations of diabetes mellitus and fasting glucose concentration with risk of coronary heart disease and major stroke subtypes. We aimed to quantify these associations for a wide range of circumstances. METHODS: We undertook a meta-analysis of individual records of diabetes, fasting blood glucose concentration, and other risk factors in people without initial vascular disease from studies in the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration. We combined within-study regressions that were adjusted for age, sex, smoking, systolic blood pressure, and body-mass index to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) for vascular disease. FINDINGS: Analyses included data for 698 782 people (52 765 non-fatal or fatal vascular outcomes; 8.49 million person-years at risk) from 102 prospective studies. Adjusted HRs with diabetes were: 2.00 (95% CI 1.83-2.19) for coronary heart disease; 2.27 (1.95-2.65) for ischaemic stroke; 1.56 (1.19-2.05) for haemorrhagic stroke; 1.84 (1.59-2.13) for unclassified stroke; and 1.73 (1.51-1.98) for the aggregate of other vascular deaths. HRs did not change appreciably after further adjustment for lipid, inflammatory, or renal markers. HRs for coronary heart disease were higher in women than in men, at 40-59 years than at 70 years and older, and with fatal than with non-fatal disease. At an adult population-wide prevalence of 10%, diabetes was estimated to account for 11% (10-12%) of vascular deaths. Fasting blood glucose concentration was non-linearly related to vascular risk, with no significant associations between 3.90 mmol/L and 5.59 mmol/L. Compared with fasting blood glucose concentrations of 3.90-5.59 mmol/L, HRs for coronary heart disease were: 1.07 (0.97-1.18) for lower than 3.90 mmol/L; 1.11 (1.04-1.18) for 5.60-6.09 mmol/L; and 1.17 (1.08-1.26) for 6.10-6.99 mmol/L. In people without a history of diabetes, information about fasting blood glucose concentration or impaired fasting glucose status did not significantly improve metrics of vascular disease prediction when added to information about several conventional risk factors. INTERPRETATION: Diabetes confers about a two-fold excess risk for a wide range of vascular diseases, independently from other conventional risk factors. In people without diabetes, fasting blood glucose concentration is modestly and non-linearly associated with risk of vascular disease. FUNDING: British Heart Foundation, UK Medical Research Council, and Pfizer.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Blood Glucose; Coronary Disease; Diabetes Complications; Diabetes Mellitus; Fasting; Female; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Risk Factors; Stroke

Dynamic cardiovascular risk assessment in elderly people. The role of repeated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide testing. - deFilippi, Christopher R; Christenson, Robert H; Gottdiener, John S; Kop, Willem J; Seliger, Stephen L (J Am Coll Cardiol, 2010)
OBJECTIVES: This study sought to determine whether serial measurement of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in community-dwelling elderly people would provide additional prognostic information to that from traditional risk factors. BACKGROUND: Accurate cardiovascular risk stratification is challenging in elderly people. METHODS: NT-proBNP was measured at baseline and 2 to 3 years later in 2,975 community-dwelling older adults free of heart failure in the longitudinal CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study). This investigation examined the risk of new-onset heart failure (HF) and death from cardiovascular causes associated with baseline NT-proBNP and changes in NT-proBNP levels, adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: NT-proBNP levels in the highest quintile (>267.7 pg/ml) were independently associated with greater risks of HF (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.05; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.46 to 3.78) and cardiovascular death (HR: 3.02; 95% CI: 2.36 to 3.86) compared with the lowest quintile (<47.5 pg/ml). The inflection point for elevated risk occurred at NT-proBNP 190 pg/ml. Among participants with initially low NT-proBNP (<190 pg/ml), those who developed a >25% increase on follow-up to >190 pg/ml (21%) were at greater adjusted risk of HF (HR: 2.13; 95% CI: 1.68 to 2.71) and cardiovascular death (HR: 1.91; 95% CI: 1.43 to 2.53) compared with those with sustained low levels. Among participants with initially high NT-proBNP, those who developed a >25% increase (40%) were at higher risk of HF (HR: 2.06; 95% CI: 1.56 to 2.72) and cardiovascular death (HR: 1.88; 95% CI: 1.37 to 2.57), whereas those who developed a >25% decrease to <or=190 pg/ml (15%) were at lower risk of HF (HR: 0.58; 95% CI: 0.36 to 0.93) and cardiovascular death (HR: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.32 to 1.01) compared with those with unchanged high values. CONCLUSIONS: NT-proBNP levels independently predict heart failure and cardiovascular death in older adults. NT-proBNP levels frequently change over time, and these fluctuations reflect dynamic changes in cardiovascular risk.
Keywords: Aged; Biomarkers; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Male; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain; Peptide Fragments; Prognosis; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; United States

Egg consumption and risk of type 2 diabetes in older adults. - Djoussé, Luc; Kamineni, Aruna; Nelson, Tracy L; Carnethon, Mercedes; Mozaffarian, Dariush; Siscovick, David; Mukamal, Kenneth J (Am J Clin Nutr, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) remains an important public health issue in the United States. There are limited and inconsistent data on the association between egg consumption and fasting glucose or incident diabetes. OBJECTIVES: We assessed the association between egg intake and incident diabetes in older adults. DESIGN: In this prospective study of 3898 men and women from the Cardiovascular Health Study (1989-2007), we assessed egg consumption by using a picture-sorted food questionnaire and ascertained incident T2D annually by using information on hypoglycemic agents and plasma glucose. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate adjusted relative risks. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 11.3 y, 313 new cases of T2D occurred. Crude incidence rates of T2D were 7.39, 6.83, 7.00, 6.72, and 12.20 per 1000 person-years in people who reported egg consumption of never, <1 egg/mo, 1-3 eggs/mo, 1-4 eggs/wk, and almost daily, respectively. In multivariable-adjusted models, there was no association between egg consumption and increased risk of T2D in either sex and overall. In a secondary analysis, dietary cholesterol was not associated with incident diabetes (P for trend = 0.47). In addition, egg consumption was not associated with clinically meaningful differences in fasting glucose, fasting insulin, or measures of insulin resistance despite small absolute analytic differences that were significant. CONCLUSION: In this cohort of older adults with limited egg intake, there was no association between egg consumption or dietary cholesterol and increased risk of incident T2D.
Keywords: Aged; Blood Glucose; Cholesterol, Dietary; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Diet; Diet Surveys; Eggs; Feeding Behavior; Female; Humans; Insulin; Insulin Resistance; Male; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; Surveys and Questionnaires

European ancestry as a risk factor for atrial fibrillation in African Americans. - Marcus, Gregory M; Alonso, Alvaro; Peralta, Carmen A; Lettre, Guillaume; Vittinghoff, Eric; Lubitz, Steven A; Fox, Ervin R; Levitzky, Yamini S; Mehra, Reena; Kerr, Kathleen F; Deo, Rajat; Sotoodehnia, Nona; et al. (Circulation, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Despite a higher burden of standard atrial fibrillation (AF) risk factors, African Americans have a lower risk of AF than whites. It is unknown whether the higher risk is due to genetic or environmental factors. Because African Americans have varying degrees of European ancestry, we sought to test the hypothesis that European ancestry is an independent risk factor for AF. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied whites (n=4543) and African Americans (n=822) in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) and whites (n=10 902) and African Americans (n=3517) in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study (n=3517). Percent European ancestry in African Americans was estimated with 1747 ancestry informative markers from the Illumina custom ITMAT-Broad-CARe array. Among African Americans without baseline AF, 120 of 804 CHS participants and 181 of 3517 ARIC participants developed incident AF. A meta-analysis from the 2 studies revealed that every 10% increase in European ancestry increased the risk of AF by 13% (hazard ratio, 1.13; 95% confidence interval, 1.03 to 1.23; P=0.007). After adjustment for potential confounders, European ancestry remained a predictor of incident AF in each cohort alone, with a combined estimated hazard ratio for each 10% increase in European ancestry of 1.17 (95% confidence interval, 1.07 to 1.29; P=0.001). A second analysis using 3192 ancestry informative markers from a genome-wide Affymetrix 6.0 array in ARIC African Americans yielded similar results. CONCLUSIONS: European ancestry predicted risk of incident AF. Our study suggests that investigating genetic variants contributing to differential AF risk in individuals of African versus European ancestry will be informative.
Keywords: African Americans; Aged; Atrial Fibrillation; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Risk Factors

Four novel Loci (19q13, 6q24, 12q24, and 5q14) influence the microcirculation in vivo. - Ikram, M Kamran; Sim, Xueling; Xueling, Sim; Jensen, Richard A; Cotch, Mary Frances; Hewitt, Alex W; Ikram, M Arfan; Wang, Jie Jin; Klein, Ronald; Klein, Barbara E K; Breteler, Monique M B; Cheung, Ning; et al. (PLoS Genet, 2010)
There is increasing evidence that the microcirculation plays an important role in the pathogenesis of cardiovascular diseases. Changes in retinal vascular caliber reflect early microvascular disease and predict incident cardiovascular events. We performed a genome-wide association study to identify genetic variants associated with retinal vascular caliber. We analyzed data from four population-based discovery cohorts with 15,358 unrelated Caucasian individuals, who are members of the Cohort for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) consortium, and replicated findings in four independent Caucasian cohorts (n  =  6,652). All participants had retinal photography and retinal arteriolar and venular caliber measured from computer software. In the discovery cohorts, 179 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) spread across five loci were significantly associated (p<5.0×10(-8)) with retinal venular caliber, but none showed association with arteriolar caliber. Collectively, these five loci explain 1.0%-3.2% of the variation in retinal venular caliber. Four out of these five loci were confirmed in independent replication samples. In the combined analyses, the top SNPs at each locus were: rs2287921 (19q13; p  =  1.61×10(-25), within the RASIP1 locus), rs225717 (6q24; p = 1.25×10(-16), adjacent to the VTA1 and NMBR loci), rs10774625 (12q24; p  =  2.15×10(-13), in the region of ATXN2,SH2B3 and PTPN11 loci), and rs17421627 (5q14; p = 7.32×10(-16), adjacent to the MEF2C locus). In two independent samples, locus 12q24 was also associated with coronary heart disease and hypertension. Our population-based genome-wide association study demonstrates four novel loci associated with retinal venular caliber, an endophenotype of the microcirculation associated with clinical cardiovascular disease. These data provide further insights into the contribution and biological mechanisms of microcirculatory changes that underlie cardiovascular disease.
Keywords: Adolescent; Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cardiovascular Diseases; Child; Child, Preschool; Chromosomes, Human, Pair 12; Chromosomes, Human, Pair 19; Chromosomes, Human, Pair 5; Chromosomes, Human, Pair 6; Cohort Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Microcirculation; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Retinal Vessels; Young Adult

Fucosyltransferase 2 (FUT2) non-secretor status is associated with Crohn's disease. - McGovern, Dermot P B; Jones, Michelle R; Taylor, Kent D; Marciante, Kristin; Yan, Xiaofei; Dubinsky, Marla; Ippoliti, Andy; Vasiliauskas, Eric; Berel, Dror; Derkowski, Carrie; Dutridge, Deb; Fleshner, Phil; et al. (Hum Mol Genet, 2010)
Genetic variation in both innate and adaptive immune systems is associated with Crohn's disease (CD) susceptibility, but much of the heritability to CD remains unknown. We performed a genome-wide association study (GWAS) in 896 CD cases and 3204 healthy controls all of Caucasian origin as defined by multidimensional scaling. We found supportive evidence for 21 out of 40 CD loci identified in a recent CD GWAS meta-analysis, including two loci which had only nominally achieved replication (rs4807569, 19p13; rs991804, CCL2/CCL7). In addition, we identified associations with genes involved in tight junctions/epithelial integrity (ASHL, ARPC1A), innate immunity (EXOC2), dendritic cell biology [CADM1 (IGSF4)], macrophage development (MMD2), TGF-beta signaling (MAP3K7IP1) and FUT2 (a physiological trait that regulates gastrointestinal mucosal expression of blood group A and B antigens) (rs602662, P=3.4x10(-5)). Twenty percent of Caucasians are 'non-secretors' who do not express ABO antigens in saliva as a result of the FUT2 W134X allele. We demonstrated replication in an independent cohort of 1174 CD cases and 357 controls between the four primary FUT2 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and CD (rs602662, combined P-value 4.90x10(-8)) and also association with FUT2 W143X (P=2.6x10(-5)). Further evidence of the relevance of this locus to CD pathogenesis was demonstrated by the association of the original four SNPs and CD in the recently published CD GWAS meta-analysis (rs602662, P=0.001). These findings strongly implicate this locus in CD susceptibility and highlight the role of the mucus layer in the development of CD.
Keywords: Adolescent; Adult; Aged; Child; Child, Preschool; Cohort Studies; Crohn Disease; Female; Fucosyltransferases; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Young Adult

Genetic predictors of medically refractory ulcerative colitis. - Haritunians, Talin; Taylor, Kent D; Targan, Stephan R; Dubinsky, Marla; Ippoliti, Andrew; Kwon, Soonil; Guo, Xiuqing; Melmed, Gil Y; Berel, Dror; Mengesha, Emebet; Psaty, Bruce M; Glazer, Nicole L; et al. (Inflamm Bowel Dis, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Acute severe ulcerative colitis (UC) remains a significant clinical challenge and the ability to predict, at an early stage, those individuals at risk of colectomy for medically refractory UC (MR-UC) would be a major clinical advance. The aim of this study was to use a genome-wide association study (GWAS) in a well-characterized cohort of UC patients to identify genetic variation that contributes to MR-UC. METHODS: A GWAS comparing 324 MR-UC patients with 537 non-MR-UC patients was analyzed using logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards methods. In addition, the MR-UC patients were compared with 2601 healthy controls. RESULTS: MR-UC was associated with more extensive disease (P = 2.7 × 10(-6)) and a positive family history of UC (P = 0.004). A risk score based on the combination of 46 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with MR-UC explained 48% of the variance for colectomy risk in our cohort. Risk scores divided into quarters showed the risk of colectomy to be 0%, 17%, 74%, and 100% in the four groups. Comparison of the MR-UC subjects with healthy controls confirmed the contribution of the major histocompatibility complex to severe UC (peak association: rs17207986, P = 1.4 × 10(-16)) and provided genome-wide suggestive association at the TNFSF15 (TL1A) locus (peak association: rs11554257, P = 1.4 × 10(-6)). CONCLUSIONS: A SNP-based risk scoring system, identified here by GWAS analyses, may provide a useful adjunct to clinical parameters for predicting the natural history of UC. Furthermore, discovery of genetic processes underlying disease severity may help to identify pathways for novel therapeutic intervention in severe UC.
Keywords: Acute Disease; Adolescent; Adult; Cohort Studies; Colectomy; Colitis, Ulcerative; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Major Histocompatibility Complex; Male; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk Factors; Severity of Illness Index; Tumor Necrosis Factor Ligand Superfamily Member 15; Young Adult

Genome-wide analysis of genetic loci associated with Alzheimer disease. - Seshadri, Sudha; Fitzpatrick, Annette L; Ikram, M Arfan; DeStefano, Anita L; Gudnason, Vilmundur; Boada, Merce; Bis, Joshua C; Smith, Albert V; Carassquillo, Minerva M; Lambert, Jean Charles; Harold, Denise; Schrijvers, Elisabeth M C; et al. (JAMA, 2010)
CONTEXT: Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have recently identified CLU, PICALM, and CR1 as novel genes for late-onset Alzheimer disease (AD). OBJECTIVES: To identify and strengthen additional loci associated with AD and confirm these in an independent sample and to examine the contribution of recently identified genes to AD risk prediction in a 3-stage analysis of new and previously published GWAS on more than 35,000 persons (8371 AD cases). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In stage 1, we identified strong genetic associations (P < 10(-3)) in a sample of 3006 AD cases and 14,642 controls by combining new data from the population-based Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology consortium (1367 AD cases [973 incident]) with previously reported results from the Translational Genomics Research Institute and the Mayo AD GWAS. We identified 2708 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with P < 10(-3). In stage 2, we pooled results for these SNPs with the European AD Initiative (2032 cases and 5328 controls) to identify 38 SNPs (10 loci) with P < 10(-5). In stage 3, we combined data for these 10 loci with data from the Genetic and Environmental Risk in AD consortium (3333 cases and 6995 controls) to identify 4 SNPs with P < 1.7x10(-8). These 4 SNPs were replicated in an independent Spanish sample (1140 AD cases and 1209 controls). Genome-wide association analyses were completed in 2007-2008 and the meta-analyses and replication in 2009. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Presence of Alzheimer disease. RESULTS: Two loci were identified to have genome-wide significance for the first time: rs744373 near BIN1 (odds ratio [OR],1.13; 95% confidence interval [CI],1.06-1.21 per copy of the minor allele; P = 1.59x10(-11)) and rs597668 near EXOC3L2/BLOC1S3/MARK4 (OR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.07-1.29; P = 6.45x10(-9)). Associations of these 2 loci plus the previously identified loci CLU and PICALM with AD were confirmed in the Spanish sample (P < .05). However, although CLU and PICALM were confirmed to be associated with AD in this independent sample, they did not improve the ability of a model that included age, sex, and APOE to predict incident AD (improvement in area under the receiver operating characteristic curve from 0.847 to 0.849 in the Rotterdam Study and 0.702 to 0.705 in the Cardiovascular Health Study). CONCLUSIONS: Two genetic loci for AD were found for the first time to reach genome-wide statistical significance. These findings were replicated in an independent population. Two recently reported associations were also confirmed. These loci did not improve AD risk prediction. While not clinically useful, they may implicate biological pathways useful for future research.
Keywords: Age of Onset; Aged; Alzheimer Disease; Case-Control Studies; Genetic Loci; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Odds Ratio; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Genome-wide association analysis identifies multiple loci related to resting heart rate. - Eijgelsheim, Mark; Newton-Cheh, Christopher; Sotoodehnia, Nona; de Bakker, Paul I W; Müller, Martina; Morrison, Alanna C; Smith, Albert V; Isaacs, Aaron; Sanna, Serena; Dörr, Marcus; Navarro, Pau; Fuchsberger, Christian; et al. (Hum Mol Genet, 2010)
Higher resting heart rate is associated with increased cardiovascular disease and mortality risk. Though heritable factors play a substantial role in population variation, little is known about specific genetic determinants. This knowledge can impact clinical care by identifying novel factors that influence pathologic heart rate states, modulate heart rate through cardiac structure and function or by improving our understanding of the physiology of heart rate regulation. To identify common genetic variants associated with heart rate, we performed a meta-analysis of 15 genome-wide association studies (GWAS), including 38,991 subjects of European ancestry, estimating the association between age-, sex- and body mass-adjusted RR interval (inverse heart rate) and approximately 2.5 million markers. Results with P < 5 × 10(-8) were considered genome-wide significant. We constructed regression models with multiple markers to assess whether results at less stringent thresholds were likely to be truly associated with RR interval. We identified six novel associations with resting heart rate at six loci: 6q22 near GJA1; 14q12 near MYH7; 12p12 near SOX5, c12orf67, BCAT1, LRMP and CASC1; 6q22 near SLC35F1, PLN and c6orf204; 7q22 near SLC12A9 and UfSp1; and 11q12 near FADS1. Associations at 6q22 400 kb away from GJA1, at 14q12 MYH6 and at 1q32 near CD34 identified in previously published GWAS were confirmed. In aggregate, these variants explain approximately 0.7% of RR interval variance. A multivariant regression model including 20 variants with P < 10(-5) increased the explained variance to 1.6%, suggesting that some loci falling short of genome-wide significance are likely truly associated. Future research is warranted to elucidate underlying mechanisms that may impact clinical care.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Base Pairing; Cohort Studies; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome, Human; Genome-Wide Association Study; Heart Rate; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Rest

Genome-wide association identifies multiple ulcerative colitis susceptibility loci. - McGovern, Dermot P B; Gardet, Agnès; Törkvist, Leif; Goyette, Philippe; Essers, Jonah; Taylor, Kent D; Neale, Benjamin M; Ong, Rick T H; Lagacé, Caroline; Li, Chun; Green, Todd; Stevens, Christine R; et al. (Nat Genet, 2010)
Ulcerative colitis is a chronic, relapsing inflammatory condition of the gastrointestinal tract with a complex genetic and environmental etiology. In an effort to identify genetic variation underlying ulcerative colitis risk, we present two distinct genome-wide association studies of ulcerative colitis and their joint analysis with a previously published scan, comprising, in aggregate, 2,693 individuals with ulcerative colitis and 6,791 control subjects. Fifty-nine SNPs from 14 independent loci attained an association significance of P < 10(-5). Seven of these loci exceeded genome-wide significance (P < 5 x 10(-8)). After testing an independent cohort of 2,009 cases of ulcerative colitis and 1,580 controls, we identified 13 loci that were significantly associated with ulcerative colitis (P < 5 x 10(-8)), including the immunoglobulin receptor gene FCGR2A, 5p15, 2p16 and ORMDL3 (orosomucoid1-like 3). We confirmed association with 14 previously identified ulcerative colitis susceptibility loci, and an analysis of acknowledged Crohn's disease loci showed that roughly half of the known Crohn's disease associations are shared with ulcerative colitis. These data implicate approximately 30 loci in ulcerative colitis, thereby providing insight into disease pathogenesis.
Keywords: Colitis, Ulcerative; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Membrane Proteins; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Receptors, IgG

Genome-wide association studies of MRI-defined brain infarcts: meta-analysis from the CHARGE Consortium. - Debette, Stephanie; Bis, Joshua C; Fornage, Myriam; Schmidt, Helena; Ikram, M Arfan; Sigurdsson, Sigurdur; Heiss, Gerardo; Struchalin, Maksim; Smith, Albert V; van der Lugt, Aad; DeCarli, Charles; Lumley, Thomas; et al. (Stroke, 2010)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Previous studies examining genetic associations with MRI-defined brain infarct have yielded inconsistent findings. We investigated genetic variation underlying covert MRI infarct in persons without histories of transient ischemic attack or stroke. We performed meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies of white participants in 6 studies comprising the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) consortium. METHODS: Using 2.2 million genotyped and imputed single nucleotide polymorphisms, each study performed cross-sectional genome-wide association analysis of MRI infarct using age- and sex-adjusted logistic regression models. Study-specific findings were combined in an inverse-variance-weighted meta-analysis, including 9401 participants with mean age 69.7 (19.4% of whom had >or=1 MRI infarct). RESULTS: The most significant association was found with rs2208454 (minor allele frequency, 20%), located in intron 3 of MACRO domain containing 2 gene and in the downstream region of fibronectin leucine-rich transmembrane protein 3 gene. Each copy of the minor allele was associated with lower risk of MRI infarcts (odds ratio, 0.76; 95% confidence interval, 0.68-0.84; P=4.64x10(-7)). Highly suggestive associations (P<1.0x10(-5)) were also found for 22 other single nucleotide polymorphisms in linkage disequilibrium (r(2)>0.64) with rs2208454. The association with rs2208454 did not replicate in independent samples of 1822 white and 644 black participants, although 4 single nucleotide polymorphisms within 200 kb from rs2208454 were associated with MRI infarcts in the black population sample. CONCLUSIONS: This first community-based, genome-wide association study on covert MRI infarcts uncovered novel associations. Although replication of the association with top single nucleotide polymorphisms failed, possibly because of insufficient power, results in the black population sample are encouraging, and further efforts at replication are needed.
Keywords: African Americans; Aged; Brain; Brain Infarction; Cohort Studies; DNA Mutational Analysis; Female; Gene Frequency; Genetic Markers; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genetic Testing; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Linkage Disequilibrium; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Prospective Studies

Genome-wide association studies of serum magnesium, potassium, and sodium concentrations identify six Loci influencing serum magnesium levels. - Meyer, Tamra E; Verwoert, Germaine C; Hwang, Shih-Jen; Glazer, Nicole L; Smith, Albert V; van Rooij, Frank J A; Ehret, Georg B; Boerwinkle, Eric; Felix, Janine F; Leak, Tennille S; Harris, Tamara B; Yang, Qiong; et al. (PLoS Genet, 2010)
Magnesium, potassium, and sodium, cations commonly measured in serum, are involved in many physiological processes including energy metabolism, nerve and muscle function, signal transduction, and fluid and blood pressure regulation. To evaluate the contribution of common genetic variation to normal physiologic variation in serum concentrations of these cations, we conducted genome-wide association studies of serum magnesium, potassium, and sodium concentrations using approximately 2.5 million genotyped and imputed common single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 15,366 participants of European descent from the international CHARGE Consortium. Study-specific results were combined using fixed-effects inverse-variance weighted meta-analysis. SNPs demonstrating genome-wide significant (p<5 x 10(-8)) or suggestive associations (p<4 x 10(-7)) were evaluated for replication in an additional 8,463 subjects of European descent. The association of common variants at six genomic regions (in or near MUC1, ATP2B1, DCDC5, TRPM6, SHROOM3, and MDS1) with serum magnesium levels was genome-wide significant when meta-analyzed with the replication dataset. All initially significant SNPs from the CHARGE Consortium showed nominal association with clinically defined hypomagnesemia, two showed association with kidney function, two with bone mineral density, and one of these also associated with fasting glucose levels. Common variants in CNNM2, a magnesium transporter studied only in model systems to date, as well as in CNNM3 and CNNM4, were also associated with magnesium concentrations in this study. We observed no associations with serum sodium or potassium levels exceeding p<4 x 10(-7). Follow-up studies of newly implicated genomic loci may provide additional insights into the regulation and homeostasis of human serum magnesium levels.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Magnesium; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Potassium; Sodium

Genome-wide association study of PR interval. - Pfeufer, Arne; van Noord, Charlotte; Marciante, Kristin D; Arking, Dan E; Larson, Martin G; Smith, Albert Vernon; Tarasov, Kirill V; Müller, Martina; Sotoodehnia, Nona; Sinner, Moritz F; Verwoert, Germaine C; Li, Man; et al. (Nat Genet, 2010)
The electrocardiographic PR interval (or PQ interval) reflects atrial and atrioventricular nodal conduction, disturbances of which increase risk of atrial fibrillation. We report a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies for PR interval from seven population-based European studies in the CHARGE Consortium: AGES, ARIC, CHS, FHS, KORA, Rotterdam Study, and SardiNIA (N = 28,517). We identified nine loci associated with PR interval at P < 5 x 10(-8). At the 3p22.2 locus, we observed two independent associations in voltage-gated sodium channel genes, SCN10A and SCN5A. Six of the loci were near cardiac developmental genes, including CAV1-CAV2, NKX2-5 (CSX1), SOX5, WNT11, MEIS1, and TBX5-TBX3, providing pathophysiologically interesting candidate genes. Five of the loci, SCN5A, SCN10A, NKX2-5, CAV1-CAV2, and SOX5, were also associated with atrial fibrillation (N = 5,741 cases, P < 0.0056). This suggests a role for common variation in ion channel and developmental genes in atrial and atrioventricular conduction as well as in susceptibility to atrial fibrillation.
Keywords: Aged; Atrial Fibrillation; Cohort Studies; Electrocardiography; Female; Genetic Loci; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Heart Conduction System; Humans; Male; Meta-Analysis as Topic

Genome-wide meta-analysis increases to 71 the number of confirmed Crohn's disease susceptibility loci. - Franke, Andre; McGovern, Dermot P B; Barrett, Jeffrey C; Wang, Kai; Radford-Smith, Graham L; Ahmad, Tariq; Lees, Charlie W; Balschun, Tobias; Lee, James; Roberts, Rebecca; Anderson, Carl A; Bis, Joshua C; et al. (Nat Genet, 2010)
We undertook a meta-analysis of six Crohn's disease genome-wide association studies (GWAS) comprising 6,333 affected individuals (cases) and 15,056 controls and followed up the top association signals in 15,694 cases, 14,026 controls and 414 parent-offspring trios. We identified 30 new susceptibility loci meeting genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10⁻⁸). A series of in silico analyses highlighted particular genes within these loci and, together with manual curation, implicated functionally interesting candidate genes including SMAD3, ERAP2, IL10, IL2RA, TYK2, FUT2, DNMT3A, DENND1B, BACH2 and TAGAP. Combined with previously confirmed loci, these results identify 71 distinct loci with genome-wide significant evidence for association with Crohn's disease.
Keywords: Computational Biology; Crohn Disease; Genetic Linkage; Genetic Loci; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genetic Variation; Genome, Human; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Reproducibility of Results

Genomic variation associated with mortality among adults of European and African ancestry with heart failure: the cohorts for heart and aging research in genomic epidemiology consortium. - Morrison, Alanna C; Felix, Janine F; Cupples, L Adrienne; Glazer, Nicole L; Loehr, Laura R; Dehghan, Abbas; Demissie, Serkalem; Bis, Joshua C; Rosamond, Wayne D; Aulchenko, Yurii S; Wang, Ying A; Haritunians, Talin; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Prognosis and survival are significant concerns for individuals with heart failure (HF). To better understand the pathophysiology of HF prognosis, the association between 2,366,858 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and all-cause mortality was evaluated among individuals with incident HF from 4 community-based prospective cohorts: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, the Cardiovascular Health Study, the Framingham Heart Study, and the Rotterdam Study. METHODS AND RESULTS: Participants were 2526 individuals of European ancestry and 466 individuals of African ancestry who experienced an incident HF event during follow-up in the respective cohorts. Within each study, the association between genetic variants and time to mortality among individuals with HF was assessed by Cox proportional hazards models that included adjustment for sex and age at the time of the HF event. Prospective fixed-effect meta-analyses were conducted for the 4 study populations of European ancestry (N=1645 deaths) and for the 2 populations of African ancestry (N=281 deaths). Genome-wide significance was set at P=5.0x10(-7). Meta-analytic findings among individuals of European ancestry revealed 1 genome-wide significant locus on chromosome 3p22 in an intron of CKLF-like MARVEL transmembrane domain containing 7 (CMTM7, P=3.2x10(-7)). Eight additional loci in individuals of European ancestry and 4 loci in individuals of African ancestry were identified by high-signal SNPs (P<1.0x10(-5)) but did not meet genome-wide significance. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified a novel locus associated with all-cause mortality among individuals of European ancestry with HF. This finding warrants additional investigation, including replication, in other studies of HF.
Keywords: African Americans; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Chemokines; Cohort Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Heart Failure; Humans; Introns; Male; MARVEL Domain-Containing Proteins; Membrane Proteins; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk Factors

Health benefits of increased walking for sedentary, generally healthy older adults: using longitudinal data to approximate an intervention trial. - Diehr, Paula; Hirsch, Calvin (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Older adults are often advised to walk more, but randomized trials have not conclusively established the benefits of walking in this age group. Typical analyses based on observational data may have biased results. Here, we propose a "limited-bias," more interpretable estimate of the health benefits to sedentary healthy older adults of walking more, using longitudinal data from the Cardiovascular Health Study. METHODS: The number of city blocks walked per week, collected annually, was classified as sedentary (<7 blocks per week), somewhat active, or active (>or=28). Analysis was restricted to persons sedentary and healthy in the first 2 years. In Year 3, some became more active (the treatment groups). Self-rated health at Year 5 (follow-up) was regressed on walking at Year 3, with additional covariates from Year 2, when all were sedentary. RESULTS: At follow-up, 83.5% of those active at baseline had excellent, very good, or good self-rated health, as compared with 63.9% of the sedentary, an apparent benefit of 19.6 percentage points. After covariate adjustment, the limited-bias estimate of the benefit was 11.2 percentage points (95% confidence interval 3.7-18.6). Ten different outcome measures showed a benefit, ranging from 5 to 11 percentage points. Estimates from other study designs were smaller, less interpretable, and potentially more biased. CONCLUSIONS: In longitudinal studies where walking and health are ascertained at every wave, limited-bias estimates can provide better estimates of the benefits of walking. A surprisingly small increase in walking was associated with meaningful health benefits.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Data Interpretation, Statistical; Female; Health Status; Health Surveys; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Regression Analysis; Sedentary Lifestyle; Walking

Hundreds of variants clustered in genomic loci and biological pathways affect human height. - Lango Allen, Hana; Estrada, Karol; Lettre, Guillaume; Berndt, Sonja I; Weedon, Michael N; Rivadeneira, Fernando; Willer, Cristen J; Jackson, Anne U; Vedantam, Sailaja; Raychaudhuri, Soumya; Ferreira, Teresa; Wood, Andrew R; et al. (Nature, 2010)
Most common human traits and diseases have a polygenic pattern of inheritance: DNA sequence variants at many genetic loci influence the phenotype. Genome-wide association (GWA) studies have identified more than 600 variants associated with human traits, but these typically explain small fractions of phenotypic variation, raising questions about the use of further studies. Here, using 183,727 individuals, we show that hundreds of genetic variants, in at least 180 loci, influence adult height, a highly heritable and classic polygenic trait. The large number of loci reveals patterns with important implications for genetic studies of common human diseases and traits. First, the 180 loci are not random, but instead are enriched for genes that are connected in biological pathways (P = 0.016) and that underlie skeletal growth defects (P < 0.001). Second, the likely causal gene is often located near the most strongly associated variant: in 13 of 21 loci containing a known skeletal growth gene, that gene was closest to the associated variant. Third, at least 19 loci have multiple independently associated variants, suggesting that allelic heterogeneity is a frequent feature of polygenic traits, that comprehensive explorations of already-discovered loci should discover additional variants and that an appreciable fraction of associated loci may have been identified. Fourth, associated variants are enriched for likely functional effects on genes, being over-represented among variants that alter amino-acid structure of proteins and expression levels of nearby genes. Our data explain approximately 10% of the phenotypic variation in height, and we estimate that unidentified common variants of similar effect sizes would increase this figure to approximately 16% of phenotypic variation (approximately 20% of heritable variation). Although additional approaches are needed to dissect the genetic architecture of polygenic human traits fully, our findings indicate that GWA studies can identify large numbers of loci that implicate biologically relevant genes and pathways.
Keywords: Body Height; Chromosomes, Human, Pair 3; Genetic Loci; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome, Human; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Metabolic Networks and Pathways; Multifactorial Inheritance; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Impaired kidney function and atrial fibrillation in elderly subjects. - Deo, Rajat; Katz, Ronit; Kestenbaum, Bryan; Fried, Linda; Sarnak, Mark J; Psaty, Bruce M; Siscovick, David S; Shlipak, Michael G (J Card Fail, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Impaired kidney function is associated with increased risk for cardiovascular events. We evaluated whether kidney function is associated with atrial fibrillation (AF) risk in elderly persons. METHODS AND RESULTS: Subjects were participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a population-based cohort of ambulatory elderly. Measures of kidney function were cystatin C and creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Among the 4663 participants, 342 (7%) had AF at baseline and 579 (13%) developed incident AF during follow-up (mean 7.4 years). In unadjusted analyses, cystatin C quartiles were strongly associated with prevalent AF with a nearly 3-fold odds in the highest quartile compared with the lowest (HR=1.19, 95% CI [0.80-1.76] in quartile 2; HR=2.00, 95% CI [1.38-2.88] in quartile 3; and HR=2.87, 95% CI [2.03-4.07] in quartile 4). This increased risk for prevalent AF remained significant after multivariate adjustment. The risk for incident AF increased across cystatin C quartiles in the unadjusted analysis (HR=1.37, 95% CI [1.07-1.75] in quartile 2; HR=1.43, 95% CI [1.11-1.84] in quartile 3; and HR=1.88, 95% CI [1.47-2.41] in quartile 4); however, after multivariate adjustment, these findings were no longer significant. An estimated GFR <60 mL.min.1.73m(2) was associated with prevalent and incident AF in unadjusted, but not multivariate analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Impaired kidney function, as measured by cystatin C, is an independent marker of prevalent AF; however, neither cystatin C nor eGFR are predictors of incident AF.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Atrial Fibrillation; Cohort Studies; Cross-Sectional Studies; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Kidney Diseases; Kidney Function Tests; Male

Independent susceptibility markers for atrial fibrillation on chromosome 4q25. - Lubitz, Steven A; Sinner, Moritz F; Lunetta, Kathryn L; Makino, Seiko; Pfeufer, Arne; Rahman, Rosanna; Veltman, Caroline E; Barnard, John; Bis, Joshua C; Danik, Stephan P; Sonni, Akshata; Shea, Marisa A; et al. (Circulation, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Genetic variants on chromosome 4q25 are associated with atrial fibrillation (AF). We sought to determine whether there is more than 1 susceptibility signal at this locus. METHODS AND RESULTS: Thirty-four haplotype-tagging single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at the 4q25 locus were genotyped in 790 case and 1177 control subjects from Massachusetts General Hospital and tested for association with AF. We replicated SNPs associated with AF after adjustment for the most significantly associated SNP in 5066 case and 30 661 referent subjects from the German Competence Network for Atrial Fibrillation, Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities Study, Cleveland Clinic Lone AF Study, Cardiovascular Health Study, and Rotterdam Study. All subjects were of European ancestry. A multimarker risk score composed of SNPs that tagged distinct AF susceptibility signals was constructed and tested for association with AF, and all results were subjected to meta-analysis. The previously reported SNP, rs2200733, was most significantly associated with AF (minor allele odds ratio 1.80, 95% confidence interval 1.50 to 2.15, P=1.2 x 10(-20)) in the discovery sample. Adjustment for rs2200733 genotype revealed 2 additional susceptibility signals marked by rs17570669 and rs3853445. A graded risk of AF was observed with an increasing number of AF risk alleles at SNPs that tagged these 3 susceptibility signals. CONCLUSIONS: We identified 2 novel AF susceptibility signals on chromosome 4q25. Consideration of multiple susceptibility signals at chromosome 4q25 identifies individuals with an increased risk of AF and may localize regulatory elements at the locus with biological relevance in the pathogenesis of AF.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Atrial Fibrillation; Chromosome Mapping; Chromosomes, Human, Pair 4; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Markers; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Haplotypes; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk Factors

Interactions of dietary whole-grain intake with fasting glucose- and insulin-related genetic loci in individuals of European descent: a meta-analysis of 14 cohort studies. - Nettleton, Jennifer A; McKeown, Nicola M; Kanoni, Stavroula; Lemaitre, Rozenn N; Hivert, Marie-France; Ngwa, Julius; van Rooij, Frank J A; Sonestedt, Emily; Wojczynski, Mary K; Ye, Zheng; Tanaka, Tosh; Garcia, Melissa; et al. (Diabetes Care, 2010)
OBJECTIVE: Whole-grain foods are touted for multiple health benefits, including enhancing insulin sensitivity and reducing type 2 diabetes risk. Recent genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified several single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with fasting glucose and insulin concentrations in individuals free of diabetes. We tested the hypothesis that whole-grain food intake and genetic variation interact to influence concentrations of fasting glucose and insulin. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Via meta-analysis of data from 14 cohorts comprising ∼ 48,000 participants of European descent, we studied interactions of whole-grain intake with loci previously associated in GWAS with fasting glucose (16 loci) and/or insulin (2 loci) concentrations. For tests of interaction, we considered a P value <0.0028 (0.05 of 18 tests) as statistically significant. RESULTS: Greater whole-grain food intake was associated with lower fasting glucose and insulin concentrations independent of demographics, other dietary and lifestyle factors, and BMI (β [95% CI] per 1-serving-greater whole-grain intake: -0.009 mmol/l glucose [-0.013 to -0.005], P < 0.0001 and -0.011 pmol/l [ln] insulin [-0.015 to -0.007], P = 0.0003). No interactions met our multiple testing-adjusted statistical significance threshold. The strongest SNP interaction with whole-grain intake was rs780094 (GCKR) for fasting insulin (P = 0.006), where greater whole-grain intake was associated with a smaller reduction in fasting insulin concentrations in those with the insulin-raising allele. CONCLUSIONS: Our results support the favorable association of whole-grain intake with fasting glucose and insulin and suggest a potential interaction between variation in GCKR and whole-grain intake in influencing fasting insulin concentrations.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Blood Glucose; Edible Grain; European Continental Ancestry Group; Fasting; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Humans; Insulin; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Large-scale genomic studies reveal central role of ABO in sP-selectin and sICAM-1 levels. - Barbalic, Maja; Dupuis, Josée; Dehghan, Abbas; Bis, Joshua C; Hoogeveen, Ron C; Schnabel, Renate B; Nambi, Vijay; Bretler, Monique; Smith, Nicholas L; Peters, Annette; Lu, Chen; Tracy, Russell P; et al. (Hum Mol Genet, 2010)
P-selectin and intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1) participate in inflammatory processes by promoting adhesion of leukocytes to vascular wall endothelium. Their soluble levels have been associated with adverse cardiovascular events. To identify loci affecting soluble levels of P-selectin (sP-selectin) and ICAM-1 (sICAM-1), we performed a genome-wide association study in a sample of 4115 (sP-selectin) and 9813 (sICAM-1) individuals of European ancestry as a part of The Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genome Epidemiology consortium. The most significant SNP association for sP-selectin was within the SELP gene (rs6136, P = 4.05 x 10(-61)) and for sICAM-1 levels within the ICAM-1 gene (rs3093030, P = 3.53 x 10(-23)). Both sP-selectin and sICAM-1 were associated with ABO gene variants (rs579459, P = 1.86 x 10(-41) and rs649129, P = 1.22 x 10(-15), respectively) and in both cases the observed associations could be accounted for by the A1 allele of the ABO blood group. The absence of an association between ABO blood group and platelet-bound P-selectin levels in an independent subsample (N = 1088) from the ARIC study, suggests that the ABO blood group may influence cleavage of the P-selectin protein from the cell surface or clearance from the circulation, rather than its production and cellular presentation. These results provide new insights into adhesion molecule biology.
Keywords: ABO Blood-Group System; Blood Platelets; Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay; European Continental Ancestry Group; Fluorescence; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Intercellular Adhesion Molecule-1; P-Selectin

Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A(2) and risk of coronary disease, stroke, and mortality: collaborative analysis of 32 prospective studies. - Thompson, Alexander; Gao, Pei; Orfei, Lia; Watson, Sarah; Di Angelantonio, Emanuele; Kaptoge, Stephen; Ballantyne, Christie; Cannon, Christopher P; Criqui, Michael; Cushman, Mary; Hofman, Albert; Packard, Chris; et al. (Lancet, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A(2) (Lp-PLA(2)), an inflammatory enzyme expressed in atherosclerotic plaques, is a therapeutic target being assessed in trials of vascular disease prevention. We investigated associations of circulating Lp-PLA(2) mass and activity with risk of coronary heart disease, stroke, and mortality under different circumstances. METHODS: With use of individual records from 79 036 participants in 32 prospective studies (yielding 17 722 incident fatal or non-fatal outcomes during 474 976 person-years at risk), we did a meta-analysis of within-study regressions to calculate risk ratios (RRs) per 1 SD higher value of Lp-PLA(2) or other risk factor. The primary outcome was coronary heart disease. FINDINGS: Lp-PLA(2) activity and mass were associated with each other (r=0.51, 95% CI 0.47-0.56) and proatherogenic lipids. We noted roughly log-linear associations of Lp-PLA(2) activity and mass with risk of coronary heart disease and vascular death. RRs, adjusted for conventional risk factors, were: 1.10 (95% CI 1.05-1.16) with Lp-PLA(2) activity and 1.11 (1.07-1.16) with Lp-PLA(2) mass for coronary heart disease; 1.08 (0.97-1.20) and 1.14 (1.02-1.27) for ischaemic stroke; 1.16 (1.09-1.24) and 1.13 (1.05-1.22) for vascular mortality; and 1.10 (1.04-1.17) and 1.10 (1.03-1.18) for non-vascular mortality, respectively. RRs with Lp-PLA(2) did not differ significantly in people with and without initial stable vascular disease, apart from for vascular death with Lp-PLA(2) mass. Adjusted RRs for coronary heart disease were 1.10 (1.02-1.18) with non-HDL cholesterol and 1.10 (1.00-1.21) with systolic blood pressure. INTERPRETATION: Lp-PLA(2) activity and mass each show continuous associations with risk of coronary heart disease, similar in magnitude to that with non-HDL cholesterol or systolic blood pressure in this population. Associations of Lp-PLA(2) mass and activity are not exclusive to vascular outcomes, and the vascular associations depend at least partly on lipids. FUNDING: UK Medical Research Council, GlaxoSmithKline, and British Heart Foundation.
Keywords: 1-Alkyl-2-acetylglycerophosphocholine Esterase; Blood Pressure; Coronary Disease; Female; Humans; Linear Models; Lipids; Male; Middle Aged; Prospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Stroke; Systole

Meta-analyses of genome-wide association studies identify multiple loci associated with pulmonary function. - Hancock, Dana B; Eijgelsheim, Mark; Wilk, Jemma B; Gharib, Sina A; Loehr, Laura R; Marciante, Kristin D; Franceschini, Nora; van Durme, Yannick M T A; Chen, Ting-Hsu; Barr, R Graham; Schabath, Matthew B; Couper, David J; et al. (Nat Genet, 2010)
Spirometric measures of lung function are heritable traits that reflect respiratory health and predict morbidity and mortality. We meta-analyzed genome-wide association studies for two clinically important lung-function measures: forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV(1)) and its ratio to forced vital capacity (FEV(1)/FVC), an indicator of airflow obstruction. This meta-analysis included 20,890 participants of European ancestry from four CHARGE Consortium studies: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities, Cardiovascular Health Study, Framingham Heart Study and Rotterdam Study. We identified eight loci associated with FEV(1)/FVC (HHIP, GPR126, ADAM19, AGER-PPT2, FAM13A, PTCH1, PID1 and HTR4) and one locus associated with FEV(1) (INTS12-GSTCD-NPNT) at or near genome-wide significance (P < 5 x 10(-8)) in the CHARGE Consortium dataset. Our findings may offer insights into pulmonary function and pathogenesis of chronic lung disease.
Keywords: Databases, Genetic; Female; Forced Expiratory Volume; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome, Human; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Lung; Lung Diseases; Male; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Spirometry; Vital Capacity

Meta-analysis identifies 13 new loci associated with waist-hip ratio and reveals sexual dimorphism in the genetic basis of fat distribution. - Heid, Iris M; Jackson, Anne U; Randall, Joshua C; Winkler, Thomas W; Qi, Lu; Steinthorsdottir, Valgerdur; Thorleifsson, Gudmar; Zillikens, M Carola; Speliotes, Elizabeth K; Mägi, Reedik; Workalemahu, Tsegaselassie; White, Charles C; et al. (Nat Genet, 2010)
Waist-hip ratio (WHR) is a measure of body fat distribution and a predictor of metabolic consequences independent of overall adiposity. WHR is heritable, but few genetic variants influencing this trait have been identified. We conducted a meta-analysis of 32 genome-wide association studies for WHR adjusted for body mass index (comprising up to 77,167 participants), following up 16 loci in an additional 29 studies (comprising up to 113,636 subjects). We identified 13 new loci in or near RSPO3, VEGFA, TBX15-WARS2, NFE2L3, GRB14, DNM3-PIGC, ITPR2-SSPN, LY86, HOXC13, ADAMTS9, ZNRF3-KREMEN1, NISCH-STAB1 and CPEB4 (P = 1.9 × 10⁻⁹ to P = 1.8 × 10⁻⁴⁰) and the known signal at LYPLAL1. Seven of these loci exhibited marked sexual dimorphism, all with a stronger effect on WHR in women than men (P for sex difference = 1.9 × 10⁻³ to P = 1.2 × 10⁻¹³). These findings provide evidence for multiple loci that modulate body fat distribution independent of overall adiposity and reveal strong gene-by-sex interactions.
Keywords: Adipose Tissue; Age Factors; Chromosome Mapping; Female; Genome, Human; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Sex Characteristics; Waist-Hip Ratio

A meta-analysis of four genome-wide association studies of survival to age 90 years or older: the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology Consortium. - Newman, Anne B; Walter, Stefan; Lunetta, Kathryn L; Garcia, Melissa E; Slagboom, P Eline; Christensen, Kaare; Arnold, Alice M; Aspelund, Thor; Aulchenko, Yurii S; Benjamin, Emelia J; Christiansen, Lene; D'Agostino, Ralph B; et al. (J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) may yield insights into longevity. METHODS: We performed a meta-analysis of GWAS in Caucasians from four prospective cohort studies: the Age, Gene/Environment Susceptibility-Reykjavik Study, the Cardiovascular Health Study, the Framingham Heart Study, and the Rotterdam Study participating in the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium. Longevity was defined as survival to age 90 years or older (n = 1,836); the comparison group comprised cohort members who died between the ages of 55 and 80 years (n = 1,955). In a second discovery stage, additional genotyping was conducted in the Leiden Longevity Study cohort and the Danish 1905 cohort. RESULTS: There were 273 single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) associations with p < .0001, but none reached the prespecified significance level of 5 x 10(-8). Of the most significant SNPs, 24 were independent signals, and 16 of these SNPs were successfully genotyped in the second discovery stage, with one association for rs9664222, reaching 6.77 x 10(-7) for the combined meta-analysis of CHARGE and the stage 2 cohorts. The SNP lies in a region near MINPP1 (chromosome 10), a well-conserved gene involved in regulation of cellular proliferation. The minor allele was associated with lower odds of survival past age 90 (odds ratio = 0.82). Associations of interest in a homologue of the longevity assurance gene (LASS3) and PAPPA2 were not strengthened in the second stage. CONCLUSION: Survival studies of larger size or more extreme or specific phenotypes may support or refine these initial findings.
Keywords: Adult; Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alleles; Cohort Studies; Confidence Intervals; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Humans; Longevity; Male; Middle Aged; Odds Ratio; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Multiple genetic loci influence serum urate levels and their relationship with gout and cardiovascular disease risk factors. - Yang, Qiong; Köttgen, Anna; Dehghan, Abbas; Smith, Albert V; Glazer, Nicole L; Chen, Ming-Huei; Chasman, Daniel I; Aspelund, Thor; Eiriksdottir, Gudny; Harris, Tamara B; Launer, Lenore; Nalls, Michael; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Elevated serum urate levels can lead to gout and are associated with cardiovascular risk factors. We performed a genome-wide association study to search for genetic susceptibility loci for serum urate and gout and investigated the causal nature of the associations of serum urate with gout and selected cardiovascular risk factors and coronary heart disease (CHD). METHODS AND RESULTS: Meta-analyses of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) were performed in 5 population-based cohorts of the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genome Epidemiology consortium for serum urate and gout in 28 283 white participants. The effect of the most significant single-nucleotide polymorphism at all genome-wide significant loci on serum urate was added to create a genetic urate score. Findings were replicated in the Women's Genome Health Study (n=22 054). Single-nucleotide polymorphisms at 8 genetic loci achieved genome-wide significance with serum urate levels (P=4×10(-8) to 2×10(-242) in SLC22A11, GCKR, R3HDM2-INHBC region, RREB1, PDZK1, SLC2A9, ABCG2, and SLC17A1). Only 2 loci (SLC2A9, ABCG2) showed genome-wide significant association with gout. The genetic urate score was strongly associated with serum urate and gout (odds ratio, 12.4 per 100 μmol/L; P=3×10(-39)) but not with blood pressure, glucose, estimated glomerular filtration rate, chronic kidney disease, or CHD. The lack of association between the genetic score and the latter phenotypes also was observed in the Women's Genome Health Study. CONCLUSIONS: The genetic urate score analysis suggested a causal relationship between serum urate and gout but did not provide evidence for one between serum urate and cardiovascular risk factors and CHD.
Keywords: Cardiovascular Diseases; Coronary Disease; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Gout; Humans; Male; Risk Factors; Uric Acid

New genetic loci implicated in fasting glucose homeostasis and their impact on type 2 diabetes risk. - Dupuis, Josée; Langenberg, Claudia; Prokopenko, Inga; Saxena, Richa; Soranzo, Nicole; Jackson, Anne U; Wheeler, Eleanor; Glazer, Nicole L; Bouatia-Naji, Nabila; Gloyn, Anna L; Lindgren, Cecilia M; Mägi, Reedik; et al. (Nat Genet, 2010)
Levels of circulating glucose are tightly regulated. To identify new loci influencing glycemic traits, we performed meta-analyses of 21 genome-wide association studies informative for fasting glucose, fasting insulin and indices of beta-cell function (HOMA-B) and insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) in up to 46,186 nondiabetic participants. Follow-up of 25 loci in up to 76,558 additional subjects identified 16 loci associated with fasting glucose and HOMA-B and two loci associated with fasting insulin and HOMA-IR. These include nine loci newly associated with fasting glucose (in or near ADCY5, MADD, ADRA2A, CRY2, FADS1, GLIS3, SLC2A2, PROX1 and C2CD4B) and one influencing fasting insulin and HOMA-IR (near IGF1). We also demonstrated association of ADCY5, PROX1, GCK, GCKR and DGKB-TMEM195 with type 2 diabetes. Within these loci, likely biological candidate genes influence signal transduction, cell proliferation, development, glucose-sensing and circadian regulation. Our results demonstrate that genetic studies of glycemic traits can identify type 2 diabetes risk loci, as well as loci containing gene variants that are associated with a modest elevation in glucose levels but are not associated with overt diabetes.
Keywords: Adolescent; Adult; Alleles; Blood Glucose; Child; Databases, Genetic; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; DNA Copy Number Variations; Fasting; Gene Expression Regulation; Genetic Loci; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Homeostasis; Humans; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Quantitative Trait Loci; Quantitative Trait, Heritable; Reproducibility of Results

New loci associated with kidney function and chronic kidney disease. - Köttgen, Anna; Pattaro, Cristian; Böger, Carsten A; Fuchsberger, Christian; Olden, Matthias; Glazer, Nicole L; Parsa, Afshin; Gao, Xiaoyi; Yang, Qiong; Smith, Albert V; O'Connell, Jeffrey R; Li, Man; et al. (Nat Genet, 2010)
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a significant public health problem, and recent genetic studies have identified common CKD susceptibility variants. The CKDGen consortium performed a meta-analysis of genome-wide association data in 67,093 individuals of European ancestry from 20 predominantly population-based studies in order to identify new susceptibility loci for reduced renal function as estimated by serum creatinine (eGFRcrea), serum cystatin c (eGFRcys) and CKD (eGFRcrea < 60 ml/min/1.73 m(2); n = 5,807 individuals with CKD (cases)). Follow-up of the 23 new genome-wide-significant loci (P < 5 x 10(-8)) in 22,982 replication samples identified 13 new loci affecting renal function and CKD (in or near LASS2, GCKR, ALMS1, TFDP2, DAB2, SLC34A1, VEGFA, PRKAG2, PIP5K1B, ATXN2, DACH1, UBE2Q2 and SLC7A9) and 7 loci suspected to affect creatinine production and secretion (CPS1, SLC22A2, TMEM60, WDR37, SLC6A13, WDR72 and BCAS3). These results further our understanding of the biologic mechanisms of kidney function by identifying loci that potentially influence nephrogenesis, podocyte function, angiogenesis, solute transport and metabolic functions of the kidney.
Keywords: Cohort Studies; Creatinine; Cystatin C; Diet; Europe; Genetic Markers; Genome-Wide Association Study; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Kidney; Kidney Failure, Chronic; Models, Genetic; Risk Factors

A novel approach to prediction of mild obstructive sleep disordered breathing in a population-based sample: the Sleep Heart Health Study. - Caffo, Brian; Diener-West, Marie; Punjabi, Naresh M; Samet, Jonathan (Sleep, 2010)
This manuscript considers a data-mining approach for the prediction of mild obstructive sleep disordered breathing, defined as an elevated respiratory disturbance index (RDI), in 5,530 participants in a community-based study, the Sleep Heart Health Study. The prediction algorithm was built using modern ensemble learning algorithms, boosting in specific, which allowed for assessing potential high-dimensional interactions between predictor variables or classifiers. To evaluate the performance of the algorithm, the data were split into training and validation sets for varying thresholds for predicting the probability of a high RDI (≥7 events per hour in the given results). Based on a moderate classification threshold from the boosting algorithm, the estimated post-test odds of a high RDI were 2.20 times higher than the pre-test odds given a positive test, while the corresponding post-test odds were decreased by 52% given a negative test (sensitivity and specificity of 0.66 and 0.70, respectively). In rank order, the following variables had the largest impact on prediction performance: neck circumference, body mass index, age, snoring frequency, waist circumference, and snoring loudness.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Algorithms; Body Mass Index; Cohort Studies; Female; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Predictive Value of Tests; Risk Factors; ROC Curve; Sleep Apnea Syndromes; Snoring; Waist Circumference

Novel associations of multiple genetic loci with plasma levels of factor VII, factor VIII, and von Willebrand factor: The CHARGE (Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genome Epidemiology) Consortium. - Smith, Nicholas L; Chen, Ming-Huei; Dehghan, Abbas; Strachan, David P; Basu, Saonli; Soranzo, Nicole; Hayward, Caroline; Rudan, Igor; Sabater-Lleal, Maria; Bis, Joshua C; de Maat, Moniek P M; Rumley, Ann; et al. (Circulation, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Plasma levels of coagulation factors VII (FVII), VIII (FVIII), and von Willebrand factor (vWF) influence risk of hemorrhage and thrombosis. We conducted genome-wide association studies to identify new loci associated with plasma levels. METHODS AND RESULTS: The setting of the study included 5 community-based studies for discovery comprising 23 608 European-ancestry participants: Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities Study, Cardiovascular Health Study, British 1958 Birth Cohort, Framingham Heart Study, and Rotterdam Study. All subjects had genome-wide single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) scans and at least 1 phenotype measured: FVII activity/antigen, FVIII activity, and vWF antigen. Each study used its genotype data to impute to HapMap SNPs and independently conducted association analyses of hemostasis measures using an additive genetic model. Study findings were combined by meta-analysis. Replication was conducted in 7604 participants not in the discovery cohort. For FVII, 305 SNPs exceeded the genome-wide significance threshold of 5.0x10(-8) and comprised 5 loci on 5 chromosomes: 2p23 (smallest P value 6.2x10(-24)), 4q25 (3.6x10(-12)), 11q12 (2.0x10(-10)), 13q34 (9.0x10(-259)), and 20q11.2 (5.7x10(-37)). Loci were within or near genes, including 4 new candidate genes and F7 (13q34). For vWF, 400 SNPs exceeded the threshold and marked 8 loci on 6 chromosomes: 6q24 (1.2x10(-22)), 8p21 (1.3x10(-16)), 9q34 (<5.0x10(-324)), 12p13 (1.7x10(-32)), 12q23 (7.3x10(-10)), 12q24.3 (3.8x10(-11)), 14q32 (2.3x10(-10)), and 19p13.2 (1.3x10(-9)). All loci were within genes, including 6 new candidate genes, as well as ABO (9q34) and VWF (12p13). For FVIII, 5 loci were identified and overlapped vWF findings. Nine of the 10 new findings were replicated. CONCLUSIONS: New genetic associations were discovered outside previously known biological pathways and may point to novel prevention and treatment targets of hemostasis disorders.
Keywords: Adult; Factor VII; Factor VIII; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Hemostasis; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Thrombosis; von Willebrand Factor

Obesity is linked with lower brain volume in 700 AD and MCI patients. - Ho, April J; Raji, Cyrus A; Becker, James T; Lopez, Oscar L; Kuller, Lewis H; Hua, Xue; Lee, Suh; Hibar, Derrek; Dinov, Ivo D; Stein, Jason L; Jack, Clifford R; Weiner, Michael W; et al. (Neurobiol Aging, 2010)
Obesity is associated with lower brain volumes in cognitively normal elderly subjects, but no study has yet investigated the effects of obesity on brain structure in patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or Alzheimer's disease (AD). To determine if higher body mass index (BMI) is associated with brain volume deficits in cognitively impaired elderly subjects, we analyzed brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans of 700 MCI or AD patients from 2 different cohorts: the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) and the Cardiovascular Health Study-Cognition Study (CHS-CS). Tensor-based morphometry (TBM) was used to create 3-dimensional maps of regional tissue excess or deficits in subjects with MCI (ADNI, n = 399; CHS-CS, n = 77) and AD (ADNI, n = 188; CHS, n = 36). In both AD and MCI groups, higher body mass index was associated with brain volume deficits in frontal, temporal, parietal, and occipital lobes; the atrophic pattern was consistent in both ADNI and CHS populations. Cardiovascular risk factors, especially obesity, should be considered as influencing brain structure in those already afflicted by cognitive impairment and dementia.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Atrophy; Body Mass Index; Brain; Cognition Disorders; Cohort Studies; Female; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Male; Obesity; Organ Size; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors

Obstructive sleep apnea-hypopnea and incident stroke: the sleep heart health study. - Redline, Susan; Yenokyan, Gayane; Gottlieb, Daniel J; Shahar, Eyal; O'Connor, George T; Resnick, Helaine E; Diener-West, Marie; Sanders, Mark H; Wolf, Philip A; Geraghty, Estella M; Ali, Tauqeer; Lebowitz, Michael; et al. (Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 2010)
RATIONALE: Although obstructive sleep apnea is associated with physiological perturbations that increase risk of hypertension and are proatherogenic, it is uncertain whether sleep apnea is associated with increased stroke risk in the general population. OBJECTIVES: To quantify the incidence of ischemic stroke with sleep apnea in a community-based sample of men and women across a wide range of sleep apnea. METHODS: Baseline polysomnography was performed between 1995 and 1998 in a longitudinal cohort study. The primary exposure was the obstructive apnea-hypopnea index (OAHI) and outcome was incident ischemic stroke. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A total of 5,422 participants without a history of stroke at the baseline examination and untreated for sleep apnea were followed for a median of 8.7 years. One hundred ninety-three ischemic strokes were observed. In covariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models, a significant positive association between ischemic stroke and OAHI was observed in men (P value for linear trend: P = 0.016). Men in the highest OAHI quartile (>19) had an adjusted hazard ratio of 2.86 (95% confidence interval, 1.1-7.4). In the mild to moderate range (OAHI, 5-25), each one-unit increase in OAHI in men was estimated to increase stroke risk by 6% (95% confidence interval, 2-10%). In women, stroke was not significantly associated with OAHI quartiles, but increased risk was observed at an OAHI greater than 25. CONCLUSIONS: The strong adjusted association between ischemic stroke and OAHI in community-dwelling men with mild to moderate sleep apnea suggests that this is an appropriate target for future stroke prevention trials.
Keywords: Aged; Female; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Middle Aged; Polysomnography; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Severity of Illness Index; Sex Factors; Sleep Apnea, Obstructive; Stroke

Parity and the association with diabetes in older women. - Fowler-Brown, Angela G; de Boer, Ian H; Catov, Janet M; Carnethon, Mercedes R; Kamineni, Aruna; Kuller, Lewis H; Siscovick, David S; Mukamal, Kenneth J (Diabetes Care, 2010)
OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationship of parity with diabetes and markers of glucose homeostasis in older women. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We used data from the female participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a longitudinal cohort of adults aged >or=65 years. These data included an assessment of parity (baseline) and fasting serum levels of glucose, insulin, and medication use (baseline and follow-up). We estimated both the cross-sectional relationship of parity with baseline diabetes and the relationship of parity with incident diabetes. RESULTS: In unadjusted analyses, women with grand multiparity (>or=5 live births) had a higher prevalence of diabetes at baseline compared with those with fewer births and with nulliparous women (25 vs. 12 vs. 15%; P < 0.001). In regression models controlling for age and race, grand multiparity was associated with increased prevalence of diabetes (prevalence ratio 1.57 [95% CI 1.20-2.06]); with addition of demographic and clinical factors to the model, the association was attenuated (1.33 [1.00-1.77]). In final models that included body anthropometrics, the association was no longer significant (1.21 [0.86-1.49]). In those without diabetes at baseline, parity was not associated with incident diabetes or with fasting glucose; however, there was a modest association of parity with fasting insulin and homeostasis assessment model of insulin resistance. CONCLUSIONS: Grand multiparity is associated with diabetes in elderly women in cross-sectional analyses. This relationship seems to be confounded and/or mediated by variation in body weight and sociodemographic factors by parity status. In older nondiabetic women, higher parity does not pose an ongoing risk of developing diabetes.
Keywords: Aged; Body Weight; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diabetes Mellitus; Female; Humans; Parity; Pregnancy; Socioeconomic Factors

Physical activity and years of healthy life in older adults: results from the cardiovascular health study. - Hirsch, Calvin H; Diehr, Paula; Newman, Anne B; Gerrior, Shirley A; Pratt, Charlotte; Lebowitz, Michael D; Jackson, Sharon A (J Aging Phys Act, 2010)
Little is known about how many years of life and disability-free years seniors can gain through exercise. Using data from the Cardiovascular Health Study, the authors estimated the extra years of life and self-reported healthy life (over 11 years) and years without impairment in activities of daily living (over 6 years) associated with quintiles of physical activity (PA) in older adults from different age groups. They estimated PA from the Minnesota Leisure Time Activities Questionnaire. Multivariable linear regression adjusted for health-related covariates. The relative gains in survival and years of healthy life (YHL) generally were proportionate to the amount of PA, greater among those 75+, and higher in men. Compared with being sedentary, the most active men 75+ had 1.49 more YHL (95% CI: 0.79, 2.19), and the most active women 75+ had 1.06 more YHL (95% CI: 0.44, 1.68). Seniors over age 74 experience the largest relative gains in survival and healthy life from physical activity.
Keywords: Activities of Daily Living; Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; Exercise; Female; Health Behavior; Health Status; Humans; Leisure Activities; Life Style; Male; Quality-Adjusted Life Years; Sex Factors

Prevalence, incidence, and persistence of major depressive symptoms in the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Thielke, Stephen M; Diehr, Paula; Unutzer, Jurgen (Aging Ment Health, 2010)
PURPOSE: To explore the association of major depressive symptoms with advancing age, sex, and self-rated health among older adults. DESIGN AND METHODS: We analyzed 10 years of annual assessments in a longitudinal cohort of 5888 Medicare recipients in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Self-rated health was assessed with a single question, and subjects categorized as healthy or sick. Major depressive symptoms were assessed using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Short Depression Scale, with subjects categorized as nondepressed (score < 10) or depressed (> or =10). Age-, sex-, and health-specific prevalence of depression and the probabilities of transition between depressed and nondepressed states were estimated. RESULTS: The prevalence of a major depressive state was higher in women, and increased with advancing age. The probability of becoming depressed increased with advancing age among the healthy but not the sick. Women showed a greater probability than men of becoming depressed, regardless of health status. Major depressive symptoms persisted over one-year intervals in about 60% of the healthy and 75% of the sick, with little difference between men and women. IMPLICATIONS: Clinically significant depressive symptoms occur commonly in older adults, especially women, increase with advancing age, are associated with poor self-rated health, and are largely intransigent. In order to limit the deleterious consequences of depression among older adults, increased attention to prevention, screening, and treatment is warranted. A self-rated health item could be used in clinical settings to refine the prognosis of late-life depression.
Keywords: Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aging; Cohort Studies; Depression; Depressive Disorder, Major; Female; Geriatric Assessment; Health Status; Humans; Incidence; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Personality Assessment; Prevalence; Psychiatric Status Rating Scales; Quality of Life; Sex Factors; Surveys and Questionnaires

Prevalence of asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis in the general population: an individual participant data meta-analysis. - de Weerd, Marjolein; Greving, Jacoba P; Hedblad, Bo; Lorenz, Matthias W; Mathiesen, Ellisiv B; O'Leary, Daniel H; Rosvall, Maria; Sitzer, Matthias; Buskens, Erik; Bots, Michiel L (Stroke, 2010)
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: In the discussion on the cost-effectiveness of screening, precise estimates of severe asymptomatic carotid stenosis are vital. Accordingly, we assessed the prevalence of moderate and severe asymptomatic carotid stenosis by age and sex using pooled cohort data. METHODS: We performed an individual participant data meta-analysis (23 706 participants) of 4 population-based studies (Malmö Diet and Cancer Study, Tromsø, Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression Study, and Cardiovascular Health Study). Outcomes of interest were asymptomatic moderate (> or =50%) and severe carotid stenosis (> or =70%). RESULTS: Prevalence of moderate asymptomatic carotid stenosis ranged from 0.2% (95% CI, 0.0% to 0.4%) in men aged <50 years to 7.5% (5.2% to 10.5%) in men aged > or =80 years. For women, this prevalence increased from 0% (0% to 0.2%) to 5.0% (3.1% to 7.5%). Prevalence of severe asymptomatic carotid stenosis ranged from 0.1% (0.0% to 0.3%) in men aged <50 years to 3.1% (1.7% to 5.3%) in men aged > or =80. For women, this prevalence increased from 0% (0.0% to 0.2%) to 0.9% (0.3% to 2.4%). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of severe asymptomatic carotid stenosis in the general population ranges from 0% to 3.1%, which is useful information in the discussion on the cost-effectiveness of screening.
Keywords: Adult; Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Carotid Stenosis; Female; Humans; Male; Mass Screening; Middle Aged; Prevalence; Severity of Illness Index; Sex Factors

Prospective study of obstructive sleep apnea and incident coronary heart disease and heart failure: the sleep heart health study. - Gottlieb, Daniel J; Yenokyan, Gayane; Newman, Anne B; O'Connor, George T; Punjabi, Naresh M; Quan, Stuart F; Redline, Susan; Resnick, Helaine E; Tong, Elisa K; Diener-West, Marie; Shahar, Eyal (Circulation, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Clinic-based observational studies in men have reported that obstructive sleep apnea is associated with an increased incidence of coronary heart disease. The objective of this study was to assess the relation of obstructive sleep apnea to incident coronary heart disease and heart failure in a general community sample of adult men and women. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 1927 men and 2495 women > or =40 years of age and free of coronary heart disease and heart failure at the time of baseline polysomnography were followed up for a median of 8.7 years in this prospective longitudinal epidemiological study. After adjustment for multiple risk factors, obstructive sleep apnea was a significant predictor of incident coronary heart disease (myocardial infarction, revascularization procedure, or coronary heart disease death) only in men < or =70 years of age (adjusted hazard ratio 1.10 [95% confidence interval 1.00 to 1.21] per 10-unit increase in apnea-hypopnea index [AHI]) but not in older men or in women of any age. Among men 40 to 70 years old, those with AHI > or =30 were 68% more likely to develop coronary heart disease than those with AHI <5. Obstructive sleep apnea predicted incident heart failure in men but not in women (adjusted hazard ratio 1.13 [95% confidence interval 1.02 to 1.26] per 10-unit increase in AHI). Men with AHI > or =30 were 58% more likely to develop heart failure than those with AHI <5. CONCLUSIONS: Obstructive sleep apnea is associated with an increased risk of incident heart failure in community-dwelling middle-aged and older men; its association with incident coronary heart disease in this sample is equivocal.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Coronary Disease; Female; Heart Failure; Humans; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Middle Aged; Polysomnography; Proportional Hazards Models; Prospective Studies; Sleep Apnea, Obstructive; Survival Analysis

Triglyceride-mediated pathways and coronary disease: collaborative analysis of 101 studies. - Sarwar, Nadeem; Sandhu, Manjinder S; Ricketts, Sally L; Butterworth, Adam S; Di Angelantonio, Emanuele; Boekholdt, S Matthijs; Ouwehand, Willem; Watkins, Hugh; Samani, Nilesh J; Saleheen, Danish; Lawlor, Debbie; Reilly, Muredach P; et al. (Lancet, 2010)
BACKGROUND: Whether triglyceride-mediated pathways are causally relevant to coronary heart disease is uncertain. We studied a genetic variant that regulates triglyceride concentration to help judge likelihood of causality. METHODS: We assessed the -1131T>C (rs662799) promoter polymorphism of the apolipoprotein A5 (APOA5) gene in relation to triglyceride concentration, several other risk factors, and risk of coronary heart disease. We compared disease risk for genetically-raised triglyceride concentration (20,842 patients with coronary heart disease, 35,206 controls) with that recorded for equivalent differences in circulating triglyceride concentration in prospective studies (302 430 participants with no history of cardiovascular disease; 12,785 incident cases of coronary heart disease during 2.79 million person-years at risk). We analysed -1131T>C in 1795 people without a history of cardiovascular disease who had information about lipoprotein concentration and diameter obtained by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. FINDINGS: The minor allele frequency of -1131T>C was 8% (95% CI 7-9). -1131T>C was not significantly associated with several non-lipid risk factors or LDL cholesterol, and it was modestly associated with lower HDL cholesterol (mean difference per C allele 3.5% [95% CI 2.6-4.6]; 0.053 mmol/L [0.039-0.068]), lower apolipoprotein AI (1.3% [0.3-2.3]; 0.023 g/L [0.005-0.041]), and higher apolipoprotein B (3.2% [1.3-5.1]; 0.027 g/L [0.011-0.043]). By contrast, for every C allele inherited, mean triglyceride concentration was 16.0% (95% CI 12.9-18.7), or 0.25 mmol/L (0.20-0.29), higher (p=4.4x10(-24)). The odds ratio for coronary heart disease was 1.18 (95% CI 1.11-1.26; p=2.6x10(-7)) per C allele, which was concordant with the hazard ratio of 1.10 (95% CI 1.08-1.12) per 16% higher triglyceride concentration recorded in prospective studies. -1131T>C was significantly associated with higher VLDL particle concentration (mean difference per C allele 12.2 nmol/L [95% CI 7.7-16.7]; p=9.3x10(-8)) and smaller HDL particle size (0.14 nm [0.08-0.20]; p=7.0x10(-5)), factors that could mediate the effects of triglyceride. INTERPRETATION: These data are consistent with a causal association between triglyceride-mediated pathways and coronary heart disease. FUNDING: British Heart Foundation, UK Medical Research Council, Novartis.
Keywords: Apolipoprotein A-V; Apolipoproteins; Apolipoproteins A; Coronary Disease; Gene Frequency; Genotype; Humans; Lipids; Lipoproteins, HDL; Lipoproteins, LDL; Lipoproteins, VLDL; Mendelian Randomization Analysis; Particle Size; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Promoter Regions, Genetic; Risk Factors; Triglycerides

Validation of an atrial fibrillation risk algorithm in whites and African Americans. - Schnabel, Renate B; Aspelund, Thor; Li, Guo; Sullivan, Lisa M; Suchy-Dicey, Astrid; Harris, Tamara B; Pencina, Michael J; D'Agostino, Ralph B; Levy, Daniel; Kannel, William B; Wang, Thomas J; Kronmal, Richard A; et al. (Arch Intern Med, 2010)
BACKGROUND: We sought to validate a recently published risk algorithm for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) in independent cohorts and other racial groups. METHODS: We evaluated the performance of a Framingham Heart Study (FHS)-derived risk algorithm modified for 5-year incidence of AF in the FHS (n = 4764 participants) and 2 geographically and racially diverse cohorts in the age range 45 to 95 years: AGES (the Age, Gene/Environment Susceptibility-Reykjavik Study) (n = 4238) and CHS (the Cardiovascular Health Study) (n = 5410, of whom 874 [16.2%] were African Americans). The risk algorithm included age, sex, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, electrocardiographic PR interval, hypertension treatment, and heart failure. RESULTS: We found 1359 incident AF events in 100 074 person-years of follow-up. Unadjusted 5-year event rates differed by cohort (AGES, 12.8 cases/1000 person-years; CHS whites, 22.7 cases/1000 person-years; and FHS, 4.5 cases/1000 person-years) and by race (CHS African Americans, 18.4 cases/1000 person-years). The strongest risk factors in all samples were age and heart failure. The relative risks for incident AF associated with risk factors were comparable across cohorts and race groups. After recalibration for baseline incidence and risk factor distribution, the Framingham algorithm, reported in C statistic, performed reasonably well in all samples: AGES, 0.67 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.64-0.71); CHS whites, 0.68 (95% CI, 0.66-0.70); and CHS African Americans, 0.66 (95% CI, 0.61-0.71). Risk factors combined in the algorithm explained between 47.0% (AGES) and 63.6% (FHS) of the population-attributable risk. CONCLUSIONS: Risk of incident AF in community-dwelling whites and African Americans can be assessed reliably by routinely available and potentially modifiable clinical variables. Seven risk factors accounted for up to 64% of risk.
Keywords: African Continental Ancestry Group; Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Algorithms; Atrial Fibrillation; Blood Pressure; Body Mass Index; Cohort Studies; Electrocardiography; Europe; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Heart Failure; Humans; Hypertension; Incidence; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Male; Middle Aged; Proportional Hazards Models; Risk Factors; Sex Factors; Systole; United States

Antihypertensive medication use and change in kidney function in elderly adults: a marginal structural model analysis. - Odden, Michelle C; Tager, Ira B; van der Laan, Mark J; Delaney, Joseph A C; Peralta, Carmen A; Katz, Ronit; Sarnak, Mark J; Psaty, Bruce M; Shlipak, Michael G (Int J Biostat, 2011)
BACKGROUND: The evidence for the effectiveness of antihypertensive medication use for slowing decline in kidney function in older persons is sparse. We addressed this research question by the application of novel methods in a marginal structural model. METHODS: Change in kidney function was measured by two or more measures of cystatin C in 1,576 hypertensive participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study over 7 years of follow-up (1989-1997 in four U.S. communities). The exposure of interest was antihypertensive medication use. We used a novel estimator in a marginal structural model to account for bias due to confounding and informative censoring. RESULTS: The mean annual decline in eGFR was 2.41 ± 4.91 mL/min/1.73 m(2). In unadjusted analysis, antihypertensive medication use was not associated with annual change in kidney function. Traditional multivariable regression did not substantially change these estimates. Based on a marginal structural analysis, persons on antihypertensives had slower declines in kidney function; participants had an estimated 0.88 (0.13, 1.63) ml/min/1.73 m(2) per year slower decline in eGFR compared with persons on no treatment. In a model that also accounted for bias due to informative censoring, the estimate for the treatment effect was 2.23 (-0.13, 4.59) ml/min/1.73 m(2) per year slower decline in eGFR. CONCLUSION: In summary, estimates from a marginal structural model suggested that antihypertensive therapy was associated with preserved kidney function in hypertensive elderly adults. Confirmatory studies may provide power to determine the strength and validity of the findings.
Keywords: Aged; Antihypertensive Agents; Cystatin C; Data Interpretation, Statistical; Female; Glomerular Filtration Rate; Humans; Hypertension; Kidney; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Models, Statistical

Association of body mass index with peripheral arterial disease in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. - Ix, Joachim H; Biggs, Mary L; Kizer, Jorge R; Mukamal, Kenneth J; Djoussé, Luc; Zieman, Susan J; de Boer, Ian H; Nelson, Tracy L; Newman, Anne B; Criqui, Michael H; Siscovick, David S (Am J Epidemiol, 2011)
The authors hypothesized that the absence of cross-sectional associations of body mass index (BMI; weight (kg)/height (m)(2)) with peripheral arterial disease (PAD) in prior studies may reflect lower weight among persons who smoke or have poor health status. They conducted an observational study among 5,419 noninstitutionalized residents of 4 US communities aged ≥ 65 years at baseline (1989-1990 or 1992-1993). Ankle brachial index was measured, and participants reported their history of PAD procedures. Participants were followed longitudinally for adjudicated incident PAD events. At baseline, mean BMI was 26.6 (standard deviation, 4.6), and 776 participants (14%) had prevalent PAD. During 13.2 (median) years of follow-up through June 30, 2007, 276 incident PAD events occurred. In cross-sectional analysis, each 5-unit increase in BMI was inversely associated with PAD (prevalence ratio (PR) = 0.92, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.85, 1.00). However, among persons in good health who had never smoked, the direction of association was opposite (PR = 1.20, 95% CI: 0.94, 1.52). Similar results were observed between BMI calculated using weight at age 50 years and PAD prevalence (PR = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.11, 1.51) and between BMI at baseline and incident PAD events occurring during follow-up (hazard ratio = 1.32, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.76) among never smokers in good health. Greater BMI is associated with PAD in older persons who remain healthy and have never smoked. Normal weight maintenance may decrease PAD incidence and associated comorbidity in older age.
Keywords: Aged; Ankle Brachial Index; Body Mass Index; Cross-Sectional Studies; Health Status; Humans; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Obesity; Peripheral Arterial Disease; Prevalence; Sex Factors; Smoking; United States

Association of eGFR-Related Loci Identified by GWAS with Incident CKD and ESRD. - Böger, Carsten A; Gorski, Mathias; Li, Man; Hoffmann, Michael M; Huang, Chunmei; Yang, Qiong; Teumer, Alexander; Krane, Vera; O'Seaghdha, Conall M; Kutalik, Zoltán; Wichmann, H-Erich; Haak, Thomas; et al. (PLoS Genet, 2011)
Family studies suggest a genetic component to the etiology of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end stage renal disease (ESRD). Previously, we identified 16 loci for eGFR in genome-wide association studies, but the associations of these single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) for incident CKD or ESRD are unknown. We thus investigated the association of these loci with incident CKD in 26,308 individuals of European ancestry free of CKD at baseline drawn from eight population-based cohorts followed for a median of 7.2 years (including 2,122 incident CKD cases defined as eGFR <60ml/min/1.73m(2) at follow-up) and with ESRD in four case-control studies in subjects of European ancestry (3,775 cases, 4,577 controls). SNPs at 11 of the 16 loci (UMOD, PRKAG2, ANXA9, DAB2, SHROOM3, DACH1, STC1, SLC34A1, ALMS1/NAT8, UBE2Q2, and GCKR) were associated with incident CKD; p-values ranged from p = 4.1e-9 in UMOD to p = 0.03 in GCKR. After adjusting for baseline eGFR, six of these loci remained significantly associated with incident CKD (UMOD, PRKAG2, ANXA9, DAB2, DACH1, and STC1). SNPs in UMOD (OR = 0.92, p = 0.04) and GCKR (OR = 0.93, p = 0.03) were nominally associated with ESRD. In summary, the majority of eGFR-related loci are either associated or show a strong trend towards association with incident CKD, but have modest associations with ESRD in individuals of European descent. Additional work is required to characterize the association of genetic determinants of CKD and ESRD at different stages of disease progression.
Keywords: Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing; Adult; Aged; Chronic Disease; Creatinine; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Genetic Association Studies; Humans; Kidney Diseases; Kidney Failure, Chronic; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Receptor, Epidermal Growth Factor; Uromodulin

Association of genetic variants and incident coronary heart disease in multiethnic cohorts: the PAGE study. - Franceschini, Nora; Carty, Cara; Bůzková, Petra; Reiner, Alex P; Garrett, Tiana; Lin, Yi; Vöckler, Jens-S; Hindorff, Lucia A; Cole, Shelley A; Boerwinkle, Eric; Lin, Dan-Yu; Bookman, Ebony; et al. (Circ Cardiovasc Genet, 2011)
BACKGROUND: Genome-wide association studies identified several single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) associated with prevalent coronary heart disease (CHD), but less is known of associations with incident CHD. The association of 13 published CHD SNPs was examined in 5 ancestry groups of 4 large US prospective cohorts. METHODS AND RESULTS: The analyses included incident coronary events over an average 9.1 to 15.7 follow-up person-years in up to 26 617 white individuals (6626 events), 8018 black individuals (914 events), 1903 Hispanic individuals (113 events), 3669 American Indian individuals (595 events), and 885 Asian/Pacific Islander individuals (66 events). We used Cox proportional hazards models (with additive mode of inheritance) adjusted for age, sex, and ancestry (as needed). Nine loci were statistically associated with incident CHD events in white participants: 9p21 (rs10757278; P=4.7 × 10(-41)), 16q23.1 (rs2549513; P=0.0004), 6p24.1 (rs499818; P=0.0002), 2q36.3 (rs2943634; P=6.7 × 10(-6)), MTHFD1L (rs6922269, P=5.1 × 10(-10)), APOE (rs429358; P=2.7×10(-18)), ZNF627 (rs4804611; P=5.0 × 10(-8)), CXCL12 (rs501120; P=1.4 × 10(-6)) and LPL (rs268; P=2.7 × 10(-17)). The 9p21 region showed significant between-study heterogeneity, with larger effects in individuals age 55 years or younger and in women. Inclusion of coronary revascularization procedures among the incident CHD events introduced heterogeneity. The SNPs were not associated with CHD in black participants, and associations varied in other US minorities. CONCLUSIONS: Prospective analyses of white participants replicated several reported cross-sectional CHD-SNP associations.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Continental Population Groups; Coronary Disease; Female; Genome-Wide Association Study; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Prospective Studies

The association of genetic variants in interleukin-1 genes with cognition: findings from the cardiovascular health study. - Benke, K S; Carlson, M C; Doan, B Q; Walston, J D; Xue, Q L; Reiner, A P; Fried, L P; Arking, D E; Chakravarti, A; Fallin, M D (Exp Gerontol, 2011)
The inflammatory cytokine interleukin-1 (IL1) potentially plays a role in cognitive deterioration through pathology due to a dementing disorder or due to an aging process. Study of genetic variants in the IL1 genes has been mostly limited to diseases such as Alzheimer's, however, there may be benefit to studying a continuous measure of cognition. Using data from the Cardiovascular Health Study, we evaluate genetic variation in the genes encoding inflammatory agonists IL1A and IL1B, and the antagonist IL1RN, with repeated measures of global cognition (3MS) and processing speed (DSST), using mixed effects models. We found statistically significant minor allele SNP associations with baseline performance on the 3MS in the IL1RN gene for Caucasians (rs17042917: beta=0.47, 95%CI=0.09, 0.85, p=0.016; rs4251961: beta=-0.36, 95%CI=-0.13,-0.60, p=0.0027; rs931471: beta=0.39, 95%CI=0.13, 0.65, p=0.0032), and the IL1B gene for African Americans (rs1143627: beta=1.6, 95%CI=0.48, 2.8; p=0.006 and rs1143634: beta=2.09, 95%CI=0.39, 3.8; p=0.016). Associations appear to be weaker in a subgroup with higher education level. Upon removing those diagnosed with dementia, effect sizes and statistical significance attenuated. These results provide supporting evidence that genetic variants in IL1 genes may be involved in inflammatory-related lowered cognition, that higher education may modify genetic predisposition, and that these associations may be driven by a dementia process.
Keywords: African Americans; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cognition; Cognition Disorders; Dementia; Educational Status; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genetic Variation; Genotype; Humans; Interleukin 1 Receptor Antagonist Protein; Interleukin-1alpha; Interleukin-1beta; Linkage Disequilibrium; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; United States

Association of genetic variation with systolic and diastolic blood pressure among African Americans: the Candidate Gene Association Resource study. - Fox, Ervin R; Young, J Hunter; Li, Yali; Dreisbach, Albert W; Keating, Brendan J; Musani, Solomon K; Liu, Kiang; Morrison, Alanna C; Ganesh, Santhi; Kutlar, Abdullah; Ramachandran, Vasan S; Polak, Josef F; et al. (Hum Mol Genet, 2011)
The prevalence of hypertension in African Americans (AAs) is higher than in other US groups; yet, few have performed genome-wide association studies (GWASs) in AA. Among people of European descent, GWASs have identified genetic variants at 13 loci that are associated with blood pressure. It is unknown if these variants confer susceptibility in people of African ancestry. Here, we examined genome-wide and candidate gene associations with systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) using the Candidate Gene Association Resource (CARe) consortium consisting of 8591 AAs. Genotypes included genome-wide single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) data utilizing the Affymetrix 6.0 array with imputation to 2.5 million HapMap SNPs and candidate gene SNP data utilizing a 50K cardiovascular gene-centric array (ITMAT-Broad-CARe [IBC] array). For Affymetrix data, the strongest signal for DBP was rs10474346 (P= 3.6 × 10(-8)) located near GPR98 and ARRDC3. For SBP, the strongest signal was rs2258119 in C21orf91 (P= 4.7 × 10(-8)). The top IBC association for SBP was rs2012318 (P= 6.4 × 10(-6)) near SLC25A42 and for DBP was rs2523586 (P= 1.3 × 10(-6)) near HLA-B. None of the top variants replicated in additional AA (n = 11 882) or European-American (n = 69 899) cohorts. We replicated previously reported European-American blood pressure SNPs in our AA samples (SH2B3, P= 0.009; TBX3-TBX5, P= 0.03; and CSK-ULK3, P= 0.0004). These genetic loci represent the best evidence of genetic influences on SBP and DBP in AAs to date. More broadly, this work supports that notion that blood pressure among AAs is a trait with genetic underpinnings but also with significant complexity.
Keywords: Adult; African Americans; Aged; Blood Pressure; Cohort Studies; Diastole; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Genetic Loci; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Humans; Hypertension; Male; Middle Aged; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Systole

Association of genomic loci from a cardiovascular gene SNP array with fibrinogen levels in European Americans and African-Americans from six cohort studies: the Candidate Gene Association Resource (CARe). - Wassel, Christina L; Lange, Leslie A; Keating, Brendan J; Taylor, Kira C; Johnson, Andrew D; Palmer, Cameron; Ho, Lindsey A; Smith, Nicholas L; Lange, Ethan M; Li, Yun; Yang, Qiong; Delaney, Joseph A; et al. (Blood, 2011)
Several common genomic loci, involving various immunity- and metabolism-related genes, have been associated with plasma fibrinogen in European Americans (EAs). The genetic determinants of fibrinogen in African Americans (AAs) are poorly characterized. Using a vascular gene-centric array in 23,634 EA and 6657 AA participants from 6 studies comprising the Candidate Gene Association Resource project, we examined the association of 47,539 common and lower frequency variants with fibrinogen concentration. We identified a rare Pro265Leu variant in FGB (rs6054) associated with lower fibrinogen. Common fibrinogen gene single nucleotide polymorphisms (FGB rs1800787 and FGG rs2066861) significantly associated with fibrinogen in EAs were prevalent in AAs and showed consistent associations. Several fibrinogen locus single nucleotide polymorphism associated with lower fibrinogen were exclusive to AAs; these include a newly reported association with FGA rs10050257. For IL6R, IL1RN, and NLRP3 inflammatory gene loci, associations with fibrinogen were concordant between EAs and AAs, but not at other loci (CPS1, PCCB, and SCL22A5-IRF1). The association of FGG rs2066861 with fibrinogen differed according to assay type used to measure fibrinogen. Further characterization of common and lower-frequency genetic variants that contribute to interpopulation differences in fibrinogen phenotype may help refine our understanding of the contribution of hemostasis and inflammation to atherothrombotic risk.
Keywords: Adult; African Americans; Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases; Cohort Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Fibrinogen; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Haplotypes; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Phenotype; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk Factors

Association of HSP70 and its co-chaperones with Alzheimer's disease. - Broer, Linda; Ikram, Mohammad Arfan; Schuur, Maaike; DeStefano, Anita L; Bis, Joshua C; Liu, Fan; Rivadeneira, Fernando; Uitterlinden, André G; Beiser, Alexa S; Longstreth, William T; Hofman, Albert; Aulchenko, Yurii; et al. (J Alzheimers Dis, 2011)
The heat shock protein (HSP) 70 family has been implicated in the pathology of Alzheimer's disease (AD). In this study, we examined common genetic variations in the 80 genes encoding HSP70 and its co-chaperones. We conducted a study in a series of 462 patients and 5238 unaffected participants derived from the Rotterdam Study, a population-based study including 7983 persons aged 55 years and older. We genotyped a total of 12,053 Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms (SNPs) using the HumanHap550K Genotyping BeadChip from Illumina. Replication was performed in two independent cohort studies, the Framingham Heart study (FHS; n = 806) and Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS; n = 2150). When adjusting for multiple testing, we found a small but consistent, though not significant effect of rs12118313 located 32 kb from PFDN2, with an OR of 1.19 (p-value from meta-analysis = 0.003). However this SNP was in the intron of another gene, suggesting it is unlikely this SNP reflects the effect of PFDN2. In a formal pathway analysis we found nominally significant evidence for an association of BAG, DNAJA and prefoldin with AD. These findings corroborate with those of a study of 2032 AD patients and 5328 controls, in which several members of the prefoldin family showed evidence for association to AD. Our study did not reveal evidence for a genetic variant if the HSP70 family with a major effect on AD. However, our findings of the single SNP analysis and pathway analysis suggest that multiple genetic variants in prefoldin are associated with AD.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Alzheimer Disease; Cohort Studies; Genetic Association Studies; Genetic Variation; HSP70 Heat-Shock Proteins; Humans; Middle Aged; Molecular Chaperones; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Association of hypertension drug target genes with blood pressure and hypertension in 86,588 individuals. - Johnson, Andrew D; Newton-Cheh, Christopher; Chasman, Daniel I; Ehret, Georg B; Johnson, Toby; Rose, Lynda; Rice, Kenneth; Verwoert, Germaine C; Launer, Lenore J; Gudnason, Vilmundur; Larson, Martin G; Chakravarti, Aravinda; et al. (Hypertension, 2011)
We previously conducted genome-wide association meta-analysis of systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, and hypertension in 29,136 people from 6 cohort studies in the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology Consortium. Here we examine associations of these traits with 30 gene regions encoding known antihypertensive drug targets. We find nominal evidence of association of ADRB1, ADRB2, AGT, CACNA1A, CACNA1C, and SLC12A3 polymorphisms with 1 or more BP traits in the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology genome-wide association meta-analysis. We attempted replication of the top meta-analysis single nucleotide polymorphisms for these genes in the Global BPgen Consortium (n=34,433) and the Women's Genome Health Study (n=23,019) and found significant results for rs1801253 in ADRB1 (Arg389Gly), with the Gly allele associated with a lower mean systolic blood pressure (β: 0.57 mm Hg; SE: 0.09 mm Hg; meta-analysis: P=4.7×10(-10)), diastolic blood pressure (β: 0.36 mm Hg; SE: 0.06 mm Hg; meta-analysis: P=9.5×10(-10)), and prevalence of hypertension (β: 0.06 mm Hg; SE: 0.02 mm Hg; meta-analysis: P=3.3×10(-4)). Variation in AGT (rs2004776) was associated with systolic blood pressure (β: 0.42 mm Hg; SE: 0.09 mm Hg; meta-analysis: P=3.8×10(-6)), as well as diastolic blood pressure (P=5.0×10(-8)) and hypertension (P=3.7×10(-7)). A polymorphism in ACE (rs4305) showed modest replication of association with increased hypertension (β: 0.06 mm Hg; SE: 0.01 mm Hg; meta-analysis: P=3.0×10(-5)). Two loci, ADRB1 and AGT, contain single nucleotide polymorphisms that reached a genome-wide significance threshold in meta-analysis for the first time. Our findings suggest that these genes warrant further studies of their genetic effects on blood pressure, including pharmacogenetic interactions.
Keywords: Alleles; Angiotensinogen; Antihypertensive Agents; Blood Pressure; Female; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genotype; Humans; Hypertension; Male; Pharmacogenetics; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Receptors, Adrenergic, beta-1

Association of polymorphisms in the hepatocyte growth factor gene promoter with keratoconus. - Burdon, Kathryn P; Macgregor, Stuart; Bykhovskaya, Yelena; Javadiyan, Sharhbanou; Li, Xiaohui; Laurie, Kate J; Muszynska, Dorota; Lindsay, Richard; Lechner, Judith; Haritunians, Talin; Henders, Anjali K; Dash, Durga; et al. (Invest Ophthalmol Vis Sci, 2011)
PURPOSE: Keratoconus is a progressive disorder of the cornea that can lead to severe visual impairment or blindness. Although several genomic regions have been linked to rare familial forms of keratoconus, no genes have yet been definitively identified for common forms of the disease. METHODS: Two genome-wide association scans were undertaken in parallel. The first used pooled DNA from an Australian cohort, followed by typing of top-ranked single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in individual DNA samples. The second was conducted in individually genotyped patients, and controls from the USA. Tag SNPs around the hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) gene were typed in three additional replication cohorts. Serum levels of HGF protein in normal individuals were assessed with ELISA and correlated with genotype. RESULTS: The only SNP observed to be associated in both the pooled discovery and primary replication cohort was rs1014091, located upstream of the HGF gene. The nearby SNP rs3735520 was found to be associated in the individually typed discovery cohort (P = 6.1 × 10(-7)). Genotyping of tag SNPs around HGF revealed association at rs3735520 and rs17501108/rs1014091 in four of the five cohorts. Meta-analysis of all five datasets together yielded suggestive P values for rs3735520 (P = 9.9 × 10(-7)) and rs17501108 (P = 9.9 × 10(-5)). In addition, SNP rs3735520 was found to be associated with serum HGF level in normal individuals (P = 0.036). CONCLUSIONS: Taken together, these results implicate genetic variation at the HGF locus with keratoconus susceptibility.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Chromosomes, Human, Pair 7; Corneal Topography; Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Hepatocyte Growth Factor; Humans; Keratoconus; Middle Aged; Nucleic Acid Hybridization; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Promoter Regions, Genetic; Sequence Tagged Sites

Association of serum phosphate levels with aortic valve sclerosis and annular calcification: the cardiovascular health study. - Linefsky, Jason P; O'Brien, Kevin D; Katz, Ronit; de Boer, Ian H; Barasch, Eddy; Jenny, Nancy S; Siscovick, David S; Kestenbaum, Bryan (J Am Coll Cardiol, 2011)
OBJECTIVES: This study was conducted to evaluate mineral metabolism markers as potential risk factors for calcific aortic valve disease. BACKGROUND: Mineral metabolism disturbances are common among older people and may contribute to cardiac valvular calcification. Associations of serum mineral metabolism markers with cardiac valvular calcification have not been evaluated in a well-characterized general population of older adults. METHODS: We measured serum levels of phosphate, calcium, parathyroid hormone, and 25-hydroxyvitamin D in 1,938 Cardiovascular Health Study participants who were free of clinical cardiovascular disease and who underwent echocardiographic measurements of aortic valve sclerosis (AVS), mitral annular calcification (MAC), and aortic annular calcification (AAC). We used logistic regression models to estimate associations of mineral metabolism markers with AVS, MAC, and AAC after adjustment for relevant confounding variables, including kidney function. RESULTS: The respective prevalences of AVS, MAC, and AAC were 54%, 39%, and 44%. Each 0.5 mg/dl higher serum phosphate concentration was associated with greater adjusted odds of AVS (odds ratio [OR]: 1.17, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04 to 1.31, p = 0.01), MAC (OR: 1.12, 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.26, p = 0.05), and AAC (OR: 1.12, 95% CI: 0.99 to 1.25, p = 0.05). In contrast, serum calcium, parathyroid hormone, and 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations were not associated with aortic or mitral calcification. CONCLUSIONS: Higher serum phosphate levels within the normal range were associated with valvular and annular calcification in a community-based cohort of older adults. Phosphate may be a novel risk factor for calcific aortic valve disease and warrants further study.
Keywords: Aged; Aortic Valve; Calcinosis; Calcium; Female; Heart Valve Diseases; Humans; Male; Mitral Valve; Parathyroid Hormone; Phosphates; Risk Factors; Sclerosis; Vitamin D

Candidate gene association study for diabetic retinopathy in persons with type 2 diabetes: the Candidate gene Association Resource (CARe). - Sobrin, Lucia; Green, Todd; Sim, Xueling; Jensen, Richard A; Tai, E Shyong; Tay, Wan Ting; Wang, Jie Jin; Mitchell, Paul; Sandholm, Niina; Liu, Yiyuan; Hietala, Kustaa; Iyengar, Sudha K; et al. (Invest Ophthalmol Vis Sci, 2011)
PURPOSE: To investigate whether variants in cardiovascular candidate genes, some of which have been previously associated with type 2 diabetes (T2D), diabetic retinopathy (DR), and diabetic nephropathy (DN), are associated with DR in the Candidate gene Association Resource (CARe). METHODS: Persons with T2D who were enrolled in the study (n = 2691) had fundus photography and genotyping of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 2000 candidate genes. Two case definitions were investigated: Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study (ETDRS) grades ≥ 14 and ≥ 30. The χ² analyses for each CARe cohort were combined by Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel (CMH) pooling of odds ratios (ORs) and corrected for multiple hypothesis testing. Logistic regression was performed with adjustment for other DR risk factors. Results from replication in independent cohorts were analyzed with CMH meta-analysis methods. RESULTS: Among 39 genes previously associated with DR, DN, or T2D, three SNPs in P-selectin (SELP) were associated with DR. The strongest association was to rs6128 (OR = 0.43, P = 0.0001, after Bonferroni correction). These associations remained significant after adjustment for DR risk factors. Among other genes examined, several variants were associated with DR with significant P values, including rs6856425 tagging α-l-iduronidase (IDUA) (P = 2.1 × 10(-5), after Bonferroni correction). However, replication in independent cohorts did not reveal study-wide significant effects. The P values after replication were 0.55 and 0.10 for rs6128 and rs6856425, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Genes associated with DN, T2D, and vascular diseases do not appear to be consistently associated with DR. A few genetic variants associated with DR, particularly those in SELP and near IDUA, should be investigated in additional DR cohorts.
Keywords: Cardiovascular Diseases; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Diabetic Nephropathies; Diabetic Retinopathy; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Genome-Wide Association Study; Genotype; Humans; Iduronidase; Odds Ratio; P-Selectin; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Risk Factors

Cerivastatin, genetic variants, and the risk of rhabdomyolysis. - Marciante, Kristin D; Durda, Jon P; Heckbert, Susan R; Lumley, Thomas; Rice, Ken; McKnight, Barbara; Totah, Rheem A; Tamraz, Bani; Kroetz, Deanna L; Fukushima, Hisayo; Kaspera, Rüdiger; Bis, Joshua C; et al. (Pharmacogenet Genomics, 2011)
OBJECTIVE: The withdrawal of cerivastatin involved an uncommon but serious adverse reaction, rhabdomyolysis. The bimodal response, rhabdomyolysis in a small proportion of users, points to genetic factors as a potential cause. We conducted a case-control study to evaluate genetic markers for cerivastatin-associated rhabdomyolysis. METHODS: This study had two components: a candidate gene study to evaluate variants in CYP2C8, UGT1A1, UGT1A3, and SLCO1B1; and a genome-wide association study to identify risk factors in other regions of the genome. A total of 185 rhabdomyolysis cases were frequency matched to statin-using controls from the Cardiovascular Health Study (n=374) and the Heart and Vascular Health Study (n=358). Validation relied on functional studies. RESULTS: Permutation test results suggested an association between cerivastatin-associated rhabdomyolysis and variants in SLCO1B1 (P=0.002), but not variants in CYP2C8 (P=0.073) or UGTs (P=0.523). An additional copy of the minor allele of SLCO1B1 rs4149056 (p.Val174Ala) was associated with the risk of rhabdomyolysis (odds ratio: 1.89; 95% confidence interval: 1.40-2.56). In transfected cells, this variant reduced cerivastatin transport by 40% compared with the reference transporter (P<0.001). The genome-wide association study identified an intronic variant (rs2819742) in the ryanodine receptor 2 gene (RYR2) as significant (P=1.74E-07). An additional copy of the minor allele of the RYR2 variant was associated with a reduced risk of rhabdomyolysis (odds ratio: 0.48; 95% confidence interval: 0.36-0.63). CONCLUSION: We identified modest genetic risk factors for an extreme response to cerivastatin. Disabling genetic variants in the candidate genes were not responsible for the bimodal response to cerivastatin.
Keywords: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Aryl Hydrocarbon Hydroxylases; Case-Control Studies; Cytochrome P-450 CYP2C8; Female; Genetic Variation; Genome-Wide Association Study; Glucuronosyltransferase; Humans; Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors; Male; Middle Aged; Organic Anion Transporters; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide; Pyridines; Rhabdomyolysis; Risk; Ryanodine Receptor Calcium Release Channel; Solute Carrier Organic Anion Transporter Family Member 1b1

Chronic kidney disease and the risk of end-stage renal disease versus death. - Dalrymple, Lorien S; Katz, Ronit; Kestenbaum, Bryan; Shlipak, Michael G; Sarnak, Mark J; Stehman-Breen, Catherine; Seliger, Stephen; Siscovick, David; Newman, Anne B; Fried, Linda (J Gen Intern Med, 2011)
BACKGROUND: Among older adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD), the comparative event rates of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and cause-specific death are unknown. OBJECTIVE: To compare the rates of ESRD, cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular death and examine risk factors for ESRD and all-cause mortality in Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) participants. DESIGN: The CHS is a longitudinal cohort study of community-dwelling adults aged 65 years and older. PARTICIPANTS: 1,268 participants with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) were followed until the time of first event (ESRD, cardiovascular or non-cardiovascular death) or until March 31, 2003. MAIN MEASURES: The outcomes were ESRD, cardiovascular- and non-cardiovascular death. Rates of each event were calculated, and a Cox Proportional Hazards Model with a competing risk framework was used to examine risk factors for ESRD as compared with death. Predictors included age, gender, race, BMI, hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, heart failure, tobacco use, eGFR, and total cholesterol. KEY RESULTS: During 9.7 years of follow-up, 5% of the cohort progressed to ESRD, and 61% of the cohort died. The rate (per 100 person-years) was 0.5 for ESRD and 6.8 for all-cause mortality (3.0 for cardiovascular and 3.8 for non-cardiovascular mortality). In the competing risk framework, lower eGFR, male gender, African-American race, and higher BMI were associated with an increased risk of ESRD. CONCLUSIONS: Older adults with CKD are 13-fold more likely to die from any cause than progress to ESRD and are 6-fold more likely to die from cardiovascular causes than develop ESRD.
Keywords: Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Cause of Death; Cohort Studies; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Kidney Failure, Chronic; Longitudinal Studies; Male; Prospective Studies; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic; Risk Factors; Treatment Outcome

The contribution of a 9p21.3 variant, a KIF6 variant, and C-reactive protein to predicting risk of myocardial infarction in a prospective study. - Shiffman, Dov; O'Meara, Ellen S; Rowland, Charles M; Louie, Judy Z; Cushman, Mary; Tracy, Russell P; Devlin, James J; Psaty, Bruce M (BMC Cardiovasc Disord, 2011)
BACKGROUND: Genetic risk factors might improve prediction of coronary events. Several variants at chromosome 9p21.3 have been widely reported to be associated with coronary heart disease (CHD) in prospective and case-control studies. A variant of KIF6 (719Arg) has also been reported to be associated with increased risk of CHD in large prospective studies, but not in case-control studies. We asked whether the addition of genetic information (the 9p21.3 or KIF6 variants) or a well-established non-genetic risk factor (C-reactive protein [CRP]) can improve risk prediction by the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS)--a prospective observational study of risk factors for cardiovascular disease among > 5,000 participants aged 65 or older. METHODS: Improvement of risk prediction was assessed by change in the area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUC) and by net reclassification improvement (NRI). RESULTS: Among white participants the FRS was improved by addition of KIF6 719Arg carrier status among men as assessed by the AUC (from 0.581 to 0.596, P = 0.03) but not by NRI (NRI = 0.027, P = 0.32). Adding both CRP and 719Arg carrier status to the FRS improved risk prediction by the AUC (0.608, P = 0.02) and NRI (0.093, P = 0.008) in men, but not women (P ≥ 0.24). CONCLUSIONS: While none of these risk markers individually or in combination improved risk prediction among women, a combination of KIF6 719Arg carrier status and CRP levels modestly improved risk prediction among white men; although this improvement is not significant after multiple-testing correction. These observations should be investigated in other prospective studies.
Keywords: African Continental Ancestry Group; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; C-Reactive Protein; Case-Control Studies; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Genetic Variation; Humans; Kinesin; Male; Myocardial Infarction; Predictive Value of Tests; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors

CUBN is a gene locus for albuminuria. - Böger, Carsten A; Chen, Ming-Huei; Tin, Adrienne; Olden, Matthias; Köttgen, Anna; de Boer, Ian H; Fuchsberger, Christian; O'Seaghdha, Conall M; Pattaro, Cristian; Teumer, Alexander; Liu, Ching-Ti; Glazer, Nicole L; et al. (J Am Soc Nephrol, 2011)
Identification of genetic risk factors for albuminuria may alter strategies for early prevention of CKD progression, particularly among patients with diabetes. Little is known about the influence of common genetic variants on albuminuria in both general and diabetic populations. We performed a meta-analysis of data from 63,153 individuals of European ancestry with genotype information from genome-wide association studies (CKDGen Consortium) and from a large candidate gene study (CARe Consortium) to identify susceptibility loci for the quantitative trait urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) and the clinical diagnosis microalbuminuria. We identified an association between a missense variant (I2984V) in the CUBN gene, which encodes cubilin, and both UACR (P = 1.1 × 10(-11)) and microalbuminuria (P = 0.001). We observed similar associations among 6981 African Americans in the CARe Consortium. The associations between this variant and both UACR and microalbuminuria were significant in individuals of European ancestry regardless of diabetes status. Finally, this variant associated with a 41% increased risk for the development of persistent microalbuminuria during 20 years of follow-up among 1304 participants with type 1 diabetes in the prospective DCCT/EDIC Study. In summary, we identified a missense CUBN variant that associates with levels of albuminuria in both the general population and in individuals with diabetes.
Keywords: African Continental Ancestry Group; Albuminuria; European Continental Ancestry Group; Genetic Loci; Genetic Predisposition to Disease; Humans; Mutation, Missense; Receptors, Cell Surface