You are here

Utility of 2-Hour Postchallenge Glucose in Predicting Incident Diabetes in Older Adults with Normal Fastng Glucose: 9-Year Follow-up of the Cardiovascular Health Study.

TitleUtility of 2-Hour Postchallenge Glucose in Predicting Incident Diabetes in Older Adults with Normal Fastng Glucose: 9-Year Follow-up of the Cardiovascular Health Study.
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2005
AuthorsShaffer, DN, Smith, NL, Barzilay, JI, Savage, PJ, Kuller, LK, Burke, GL
JournalJCOM
Volume12
Issue2
Start Page83
Pagination87
Date Published2005-02-01
KeywordsAdult, Diabetes, Glucose, Health
Abstract S.80 (PUBLISHED) Utility of 2-Hour Postchallenge Glucose in Predicting Incident Diabetes in Older Adults with Normal Fastng Glucose: 9-Year Follow-up of the Cardiovascular Health Study. Doug Shaffer Writing Chair CHS Collaborator Proposal Status PUB: (Diab.Med) 2-05; vol 12 no. 2 83-87 Writing Group Doug Shaffer, Nicholas Smith, Joshua Barzilay,Peter Savage, Lewis Kuller, Gregory Burke Keywords Description ABSTRACT Objective We calculated rates of diabetes mellitus (DM, defined as having a fasting glucose (FG) > 126 mg/dl or starting diabetic medication) in older adults > 65 years of age (mean 72.9 years, SD=5.6) with normal FG and evaluated the added value of baseline 2-hour glucose (2HG) level as a predictor of subsequent DM. Methods We evaluated 3563 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study with normal FG (< 110 mg/dl) and calculated DM incidence rates overall and stratified by baseline 2HG using 3 World Health Organization categories (< 140 [normal], 140-199 [impaired glucose tolerance], and > 200 mg/dl [DM]). Results Ninety-five participants (2.7%) developed DM during a mean follow-up of 8.5 years (median follow-up 9.9 years) corresponding to an overall incidence rate of 3.1 cases per 1000 person-years. The DM incidence rates given baseline 2HG category were 1.7 (< 140 mg/dl), 4.4 (140-199 mg/dl), and 13.1 (> 200 mg/dl) per 1000 person-years, respectively. Individuals with baseline 2HG concentrations of 140-199 mg/dl and > 200 mg/dl were 2.7 times (HR=2.7, 95% CI 1.7, 4.2) and 7.8 times (HR=7.8, 95% CI 4.2, 13.3) more likely to develop DM compared to those with baseline 2HG measure < 140 mg/dl, respectively. These risks changed little after adjusting for baseline FG, age, sex, race, and BMI: HR=2.3 (1.4, 3.8) and HR=7.5 (4.3, 13.1), respectively. Conclusions While 2HG is predictive of DM, the overall DM rate in older adults with normal FG is low. FG without 2HG may be adequate for DM screening in this population.