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Association between blood pressure level and the risk of myocardial infarction, stroke, and total mortality: the cardiovascular health study.

TitleAssociation between blood pressure level and the risk of myocardial infarction, stroke, and total mortality: the cardiovascular health study.
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2001
AuthorsPsaty, BM, Furberg, CD, Kuller, LH, Cushman, M, Savage, PJ, Levine, D, O'Leary, DH, Bryan, RN, Anderson, M, Lumley, T
JournalArch Intern Med
Volume161
Issue9
Pagination1183-92
Date Published2001 May 14
ISSN0003-9926
KeywordsAged, Blood Pressure, Female, Humans, Male, Myocardial Infarction, Prognosis, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Stroke, Survival Rate, United States
Abstract<p><b>BACKGROUND: </b>Recent reports have drawn attention to the importance of pulse pressure as a predictor of cardiovascular events. Pulse pressure is used neither by clinicians nor by guidelines to define treatable levels of blood pressure.</p><p><b>METHODS: </b>In the Cardiovascular Health Study, 5888 adults 65 years and older were recruited from 4 US centers. At baseline in 1989-1990, participants underwent an extensive examination, and all subsequent cardiovascular events were ascertained and classified.</p><p><b>RESULTS: </b>At baseline, 1961 men and 2941 women were at risk for an incident myocardial infarction or stroke. During follow-up that averaged 6.7 years, 572 subjects had a coronary event, 385 had a stroke, and 896 died. After adjustment for potential confounders, systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), and pulse pressure were directly associated with the risk of incident myocardial infarction and stroke. Only SBP was associated with total mortality. Importantly, SBP was a better predictor of cardiovascular events than DBP or pulse pressure. In the adjusted model for myocardial infarction, a 1-SD change in SBP, DBP, and pulse pressure was associated with hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 1.24 (1.15-1.35), 1.13 (1.04-1.22), and 1.21 (1.12-1.31), respectively; and adding pulse pressure or DBP to the model did not improve the fit. For stroke, the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) were 1.34 (1.21-1.47) with SBP, 1.29 (1.17-1.42) with DBP, and 1.21 (1.10-1.34) with pulse pressure. The association between blood pressure level and cardiovascular disease risk was generally linear; specifically, there was no evidence of a J-shaped relationship. In those with treated hypertension, the hazard ratios for the association of SBP with the risks for myocardial infarction and stroke were less pronounced than in those without treated hypertension.</p><p><b>CONCLUSION: </b>In this population-based study of older adults, although all measures of blood pressure were strongly and directly related to the risk of coronary and cerebrovascular events, SBP was the best single predictor of cardiovascular events.</p>
DOI10.1001/archinte.161.9.1183
Alternate JournalArch Intern Med
PubMed ID11343441
Grant ListAG09556 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States
HL15103 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HL35129 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HL43201 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-85079 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-85080 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-85081 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-85082 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-85083 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-85084 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-85085 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-85086 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States