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Causal effects of cardiovascular risk factors on onset of major age-related diseases: A time-to-event Mendelian randomization study.

TitleCausal effects of cardiovascular risk factors on onset of major age-related diseases: A time-to-event Mendelian randomization study.
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2017
AuthorsHe, L, Culminskaya, I, Loika, Y, Arbeev, KG, Bagley, O, Duan, M, Yashin, AI, Kulminski, AM
JournalExp Gerontol
Date Published2017 Sep 28
ISSN1873-6815
Abstract<p><b>BACKGROUNDS: </b>Elucidating the causal effects of common intermediate risk factors on the onset of age-related diseases is indispensable for developing prevention and intervention procedures.</p><p><b>METHODS: </b>We conducted two-stage time-to-event Mendelian randomization meta-analyses combining five large-scale longitudinal cohorts to investigate dynamic causal effects of cardiovascular disease risk factors including body mass index (BMI), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and lipids on the age-at-onset of age-related diseases. We constructed weighted polygenic scores based on genetic markers from previously reported genome-wide association studies as instrumental variables to estimate the causal effects. To avoid false positive due to potential pleiotropic effects of the genetic markers, we performed a leave-one-out sensitivity analysis and an MR-Egger sensitivity analysis that we expanded in the survival context.</p><p><b>RESULTS: </b>Our results show that elevated BMI increases the absolute risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D) (p=7.68e-04), heart failure (p=9.03e-03), and cardiovascular diseases (CVD) (p=1.69e-03) and the causal effects start at different ages. A significant association between BMI and the risk of stroke is observed; however, the sensitivity analyses suggest that the association is attributed to the potential pleiotropic effects of rs2867125 and rs1558902. Raised SBP levels are significantly associated with the development of atrial fibrillation (p=6.42e-03). Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels are inversely associated with the age-at-onset of T2D (p=1.05e-02). In addition, LDL-C and triglycerides are inversely associated with the risks of cancer and T2D, respectively. Nevertheless, the sensitivity analyses suggest that these associations are probably due to pleiotropic effects of several single-nucleotide polymorphisms including rs4970834 and rs1260326.</p><p><b>CONCLUSIONS: </b>Our results highlight the involvement of BMI in the development of multiple age-related diseases. Some observed causal associations can attribute to pleiotropic effects of some genetic variations. These findings have important implications in unraveling causal effects of common risk factors on age-related diseases and guiding effective intervention strategies to reduce the incidence of these diseases.</p>
DOI10.1016/j.exger.2017.09.019
Alternate JournalExp. Gerontol.
PubMed ID28964830
PubMed Central IDPMC5874182
Grant ListHHSN268201100012C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100001I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100009I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95160 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100010C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95163 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100008C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
U01 HL080295 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100005G / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100004I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100008I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100007C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01 HC015103 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95169 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100046C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100011I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100011C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
UL1 RR024156 / RR / NCRR NIH HHS / United States
N01 HC085085 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100003C / WH / WHI NIH HHS / United States
U01 HG004402 / HG / NHGRI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95164 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N02HL64278 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95162 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85086 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95168 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100006C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201200036C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100005I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN271201100004C / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95165 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95159 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95161 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100002C / WH / WHI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC65226 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
P01 AG043352 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85082 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC75150 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95167 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100009C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85083 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100005C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC25195 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100007I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100002I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 AG047310 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95166 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 AG023629 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States
N01 HC045133 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85080 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01 HC035129 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100001C / WH / WHI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201100004C / WH / WHI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85081 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
ePub date: 
17/09