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Cystatin C and the risk of death and cardiovascular events among elderly persons.

TitleCystatin C and the risk of death and cardiovascular events among elderly persons.
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2005
AuthorsShlipak, MG, Sarnak, MJ, Katz, R, Fried, LF, Seliger, SL, Newman, AB, Siscovick, DS, Stehman-Breen, C
JournalN Engl J Med
Volume352
Issue20
Pagination2049-60
Date Published2005 May 19
ISSN1533-4406
KeywordsAged, Biomarkers, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cerebrospinal Fluid Proteins, Creatinine, Cystatin C, Cystatins, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Kidney, Kidney Diseases, Male, Mortality, Multivariate Analysis, Prognosis, Risk
Abstract<p><b>BACKGROUND: </b>Cystatin C is a serum measure of renal function that appears to be independent of age, sex, and lean muscle mass. We compared creatinine and cystatin C levels as predictors of mortality from cardiovascular causes and from all causes in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a cohort study of elderly persons living in the community.</p><p><b>METHODS: </b>Creatinine and cystatin C were measured in serum samples collected from 4637 participants at the study visit in 1992 or 1993; follow-up continued until June 30, 2001. For each measure, the study population was divided into quintiles, with the fifth quintile subdivided into thirds (designated 5a, 5b, and 5c).</p><p><b>RESULTS: </b>Higher cystatin C levels were directly associated, in a dose-response manner, with a higher risk of death from all causes. As compared with the first quintile, the hazard ratios (and 95 percent confidence intervals) for death were as follows: second quintile, 1.08 (0.86 to 1.35); third quintile, 1.23 (1.00 to 1.53); fourth quintile, 1.34 (1.09 to 1.66); quintile 5a, 1.77 (1.34 to 2.26); 5b, 2.18 (1.72 to 2.78); and 5c, 2.58 (2.03 to 3.27). In contrast, the association of creatinine categories with mortality from all causes appeared to be J-shaped. As compared with the two lowest quintiles combined (cystatin C level, < or =0.99 mg per liter), the highest quintile of cystatin C (> or =1.29 mg per liter) was associated with a significantly elevated risk of death from cardiovascular causes (hazard ratio, 2.27 [1.73 to 2.97]), myocardial infarction (hazard ratio, 1.48 [1.08 to 2.02]), and stroke (hazard ratio, 1.47 [ 1.09 to 1.96]) after multivariate adjustment. The fifth quintile of creatinine, as compared with the first quintile, was not independently associated with any of these three outcomes.</p><p><b>CONCLUSIONS: </b>Cystatin C, a serum measure of renal function, is a stronger predictor of the risk of death and cardiovascular events in elderly persons than is creatinine.</p>
DOI10.1056/NEJMoa043161
Alternate JournalN Engl J Med
PubMed ID15901858
Grant ListN01 HC-15103 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-35129 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-85079 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-85080 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-85081 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-85082 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-85083 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-85084 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-85085 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01-HC-85086 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL073208-01 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States