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Lung function decline in former smokers and low-intensity current smokers: a secondary data analysis of the NHLBI Pooled Cohorts Study.

TitleLung function decline in former smokers and low-intensity current smokers: a secondary data analysis of the NHLBI Pooled Cohorts Study.
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2020
AuthorsOelsner, EC, Balte, PP, Bhatt, SP, Cassano, PA, Couper, D, Folsom, AR, Freedman, ND, Jacobs, DR, Kalhan, R, Mathew, AR, Kronmal, RA, Loehr, LR, London, SJ, Newman, AB, O'Connor, GT, Schwartz, JE, Smith, LJ, White, WB, Yende, S
JournalLancet Respir Med
Volume8
Issue1
Pagination34-44
Date Published2020 01
ISSN2213-2619
KeywordsAdult, Aged, Case-Control Studies, Ex-Smokers, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Lung, Male, Middle Aged, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (U.S.), Non-Smokers, Respiratory Physiological Phenomena, Smokers, Smoking, Spirometry, United States, Young Adult
Abstract<p><b>BACKGROUND: </b>Former smokers now outnumber current smokers in many developed countries, and current smokers are smoking fewer cigarettes per day. Some data suggest that lung function decline normalises with smoking cessation; however, mechanistic studies suggest that lung function decline could continue. We hypothesised that former smokers and low-intensity current smokers have accelerated lung function decline compared with never-smokers, including among those without prevalent lung disease.</p><p><b>METHODS: </b>We used data on six US population-based cohorts included in the NHLBI Pooled Cohort Study. We restricted the sample to participants with valid spirometry at two or more exams. Two cohorts recruited younger adults (≥17 years), two recruited middle-aged and older adults (≥45 years), and two recruited only elderly adults (≥65 years) with examinations done between 1983 and 2014. FEV decline in sustained former smokers and current smokers was compared to that of never-smokers by use of mixed models adjusted for sociodemographic and anthropometric factors. Differential FEV decline was also evaluated according to duration of smoking cessation and cumulative (number of pack-years) and current (number of cigarettes per day) cigarette consumption.</p><p><b>FINDINGS: </b>25 352 participants (ages 17-93 years) completed 70 228 valid spirometry exams. Over a median follow-up of 7 years (IQR 3-20), FEV decline at the median age (57 years) was 31·01 mL per year (95% CI 30·66-31·37) in sustained never-smokers, 34·97 mL per year (34·36-35·57) in former smokers, and 39·92 mL per year (38·92-40·92) in current smokers. With adjustment, former smokers showed an accelerated FEV decline of 1·82 mL per year (95% CI 1·24-2·40) compared to never-smokers, which was approximately 20% of the effect estimate for current smokers (9·21 mL per year; 95% CI 8·35-10·08). Compared to never-smokers, accelerated FEV decline was observed in former smokers for decades after smoking cessation and in current smokers with low cumulative cigarette consumption (<10 pack-years). With respect to current cigarette consumption, the effect estimate for FEV decline in current smokers consuming less than five cigarettes per day (7·65 mL per year; 95% CI 6·21-9·09) was 68% of that in current smokers consuming 30 or more cigarettes per day (11·24 mL per year; 9·86-12·62), and around five times greater than in former smokers (1·57 mL per year; 1·00-2·14). Among participants without prevalent lung disease, associations were attenuated but were consistent with the main results.</p><p><b>INTERPRETATION: </b>Former smokers and low-intensity current smokers have accelerated lung function decline compared with never-smokers. These results suggest that all levels of smoking exposure are likely to be associated with lasting and progressive lung damage.</p><p><b>FUNDING: </b>National Institutes of Health, National Heart Lung and Blood Institute, and US Environmental Protection Agency.</p>
DOI10.1016/S2213-2600(19)30276-0
Alternate JournalLancet Respir Med
PubMed ID31606435
PubMed Central IDPMC7261004
Grant ListHHSN268201300026C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95160 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201500001C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
U01 HL130114 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL077612 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R21 HL121457 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 AG028050 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85080 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85081 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95163 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
U01 HL080295 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268200800007C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95169 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201300048C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
RC1 HL100543 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95164 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201300025C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC55222 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95162 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 NR012459 / NR / NINR NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85086 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL093081 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95168 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201300027C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201300049C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201200036C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700001I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268200900041C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201300028C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700004I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95165 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95159 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
K23 HL138165 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201500001I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R21 HL129924 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95161 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201300047C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201300050C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700005C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700001C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85082 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95167 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700003C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85083 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL130506 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC25195 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700004C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201300046C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700002I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700005I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85079 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC95166 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201300029C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
K23 HL130627 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 AG023629 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL122477 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700003I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
ePub date: 
20/01