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Epigenetic Age and the Risk of Incident Atrial Fibrillation.

TitleEpigenetic Age and the Risk of Incident Atrial Fibrillation.
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2021
AuthorsRoberts, JD, Vittinghoff, E, Lu, AT, Alonso, A, Wang, B, Sitlani, CM, Mohammadi-Shemirani, P, Fornage, M, Kornej, J, Brody, JA, Arking, DE, Lin, H, Heckbert, SR, Prokic, I, Ghanbari, M, Skanes, AC, Bartz, TM, Perez, MV, Taylor, KD, Lubitz, SA, Ellinor, PT, Lunetta, KL, Pankow, JS, Paré, G, Sotoodehnia, N, Benjamin, EJ, Horvath, S, Marcus, GM
JournalCirculation
Volume144
Issue24
Pagination1899-1911
Date Published2021 12 14
ISSN1524-4539
KeywordsAged, Aging, Atrial Fibrillation, DNA Methylation, Epigenesis, Genetic, Epigenomics, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Incidence, Male, Mendelian Randomization Analysis, Middle Aged, Models, Cardiovascular, Models, Genetic
Abstract<p><b>BACKGROUND: </b>The most prominent risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF) is chronological age; however, underlying mechanisms are unexplained. Algorithms using epigenetic modifications to the human genome effectively predict chronological age. Chronological and epigenetic predicted ages may diverge in a phenomenon referred to as epigenetic age acceleration (EAA), which may reflect accelerated biological aging. We sought to evaluate for associations between epigenetic age measures and incident AF.</p><p><b>METHODS: </b>Measures for 4 epigenetic clocks (Horvath, Hannum, DNA methylation [DNAm] PhenoAge, and DNAm GrimAge) and an epigenetic predictor of PAI-1 (plasminogen activator inhibitor-1) levels (ie, DNAm PAI-1) were determined for study participants from 3 population-based cohort studies. Cox models evaluated for associations with incident AF and results were combined via random-effects meta-analyses. Two-sample summary-level Mendelian randomization analyses evaluated for associations between genetic instruments of the EAA measures and AF.</p><p><b>RESULTS: </b>Among 5600 participants (mean age, 65.5 years; female, 60.1%; Black, 50.7%), there were 905 incident AF cases during a mean follow-up of 12.9 years. Unadjusted analyses revealed all 4 epigenetic clocks and the DNAm PAI-1 predictor were associated with statistically significant higher hazards of incident AF, though the magnitudes of their point estimates were smaller relative to the associations observed for chronological age. The pooled EAA estimates for each epigenetic measure, with the exception of Horvath EAA, were associated with incident AF in models adjusted for chronological age, race, sex, and smoking variables. After multivariable adjustment for additional known AF risk factors that could also potentially function as mediators, pooled EAA measures for 2 clocks remained statistically significant. Five-year increases in EAA measures for DNAm GrimAge and DNAm PhenoAge were associated with 19% (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.19 [95% CI, 1.09-1.31]; <0.01) and 15% (adjusted HR, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.05-1.25]; <0.01) higher hazards of incident AF, respectively. Mendelian randomization analyses for the 5 EAA measures did not reveal statistically significant associations with AF.</p><p><b>CONCLUSIONS: </b>Our study identified adjusted associations between EAA measures and incident AF, suggesting that biological aging plays an important role independent of chronological age, though a potential underlying causal relationship remains unclear. These aging processes may be modifiable and not constrained by the immutable factor of time.</p>
DOI10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.121.056456
Alternate JournalCirculation
PubMed ID34587750
PubMed Central IDPMC8671333
Grant ListRC2 HL102419 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL103612 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL139731 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL120393 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
U01 AG060908 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States
U01 HL080295 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201500001C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL087652 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201500001I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85083 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700004C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85080 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85081 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL092577 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
U01 HL130114 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268200800007C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 NS087541 / NS / NINDS NIH HHS / United States
UL1 TR000124 / TR / NCATS NIH HHS / United States
N01HC55222 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL128914 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85086 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL105756 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
K08 HL116640 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
P30 DK063491 / DK / NIDDK NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700002C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201200036C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201800001C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700001I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
K24 HL148521 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700004I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700005C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700001C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85082 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700003C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700002I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700005I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85079 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 AG023629 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201700003I / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
75N92019D00031 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL141989 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL111089 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL116747 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL092111 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
ePub date: 
21/12