Title | The contribution of a 9p21.3 variant, a KIF6 variant, and C-reactive protein to predicting risk of myocardial infarction in a prospective study. |
Publication Type | Journal Article |
Year of Publication | 2011 |
Authors | Shiffman, D, O'Meara, ES, Rowland, CM, Louie, JZ, Cushman, M, Tracy, RP, Devlin, JJ, Psaty, BM |
Journal | BMC Cardiovasc Disord |
Volume | 11 |
Pagination | 10 |
Date Published | 2011 Mar 15 |
ISSN | 1471-2261 |
Keywords | African Continental Ancestry Group, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, C-Reactive Protein, Case-Control Studies, European Continental Ancestry Group, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Genetic Variation, Humans, Kinesin, Male, Myocardial Infarction, Predictive Value of Tests, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors |
Abstract | <p><b>BACKGROUND: </b>Genetic risk factors might improve prediction of coronary events. Several variants at chromosome 9p21.3 have been widely reported to be associated with coronary heart disease (CHD) in prospective and case-control studies. A variant of KIF6 (719Arg) has also been reported to be associated with increased risk of CHD in large prospective studies, but not in case-control studies. We asked whether the addition of genetic information (the 9p21.3 or KIF6 variants) or a well-established non-genetic risk factor (C-reactive protein [CRP]) can improve risk prediction by the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS)--a prospective observational study of risk factors for cardiovascular disease among > 5,000 participants aged 65 or older.</p><p><b>METHODS: </b>Improvement of risk prediction was assessed by change in the area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUC) and by net reclassification improvement (NRI).</p><p><b>RESULTS: </b>Among white participants the FRS was improved by addition of KIF6 719Arg carrier status among men as assessed by the AUC (from 0.581 to 0.596, P = 0.03) but not by NRI (NRI = 0.027, P = 0.32). Adding both CRP and 719Arg carrier status to the FRS improved risk prediction by the AUC (0.608, P = 0.02) and NRI (0.093, P = 0.008) in men, but not women (P ≥ 0.24).</p><p><b>CONCLUSIONS: </b>While none of these risk markers individually or in combination improved risk prediction among women, a combination of KIF6 719Arg carrier status and CRP levels modestly improved risk prediction among white men; although this improvement is not significant after multiple-testing correction. These observations should be investigated in other prospective studies.</p> |
DOI | 10.1186/1471-2261-11-10 |
Alternate Journal | BMC Cardiovasc Disord |
PubMed ID | 21406102 |
PubMed Central ID | PMC3066109 |
Grant List | R01 HL077499 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85085 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States U01 HL080295 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85081 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85086 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-15103 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85082 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-35129 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-55222 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85083 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-75150 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85080 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-45133 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85079 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85084 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States |