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Predictive value for cardiovascular events of common carotid intima media thickness and its rate of change in individuals at high cardiovascular risk - Results from the PROG-IMT collaboration.

TitlePredictive value for cardiovascular events of common carotid intima media thickness and its rate of change in individuals at high cardiovascular risk - Results from the PROG-IMT collaboration.
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2018
AuthorsLorenz, MW, Gao, L, Ziegelbauer, K, Norata, GDanilo, Empana, JPhilippe, Schmidtmann, I, Lin, H-J, McLachlan, S, Bokemark, L, Ronkainen, K, Amato, M, Schminke, U, Srinivasan, SR, Lind, L, Okazaki, S, Stehouwer, CDA, Willeit, P, Polak, JF, Steinmetz, H, Sander, D, Poppert, H, Desvarieux, M, Ikram, AM, Johnsen, SHarald, Staub, D, Sirtori, CR, Iglseder, B, Beloqui, O, Engström, G, Friera, A, Rozza, F, Xie, W, Parraga, G, Grigore, L, Plichart, M, Blankenberg, S, Su, T-C, Schmidt, C, Tuomainen, T-P, Veglia, F, Völzke, H, Nijpels, G, Willeit, J, Sacco, RL, Franco, OH, Uthoff, H, Hedblad, B, Suarez, C, Izzo, R, Zhao, D, Wannarong, T, Catapano, A, Ducimetiere, P, Espinola-Klein, C, Chien, K-L, Price, JF, Bergström, G, Kauhanen, J, Tremoli, E, Dörr, M, Berenson, G, Kitagawa, K, Dekker, JM, Kiechl, S, Sitzer, M, Bickel, H, Rundek, T, Hofman, A, Mathiesen, EB, Castelnuovo, S, Landecho, MF, Rosvall, M, Gabriel, R, de Luca, N, Liu, J, Baldassarre, D, Kavousi, M, de Groot, E, Bots, ML, Yanez, DN, Thompson, SG
Corporate/Institutional AuthorsPROG-IMT Study Group,
JournalPLoS One
Volume13
Issue4
Paginatione0191172
Date Published2018
ISSN1932-6203
KeywordsAged, Cardiovascular Diseases, Carotid Intima-Media Thickness, Female, Humans, Intersectoral Collaboration, Male, Middle Aged, Prognosis, Risk Factors
Abstract<p><b>AIMS: </b>Carotid intima media thickness (CIMT) predicts cardiovascular (CVD) events, but the predictive value of CIMT change is debated. We assessed the relation between CIMT change and events in individuals at high cardiovascular risk.</p><p><b>METHODS AND RESULTS: </b>From 31 cohorts with two CIMT scans (total n = 89070) on average 3.6 years apart and clinical follow-up, subcohorts were drawn: (A) individuals with at least 3 cardiovascular risk factors without previous CVD events, (B) individuals with carotid plaques without previous CVD events, and (C) individuals with previous CVD events. Cox regression models were fit to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of the combined endpoint (myocardial infarction, stroke or vascular death) per standard deviation (SD) of CIMT change, adjusted for CVD risk factors. These HRs were pooled across studies. In groups A, B and C we observed 3483, 2845 and 1165 endpoint events, respectively. Average common CIMT was 0.79mm (SD 0.16mm), and annual common CIMT change was 0.01mm (SD 0.07mm), both in group A. The pooled HR per SD of annual common CIMT change (0.02 to 0.43mm) was 0.99 (95% confidence interval: 0.95-1.02) in group A, 0.98 (0.93-1.04) in group B, and 0.95 (0.89-1.04) in group C. The HR per SD of common CIMT (average of the first and the second CIMT scan, 0.09 to 0.75mm) was 1.15 (1.07-1.23) in group A, 1.13 (1.05-1.22) in group B, and 1.12 (1.05-1.20) in group C.</p><p><b>CONCLUSIONS: </b>We confirm that common CIMT is associated with future CVD events in individuals at high risk. CIMT change does not relate to future event risk in high-risk individuals.</p>
DOI10.1371/journal.pone.0191172
Alternate JournalPLoS ONE
PubMed ID29649236
PubMed Central IDPMC5896895
Grant ListR01 AG015928 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States
U01 HL080295 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 DE013094 / DE / NIDCR NIH HHS / United States
N01 HC015103 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R56 AG020098 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States
N01HC55222 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85086 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R37 NS029993 / NS / NINDS NIH HHS / United States
HHSN268201200036C / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 HL080295 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 AG020098 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States
N01HC75150 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01HC85079 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R01 AG023629 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States
R01 AG027058 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States
N01 HC045133 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
N01 HC035129 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States
R56 AG023629 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States
ePub date: 
18/09